# Annie Duke

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Annie Duke – Wanna Bet? - [Invest Like the Best, EP.125]

My guest this week is with Annie Duke, and the topic of our discussion is how to improve decision making. We break decisions down into their component parts: values, beliefs, decisions, randomness, and outcomes. After diving into each, we discuss how to make better decisions, how to work in group …

Radio Replay: Playing The Gender Card

Annie Duke was about to win $2 million. It was 2004, and she was at the final hand of the World Series of Poker Tournament of Champions. But as a woman at a table full of men, she wasn't sure she deserved to be there. In this week's Radio Replay, we tell the stories of two people who grappled with …

Encore of Episode 3: Stereotype Threat

Annie Duke was often the only woman at the poker table, which influenced the way people saw her, and the way she saw herself. Feeling like an outsider can come at a cost, but also can be an advantage. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection…

Episode 3: Stereotype Threat

Annie Duke was often the only woman at the poker table, which influenced the way people saw her, and the way she saw herself. Feeling like an outsider can come at a cost, but also can be an advantage. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection…

Episode 047: Have You Asked Them Why? with Dr. Julia Minson

What if the goal of a disagreement isn’t to win it? Dr. Julia Minson, professor of public policy at the Harvard Kennedy School and founder of Disagreeing Better, LLC, joins host, Annie Duke, to explore why disagreements so often go wrong, and what it takes to have them go well. Julia explains why w…

Annie Duke — Thinking in Bets: Probabilistic Decision Architecture, Resulting Bias, and Epistemic Risk

Overview Human beings are hardwired to evaluate the quality of a decision based solely on its eventual outcome: if an initiative succeeds, we label it brilliant; if it fails, we label it a mistake. In stochastic environments characterized by luck, incomplete information, and hidden variables—such …

Ep. 250 Just Cut It Out with Dr. Kimberly Brown

Episode Summary Dr. Kim Brown is a surgical oncologist in Austin, Texas, and an educator. She has spent her career being the one to tell patients they have cancer, or that it has come back, and in the process she began asking big questions: what does this all mean, why me, and what does it mean to…

The 1 Habit That Changed How I Think | Daily Essay

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Each day I do a few things that scare me. Before I start one, I give it a score out of 100 for how hard I expect it to be. Featuring: Annie Duke, Ray Dalio, Colin Bryar, Bill Carr Watch on YouTube Read the full post Brought to you by: Trends.vc: Discover new markets and opportunities. HeadsUp…

The Sunk Cost Fallacy: Why You Stay in a Dying Career, Marriage, or Business Because You Already Invested, Thaler's Prospect Theory, and the Exit Calculation Protocol That Sets You Free (EP70)

Kevin spent 680,000 dollars and four years refusing to close a restaurant everyone told him was dead. Sunk cost, prospect theory, and the Exit Calculation Protocol that ends the same pattern in you. Kevin's accountant, his business partner, and three separate consultants all told him the same thing…

Probability in Finance - Statistics For The Trading Floor - Quantitative Methods

Today we discuss probability in finance and why it is important for investors to have a good understanding of probability theory. Probability theory is widely applicable in all areas of finance. Probability allows financial professionals to calculate things like expected value and to price derivat…