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Prediction markets promise the wisdom of the crowd, but their history tells a far more controversial story. This investigation traces Polymarket’s intellectual roots back to a canceled DARPA program and explores the people, funding, and institutions behind today’s largest prediction market. If you use Polymarket to gauge Bitcoin, politics, or macro trends, this is essential context before trusting the odds.Link to Whitney Webb & Mark Goodwin article:https://unlimitedhangout.com/2026/06/investigative-series/the-secret-history-of-polymarket-part-1/.
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