13 août 2025

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138 - Deterrence, Rationality, and Risk: Rethinking Nuclear Strategy

In this episode of The NIDS View, Adam is joined by Jim and Curtis to dissect the Foreign Affairs article “Nuclear Powers, Conventional Wars: The Dangerous Erosion of Deterrence” by Carter Malkasian and Zachary Constantino. The trio challenges the article’s assumptions, exploring the limits of rational choice theory and the relevance of prospect theory in understanding deterrence behavior. The discussion dives into why weaker states still challenge nuclear powers, how leaders assess risk, and why nuclear weapons may still be the cornerstone of global stability.

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