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Each week on quarters we sit with public earnings calls and listen for the human part.
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These calls are long, mostly numbers and caution language, but every once in a while a person leaks through or tries to.
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Sometimes the leak is confidence, sometimes it's the absence of it.
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Alright, hey everyone.
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Thanks for joining today.
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I'm Terry, and today, Meta Mark Zuckerberg, July 29th.
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He opens like the planet already signed up.
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We had a strong quarter for our community and business with 3.6 billion people using at least one of our apps each day.
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We reached several milestones.
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Instagram reached 2 billion daily actives.
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Threads crossed 500 million monthly actives, making it the fastest growing conversation app ever.
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3.6 billion people, Instagram 2 billion a day, WhatsApp peaking at 30 million messages a second during the World Cup final.
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That's not a customer base.
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That's weather, that's the species checking in.
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And uh Wall Street looked at the receipt and said, cool story, down roughly 9%.
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The opportunity in front of us is massive.
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Uh first, we're now at a point where our investments in AI are accelerating every major part of our core business.
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Quick and ugly, revenue about$60.8 billion, grew hard, beat the top line, earnings$6.18 a share, missed profit down.
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Free cash flow,$784 million, down something like 91% year over year, capex this quarter, about$31 billion.
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Full year CapEx guide,$130 to$145 billion.
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That's the episode.
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We could end it here, but we won't.
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We also shipped some strong new models from Meta Superintelligence Labs and released new glasses.
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Overall, the scale and reach of our community across our apps is pretty remarkable, and it gives us a strong platform for delivering new innovations to billions of people.
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This is the part that makes me tilt my head.
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Wall Street is punishing the stock like Meta is some fragile little growth story that forgot how to earn, brother.
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Half the phones on Earth are already in the living room, Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Thread, the whole messy family.
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The critique isn't nobody wants this.
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The critique is you're spending the house to build a second house in the sky, and we can't see the sky yet.
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We continue to invest aggressively in infrastructure to meet the demand.
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Yesterday, as part of our metacompute effort, we announced a new strategic venture with BlackRock to develop a new one gigawatt data center in El Paso, Texas.
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Overall, we expect that a significant portion of our compute is going to go towards training our models, growing our core business, and delivering personal agents and new products.
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But we also expect to grow a large business serving large customers as well.
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We've built our API, we're rolling out business agents, we're getting a lot of offers for compute at a significant premium over what we paid for it.
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Okay.
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Character time, and I'm not going to do the wholesome deli thing here.
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That was Bill, this is Mark.
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There's a kind of earnings call, stand-up, uh, not jokes, posture, chin up, future tense.
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We think that there's a very big opportunity to ship a few types of agents that are aligned with our mission and business.
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The first is personal agents.
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Uh, soon we will have agents that can work 24-7 on your behalf to help you achieve your goals and improve your life, your health, your relationships, your finances, whatever you want.
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Um, the first domain uh that agents have really taken off in is coding, but engineers are more technical and willing to spend time making those agents work.
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So to build great personal agents, this needs to be a great consumer product that just works out of the box and is easy enough for billions of people to uh adopt and use.
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I'm very excited about this, and we're gonna have more to share soon.
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When CapEx was cute and margins were expanding, that posture read as vision.
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Now the costs are in the numbers.
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Yeah, free cash flow basically wave goodbye.
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And the same posture reads like acting, not evil, not cartoon, just thin, like the confidence got outsourced to the adjectives.
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He's been asked over and over how this spending turns into money you can touch.
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He answers with the portfolio: train models, grow the core, personal agents, business agents, sell compute at a premium, APIs, coding tools.
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We are developing new personal agents that will be the foundation for our next wave of products and revenue lines in the months and years ahead.
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It's a lot of doors.
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When you open every door at once, it can sound like you don't want to stand in any of them.
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Now I get, you know, we are um, you know, we're we're gonna ship this at some point soon, and that's gonna be very exciting.
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Um, and we we haven't done that yet.
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So um, you know, so this is there's there's kind of only so much that I can that I can say on an earnings call about this.
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But I I think um this is a very large opportunity and one that that um I think is is um here's the line he's actually selling.
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Uh soon we will have agents that can work 24-7 on your behalf to help you achieve your goals and improve your life, your health, your relationships, your finances, whatever you want.
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Um, the first domain uh that agents have really taken off in is coding, but engineers are more technical and willing to spend time making those agents work.
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So to build great personal agents, this needs to be a great consumer product that just works out of the box and is easy enough for billions of people to uh adopt and use.
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I'm very excited about this, and we're gonna have more to share soon.
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And it's almost science fiction soft.
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Agents for your health, uh, your relationships, your money.
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24-7 just works out of the box for billions.
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That's a cathedral pitch.
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And then in the same breath of honesty, that slips out.
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They haven't shipped that yet.
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More to share soon.
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I believe he believes it.
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I also believe belief is doing a lot of cardio on this call.
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Line of the quarter.
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Not a catchphrase this time, a scale sentence.
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3.6 billion people.
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3.6 billion people a day.
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That's the customer.
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The whole messy world already showed up.
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Wall Street isn't arguing about product market fit.
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They're arguing about the construction bill.
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Quirk of the quarter, free cash flow of 784 million next to Capex of 31 billion.
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That's a company that made a fortune in the morning and spent it on servers before lunch.
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Lunatic engineering courage or lunatic receipts, depends which ear you use.
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Thing that actually means something, and even some of the business plainly, Meta's core machine still prints attention and ads at planetary scale.
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Revenue grew like a beast.
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The print is about whether AI CapEx is a bridge or a sinkhole, and whether personal agents slash enterprise compute become real lines before the market's patience expires.
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Guidance nudge Capex up, soft Q3 revenue guide, stock got spanked.
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That's the status.
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Empire intact, cash flow dressed for a funeral, CEO selling the next chapter hard, and then Mark, the human ending.
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I'm gonna be harsh and still try to stay human.
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Mark Zuckerberg does not sound on this call like a man who is easy in his power.
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He sounds like a man who learned that the world punishes him for being weird and awkward.
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So he built a second voice, a brighter one, a keynote voice.
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I just published an op-ed about why I'm so optimistic that we are building a positive future for everyone.
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A I'm optimistic about the potential ahead voice.
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When the money was melting upward, that second voice looked like leadership.
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When free cash flow collapses 91%, and you're still raising the Capex floor, that second voice can look like stand-up, not comedy club stand-up, corporate stand-up, the act of certainty.
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I don't think he's fake about wanting the agents.
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I think he wants them with a kind of cold romantic hunger.
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This is a very large opportunity and one that that um I think is is um almost inevitable that someone does.
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A brilliant, strange stared at his whole life person, trying to outrun the old internet jokes by narrating the future louder than the cash register.
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I'm Terry.
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If you like this, please subscribe to Quarters.
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No stock tips, just the human part.
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See you next print.