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In 2025’s final episode of Risk, Return and Responsibility, the monthly podcast from Sustainable Investor, former UK Pensions Minister Guy Opperman and Editorial Director Chris Hall are joined for an end-of-year reckoning by Dr Anthony Kirby, ex-Head of Regulation and Risk for Asset Management and Capital Markets in Europe at EY.
Together, they review 2025’s big themes and give their views on the questions that will determine sustainable investment returns and impacts 2026:
Is the ESG backlash gathering speed or petering out? With Donald Trump returning to the White House, new hurdles hampered investor scrutiny, while the Inflation Reduction Act was dismantled alongside many a diversity, equity and inclusion initiative. Meanwhile Europe took a scythe to sustainable investment regulation, as finance sector net zero commitments withered. Asset owners dug in, further integrating sustainability into their investment processes and doubling down on oversight of material financial risks - but do they need to do a better job of explaining and delivering outcomes?
Is the divide between asset owners and managers bigger than the Atlantic? Already under huge political and legal pressure, US asset managers faced even greater difficulties in 2025 - with new rules from the Securities and Exchange Commission making it harder to engage with portfolio companies, just as European asset owners underlined their commitment to climate stewardship. The fallout has been measured in lost mandates, but could litigation and retrenchment be on their way in 2026? Effective stewardship of assets could depend on a closing of gaps in both investment horizons and business cultures.
Can private markets deliver both returns and impact at an attractive cost? Institutional investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets to achieve tangible sustainable outcomes as well as superior returns. In markets such as the UK, governments also expect asset owners to achieve the scale to leverage these channels to drive growth too. In response, managers must deliver clear evidence that sustainable business models are driving value creation at every stage of the investment process. Are their reporting cycles, stewardship capabilities, cost and fund structures up to the job?
Will supply meet demand for nature-positive investment opportunities? Nature became a critical stewardship priority for asset owners in 2025 against a backdrop of mixed policy outcomes across plastic pollution, deforestation, and ocean protection. COP30 helped to put nature-related investments on the agenda as asset owners looked beyond measuring and managing risk to seeking out opportunities for returns. Will we see dedicated nature funds or rather nature being fully embedded into a wider range of investment decisions, with impact investment solutions remaining niche for now?
Can the upsides of the AI boom survive the downsides of a bust? Hopes for transformative productivity gains from AI innovation have allowed markets to face down all headwinds in 2025. Even so, investors wonder when returns will justify capex and whether ESG risks will be addressed. Despite the rising valuations, careful analysis is needed to invest in AI, its infrastructure and supply chain - and to identify the sectors using the technology to deliver higher returns. 2026 could also see more asset owners and managers deploying AI to deliver new insights into sustainability-related risks and opportunities.
