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Paradigm Head of Research Dan Robinson joins to demo Pace, a game modeling the game theory, prisoner's dilemmas, and equilibrium dynamics between competing AI labs pacing the frontier. He breaks down why fog of war drives acceleration, how recursive self-improvement hits real-world bottlenecks, and Paradigm's next economic game on AI labor diffusion. Check out our sponsor Lovable: https://lovable.dev. Turn ideas into software people love.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:28) Explaining the AI Pacing Game
(01:45) Game Theory Behind AI Pacing
(03:33) Streaming the Game Live
(07:19) Voluntary Coordination and Fog of War
(08:50) International Coordination and China Dynamics
(14:38) Bottlenecks in Recursive Self-Improvement
(16:11) Upcoming Games on Labor Diffusion
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Note: This podcast is not investment, legal, or tax advice, and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies and securities discussed; do your own research before acting on anything you hear.
