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Bitcoin just ripped from $62K to almost $80K in three days, and sentiment flipped from extreme fear to greed. So the question is do we buy now or wait for things to settle?
In this breakdown, I walk through the data that changed how I think about this. If you missed Bitcoin's 10 best days, your annual return went negative in nine of the last 15 years. Miss 50 days across a decade, and a 200x asset can hand you a loss. That is why trying to time the top and bottom is so dangerous.
I also cover Ray Dalio warning of a US debt crisis and recommending 15% in Bitcoin and gold, Standard Chartered calling for $500K by 2030, and why I just closed my own long even though I stay bullish long term.
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This week can be pretty crazy for the markets. My plan.
Bitcoin is hovering around $78K and still sitting in greed, but a lot happened today. Trump came out swinging, saying interest rates are too high and a hike would be ridiculous, which puts him at odds with his own Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Meanwhile the odds of a rate hike this year have climbed to as…
Bitcoin is quiet right now, and that might actually be a good thing. In this episode I walk through the exchange liquidation map and why the setup looks far less primed for a violent dump than it did just a week ago, plus why the bottom of the bear market has historically landed within the next 30 …
Bitcoin ripped above $82,000 for the first time in months, reclaiming the closely watched 50 week moving average, and the whole market jumped around 5 percent. But I am not convinced the bear market is over, and in this episode I explain why.
The big driver was Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Spea…
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