ABOUT THIS EPISODE
Tanja Schindler was a competitive Latin dancer at twelve and the family member who set up every television, a split between creative and technical that would define her career. She trained as an electrical engineer, worked the shift from traditional lighting to LED at Osram, and got asked the question every futurist eventually hears, what comes next, before she had ever heard the word foresight. She taught herself scenario planning on spreadsheets, then left Germany to study under Peter Hayward and Joseph Voros at Swinburne's Foresight Institute in Australia, built on Richard Slaughter's original work.
Her core reframe changed how I think about why so much foresight training fails to change behavior. You can teach someone the steps, the trend scans, the scenario decks, and they will still freeze at the edge of the dance floor because nobody taught them to feel the music, to hold uncertainty in the body rather than a spreadsheet. She describes an EU Commission workshop where fifty participants rebuilt five destroyed planets and pitched back a single message to ground control: please do not come; we do not want you to destroy what we built here. She walks through backcasting with her version of the futures triangle, stress-testing a preferred future against collapse and transformation scenarios, and names two weak signals worth watching, teenagers eating pudding with a fork under a bridge because they are starving for social space, and the rise of micro retirement, where young workers refuse to wait until sixty-five to actually live.
If you have ever handed your team a framework, a beautifully built process, a set of steps, and then watched them stand at the edge of the floor unable to move, this hour is for you.
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This Week's Companion Issue
Future Proof Issue 55: The Steps Are Not the Dance. This issue takes Tanja's distinction into the personal register: what it feels like to have every framework memorized and still freeze when the music changes.
Read on Substack: https://befutureproof.substack.com/p/the-steps-are-not-the-dance
Read on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/future-proof-7303526412311842816/
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Chapters
0:00 Creativity Beyond AI
0:23 Welcome And Tanja's Origin Story
2:02 Dance Meets Engineering And Disruption
6:40 Discovering Strategic Foresight In Practice
10:50 Learning To Dance With Uncertainty
14:35 Stories That Reframe The Future
20:55 Building Hope And Shared Agency
26:20 Mindset Training And Leadership Lessons
31:40 Running Futures Workshops That Actually Work
37:10 Rebuilding Planets For Citizen Participation
43:30 Backcasting And Stress Testing Decisions
49:50 Weak Signals And New Life Patterns
52:10 Advice, Legacy, And Where To Find Her
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About Tanja Schindler
Tanja Schindler is the Foresight Lead for Kaufland, bringing an interdisciplinary, philosophy-not-department approach to foresight. She started as an electrical engineer at Siemens and Osram before training under Peter Hayward and Joseph Voros at Swinburne's Foresight Institute in Australia, and later served as Vice Chair of the Association of Professional Futurists. A former competitive dancer, she teaches leaders to feel the rhythm of uncertainty instead of memorizing its steps.
Connect on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tanjaschindler/
Kaufland: https://www.linkedin.com/company/kaufland-deutschland/home/
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Go Deeper
📬 Future Proof, my newsletter on foresight and leadership: https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/future-proof-7303526412311842816 | Substack: https://befutureproof.substack.com/
🌐 Future Proof Community: https://www.linkedin.com/groups/10084416
📖 SuperShifts: https://www.supershiftsbook.com/
👤 https://www.stevenfisher.io/ | https://www.linkedin.com/in/stevenfisher/
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Where in your work right now do you know every step but still cannot feel the music? Tell me in the comments.
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Thank you for joining me on this ongoing journey into the future. Until next time, stay curious, and always think forward.
SHOW NOTES 🔗
TRANSCRIPT 🔗
00:00:00.160 --> 00:00:09.919
I feel like what people don't see it's it's not that people are not uh protective, especially where less purposeful work probably get automated by AI and others.
00:00:10.000 --> 00:00:12.720
So if we only use AI we're just copying the past.
00:00:12.880 --> 00:00:18.000
And I don't think that probably all decisions we made at the past in humanity are still present were that good.
00:00:18.079 --> 00:00:21.359
We need to get more creative and we need to challenge AI.
00:00:23.359 --> 00:00:24.960
Tanya, welcome to Think Forward.
00:00:25.760 --> 00:00:26.960
Thank you so much, Stephen.
00:00:27.199 --> 00:00:28.000
Glad to be here.
00:00:28.559 --> 00:00:29.600
Oh, my pleasure.
00:00:29.679 --> 00:00:31.440
Uh it's been a long time overdue.
00:00:31.679 --> 00:00:38.159
Uh you know, we uh had a lot of talk about a lot of things we find in common, which we'll get into in the in the episode.
00:00:38.320 --> 00:00:43.520
Uh love um your approach to uh futures work and innovation.
00:00:43.679 --> 00:00:50.159
Uh I think the best thing to do is just kind of talk about that kind of exploration journey.
00:00:50.320 --> 00:00:58.880
You know, I I think for me you just you have such a great with your dance, you know, dancing and uncertainty.
00:00:59.039 --> 00:01:02.880
So let's let's talk about uh where it all began for you.
00:01:03.439 --> 00:01:03.840
Sure.
00:01:04.079 --> 00:01:11.439
Um I guess uh the dancing connects it all because I somehow started to be uh a young dancer when I was twelve.
00:01:11.519 --> 00:01:16.400
I was um doing uh tournaments for letting dancing, so I was always a very creative person.
00:01:16.560 --> 00:01:23.359
But I'm also a little bit of a nerd, so uh we moved a lot, so I always was the one who actually set up the television and everything.
00:01:23.519 --> 00:01:33.840
So when I was 16, 18, I had my major in school already in physics, and then I was like, well, I really want to do something with electronics, I guess, because I kind of grew up fixing that.
00:01:34.159 --> 00:01:42.959
Um so I did an engineering studies, I was business and engineering with electrical engineering, uh, very nerdy, and I really missed somehow the creative part.
00:01:43.120 --> 00:01:46.640
So I guess I put everything in the PowerPoint presentations that we had to do.
00:01:46.879 --> 00:01:48.959
And uh consultant in training.
00:01:49.120 --> 00:01:51.680
You're a consult you're a consultant and you didn't even know it.
00:01:52.480 --> 00:01:53.359
Exactly.
00:01:53.599 --> 00:02:01.040
And then back then I still was uh working, doing my studies for Zeeman, so this was also quite engineering work, project management.
00:02:01.200 --> 00:02:11.360
But I was lucky that in 2010, when I finished, I was able to switch to the former subsidiary, now the separate, which was Osrim or Sylvania, so light bulbs and lighting.
00:02:11.599 --> 00:02:18.400
And uh this was in 2010, and this was super interesting because it was exactly the transition from traditional light to LED lighting.
00:02:18.479 --> 00:02:28.159
And it reminds me a lot with the current wave that we have in automotive from traditional engine to electric engine and how the markets shift and change.
00:02:28.240 --> 00:02:36.719
And we had the same, so a lot of um, of course, cheap and faster developments from Asia, and then to see how the market here developed.
00:02:36.960 --> 00:02:45.599
So, long story short, after being a product manager there, I went to strategy and I got the question that I think most futurists have heard: Tanya, what will come next?
00:02:45.759 --> 00:02:50.319
What is the next technology change, a surprise in the future to get?
00:02:50.479 --> 00:02:53.120
So I did a little bit more research and I came across foresight.
00:02:53.199 --> 00:02:57.280
And I'm like, wow, there's actually a discipline where you can study and explore the future.
00:02:57.439 --> 00:02:58.560
So, how do we get that?
00:02:58.719 --> 00:03:14.639
And so I started to kind of self teaching myself uh scenarios, scenario, planning very heavily on access sheets and still very traditional on uh doing trends and cross-impact analysis and morphological boxes, two by two matrix, everything for that.
00:03:14.719 --> 00:03:21.280
And we did on autonomous driving to see do we still need head beams and lighting for automotive if we have that.
00:03:21.520 --> 00:03:23.120
And this was my start for foresight.
00:03:23.360 --> 00:03:32.000
I fell in love and um I decided to leave Osram after a year and then move all the way to Australia and did my masters of strategic foresight there.
00:03:32.159 --> 00:03:44.000
And then somehow it circled back that I felt like this creative feeling that you have and this anticipation somehow that you use when you're dancing and you're improvising, it's a little bit of feeling that you need when you work with futures.
00:03:44.319 --> 00:03:44.800
How so?
00:03:46.000 --> 00:03:47.439
How do you find that to be?
00:03:47.599 --> 00:03:48.960
Where do you intersect with that?
00:03:49.360 --> 00:03:53.840
Well, first things first is that uh with the future we don't have any data.
00:03:54.000 --> 00:03:56.639
So we really need to imagine different futures.
00:03:56.800 --> 00:03:59.599
But there's always two angles to how we approach the future, right?
00:03:59.759 --> 00:04:00.960
So one is from the present.
00:04:01.039 --> 00:04:07.680
So we used to have present data like trends and and studies to see how could that extrapolate into the future.
00:04:07.919 --> 00:04:17.600
And then we have uh our tools and where future literacy, of course, more goes into imagining different alternative futures and more get the pull from the future to where we want to go.
00:04:17.839 --> 00:04:25.439
And then there's this little bit in the between where we we're stuck between the push and the pull, where we actually need to make decisions in uncertainty because we don't know.
00:04:25.600 --> 00:04:32.160
And exactly for those decisions, I think it's very handy to do um, yeah, to compare it to dancing.
00:04:32.399 --> 00:04:43.439
Because I always tell people if I give you the steps for a foresight method to explore trend management or scenario planning, it's similar as I would give you the steps to a dance.
00:04:43.680 --> 00:04:51.439
But then if I push you just with the steps onto the dance floor, you probably still can't dance and you feel awkward and you can't feel the music and the rhythm.
00:04:51.600 --> 00:04:54.160
And a little bit with the music is like the future.
00:04:54.319 --> 00:05:09.439
So if I tell you how to do trend management and scenarios, but then you still don't know exactly how to hold that uncertainty and to make decisions and to explore different futures until you get a little bit of this anticipation feeling of this curiosity to explore.
00:05:09.680 --> 00:05:13.120
And that's why it's almost like dancing with the future, dancing with the music.
00:05:13.279 --> 00:05:19.600
Because you're a really good dancer, you can anticipate and you feel the drop and you kind of explore different things and you improvise.
00:05:19.920 --> 00:05:21.920
And I feel with the future it's the same.
00:05:22.079 --> 00:05:32.560
You need to kind of dance, you need to explore, sometimes you need to give and sometimes you need to pull until you can make better decisions that then inform uh the present about future explorations.
00:05:33.040 --> 00:05:44.240
So what is uh speaking of dance, so you I'm when we pre-call you learn I'm a Lindy Hopp and swing formerly uh dance dancer.
00:05:44.480 --> 00:05:51.040
So that is obviously got its own set of dances, certain things you could do to improvise.
00:05:51.519 --> 00:05:57.839
What do you think is the most uh rigid type of dancing and the most improvisational type of dancing?
00:05:58.160 --> 00:06:02.160
I think there's a difference between uh social dance and for example tournament dance.
00:06:02.240 --> 00:06:06.160
So when I started the tournament, actually we had a full routine and it was always the same.
00:06:06.240 --> 00:06:13.279
So I knew exactly what uh which step to come and my partner didn't actually need to lead because I already knew where we were going.
00:06:13.439 --> 00:06:16.959
But then I started, when I moved to Australia, I did start sal salsa.
00:06:17.360 --> 00:06:25.519
And uh social dance is the most interesting thing because you don't even need to speak the language of the person you're dancing with, but you both can dance and can improvise.
00:06:25.920 --> 00:06:35.600
And this is where you really kinda need to have need the different figures and you need to need the steps, but then it's improvising and following the lead of the future of your dance partner.
00:06:35.839 --> 00:06:37.839
And I think with the future it's actually exactly the same.
00:06:37.920 --> 00:06:46.560
Sometimes we need to lead and to follow the future, and sometimes you need to take over and lead, uh, so there can also be a switch and a lead and a follower to do that.
00:06:46.720 --> 00:06:56.319
So I think it's really comparing this social dance and not sure what's coming and improvising uh compared to maybe how you have fixed routines independently from that.
00:06:56.480 --> 00:07:06.560
Although in general, I'd say that more like standard Bolum dance, like a walls or a tango, and probably um more in a frame and less improvised than maybe some of the Latin dances.
00:07:07.120 --> 00:07:10.240
You talked about stories and the things that you find through futures.
00:07:10.560 --> 00:07:14.959
So what you said that stories are what fascinated you the most through this?
00:07:15.120 --> 00:07:21.120
Like what were the things that what were the ones that fascinated you through like that first experience doing this kind of work?
00:07:21.600 --> 00:07:27.279
Um I feel like these narratives that we change how we perceive the future are so strong.
00:07:27.519 --> 00:07:45.439
Um I did a workshop when it was uh still in Australia and we did it with the Aboriginal community, and of course they felt a little bit very um depressed and held back from all the experience that they had in their past, and it's almost felt that they really don't know which stories still to tell their children in the world where they grow up.
00:07:45.600 --> 00:08:00.079
So we really shifted the whole narrative from maybe the victims of suppressing um from the Western culture into that they are the wisdom keepers and they actually know how to do wildfires, how to keep the land, and they have a very strong position.
00:08:00.240 --> 00:08:09.040
It's more like that the white people living out there don't know the knowledge yet, or even that the communication they could have with them, and this really empowered this.
00:08:09.120 --> 00:08:17.920
So I feel like shifting the narratives of the futures that we want to go and telling this either in stories or in pictures or anything else, so that we are drawn to that.
00:08:18.160 --> 00:08:27.360
Um, because I feel humans uh especially we're so drawn to the risk and to try to avoid futures, so we want to know what the future is to we can prepare for it.
00:08:27.519 --> 00:08:41.039
Um and I really want to shift that narrative into what is the future that we want to live in, what is the future that we want to create, play, um, live in, and then kind of backcasting towards what are decisions that we need today.
00:08:41.200 --> 00:09:02.559
And the best thing about it is as well that if you imagine better futures, you're more likely in the present to see what we call those little pockets of hope, those those pushes, those trends that you need to invest in to actually make your future kind of uh more giving that future more energy or more decision to that may come true, knowing that probably not all aspects of any future will come true.
00:09:02.639 --> 00:09:08.559
But it's really the way where you base your decisions on needs to have the fixed star of the future that you want to create.
00:09:21.120 --> 00:09:22.480
They're afraid to even talk about it?
00:09:22.720 --> 00:09:25.039
I wonder it's like let it happen to them and then react.
00:09:25.360 --> 00:09:26.480
Yeah, sorry, go ahead.
00:09:27.120 --> 00:09:28.080
Yeah, I feel so.
00:09:28.240 --> 00:09:30.879
Um I feel there's a lot of um fear from the future.
00:09:31.039 --> 00:09:34.639
We also try to shift to get how we get hope and joy for that.
00:09:34.720 --> 00:09:41.360
And most I do a keynote, I start with the polar game to really get the audience into where they stand.
00:09:41.519 --> 00:09:43.840
Do they see the future optimistic or pessimistic?
00:09:43.919 --> 00:09:51.840
And do they feel they have agency to change things or just no, we need to rave the ride the wave because there's anyways, no chance to do that.
00:09:52.000 --> 00:10:02.159
And it's interesting to really see different conferences, different rooms, how they um react and position themselves, and especially also uh with different companies and backgrounds.
00:10:02.320 --> 00:10:12.480
And unfortunately, I feel that sometimes the younger generations have less hope these days, uh, whereas I think we as a millennium we're very still hopeful and idealistic into change.
00:10:12.720 --> 00:10:20.559
But I hope we can also change that in a way that we give back this agency of what are the futures that we want to create and do so.
00:10:20.720 --> 00:10:34.240
And I feel the best how you do that is to really bring diverse people, diverse ages, backgrounds, uh, gender, um, languages, countries together and to think about the future together that you can't see or explore alone.
00:10:34.639 --> 00:10:36.960
So you mentioned Australia, Aboriginal.
00:10:37.200 --> 00:10:38.080
So you m you went there.
00:10:38.159 --> 00:10:38.879
You went there for a reason.
00:10:38.960 --> 00:10:42.159
You went to Swyborne when you got a master's of strategic foresight.
00:10:42.399 --> 00:10:44.879
And for those who don't know, there's a few programs around the world.
00:10:44.960 --> 00:10:46.720
One's University of Houston.
00:10:46.960 --> 00:10:48.480
Uh I attended that one.
00:10:48.639 --> 00:10:53.759
Um and uh you did the one with Peter Hayward and uh Richard Slaughter, correct?
00:10:53.919 --> 00:10:55.679
Is that the one in Swybord?
00:10:56.000 --> 00:11:09.279
Yeah, so it's uh Swinburne uh University of Technology, and it's the Foresight Institute that was founded by Richard Slaughter, and um basically uh Peter Hayward and Joseph Rose were back then students of Richard Slaughter.
00:11:09.440 --> 00:11:16.159
Um and he retired, so I was then a student of uh Peter Hayward and Joseph Ruris, so they got trained by Richard Slaughter.
00:11:16.399 --> 00:11:18.000
Carrying on the legacy, which is awesome.
00:11:18.159 --> 00:11:25.519
So he he also you told me he could really teach you more because you you're very self-taught, which a lot of future a lot of people in the space are, obviously.
00:11:25.600 --> 00:11:31.840
So there's a massive amount of uh autodidact, like self-learning, you know, pursuit of that.
00:11:32.000 --> 00:11:38.559
But he said he could help you kind of loosen up on what it's actually for, which I find that knowing Peter, that's a great term.
00:11:38.639 --> 00:11:40.240
So shout out to you, Peter, if you're listening, I'm sure.
00:11:40.320 --> 00:11:41.360
You know, you listen to the show.
00:11:41.600 --> 00:11:42.559
So, what did he mean by that?
00:11:42.799 --> 00:11:48.000
What how did you sh what did it do for the practi your the practice and the way you you approach foresight?
00:11:48.320 --> 00:11:53.840
I think it's exactly what I've what we're comparison with the dance for is I had all the steps, but I didn't have the mindset.
00:11:54.000 --> 00:12:04.559
So my mindset was still very German engineering, because I kind of maybe suppressed my my dancing, my creative part back then, because I thought, oh, it needs to be in analysis and it needs to be in a tech company.
00:12:04.720 --> 00:12:12.799
So when I came to Australia, as I said, he said, Oh, you've done so much on scenario planning, we need to broaden your horizon of different thinking.
00:12:12.960 --> 00:12:20.799
So this is why the Foresight Master there, it's really almost philosophical where you go into is this reality, is this a table?
00:12:20.960 --> 00:12:22.320
How can you know that this is a table?
00:12:22.480 --> 00:12:23.519
How can we explore this?
00:12:23.679 --> 00:12:28.000
How can we uh see the world from different uh perspectives?
00:12:28.159 --> 00:12:29.440
What if I would be male?
00:12:29.600 --> 00:12:31.039
What if I were young and old?
00:12:31.200 --> 00:12:37.360
We had an empty chair, which was always for the uh next generation, what would they think about the decisions that we do?
00:12:37.519 --> 00:12:46.480
So I think it was really broadening up that thing about how to see different shapes of the future and challenging uh perspectives.
00:12:46.639 --> 00:12:49.440
And I think also a lot on the leadership style.
00:12:49.600 --> 00:13:01.120
I also did an MBA, um, but I lost a lot of leadership also in the Foresight Masters, and I feel compared to Germany, there's also an Australian, it's probably more the Anglican way that that is ahead.
00:13:01.200 --> 00:13:16.799
Um, that is as a leader, you need to understand what your values are and where you stand for, so that you can challenge yourself, but also help and other people to um where to lead and not from running with the flag, but more by supporting from beneath uh in a team what what other people's need.
00:13:16.879 --> 00:13:26.399
And in Germany, I feel um people are a lot in management positions because of their expertise, but not necessarily of their um human or leadership skills.
00:13:26.559 --> 00:13:32.080
Um and this is where a lot of effects are the leadership, yes, uh totally.
00:13:32.320 --> 00:13:37.840
I think many people listening have had m bosses like that, and they can think about leadership teams.
00:13:38.000 --> 00:13:41.759
And yeah, I think foresight is should be a key part of any kind of MBA.
00:13:41.840 --> 00:14:00.480
I mean, I I you know it's if they have leadership courses, you know, coursework, you have leadership workshops, but uh more are starting to do foresight as a as a thinking model, just like design thinking and futures thinking, just because it's a different way of approaching a solution or possible solutions, if you will.
00:14:00.799 --> 00:14:08.960
But you know, you're you're German and obviously in Australia, different cultures, different work mount model, like you know, approaches to work.
00:14:09.200 --> 00:14:20.080
And you came back to Germany and what was that like for you kind of coming back and building a practice, like building your own freelance practice back in back in home, back at home?
00:14:20.480 --> 00:14:40.240
Well, I first came back and worked for uh a software company again, where we're still going back to be very strategically about foresight in a way how you uh map trends and how you proceed that, but that's still a lot about being, I don't know, in a small boom in front of a computer and trying to solve uh foresight and and trying trends.
00:14:40.320 --> 00:14:46.960
And I felt I really missed the conversations and the friction that happens if people are in a room talking about it.
00:14:47.120 --> 00:15:12.159
Um, so after a few years I left this because I really enjoyed the futures work with people, and I even changed my approach from because normally you do trend work or you even build scenarios in a workshop with your clients, and I flipped the script and said I bring in scenarios that I was finding quite generate generative in a way that they could be used for multiple industries, but they have specific different angles on how the business world may change.
00:15:12.320 --> 00:15:28.879
So I brought this and then um I asked the their clients to be uh bring in diverse teams, so everyone from HR, from RD, from uh purchasing, from uh their leadership till um really wherever they could get.
00:15:28.960 --> 00:15:32.480
Um and then we split them in small teams and they had to explore those futures.
00:15:32.559 --> 00:15:34.720
And I asked them, how's your customer look like?
00:15:34.879 --> 00:15:35.519
What would they do?
00:15:35.600 --> 00:15:37.840
What is the data live in your customer back then?
00:15:38.000 --> 00:15:40.559
Uh, what's your contact still with your customer?
00:15:40.720 --> 00:15:41.759
What would you sell?
00:15:41.840 --> 00:15:43.440
Uh, how would you survive in this world?
00:15:43.519 --> 00:15:44.399
What would be struggles?
00:15:44.480 --> 00:15:45.679
What would be opportunities?
00:15:45.840 --> 00:15:52.080
So I really brought them in a conversation with multiple uh questions and sheets, and they really had to explore the future.
00:15:52.240 --> 00:15:59.440
I gave them an input of how to look different at the future and bringing the inner child and be playful and be uh curious.
00:15:59.519 --> 00:16:07.039
Um and then that, and it's interesting because especially the RD and the engineers to look at the beginning and they sit like this and they're like, oh, what are we doing?
00:16:07.200 --> 00:16:10.159
And it's like uh so out of the out of their box.
00:16:10.399 --> 00:16:18.480
But then those are normally those who get their inner child and their playfulness, and then they're back in their engineering playing Lego and building worlds.
00:16:18.639 --> 00:16:30.799
Um, and it's super interesting to see that shift, and especially then also seeing how the HR person is talking and thinking compared to uh a person from the engineering or compared to uh from Beagle.
00:16:31.120 --> 00:16:40.399
Um and most companies really don't have that interdisciplinary exchange that much, especially on the topic or in the future, although those expertise especially is needed.
00:16:40.639 --> 00:16:47.200
And so I really did explorative vision workshops about four different futures, four different groups they had to share.
00:16:47.360 --> 00:16:57.200
And then we tried to come up with a preferred future and to say, okay, with all those chances and opportunities, what are the things that would you like to keep or would even like um to make it happen?
00:16:57.600 --> 00:17:03.919
So one of the things you said when you came back, you worked with the EU commission on participatory futures.
00:17:04.079 --> 00:17:04.880
I love this idea.
00:17:05.039 --> 00:17:07.119
Like you took a workshop, you had 50 people in it, I think.
00:17:07.279 --> 00:17:08.880
50 more than 50.
00:17:09.039 --> 00:17:12.079
You sent them to rebuild a planet they they destroyed.
00:17:12.240 --> 00:17:18.240
It's kind of that it's what happened like you say, getting people in a room, what happened in that kind of space?
00:17:18.400 --> 00:17:24.559
Because I would love for people to try this at their, you know, if they have this the let's just say they have a space to do it, right?
00:17:25.039 --> 00:17:26.160
What what did what happened?
00:17:26.480 --> 00:17:32.880
Yeah, this was exactly then when the pandemic hit and there were no workshops or no wishing workshops with companies uh anymore.
00:17:33.039 --> 00:17:41.119
Uh I was lucky to be uh still as a as a consultant for the U Commission, and they really looked into to see how can we give citizens participation?
00:17:41.279 --> 00:17:45.119
And they wanted to get feedback on the European Green Deal back then, especially.
00:17:45.279 --> 00:17:48.640
So we really thought, okay, how can we get people in the room?
00:17:48.720 --> 00:17:53.359
And people were really excited to connect because everyone was so disconnected in the real world.
00:17:53.519 --> 00:18:00.720
So we had 50 people, uh, we split them in small groups, breakout rooms with different facilitators, and we told them a story.
00:18:00.880 --> 00:18:18.400
And the story was that we kind of overused resources on planet Earth and it got destroyed, and they are now on a mission with five teams to explore five different planets and to see what is on this planet and how um humanity may survive there, or which culture and what else uh there would be.
00:18:18.559 --> 00:18:26.799
And those five planets we shifted a little bit with the Green Deal topics, and one was about fire and energy, and one was about biodiversity, one was about the oceans.
00:18:26.960 --> 00:18:28.160
And then we did small things.
00:18:28.240 --> 00:18:40.480
We we almost did like a reverse CLA where they asked them about what is kind of your experience there, your feelings, your emotion, your metaphor, and then the world building, and then to see what you see really on top.
00:18:40.640 --> 00:18:49.119
Um, and we really asked what are the resources, they had to send back a postcard from that planet uh to Earth to say what was their first impression.
00:18:49.279 --> 00:18:57.920
And then they really had to build a society and um what we resources, what is maybe produced or not, and what are people doing on this planet?
00:18:58.160 --> 00:19:06.480
And then the interesting part at the very end was they had to pitch back to ground control to say, should humans actually come and live on this planet?
00:19:06.720 --> 00:19:11.599
And everyone pitched, and their phrase was at the end, but please, please, humans don't come.
00:19:11.680 --> 00:19:14.799
We don't want you to destroy the planet that we created.
00:19:15.200 --> 00:19:19.599
Um, because they really stepped out of just the tech-driven futures.
00:19:19.759 --> 00:19:23.920
There was technology, but it was kind of for resolving and as a tool.
00:19:24.079 --> 00:19:29.599
And they really thought about how we want to live as a society and how the societies there would may react.
00:19:29.680 --> 00:19:37.200
And this was so nice to see that there's still this striving for humanity to connect and to rebuild society.
00:19:37.279 --> 00:19:42.400
Although I feel like these days with technology we're quite disconnected, although we're connected.
00:19:42.640 --> 00:19:49.839
Um, so I think we just need to give people more space to not thinking about just tech futures, but really think about how we want to live in the future.
00:19:50.400 --> 00:20:00.000
Yeah, I mean the tech is sometimes seems to override the the uh the thought process, especially it's so things are moving much faster now.
00:20:00.160 --> 00:20:08.640
But you know, you talked about backcasting, and for those who don't know backcasting, it's kind of reverse roadmapping, taking something from the future, working back, and how to start from today.
00:20:09.039 --> 00:20:13.680
But you you you take a a bit of a different approach.
00:20:13.759 --> 00:20:15.680
Like you don't ask like what do you want, right?
00:20:16.319 --> 00:20:20.960
You talk to me about how you work about the destination, right?
00:20:21.119 --> 00:20:24.160
It's it's kind of it's pretty ambitious.
00:20:24.400 --> 00:20:33.920
So how how do you you like you you take the preferred futures and you kind of work this so walk walk us through that because that's I think I think it's a really interesting approach.
00:20:34.720 --> 00:20:50.319
Yeah, so as I said, when we have those uh flipping back to those four scenarios that we had, which um are also not scenarios that are necessarily fig picturing all parts of the world and normally shape them in a way that they highlight a specific issue.
00:20:50.400 --> 00:20:57.039
So one is maybe a heavy tech-driven world, another one is about society reconnecting, whether one focus on nature.
00:20:57.200 --> 00:21:04.000
So you have those complex issues of those worlds and you can't tackle them all, so you almost give different people to focus on different things.
00:21:04.160 --> 00:21:08.880
And then you bring it back, and easily you normally do that is with a futures triangle.
00:21:08.960 --> 00:21:17.839
If you want to do it longer, you do it with a three horizon, the adaptive version from Andrew Curry and Billy, I think, is uh the second person working on that.
00:21:18.079 --> 00:21:23.200
And you start with what are the pieces of the future that you want and how we can recollect that?
00:21:23.279 --> 00:21:29.039
So, what did you explore in this future, or did you maybe even work out um as a solution that you really liked?
00:21:29.119 --> 00:21:35.119
So we really re picturing from middle little puzzle pieces uh this preferred future.
00:21:35.279 --> 00:21:42.000
Um and then we start, though, also to look at what is the competencies and the skills of the uh organization already.
00:21:42.079 --> 00:21:50.240
So that's almost the push of the of the present to say what do we actually have that we can reach that future, just really broad first as a brainstorming.
00:21:50.319 --> 00:21:57.920
And then it is the interesting part which most organizations need to do to even to kind of map out the futures what do we need to let go?
00:21:58.079 --> 00:21:59.440
So what is holding us back?
00:21:59.599 --> 00:22:10.319
Um Um normally it's always about, oh, that's historically grown, there's processes, there's systems, there's maybe a language that is used in the organization.
00:22:10.480 --> 00:22:16.640
But a lot of things, at least in Germany, it's about processes that kind of um hold them back on that.
00:22:16.960 --> 00:22:19.920
Yeah, and then you use those image of the future.
00:22:20.000 --> 00:22:30.799
Um, and really like in road mapping, you think about all those different departments that are on the table and think, okay, if you want to be there in in 2030, what must have happened in 2028?
00:22:31.200 --> 00:22:39.839
Um or now, since we're actually already in 26, I would probably jump further in those 10 years ahead and you're in um 20 uh 36.
00:22:39.920 --> 00:22:43.279
So what happens in uh 2038 uh four.
00:22:43.839 --> 00:22:46.000
Um why are we doing this exactly as you say?
00:22:46.160 --> 00:22:52.960
Road mapping sometimes feels especially in the future overwhelming because you're here when the future is there and it seems miles away and you can't reach it.
00:22:53.039 --> 00:22:55.279
You just see every blockhead and blockage.
00:22:55.359 --> 00:22:57.680
Um, how yeah, you not get there.
00:22:57.839 --> 00:23:03.839
So instead of this, we really try to move back from the future and thinking what must have happened before and before and before.
00:23:04.079 --> 00:23:10.079
That being said, especially in business, is people uh they ask me a lot, yeah, but that's a preferred future, right?
00:23:10.160 --> 00:23:12.880
That's super utopian or sometimes like this.
00:23:12.960 --> 00:23:17.200
And I'm like, yes, but that is exactly leading to a future that you won't create.
00:23:17.359 --> 00:23:24.640
And all scenarios, the ones that I brought, the preferred future, will never be reachable and is as uh unlikely as all the others.
00:23:24.880 --> 00:23:32.160
So what also is not the point is that we only focus on our preferred future and we never do any stress test with any other alternatives.
00:23:32.400 --> 00:23:38.720
But every decision that you make today should somehow lead and prosper into that future that we want to create.
00:23:38.960 --> 00:23:42.160
Of course, it can also be used then uh to challenge.
00:23:42.319 --> 00:23:43.119
That's the other part.
00:23:43.200 --> 00:23:50.960
So once you have your roadmap and you did that and your preferred future, then you come up with uh four more scenarios, maybe more industry scenarios.
00:23:51.039 --> 00:23:56.079
Um, and then you stress test that roadmap against, okay, what would happen in all those different worlds?
00:23:56.160 --> 00:24:07.359
Um you can use um Jim Dator's framework with archetypes, what is with the business collapse, what if it transforms, what if we have limited resources, and how would we act then?
00:24:07.519 --> 00:24:17.119
And then you can stress test your options and your roadmap against that by saying, um, okay, how robust is my decision in all those different scenarios?
00:24:17.200 --> 00:24:28.240
And what are maybe pinpoints that I need to look out for, those signals and those trends that appear that challenge my own future, my preferred future, and may lead to something I want to avoid.
00:24:28.319 --> 00:24:36.640
Um but this really helps to create this map and those trigger points that you actually know where you need to look out for, for the good and the bad, um, to be aware of.
00:24:36.799 --> 00:24:40.559
Because these days there are so many trends and signals, how should we look through them?
00:24:40.640 --> 00:24:49.279
And we can only focus if we actually know which trend signals would benefit our future that we want to create, and what are the triggers we want to avoid?
00:24:49.359 --> 00:24:59.279
And if they happen, were there still decisions or changes in my strategy that I can do to better adapt to other futures, or to return back more onto the pathway that leads into the preferred future?
00:24:59.440 --> 00:25:05.039
So it's a lot of mind gaming, um, I would say, and thought processes of alternative futures.
00:25:05.200 --> 00:25:16.720
It's not about finding this one future to prepare for, but more being able to uh keep making decisions because you thought about all the different options that could appear, at least a few.
00:25:16.799 --> 00:25:19.839
There's 300 million thousand that we probably cannot imagine.
00:25:20.000 --> 00:25:24.960
But the more the imagine, the less you are surprised, and the more you're able to act and react fast.
00:25:25.519 --> 00:25:39.359
So how okay, so interesting, because you know, data, a lot of these are tools if people don't know them, they're they're essentially archetyped or modeled two by two type of uh structural environments, like a collapse or a transformation.
00:25:39.519 --> 00:25:47.759
But I was curious in your work, do you ever consider that there's no kind of single future, but like a spectrum of them?
00:25:47.920 --> 00:25:51.680
Like it's like one person's transformation is another person's collapse.
00:25:51.759 --> 00:25:53.680
Like I always use the AI example.
00:25:53.920 --> 00:26:06.160
Um, you know, it's like AI for me at first was like, oh, you know, the design space is like collapsing, but it's honestly transformational, just like but it's very rapid, so it's it's hard harder to adjust.
00:26:06.400 --> 00:26:10.640
But looking at the people that inhabit that, right, when you do this type of work.
00:26:10.799 --> 00:26:13.519
So you could you consider that that a the case?
00:26:13.839 --> 00:26:15.519
People that exist in that kind of spectrum.
00:26:15.839 --> 00:26:18.160
Yeah, that's the first rules that we do.
00:26:18.240 --> 00:26:22.240
Um, first to say there's always multiple scenarios and alternative futures.
00:26:22.319 --> 00:26:27.519
So even if you and you work out our preferred, as I mentioned, you should always challenge against others.
00:26:27.680 --> 00:26:35.599
Uh, but also every scenario and how I write them, they should have some some hope, some fear, some challenges and some anchors in the present.
00:26:35.839 --> 00:26:43.759
So exactly that, for example, a completely AI future probably has a lot of benefits also for humanity, but it has also a bit of risks.
00:26:43.839 --> 00:26:57.359
And I think to always show that there's no good and bad, and it's in between, and it's a lot about probably our ethical decisions of how we use technology in that case, the the in which way it actually can turn out, the one way or the other.
00:26:57.519 --> 00:27:07.200
Um, so I really, really stress tests to say there is not one future, there's multiple ones, and one future can mean different things uh for the person uh perceiving it.
00:27:07.279 --> 00:27:11.440
One future is one uh positive and for the other person one negative.
00:27:11.839 --> 00:27:24.480
But in general, it's about finding those sweet spots and those things to still action in those worlds who still show us different possible outcomes of futures that we may fearful and may hopeful for.
00:27:24.880 --> 00:27:30.160
It looks like the f for those of if you can hear it, if the police are it's like the future's police are here.
00:27:30.480 --> 00:27:39.359
Um so let's go back to the dancing metaphor and and and the you remember in dancing, you can kind of lead or follow, right?
00:27:39.680 --> 00:27:43.279
So you said with the future you can make the same choice.
00:27:43.680 --> 00:27:48.960
And organizations, I think you said this before, is like they're neither leading nor they're following, right?
00:27:49.039 --> 00:27:50.799
They're kind of at the edge of the dance floor.
00:27:51.440 --> 00:27:53.359
Trying to remember the steps, the music change.
00:27:53.839 --> 00:28:04.079
Yeah, it's like so how do you teach how do you teach them to get off out of the the audience and onto the floor, if you if to to use a to use a dancing metaphor, right?
00:28:04.799 --> 00:28:08.960
They're really trying to shift into taking the future responsibility for organizations.
00:28:09.119 --> 00:28:18.640
I mean, a lot of times people struggle these days, and especially finding skilled workers, and it will be even harder with the next generation, and if they don't have a purpose.
00:28:18.799 --> 00:28:28.720
And I don't mean a purpose, we earn money, a purpose of what are they actually doing to make the world better, and what is their uh part in shifting towards a future we want to live in.
00:28:28.960 --> 00:28:34.480
And this is necessarily something I do because uh I really believe Forsat has three implications.
00:28:34.559 --> 00:28:39.440
And one is you can build a robust strategy, but also the strategy that leads you in the future you create.
00:28:39.680 --> 00:28:48.640
It can help you about innovation, finding sweet spots for product services, if especially if you think about customers in the future and how they explore scenarios.
00:28:48.799 --> 00:29:05.359
And the third one is about transformation and especially transformation, your employees from being fearful in the future and probably less productive because um there's no uh motivation to it, and being really hopeful for the future because they can see what this organization actually contributes to that.
00:29:05.599 --> 00:29:12.799
Um, and an example is in in Germany we have this big debate there currently where our chancellor said we all need to work more, we're not productive anymore.
00:29:12.960 --> 00:29:14.720
And I don't think that this is yet.
00:29:15.279 --> 00:29:16.720
Sure is not productive.
00:29:18.079 --> 00:29:18.640
Yeah, okay.
00:29:18.720 --> 00:29:20.400
That's a that I that I find surprising.
00:29:20.880 --> 00:29:22.319
You see the perception on that.
00:29:22.480 --> 00:29:35.839
But I feel like what people don't see, it's it's not that people are not uh productive, as I think there is the motivation missing because there uh is this this image for the future we want to perceive.
00:29:36.160 --> 00:29:45.359
It's not there, it's like every party that we have, they're kind of blaming a little bit what the others are not doing, but none of them really is shaping a future they want to create.
00:29:45.519 --> 00:29:47.279
And same for for organizations.
00:29:47.440 --> 00:29:56.480
So I really stress this organization to come to what is the future you could create, what is your role in that, and how can your employees really find and identify themselves with that?
00:29:56.640 --> 00:30:11.599
And this really gives empowerment and productivity for that, um, and not doing more rules or forcing people to work more by the hour because you can sip your coffee at home or in the office and waste time whenever you want if you don't see purpose in your work.
00:30:11.759 --> 00:30:30.240
And I feel this is really where we need to shift from, especially where less purposeful work probably gets automated by AI and others, um, to see how we can actually find those sweet spots and getting human connection and creativity back so that we uh as a humanity solve the big problems together with AI.
00:30:30.400 --> 00:30:31.440
No worries about that.
00:30:31.519 --> 00:30:34.559
But I feel if we only use AI, we're just copying the past.
00:30:34.720 --> 00:30:40.079
And I don't think that probably all decisions we made at the past in humanity and still present were that good.
00:30:40.240 --> 00:30:45.440
So in order to come to a better future, we really need to get more creative and we need to challenge AI.
00:30:45.599 --> 00:30:52.960
Um and we need to use AI, but with some human creative input of what we want to make better and how we really want to live better together.
00:30:53.359 --> 00:30:59.039
Well, and let's kind of shift from the organization to the futurists themselves.
00:30:59.200 --> 00:31:01.519
So you were the actually the APF chair.
00:31:01.599 --> 00:31:06.640
So for those that don't know the organization, it's the Association of Professional uh Futurists.
00:31:06.799 --> 00:31:09.599
It's been around for about almost 25 years now.
00:31:09.759 --> 00:31:16.480
Uh and it has a different place within the kind of futures organization's uh spectrum.
00:31:16.720 --> 00:31:22.640
It definitely focuses on the I would say a lot of the individual professional, you know, whether it be a consultant or within an org.
00:31:22.720 --> 00:31:32.160
It doesn't tell me if I'm wrong, it doesn't really do a lot with specifically corporate foresight as an organization, you know, in terms of that, but you were vice chair for three years and you ran it.
00:31:32.400 --> 00:31:33.920
You you you've seen a lot.
00:31:34.079 --> 00:31:36.400
You've seen the inside, you know, setting the standards.
00:31:36.559 --> 00:31:40.799
What do you think the profession is, you know, going to look like?
00:31:40.960 --> 00:31:43.920
What and what have what do they still haven't figured out yet?
00:31:44.240 --> 00:31:50.240
I feel like um as you said, it's a lot of um practitioners uh basing in the APF um want to focus.
00:31:50.400 --> 00:32:22.799
Uh I think one is exactly that, and they they started when they left um after being chair, they really focus on getting more connection to the corporate world in a way that you need to solve some business issues and you need to get relevant to them to have impact because this is also why I got back from a little bit excourse where I uh worked with children to get futures as a topic into schools, but then I shifted back working with organizations because I really think there's also big impact and they probably have more impact on politics that they seem or know um to shifting this.
00:32:22.880 --> 00:32:43.279
So as futurists, I think what we're currently missing is especially after creating those images and those futures, how do we really get this into decision making and making sure that uh leaders in the organizations are actually can use this for making their decisions better because they know where it's leads for, what the impact on us.
00:32:43.519 --> 00:32:48.240
And I feel this transition really shifted um in the in the past couple of years.
00:32:48.480 --> 00:32:57.680
And there's of course always the tension and being explorative and normative scenarios, or are we doing um the preferred future?
00:32:57.839 --> 00:32:59.839
Are we doing the preparedness on this?
00:33:00.000 --> 00:33:06.799
And I feel the whole spectrum is good there, and it's good that we have different uh practitioners focusing on those different things.
00:33:07.039 --> 00:33:10.400
I still think we need to get better on communicating that.
00:33:10.559 --> 00:33:12.880
And I feel that's where design thinking had the advantage.
00:33:12.960 --> 00:33:14.240
There are so many designers.
00:33:14.400 --> 00:33:22.480
And although futurists are really creative, I feel sometimes we are not the best of handling over or getting the message through the noise.
00:33:22.720 --> 00:33:32.160
Uh, luckily or unluckily, because of the uncertain world, I feel there's more need and more um demand for uh handling uncertainty and question that.
00:33:32.240 --> 00:33:35.200
So I see really the demand going up for futurists.
00:33:35.440 --> 00:33:47.119
But yeah, I really feel we need to find those sweet spots where actually strategic foresight sits from imagining those creative futures and then bringing this back so people can make better decisions in the organizations.
00:33:47.440 --> 00:34:01.279
Do you think we need to standardize on things like uh job responsibilities, positions so it makes it easier to hire and scale and work and also m letting people move between feelings sometimes about that.
00:34:01.599 --> 00:34:11.840
Because yeah, sometimes as a futurist, we're very opposed, especially for like just trend forecasters who saying, or I'm on the big stage and I tell you how the world is.
00:34:12.079 --> 00:34:15.039
On the other hand, I need to say they're really good at their marketing.
00:34:15.199 --> 00:34:19.280
Uh it's probably also because they're promising something that people want, they're telling them the future.
00:34:19.440 --> 00:34:23.360
But I feel sometimes they're way more prominent than uh the traditional futurists.
00:34:23.519 --> 00:34:30.719
And then as a traditional futurist, though, I would say it'd be good to maybe say, you know the difference and you know the steps and the mindset.
00:34:30.880 --> 00:34:40.800
So that's I don't think you should just, if you do some um credentials not just on the tools, there should definitely be this other part that's the futurist that you really have your mindset.
00:34:40.960 --> 00:34:49.199
But it shouldn't limit yourself on how you use methods, because I hack methods all the time, depending on the audience and others, just to see what works.
00:34:49.280 --> 00:34:57.119
And especially I think this is where the real skill set of a good futurist is that you don't have the same foresight process for every client.
00:34:57.360 --> 00:35:05.039
You really need to look on the sweet spots and how they're receptive to it, and you kind of mid-patch your different methods to come to different outputs.
00:35:05.199 --> 00:35:16.000
And most likely, and this is what Peter Hayward said a lot of times, as soon as you're in the process, you still start changing the process because the more you unravel with the client, the more you need to turn to different.
00:35:16.159 --> 00:35:24.239
So I would say the worst thing could be if we had all stand-aside um generative foresight processes, um, and we don't have this creativity.
00:35:24.320 --> 00:35:28.239
And so I'm always open to also mix and match with other fields on that.
00:35:28.480 --> 00:35:42.400
And for me, more the understanding and the mindset and the the the groundbreaking maybe uh tools um set uh would be good to talk about, at least communicated and understood by people who really want to work with the future.
00:35:42.719 --> 00:35:50.960
Yeah, I I uh my take is on the not not so much the specific methods, because obviously if you're a designer, like you can take different ways to get to solve the problem.
00:35:51.119 --> 00:35:56.480
It was also like uh things such basic as like job titles.
00:35:56.719 --> 00:36:07.920
Because the people that are hiring them aren't the few to your point about the trend, this or the br that's a branding thing of somebody maybe that's a pr a speaker or the you know the high-end consultant.
00:36:08.000 --> 00:36:08.880
That's different, right?
00:36:08.960 --> 00:36:12.480
Versus like I'm gonna try and build a team at XYZ company.
00:36:12.639 --> 00:36:17.760
And I think that's something I've been very much evangelizing, like how we need to do that.
00:36:18.000 --> 00:36:30.480
And you know, I think for where you've you know, you've spent your career helping people, like organizations move from the reactive forecasting to the proactive preferred.
00:36:30.800 --> 00:36:34.159
But I kind of want to ask you a quick question about the clients.
00:36:34.320 --> 00:36:45.679
Like, so if you could design a world where your you know, children, the generation behind then that's next that actually inherits this, what's the one you would design?
00:36:45.840 --> 00:36:47.199
Like, what does that world feel like?
00:36:47.440 --> 00:36:53.360
Well, first of all, I think in order to design it, starting with schools, I really think we should teach future.
00:36:53.440 --> 00:37:00.400
Like we have history in school to really see how do you understand different concepts of future, and there's exactly nothing that's happened to you.
00:37:00.480 --> 00:37:02.079
It's something that you can create.
00:37:02.320 --> 00:37:12.480
But also with uh futures, one of the first scenarios I did was about future and university, that we go away from schools or universities about consuming insights.
00:37:12.639 --> 00:37:16.000
It should be actually reflecting and having debate.
00:37:16.159 --> 00:37:21.039
Um, so you can get all the insights now in on the online class or through the internet.
00:37:21.199 --> 00:37:28.320
But we need to know spaces actually in school and in universities where people of different opinions come and debate, and we do this.
00:37:28.480 --> 00:37:43.119
Because these days in in the world, I feel we're really missing agreeing to not agreeing to disagreeing, because we have a lot of left and right polarization and we don't have the middle anymore that actually debates, comes together and find compromises to move forward.
00:37:43.360 --> 00:37:45.519
And I think this is very, very dangerous.
00:37:45.760 --> 00:38:05.440
And if I could design something, I think I would really put um, and this is not um physically and especially I think not humans in the center, but really nature and holistic symbiosic in the center and to see I'm it I'm attacking, of course we should use technology, but should we use just technology because of the sense of it, or should we actually think about it?
00:38:05.840 --> 00:38:06.800
It's not the panacea.
00:38:07.039 --> 00:38:09.039
It's it's not a panacea to solve it.
00:38:09.119 --> 00:38:09.840
No, it's not.
00:38:10.000 --> 00:38:13.360
It's it's got its uses, but it's also got its limitations.
00:38:13.760 --> 00:38:21.760
And if you look how humans feel most happy, it's actually when we help other humans or other uh or animals or we're doing something good.
00:38:21.920 --> 00:38:36.719
So I feel we get actually really depressed and we get all those mental health issues because we're disconnected from nature and we're sitting all day in front of a computer, which also feels like time moves faster compared to if you're in nature, because our body uh reacts more with that.
00:38:36.880 --> 00:38:47.920
Um so I feel really we need to get through this holistic thinking of saying, are we actually in this treadmill of all of our um uh form of GDP and and growth and profit that we need?
00:38:48.000 --> 00:38:50.480
And is it really something that the world needs?
00:38:50.639 --> 00:39:15.280
Or isn't this a bigger purpose to really see how to use resources better, how to um uh tackle big issues like uh climate change, like the hunger and all the the misstery that we still have a lot of places in the world, and how we can really solve this with technology, and especially how we can create better views for leaders to make better decisions.
00:39:15.440 --> 00:39:42.000
And one of my favorite things about this is what's called the overview effect, and it was based on uh astronauts actually be backing back on the ISS, and they said even the the tension between uh Russia and Americans started uh in the ISS, they still feel really connected because they looked down on Earth and they saw this really fragile planet with the thin atmosphere, but so beautiful and stunning.
00:39:42.159 --> 00:39:44.400
And if you look at that from space, there's almost no borders.
00:39:44.719 --> 00:39:45.519
There's no borders.
00:39:45.920 --> 00:39:52.480
There's no borders, and there's no way how you can understand that humans don't protect that, but they fight each other and the others.
00:39:52.639 --> 00:40:00.480
So I had once this idea that we needed to shoot every politician to space to see this, uh maybe it's maybe just keep on going.
00:40:00.639 --> 00:40:02.960
I don't know if we want to bring them back, but we can just, you know.
00:40:03.039 --> 00:40:03.760
But I agree with you.
00:40:03.920 --> 00:40:16.079
I think the more we can get it commercial and get people up there, not just, you know, uh the the well the super wealthy or just but just make it accessible and commercial, which I think will happen over the next uh couple of decades.
00:40:16.639 --> 00:40:18.559
People's perspectives will change.
00:40:18.800 --> 00:40:42.800
People's perspectives on what the world and what how rare, you know, the the fragility my favorite scene is uh of of that is is the movie Contact, where like the radio signal that's kind of that's received, I think it's been almost thirty years, so I'm not giving away spoilers here, but the beginning is like Carl Sagan's kind of message of you know, the amount it's it in it's it's a lot of empty space, it's like if there's nobody out there.
00:40:42.880 --> 00:40:56.880
But you see the the the the how small we are in the millions of galaxies, it goes outward to planets to the all the way out to the and it's like wow, you feel infinite and it zooms back in and you feel infinitesimally small in the scheme of things.
00:40:57.039 --> 00:41:07.440
And the and the things that people, you know, we argue about, or you know, even in the world today that's just we're fighting over is pointless.
00:41:07.599 --> 00:41:10.719
It's just in the scheme of it all, it's just it's not worth it.
00:41:10.960 --> 00:41:24.559
So let's The only subnote I have on this is to the question is how we can do this really sustainable, because if we shoot everyone up in the air, I feel like the emissions that we produce from that should not be as maybe counterweight to to the other part.
00:41:24.800 --> 00:41:35.760
But this is where I thought almost about um VR or something, that you really have this experience, even with people in a room and intermersive, um, where you look at that but you're still on Earth.
00:41:35.920 --> 00:41:50.000
Uh but yeah, if we would find a sustainable way to go up there and down uh without emissions, I feel like this would be a must before you're like 10 years old, you have to do this, and then every kind of five or ten years to go and to remind you about this disputy there.
00:41:50.159 --> 00:42:00.960
And I think to for your for your questions back, if I really could create a word of just this mindset, I feel like a lot of futurists have about seeing the bigger picture and connecting things.
00:42:01.119 --> 00:42:06.960
So this is why I say in organizations, foresight, it's just a philosophy how you lead an organization.
00:42:07.119 --> 00:42:08.960
It should not be an inside department.
00:42:09.039 --> 00:42:38.079
And I feel this is where a lot of corporate departments actually fail to be corporate foresight, being the inside department, everyone looks for the answers instead of really opening up the horizon of the entire employees and especially the shipboard to make by themselves better decisions with some of the tools and the edging and nodging that we're providing, but to really don't see it as a as a poor intelligence tool, but rather to have um any managing power to make better decisions and that everyone in the organization should understand what that means.
00:42:38.559 --> 00:42:43.599
Well, you know, it's time to use the to keep in the dancing vernacular, let's change the tempo.
00:42:44.000 --> 00:43:00.320
Uh so as we kind of uh wrap things up, I always like to ask kind of a few rapid questions, but you know, what do you think that this is kind of a what do you think the Foresight Futures community is they what they talk about constantly, but they're actually terrible at it?
00:43:00.559 --> 00:43:01.119
What do you think?
00:43:02.000 --> 00:43:04.880
Well, I was so bold when I was on the board at the APF.
00:43:04.960 --> 00:43:06.559
I was like, oh, we want to change the world.
00:43:06.639 --> 00:43:08.559
And I was like, but why are we still aboard?
00:43:08.639 --> 00:43:13.760
So why is it very hierarchical how we kind of organize ourselves and shouldn't we get rid of this?
00:43:13.920 --> 00:43:19.760
And it's a little bit if you look at some of the craftsmen and how worse their own homes look like because they're not focusing.
00:43:19.840 --> 00:43:24.159
I feel but futures is something hard you can apply to yourself as a futurist the same.
00:43:24.239 --> 00:43:26.880
You need someone else to challenge uh your own mindset.
00:43:27.039 --> 00:43:48.079
And I feel sometimes as futurists group, we need to do that more often though, and to challenge our species uh on the things that we've done before if we should not change and shift and open and especially yeah, organize us um in a in a different way, maybe to get this set up or prototyped uh so we can also bring this into the world.
00:43:48.480 --> 00:43:58.639
So what do you think is a oh you know, I love weeks, like looking for weak signals is one of my favorite things because you feel like you're in the end and nobody it's like, you know, cool kids, you know what's going on.
00:43:58.880 --> 00:44:03.199
Uh what What do you think is a weak signal on the horizon that people are not paying attention to?
00:44:03.280 --> 00:44:04.000
Like they're missing?
00:44:04.159 --> 00:44:05.119
What do you what are you seeing?
00:44:05.360 --> 00:44:13.199
Well, I found that super interesting one that was here in the region and we had kids eating putting with a fork under the bridge.
00:44:13.519 --> 00:44:14.000
Putty?
00:44:14.400 --> 00:44:14.880
Pudding.
00:44:15.199 --> 00:44:15.519
Pudding?
00:44:15.679 --> 00:44:16.320
Like a dessert.
00:44:16.719 --> 00:44:16.960
Pudding.
00:44:17.039 --> 00:44:17.280
Pudding.
00:44:17.360 --> 00:44:17.440
Yeah.
00:44:17.519 --> 00:44:17.599
Okay.
00:44:17.840 --> 00:44:22.480
Putting said putty, like like putty on the like on sounds like like what?
00:44:23.199 --> 00:44:24.880
There was my German accent pudding.
00:44:24.960 --> 00:44:26.800
So Pudding under a bridge.
00:44:27.119 --> 00:44:27.840
With a fork.
00:44:28.079 --> 00:44:28.559
Very interesting.
00:44:28.880 --> 00:44:29.440
With a fork.
00:44:29.840 --> 00:44:30.960
Because it takes longer.
00:44:31.280 --> 00:44:38.960
But if you under under lie and unravel that um signal, I feel like I feel like we're missing social spaces these days.
00:44:39.039 --> 00:44:47.760
And going back to social dancing in the 50s or 60s, you had those big ballrooms, and Friday night you would go out and you would social dance with a different dance partner.
00:44:48.000 --> 00:44:57.920
So you also had somehow a human touch, but you had your space, you had respect when you dance, but you really connect with human on so many different levels.
00:44:58.079 --> 00:45:00.159
And nowadays I feel we don't have that.
00:45:00.320 --> 00:45:08.800
And it's interesting then then the young people need to come up with a crazy idea why to meet, which is eating pudding with a fork under a bridge.
00:45:08.960 --> 00:45:11.920
So they seem to have a purpose because we're missing this.
00:45:12.159 --> 00:45:23.679
So I feel that this tension and this hopelessness and that people feeling lonely really see that we need to get those marketplaces and those social places back in the world where people really can meet.
00:45:23.760 --> 00:45:26.480
And we saw this after COVID, and to do so.
00:45:26.719 --> 00:45:32.960
And um the second signal, this is also a thing with the youth with something that we call um micro-retirement.
00:45:33.199 --> 00:45:37.039
So young people actually don't want to work from now till they're 65.
00:45:37.119 --> 00:45:41.119
They're like, I work two years and then I travel for three or four years and then I work again.
00:45:41.199 --> 00:45:43.920
But of course, why should I wait till I'm old to do that?
00:45:44.159 --> 00:45:46.800
And anyways, it feels like life is so expensive.
00:45:46.960 --> 00:45:51.920
If I wait and just save anything when I'm old, I can't spend it or it's less worth.
00:45:52.000 --> 00:45:53.760
So why not they spend it immediately?
00:45:53.920 --> 00:46:10.159
So it's this shift from being stuck with a company and having a career for 25 or 30 years before you maybe make a career change to no, reinvent yourself every two years and they actually just earn the money to be free again to travel, and it's not this loyalty to organizations anymore.
00:46:10.480 --> 00:46:12.639
It's interesting because I there's a few things on that.
00:46:12.800 --> 00:46:17.920
Like I just wrote in Future Proof about reinvention as a constant process.
00:46:18.079 --> 00:46:20.960
It's like a uh ongoing, like a constant thing now.
00:46:21.280 --> 00:46:31.440
Used to be like you had to maybe do a second career, you change thing, you know, if you had to, or something really in your life, you or you wanted you've always wanted to do something different, right?
00:46:31.599 --> 00:46:37.280
But at the same time, employers would look at they want you to have the connecting tissue, they don't want you to see the time off.
00:46:37.440 --> 00:46:42.320
You know, I just took a sabbatical to write super shifts and I took the time off, also spent it with my son.
00:46:42.400 --> 00:46:50.880
It was, I don't think considering mini retirement, but but it was also I'm seeing that a lot more because I think people are going to be working more and longer.
00:46:51.199 --> 00:46:53.760
And it's a it's a question in the gaps.
00:46:53.840 --> 00:47:05.519
It's like, would you rather take a time off, take a year off in your 50s and really when you have the energy and the ability to go to places when you're trying to be 70, and then you might have a little harder of a time.
00:47:05.679 --> 00:47:18.239
I think the one thing that I see a lot, which is the analog push, which is wild, because uh as a as a teenager in the 1980s, we grew up with albums and cassette tapes, mixed tapes, right?
00:47:18.480 --> 00:47:19.599
But it's a social thing too.
00:47:19.679 --> 00:47:24.559
You can trade alb you can trade records, you can collect it's is there's a physical thing with books.
00:47:24.639 --> 00:47:35.679
I love that because it shows me that no matter how digital we get with everything, there's a visceralness to the the physical, the physical media.
00:47:35.920 --> 00:47:51.679
Like I'm actually buying all the DVD hard DVDs and Blu-rays of all the films and all the shit things I like because one there might become a time where just streaming exists and streaming goes in and out, and you may not be able to find the thing you want to watch.
00:47:51.920 --> 00:48:00.639
And or they they did this with It's a Wonderful Life, they modified it to be like to cut some of the bad things out, it completely destroyed it.
00:48:00.719 --> 00:48:04.719
But imagine like just for example, like uh MGM's owned by Amazon.
00:48:04.960 --> 00:48:14.639
Imagine Amazon decides they don't want to they want to take the perceived misogyny of of James Bond in this, like the 60s James Bond, you know, they want to cut this.
00:48:14.719 --> 00:48:17.360
They they that's the only way you can get James Bond.
00:48:17.440 --> 00:48:23.280
So I think the people, the kids now realize that there is a value in having those things.
00:48:23.519 --> 00:48:27.440
So yeah, you touch upon some really interesting um you know items.
00:48:27.599 --> 00:48:29.679
I love the the putting the putting in the fork thing.
00:48:29.760 --> 00:48:30.800
That is just awesome.
00:48:31.119 --> 00:48:42.400
So I guess for me, like, you know, you know, when you look at this kind of journey for yourself, what would you wish what what advice you wish you had when you started this and you're starting to kind of take the journey?
00:48:43.519 --> 00:48:44.400
That's a good thing.
00:48:44.559 --> 00:48:58.880
I think also to probably here also not be afraid, and and I think especially as a as a woman you're really self-um criticizing, and I I'm a very perfectionist person in one way, they're really hard on myself.
00:48:59.280 --> 00:49:02.079
I'm I'm ger I'm my my roots are German too, I understand.
00:49:03.119 --> 00:49:13.119
So I think just to really be saying it's okay and being in the moment and exploring also different options, even if they're uh going into something different direction.
00:49:13.280 --> 00:49:18.320
I think this also connects to what I had before, how productive do we need to be?
00:49:18.719 --> 00:49:23.199
Because why does it really have to be that it is growth and is growing GDP?
00:49:23.280 --> 00:49:29.920
Why do we have to produce more and use more resources if that ends up that people see less of their families and are less connected?
00:49:30.000 --> 00:49:33.280
And in the end we are in this machinery of treadmasters.
00:49:33.360 --> 00:49:35.119
So why are we actually doing this?
00:49:35.280 --> 00:49:48.320
Just to make a few people more rich, uh richer and uh and maybe probably suffocating the the human being and and some people even the best times with the kids because they're they're working.
00:49:48.559 --> 00:50:01.119
So I feel like how can we really solve those issues in the future where we see of course we should be productive in a way, especially making um things better for for humans, the planet in general life.
00:50:01.280 --> 00:50:11.599
But how can we also question the things just the way we've done it and not being afraid to work in parallel or horizontal instead of always need to go up, up, up?
00:50:12.159 --> 00:50:13.440
So last question.
00:50:13.920 --> 00:50:15.519
Legacy question I always ask.
00:50:15.760 --> 00:50:25.199
You know, you've you're uh you know, in that cafe, you know, by the Danube beautiful place, you know, and most beautiful place on earth.
00:50:25.360 --> 00:50:32.559
Uh what would you if you're looking back at a career, you know, you've done a great deal, what would that be?
00:50:32.719 --> 00:50:36.800
What would you want that life that career life lived well to be?
00:50:37.119 --> 00:50:37.840
What you've given.
00:50:38.159 --> 00:50:41.119
If you you mean if I need to change something with my life now?
00:50:41.440 --> 00:50:43.360
No, no, your your legacy, like what you contribute.
00:50:43.440 --> 00:50:47.280
What do you f what would be what would make you feel happy about the things you've contributed?
00:50:47.519 --> 00:50:49.119
Like looking looking back.
00:50:49.679 --> 00:50:56.000
Well, I think I really enjoy that I find really my my passion, I think in English is called the the calling for.
00:50:56.079 --> 00:50:56.960
It's not just a job.
00:50:57.039 --> 00:51:10.079
It's like with 13 years now I doing futures and I love enjoying it every day, and especially uh being on the stage and sharing that with people and transforming them from the fear futures to the hopeful.
00:51:10.239 --> 00:51:15.199
And although we are so uncertain, doom world or I don't lose my optimism.
00:51:15.360 --> 00:51:29.760
And I think, yeah, maybe we need to go down, but there's so many good people coming back up in in my generation and after who think differently and who really probably see uh the the the planet as a beautiful thing that we need to take care of.
00:51:29.920 --> 00:51:42.079
So I think what I'm really proud of is that I was able or I am able to create those voice out there and to bring people joy back and hope to to move towards futures that we like and to create futures.
00:51:42.239 --> 00:51:47.119
And that yeah, that necessarily doesn't um mean or need to know where you're at.
00:51:47.199 --> 00:51:57.920
You just need to be in the right place in general and you're always in the right place where you're at, and you meet the people that you can then just multiply and and bring this this joy forward um to that.
00:51:58.079 --> 00:52:05.360
So it's not the big stages that you need, but the the people and organizations around you that you can influence so they can influence others.
00:52:05.760 --> 00:52:06.320
Well said.
00:52:06.559 --> 00:52:08.719
So Tanya, where can people find you?
00:52:09.199 --> 00:52:10.239
Around the internets.
00:52:11.199 --> 00:52:13.679
Currently I always find it with uh my name.
00:52:13.840 --> 00:52:17.280
So I have a website, but you can especially follow me on LinkedIn.
00:52:17.519 --> 00:52:34.480
Um I have don't have time to write then many long blog posts, but I have now the newsletter Dancing with Uncertainty, and I try at least to put something out um like uh every month as a newsletter, but every week I do a bit of a thought piece um and to really get those things back.
00:52:34.719 --> 00:52:36.159
And I shifted here as well.
00:52:36.239 --> 00:52:39.599
I was always internationally, I was always writing everything in English.
00:52:39.760 --> 00:52:55.920
And sometimes I've noticed now, and probably also because I'm a smaller part of Germany now, that uh I need to write more in German because all my English friends they can push the button and get already get translated uh automatically, thanks to AI these days and LinkedIn.
00:52:56.159 --> 00:53:01.840
But there's a lot of language barriers for Germanies, especially for smaller companies, to uh even read that.
00:53:01.920 --> 00:53:06.719
And the automatic translation from English back to German is often not as good as the other way around.
00:53:06.960 --> 00:53:24.480
So um I really found that I currently trying to have my my roots back and to uh write more in German and to speak here more in German, exactly from I don't need to be uh everywhere internationally, but I may need to start to do some smaller or bigger changes uh here in my surrounding and in Germany.
00:53:24.800 --> 00:53:27.199
And it's Tanya with a J, so T-A-N-J A.
00:53:27.360 --> 00:53:28.800
Thought it'd be some people still doing a lot.
00:53:29.199 --> 00:53:35.039
So we'll have uh locations and things in the show notes, but thank you for so much for this time.
00:53:35.199 --> 00:53:37.760
It's been great to you know talk about the future with you.
00:53:38.159 --> 00:53:40.320
Well, thank you so much for having me, Stephen.
00:53:40.880 --> 00:53:41.360
Great.
00:53:41.760 --> 00:53:42.800
See you all next time.
00:53:43.039 --> 00:53:43.360
Bye.
00:53:43.679 --> 00:53:46.079
Thanks for listening to the Think Forward Podcast.
00:53:46.239 --> 00:53:54.719
You can find us on all the major podcast platforms and at www.thinkforwardshow.com as well as on YouTube under Think Forward Show.
00:53:55.039 --> 00:53:56.000
See you next time.