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I find Nassim Nicholas Taleb captivating. He possesses the amazing ability to reveal and clarify what should already be obvious, but isn’t. I also love the way he writes and how radical he is in his honesty. This also polarizes. In his book The Black Swan, Taleb analyzes the concepts of uncerta…

Hard Work

Occasionally, I get the idea that I am a hard worker. For times such as these, I keep stored up in my heart this passage from Robert Caro’s The Path to Power: Every week, every week all year long—every week without fail—there was washday. The wash was done outside. A huge vat of boiling w…

Predictions

Throughout The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb bemoans the prevalence of Gaussian functions, perhaps known best graphed as characteristic bell curves. Much of the natural world sorts itself into a bell curve (see also the 80/20 “rule,”) but if we expect everything to fall within a Gaussian fra…

Proper Leaps

There is something romantic about the notion of intuition. Who doesn’t love the idea of a respected art critic getting a fleeting view of a work of art and knowing immediately that it is a fake? How about a chess grand master walking past a game in the park boldly pronouncing, “white mate in thre…
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