ABOUT THIS PODCAST 🔗
The Assessment podcast examines the geopolitical questions that matter most. Each episode opens with an AI-generated probability forecast, which a panel of leading experts then interrogates - testing the assumptions, weighing the evidence and probing the limits of what forecasting can reliably tell us.
The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy & National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic. The podcast is produced by the IISS Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks programme and supported by Acacia.
For more information, visit https://www.iiss.org/
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Hosts:
Update frequency:
biweekly
Average audio length:
31 minutes
Guest interviews
Has sponsors
English
United States
7 episodes
since June 29, 2026
episodic
IN THIS PODCAST 🔗
LATEST EPISODE 🔗
What happens to US defence funding if Democrats win the House?
In the final episode of this series of The Assessment, Charlie Edwards asks a conditional forecasting question: if Democrats hold a majority in the US House of Representatives on 3 January 2027, will Congress enact full-year FY202…
PREVIOUS EPISODES 🔗
In episode five of The Assessment, Charlie Edwards is joined by Caroline Bain, founder of Bain Commodities Research, and Natalie Scott-Gray, Senior Metals Demand Analyst at StoneX, to unpack the tightening outlook for the copper market. With ore grades falling at ageing mines and Chinese smelters f…
In episode four of The Assessment, Charlie Edwards is joined by Dr Dan Watson, Research Associate for Conflict, Security and Development at the IISS, and Paul Melly, Consulting Fellow in the Africa Programme at Chatham House, to unpack the deepening crisis across Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso. With …
In the third episode of The Assessment, Charlie Edwards, Emile Hokayem and Elliot Hentov probe an AI forecast suggesting that it is unlikely that major carriers will announce a full resumption of services through the Strait of Hormuz before the end of the year.
They explore Iran's 17 August …
In episode two of The Assessment, our experts revisit the Hague summit pledge of 5% of GDP on defence by 2035 one year on and ask whether it's already fiscally out of reach for key NATO members.
Host Charlie Edwards is joined by Fenella McGerty, Senior Fellow for Defence Economics at the IISS, and …
In the inaugural episode of The Assessment, host Charlie Edwards holds discussions with Nigel Gould-Davies, IISS Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Timothy Ash, BlueBay Senior Sovereign Strategist for Emerging Markets, to explore whether Russia could face a formal fiscal crisis within the ne…
Most analysis tells you what just happened. The Assessment podcast asks what comes next.
Hosted by Charlie Edwards, each episode takes a geopolitical question and opens with a forecast generated by an AI-powered platform. That forecast is then put to leading experts who examine i…
You have seen all episodes of this podcast
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