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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.
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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree?
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Speaker 1: I got five dollars, this is a regular one.
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Speaker 2: How many tackles can one man break?
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Speaker 1: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable?
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Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to be humans. my goodness that was good you guys are pros the best relentless refusing to.
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Speaker 1: Give up all right hit that horn babe let's dance welcome to the fantasy flex podcast from action network and fantasy labs i'm your host kev mosser red john nfl week four is here and i'm joined by one of the most accurate rankers in the game sean kerner the odds maker sean how's it going how you feeling after week three.
00:00:48
Speaker 2: Uh exhausted man that that week probably took three years off my lifespan. So the first three weeks combined probably took 10 years off my lifespan. So I'm running out of time here, but I love it though. I love it. I love that football's back. Just pure carnage, which makes projections more fun. Again, we have a lot of interesting projections we have to make this week, but so far so good. How about you?
00:01:11
Speaker 1: Yeah, so far so okay. I love my teams with Jameer Gibbs.
00:01:15
Speaker 2: I love them.
00:01:15
Speaker 1: Those are my favorite. A couple of them at Basial Tootin. Huge fan of Trevor going down at the one. giving Tootin his hard-earned rushing touchdown. But yeah, the teams without Jameer Gibbs or JSN, not so much. I don't like them for some reason. It's weird. It's weird how I feel about that. But we're going to ignore those. We're going to enjoy the good and stuff under the rug, the bad. A quick reminder that all of our fantasy football content is available now over on fantasylabs.com. Fantasy Labs NFL includes in-season rankings, waiver wire and DFS tips, and much more. Make sure you use code FLEX20 for $ 20 off at fantasylabs.com slash flex. Today's episode, we're going to dive into the top five at each skill position and discuss the players who are especially higher or lower on this week. Quarterback, let's start it off. Sean, who you got at the top five?
00:02:07
Speaker 2: I always love doing this because I make all my rankings like game by game. I go through last week and whatever. And then so whenever we do this is the first time I actually sort my rankings and see who my top five are. So this is interesting. I have Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, right? Normal. Our guy, Tyler Shuck, QB number four. And then Trevor Lawrence, QB number five. So pretty fun, pretty spicy top five for me so far.
00:02:36
Speaker 1: I like it. I have Allen, I have Hertz, Lawrence, Burrow, Mahomes, and then Lamar. I just, I don't know how competitive this game is. That game, Tennessee is just so bad. How Lamar, is he going to have to throw more than 15 times? Their run defense is pretty good, but it might be a little bit of a little bit of a revenge game for Derek Henry. Not a little bit, but is this the first time they're playing? He's playing the Titans.
00:03:03
Speaker 2: I almost, I thought the same thing. I have no idea. I think they've played the Titans. How have they not played the Titans since they've had three years now? Maybe he was like out that game. I need to see. Cause I was thinking that like, has he not had a revenge game yet? Because that's scary. I don't know if he has any ill will towards the Titans, but even if he has a little bit, that'd be scary.
00:03:26
Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't recall him playing. I feel like that would have been more of a narrative. Because this is year three with the Raiders, right?
00:03:34
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he hasn't played the Titans yet. I think it'd be better if it was at Tennessee, right?
00:03:40
Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely. But still, you don't really get too many matchups in general with non-division opponents. So take them as they come. Yeah. Him versus Sala. I think, I don't think they're going to force it to Henry, but it could definitely be another Henry game. What is he? He's almost a double digit touchdowns. It feels like through the first three weeks, you just can't, he almost had the third. He was stopped at the one inch line basically in week three against the cat. That was, that was ridiculous. I'm still kind of upset about it.
00:04:10
Speaker 2: I'm never gonna, I'm never gonna like fade Henry. I think people keep expecting age curves to catch up. He's just a different– he's a different– he's not even human. He might not even be human. He defies age curves. Just look at him. It makes a ton of sense. So, I mean, yeah.
00:04:29
Speaker 1: Feed the big dog.
00:04:31
Speaker 2: Feed the big dog. I had him RB7. I think his ADP was like RB13. So, again, one year it is going to burn me being too high on Derrick Henry. But so far, so good.
00:04:43
Speaker 1: He's the LeBron James of the NFL, even though he's a lot younger, but it's like running back position is so, so fragile. It's, it's a pretty app comp, but who are you higher or lower or who are you higher on this week before we get to who you are?
00:04:56
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence is my QB five last week finishes a QB 12. But had he simply just run one more inch into the end zone? Not sure if you saw that, but he stopped on the one inch line. He would have been the quarterback three of the week. And many people, including myself, were not too happy with that. He said he wanted to give his running back, Bayshel Tootin, a touchdown, which is nice and all. But this is the NFL, so I'm sure he got enough shit behind closed doors. you know, everywhere, uh, on that where hopefully he doesn't do that again. Uh, sometimes, you know, obviously it makes sense to do something like that. Uh, but you know, there was eight minutes left. It just not, not something that you want players to be doing. Uh, so I think, uh, you know, for my, my projections, I'm going to give him credit for that. Uh, so, you know, he, he's due for like a massive game because they've had a pretty tough, tougher schedule, uh, with the Browns as being a blowout. Broncos, Pats. So now, you know, they face the Bengals who just got torched by old man Rogers last week. So again, he's my quarterback five to open the week. Just think he has a ton of upside going forward and hopefully he runs in those touchdowns going forward. Yeah.
00:06:25
Speaker 1: Nine rushing touchdowns last year. That was, that was a hell of a site. I'm sure he could definitely hit a fair amount this year. And I have Lawrence QB three. So I'm, I think I'm, Pretty high on him too, to say the least. Moving to my quarterback I'm higher on. It's Bo Nix this week. Do I love Bo Nix, the actual quarterback?
00:06:43
Speaker 2: No.
00:06:45
Speaker 1: But I do like Bo Nix, the fantasy quarterback. Their running game is non-existent at this point.
00:06:49
Speaker 2: J.K.
00:06:49
Speaker 1: Dobbins looks washed. I think that's fair to say.
00:06:53
Speaker 2: R.J.
00:06:53
Speaker 1: Harvey is more of a receiving back than he is a running back. Jonah Coleman's out. The only juice they had in the backfield is unavailable for the next few games. Bo Nix, he looked like he had the rushing touchdown at the end of the game to win against the Rams Sunday night football. Still kind of figuring out the Jalen Waddell, Cortland Sutton, Pat Bryant situation, but those are good weapons to have. Evan Ingram, tight end. He's a solid receiving tight end. He had a really good week one. He has the weapons. They're facing a San Francisco defense in San Francisco without Nick Bosa, just losing all of their depth week by week. I mean, the Broncos' defense is still really good, but I don't think they're as elite as we expected. The Rams without Puka in Denver were driving down the field. Devontae Adams was torching Pat Sertan. Riley Moss is a big-time target for any quarterback or offensive coordinator. Bo Nix, this could be a higher-scoring game than people think, despite Denver's defense. Give me Bo Nix as a top-12 quarterback. for this week. Do you like him too?
00:08:07
Speaker 2: Not as much as you. I mean, he's my QB 18. So I just think he's a solid QB two. I want to see him, you know, stop being so much of a mall Santa uses legs a bit more. His rushing arts, to be fair, his rushing arts have been trending up. He had two, then six. And then last week he had a season high seven rushing yards. And well, he at least scored a touchdown, which really helped. fancy managers, but again, maybe he doesn't trust that ankle more. And I mentioned even last year when he was healthy, there were times where he just frustratingly didn't use his legs when he should. So just kind of a concerning trend for his fancy value. Cause I think he, a lot of his untapped upside is his rushing ability. He, he could run for 20 plus yards. Like a Brock Purdy. I keep saying Brock Purdy has massive rushing upside if he wants. So until we start to see next really trust his ankle, his, his, you know, rushing ability, whatever it is, he's going to be more of a QB two for me, but I do agree. It could be a higher scoring game. I think the Niners should be able to put up points on the Broncos defense and kind of force them into a pass heavy game script. So he does have that going for him, but he's still, you know, my QB 18, at least to open the week.
00:09:23
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not starting him over a Brock Purdy or any of these top. You probably have a quarterback that you're going to start over Knicks, but I do like him this week. I think this is a really good quarterback week overall.
00:09:37
Speaker 2: Yeah, do you have Bryce Young ranked ahead of Knicks or no?
00:09:42
Speaker 1: No, with Jalen Coker's situation, I'm a little scared of Bryce. I know that Detroit defense is terrible, but if it's just Tet out there, Tetton Waller. I mean, not, not in love with Bryce this week.
00:09:59
Speaker 2: Well, yeah. I mean, Coker, it sounds like he should be okay. I feel like Coker is yet to be 100% this year anyway. So even like a 50% Coker is still better than a lot of wide receivers out there. So yeah, I agree. If Coker's out, I would lower uh, Bryce a bit, but he's facing the lions. I just thought you had every, everybody facing the lions is in your top 10.
00:10:21
Speaker 1: So if it was in Detroit, if it was in the dome, I definitely, yeah. Playing in Carolina, obviously they're at home, but at the same time, it's like, they might just lean on Chuba. Oh, and Bryce Young's dealing with an injury too. I forgot to, I forgot about that. He, he had something, I mean, there's no injury report. It's we're recording this on Tuesday, so we don't really know the exact details, but that entire team got hurt. last week or that their injury report or like, um, there's like a list of all the players, young Coker, JC horns out. There was a lot of players. They lost Damian Lewis. They're one of their star guards.
00:10:56
Speaker 2: Yep.
00:10:56
Speaker 1: This offense can really take a tumble. And like we, they only scored what 18 points against the Browns and the Browns defense hasn't looked that good.
00:11:03
Speaker 2: So didn't we find out that they practice next to a substation, uh, other than the Niners, they've been the most unfortunate, uh, injury luck team. But yeah, Bryce Young, I think he got stepped on with a cleat, which has happened to me before. It's one of the most painful things ever. But I'd say after a few days, he's probably fine. But that's why he wasn't running as much. And we're not really banking on rushing yards with him anymore. But yeah, in this matchup, if Coker's healthy enough, he's my QB 14, which honestly, that might be the highest he's ever been ranked for me. Uh, but he's like, he's looked good. And you know, having Tetton Coker and even Darren Waller there, uh, I like his upside this week. So it was just curious where you had him ranked.
00:11:50
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, he was a QB 16 for me, so he's not super low. It's just, he's not as high as he would be if I knew all of the details.
00:11:57
Speaker 2: Right.
00:11:57
Speaker 1: But yeah, if they don't have Lewis, they already don't have Taylor Moten. It's that offensive line that because the lines front is good. It's just their secondary is terrible. And Ted, we've seen flashes. We've seen him have some big weeks, but, If he's the only guy out there, can you really dominate? Can you put up that 100 plus? Or is he more of a 70 to 80 guy if Coker is out and not really taking over a game? Darren Waller. I mean, Darren Waller looks good, but I need all of the weapons out there to really get excited about Bryce this week. Who are you lower on, though?
00:12:30
Speaker 2: Justin Herbert. And again, probably the first time I've ever had Justin Herbert ranked under Bryce Young. Just a little fact. But, you know, Herbert's just had an awful start. Really, it's more the Chargers in general have been off to a brutal start. And now they face the defending Super Bowl champs this week, arguably the best defense. Despite, you know, Seattle gave up 33 points to the Commanders last week. But if you really look at that play-by-play, a lot of that was just due to the offense turning it over. Price fumbled the first play of the game. and set up the commanders like first and 20 or, uh, inside the red zone already. They, they score Darnold through a pick six. So a lot of those 33 points weren't even the defense. So I still consider this a brutal matchup for Herbert. Now he, he does have the upside to kind of overcome this type of spot, but, uh, you know, I have him QB 24, uh, just with the O-line issues on the interior. Um, just really hard to buy into this offense right now. I think eventually they do turn around at some point, but not this week against the Seahawks. He is obviously a must bench in one QB leagues, maybe even two QB. If you have someone like a Bryce Young or Bo Nix as your QB two, I'd play them over him. But yeah, this could be rock bottom for Justin Herbert. Not going to lie. I think QB 24 is probably the lowest he can go in my model. But again, things are not good. And they're not going to get better this week, probably.
00:14:07
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the Chargers defense is much better than the Commanders. But at the same time, it's playing in Seattle. You're playing with this horrendous interior offensive line. Your wide receiver won by snaps. Quentin Johnston is incapable of catching the football. Lad is, we'll see how healthy Lad is. He played a full share of snaps last week. But that rib, I don't know how, you know, not fragile, but like how sensitive it is. Can he get knocked out of the game? Omari and Hampton, Keaton Mitchell, Kamani Vidal, their snap gap like got shallower, like that shortened last week. That was weird. I mean, Mitchell looked good outside of the receiving end where he had three catches for negative five yards. He had the touchdown, but I just don't know what to make of this team. They're not optimizing their weapons. Hampton, who had a fair amount of targets, about four per game to start the year last year, has three total targets to start the season. Uh, around a Gadsden who's their de facto tight end. One now is being used at the line of scrimmage, but he's not really being used downfield. Um, they can't create shots downfield consistently. Everything feels wrong. They have 44 points through three games. I'm with you. You can't be starting a Herbert this week. Probably still wouldn't drop him, but he's, he's a definite bench. Um, Similar feeling, but I mean, I have him higher than Herbert is Drake May. The Bills defense isn't great, but it's solid. And until I see it with May at this point, God, I don't know how you start him. I just don't trust May. I don't trust his weapons. Mack Hollins is the wide receiver one right now. The running game is hit or miss. Uh, even though they got Travion Henderson back, he had the really good week two. Then they gave it like, I mean, they were out of the game by the start of the fourth quarter. So they were running Corey Kiner. I'm really disheartened by this Patriots offense. The offensive line is still shaky despite their multiple first round additions in the past few years. Mays arm. I, I, it just looks like he's dealing with like a shoulder elbow or something issue. I just can't trust May. I can't trust Herbert until we see it at this point, even though this is a good matchup for May because they're going to have to score against them or they're going to have to try to pass and play aggressive against the Bills. And in Buffalo, I mean, their new dome stadium, it's favorable. There's no weather condition effects. It's still, you can't start May this week.
00:16:43
Speaker 2: How do you feel? Yeah, I'm low on him as well, but the quarterback's position is such a disaster right now. I'd be like, hard-pressed to start. Kyler, Bryce Young, Jacoby Broussette, Marcus Mariota over him. It's just rough, but yeah, I agree. Something's not right with May. Obviously, playing better teams hurts him, but he's not rushing as much. This is two straight games now with less than 20 rushing yards with just three interceptions, nothing else to show for it. I'd say this week could be rock bottom for him. I agree. I think it's going to be a good game script for him. Yeah. But can he execute it remains to be seen. I think just once the schedule gets easier for him. Did you just say the schedule? Yeah, that's his nickname, right? Yeah. He's living up to the name. When he torches the Dolphins and Jets, that's it. The schedule is going to remain his nickname forever. Can't wait. But yeah, I mean, come on. He faced the Seahawks, Steelers, and Jaguars. That's a pretty brutal three-game stretch. And he was not able to overcome it. So that is not good news for him long-term. But I think once they do face easier competition, that's going to help him out. So yeah, he's still like he's a high-end QB2 for me just because the upside's there. Again, who knows if he'd be better with A.J. Brown right now. I think that's obviously hurting him. Um, but yeah, it's not good. Uh, cause a lot of people took him as their QB three or, uh, he was the third QB off the board. So definitely a bit of disappointment, but I think at some point it could turn around, but probably not, you know, the next few weeks, but yeah, it's been, it's been a very disappointing start for him for sure. Yeah.
00:18:35
Speaker 1: Drake, maybe not sadly in six, six interceptions. He had eight total last year. It's like the two fumbles last week. Everything's bad, but yeah, we're moving on. Running back, who's your top five?
00:18:48
Speaker 2: All right, so let me sort it. B. John Robinson, Jameer Gibbs, Jonathan Taylor, Chris McCaffrey, and Kenneth Walker.
00:18:58
Speaker 1: Okay, I have Gibbs, Robinson, Walker, Taylor, Henry at five. CMC is at seven, so I'm not too low on him, but it seems like pretty close to lockstep. You're having B. John at one. Whereas Gibbs, I mean, Gibbs after last week, it'll be not a great week too, but Gibbs is looking unreal. And I mean, Bijan faced the Packers. The Saints defense is a little better, but even so, I mean, the Falcons look way better with panics under center. So that's, that's exciting.
00:19:28
Speaker 2: Did you see the top five actual running backs last week? It rarely actually lines up with the consensus top five, but it did. It was. Yeah. Jameer Gibbs, number one, Bijan, number two, Derek Henry, number three, Kenneth Walker number four, CMC number five, which is almost consensus. Usually that never happens. Usually you have some guy like Aaron Jones will just pop off and be in the top five, but kind of a rare week where the consensus top five was the actual top five.
00:19:56
Speaker 1: Love it. I love to see when good players are good. And Aaron Jones, this might be the week for him with the Miami matchup and his workload. But who are you higher on though?
00:20:05
Speaker 2: I'm higher on Chuba Hubbard. He is my running back seven. To open the week. Yeah, I was hiding him last week, but I thought A.J. Dillon would mix in a little bit more with Jonathan Brooks up, but they just went full Chuba last week. I don't think A.J. Dillon played his first snap or got his first touch until like midway through the third quarter. So, I mean, Chuba Hubbard was just a clear workhorse back, which is kind of a rarefied error. These days. And, you know, Jonathan Brooks is on the IR. He's going to be out for some time. I think it's kind of silly at this point to expect Brooks to play more than one or two games at a time right now. So if you got Shuba Hubbard, congratulations. He's looking like an RB1 for maybe the rest of the season. So just based on his underlying usage, he's already in good shape. But now they face the Lions this week at home. The Lions defense, you know, they're getting torched. through the air and on the ground. So this is just a smash spot for Chuba Hubbard. The only reason he's not in my top six is who the hell am I going to rank him over? Derek Henry, Kenneth Walker? He can't. So his ceiling is RB7 right now. But yeah, he's top 10 running back for me this week and for the foreseeable future. With this role, yeah, he's looking good. And yeah, even with the offensive line issues, being on the Panthers, Doesn't matter. With this kind of volume and workload, it's going to be hard to not play him at any time going forward right now.
00:21:42
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have him as high. He's in my top 15 for sure because of this workload. But again, losing Damian Lewis possibly for the week. Coker, if he's not out there, I just don't see the ceiling for this offense. It might be a little tougher, but definitely if everybody's out there on offense, I definitely love Chuba. He might rise to my top 10 for sure. But the guy I'm higher on, David Montgomery, this week, he's getting the workload. He didn't really get it in week two, but overall, he is definitely dominating Woody Marks. This week, with Nico Collins back facing the Cowboys defense that, again, we were discussing in the last episode, coming back from Rio, coming back from a fast-paced game, David Montgomery, he's their goal linebacker.
00:22:28
Speaker 2: He's the workhorse.
00:22:29
Speaker 1: He is in play this week as a top 10 running back for me. He's actually my RB9. How do you feel about Montgomery?
00:22:38
Speaker 2: Oh, wow. I'm not that high, but I do think he's a good buy low. He's my RB19. He's a good buy low because Dave Montgomery is a game script dependent running back. So he needs the Texans winning games, playing with the lead. And the Texans, they were a sneaky Super Bowl contender, and they're 0-3 to start the year. They had a brutal couple games stretched to start against the Bills and Bengals. Those are tougher games. But going forward, I would expect more leading game scripts, which is going to help David Montgomery out. So I think it's a good time to buy low on him. I don't have him that high because Woody Marks is factoring in quite a bit. But this is against the Cowboys. So this is definitely kind of a ceiling spot for Montgomery if they play with the lead. So I just think if you don't have them, maybe float an offer to kind of prime away from an impatient owner. But yeah, I think Montgomery is definitely kind of in my buy low camp right now.
00:23:39
Speaker 1: Yeah, they've been playing with a deficit. I mean, they lost by two touchdowns to the Bengals. And then last week against the Colts, they were down. It was seven to 13 at halftime. And they were playing down throughout the third quarter as well. So it was just a bad game script. Woody Marks does play more when it is a negative game script and they have to pass. But I think this could be a very close matchup against the Cowboys. Their defense is still one of the best in the league, if not the best. So I'm going to give some credence. Cowboys, we'll see how they do after Rio. Passing game looks good, but they don't look like they're firing on all cylinders. They're still having that last second throw to pick it throw away. when Pickens was wide open, it just feels like there's some issues with the Cowboys and their defense is not good. So assuming this is a close game or if the Texans are leading, I expect Montgomery to see his share of, you know, 18 plus touches once again, like he did in week one. This is, yeah, this is just a great matchup spot for him. Who are you lower on?
00:24:39
Speaker 2: Oh, Marion Hampton. I'm lower on just a disaster week for Hampton. In terms of underlying usage, he did end up with 15 carries for 56 yards, which is fine, but that's not going to feed families. Keaton Mitchell and Kamani Vidal. Kamani Vidal is now part of the committee, which is a disaster for Hampton. But Vidal and Mitchell, they kind of split the passing down and two-minute offensive work. So that's why Hampton had zero catches. And that's a concerning trend because it's going to be hard for Hampton to to get receptions if he's not out there in passing situations. So right now, Hampton's kind of an expensive Blake Corum in a worse offense. So that is a horrible recipe. But this week it gets even worse because they're facing the Seahawks. Should be a trailing game script against a brutal defense. So he's RB25, which could represent rock bottom for him, which I guess is a good sign because it's still borderline RB2. But this is just not good. And then if Keith Mitchell outplays him, he could start eating into his early down snaps. The offensive line is struggling. So just a lot of concerns just around Hampton's role in the team, which isn't really his fault, but not what you wanted when you draft a running back inside the top 10. Your tattoo is looking safe at this point.
00:26:12
Speaker 1: Very safe.
00:26:12
Speaker 2: Must say.
00:26:14
Speaker 1: Very, very safe.
00:26:15
Speaker 2: Yeah. So, yeah, he's a guy I wouldn't even necessarily buy low on. I just think the underlying usage is the writing on the wall. So I'd rather have Pete Mitchell sitting on my bench waiting to see what happens. But, again, with Kamani Vidal mixing in now, this is just a disaster. So the whole Chargers backfield is kind of a pain to project, which is– that's always– That's never good for the starting running back. So that's especially bad for Hampton's stock right now.
00:26:45
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Vidal thing's weird. No touches through the first two weeks. I mean, even last week, he played over 20% of the snaps and got two, three targets. But even so, it's like he's mixing in more as a blocker on passing downs just because Mitchell's so small. Hampton's probably not as good in pass pro. But at the same time, Hampton's getting the touches. They're just inefficient players. He's at least the goal linebacker. Seahawks defense, Broncos, Chiefs, bye. Rams, Texans, Ravens. That's not great. I was optimistic that this offense should be better than whatever we've been seeing. The Mike McDaniel facade is fading. Everything's wrong. Bench Herbert, Bench Hampton. Unless, I mean, if you're in a deeper league, obviously you can't. You have to start starting running back for this team. But yeah, I'm with you. Definitely lower on him as well. I'm lower on Jadarian Price, the other running back in this matchup. Jadarian Price is fumbling his role away. They're saying they're still going to give him the touches. But I mean, we saw Emmanuel Wilson have the 20 plus touch game in week two. Yeah, Jadarian had six total touches. Last week, he has two fumbles already. Six total touches, two fumbles. He had a good week one efficiency-wise. 50% success rate, not terrible. 4.3 yards per attempt. Seven targets through three games. That's better than I expected. But yeah, you can't keep fumbling. George Helani will be involved. Manny Wilson will be involved. And then Zach Charbonnet is on the mend. This is more long-term. This is obviously not for this week. But they're facing a Chargers defense that is Not great, but respectable-ish. I mean, James Cook went off against them, but it's James Cook and the Bills offense. Sam Darnold coming back last week, obviously was slinging it in the second half, but they were in a negative game script. Good to see him look good off the glute, but who knows? Maybe makes a few mistakes. Maybe this isn't such a positive game script. This game could be closer, but at the same time, I just don't know what to make a price right now coming off of just a horrendous two-week stretch. Where are you at with him?
00:29:04
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you remember, he was my clear fade in that range because of that. Because he didn't have much experience at Notre Dame. He only had 87 total pass blocks for a four-year career, which that's how rookie running backs really get on the field. They have to prove they can pass blocks. So he's just out there on early downs. He's got Helani. Manny Wilson mixing in. I said it was going to be frustrating. And he had fumble issues at Notre Dame, too. So um he's a very talented back like he's gonna be exciting to watch break off a couple big runs on early downs but that's not why you draft him you know rb27 or what it was and like you said zach charbonnet isn't even back yet when when he's back then you can't even trust price uh whatsoever so yeah definitely um been like a floor case scenario for Price early on, which is a shame because I do like him as a talent. But this is why the situation was just too murky to invest a top 30 pick on him. That's too rich for me. And again, he should be operating at a ceiling right now with Charbonnet out. And we're like Coram. This is Coram's floor. Kyron Williams is totally healthy. This is the worst Coram's going to be in terms of usage. He at least has top five upsides. Price doesn't have any kind of upside. This was the time where he could be a top 10 running back, but he just doesn't have the skill set for that role.
00:30:34
Speaker 1: Washington, Arizona, New England. You would expect those matchups to be the ones that he can dominate.
00:30:41
Speaker 2: Nope. Nope.
00:30:42
Speaker 1: It's like with Hampton week one and two. Hampton did well against the Raiders in week two, but it's like Arizona and the Raiders, those are the weeks Hampton should have Went crazy. And then if you would have slowed down a little bit, we would have understood. But it was like one good week and then two useless weeks. Yeah, these running backs, not great right now. But yeah, this is a shame. Shameful start to the season. Don't forget BetSync is back in the Action app and it's better than ever. Now you can automatically track your activity across 15 plus sportsbooks and prediction markets all in one place. Connect your accounts once and your bets and trades will automatically appear in action as soon as you place them. No manual tracking required. From there, follow all your action with live win probability, in-game alerts, and bet analysis throughout the game. Just open the Action app, head to My Accounts, connect your sportsbook or prediction market, and you're ready to go. Download the Action app and connect with BetSync for free today. Wide receiver, give me your top five for this week.
00:31:39
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's pretty straightforward. I got JSN, Amon Ra, Puka Nakua. Who the hell knows what's going on there? But I'm expecting him back this week. And then Jamar Chase and CeeDee Lamb.
00:31:52
Speaker 1: Yeah, sounds about right. No hot takes in there outside of maybe Puka playing. It sounds like Puka's probably going to miss week four. Every week, it's getting murkier with the reporting of his injuries. Groin, potential hernia. They said it's not a hernia, but the area where he's injured sounds like it would be a hernia, according to all of the PTs on Twitter. I'm a rotosurgeon, but I'm not a doctor, as I always say. My top five is Jamar Chase, Amon Ra, JSN, Olave, Garrett Wilson. So we are a little bit differing. I mean, you have Puka, and I don't have Puka. Olave and Wilson, for you, where.
00:32:37
Speaker 2: Do they fall? Right there, six and seven. So if Puka doesn't play, which, again, I'm admitting is completely possible, those guys would bump up. The good– Puka doesn't play on Monday Night Football. That was a disaster. When Puka was a game-time decision playing on Monday Night Football, that was a disaster. They play– I believe they play the early slate on Sunday because they're at Philly. So it's going to make it much easier at least with start decisions with him because we'll have clarity before 80% of the league plays. So that's why it's going to be easier just to assume he's in until told otherwise. But, yeah, anything can happen with Puka right now. Yeah.
00:33:17
Speaker 1: Once that Odell Beckham signing, he just got released from the Giants happens. I think we might have more clarity on the Puka. I'm kidding though. I don't know what's going to happen there. Obviously Puka again, like I expect him to be out. Devante Adams is firmly in my Devante Adams without Puka. Oh my God. That's been beautiful by the way. That's been, Oh my God. I could do this every week on my teams with Devante Adams. He's, he's so fun to have right now, but Yeah, I don't think Puka's back this week. Probably next week, just the way they're making it sound. But even then, it's like, who knows? Who knows with Puka at this point? But who are you higher or lower? Or who are you higher on this week?
00:33:57
Speaker 2: I'm higher on Michael Wilson, who opens the week as my wide receiver 19. But, you know, three games in, it's clear Marvin Harrison Jr. is simply the clear-out X role in this offense, where he might get one or two deep shots a game, but that's it. Wilson is the clear top wide receiver. Well, Trey McBride's the clear top target in this offense. It's still highly concentrated to those two guys because Wilson's still getting a 25% target rate. I don't expect him to maintain that rate, but with all the underlying metrics, with first read rate and everything else I kind of use, I expect him to be right around a 22% target rate. which is definitely healthy in what should be a pass-heavy offense. On a bad team, I mean, the Cardinals are going to be trailing more times than not. So he's going to get plenty of targets. And the playing time has been out of control. 95% route turn rate. So he's pretty much out there every Jacoby drop back. And he only has a 60% catch rate. I expect that to go up. So I expect him to catch more of his targets going forward. Great matchup this week against the Giants. So again, just everything's been kind of best case scenario, even with Marvin Harrison Jr. healthy, which was not the case last year. I think it's kind of the writing is on the wall. They've kind of moved on from our Harrison kind of scheme out plays for him. So it's the Michael Olsen show again. He's my wide receiver 19 this week. Yeah.
00:35:34
Speaker 1: Wilson McBride love. That's those are the top dogs. Marvin Harrison's just kind of like they're.
00:35:40
Speaker 2: I really hope opening things up for these guys.
00:35:42
Speaker 1: Kind of. Yeah. He's not even that fast. He's not a clear out guy, but he's still kind of, kind of got to be respected, but he had a good rookie year and he just never built on it. He had, he had the injury last year. He had, or he had the appendicitis.
00:35:56
Speaker 2: I remember that.
00:35:56
Speaker 1: It just, it's been a weird, weird start to his career. I brought it up on Twitter. Marvin Harrison, Jr. Brian Thomas, Jr. Romo Dunze. All three of them should be traded for each other. And let's see if, You know, let's spin a wheel and see if just a new environment opens things up. Or maybe they just aren't that good. And maybe the 2024 wide receiver class was super overrated outside of like Ladd and Malik neighbors.
00:36:21
Speaker 2: And they're both.
00:36:21
Speaker 1: Hurt or like playing after an injury. And it's like, we just can't win. Imagine being in a dynasty league, having all of those first round picks that year and landing these guys who were really good in year one, kaput after.
00:36:38
Speaker 2: Yeah, crazy. Neighbors is the best one from that class.
00:36:42
Speaker 1: Neighbors is a dog, but yeah, he has to get healthy. Jameis, we'll see what he does. I don't know. I don't trust him with JJ McCarthy. So I don't really know what to make of that, but that's neither here nor there. I'm higher on Jacoby Myers this week. He's in my top 30 wide receivers. We discussed him recently on the waiver wire episode. And Jacoby, I mean, speaking of catch rate, Jacoby is a 90% catch rate thus far.
00:37:04
Speaker 2: He's closer to.
00:37:05
Speaker 1: A 70% rate throughout his career, but he only has 11 targets anyway. So it's not like we have a massive sample on Jacoby Myers, but yeah, he's playing, he's leading the team in snaps, uh, eight targets last week, Bengals game or facing the Bengals this week in a potential shootout or matchup that both teams are going to have to, you know, put up some points against this respective, their, these respective offenses. So, I'm excited for everyone, basically, in Jaguars versus Bengals, aside from Mr. Brian Thomas Jr. Yeah, he's fading. He's definitely, I mean, he's falling out of favor in snaps. But Jacoby Myers, you like him this week?
00:37:45
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah. Again, he's my wide receiver 30. I think he's a high floor option. Great point about the 90% catch rate. I have him closer to 67%. going forward, but still seeing a ton of playing time, a ton of targets. And yeah, maybe Josh Cameron turns into the Parker Washington of the 2025 Jaguars, where he just kind of annoyingly chips away at Brian Thomas Jr. specifically. But Jacoby Myers and Parker Washington are safe. They're the clear top two targets in this offense going forward. Travis Hunter's not even an option anymore. So yeah, I think just Meyer's floor is very high in that wide receiver three range, which, again, is very useful for teams. If you're like a favorite in your matchup and your wide receiver slot is kind of your pain point, having Jacoby Myers there is an excellent way to just guarantee a handful of points.
00:38:41
Speaker 1: Definitely. Yeah, I like him this week a lot. But and, you know, just to, you know, go off that Brian Thomas Jr. I'm lower on this week. Who are you lower on?
00:38:51
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm lower on Emeka Ibuka. He's my wide receiver. 46 to open the week. And there's a couple red flags here that have absolutely nothing to do with his talent. I still think he profiles as a solid wide receiver too, long-term, depending on the situation, for years to come. But the Bucs have been one of the many teams that are embracing more heavy, two tight ends, three tight end personnel, uh, which is starting to really chip away at both Godwin and Ibuka, their routes run rate, uh, with, with, you know, rookie Ted Hurst mixing in a ton. So Godwin and Ibuka, they're, they're, routes run rate are a tick below 80%, which is not ideal. And that's kind of a league-wide trend, but it's specifically impacting both of them. But also, Baker Mayfield's out this week. So they're going to be starting rookie quarterback Jalen Daniels, which if you are unfamiliar of who Jalen Daniels is, he was the quarterback for Kansas last year. And my comp for him is six foot one Kyler Murray, where that's.
00:39:58
Speaker 1: Not bad, right?
00:40:00
Speaker 2: Yeah.
00:40:00
Speaker 1: So that's not the worst comp.
00:40:02
Speaker 2: He's nothing wrong with him specifically, but he's going to be running the ball a ton. So it's great for him. If, if you're in a deep, you know, start two, three quarterback leagues, like I'm in a couple of those, He's a sneaky option this week. He's going to be like my QB 24, 25, because I think he's going to run the ball a ton. But that comes at the expense of pass attempts or catchable targets to people like Emeka Buka. Because I have Daniels, my initial passing yard projection for him is right around 172. So... Not many yards to go around. So I have Ibuka right around 3.2 catches, 43 yards, with about a 25% chance to score a touchdown. So that's outside of the top 40 type of range. Now, he's talented enough to overcome that, but just people have to prepare for the Buccaneers to be just kind of like an ultra run-heavy team right now. Maybe that helps out, like Bucky Irving, but it's not good news for the pass catchers with everybody healthy right now. So Ibuka got to make plans for somebody else right now. Um, at least until Baker comes back. Yeah.
00:41:18
Speaker 1: The good news for the Buccaneers is the Packers defense is bad. Uh, we saw Bijan and Brian Robinson both run all over them. I mean, not shocking with Bijan, but Brian Robinson was collapsing their defense and that he even scored. So, I mean, it could be a decent day for Bucky. I mean, Bucky got hurt, but he's not on the injury report. He's probably fine. Gainwell's not really involved, so not an option. But yeah, Jalen Daniels, if he runs 10 to 12 times or whatever, could definitely be a fantasy viable day from him. And Igbuka, Godwin's snaps dropped last week to 62%. Ted Hurst is playing consistently at about a 75% rate weekly. He's more of the deep threat clear out guy, but he had that touchdown. He split the safeties last week. That was really nice to see, but with Baker... I'm not going to say this is like a Case Keenum scenario where Keenum and Luther Burden had this great connection on Monday Night Football. But Igbuka and Baker have terrible chemistry. He's getting targeted. Igbuka's getting targeted. He has like 20 targets through the first three games. But at the same time, I'm watching. I'm like, they just... Baker's throwing behind him. He's throwing way in front of him. While Igbuka's wide-ass open... on curls, hitches, whatever. Their chemistry is just off. Igbuka, he's not much of a deep threat. He can house it here and there, but who knows? Maybe Jalen Daniels and Igbuka have this magic chemistry, but you're right. I don't want to start him. I don't want to start any of the Bucks receiving weapons, but I don't mind Bucky. Bucky's probably going to be in my, I don't know, Bucky is in my top 24, so. That's nice. I'm going to be lower on, like I said, Brian Thomas Jr. Are you as well? Oh yeah.
00:43:06
Speaker 2: Yeah. Definitely low on Brian Thomas Jr. Because the playing time, my God, the playing time, uh, 44% route to run rate. Now he's constantly leaving the game due to injury and stuff. I think he wasn't hurt or anything.
00:43:22
Speaker 1: Um, uh, he's been dealing with the shoulder kind of, yeah, he was limited in practice. Maybe it's still nagging, but that was from last year too. So We're in a really weird spot with Brian Thomas Jr. right now.
00:43:33
Speaker 2: Yeah. But that, and he only got targeted on 7% of those routes. So even when he's out there, he's not getting targeted. I heard some rumors that he's potentially dealing with like a labrum situation, which I wouldn't be shocked. I've torn my labrum before and I, I didn't have surgery for like a year. It's not pleasant. So he's probably just in a lot of pain and maybe contemplate. I have no idea what he's dealing with, but, he seems to be playing through pain right now. Um, and it's just not working. So yeah, I don't know what's going on there, but the playing time is the red flag. Again, if he's out there less than half of Trevor Lawrence's dropbacks, he's unplayable and he's not even getting targets. So yeah, I don't, he's gotta be droppable and you know, shallow.
00:44:20
Speaker 1: Team leagues, 10 team leagues for sure.
00:44:22
Speaker 2: You're starting to wider receivers, right? Those kinds of leagues. Um, gotta be droppable at this point, but you know, he still has a ton of talent. Uh, and you know, he's getting like, yeah, yeah, exactly. He's got a ton of talent. And if like Parker Washington, uh, or, uh, even Jacoby Myers go down, like now maybe he's back into the, you know, wide receiver three discussion. So it's like, but people have to drop somebody at some point. So, you know, he's just one of those guys where if, You're in a league where it makes sense. You don't just keep hanging on and hoping somebody gets hurt. Then you could cut bait. But it's just not good. Not happening for him right now.
00:45:04
Speaker 1: Handcuff wide receiver. Hate those.
00:45:06
Speaker 2: Exactly.
00:45:06
Speaker 1: Especially when you spend a top six or seven pick on them.
00:45:10
Speaker 2: It's so annoying.
00:45:11
Speaker 1: It's like Jordan Addison is kind of that, but he went off last week with Justin Jefferson hurt.
00:45:16
Speaker 2: But Jordan Addison is.
00:45:16
Speaker 1: Not dealing with anything. So there's not really as much concern on that end. I'm looking at it.
00:45:21
Speaker 2: Yeah. I'm with you.
00:45:23
Speaker 1: It just, it seems like it could be a labrum. I mean, Xavier worthy had the off season surgery. He's still not the same, but he just might not be good. But yeah, Brian Thomas jr. We, we could see him go into the knife or not. And he just plays through it for the rest of his career.
00:45:37
Speaker 2: Who knows?
00:45:38
Speaker 1: Moving on to tight end. Give me your top five for this week.
00:45:40
Speaker 2: Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, George Kittle, Tyler Warren. We're if Keenan Allen, were to get suspended. My God, Tyler might catch 10 balls in that first game. Uh, and then Travis Kelsey.
00:45:55
Speaker 1: Oh, wow.
00:45:57
Speaker 2: I think I had in my top five last week and I was wondering what you did.
00:46:00
Speaker 1: You killed it. He had the touchdown and 50 yards or so.
00:46:02
Speaker 2: Yeah. The more I looked into it, you know what? He's Travis freaking Kelsey. He's so he remains in my top five this week. Absolutely. Yeah.
00:46:10
Speaker 1: Mine's McBride Bowers, Kincaid, Kittle Warren, Kelsey's my six. So yeah, you don't have Kincaid in your top five.
00:46:17
Speaker 2: Um, no, he's outside of it. Uh, don't know why, but, um, he's just kind of like a big play kind of guy, uh, where all the other guys probably have higher floors, but, um, I have no problem with Kincaid whatsoever. Yeah.
00:46:33
Speaker 1: I mean, you have to, if you have them, you're starting them. That's, that's pretty easy.
00:46:37
Speaker 2: Ridiculous.
00:46:38
Speaker 1: 15 and a half yards per target this year, 17 targets, touchdown, 263 yards.
00:46:44
Speaker 2: That's the thing. He's going to make it. Crazy. He's going to make it count the playing times through the roof right now. So he's one of those guys. Got to play him. The Pats play more man coverage. I think, you know, he tends to struggle more against man. But again, Kincaid's one of those guys where you just kind of have to play him right now. You're playing him for his upside. So even if, you know, I have him ranked outside my top five, still be comfortable playing him if he's your best option anyway.
00:47:16
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just think Josh Allen's so good. Josh Allen's the best quarterback in football. I mean, unless Mahomes gets back to, I mean, Mahomes has been creeping back. So it's, it feels like that's still easily the one too, but yeah, with Josh Allen playing out of his mind, I mean, he got hurt. So we'll see, we'll see the Josh Allen situation on the injury report this week. Uh, but that's neither here nor there. Who are you higher on for the, uh, tight end position?
00:47:42
Speaker 2: Yeah. Kenyon Sadiq. Uh, I'm high on, uh, He opens the week as my tight end 11. Again, we talked about it in the waiver pod. I don't know if I'd blow my entire fab on him. You might have to because he had such a big game. But I think he does have sneaky tight end one rest of season appeal because he's a first-round rookie. Didn't love the landing spot. He's got to compete with Garrett Wilson. Mason Taylor and A.D. Mitchell were both out last week. So if they return this week, that's going to ding him a bit. But again, if you watched The film on him last week, he looks like a wide receiver. I think he's one of those high upside, modern day tight ends. So yeah, if you have him, congratulations. Yeah, tight end 11 for me this week. Again, you're not going to be able to face the Lions every week without A.D. Mitchell and Mason Taylor. So that might be his ceiling game was last week. But again, I still love his upside. Still like him going forward. So yeah, he's my tight end 11 to open this week.
00:48:43
Speaker 1: Yeah, now 58% of the snaps last week still scored just 20 fantasy points. That was excellent out of Sadiq. He's my tight end 10. My tight end 11, who is, I mean, I would have picked Sadiq, I guess, because I'm technically higher on Sadiq than Isaiah Likely. But yeah, it's Isaiah Likely. He has 23 targets in the first three games. Terrible efficiency. He went off in week one with the two touchdowns and eight receptions, but that was with Jackson Dart. But I mean, they played the Rams in week two. That was the game. Dart went out. Tennessee last week, but it was like a monsoon because of the nor'easter. I'm from the West coast. So I'm not too familiar with nor'easters, but the weather was impacting that game impacting Washington versus Seattle as well. But that game was a 64 point final. That was ridiculous with Mariota and Darnold. That was, That was cool for fantasy, though. I benched Terry McLaurin everywhere, but that's neither here nor there. But yeah, Isaiah Likely this week. I don't know what's going on with Malik Nabors. He had the shoulder pop out two weeks ago. Popped it back in. Speaking of shoulders, I don't know what's going to go on with him. If they're going to shut him down, get him surgery. He's been dealing with this since college, I believe. But with Jackson Dart hurt, JJ McCarthy maybe in the mix. Who knows what happens with Nabors? Maybe they're just like, hey, let's get this over with. Kind of weird that both LSU wide receivers, by the way, are dealing with weird shoulder injuries. But yeah, Isaiah Likely getting the targets, playing time. They paid him in the offseason. Harbaugh loves him. This is just and this matchup. I mean, Arizona, we were discussing you like Michael Wilson. I think this could be a higher scoring game for sure. Assuming the weather. I mean, they're playing in New York. I would have preferred this game to be in Arizona because that would be, you know, ideal conditions for passing, right? But as long as the weather isn't egregious, I do like likely the running game is weird with the Scataboo Najee Harris combo now. But yeah, this offense with James Winston, understander of Arizona could put up points. They're going to have to throw in the second half of the game and the defense lost Brian Burns. So this could definitely be a higher scoring matchup. You like, do you like likely?
00:50:59
Speaker 2: Yeah. Where'd you have ranked? 11. Oh, we should have just flipped our guys in because I'm higher on him than Sadiq. What the hell? You had Sadiq on the board.
00:51:09
Speaker 1: I'm just kidding. It doesn't matter.
00:51:10
Speaker 2: We end up talking about the same guys anyway. Yeah, he's my tight end six. I think he's a great guy. Whoa! Yeah. He ran a route on 85% of Jameis Winston dropbacks. So as long as Jameis Winston's a quarterback, I'm in on Isaiah Leckley. I think If and when J.J. McCarthy takes over, then I'm going to back off. So as long as Winston's a quarterback, I think likely is the guy because, like you said, something's up with neighbors. Still the clear number one target, but they don't have much else behind that. Fields and Mooney are more like deeper threats, like lower target guys. They just cut Odell Beckham, which doesn't matter, but they signed Braxton Berrios, who's out there for 20% of the snaps. He's yet to see a target, so... Braxton Barry is getting more playing time is good for everybody. So I think likely just coming off that game again, I think it was weather related. Yeah. The playing time was there. The target rate is there. The production is going to come no matter what. So yeah, I'm very high on likely this week. He's my tight end six to open the week.
00:52:22
Speaker 1: Perfect. Who are you lower on?
00:52:24
Speaker 2: Dalton Schultz. Dalton Schultz is my tight end 14. And he was a very tricky projection player. Last week coming off that massive game. And I thought he'd probably have one more good game in him with Nico out.
00:52:39
Speaker 1: Everyone thought.
00:52:40
Speaker 2: Yeah. He was my tight end four. This is how complex projections are. He was my tight end four. I loved him. But I hammered the shit out of his under five and a half receptions.
00:52:52
Speaker 1: Yeah. I saw that on the Action Network app.
00:52:54
Speaker 2: Yep. Yep. Uh, yeah. So I, I was projecting for like 5.1 receptions, which is like, you know, 60% chance he stays under five and a half. So, you know, I, I faded the market, but I still liked him in fantasy and he, he definitely had a dud. And the, the problem with Schultz is, uh, he's not Trey McBride. Let's be honest here. He's not like an elite talent. He benefits from circumstances. And, uh, if, uh, the Texans were to play with the lead, you know, they're going to use more 12 personnel. He's not really in those packages. So the Texans are Owen three. He's played without Nico Collins for two games. Now things are only going to get worse for Schultz with Nico back, but at some point they're going to play with the lead. So I know you're high on Dave Montgomery. That's going to be great for Dave Montgomery. He's going to get more work. Um, and Dalton Schultz is going to see a downtick and just playing time in general and target rate. So, um, You know, he's still kind of like a high-end tight end too. He's my tight end 14 for the week. But if you just blew your load on him last week after that Monster 12 catch game, you're probably regretting it. You're probably having some buyer's remorse because that's just how the tight end position is, especially with these Dalton Schultz-type guys where their production can come in waves and we can kind of predict it. But who knows? This is a revenge game at Dallas. This is a horrible defense, so he could– you know, pop off here, but I'd be trying to sell high while you can with him, especially if, which it seems like Nico Collins returns this week. Yeah.
00:54:33
Speaker 1: From a former cowboy to a current cowboy, Jake Ferguson's the guy I'm lower on though. He has three touchdowns this season.
00:54:39
Speaker 2: That's great.
00:54:39
Speaker 1: I've benched him for those games.
00:54:40
Speaker 2: That's fun.
00:54:41
Speaker 1: I love that. I love starting Hunter Henry with Eli Raritan out thinking, Oh, maybe this is the game for Hunter Henry.
00:54:47
Speaker 2: Nope.
00:54:48
Speaker 1: Patriots defense are so bad, but Jake Ferguson has two fumbles on the season. His snap rate is dropping. It was 76%, 60%, 69%, so it's been under 70% the past two games. They paid Brevin Spanford, and his snap rate has risen to 38% consistently over the past two games. Luke Schoonmaker's playing over 20% of the snaps. They're playing multiple tight end sets across the league. They're following that trend. But yeah, Jake Ferguson, if he keeps fumbling... he's not going to play as much, even though they did pay him a year or so ago. But, uh, yeah, his efficiency is terrible. It was terrible last year. Maybe he scores a touchdown again, but this Texas defense is pretty damn stout. Um, they'd probably still be targeting lamb and pickings over him. Javante Williams is looking fan or look fantastic last week, at least trusting him, using him in the passing game, a good amount. Uh, where are you at with Ferguson?
00:55:42
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm low on him as well because, I mean, they have CeeDee Lamb. George Pickens had a slow start. He's about to go nuclear. His underlying usage is out of control. By him. Yeah, by George Pickens. Ryan Flournoy, Dallas really hasn't had a wide receiver three that mattered. But Flournoy, his underlying usage is pretty high compared to their, you know, they had Turpin, Jalen Tolbert, Brooks, all those guys. He's actually kind of like a serious wide receiver three for them right now. That's eating into Ferguson's target share. Dak really didn't target Javante Williams much last year. He's targeting Javante Williams more this year. So Ferguson has way too much competition. He's literally a touchdown dependent tight end two right now, which let's be real. I mean, Dallas is going to be one of the higher scoring passing offenses. So he's going to get his touchdowns. Good luck trying to figure out what weeks those were. So it's going to be just frustrating, like you said, with deciding whether to start him or Hunter or Henry every week. Just very low floor week in, week out. Might as well just get a Darren Waller guy that's widely available.
00:56:55
Speaker 1: Or Kenyon Sadiq.
00:56:57
Speaker 2: Well, I don't know if he's going to be available after tonight, right? Yeah, but Ferguson, he's just part of that huge mix at tight end two right now where it's just going to be a nightmare projecting week in, week out. So, yeah, he just has a much, much lower floor now with just everybody commanding all these targets.
00:57:18
Speaker 1: Yeah, glad we're in lockstep. And that'll do it for NFL Week 4 Player Projections episode. Make sure to subscribe to the podcast so you don't miss anything. Like it as well, like this episode and also our waiver episode. Don't forget to check out the Fantasy Labs app for all of our projections and more. You can use code FLEX20 for $ 20 off of an NFL subscription today. fanxelabs.com slash flex. Thanks for listening to the CNX.
00:57:40
Speaker 2: News.
00:57:46
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you, please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is available 24-7 at 1-800-GAMBLER.
Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.
00:00:04
Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree?
00:00:05
Speaker 1: I got five dollars, this is a regular one.
00:00:10
Speaker 2: How many tackles can one man break?
00:00:14
Speaker 1: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable?
00:00:19
Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to be humans. my goodness that was good you guys are pros the best relentless refusing to.
00:00:30
Speaker 1: Give up all right hit that horn babe let's dance welcome to the fantasy flex podcast from action network and fantasy labs i'm your host kev mosser red john nfl week four is here and i'm joined by one of the most accurate rankers in the game sean kerner the odds maker sean how's it going how you feeling after week three.
00:00:48
Speaker 2: Uh exhausted man that that week probably took three years off my lifespan. So the first three weeks combined probably took 10 years off my lifespan. So I'm running out of time here, but I love it though. I love it. I love that football's back. Just pure carnage, which makes projections more fun. Again, we have a lot of interesting projections we have to make this week, but so far so good. How about you?
00:01:11
Speaker 1: Yeah, so far so okay. I love my teams with Jameer Gibbs.
00:01:15
Speaker 2: I love them.
00:01:15
Speaker 1: Those are my favorite. A couple of them at Basial Tootin. Huge fan of Trevor going down at the one. giving Tootin his hard-earned rushing touchdown. But yeah, the teams without Jameer Gibbs or JSN, not so much. I don't like them for some reason. It's weird. It's weird how I feel about that. But we're going to ignore those. We're going to enjoy the good and stuff under the rug, the bad. A quick reminder that all of our fantasy football content is available now over on fantasylabs.com. Fantasy Labs NFL includes in-season rankings, waiver wire and DFS tips, and much more. Make sure you use code FLEX20 for $ 20 off at fantasylabs.com slash flex. Today's episode, we're going to dive into the top five at each skill position and discuss the players who are especially higher or lower on this week. Quarterback, let's start it off. Sean, who you got at the top five?
00:02:07
Speaker 2: I always love doing this because I make all my rankings like game by game. I go through last week and whatever. And then so whenever we do this is the first time I actually sort my rankings and see who my top five are. So this is interesting. I have Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, right? Normal. Our guy, Tyler Shuck, QB number four. And then Trevor Lawrence, QB number five. So pretty fun, pretty spicy top five for me so far.
00:02:36
Speaker 1: I like it. I have Allen, I have Hertz, Lawrence, Burrow, Mahomes, and then Lamar. I just, I don't know how competitive this game is. That game, Tennessee is just so bad. How Lamar, is he going to have to throw more than 15 times? Their run defense is pretty good, but it might be a little bit of a little bit of a revenge game for Derek Henry. Not a little bit, but is this the first time they're playing? He's playing the Titans.
00:03:03
Speaker 2: I almost, I thought the same thing. I have no idea. I think they've played the Titans. How have they not played the Titans since they've had three years now? Maybe he was like out that game. I need to see. Cause I was thinking that like, has he not had a revenge game yet? Because that's scary. I don't know if he has any ill will towards the Titans, but even if he has a little bit, that'd be scary.
00:03:26
Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't recall him playing. I feel like that would have been more of a narrative. Because this is year three with the Raiders, right?
00:03:34
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he hasn't played the Titans yet. I think it'd be better if it was at Tennessee, right?
00:03:40
Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely. But still, you don't really get too many matchups in general with non-division opponents. So take them as they come. Yeah. Him versus Sala. I think, I don't think they're going to force it to Henry, but it could definitely be another Henry game. What is he? He's almost a double digit touchdowns. It feels like through the first three weeks, you just can't, he almost had the third. He was stopped at the one inch line basically in week three against the cat. That was, that was ridiculous. I'm still kind of upset about it.
00:04:10
Speaker 2: I'm never gonna, I'm never gonna like fade Henry. I think people keep expecting age curves to catch up. He's just a different– he's a different– he's not even human. He might not even be human. He defies age curves. Just look at him. It makes a ton of sense. So, I mean, yeah.
00:04:29
Speaker 1: Feed the big dog.
00:04:31
Speaker 2: Feed the big dog. I had him RB7. I think his ADP was like RB13. So, again, one year it is going to burn me being too high on Derrick Henry. But so far, so good.
00:04:43
Speaker 1: He's the LeBron James of the NFL, even though he's a lot younger, but it's like running back position is so, so fragile. It's, it's a pretty app comp, but who are you higher or lower or who are you higher on this week before we get to who you are?
00:04:56
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence is my QB five last week finishes a QB 12. But had he simply just run one more inch into the end zone? Not sure if you saw that, but he stopped on the one inch line. He would have been the quarterback three of the week. And many people, including myself, were not too happy with that. He said he wanted to give his running back, Bayshel Tootin, a touchdown, which is nice and all. But this is the NFL, so I'm sure he got enough shit behind closed doors. you know, everywhere, uh, on that where hopefully he doesn't do that again. Uh, sometimes, you know, obviously it makes sense to do something like that. Uh, but you know, there was eight minutes left. It just not, not something that you want players to be doing. Uh, so I think, uh, you know, for my, my projections, I'm going to give him credit for that. Uh, so, you know, he, he's due for like a massive game because they've had a pretty tough, tougher schedule, uh, with the Browns as being a blowout. Broncos, Pats. So now, you know, they face the Bengals who just got torched by old man Rogers last week. So again, he's my quarterback five to open the week. Just think he has a ton of upside going forward and hopefully he runs in those touchdowns going forward. Yeah.
00:06:25
Speaker 1: Nine rushing touchdowns last year. That was, that was a hell of a site. I'm sure he could definitely hit a fair amount this year. And I have Lawrence QB three. So I'm, I think I'm, Pretty high on him too, to say the least. Moving to my quarterback I'm higher on. It's Bo Nix this week. Do I love Bo Nix, the actual quarterback?
00:06:43
Speaker 2: No.
00:06:45
Speaker 1: But I do like Bo Nix, the fantasy quarterback. Their running game is non-existent at this point.
00:06:49
Speaker 2: J.K.
00:06:49
Speaker 1: Dobbins looks washed. I think that's fair to say.
00:06:53
Speaker 2: R.J.
00:06:53
Speaker 1: Harvey is more of a receiving back than he is a running back. Jonah Coleman's out. The only juice they had in the backfield is unavailable for the next few games. Bo Nix, he looked like he had the rushing touchdown at the end of the game to win against the Rams Sunday night football. Still kind of figuring out the Jalen Waddell, Cortland Sutton, Pat Bryant situation, but those are good weapons to have. Evan Ingram, tight end. He's a solid receiving tight end. He had a really good week one. He has the weapons. They're facing a San Francisco defense in San Francisco without Nick Bosa, just losing all of their depth week by week. I mean, the Broncos' defense is still really good, but I don't think they're as elite as we expected. The Rams without Puka in Denver were driving down the field. Devontae Adams was torching Pat Sertan. Riley Moss is a big-time target for any quarterback or offensive coordinator. Bo Nix, this could be a higher-scoring game than people think, despite Denver's defense. Give me Bo Nix as a top-12 quarterback. for this week. Do you like him too?
00:08:07
Speaker 2: Not as much as you. I mean, he's my QB 18. So I just think he's a solid QB two. I want to see him, you know, stop being so much of a mall Santa uses legs a bit more. His rushing arts, to be fair, his rushing arts have been trending up. He had two, then six. And then last week he had a season high seven rushing yards. And well, he at least scored a touchdown, which really helped. fancy managers, but again, maybe he doesn't trust that ankle more. And I mentioned even last year when he was healthy, there were times where he just frustratingly didn't use his legs when he should. So just kind of a concerning trend for his fancy value. Cause I think he, a lot of his untapped upside is his rushing ability. He, he could run for 20 plus yards. Like a Brock Purdy. I keep saying Brock Purdy has massive rushing upside if he wants. So until we start to see next really trust his ankle, his, his, you know, rushing ability, whatever it is, he's going to be more of a QB two for me, but I do agree. It could be a higher scoring game. I think the Niners should be able to put up points on the Broncos defense and kind of force them into a pass heavy game script. So he does have that going for him, but he's still, you know, my QB 18, at least to open the week.
00:09:23
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not starting him over a Brock Purdy or any of these top. You probably have a quarterback that you're going to start over Knicks, but I do like him this week. I think this is a really good quarterback week overall.
00:09:37
Speaker 2: Yeah, do you have Bryce Young ranked ahead of Knicks or no?
00:09:42
Speaker 1: No, with Jalen Coker's situation, I'm a little scared of Bryce. I know that Detroit defense is terrible, but if it's just Tet out there, Tetton Waller. I mean, not, not in love with Bryce this week.
00:09:59
Speaker 2: Well, yeah. I mean, Coker, it sounds like he should be okay. I feel like Coker is yet to be 100% this year anyway. So even like a 50% Coker is still better than a lot of wide receivers out there. So yeah, I agree. If Coker's out, I would lower uh, Bryce a bit, but he's facing the lions. I just thought you had every, everybody facing the lions is in your top 10.
00:10:21
Speaker 1: So if it was in Detroit, if it was in the dome, I definitely, yeah. Playing in Carolina, obviously they're at home, but at the same time, it's like, they might just lean on Chuba. Oh, and Bryce Young's dealing with an injury too. I forgot to, I forgot about that. He, he had something, I mean, there's no injury report. It's we're recording this on Tuesday, so we don't really know the exact details, but that entire team got hurt. last week or that their injury report or like, um, there's like a list of all the players, young Coker, JC horns out. There was a lot of players. They lost Damian Lewis. They're one of their star guards.
00:10:56
Speaker 2: Yep.
00:10:56
Speaker 1: This offense can really take a tumble. And like we, they only scored what 18 points against the Browns and the Browns defense hasn't looked that good.
00:11:03
Speaker 2: So didn't we find out that they practice next to a substation, uh, other than the Niners, they've been the most unfortunate, uh, injury luck team. But yeah, Bryce Young, I think he got stepped on with a cleat, which has happened to me before. It's one of the most painful things ever. But I'd say after a few days, he's probably fine. But that's why he wasn't running as much. And we're not really banking on rushing yards with him anymore. But yeah, in this matchup, if Coker's healthy enough, he's my QB 14, which honestly, that might be the highest he's ever been ranked for me. Uh, but he's like, he's looked good. And you know, having Tetton Coker and even Darren Waller there, uh, I like his upside this week. So it was just curious where you had him ranked.
00:11:50
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, he was a QB 16 for me, so he's not super low. It's just, he's not as high as he would be if I knew all of the details.
00:11:57
Speaker 2: Right.
00:11:57
Speaker 1: But yeah, if they don't have Lewis, they already don't have Taylor Moten. It's that offensive line that because the lines front is good. It's just their secondary is terrible. And Ted, we've seen flashes. We've seen him have some big weeks, but, If he's the only guy out there, can you really dominate? Can you put up that 100 plus? Or is he more of a 70 to 80 guy if Coker is out and not really taking over a game? Darren Waller. I mean, Darren Waller looks good, but I need all of the weapons out there to really get excited about Bryce this week. Who are you lower on, though?
00:12:30
Speaker 2: Justin Herbert. And again, probably the first time I've ever had Justin Herbert ranked under Bryce Young. Just a little fact. But, you know, Herbert's just had an awful start. Really, it's more the Chargers in general have been off to a brutal start. And now they face the defending Super Bowl champs this week, arguably the best defense. Despite, you know, Seattle gave up 33 points to the Commanders last week. But if you really look at that play-by-play, a lot of that was just due to the offense turning it over. Price fumbled the first play of the game. and set up the commanders like first and 20 or, uh, inside the red zone already. They, they score Darnold through a pick six. So a lot of those 33 points weren't even the defense. So I still consider this a brutal matchup for Herbert. Now he, he does have the upside to kind of overcome this type of spot, but, uh, you know, I have him QB 24, uh, just with the O-line issues on the interior. Um, just really hard to buy into this offense right now. I think eventually they do turn around at some point, but not this week against the Seahawks. He is obviously a must bench in one QB leagues, maybe even two QB. If you have someone like a Bryce Young or Bo Nix as your QB two, I'd play them over him. But yeah, this could be rock bottom for Justin Herbert. Not going to lie. I think QB 24 is probably the lowest he can go in my model. But again, things are not good. And they're not going to get better this week, probably.
00:14:07
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the Chargers defense is much better than the Commanders. But at the same time, it's playing in Seattle. You're playing with this horrendous interior offensive line. Your wide receiver won by snaps. Quentin Johnston is incapable of catching the football. Lad is, we'll see how healthy Lad is. He played a full share of snaps last week. But that rib, I don't know how, you know, not fragile, but like how sensitive it is. Can he get knocked out of the game? Omari and Hampton, Keaton Mitchell, Kamani Vidal, their snap gap like got shallower, like that shortened last week. That was weird. I mean, Mitchell looked good outside of the receiving end where he had three catches for negative five yards. He had the touchdown, but I just don't know what to make of this team. They're not optimizing their weapons. Hampton, who had a fair amount of targets, about four per game to start the year last year, has three total targets to start the season. Uh, around a Gadsden who's their de facto tight end. One now is being used at the line of scrimmage, but he's not really being used downfield. Um, they can't create shots downfield consistently. Everything feels wrong. They have 44 points through three games. I'm with you. You can't be starting a Herbert this week. Probably still wouldn't drop him, but he's, he's a definite bench. Um, Similar feeling, but I mean, I have him higher than Herbert is Drake May. The Bills defense isn't great, but it's solid. And until I see it with May at this point, God, I don't know how you start him. I just don't trust May. I don't trust his weapons. Mack Hollins is the wide receiver one right now. The running game is hit or miss. Uh, even though they got Travion Henderson back, he had the really good week two. Then they gave it like, I mean, they were out of the game by the start of the fourth quarter. So they were running Corey Kiner. I'm really disheartened by this Patriots offense. The offensive line is still shaky despite their multiple first round additions in the past few years. Mays arm. I, I, it just looks like he's dealing with like a shoulder elbow or something issue. I just can't trust May. I can't trust Herbert until we see it at this point, even though this is a good matchup for May because they're going to have to score against them or they're going to have to try to pass and play aggressive against the Bills. And in Buffalo, I mean, their new dome stadium, it's favorable. There's no weather condition effects. It's still, you can't start May this week.
00:16:43
Speaker 2: How do you feel? Yeah, I'm low on him as well, but the quarterback's position is such a disaster right now. I'd be like, hard-pressed to start. Kyler, Bryce Young, Jacoby Broussette, Marcus Mariota over him. It's just rough, but yeah, I agree. Something's not right with May. Obviously, playing better teams hurts him, but he's not rushing as much. This is two straight games now with less than 20 rushing yards with just three interceptions, nothing else to show for it. I'd say this week could be rock bottom for him. I agree. I think it's going to be a good game script for him. Yeah. But can he execute it remains to be seen. I think just once the schedule gets easier for him. Did you just say the schedule? Yeah, that's his nickname, right? Yeah. He's living up to the name. When he torches the Dolphins and Jets, that's it. The schedule is going to remain his nickname forever. Can't wait. But yeah, I mean, come on. He faced the Seahawks, Steelers, and Jaguars. That's a pretty brutal three-game stretch. And he was not able to overcome it. So that is not good news for him long-term. But I think once they do face easier competition, that's going to help him out. So yeah, he's still like he's a high-end QB2 for me just because the upside's there. Again, who knows if he'd be better with A.J. Brown right now. I think that's obviously hurting him. Um, but yeah, it's not good. Uh, cause a lot of people took him as their QB three or, uh, he was the third QB off the board. So definitely a bit of disappointment, but I think at some point it could turn around, but probably not, you know, the next few weeks, but yeah, it's been, it's been a very disappointing start for him for sure. Yeah.
00:18:35
Speaker 1: Drake, maybe not sadly in six, six interceptions. He had eight total last year. It's like the two fumbles last week. Everything's bad, but yeah, we're moving on. Running back, who's your top five?
00:18:48
Speaker 2: All right, so let me sort it. B. John Robinson, Jameer Gibbs, Jonathan Taylor, Chris McCaffrey, and Kenneth Walker.
00:18:58
Speaker 1: Okay, I have Gibbs, Robinson, Walker, Taylor, Henry at five. CMC is at seven, so I'm not too low on him, but it seems like pretty close to lockstep. You're having B. John at one. Whereas Gibbs, I mean, Gibbs after last week, it'll be not a great week too, but Gibbs is looking unreal. And I mean, Bijan faced the Packers. The Saints defense is a little better, but even so, I mean, the Falcons look way better with panics under center. So that's, that's exciting.
00:19:28
Speaker 2: Did you see the top five actual running backs last week? It rarely actually lines up with the consensus top five, but it did. It was. Yeah. Jameer Gibbs, number one, Bijan, number two, Derek Henry, number three, Kenneth Walker number four, CMC number five, which is almost consensus. Usually that never happens. Usually you have some guy like Aaron Jones will just pop off and be in the top five, but kind of a rare week where the consensus top five was the actual top five.
00:19:56
Speaker 1: Love it. I love to see when good players are good. And Aaron Jones, this might be the week for him with the Miami matchup and his workload. But who are you higher on though?
00:20:05
Speaker 2: I'm higher on Chuba Hubbard. He is my running back seven. To open the week. Yeah, I was hiding him last week, but I thought A.J. Dillon would mix in a little bit more with Jonathan Brooks up, but they just went full Chuba last week. I don't think A.J. Dillon played his first snap or got his first touch until like midway through the third quarter. So, I mean, Chuba Hubbard was just a clear workhorse back, which is kind of a rarefied error. These days. And, you know, Jonathan Brooks is on the IR. He's going to be out for some time. I think it's kind of silly at this point to expect Brooks to play more than one or two games at a time right now. So if you got Shuba Hubbard, congratulations. He's looking like an RB1 for maybe the rest of the season. So just based on his underlying usage, he's already in good shape. But now they face the Lions this week at home. The Lions defense, you know, they're getting torched. through the air and on the ground. So this is just a smash spot for Chuba Hubbard. The only reason he's not in my top six is who the hell am I going to rank him over? Derek Henry, Kenneth Walker? He can't. So his ceiling is RB7 right now. But yeah, he's top 10 running back for me this week and for the foreseeable future. With this role, yeah, he's looking good. And yeah, even with the offensive line issues, being on the Panthers, Doesn't matter. With this kind of volume and workload, it's going to be hard to not play him at any time going forward right now.
00:21:42
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have him as high. He's in my top 15 for sure because of this workload. But again, losing Damian Lewis possibly for the week. Coker, if he's not out there, I just don't see the ceiling for this offense. It might be a little tougher, but definitely if everybody's out there on offense, I definitely love Chuba. He might rise to my top 10 for sure. But the guy I'm higher on, David Montgomery, this week, he's getting the workload. He didn't really get it in week two, but overall, he is definitely dominating Woody Marks. This week, with Nico Collins back facing the Cowboys defense that, again, we were discussing in the last episode, coming back from Rio, coming back from a fast-paced game, David Montgomery, he's their goal linebacker.
00:22:28
Speaker 2: He's the workhorse.
00:22:29
Speaker 1: He is in play this week as a top 10 running back for me. He's actually my RB9. How do you feel about Montgomery?
00:22:38
Speaker 2: Oh, wow. I'm not that high, but I do think he's a good buy low. He's my RB19. He's a good buy low because Dave Montgomery is a game script dependent running back. So he needs the Texans winning games, playing with the lead. And the Texans, they were a sneaky Super Bowl contender, and they're 0-3 to start the year. They had a brutal couple games stretched to start against the Bills and Bengals. Those are tougher games. But going forward, I would expect more leading game scripts, which is going to help David Montgomery out. So I think it's a good time to buy low on him. I don't have him that high because Woody Marks is factoring in quite a bit. But this is against the Cowboys. So this is definitely kind of a ceiling spot for Montgomery if they play with the lead. So I just think if you don't have them, maybe float an offer to kind of prime away from an impatient owner. But yeah, I think Montgomery is definitely kind of in my buy low camp right now.
00:23:39
Speaker 1: Yeah, they've been playing with a deficit. I mean, they lost by two touchdowns to the Bengals. And then last week against the Colts, they were down. It was seven to 13 at halftime. And they were playing down throughout the third quarter as well. So it was just a bad game script. Woody Marks does play more when it is a negative game script and they have to pass. But I think this could be a very close matchup against the Cowboys. Their defense is still one of the best in the league, if not the best. So I'm going to give some credence. Cowboys, we'll see how they do after Rio. Passing game looks good, but they don't look like they're firing on all cylinders. They're still having that last second throw to pick it throw away. when Pickens was wide open, it just feels like there's some issues with the Cowboys and their defense is not good. So assuming this is a close game or if the Texans are leading, I expect Montgomery to see his share of, you know, 18 plus touches once again, like he did in week one. This is, yeah, this is just a great matchup spot for him. Who are you lower on?
00:24:39
Speaker 2: Oh, Marion Hampton. I'm lower on just a disaster week for Hampton. In terms of underlying usage, he did end up with 15 carries for 56 yards, which is fine, but that's not going to feed families. Keaton Mitchell and Kamani Vidal. Kamani Vidal is now part of the committee, which is a disaster for Hampton. But Vidal and Mitchell, they kind of split the passing down and two-minute offensive work. So that's why Hampton had zero catches. And that's a concerning trend because it's going to be hard for Hampton to to get receptions if he's not out there in passing situations. So right now, Hampton's kind of an expensive Blake Corum in a worse offense. So that is a horrible recipe. But this week it gets even worse because they're facing the Seahawks. Should be a trailing game script against a brutal defense. So he's RB25, which could represent rock bottom for him, which I guess is a good sign because it's still borderline RB2. But this is just not good. And then if Keith Mitchell outplays him, he could start eating into his early down snaps. The offensive line is struggling. So just a lot of concerns just around Hampton's role in the team, which isn't really his fault, but not what you wanted when you draft a running back inside the top 10. Your tattoo is looking safe at this point.
00:26:12
Speaker 1: Very safe.
00:26:12
Speaker 2: Must say.
00:26:14
Speaker 1: Very, very safe.
00:26:15
Speaker 2: Yeah. So, yeah, he's a guy I wouldn't even necessarily buy low on. I just think the underlying usage is the writing on the wall. So I'd rather have Pete Mitchell sitting on my bench waiting to see what happens. But, again, with Kamani Vidal mixing in now, this is just a disaster. So the whole Chargers backfield is kind of a pain to project, which is– that's always– That's never good for the starting running back. So that's especially bad for Hampton's stock right now.
00:26:45
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Vidal thing's weird. No touches through the first two weeks. I mean, even last week, he played over 20% of the snaps and got two, three targets. But even so, it's like he's mixing in more as a blocker on passing downs just because Mitchell's so small. Hampton's probably not as good in pass pro. But at the same time, Hampton's getting the touches. They're just inefficient players. He's at least the goal linebacker. Seahawks defense, Broncos, Chiefs, bye. Rams, Texans, Ravens. That's not great. I was optimistic that this offense should be better than whatever we've been seeing. The Mike McDaniel facade is fading. Everything's wrong. Bench Herbert, Bench Hampton. Unless, I mean, if you're in a deeper league, obviously you can't. You have to start starting running back for this team. But yeah, I'm with you. Definitely lower on him as well. I'm lower on Jadarian Price, the other running back in this matchup. Jadarian Price is fumbling his role away. They're saying they're still going to give him the touches. But I mean, we saw Emmanuel Wilson have the 20 plus touch game in week two. Yeah, Jadarian had six total touches. Last week, he has two fumbles already. Six total touches, two fumbles. He had a good week one efficiency-wise. 50% success rate, not terrible. 4.3 yards per attempt. Seven targets through three games. That's better than I expected. But yeah, you can't keep fumbling. George Helani will be involved. Manny Wilson will be involved. And then Zach Charbonnet is on the mend. This is more long-term. This is obviously not for this week. But they're facing a Chargers defense that is Not great, but respectable-ish. I mean, James Cook went off against them, but it's James Cook and the Bills offense. Sam Darnold coming back last week, obviously was slinging it in the second half, but they were in a negative game script. Good to see him look good off the glute, but who knows? Maybe makes a few mistakes. Maybe this isn't such a positive game script. This game could be closer, but at the same time, I just don't know what to make a price right now coming off of just a horrendous two-week stretch. Where are you at with him?
00:29:04
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you remember, he was my clear fade in that range because of that. Because he didn't have much experience at Notre Dame. He only had 87 total pass blocks for a four-year career, which that's how rookie running backs really get on the field. They have to prove they can pass blocks. So he's just out there on early downs. He's got Helani. Manny Wilson mixing in. I said it was going to be frustrating. And he had fumble issues at Notre Dame, too. So um he's a very talented back like he's gonna be exciting to watch break off a couple big runs on early downs but that's not why you draft him you know rb27 or what it was and like you said zach charbonnet isn't even back yet when when he's back then you can't even trust price uh whatsoever so yeah definitely um been like a floor case scenario for Price early on, which is a shame because I do like him as a talent. But this is why the situation was just too murky to invest a top 30 pick on him. That's too rich for me. And again, he should be operating at a ceiling right now with Charbonnet out. And we're like Coram. This is Coram's floor. Kyron Williams is totally healthy. This is the worst Coram's going to be in terms of usage. He at least has top five upsides. Price doesn't have any kind of upside. This was the time where he could be a top 10 running back, but he just doesn't have the skill set for that role.
00:30:34
Speaker 1: Washington, Arizona, New England. You would expect those matchups to be the ones that he can dominate.
00:30:41
Speaker 2: Nope. Nope.
00:30:42
Speaker 1: It's like with Hampton week one and two. Hampton did well against the Raiders in week two, but it's like Arizona and the Raiders, those are the weeks Hampton should have Went crazy. And then if you would have slowed down a little bit, we would have understood. But it was like one good week and then two useless weeks. Yeah, these running backs, not great right now. But yeah, this is a shame. Shameful start to the season. Don't forget BetSync is back in the Action app and it's better than ever. Now you can automatically track your activity across 15 plus sportsbooks and prediction markets all in one place. Connect your accounts once and your bets and trades will automatically appear in action as soon as you place them. No manual tracking required. From there, follow all your action with live win probability, in-game alerts, and bet analysis throughout the game. Just open the Action app, head to My Accounts, connect your sportsbook or prediction market, and you're ready to go. Download the Action app and connect with BetSync for free today. Wide receiver, give me your top five for this week.
00:31:39
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's pretty straightforward. I got JSN, Amon Ra, Puka Nakua. Who the hell knows what's going on there? But I'm expecting him back this week. And then Jamar Chase and CeeDee Lamb.
00:31:52
Speaker 1: Yeah, sounds about right. No hot takes in there outside of maybe Puka playing. It sounds like Puka's probably going to miss week four. Every week, it's getting murkier with the reporting of his injuries. Groin, potential hernia. They said it's not a hernia, but the area where he's injured sounds like it would be a hernia, according to all of the PTs on Twitter. I'm a rotosurgeon, but I'm not a doctor, as I always say. My top five is Jamar Chase, Amon Ra, JSN, Olave, Garrett Wilson. So we are a little bit differing. I mean, you have Puka, and I don't have Puka. Olave and Wilson, for you, where.
00:32:37
Speaker 2: Do they fall? Right there, six and seven. So if Puka doesn't play, which, again, I'm admitting is completely possible, those guys would bump up. The good– Puka doesn't play on Monday Night Football. That was a disaster. When Puka was a game-time decision playing on Monday Night Football, that was a disaster. They play– I believe they play the early slate on Sunday because they're at Philly. So it's going to make it much easier at least with start decisions with him because we'll have clarity before 80% of the league plays. So that's why it's going to be easier just to assume he's in until told otherwise. But, yeah, anything can happen with Puka right now. Yeah.
00:33:17
Speaker 1: Once that Odell Beckham signing, he just got released from the Giants happens. I think we might have more clarity on the Puka. I'm kidding though. I don't know what's going to happen there. Obviously Puka again, like I expect him to be out. Devante Adams is firmly in my Devante Adams without Puka. Oh my God. That's been beautiful by the way. That's been, Oh my God. I could do this every week on my teams with Devante Adams. He's, he's so fun to have right now, but Yeah, I don't think Puka's back this week. Probably next week, just the way they're making it sound. But even then, it's like, who knows? Who knows with Puka at this point? But who are you higher or lower? Or who are you higher on this week?
00:33:57
Speaker 2: I'm higher on Michael Wilson, who opens the week as my wide receiver 19. But, you know, three games in, it's clear Marvin Harrison Jr. is simply the clear-out X role in this offense, where he might get one or two deep shots a game, but that's it. Wilson is the clear top wide receiver. Well, Trey McBride's the clear top target in this offense. It's still highly concentrated to those two guys because Wilson's still getting a 25% target rate. I don't expect him to maintain that rate, but with all the underlying metrics, with first read rate and everything else I kind of use, I expect him to be right around a 22% target rate. which is definitely healthy in what should be a pass-heavy offense. On a bad team, I mean, the Cardinals are going to be trailing more times than not. So he's going to get plenty of targets. And the playing time has been out of control. 95% route turn rate. So he's pretty much out there every Jacoby drop back. And he only has a 60% catch rate. I expect that to go up. So I expect him to catch more of his targets going forward. Great matchup this week against the Giants. So again, just everything's been kind of best case scenario, even with Marvin Harrison Jr. healthy, which was not the case last year. I think it's kind of the writing is on the wall. They've kind of moved on from our Harrison kind of scheme out plays for him. So it's the Michael Olsen show again. He's my wide receiver 19 this week. Yeah.
00:35:34
Speaker 1: Wilson McBride love. That's those are the top dogs. Marvin Harrison's just kind of like they're.
00:35:40
Speaker 2: I really hope opening things up for these guys.
00:35:42
Speaker 1: Kind of. Yeah. He's not even that fast. He's not a clear out guy, but he's still kind of, kind of got to be respected, but he had a good rookie year and he just never built on it. He had, he had the injury last year. He had, or he had the appendicitis.
00:35:56
Speaker 2: I remember that.
00:35:56
Speaker 1: It just, it's been a weird, weird start to his career. I brought it up on Twitter. Marvin Harrison, Jr. Brian Thomas, Jr. Romo Dunze. All three of them should be traded for each other. And let's see if, You know, let's spin a wheel and see if just a new environment opens things up. Or maybe they just aren't that good. And maybe the 2024 wide receiver class was super overrated outside of like Ladd and Malik neighbors.
00:36:21
Speaker 2: And they're both.
00:36:21
Speaker 1: Hurt or like playing after an injury. And it's like, we just can't win. Imagine being in a dynasty league, having all of those first round picks that year and landing these guys who were really good in year one, kaput after.
00:36:38
Speaker 2: Yeah, crazy. Neighbors is the best one from that class.
00:36:42
Speaker 1: Neighbors is a dog, but yeah, he has to get healthy. Jameis, we'll see what he does. I don't know. I don't trust him with JJ McCarthy. So I don't really know what to make of that, but that's neither here nor there. I'm higher on Jacoby Myers this week. He's in my top 30 wide receivers. We discussed him recently on the waiver wire episode. And Jacoby, I mean, speaking of catch rate, Jacoby is a 90% catch rate thus far.
00:37:04
Speaker 2: He's closer to.
00:37:05
Speaker 1: A 70% rate throughout his career, but he only has 11 targets anyway. So it's not like we have a massive sample on Jacoby Myers, but yeah, he's playing, he's leading the team in snaps, uh, eight targets last week, Bengals game or facing the Bengals this week in a potential shootout or matchup that both teams are going to have to, you know, put up some points against this respective, their, these respective offenses. So, I'm excited for everyone, basically, in Jaguars versus Bengals, aside from Mr. Brian Thomas Jr. Yeah, he's fading. He's definitely, I mean, he's falling out of favor in snaps. But Jacoby Myers, you like him this week?
00:37:45
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah. Again, he's my wide receiver 30. I think he's a high floor option. Great point about the 90% catch rate. I have him closer to 67%. going forward, but still seeing a ton of playing time, a ton of targets. And yeah, maybe Josh Cameron turns into the Parker Washington of the 2025 Jaguars, where he just kind of annoyingly chips away at Brian Thomas Jr. specifically. But Jacoby Myers and Parker Washington are safe. They're the clear top two targets in this offense going forward. Travis Hunter's not even an option anymore. So yeah, I think just Meyer's floor is very high in that wide receiver three range, which, again, is very useful for teams. If you're like a favorite in your matchup and your wide receiver slot is kind of your pain point, having Jacoby Myers there is an excellent way to just guarantee a handful of points.
00:38:41
Speaker 1: Definitely. Yeah, I like him this week a lot. But and, you know, just to, you know, go off that Brian Thomas Jr. I'm lower on this week. Who are you lower on?
00:38:51
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm lower on Emeka Ibuka. He's my wide receiver. 46 to open the week. And there's a couple red flags here that have absolutely nothing to do with his talent. I still think he profiles as a solid wide receiver too, long-term, depending on the situation, for years to come. But the Bucs have been one of the many teams that are embracing more heavy, two tight ends, three tight end personnel, uh, which is starting to really chip away at both Godwin and Ibuka, their routes run rate, uh, with, with, you know, rookie Ted Hurst mixing in a ton. So Godwin and Ibuka, they're, they're, routes run rate are a tick below 80%, which is not ideal. And that's kind of a league-wide trend, but it's specifically impacting both of them. But also, Baker Mayfield's out this week. So they're going to be starting rookie quarterback Jalen Daniels, which if you are unfamiliar of who Jalen Daniels is, he was the quarterback for Kansas last year. And my comp for him is six foot one Kyler Murray, where that's.
00:39:58
Speaker 1: Not bad, right?
00:40:00
Speaker 2: Yeah.
00:40:00
Speaker 1: So that's not the worst comp.
00:40:02
Speaker 2: He's nothing wrong with him specifically, but he's going to be running the ball a ton. So it's great for him. If, if you're in a deep, you know, start two, three quarterback leagues, like I'm in a couple of those, He's a sneaky option this week. He's going to be like my QB 24, 25, because I think he's going to run the ball a ton. But that comes at the expense of pass attempts or catchable targets to people like Emeka Buka. Because I have Daniels, my initial passing yard projection for him is right around 172. So... Not many yards to go around. So I have Ibuka right around 3.2 catches, 43 yards, with about a 25% chance to score a touchdown. So that's outside of the top 40 type of range. Now, he's talented enough to overcome that, but just people have to prepare for the Buccaneers to be just kind of like an ultra run-heavy team right now. Maybe that helps out, like Bucky Irving, but it's not good news for the pass catchers with everybody healthy right now. So Ibuka got to make plans for somebody else right now. Um, at least until Baker comes back. Yeah.
00:41:18
Speaker 1: The good news for the Buccaneers is the Packers defense is bad. Uh, we saw Bijan and Brian Robinson both run all over them. I mean, not shocking with Bijan, but Brian Robinson was collapsing their defense and that he even scored. So, I mean, it could be a decent day for Bucky. I mean, Bucky got hurt, but he's not on the injury report. He's probably fine. Gainwell's not really involved, so not an option. But yeah, Jalen Daniels, if he runs 10 to 12 times or whatever, could definitely be a fantasy viable day from him. And Igbuka, Godwin's snaps dropped last week to 62%. Ted Hurst is playing consistently at about a 75% rate weekly. He's more of the deep threat clear out guy, but he had that touchdown. He split the safeties last week. That was really nice to see, but with Baker... I'm not going to say this is like a Case Keenum scenario where Keenum and Luther Burden had this great connection on Monday Night Football. But Igbuka and Baker have terrible chemistry. He's getting targeted. Igbuka's getting targeted. He has like 20 targets through the first three games. But at the same time, I'm watching. I'm like, they just... Baker's throwing behind him. He's throwing way in front of him. While Igbuka's wide-ass open... on curls, hitches, whatever. Their chemistry is just off. Igbuka, he's not much of a deep threat. He can house it here and there, but who knows? Maybe Jalen Daniels and Igbuka have this magic chemistry, but you're right. I don't want to start him. I don't want to start any of the Bucks receiving weapons, but I don't mind Bucky. Bucky's probably going to be in my, I don't know, Bucky is in my top 24, so. That's nice. I'm going to be lower on, like I said, Brian Thomas Jr. Are you as well? Oh yeah.
00:43:06
Speaker 2: Yeah. Definitely low on Brian Thomas Jr. Because the playing time, my God, the playing time, uh, 44% route to run rate. Now he's constantly leaving the game due to injury and stuff. I think he wasn't hurt or anything.
00:43:22
Speaker 1: Um, uh, he's been dealing with the shoulder kind of, yeah, he was limited in practice. Maybe it's still nagging, but that was from last year too. So We're in a really weird spot with Brian Thomas Jr. right now.
00:43:33
Speaker 2: Yeah. But that, and he only got targeted on 7% of those routes. So even when he's out there, he's not getting targeted. I heard some rumors that he's potentially dealing with like a labrum situation, which I wouldn't be shocked. I've torn my labrum before and I, I didn't have surgery for like a year. It's not pleasant. So he's probably just in a lot of pain and maybe contemplate. I have no idea what he's dealing with, but, he seems to be playing through pain right now. Um, and it's just not working. So yeah, I don't know what's going on there, but the playing time is the red flag. Again, if he's out there less than half of Trevor Lawrence's dropbacks, he's unplayable and he's not even getting targets. So yeah, I don't, he's gotta be droppable and you know, shallow.
00:44:20
Speaker 1: Team leagues, 10 team leagues for sure.
00:44:22
Speaker 2: You're starting to wider receivers, right? Those kinds of leagues. Um, gotta be droppable at this point, but you know, he still has a ton of talent. Uh, and you know, he's getting like, yeah, yeah, exactly. He's got a ton of talent. And if like Parker Washington, uh, or, uh, even Jacoby Myers go down, like now maybe he's back into the, you know, wide receiver three discussion. So it's like, but people have to drop somebody at some point. So, you know, he's just one of those guys where if, You're in a league where it makes sense. You don't just keep hanging on and hoping somebody gets hurt. Then you could cut bait. But it's just not good. Not happening for him right now.
00:45:04
Speaker 1: Handcuff wide receiver. Hate those.
00:45:06
Speaker 2: Exactly.
00:45:06
Speaker 1: Especially when you spend a top six or seven pick on them.
00:45:10
Speaker 2: It's so annoying.
00:45:11
Speaker 1: It's like Jordan Addison is kind of that, but he went off last week with Justin Jefferson hurt.
00:45:16
Speaker 2: But Jordan Addison is.
00:45:16
Speaker 1: Not dealing with anything. So there's not really as much concern on that end. I'm looking at it.
00:45:21
Speaker 2: Yeah. I'm with you.
00:45:23
Speaker 1: It just, it seems like it could be a labrum. I mean, Xavier worthy had the off season surgery. He's still not the same, but he just might not be good. But yeah, Brian Thomas jr. We, we could see him go into the knife or not. And he just plays through it for the rest of his career.
00:45:37
Speaker 2: Who knows?
00:45:38
Speaker 1: Moving on to tight end. Give me your top five for this week.
00:45:40
Speaker 2: Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, George Kittle, Tyler Warren. We're if Keenan Allen, were to get suspended. My God, Tyler might catch 10 balls in that first game. Uh, and then Travis Kelsey.
00:45:55
Speaker 1: Oh, wow.
00:45:57
Speaker 2: I think I had in my top five last week and I was wondering what you did.
00:46:00
Speaker 1: You killed it. He had the touchdown and 50 yards or so.
00:46:02
Speaker 2: Yeah. The more I looked into it, you know what? He's Travis freaking Kelsey. He's so he remains in my top five this week. Absolutely. Yeah.
00:46:10
Speaker 1: Mine's McBride Bowers, Kincaid, Kittle Warren, Kelsey's my six. So yeah, you don't have Kincaid in your top five.
00:46:17
Speaker 2: Um, no, he's outside of it. Uh, don't know why, but, um, he's just kind of like a big play kind of guy, uh, where all the other guys probably have higher floors, but, um, I have no problem with Kincaid whatsoever. Yeah.
00:46:33
Speaker 1: I mean, you have to, if you have them, you're starting them. That's, that's pretty easy.
00:46:37
Speaker 2: Ridiculous.
00:46:38
Speaker 1: 15 and a half yards per target this year, 17 targets, touchdown, 263 yards.
00:46:44
Speaker 2: That's the thing. He's going to make it. Crazy. He's going to make it count the playing times through the roof right now. So he's one of those guys. Got to play him. The Pats play more man coverage. I think, you know, he tends to struggle more against man. But again, Kincaid's one of those guys where you just kind of have to play him right now. You're playing him for his upside. So even if, you know, I have him ranked outside my top five, still be comfortable playing him if he's your best option anyway.
00:47:16
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just think Josh Allen's so good. Josh Allen's the best quarterback in football. I mean, unless Mahomes gets back to, I mean, Mahomes has been creeping back. So it's, it feels like that's still easily the one too, but yeah, with Josh Allen playing out of his mind, I mean, he got hurt. So we'll see, we'll see the Josh Allen situation on the injury report this week. Uh, but that's neither here nor there. Who are you higher on for the, uh, tight end position?
00:47:42
Speaker 2: Yeah. Kenyon Sadiq. Uh, I'm high on, uh, He opens the week as my tight end 11. Again, we talked about it in the waiver pod. I don't know if I'd blow my entire fab on him. You might have to because he had such a big game. But I think he does have sneaky tight end one rest of season appeal because he's a first-round rookie. Didn't love the landing spot. He's got to compete with Garrett Wilson. Mason Taylor and A.D. Mitchell were both out last week. So if they return this week, that's going to ding him a bit. But again, if you watched The film on him last week, he looks like a wide receiver. I think he's one of those high upside, modern day tight ends. So yeah, if you have him, congratulations. Yeah, tight end 11 for me this week. Again, you're not going to be able to face the Lions every week without A.D. Mitchell and Mason Taylor. So that might be his ceiling game was last week. But again, I still love his upside. Still like him going forward. So yeah, he's my tight end 11 to open this week.
00:48:43
Speaker 1: Yeah, now 58% of the snaps last week still scored just 20 fantasy points. That was excellent out of Sadiq. He's my tight end 10. My tight end 11, who is, I mean, I would have picked Sadiq, I guess, because I'm technically higher on Sadiq than Isaiah Likely. But yeah, it's Isaiah Likely. He has 23 targets in the first three games. Terrible efficiency. He went off in week one with the two touchdowns and eight receptions, but that was with Jackson Dart. But I mean, they played the Rams in week two. That was the game. Dart went out. Tennessee last week, but it was like a monsoon because of the nor'easter. I'm from the West coast. So I'm not too familiar with nor'easters, but the weather was impacting that game impacting Washington versus Seattle as well. But that game was a 64 point final. That was ridiculous with Mariota and Darnold. That was, That was cool for fantasy, though. I benched Terry McLaurin everywhere, but that's neither here nor there. But yeah, Isaiah Likely this week. I don't know what's going on with Malik Nabors. He had the shoulder pop out two weeks ago. Popped it back in. Speaking of shoulders, I don't know what's going to go on with him. If they're going to shut him down, get him surgery. He's been dealing with this since college, I believe. But with Jackson Dart hurt, JJ McCarthy maybe in the mix. Who knows what happens with Nabors? Maybe they're just like, hey, let's get this over with. Kind of weird that both LSU wide receivers, by the way, are dealing with weird shoulder injuries. But yeah, Isaiah Likely getting the targets, playing time. They paid him in the offseason. Harbaugh loves him. This is just and this matchup. I mean, Arizona, we were discussing you like Michael Wilson. I think this could be a higher scoring game for sure. Assuming the weather. I mean, they're playing in New York. I would have preferred this game to be in Arizona because that would be, you know, ideal conditions for passing, right? But as long as the weather isn't egregious, I do like likely the running game is weird with the Scataboo Najee Harris combo now. But yeah, this offense with James Winston, understander of Arizona could put up points. They're going to have to throw in the second half of the game and the defense lost Brian Burns. So this could definitely be a higher scoring matchup. You like, do you like likely?
00:50:59
Speaker 2: Yeah. Where'd you have ranked? 11. Oh, we should have just flipped our guys in because I'm higher on him than Sadiq. What the hell? You had Sadiq on the board.
00:51:09
Speaker 1: I'm just kidding. It doesn't matter.
00:51:10
Speaker 2: We end up talking about the same guys anyway. Yeah, he's my tight end six. I think he's a great guy. Whoa! Yeah. He ran a route on 85% of Jameis Winston dropbacks. So as long as Jameis Winston's a quarterback, I'm in on Isaiah Leckley. I think If and when J.J. McCarthy takes over, then I'm going to back off. So as long as Winston's a quarterback, I think likely is the guy because, like you said, something's up with neighbors. Still the clear number one target, but they don't have much else behind that. Fields and Mooney are more like deeper threats, like lower target guys. They just cut Odell Beckham, which doesn't matter, but they signed Braxton Berrios, who's out there for 20% of the snaps. He's yet to see a target, so... Braxton Barry is getting more playing time is good for everybody. So I think likely just coming off that game again, I think it was weather related. Yeah. The playing time was there. The target rate is there. The production is going to come no matter what. So yeah, I'm very high on likely this week. He's my tight end six to open the week.
00:52:22
Speaker 1: Perfect. Who are you lower on?
00:52:24
Speaker 2: Dalton Schultz. Dalton Schultz is my tight end 14. And he was a very tricky projection player. Last week coming off that massive game. And I thought he'd probably have one more good game in him with Nico out.
00:52:39
Speaker 1: Everyone thought.
00:52:40
Speaker 2: Yeah. He was my tight end four. This is how complex projections are. He was my tight end four. I loved him. But I hammered the shit out of his under five and a half receptions.
00:52:52
Speaker 1: Yeah. I saw that on the Action Network app.
00:52:54
Speaker 2: Yep. Yep. Uh, yeah. So I, I was projecting for like 5.1 receptions, which is like, you know, 60% chance he stays under five and a half. So, you know, I, I faded the market, but I still liked him in fantasy and he, he definitely had a dud. And the, the problem with Schultz is, uh, he's not Trey McBride. Let's be honest here. He's not like an elite talent. He benefits from circumstances. And, uh, if, uh, the Texans were to play with the lead, you know, they're going to use more 12 personnel. He's not really in those packages. So the Texans are Owen three. He's played without Nico Collins for two games. Now things are only going to get worse for Schultz with Nico back, but at some point they're going to play with the lead. So I know you're high on Dave Montgomery. That's going to be great for Dave Montgomery. He's going to get more work. Um, and Dalton Schultz is going to see a downtick and just playing time in general and target rate. So, um, You know, he's still kind of like a high-end tight end too. He's my tight end 14 for the week. But if you just blew your load on him last week after that Monster 12 catch game, you're probably regretting it. You're probably having some buyer's remorse because that's just how the tight end position is, especially with these Dalton Schultz-type guys where their production can come in waves and we can kind of predict it. But who knows? This is a revenge game at Dallas. This is a horrible defense, so he could– you know, pop off here, but I'd be trying to sell high while you can with him, especially if, which it seems like Nico Collins returns this week. Yeah.
00:54:33
Speaker 1: From a former cowboy to a current cowboy, Jake Ferguson's the guy I'm lower on though. He has three touchdowns this season.
00:54:39
Speaker 2: That's great.
00:54:39
Speaker 1: I've benched him for those games.
00:54:40
Speaker 2: That's fun.
00:54:41
Speaker 1: I love that. I love starting Hunter Henry with Eli Raritan out thinking, Oh, maybe this is the game for Hunter Henry.
00:54:47
Speaker 2: Nope.
00:54:48
Speaker 1: Patriots defense are so bad, but Jake Ferguson has two fumbles on the season. His snap rate is dropping. It was 76%, 60%, 69%, so it's been under 70% the past two games. They paid Brevin Spanford, and his snap rate has risen to 38% consistently over the past two games. Luke Schoonmaker's playing over 20% of the snaps. They're playing multiple tight end sets across the league. They're following that trend. But yeah, Jake Ferguson, if he keeps fumbling... he's not going to play as much, even though they did pay him a year or so ago. But, uh, yeah, his efficiency is terrible. It was terrible last year. Maybe he scores a touchdown again, but this Texas defense is pretty damn stout. Um, they'd probably still be targeting lamb and pickings over him. Javante Williams is looking fan or look fantastic last week, at least trusting him, using him in the passing game, a good amount. Uh, where are you at with Ferguson?
00:55:42
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm low on him as well because, I mean, they have CeeDee Lamb. George Pickens had a slow start. He's about to go nuclear. His underlying usage is out of control. By him. Yeah, by George Pickens. Ryan Flournoy, Dallas really hasn't had a wide receiver three that mattered. But Flournoy, his underlying usage is pretty high compared to their, you know, they had Turpin, Jalen Tolbert, Brooks, all those guys. He's actually kind of like a serious wide receiver three for them right now. That's eating into Ferguson's target share. Dak really didn't target Javante Williams much last year. He's targeting Javante Williams more this year. So Ferguson has way too much competition. He's literally a touchdown dependent tight end two right now, which let's be real. I mean, Dallas is going to be one of the higher scoring passing offenses. So he's going to get his touchdowns. Good luck trying to figure out what weeks those were. So it's going to be just frustrating, like you said, with deciding whether to start him or Hunter or Henry every week. Just very low floor week in, week out. Might as well just get a Darren Waller guy that's widely available.
00:56:55
Speaker 1: Or Kenyon Sadiq.
00:56:57
Speaker 2: Well, I don't know if he's going to be available after tonight, right? Yeah, but Ferguson, he's just part of that huge mix at tight end two right now where it's just going to be a nightmare projecting week in, week out. So, yeah, he just has a much, much lower floor now with just everybody commanding all these targets.
00:57:18
Speaker 1: Yeah, glad we're in lockstep. And that'll do it for NFL Week 4 Player Projections episode. Make sure to subscribe to the podcast so you don't miss anything. Like it as well, like this episode and also our waiver episode. Don't forget to check out the Fantasy Labs app for all of our projections and more. You can use code FLEX20 for $ 20 off of an NFL subscription today. fanxelabs.com slash flex. Thanks for listening to the CNX.
00:57:40
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00:57:46
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