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Proportion means the response fits the situation.
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It's not overreactive, it's not underreactive.
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He knew it in his gut.
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It was wrong to go.
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Even his scouts confirmed it.
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But the lesson is that judgment has to be protected from external override, especially in the moments when the pressure to comply is highest.
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The decision that changes, depending on who's watching, is a decision where judgment has been contaminated by your audience.
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Pause and breathe and think what could possibly go wrong.
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Then think again about moving forward.
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Judgment is choosing the right action at the right time for the right reason.
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I recall an episode at Moro Bay, California, where two ribs, rigid hull inflatable boats, needed to push through some seriously heavy surf for training in extreme ocean environments.
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And they were supporting a SEAL platoon operational readiness exam, or ORE.
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They were supporting their insertion.
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The waves that day were cresting near 30 feet high at Mora Bay, where the surf gets kind of channeled into a narrow channel.
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Situation was sketchy to say the least.
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It would have been a no-brainer to call off that exercise, and I like to think that I would have made that call.
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However, the OIC lieutenant thought his team was up for the test, and the overall commanding officer of SEAL Team 3 agreed, and not only that, but he decided to join them in the boats.
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That was a bad decision.
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Out they went, and both boats flipped ass over tea kettle as they were launched into the air by a massive wave when they tried to crest it.
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All the operators tossed into the ocean, several injuries, severe ones, and near drownings.
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That was a training mission that never should have been launched, but was because of the pressure of the situation.
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A CEO watching a readiness examine process, the weight of the institutional expectations overrode the signals to not go.
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Well, anyways, good for us.
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That failure is instructive and recognizable.
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It's about judgment.
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Let's get into it.
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Welcome back to the Mark Devine Show.
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I am your host, Mark Devine, retired SEAL Commander, founder of SEAL Fit and Unveal Mind, your host for the Sheepdog Strong series.
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In this series, we've looked at forging composure to keep our internal state steady, gaining clarity to keep your mind clear, cultivating wisdom to ensure that you're asking the right questions.
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Now, in this episode, I want to talk about judgment, which is where all that integrates into a single decision at a specific moment in time.
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The right action for the right reasons right now.
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As that story above illustrated, or as that story I just told illustrates, judgment can fail, and it often does.
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But not because the person lacks clarity or composure or wisdom or intelligence, but because they let external pressure override their internal discernment, aka intuition.
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So what is judgment and where does it fail?
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Well, judgment is the ability to evaluate a situation, discern a best course of action, and act with proportion.
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Now, that last word proportion, I want to emphasize that because it's where a lot of people fail in judgment.
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Proportion means the response fits the situation.
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It's not overreactive, it's not underreactive.
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It's the right amount of force, speed, caution, or commitment for what the situation actually requires.
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Poor judgment takes usually one of two forms.
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First is impulsive overcorrection, moving too fast with too much force when the situation called for patience or restraint.
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And the second, the one we saw in that moral base story, is allowing external pressure to override your internal discernment.
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Proceeding even when your gut, your training, or the evidence all say stop.
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That second failure mode is particularly common in high performing people in high account of roles.
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Why?
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Because the same drive that makes them effective and got them there, that commitment to complete of the mission, and that responsiveness to authority, and the unwillingness to be seen as hesitant or weak or the naysayer can override clear signals that say not this way, not now.
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That OIC at Morabay knew the conditions were seriously screwed and unfavorable to success.
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He knew it in his gut.
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It was wrong to go.
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Even his scouts confirmed it.
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But the commanding officer was watching and eager to see his team succeed.
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And their readiness exam would have had to be rescheduled, with little time left before the team's deployment.
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So the momentum of that situation pulled them toward poor judgment.
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The lesson here is not that those officers were cowardly or incompetent.
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They weren't.
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They were extremely intelligent and competent.
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But the lesson is that judgment has to be protected from external override, especially in the moments when the pressure to comply is highest.
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Because that's exactly when the override is most dangerous.
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If you recall from the rest of this sheepdog series I've been doing, we talked about ethos.
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Ethos is the foundation for judgment.
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When your code is clear, when you know what you stand for and what you won't compromise on, then many judgment calls will resolve themselves.
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The lieutenant whose code includes, quote, I protect my operators from unnecessary risks, will make a different call at Morobay than the one whose code is, quote, I complete the mission when under observation.
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Integrity also is something we discuss.
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And integrity feeds judgment directly.
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I define integrity as alignment between what you say, what you believe, and what you do.
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Sound judgment requires that same alignment.
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Believing the conditions are wrong, saying the conditions are wrong internally, and then acting on that belief rather than overriding it for external reasons.
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And courage will support judgment in a way that's very specific, meaning it will provide the will to make the right call even when the right call is unpopular.
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Or it's going to lead to maybe some consequences to your reputation.
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Judgment without courage is clear analysis that never gets acted on.
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That lieutenant's intuition was working at Moro Bay, but the courage to act on it was not.
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Wisdom and judgment work together as different aspects of the same capacity.
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Wisdom discerns what's right across the larger picture, while judgment will execute that discernment in a specific moment.
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Wisdom being the compass, judgment the hand on the wheel.
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So, what are some practices that can help us cultivate better judgment?
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Well, here's a couple I got for you.
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You can give them a try.
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I love this first one.
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It's called the consequence scan.
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So before any significant decision this week, especially when where you know you're gonna feel external pressure to move in a particular direction, when you find that, run this consequence scan, which is three questions.
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One, what's gonna happen if this goes as planned?
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Two, what's gonna happen if this thing goes south or wrong?
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And three, is the upside, if it goes as planned, worth the downside of what could go wrong?
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Or am I proceeding because of pressure rather than sound analysis?
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I guess that could even be a fourth question.
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But that third question that I asked, that's the one that catches the Morrow Bay failure.
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Because in the moment the case for proceeding felt compelling.
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That exam was in progress, the CO was watching, even going to join them.
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Not going at that point felt like failure.
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The consequence scan could have revealed the downside of proceeding against those conditions, vastly exceeded the downside of standing down.
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The judgment call could become much clearer with that filter.
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And here's the second practice the scenario review.
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At the end of the day, review one decision you made, ideally one where you felt pressure of some kind, and ask, was my decision driven by sound judgment or influenced by that external pressure?
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In other words, if I had made that call in private, no one's watching, no external pressure, would I have made the same call?
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Good question, isn't it?
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That private versus public test is one of the sharpest judgment calibration tools.
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The decision that changes depending on who's watching is a decision where judgment has been contaminated by your audience.
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The story I told here illustrates the cost of overriding your own judgment under institutional pressure.
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That lieutenant wasn't a bad officer, actually, he was an exceptional officer, but he let the wrong thing win.
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The wrong judgment win in a critical moment.
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Trust the gut when it's informed by your training, and run the consequence scan before you proceed.
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Protect your judgment call from external override.
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And if you ever find yourself thinking, quote, I know this is wrong, but hold my beer, here I go, anyways.
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Boy, if I've been there.
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Pause and breathe and think what could possibly go wrong?
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Then think again about moving forward.
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That thought from your intuition, gut, or higher self, if you will, is the signal.
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Learn to honor it.
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So we're coming up to the close of this series of solo episodes on becoming sheepdog strong in this VUCA age.
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The final skill I'm going to talk about, looking at next in the next episode, is self-regulation, which is to master yourself before leading others.
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Self-regulation brings all the sheepdog skills together and helps you deliver under sustained stress.
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To learn about our SEAL fit powerful sheepdog readiness training, visit us at www.sheepdogready.com.
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Next training event is already three quarters full, and at this moment we're running it just once a year.
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Next time will be February 2027.
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Alright, folks, thanks so much for joining me.
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Until next time, trust your gut and be willing to stand down when standing down is the right call.
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Hooya.
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Thanks to my team for helping me produce this show.
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It's very helpful if you rate and review wherever you listen, so please do so when you have a moment at Apple or Spotify shooting for uh 5,000 five-star reviews.
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That would be nice.
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Helps us stay relevant and um easier to find.
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Till next time, be safe and be a shoot dog.
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Hooya, divine out.