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In 2024, Nigeria secretly negotiated a ceasefire with Boko Haram following a hostage crisis in Borno State. Both sides publicly deny the deal exists, yet violence has measurably decreased since June. The government hopes to eventually turn Boko Haram against rival group ISWAP, while the insurgents …
Haiti faces a devastating crisis as the Viv Ansanm gang coalition controls ninety percent of Port-au-Prince. Despite this, the US is pressuring Haiti to hold elections by December. With millions unable to vote safely and security forces badly outmatched, rushing to the polls risks legitimising gang…

Could Pakistan Overthrow the Taliban?

Pakistan and Afghanistan are locked in escalating border conflict, with hundreds dead and over 115,000 displaced in 2026. As resistance groups intensify attacks on the weakening Taliban, Pakistani officials privately discuss regime change. But internal crises, insurgencies, and regional commitments…

Thailand's Unwinnable Hidden War

For over two decades, a largely unnoticed insurgency has raged in Thailand's southern provinces, where ethnic Malay Muslims have fought against the Thai state. Since 2004, more than 7,600 people have died. Recent coordinated attacks and surprising diplomatic signals suggest both sides may finally b…
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