What will decide Bills vs Patriots in Week 4 | DC

WEBVTT
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It's 38 all. Bills can win it here.
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Wright puts it down.
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The kick is on the way and it is good.
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And the Bills have won it.
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The Bills have won it.
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The Bills have won it. They win it 41 to 38. Incredible.
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What a comeback by the Bills.
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Jacksonville's perfect record on the line right here.
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Looney, keep it.
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Left side, touchdown.
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Kyle Williams, touchdown.
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Amazing. Unbelievable. They put in Williams.
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Has to pull back.
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And he scores a touchdown.
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The 12th year defensive tackle.
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It's really incredible.
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This place is pandemonium. What's good, folks, family, friends, loved ones, enemies, frenemies, wizards, witches, muggles, mudbloods,
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people of Middle Earth to another episode of Disguised Coverage,
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the only podcast that gives you an equal amount of
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blueberries in each muffin presented by the best pizza in Buffalo,
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New York. That is One Pie Pizza. Find the online
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menu in the episode show notes, whether here on YouTube.
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or whichever podcasting app or platform you're listening to this
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show on. I am your host, Anthony Prohaska. Find me
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on Twitter at Pro underscore underscore Ant. That's Pro two
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underscores A-N-T. Find me on Blue Sky at Pro Ant.
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No underscores there, just P-R-O-A-N-T. In this edition of Disguised Coverage,
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we will be diving into what you need to know
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for the Buffalo Bills versus New England Patriots in week four.
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What will decide this game? the matchups you need to know,
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the X's and O's, the players, the schematics, the structures,
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the metrics, anything and everything that you need to be
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paying attention to and watching for in this game. Apologies
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for not doing an episode last week. Life hit me fast.
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I meant to do something towards the back end of
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last week, but life kept hitting me with a decent
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amount of speed. And then this week, this episode, obviously
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dropping Tuesday, 9 p.m. Eastern, but it is not live.
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The reason it is not live is because we recorded
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this episode offline. And when I say we, it's because
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I'm joined by a guest. And the reason we record
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it offline is so I can accommodate that guest. If
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you are a regular watcher or listener of this show,
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it should be no surprise at this point. Anytime Bill's
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Patriots comes around, me and this guest collaborate in a
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multitude of forms and fashions. So without further ado, I
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am joined by a regular.
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Guest, Mr.
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Taylor Hicks.
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Kyle's beat reporter for the new England Patriots for CLNS media.
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One of the best in the business. Somebody who I say,
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you know, granted your background, you're, you're in the beat now,
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but you didn't come from that world. You come from
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a world of metrics and schematics. You actually know football.
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And I appreciated you before, before you were on the
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Pat's beat, but I appreciate you even more now because
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you are one of, I'd say across all fan base
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or teams, I should say. And not that I know everybody,
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I would say you're one of a few, a handful,
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maybe a handful of beat guys who actually know real schematics,
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real football, who can see a coverage, talk about it,
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what it is. This is the concept that happened on offense.
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It's what had me gravitate towards you in the first
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place before you were even on the Patriots beat when
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you first joined me several, several years ago. You are phenomenal.
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I appreciate you taking the time to join me. Welcome
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back to the show.
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Thank you very much, pal. So flattering as always.
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You know, I adore you. I told you on my
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show that I want to be like you when I
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grow up. So hearing all those kind words always really
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does hit me in my sensitive place. But I'm just
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glad to be back, man. These are always my favorite
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conversations of the year. You know Ball better than a
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lot of people. And I learn a lot from you.
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And I love the stuff that you do on Twitter.
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On here. So, and I also love your fan base.
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I'm kind of sad. I'm not going to get to
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see the comments.
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One of my favorite parts about coming on the show
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is how educated your fan base is, how passionate they
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are and how respectful they are when, um, a division
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rival comes and, you know, just starts spouting whatever's going
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to come out of my mouth today. So I miss, uh,
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the live audience, but I can't wait to see the
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comments and I'm just glad.
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To be back.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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Yeah. Of course you are, uh, one of my favorite
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guests that come onto the show. And yeah, I, uh,
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I love the live chat, the engagement. It's the best too.
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When like I can, I have stuff planned, but it's
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almost like I can ditch the content. Cause there's all
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these questions and thoughts that are coming through the chat
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and I'm like, Oh, this is good. And so it's
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just a different tangent to kind of talk about different
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things and get into the weeds. And, uh, yeah. So
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shout out to the live chat that we are not
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engaging with, but if you are watching this, you know, Tuesday,
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9 PM Eastern or what, any point questions, thoughts, comments, concerns,
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put them into the comments on YouTube. Uh, Get at
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me on Twitter, get at me on Blue Sky, anything
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and everything. But yeah, put those into YouTube. I'm always
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circling back and we'll make sure to get anything and
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everything answered and engaged and all that kind of stuff.
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We will be diving into, you know, the matchups that
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will decide Bills versus Patriots. We each have three. But
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before we get into that, Taylor, a couple questions for you.
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You know, the Patriots are reeling at this stage. You know,
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one and two are really ugly loss to the Jacksonville
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Jaguars this past week. Football is never as easy as, oh,
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if you fix this one thing or change this one player,
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everything gets better. But if you could fix one thing
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with the Patriots right now, it could be something high
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level and structural. It could be like the entire offensive line,
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the entire offense, or this one player, this one coach,
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this one thing. If you could fix one thing with
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the New England Patriots right now, what would it be
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and why?
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How realistic does that have to be?
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Because honestly, I wish I could say I wish they
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were healthier.
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Is that acceptable?
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It can be unrealistic. I just want to know, like,
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it helps point in the direction of somebody who knows
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this team inside and out. I think it points a
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good or puts a good, like, focus or lens on,
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you know, it's not realistic to fix this, but this
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is the thing that is the biggest problem.
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Yeah, I really think it is injuries because they are
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getting mollywhopped. by the injury bug this year. Now, last year,
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as you often see with Super Bowl teams, they got
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very lucky when it came to injuries. I think they've
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already surpassed the number of people on injured reserve that
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they had to place on there last year. So you
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understand just how bad this is because we are three
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weeks in. And even going back to the summer, depth
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was an area of concern in multiple spots. It's something
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that Mike Vrabel even acknowledged. He's been very honest about it,
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said that depth was something he was worried about. And now,
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even after the loss of Jacksonville, he said his concern
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level for this team is high.
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And look, nothing's going great necessarily and there's.
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A lot of things you could point to that the
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Patriots could be doing better Drake May is probably at
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the top of that list his play and not just
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you know there are times where you do see the
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Drake May of last season where he's elevating the offense
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and kind of getting him out of bad situations with
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his talent there's also a lot of times where he's
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actively putting them in bad spots and I'm sure we'll
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get into that later but it's hard to look at
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what's happening around him and not kind of feel for
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the 24 year old third year quarterback because AJ Brown
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Goes down in week one.
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Now, granted, it wasn't a great throw from Drake May.
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It was a low throw behind him to A.J. Brown
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on a slant.
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Because of the adjustment that Brown had to make, he
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ends up suffering a high ankle sprain. And you also
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have Mike and Wendy, who you could argue is their
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best offensive lineman. He suffered an ankle injury and now,
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at least for the foreseeable future, is on injured reserve.
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Eli Raritan, who was one of my favorite players in
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the draft.
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I actually had him as my guy for the Patriots
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because I loved his potential in a Josh McDaniels offense.
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He missed last week. due to a thigh injury. The
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Patriots' backup right guard, Greg Van Roten, also suffered a
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thigh injury. Now he is on injured reserve. But also
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Reggie Gilliam, who I know Bill's fans are very familiar with.
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He was kind of on and off the field in
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the summer.
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I know he got married.
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Congratulations to him. But also it felt like, I mean,
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he's a 30-year-old fullback. Very tough position to.
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Play at that age. I think they had him on
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a bit of a pitch count in the summer.
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And now in the last game, it felt like something
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was up with him because Tanner Arkin played a decent
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amount of fullback. I don't know how much that was injury-related,
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how much that was personnel, and then just wanting to
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show a new wrinkle. But even Reggie Gilliam has been
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kind of banged up in someone that I maybe thought
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was going to have a bigger role in this offense.
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So there are just so many areas where they are
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not healthy.
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And then when you compound that with the fact that
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Keyshawn Booty was traded away, for understandable reasons, he didn't
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want to be here because he wasn't going to get
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opportunities to get himself a big contract next year.
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And also.
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Mike Vrabel said that he was going to end up
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being inactive on game days if he was on the
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roster because he doesn't bring anything on special teams. Egg
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on their face right now doesn't look good, but when
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you don't have a Kayshaun Booty X to make up
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for no A.J. Brown, and then it's even further compounded
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by the fact that Drake May is kind of building
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chemistry with some of these guys like Romeo Dobbs, and
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he doesn't have Stephon Diggs, who he was nearly automatic
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with last season, had the highest catch rate in the league,
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did Stephon Diggs.
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You're seeing how that's impacting the offense. And now we
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talk about defense.
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Craig Woodson, who is one of the best players they
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have in that secondary, didn't play last week.
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Draymond Jones didn't play last week either.
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Which gave Ackes their second-round pick to play way more snaps.
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They had to elevate someone or slide someone from the
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practice squad to actually end up playing.
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I'm starting to lose breath. A lot of injuries.
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Carlton Davis missed the game a couple weeks ago, so
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it just feels like whack-a-mole. Or if it's not one thing,
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it's another. And if it's this one thing, they're going
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to keep hitting that same hole. And it's just going
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to end up, you know, where you're at your fourth
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option at guard. So I really wish this team was
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healthier because while there are plenty of areas where you
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could say, hey, they could definitely be better.
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It's just made so much.
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Worse by how many impactful players, especially on offense, aren't
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even on the field.
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That's fair. I, it's always stuck with me.
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I don't remember.
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It might've been, I think it was the super bowl.
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The Packers won against the Steelers where Charles Woodson got
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hurt mid game, but it was sometime in the playoffs
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before that. I don't remember who said it, but it
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was like usually, or, you know, traditionally it's, the teams
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that make the super bowl coincidentally or not tend to
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be the healthiest teams. It's not necessarily like, who's the
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best it's who's the healthiest, like who has the most
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amount of starters that are left on the team. And
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then you can, you know, niche down on that and
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be like, okay, like, well, is it guys that are hurt?
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Okay.
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Are they just at whatever positions are they at premium positions?
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Like how good, what's the impact. And the Pat's injuries
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are mounting and it does matter. And I mean, the
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bills are, no stranger to injuries these past several years,
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they've been hit hard, especially come playoff time, you know,
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famously calling AJ Klein off of a cruise several years
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ago to start at linebacker and the division round gets
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the chiefs. Like it hits you hard. Life comes at
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you fast, man. And then the second question I want
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to ask you before we get into the matchup pieces,
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Drake may, I'm sure, I'm sure we'll get into a
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more in this conversation as we go forward. But for you,
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the biggest difference in him this year, versus last year.
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Yeah.
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Well, granted last year, we had a whole sample size
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this year. We're only three games in, but is there
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something that you've seen thus far that he wasn't doing
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last year or he wasn't doing at this stage last year?
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Like what for you is the biggest difference in him
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as he started year three versus what he was last
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year in year two?
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The biggest thing is the decision-making because I didn't think
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Drake made was perfect last year.
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And while I, He was doing some crazy stuff, but
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it was undeniable. There were still plenty of areas where
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he needed to grow, and turnovers were the biggest one.
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It wasn't so much throwing interceptions, because I think for
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the most part, for a quarterback who's as aggressive as
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he is, I think Drake May actually does a really
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nice job of picking his shots and not throwing into
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bad windows, or at least did when he was playing
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well last year.
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But fumbles are really the biggest problem. Fumbles and bad sacks.
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This year, it's just straight up throwing into bad windows,
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pressing when he doesn't need to.
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It's starting to feel a lot like the Super Bowl.
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And even in the playoffs when he wasn't playing great,
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it didn't feel like he was making really egregiously bad
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decisions very often until, again, the Super Bowl game gets
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away from him and you really start seeing him look
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like a young quarterback. And you were hoping this season
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with more on his plate, with being able to, you know,
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play with more tempo and change plays at the line
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and do all these things that just make a quarterback's
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job a little bit easier, especially in that, you know,
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Patriots-Josh McDaniel system.
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But now, one, the injuries are really hurting.
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And I think the fact that he doesn't have the
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familiarity he had with the Keyshawn Booty or Stephon Diggs
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and now doesn't even have A.J.
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Brown to make up for it, I think it's that.
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The fact that he's also playing very good defenses that
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are not letting him just throw the ball over the
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top and are saying, yeah, no, we're going to dare
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you to take the shortstop this entire game. And if
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you don't, we're going to be right there to make
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you pay for it. And there's other things, like sometimes
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his pocket presence hasn't been great, where he's not capitalizing
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on clean pockets and stepping up or transferring up into
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the pocket, keeping his size downfield. Week two, there was
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a horrendous sack he took against T.J. Watt, where he
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drifts right into him. Morgan Moses has a good block.
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Then it ends up being a sack in a crucial
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moment before halftime. Really put the Patriots in a bad spot.
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But that's considered decision-making. Like, why are we drifting into
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the pass rush when you can step up? putting the
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ball in bad spots, especially in some crucial moments like
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in the red zone. Right now, Drake has two red
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zone interceptions, one that sealed the game against the Seahawks
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on a really, really bad decision. And then last week
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against the Jaguars, he throws to Epton Chisholm when it
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looked like if you had paused it and you didn't
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know who was throwing, you would think Travis Hunter was
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playing offense because he quite literally ran the route for
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Epton Chisholm. And it's not like we're seeing a completely
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different Drake May, where like with Matt Jones towards the end,
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you were like, I don't even see the quarterback I
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used to see where he's being aggressive at times. And
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it's like, I just do it more consistently. It really
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looked like somebody who was completely shell shocked. That's not
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what I see from Drake. I would say for the
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most part, he's still outnumbering the bad plays with good plays,
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even if there's more, some weeks than others, but it's
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the five plays you look at and you're like, dude,
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three or five.
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You can't do this.
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Like he gets the Seahawks really smart, pretty good game
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for three quarters, four quarters, brain falls out of his head.
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And then you're forcing deep shots into bad situations and
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you get intercepted three times. So it's that kind of
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thing where it's every quarterback is going to make mistakes.
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But what are your five worst plays look like? Are you,
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you know, not taking advantage of a window maybe, which
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is not the most egregious mistake, but is glaring when
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it's a Drake May and you know he wants to
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take those shots. It's like those we can work on, right?
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That's not as much of a confidence thing that I'm
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worried about. It's when you're turning the ball over and
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then maybe that starts creeping up into your head that
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you can't avoid them. And then your confidence is like, well,
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do I be aggressive here? Do I be conservative here?
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And that's where I start getting worried. So you still
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see Drake May in there. It's just at some point
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he's got to grow up as a quarterback and just
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stop putting his team in bad situations.
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Because, look, the MVP season is going to win you
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a lot of grace.
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But at some point, if you are the reason you're losing,
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as we saw with Matt Jones, who also bought himself
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quite a bit of grace in a bad situation, people
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are going to start turning against you.
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I don't think we're there.
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I think, again, Drake May is fine right now and
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has time. but I don't like what I've been seeing.
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And he really needs to correct that, especially this weekend
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against the division rival in a very important game, harsh
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environment when you really need to win because one in
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three is a scary hole to have to beat yourself out.
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Of. I, I second your notion of decision-making. Um, and
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a lot of, a lot of it is because at
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this time last year, uh, you know, my biggest thing
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for him was like, Oh, what's the difference? I was like, well,
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the athleticism still there, the armistice. I was like, it's
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the decision-making like McDaniels has him playing in rhythm and
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on time and his eyes are in the right place
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and he's making the right decisions. And I do think
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that there's, you know, some footwork has kind of gotten
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wonky a little bit for him this year. But I
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think mechanics are something everybody always kind of has to
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tighten up, especially as you're a young quarterback. I mean,
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Josh Allen, I think Bill's fans should know that more
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than anyone, like every year was a mechanic change of
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significance for our first, first, like, four or five years,
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you know, he's working with Jordan Palmer and the off
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season quarterbacks coach to fix all this stuff and do everything.
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But yeah, it's the decision-making for me. I thought that was,
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that's what got him into trouble at times in North Carolina.
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Like it was the same. You saw the athleticism and
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the arm and all this stuff. And then he'd do
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something that you were like, why.
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Would you even try that?
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Or what would you do?
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What, what goes on in your brain?
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And I think you're seeing some more of that this year.
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And it started with Seattle. And I do think what's interesting,
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the Seattle game, the Jacksonville game, like noticing that some
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of the poor decisions are starting to compound and snowball
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a little bit. And now I wonder, is he is
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it not just aggressiveness or decision making in general? Or
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is he feeling like I got to make up for it? Like,
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you know, is he feeling pressure and I got to
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take it? Ironically, I hate comparing him and Alan all
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the time, but Alan still does that. Alan makes a mistake.
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And then he's like, I got to make up for
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that mistake. And he wants it all back as soon
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as he can. And if he makes another mistake, he
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wants to get it all back twice as hard. And
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then if he does something great, okay, here we go.
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But if he doesn't, mistake three, mistake four, mistake five,
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and all these things start to compound. And I think
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May is showing a little bit of that this year
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and how hard it's kind of hitting him. And so, yeah,
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I think the decision-making is interesting because it can be
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a slippery slope when you make a poor decision and
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it costs you And then how do you come back?
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And it's interesting that he's kind of not correcting that
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and kind of staying in that mindset or staying in
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that mode. It's costing him a little bit. And I'm sure, again,
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we will talk more about Drake May in this episode. Taylor,
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we move towards the crux of the episode, what we
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think will decide Bills vs. Patriots in week four. For
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new viewers or listeners to the show or even the
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00:17:52.799 --> 00:17:54.589
regular ones, what we're going to do here is we're
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each going to pick our top three matchup pieces, player pieces,
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anything and everything that we think will decide Bills vs.
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Patriots in week one. It could be something really niche
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down and singular. It could be something large scale, you know,
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cast a wide net type of thing. It could be
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an entire side of the ball versus the other. It
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could be a player. It could be this situational aspect.
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Anything and everything is on the table. I do not
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know Taylor's answers. He does not know mine. Taylor, you
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are the guest. So you have the floor first. You can,
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if you have these ranked, feel free to say, you know,
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this is first, this is second, this is third. If
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you don't have them ranked, that's fine. You can start
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which with ever. with whichever one that you so choose.
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The floor is yours. Give us the first thing that
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you think will decide Bills versus Patriots in week four.
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00:18:33.240 --> 00:18:35.920
Well, you know I love the trenches.
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00:18:35.940 --> 00:18:38.220
And early on when I was doing my research, I'm
430
00:18:38.380 --> 00:18:40.779
looking at some of the pass rush numbers for the Bills.
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They're top everything as a team. Then the next layer, okay,
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what is going on? Like, how are they so potent? Oh,
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00:18:47.309 --> 00:18:49.869
it's just Deion Walker and Greg Russo at the top
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of like every match that you can think of, top
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five or what have you. And then the tape was
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00:18:54.210 --> 00:18:56.970
also very impressive. Whereas we spoke about Greg Russo in
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that long arm and his ability to build off of
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that where makes you respect it. Then does a really
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00:19:02.259 --> 00:19:04.380
good job using his hands to shorten the edge. Cause
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like maybe not the bendiest guy, but it doesn't matter
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if offensive tackles have to respect you going through them
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because that does open up some opportunities to, you know,
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shorten that edge by attacking their hands.
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He's done a great job with that.
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And it gets Morgan Moses who I think he has
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one sack in two hurries against Morgan Moses and their
447
00:19:21.559 --> 00:19:24.890
entire career together. So we're talking like five or six years. Really,
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00:19:24.930 --> 00:19:27.089
Morgan Moses has had his number. I think that sack was.
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Two years ago.
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00:19:27.730 --> 00:19:31.099
Morgan Moses right now dealing with a foot injury that's
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really impacted, I think, his explosiveness and how wide he
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00:19:33.980 --> 00:19:36.240
can get in his set. When you're talking about Greg Rousseau,
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00:19:36.299 --> 00:19:37.940
who's going to be a little bit wider, have a
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00:19:37.960 --> 00:19:40.259
bit of a runway to put that power in your chest,
455
00:19:40.660 --> 00:19:43.650
you have a foot injury. That's a very difficult situation
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00:19:43.670 --> 00:19:45.529
to be in for Morgan Moses. They're going to be
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00:19:45.549 --> 00:19:48.609
seeing a lot of each other. So how that matchup
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goes is anyone's guess, but it's going to be interesting
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to say the least.
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And then Deion Walker. I don't know. I'm not really
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about him this week.
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00:19:56.220 --> 00:19:58.839
Now, Gary Wilson had a much better week three after
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really struggling against the Steelers in week two. Keanu Benton
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00:20:02.200 --> 00:20:05.019
just ate his lunch at the nose tackle spot. Now
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he's going to have another big test. And Deion Walker,
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00:20:07.220 --> 00:20:09.650
if they get some one-on-one matchups, Elijah Barrett Tucker is
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00:20:09.690 --> 00:20:12.430
looking fantastic. He went from allowing, I think it was
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00:20:12.450 --> 00:20:14.529
like four hurries in the first game of the season
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00:20:14.569 --> 00:20:16.970
to one hit in the second game. And then he
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00:20:17.009 --> 00:20:19.329
had a clean sheet last week and looked like the
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00:20:19.369 --> 00:20:21.609
Elijah Barrett Tucker that, you know, we all know. And
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I think, you know, Bill's Patriots contingents probably didn't love
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to see it, but now it is. I'm very happy
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00:20:27.619 --> 00:20:30.339
to see him, especially after missing all football all last season.
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00:20:30.680 --> 00:20:33.859
He's really been impressive. But again, another tough test against
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00:20:33.880 --> 00:20:37.160
Deion Walker. What really worries me is the fact that
477
00:20:37.200 --> 00:20:39.900
at the right guard spot, Patriots are now on their
478
00:20:39.940 --> 00:20:43.259
fourth option. Mike and Wendy, unfortunately, suffered a high ankle sprain.
479
00:20:43.680 --> 00:20:46.319
He is on injured reserve. Greg Van Roten, who's been
480
00:20:46.339 --> 00:20:49.059
in the league for like a billion years. Slendon is
481
00:20:49.079 --> 00:20:51.759
his backup. He now is on injured reserve because he
482
00:20:51.779 --> 00:20:54.339
suffered a thigh injury last week. The third man up
483
00:20:54.380 --> 00:20:56.339
in that rotation was Walter Rouse, who was a backup
484
00:20:56.359 --> 00:20:59.579
for the Vikings that the Patriots acquired late in the
485
00:20:59.839 --> 00:21:01.329
post-training camp process.
486
00:21:01.369 --> 00:21:03.779
They traded for him. He didn't look good.
487
00:21:03.819 --> 00:21:06.480
He allowed four hurries and a pretty limited snap count
488
00:21:06.519 --> 00:21:08.980
as pass protector. Also, as you would understand, looked a
489
00:21:08.980 --> 00:21:11.180
little bit shaky as a run blocker. And their fourth
490
00:21:11.240 --> 00:21:14.569
option is Ben Brown, who ideally is a center and
491
00:21:14.589 --> 00:21:17.250
an emergency left guard, who now is being asked to
492
00:21:17.289 --> 00:21:19.289
play right guard, where the Patriots like to have a
493
00:21:19.289 --> 00:21:21.750
lot more size and physicality. As I said, Ben Brown
494
00:21:21.809 --> 00:21:23.799
is more naturally a center, not.
495
00:21:23.680 --> 00:21:24.660
Someone you want at right guard.
496
00:21:24.920 --> 00:21:26.700
How that's going to go, I genuinely think that Deion
497
00:21:26.740 --> 00:21:28.420
Walker could throw him all up and down the field
498
00:21:28.740 --> 00:21:31.059
if that's the matchup that the Bills decide to pick on.
499
00:21:31.650 --> 00:21:34.289
And left tackle, Will Campbell versus Bradley Chubb. I like
500
00:21:34.329 --> 00:21:34.829
that matchup.
501
00:21:34.930 --> 00:21:37.630
Will Campbell, I think, allowed like one pressure against Bradley
502
00:21:37.650 --> 00:21:39.829
Chubb last year. And there are two matchups, so I
503
00:21:40.490 --> 00:21:42.910
feel a little bit more confident there. But, you know,
504
00:21:43.089 --> 00:21:45.829
Morgan Moses injured against Greg Russo. I don't love that.
505
00:21:46.049 --> 00:21:49.309
And then the Patriots' fourth right guard against Deion Walker,
506
00:21:49.670 --> 00:21:51.930
who I also think could give Jared Wilson and Elijah
507
00:21:51.990 --> 00:21:54.849
Mary Tucker issues. I don't love those matchups much at all.
508
00:21:55.049 --> 00:21:57.039
That's just in pass protection. We want to talk about
509
00:21:57.059 --> 00:21:59.759
the run game. clearly you're going to have some issues
510
00:21:59.819 --> 00:22:02.329
when you have that much of a depth concern at
511
00:22:02.400 --> 00:22:04.230
one of your guard spots. The Patriots didn't get much
512
00:22:04.269 --> 00:22:06.730
going on the ground anyway last week, which also I
513
00:22:06.750 --> 00:22:09.390
think had to do with not having Eli Raritan trickle
514
00:22:09.430 --> 00:22:12.410
down effect in the tight end room. But yeah, it's,
515
00:22:13.130 --> 00:22:15.730
I don't love the matchup for the Patriots with the bills,
516
00:22:15.769 --> 00:22:18.329
two studs. And I will be curious to see if
517
00:22:18.369 --> 00:22:20.529
Morgan Moses can continue to be successful even through the
518
00:22:20.569 --> 00:22:23.269
injury and how the hell they slow down Dion Walker,
519
00:22:23.309 --> 00:22:25.210
especially if he's locked in and playing his best football.
520
00:22:26.470 --> 00:22:32.490
Your answer there fits in perfectly with what I got.
521
00:22:32.890 --> 00:22:35.410
My first aspect was kind of like in general, I
522
00:22:35.430 --> 00:22:37.809
kind of labeled it the Bills, Bills, pass rushers, Patriots,
523
00:22:37.869 --> 00:22:41.549
offensive line, knowing, again, the struggles that Campbell had last year,
524
00:22:41.930 --> 00:22:45.019
the injuries up front for the Patriots, but tying it
525
00:22:45.079 --> 00:22:48.759
into the niche down part of Walker and Rousseau, I
526
00:22:48.779 --> 00:22:51.539
think it's so interesting when you look at, so the
527
00:22:51.559 --> 00:22:54.420
Bills as a whole, as an entire defense, when you
528
00:22:54.440 --> 00:22:59.849
talk about pressure rate, They're 27th in pressure rate at 31.2%.
529
00:22:59.849 --> 00:23:04.180
This is per next gen, uh, sack rate. They are
530
00:23:04.240 --> 00:23:09.319
ninth at 7.2% time to pressure. So how long has
531
00:23:09.380 --> 00:23:12.039
it taken for them to pressure the quarterback? They are
532
00:23:12.380 --> 00:23:16.160
24th in that at 2.71 seconds. So if you look
533
00:23:16.200 --> 00:23:19.140
at kind of some major buckets there, it's like, well,
534
00:23:19.160 --> 00:23:22.410
they're not like really great kind of like as a group.
535
00:23:22.450 --> 00:23:25.900
But then if you look at Dion Walker, uh, amongst
536
00:23:25.940 --> 00:23:29.730
qualifying defensive tackles. Where is he for pressure rate? He
537
00:23:29.890 --> 00:23:33.650
is sixth in pressure rate at 16.9%. When it's overall pressures,
538
00:23:33.690 --> 00:23:37.430
he's seventh in pressures at 13. When you look at
539
00:23:37.529 --> 00:23:41.650
pass rush win rate, he is fifth. And then if
540
00:23:41.690 --> 00:23:44.269
you go to essentially kind of his running mate at
541
00:23:44.329 --> 00:23:48.730
this point here, Mr. Gregor Rousseau, similar aspect in terms
542
00:23:48.750 --> 00:23:50.890
of how well he's doing, but even higher out of
543
00:23:50.930 --> 00:23:53.369
qualifying edges, he's second in pressure rate at 26.3%. He
544
00:23:55.829 --> 00:23:59.950
is tied for first in pressures amongst all edges with 25.
545
00:23:59.930 --> 00:24:02.579
He's tied with Dallas Turner. Dallas Turner's got a ton
546
00:24:02.599 --> 00:24:06.839
of unblocked pressures because of Brian Flores blitzing 1,000% of
547
00:24:06.859 --> 00:24:09.759
the time every single play, no matter what. Greg Rousseau
548
00:24:09.779 --> 00:24:13.079
also leads all edges in sacks right now at six.
549
00:24:13.759 --> 00:24:15.720
His pass rush win rate, he's third at 23.2%. And
550
00:24:15.799 --> 00:24:18.029
then he also leads in sack rate for edges at 6.3%.
551
00:24:18.029 --> 00:24:25.309
So when you look at him as a group... it's
552
00:24:25.369 --> 00:24:29.109
a group that despite like, you would think if you're
553
00:24:29.130 --> 00:24:33.210
a group, okay, you've got one from a number standpoint,
554
00:24:33.269 --> 00:24:37.019
a metric standpoint, Greg or so is killing it at
555
00:24:37.039 --> 00:24:39.339
the edge spot. He's like easy top five, but he's
556
00:24:39.539 --> 00:24:42.099
one or two or three and mostly everything. And he's
557
00:24:42.140 --> 00:24:45.519
doing so good. Walker is in a similar boat, top seven,
558
00:24:45.559 --> 00:24:48.539
top five, and most things for his position. But then
559
00:24:48.559 --> 00:24:51.430
you look at the group collectively and, And they're kind
560
00:24:51.450 --> 00:24:53.619
of in the not even the lower half, like the
561
00:24:53.720 --> 00:24:55.960
lower of the lower part of the 20s as a
562
00:24:56.000 --> 00:24:59.220
team in terms of pass rush. And I also think
563
00:24:59.240 --> 00:25:02.019
that ties into another aspect for me. We haven't seen
564
00:25:02.039 --> 00:25:07.430
a lot of creativity from Jim Leonard from a blitz standpoint.
565
00:25:08.170 --> 00:25:11.150
And the way I kind of quantify it, their easiest
566
00:25:11.170 --> 00:25:13.490
way to think like we haven't seen we haven't seen
567
00:25:13.529 --> 00:25:16.470
a lot of Rex Ryan stuff. from a guy who
568
00:25:16.569 --> 00:25:18.769
comes from the Rex Ryan tree. Now, that doesn't mean
569
00:25:18.789 --> 00:25:20.109
just because you come from someone's tree, you have to
570
00:25:20.150 --> 00:25:22.630
do exactly what they do. Like, every person who learns
571
00:25:22.670 --> 00:25:25.150
under Brian Flores isn't going to blitz 80% of the
572
00:25:25.190 --> 00:25:26.730
time like Flores is this year. Like, you don't have
573
00:25:26.750 --> 00:25:31.680
to completely copycat what someone else does. But I expected more...
574
00:25:32.789 --> 00:25:35.490
does that more simulated? It's more creepers more. Oh, look
575
00:25:35.509 --> 00:25:37.509
at this five man pressure. Look at this six, six
576
00:25:37.529 --> 00:25:39.690
man pressure. They are doing some good things in terms
577
00:25:39.710 --> 00:25:41.759
of their stunts and their games inside. They're one of
578
00:25:41.779 --> 00:25:43.740
the league leaders in terms of stunt rate against the
579
00:25:43.779 --> 00:25:47.079
run and, and the pass. And overall, they are slanting
580
00:25:47.119 --> 00:25:50.420
those defensive tackles. They are running tech stunts and exit stunts.
581
00:25:50.859 --> 00:25:53.200
They are the defensive tackles. When they do four down fronts,
582
00:25:53.660 --> 00:25:56.730
whoever the center goes away from, they're picking that guy
583
00:25:56.769 --> 00:25:58.950
and ear holing him to let the other guy loop off.
584
00:25:59.130 --> 00:26:03.039
So like there are, four man games and games overall
585
00:26:03.099 --> 00:26:05.460
and a lot of movement, but just from like a,
586
00:26:06.140 --> 00:26:09.619
an exotic standpoint or a creativity stamp, the designers, I
587
00:26:09.680 --> 00:26:12.339
should say, right. The stuff where you would be like, Oh,
588
00:26:12.480 --> 00:26:15.519
like you're, you're just not getting that a lot with
589
00:26:15.559 --> 00:26:18.220
Jim Leonard at this point. And I wonder, is it,
590
00:26:18.700 --> 00:26:20.480
I think it's there and it's just a matter of,
591
00:26:20.569 --> 00:26:22.930
is he saving it for something? Is he keeping some
592
00:26:22.950 --> 00:26:24.450
stuff in the holster for when he needs it most?
593
00:26:24.789 --> 00:26:28.349
Or is it tied to something bigger picture where, you know,
594
00:26:28.390 --> 00:26:30.589
you know, this in order to do certain stuff up front,
595
00:26:31.250 --> 00:26:33.450
your guys on the back end have to execute. If
596
00:26:33.490 --> 00:26:35.490
you're not confident in the guys on the back end
597
00:26:35.630 --> 00:26:38.829
executing based off of what you're doing up front, you're
598
00:26:38.869 --> 00:26:40.609
not going to want to bring a six-man pressure or
599
00:26:40.630 --> 00:26:43.009
a crazy five-man if you feel like, well, we got
600
00:26:43.049 --> 00:26:45.849
gaps in coverage or our guys don't understand our rules
601
00:26:45.890 --> 00:26:48.470
enough at this point. And so it's kind of like
602
00:26:48.490 --> 00:26:50.579
the big bucket for me in this one of the
603
00:26:50.619 --> 00:26:55.420
Bills pass rush versus the Pat's O-line and the Pat's
604
00:26:55.460 --> 00:26:57.720
pass barrel, but then mixed into that is particular like
605
00:26:58.470 --> 00:27:01.230
Does it continue to be the heavy lifting of Rousseau
606
00:27:01.470 --> 00:27:03.869
and Walker? Does that Oliver start to show up a
607
00:27:03.910 --> 00:27:07.670
bit more? Do we get anything from Bradley Chubb? Landon Jackson,
608
00:27:07.710 --> 00:27:09.569
kind of Dwayne Carter has flashed a bit. I think
609
00:27:09.609 --> 00:27:11.890
some have hit the positives about him, but then overblown,
610
00:27:12.390 --> 00:27:15.390
but conversation for maybe later or maybe another time. And
611
00:27:15.410 --> 00:27:17.170
then they have the Pats injuries up front and then
612
00:27:17.210 --> 00:27:19.869
tied into that, the schematics and everything that Jim Leonard
613
00:27:20.470 --> 00:27:22.710
is up front. So I'm in a similar mode when
614
00:27:22.730 --> 00:27:23.730
it comes to my first one as well.
615
00:27:25.250 --> 00:27:28.890
Should we go to two? Or because... I don't know.
616
00:27:28.970 --> 00:27:30.210
I'm really worried about the matchup.
617
00:27:30.289 --> 00:27:31.589
I think he would hit the nail on the head,
618
00:27:31.609 --> 00:27:33.559
especially with stunts on the right side.
619
00:27:33.599 --> 00:27:35.160
I think the left side, they've really figured that problem
620
00:27:35.200 --> 00:27:35.920
out from last year.
621
00:27:36.119 --> 00:27:36.279
Yeah.
622
00:27:36.299 --> 00:27:37.740
So it was a glaring issue.
623
00:27:37.779 --> 00:27:40.259
But the right side, again, you don't– Morgan Moses does
624
00:27:40.279 --> 00:27:42.539
not work next to Ben Brown at all. So I
625
00:27:42.559 --> 00:27:45.140
think it would be a huge missed opportunity if they
626
00:27:45.160 --> 00:27:46.619
don't at least try to see what they can do
627
00:27:46.700 --> 00:27:49.380
on that front. Even Jared Wilson at times, especially if
628
00:27:49.420 --> 00:27:51.720
he's kind of– if you're bringing it from far away
629
00:27:52.180 --> 00:27:54.009
to his area of the offensive line, sometimes he's a
630
00:27:54.009 --> 00:27:54.890
little slow to pick that up.
631
00:27:54.910 --> 00:27:56.250
So we'll see if he can be on top of
632
00:27:56.269 --> 00:27:56.670
those as well.
633
00:27:57.269 --> 00:28:01.630
Very fair. Yeah, we can move on to two. So
634
00:28:01.670 --> 00:28:04.329
that one that you gave, was that like your top
635
00:28:04.430 --> 00:28:05.529
one or are these all equal for you?
636
00:28:06.670 --> 00:28:08.259
That probably is number one for me.
637
00:28:08.579 --> 00:28:11.170
I don't want to talk about the Patriots offense if
638
00:28:11.539 --> 00:28:12.150
I don't have to.
639
00:28:12.339 --> 00:28:13.779
I think it's basically bad.
640
00:28:13.799 --> 00:28:15.660
I was taught when I worked at NextGenStats, my boss
641
00:28:15.700 --> 00:28:17.559
always told me you want to go strength versus strength
642
00:28:17.920 --> 00:28:21.319
or strength versus weakness. And yeah, I just think it's
643
00:28:21.339 --> 00:28:24.160
so much bad. I think the Bills offense versus Patriots
644
00:28:24.180 --> 00:28:25.539
defense is going to give us a lot more to
645
00:28:25.579 --> 00:28:27.079
chew on. So I'll focus a little bit more on that.
646
00:28:27.390 --> 00:28:31.210
Okay, fair enough. All right, so we got our first ones.
647
00:28:31.289 --> 00:28:32.890
I always cheat and say they're all equal for me,
648
00:28:32.990 --> 00:28:36.079
but you did your one. I did my one tied
649
00:28:36.099 --> 00:28:38.140
into yours, so we went from there. Yeah, let's go
650
00:28:38.200 --> 00:28:40.759
with the second thing or second piece that you think
651
00:28:40.779 --> 00:28:43.119
will decide Bills versus Pats in week four.
652
00:28:43.779 --> 00:28:45.900
Yeah, I'd love to go trenches two times in a row,
653
00:28:45.920 --> 00:28:49.089
but I'm going Patriots coverage versus the Bills passing.
654
00:28:49.109 --> 00:28:49.390
Okay.
655
00:28:50.170 --> 00:28:52.869
And this is one where I think it's pretty straightforward,
656
00:28:52.910 --> 00:28:55.349
like Christian Gonzalez and DJ Moore. When you're making as
657
00:28:55.410 --> 00:28:57.549
much money as those guys make, You're probably going to
658
00:28:57.569 --> 00:28:59.369
see as much of them as the Patriots are comfortable with.
659
00:28:59.789 --> 00:29:02.589
Now against the Seahawks and against the.
660
00:29:02.559 --> 00:29:05.460
Jaguars, they put their guys in so many funky spots
661
00:29:05.519 --> 00:29:07.940
and they do so much motion and weird looks that
662
00:29:07.960 --> 00:29:10.539
you didn't really see Christian Gonzalez follow their top guys
663
00:29:10.559 --> 00:29:11.420
as often as you might have.
664
00:29:11.519 --> 00:29:13.599
So obviously for the Jaguars, it's kind of funky.
665
00:29:13.640 --> 00:29:16.180
Parker Washington's the main guy, but Christian Gonzalez is a
666
00:29:16.180 --> 00:29:18.960
better matchup for Brian Thomas Jr. Really, you saw Christian
667
00:29:18.980 --> 00:29:20.299
Gonzalez on the boundary last time.
668
00:29:20.630 --> 00:29:22.069
Where Ryan Thomas Jr. typically is.
669
00:29:22.450 --> 00:29:24.740
And then against the Seahawks, they tried to put him
670
00:29:24.759 --> 00:29:27.299
on JSN a lot, but again, they do so many
671
00:29:27.339 --> 00:29:28.759
things that kind of give him better matchups.
672
00:29:29.079 --> 00:29:30.059
Then it didn't happen a ton.
673
00:29:30.819 --> 00:29:32.680
I think this is a game where Christian Gonzalez is
674
00:29:32.700 --> 00:29:35.390
going to see a ton, a ton of DJ more,
675
00:29:35.430 --> 00:29:38.470
especially in those three by one looks just because, and
676
00:29:38.509 --> 00:29:40.269
I feel like I'm stealing your answers.
677
00:29:40.049 --> 00:29:42.150
Because we talked about this. Now it's going to be
678
00:29:42.190 --> 00:29:42.829
both of our podcasts.
679
00:29:42.849 --> 00:29:45.289
We talked about this, but there is going to be
680
00:29:45.309 --> 00:29:47.390
a big priority in just making sure that the very
681
00:29:47.450 --> 00:29:50.700
least you have a numbers advantage against this Phil's passing attack,
682
00:29:50.740 --> 00:29:53.339
because it's no longer okay. Critical moment, probably going to
683
00:29:53.359 --> 00:29:55.779
be Khalil Shakir, whether or not like Donald Kincaid is
684
00:29:55.799 --> 00:29:57.019
healthy enough to actually play.
685
00:29:57.500 --> 00:29:58.839
And be the force that he can be.
686
00:29:58.880 --> 00:30:01.720
But Dalton Kincaid is playing some fantastic football right now.
687
00:30:02.240 --> 00:30:05.140
I don't love one-on-one matchups for him, especially with Craig Woodson.
688
00:30:05.180 --> 00:30:07.289
He was hurt last week. So whether he's going to
689
00:30:07.329 --> 00:30:09.089
be a full go or not, I don't know. Kevin
690
00:30:09.150 --> 00:30:12.829
Byard's an older guy. He's okay in coverage in man-to-man,
691
00:30:12.869 --> 00:30:15.609
but I don't like that matchup against Dalton Kincaid. And
692
00:30:15.630 --> 00:30:18.650
I don't like Dalton Kincaid versus really any linebacker. Maybe
693
00:30:18.710 --> 00:30:21.210
Aziz Alshair or somebody like that. But I just think
694
00:30:21.259 --> 00:30:24.500
he's more receiver as a route runner, obviously, in terms
695
00:30:24.539 --> 00:30:25.119
of ball skills.
696
00:30:25.589 --> 00:30:27.109
Than he is a true tight end.
697
00:30:27.170 --> 00:30:29.109
So I think you're going to want to try to
698
00:30:29.130 --> 00:30:31.869
play as much zone as possible to the strong side
699
00:30:31.890 --> 00:30:33.769
of the formation, but also you got to account for
700
00:30:33.829 --> 00:30:36.789
Josh Palmer. Always have to count for Khalil Shakir. Tian
701
00:30:36.829 --> 00:30:39.589
Coleman has actually been involved and has been a pretty
702
00:30:39.609 --> 00:30:42.269
productive player. So I think that the DJ more like
703
00:30:42.289 --> 00:30:44.279
you simplify that and just like, let's just take the
704
00:30:44.319 --> 00:30:46.119
headache away because we have plenty of others that we're
705
00:30:46.140 --> 00:30:48.000
going to have to deal with. That can create some
706
00:30:48.019 --> 00:30:49.799
matchups when it comes to the running backs versus the
707
00:30:49.819 --> 00:30:52.119
Patriots linebackers. That's going to be another thing to kind
708
00:30:52.140 --> 00:30:53.640
of watch if they want to play a lot of
709
00:30:53.680 --> 00:30:55.829
those match zones because the back side, It's going to
710
00:30:55.869 --> 00:30:56.490
be man coverage.
711
00:30:56.569 --> 00:30:58.869
What are you going to do there? But as much
712
00:30:58.890 --> 00:30:59.269
as I would.
713
00:30:59.190 --> 00:31:00.750
Like to see the Patriots man up, cause I don't
714
00:31:00.869 --> 00:31:02.950
hate their wide receiver cornerback matchups.
715
00:31:03.769 --> 00:31:07.170
I don't really love the middle of the bills.
716
00:31:07.049 --> 00:31:09.490
Offense, the tight ends and the running backs versus the
717
00:31:09.539 --> 00:31:12.740
safeties and linebackers, especially pure one-on-one situations.
718
00:31:12.839 --> 00:31:16.220
So how exactly the Patriots decide to influence those matchups,
719
00:31:16.259 --> 00:31:16.720
whether they.
720
00:31:16.640 --> 00:31:19.200
Try to blitz more to try to, you know, not
721
00:31:19.240 --> 00:31:20.779
let the receivers get as far downfield.
722
00:31:20.819 --> 00:31:21.319
We will see.
723
00:31:21.339 --> 00:31:24.299
But I, that is going to have to be a
724
00:31:24.440 --> 00:31:27.160
major point of emphasis. Obviously it's Josh Allen, making sure
725
00:31:27.180 --> 00:31:28.779
he doesn't throw the ball over the yard, probably going
726
00:31:28.799 --> 00:31:31.119
to be pretty important. Um, but how exactly they go
727
00:31:31.160 --> 00:31:32.849
about that is going to be fascinating to see, but
728
00:31:32.900 --> 00:31:36.529
number one, number one's on number one, just take Hershey
729
00:31:36.549 --> 00:31:38.349
Gonzalez on DJ more, hope that he has a good
730
00:31:38.390 --> 00:31:41.730
game and then focus on this, you know, now what
731
00:31:41.789 --> 00:31:46.099
is a pretty well-rounded, uh, Bill's passing offense. I, uh,
732
00:31:46.779 --> 00:31:48.500
So this ties into one of mine, so I'll just
733
00:31:48.539 --> 00:31:50.359
tie it into your point.
734
00:31:50.880 --> 00:31:53.380
I literally titled it Dalton Kincaid versus whoever.
735
00:31:53.400 --> 00:31:54.660
Yeah.
736
00:31:55.200 --> 00:31:57.599
That's my thought for this one. You know, you and
737
00:31:57.849 --> 00:32:00.589
I talked about this earlier on an episode for you
738
00:32:00.609 --> 00:32:05.660
that will be dropping later this week. But I'm very simple.
739
00:32:05.880 --> 00:32:08.579
If there's good on good and I have a good
740
00:32:08.640 --> 00:32:11.599
guy somewhere else who can exploit an opportunity, I'll let
741
00:32:11.619 --> 00:32:13.500
the good on good kind of cancel itself. And so,
742
00:32:13.519 --> 00:32:15.440
you know, yeah, DJ Moore, like you're looking good. Christian
743
00:32:15.460 --> 00:32:18.099
Gonzalez is one of the best corners in football. Hey,
744
00:32:18.119 --> 00:32:19.660
you guys go have fun. I don't care. You guys
745
00:32:19.680 --> 00:32:21.619
can do whatever you want. Play rock, paper, scissors. Play
746
00:32:21.660 --> 00:32:23.940
patty cake. I don't care. We're not going out there.
747
00:32:23.980 --> 00:32:25.900
You know, Carlton Davis, you know, if you're playing, you're
748
00:32:25.920 --> 00:32:29.789
feeling good, cool. You go cover Palmer. or Keon or Shakira,
749
00:32:29.809 --> 00:32:31.569
whoever's out there. I also don't care. You know, you
750
00:32:31.589 --> 00:32:33.269
guys have fun. You do your stuff outside the numbers.
751
00:32:33.549 --> 00:32:37.549
Give me Kincaid in between the numbers or really anywhere.
752
00:32:37.730 --> 00:32:38.829
If we're, you know, if the Pats are going to
753
00:32:38.849 --> 00:32:40.890
go man coverage and let's take them in motion amount,
754
00:32:40.910 --> 00:32:43.630
let's see, you know, is Marcus Jones going with him?
755
00:32:43.650 --> 00:32:44.549
Is it a safety?
756
00:32:44.670 --> 00:32:45.329
Is it a backer?
757
00:32:45.410 --> 00:32:47.609
Like what I do think is really interesting is I
758
00:32:47.630 --> 00:32:53.029
would want to keep him more towards like the, the
759
00:32:53.109 --> 00:32:55.890
trip side, or, you know, if it's two man, you know,
760
00:32:55.910 --> 00:32:58.759
you got two on each side, but like, I wouldn't
761
00:32:58.779 --> 00:33:00.339
want to split him out solo, which they don't do
762
00:33:00.380 --> 00:33:02.779
a ton anyway. Like I don't want him on Christian Gonzalez.
763
00:33:03.039 --> 00:33:06.079
Give me him against the backers, the safeties, and even
764
00:33:06.099 --> 00:33:09.200
Marcus Jones. I think the world of Marcus Jones. I
765
00:33:09.220 --> 00:33:11.019
think it's so awesome. He's one of my favorite players
766
00:33:11.059 --> 00:33:13.740
in league because I liked him so much. And every
767
00:33:13.779 --> 00:33:15.720
time I clipped a play of him doing something at
768
00:33:15.799 --> 00:33:18.539
corner at Houston, everybody's like, well, he's too small. He's
769
00:33:18.559 --> 00:33:20.420
going to have to do return stuff. And he was
770
00:33:20.460 --> 00:33:22.359
electric as a return. He was like an amazing returner,
771
00:33:22.400 --> 00:33:24.500
but I was just like, man, like I know he's small,
772
00:33:24.519 --> 00:33:26.880
but like this, he's like a good football player. Like
773
00:33:26.900 --> 00:33:29.140
he's tackling dudes. He's making good plays and coverage. Like
774
00:33:29.859 --> 00:33:31.059
I feel like he could be a good football player.
775
00:33:31.079 --> 00:33:32.990
And it's like, nope, he's too, too much of an outlier.
776
00:33:33.950 --> 00:33:36.650
And so I think he's like, he's just watching what
777
00:33:36.690 --> 00:33:39.740
he's become in that defense is so fun for me.
778
00:33:39.769 --> 00:33:43.109
Cause I liked him so much coming out. Unfortunately for him,
779
00:33:43.289 --> 00:33:45.150
I will take Dalton Kincaid against him every single day
780
00:33:45.170 --> 00:33:47.940
of the week. And I actually think it might've been
781
00:33:48.039 --> 00:33:51.819
Keon or maybe it was Kincaid. There was someone last
782
00:33:51.859 --> 00:33:55.750
year in the first bills Patriots game. matched up one-on-one
783
00:33:55.769 --> 00:33:59.369
against marcus jones and joe it was a who was
784
00:33:59.690 --> 00:34:03.150
sloppy yes yes because it was kian and i remember
785
00:34:03.250 --> 00:34:05.710
everybody was like dude that guy's so little kian is
786
00:34:05.750 --> 00:34:07.650
huge you're a power forward how could you not dunk
787
00:34:07.759 --> 00:34:08.980
on him and in my head i was like yeah
788
00:34:09.000 --> 00:34:12.000
he should but also like marcus jones is sick man
789
00:34:12.059 --> 00:34:14.500
like so i don't i don't want to yeah right
790
00:34:14.760 --> 00:34:17.500
i don't want to just play the whole like don't
791
00:34:17.519 --> 00:34:20.460
kinkade big marcus jones small like that's not what i'm
792
00:34:20.480 --> 00:34:23.389
trying to do but like Kincaid, the length, the size,
793
00:34:23.469 --> 00:34:26.739
the frame, and the athleticism, all of that versus Marcus
794
00:34:26.780 --> 00:34:29.800
Jones is advantage Kincaid. But it's the same thing, advantage
795
00:34:29.820 --> 00:34:32.219
against a bigger body dude, a backer, a big nickel,
796
00:34:32.440 --> 00:34:35.909
a safety. I don't care. Like, give me Dalton Kincaid
797
00:34:36.510 --> 00:34:39.869
matched up in that world. And looking at the Patriots
798
00:34:39.889 --> 00:34:42.449
so far this year, you know, four main coverage buckets
799
00:34:42.530 --> 00:34:46.409
for them this year per PFF. They are rolling a 23.1%
800
00:34:46.409 --> 00:34:53.929
cover three rate. 22.5% cover one, 19.2% quarters, 16.5% cover two.
801
00:34:54.289 --> 00:34:57.030
So a decent mix within those four buckets. So you're
802
00:34:57.050 --> 00:34:58.429
going to get some two high stuff. You're going to
803
00:34:58.449 --> 00:35:00.210
get some single high stuff, but if you're going to
804
00:35:00.230 --> 00:35:03.750
play man coverage, who's manning up against Kincaid? Is it,
805
00:35:03.989 --> 00:35:05.869
is it Marcus Jones or is it the down safety?
806
00:35:06.070 --> 00:35:07.710
I don't care. I'm taking either one of those things.
807
00:35:07.969 --> 00:35:10.699
Are we putting Kincaid as the number three? Is that mean,
808
00:35:10.739 --> 00:35:12.639
does that mean he's getting matched up against Spillane or Ellis?
809
00:35:13.019 --> 00:35:14.940
I'm taking that all day. If they're going to play
810
00:35:14.960 --> 00:35:18.349
any match stuff, it's a similar conversation, especially if we're
811
00:35:18.389 --> 00:35:21.090
putting him at the three, do they feel like, you
812
00:35:21.130 --> 00:35:24.050
know what we, you know, again, even, even if it's
813
00:35:24.070 --> 00:35:27.300
cover three, two, I'll attack the seam with Kincaid and
814
00:35:27.320 --> 00:35:30.099
I'll attack that aspect. Do the Patriots feel like, you
815
00:35:30.139 --> 00:35:32.519
know what, we're, we're going to double, we're going to
816
00:35:32.539 --> 00:35:34.119
play one double, you know, we're going to, you know,
817
00:35:34.139 --> 00:35:36.699
cover one cover, you know, cover one double 86 and
818
00:35:36.719 --> 00:35:39.070
we're going to attack Kincaid the way we have in
819
00:35:39.090 --> 00:35:40.809
Patriots past when we played one double.
820
00:35:41.130 --> 00:35:41.289
Cool.
821
00:35:41.329 --> 00:35:44.840
That's fine. Now you're allocating resources there. which means there's
822
00:35:44.880 --> 00:35:47.539
less resources to be allocated towards Shakir potentially for some
823
00:35:47.559 --> 00:35:50.480
stuff or some run gate stuff. Again, I'm not saying
824
00:35:50.559 --> 00:35:53.440
for it completely about the outside receivers, but in my mind,
825
00:35:53.579 --> 00:35:55.820
I am, I don't care. DJ more, whoever's on the outside,
826
00:35:55.840 --> 00:35:57.989
the other side, I don't care. I'm focusing on the interior.
827
00:35:58.320 --> 00:36:02.650
Let's also get in this game, potentially similar conversation is Kincaid.
828
00:36:03.429 --> 00:36:05.969
I'd love to see the new Orleans saints, Pete Carmichael,
829
00:36:06.030 --> 00:36:08.550
Sean Payton, past game to the running back stuff, start
830
00:36:08.570 --> 00:36:10.130
to rear his head a little bit. Give me James
831
00:36:10.170 --> 00:36:12.670
cook in space on some, on some past stuff against
832
00:36:12.730 --> 00:36:16.800
the lane or Ellis, maybe even Jones, uh, just, I
833
00:36:16.860 --> 00:36:19.380
think that is a matchup that can be advantageous to
834
00:36:19.400 --> 00:36:21.639
the bills. And if the pages want to live in
835
00:36:21.659 --> 00:36:23.599
more too high stuff, because they're threatened by some of
836
00:36:23.619 --> 00:36:27.039
the bills past game things. Okay. Let's run the ball
837
00:36:27.400 --> 00:36:29.739
and mash. And then it's like, okay, it's Christian Barmore
838
00:36:29.760 --> 00:36:32.719
kind of changing the math is Milton Williams changing the math.
839
00:36:33.019 --> 00:36:35.219
What are we getting from gay back is, and his dream,
840
00:36:35.260 --> 00:36:36.699
I'm going to play in this game. Is he changing
841
00:36:36.719 --> 00:36:38.800
the math a little bit? Like what, what does that
842
00:36:38.840 --> 00:36:40.969
start to look like? I think that's more good on good,
843
00:36:41.010 --> 00:36:43.449
even though there's been questions for the past there this year. Um,
844
00:36:44.030 --> 00:36:47.670
But yeah, my second one is really Dalton Kincaid versus whoever.
845
00:36:47.989 --> 00:36:49.469
But I think some of the stuff you can also
846
00:36:49.510 --> 00:36:51.829
apply to Kincaid. I also think you could apply to
847
00:36:51.869 --> 00:36:54.630
the Bills running backs, Cook and Ty Johnson in particular,
848
00:36:54.829 --> 00:36:57.769
more from an underneath standpoint against the backers. But yeah,
849
00:36:57.789 --> 00:37:00.349
I'm attacking middle of the field in between the numbers.
850
00:37:00.590 --> 00:37:03.269
Let's get Kincaid on some dudes. Give me Dalton Kincaid
851
00:37:03.309 --> 00:37:05.730
with like 12 targets in this game for like eight
852
00:37:05.769 --> 00:37:09.429
catches and 115 yards. Let's put him as the focal
853
00:37:09.469 --> 00:37:11.429
point of this past game. Then we'll do some play
854
00:37:11.530 --> 00:37:13.809
action and some boot stuff and generate some explosives elsewhere.
855
00:37:14.449 --> 00:37:16.130
Yeah, I've been waiting for the Bills game plan that
856
00:37:16.170 --> 00:37:18.530
really does feature him. And I understand why it hasn't
857
00:37:18.550 --> 00:37:20.730
maybe happened in the past. But, yeah, I think that's
858
00:37:20.789 --> 00:37:23.050
either going to be the recipe. Or, like we mentioned,
859
00:37:23.170 --> 00:37:26.250
if it's a sneaky running back game and you start seeing, like, wow,
860
00:37:26.269 --> 00:37:26.730
wait a minute.
861
00:37:26.750 --> 00:37:28.250
Why did Ty Johnson and James.
862
00:37:28.090 --> 00:37:33.780
Cook each have, like, multiple catches, you know, combining for, like, 60,
863
00:37:33.750 --> 00:37:34.099
70 yards?
864
00:37:34.119 --> 00:37:35.599
Like, I feel like Ty Johnson more so.
865
00:37:36.019 --> 00:37:38.239
I know it's not really James Cook's bag necessarily, but
866
00:37:38.260 --> 00:37:39.860
if I can get those matchups, I'm going for them
867
00:37:39.880 --> 00:37:40.360
every time.
868
00:37:40.380 --> 00:37:42.400
Well, because– and so what's tough too with Cook is
869
00:37:42.739 --> 00:37:45.400
the third down back is Ty Johnson because Ty Johnson
870
00:37:45.440 --> 00:37:47.539
is such a good pass protector and he's also a
871
00:37:47.559 --> 00:37:50.710
good pass catcher. And Cook is still questionable in pass, bro.
872
00:37:51.150 --> 00:37:53.590
So when you get into those known passing down and distances,
873
00:37:54.389 --> 00:37:56.769
it's Ty Johnson. So, like, he is going to be
874
00:37:56.789 --> 00:38:00.340
the guy that works into that. And I do– You
875
00:38:00.360 --> 00:38:01.599
know what? One last piece on the tight ends. I
876
00:38:01.619 --> 00:38:04.400
didn't mention the Patriots defense in terms of DVO way.
877
00:38:04.440 --> 00:38:06.760
They're third in a good way in terms of DVO
878
00:38:06.840 --> 00:38:10.329
way versus tight ends. And I wonder, yeah, does that,
879
00:38:10.409 --> 00:38:11.969
is that a product of who they played and the
880
00:38:12.010 --> 00:38:15.210
game strip that's gone, especially I don't know, week two
881
00:38:15.230 --> 00:38:17.869
game where the Steelers offense should have been jettisoned into
882
00:38:17.889 --> 00:38:21.090
the sun for how that game went. Just absolutely brutal
883
00:38:21.110 --> 00:38:24.889
to watch on TV. And then, yeah, like I, you know,
884
00:38:24.929 --> 00:38:27.980
Seattle week, week one, quarterback change in the middle of
885
00:38:28.019 --> 00:38:29.880
that game or early in that game. And then you're
886
00:38:30.099 --> 00:38:32.400
facing the dumpster fire of a Steelers offense in week two,
887
00:38:32.440 --> 00:38:34.460
who may be rectified some things against the Bengals. So yeah,
888
00:38:34.480 --> 00:38:37.219
like do the Patriots have some better answers for against
889
00:38:37.239 --> 00:38:39.340
the tight ends that I'm potentially giving them credit for,
890
00:38:39.800 --> 00:38:41.519
or is it, you know, where they're sitting right now
891
00:38:41.599 --> 00:38:43.780
is a product of more of who they played. Granted
892
00:38:44.199 --> 00:38:45.159
DVOA kind of does.
893
00:38:45.079 --> 00:38:45.559
Correct for that.
894
00:38:46.019 --> 00:38:47.400
It's kind of a matter of who they play, to
895
00:38:47.420 --> 00:38:49.480
be honest, because you get through lock the first week,
896
00:38:49.500 --> 00:38:51.699
they weren't really trying to let him throw very often anyway,
897
00:38:51.739 --> 00:38:53.760
unless they had to. And I think that limited the
898
00:38:53.780 --> 00:38:56.030
amount of like scheme opportunities that I thought AJ Barnum
899
00:38:56.050 --> 00:38:59.119
was going to get, Darnell Washington, I think he got
900
00:38:59.139 --> 00:39:01.059
like one or two passes, but he didn't really get
901
00:39:01.099 --> 00:39:02.480
a ton of attention. And like you said, it wasn't
902
00:39:02.500 --> 00:39:04.260
a great plan. They were just throwing slants all game.
903
00:39:04.900 --> 00:39:07.320
Not a big, you know, Darnell Washington.
904
00:39:07.699 --> 00:39:08.519
Game plan there.
905
00:39:09.019 --> 00:39:14.219
And then last week, honestly, Trevor Martin didn't.
906
00:39:14.039 --> 00:39:15.460
Really go to Brenton Strange very often.
907
00:39:15.480 --> 00:39:17.010
I thought that was going to be more of a
908
00:39:17.030 --> 00:39:18.860
key matchup, but he had success going wherever the hell
909
00:39:18.909 --> 00:39:22.289
else he wanted. So I can't really critique him for
910
00:39:22.329 --> 00:39:24.010
not going to Brenton Strange when.
911
00:39:23.889 --> 00:39:25.710
He's putting up more of enough points and boat racing
912
00:39:25.730 --> 00:39:26.269
the Patriots.
913
00:39:26.309 --> 00:39:28.360
So Yeah, if this were the week that a tight
914
00:39:28.400 --> 00:39:30.199
end gash them i wouldn't be surprised even going back
915
00:39:30.239 --> 00:39:32.300
to last year i remember they had a lot of
916
00:39:32.320 --> 00:39:34.219
good numbers against tight ends for the season and i
917
00:39:34.219 --> 00:39:37.579
was just like it doesn't that feels kind of manufactured
918
00:39:37.619 --> 00:39:40.199
like it feels like offenses just haven't really pressed that
919
00:39:40.239 --> 00:39:42.260
advantage and then you see the super bowl aj barn
920
00:39:42.280 --> 00:39:44.699
has the best game of his career so Yeah, I
921
00:39:44.860 --> 00:39:46.940
wouldn't be surprised if Dalton Cade goes off in this.
922
00:39:46.920 --> 00:39:47.739
One at all.
923
00:39:48.199 --> 00:39:50.769
Yeah, it is. And even, too, thinking about the Jags,
924
00:39:50.789 --> 00:39:53.630
their tight ends were a meme in the offseason because
925
00:39:53.650 --> 00:39:55.889
all their tight ends were like, why, why types? Like,
926
00:39:56.309 --> 00:39:58.610
in line, let's just mash. But then, I mean, they
927
00:39:58.650 --> 00:40:00.389
were mashing in that game a little bit, so it
928
00:40:00.409 --> 00:40:03.090
kind of worked out for them. Yeah, that's a big
929
00:40:03.159 --> 00:40:06.699
one for me. All right, anything else on those second points?
930
00:40:06.719 --> 00:40:07.599
Or do you want to move on to three?
931
00:40:07.619 --> 00:40:09.699
I'm going to move on to three. We talked about
932
00:40:09.719 --> 00:40:11.739
the running backs, so might as well keep the train going.
933
00:40:12.360 --> 00:40:15.300
All right, your third point? What do you got for
934
00:40:15.360 --> 00:40:17.019
what will decide Bills versus Pats in week four?
935
00:40:17.599 --> 00:40:22.760
Patriots run defense versus James Cook. Oh, okay. Rushing offense. Now,
936
00:40:23.559 --> 00:40:25.239
if you are able to keep a lid on Josh Allen,
937
00:40:25.260 --> 00:40:26.119
that's fantastic.
938
00:40:26.860 --> 00:40:28.579
I also think if you want to win this game,
939
00:40:29.050 --> 00:40:31.050
you're going to have to be competitive against the run.
940
00:40:31.769 --> 00:40:33.969
Patriots haven't really been that, unfortunately.
941
00:40:33.989 --> 00:40:35.650
They were all right against the Steelers in week two,
942
00:40:35.670 --> 00:40:38.429
but most of what we've seen is them allowing offenses
943
00:40:38.489 --> 00:40:40.610
to not necessarily gain explosive runs.
944
00:40:40.650 --> 00:40:42.369
That's one area where I do feel good about them
945
00:40:42.389 --> 00:40:43.010
against James Cook.
946
00:40:43.460 --> 00:40:46.179
They have kept the league on two really good running backs,
947
00:40:46.260 --> 00:40:48.349
Vajal Tootin and Jadarian Price, and not allowed them to
948
00:40:48.389 --> 00:40:50.670
really break too many big carries. I think each one
949
00:40:50.690 --> 00:40:54.030
of those guys had, like, one. The issue is the
950
00:40:54.050 --> 00:40:55.929
success rate is through the roof. The Patriots are just
951
00:40:56.030 --> 00:40:59.570
not creating negative plays, and they're not putting offenses off
952
00:40:59.590 --> 00:41:01.989
schedule to where they have to get away from the run.
953
00:41:02.010 --> 00:41:04.650
I think they're, like, the lowest run stuff rate in
954
00:41:04.670 --> 00:41:06.510
the NFL by, like, 2%.
955
00:41:06.510 --> 00:41:08.280
It's very, very bad. It's around, like, 6%, 7% or
956
00:41:08.300 --> 00:41:10.780
something like that. It's atrocious.
957
00:41:10.980 --> 00:41:16.679
Yeah, it is 6.7%. They are last in terms of
958
00:41:16.860 --> 00:41:22.590
stuff rate. Yeah, 6.7%. They're only behind the Panthers at 6.9%,
959
00:41:22.590 --> 00:41:23.789
and their defense has been bad.
960
00:41:23.809 --> 00:41:25.210
Yeah, it's really ugly.
961
00:41:25.710 --> 00:41:27.429
And a lot of that is because the interior of
962
00:41:27.449 --> 00:41:30.610
the defensive line isn't creating nearly enough disruption. No Williams
963
00:41:30.650 --> 00:41:33.050
is the only interior defensive lineman for the Patriots with
964
00:41:33.090 --> 00:41:35.670
a tackle for a loss or no gain in three games.
965
00:41:36.050 --> 00:41:38.349
And like you said, they got Christian Barmore, Milton Williams,
966
00:41:38.369 --> 00:41:40.489
still Milton Williams. You should have more than one tackle
967
00:41:40.510 --> 00:41:43.500
for loss or no gain. And Corey Durden, who actually
968
00:41:43.519 --> 00:41:44.960
was a diamond in the rough for them and a
969
00:41:45.000 --> 00:41:47.920
really nice hidden gem that they found after roster cuts.
970
00:41:48.719 --> 00:41:51.059
He's had two out of three bad games, and I
971
00:41:51.099 --> 00:41:53.719
really expected a lot more from him So when you
972
00:41:53.739 --> 00:41:56.179
talk about no disruption really from the interior of the
973
00:41:56.199 --> 00:41:58.489
defensive line, young guys on the edges, I don't know
974
00:41:58.550 --> 00:41:59.909
if Draymond Jones is going to play or not.
975
00:41:59.969 --> 00:42:02.489
And I will say Gabe Atkins has been competitive as
976
00:42:02.510 --> 00:42:03.150
hell against the run.
977
00:42:03.190 --> 00:42:05.909
He's like top five and run stop right now, albeit
978
00:42:05.969 --> 00:42:07.659
kind of a smaller sample size, but he played a
979
00:42:07.679 --> 00:42:09.420
lot last week and he's.
980
00:42:09.320 --> 00:42:09.980
Boom or bust.
981
00:42:10.059 --> 00:42:12.199
Like he's still a rookie, missed the entirety of the spring.
982
00:42:12.519 --> 00:42:14.480
He's still learning to get off blocks and be consistent,
983
00:42:14.719 --> 00:42:16.489
but he flashes at least. And that's what you want
984
00:42:16.510 --> 00:42:19.949
from young players. Elijah Ponder has been super hit or
985
00:42:19.989 --> 00:42:21.889
miss as a run defender. He's really growing as a
986
00:42:21.929 --> 00:42:23.780
pass rusher, which is where I figured his role was
987
00:42:23.800 --> 00:42:25.780
going to be. Like that ghost move, he's looking like
988
00:42:25.800 --> 00:42:28.579
Harold Landry out there. But when it comes to setting edges,
989
00:42:28.619 --> 00:42:31.510
getting off blocks, he also is like, it depends on
990
00:42:31.550 --> 00:42:33.309
what the snap is, what the week is. I thought
991
00:42:33.329 --> 00:42:35.449
week two, he was much improved if he wasn't perfect.
992
00:42:35.860 --> 00:42:37.900
Week one and week three, I thought he was okay.
993
00:42:38.340 --> 00:42:41.059
The secondary tackles very well, so that's good, but you
994
00:42:41.099 --> 00:42:43.019
don't want the secondary to have to tackle very often.
995
00:42:43.420 --> 00:42:45.880
And the linebackers, I think when they're allowed to flow
996
00:42:45.940 --> 00:42:48.440
and play off the defensive line, they look good. When
997
00:42:48.500 --> 00:42:51.440
they're getting contacted at the second level, they look bad.
998
00:42:52.019 --> 00:42:54.920
And unfortunately, there was more of the latter last week
999
00:42:54.960 --> 00:42:55.820
against the Jaguars.
1000
00:42:55.880 --> 00:42:58.099
And James Cook, still one of the most explosive backs
1001
00:42:58.139 --> 00:42:58.639
in football.
1002
00:42:58.940 --> 00:43:00.639
And while a lot of people, I feel like, think
1003
00:43:00.659 --> 00:43:02.730
of him as an outside runner, he takes it between
1004
00:43:02.750 --> 00:43:04.730
the tackles a lot because he's so good at cutting
1005
00:43:04.769 --> 00:43:07.889
back against the grain. pressing, forcing you to flow one way,
1006
00:43:08.010 --> 00:43:09.809
and then just knifing into the middle of your defense
1007
00:43:09.829 --> 00:43:12.610
for huge plays. And the Patriots haven't, I mean, Basil
1008
00:43:12.659 --> 00:43:15.000
Tootin has been one of the most explosive backs in football.
1009
00:43:15.239 --> 00:43:18.800
He ain't James Cook. Nobody's James Cook. So, and also
1010
00:43:18.900 --> 00:43:20.760
one other metric I thought was interesting for the Patriots,
1011
00:43:20.860 --> 00:43:23.519
along with not being able to stop the run, is
1012
00:43:23.539 --> 00:43:26.380
they're allowing some of the fewest yards before contact, but
1013
00:43:26.400 --> 00:43:28.219
some of the most yards after contact.
1014
00:43:28.539 --> 00:43:30.179
And again, there's not a lot of disruption.
1015
00:43:30.559 --> 00:43:33.300
I think it's never one-to-one, like football's a complicated game,
1016
00:43:33.650 --> 00:43:35.690
But I think it's pretty fair to say that, yes,
1017
00:43:35.730 --> 00:43:38.750
when they're able to get some penetration or they're able
1018
00:43:38.789 --> 00:43:41.090
to stop at the line, obviously it's great. When they're not,
1019
00:43:41.449 --> 00:43:43.210
and a running back's able to get past the line
1020
00:43:43.230 --> 00:43:45.510
of scrimmage with a head of steam, obviously that's making
1021
00:43:45.550 --> 00:43:48.449
life a lot harder on your linebackers and your secondary
1022
00:43:48.670 --> 00:43:51.269
because then they're having to make tackles from an inadvantages
1023
00:43:51.309 --> 00:43:54.250
position where you're either moving sideways or you're trying to
1024
00:43:54.289 --> 00:43:56.670
come downhill without as much of a head start as
1025
00:43:56.710 --> 00:43:58.889
the ball carrier. So when the defensive line's not doing
1026
00:43:58.949 --> 00:44:01.880
its job, everybody suffers. And I think that's why the Patriots,
1027
00:44:01.900 --> 00:44:04.719
from a success standpoint, haven't been great. And even still,
1028
00:44:04.760 --> 00:44:08.000
it's like, yeah, you're stopping them and you're getting contact
1029
00:44:08.440 --> 00:44:10.900
maybe one or two yards. But even still, sometimes these
1030
00:44:10.960 --> 00:44:13.159
backs are able to power forward. And then, sure, you're
1031
00:44:13.260 --> 00:44:15.199
getting contacted after a yard or two, but you're also
1032
00:44:15.260 --> 00:44:17.369
getting a little bit extra after that to keep you
1033
00:44:17.429 --> 00:44:20.289
on schedule. So if the Patriots want this game to
1034
00:44:20.309 --> 00:44:23.750
be competitive, sure, James Cook can have four yards carry,
1035
00:44:23.769 --> 00:44:26.289
four and a half yards per carry, whatever. But the
1036
00:44:26.309 --> 00:44:28.929
Bills are going to be very comfortable And you're just
1037
00:44:28.949 --> 00:44:30.449
going to have to kind of sit there and take it.
1038
00:44:30.510 --> 00:44:33.760
And as a Madden player, I couldn't do it. As
1039
00:44:33.800 --> 00:44:36.239
a spectator, I can't stand it. But, you know, sometimes
1040
00:44:36.260 --> 00:44:37.460
you got to do what you got to do. But
1041
00:44:37.480 --> 00:44:40.380
if you want to win this game, James Cook cannot
1042
00:44:40.480 --> 00:44:43.940
have a healthy success rate or yards per carry. You
1043
00:44:43.980 --> 00:44:45.960
need to create some negative plays, whether that's blitzing, whether
1044
00:44:45.980 --> 00:44:47.739
that's better play from your interior defensive line.
1045
00:44:48.179 --> 00:44:49.570
I don't know. We haven't seen it.
1046
00:44:50.000 --> 00:44:52.420
But you absolutely cannot allow the Bills to just do
1047
00:44:52.460 --> 00:44:54.719
what they want and have a wide open game script.
1048
00:44:55.019 --> 00:44:58.340
Because that's where I think, especially with a pretty crappy offense,
1049
00:44:58.360 --> 00:45:01.619
what we've seen in the past few weeks, you might
1050
00:45:01.639 --> 00:45:04.079
get boat raced again. And I can't have that with
1051
00:45:04.119 --> 00:45:06.059
them on the road in the Bills' new stadium. It's
1052
00:45:06.079 --> 00:45:08.079
just a bad look. No one wants to see that.
1053
00:45:08.099 --> 00:45:09.579
We want it to be competitive. It's going to be
1054
00:45:09.599 --> 00:45:12.260
a big game. So, yeah, you just can't let James
1055
00:45:12.300 --> 00:45:14.360
Kirk do that.
1056
00:45:14.389 --> 00:45:16.150
Do we want it to be competitive? I think a nice,
1057
00:45:16.190 --> 00:45:18.469
comfortable Bills win would be– I think that's something we
1058
00:45:18.489 --> 00:45:19.110
would all– You don't want.
1059
00:45:19.050 --> 00:45:19.409
To get bored.
1060
00:45:19.429 --> 00:45:21.110
You don't want to be in the third quarter being like,
1061
00:45:21.349 --> 00:45:23.170
I know how this is going to go. I'm going
1062
00:45:23.190 --> 00:45:25.960
to go– I don't know. walk my dog or something.
1063
00:45:25.980 --> 00:45:27.739
I don't know what people were doing during the Jaguars game,
1064
00:45:27.760 --> 00:45:28.820
but I don't think a whole lot of people were
1065
00:45:28.840 --> 00:45:29.840
watching through the fourth quarter.
1066
00:45:30.159 --> 00:45:31.659
I didn't want to, but it's my job.
1067
00:45:31.920 --> 00:45:33.780
So I had to. I don't want to, but I
1068
00:45:33.820 --> 00:45:37.190
had to. I hate those ones where it's like, why
1069
00:45:37.210 --> 00:45:39.449
are you still watching this? I have to.
1070
00:45:39.469 --> 00:45:40.670
All right, start writing early.
1071
00:45:41.070 --> 00:45:44.670
Yeah, there you go. Some metrics to kind of further
1072
00:45:45.110 --> 00:45:51.039
this conversation. Buffalo Bills run game per Sumer Sports first
1073
00:45:51.360 --> 00:45:56.239
in EPA per rush. First, in rushing success rate. And
1074
00:45:56.300 --> 00:45:58.519
then if we want to look at some stuff from
1075
00:45:58.579 --> 00:46:03.860
next gen stats, they are second in yards before contact
1076
00:46:03.980 --> 00:46:09.599
per attempt at 2.75. This is significant because so, so
1077
00:46:10.079 --> 00:46:12.599
the Ravens are first at 3.24. The bills are second
1078
00:46:12.619 --> 00:46:19.460
at 2.75. The Bengals are third at 2.19. So the
1079
00:46:19.539 --> 00:46:21.539
Bills and then even the Ravens are in their own
1080
00:46:21.639 --> 00:46:25.159
stratosphere at 1-2 when it turns of yards before contact
1081
00:46:25.199 --> 00:46:26.840
per attempt. And you're seeing that on the tape. There
1082
00:46:26.880 --> 00:46:29.349
are people moving. They are getting guys out of the way.
1083
00:46:29.809 --> 00:46:33.250
James Cook will run behind Spencer Brown and Osiris Torrance.
1084
00:46:33.289 --> 00:46:36.230
They will run duo. They will create displacement. James Cook,
1085
00:46:36.889 --> 00:46:39.309
maybe he'll bounce it. and get one-on-one with the corner
1086
00:46:39.349 --> 00:46:41.559
and go around them or inside them or through them,
1087
00:46:42.019 --> 00:46:44.360
or he'll stay on track, manipulate the mic, he'll cut
1088
00:46:44.380 --> 00:46:46.840
wherever he needs to, they'll run mid-zone weak off that,
1089
00:46:46.980 --> 00:46:49.780
and he'll either stay right on that mid-zone track or
1090
00:46:49.800 --> 00:46:51.969
he'll cut it back, we'll see everybody get washed down.
1091
00:46:52.789 --> 00:46:56.769
I love your call about what he's become as a runner,
1092
00:46:56.989 --> 00:47:00.800
where it's not... Oh, you know, look how he's this,
1093
00:47:00.840 --> 00:47:03.119
he's this scat back and he's speedy and all this
1094
00:47:03.159 --> 00:47:05.320
kind of stuff. And he's really become a dude who
1095
00:47:05.340 --> 00:47:07.550
can run in the a gap and in the B
1096
00:47:07.590 --> 00:47:09.869
gap and stay in between the tackles and he'll drop
1097
00:47:09.909 --> 00:47:12.050
a shoulder and he'll fall forward and he'll go through
1098
00:47:12.090 --> 00:47:14.449
a linebacker. He'll put his head down. He'll fight for
1099
00:47:14.510 --> 00:47:16.849
yards at the goal line. His progression as a runner
1100
00:47:17.829 --> 00:47:21.090
year after year has been so fun to watch and
1101
00:47:21.190 --> 00:47:25.820
see because he's developed his In college, he was more
1102
00:47:26.059 --> 00:47:28.539
of a zone runner, and he didn't really have pacing,
1103
00:47:28.639 --> 00:47:31.340
the right pacing, I should say, for the gap scheme stuff.
1104
00:47:31.380 --> 00:47:33.320
He was always trying to get the ball and go
1105
00:47:33.320 --> 00:47:35.300
100 miles an hour and get to the gap right away,
1106
00:47:35.340 --> 00:47:37.099
get to the hole, and he'd get in front of
1107
00:47:37.139 --> 00:47:39.159
his blockers, he'd get in the way, they'd mash, it
1108
00:47:39.199 --> 00:47:43.280
just wasn't clean. He's developed such good feel, not just
1109
00:47:43.300 --> 00:47:44.969
in the zone stuff where he's pressing the line anymore,
1110
00:47:44.989 --> 00:47:47.010
but in the gap scheme stuff that they do, and
1111
00:47:47.030 --> 00:47:49.750
he understands how to let plays breathe and what he
1112
00:47:49.789 --> 00:47:53.349
needs to do, and His vision has come along with that,
1113
00:47:53.389 --> 00:47:56.710
but then he's gotten thicker. He's gotten more muscle season
1114
00:47:56.750 --> 00:47:59.590
after season. His contact balance has improved. His yards after
1115
00:47:59.650 --> 00:48:03.570
contact has improved. He's consistently falling forward more and not
1116
00:48:03.590 --> 00:48:05.710
just a guy who's getting brought down easier. And while
1117
00:48:05.750 --> 00:48:08.429
doing all of that, he has not lost his fastball,
1118
00:48:08.469 --> 00:48:12.829
which is being fast and housing like 40, you know,
1119
00:48:12.869 --> 00:48:14.659
taking a 10 yard gain. He turns into 45 or
1120
00:48:14.659 --> 00:48:17.079
60 in a touchdown. He could be gone in an instant.
1121
00:48:17.380 --> 00:48:21.320
And there's also some crazy, I clipped it. uh it's
1122
00:48:21.360 --> 00:48:26.380
on my social pages they ran a rapid duo uh
1123
00:48:26.420 --> 00:48:31.150
against um the chargers late in where's my nobody it's
1124
00:48:31.170 --> 00:48:33.530
sometime in the fourth quarter i have the time stamp
1125
00:48:33.550 --> 00:48:34.730
but i don't have my notebook right next to me
1126
00:48:35.329 --> 00:48:41.050
um and derwin james so they run duo derwin james
1127
00:48:41.190 --> 00:48:44.300
is on the edge and essentially just caves in the
1128
00:48:44.340 --> 00:48:46.769
right side. I think it's, he goes through Dawson Knox
1129
00:48:46.809 --> 00:48:49.650
and just completely caves, takes him right down. So cook
1130
00:48:49.969 --> 00:48:52.969
cannot go North and South at all. So he just
1131
00:48:53.070 --> 00:48:56.690
gets it, bounces around Derwin and he puts his foot
1132
00:48:56.710 --> 00:48:59.289
in the ground and he like kind of shaves the
1133
00:48:59.349 --> 00:49:01.860
corner and he gets North and South inside the corner
1134
00:49:01.880 --> 00:49:05.199
back outside, but around, you know, the trash on the edge,
1135
00:49:06.199 --> 00:49:10.860
but he, so cook is going to his right. But
1136
00:49:10.900 --> 00:49:14.099
he doesn't cut off his right foot and get this way.
1137
00:49:14.900 --> 00:49:19.409
He leans. He puts his left foot, his inside foot,
1138
00:49:19.510 --> 00:49:22.739
left foot. in the ground and he shaves the corner
1139
00:49:22.800 --> 00:49:26.039
and he turns off of that. Like I'll, I'll, I'll
1140
00:49:26.059 --> 00:49:28.960
text it to you after, um, after we do this,
1141
00:49:30.000 --> 00:49:34.619
it's like, I'm not trying to make something like the
1142
00:49:34.659 --> 00:49:38.780
way his leg bends, like his ankle, his knee, And
1143
00:49:39.079 --> 00:49:41.099
paired with his running style, I've always said he runs
1144
00:49:41.119 --> 00:49:43.280
the football like a solemn skier with the way he's
1145
00:49:43.320 --> 00:49:47.409
able to just kind of like get through everything. He just, right.
1146
00:49:47.469 --> 00:49:49.030
And when you see it, you're like, oh, that makes sense.
1147
00:49:49.050 --> 00:49:51.590
The way he runs, he's got this like lower body
1148
00:49:51.710 --> 00:49:54.949
flex and bend, but also within that there's like push
1149
00:49:54.989 --> 00:49:58.559
and there's burst. And he, I made a joke about
1150
00:49:58.599 --> 00:50:00.440
it a bunch on shows, but it's like a real thing.
1151
00:50:00.460 --> 00:50:01.880
I remember, I forget who it was. I think this
1152
00:50:01.980 --> 00:50:04.239
off season or during the season last year, like this
1153
00:50:04.300 --> 00:50:07.590
idea of like elite athletes and, like guys who turn
1154
00:50:07.610 --> 00:50:10.090
the corner, like edge rushers, receivers, but even running backs,
1155
00:50:10.130 --> 00:50:14.179
like the shin angles that they can get at. And so,
1156
00:50:14.190 --> 00:50:15.050
you know what I'm talking about?
1157
00:50:17.349 --> 00:50:17.570
Yes.
1158
00:50:18.210 --> 00:50:20.730
And cook will run stuff. And I'm like, how, how
1159
00:50:20.769 --> 00:50:23.170
does your leg not break? Like what? And I just, I,
1160
00:50:23.510 --> 00:50:25.070
I should have slowed it down more and zoomed in
1161
00:50:25.110 --> 00:50:26.510
on this rep a duo, but you can see it
1162
00:50:26.570 --> 00:50:31.239
like just, he's got such unique movements and, and, and
1163
00:50:31.280 --> 00:50:33.480
the way he's built and the way he's added to
1164
00:50:33.519 --> 00:50:35.659
his game. And I've continued to say it for as
1165
00:50:35.760 --> 00:50:41.550
much as, the bills are Josh Allen, right? He's one MVP.
1166
00:50:41.570 --> 00:50:43.670
And the conversation is always Josh Allen. And they're pushing
1167
00:50:43.690 --> 00:50:45.630
the ball downfield more in the past game. They don't,
1168
00:50:45.670 --> 00:50:48.110
we brought in DJ more and Duncan Kate's healthy. The
1169
00:50:48.170 --> 00:50:50.949
straw that stirs the drink is James cook and the
1170
00:50:51.030 --> 00:50:55.150
bills running game. That is which that, that is what
1171
00:50:55.369 --> 00:51:00.059
everything is based off of what they do. The under
1172
00:51:00.099 --> 00:51:03.769
center stuff, the play action stuff, the 12 personnel, the 13,
1173
00:51:03.760 --> 00:51:07.280
the 11th, All of it is based off of the
1174
00:51:07.400 --> 00:51:08.940
threat of, ooh, are they going to give it to
1175
00:51:09.000 --> 00:51:11.610
James Cook right here? Even some of the shotgun run stuff,
1176
00:51:11.639 --> 00:51:16.409
like for, again, it's Josh Allen on the Bills, and
1177
00:51:16.449 --> 00:51:18.530
Josh Allen, is he better than Lamar? Should he really
1178
00:51:18.550 --> 00:51:20.630
have one MVP? Like, oh, is he not clutch? Is
1179
00:51:20.650 --> 00:51:22.989
he the best? Yada, yada, and I get it. The
1180
00:51:23.030 --> 00:51:25.750
straw that stirs the Bills' drink on offense is James
1181
00:51:25.789 --> 00:51:29.329
Cook in the Bills' run game, and it matters so much.
1182
00:51:29.449 --> 00:51:34.530
And in a team where Stephon Diggs and Josh Allen
1183
00:51:34.550 --> 00:51:36.949
were the two elite pieces on that offense the two
1184
00:51:37.130 --> 00:51:39.530
s-tier a-tier guys stefan digs gets traded away and it's
1185
00:51:39.550 --> 00:51:43.150
like oh what's your other a-tier s-tier s-tier type of
1186
00:51:43.170 --> 00:51:46.190
dude it's like is it deon dawkins kind of maybe
1187
00:51:46.250 --> 00:51:48.159
not all the time oh maybe it's like spencer brown
1188
00:51:48.219 --> 00:51:49.940
kind of maybe and then out of nowhere it's like
1189
00:51:50.039 --> 00:51:53.460
oh it's james cook who's become at worst like the
1190
00:51:53.500 --> 00:51:55.800
seventh best running back in football and that's only because
1191
00:51:55.980 --> 00:51:58.590
there's guys ahead of them that are bijan is ridiculous
1192
00:51:58.639 --> 00:52:00.769
and jameer gibbs is ridiculous there's all these good dudes
1193
00:52:00.789 --> 00:52:02.730
but like if you told me that james cook is
1194
00:52:02.769 --> 00:52:06.570
like in the league, RB3, RB4. Like for me, no
1195
00:52:06.610 --> 00:52:08.389
one's getting ahead of Gibbs and Bijan. But if you
1196
00:52:08.409 --> 00:52:10.510
told me Cook is RB3, I don't think that's crazy.
1197
00:52:10.909 --> 00:52:12.710
Especially like, oh, well, you know, I think Christian McCaffrey
1198
00:52:12.730 --> 00:52:15.130
has injury concerns. Barkley's had stuff. He doesn't look great.
1199
00:52:15.769 --> 00:52:17.510
Cook can be the third best running back in the league.
1200
00:52:17.530 --> 00:52:20.199
And the only reason he's not is because the dudes
1201
00:52:20.239 --> 00:52:23.739
ahead of him are just unreal. Jonathan Taylor, also like
1202
00:52:23.760 --> 00:52:26.519
an unreal dude. Like there's so many good backs. But
1203
00:52:26.579 --> 00:52:30.099
Cook has put himself into the conversation of, oh, like
1204
00:52:30.139 --> 00:52:32.219
who are your elite players on this team? It's like, well,
1205
00:52:32.239 --> 00:52:35.219
Josh Allen. It's like, Who's second before you even finish that?
1206
00:52:35.670 --> 00:52:37.469
It's James Cook. And so he and the run game
1207
00:52:37.510 --> 00:52:41.690
matter so much. And the Patriots last year in the
1208
00:52:41.730 --> 00:52:44.789
first game, they did a good job stifling that run game.
1209
00:52:44.869 --> 00:52:46.690
The Bills were not able to people move. They were
1210
00:52:46.730 --> 00:52:49.090
not able to find success on the ground. That was
1211
00:52:49.130 --> 00:52:51.590
the first game where a lot of my concerns really
1212
00:52:51.630 --> 00:52:54.469
started to come into play, where it was, you're going
1213
00:52:54.489 --> 00:52:56.030
to run into teams who are going to say, you
1214
00:52:56.070 --> 00:52:58.949
know what? We're going to play single high. We are
1215
00:52:58.969 --> 00:53:00.789
going to load the box and not let you run.
1216
00:53:01.289 --> 00:53:02.849
Because we don't think you have the dudes on the
1217
00:53:02.889 --> 00:53:05.309
outside to beat our corners. And the Bills couldn't. They
1218
00:53:05.329 --> 00:53:08.050
couldn't beat Carlton Davis, and they couldn't beat Gonzo. And
1219
00:53:08.090 --> 00:53:10.619
now it's like, okay, can you beat those guys with
1220
00:53:10.659 --> 00:53:14.260
DJ Moore and whoever else is your wide receiver two
1221
00:53:14.300 --> 00:53:16.179
at that time? Or do you even need to because
1222
00:53:16.199 --> 00:53:17.880
of what you have with Kincaid and all this other stuff?
1223
00:53:18.929 --> 00:53:20.989
I just think that run game conversation is so fun,
1224
00:53:21.010 --> 00:53:23.530
especially with the success the Pats had last year in
1225
00:53:23.590 --> 00:53:26.429
Buffalo against them and knowing how much that run game
1226
00:53:26.469 --> 00:53:27.809
matters to the Bills. So I think you're spot on,
1227
00:53:27.889 --> 00:53:28.570
and I think that's a good point.
1228
00:53:29.119 --> 00:53:31.239
I pray they can be similarly effective because we just
1229
00:53:31.280 --> 00:53:33.260
haven't really seen it yet. And again, we've seen them
1230
00:53:33.340 --> 00:53:36.929
not let guys be explosive, which is important because at
1231
00:53:36.949 --> 00:53:38.309
the end of the day, you just don't want him
1232
00:53:38.349 --> 00:53:39.610
ripping off 10 plus yards.
1233
00:53:40.130 --> 00:53:41.730
That's when he gets really demoralizing.
1234
00:53:41.750 --> 00:53:45.030
But also if he gets up 30 carries, then it's
1235
00:53:45.070 --> 00:53:46.809
not really going to matter how much he's averaging. If
1236
00:53:46.849 --> 00:53:49.300
he's at 30, then something's going pretty well. So I
1237
00:53:49.340 --> 00:53:51.219
hope they can be similarly stout, but I just don't
1238
00:53:51.239 --> 00:53:53.659
think the interior for the Patriots has been nearly as consistent.
1239
00:53:54.300 --> 00:53:55.920
And even on the edges, again, you're relying on some
1240
00:53:55.960 --> 00:53:58.280
young dudes unless Draymond Jones comes back for you. So
1241
00:53:58.639 --> 00:54:00.880
I would give the advantage to the Bills right now.
1242
00:54:01.519 --> 00:54:02.630
But man, I.
1243
00:54:02.550 --> 00:54:04.369
Just hope we see a very different Patriots team than
1244
00:54:04.670 --> 00:54:06.989
obviously than we saw last week. But kind of overall,
1245
00:54:07.010 --> 00:54:09.269
when it comes to run defense for that side of
1246
00:54:09.289 --> 00:54:12.369
the ball, some kind of improvement is desperately needed.
1247
00:54:13.150 --> 00:54:15.260
Cook ended up with a really strong day on the
1248
00:54:15.300 --> 00:54:17.679
ground from like a box score standpoint last week against
1249
00:54:17.699 --> 00:54:21.679
the Chargers. But I remember like even, and I think
1250
00:54:22.420 --> 00:54:25.599
And even now he's third in the league in rushing yards.
1251
00:54:26.780 --> 00:54:28.510
But there was a point in the game last week
1252
00:54:28.530 --> 00:54:31.409
where he had like 10 or 11 carries for like
1253
00:54:31.409 --> 00:54:33.809
75 yards. It was 75 yards. It was either 10
1254
00:54:33.809 --> 00:54:35.590
carries or 11 carries for 75. But it was like
1255
00:54:36.670 --> 00:54:38.869
just so ho-hum because he was just ripping off like
1256
00:54:39.110 --> 00:54:41.789
six yards, seven yards, eight yards, four yards, nine yards.
1257
00:54:41.829 --> 00:54:44.130
It was just like such a regular like, there he goes.
1258
00:54:44.190 --> 00:54:46.469
Watch him gash somebody and the offensive line is moving.
1259
00:54:46.489 --> 00:54:49.849
And that's like Alec Anderson, I think is a question
1260
00:54:49.869 --> 00:54:51.989
and pass pro at left guard for the Bills. He's
1261
00:54:52.030 --> 00:54:53.880
not a question in the run game. Like they will
1262
00:54:53.949 --> 00:54:57.099
mash you and eat you up front. So that's a
1263
00:54:57.119 --> 00:55:01.940
big one for, for me. My third point, a little different.
1264
00:55:02.420 --> 00:55:03.780
I had to bring this up because I talked about
1265
00:55:03.800 --> 00:55:05.639
it all off season. I talked about it during the season.
1266
00:55:05.679 --> 00:55:07.739
I was putting tweets out about this. I think I
1267
00:55:07.780 --> 00:55:11.289
may have met, I'm pretty confident. I mentioned it when
1268
00:55:11.349 --> 00:55:14.750
I was on your show back in the summer. I'm
1269
00:55:14.769 --> 00:55:17.650
also fairly confident. I mentioned it when I was on
1270
00:55:17.670 --> 00:55:19.409
with Mina. Actually, I don't remember if I did. I
1271
00:55:19.429 --> 00:55:22.570
think that was a regret. No, I had to. The
1272
00:55:22.590 --> 00:55:25.210
Drake made deep ball like that. That that's such a
1273
00:55:25.469 --> 00:55:32.139
big one for me. And I have metrics to kind
1274
00:55:32.199 --> 00:55:35.300
of speak about that. So last year out of 33
1275
00:55:35.300 --> 00:55:38.880
qualifying quarterbacks, Drake may was first. So this is on
1276
00:55:39.239 --> 00:55:41.539
deep throws, which are throws of 20 or more air yards.
1277
00:55:42.300 --> 00:55:45.739
Drake may was first. in epa per drop back now
1278
00:55:46.159 --> 00:55:49.739
they've adjusted they adjusted some of his epa and his
1279
00:55:49.800 --> 00:55:52.400
epa per drop back when i first had this metric
1280
00:55:52.460 --> 00:55:56.099
and notes back in the summer um originally his epa
1281
00:55:56.139 --> 00:55:59.559
per drop back on deep throws was 1.31 which is
1282
00:55:59.619 --> 00:56:03.440
outrageous they adjusted it to 1.23 which is still really
1283
00:56:03.460 --> 00:56:07.420
good but that 1.31 or 1.23 whichever one and you
1284
00:56:07.440 --> 00:56:09.880
know you want to look at that's like the fourth
1285
00:56:10.000 --> 00:56:14.280
best epa per drop back on deep throws since 2018
1286
00:56:14.280 --> 00:56:18.019
since NGS has been tracking anything. And Brock Purdy and C.J.
1287
00:56:18.039 --> 00:56:21.579
Stroud had two ridiculous years. Purdy was at 1.4. Stroud
1288
00:56:21.599 --> 00:56:25.239
was at 1.3 one year. But his deep ball numbers
1289
00:56:25.300 --> 00:56:27.280
were nuts last year. So he was first in EPA
1290
00:56:27.300 --> 00:56:30.670
per dropback, second in deep ball EPA, third in deep
1291
00:56:30.690 --> 00:56:34.670
ball completion rate over expected, second in yards per attempt,
1292
00:56:34.730 --> 00:56:38.369
and he had seven touchdowns and one interception. This year,
1293
00:56:39.570 --> 00:56:42.099
out of 32 qualifying quarterbacks. Yeah, raise those eyebrows, man.
1294
00:56:43.610 --> 00:56:46.489
He went from first in EPA per drop back to 27th.
1295
00:56:46.789 --> 00:56:49.820
He went from second in EPA to 29th. He went
1296
00:56:49.860 --> 00:56:53.400
from third in completion rate over expected to 23rd in
1297
00:56:53.440 --> 00:56:57.119
completion rate over expected from, from plus 12.7% to negative 8.2%.
1298
00:56:57.119 --> 00:56:58.920
He went from second in yards per attempt at 17.2
1299
00:56:58.920 --> 00:57:02.139
to 16th, 13.3, not too crazy there for yard difference roughly,
1300
00:57:02.199 --> 00:57:11.619
but he, Again, deep throws last year, seven touchdowns, one interception.
1301
00:57:11.719 --> 00:57:16.400
So far this year, no touchdowns, four interceptions. I talked
1302
00:57:16.519 --> 00:57:19.960
all offseason, especially early on, it felt like that deep
1303
00:57:20.019 --> 00:57:22.280
ball was doing a lot of heavy lifting for May
1304
00:57:22.320 --> 00:57:24.940
and his numbers. I remember you and I talking about
1305
00:57:24.960 --> 00:57:29.409
it leading into the first Bills-Patriots game last year. One
1306
00:57:29.429 --> 00:57:31.250
of my favorite throws from him leading up to that
1307
00:57:31.309 --> 00:57:33.849
week was I think the one to digs against the
1308
00:57:33.929 --> 00:57:36.670
saints that ended up getting called back for offensive pass
1309
00:57:36.690 --> 00:57:40.570
interference or some penalty that like that one didn't even count.
1310
00:57:40.690 --> 00:57:42.730
And he chucked it like 45 yards in the air.
1311
00:57:42.750 --> 00:57:45.230
It dropped it right into the bucket. And I was like, no,
1312
00:57:45.289 --> 00:57:47.889
one's going to acknowledge this throw because it doesn't count.
1313
00:57:48.230 --> 00:57:50.710
And it's the best throw I've seen him make. He
1314
00:57:50.730 --> 00:57:53.349
was unreal last year on the deep ball this year,
1315
00:57:53.650 --> 00:57:55.860
not so much. And, you know, it's tied into the
1316
00:57:55.889 --> 00:57:58.739
larger struggles, you know, the footwork, the decision-making what's going on,
1317
00:57:59.199 --> 00:58:01.789
but that deep ball, they were able to push it
1318
00:58:01.829 --> 00:58:03.949
downfield without having a ton of burners. Like, yeah, like
1319
00:58:04.289 --> 00:58:06.030
Kyle Williams would do some stuff, but you were also
1320
00:58:06.050 --> 00:58:11.090
getting like Keishon booty beats Derek Stingley and everything like that.
1321
00:58:11.469 --> 00:58:15.070
And now you're just not, whether it's AJ Brown going
1322
00:58:15.210 --> 00:58:17.389
out or you're not getting the right play that you
1323
00:58:17.409 --> 00:58:19.170
need or the protection questions up front, or if it's
1324
00:58:19.210 --> 00:58:22.329
purely Drake may, you're not getting that deep ball production.
1325
00:58:23.409 --> 00:58:25.269
And so I'm interested to see, does that start to
1326
00:58:25.309 --> 00:58:27.849
click against the defense that has had some questions on
1327
00:58:27.869 --> 00:58:31.079
the backend? They have been a work in progress in
1328
00:58:31.119 --> 00:58:33.239
terms of adjusting to the new coverage structure and the
1329
00:58:33.320 --> 00:58:37.289
rules and adjustments. And I think getting to their spots,
1330
00:58:37.329 --> 00:58:39.909
having the proper spatial awareness, knowing where they need to be,
1331
00:58:40.050 --> 00:58:42.090
and everybody getting time on task together, because this was
1332
00:58:42.130 --> 00:58:45.030
a Bills secondary that's been banged up all offseason, didn't
1333
00:58:45.050 --> 00:58:49.050
really get to play with one another. So that's been
1334
00:58:49.070 --> 00:58:50.860
a work in progress on the back end. The Pats
1335
00:58:50.900 --> 00:58:53.980
deep ball hasn't been there. That's a specific aspect of
1336
00:58:54.019 --> 00:58:55.860
Drake May and of this game that I'm looking at.
1337
00:58:56.510 --> 00:58:58.110
I mean, and whether or not guys are going to
1338
00:58:58.130 --> 00:59:00.469
be open, it's going to be whether or not Drake
1339
00:59:00.489 --> 00:59:03.699
May sees the field well, pulls the trigger when options
1340
00:59:03.719 --> 00:59:05.639
are there, makes good.
1341
00:59:05.519 --> 00:59:07.730
Decisions and decides to check it down when they're not.
1342
00:59:07.789 --> 00:59:09.559
Like, that's been the big bug but with the deep
1343
00:59:09.579 --> 00:59:11.780
passing game is how well is drake may seeing it
1344
00:59:12.119 --> 00:59:13.980
and then of course also the accuracy is a part
1345
00:59:14.019 --> 00:59:16.139
of it but much more than anything as we said
1346
00:59:16.159 --> 00:59:18.760
earlier on the show it's whether or not he's making
1347
00:59:18.780 --> 00:59:21.530
the right decisions when those opportunities do or don't present
1348
00:59:21.570 --> 00:59:23.710
themselves yes i don't know that i'm confident that this
1349
00:59:23.730 --> 00:59:25.329
is going to be the game that they really turn
1350
00:59:25.349 --> 00:59:27.769
it around the patriots and start getting that deep ball
1351
00:59:27.789 --> 00:59:30.340
going i thought that was going to be last week Um,
1352
00:59:31.179 --> 00:59:33.340
but I also think that it's going to come down.
1353
00:59:33.219 --> 00:59:35.920
To the chemistry and how comfortable he is with Romeo Dobbs.
1354
00:59:35.940 --> 00:59:37.780
Like Matt Collins is really the only guy right now
1355
00:59:37.800 --> 00:59:39.329
that he's comfortable throwing deep.
1356
00:59:39.150 --> 00:59:40.809
To with any consistency.
1357
00:59:40.909 --> 00:59:43.489
So maybe they have a great week of practice and
1358
00:59:43.510 --> 00:59:45.329
he's feeling, you know, Romeo Dobbs.
1359
00:59:45.349 --> 00:59:48.090
And he's just like, you know what? You versus Christian Bedford.
1360
00:59:48.230 --> 00:59:48.730
I like it.
1361
00:59:48.929 --> 00:59:53.050
And we'll see, because we just haven't, we haven't seen
1362
00:59:53.090 --> 00:59:57.489
that level of comfort of, Okay, just smart decision-making. I
1363
00:59:57.510 --> 00:59:58.920
keep coming back to the same thing. I don't want
1364
00:59:58.940 --> 01:00:01.260
to beat a dead horse, but he's got to pull
1365
01:00:01.280 --> 01:00:03.039
the trigger when it's there. When it's not, take the
1366
01:00:03.059 --> 01:00:05.849
check down, especially if they decide they're going to drop 15,
1367
01:00:05.840 --> 01:00:06.619
20 yards.
1368
01:00:06.480 --> 01:00:08.219
To make sure that you're going to test your patience.
1369
01:00:08.619 --> 01:00:09.179
Be patient.
1370
01:00:09.519 --> 01:00:12.000
You know, take Josh Allen's advice from when he really
1371
01:00:12.019 --> 01:00:14.059
turned that corner. Just be okay with the check down.
1372
01:00:14.079 --> 01:00:15.519
Take a profit when you can.
1373
01:00:17.400 --> 01:00:19.780
We each got through our three. We answered some high-level
1374
01:00:19.800 --> 01:00:23.900
questions in the beginning. Anything else on your mind before
1375
01:00:23.920 --> 01:00:24.980
we start to say goodbye to the people?
1376
01:00:28.000 --> 01:00:31.639
I will say, actually not really, because like you said,
1377
01:00:31.659 --> 01:00:32.500
the offense is bad.
1378
01:00:32.519 --> 01:00:33.929
You don't want to talk about that.
1379
01:00:33.949 --> 01:00:35.210
Defense, we already covered everything.
1380
01:00:35.230 --> 01:00:38.349
The one other thing I think that's significant for the
1381
01:00:38.389 --> 01:00:40.449
Patriots is Marcus Jones always, like you mentioned him as
1382
01:00:40.469 --> 01:00:44.349
a returner, still a fantastic returner. If you give him room,
1383
01:00:44.610 --> 01:00:46.289
and the Patriots I think have been better creating some
1384
01:00:46.309 --> 01:00:48.409
space for him than they were kind of later last.
1385
01:00:48.230 --> 01:00:50.150
Season, but he's someone who can flip the course of
1386
01:00:50.170 --> 01:00:51.250
the game and things stay tight.
1387
01:00:51.329 --> 01:00:53.159
So we're going to talk about factors and guys who
1388
01:00:53.179 --> 01:00:54.559
can really affect the outcome of this one.
1389
01:00:54.579 --> 01:00:56.500
You can never sleep on Marcus Jones back there.
1390
01:00:57.599 --> 01:00:58.820
Copy that. Very fair.
1391
01:00:58.860 --> 01:00:59.019
Yeah.
1392
01:00:59.719 --> 01:01:01.880
Special teams matter. I shouldn't say that. And, you know,
1393
01:01:02.119 --> 01:01:04.699
Greg Dortch has been, you know, pretty good as a
1394
01:01:04.739 --> 01:01:06.860
returner to start this year for the Bills. Tyler Bass
1395
01:01:06.909 --> 01:01:09.909
is still kind of someone that maybe has the yips
1396
01:01:10.090 --> 01:01:15.210
and you maybe don't want to kick. Borgalis. Borgalis missed.
1397
01:01:15.730 --> 01:01:18.210
It's been inconsistent. He missed one. He's missed a couple
1398
01:01:18.230 --> 01:01:20.250
this year so far. Yeah. So, yeah.
1399
01:01:20.269 --> 01:01:22.389
Special teams are over there. One third. They legitimately matter.
1400
01:01:22.449 --> 01:01:23.070
That's a good shout.
1401
01:01:23.110 --> 01:01:23.570
Good call. Taylor.
1402
01:01:24.389 --> 01:01:26.610
Taylor. Just in case people don't know who you are,
1403
01:01:26.730 --> 01:01:28.670
what you do, where they can find you, anything and everything.
1404
01:01:28.690 --> 01:01:30.309
The floor is yours. Plug what you got.
1405
01:01:31.329 --> 01:01:31.489
Yeah.
1406
01:01:31.730 --> 01:01:33.469
Tell the people anything and everything you want.
1407
01:01:34.010 --> 01:01:35.269
Pleasure is always my friend.
1408
01:01:35.630 --> 01:01:39.340
You can find me at TheKyles39 on Twitter. You can
1409
01:01:39.380 --> 01:01:42.420
find all my videos. I have a show called Pat's Daily,
1410
01:01:42.460 --> 01:01:43.940
and we try to live up to the name. You
1411
01:01:43.960 --> 01:01:48.079
can find that over at PatriotCLNS on YouTube. And then
1412
01:01:48.119 --> 01:01:51.739
for my written stuff, you can find me over at CLNSmedia.com.
1413
01:01:53.300 --> 01:01:55.949
You're phenomenal. Uh, I know you got to run, you
1414
01:01:55.969 --> 01:01:56.829
go do your thing.
1415
01:01:57.110 --> 01:01:57.630
Godspeed.
1416
01:01:57.650 --> 01:02:00.010
I'm going to close down shop here. I appreciate you
1417
01:02:00.070 --> 01:02:03.960
taking the time to join me as always have a
1418
01:02:03.960 --> 01:02:05.119
good rest of your week. I was going to say
1419
01:02:05.139 --> 01:02:06.679
good luck in this game, but I do not wish
1420
01:02:06.699 --> 01:02:11.760
you luck. Um, I, as, as I've grown in this space, I,
1421
01:02:12.000 --> 01:02:15.039
I've become more of a, just an overall football fan
1422
01:02:15.159 --> 01:02:18.010
than I am a bills fan. Um, but the bills
1423
01:02:18.030 --> 01:02:19.849
are still my number one and I will forever hate
1424
01:02:19.869 --> 01:02:22.889
the Patriots forever. Um, it doesn't mean I don't appreciate
1425
01:02:22.929 --> 01:02:24.559
the good that they do. but I do not wish
1426
01:02:24.579 --> 01:02:27.820
you luck in your fandom this week. I wish you
1427
01:02:27.840 --> 01:02:30.710
happiness and health in every other aspect of your life,
1428
01:02:30.869 --> 01:02:33.750
but that one piece. So enjoy the rest of your Tuesday.
1429
01:02:33.809 --> 01:02:36.010
Enjoy your week. I appreciate the hell out of you.
1430
01:02:36.090 --> 01:02:38.030
I will text you after to sing your praises once more,
1431
01:02:38.110 --> 01:02:39.610
but yeah, take care and thank you for joining me.
1432
01:02:40.030 --> 01:02:42.869
Appreciate you, buddy. Be well. Thank you all. Love your
1433
01:02:42.889 --> 01:02:45.809
fan base. Good game. No wax, please.
1434
01:02:46.989 --> 01:02:48.090
Maybe one for the bills.
1435
01:02:48.590 --> 01:02:52.119
I don't know, and I'm leaving on it. That's fair. Bye.
1436
01:02:53.510 --> 01:02:56.690
One of the best, Mr. Taylor Kyle, somebody who I
1437
01:02:56.750 --> 01:03:00.469
sincerely value and appreciate. Very happy that he was able
1438
01:03:00.489 --> 01:03:03.329
to take the time to join me in this episode.
1439
01:03:03.369 --> 01:03:05.650
Something else I sincerely appreciate and that I think is phenomenal.
1440
01:03:06.210 --> 01:03:08.969
One Pie Pizza, the best pizza in Buffalo, New York.
1441
01:03:09.789 --> 01:03:11.530
If you live in the area, if you are coming
1442
01:03:11.570 --> 01:03:13.489
up for this game, if you are coming up for
1443
01:03:13.550 --> 01:03:16.579
another game later throughout this year, whenever, if you're visiting
1444
01:03:16.619 --> 01:03:19.849
in the summer, whatever. Whatever brings you to Buffalo. Whether
1445
01:03:19.889 --> 01:03:22.309
you live here or are coming up or down or
1446
01:03:22.469 --> 01:03:25.230
east or west at some point, stop in and get
1447
01:03:25.250 --> 01:03:28.670
yourself some One Pie Pizza. The online menu, address, details,
1448
01:03:28.750 --> 01:03:30.429
anything and everything can be found in the episode show notes,
1449
01:03:30.449 --> 01:03:32.789
whether here on YouTube or whichever podcasting app or platform
1450
01:03:32.829 --> 01:03:35.159
you're listening to the show on. I do not say
1451
01:03:35.179 --> 01:03:36.820
that they are the best pizza in Buffalo because they
1452
01:03:36.840 --> 01:03:39.460
sponsor the show. They sponsor the show because I sincerely
1453
01:03:39.500 --> 01:03:43.380
believe they are the best pizza in Buffalo, New York.
1454
01:03:44.019 --> 01:03:46.480
Sweet sauce pie, cup of charred pepperoni, a great cheese
1455
01:03:46.500 --> 01:03:50.340
to sauce ratio, different toppings and creative pizzas. The toppings
1456
01:03:50.360 --> 01:03:55.570
get sprinkled evenly along the whole pie. Just real quality ingredients.
1457
01:03:55.909 --> 01:03:58.030
Everything is top tier. The blue cheese is phenomenal. They
1458
01:03:58.050 --> 01:04:00.889
make their own homemade blue cheese, homemade red sauce. Everything
1459
01:04:00.929 --> 01:04:03.610
is made in-house and it's absolutely phenomenal. They also have
1460
01:04:03.630 --> 01:04:06.719
a catering division called Elevated Catering of Buffalo where they
1461
01:04:06.760 --> 01:04:09.079
serve you still get the pizza, but different macaroni and
1462
01:04:09.119 --> 01:04:11.760
cheese dishes and chicken and rice dishes and salads and
1463
01:04:11.800 --> 01:04:14.139
legitimately good stuff across the board. They also do a
1464
01:04:14.139 --> 01:04:17.320
really good breakfast pizza. If that's your thing, you can't
1465
01:04:17.360 --> 01:04:20.429
go wrong. And you know, the bills play Sunday, one o'clock,
1466
01:04:20.769 --> 01:04:22.690
wake up, get yourself a one pie breakfast pizza, or
1467
01:04:22.710 --> 01:04:25.030
maybe get yourself some one pie in the afternoon, whatever
1468
01:04:25.070 --> 01:04:28.510
you got. It sincerely is the best. And they're extremely
1469
01:04:28.550 --> 01:04:32.989
generous on top of being, you know, tremendous in their
1470
01:04:33.010 --> 01:04:34.590
business and their line of work, but what they do
1471
01:04:34.630 --> 01:04:36.659
with partnering with Roswell to try and knock out cancer
1472
01:04:36.679 --> 01:04:39.590
and partnering with the SPCA, the Alzheimer's Foundation, and then
1473
01:04:39.630 --> 01:04:42.469
one of my favorites, Toys for Tots. We are in
1474
01:04:42.510 --> 01:04:44.429
the midst of fall. We will be creeping up towards
1475
01:04:44.900 --> 01:04:47.800
Toys for Tots and that drive and that initiative, and
1476
01:04:47.820 --> 01:04:51.219
they always do a great job supporting Toys for Tots
1477
01:04:51.260 --> 01:04:54.800
and then try incentivizing the community by giving you a
1478
01:04:54.840 --> 01:04:57.059
raffle ticket for every toy that you drop in and
1479
01:04:57.099 --> 01:05:03.369
having that tied into different Buffalo sports prizes, bills, merch, sabers, merch, autographs, helmets,
1480
01:05:04.250 --> 01:05:07.909
tickets to games for the Bills, Sabres, multiple tickets, game packs.
1481
01:05:07.929 --> 01:05:09.449
They just raffle off a ton of stuff, but it's
1482
01:05:09.530 --> 01:05:12.250
all based off of the generosity and charity for Toys
1483
01:05:12.269 --> 01:05:14.500
for Tots. So get yourselves a one-pipe pizza. Do your
1484
01:05:14.519 --> 01:05:17.039
taste buds some good. Do the city and the community
1485
01:05:17.280 --> 01:05:20.239
some good as well. Major thank you to them as always.
1486
01:05:20.260 --> 01:05:22.260
I want to throw out the banner. It says, Toodles, folks,
1487
01:05:22.280 --> 01:05:23.619
because we are going to start to wind down and
1488
01:05:23.639 --> 01:05:25.840
say goodbye in this episode. Again, apologies for not being
1489
01:05:25.920 --> 01:05:28.809
live in this episode tonight, but I wanted to get
1490
01:05:28.849 --> 01:05:32.030
Taylor on the show, wanted to accommodate Taylor, uh, his schedule.
1491
01:05:32.449 --> 01:05:35.469
I am looking to drop, uh, a film breakdown, a
1492
01:05:35.489 --> 01:05:38.369
film spotlight episode of disguise coverage sometime as we go
1493
01:05:38.469 --> 01:05:41.940
forward in this week. So stay tuned, uh, for that.
1494
01:05:42.239 --> 01:05:44.599
But if you have any questions, thoughts, comments, concerns, again,
1495
01:05:44.619 --> 01:05:46.239
apologies for not being here live to be able to
1496
01:05:46.280 --> 01:05:48.059
do it all in the live chat, but anything you
1497
01:05:48.099 --> 01:05:50.059
got on your mind, put it into the comments on YouTube,
1498
01:05:50.460 --> 01:05:52.860
get at me on Twitter at pro underscore, underscore, and
1499
01:05:53.119 --> 01:05:54.699
get at me on blue sky at pro ant, no
1500
01:05:54.739 --> 01:05:57.949
underscores there. Um, and yeah, thank you to everybody who
1501
01:05:57.989 --> 01:06:00.730
tuned in. in whatever form or fashion you listened or
1502
01:06:00.769 --> 01:06:04.050
watched this episode. Thank you very much to Taylor Kyle
1503
01:06:04.070 --> 01:06:06.329
for joining me here. If you're watching on YouTube, please
1504
01:06:06.389 --> 01:06:09.449
rate and review and subscribe to the Disguise Covers playlist
1505
01:06:09.489 --> 01:06:12.659
and the Cover One channel. Drop a like on this video.
1506
01:06:12.679 --> 01:06:14.920
Likes are the lifeblood of these streams. If you're listening
1507
01:06:14.960 --> 01:06:17.059
on one of the podcasting apps or platforms, that's cool too.
1508
01:06:17.119 --> 01:06:19.860
Please rate and review and subscribe. If you enjoyed this
1509
01:06:19.900 --> 01:06:22.480
episode or this channel or me or Taylor, tell your
1510
01:06:22.500 --> 01:06:25.500
family and friends and loved ones about it. If you
1511
01:06:25.539 --> 01:06:28.300
hated this episode or hated me, Tell your enemies and
1512
01:06:28.340 --> 01:06:30.639
try and ruin their day by making them watch this.
1513
01:06:30.699 --> 01:06:32.250
I hope you enjoy the rest of your Tuesday night.
1514
01:06:32.309 --> 01:06:34.090
I hope you enjoy the rest of your week. I
1515
01:06:34.130 --> 01:06:36.090
hope you enjoy the weekend. If you're going to the game,
1516
01:06:36.130 --> 01:06:38.809
have fun and be safe and have a good time.
1517
01:06:38.829 --> 01:06:40.969
And I hope you and your family and friends and
1518
01:06:41.010 --> 01:06:43.159
loved ones are all doing well and staying safe. Be
1519
01:06:43.219 --> 01:06:45.380
kind to one another. Take care of one another. I
1520
01:06:45.420 --> 01:06:48.059
will see you when I see you. Godspeed. And as always,
1521
01:06:48.519 --> 01:06:48.840
go Bills.