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Prediction Markets. Decoded.
Frecuencia de actualización:
every 2 days
Duración media del audio:
70 minutes
Entrevistas a invitados
Tiene patrocinadores
Inglés
Estados Unidos
50 episodios
desde 4 de junio de 2026
episodic
ÚLTIMO EPISODIO 🔗
The Jensen scandal became a textbook breaking-news trade. Brian and Domer explain how they separated the immediate question—whether Jensen would be removed—from the precise timing of the announcement, using the board’s incentives and Nvidia’s approaching earnings call to structure staggered positio…
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EPISODIOS ANTERIORES 🔗
Jensen Huang enters the congressional hot seat. Allegations involving a suspected Chinese spy and diverted AI chips create live markets on whether the Nvidia CEO testifies before Congress or leaves the company by year-end.
The data-center backlash becomes policy. Miranda Green argues that the Democ…
Prediction market sharps won the election night. Eventual’s early calls on Gina Hinojosa, Annie Andrews and Victoria Spartz’s defeat paid off as the Democratic wave reached races that conventional wisdom had treated as safely Republican.The blue tsunami begins the end of the Trump era. Th…
The blue tsunami is no longer a fringe scenario. New York Times/Siena and AtlasIntel polling points to major Democratic gains across Texas, Maine, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska and Iowa, with the hosts viewing a larger-than-expected wave as more plausible than a late Republican recovery.The Senate map …
South Carolina may have moved too far toward Annie Andrews. With Andrews near 30 cents, Prediction Market Trader (PMT) argues the blue wave still has to end somewhere and sees Darlene Graham as the more attractive side at current prices.
Mary Peltola’s ballot scandal looks more damaging than d…
South Carolina is no longer a joke—but Annie Andrews may already be expensive. A new poll shows a dead heat with Darlene Graham, turning Andrews into a legitimate blue-wave trade while also creating potential value on the Republican favorite in the low 70s.Mary Peltola’s October surprise looks…
The early vote looks strong for Democrats—but it is not a verdict. Alex and Brian caution traders to treat turnout data as informative rather than definitive, especially when analysts lack a proven record across multiple cycles.Abdul El-Sayed is favored, but Michigan remains unusually difficul…
The blue wave may be real—but the easy money is disappearing.Domer argues Democrats are headed for a potentially historic win, while Alex begins taking profits from expensive Senate positions and moving into safer House and Senate control trades.
Ohio still favors Democrats, but Sherrod Brown may b…
The blue wave reaches Iowa.With voting underway, Alex and Brian ask whether the Democratic surge is already fully priced—or whether polling and early signals are still understating how difficult the environment has become for Republicans.
Iowa becomes the election-night pressure point.Bleeding Hear…
The midterms enter the waiting game.With Election Day less than three weeks away, Alex and Domer ask how much meaningful movement is still possible as Republicans defend an expanding map and traders hunt for whatever value remains.
Chris Cillizza takes the temperature of the map.Cillizza breaks dow…
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