WEBVTT
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It's 38 all.
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Bills can win it here. Wright puts it down.
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The kick is on the way and it is good.
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And the Bills have won it.
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The Bills have won it. The Bills have won it.
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They win it 41 to 38. Incredible.
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What a comeback by the Bills. Jacksonville's perfect record on
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the line right here.
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Looney, keep it.
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Left side, touchdown. Kyle Williams, touchdown. Amazing. Unbelievable. They put
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in Williams.
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Has to pull back.
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And he scores a touchdown.
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The 12th year defensive tackle.
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It's really incredible.
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This place is pandemonium. What's good, folks, family, friends, loved ones, enemies, frenemies, wizards, witches, muggles, muggles,
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people of Middle Earth to another episode of Disguised Coverage,
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the only podcast that gives you an equal amount of
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blueberries in each muffin presented by the best pizza in Buffalo,
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New York, and that is One Pie Pizza. Find the
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online menu in the episode show notes, whether here on
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YouTube or whichever podcasting app or platform you're listening to
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this show on. I am your host. Anthony Prohaska, find
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me on Twitter at Pro underscore underscore Ant. That's Pro.
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Two underscores, A-N-T. Find me on Blue Sky at Pro Ant.
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No underscores there, just P-R-O-A-N-T. In this edition of Disguised Coverage,
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we will be diving into the Buffalo Bills versus Baltimore
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Ravens Week 8 matchup, a preview, breakdown, scheme, structure, player aspects,
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coaching aspects, anything and everything that you need to know
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to prepare you for this game that has essentially kind
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of become a yearly tradition. At this point, the bills
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and Ravens continuously find themselves playing each other, either in
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the regular season and or the playoffs for the past
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several years. And what we started to do this year
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on the show, I pivoted to more film episodes, uh,
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here on disguise coverage, breaking down certain aspects of the
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team or certain sides of the ball players, anything like that,
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but on certain weeks, bigger matchups, uh, or fun matchups
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or ones that feature a team that has somebody who
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covers them that I enjoy talking ball with and that
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I enjoy having on the show. We pivot and we
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do kind of go back to the old format a
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little bit of breaking down the team matchup and what
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to watch for like we have in years past. And
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that is the occasion for this week. I'm not alone
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here in this episode to talk about the Bills versus
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Ravens in Week 8, having on, I don't know how
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many appearances he's made at this point because he's been
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here for several, several, several years. I see him in
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the green screen. I want to make sure he's ready
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before I bring him up. He is joining the stage, Mr.
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Spencer Schultz of Baltimore Film Club. Breakdown lore. You can
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find his work at the Baltimore Film Breakdown. Substack at BaltimoreFilmBreakdown.com.
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I didn't realize you were going for the off-screen jump in.
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I was like, uh-oh, he's got to grab something.
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I was doing a Collinsworth slide in.
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You nailed it. You nailed it. I screwed it up.
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I appreciate you. This is.
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I.
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Was trying to think of it as I was stalling
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and thinking in my head.
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I know. I knew it was going to mess you up.
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You could see me in the green room, and I
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was like, oh, maybe... No, no, not that. I was
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trying to think of what... I think this is maybe...
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Your fourth time here? Yeah, I'd say fourth probably. It's definitely...
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I would guess that the first time was perhaps when
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the Ravens and Bills played in Baltimore. Maybe it was
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at 2022.
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The rain game?
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The rain game, Bills come back. And then definitely playoff game.
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Definitely week one last year. And if I had to guess,
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that's it. This might be the fourth one on cover one.
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Presented by OnePiePizza.com.
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Oh, you nailed it. You nailed it. Doing good work.
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I mean, you've been doing stuff for years, but got
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rolling the sub stack now and garnering good attention, as
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you do. You know football. You know the Ravens team
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inside and out. I appreciate you taking the time to
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join me. We'll dive right into it. I want to
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get your thoughts on a couple things before we get
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into the meat and the crux of the episode here.
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The Baltimore Ravens, in case anybody does not know, new...
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you know, kind of regime in place with a regime
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change in the off season, long time head coach, Mr.
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Harbaugh gone now in New York, Jesse Minter takes over.
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I had Jesse Minter. I like, I think a lot
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of fans did or folks did like on a short,
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short list of potential head coaches. I liked what he
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did with the chargers. I like what he was doing
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schematically kind of who and what he was. I wanted
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to change for the bills, defensive structure and identity. I
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thought he could bring that. A lot of fun stuff
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from Minter with the Chargers last year. A lot of
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fun stuff from him in the preseason. Some fun stuff
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throughout the first several games. Here we are now, you know,
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off of a less than stellar performance, specifically in the
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second half against the Bengals. What are your thoughts here on,
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you know, kind of the early returns on Jesse Minter and,
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you know, him kind of being at the helm, whether it's,
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you know, as a head coach overall or what he's
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meant defensively. Just kind of what are your thoughts on
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him thus far?
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I think I like the demeanor of Jesse Minter very
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much so. That's the one thing I've spoken about on
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my own ramblings that his consistency of personality is really
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refreshing following what became a little bit of a tumultuous.
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This is more like fan stuff, but it became a
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little bit more tumultuous with John Harbaugh getting a little
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bit antsy and ornery and any other A-words towards the
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media and growing a little long in the tooth in Baltimore.
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So Minter has a really... neutral, with a smile demeanor,
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his tone of voice, his cadence, the way he speaks,
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the way he conducts himself, how long his beard is,
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how short his hair is cut, the twinkle in his eye,
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the clothes he wears, all look the same and sound
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the same every single day. He is someone that is
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heavy on teaching. He is a teacher. He is like
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the history teacher that you loved in high school. That
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is what he feels like to me. For someone who's
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the coach of grown men playing a children's game it's
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heavy on teaching it's heavy on technique it's heavy on
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consistency and consistency of personality and i've i've liked that
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aspect of him pertaining to the stuff that matters between
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the white lines we have seen him with some really
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wicked sim pressures we've seen him with some really wicked
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coverage rotations i would say Everybody talks about the Ravens.
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If you're a Bills fan, you gather from the Ravens
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what you might see on the Everything app, in Twitter, X,
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whatever you want to call it. And you see some
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national stuff. You have a couple guys you might like
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that you follow. And the name of the game is
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them blowing leads and all that stuff. It's been going
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on for quite some time and a big reason why
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they turned over from John Harbaugh. So him to have
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that consistency of personality, I think, is refreshing there. I
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think he's getting tried and true with some injuries. The
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Ravens aren't the most injured team on earth. And woe
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is me. It's the national football league. You're going to
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get injured. You're going to get beaten up. You're getting
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paid millions of dollars and you're going to have to, uh,
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we got Luloff comedy is ornery and a word. I meant, uh,
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what was I looking for? Do they call them in
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the replacements? No, I was looking for why.
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Are you, why are you there?
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Uh, but ultimately I think Jesse Minter's consistency is, is there,
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but they've made a big switch defensively to such a zone, uh,
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zone match, heavy philosophy, scheme system. And a lot of
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what we're seeing is the Ravens really want to funnel
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you to throw the ball over their linebackers, heads and
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hooks and underneath of their safeties who might be playing halves,
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might be playing quarters, might be playing a closed variation
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with a post safety. And if you can do it, which,
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you know, Joe Burrow, the Bengals are being a little
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weird in the first half, trying to go really vertical
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on a defense that wants you to try to do that.
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They stopped and they started targeting that area and Joe
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Burrow can rip it there. So he tore them up
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a bit in the second half doing so. Josh Allen
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can certainly do it. And to me, the final stepping
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stone is that when you're playing an offense that's capable
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of taking what you're giving them, you have to go tackle.
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You have to go end plays. You have to limit
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the big plays after the catch. Some of those things
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have been okay against the run for sure. You know,
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it's nothing crazy there, but we've seen the Browns late
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and then the Bengals in the second half again late
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later be able to hit that area where he wants
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you to have to throw the ball. That's the hard stuff.
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The way that I personally evaluate like a college quarterback is.
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If they are throwing over the middle of the field
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with varying degrees of touch, can they throw a four-seam
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fastball next to a linebacker and then pepper one over
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him before a safety can go make a player hurt
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my guy? Just because they're not asked to mean that
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doesn't mean they can't necessarily. But overall, I think the
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Ravens players are still trying to execute a little faster.
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They're trying to process that so they can trigger on
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it as it's happening. Yeah. when you play these better
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quarterbacks Joe Burrow Josh Allen they're gonna play Trevor Lawrence
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after that I know the Chargers are tough but Justin
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Herbert certainly capable of doing that consistently well the Ravens
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only played Dak Prescott really in their first six games
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was the only I think veteran high processing quarterback that
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can consistently target that area with those varying degrees of
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touch so I think it's a nice test for the
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Ravens to go have Deshaun Watson beat you late, Joe
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Burrow to beat you late. You're going to have to
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go play Josh Allen, who does it really well. And
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you're going to have to see it earlier. You're going
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to have to trust your keys and get to it.
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So it's a test. It's a big test. And it's
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going to show kind of, I think, do I have
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the right guys in year one for Jesse Minter? Is
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Malachi Stark's first round pick, is he triggering on it,
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seeing it? and seeing it before it's there, like you
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want a quarterback to do, you know, do I want
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Roquan Smith who has a big cap hit? Is he,
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is he making those windows as small as he could be?
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Is Kyle Hamilton needing to play back more? Does that
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mean that I need to get a different nickel or
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they brought in Jalen Hawkins? They have Keandre Jackson, a
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young player behind him. They signed another safety today, a
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veteran and Rayshawn Jenkins. So do I have the right guys?
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I'm going to give them more time. They're going to
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have the hard tests against the good passers and the
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good offenses that are on time. And, To me, that's
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kind of where I'm at with Jesse Minter. I think
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he's in an evaluation point. I like what I've seen.
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I think the consistency is there. I think he's putting
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guys in the spots. They just need to make the play.
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Very fair. It's funny how several of your sentiments about Minter,
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the roster, the execution pieces, everything echoes very similarly to
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a lot of what we've seen from the Bills defense
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and first year, well, new regime change defensively under Jim Leonard.
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I wanted to grab this super chat. This is going
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to tie into one of my points later, but all
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super chats get brought up. Mac, I appreciate you very much.
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The question is, what changes do you think we'll see
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to the defense, Bill's defense versus the Ravens? And I
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like the qualification here at the end. This is the
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equivalent of about $ 12 in Columbia pesos. I appreciate you
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for the clarification, but all super chats are appreciated. Thank
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you for being here. Thank you for watching. Thank you
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for the super chat. I am starring this. This will
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tie into one of my points later. Yeah, it's funny. The,
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the SIM pressure stuff. So the Ravens, They're sixth in
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simulated pressure rate at 21.9% this year. But I was
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going back and watching them. They have 23 total Sims
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this year. They had 15 in the first three weeks
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and only eight the next four. Now, sometimes the charting
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of it can be a little wonky. But I wanted more,
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especially because I liked how they were wielding them. Granted,
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you know, I guess... how Daniel Jones and the Colts
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are operating maybe might not be the best barometer, but
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they had a beautiful one early on in, I think
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maybe on the first drive against the Colts where it's
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a zero, it's a zero Sam. And it's kind of
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like they do their glitch blitz stuff. And instead of
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dropping two in interior defensive lineman out, it's just one
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plus Roquan. But the interior defensive lineman, they drop his
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project Washington and he drops right as a low hole player.
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And he almost has a pick. And I was like, ooh,
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like starting out beautiful. And I expected to see more
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of it. And I wanted to see more of it.
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And they kind of sloughed off a little bit. So
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I'm interested to see how much that plays a role.
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Maybe that'll tie into one of our other matchup pieces.
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One of the other matchup pieces that we might discuss
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later in some capacity. There's some news today. There's been
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news the past several weeks. Things have been kind of wonky.
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Lamar Jackson. Do you think he plays this weekend? I thought...
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I mean, granted, I'm not keyed in, including the Ravens,
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as much as you are. I thought he would play
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against Cincinnati. I remember thinking there was rumblings like, okay,
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he'll come back against Cleveland. It should be okay. When
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he didn't, I was like, okay, that makes sense. They're
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saving him for Cincinnati. And then still nothing. Does he
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come back this week? Does he come back this week
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and it's because he's good to go? Or is it
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because they faltered a little bit and this game maybe
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means a little more now from an AFC conference standpoint?
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What are your thoughts on Lamar? Do you think he
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ends up playing this week? Where's your head at? Where's
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your heart?
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I don't know. I don't think many know. And the
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reason I don't think many know is because Lamar Jackson
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does not have a representation from David Mugata or from
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Drew Rosenhouse or from athletes first or any of these
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big agents. He has his own crew of a non
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NFL PA certified, you know, advisors, agents, whatever he calls them.
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But yeah, I don't think people know. I don't think
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Ian Rapoport and Adam Schefter know because he doesn't have
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someone that's in their circle, their web that enables them
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to do these insider things. So what happens with Lamar
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Jackson is they talk to somebody who might know a
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bit and it's a big, it's a big talking point
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and clickety clickety. And then they say something that something
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might be 70% accurate, but more margin for error than typical.
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I think Lamar Jackson is very private and a little sensey.
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about his privacy. And so the Ravens really don't want
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to give much to anyone. And so theories start to
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then run wild, all these things. So Ian Rappaport went on,
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for example, and said, well, it's not a low ankle
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sprain or a high ankle sprain. So everyone said, Oh,
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it's a medial ankle sprain. Lamar Jackson then does press availability.
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I have not. So he's, he's missed it. I think
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this is going to be the sixth. If he was
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to not play in this game, this will be the
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16th regular season start, excuse me, regular or post-season start.
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He has missed due to injury.
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Hmm.
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He's sat a couple times when they've clinched a one seed.
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He missed a game because he tested positive for COVID.
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So I think that puts him at 19 total. He
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has started 118 total games. So in those little steds,
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he hasn't been out for the season, things like that.
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There's a lot of ambiguity. And because of that, I
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think fans get pretty upset and want to know. Fantasy
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football players want to know. Bills fans when they're playing
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the Ravens would like to know. It's an interesting topic.
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So then this big national– Thing happens, and what I
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saw last week that was unfamiliar to me from my
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spectator's view was him practicing limited all week and then
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not playing, following, missing some games. He also went and
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both Tyler Huntley and Lamar Jackson spoke at the podium,
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which I cannot recall that happening during the week before
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a game, so that was a little unique. Lamar came
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out and said, I have a high ankle sprain. My
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trainer told me I have a high ankle sprain, and
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I'm not sure why Ian Rapoport said that, but I'm
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going to go with what Adrian Dixon, our head athletic
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trainer told me I have Ian Rappaport to then today said, um,
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actually it's not a high ankle sprain. So I don't
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really know what is going on with that, but Ian
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is very sure that Lamar is, uh, not, not right
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or something like that. So nonetheless, uh, do I think
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he plays this weekend? To me, the Ravens play the
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Jaguars next Thursday. Okay. And what Lamar said is I'm
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in a lot of pain. And that's what he said
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in that press availability. I'm in a lot of pain.
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And if I'm in pain and I can't do the
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things I do, then I think, you know, maybe my
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backup quarterback should be the one doing it basically. And
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him and him and Tyler Huntley have been playing together
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a while, good friends. And I think there is a
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little level of trust there that, you know, probably isn't primary,
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but maybe ancillary to why Lamar might sometimes be like, Hey,
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Snoop's got it. So with all that said, They play
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the Jaguars four days after they play the Bills. I
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don't know if he's had an ankle and he's kind
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of 50-50. If you're really wanting him to play two
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games in four days, the Ravens have lost to the
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Browns and the Bengals consecutively. The Bills are going to
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be favorites. The Bills are coming off of a bye.
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The Bills are at home. And then you're going to
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have to turn around and play a game four days later.
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So to me, I would lean if I had to guess.
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I am a betting man. But I would say I
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would think we might see one more game of Tyler
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Snoop Huntley in this one. If I had to guess,
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I don't know. I don't think many people do, but
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that's my guess.
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I love that point about, well, I loved everything you said.
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Cause I was very insightful. Um, but I love that
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point about, yeah, like you're, and that's not even just
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a Lamar thing. Like anybody, like if you're bringing somebody
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back from injury and then you have a, you're on
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a short week, the next week, it like the odds
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of him playing both games are small. So like, what
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are you going to do? that's not just for Lamar
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it's for anybody you're not going to bring them back
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for one week and then they got to play on
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short rest so it's like okay we might as well
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let him rest another week that's super muddy I love
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the point about how hit the communication about his injury
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and tying it back to because I know he doesn't
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have an agent and I've never really like thought about
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like the injury stuff it's like yeah well yeah because
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he doesn't have somebody who's like beating the national reporters
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and everything to be like, Hey, you know, say this
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about my guy or like, Hey, like note this or
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note that, um, really interesting points. I, I hope he plays, um,
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as soon as possible. I, I think I've been pretty
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open about this every time you've been on the show. Uh, I, I've,
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I enjoy the Ravens team and franchise, uh, very thoroughly.
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Ed Reed is my favorite player of all time. I
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love Terrell Suggs. Uh, I, you know, I enjoy the
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Ravens a lot. And Lamar is one of my favorite
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players in the league and football is better when he's
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healthy and him versus Allen has always been super fun.
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You know, all, all due respect to Huntley who has
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his moments where it's like, man, could this dude be something? Um,
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but yeah, Lamar is sick. I hope he plays at
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some point. I hope he just gets healthy, gets right. Um,
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especially with how electric he is and It's, it's, it's
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a shame because especially these first several games this year,
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I know in preparing, like starting to watch the tape
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this week, I was going back and watching different things. And,
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but man, those first several games, he was on corking
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some throws, man, like some layering, some throws over the middle.
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He was seeing the field. Well, he was moving well.
383
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um yeah so it'll be nice to see him come
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back whenever he does come back we are going to
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now move to the crux of this episode where spence
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and i go inside the buffalo bills versus baltimore ravens
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Week 8 matchup with a preview and detailed breakdown. For
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00:20:08.819 --> 00:20:11.420
those who don't know, myself and Spence will each go
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00:20:11.539 --> 00:20:15.920
back and forth giving our top three things to watch
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for in this game that will decide this game. It
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could be super niche down. It could be large scale.
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Anything and everything. I don't know his answers. He does
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not know mine. We're completely blind to each other's answers.
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So we could have the exact same thing. We could
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be polar opposites. We have no idea. For those of
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you joining us live and playing at home, Feel free
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to put your answers into the chat and or comment
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00:20:38.220 --> 00:20:42.140
on ours. If you are watching posts live on YouTube,
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feel free to put anything into the comments, get asked
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00:20:44.259 --> 00:20:47.809
on socials, anything and everything, questions, thoughts, comments, concerns. Feel
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00:20:47.829 --> 00:20:49.450
free to put that up into the live chat as well.
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I like to make the show as engaging as possible. Spence,
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you are the guest. So I'm going to give you
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the floor first. I don't know if you have these ranked,
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if you have them like three, two, one, one, two, three,
406
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if they're all equal, if you want to go with
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one over the other, but the floor is yours. Feel
408
00:21:04.140 --> 00:21:06.369
free to give me your first talking point when it
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comes to going inside Bills versus Ravens.
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Yeah, I think it is Bills' defensive front that has
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the biggest improved player or ascending star, I would say,
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right now across any defensive front in the NFL right now.
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And Deion Walker, Greg Rousseau continuing to just blossom year
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over year with his incredible frame and athleticism and power.
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I think this Bill's front is about as good as
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a front as they've had in four years to me, three,
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four years getting after it. And a lot of that
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Dion Walker and Greg Rousseau. So the Ravens conversely have
419
00:21:47.450 --> 00:21:51.029
probably underinvested in their offensive line. They try to right
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00:21:51.049 --> 00:21:53.740
their wrongs. They draft Vega. You want a first round,
421
00:21:53.819 --> 00:21:58.680
very highly touted and highly selected guard with the 14th
422
00:21:58.720 --> 00:22:02.279
overall pick in the NFL draft. He ends up, playing
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00:22:02.359 --> 00:22:05.220
center this year for them because the Ravens lost their,
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they lost Tyler Linderbaum in free agency, which I don't
425
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think they anticipated. So then they brought in Danny Pinter,
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who's a longtime backup that had been with their offensive
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00:22:13.599 --> 00:22:17.579
line coach, Dwayne Ledford. They also signed Ethan Posick. They
428
00:22:17.619 --> 00:22:21.009
also have Jonathan Gwynn, another Ledford guy who fits like
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00:22:21.210 --> 00:22:24.690
a wide zone boot scheme. And they end up losing
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00:22:24.750 --> 00:22:28.559
Pinter before the season starts. They lose Gwynn. couple weeks
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00:22:28.640 --> 00:22:30.480
in and in the same game they lose post six
432
00:22:30.519 --> 00:22:33.269
so their emergency center was none other than vega yuane
433
00:22:33.630 --> 00:22:36.349
who snapped the ball 17 times in his three years
434
00:22:36.390 --> 00:22:39.589
at penn state he actually filled in there very admirably
435
00:22:40.029 --> 00:22:44.130
and probably played higher level center than give him a
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00:22:44.230 --> 00:22:45.430
little bit of time there he might look better than
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tyler linderbaum did but it he was beastly there considering
438
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all things considered he was excellent And so they go
439
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make a trade for Cam Juergens, the Philadelphia replacement for
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Jason Kelsey, who then had to play out of position
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because of an injury to Landon Dickerson this year. So
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the Ravens spend more draft capital than I think any
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00:23:03.089 --> 00:23:05.660
team has ever sent for an interior offensive lineman, a
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second and a fifth to the Eagles for a player
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that's on a cheap, affordable, controlled contract. They bring Cam
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Juergens in while he was in concussion protocol. He was
447
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able to get his first start under his belt for
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the Ravens against none other than Dexter Lawrence, who My
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money is the best nose tackle I've ever seen in
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my entire conscious football life. And then Vega Ioane goes
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down as soon as they get a center that is
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a normal natural center. And so now Vega Ioane will
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be out. He will be missing in this game. They
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also have been without their backup right guard in Andrew Voorhees,
455
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who was a USC standout that suffered an ACL at
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the combine. The Ravens took a flyer on him and
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he was able to give them some snaps and So
458
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now the Ravens are starting their fifth center, who is
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a natural center. They'll be starting their third right guard
460
00:23:51.599 --> 00:23:56.220
in Emery Jones, who's really struggled. John Simpson, who the
461
00:23:56.240 --> 00:23:58.619
Ravens signed this year, is the other guard. And he
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00:23:59.029 --> 00:24:00.809
is a nice stopgap player. I think he's a nice
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00:24:00.849 --> 00:24:03.670
role player. If he's your fourth or fifth, that's okay.
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And best lineman on your line, that's okay. So because
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00:24:08.829 --> 00:24:10.750
of this kind of shuffling, I think the Ravens have
466
00:24:10.769 --> 00:24:14.660
had 19 different combinations across their five now. And you're
467
00:24:14.680 --> 00:24:16.980
going to have Dion Walker and Greg Rousseau and some
468
00:24:17.009 --> 00:24:21.410
of these big, beastly, powerful Bills defensive linemen who can
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00:24:21.470 --> 00:24:26.190
kind of two gap or shoot gaps. And it's a
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00:24:26.210 --> 00:24:29.859
tough task. The Ravens have had a success rate below
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25 percent running the football in each of their last
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two games. So Snoop Huntley, a little challenge to throw
473
00:24:35.920 --> 00:24:39.319
the ball downfield. pass pro holder topic I haven't even
474
00:24:39.359 --> 00:24:41.990
gotten into. And I think that's the matchup I'm looking at.
475
00:24:42.019 --> 00:24:44.380
Can the Ravens figure out a way to make Dion
476
00:24:44.420 --> 00:24:46.059
Walker not look like Godzilla?
477
00:24:47.789 --> 00:24:49.829
I like the way you phrased that. I came close
478
00:24:49.849 --> 00:24:53.869
to putting this one up there. It just with, you know,
479
00:24:53.890 --> 00:24:58.390
I was watching Ravens bangles live on Sunday. I see
480
00:24:58.410 --> 00:25:01.039
how I want to go down. And I was like, Oh,
481
00:25:01.130 --> 00:25:04.259
like right after you kind of just have started to
482
00:25:04.299 --> 00:25:08.460
solidify things a little bit. Like he goes down, Um,
483
00:25:08.839 --> 00:25:10.339
I also thought it was funny on the broadcast. They
484
00:25:10.359 --> 00:25:12.319
kept like, I feel like they kept reversing his name.
485
00:25:12.359 --> 00:25:14.279
They kept calling him Vega as if like Vega was
486
00:25:14.319 --> 00:25:15.660
the last name. And I was like, I don't think
487
00:25:15.680 --> 00:25:19.450
you guys are doing this correctly. Um, but he like,
488
00:25:19.990 --> 00:25:22.890
he was so fun at Penn state with how physical
489
00:25:22.930 --> 00:25:24.920
and athletic he was. And when the Ravens got him,
490
00:25:24.930 --> 00:25:26.450
I was like, Ooh, that's like that, that, that can
491
00:25:26.470 --> 00:25:28.970
be a really fun fit, especially with this run game. Um,
492
00:25:29.150 --> 00:25:31.740
but yeah, they've been banged up. I feel like Ronnie
493
00:25:31.809 --> 00:25:34.450
Stanley is always like a coin toss on whether or
494
00:25:34.509 --> 00:25:36.849
not he's going to get hurt at some point and
495
00:25:36.890 --> 00:25:39.549
like mis-extended time or like a small amount of time
496
00:25:39.849 --> 00:25:41.849
when he's in there, he's good, but he's always like
497
00:25:42.009 --> 00:25:43.950
a wild card of sorts. I feel like for health
498
00:25:44.730 --> 00:25:49.859
and this Ravens specifically the run game every year that
499
00:25:49.900 --> 00:25:51.839
they play the bills, even when the bills have beaten them,
500
00:25:52.700 --> 00:25:57.299
they just gash the bills over and over. Oh, well, no,
501
00:25:57.319 --> 00:26:02.599
I'm thinking, um, When, whatever, Baltimore kicked the hell out
502
00:26:02.640 --> 00:26:03.240
of the Bills.
503
00:26:03.299 --> 00:26:06.160
Ravens, it was the regular, it was the Ravens. A
504
00:26:06.460 --> 00:26:09.180
couple years ago. Was it a home opener? No, it
505
00:26:09.200 --> 00:26:12.700
wasn't a home opener. It was Monday Night Football, I believe, 2024. Yes.
506
00:26:14.589 --> 00:26:15.970
Week five, maybe week six.
507
00:26:16.309 --> 00:26:18.630
I think on the first drive, the Ravens ran crunch,
508
00:26:18.670 --> 00:26:21.490
and Derrick Henry housed it for a 60-something yard touchdown.
509
00:26:21.549 --> 00:26:23.150
Yeah, he had an 83-yard touchdown, yep.
510
00:26:23.190 --> 00:26:25.049
Yeah, it was a big touchdown.
511
00:26:25.329 --> 00:26:28.029
Derrick Henry's first season, which was three years ago, was 2024, yep.
512
00:26:28.170 --> 00:26:31.859
Yes, good call. So it, but even in like defeat,
513
00:26:32.359 --> 00:26:34.920
the playoff game a couple of years ago, the regular,
514
00:26:35.180 --> 00:26:38.440
the season opener for both teams last year, they've largely
515
00:26:38.480 --> 00:26:41.460
had their way with the bills run defense and the
516
00:26:41.480 --> 00:26:43.529
bills run defense has been porous. And then the Ravens
517
00:26:43.569 --> 00:26:45.769
run game is good and unique. So they kinda, it's
518
00:26:45.809 --> 00:26:48.170
not a great matchup for the bills defense or most teams.
519
00:26:48.589 --> 00:26:52.230
And so, yeah, I go into this one and I'm like, okay,
520
00:26:52.890 --> 00:26:56.859
their line is banged up a bit. The running success
521
00:26:56.890 --> 00:26:59.730
hasn't really been there. I know the bangles, I mean,
522
00:26:59.750 --> 00:27:03.079
the Bengals have really redefined their front this year with
523
00:27:03.119 --> 00:27:05.460
all the moves they made. You shouted out Dexter Lawrence already,
524
00:27:05.500 --> 00:27:09.740
who's playing like a world beater. It felt like watching
525
00:27:09.759 --> 00:27:11.440
the Ravens in that game against the Bengals, they were
526
00:27:11.460 --> 00:27:13.599
just running into a brick wall over and over and
527
00:27:13.680 --> 00:27:15.279
over again. And I know the Bills don't have anybody
528
00:27:15.299 --> 00:27:18.690
as stout as Lawrence. Even Walker, when he's playing like Godzilla,
529
00:27:18.730 --> 00:27:21.430
he's still playing more of a penetrator game. And he'll
530
00:27:21.450 --> 00:27:23.609
grab somebody and chuck them down. But Lawrence is very
531
00:27:23.650 --> 00:27:25.930
much like, hey, I'm going to sit here. Good luck
532
00:27:25.950 --> 00:27:27.490
trying to move me. And then I can do a
533
00:27:27.509 --> 00:27:30.049
whole bunch of other things on top of it. And
534
00:27:30.069 --> 00:27:32.690
so I came into this one, yeah, like, can they
535
00:27:32.750 --> 00:27:36.150
people move the Bills? Do they try to people move
536
00:27:36.329 --> 00:27:39.299
the Bills? Do they, like, can they get Henry to
537
00:27:39.339 --> 00:27:42.140
the perimeter? How do they hold up in pass pro?
538
00:27:43.079 --> 00:27:46.079
Rousseau has been a nice story. He slowed down the
539
00:27:46.099 --> 00:27:48.380
past three games versus all the production he had in
540
00:27:48.400 --> 00:27:52.130
the first three. Walker has been really fun. But then
541
00:27:52.190 --> 00:27:55.490
even everything in totality, like heading into the bye, this
542
00:27:55.549 --> 00:27:59.869
group for the Buffalo Bills, 26th, As a defense, 26th
543
00:27:59.990 --> 00:28:03.930
in sack rate, 24th in pressure rate, 25th in time
544
00:28:03.970 --> 00:28:08.049
to pressure, 31st in quick pressure rate. This was a
545
00:28:08.089 --> 00:28:10.789
group that started out super hot. A lot of the
546
00:28:10.809 --> 00:28:13.390
production coming from Rousseau and Walker and getting some other guys.
547
00:28:13.869 --> 00:28:17.279
They've kind of cooled a little bit. Kirk Cousins having
548
00:28:17.319 --> 00:28:19.259
some time to throw, and even when they are getting pressure,
549
00:28:19.299 --> 00:28:24.599
it's usually coming later in the quarterback clock as opposed to, again,
550
00:28:24.900 --> 00:28:27.839
that quick pressure rate and time to pressure, both of
551
00:28:27.880 --> 00:28:31.430
those being lower. And I wonder for a banged-up offensive
552
00:28:31.490 --> 00:28:34.970
line that has had success against you as a franchise
553
00:28:35.029 --> 00:28:36.950
in previous years, does that start to turn a little
554
00:28:36.970 --> 00:28:39.460
this year? Can the Bills stay stout? Can they get
555
00:28:39.519 --> 00:28:43.400
pressure against somewhat of a wounded, banged-up group whose guys
556
00:28:43.420 --> 00:28:46.299
that are even starting are kind of, yeah, more depth
557
00:28:46.339 --> 00:28:49.720
guys as they try to wiggle and figure things out?
558
00:28:49.740 --> 00:28:52.809
So I came close to putting that one on my docket.
559
00:28:53.950 --> 00:28:55.809
That was my– I'm trying to think of the March
560
00:28:55.849 --> 00:28:59.690
Madness term. That was my last one out. the last
561
00:28:59.730 --> 00:29:01.230
team did not make the bracket. That would have been.
562
00:29:01.250 --> 00:29:03.400
So my 65th team, or I don't know how many
563
00:29:03.420 --> 00:29:05.220
teams there are now where there's like a thousand teams
564
00:29:05.359 --> 00:29:08.500
that just like the, the football playoff where they're adding
565
00:29:08.539 --> 00:29:11.599
more teams every, every single year, but whatever conversation from
566
00:29:11.619 --> 00:29:16.839
another time, I'm going to stay, I'm going to stay
567
00:29:16.880 --> 00:29:21.630
on the Ravens offensive side. And, uh, I just titled
568
00:29:21.670 --> 00:29:26.900
this one who stops Zay flowers. So Zay flowers, uh,
569
00:29:28.049 --> 00:29:30.210
Kind of a Bills fan favorite. There were a lot of,
570
00:29:30.250 --> 00:29:32.190
a lot of, a lot of Bills fans who wanted
571
00:29:32.210 --> 00:29:33.819
Zay Flowers coming out of Boston College. I think a
572
00:29:33.839 --> 00:29:38.349
lot of folks did. Fun, shifty, electric, downfield speed, athletic,
573
00:29:38.750 --> 00:29:40.670
give him the ball at the line. of scrimmage watch
574
00:29:40.710 --> 00:29:43.190
him go chuck him the ball downfield watch him go
575
00:29:43.230 --> 00:29:46.059
get it does a lot of fun stuff this year
576
00:29:46.650 --> 00:29:51.240
Zay Flowers out of 90 qualifying wide receivers he's third
577
00:29:51.359 --> 00:29:54.420
in targets per route run he's fourth in target share
578
00:29:54.720 --> 00:29:57.880
he's fourth in receiving yards he's first in yards per
579
00:29:57.920 --> 00:30:02.369
route run at 3.73 He's fourth in yards after catch
580
00:30:02.410 --> 00:30:06.769
per reception at 7.78. He's sixth in target success rate,
581
00:30:07.509 --> 00:30:12.710
11th in EPA per target, and seventh in receptions. Even
582
00:30:12.730 --> 00:30:15.809
with Lamar going down, Huntley has found him. I thought
583
00:30:15.849 --> 00:30:17.849
Declan Doyle did a great job in the first half
584
00:30:17.890 --> 00:30:20.789
against the Bengals of getting him involved in a multitude
585
00:30:20.829 --> 00:30:23.950
of ways. Screens around the line of scrimmage, some stuff underneath,
586
00:30:24.230 --> 00:30:25.849
hitting him on some stuff in the intermediate on a
587
00:30:25.890 --> 00:30:30.019
couple third and longs, and Zay kind of– doing some
588
00:30:30.039 --> 00:30:32.119
stuff after the catch there. Bateman had another nice third
589
00:30:32.140 --> 00:30:35.039
and long as well, but Zay Flowers this year has
590
00:30:35.160 --> 00:30:40.259
looked whenever he gets the ball. And even when he's
591
00:30:40.279 --> 00:30:42.640
like moving without it, I guess, and his stems releases everything.
592
00:30:43.319 --> 00:30:45.880
He looks like the most dangerous player on the field.
593
00:30:46.140 --> 00:30:50.420
Like he just looks so he's doing the dead leg
594
00:30:50.460 --> 00:30:52.269
and kind of waiting. And then he picks it back
595
00:30:52.329 --> 00:30:54.990
up and he's just ghosting guys in, in a heartbeat.
596
00:30:55.230 --> 00:30:57.609
He's going up and making plays at the catch point.
597
00:30:57.650 --> 00:31:01.319
I'm thinking back to the, um, the catch against Atlanta
598
00:31:02.440 --> 00:31:04.339
down late in the fourth quarter on first and 20,
599
00:31:04.339 --> 00:31:07.269
where he, you know, scramble drill, he gets open multiple times,
600
00:31:07.680 --> 00:31:09.609
Huntley throws it up and he goes up, makes the
601
00:31:09.650 --> 00:31:12.190
play at the catch point against Xavier Watts while he's
602
00:31:12.210 --> 00:31:15.309
getting interfered with. So he's playing big at the catch point.
603
00:31:15.349 --> 00:31:17.730
Plus he's doing all the jitterbug electric stuff on top
604
00:31:17.769 --> 00:31:20.599
of it. He's really, I think he's been a good
605
00:31:20.619 --> 00:31:24.240
player for a while. I think he's ascended further this year.
606
00:31:24.279 --> 00:31:26.779
As RJ says, I don't care what Ravens fans say,
607
00:31:27.119 --> 00:31:29.319
Zay Flowers is an elite wide receiver one. He has
608
00:31:29.400 --> 00:31:31.839
one of the best separation stats in the game. So
609
00:31:31.859 --> 00:31:35.180
a nice positive thing from a Bills fan there, but yeah,
610
00:31:35.700 --> 00:31:38.569
the Bills defense has struggled in a multitude of ways,
611
00:31:38.849 --> 00:31:43.170
especially in coverage. We saw their most recent game before
612
00:31:43.190 --> 00:31:45.470
they went into the buy against the Raiders, different type
613
00:31:45.509 --> 00:31:47.990
of task entirely, but the, you know, not a wide receiver,
614
00:31:48.029 --> 00:31:50.190
but pass catching option one for the Ravens is, or
615
00:31:50.210 --> 00:31:53.329
for the Raiders is Brock Bowers. Christian Benford traveled with
616
00:31:53.369 --> 00:31:57.009
him on a multitude of reps all over the field. outside,
617
00:31:57.309 --> 00:32:00.289
left and right, and even inside a little bit, attached
618
00:32:00.309 --> 00:32:03.970
to the formation. Does anybody travel with Zay? Who do
619
00:32:04.009 --> 00:32:06.079
they try to match him up with? He's a tough
620
00:32:06.130 --> 00:32:08.420
guy to match up with because of how juiced up
621
00:32:08.480 --> 00:32:11.819
he is, and you can play him anywhere. For a
622
00:32:11.880 --> 00:32:15.819
Bills coverage group that's been questionable in the spine, the
623
00:32:15.880 --> 00:32:18.920
linebackers and the safeties, is this a game where you
624
00:32:18.960 --> 00:32:21.769
just put Zay Flowers as the number three and force
625
00:32:21.809 --> 00:32:24.250
the Bills linebackers and safeties to try and match up
626
00:32:24.289 --> 00:32:26.109
with him? and say, good luck, we don't think you
627
00:32:26.130 --> 00:32:28.529
can do it. And then is he cooking linebackers and
628
00:32:28.670 --> 00:32:31.319
second-level players like he was against Dallas early in the
629
00:32:31.339 --> 00:32:33.420
year where he's just faking people left and right, and
630
00:32:33.720 --> 00:32:35.740
here comes a whipper out, psych, here comes the fake whip,
631
00:32:35.779 --> 00:32:37.460
and I'm actually going to run and drag across the middle.
632
00:32:38.220 --> 00:32:40.220
He's just been so dangerous. He's looked like the most
633
00:32:40.259 --> 00:32:44.299
dangerous player on the field. The Bills' pass coverage has
634
00:32:44.339 --> 00:32:47.359
lacked communication. They have not been on the same page.
635
00:32:47.500 --> 00:32:52.450
They've given up big plays. They've struggled mightily from a
636
00:32:52.450 --> 00:32:59.579
playing– chemistry standpoint and whether it's Huntley whether it's Lamar
637
00:32:59.819 --> 00:33:02.539
Zay has been extremely dangerous Doyle I think has done
638
00:33:02.559 --> 00:33:04.579
a good job getting him involved in and this could
639
00:33:04.599 --> 00:33:07.099
be a game where I'm trying to give him the
640
00:33:07.160 --> 00:33:09.500
Puka Nakua treatment from the Rams game several weeks ago
641
00:33:09.519 --> 00:33:12.079
where I'm like hey Zay here's like 20 something targets
642
00:33:12.220 --> 00:33:13.440
and let's see if the Bills can.
643
00:33:13.339 --> 00:33:19.250
Cover yeah a lot of great points there Flowers usage
644
00:33:19.569 --> 00:33:22.809
with Ravens first year offensive coordinator the now 30 year
645
00:33:22.829 --> 00:33:26.119
old Declan Doyle he's 30 He's 30 years old.
646
00:33:26.279 --> 00:33:27.900
Man, he's a baby. That's crazy.
647
00:33:28.079 --> 00:33:30.480
He's also deceivingly tall. If you look at him, you're like,
648
00:33:30.519 --> 00:33:34.180
you're 5'10. He's like 6'3, and you're like, that's not right.
649
00:33:34.220 --> 00:33:34.920
I don't trust you.
650
00:33:34.960 --> 00:33:36.279
You're lying. He's tall.
651
00:33:36.869 --> 00:33:40.109
So the biggest thing I see simply is that Zay
652
00:33:40.130 --> 00:33:44.009
Flowers has taken more snaps out of the slot than
653
00:33:44.089 --> 00:33:47.509
he has as a boundary or a number one to
654
00:33:47.529 --> 00:33:51.170
the width of the field this year. That has not
655
00:33:51.210 --> 00:33:54.029
happened before. in Baltimore with Zay Flowers. This year he's
656
00:33:54.049 --> 00:34:00.309
taken 128 snaps out of the slot, 121 wide, and
657
00:34:00.369 --> 00:34:05.009
he has taken at least 19, pardon me, at least
658
00:34:05.009 --> 00:34:07.529
11 snaps out of the slot in every game he
659
00:34:07.769 --> 00:34:09.800
got an injury. At least 15 snaps out of the
660
00:34:09.820 --> 00:34:11.969
slot since he returned from injury. He left that Colts
661
00:34:12.030 --> 00:34:14.079
game in week one, a little injury. He had a
662
00:34:14.099 --> 00:34:16.860
little bit more slot snaps. So since returning, he has
663
00:34:16.880 --> 00:34:20.469
had one game where he had 12 more out wide.
664
00:34:20.510 --> 00:34:21.760
A lot of what the Ravens want to do is
665
00:34:22.030 --> 00:34:24.780
align him in trips, like you mentioned, and they want
666
00:34:24.800 --> 00:34:29.099
to– one of Declan Doyle's favorites is to make the
667
00:34:29.199 --> 00:34:31.320
number three the number one or bring somebody from the
668
00:34:31.340 --> 00:34:33.039
other side of the field to the new number one
669
00:34:33.559 --> 00:34:35.969
and turning Zay Flowers into the number three. When you
670
00:34:35.989 --> 00:34:39.210
turn someone into the number three, fast with fast motion,
671
00:34:39.250 --> 00:34:41.449
that usually puts them on a safety or a linebacker.
672
00:34:41.989 --> 00:34:44.730
And then what I've seen out of Zay Flowers has
673
00:34:44.789 --> 00:34:51.210
been so much– less fat on his routes.
674
00:34:51.550 --> 00:34:53.210
Oh, that's a really good way to play it.
675
00:34:53.809 --> 00:34:58.809
The nuance, the minimal amount of steps, the maximizing his
676
00:34:59.389 --> 00:35:02.949
kind of ankle flexion or how much he's just simply
677
00:35:03.030 --> 00:35:06.099
turning and digging his cleats to work back to the ball,
678
00:35:06.179 --> 00:35:09.559
to get upfield, to square, to get to his spot
679
00:35:09.980 --> 00:35:14.099
has been as good as anyone in football, in my opinion.
680
00:35:14.119 --> 00:35:18.349
I know there's a comment in here. RJ Melville eight says,
681
00:35:18.369 --> 00:35:20.250
I don't care what Ravens fans say. Zay Flowers is
682
00:35:20.269 --> 00:35:22.190
an elite wide receiver. One, he has the best separation
683
00:35:22.210 --> 00:35:25.230
stats in the game. And right. You mentioned Puka, like
684
00:35:25.929 --> 00:35:27.690
Jamar chase, the Ravens saw last week, gave him some
685
00:35:27.730 --> 00:35:33.079
trouble in today's NFL with, without any rule changes happening
686
00:35:33.099 --> 00:35:36.780
in a few years, we're seeing a little bit more.
687
00:35:36.820 --> 00:35:38.239
It's not as crazy as people think, but a little
688
00:35:38.260 --> 00:35:40.420
bit more of those kind of softer, too high or
689
00:35:40.519 --> 00:35:43.099
middle of the field, open concepts, a little more coverage
690
00:35:43.139 --> 00:35:46.090
defenders underneath. Teams want to limit the over the top shot.
691
00:35:46.130 --> 00:35:48.750
The deep ball is not in vogue right now because
692
00:35:48.769 --> 00:35:51.260
of what defenses have been doing. So the response to
693
00:35:51.300 --> 00:35:52.800
that is, all right, let's get our best guy on
694
00:35:53.199 --> 00:35:55.059
their worst coverage guy that we can possibly get him
695
00:35:55.219 --> 00:35:58.159
with a matched up with through scheme. So Raven's a
696
00:35:58.159 --> 00:36:00.219
little late to that party with flowers. I think his
697
00:36:01.440 --> 00:36:05.519
focus and his off season training and his attention to detail.
698
00:36:05.980 --> 00:36:09.539
And like you said, the ability for him to run
699
00:36:09.579 --> 00:36:12.639
these crossers where it's a fast bump out that causes
700
00:36:12.659 --> 00:36:16.670
a In this scenario, it might be one of those–
701
00:36:17.650 --> 00:36:19.449
what is it? Bernard and– oh, my God, who's the
702
00:36:19.469 --> 00:36:19.909
other Bills?
703
00:36:20.530 --> 00:36:21.050
Dorian Williams.
704
00:36:21.289 --> 00:36:23.530
Dorian Williams, there we go. If it's Dorian Williams and Bernard,
705
00:36:23.570 --> 00:36:24.980
all of a sudden it's fast and they've got to
706
00:36:25.000 --> 00:36:27.280
try and carry him across the field, that's tough. And
707
00:36:27.300 --> 00:36:29.139
those two can both run and they're long and they've
708
00:36:29.159 --> 00:36:31.880
got some good things going. But it's mental quickness that
709
00:36:32.199 --> 00:36:34.280
being able to see that process and understand what they're doing.
710
00:36:34.619 --> 00:36:36.139
But then, oh, all of a sudden everyone else is
711
00:36:36.179 --> 00:36:37.929
cleared out. I'm ready to turn my hips to run
712
00:36:37.949 --> 00:36:40.710
with a crosser. And Zay Flowers has perfectly, at 5'9,
713
00:36:40.730 --> 00:36:43.969
re-squared and is breaking back out to the sideline. It's
714
00:36:43.989 --> 00:36:46.769
really hard to cover. So he's been elite. I think
715
00:36:46.809 --> 00:36:50.110
he has been a definite absolute wide receiver one this season.
716
00:36:50.130 --> 00:36:52.690
He's looked fantastic. He doesn't lack. He lacked. The only
717
00:36:52.710 --> 00:36:54.929
thing he really lacks is an aerial aspect to his game.
718
00:36:54.969 --> 00:36:57.219
I'd say there's not, you know, go throw it up
719
00:36:57.280 --> 00:36:59.260
and he's going to go George pick in CD lamb.
720
00:36:59.300 --> 00:37:01.320
Like we saw on Monday night football, able to go
721
00:37:01.360 --> 00:37:03.960
snag balls outside of his frame consistently in the red area.
722
00:37:04.239 --> 00:37:07.019
He can do everything else for you. So he's been tough.
723
00:37:07.159 --> 00:37:09.269
He's been, he's also had a really positive attitude and,
724
00:37:09.559 --> 00:37:12.039
Ravens have been a little downtrodden with some bad body language.
725
00:37:12.059 --> 00:37:15.460
It's not safe flowers. He has some diamond fronts he
726
00:37:15.500 --> 00:37:17.380
likes to wear in games, and he likes to let
727
00:37:17.400 --> 00:37:19.000
you see him. He likes to smile. He likes to
728
00:37:19.019 --> 00:37:21.400
be happy about it. He likes to make plays. He
729
00:37:21.420 --> 00:37:23.909
doesn't matter. He doesn't care who's playing quarterback. He's helping
730
00:37:23.949 --> 00:37:27.610
his quarterback out. For a little guy, I have never
731
00:37:27.690 --> 00:37:30.849
seen someone who is under like 5'11, ever, work back
732
00:37:30.869 --> 00:37:35.980
to the ball better. Man, he had on that, that
733
00:37:36.019 --> 00:37:37.659
first line back to the ball. Yeah.
734
00:37:37.900 --> 00:37:39.739
He had that on that first third and long, they
735
00:37:39.760 --> 00:37:41.639
converted against the Bengals in the first half where he
736
00:37:41.679 --> 00:37:44.199
comes back and he splits the two defenders. And then
737
00:37:44.260 --> 00:37:46.679
he gets like six yards after the catch on like
738
00:37:46.719 --> 00:37:49.079
a third and 19. Yeah. He just, he fights for
739
00:37:49.099 --> 00:37:50.239
the ball and snatches it.
740
00:37:50.780 --> 00:37:53.210
He has been working back to help the quarterback, to
741
00:37:53.250 --> 00:37:55.230
be friendly to the quarterback as well as I've ever
742
00:37:55.250 --> 00:37:58.269
seen a smaller stature receiver. He is sprinting like a
743
00:37:58.329 --> 00:38:01.090
center fielder, trying to get a shallow fly ball on
744
00:38:01.130 --> 00:38:04.539
his high horse to advance back towards the the quarterback.
745
00:38:04.579 --> 00:38:07.900
So that's been super fun to watch. He's been dynamic
746
00:38:07.960 --> 00:38:09.760
after the catch better than ever. I mean, the screen
747
00:38:09.780 --> 00:38:11.559
he housed against the Bengals last week, no one could
748
00:38:11.579 --> 00:38:14.139
even put a ball on him. He looks like the
749
00:38:14.199 --> 00:38:17.340
most untouchable player on the field or the, the quickest
750
00:38:17.460 --> 00:38:20.679
or most agile or just spatially aware player on the field. Every,
751
00:38:21.260 --> 00:38:22.699
every time he has the ball in the open field
752
00:38:22.739 --> 00:38:24.420
this season, it's been really fun to watch. So I
753
00:38:24.659 --> 00:38:27.389
think it's a tough task. You mentioned Benford traveling, but
754
00:38:27.679 --> 00:38:29.429
Ravens are going to, are going to pressure test that
755
00:38:29.489 --> 00:38:32.150
because there's gonna be fast motions changing the note, you know,
756
00:38:32.170 --> 00:38:35.070
who's number one, number two, and number three. and they're
757
00:38:35.090 --> 00:38:36.849
going to test the rules of coverage with it. So,
758
00:38:37.849 --> 00:38:39.530
you know, the Bills had a bye week to try
759
00:38:39.550 --> 00:38:43.139
and bait some throws and maybe have some backside defenders
760
00:38:43.199 --> 00:38:45.400
away from that. If you see motion fast one way,
761
00:38:45.699 --> 00:38:47.719
maybe have a nickel or something else or an end,
762
00:38:48.260 --> 00:38:49.820
drop back and see if you can undercut one of
763
00:38:49.860 --> 00:38:52.860
those from the backside and deter the Ravens from doing it.
764
00:38:53.199 --> 00:38:54.670
That's what I'd be trying to cook up if I was,
765
00:38:55.150 --> 00:38:57.170
you know, sitting back with an extra week's rest here.
766
00:38:57.769 --> 00:39:01.010
Yeah, and for a Bills defense that has, you know,
767
00:39:01.050 --> 00:39:04.940
had miscommunication, they've been frantic defensively, and literally up to
768
00:39:04.960 --> 00:39:09.340
the snap in their adjustments and on the field, changing
769
00:39:09.360 --> 00:39:12.599
the picture offensively at the last minute, and then doing
770
00:39:12.679 --> 00:39:15.460
it with literal speed on top of it in terms
771
00:39:15.480 --> 00:39:18.519
of the players that are moving. I like that recipe
772
00:39:18.539 --> 00:39:21.969
a lot, and yeah, I'm going to move Flowers around.
773
00:39:22.010 --> 00:39:23.590
I even put him in the backfield and do some
774
00:39:23.630 --> 00:39:25.230
fun stuff like they have at times. I'll get him
775
00:39:25.250 --> 00:39:27.829
some manufactured touches as well, but I'm getting him as
776
00:39:27.849 --> 00:39:31.730
that number three, and I'm saying hey, let's find your
777
00:39:32.090 --> 00:39:34.699
guys in between the hashes. Who's going to cover this guy?
778
00:39:35.070 --> 00:39:37.739
How are you going to allocate resources to him? Because
779
00:39:37.780 --> 00:39:40.739
I think it's going to be a problem and could
780
00:39:40.760 --> 00:39:43.199
be some potential fireworks for Mr. Zay Flowers. All right,
781
00:39:43.219 --> 00:39:46.420
we've each given our ones, or our first points, I
782
00:39:46.480 --> 00:39:50.190
should say, What do you got for your second point here?
783
00:39:51.329 --> 00:39:56.510
Can anybody tackle Josh Allen? Okay. Can anybody go get
784
00:39:56.570 --> 00:39:59.070
Josh Allen and bring him down right now? The Ravens
785
00:40:00.289 --> 00:40:04.030
missed four tackles last week against the Bengals. Jamar Chase,
786
00:40:04.090 --> 00:40:09.329
a super strong athlete. Josh Allen, a super strong athlete.
787
00:40:10.329 --> 00:40:14.389
And man, I'm watching him against the Rams. I'm watching
788
00:40:14.409 --> 00:40:18.039
him against the Raiders and Suddenly, you know, you're sitting
789
00:40:18.059 --> 00:40:20.619
back playing man or playing in the Ravens case is
790
00:40:20.639 --> 00:40:22.760
going to be zone. You're flat footed. He's got a
791
00:40:22.760 --> 00:40:26.260
head of steam. And I don't know. I do have
792
00:40:26.300 --> 00:40:29.989
my theories on how to relatively contain Josh Allen as
793
00:40:30.329 --> 00:40:32.809
Ravens and Bills have gone back and forth. I think
794
00:40:32.849 --> 00:40:37.670
he bananas to his throwing side more elusively than anyone
795
00:40:37.750 --> 00:40:41.889
else I've really seen with any size. He is always
796
00:40:41.949 --> 00:40:46.010
just fast enough. and you cannot try and pursue his
797
00:40:46.050 --> 00:40:48.210
back hip like you're supposed to. You need to go
798
00:40:48.349 --> 00:40:50.690
cut him off and get his feet to stop moving
799
00:40:51.230 --> 00:40:53.409
if you can get him to roll right. Otherwise, he
800
00:40:53.469 --> 00:40:56.739
will outrun you, he will re-square, and he has an
801
00:40:57.039 --> 00:41:01.760
absolute AC-130 for an arm that he can spray wherever
802
00:41:01.800 --> 00:41:04.239
he wants. So as soon as he starts to move
803
00:41:04.320 --> 00:41:08.409
backwards towards his arm side, get upfield towards the line
804
00:41:08.429 --> 00:41:11.440
of scrimmage, I would rather that than let him re-approach
805
00:41:11.460 --> 00:41:12.739
the line of scrimmage with a head of steam on
806
00:41:12.780 --> 00:41:16.260
that side. So that's my theory that I've seen executed
807
00:41:16.300 --> 00:41:18.010
well one time. And it was the one time the
808
00:41:18.030 --> 00:41:20.409
Ravens gave him a ton of trouble on that Monday
809
00:41:20.469 --> 00:41:24.150
night game. But yeah, other than that, I mean, it's
810
00:41:24.190 --> 00:41:28.570
more so dangerous when he is moving at the line
811
00:41:28.590 --> 00:41:31.710
of scrimmage somewhere between the numbers to me and he's
812
00:41:31.750 --> 00:41:33.650
getting a little pump going, his eyes are moving around
813
00:41:33.690 --> 00:41:36.110
and he's getting some momentum. And right now, I mean, he's,
814
00:41:36.679 --> 00:41:38.500
about as dangerous a runner with the football as there
815
00:41:38.539 --> 00:41:42.300
is in the NFL. More than that, James Cook, Khalil Shakir,
816
00:41:42.360 --> 00:41:46.179
tackle breakers that find a way out and find a
817
00:41:46.199 --> 00:41:48.420
way to get more yards after the catch. So I'm
818
00:41:48.440 --> 00:41:50.880
looking at those kind of three guys, mainly Josh Allen.
819
00:41:51.920 --> 00:41:56.030
We've seen a Ravens game come down to that rain
820
00:41:56.070 --> 00:42:00.010
game we mentioned. Maybe it was 2022. They naked booted
821
00:42:00.070 --> 00:42:02.309
Josh Allen, and maybe it was him himself. Maybe it
822
00:42:02.329 --> 00:42:04.510
was a design, but they boot Josh Allen. Patrick Queen
823
00:42:04.530 --> 00:42:07.619
tries to get on his hip pocket. He's just always a,
824
00:42:07.969 --> 00:42:10.789
he's a fast enough to achieve his goal always. And
825
00:42:10.849 --> 00:42:14.380
he's strong enough to achieve his goal always. So man,
826
00:42:14.480 --> 00:42:16.460
when he gets rumbling, like he was against the Rams,
827
00:42:16.519 --> 00:42:20.139
it was looking like, you know, I called Dion Walker, Godzilla.
828
00:42:20.159 --> 00:42:21.679
I don't know what to call Josh Allen. There's a,
829
00:42:21.780 --> 00:42:23.599
you know, a rhinoceros. I know they like to call
830
00:42:23.659 --> 00:42:25.679
it looks a little bit more Rhino than Buffalo to me,
831
00:42:26.059 --> 00:42:28.739
but obviously you guys like to call him the great
832
00:42:28.760 --> 00:42:32.159
white Buffalo up there. And I, I see that for sure. So,
833
00:42:32.829 --> 00:42:34.369
who's going to stick him. How are they going to get,
834
00:42:34.409 --> 00:42:36.289
prevent him from getting going in the run game? I
835
00:42:36.329 --> 00:42:38.590
know he's talked a little bit about his mechanics are
836
00:42:38.610 --> 00:42:40.750
a little off. He had to revert back to a
837
00:42:41.369 --> 00:42:45.389
prior motion. I know he's worked with what, um, Jordan Palmer,
838
00:42:45.550 --> 00:42:48.170
Jesse Paul, Jordan Palmer, Jordan Palmer. So we're working with
839
00:42:48.230 --> 00:42:52.829
Jesse's brother, Jordan. Um, and yeah, uh, talking about reverting back.
840
00:42:52.889 --> 00:42:54.789
So he was like, Oh, well, I don't feel great.
841
00:42:54.829 --> 00:42:56.369
I'm going to go back to my emotion and do
842
00:42:56.389 --> 00:43:00.550
it with my legs. So, um, how can the Ravens
843
00:43:00.590 --> 00:43:02.489
deal with that? I mean, their, their front has been
844
00:43:02.510 --> 00:43:04.300
a little bit in flux on both sides of the ball.
845
00:43:04.519 --> 00:43:07.039
Trey Hendrickson, a big acquisition for them, missed a couple
846
00:43:07.059 --> 00:43:10.030
of games, had to get finger surgery. He's had his, his, uh,
847
00:43:10.119 --> 00:43:12.940
three fingers on his inside hand, his left hand. He
848
00:43:12.980 --> 00:43:17.199
likes to rushes the right outside linebacker over the left tackle. Um,
849
00:43:17.480 --> 00:43:22.070
those have been banded down. Um, Nnamdi Matabike miraculously coming
850
00:43:22.110 --> 00:43:24.210
back from what was once thought to be a career
851
00:43:24.230 --> 00:43:26.230
ending neck injury. He's been playing really well again. Um,
852
00:43:28.340 --> 00:43:30.780
It doesn't look quite as fast as he did in
853
00:43:30.840 --> 00:43:33.760
maybe his heyday two years ago. But still, it's a
854
00:43:34.489 --> 00:43:36.650
really golden retriever and galloping gazelle.
855
00:43:36.670 --> 00:43:37.230
Galloping gazelle.
856
00:43:37.789 --> 00:43:40.130
He's like a golden retriever rhinoceros.
857
00:43:40.550 --> 00:43:42.929
Yeah, a golden retriever. Yeah, I always go with runaway moose.
858
00:43:43.769 --> 00:43:48.030
Yeah, moose is accurate as well. So can you stunt?
859
00:43:48.050 --> 00:43:52.949
Can you do anything to have layered, staggered? pressures that
860
00:43:52.969 --> 00:43:54.809
get him to just at least stop his feet so
861
00:43:54.929 --> 00:43:56.909
it's it's going to be those key third downs when
862
00:43:57.010 --> 00:43:58.650
when nothing's there and he sees a little bit of
863
00:43:58.690 --> 00:44:02.489
grass and i i mean i like his chances more
864
00:44:02.530 --> 00:44:05.119
often than not um you know when he's got ahead
865
00:44:05.159 --> 00:44:06.699
of steam going it's hard to it's hard to go
866
00:44:07.239 --> 00:44:09.800
end a play and minimize the yards after contact and
867
00:44:09.820 --> 00:44:11.699
all those things when that big fella gets moving so
868
00:44:12.039 --> 00:44:15.480
it's a pretty simple one but ravens aren't tackling real
869
00:44:15.519 --> 00:44:18.340
well right now the the pressure's been a little inconsistent
870
00:44:18.610 --> 00:44:20.789
and i know if you don't you don't hit him
871
00:44:20.849 --> 00:44:24.300
and you don't force him on, on bad angles where
872
00:44:24.320 --> 00:44:28.480
he can't feel consistently comfortable on the move. Like if
873
00:44:28.500 --> 00:44:30.300
you get him into a game where he gets game
874
00:44:30.340 --> 00:44:32.750
breaker mode, when he starts really holding down the trigger
875
00:44:32.789 --> 00:44:35.130
and running all of a sudden, it feels like the,
876
00:44:35.190 --> 00:44:37.929
the natural from what he's talking about is yips. It
877
00:44:37.969 --> 00:44:40.010
felt like the yips went away when he started to
878
00:44:40.070 --> 00:44:43.250
feel the tempo of the game. He's, he's like, you know,
879
00:44:43.610 --> 00:44:45.570
some sort of video game character. The more you punch him,
880
00:44:45.610 --> 00:44:47.780
the more he, he kind of, you know, the taste
881
00:44:47.820 --> 00:44:51.019
of blood gets them going a little bit more. So man, it's,
882
00:44:51.099 --> 00:44:54.920
it's simple, but, hard to stop. So there's going to
883
00:44:54.940 --> 00:44:56.940
be a big moment. Josh Allen's going to use his legs.
884
00:44:57.000 --> 00:44:59.659
It's maybe it's the first half. Maybe the Ravens, even
885
00:44:59.699 --> 00:45:01.679
if Lamar doesn't play, are able to hang around for this, that,
886
00:45:01.719 --> 00:45:05.119
or another reason. But I just don't see the Ravens.
887
00:45:05.139 --> 00:45:08.639
I don't see the dog in them right now. And
888
00:45:08.659 --> 00:45:10.380
I want to see if they can bring the dog.
889
00:45:10.420 --> 00:45:12.340
I mean, Jesse Minter and his press availability is saying,
890
00:45:12.360 --> 00:45:14.360
who's my leader on my defense. Somebody needs to step
891
00:45:14.469 --> 00:45:16.869
up on the sideline. When you're talking like that, that's
892
00:45:16.909 --> 00:45:19.909
a challenge, man. So that, that should make guys want
893
00:45:19.929 --> 00:45:22.360
to go hit Trenton Simpson. Somebody who's been a really
894
00:45:22.400 --> 00:45:25.320
physical presence this year for the Ravens in a contract year.
895
00:45:25.760 --> 00:45:27.860
Maybe we see him with a big opportunity to go
896
00:45:27.909 --> 00:45:30.570
see if he can haul down the golden retriever, moose, rhino,
897
00:45:31.329 --> 00:45:34.730
great white buffalo, galloping gazelle there. I don't know. I
898
00:45:34.730 --> 00:45:36.489
probably will take Josh Allen in the open field over
899
00:45:36.530 --> 00:45:36.869
most guys.
900
00:45:37.599 --> 00:45:39.719
That's fair. I like Trenton Simpson, so I still like him.
901
00:45:39.760 --> 00:45:41.550
I liked him so much coming out of Clemson, and
902
00:45:42.530 --> 00:45:45.349
I enjoy seeing him. I've been enjoying seeing him get
903
00:45:45.409 --> 00:45:47.530
more of a shot this year. To speak to some
904
00:45:47.550 --> 00:45:50.889
of your Ravens tackling woes, they are 24th in missed
905
00:45:50.929 --> 00:45:55.909
tackles this year with 62, and they are 25th in
906
00:45:55.989 --> 00:46:02.000
missed tackle rate at 13.2%. I really like your point about,
907
00:46:02.639 --> 00:46:05.000
you know, can you tackle Josh Allen? His leg's battering
908
00:46:05.039 --> 00:46:10.389
a lot. The last several weeks for the Bills offense,
909
00:46:10.409 --> 00:46:14.070
with DJ Moore being out slash banged up, we have
910
00:46:14.190 --> 00:46:17.800
seen some of the similar struggles for the Bills offense
911
00:46:18.039 --> 00:46:21.960
as we had in previous years, particularly last year. We've
912
00:46:21.980 --> 00:46:25.179
also seen a lot of the same successes. Without DJ Moore,
913
00:46:25.219 --> 00:46:28.139
this offense is relatively, and I don't mean this negatively
914
00:46:28.179 --> 00:46:32.150
or disparagingly, it's relatively the same as it was last year.
915
00:46:32.500 --> 00:46:35.980
you're going to get those YY looks or the tight end,
916
00:46:36.059 --> 00:46:38.420
an inline tight end with one hipped off him, maybe
917
00:46:38.460 --> 00:46:40.860
another tight end hipped off of that, or, you know,
918
00:46:40.940 --> 00:46:44.559
kind of like a dirty or loose bunch in 11 personnel.
919
00:46:45.159 --> 00:46:47.119
The Bills are going to run duo to that side
920
00:46:47.360 --> 00:46:49.409
out of that alignment and look, and they're going to
921
00:46:49.449 --> 00:46:52.349
run mid zone week to the other side. And that's
922
00:46:52.409 --> 00:46:55.610
like where everything starts. And then they'll pass the ball
923
00:46:55.949 --> 00:46:57.730
with the concepts that they lean into and kind of
924
00:46:58.329 --> 00:47:00.349
that's what it is. Did it get DJ Moore? They're
925
00:47:00.369 --> 00:47:02.010
able to stretch the field a little bit combined with
926
00:47:02.050 --> 00:47:04.570
a healthy Dalton Kincaid. But what we've seen the past
927
00:47:04.610 --> 00:47:08.059
several weeks is Josh Allen having to rely on his
928
00:47:08.420 --> 00:47:11.840
legs a little bit more, not finding guys open downfield.
929
00:47:12.159 --> 00:47:14.719
Sometimes they're being guys there and he's not pulling the trigger,
930
00:47:15.420 --> 00:47:17.199
which is something we've seen in previous years as well.
931
00:47:17.599 --> 00:47:19.579
But he's had to rely on his legs to kind
932
00:47:19.639 --> 00:47:24.530
of get him comfortable or get him an advantageous look
933
00:47:24.570 --> 00:47:27.530
against the defense because the initial play call isn't doing
934
00:47:27.590 --> 00:47:30.070
it or he's He doesn't like the way the route
935
00:47:30.090 --> 00:47:32.989
distribution has manifested against the coverage. And so he decides
936
00:47:33.030 --> 00:47:35.050
to hold it, tries to make a play with his legs.
937
00:47:35.510 --> 00:47:38.210
Sometimes it's stuff isn't open and things are locked down.
938
00:47:38.530 --> 00:47:41.389
Sometimes he just wants to create. Sometimes he's just, you know,
939
00:47:41.489 --> 00:47:43.280
it's the getting the gang of Josh Allen, but his
940
00:47:43.360 --> 00:47:46.630
legs have mattered a lot recently and kind of like a,
941
00:47:47.260 --> 00:47:51.699
an underlying story for the bills past game has been
942
00:47:51.719 --> 00:47:58.500
the lack of change or newness in terms of concepts
943
00:47:58.579 --> 00:48:00.940
and what's getting open this year versus last year really
944
00:48:00.980 --> 00:48:03.940
was just like, we're going to drop in a top,
945
00:48:04.480 --> 00:48:05.780
a guy at the top of the depth chart who
946
00:48:05.800 --> 00:48:07.699
can actually play at the top of the depth chart
947
00:48:07.719 --> 00:48:11.099
and who has some juice. And if he's not there, Oh,
948
00:48:11.119 --> 00:48:13.599
what do we do? And that's what it's been the
949
00:48:13.639 --> 00:48:16.440
past several weeks. And we should see DJ more this week.
950
00:48:16.739 --> 00:48:19.630
We'll see what capacity we see him in, how healthy
951
00:48:19.690 --> 00:48:21.949
he is. But yeah, Alan's legs have mattered a lot
952
00:48:22.010 --> 00:48:24.070
in terms of just getting him comfortable and also bailing
953
00:48:24.110 --> 00:48:28.389
him out. Um, for, you know, guys aren't open. Keyon
954
00:48:28.409 --> 00:48:31.590
Coleman's great in the scramble drill. Kalil Shakir is great
955
00:48:32.030 --> 00:48:35.090
in the scramble drill, which helps as well. And Allen's
956
00:48:35.110 --> 00:48:38.250
always been a creator, but it's been a little bit
957
00:48:38.309 --> 00:48:40.550
out of necessity the past several weeks with some things
958
00:48:40.610 --> 00:48:42.989
not being open. And again, DJ Moore does change some things,
959
00:48:43.070 --> 00:48:47.159
but Allen relying on his legs against the defense that
960
00:48:47.219 --> 00:48:48.860
has struggled with some tackling a little bit, as you mentioned.
961
00:48:49.460 --> 00:48:51.909
Good matchup piece. I like that. I like that. Definitely.
962
00:48:51.929 --> 00:48:54.329
My guy, Keon Coleman, I'm glad to see him mature
963
00:48:54.349 --> 00:48:56.530
a little bit, and it seems like he's been doing
964
00:48:56.550 --> 00:48:58.860
what he's supposed to do there, bought in to this
965
00:48:58.900 --> 00:49:03.760
Joe Brady full program. And I don't know why Keon
966
00:49:03.800 --> 00:49:06.579
Coleman's not laying the wood. He was a pretty devastating
967
00:49:06.639 --> 00:49:09.780
run blocker at times in college. And I haven't really
968
00:49:09.800 --> 00:49:12.239
seen that on tape out of him. So that's my
969
00:49:12.280 --> 00:49:15.070
challenge for Mr. Keon Coleman, if I'm able to put
970
00:49:15.150 --> 00:49:18.820
one into the Cover One community here, is uh see
971
00:49:18.840 --> 00:49:20.519
if you guys can get a little a little spark
972
00:49:20.559 --> 00:49:22.480
under his butt get him blocking man i don't i
973
00:49:22.480 --> 00:49:23.960
don't know what's happening he used to be able to
974
00:49:23.980 --> 00:49:26.599
use that big wide frame those long arms and he
975
00:49:26.619 --> 00:49:28.800
used to get up into guys get up into guys
976
00:49:28.860 --> 00:49:30.559
necks and be able to kind of box them out
977
00:49:30.599 --> 00:49:32.059
and grab them and put them on the ground a
978
00:49:32.079 --> 00:49:34.349
little bit out of a straight stock block and Not
979
00:49:34.369 --> 00:49:35.969
really seeing the oomph there. I'm glad to see him
980
00:49:35.989 --> 00:49:38.559
really flourish as a receiver. Was really high on the
981
00:49:38.599 --> 00:49:41.940
talent coming out of FSU. Very young player, but, man,
982
00:49:41.960 --> 00:49:44.320
I want to see him do some more damage as
983
00:49:44.360 --> 00:49:47.840
a blocker. It's a challenge I have for Mr. Coleman.
984
00:49:48.280 --> 00:49:50.059
He– I looked it up because I was trying to
985
00:49:50.079 --> 00:49:53.570
think of the year. Yeah, so his rookie year when
986
00:49:53.590 --> 00:49:56.389
the Bills played the Seahawks in Seattle, he had a
987
00:49:56.449 --> 00:50:01.110
couple– It was against Tariq Woolen where he like buried
988
00:50:01.170 --> 00:50:03.670
him into the sideline and it was like rookie year.
989
00:50:03.730 --> 00:50:04.750
And it was, yeah, it was like, Ooh, I see
990
00:50:04.789 --> 00:50:06.809
you saw this on tape. This is cool. This is fun.
991
00:50:06.849 --> 00:50:10.710
And yeah, you didn't really see that going forward from there.
992
00:50:10.809 --> 00:50:12.739
I thought we'd get more of it too this year
993
00:50:12.760 --> 00:50:16.480
with them. I call it the Mac Collins role like that,
994
00:50:17.079 --> 00:50:19.139
that wide receiver that when you're in 11, it's really
995
00:50:19.139 --> 00:50:21.219
11 and a half. It was Mac Collins two years ago.
996
00:50:21.320 --> 00:50:24.659
It was Tyrell Shavers last year. I was like, Keon
997
00:50:24.679 --> 00:50:28.150
Coleman should be that guy this year. It just makes sense. Um,
998
00:50:28.570 --> 00:50:31.650
and instead they've kind of leaned more into like the
999
00:50:31.690 --> 00:50:33.730
tight end aspect, which makes sense. And don't kick aid
1000
00:50:33.769 --> 00:50:36.730
kind of being that third man. Um, but yeah, I mean,
1001
00:50:36.750 --> 00:50:39.289
Keon's got that in his bag, but watching him having
1002
00:50:39.309 --> 00:50:44.030
some success, um, as a, as, as a pass catcher
1003
00:50:44.070 --> 00:50:47.190
has just been, it's been cool to see. And there's
1004
00:50:47.210 --> 00:50:48.949
a hold on. I want to, the sample size is
1005
00:50:48.969 --> 00:50:51.670
small cause he's not the most targeted guy, but, uh,
1006
00:50:52.769 --> 00:50:55.469
I pulled this last night right before I pulled the
1007
00:50:55.670 --> 00:50:59.659
Zay flower numbers, uh, Out of 90 qualifying wide receivers
1008
00:50:59.699 --> 00:51:02.820
with at least 100 routes run, this was going into
1009
00:51:02.840 --> 00:51:04.800
the Monday night game last night, Keon Coleman is first
1010
00:51:04.860 --> 00:51:08.400
in EPA per target at 1.07, and he's first in
1011
00:51:08.460 --> 00:51:11.900
targeted success rate at 70.8. And I know, again, the
1012
00:51:11.920 --> 00:51:14.400
sample size, it skews it a bit because he's 64th
1013
00:51:14.440 --> 00:51:17.590
in targets, 52nd in target share. But just seeing him
1014
00:51:17.610 --> 00:51:19.010
have any type of production like that.
1015
00:51:19.030 --> 00:51:20.650
Well, it's really nice when you're not getting the ball
1016
00:51:20.670 --> 00:51:22.809
a lot for a guy to be locked in. Fair.
1017
00:51:23.809 --> 00:51:27.329
So if he's producing on low volume to me for
1018
00:51:27.349 --> 00:51:30.789
a guy that has been called out, find and challenged
1019
00:51:30.809 --> 00:51:34.730
to be more focused, then I like to see that.
1020
00:51:34.750 --> 00:51:36.280
I like to see that means he's engaged when he
1021
00:51:36.340 --> 00:51:39.840
is getting those opportunities. I'm looking at simple PFF grades here.
1022
00:51:40.219 --> 00:51:42.159
I'm looking, I was like, Oh, in 2025, they had
1023
00:51:42.199 --> 00:51:43.739
him with a nice run blocking grade. It looks like
1024
00:51:43.760 --> 00:51:48.019
he had a 91 against the jets in week 18 on,
1025
00:51:48.139 --> 00:51:51.280
on his highest snap count of the season after the
1026
00:51:51.590 --> 00:51:54.789
week one Ravens game, actually. And then, the following week
1027
00:51:54.809 --> 00:51:56.329
in the wild card, he had his lowest of the season,
1028
00:51:56.349 --> 00:51:58.179
which was a 33 PFF, you know, with a grain
1029
00:51:58.199 --> 00:52:01.519
of salt on their subjective grading. But, you know, I
1030
00:52:01.539 --> 00:52:03.880
like their stock blocking grades. It's not that too hard
1031
00:52:03.900 --> 00:52:05.739
to figure out. That's a pretty simple part of football.
1032
00:52:06.079 --> 00:52:07.969
So it seems like he got pretty, pretty up with it.
1033
00:52:08.000 --> 00:52:09.739
Week 18.
1034
00:52:09.739 --> 00:52:10.039
Yeah.
1035
00:52:10.099 --> 00:52:12.079
Not seeing a ton of those little PFF poppers. And
1036
00:52:12.099 --> 00:52:14.340
I was a little, a little disappointed to see he's
1037
00:52:14.400 --> 00:52:17.769
not turning into somewhat of a centerpiece in the perimeter,
1038
00:52:18.610 --> 00:52:20.449
whether it's a blocker on screens for maybe a little
1039
00:52:20.469 --> 00:52:24.599
Shakir or, on maybe some, you know, insert blocks and
1040
00:52:24.619 --> 00:52:26.179
things like that. Cause I think those are things that
1041
00:52:26.219 --> 00:52:28.909
he has the physical capability to do, which make him
1042
00:52:28.929 --> 00:52:31.690
a very valuable and unique piece. You mentioned Matt Collins.
1043
00:52:31.710 --> 00:52:33.690
It's something you like Matt Collins to do. And again,
1044
00:52:34.030 --> 00:52:38.090
he's guys 23 years old, still very young overall. And, um, that's,
1045
00:52:38.110 --> 00:52:39.869
that's stuff that takes some experience to get really good
1046
00:52:39.889 --> 00:52:42.349
at typically. So I'd like to see him get after
1047
00:52:42.369 --> 00:52:44.690
a little more. That's my, my key on Coleman fixation
1048
00:52:44.750 --> 00:52:45.469
for the evening.
1049
00:52:45.929 --> 00:52:50.889
I think that's fair. I think that's fair. Um, I agree.
1050
00:52:52.949 --> 00:52:58.710
I do my next point. I am. I'm just going
1051
00:52:58.730 --> 00:53:00.010
to go in order with how I am listed here.
1052
00:53:00.030 --> 00:53:01.929
I don't think I have many particular, or I say
1053
00:53:01.949 --> 00:53:03.440
that every time it's always a cop out. So I
1054
00:53:03.480 --> 00:53:06.199
don't have to commit myself to one. Um, this one's
1055
00:53:06.219 --> 00:53:08.760
pretty straightforward. I'm not going to get into all the
1056
00:53:08.780 --> 00:53:11.719
stats and the metrics. I did that heading into the
1057
00:53:11.760 --> 00:53:16.920
Raiders game two weeks ago. My second point here, I
1058
00:53:16.960 --> 00:53:21.369
titled it Jim Leonard versus himself. Uh, Essentially, to kind
1059
00:53:21.429 --> 00:53:23.489
of boil it down as much as possible, what's been
1060
00:53:23.530 --> 00:53:28.119
happening for the Bills defense this year is, you know,
1061
00:53:28.159 --> 00:53:32.260
we talked about miscommunication, you know, things not being simplified enough,
1062
00:53:33.260 --> 00:53:35.380
you know, from Jim Leonard. But Jim Leonard also speaking
1063
00:53:35.440 --> 00:53:37.920
about it and saying, like, you know, guys are blowing
1064
00:53:37.960 --> 00:53:41.409
assignments that don't really have to do with anything being complicated.
1065
00:53:41.510 --> 00:53:44.150
So how do I simplify things further? Things have been
1066
00:53:44.190 --> 00:53:47.349
very messy. You got guys looking lost out there in
1067
00:53:47.369 --> 00:53:49.590
assignments that, you know, yeah, it might be new to them,
1068
00:53:49.630 --> 00:53:53.070
but you still shouldn't be that lost as a football player.
1069
00:53:53.179 --> 00:53:56.480
Things have been ugly. The crux of all of it is,
1070
00:53:58.000 --> 00:54:03.599
in my estimation, the Jim Leonard defense this year does
1071
00:54:03.679 --> 00:54:07.079
not have the traditional body types or positional archetypes that
1072
00:54:07.119 --> 00:54:09.340
Leonard is accustomed to, even from his time at Wisconsin.
1073
00:54:10.280 --> 00:54:12.019
And so then the response is that, well, he's an
1074
00:54:12.059 --> 00:54:14.559
NFL coach. He's got to adjust to the pieces around him.
1075
00:54:14.820 --> 00:54:17.960
And I think he is. It's actually, I feel like
1076
00:54:18.000 --> 00:54:20.960
he's adjusted too much. So instead of trying to do
1077
00:54:21.000 --> 00:54:23.780
a square peg into a round hole, he's got a
1078
00:54:23.820 --> 00:54:26.570
bunch of square pegs and he's trying to make himself
1079
00:54:27.219 --> 00:54:29.789
be the round hole so he can make everything fit.
1080
00:54:30.210 --> 00:54:33.550
And I think he's tried to operate this defense kind
1081
00:54:33.590 --> 00:54:36.349
of with kid gloves. And some of it is out
1082
00:54:36.389 --> 00:54:39.489
of necessity. Guys aren't executing basic stuff. So how can
1083
00:54:39.530 --> 00:54:42.159
he get into his bag and get more creative. Some
1084
00:54:42.179 --> 00:54:44.610
of the creative stuff he is throwing, they're doing some
1085
00:54:44.699 --> 00:54:47.230
like non-traditional Tampa stuff a couple of weeks ago. And
1086
00:54:47.909 --> 00:54:50.409
Cole Bishop is the cloud player. And he, he just
1087
00:54:50.570 --> 00:54:52.829
has no feel for anybody coming in around him. And that's,
1088
00:54:53.010 --> 00:54:55.409
you know, coverage is blown guys get open that way.
1089
00:54:57.650 --> 00:55:00.750
So I titled this Jim Leonard against himself because you're just,
1090
00:55:01.329 --> 00:55:02.389
and I said this a couple of weeks ago in
1091
00:55:02.409 --> 00:55:04.659
an episode that I spoke like for an hour and
1092
00:55:04.679 --> 00:55:06.900
a half on this in, in much more detail. I
1093
00:55:06.920 --> 00:55:08.440
hate to do that for people and be like, Why
1094
00:55:08.460 --> 00:55:09.929
can't you just say it now? Why do you got
1095
00:55:09.949 --> 00:55:13.130
to plug something else? But I talked a lot about it. Essentially,
1096
00:55:14.110 --> 00:55:15.909
this defense has not looked or felt like a Jim
1097
00:55:15.929 --> 00:55:18.030
Leonard defense. We're not seeing the aggression. We're not seeing
1098
00:55:18.050 --> 00:55:21.289
the creativity. The only thing that we're seeing is movement
1099
00:55:21.489 --> 00:55:23.789
up front. They are second in the league in stunt
1100
00:55:23.869 --> 00:55:27.570
rate at 24%. Fun fact, the Ravens are fourth at 22.8%.
1101
00:55:27.570 --> 00:55:31.380
They've both been consistently top five in stunt rate all year.
1102
00:55:31.719 --> 00:55:35.000
But we're not seeing a ton of simulated pressures. All
1103
00:55:35.019 --> 00:55:37.119
the hallmarks and the calling cards of a Jim Leonard
1104
00:55:37.139 --> 00:55:40.590
defense the simulated pressures, the creative stuff on third down,
1105
00:55:40.889 --> 00:55:44.730
the man coverage stuff, the sound communication and match coverages,
1106
00:55:45.150 --> 00:55:49.349
press and being aggressive and dictating to an offense and
1107
00:55:49.429 --> 00:55:51.639
not being a counter puncher. We are seeing literally the
1108
00:55:51.699 --> 00:55:56.039
antithesis of all of those things thus far under Jim Leonard.
1109
00:55:56.639 --> 00:55:58.119
And we started to see a little bit of change
1110
00:55:58.659 --> 00:56:01.920
in that against the Raiders, a little bit of a
1111
00:56:01.980 --> 00:56:05.349
coverage structure change going into that Raiders game. They were
1112
00:56:05.409 --> 00:56:10.550
pretty much just a, Cover three and a quarters defense
1113
00:56:10.610 --> 00:56:14.050
heading into that Raiders game. They were at a 36.4%
1114
00:56:14.050 --> 00:56:19.010
rate of cover three and a 22.4% rate of quarters.
1115
00:56:19.090 --> 00:56:21.489
It was essentially that like, those are your buckets. You
1116
00:56:21.510 --> 00:56:24.050
were either going to get cover three or quarters versus
1117
00:56:24.090 --> 00:56:27.980
the Raiders in week six. Again, their last game before
1118
00:56:28.000 --> 00:56:30.400
they went into the buy, we saw more coverage diversity
1119
00:56:30.800 --> 00:56:34.659
and more man coverage, 28.8% cover three, 25.8% cover one, 13.6%
1120
00:56:37.929 --> 00:56:44.139
cover six, 10.6% quarters and 6.1% two man. And then
1121
00:56:44.199 --> 00:56:49.699
on third down 53.8% cover one rate weeks one through five,
1122
00:56:49.739 --> 00:56:53.340
they had a 12.3% cover one rate and their predominant
1123
00:56:53.360 --> 00:56:56.739
coverages on third downs weeks one through five were again,
1124
00:56:56.780 --> 00:57:00.300
cover three and quarters at the top. They started to
1125
00:57:00.360 --> 00:57:01.760
change a little bit. We started to see a little
1126
00:57:01.780 --> 00:57:04.250
bit of more of the Jim Leonard stuff against the Raiders.
1127
00:57:04.309 --> 00:57:06.769
My thought was, Show a little bit of that against
1128
00:57:06.809 --> 00:57:08.590
the team that you should be able to show that against.
1129
00:57:08.650 --> 00:57:12.500
No disrespect to the Raiders. Go into the buy, retool, reassess,
1130
00:57:12.860 --> 00:57:18.940
come out. Operating this safe way or safer has not
1131
00:57:18.980 --> 00:57:23.639
worked for you. So screw it. Let's blitz. Let's play press.
1132
00:57:23.880 --> 00:57:26.780
Let's go creative. Let's at least die fast instead of
1133
00:57:26.840 --> 00:57:29.380
die slow. Yes, in theory, it could get worse. You
1134
00:57:29.420 --> 00:57:32.079
could give up 40 points a game instead of 30
1135
00:57:32.079 --> 00:57:35.550
to 35. So things could always get worse. But they
1136
00:57:35.590 --> 00:57:38.110
are giving up a ton of plays a game, a
1137
00:57:38.139 --> 00:57:41.820
ton of drives per game, a ton of points. When
1138
00:57:41.840 --> 00:57:45.480
you get into the drive stats of where they are
1139
00:57:45.539 --> 00:57:53.659
in terms of score percentage and touchdown percentage defensively, it's ugly.
1140
00:57:54.679 --> 00:57:58.599
And I'm pulling it up right now. Plays per drive,
1141
00:57:58.940 --> 00:58:02.610
the Buffalo Bills defense is last in the league. given
1142
00:58:02.690 --> 00:58:06.780
up averaging seven plays per drive. When it comes to
1143
00:58:06.900 --> 00:58:12.940
score percentage or score rate, they are 31st at 46.8%.
1144
00:58:12.940 --> 00:58:16.099
When it comes to drives ending in a touchdown, they
1145
00:58:16.119 --> 00:58:20.480
are 31st at 33.9%. We literally could just go down
1146
00:58:20.500 --> 00:58:23.309
a multitude of stats and they're all not good. And
1147
00:58:23.349 --> 00:58:25.909
so if they're all not good while trying to cater
1148
00:58:25.929 --> 00:58:30.230
to what you have, screw it a little bit, get
1149
00:58:30.289 --> 00:58:32.860
back to who and what you are, go down swinging
1150
00:58:32.889 --> 00:58:35.079
a bit more, change it up a little bit. And
1151
00:58:35.139 --> 00:58:38.960
so Jim Leonard versus himself, because I think he's trying
1152
00:58:38.980 --> 00:58:42.860
to adapt so hard to the players that he's handcuffed himself.
1153
00:58:43.239 --> 00:58:45.199
I think it's also kind of handcuffing the players. It's
1154
00:58:45.260 --> 00:58:48.659
turned into one big mess. So that's my second point.
1155
00:58:48.800 --> 00:58:51.400
And I had, I had this game Mark granted. I
1156
00:58:51.420 --> 00:58:52.699
thought it was going to be Lamar. We'll see what
1157
00:58:52.719 --> 00:58:55.639
happens with Huntley, but I had it marked against an
1158
00:58:55.719 --> 00:58:58.539
offense that went healthy is a buzzsaw and has given
1159
00:58:58.559 --> 00:59:01.110
you problems for years. what can you look like coming
1160
00:59:01.130 --> 00:59:02.739
out of the buy? Cause the bills get the Ravens
1161
00:59:02.780 --> 00:59:05.380
and then it's the jets, the dolphins, the Vikings, and
1162
00:59:05.400 --> 00:59:08.110
then you play the chiefs. You have an opportunity to
1163
00:59:08.150 --> 00:59:10.199
kind of course, correct and change the narrative for this
1164
00:59:10.239 --> 00:59:12.920
season a little bit. So, yeah, I think it's Jim
1165
00:59:12.940 --> 00:59:15.519
Leonard versus himself figuring out what he can do, what
1166
00:59:15.559 --> 00:59:17.699
he can't do, and how he wants to go down
1167
00:59:17.760 --> 00:59:22.039
swinging and how that could maybe potentially elevate the players
1168
00:59:22.139 --> 00:59:24.579
and move this defense in a new direction that is
1169
00:59:24.619 --> 00:59:27.059
more in line with who and what he's been over
1170
00:59:27.119 --> 00:59:27.719
previous seasons.
1171
00:59:28.739 --> 00:59:31.460
Yeah, I really don't love Cole Bishop in his defense.
1172
00:59:32.519 --> 00:59:36.219
I don't think he's– I look at Malachi Starks as
1173
00:59:36.260 --> 00:59:38.920
a player that Ravens drafted slightly higher. Bishop, what, a
1174
00:59:38.940 --> 00:59:39.619
second-round pick?
1175
00:59:40.440 --> 00:59:42.219
Yeah, towards the end of the second there.
1176
00:59:42.409 --> 00:59:45.510
Yeah, for safety still, you know, that's a high-pick safety
1177
00:59:45.530 --> 00:59:48.869
in my eyes. So I think, you know, looking kind
1178
00:59:48.909 --> 00:59:53.010
of safeties, linebackers, and then looking at– to me, the
1179
00:59:53.110 --> 00:59:55.110
Vikings are just the most interesting defense in the NFL
1180
00:59:55.150 --> 00:59:58.719
by far. They have Harrison Smith talking about how, who
1181
00:59:58.780 --> 01:00:01.260
was it that decided four is the number you rush?
1182
01:00:02.199 --> 01:00:05.059
And that's the question the Vikings have been asking themselves.
1183
01:00:05.139 --> 01:00:08.079
And Vikings brought in Charlie Fry. I would recommend reading
1184
01:00:08.099 --> 01:00:09.420
the article about Charlie Fry.
1185
01:00:09.780 --> 01:00:10.980
Oh, it was so good.
1186
01:00:11.579 --> 01:00:15.099
Yes. Highly recommend going in and checking that out. So
1187
01:00:15.780 --> 01:00:17.880
when there's that kind of stuff going on, there's what
1188
01:00:17.920 --> 01:00:22.050
Mike McDonald Seahawks are doing. There's what is happening. Steve
1189
01:00:22.070 --> 01:00:23.719
Spagnuolo has been doing a few years. And then I
1190
01:00:23.750 --> 01:00:26.199
look at Minter and I look at, I look at
1191
01:00:26.300 --> 01:00:28.269
Jim Leonard here and it's like, all right, they rushed four.
1192
01:00:28.329 --> 01:00:30.710
Sometimes they rush five, you know, 20% of the time,
1193
01:00:30.769 --> 01:00:32.849
one or five times it's passed down. It's probably 40%
1194
01:00:32.849 --> 01:00:36.150
if I had to guess on, you know, third and
1195
01:00:36.409 --> 01:00:39.250
six or more. So it just feels like it's not
1196
01:00:39.269 --> 01:00:42.889
hard to figure out what the front's doing, which if
1197
01:00:42.909 --> 01:00:44.690
you're not having to worry about the front as much,
1198
01:00:45.090 --> 01:00:48.219
there's not as many guys walked up today with, with
1199
01:00:48.480 --> 01:00:51.199
what sim pressure is and how many guys are getting
1200
01:00:51.239 --> 01:00:54.309
put in the box. Everybody's looking at Flores and, and,
1201
01:00:54.699 --> 01:00:58.610
preparing for those types of mugged up looks and umbrella
1202
01:00:58.639 --> 01:01:01.369
looks where you can, you know, dictate how the offensive
1203
01:01:01.489 --> 01:01:04.070
pass protection slides one way or the other. I'm just
1204
01:01:04.110 --> 01:01:07.469
not seeing that being forced for either of these defenses really.
1205
01:01:07.550 --> 01:01:10.630
So I think that is a part of the equation.
1206
01:01:10.650 --> 01:01:13.949
That's not leading to four quarters of a quarterback having
1207
01:01:13.969 --> 01:01:16.130
to do algorithms and math in their head. And then
1208
01:01:16.170 --> 01:01:19.900
the offensive coordinator as well. And just putting more stress
1209
01:01:19.940 --> 01:01:22.219
pre-snap is not something I see out of this Bill's
1210
01:01:22.239 --> 01:01:25.599
defense a ton right now. And yeah, It's a little
1211
01:01:25.639 --> 01:01:31.469
bit static and makes the math. Football is very simple math.
1212
01:01:31.489 --> 01:01:32.710
You don't need to, you know, you don't even need
1213
01:01:32.730 --> 01:01:34.389
to be good at algebra to do it, but there's
1214
01:01:34.409 --> 01:01:36.949
a little bit of math. Like I've got, all right,
1215
01:01:36.989 --> 01:01:38.289
I want to run the ball to the right and
1216
01:01:38.309 --> 01:01:40.349
they're overloading that side. I don't have numbers over there.
1217
01:01:40.389 --> 01:01:43.110
Let me run the ball weak side. You know, those
1218
01:01:43.150 --> 01:01:45.349
are basic things. And I think when you're just not
1219
01:01:45.429 --> 01:01:48.130
asking an offensive line and a quarterback to sort and
1220
01:01:48.170 --> 01:01:50.860
think of multiple possibilities and have to read and wait
1221
01:01:50.929 --> 01:01:53.059
and see as much, they can play fast when you
1222
01:01:53.079 --> 01:01:55.980
can play fast, you play well. So, I think, yeah,
1223
01:01:56.019 --> 01:01:58.739
I think both of these defenses need to figure out
1224
01:01:58.780 --> 01:02:01.519
ways to make the opposing quarterback, whether it's Huntley or
1225
01:02:01.559 --> 01:02:03.619
Lamar for the Bills, whether it's Josh, well, it'll be
1226
01:02:03.639 --> 01:02:06.260
Josh Allen for the Bills, you know, do a little
1227
01:02:06.280 --> 01:02:09.780
bit more math up front faster and hold the ball,
1228
01:02:09.820 --> 01:02:12.099
have to try and find fast answers and then being
1229
01:02:12.139 --> 01:02:14.380
able to bait them into some throws, bait them into
1230
01:02:14.400 --> 01:02:17.000
some decisions they have to make to either take a
1231
01:02:17.019 --> 01:02:19.440
loss or put the ball in danger. And I just
1232
01:02:19.460 --> 01:02:21.610
don't think either of these defenses are doing enough. The Ravens,
1233
01:02:22.550 --> 01:02:26.710
Not forcing a high rate, for example, of tight contested
1234
01:02:26.809 --> 01:02:30.690
throats overall. I think they've gotten their hands on 23 passes.
1235
01:02:31.190 --> 01:02:32.869
The Steelers have gotten their hands. They lead the NFL
1236
01:02:32.909 --> 01:02:36.590
with 46. So I have to look. I'm looking at
1237
01:02:36.650 --> 01:02:39.699
summer sports for that one. Let me see here. We've
1238
01:02:39.800 --> 01:02:45.780
got missed tackles, all this good stuff. Where's my– where
1239
01:02:45.920 --> 01:02:48.760
is it? Contested target percentage. The bill is actually forcing 19%,
1240
01:02:48.760 --> 01:02:53.480
which leads the NFL– uh contested targets according to summer
1241
01:02:53.519 --> 01:02:57.960
sports and past breakups they do have 35 which is
1242
01:02:58.000 --> 01:02:59.659
the eighth most so they're getting their paws in some
1243
01:02:59.679 --> 01:03:03.099
balls uh looks like maybe deceive my subjective eyes they're
1244
01:03:03.159 --> 01:03:05.659
the ravens 27th they have 23 and they are forcing
1245
01:03:05.719 --> 01:03:10.409
a contested target on 11.6 so almost half of what
1246
01:03:10.429 --> 01:03:12.690
the bills have so forcing some contested throws there but
1247
01:03:13.510 --> 01:03:18.940
um man it's uh Good point for sure. And if
1248
01:03:19.000 --> 01:03:23.159
it's Lamar, he does that simple math pretty good to
1249
01:03:23.179 --> 01:03:26.800
figure out. It's something he processes well. So I think
1250
01:03:26.860 --> 01:03:28.539
if it's Lamar, you get a little bit of help there.
1251
01:03:28.579 --> 01:03:31.480
The issue with Tyler Huntley overall, we haven't talked about
1252
01:03:31.500 --> 01:03:33.300
him much. If it is him, he really isn't an
1253
01:03:33.400 --> 01:03:34.840
accurate deep thrower. He has a little bit of an
1254
01:03:34.880 --> 01:03:39.989
atypical throwing motion. I think he started maybe eight games
1255
01:03:40.030 --> 01:03:41.909
in this time, and he didn't complete a pass over
1256
01:03:41.909 --> 01:03:45.889
25 air yards from 2023 until I think it was
1257
01:03:45.909 --> 01:03:49.650
seven starts later. Um, so a long stretch of not
1258
01:03:49.690 --> 01:03:52.030
being able to push the ball. And again, it's, it's
1259
01:03:52.090 --> 01:03:54.849
math problems. It's space problems. It's geometry problems. When you
1260
01:03:54.869 --> 01:03:57.489
feel like you're not getting threatened over top and put
1261
01:03:57.510 --> 01:03:59.510
more in the box and cause more math problems for
1262
01:03:59.530 --> 01:04:02.409
the run game for, uh, for your, your opposing offense.
1263
01:04:02.429 --> 01:04:05.309
So math, math, math, Jim Leonard, if I'm Jim Leonard,
1264
01:04:05.869 --> 01:04:08.969
I want to make this Ravens offensive line have to sort.
1265
01:04:09.139 --> 01:04:10.760
I want to do that by walking some guys up,
1266
01:04:11.239 --> 01:04:13.219
even if they're just dropping out, make slides go a
1267
01:04:13.239 --> 01:04:17.119
certain way and then stunt off of it. So, um, yeah,
1268
01:04:17.239 --> 01:04:20.219
I mean, we haven't seen a rule change in the
1269
01:04:20.239 --> 01:04:23.260
sport in a while. We haven't really seen any schematic
1270
01:04:23.880 --> 01:04:28.050
innovation trickle up from the lower levels, the youth football world.
1271
01:04:28.090 --> 01:04:31.130
I think the RPO was really the last true innovation
1272
01:04:31.170 --> 01:04:34.789
we saw trickle up and offenses aren't really running RPOs
1273
01:04:34.829 --> 01:04:36.969
a ton anymore. The defenses have solved those out a
1274
01:04:36.989 --> 01:04:39.690
little bit with having some lighter bodies, the way that
1275
01:04:39.730 --> 01:04:43.460
they use their safeties and some different calls. So, um,
1276
01:04:43.619 --> 01:04:47.500
to me it's, it's, you know, solving these math problems, um,
1277
01:04:47.929 --> 01:04:49.690
the more complex the defense makes it when there's not
1278
01:04:49.730 --> 01:04:51.369
a rule change and they feel like they can start
1279
01:04:51.389 --> 01:04:54.650
to mess with an offense, the harder life gets, especially
1280
01:04:54.670 --> 01:04:57.909
if you're doing it with intention. So yes, man, I
1281
01:04:57.969 --> 01:04:59.849
could be in for a high scoring affair. If Lamar
1282
01:04:59.929 --> 01:05:03.400
is feeling good, I don't think we're surprised there. The
1283
01:05:03.440 --> 01:05:05.519
bill should be rested. If Lamar is rested and able
1284
01:05:05.539 --> 01:05:08.460
to go, I'm not surprised to see this game, you know,
1285
01:05:08.519 --> 01:05:11.380
get into the, the forties pretty easily for the total.
1286
01:05:11.800 --> 01:05:13.300
I don't know what the total is. I haven't looked
1287
01:05:13.360 --> 01:05:16.349
by the guests. It's, Probably a waiting status. I would
1288
01:05:16.369 --> 01:05:18.090
guess it's maybe 47 and a half if I had
1289
01:05:18.110 --> 01:05:18.409
to guess.
1290
01:05:18.469 --> 01:05:22.250
Yeah, I expect to see some points and some fireworks
1291
01:05:22.309 --> 01:05:28.019
in this one. Your third and final point for this
1292
01:05:28.360 --> 01:05:31.400
matchup here in week eight between the Bills and the Ravens.
1293
01:05:31.400 --> 01:05:32.960
54 and a half.
1294
01:05:34.280 --> 01:05:34.559
Yikes.
1295
01:05:35.639 --> 01:05:35.920
Wow.
1296
01:05:36.300 --> 01:05:39.780
Wonder if they know something we don't about Lamar Jackson playing.
1297
01:05:40.500 --> 01:05:42.909
I think they're leaning pretty heavily towards him playing there.
1298
01:05:42.949 --> 01:05:44.349
Three and a half points for it currently.
1299
01:05:45.090 --> 01:05:45.449
Fair enough.
1300
01:05:45.860 --> 01:05:47.590
They usually know, and you can usually see in the spread.
1301
01:05:47.650 --> 01:05:49.849
Last week, they did not, though. Big jump. It was
1302
01:05:49.909 --> 01:05:51.690
Ravens minus three and a half, and it flipped to
1303
01:05:51.750 --> 01:05:54.469
Bengals minus three and a half to start. So we
1304
01:05:54.489 --> 01:05:57.769
shall see in that regard. However, my final point here,
1305
01:05:59.929 --> 01:06:02.650
I've watched a little bit of the Bills' special team snaps.
1306
01:06:02.710 --> 01:06:04.590
Correct me if I'm wrong. I just feel like neither
1307
01:06:04.639 --> 01:06:08.059
of these teams, Bass is a nice, consistent kicker, relatively speaking.
1308
01:06:09.019 --> 01:06:11.760
Now, he has been this year, as he's had the yips.
1309
01:06:12.260 --> 01:06:16.219
He's been a big the subject of conversation for a
1310
01:06:16.260 --> 01:06:17.929
lot of bills fans, but he has been good this year.
1311
01:06:17.989 --> 01:06:18.820
Fingers crossed. No jinx.
1312
01:06:18.860 --> 01:06:20.309
Kickers should not be a part of the sport. There
1313
01:06:20.329 --> 01:06:23.949
should be no kicking. Kickers should make $ 50 million. Uh,
1314
01:06:24.130 --> 01:06:26.250
I had Justin Tucker for a long time until he
1315
01:06:26.289 --> 01:06:30.750
did some nefarious activities throughout the greater Baltimore area. But, uh,
1316
01:06:30.769 --> 01:06:32.789
why are kickers not paid $ 50 million a year? They
1317
01:06:32.809 --> 01:06:35.570
determine every other game. Like it's, it's crazy to me.
1318
01:06:35.610 --> 01:06:38.170
Like it's the stupidest part of the sport. It would
1319
01:06:38.190 --> 01:06:41.570
be like, all right, let's go. Uh, let's go play
1320
01:06:41.610 --> 01:06:43.860
a baseball game. And if the game's tied at the end,
1321
01:06:43.880 --> 01:06:45.880
we're going to have the bullpen catchers do a hot
1322
01:06:45.900 --> 01:06:49.579
dog eating contest. Like it is just so outside of
1323
01:06:49.599 --> 01:06:52.179
the rest of the skillset of the guys who make
1324
01:06:52.219 --> 01:06:54.780
all the money and do all the things. Oh, NBA
1325
01:06:54.800 --> 01:06:57.329
games close. All right. We're going to see who can
1326
01:06:57.829 --> 01:07:03.010
ride horses and do a quarter mile. You know, we'll
1327
01:07:03.030 --> 01:07:04.909
get our point guards on to go jockey. It just
1328
01:07:04.929 --> 01:07:08.110
doesn't make any sense to me. So I'm not seeing
1329
01:07:08.150 --> 01:07:11.710
any crazy impact out of the return game. from the bills.
1330
01:07:12.409 --> 01:07:14.630
Have they been, have they been doing anything nice this season?
1331
01:07:14.909 --> 01:07:17.710
Ray Davis is, is effective all pro returner last year.
1332
01:07:17.789 --> 01:07:19.699
He's had a couple this year. Greg Dorch gives him
1333
01:07:19.719 --> 01:07:20.500
some juice in the punt.
1334
01:07:20.840 --> 01:07:23.320
Yeah. Okay. Maybe a little better then, but for me,
1335
01:07:23.420 --> 01:07:26.599
can the Ravens do something on special teams? They, their
1336
01:07:26.619 --> 01:07:32.489
kicker is fine. He misses some, he's very bad from
1337
01:07:32.489 --> 01:07:35.349
40 to 49 for whatever reason. I'm not a kicking specialist.
1338
01:07:36.190 --> 01:07:38.829
He's very good from 50 plus. He's very good from
1339
01:07:38.869 --> 01:07:42.420
inside 40. Their punter has not been great. They have
1340
01:07:42.760 --> 01:07:45.900
really not had a ton of juice in the last week. One,
1341
01:07:45.920 --> 01:07:51.480
they had a big return. Chris Moore had one return.
1342
01:07:52.000 --> 01:07:54.719
They've had a couple. And then, yeah, Bills had the
1343
01:07:55.000 --> 01:07:58.829
first– the opening kick against the Rams. Ray Davis took
1344
01:07:58.869 --> 01:08:00.489
it down to like the Rams, like 30. And then
1345
01:08:00.530 --> 01:08:02.829
the Bills got like three plays of negative yards and
1346
01:08:02.849 --> 01:08:03.550
had to kick a field goal.
1347
01:08:03.869 --> 01:08:07.820
Yep. So, to me, it's like what– Let's see some
1348
01:08:07.840 --> 01:08:09.579
juice on special teams. I want to see if there's
1349
01:08:09.599 --> 01:08:13.019
some funk. For the Ravens, if it's Huntley, you've got
1350
01:08:13.039 --> 01:08:15.239
to figure out how to increase your margins here. I
1351
01:08:15.260 --> 01:08:17.920
think it's being more aggressive on special teams. I think
1352
01:08:17.939 --> 01:08:20.239
it's being more aggressive on fourth down maybe than they've been.
1353
01:08:20.819 --> 01:08:24.260
The Ravens have been unbelievably bad in short yardage run situations.
1354
01:08:24.760 --> 01:08:27.920
They have a sub-50% success rate from third and fourth
1355
01:08:27.979 --> 01:08:31.819
and short in those power situations. And the Bills can
1356
01:08:32.140 --> 01:08:36.020
tush-push really well. So... The Ravens need to figure out
1357
01:08:36.060 --> 01:08:39.640
ways to give themselves a better margin if it's Tyler Huntley.
1358
01:08:40.100 --> 01:08:42.979
And if it's Lamar Jackson, nonetheless, the Bills can put
1359
01:08:43.020 --> 01:08:46.960
up points. So to me, it's being aggressive on special teams.
1360
01:08:47.020 --> 01:08:49.649
To me, it's being aggressive on fourth down. It's being
1361
01:08:49.689 --> 01:08:52.529
aggressive with the directional punting that you want to use
1362
01:08:52.590 --> 01:08:55.970
and how you want to evoke some potential return situations
1363
01:08:56.010 --> 01:08:58.270
and see. Ravens have a player, Keandre Jackson, one of
1364
01:08:58.300 --> 01:09:00.899
my favorite players. I'll say he's one of my favorite Ravens,
1365
01:09:00.939 --> 01:09:03.979
really of all time, getting there pretty quickly. I call
1366
01:09:04.000 --> 01:09:07.180
him the Hellcat. He wears a Guardian cap, and for
1367
01:09:07.220 --> 01:09:09.180
good reason. He is using that thing as a weapon.
1368
01:09:09.239 --> 01:09:11.460
He has been a monster. He's blocked a kick. He
1369
01:09:11.520 --> 01:09:13.760
has a bunch of tackles on kick coverage. I want
1370
01:09:13.779 --> 01:09:15.819
to try and see if they can. He's a great gunner.
1371
01:09:15.899 --> 01:09:18.380
He's been playing snaps at safety. One of my favorites.
1372
01:09:18.460 --> 01:09:21.560
I might be getting his jersey. He does something big
1373
01:09:21.579 --> 01:09:22.859
time and I haven't bought a Jersey in a couple
1374
01:09:22.880 --> 01:09:25.510
of years. So Ravens need to figure out how to
1375
01:09:27.250 --> 01:09:29.949
get a spark, whether it's on through, I guess that's
1376
01:09:29.970 --> 01:09:31.890
my point. How can you get a spark? Is it
1377
01:09:32.029 --> 01:09:35.029
through aggression on fourth down? Is it through like we
1378
01:09:35.050 --> 01:09:38.949
just talked about being aggressive with your fronts, defensively mugging,
1379
01:09:39.430 --> 01:09:43.060
changing pressure front, changing, you know, rotation, special teams. Can
1380
01:09:43.079 --> 01:09:45.819
you be aggressive in your, your coverage units? The bills
1381
01:09:45.840 --> 01:09:48.399
are coming off of a buy and to me are
1382
01:09:48.439 --> 01:09:50.760
going to be calculated to me. Maybe they start slow.
1383
01:09:50.779 --> 01:09:52.739
Teams can start slow in the first quarter coming out
1384
01:09:52.760 --> 01:09:55.039
of a bye. They might be a little, oh, my God,
1385
01:09:55.060 --> 01:09:57.840
I woke up in my $ 8, 000, I'm an NFL player
1386
01:09:57.880 --> 01:10:00.300
bed that tells me the CO2 level in the room
1387
01:10:00.319 --> 01:10:03.399
and all that good stuff. Oh, la-di-da-di-da, go down to
1388
01:10:03.420 --> 01:10:04.939
the stadium, got to get punched in the face a
1389
01:10:04.960 --> 01:10:08.020
couple times to get the juices flowing. But for the Ravens,
1390
01:10:08.079 --> 01:10:10.479
I think it's really trying to figure out how can
1391
01:10:10.520 --> 01:10:14.100
you generate a spark, a turnover on special teams, a
1392
01:10:14.220 --> 01:10:18.100
bad situation for the Bills, or convert in some aggressive situations.
1393
01:10:18.149 --> 01:10:21.920
Ravens are hurting pretty bad right now losing two straight
1394
01:10:21.979 --> 01:10:23.800
in the AFC. They have to go to Buffalo, and
1395
01:10:23.819 --> 01:10:25.439
then they have to get the Jags on short rest
1396
01:10:25.489 --> 01:10:28.810
with their quarterback situation in flux. So to me, this
1397
01:10:28.850 --> 01:10:30.510
coaching staff needs to find a way, whether it's on
1398
01:10:30.550 --> 01:10:35.149
special teams or in decision-making, to get an edge. And
1399
01:10:35.590 --> 01:10:36.989
that's kind of my point. I don't think you can
1400
01:10:37.050 --> 01:10:40.029
go toe-to-toe with the Bills in Buffalo right now with
1401
01:10:40.060 --> 01:10:43.060
some of the shuffling the Ravens have done. And just
1402
01:10:43.100 --> 01:10:45.060
expect your players to outplay the Bills coming off of
1403
01:10:45.079 --> 01:10:47.979
a bye week. I think they need to find an edge,
1404
01:10:48.319 --> 01:10:50.689
whether on special teams or through some decision-making.
1405
01:10:51.510 --> 01:10:56.989
Very fair. From a DVOA perspective, Baltimore Ravens are 17th
1406
01:10:57.310 --> 01:11:01.729
in special teams DVOA this year. The Buffalo Bills are second.
1407
01:11:02.390 --> 01:11:03.770
Okay, they're doing it.
1408
01:11:03.810 --> 01:11:05.390
They've been good on kick coverage. They've been good on
1409
01:11:05.449 --> 01:11:09.180
punt coverage. The Vikings are first because, of course, the
1410
01:11:09.220 --> 01:11:11.340
Vikings are just going to be amazing on defense and
1411
01:11:11.359 --> 01:11:14.020
special teams and then score 10 points a game on offense,
1412
01:11:14.119 --> 01:11:16.989
and it won't matter because they're having great special teams,
1413
01:11:17.050 --> 01:11:19.250
and then blitzing at an 85% clip.
1414
01:11:20.489 --> 01:11:23.310
Who decided? Who decided that four is the number to rush?
1415
01:11:23.890 --> 01:11:25.569
I love little things like that because it makes you
1416
01:11:25.609 --> 01:11:30.350
just go like, well, yeah, I mean, I guess. And
1417
01:11:30.430 --> 01:11:33.270
so it's just like, well, yeah. And it's even more
1418
01:11:33.310 --> 01:11:37.340
painful watching Vikings tape because I've liked what Flores has
1419
01:11:37.350 --> 01:11:39.899
done for so many years, even though he is an outlier.
1420
01:11:40.300 --> 01:11:43.439
but watching the bills be so static and so, and
1421
01:11:43.479 --> 01:11:45.359
playing so much on the back foot and then watching
1422
01:11:45.420 --> 01:11:50.819
Flores just heater after heater and then like devastating change-ups
1423
01:11:50.899 --> 01:11:54.350
and curve balls and everything is just front foot, front foot,
1424
01:11:54.430 --> 01:11:57.550
front foot, attack, attack, attack, live by the sword, die
1425
01:11:57.590 --> 01:11:59.970
by the sword. And they're living by it and everybody
1426
01:12:00.029 --> 01:12:02.109
else is dying. It's even more painful like watching the
1427
01:12:02.130 --> 01:12:04.170
bills and then going from there. Uh, but yeah, some,
1428
01:12:04.310 --> 01:12:06.090
some good special teams for the bills kind of middling
1429
01:12:06.390 --> 01:12:09.000
for the Ravens. We'll see, uh, Yeah, we'll see if
1430
01:12:09.119 --> 01:12:11.039
that rears its head. It'll probably jinx the hell out
1431
01:12:11.060 --> 01:12:14.960
of Tyler Bass now. It'll probably miss several kicks. My
1432
01:12:15.020 --> 01:12:21.909
last point, the Buffalo Bills, 46.5% 11 personnel rate, 27.1%
1433
01:12:21.909 --> 01:12:25.220
13 personnel rate. They have the third most plays from
1434
01:12:25.220 --> 01:12:27.279
13 personnel in the NFL this year at 103. And
1435
01:12:27.399 --> 01:12:29.199
then their third highest personnel grouping from a usage rate
1436
01:12:29.239 --> 01:12:41.510
is 12 personnel 21.4%, but they're 24th in plays from
1437
01:12:41.510 --> 01:12:47.600
12 personnel at 72. My third point here is what
1438
01:12:47.840 --> 01:12:52.220
heavy personnel grouping does the Buffalo Bills offense go with?
1439
01:12:52.979 --> 01:12:57.560
They've got some nice metrics in 11 personnel. They are
1440
01:12:57.600 --> 01:13:01.729
a high 13 personnel usage team, 27.1% rate. Like I mentioned,
1441
01:13:01.810 --> 01:13:05.350
third most plays from 13 personnel, but their numbers kind
1442
01:13:05.390 --> 01:13:09.600
of aren't great. In 13, you know, they're 15th in
1443
01:13:09.659 --> 01:13:12.899
EPA per play. They're 19th in success rate out of
1444
01:13:12.899 --> 01:13:17.199
13 personnel. Their pass game, 22nd EPA per pass, 19th
1445
01:13:17.239 --> 01:13:19.909
in passing success rate. Run is still good, 7th in
1446
01:13:19.949 --> 01:13:23.970
EPA per rush, 14th in rushing success rate. But then
1447
01:13:23.989 --> 01:13:26.890
if you go to 12 personnel, Buffalo Bills out of
1448
01:13:26.890 --> 01:13:32.079
12 personnel this year, 2nd in EPA per play, 2nd
1449
01:13:32.279 --> 01:13:37.800
in success rate. Pass game, still a little meh. 11th
1450
01:13:37.840 --> 01:13:40.539
in EPA per pass, 18th in passing success rate. But
1451
01:13:40.579 --> 01:13:44.920
the Bills' run game out of 12 personnel, they are
1452
01:13:45.100 --> 01:13:50.039
first in EPA per rush at positive 0.31. The Falcons
1453
01:13:50.079 --> 01:13:55.279
are second at plus 0.14. So they're more than double
1454
01:13:55.439 --> 01:13:59.090
what the Falcons are at two. Their rushing success rate
1455
01:13:59.130 --> 01:14:02.210
out of 12 personnel, 64.1%. The 49ers are second at 58.3%.
1456
01:14:06.300 --> 01:14:10.260
So the Bills are just mauling and mashing out of
1457
01:14:10.260 --> 01:14:15.399
12 personnel this year. They're also first in yards before
1458
01:14:15.460 --> 01:14:19.930
contact per rush out of 12 personnel this year at 3.36.
1459
01:14:19.930 --> 01:14:24.810
And then they're second in duo rate this year out
1460
01:14:24.989 --> 01:14:29.810
of 12 personnel at 48.6%. So essentially 58% of the time.
1461
01:14:30.229 --> 01:14:32.500
And again, it ties back to something I mentioned earlier
1462
01:14:32.520 --> 01:14:34.600
in terms of what they do. They're going to run
1463
01:14:34.609 --> 01:14:36.800
duo a bunch. They're running duo in mid-zone week. Those
1464
01:14:36.840 --> 01:14:40.159
are their main bread-and-butter run games. It can vary a
1465
01:14:40.199 --> 01:14:42.439
little bit based on the opponent, which one is A,
1466
01:14:42.500 --> 01:14:44.619
which one is B for the week. They'll mix in
1467
01:14:44.699 --> 01:14:48.739
some other stuff, like they'll run dart or tackle wrap
1468
01:14:48.819 --> 01:14:51.720
out of gun. They might put a tight end in
1469
01:14:51.739 --> 01:14:54.720
blast motion and run some counter stuff. But any way
1470
01:14:54.739 --> 01:14:58.159
you slice it, the Buffalo Bills run game out of
1471
01:14:58.159 --> 01:15:05.720
12 personnel is phenomenal. The Ravens run defense this year
1472
01:15:06.060 --> 01:15:10.279
when facing 12 personnel. They're 14th in EPA per rush,
1473
01:15:11.159 --> 01:15:15.250
second in rushing success rate allowed, fourth in yards before
1474
01:15:15.369 --> 01:15:19.029
contact per rush allowed, and then they're 10th in explosive
1475
01:15:19.109 --> 01:15:22.989
run rate allowed at 8%. The Bills also out of
1476
01:15:22.989 --> 01:15:27.909
12 personnel are first in explosive run rate at 19.4%.
1477
01:15:27.909 --> 01:15:29.800
I see this one as kind of a good on,
1478
01:15:29.960 --> 01:15:31.239
not even a kind of, I think this is a
1479
01:15:31.279 --> 01:15:34.430
good on good. the bills 13 personnel has kind of
1480
01:15:34.449 --> 01:15:36.810
been mad this year from a metric standpoint, even though
1481
01:15:36.850 --> 01:15:39.289
they use it at a high clip. I think Kyle
1482
01:15:39.350 --> 01:15:43.729
Hamilton is a great equalizer when it comes to 12 personnel,
1483
01:15:43.789 --> 01:15:46.550
particularly even 13 to a degree, but the fact that
1484
01:15:46.569 --> 01:15:49.069
you can go three safeties and put Hamilton down in
1485
01:15:49.090 --> 01:15:52.029
the box and then play Hawkins in the back, do
1486
01:15:52.050 --> 01:15:54.409
what you want to do with Malachi Starks. They're even
1487
01:15:54.449 --> 01:15:58.869
getting how they were getting cave on Wallace involved against
1488
01:15:59.090 --> 01:16:01.930
the bangles a little bit. You got your boy counter
1489
01:16:01.970 --> 01:16:04.890
Jackson back there. He's getting some snaps of that guardian cap.
1490
01:16:05.189 --> 01:16:07.130
I saw the 33 and the Jackson on the name.
1491
01:16:07.170 --> 01:16:09.430
And I, I still keep thinking Eddie Jackson from what
1492
01:16:09.449 --> 01:16:11.050
he was with the Ravens a couple of years ago,
1493
01:16:11.390 --> 01:16:13.789
even though I know like it's not, um, and their
1494
01:16:13.810 --> 01:16:17.529
body types are completely different, but I think the Ravens
1495
01:16:17.569 --> 01:16:20.840
personnel specifically Hamilton gives them a lot of good fight
1496
01:16:20.880 --> 01:16:24.359
and fire with fire. Hamilton has been a good eraser
1497
01:16:24.640 --> 01:16:26.899
for them, particularly in that Monday night game where they
1498
01:16:26.939 --> 01:16:29.819
just throttled the bills a couple of years ago. Um,
1499
01:16:30.479 --> 01:16:32.899
He's such a problem because of his body type and
1500
01:16:32.920 --> 01:16:35.539
his athleticism and how he plays the game. And I
1501
01:16:35.800 --> 01:16:39.600
think the metrics speak to Hamilton's usage, what he can
1502
01:16:39.640 --> 01:16:42.760
do against 12 personnel. The Ravens do have an equalizer there.
1503
01:16:43.079 --> 01:16:45.899
So do the Bills. Is this a heavy 11 personnel
1504
01:16:45.939 --> 01:16:48.729
day for the Bills? Do they want to stay with
1505
01:16:48.729 --> 01:16:50.350
13 and make the Ravens try and play with base?
1506
01:16:50.369 --> 01:16:52.409
And we're trying to get Simpson and Buchanan on the
1507
01:16:52.449 --> 01:16:56.010
field along with Roquan, and then we'll see how they
1508
01:16:56.029 --> 01:17:00.029
can match up with Kincaid and or maybe Dawson Knox. Um,
1509
01:17:00.270 --> 01:17:02.960
can they match with Jackson Hawes or do we see
1510
01:17:02.979 --> 01:17:05.539
an uptick in 12 this week with how successful they've
1511
01:17:05.560 --> 01:17:07.300
been out of it? Or do you kind of consider
1512
01:17:07.319 --> 01:17:09.739
it a wash because the Ravens handled 12 well, and
1513
01:17:09.779 --> 01:17:14.720
they have a good equalizer, the heavy personnel groupings, condensed formations.
1514
01:17:14.899 --> 01:17:16.699
It's been a huge part of the bill's offense for
1515
01:17:16.729 --> 01:17:19.869
the past several years and match up an opponent kind
1516
01:17:19.930 --> 01:17:23.270
of dictates which one they lean into and how much. Um,
1517
01:17:23.869 --> 01:17:26.130
and so that's a big one for, for me this week,
1518
01:17:26.149 --> 01:17:29.000
which heavy personnel grouping do they lean into? Um, And
1519
01:17:29.039 --> 01:17:31.130
then how do they choose to attack out of it?
1520
01:17:31.159 --> 01:17:34.279
Is it leaning into 13 or 12 to run to pass?
1521
01:17:34.340 --> 01:17:36.930
We mix in the play action. Can we generate explosives
1522
01:17:36.970 --> 01:17:39.649
when going under play with going with play action? So
1523
01:17:39.710 --> 01:17:41.489
on and so forth, all the meta, all the things.
1524
01:17:42.510 --> 01:17:45.189
Yeah, it's interesting. The bills have only run 72 offensive
1525
01:17:45.229 --> 01:17:47.970
plays out of 12, which ranks 24th in the NFL.
1526
01:17:48.430 --> 01:17:51.909
But as you mentioned, they are third in EPA. They
1527
01:17:52.060 --> 01:17:55.000
are second in EPA per play and their rushing success
1528
01:17:55.020 --> 01:17:58.529
has been really devastating out of that. So, Um, definitely a,
1529
01:17:58.659 --> 01:18:01.340
a nice up your sleeve for when you need to
1530
01:18:01.380 --> 01:18:02.880
go get it. It seems like you want to go
1531
01:18:02.899 --> 01:18:04.600
into 12 on some of that mid zone and some
1532
01:18:04.619 --> 01:18:07.979
of that duo, um, seems like, you know, high leverage
1533
01:18:08.020 --> 01:18:11.189
downs in, uh, in some neutral situ neutral downs that
1534
01:18:11.229 --> 01:18:13.369
are high leverage, I would say, you know, ends of
1535
01:18:13.409 --> 01:18:16.609
halves or a third and threes, things like that. Being
1536
01:18:16.630 --> 01:18:18.130
able to go run those two and boot off of
1537
01:18:18.210 --> 01:18:20.470
it is, uh, definitely a big part of it. I'm
1538
01:18:20.510 --> 01:18:22.569
wondering how I would have to refine some of the
1539
01:18:22.609 --> 01:18:24.250
data I'm looking at. I'm wondering how much comes off
1540
01:18:24.289 --> 01:18:28.670
of scrambles, if that's been devastating or boots. um if
1541
01:18:28.729 --> 01:18:33.220
i can quickly refine uh i don't think i can
1542
01:18:33.279 --> 01:18:35.460
but curious about that one curious about what josh allen's
1543
01:18:35.479 --> 01:18:36.020
done there.
1544
01:18:35.880 --> 01:18:38.779
Because are you on are you on sumer yep i
1545
01:18:38.920 --> 01:18:41.810
oh i wish they i'm gonna message sean site i
1546
01:18:41.850 --> 01:18:43.479
want yeah i want to be able to filter out
1547
01:18:43.479 --> 01:18:45.510
for running back carries only i want to know.
1548
01:18:45.529 --> 01:18:47.710
They've got good stuff. I love it. I love their
1549
01:18:47.810 --> 01:18:49.710
UI a lot. They just need a little extra, a little,
1550
01:18:49.729 --> 01:18:50.350
a little bit more.
1551
01:18:50.529 --> 01:18:52.289
They've been a big go-to for me this year. I
1552
01:18:52.329 --> 01:18:55.569
know how they chart. I trust him and Tej and
1553
01:18:55.590 --> 01:18:58.270
their whole data analytics group and how they've taught their mind. Yeah.
1554
01:18:58.300 --> 01:18:59.909
Sumer's been a big resource for me.
1555
01:18:59.939 --> 01:19:03.819
A hundred percent. So yeah, like you said, they, they
1556
01:19:03.859 --> 01:19:05.920
have a good bit of man run percentage. I'm guessing
1557
01:19:05.960 --> 01:19:08.460
that's the duo. If I had to guess, I don't
1558
01:19:08.479 --> 01:19:13.430
think they're running. a ton of power at all whatsoever. So, um, yeah, very,
1559
01:19:13.529 --> 01:19:15.729
very interesting point you make there. Like you said, Hamilton
1560
01:19:16.170 --> 01:19:18.210
big on it. Uh, the Ravens did use a little
1561
01:19:18.250 --> 01:19:23.029
bit more base against the Falcons. Uh, definitely, which is
1562
01:19:23.409 --> 01:19:25.489
mentor does not like to have to do that. He
1563
01:19:25.529 --> 01:19:27.109
likes to stay in his nickel. He likes to have
1564
01:19:27.130 --> 01:19:30.350
Kyle Hamilton there. However, Jalen Hawkins out, you talked about
1565
01:19:30.399 --> 01:19:34.659
Keandre Jackson. So I, uh, I guess my controversial take
1566
01:19:34.699 --> 01:19:36.960
is I like when Kyle Hamilton plays in the post
1567
01:19:37.039 --> 01:19:37.920
and in the deep half.
1568
01:19:38.020 --> 01:19:41.810
Man, It's such a I get it like the length
1569
01:19:41.850 --> 01:19:43.609
and the size and what he is at the box.
1570
01:19:43.689 --> 01:19:46.050
But I also like how that length and size and
1571
01:19:46.069 --> 01:19:49.229
athleticism plays deep. And yeah, playing top down, we can
1572
01:19:49.250 --> 01:19:51.590
get to some cool. Let's make him that top down
1573
01:19:51.630 --> 01:19:55.250
like robber, like slash, you know, quote unquote, pole runner
1574
01:19:55.270 --> 01:19:57.449
and some nontraditional Tampa stuff. Let's let him just play
1575
01:19:57.489 --> 01:20:00.489
as a single high post safety. I echo those sentiments
1576
01:20:00.649 --> 01:20:01.170
very much so.
1577
01:20:02.130 --> 01:20:04.529
Yeah, I think he does it really well, and I
1578
01:20:04.569 --> 01:20:06.170
call him the Millennium Falcon. He just looks like a
1579
01:20:06.189 --> 01:20:10.279
big old spaceship running around out there covering up some space. So,
1580
01:20:10.300 --> 01:20:13.840
you know, Stark's a highly drafted player. Hawkins, they're getting
1581
01:20:13.880 --> 01:20:16.720
comfortable with. But you've got somebody who's like 6'5, the
1582
01:20:16.739 --> 01:20:19.500
83-inch wingspan that knows what he's doing back there. It
1583
01:20:19.600 --> 01:20:22.970
really can reduce the margin for error. Plus, he's physical. Plus,
1584
01:20:23.069 --> 01:20:27.449
he's clean technically. So, yeah, I am curious there for sure.
1585
01:20:27.979 --> 01:20:30.420
Teddy Buchanan coming off of an ACL, you'd mentioned him.
1586
01:20:30.539 --> 01:20:32.239
They're trying to integrate him a good bit. He's had
1587
01:20:32.260 --> 01:20:33.720
a couple of weeks to get a couple of snaps
1588
01:20:33.840 --> 01:20:36.800
in Trenton Simpson playing really well. So yeah, not something
1589
01:20:36.819 --> 01:20:38.979
that's given the Ravens a ton of trouble. Um, they've
1590
01:20:39.010 --> 01:20:40.649
been able to stuff a good bit of runs out
1591
01:20:40.689 --> 01:20:45.470
of 12 personnel with nickel. Um, so certainly, uh, that
1592
01:20:45.590 --> 01:20:48.829
is the, the bill's kind of secret weapon with a
1593
01:20:48.829 --> 01:20:51.729
19 estimated points added there on only 72 snaps. That's
1594
01:20:51.750 --> 01:20:52.949
pretty darn good. And when you go look at the
1595
01:20:52.989 --> 01:20:56.970
run game at 64%, that's, uh, you know, that's Shaq
1596
01:20:57.010 --> 01:20:58.869
being able to go get a bucket down in the post.
1597
01:20:58.930 --> 01:21:01.829
It feels like if you can run at that rate
1598
01:21:01.909 --> 01:21:05.579
out of that personnel with that amount of success, it's
1599
01:21:05.619 --> 01:21:08.020
not something they're doing all the time. Kind of feels like, Hey, we,
1600
01:21:08.079 --> 01:21:09.739
we need a bucket here. Let's see if we can
1601
01:21:09.779 --> 01:21:12.479
get a Tracy McGrady to pull up or, or Steph
1602
01:21:12.500 --> 01:21:13.880
to run around a screen and we're going to go
1603
01:21:13.920 --> 01:21:16.060
get it there. So I think that's something they like
1604
01:21:16.090 --> 01:21:18.649
to rely on. If I had to guess a little
1605
01:21:18.670 --> 01:21:21.029
bit more high leverage situations and not let you get
1606
01:21:21.069 --> 01:21:25.039
comfortable with it. So, um, Yeah, interesting that they've only
1607
01:21:25.079 --> 01:21:28.689
run 72 plays there. The Raiders up at 223, which
1608
01:21:28.729 --> 01:21:30.789
makes sense because they like Mr. Bowers and Mr. Mayer
1609
01:21:30.850 --> 01:21:35.609
there as fixtures in their pass game. So definitely, definitely
1610
01:21:35.630 --> 01:21:38.310
makes a lot of sense. Ravens fifth there, 137. So, yeah,
1611
01:21:38.380 --> 01:21:39.399
heavier personnel.
1612
01:21:40.579 --> 01:21:43.579
Yeah, I mean, to me, like that's– I've talked about
1613
01:21:43.600 --> 01:21:47.520
how there's not a schematic change, and I think the
1614
01:21:48.239 --> 01:21:52.380
Swifties– My grand conspiracy is that Taylor Swift and Travis
1615
01:21:52.399 --> 01:21:56.199
Kelsey are a psy-op to increase youth participation in football.
1616
01:21:57.079 --> 01:22:00.640
And if there was a demographic that didn't have their
1617
01:22:00.659 --> 01:22:05.159
kids putting helmets on, it was probably Swifties. And we're
1618
01:22:05.180 --> 01:22:08.460
going to see the great era of tight ends in
1619
01:22:08.779 --> 01:22:11.729
about 15 years here. And the Swifties are going to
1620
01:22:11.739 --> 01:22:15.590
have a lot of tight ends enter the atmosphere. But, man, Kincaid,
1621
01:22:15.609 --> 01:22:18.810
a player I like a lot. And, yeah, I think–
1622
01:22:19.100 --> 01:22:23.560
a key there to ultimately go get a bucket. If
1623
01:22:23.600 --> 01:22:25.140
you need one, when you need one is going to
1624
01:22:25.159 --> 01:22:27.939
be running that mid zone, running that duo and booting
1625
01:22:28.000 --> 01:22:30.680
off of it. They're going to have to go tackle
1626
01:22:30.699 --> 01:22:32.500
Josh Allen in a key moment in this game, whether
1627
01:22:32.920 --> 01:22:34.939
Bill's run away with it, if it's Huntley and it's
1628
01:22:34.960 --> 01:22:37.350
in the first half or whether it's in the second half.
1629
01:22:37.390 --> 01:22:39.590
So let's watch out for a little boot slide, a
1630
01:22:39.590 --> 01:22:42.470
little something like that, or something funky out of 12
1631
01:22:42.470 --> 01:22:46.039
personnel from the bills to try and Gain the upper hand,
1632
01:22:46.100 --> 01:22:48.699
take the leverage, ice the game, things like that. I
1633
01:22:48.729 --> 01:22:51.829
think that's my best shot at being Nostradamus in this one,
1634
01:22:51.850 --> 01:22:52.189
my friend.
1635
01:22:52.850 --> 01:22:57.149
I think that's fair. I've kept you far too long.
1636
01:22:58.170 --> 01:22:59.850
I'm going to give you the floor. The floor is yours.
1637
01:23:00.409 --> 01:23:03.600
Tell anybody and everybody where they can find you, what
1638
01:23:03.619 --> 01:23:07.439
you do, anything and everything you got. The floor is yours.
1639
01:23:08.670 --> 01:23:11.069
You can find Baltimore Film Breakdown on Substack. I do
1640
01:23:11.090 --> 01:23:14.229
want to ask a question. So this is my additional
1641
01:23:14.289 --> 01:23:17.489
theory here. This is for your listeners. Are you a
1642
01:23:17.520 --> 01:23:20.039
ball knower? Do you know ball? I'm going to ask
1643
01:23:20.060 --> 01:23:23.560
you a question. This is going to go out to
1644
01:23:23.579 --> 01:23:27.180
the chat here. I have a theory that 98% of
1645
01:23:28.140 --> 01:23:32.489
fantasy football playing, NFL Sunday watching gentlemen in this esteemed nation,
1646
01:23:33.260 --> 01:23:36.699
could not go properly onto a peewee football field and
1647
01:23:36.739 --> 01:23:41.260
line up a group of 11 nine-year-olds to legally run
1648
01:23:41.300 --> 01:23:46.380
an offensive play. So if you fancy yourself a ball knower, well,
1649
01:23:46.460 --> 01:23:48.079
the ball has to be snapped. There's got to be
1650
01:23:48.100 --> 01:23:49.899
a center. You got to be set, right? A couple
1651
01:23:49.930 --> 01:23:51.890
of those things, motion. You can have one guy. He
1652
01:23:51.899 --> 01:23:56.310
has to be run backwards. But there's two requirements that
1653
01:23:57.489 --> 01:23:59.649
must be satisfied by an offense in order to be
1654
01:23:59.750 --> 01:24:04.109
legal or lined up correctly and set. If you fancy
1655
01:24:04.130 --> 01:24:07.409
yourself a ball knower, I'm looking for two answers. Both
1656
01:24:07.449 --> 01:24:09.399
of them are a number. Something has to happen around
1657
01:24:09.420 --> 01:24:11.220
the line of scrimmage. So I'm going to give you
1658
01:24:11.260 --> 01:24:13.479
a moment to ask yourself that, whether you're watching that live,
1659
01:24:13.500 --> 01:24:15.479
whether you're watching this after the fact. Don't look it up.
1660
01:24:15.500 --> 01:24:19.510
Don't cheat on yourself. I'll give you a beat. What
1661
01:24:19.529 --> 01:24:24.569
do you need to satisfy? Well, if you're ready for
1662
01:24:24.590 --> 01:24:26.729
the answer, it's got to be seven guys on the
1663
01:24:26.750 --> 01:24:29.720
line of scrimmage. Five of them have to be ineligible.
1664
01:24:30.470 --> 01:24:32.840
They're ineligible because of their jersey number in the NFL,
1665
01:24:32.909 --> 01:24:36.399
different youth football. But those two things. If you don't
1666
01:24:36.439 --> 01:24:38.439
know those two things, come to Baltimore Film Breakdown. We're doing,
1667
01:24:38.460 --> 01:24:42.359
of course, Football for Dummies, Operations. We're doing something that's global.
1668
01:24:42.979 --> 01:24:45.819
Learn about the game. Walter Ford nailed it. Seven players
1669
01:24:45.899 --> 01:24:48.470
on the line. And James doesn't do fantasy. We've got
1670
01:24:48.479 --> 01:24:51.949
some ball knowers here. I think James, I think Aunt P,
1671
01:24:51.989 --> 01:24:53.390
I think you guys could go on a peewee field
1672
01:24:53.409 --> 01:24:55.210
and get guys lined up. That's a ball knower to me.
1673
01:24:56.189 --> 01:24:59.510
You are a ball knower. Your audience seems to be
1674
01:24:59.550 --> 01:25:03.329
some ball knowers. I think you guys have a, a very, very,
1675
01:25:03.390 --> 01:25:06.109
very nice, uh, thing going here at cover one. We
1676
01:25:06.130 --> 01:25:08.829
love it. We, uh, I'll throw a one pie pizza. Go, go,
1677
01:25:08.850 --> 01:25:10.510
go get it. Go get a nice little, go get
1678
01:25:10.529 --> 01:25:12.590
a nice little pie for him. Appreciate you having me on,
1679
01:25:12.649 --> 01:25:15.720
but yeah, Baltimore film breakdown.com. If you want to learn more, Hey,
1680
01:25:15.760 --> 01:25:17.239
how does football work? We're gonna have some fun stuff
1681
01:25:17.279 --> 01:25:19.600
this off season. You can follow me on Twitter at
1682
01:25:19.619 --> 01:25:21.079
Ravens for dummies. If you want to learn a little
1683
01:25:21.100 --> 01:25:23.439
bit more about, Hey, how do you line up? Hey,
1684
01:25:23.739 --> 01:25:25.140
what are some basic things? We're going to have some
1685
01:25:25.180 --> 01:25:27.960
hand guides, some live classes, some things like that, just to,
1686
01:25:28.699 --> 01:25:30.960
Learn about, hey, I watch this thing all the time.
1687
01:25:31.000 --> 01:25:32.699
How do you go get guys lined up? How do
1688
01:25:32.720 --> 01:25:34.880
we line up properly? What are gaps? What does that
1689
01:25:34.939 --> 01:25:36.979
mean when people talk about that? Some very basic things.
1690
01:25:37.000 --> 01:25:38.920
So come join us, BaltimoreFilmBreakdown.com.
1691
01:25:39.500 --> 01:25:41.579
I think that's a great resource. And not to mention
1692
01:25:41.600 --> 01:25:43.479
all the high-level stuff you do. But that's a great point, too. Yeah,
1693
01:25:43.539 --> 01:25:47.819
there's so many. Yeah, find out why. In this particular instance,
1694
01:25:48.989 --> 01:25:51.369
why an offensive lineman is walking up and pointing to
1695
01:25:51.390 --> 01:25:53.430
the ref and doing this to their jersey.
1696
01:25:53.630 --> 01:25:56.109
Why is the receiver asking the ref something, pointing a
1697
01:25:56.130 --> 01:25:57.250
thumbs up? Yep.
1698
01:25:57.500 --> 01:26:00.439
Why is, you know, somebody going in motion and somebody
1699
01:26:00.479 --> 01:26:02.399
stepping up closer to the line and yep, looking at
1700
01:26:02.439 --> 01:26:06.319
the ref and yeah, you can go even further and
1701
01:26:06.359 --> 01:26:10.500
know why everybody thought Jawan Taylor was offsides at right
1702
01:26:10.539 --> 01:26:12.430
tackle every single snap for the chiefs a couple of
1703
01:26:12.439 --> 01:26:14.529
years ago because of where his helmet was lined up
1704
01:26:14.590 --> 01:26:16.510
in relation to the ball.
1705
01:26:16.149 --> 01:26:17.930
And the rest of the line. Found a little advantage there.
1706
01:26:18.569 --> 01:26:20.270
But I think you've got a great, great host here
1707
01:26:20.310 --> 01:26:22.250
in Ant who's going to be able to educate you.
1708
01:26:22.310 --> 01:26:24.060
Ask those kinds of questions, man. When you guys are,
1709
01:26:24.409 --> 01:26:27.060
Consuming all this football, asking questions, some basic stuff. These
1710
01:26:27.079 --> 01:26:28.779
guys love to talk about it, I promise, over at
1711
01:26:28.800 --> 01:26:31.779
Cover One. So learn about the game a little bit more.
1712
01:26:31.800 --> 01:26:34.140
Learn about the foundation. If you can go help out,
1713
01:26:34.180 --> 01:26:36.760
go help youth football. Go help youth football. If you've
1714
01:26:36.779 --> 01:26:38.399
got a couple hours a week, see if you can
1715
01:26:38.439 --> 01:26:41.399
go help out in peewee or flag football. And if
1716
01:26:41.430 --> 01:26:43.029
you love the game, learn about it a little bit.
1717
01:26:43.369 --> 01:26:45.329
Ask these guys questions. Go help out at your local
1718
01:26:45.710 --> 01:26:48.050
rec center. Go help out anywhere you can to keep
1719
01:26:48.069 --> 01:26:49.510
growing the game. Love football, man.
1720
01:26:50.170 --> 01:26:52.829
Yeah, I love football. That was a nice one. Nice sentiment.
1721
01:26:53.279 --> 01:26:54.819
Nice sentiment, and I appreciate the kind words from me.
1722
01:26:54.840 --> 01:26:58.340
I appreciate you taking the time. Enjoy the rest of
1723
01:26:58.359 --> 01:27:02.060
your Tuesday. Godspeed. I will see you around the Twitterverse.
1724
01:27:02.140 --> 01:27:04.229
I will DM you after this to sing your praises
1725
01:27:04.250 --> 01:27:07.350
some more, and thank you again in formal fashion and
1726
01:27:07.409 --> 01:27:09.989
with words. But, yeah, I appreciate you as always. It's
1727
01:27:10.010 --> 01:27:12.550
a nice tradition we've created here. Enjoy your Tuesday. I'll
1728
01:27:12.569 --> 01:27:12.909
see you around.
1729
01:27:13.470 --> 01:27:15.090
Go Ravens. Godspeed.
1730
01:27:15.949 --> 01:27:23.859
Mr. Spencer Schultz on Twitter only, I believe, at Ravens4. Dummies.
1731
01:27:25.989 --> 01:27:31.130
Good guy. Knows his stuff. Elaborates a lot. Don't be uncovered.
1732
01:27:31.229 --> 01:27:34.909
That's fair. That is fair. Yeah. That's a good point, too.
1733
01:27:34.949 --> 01:27:35.750
Those little nuances.
1734
01:27:35.789 --> 01:27:35.930
Yeah.
1735
01:27:35.949 --> 01:27:38.390
How many on the line? Who has to be eligible?
1736
01:27:38.470 --> 01:27:41.869
Who's not? All those little positional aspects of football, I think,
1737
01:27:41.890 --> 01:27:45.430
that are things that can get lost from time to time.
1738
01:27:45.649 --> 01:27:49.380
You know what should not get lost? The website address
1739
01:27:49.439 --> 01:27:53.119
for One Pie Pizza. The phone number. for one pie pizza.
1740
01:27:53.340 --> 01:27:55.840
The reason you shouldn't lose that information is because it
1741
01:27:55.899 --> 01:27:58.899
is the best pizza in Buffalo, New York. I do
1742
01:27:58.960 --> 01:28:01.220
not say that lightly. I do not say that because
1743
01:28:01.239 --> 01:28:03.479
they sponsor the show. They sponsor the show because I
1744
01:28:03.520 --> 01:28:08.859
sincerely believe one pie pizza is the best pizza in Buffalo,
1745
01:28:09.010 --> 01:28:12.289
New York. RJ, I believe is still here watching live
1746
01:28:12.350 --> 01:28:15.029
in the chat. RJ knows firsthand. RJ has come in
1747
01:28:15.050 --> 01:28:18.630
from Rochester multiple times. He's gotten one pie pizza because
1748
01:28:18.750 --> 01:28:21.100
we talk about it on the show. He thought it
1749
01:28:21.119 --> 01:28:24.699
was absolutely phenomenal. RJ is a lot more creative than me.
1750
01:28:24.819 --> 01:28:28.710
I'm a simple man. Appreciate the acknowledgement of my smoothness
1751
01:28:28.729 --> 01:28:31.130
in the chat. Thank you very much. I'm a simple
1752
01:28:31.149 --> 01:28:32.989
man when it comes to pizza, cheese and pepperoni, and
1753
01:28:33.010 --> 01:28:35.130
a cup of blue cheese. I'm good to go. Uh,
1754
01:28:35.260 --> 01:28:37.659
I will get the cover one pizza that they named
1755
01:28:37.739 --> 01:28:40.180
after us at one pie, the cover one, Alan goat,
1756
01:28:40.359 --> 01:28:42.159
you know, got some cover one to it. It's got
1757
01:28:42.180 --> 01:28:44.579
some Josh Allen to it and a whole bunch of deliciousness.
1758
01:28:45.180 --> 01:28:47.939
I am, but I'm a simple guy. RJ likes to do,
1759
01:28:48.800 --> 01:28:51.399
you know, he's putting some honey on stuff. He's getting
1760
01:28:51.460 --> 01:28:53.859
different toppings on it. He's, he's a lot more creative.
1761
01:28:54.119 --> 01:28:56.340
You can get as creative as you want. You can
1762
01:28:56.359 --> 01:28:59.399
keep it simple, whatever you do. You will sincerely not
1763
01:28:59.420 --> 01:29:01.619
be disappointed. Yes, RJ says he's going to try the
1764
01:29:01.659 --> 01:29:05.039
buffalo chicken pizza next. And that is phenomenal. Again, everything
1765
01:29:05.060 --> 01:29:07.579
they do is phenomenal. Even their salads are good. I
1766
01:29:07.619 --> 01:29:10.420
hate salad. It's just leaves. Like, I'm not a rabbit.
1767
01:29:10.500 --> 01:29:12.359
I'm not trying to just eat leaves. But even their
1768
01:29:12.430 --> 01:29:15.930
salads are good. Like, it's just so good. They do
1769
01:29:15.989 --> 01:29:19.449
breakfast pizzas that are phenomenal. We've got Toys for Tots
1770
01:29:19.949 --> 01:29:25.380
coming up. in November with them. Holidays are around the corner.
1771
01:29:25.399 --> 01:29:27.960
You folks know how much I love Christmas as evidenced
1772
01:29:27.979 --> 01:29:29.140
by the fact that I have a Christmas tree up
1773
01:29:29.180 --> 01:29:31.420
all year round and I decorate it with different holiday things.
1774
01:29:31.500 --> 01:29:35.100
But I love the holidays, but I also recognize that
1775
01:29:35.140 --> 01:29:39.470
the holidays are not sometimes the most joyous times for
1776
01:29:39.550 --> 01:29:42.949
some people. So I'm big on donations and gift giving
1777
01:29:42.989 --> 01:29:44.810
in whatever form or fashion you can do. So I
1778
01:29:44.850 --> 01:29:47.350
love that One Pie does a massive, massive Toys for
1779
01:29:47.390 --> 01:29:49.100
Tots drive every year. We have a lot of cool
1780
01:29:49.140 --> 01:29:51.119
things to tie into this year's Toys for Tots in
1781
01:29:51.140 --> 01:29:54.090
terms of Prizes for those of you who bring in toys.
1782
01:29:54.109 --> 01:29:55.810
So I'll be talking about that in the coming weeks
1783
01:29:55.869 --> 01:29:58.680
and coming month. But yeah, get yourself some one-pie pizza.
1784
01:29:58.979 --> 01:30:02.279
They're really good people making really good food. You know,
1785
01:30:02.939 --> 01:30:05.439
get yourself some pizza for the Thursday night football game,
1786
01:30:05.479 --> 01:30:08.199
for the Bills game on Sunday, some Saturday college football stuff,
1787
01:30:08.479 --> 01:30:10.399
or any other day of the week. You will not
1788
01:30:10.619 --> 01:30:14.239
be disappointed. RJ says, it's still my favorite pizza was
1789
01:30:14.279 --> 01:30:17.659
that pepperoni, hot honey, and ricotta drizzle. That is the
1790
01:30:17.720 --> 01:30:20.909
best pizza combo I have ever had. RJ sent me
1791
01:30:20.949 --> 01:30:22.949
a picture when he got it. He tagged me on Twitter.
1792
01:30:23.069 --> 01:30:26.829
It looked absolutely phenomenal. Yeah, you can't go wrong. You
1793
01:30:26.869 --> 01:30:29.170
can get something creative. You can doctor it up however
1794
01:30:29.210 --> 01:30:30.909
you want it. You can order online. You can call
1795
01:30:30.930 --> 01:30:33.850
them on the phone. You can get the regular standard
1796
01:30:33.909 --> 01:30:36.300
pie of any kind or, yeah, kind of create your own.
1797
01:30:36.340 --> 01:30:39.600
And whatever you have them do, they will do it
1798
01:30:39.680 --> 01:30:43.399
with effort and creativity and quality. Just everything they do
1799
01:30:43.479 --> 01:30:45.760
is phenomenal. So get yourself some one pie pizza if
1800
01:30:45.800 --> 01:30:48.569
you have not already ordered. You will not be disappointed.
1801
01:30:48.590 --> 01:30:49.810
I'm going to throw up the banner. This is to
1802
01:30:49.850 --> 01:30:51.729
those folks because we're going to start to wind down
1803
01:30:51.789 --> 01:30:55.149
and say goodbye. I am looking to do a bonus
1804
01:30:55.189 --> 01:30:58.189
episode this week. I did not do an episode last
1805
01:30:58.250 --> 01:31:03.939
week due to scheduling conflicts in life. Not in a
1806
01:31:03.960 --> 01:31:06.340
bad way. Just couldn't get to it. I wanted to
1807
01:31:06.380 --> 01:31:07.819
do something at the back end of last week. I
1808
01:31:07.840 --> 01:31:10.399
did not. So I'm looking to do a bonus episode.
1809
01:31:10.819 --> 01:31:14.680
this week in terms of focusing on what we need
1810
01:31:14.819 --> 01:31:18.729
to and should hope to see from the bills defense
1811
01:31:18.810 --> 01:31:20.930
coming out of the buy. I'm probably going to record
1812
01:31:20.949 --> 01:31:23.630
it offline, a little shorter form, 20 to 30 minutes.
1813
01:31:24.109 --> 01:31:25.310
I always say that. And then I talk too much.
1814
01:31:25.350 --> 01:31:27.489
It ends up being 45 to an hour. I'm looking
1815
01:31:27.510 --> 01:31:29.300
to drop that at the back end of this week.
1816
01:31:31.170 --> 01:31:33.329
Breaking down a lot of tape and film and everything
1817
01:31:33.470 --> 01:31:35.689
on the socials. Find me on Twitter at pro underscore
1818
01:31:35.729 --> 01:31:39.590
underscore ant. Find me on blue sky at pro ant. Questions, thoughts, comments, concerns,
1819
01:31:39.750 --> 01:31:42.899
anything and everything you folks got. Put it into the
1820
01:31:42.939 --> 01:31:46.119
comments here on YouTube. Thank you to everyone who joined
1821
01:31:46.159 --> 01:31:49.380
in live for this episode. If you have not already, please, please,
1822
01:31:49.420 --> 01:31:51.079
please make you drop a like on this video. Likes
1823
01:31:51.140 --> 01:31:54.020
are the lifeblood of these streams. If you're listening on
1824
01:31:54.060 --> 01:31:56.149
one of the podcast apps or platforms, that's cool and
1825
01:31:56.159 --> 01:32:01.039
appreciated too. Please rate, review, and subscribe to disguise coverage
1826
01:32:01.300 --> 01:32:03.180
tell your family friends and loved ones about the show
1827
01:32:03.199 --> 01:32:06.659
and the brand and the channel if you hated this
1828
01:32:06.720 --> 01:32:09.420
episode or you hate me tell your enemies and try
1829
01:32:09.439 --> 01:32:12.199
and make them have their day or night be ruined
1830
01:32:12.239 --> 01:32:15.699
by watching the show yes go sabers they play the
1831
01:32:15.739 --> 01:32:18.800
san jose sharks puck drop probably happened uh right about
1832
01:32:18.840 --> 01:32:20.560
now in the last couple minutes enjoy the rest of
1833
01:32:20.600 --> 01:32:22.600
your week if you're going to the bills game this
1834
01:32:22.640 --> 01:32:26.760
weekend in buffalo enjoy have a good time Happy haunting
1835
01:32:26.939 --> 01:32:31.100
and Halloween for anybody who observes this weekend. If you're
1836
01:32:31.119 --> 01:32:35.430
going to parties, gatherings, whatever, have fun. Stay safe. If
1837
01:32:35.449 --> 01:32:39.930
you're taking loved ones trick-or-treating, have fun. Be kind. Be responsible.
1838
01:32:40.229 --> 01:32:41.930
Whatever you do, I hope you and your family and
1839
01:32:41.949 --> 01:32:44.149
friends and loved ones are all doing well and staying safe.
1840
01:32:44.430 --> 01:32:46.449
Be kind to one another. Take care of one another.
1841
01:32:46.470 --> 01:32:49.359
I will see you when I see you. Godspeed. And
1842
01:32:49.439 --> 01:32:51.039
as always, go Bills.
1
00:00:00.050 --> 00:00:01.010
It's 38 all.
2
00:00:01.209 --> 00:00:03.669
Bills can win it here. Wright puts it down.
3
00:00:03.830 --> 00:00:05.940
The kick is on the way and it is good.
4
00:00:06.240 --> 00:00:08.820
And the Bills have won it.
5
00:00:08.880 --> 00:00:13.460
The Bills have won it. The Bills have won it.
6
00:00:13.589 --> 00:00:16.550
They win it 41 to 38. Incredible.
7
00:00:16.649 --> 00:00:21.850
What a comeback by the Bills. Jacksonville's perfect record on
8
00:00:21.949 --> 00:00:23.160
the line right here.
9
00:00:28.839 --> 00:00:29.179
Looney, keep it.
10
00:00:29.179 --> 00:00:53.600
Left side, touchdown. Kyle Williams, touchdown. Amazing. Unbelievable. They put
11
00:00:53.740 --> 00:00:54.439
in Williams.
12
00:00:54.719 --> 00:00:55.640
Has to pull back.
13
00:00:55.700 --> 00:00:58.420
And he scores a touchdown.
14
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The 12th year defensive tackle.
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It's really incredible.
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This place is pandemonium. What's good, folks, family, friends, loved ones, enemies, frenemies, wizards, witches, muggles, muggles,
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00:01:22.969 --> 00:01:25.730
people of Middle Earth to another episode of Disguised Coverage,
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the only podcast that gives you an equal amount of
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blueberries in each muffin presented by the best pizza in Buffalo,
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New York, and that is One Pie Pizza. Find the
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online menu in the episode show notes, whether here on
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YouTube or whichever podcasting app or platform you're listening to
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this show on. I am your host. Anthony Prohaska, find
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me on Twitter at Pro underscore underscore Ant. That's Pro.
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Two underscores, A-N-T. Find me on Blue Sky at Pro Ant.
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No underscores there, just P-R-O-A-N-T. In this edition of Disguised Coverage,
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we will be diving into the Buffalo Bills versus Baltimore
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Ravens Week 8 matchup, a preview, breakdown, scheme, structure, player aspects,
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coaching aspects, anything and everything that you need to know
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to prepare you for this game that has essentially kind
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of become a yearly tradition. At this point, the bills
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and Ravens continuously find themselves playing each other, either in
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the regular season and or the playoffs for the past
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several years. And what we started to do this year
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on the show, I pivoted to more film episodes, uh,
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here on disguise coverage, breaking down certain aspects of the
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team or certain sides of the ball players, anything like that,
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but on certain weeks, bigger matchups, uh, or fun matchups
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or ones that feature a team that has somebody who
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covers them that I enjoy talking ball with and that
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I enjoy having on the show. We pivot and we
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do kind of go back to the old format a
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little bit of breaking down the team matchup and what
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to watch for like we have in years past. And
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that is the occasion for this week. I'm not alone
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here in this episode to talk about the Bills versus
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Ravens in Week 8, having on, I don't know how
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many appearances he's made at this point because he's been
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here for several, several, several years. I see him in
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the green screen. I want to make sure he's ready
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before I bring him up. He is joining the stage, Mr.
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Spencer Schultz of Baltimore Film Club. Breakdown lore. You can
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find his work at the Baltimore Film Breakdown. Substack at BaltimoreFilmBreakdown.com.
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I didn't realize you were going for the off-screen jump in.
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I was like, uh-oh, he's got to grab something.
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I was doing a Collinsworth slide in.
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You nailed it. You nailed it. I screwed it up.
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I appreciate you. This is.
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I.
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Was trying to think of it as I was stalling
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and thinking in my head.
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I know. I knew it was going to mess you up.
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You could see me in the green room, and I
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was like, oh, maybe... No, no, not that. I was
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trying to think of what... I think this is maybe...
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Your fourth time here? Yeah, I'd say fourth probably. It's definitely...
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I would guess that the first time was perhaps when
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the Ravens and Bills played in Baltimore. Maybe it was
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at 2022.
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The rain game?
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The rain game, Bills come back. And then definitely playoff game.
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Definitely week one last year. And if I had to guess,
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that's it. This might be the fourth one on cover one.
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Presented by OnePiePizza.com.
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Oh, you nailed it. You nailed it. Doing good work.
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I mean, you've been doing stuff for years, but got
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rolling the sub stack now and garnering good attention, as
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you do. You know football. You know the Ravens team
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inside and out. I appreciate you taking the time to
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join me. We'll dive right into it. I want to
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get your thoughts on a couple things before we get
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into the meat and the crux of the episode here.
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The Baltimore Ravens, in case anybody does not know, new...
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you know, kind of regime in place with a regime
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change in the off season, long time head coach, Mr.
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Harbaugh gone now in New York, Jesse Minter takes over.
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I had Jesse Minter. I like, I think a lot
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of fans did or folks did like on a short,
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short list of potential head coaches. I liked what he
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did with the chargers. I like what he was doing
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schematically kind of who and what he was. I wanted
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to change for the bills, defensive structure and identity. I
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thought he could bring that. A lot of fun stuff
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from Minter with the Chargers last year. A lot of
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fun stuff from him in the preseason. Some fun stuff
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throughout the first several games. Here we are now, you know,
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off of a less than stellar performance, specifically in the
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second half against the Bengals. What are your thoughts here on,
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you know, kind of the early returns on Jesse Minter and,
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you know, him kind of being at the helm, whether it's,
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you know, as a head coach overall or what he's
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meant defensively. Just kind of what are your thoughts on
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him thus far?
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I think I like the demeanor of Jesse Minter very
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much so. That's the one thing I've spoken about on
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my own ramblings that his consistency of personality is really
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refreshing following what became a little bit of a tumultuous.
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This is more like fan stuff, but it became a
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little bit more tumultuous with John Harbaugh getting a little
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bit antsy and ornery and any other A-words towards the
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media and growing a little long in the tooth in Baltimore.
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So Minter has a really... neutral, with a smile demeanor,
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his tone of voice, his cadence, the way he speaks,
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the way he conducts himself, how long his beard is,
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how short his hair is cut, the twinkle in his eye,
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the clothes he wears, all look the same and sound
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the same every single day. He is someone that is
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heavy on teaching. He is a teacher. He is like
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the history teacher that you loved in high school. That
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is what he feels like to me. For someone who's
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the coach of grown men playing a children's game it's
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heavy on teaching it's heavy on technique it's heavy on
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consistency and consistency of personality and i've i've liked that
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aspect of him pertaining to the stuff that matters between
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the white lines we have seen him with some really
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wicked sim pressures we've seen him with some really wicked
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coverage rotations i would say Everybody talks about the Ravens.
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If you're a Bills fan, you gather from the Ravens
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what you might see on the Everything app, in Twitter, X,
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whatever you want to call it. And you see some
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national stuff. You have a couple guys you might like
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that you follow. And the name of the game is
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them blowing leads and all that stuff. It's been going
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on for quite some time and a big reason why
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they turned over from John Harbaugh. So him to have
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that consistency of personality, I think, is refreshing there. I
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think he's getting tried and true with some injuries. The
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Ravens aren't the most injured team on earth. And woe
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is me. It's the national football league. You're going to
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get injured. You're going to get beaten up. You're getting
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paid millions of dollars and you're going to have to, uh,
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we got Luloff comedy is ornery and a word. I meant, uh,
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what was I looking for? Do they call them in
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the replacements? No, I was looking for why.
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Are you, why are you there?
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Uh, but ultimately I think Jesse Minter's consistency is, is there,
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but they've made a big switch defensively to such a zone, uh,
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zone match, heavy philosophy, scheme system. And a lot of
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what we're seeing is the Ravens really want to funnel
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you to throw the ball over their linebackers, heads and
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hooks and underneath of their safeties who might be playing halves,
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might be playing quarters, might be playing a closed variation
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with a post safety. And if you can do it, which,
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you know, Joe Burrow, the Bengals are being a little
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weird in the first half, trying to go really vertical
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on a defense that wants you to try to do that.
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They stopped and they started targeting that area and Joe
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Burrow can rip it there. So he tore them up
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a bit in the second half doing so. Josh Allen
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can certainly do it. And to me, the final stepping
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stone is that when you're playing an offense that's capable
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of taking what you're giving them, you have to go tackle.
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You have to go end plays. You have to limit
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the big plays after the catch. Some of those things
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have been okay against the run for sure. You know,
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it's nothing crazy there, but we've seen the Browns late
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and then the Bengals in the second half again late
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later be able to hit that area where he wants
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you to have to throw the ball. That's the hard stuff.
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The way that I personally evaluate like a college quarterback is.
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If they are throwing over the middle of the field
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with varying degrees of touch, can they throw a four-seam
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fastball next to a linebacker and then pepper one over
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him before a safety can go make a player hurt
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my guy? Just because they're not asked to mean that
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doesn't mean they can't necessarily. But overall, I think the
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Ravens players are still trying to execute a little faster.
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They're trying to process that so they can trigger on
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it as it's happening. Yeah. when you play these better
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quarterbacks Joe Burrow Josh Allen they're gonna play Trevor Lawrence
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after that I know the Chargers are tough but Justin
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Herbert certainly capable of doing that consistently well the Ravens
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only played Dak Prescott really in their first six games
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was the only I think veteran high processing quarterback that
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can consistently target that area with those varying degrees of
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touch so I think it's a nice test for the
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Ravens to go have Deshaun Watson beat you late, Joe
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Burrow to beat you late. You're going to have to
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go play Josh Allen, who does it really well. And
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you're going to have to see it earlier. You're going
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to have to trust your keys and get to it.
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So it's a test. It's a big test. And it's
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going to show kind of, I think, do I have
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the right guys in year one for Jesse Minter? Is
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Malachi Stark's first round pick, is he triggering on it,
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seeing it? and seeing it before it's there, like you
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want a quarterback to do, you know, do I want
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Roquan Smith who has a big cap hit? Is he,
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is he making those windows as small as he could be?
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Is Kyle Hamilton needing to play back more? Does that
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mean that I need to get a different nickel or
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they brought in Jalen Hawkins? They have Keandre Jackson, a
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young player behind him. They signed another safety today, a
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veteran and Rayshawn Jenkins. So do I have the right guys?
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I'm going to give them more time. They're going to
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have the hard tests against the good passers and the
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good offenses that are on time. And, To me, that's
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kind of where I'm at with Jesse Minter. I think
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he's in an evaluation point. I like what I've seen.
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I think the consistency is there. I think he's putting
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guys in the spots. They just need to make the play.
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Very fair. It's funny how several of your sentiments about Minter,
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the roster, the execution pieces, everything echoes very similarly to
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a lot of what we've seen from the Bills defense
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and first year, well, new regime change defensively under Jim Leonard.
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I wanted to grab this super chat. This is going
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to tie into one of my points later, but all
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super chats get brought up. Mac, I appreciate you very much.
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The question is, what changes do you think we'll see
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to the defense, Bill's defense versus the Ravens? And I
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like the qualification here at the end. This is the
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equivalent of about $ 12 in Columbia pesos. I appreciate you
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for the clarification, but all super chats are appreciated. Thank
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you for being here. Thank you for watching. Thank you
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for the super chat. I am starring this. This will
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tie into one of my points later. Yeah, it's funny. The,
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the SIM pressure stuff. So the Ravens, They're sixth in
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simulated pressure rate at 21.9% this year. But I was
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going back and watching them. They have 23 total Sims
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this year. They had 15 in the first three weeks
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and only eight the next four. Now, sometimes the charting
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of it can be a little wonky. But I wanted more,
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especially because I liked how they were wielding them. Granted,
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you know, I guess... how Daniel Jones and the Colts
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are operating maybe might not be the best barometer, but
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they had a beautiful one early on in, I think
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maybe on the first drive against the Colts where it's
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a zero, it's a zero Sam. And it's kind of
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like they do their glitch blitz stuff. And instead of
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dropping two in interior defensive lineman out, it's just one
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plus Roquan. But the interior defensive lineman, they drop his
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project Washington and he drops right as a low hole player.
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And he almost has a pick. And I was like, ooh,
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like starting out beautiful. And I expected to see more
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of it. And I wanted to see more of it.
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And they kind of sloughed off a little bit. So
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I'm interested to see how much that plays a role.
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Maybe that'll tie into one of our other matchup pieces.
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One of the other matchup pieces that we might discuss
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later in some capacity. There's some news today. There's been
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news the past several weeks. Things have been kind of wonky.
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Lamar Jackson. Do you think he plays this weekend? I thought...
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I mean, granted, I'm not keyed in, including the Ravens,
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as much as you are. I thought he would play
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against Cincinnati. I remember thinking there was rumblings like, okay,
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he'll come back against Cleveland. It should be okay. When
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he didn't, I was like, okay, that makes sense. They're
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saving him for Cincinnati. And then still nothing. Does he
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come back this week? Does he come back this week
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and it's because he's good to go? Or is it
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because they faltered a little bit and this game maybe
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means a little more now from an AFC conference standpoint?
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What are your thoughts on Lamar? Do you think he
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ends up playing this week? Where's your head at? Where's
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your heart?
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I don't know. I don't think many know. And the
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reason I don't think many know is because Lamar Jackson
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does not have a representation from David Mugata or from
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Drew Rosenhouse or from athletes first or any of these
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big agents. He has his own crew of a non
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NFL PA certified, you know, advisors, agents, whatever he calls them.
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But yeah, I don't think people know. I don't think
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Ian Rapoport and Adam Schefter know because he doesn't have
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someone that's in their circle, their web that enables them
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to do these insider things. So what happens with Lamar
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Jackson is they talk to somebody who might know a
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bit and it's a big, it's a big talking point
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and clickety clickety. And then they say something that something
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might be 70% accurate, but more margin for error than typical.
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I think Lamar Jackson is very private and a little sensey.
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about his privacy. And so the Ravens really don't want
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to give much to anyone. And so theories start to
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then run wild, all these things. So Ian Rappaport went on,
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for example, and said, well, it's not a low ankle
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sprain or a high ankle sprain. So everyone said, Oh,
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it's a medial ankle sprain. Lamar Jackson then does press availability.
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I have not. So he's, he's missed it. I think
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this is going to be the sixth. If he was
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to not play in this game, this will be the
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16th regular season start, excuse me, regular or post-season start.
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He has missed due to injury.
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Hmm.
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He's sat a couple times when they've clinched a one seed.
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He missed a game because he tested positive for COVID.
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So I think that puts him at 19 total. He
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has started 118 total games. So in those little steds,
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he hasn't been out for the season, things like that.
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There's a lot of ambiguity. And because of that, I
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think fans get pretty upset and want to know. Fantasy
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football players want to know. Bills fans when they're playing
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the Ravens would like to know. It's an interesting topic.
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So then this big national– Thing happens, and what I
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saw last week that was unfamiliar to me from my
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spectator's view was him practicing limited all week and then
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not playing, following, missing some games. He also went and
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both Tyler Huntley and Lamar Jackson spoke at the podium,
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which I cannot recall that happening during the week before
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a game, so that was a little unique. Lamar came
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out and said, I have a high ankle sprain. My
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trainer told me I have a high ankle sprain, and
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I'm not sure why Ian Rapoport said that, but I'm
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going to go with what Adrian Dixon, our head athletic
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trainer told me I have Ian Rappaport to then today said, um,
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actually it's not a high ankle sprain. So I don't
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really know what is going on with that, but Ian
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is very sure that Lamar is, uh, not, not right
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or something like that. So nonetheless, uh, do I think
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he plays this weekend? To me, the Ravens play the
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Jaguars next Thursday. Okay. And what Lamar said is I'm
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in a lot of pain. And that's what he said
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in that press availability. I'm in a lot of pain.
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And if I'm in pain and I can't do the
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things I do, then I think, you know, maybe my
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backup quarterback should be the one doing it basically. And
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him and him and Tyler Huntley have been playing together
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a while, good friends. And I think there is a
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little level of trust there that, you know, probably isn't primary,
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but maybe ancillary to why Lamar might sometimes be like, Hey,
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Snoop's got it. So with all that said, They play
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the Jaguars four days after they play the Bills. I
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don't know if he's had an ankle and he's kind
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of 50-50. If you're really wanting him to play two
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games in four days, the Ravens have lost to the
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Browns and the Bengals consecutively. The Bills are going to
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be favorites. The Bills are coming off of a bye.
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The Bills are at home. And then you're going to
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have to turn around and play a game four days later.
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So to me, I would lean if I had to guess.
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I am a betting man. But I would say I
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would think we might see one more game of Tyler
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Snoop Huntley in this one. If I had to guess,
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I don't know. I don't think many people do, but
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that's my guess.
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I love that point about, well, I loved everything you said.
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Cause I was very insightful. Um, but I love that
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point about, yeah, like you're, and that's not even just
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a Lamar thing. Like anybody, like if you're bringing somebody
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back from injury and then you have a, you're on
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a short week, the next week, it like the odds
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of him playing both games are small. So like, what
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are you going to do? that's not just for Lamar
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it's for anybody you're not going to bring them back
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for one week and then they got to play on
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short rest so it's like okay we might as well
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let him rest another week that's super muddy I love
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the point about how hit the communication about his injury
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and tying it back to because I know he doesn't
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have an agent and I've never really like thought about
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like the injury stuff it's like yeah well yeah because
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he doesn't have somebody who's like beating the national reporters
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and everything to be like, Hey, you know, say this
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about my guy or like, Hey, like note this or
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note that, um, really interesting points. I, I hope he plays, um,
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as soon as possible. I, I think I've been pretty
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open about this every time you've been on the show. Uh, I, I've,
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I enjoy the Ravens team and franchise, uh, very thoroughly.
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Ed Reed is my favorite player of all time. I
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love Terrell Suggs. Uh, I, you know, I enjoy the
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Ravens a lot. And Lamar is one of my favorite
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players in the league and football is better when he's
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healthy and him versus Allen has always been super fun.
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You know, all, all due respect to Huntley who has
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his moments where it's like, man, could this dude be something? Um,
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but yeah, Lamar is sick. I hope he plays at
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some point. I hope he just gets healthy, gets right. Um,
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especially with how electric he is and It's, it's, it's
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a shame because especially these first several games this year,
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I know in preparing, like starting to watch the tape
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this week, I was going back and watching different things. And,
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but man, those first several games, he was on corking
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some throws, man, like some layering, some throws over the middle.
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He was seeing the field. Well, he was moving well.
383
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um yeah so it'll be nice to see him come
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back whenever he does come back we are going to
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now move to the crux of this episode where spence
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and i go inside the buffalo bills versus baltimore ravens
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Week 8 matchup with a preview and detailed breakdown. For
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00:20:08.819 --> 00:20:11.420
those who don't know, myself and Spence will each go
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back and forth giving our top three things to watch
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for in this game that will decide this game. It
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could be super niche down. It could be large scale.
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Anything and everything. I don't know his answers. He does
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not know mine. We're completely blind to each other's answers.
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So we could have the exact same thing. We could
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be polar opposites. We have no idea. For those of
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you joining us live and playing at home, Feel free
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to put your answers into the chat and or comment
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00:20:38.220 --> 00:20:42.140
on ours. If you are watching posts live on YouTube,
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feel free to put anything into the comments, get asked
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00:20:44.259 --> 00:20:47.809
on socials, anything and everything, questions, thoughts, comments, concerns. Feel
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00:20:47.829 --> 00:20:49.450
free to put that up into the live chat as well.
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I like to make the show as engaging as possible. Spence,
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you are the guest. So I'm going to give you
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the floor first. I don't know if you have these ranked,
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if you have them like three, two, one, one, two, three,
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if they're all equal, if you want to go with
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one over the other, but the floor is yours. Feel
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free to give me your first talking point when it
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comes to going inside Bills versus Ravens.
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Yeah, I think it is Bills' defensive front that has
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the biggest improved player or ascending star, I would say,
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right now across any defensive front in the NFL right now.
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And Deion Walker, Greg Rousseau continuing to just blossom year
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over year with his incredible frame and athleticism and power.
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I think this Bill's front is about as good as
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a front as they've had in four years to me, three,
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four years getting after it. And a lot of that
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Dion Walker and Greg Rousseau. So the Ravens conversely have
419
00:21:47.450 --> 00:21:51.029
probably underinvested in their offensive line. They try to right
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00:21:51.049 --> 00:21:53.740
their wrongs. They draft Vega. You want a first round,
421
00:21:53.819 --> 00:21:58.680
very highly touted and highly selected guard with the 14th
422
00:21:58.720 --> 00:22:02.279
overall pick in the NFL draft. He ends up, playing
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00:22:02.359 --> 00:22:05.220
center this year for them because the Ravens lost their,
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they lost Tyler Linderbaum in free agency, which I don't
425
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think they anticipated. So then they brought in Danny Pinter,
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who's a longtime backup that had been with their offensive
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00:22:13.599 --> 00:22:17.579
line coach, Dwayne Ledford. They also signed Ethan Posick. They
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00:22:17.619 --> 00:22:21.009
also have Jonathan Gwynn, another Ledford guy who fits like
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00:22:21.210 --> 00:22:24.690
a wide zone boot scheme. And they end up losing
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Pinter before the season starts. They lose Gwynn. couple weeks
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in and in the same game they lose post six
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00:22:30.519 --> 00:22:33.269
so their emergency center was none other than vega yuane
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00:22:33.630 --> 00:22:36.349
who snapped the ball 17 times in his three years
434
00:22:36.390 --> 00:22:39.589
at penn state he actually filled in there very admirably
435
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and probably played higher level center than give him a
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00:22:44.230 --> 00:22:45.430
little bit of time there he might look better than
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tyler linderbaum did but it he was beastly there considering
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all things considered he was excellent And so they go
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make a trade for Cam Juergens, the Philadelphia replacement for
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Jason Kelsey, who then had to play out of position
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because of an injury to Landon Dickerson this year. So
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the Ravens spend more draft capital than I think any
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team has ever sent for an interior offensive lineman, a
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second and a fifth to the Eagles for a player
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that's on a cheap, affordable, controlled contract. They bring Cam
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Juergens in while he was in concussion protocol. He was
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able to get his first start under his belt for
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the Ravens against none other than Dexter Lawrence, who My
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00:23:18.700 --> 00:23:20.640
money is the best nose tackle I've ever seen in
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my entire conscious football life. And then Vega Ioane goes
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down as soon as they get a center that is
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a normal natural center. And so now Vega Ioane will
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be out. He will be missing in this game. They
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also have been without their backup right guard in Andrew Voorhees,
455
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who was a USC standout that suffered an ACL at
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00:23:41.569 --> 00:23:43.329
the combine. The Ravens took a flyer on him and
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he was able to give them some snaps and So
458
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now the Ravens are starting their fifth center, who is
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a natural center. They'll be starting their third right guard
460
00:23:51.599 --> 00:23:56.220
in Emery Jones, who's really struggled. John Simpson, who the
461
00:23:56.240 --> 00:23:58.619
Ravens signed this year, is the other guard. And he
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00:23:59.029 --> 00:24:00.809
is a nice stopgap player. I think he's a nice
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00:24:00.849 --> 00:24:03.670
role player. If he's your fourth or fifth, that's okay.
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00:24:04.509 --> 00:24:08.789
And best lineman on your line, that's okay. So because
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00:24:08.829 --> 00:24:10.750
of this kind of shuffling, I think the Ravens have
466
00:24:10.769 --> 00:24:14.660
had 19 different combinations across their five now. And you're
467
00:24:14.680 --> 00:24:16.980
going to have Dion Walker and Greg Rousseau and some
468
00:24:17.009 --> 00:24:21.410
of these big, beastly, powerful Bills defensive linemen who can
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00:24:21.470 --> 00:24:26.190
kind of two gap or shoot gaps. And it's a
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00:24:26.210 --> 00:24:29.859
tough task. The Ravens have had a success rate below
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00:24:29.859 --> 00:24:32.480
25 percent running the football in each of their last
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00:24:32.519 --> 00:24:35.900
two games. So Snoop Huntley, a little challenge to throw
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00:24:35.920 --> 00:24:39.319
the ball downfield. pass pro holder topic I haven't even
474
00:24:39.359 --> 00:24:41.990
gotten into. And I think that's the matchup I'm looking at.
475
00:24:42.019 --> 00:24:44.380
Can the Ravens figure out a way to make Dion
476
00:24:44.420 --> 00:24:46.059
Walker not look like Godzilla?
477
00:24:47.789 --> 00:24:49.829
I like the way you phrased that. I came close
478
00:24:49.849 --> 00:24:53.869
to putting this one up there. It just with, you know,
479
00:24:53.890 --> 00:24:58.390
I was watching Ravens bangles live on Sunday. I see
480
00:24:58.410 --> 00:25:01.039
how I want to go down. And I was like, Oh,
481
00:25:01.130 --> 00:25:04.259
like right after you kind of just have started to
482
00:25:04.299 --> 00:25:08.460
solidify things a little bit. Like he goes down, Um,
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I also thought it was funny on the broadcast. They
484
00:25:10.359 --> 00:25:12.319
kept like, I feel like they kept reversing his name.
485
00:25:12.359 --> 00:25:14.279
They kept calling him Vega as if like Vega was
486
00:25:14.319 --> 00:25:15.660
the last name. And I was like, I don't think
487
00:25:15.680 --> 00:25:19.450
you guys are doing this correctly. Um, but he like,
488
00:25:19.990 --> 00:25:22.890
he was so fun at Penn state with how physical
489
00:25:22.930 --> 00:25:24.920
and athletic he was. And when the Ravens got him,
490
00:25:24.930 --> 00:25:26.450
I was like, Ooh, that's like that, that, that can
491
00:25:26.470 --> 00:25:28.970
be a really fun fit, especially with this run game. Um,
492
00:25:29.150 --> 00:25:31.740
but yeah, they've been banged up. I feel like Ronnie
493
00:25:31.809 --> 00:25:34.450
Stanley is always like a coin toss on whether or
494
00:25:34.509 --> 00:25:36.849
not he's going to get hurt at some point and
495
00:25:36.890 --> 00:25:39.549
like mis-extended time or like a small amount of time
496
00:25:39.849 --> 00:25:41.849
when he's in there, he's good, but he's always like
497
00:25:42.009 --> 00:25:43.950
a wild card of sorts. I feel like for health
498
00:25:44.730 --> 00:25:49.859
and this Ravens specifically the run game every year that
499
00:25:49.900 --> 00:25:51.839
they play the bills, even when the bills have beaten them,
500
00:25:52.700 --> 00:25:57.299
they just gash the bills over and over. Oh, well, no,
501
00:25:57.319 --> 00:26:02.599
I'm thinking, um, When, whatever, Baltimore kicked the hell out
502
00:26:02.640 --> 00:26:03.240
of the Bills.
503
00:26:03.299 --> 00:26:06.160
Ravens, it was the regular, it was the Ravens. A
504
00:26:06.460 --> 00:26:09.180
couple years ago. Was it a home opener? No, it
505
00:26:09.200 --> 00:26:12.700
wasn't a home opener. It was Monday Night Football, I believe, 2024. Yes.
506
00:26:14.589 --> 00:26:15.970
Week five, maybe week six.
507
00:26:16.309 --> 00:26:18.630
I think on the first drive, the Ravens ran crunch,
508
00:26:18.670 --> 00:26:21.490
and Derrick Henry housed it for a 60-something yard touchdown.
509
00:26:21.549 --> 00:26:23.150
Yeah, he had an 83-yard touchdown, yep.
510
00:26:23.190 --> 00:26:25.049
Yeah, it was a big touchdown.
511
00:26:25.329 --> 00:26:28.029
Derrick Henry's first season, which was three years ago, was 2024, yep.
512
00:26:28.170 --> 00:26:31.859
Yes, good call. So it, but even in like defeat,
513
00:26:32.359 --> 00:26:34.920
the playoff game a couple of years ago, the regular,
514
00:26:35.180 --> 00:26:38.440
the season opener for both teams last year, they've largely
515
00:26:38.480 --> 00:26:41.460
had their way with the bills run defense and the
516
00:26:41.480 --> 00:26:43.529
bills run defense has been porous. And then the Ravens
517
00:26:43.569 --> 00:26:45.769
run game is good and unique. So they kinda, it's
518
00:26:45.809 --> 00:26:48.170
not a great matchup for the bills defense or most teams.
519
00:26:48.589 --> 00:26:52.230
And so, yeah, I go into this one and I'm like, okay,
520
00:26:52.890 --> 00:26:56.859
their line is banged up a bit. The running success
521
00:26:56.890 --> 00:26:59.730
hasn't really been there. I know the bangles, I mean,
522
00:26:59.750 --> 00:27:03.079
the Bengals have really redefined their front this year with
523
00:27:03.119 --> 00:27:05.460
all the moves they made. You shouted out Dexter Lawrence already,
524
00:27:05.500 --> 00:27:09.740
who's playing like a world beater. It felt like watching
525
00:27:09.759 --> 00:27:11.440
the Ravens in that game against the Bengals, they were
526
00:27:11.460 --> 00:27:13.599
just running into a brick wall over and over and
527
00:27:13.680 --> 00:27:15.279
over again. And I know the Bills don't have anybody
528
00:27:15.299 --> 00:27:18.690
as stout as Lawrence. Even Walker, when he's playing like Godzilla,
529
00:27:18.730 --> 00:27:21.430
he's still playing more of a penetrator game. And he'll
530
00:27:21.450 --> 00:27:23.609
grab somebody and chuck them down. But Lawrence is very
531
00:27:23.650 --> 00:27:25.930
much like, hey, I'm going to sit here. Good luck
532
00:27:25.950 --> 00:27:27.490
trying to move me. And then I can do a
533
00:27:27.509 --> 00:27:30.049
whole bunch of other things on top of it. And
534
00:27:30.069 --> 00:27:32.690
so I came into this one, yeah, like, can they
535
00:27:32.750 --> 00:27:36.150
people move the Bills? Do they try to people move
536
00:27:36.329 --> 00:27:39.299
the Bills? Do they, like, can they get Henry to
537
00:27:39.339 --> 00:27:42.140
the perimeter? How do they hold up in pass pro?
538
00:27:43.079 --> 00:27:46.079
Rousseau has been a nice story. He slowed down the
539
00:27:46.099 --> 00:27:48.380
past three games versus all the production he had in
540
00:27:48.400 --> 00:27:52.130
the first three. Walker has been really fun. But then
541
00:27:52.190 --> 00:27:55.490
even everything in totality, like heading into the bye, this
542
00:27:55.549 --> 00:27:59.869
group for the Buffalo Bills, 26th, As a defense, 26th
543
00:27:59.990 --> 00:28:03.930
in sack rate, 24th in pressure rate, 25th in time
544
00:28:03.970 --> 00:28:08.049
to pressure, 31st in quick pressure rate. This was a
545
00:28:08.089 --> 00:28:10.789
group that started out super hot. A lot of the
546
00:28:10.809 --> 00:28:13.390
production coming from Rousseau and Walker and getting some other guys.
547
00:28:13.869 --> 00:28:17.279
They've kind of cooled a little bit. Kirk Cousins having
548
00:28:17.319 --> 00:28:19.259
some time to throw, and even when they are getting pressure,
549
00:28:19.299 --> 00:28:24.599
it's usually coming later in the quarterback clock as opposed to, again,
550
00:28:24.900 --> 00:28:27.839
that quick pressure rate and time to pressure, both of
551
00:28:27.880 --> 00:28:31.430
those being lower. And I wonder for a banged-up offensive
552
00:28:31.490 --> 00:28:34.970
line that has had success against you as a franchise
553
00:28:35.029 --> 00:28:36.950
in previous years, does that start to turn a little
554
00:28:36.970 --> 00:28:39.460
this year? Can the Bills stay stout? Can they get
555
00:28:39.519 --> 00:28:43.400
pressure against somewhat of a wounded, banged-up group whose guys
556
00:28:43.420 --> 00:28:46.299
that are even starting are kind of, yeah, more depth
557
00:28:46.339 --> 00:28:49.720
guys as they try to wiggle and figure things out?
558
00:28:49.740 --> 00:28:52.809
So I came close to putting that one on my docket.
559
00:28:53.950 --> 00:28:55.809
That was my– I'm trying to think of the March
560
00:28:55.849 --> 00:28:59.690
Madness term. That was my last one out. the last
561
00:28:59.730 --> 00:29:01.230
team did not make the bracket. That would have been.
562
00:29:01.250 --> 00:29:03.400
So my 65th team, or I don't know how many
563
00:29:03.420 --> 00:29:05.220
teams there are now where there's like a thousand teams
564
00:29:05.359 --> 00:29:08.500
that just like the, the football playoff where they're adding
565
00:29:08.539 --> 00:29:11.599
more teams every, every single year, but whatever conversation from
566
00:29:11.619 --> 00:29:16.839
another time, I'm going to stay, I'm going to stay
567
00:29:16.880 --> 00:29:21.630
on the Ravens offensive side. And, uh, I just titled
568
00:29:21.670 --> 00:29:26.900
this one who stops Zay flowers. So Zay flowers, uh,
569
00:29:28.049 --> 00:29:30.210
Kind of a Bills fan favorite. There were a lot of,
570
00:29:30.250 --> 00:29:32.190
a lot of, a lot of Bills fans who wanted
571
00:29:32.210 --> 00:29:33.819
Zay Flowers coming out of Boston College. I think a
572
00:29:33.839 --> 00:29:38.349
lot of folks did. Fun, shifty, electric, downfield speed, athletic,
573
00:29:38.750 --> 00:29:40.670
give him the ball at the line. of scrimmage watch
574
00:29:40.710 --> 00:29:43.190
him go chuck him the ball downfield watch him go
575
00:29:43.230 --> 00:29:46.059
get it does a lot of fun stuff this year
576
00:29:46.650 --> 00:29:51.240
Zay Flowers out of 90 qualifying wide receivers he's third
577
00:29:51.359 --> 00:29:54.420
in targets per route run he's fourth in target share
578
00:29:54.720 --> 00:29:57.880
he's fourth in receiving yards he's first in yards per
579
00:29:57.920 --> 00:30:02.369
route run at 3.73 He's fourth in yards after catch
580
00:30:02.410 --> 00:30:06.769
per reception at 7.78. He's sixth in target success rate,
581
00:30:07.509 --> 00:30:12.710
11th in EPA per target, and seventh in receptions. Even
582
00:30:12.730 --> 00:30:15.809
with Lamar going down, Huntley has found him. I thought
583
00:30:15.849 --> 00:30:17.849
Declan Doyle did a great job in the first half
584
00:30:17.890 --> 00:30:20.789
against the Bengals of getting him involved in a multitude
585
00:30:20.829 --> 00:30:23.950
of ways. Screens around the line of scrimmage, some stuff underneath,
586
00:30:24.230 --> 00:30:25.849
hitting him on some stuff in the intermediate on a
587
00:30:25.890 --> 00:30:30.019
couple third and longs, and Zay kind of– doing some
588
00:30:30.039 --> 00:30:32.119
stuff after the catch there. Bateman had another nice third
589
00:30:32.140 --> 00:30:35.039
and long as well, but Zay Flowers this year has
590
00:30:35.160 --> 00:30:40.259
looked whenever he gets the ball. And even when he's
591
00:30:40.279 --> 00:30:42.640
like moving without it, I guess, and his stems releases everything.
592
00:30:43.319 --> 00:30:45.880
He looks like the most dangerous player on the field.
593
00:30:46.140 --> 00:30:50.420
Like he just looks so he's doing the dead leg
594
00:30:50.460 --> 00:30:52.269
and kind of waiting. And then he picks it back
595
00:30:52.329 --> 00:30:54.990
up and he's just ghosting guys in, in a heartbeat.
596
00:30:55.230 --> 00:30:57.609
He's going up and making plays at the catch point.
597
00:30:57.650 --> 00:31:01.319
I'm thinking back to the, um, the catch against Atlanta
598
00:31:02.440 --> 00:31:04.339
down late in the fourth quarter on first and 20,
599
00:31:04.339 --> 00:31:07.269
where he, you know, scramble drill, he gets open multiple times,
600
00:31:07.680 --> 00:31:09.609
Huntley throws it up and he goes up, makes the
601
00:31:09.650 --> 00:31:12.190
play at the catch point against Xavier Watts while he's
602
00:31:12.210 --> 00:31:15.309
getting interfered with. So he's playing big at the catch point.
603
00:31:15.349 --> 00:31:17.730
Plus he's doing all the jitterbug electric stuff on top
604
00:31:17.769 --> 00:31:20.599
of it. He's really, I think he's been a good
605
00:31:20.619 --> 00:31:24.240
player for a while. I think he's ascended further this year.
606
00:31:24.279 --> 00:31:26.779
As RJ says, I don't care what Ravens fans say,
607
00:31:27.119 --> 00:31:29.319
Zay Flowers is an elite wide receiver one. He has
608
00:31:29.400 --> 00:31:31.839
one of the best separation stats in the game. So
609
00:31:31.859 --> 00:31:35.180
a nice positive thing from a Bills fan there, but yeah,
610
00:31:35.700 --> 00:31:38.569
the Bills defense has struggled in a multitude of ways,
611
00:31:38.849 --> 00:31:43.170
especially in coverage. We saw their most recent game before
612
00:31:43.190 --> 00:31:45.470
they went into the buy against the Raiders, different type
613
00:31:45.509 --> 00:31:47.990
of task entirely, but the, you know, not a wide receiver,
614
00:31:48.029 --> 00:31:50.190
but pass catching option one for the Ravens is, or
615
00:31:50.210 --> 00:31:53.329
for the Raiders is Brock Bowers. Christian Benford traveled with
616
00:31:53.369 --> 00:31:57.009
him on a multitude of reps all over the field. outside,
617
00:31:57.309 --> 00:32:00.289
left and right, and even inside a little bit, attached
618
00:32:00.309 --> 00:32:03.970
to the formation. Does anybody travel with Zay? Who do
619
00:32:04.009 --> 00:32:06.079
they try to match him up with? He's a tough
620
00:32:06.130 --> 00:32:08.420
guy to match up with because of how juiced up
621
00:32:08.480 --> 00:32:11.819
he is, and you can play him anywhere. For a
622
00:32:11.880 --> 00:32:15.819
Bills coverage group that's been questionable in the spine, the
623
00:32:15.880 --> 00:32:18.920
linebackers and the safeties, is this a game where you
624
00:32:18.960 --> 00:32:21.769
just put Zay Flowers as the number three and force
625
00:32:21.809 --> 00:32:24.250
the Bills linebackers and safeties to try and match up
626
00:32:24.289 --> 00:32:26.109
with him? and say, good luck, we don't think you
627
00:32:26.130 --> 00:32:28.529
can do it. And then is he cooking linebackers and
628
00:32:28.670 --> 00:32:31.319
second-level players like he was against Dallas early in the
629
00:32:31.339 --> 00:32:33.420
year where he's just faking people left and right, and
630
00:32:33.720 --> 00:32:35.740
here comes a whipper out, psych, here comes the fake whip,
631
00:32:35.779 --> 00:32:37.460
and I'm actually going to run and drag across the middle.
632
00:32:38.220 --> 00:32:40.220
He's just been so dangerous. He's looked like the most
633
00:32:40.259 --> 00:32:44.299
dangerous player on the field. The Bills' pass coverage has
634
00:32:44.339 --> 00:32:47.359
lacked communication. They have not been on the same page.
635
00:32:47.500 --> 00:32:52.450
They've given up big plays. They've struggled mightily from a
636
00:32:52.450 --> 00:32:59.579
playing– chemistry standpoint and whether it's Huntley whether it's Lamar
637
00:32:59.819 --> 00:33:02.539
Zay has been extremely dangerous Doyle I think has done
638
00:33:02.559 --> 00:33:04.579
a good job getting him involved in and this could
639
00:33:04.599 --> 00:33:07.099
be a game where I'm trying to give him the
640
00:33:07.160 --> 00:33:09.500
Puka Nakua treatment from the Rams game several weeks ago
641
00:33:09.519 --> 00:33:12.079
where I'm like hey Zay here's like 20 something targets
642
00:33:12.220 --> 00:33:13.440
and let's see if the Bills can.
643
00:33:13.339 --> 00:33:19.250
Cover yeah a lot of great points there Flowers usage
644
00:33:19.569 --> 00:33:22.809
with Ravens first year offensive coordinator the now 30 year
645
00:33:22.829 --> 00:33:26.119
old Declan Doyle he's 30 He's 30 years old.
646
00:33:26.279 --> 00:33:27.900
Man, he's a baby. That's crazy.
647
00:33:28.079 --> 00:33:30.480
He's also deceivingly tall. If you look at him, you're like,
648
00:33:30.519 --> 00:33:34.180
you're 5'10. He's like 6'3, and you're like, that's not right.
649
00:33:34.220 --> 00:33:34.920
I don't trust you.
650
00:33:34.960 --> 00:33:36.279
You're lying. He's tall.
651
00:33:36.869 --> 00:33:40.109
So the biggest thing I see simply is that Zay
652
00:33:40.130 --> 00:33:44.009
Flowers has taken more snaps out of the slot than
653
00:33:44.089 --> 00:33:47.509
he has as a boundary or a number one to
654
00:33:47.529 --> 00:33:51.170
the width of the field this year. That has not
655
00:33:51.210 --> 00:33:54.029
happened before. in Baltimore with Zay Flowers. This year he's
656
00:33:54.049 --> 00:34:00.309
taken 128 snaps out of the slot, 121 wide, and
657
00:34:00.369 --> 00:34:05.009
he has taken at least 19, pardon me, at least
658
00:34:05.009 --> 00:34:07.529
11 snaps out of the slot in every game he
659
00:34:07.769 --> 00:34:09.800
got an injury. At least 15 snaps out of the
660
00:34:09.820 --> 00:34:11.969
slot since he returned from injury. He left that Colts
661
00:34:12.030 --> 00:34:14.079
game in week one, a little injury. He had a
662
00:34:14.099 --> 00:34:16.860
little bit more slot snaps. So since returning, he has
663
00:34:16.880 --> 00:34:20.469
had one game where he had 12 more out wide.
664
00:34:20.510 --> 00:34:21.760
A lot of what the Ravens want to do is
665
00:34:22.030 --> 00:34:24.780
align him in trips, like you mentioned, and they want
666
00:34:24.800 --> 00:34:29.099
to– one of Declan Doyle's favorites is to make the
667
00:34:29.199 --> 00:34:31.320
number three the number one or bring somebody from the
668
00:34:31.340 --> 00:34:33.039
other side of the field to the new number one
669
00:34:33.559 --> 00:34:35.969
and turning Zay Flowers into the number three. When you
670
00:34:35.989 --> 00:34:39.210
turn someone into the number three, fast with fast motion,
671
00:34:39.250 --> 00:34:41.449
that usually puts them on a safety or a linebacker.
672
00:34:41.989 --> 00:34:44.730
And then what I've seen out of Zay Flowers has
673
00:34:44.789 --> 00:34:51.210
been so much– less fat on his routes.
674
00:34:51.550 --> 00:34:53.210
Oh, that's a really good way to play it.
675
00:34:53.809 --> 00:34:58.809
The nuance, the minimal amount of steps, the maximizing his
676
00:34:59.389 --> 00:35:02.949
kind of ankle flexion or how much he's just simply
677
00:35:03.030 --> 00:35:06.099
turning and digging his cleats to work back to the ball,
678
00:35:06.179 --> 00:35:09.559
to get upfield, to square, to get to his spot
679
00:35:09.980 --> 00:35:14.099
has been as good as anyone in football, in my opinion.
680
00:35:14.119 --> 00:35:18.349
I know there's a comment in here. RJ Melville eight says,
681
00:35:18.369 --> 00:35:20.250
I don't care what Ravens fans say. Zay Flowers is
682
00:35:20.269 --> 00:35:22.190
an elite wide receiver. One, he has the best separation
683
00:35:22.210 --> 00:35:25.230
stats in the game. And right. You mentioned Puka, like
684
00:35:25.929 --> 00:35:27.690
Jamar chase, the Ravens saw last week, gave him some
685
00:35:27.730 --> 00:35:33.079
trouble in today's NFL with, without any rule changes happening
686
00:35:33.099 --> 00:35:36.780
in a few years, we're seeing a little bit more.
687
00:35:36.820 --> 00:35:38.239
It's not as crazy as people think, but a little
688
00:35:38.260 --> 00:35:40.420
bit more of those kind of softer, too high or
689
00:35:40.519 --> 00:35:43.099
middle of the field, open concepts, a little more coverage
690
00:35:43.139 --> 00:35:46.090
defenders underneath. Teams want to limit the over the top shot.
691
00:35:46.130 --> 00:35:48.750
The deep ball is not in vogue right now because
692
00:35:48.769 --> 00:35:51.260
of what defenses have been doing. So the response to
693
00:35:51.300 --> 00:35:52.800
that is, all right, let's get our best guy on
694
00:35:53.199 --> 00:35:55.059
their worst coverage guy that we can possibly get him
695
00:35:55.219 --> 00:35:58.159
with a matched up with through scheme. So Raven's a
696
00:35:58.159 --> 00:36:00.219
little late to that party with flowers. I think his
697
00:36:01.440 --> 00:36:05.519
focus and his off season training and his attention to detail.
698
00:36:05.980 --> 00:36:09.539
And like you said, the ability for him to run
699
00:36:09.579 --> 00:36:12.639
these crossers where it's a fast bump out that causes
700
00:36:12.659 --> 00:36:16.670
a In this scenario, it might be one of those–
701
00:36:17.650 --> 00:36:19.449
what is it? Bernard and– oh, my God, who's the
702
00:36:19.469 --> 00:36:19.909
other Bills?
703
00:36:20.530 --> 00:36:21.050
Dorian Williams.
704
00:36:21.289 --> 00:36:23.530
Dorian Williams, there we go. If it's Dorian Williams and Bernard,
705
00:36:23.570 --> 00:36:24.980
all of a sudden it's fast and they've got to
706
00:36:25.000 --> 00:36:27.280
try and carry him across the field, that's tough. And
707
00:36:27.300 --> 00:36:29.139
those two can both run and they're long and they've
708
00:36:29.159 --> 00:36:31.880
got some good things going. But it's mental quickness that
709
00:36:32.199 --> 00:36:34.280
being able to see that process and understand what they're doing.
710
00:36:34.619 --> 00:36:36.139
But then, oh, all of a sudden everyone else is
711
00:36:36.179 --> 00:36:37.929
cleared out. I'm ready to turn my hips to run
712
00:36:37.949 --> 00:36:40.710
with a crosser. And Zay Flowers has perfectly, at 5'9,
713
00:36:40.730 --> 00:36:43.969
re-squared and is breaking back out to the sideline. It's
714
00:36:43.989 --> 00:36:46.769
really hard to cover. So he's been elite. I think
715
00:36:46.809 --> 00:36:50.110
he has been a definite absolute wide receiver one this season.
716
00:36:50.130 --> 00:36:52.690
He's looked fantastic. He doesn't lack. He lacked. The only
717
00:36:52.710 --> 00:36:54.929
thing he really lacks is an aerial aspect to his game.
718
00:36:54.969 --> 00:36:57.219
I'd say there's not, you know, go throw it up
719
00:36:57.280 --> 00:36:59.260
and he's going to go George pick in CD lamb.
720
00:36:59.300 --> 00:37:01.320
Like we saw on Monday night football, able to go
721
00:37:01.360 --> 00:37:03.960
snag balls outside of his frame consistently in the red area.
722
00:37:04.239 --> 00:37:07.019
He can do everything else for you. So he's been tough.
723
00:37:07.159 --> 00:37:09.269
He's been, he's also had a really positive attitude and,
724
00:37:09.559 --> 00:37:12.039
Ravens have been a little downtrodden with some bad body language.
725
00:37:12.059 --> 00:37:15.460
It's not safe flowers. He has some diamond fronts he
726
00:37:15.500 --> 00:37:17.380
likes to wear in games, and he likes to let
727
00:37:17.400 --> 00:37:19.000
you see him. He likes to smile. He likes to
728
00:37:19.019 --> 00:37:21.400
be happy about it. He likes to make plays. He
729
00:37:21.420 --> 00:37:23.909
doesn't matter. He doesn't care who's playing quarterback. He's helping
730
00:37:23.949 --> 00:37:27.610
his quarterback out. For a little guy, I have never
731
00:37:27.690 --> 00:37:30.849
seen someone who is under like 5'11, ever, work back
732
00:37:30.869 --> 00:37:35.980
to the ball better. Man, he had on that, that
733
00:37:36.019 --> 00:37:37.659
first line back to the ball. Yeah.
734
00:37:37.900 --> 00:37:39.739
He had that on that first third and long, they
735
00:37:39.760 --> 00:37:41.639
converted against the Bengals in the first half where he
736
00:37:41.679 --> 00:37:44.199
comes back and he splits the two defenders. And then
737
00:37:44.260 --> 00:37:46.679
he gets like six yards after the catch on like
738
00:37:46.719 --> 00:37:49.079
a third and 19. Yeah. He just, he fights for
739
00:37:49.099 --> 00:37:50.239
the ball and snatches it.
740
00:37:50.780 --> 00:37:53.210
He has been working back to help the quarterback, to
741
00:37:53.250 --> 00:37:55.230
be friendly to the quarterback as well as I've ever
742
00:37:55.250 --> 00:37:58.269
seen a smaller stature receiver. He is sprinting like a
743
00:37:58.329 --> 00:38:01.090
center fielder, trying to get a shallow fly ball on
744
00:38:01.130 --> 00:38:04.539
his high horse to advance back towards the the quarterback.
745
00:38:04.579 --> 00:38:07.900
So that's been super fun to watch. He's been dynamic
746
00:38:07.960 --> 00:38:09.760
after the catch better than ever. I mean, the screen
747
00:38:09.780 --> 00:38:11.559
he housed against the Bengals last week, no one could
748
00:38:11.579 --> 00:38:14.139
even put a ball on him. He looks like the
749
00:38:14.199 --> 00:38:17.340
most untouchable player on the field or the, the quickest
750
00:38:17.460 --> 00:38:20.679
or most agile or just spatially aware player on the field. Every,
751
00:38:21.260 --> 00:38:22.699
every time he has the ball in the open field
752
00:38:22.739 --> 00:38:24.420
this season, it's been really fun to watch. So I
753
00:38:24.659 --> 00:38:27.389
think it's a tough task. You mentioned Benford traveling, but
754
00:38:27.679 --> 00:38:29.429
Ravens are going to, are going to pressure test that
755
00:38:29.489 --> 00:38:32.150
because there's gonna be fast motions changing the note, you know,
756
00:38:32.170 --> 00:38:35.070
who's number one, number two, and number three. and they're
757
00:38:35.090 --> 00:38:36.849
going to test the rules of coverage with it. So,
758
00:38:37.849 --> 00:38:39.530
you know, the Bills had a bye week to try
759
00:38:39.550 --> 00:38:43.139
and bait some throws and maybe have some backside defenders
760
00:38:43.199 --> 00:38:45.400
away from that. If you see motion fast one way,
761
00:38:45.699 --> 00:38:47.719
maybe have a nickel or something else or an end,
762
00:38:48.260 --> 00:38:49.820
drop back and see if you can undercut one of
763
00:38:49.860 --> 00:38:52.860
those from the backside and deter the Ravens from doing it.
764
00:38:53.199 --> 00:38:54.670
That's what I'd be trying to cook up if I was,
765
00:38:55.150 --> 00:38:57.170
you know, sitting back with an extra week's rest here.
766
00:38:57.769 --> 00:39:01.010
Yeah, and for a Bills defense that has, you know,
767
00:39:01.050 --> 00:39:04.940
had miscommunication, they've been frantic defensively, and literally up to
768
00:39:04.960 --> 00:39:09.340
the snap in their adjustments and on the field, changing
769
00:39:09.360 --> 00:39:12.599
the picture offensively at the last minute, and then doing
770
00:39:12.679 --> 00:39:15.460
it with literal speed on top of it in terms
771
00:39:15.480 --> 00:39:18.519
of the players that are moving. I like that recipe
772
00:39:18.539 --> 00:39:21.969
a lot, and yeah, I'm going to move Flowers around.
773
00:39:22.010 --> 00:39:23.590
I even put him in the backfield and do some
774
00:39:23.630 --> 00:39:25.230
fun stuff like they have at times. I'll get him
775
00:39:25.250 --> 00:39:27.829
some manufactured touches as well, but I'm getting him as
776
00:39:27.849 --> 00:39:31.730
that number three, and I'm saying hey, let's find your
777
00:39:32.090 --> 00:39:34.699
guys in between the hashes. Who's going to cover this guy?
778
00:39:35.070 --> 00:39:37.739
How are you going to allocate resources to him? Because
779
00:39:37.780 --> 00:39:40.739
I think it's going to be a problem and could
780
00:39:40.760 --> 00:39:43.199
be some potential fireworks for Mr. Zay Flowers. All right,
781
00:39:43.219 --> 00:39:46.420
we've each given our ones, or our first points, I
782
00:39:46.480 --> 00:39:50.190
should say, What do you got for your second point here?
783
00:39:51.329 --> 00:39:56.510
Can anybody tackle Josh Allen? Okay. Can anybody go get
784
00:39:56.570 --> 00:39:59.070
Josh Allen and bring him down right now? The Ravens
785
00:40:00.289 --> 00:40:04.030
missed four tackles last week against the Bengals. Jamar Chase,
786
00:40:04.090 --> 00:40:09.329
a super strong athlete. Josh Allen, a super strong athlete.
787
00:40:10.329 --> 00:40:14.389
And man, I'm watching him against the Rams. I'm watching
788
00:40:14.409 --> 00:40:18.039
him against the Raiders and Suddenly, you know, you're sitting
789
00:40:18.059 --> 00:40:20.619
back playing man or playing in the Ravens case is
790
00:40:20.639 --> 00:40:22.760
going to be zone. You're flat footed. He's got a
791
00:40:22.760 --> 00:40:26.260
head of steam. And I don't know. I do have
792
00:40:26.300 --> 00:40:29.989
my theories on how to relatively contain Josh Allen as
793
00:40:30.329 --> 00:40:32.809
Ravens and Bills have gone back and forth. I think
794
00:40:32.849 --> 00:40:37.670
he bananas to his throwing side more elusively than anyone
795
00:40:37.750 --> 00:40:41.889
else I've really seen with any size. He is always
796
00:40:41.949 --> 00:40:46.010
just fast enough. and you cannot try and pursue his
797
00:40:46.050 --> 00:40:48.210
back hip like you're supposed to. You need to go
798
00:40:48.349 --> 00:40:50.690
cut him off and get his feet to stop moving
799
00:40:51.230 --> 00:40:53.409
if you can get him to roll right. Otherwise, he
800
00:40:53.469 --> 00:40:56.739
will outrun you, he will re-square, and he has an
801
00:40:57.039 --> 00:41:01.760
absolute AC-130 for an arm that he can spray wherever
802
00:41:01.800 --> 00:41:04.239
he wants. So as soon as he starts to move
803
00:41:04.320 --> 00:41:08.409
backwards towards his arm side, get upfield towards the line
804
00:41:08.429 --> 00:41:11.440
of scrimmage, I would rather that than let him re-approach
805
00:41:11.460 --> 00:41:12.739
the line of scrimmage with a head of steam on
806
00:41:12.780 --> 00:41:16.260
that side. So that's my theory that I've seen executed
807
00:41:16.300 --> 00:41:18.010
well one time. And it was the one time the
808
00:41:18.030 --> 00:41:20.409
Ravens gave him a ton of trouble on that Monday
809
00:41:20.469 --> 00:41:24.150
night game. But yeah, other than that, I mean, it's
810
00:41:24.190 --> 00:41:28.570
more so dangerous when he is moving at the line
811
00:41:28.590 --> 00:41:31.710
of scrimmage somewhere between the numbers to me and he's
812
00:41:31.750 --> 00:41:33.650
getting a little pump going, his eyes are moving around
813
00:41:33.690 --> 00:41:36.110
and he's getting some momentum. And right now, I mean, he's,
814
00:41:36.679 --> 00:41:38.500
about as dangerous a runner with the football as there
815
00:41:38.539 --> 00:41:42.300
is in the NFL. More than that, James Cook, Khalil Shakir,
816
00:41:42.360 --> 00:41:46.179
tackle breakers that find a way out and find a
817
00:41:46.199 --> 00:41:48.420
way to get more yards after the catch. So I'm
818
00:41:48.440 --> 00:41:50.880
looking at those kind of three guys, mainly Josh Allen.
819
00:41:51.920 --> 00:41:56.030
We've seen a Ravens game come down to that rain
820
00:41:56.070 --> 00:42:00.010
game we mentioned. Maybe it was 2022. They naked booted
821
00:42:00.070 --> 00:42:02.309
Josh Allen, and maybe it was him himself. Maybe it
822
00:42:02.329 --> 00:42:04.510
was a design, but they boot Josh Allen. Patrick Queen
823
00:42:04.530 --> 00:42:07.619
tries to get on his hip pocket. He's just always a,
824
00:42:07.969 --> 00:42:10.789
he's a fast enough to achieve his goal always. And
825
00:42:10.849 --> 00:42:14.380
he's strong enough to achieve his goal always. So man,
826
00:42:14.480 --> 00:42:16.460
when he gets rumbling, like he was against the Rams,
827
00:42:16.519 --> 00:42:20.139
it was looking like, you know, I called Dion Walker, Godzilla.
828
00:42:20.159 --> 00:42:21.679
I don't know what to call Josh Allen. There's a,
829
00:42:21.780 --> 00:42:23.599
you know, a rhinoceros. I know they like to call
830
00:42:23.659 --> 00:42:25.679
it looks a little bit more Rhino than Buffalo to me,
831
00:42:26.059 --> 00:42:28.739
but obviously you guys like to call him the great
832
00:42:28.760 --> 00:42:32.159
white Buffalo up there. And I, I see that for sure. So,
833
00:42:32.829 --> 00:42:34.369
who's going to stick him. How are they going to get,
834
00:42:34.409 --> 00:42:36.289
prevent him from getting going in the run game? I
835
00:42:36.329 --> 00:42:38.590
know he's talked a little bit about his mechanics are
836
00:42:38.610 --> 00:42:40.750
a little off. He had to revert back to a
837
00:42:41.369 --> 00:42:45.389
prior motion. I know he's worked with what, um, Jordan Palmer,
838
00:42:45.550 --> 00:42:48.170
Jesse Paul, Jordan Palmer, Jordan Palmer. So we're working with
839
00:42:48.230 --> 00:42:52.829
Jesse's brother, Jordan. Um, and yeah, uh, talking about reverting back.
840
00:42:52.889 --> 00:42:54.789
So he was like, Oh, well, I don't feel great.
841
00:42:54.829 --> 00:42:56.369
I'm going to go back to my emotion and do
842
00:42:56.389 --> 00:43:00.550
it with my legs. So, um, how can the Ravens
843
00:43:00.590 --> 00:43:02.489
deal with that? I mean, their, their front has been
844
00:43:02.510 --> 00:43:04.300
a little bit in flux on both sides of the ball.
845
00:43:04.519 --> 00:43:07.039
Trey Hendrickson, a big acquisition for them, missed a couple
846
00:43:07.059 --> 00:43:10.030
of games, had to get finger surgery. He's had his, his, uh,
847
00:43:10.119 --> 00:43:12.940
three fingers on his inside hand, his left hand. He
848
00:43:12.980 --> 00:43:17.199
likes to rushes the right outside linebacker over the left tackle. Um,
849
00:43:17.480 --> 00:43:22.070
those have been banded down. Um, Nnamdi Matabike miraculously coming
850
00:43:22.110 --> 00:43:24.210
back from what was once thought to be a career
851
00:43:24.230 --> 00:43:26.230
ending neck injury. He's been playing really well again. Um,
852
00:43:28.340 --> 00:43:30.780
It doesn't look quite as fast as he did in
853
00:43:30.840 --> 00:43:33.760
maybe his heyday two years ago. But still, it's a
854
00:43:34.489 --> 00:43:36.650
really golden retriever and galloping gazelle.
855
00:43:36.670 --> 00:43:37.230
Galloping gazelle.
856
00:43:37.789 --> 00:43:40.130
He's like a golden retriever rhinoceros.
857
00:43:40.550 --> 00:43:42.929
Yeah, a golden retriever. Yeah, I always go with runaway moose.
858
00:43:43.769 --> 00:43:48.030
Yeah, moose is accurate as well. So can you stunt?
859
00:43:48.050 --> 00:43:52.949
Can you do anything to have layered, staggered? pressures that
860
00:43:52.969 --> 00:43:54.809
get him to just at least stop his feet so
861
00:43:54.929 --> 00:43:56.909
it's it's going to be those key third downs when
862
00:43:57.010 --> 00:43:58.650
when nothing's there and he sees a little bit of
863
00:43:58.690 --> 00:44:02.489
grass and i i mean i like his chances more
864
00:44:02.530 --> 00:44:05.119
often than not um you know when he's got ahead
865
00:44:05.159 --> 00:44:06.699
of steam going it's hard to it's hard to go
866
00:44:07.239 --> 00:44:09.800
end a play and minimize the yards after contact and
867
00:44:09.820 --> 00:44:11.699
all those things when that big fella gets moving so
868
00:44:12.039 --> 00:44:15.480
it's a pretty simple one but ravens aren't tackling real
869
00:44:15.519 --> 00:44:18.340
well right now the the pressure's been a little inconsistent
870
00:44:18.610 --> 00:44:20.789
and i know if you don't you don't hit him
871
00:44:20.849 --> 00:44:24.300
and you don't force him on, on bad angles where
872
00:44:24.320 --> 00:44:28.480
he can't feel consistently comfortable on the move. Like if
873
00:44:28.500 --> 00:44:30.300
you get him into a game where he gets game
874
00:44:30.340 --> 00:44:32.750
breaker mode, when he starts really holding down the trigger
875
00:44:32.789 --> 00:44:35.130
and running all of a sudden, it feels like the,
876
00:44:35.190 --> 00:44:37.929
the natural from what he's talking about is yips. It
877
00:44:37.969 --> 00:44:40.010
felt like the yips went away when he started to
878
00:44:40.070 --> 00:44:43.250
feel the tempo of the game. He's, he's like, you know,
879
00:44:43.610 --> 00:44:45.570
some sort of video game character. The more you punch him,
880
00:44:45.610 --> 00:44:47.780
the more he, he kind of, you know, the taste
881
00:44:47.820 --> 00:44:51.019
of blood gets them going a little bit more. So man, it's,
882
00:44:51.099 --> 00:44:54.920
it's simple, but, hard to stop. So there's going to
883
00:44:54.940 --> 00:44:56.940
be a big moment. Josh Allen's going to use his legs.
884
00:44:57.000 --> 00:44:59.659
It's maybe it's the first half. Maybe the Ravens, even
885
00:44:59.699 --> 00:45:01.679
if Lamar doesn't play, are able to hang around for this, that,
886
00:45:01.719 --> 00:45:05.119
or another reason. But I just don't see the Ravens.
887
00:45:05.139 --> 00:45:08.639
I don't see the dog in them right now. And
888
00:45:08.659 --> 00:45:10.380
I want to see if they can bring the dog.
889
00:45:10.420 --> 00:45:12.340
I mean, Jesse Minter and his press availability is saying,
890
00:45:12.360 --> 00:45:14.360
who's my leader on my defense. Somebody needs to step
891
00:45:14.469 --> 00:45:16.869
up on the sideline. When you're talking like that, that's
892
00:45:16.909 --> 00:45:19.909
a challenge, man. So that, that should make guys want
893
00:45:19.929 --> 00:45:22.360
to go hit Trenton Simpson. Somebody who's been a really
894
00:45:22.400 --> 00:45:25.320
physical presence this year for the Ravens in a contract year.
895
00:45:25.760 --> 00:45:27.860
Maybe we see him with a big opportunity to go
896
00:45:27.909 --> 00:45:30.570
see if he can haul down the golden retriever, moose, rhino,
897
00:45:31.329 --> 00:45:34.730
great white buffalo, galloping gazelle there. I don't know. I
898
00:45:34.730 --> 00:45:36.489
probably will take Josh Allen in the open field over
899
00:45:36.530 --> 00:45:36.869
most guys.
900
00:45:37.599 --> 00:45:39.719
That's fair. I like Trenton Simpson, so I still like him.
901
00:45:39.760 --> 00:45:41.550
I liked him so much coming out of Clemson, and
902
00:45:42.530 --> 00:45:45.349
I enjoy seeing him. I've been enjoying seeing him get
903
00:45:45.409 --> 00:45:47.530
more of a shot this year. To speak to some
904
00:45:47.550 --> 00:45:50.889
of your Ravens tackling woes, they are 24th in missed
905
00:45:50.929 --> 00:45:55.909
tackles this year with 62, and they are 25th in
906
00:45:55.989 --> 00:46:02.000
missed tackle rate at 13.2%. I really like your point about,
907
00:46:02.639 --> 00:46:05.000
you know, can you tackle Josh Allen? His leg's battering
908
00:46:05.039 --> 00:46:10.389
a lot. The last several weeks for the Bills offense,
909
00:46:10.409 --> 00:46:14.070
with DJ Moore being out slash banged up, we have
910
00:46:14.190 --> 00:46:17.800
seen some of the similar struggles for the Bills offense
911
00:46:18.039 --> 00:46:21.960
as we had in previous years, particularly last year. We've
912
00:46:21.980 --> 00:46:25.179
also seen a lot of the same successes. Without DJ Moore,
913
00:46:25.219 --> 00:46:28.139
this offense is relatively, and I don't mean this negatively
914
00:46:28.179 --> 00:46:32.150
or disparagingly, it's relatively the same as it was last year.
915
00:46:32.500 --> 00:46:35.980
you're going to get those YY looks or the tight end,
916
00:46:36.059 --> 00:46:38.420
an inline tight end with one hipped off him, maybe
917
00:46:38.460 --> 00:46:40.860
another tight end hipped off of that, or, you know,
918
00:46:40.940 --> 00:46:44.559
kind of like a dirty or loose bunch in 11 personnel.
919
00:46:45.159 --> 00:46:47.119
The Bills are going to run duo to that side
920
00:46:47.360 --> 00:46:49.409
out of that alignment and look, and they're going to
921
00:46:49.449 --> 00:46:52.349
run mid zone week to the other side. And that's
922
00:46:52.409 --> 00:46:55.610
like where everything starts. And then they'll pass the ball
923
00:46:55.949 --> 00:46:57.730
with the concepts that they lean into and kind of
924
00:46:58.329 --> 00:47:00.349
that's what it is. Did it get DJ Moore? They're
925
00:47:00.369 --> 00:47:02.010
able to stretch the field a little bit combined with
926
00:47:02.050 --> 00:47:04.570
a healthy Dalton Kincaid. But what we've seen the past
927
00:47:04.610 --> 00:47:08.059
several weeks is Josh Allen having to rely on his
928
00:47:08.420 --> 00:47:11.840
legs a little bit more, not finding guys open downfield.
929
00:47:12.159 --> 00:47:14.719
Sometimes they're being guys there and he's not pulling the trigger,
930
00:47:15.420 --> 00:47:17.199
which is something we've seen in previous years as well.
931
00:47:17.599 --> 00:47:19.579
But he's had to rely on his legs to kind
932
00:47:19.639 --> 00:47:24.530
of get him comfortable or get him an advantageous look
933
00:47:24.570 --> 00:47:27.530
against the defense because the initial play call isn't doing
934
00:47:27.590 --> 00:47:30.070
it or he's He doesn't like the way the route
935
00:47:30.090 --> 00:47:32.989
distribution has manifested against the coverage. And so he decides
936
00:47:33.030 --> 00:47:35.050
to hold it, tries to make a play with his legs.
937
00:47:35.510 --> 00:47:38.210
Sometimes it's stuff isn't open and things are locked down.
938
00:47:38.530 --> 00:47:41.389
Sometimes he just wants to create. Sometimes he's just, you know,
939
00:47:41.489 --> 00:47:43.280
it's the getting the gang of Josh Allen, but his
940
00:47:43.360 --> 00:47:46.630
legs have mattered a lot recently and kind of like a,
941
00:47:47.260 --> 00:47:51.699
an underlying story for the bills past game has been
942
00:47:51.719 --> 00:47:58.500
the lack of change or newness in terms of concepts
943
00:47:58.579 --> 00:48:00.940
and what's getting open this year versus last year really
944
00:48:00.980 --> 00:48:03.940
was just like, we're going to drop in a top,
945
00:48:04.480 --> 00:48:05.780
a guy at the top of the depth chart who
946
00:48:05.800 --> 00:48:07.699
can actually play at the top of the depth chart
947
00:48:07.719 --> 00:48:11.099
and who has some juice. And if he's not there, Oh,
948
00:48:11.119 --> 00:48:13.599
what do we do? And that's what it's been the
949
00:48:13.639 --> 00:48:16.440
past several weeks. And we should see DJ more this week.
950
00:48:16.739 --> 00:48:19.630
We'll see what capacity we see him in, how healthy
951
00:48:19.690 --> 00:48:21.949
he is. But yeah, Alan's legs have mattered a lot
952
00:48:22.010 --> 00:48:24.070
in terms of just getting him comfortable and also bailing
953
00:48:24.110 --> 00:48:28.389
him out. Um, for, you know, guys aren't open. Keyon
954
00:48:28.409 --> 00:48:31.590
Coleman's great in the scramble drill. Kalil Shakir is great
955
00:48:32.030 --> 00:48:35.090
in the scramble drill, which helps as well. And Allen's
956
00:48:35.110 --> 00:48:38.250
always been a creator, but it's been a little bit
957
00:48:38.309 --> 00:48:40.550
out of necessity the past several weeks with some things
958
00:48:40.610 --> 00:48:42.989
not being open. And again, DJ Moore does change some things,
959
00:48:43.070 --> 00:48:47.159
but Allen relying on his legs against the defense that
960
00:48:47.219 --> 00:48:48.860
has struggled with some tackling a little bit, as you mentioned.
961
00:48:49.460 --> 00:48:51.909
Good matchup piece. I like that. I like that. Definitely.
962
00:48:51.929 --> 00:48:54.329
My guy, Keon Coleman, I'm glad to see him mature
963
00:48:54.349 --> 00:48:56.530
a little bit, and it seems like he's been doing
964
00:48:56.550 --> 00:48:58.860
what he's supposed to do there, bought in to this
965
00:48:58.900 --> 00:49:03.760
Joe Brady full program. And I don't know why Keon
966
00:49:03.800 --> 00:49:06.579
Coleman's not laying the wood. He was a pretty devastating
967
00:49:06.639 --> 00:49:09.780
run blocker at times in college. And I haven't really
968
00:49:09.800 --> 00:49:12.239
seen that on tape out of him. So that's my
969
00:49:12.280 --> 00:49:15.070
challenge for Mr. Keon Coleman, if I'm able to put
970
00:49:15.150 --> 00:49:18.820
one into the Cover One community here, is uh see
971
00:49:18.840 --> 00:49:20.519
if you guys can get a little a little spark
972
00:49:20.559 --> 00:49:22.480
under his butt get him blocking man i don't i
973
00:49:22.480 --> 00:49:23.960
don't know what's happening he used to be able to
974
00:49:23.980 --> 00:49:26.599
use that big wide frame those long arms and he
975
00:49:26.619 --> 00:49:28.800
used to get up into guys get up into guys
976
00:49:28.860 --> 00:49:30.559
necks and be able to kind of box them out
977
00:49:30.599 --> 00:49:32.059
and grab them and put them on the ground a
978
00:49:32.079 --> 00:49:34.349
little bit out of a straight stock block and Not
979
00:49:34.369 --> 00:49:35.969
really seeing the oomph there. I'm glad to see him
980
00:49:35.989 --> 00:49:38.559
really flourish as a receiver. Was really high on the
981
00:49:38.599 --> 00:49:41.940
talent coming out of FSU. Very young player, but, man,
982
00:49:41.960 --> 00:49:44.320
I want to see him do some more damage as
983
00:49:44.360 --> 00:49:47.840
a blocker. It's a challenge I have for Mr. Coleman.
984
00:49:48.280 --> 00:49:50.059
He– I looked it up because I was trying to
985
00:49:50.079 --> 00:49:53.570
think of the year. Yeah, so his rookie year when
986
00:49:53.590 --> 00:49:56.389
the Bills played the Seahawks in Seattle, he had a
987
00:49:56.449 --> 00:50:01.110
couple– It was against Tariq Woolen where he like buried
988
00:50:01.170 --> 00:50:03.670
him into the sideline and it was like rookie year.
989
00:50:03.730 --> 00:50:04.750
And it was, yeah, it was like, Ooh, I see
990
00:50:04.789 --> 00:50:06.809
you saw this on tape. This is cool. This is fun.
991
00:50:06.849 --> 00:50:10.710
And yeah, you didn't really see that going forward from there.
992
00:50:10.809 --> 00:50:12.739
I thought we'd get more of it too this year
993
00:50:12.760 --> 00:50:16.480
with them. I call it the Mac Collins role like that,
994
00:50:17.079 --> 00:50:19.139
that wide receiver that when you're in 11, it's really
995
00:50:19.139 --> 00:50:21.219
11 and a half. It was Mac Collins two years ago.
996
00:50:21.320 --> 00:50:24.659
It was Tyrell Shavers last year. I was like, Keon
997
00:50:24.679 --> 00:50:28.150
Coleman should be that guy this year. It just makes sense. Um,
998
00:50:28.570 --> 00:50:31.650
and instead they've kind of leaned more into like the
999
00:50:31.690 --> 00:50:33.730
tight end aspect, which makes sense. And don't kick aid
1000
00:50:33.769 --> 00:50:36.730
kind of being that third man. Um, but yeah, I mean,
1001
00:50:36.750 --> 00:50:39.289
Keon's got that in his bag, but watching him having
1002
00:50:39.309 --> 00:50:44.030
some success, um, as a, as, as a pass catcher
1003
00:50:44.070 --> 00:50:47.190
has just been, it's been cool to see. And there's
1004
00:50:47.210 --> 00:50:48.949
a hold on. I want to, the sample size is
1005
00:50:48.969 --> 00:50:51.670
small cause he's not the most targeted guy, but, uh,
1006
00:50:52.769 --> 00:50:55.469
I pulled this last night right before I pulled the
1007
00:50:55.670 --> 00:50:59.659
Zay flower numbers, uh, Out of 90 qualifying wide receivers
1008
00:50:59.699 --> 00:51:02.820
with at least 100 routes run, this was going into
1009
00:51:02.840 --> 00:51:04.800
the Monday night game last night, Keon Coleman is first
1010
00:51:04.860 --> 00:51:08.400
in EPA per target at 1.07, and he's first in
1011
00:51:08.460 --> 00:51:11.900
targeted success rate at 70.8. And I know, again, the
1012
00:51:11.920 --> 00:51:14.400
sample size, it skews it a bit because he's 64th
1013
00:51:14.440 --> 00:51:17.590
in targets, 52nd in target share. But just seeing him
1014
00:51:17.610 --> 00:51:19.010
have any type of production like that.
1015
00:51:19.030 --> 00:51:20.650
Well, it's really nice when you're not getting the ball
1016
00:51:20.670 --> 00:51:22.809
a lot for a guy to be locked in. Fair.
1017
00:51:23.809 --> 00:51:27.329
So if he's producing on low volume to me for
1018
00:51:27.349 --> 00:51:30.789
a guy that has been called out, find and challenged
1019
00:51:30.809 --> 00:51:34.730
to be more focused, then I like to see that.
1020
00:51:34.750 --> 00:51:36.280
I like to see that means he's engaged when he
1021
00:51:36.340 --> 00:51:39.840
is getting those opportunities. I'm looking at simple PFF grades here.
1022
00:51:40.219 --> 00:51:42.159
I'm looking, I was like, Oh, in 2025, they had
1023
00:51:42.199 --> 00:51:43.739
him with a nice run blocking grade. It looks like
1024
00:51:43.760 --> 00:51:48.019
he had a 91 against the jets in week 18 on,
1025
00:51:48.139 --> 00:51:51.280
on his highest snap count of the season after the
1026
00:51:51.590 --> 00:51:54.789
week one Ravens game, actually. And then, the following week
1027
00:51:54.809 --> 00:51:56.329
in the wild card, he had his lowest of the season,
1028
00:51:56.349 --> 00:51:58.179
which was a 33 PFF, you know, with a grain
1029
00:51:58.199 --> 00:52:01.519
of salt on their subjective grading. But, you know, I
1030
00:52:01.539 --> 00:52:03.880
like their stock blocking grades. It's not that too hard
1031
00:52:03.900 --> 00:52:05.739
to figure out. That's a pretty simple part of football.
1032
00:52:06.079 --> 00:52:07.969
So it seems like he got pretty, pretty up with it.
1033
00:52:08.000 --> 00:52:09.739
Week 18.
1034
00:52:09.739 --> 00:52:10.039
Yeah.
1035
00:52:10.099 --> 00:52:12.079
Not seeing a ton of those little PFF poppers. And
1036
00:52:12.099 --> 00:52:14.340
I was a little, a little disappointed to see he's
1037
00:52:14.400 --> 00:52:17.769
not turning into somewhat of a centerpiece in the perimeter,
1038
00:52:18.610 --> 00:52:20.449
whether it's a blocker on screens for maybe a little
1039
00:52:20.469 --> 00:52:24.599
Shakir or, on maybe some, you know, insert blocks and
1040
00:52:24.619 --> 00:52:26.179
things like that. Cause I think those are things that
1041
00:52:26.219 --> 00:52:28.909
he has the physical capability to do, which make him
1042
00:52:28.929 --> 00:52:31.690
a very valuable and unique piece. You mentioned Matt Collins.
1043
00:52:31.710 --> 00:52:33.690
It's something you like Matt Collins to do. And again,
1044
00:52:34.030 --> 00:52:38.090
he's guys 23 years old, still very young overall. And, um, that's,
1045
00:52:38.110 --> 00:52:39.869
that's stuff that takes some experience to get really good
1046
00:52:39.889 --> 00:52:42.349
at typically. So I'd like to see him get after
1047
00:52:42.369 --> 00:52:44.690
a little more. That's my, my key on Coleman fixation
1048
00:52:44.750 --> 00:52:45.469
for the evening.
1049
00:52:45.929 --> 00:52:50.889
I think that's fair. I think that's fair. Um, I agree.
1050
00:52:52.949 --> 00:52:58.710
I do my next point. I am. I'm just going
1051
00:52:58.730 --> 00:53:00.010
to go in order with how I am listed here.
1052
00:53:00.030 --> 00:53:01.929
I don't think I have many particular, or I say
1053
00:53:01.949 --> 00:53:03.440
that every time it's always a cop out. So I
1054
00:53:03.480 --> 00:53:06.199
don't have to commit myself to one. Um, this one's
1055
00:53:06.219 --> 00:53:08.760
pretty straightforward. I'm not going to get into all the
1056
00:53:08.780 --> 00:53:11.719
stats and the metrics. I did that heading into the
1057
00:53:11.760 --> 00:53:16.920
Raiders game two weeks ago. My second point here, I
1058
00:53:16.960 --> 00:53:21.369
titled it Jim Leonard versus himself. Uh, Essentially, to kind
1059
00:53:21.429 --> 00:53:23.489
of boil it down as much as possible, what's been
1060
00:53:23.530 --> 00:53:28.119
happening for the Bills defense this year is, you know,
1061
00:53:28.159 --> 00:53:32.260
we talked about miscommunication, you know, things not being simplified enough,
1062
00:53:33.260 --> 00:53:35.380
you know, from Jim Leonard. But Jim Leonard also speaking
1063
00:53:35.440 --> 00:53:37.920
about it and saying, like, you know, guys are blowing
1064
00:53:37.960 --> 00:53:41.409
assignments that don't really have to do with anything being complicated.
1065
00:53:41.510 --> 00:53:44.150
So how do I simplify things further? Things have been
1066
00:53:44.190 --> 00:53:47.349
very messy. You got guys looking lost out there in
1067
00:53:47.369 --> 00:53:49.590
assignments that, you know, yeah, it might be new to them,
1068
00:53:49.630 --> 00:53:53.070
but you still shouldn't be that lost as a football player.
1069
00:53:53.179 --> 00:53:56.480
Things have been ugly. The crux of all of it is,
1070
00:53:58.000 --> 00:54:03.599
in my estimation, the Jim Leonard defense this year does
1071
00:54:03.679 --> 00:54:07.079
not have the traditional body types or positional archetypes that
1072
00:54:07.119 --> 00:54:09.340
Leonard is accustomed to, even from his time at Wisconsin.
1073
00:54:10.280 --> 00:54:12.019
And so then the response is that, well, he's an
1074
00:54:12.059 --> 00:54:14.559
NFL coach. He's got to adjust to the pieces around him.
1075
00:54:14.820 --> 00:54:17.960
And I think he is. It's actually, I feel like
1076
00:54:18.000 --> 00:54:20.960
he's adjusted too much. So instead of trying to do
1077
00:54:21.000 --> 00:54:23.780
a square peg into a round hole, he's got a
1078
00:54:23.820 --> 00:54:26.570
bunch of square pegs and he's trying to make himself
1079
00:54:27.219 --> 00:54:29.789
be the round hole so he can make everything fit.
1080
00:54:30.210 --> 00:54:33.550
And I think he's tried to operate this defense kind
1081
00:54:33.590 --> 00:54:36.349
of with kid gloves. And some of it is out
1082
00:54:36.389 --> 00:54:39.489
of necessity. Guys aren't executing basic stuff. So how can
1083
00:54:39.530 --> 00:54:42.159
he get into his bag and get more creative. Some
1084
00:54:42.179 --> 00:54:44.610
of the creative stuff he is throwing, they're doing some
1085
00:54:44.699 --> 00:54:47.230
like non-traditional Tampa stuff a couple of weeks ago. And
1086
00:54:47.909 --> 00:54:50.409
Cole Bishop is the cloud player. And he, he just
1087
00:54:50.570 --> 00:54:52.829
has no feel for anybody coming in around him. And that's,
1088
00:54:53.010 --> 00:54:55.409
you know, coverage is blown guys get open that way.
1089
00:54:57.650 --> 00:55:00.750
So I titled this Jim Leonard against himself because you're just,
1090
00:55:01.329 --> 00:55:02.389
and I said this a couple of weeks ago in
1091
00:55:02.409 --> 00:55:04.659
an episode that I spoke like for an hour and
1092
00:55:04.679 --> 00:55:06.900
a half on this in, in much more detail. I
1093
00:55:06.920 --> 00:55:08.440
hate to do that for people and be like, Why
1094
00:55:08.460 --> 00:55:09.929
can't you just say it now? Why do you got
1095
00:55:09.949 --> 00:55:13.130
to plug something else? But I talked a lot about it. Essentially,
1096
00:55:14.110 --> 00:55:15.909
this defense has not looked or felt like a Jim
1097
00:55:15.929 --> 00:55:18.030
Leonard defense. We're not seeing the aggression. We're not seeing
1098
00:55:18.050 --> 00:55:21.289
the creativity. The only thing that we're seeing is movement
1099
00:55:21.489 --> 00:55:23.789
up front. They are second in the league in stunt
1100
00:55:23.869 --> 00:55:27.570
rate at 24%. Fun fact, the Ravens are fourth at 22.8%.
1101
00:55:27.570 --> 00:55:31.380
They've both been consistently top five in stunt rate all year.
1102
00:55:31.719 --> 00:55:35.000
But we're not seeing a ton of simulated pressures. All
1103
00:55:35.019 --> 00:55:37.119
the hallmarks and the calling cards of a Jim Leonard
1104
00:55:37.139 --> 00:55:40.590
defense the simulated pressures, the creative stuff on third down,
1105
00:55:40.889 --> 00:55:44.730
the man coverage stuff, the sound communication and match coverages,
1106
00:55:45.150 --> 00:55:49.349
press and being aggressive and dictating to an offense and
1107
00:55:49.429 --> 00:55:51.639
not being a counter puncher. We are seeing literally the
1108
00:55:51.699 --> 00:55:56.039
antithesis of all of those things thus far under Jim Leonard.
1109
00:55:56.639 --> 00:55:58.119
And we started to see a little bit of change
1110
00:55:58.659 --> 00:56:01.920
in that against the Raiders, a little bit of a
1111
00:56:01.980 --> 00:56:05.349
coverage structure change going into that Raiders game. They were
1112
00:56:05.409 --> 00:56:10.550
pretty much just a, Cover three and a quarters defense
1113
00:56:10.610 --> 00:56:14.050
heading into that Raiders game. They were at a 36.4%
1114
00:56:14.050 --> 00:56:19.010
rate of cover three and a 22.4% rate of quarters.
1115
00:56:19.090 --> 00:56:21.489
It was essentially that like, those are your buckets. You
1116
00:56:21.510 --> 00:56:24.050
were either going to get cover three or quarters versus
1117
00:56:24.090 --> 00:56:27.980
the Raiders in week six. Again, their last game before
1118
00:56:28.000 --> 00:56:30.400
they went into the buy, we saw more coverage diversity
1119
00:56:30.800 --> 00:56:34.659
and more man coverage, 28.8% cover three, 25.8% cover one, 13.6%
1120
00:56:37.929 --> 00:56:44.139
cover six, 10.6% quarters and 6.1% two man. And then
1121
00:56:44.199 --> 00:56:49.699
on third down 53.8% cover one rate weeks one through five,
1122
00:56:49.739 --> 00:56:53.340
they had a 12.3% cover one rate and their predominant
1123
00:56:53.360 --> 00:56:56.739
coverages on third downs weeks one through five were again,
1124
00:56:56.780 --> 00:57:00.300
cover three and quarters at the top. They started to
1125
00:57:00.360 --> 00:57:01.760
change a little bit. We started to see a little
1126
00:57:01.780 --> 00:57:04.250
bit of more of the Jim Leonard stuff against the Raiders.
1127
00:57:04.309 --> 00:57:06.769
My thought was, Show a little bit of that against
1128
00:57:06.809 --> 00:57:08.590
the team that you should be able to show that against.
1129
00:57:08.650 --> 00:57:12.500
No disrespect to the Raiders. Go into the buy, retool, reassess,
1130
00:57:12.860 --> 00:57:18.940
come out. Operating this safe way or safer has not
1131
00:57:18.980 --> 00:57:23.639
worked for you. So screw it. Let's blitz. Let's play press.
1132
00:57:23.880 --> 00:57:26.780
Let's go creative. Let's at least die fast instead of
1133
00:57:26.840 --> 00:57:29.380
die slow. Yes, in theory, it could get worse. You
1134
00:57:29.420 --> 00:57:32.079
could give up 40 points a game instead of 30
1135
00:57:32.079 --> 00:57:35.550
to 35. So things could always get worse. But they
1136
00:57:35.590 --> 00:57:38.110
are giving up a ton of plays a game, a
1137
00:57:38.139 --> 00:57:41.820
ton of drives per game, a ton of points. When
1138
00:57:41.840 --> 00:57:45.480
you get into the drive stats of where they are
1139
00:57:45.539 --> 00:57:53.659
in terms of score percentage and touchdown percentage defensively, it's ugly.
1140
00:57:54.679 --> 00:57:58.599
And I'm pulling it up right now. Plays per drive,
1141
00:57:58.940 --> 00:58:02.610
the Buffalo Bills defense is last in the league. given
1142
00:58:02.690 --> 00:58:06.780
up averaging seven plays per drive. When it comes to
1143
00:58:06.900 --> 00:58:12.940
score percentage or score rate, they are 31st at 46.8%.
1144
00:58:12.940 --> 00:58:16.099
When it comes to drives ending in a touchdown, they
1145
00:58:16.119 --> 00:58:20.480
are 31st at 33.9%. We literally could just go down
1146
00:58:20.500 --> 00:58:23.309
a multitude of stats and they're all not good. And
1147
00:58:23.349 --> 00:58:25.909
so if they're all not good while trying to cater
1148
00:58:25.929 --> 00:58:30.230
to what you have, screw it a little bit, get
1149
00:58:30.289 --> 00:58:32.860
back to who and what you are, go down swinging
1150
00:58:32.889 --> 00:58:35.079
a bit more, change it up a little bit. And
1151
00:58:35.139 --> 00:58:38.960
so Jim Leonard versus himself, because I think he's trying
1152
00:58:38.980 --> 00:58:42.860
to adapt so hard to the players that he's handcuffed himself.
1153
00:58:43.239 --> 00:58:45.199
I think it's also kind of handcuffing the players. It's
1154
00:58:45.260 --> 00:58:48.659
turned into one big mess. So that's my second point.
1155
00:58:48.800 --> 00:58:51.400
And I had, I had this game Mark granted. I
1156
00:58:51.420 --> 00:58:52.699
thought it was going to be Lamar. We'll see what
1157
00:58:52.719 --> 00:58:55.639
happens with Huntley, but I had it marked against an
1158
00:58:55.719 --> 00:58:58.539
offense that went healthy is a buzzsaw and has given
1159
00:58:58.559 --> 00:59:01.110
you problems for years. what can you look like coming
1160
00:59:01.130 --> 00:59:02.739
out of the buy? Cause the bills get the Ravens
1161
00:59:02.780 --> 00:59:05.380
and then it's the jets, the dolphins, the Vikings, and
1162
00:59:05.400 --> 00:59:08.110
then you play the chiefs. You have an opportunity to
1163
00:59:08.150 --> 00:59:10.199
kind of course, correct and change the narrative for this
1164
00:59:10.239 --> 00:59:12.920
season a little bit. So, yeah, I think it's Jim
1165
00:59:12.940 --> 00:59:15.519
Leonard versus himself figuring out what he can do, what
1166
00:59:15.559 --> 00:59:17.699
he can't do, and how he wants to go down
1167
00:59:17.760 --> 00:59:22.039
swinging and how that could maybe potentially elevate the players
1168
00:59:22.139 --> 00:59:24.579
and move this defense in a new direction that is
1169
00:59:24.619 --> 00:59:27.059
more in line with who and what he's been over
1170
00:59:27.119 --> 00:59:27.719
previous seasons.
1171
00:59:28.739 --> 00:59:31.460
Yeah, I really don't love Cole Bishop in his defense.
1172
00:59:32.519 --> 00:59:36.219
I don't think he's– I look at Malachi Starks as
1173
00:59:36.260 --> 00:59:38.920
a player that Ravens drafted slightly higher. Bishop, what, a
1174
00:59:38.940 --> 00:59:39.619
second-round pick?
1175
00:59:40.440 --> 00:59:42.219
Yeah, towards the end of the second there.
1176
00:59:42.409 --> 00:59:45.510
Yeah, for safety still, you know, that's a high-pick safety
1177
00:59:45.530 --> 00:59:48.869
in my eyes. So I think, you know, looking kind
1178
00:59:48.909 --> 00:59:53.010
of safeties, linebackers, and then looking at– to me, the
1179
00:59:53.110 --> 00:59:55.110
Vikings are just the most interesting defense in the NFL
1180
00:59:55.150 --> 00:59:58.719
by far. They have Harrison Smith talking about how, who
1181
00:59:58.780 --> 01:00:01.260
was it that decided four is the number you rush?
1182
01:00:02.199 --> 01:00:05.059
And that's the question the Vikings have been asking themselves.
1183
01:00:05.139 --> 01:00:08.079
And Vikings brought in Charlie Fry. I would recommend reading
1184
01:00:08.099 --> 01:00:09.420
the article about Charlie Fry.
1185
01:00:09.780 --> 01:00:10.980
Oh, it was so good.
1186
01:00:11.579 --> 01:00:15.099
Yes. Highly recommend going in and checking that out. So
1187
01:00:15.780 --> 01:00:17.880
when there's that kind of stuff going on, there's what
1188
01:00:17.920 --> 01:00:22.050
Mike McDonald Seahawks are doing. There's what is happening. Steve
1189
01:00:22.070 --> 01:00:23.719
Spagnuolo has been doing a few years. And then I
1190
01:00:23.750 --> 01:00:26.199
look at Minter and I look at, I look at
1191
01:00:26.300 --> 01:00:28.269
Jim Leonard here and it's like, all right, they rushed four.
1192
01:00:28.329 --> 01:00:30.710
Sometimes they rush five, you know, 20% of the time,
1193
01:00:30.769 --> 01:00:32.849
one or five times it's passed down. It's probably 40%
1194
01:00:32.849 --> 01:00:36.150
if I had to guess on, you know, third and
1195
01:00:36.409 --> 01:00:39.250
six or more. So it just feels like it's not
1196
01:00:39.269 --> 01:00:42.889
hard to figure out what the front's doing, which if
1197
01:00:42.909 --> 01:00:44.690
you're not having to worry about the front as much,
1198
01:00:45.090 --> 01:00:48.219
there's not as many guys walked up today with, with
1199
01:00:48.480 --> 01:00:51.199
what sim pressure is and how many guys are getting
1200
01:00:51.239 --> 01:00:54.309
put in the box. Everybody's looking at Flores and, and,
1201
01:00:54.699 --> 01:00:58.610
preparing for those types of mugged up looks and umbrella
1202
01:00:58.639 --> 01:01:01.369
looks where you can, you know, dictate how the offensive
1203
01:01:01.489 --> 01:01:04.070
pass protection slides one way or the other. I'm just
1204
01:01:04.110 --> 01:01:07.469
not seeing that being forced for either of these defenses really.
1205
01:01:07.550 --> 01:01:10.630
So I think that is a part of the equation.
1206
01:01:10.650 --> 01:01:13.949
That's not leading to four quarters of a quarterback having
1207
01:01:13.969 --> 01:01:16.130
to do algorithms and math in their head. And then
1208
01:01:16.170 --> 01:01:19.900
the offensive coordinator as well. And just putting more stress
1209
01:01:19.940 --> 01:01:22.219
pre-snap is not something I see out of this Bill's
1210
01:01:22.239 --> 01:01:25.599
defense a ton right now. And yeah, It's a little
1211
01:01:25.639 --> 01:01:31.469
bit static and makes the math. Football is very simple math.
1212
01:01:31.489 --> 01:01:32.710
You don't need to, you know, you don't even need
1213
01:01:32.730 --> 01:01:34.389
to be good at algebra to do it, but there's
1214
01:01:34.409 --> 01:01:36.949
a little bit of math. Like I've got, all right,
1215
01:01:36.989 --> 01:01:38.289
I want to run the ball to the right and
1216
01:01:38.309 --> 01:01:40.349
they're overloading that side. I don't have numbers over there.
1217
01:01:40.389 --> 01:01:43.110
Let me run the ball weak side. You know, those
1218
01:01:43.150 --> 01:01:45.349
are basic things. And I think when you're just not
1219
01:01:45.429 --> 01:01:48.130
asking an offensive line and a quarterback to sort and
1220
01:01:48.170 --> 01:01:50.860
think of multiple possibilities and have to read and wait
1221
01:01:50.929 --> 01:01:53.059
and see as much, they can play fast when you
1222
01:01:53.079 --> 01:01:55.980
can play fast, you play well. So, I think, yeah,
1223
01:01:56.019 --> 01:01:58.739
I think both of these defenses need to figure out
1224
01:01:58.780 --> 01:02:01.519
ways to make the opposing quarterback, whether it's Huntley or
1225
01:02:01.559 --> 01:02:03.619
Lamar for the Bills, whether it's Josh, well, it'll be
1226
01:02:03.639 --> 01:02:06.260
Josh Allen for the Bills, you know, do a little
1227
01:02:06.280 --> 01:02:09.780
bit more math up front faster and hold the ball,
1228
01:02:09.820 --> 01:02:12.099
have to try and find fast answers and then being
1229
01:02:12.139 --> 01:02:14.380
able to bait them into some throws, bait them into
1230
01:02:14.400 --> 01:02:17.000
some decisions they have to make to either take a
1231
01:02:17.019 --> 01:02:19.440
loss or put the ball in danger. And I just
1232
01:02:19.460 --> 01:02:21.610
don't think either of these defenses are doing enough. The Ravens,
1233
01:02:22.550 --> 01:02:26.710
Not forcing a high rate, for example, of tight contested
1234
01:02:26.809 --> 01:02:30.690
throats overall. I think they've gotten their hands on 23 passes.
1235
01:02:31.190 --> 01:02:32.869
The Steelers have gotten their hands. They lead the NFL
1236
01:02:32.909 --> 01:02:36.590
with 46. So I have to look. I'm looking at
1237
01:02:36.650 --> 01:02:39.699
summer sports for that one. Let me see here. We've
1238
01:02:39.800 --> 01:02:45.780
got missed tackles, all this good stuff. Where's my– where
1239
01:02:45.920 --> 01:02:48.760
is it? Contested target percentage. The bill is actually forcing 19%,
1240
01:02:48.760 --> 01:02:53.480
which leads the NFL– uh contested targets according to summer
1241
01:02:53.519 --> 01:02:57.960
sports and past breakups they do have 35 which is
1242
01:02:58.000 --> 01:02:59.659
the eighth most so they're getting their paws in some
1243
01:02:59.679 --> 01:03:03.099
balls uh looks like maybe deceive my subjective eyes they're
1244
01:03:03.159 --> 01:03:05.659
the ravens 27th they have 23 and they are forcing
1245
01:03:05.719 --> 01:03:10.409
a contested target on 11.6 so almost half of what
1246
01:03:10.429 --> 01:03:12.690
the bills have so forcing some contested throws there but
1247
01:03:13.510 --> 01:03:18.940
um man it's uh Good point for sure. And if
1248
01:03:19.000 --> 01:03:23.159
it's Lamar, he does that simple math pretty good to
1249
01:03:23.179 --> 01:03:26.800
figure out. It's something he processes well. So I think
1250
01:03:26.860 --> 01:03:28.539
if it's Lamar, you get a little bit of help there.
1251
01:03:28.579 --> 01:03:31.480
The issue with Tyler Huntley overall, we haven't talked about
1252
01:03:31.500 --> 01:03:33.300
him much. If it is him, he really isn't an
1253
01:03:33.400 --> 01:03:34.840
accurate deep thrower. He has a little bit of an
1254
01:03:34.880 --> 01:03:39.989
atypical throwing motion. I think he started maybe eight games
1255
01:03:40.030 --> 01:03:41.909
in this time, and he didn't complete a pass over
1256
01:03:41.909 --> 01:03:45.889
25 air yards from 2023 until I think it was
1257
01:03:45.909 --> 01:03:49.650
seven starts later. Um, so a long stretch of not
1258
01:03:49.690 --> 01:03:52.030
being able to push the ball. And again, it's, it's
1259
01:03:52.090 --> 01:03:54.849
math problems. It's space problems. It's geometry problems. When you
1260
01:03:54.869 --> 01:03:57.489
feel like you're not getting threatened over top and put
1261
01:03:57.510 --> 01:03:59.510
more in the box and cause more math problems for
1262
01:03:59.530 --> 01:04:02.409
the run game for, uh, for your, your opposing offense.
1263
01:04:02.429 --> 01:04:05.309
So math, math, math, Jim Leonard, if I'm Jim Leonard,
1264
01:04:05.869 --> 01:04:08.969
I want to make this Ravens offensive line have to sort.
1265
01:04:09.139 --> 01:04:10.760
I want to do that by walking some guys up,
1266
01:04:11.239 --> 01:04:13.219
even if they're just dropping out, make slides go a
1267
01:04:13.239 --> 01:04:17.119
certain way and then stunt off of it. So, um, yeah,
1268
01:04:17.239 --> 01:04:20.219
I mean, we haven't seen a rule change in the
1269
01:04:20.239 --> 01:04:23.260
sport in a while. We haven't really seen any schematic
1270
01:04:23.880 --> 01:04:28.050
innovation trickle up from the lower levels, the youth football world.
1271
01:04:28.090 --> 01:04:31.130
I think the RPO was really the last true innovation
1272
01:04:31.170 --> 01:04:34.789
we saw trickle up and offenses aren't really running RPOs
1273
01:04:34.829 --> 01:04:36.969
a ton anymore. The defenses have solved those out a
1274
01:04:36.989 --> 01:04:39.690
little bit with having some lighter bodies, the way that
1275
01:04:39.730 --> 01:04:43.460
they use their safeties and some different calls. So, um,
1276
01:04:43.619 --> 01:04:47.500
to me it's, it's, you know, solving these math problems, um,
1277
01:04:47.929 --> 01:04:49.690
the more complex the defense makes it when there's not
1278
01:04:49.730 --> 01:04:51.369
a rule change and they feel like they can start
1279
01:04:51.389 --> 01:04:54.650
to mess with an offense, the harder life gets, especially
1280
01:04:54.670 --> 01:04:57.909
if you're doing it with intention. So yes, man, I
1281
01:04:57.969 --> 01:04:59.849
could be in for a high scoring affair. If Lamar
1282
01:04:59.929 --> 01:05:03.400
is feeling good, I don't think we're surprised there. The
1283
01:05:03.440 --> 01:05:05.519
bill should be rested. If Lamar is rested and able
1284
01:05:05.539 --> 01:05:08.460
to go, I'm not surprised to see this game, you know,
1285
01:05:08.519 --> 01:05:11.380
get into the, the forties pretty easily for the total.
1286
01:05:11.800 --> 01:05:13.300
I don't know what the total is. I haven't looked
1287
01:05:13.360 --> 01:05:16.349
by the guests. It's, Probably a waiting status. I would
1288
01:05:16.369 --> 01:05:18.090
guess it's maybe 47 and a half if I had
1289
01:05:18.110 --> 01:05:18.409
to guess.
1290
01:05:18.469 --> 01:05:22.250
Yeah, I expect to see some points and some fireworks
1291
01:05:22.309 --> 01:05:28.019
in this one. Your third and final point for this
1292
01:05:28.360 --> 01:05:31.400
matchup here in week eight between the Bills and the Ravens.
1293
01:05:31.400 --> 01:05:32.960
54 and a half.
1294
01:05:34.280 --> 01:05:34.559
Yikes.
1295
01:05:35.639 --> 01:05:35.920
Wow.
1296
01:05:36.300 --> 01:05:39.780
Wonder if they know something we don't about Lamar Jackson playing.
1297
01:05:40.500 --> 01:05:42.909
I think they're leaning pretty heavily towards him playing there.
1298
01:05:42.949 --> 01:05:44.349
Three and a half points for it currently.
1299
01:05:45.090 --> 01:05:45.449
Fair enough.
1300
01:05:45.860 --> 01:05:47.590
They usually know, and you can usually see in the spread.
1301
01:05:47.650 --> 01:05:49.849
Last week, they did not, though. Big jump. It was
1302
01:05:49.909 --> 01:05:51.690
Ravens minus three and a half, and it flipped to
1303
01:05:51.750 --> 01:05:54.469
Bengals minus three and a half to start. So we
1304
01:05:54.489 --> 01:05:57.769
shall see in that regard. However, my final point here,
1305
01:05:59.929 --> 01:06:02.650
I've watched a little bit of the Bills' special team snaps.
1306
01:06:02.710 --> 01:06:04.590
Correct me if I'm wrong. I just feel like neither
1307
01:06:04.639 --> 01:06:08.059
of these teams, Bass is a nice, consistent kicker, relatively speaking.
1308
01:06:09.019 --> 01:06:11.760
Now, he has been this year, as he's had the yips.
1309
01:06:12.260 --> 01:06:16.219
He's been a big the subject of conversation for a
1310
01:06:16.260 --> 01:06:17.929
lot of bills fans, but he has been good this year.
1311
01:06:17.989 --> 01:06:18.820
Fingers crossed. No jinx.
1312
01:06:18.860 --> 01:06:20.309
Kickers should not be a part of the sport. There
1313
01:06:20.329 --> 01:06:23.949
should be no kicking. Kickers should make $ 50 million. Uh,
1314
01:06:24.130 --> 01:06:26.250
I had Justin Tucker for a long time until he
1315
01:06:26.289 --> 01:06:30.750
did some nefarious activities throughout the greater Baltimore area. But, uh,
1316
01:06:30.769 --> 01:06:32.789
why are kickers not paid $ 50 million a year? They
1317
01:06:32.809 --> 01:06:35.570
determine every other game. Like it's, it's crazy to me.
1318
01:06:35.610 --> 01:06:38.170
Like it's the stupidest part of the sport. It would
1319
01:06:38.190 --> 01:06:41.570
be like, all right, let's go. Uh, let's go play
1320
01:06:41.610 --> 01:06:43.860
a baseball game. And if the game's tied at the end,
1321
01:06:43.880 --> 01:06:45.880
we're going to have the bullpen catchers do a hot
1322
01:06:45.900 --> 01:06:49.579
dog eating contest. Like it is just so outside of
1323
01:06:49.599 --> 01:06:52.179
the rest of the skillset of the guys who make
1324
01:06:52.219 --> 01:06:54.780
all the money and do all the things. Oh, NBA
1325
01:06:54.800 --> 01:06:57.329
games close. All right. We're going to see who can
1326
01:06:57.829 --> 01:07:03.010
ride horses and do a quarter mile. You know, we'll
1327
01:07:03.030 --> 01:07:04.909
get our point guards on to go jockey. It just
1328
01:07:04.929 --> 01:07:08.110
doesn't make any sense to me. So I'm not seeing
1329
01:07:08.150 --> 01:07:11.710
any crazy impact out of the return game. from the bills.
1330
01:07:12.409 --> 01:07:14.630
Have they been, have they been doing anything nice this season?
1331
01:07:14.909 --> 01:07:17.710
Ray Davis is, is effective all pro returner last year.
1332
01:07:17.789 --> 01:07:19.699
He's had a couple this year. Greg Dorch gives him
1333
01:07:19.719 --> 01:07:20.500
some juice in the punt.
1334
01:07:20.840 --> 01:07:23.320
Yeah. Okay. Maybe a little better then, but for me,
1335
01:07:23.420 --> 01:07:26.599
can the Ravens do something on special teams? They, their
1336
01:07:26.619 --> 01:07:32.489
kicker is fine. He misses some, he's very bad from
1337
01:07:32.489 --> 01:07:35.349
40 to 49 for whatever reason. I'm not a kicking specialist.
1338
01:07:36.190 --> 01:07:38.829
He's very good from 50 plus. He's very good from
1339
01:07:38.869 --> 01:07:42.420
inside 40. Their punter has not been great. They have
1340
01:07:42.760 --> 01:07:45.900
really not had a ton of juice in the last week. One,
1341
01:07:45.920 --> 01:07:51.480
they had a big return. Chris Moore had one return.
1342
01:07:52.000 --> 01:07:54.719
They've had a couple. And then, yeah, Bills had the
1343
01:07:55.000 --> 01:07:58.829
first– the opening kick against the Rams. Ray Davis took
1344
01:07:58.869 --> 01:08:00.489
it down to like the Rams, like 30. And then
1345
01:08:00.530 --> 01:08:02.829
the Bills got like three plays of negative yards and
1346
01:08:02.849 --> 01:08:03.550
had to kick a field goal.
1347
01:08:03.869 --> 01:08:07.820
Yep. So, to me, it's like what– Let's see some
1348
01:08:07.840 --> 01:08:09.579
juice on special teams. I want to see if there's
1349
01:08:09.599 --> 01:08:13.019
some funk. For the Ravens, if it's Huntley, you've got
1350
01:08:13.039 --> 01:08:15.239
to figure out how to increase your margins here. I
1351
01:08:15.260 --> 01:08:17.920
think it's being more aggressive on special teams. I think
1352
01:08:17.939 --> 01:08:20.239
it's being more aggressive on fourth down maybe than they've been.
1353
01:08:20.819 --> 01:08:24.260
The Ravens have been unbelievably bad in short yardage run situations.
1354
01:08:24.760 --> 01:08:27.920
They have a sub-50% success rate from third and fourth
1355
01:08:27.979 --> 01:08:31.819
and short in those power situations. And the Bills can
1356
01:08:32.140 --> 01:08:36.020
tush-push really well. So... The Ravens need to figure out
1357
01:08:36.060 --> 01:08:39.640
ways to give themselves a better margin if it's Tyler Huntley.
1358
01:08:40.100 --> 01:08:42.979
And if it's Lamar Jackson, nonetheless, the Bills can put
1359
01:08:43.020 --> 01:08:46.960
up points. So to me, it's being aggressive on special teams.
1360
01:08:47.020 --> 01:08:49.649
To me, it's being aggressive on fourth down. It's being
1361
01:08:49.689 --> 01:08:52.529
aggressive with the directional punting that you want to use
1362
01:08:52.590 --> 01:08:55.970
and how you want to evoke some potential return situations
1363
01:08:56.010 --> 01:08:58.270
and see. Ravens have a player, Keandre Jackson, one of
1364
01:08:58.300 --> 01:09:00.899
my favorite players. I'll say he's one of my favorite Ravens,
1365
01:09:00.939 --> 01:09:03.979
really of all time, getting there pretty quickly. I call
1366
01:09:04.000 --> 01:09:07.180
him the Hellcat. He wears a Guardian cap, and for
1367
01:09:07.220 --> 01:09:09.180
good reason. He is using that thing as a weapon.
1368
01:09:09.239 --> 01:09:11.460
He has been a monster. He's blocked a kick. He
1369
01:09:11.520 --> 01:09:13.760
has a bunch of tackles on kick coverage. I want
1370
01:09:13.779 --> 01:09:15.819
to try and see if they can. He's a great gunner.
1371
01:09:15.899 --> 01:09:18.380
He's been playing snaps at safety. One of my favorites.
1372
01:09:18.460 --> 01:09:21.560
I might be getting his jersey. He does something big
1373
01:09:21.579 --> 01:09:22.859
time and I haven't bought a Jersey in a couple
1374
01:09:22.880 --> 01:09:25.510
of years. So Ravens need to figure out how to
1375
01:09:27.250 --> 01:09:29.949
get a spark, whether it's on through, I guess that's
1376
01:09:29.970 --> 01:09:31.890
my point. How can you get a spark? Is it
1377
01:09:32.029 --> 01:09:35.029
through aggression on fourth down? Is it through like we
1378
01:09:35.050 --> 01:09:38.949
just talked about being aggressive with your fronts, defensively mugging,
1379
01:09:39.430 --> 01:09:43.060
changing pressure front, changing, you know, rotation, special teams. Can
1380
01:09:43.079 --> 01:09:45.819
you be aggressive in your, your coverage units? The bills
1381
01:09:45.840 --> 01:09:48.399
are coming off of a buy and to me are
1382
01:09:48.439 --> 01:09:50.760
going to be calculated to me. Maybe they start slow.
1383
01:09:50.779 --> 01:09:52.739
Teams can start slow in the first quarter coming out
1384
01:09:52.760 --> 01:09:55.039
of a bye. They might be a little, oh, my God,
1385
01:09:55.060 --> 01:09:57.840
I woke up in my $ 8, 000, I'm an NFL player
1386
01:09:57.880 --> 01:10:00.300
bed that tells me the CO2 level in the room
1387
01:10:00.319 --> 01:10:03.399
and all that good stuff. Oh, la-di-da-di-da, go down to
1388
01:10:03.420 --> 01:10:04.939
the stadium, got to get punched in the face a
1389
01:10:04.960 --> 01:10:08.020
couple times to get the juices flowing. But for the Ravens,
1390
01:10:08.079 --> 01:10:10.479
I think it's really trying to figure out how can
1391
01:10:10.520 --> 01:10:14.100
you generate a spark, a turnover on special teams, a
1392
01:10:14.220 --> 01:10:18.100
bad situation for the Bills, or convert in some aggressive situations.
1393
01:10:18.149 --> 01:10:21.920
Ravens are hurting pretty bad right now losing two straight
1394
01:10:21.979 --> 01:10:23.800
in the AFC. They have to go to Buffalo, and
1395
01:10:23.819 --> 01:10:25.439
then they have to get the Jags on short rest
1396
01:10:25.489 --> 01:10:28.810
with their quarterback situation in flux. So to me, this
1397
01:10:28.850 --> 01:10:30.510
coaching staff needs to find a way, whether it's on
1398
01:10:30.550 --> 01:10:35.149
special teams or in decision-making, to get an edge. And
1399
01:10:35.590 --> 01:10:36.989
that's kind of my point. I don't think you can
1400
01:10:37.050 --> 01:10:40.029
go toe-to-toe with the Bills in Buffalo right now with
1401
01:10:40.060 --> 01:10:43.060
some of the shuffling the Ravens have done. And just
1402
01:10:43.100 --> 01:10:45.060
expect your players to outplay the Bills coming off of
1403
01:10:45.079 --> 01:10:47.979
a bye week. I think they need to find an edge,
1404
01:10:48.319 --> 01:10:50.689
whether on special teams or through some decision-making.
1405
01:10:51.510 --> 01:10:56.989
Very fair. From a DVOA perspective, Baltimore Ravens are 17th
1406
01:10:57.310 --> 01:11:01.729
in special teams DVOA this year. The Buffalo Bills are second.
1407
01:11:02.390 --> 01:11:03.770
Okay, they're doing it.
1408
01:11:03.810 --> 01:11:05.390
They've been good on kick coverage. They've been good on
1409
01:11:05.449 --> 01:11:09.180
punt coverage. The Vikings are first because, of course, the
1410
01:11:09.220 --> 01:11:11.340
Vikings are just going to be amazing on defense and
1411
01:11:11.359 --> 01:11:14.020
special teams and then score 10 points a game on offense,
1412
01:11:14.119 --> 01:11:16.989
and it won't matter because they're having great special teams,
1413
01:11:17.050 --> 01:11:19.250
and then blitzing at an 85% clip.
1414
01:11:20.489 --> 01:11:23.310
Who decided? Who decided that four is the number to rush?
1415
01:11:23.890 --> 01:11:25.569
I love little things like that because it makes you
1416
01:11:25.609 --> 01:11:30.350
just go like, well, yeah, I mean, I guess. And
1417
01:11:30.430 --> 01:11:33.270
so it's just like, well, yeah. And it's even more
1418
01:11:33.310 --> 01:11:37.340
painful watching Vikings tape because I've liked what Flores has
1419
01:11:37.350 --> 01:11:39.899
done for so many years, even though he is an outlier.
1420
01:11:40.300 --> 01:11:43.439
but watching the bills be so static and so, and
1421
01:11:43.479 --> 01:11:45.359
playing so much on the back foot and then watching
1422
01:11:45.420 --> 01:11:50.819
Flores just heater after heater and then like devastating change-ups
1423
01:11:50.899 --> 01:11:54.350
and curve balls and everything is just front foot, front foot,
1424
01:11:54.430 --> 01:11:57.550
front foot, attack, attack, attack, live by the sword, die
1425
01:11:57.590 --> 01:11:59.970
by the sword. And they're living by it and everybody
1426
01:12:00.029 --> 01:12:02.109
else is dying. It's even more painful like watching the
1427
01:12:02.130 --> 01:12:04.170
bills and then going from there. Uh, but yeah, some,
1428
01:12:04.310 --> 01:12:06.090
some good special teams for the bills kind of middling
1429
01:12:06.390 --> 01:12:09.000
for the Ravens. We'll see, uh, Yeah, we'll see if
1430
01:12:09.119 --> 01:12:11.039
that rears its head. It'll probably jinx the hell out
1431
01:12:11.060 --> 01:12:14.960
of Tyler Bass now. It'll probably miss several kicks. My
1432
01:12:15.020 --> 01:12:21.909
last point, the Buffalo Bills, 46.5% 11 personnel rate, 27.1%
1433
01:12:21.909 --> 01:12:25.220
13 personnel rate. They have the third most plays from
1434
01:12:25.220 --> 01:12:27.279
13 personnel in the NFL this year at 103. And
1435
01:12:27.399 --> 01:12:29.199
then their third highest personnel grouping from a usage rate
1436
01:12:29.239 --> 01:12:41.510
is 12 personnel 21.4%, but they're 24th in plays from
1437
01:12:41.510 --> 01:12:47.600
12 personnel at 72. My third point here is what
1438
01:12:47.840 --> 01:12:52.220
heavy personnel grouping does the Buffalo Bills offense go with?
1439
01:12:52.979 --> 01:12:57.560
They've got some nice metrics in 11 personnel. They are
1440
01:12:57.600 --> 01:13:01.729
a high 13 personnel usage team, 27.1% rate. Like I mentioned,
1441
01:13:01.810 --> 01:13:05.350
third most plays from 13 personnel, but their numbers kind
1442
01:13:05.390 --> 01:13:09.600
of aren't great. In 13, you know, they're 15th in
1443
01:13:09.659 --> 01:13:12.899
EPA per play. They're 19th in success rate out of
1444
01:13:12.899 --> 01:13:17.199
13 personnel. Their pass game, 22nd EPA per pass, 19th
1445
01:13:17.239 --> 01:13:19.909
in passing success rate. Run is still good, 7th in
1446
01:13:19.949 --> 01:13:23.970
EPA per rush, 14th in rushing success rate. But then
1447
01:13:23.989 --> 01:13:26.890
if you go to 12 personnel, Buffalo Bills out of
1448
01:13:26.890 --> 01:13:32.079
12 personnel this year, 2nd in EPA per play, 2nd
1449
01:13:32.279 --> 01:13:37.800
in success rate. Pass game, still a little meh. 11th
1450
01:13:37.840 --> 01:13:40.539
in EPA per pass, 18th in passing success rate. But
1451
01:13:40.579 --> 01:13:44.920
the Bills' run game out of 12 personnel, they are
1452
01:13:45.100 --> 01:13:50.039
first in EPA per rush at positive 0.31. The Falcons
1453
01:13:50.079 --> 01:13:55.279
are second at plus 0.14. So they're more than double
1454
01:13:55.439 --> 01:13:59.090
what the Falcons are at two. Their rushing success rate
1455
01:13:59.130 --> 01:14:02.210
out of 12 personnel, 64.1%. The 49ers are second at 58.3%.
1456
01:14:06.300 --> 01:14:10.260
So the Bills are just mauling and mashing out of
1457
01:14:10.260 --> 01:14:15.399
12 personnel this year. They're also first in yards before
1458
01:14:15.460 --> 01:14:19.930
contact per rush out of 12 personnel this year at 3.36.
1459
01:14:19.930 --> 01:14:24.810
And then they're second in duo rate this year out
1460
01:14:24.989 --> 01:14:29.810
of 12 personnel at 48.6%. So essentially 58% of the time.
1461
01:14:30.229 --> 01:14:32.500
And again, it ties back to something I mentioned earlier
1462
01:14:32.520 --> 01:14:34.600
in terms of what they do. They're going to run
1463
01:14:34.609 --> 01:14:36.800
duo a bunch. They're running duo in mid-zone week. Those
1464
01:14:36.840 --> 01:14:40.159
are their main bread-and-butter run games. It can vary a
1465
01:14:40.199 --> 01:14:42.439
little bit based on the opponent, which one is A,
1466
01:14:42.500 --> 01:14:44.619
which one is B for the week. They'll mix in
1467
01:14:44.699 --> 01:14:48.739
some other stuff, like they'll run dart or tackle wrap
1468
01:14:48.819 --> 01:14:51.720
out of gun. They might put a tight end in
1469
01:14:51.739 --> 01:14:54.720
blast motion and run some counter stuff. But any way
1470
01:14:54.739 --> 01:14:58.159
you slice it, the Buffalo Bills run game out of
1471
01:14:58.159 --> 01:15:05.720
12 personnel is phenomenal. The Ravens run defense this year
1472
01:15:06.060 --> 01:15:10.279
when facing 12 personnel. They're 14th in EPA per rush,
1473
01:15:11.159 --> 01:15:15.250
second in rushing success rate allowed, fourth in yards before
1474
01:15:15.369 --> 01:15:19.029
contact per rush allowed, and then they're 10th in explosive
1475
01:15:19.109 --> 01:15:22.989
run rate allowed at 8%. The Bills also out of
1476
01:15:22.989 --> 01:15:27.909
12 personnel are first in explosive run rate at 19.4%.
1477
01:15:27.909 --> 01:15:29.800
I see this one as kind of a good on,
1478
01:15:29.960 --> 01:15:31.239
not even a kind of, I think this is a
1479
01:15:31.279 --> 01:15:34.430
good on good. the bills 13 personnel has kind of
1480
01:15:34.449 --> 01:15:36.810
been mad this year from a metric standpoint, even though
1481
01:15:36.850 --> 01:15:39.289
they use it at a high clip. I think Kyle
1482
01:15:39.350 --> 01:15:43.729
Hamilton is a great equalizer when it comes to 12 personnel,
1483
01:15:43.789 --> 01:15:46.550
particularly even 13 to a degree, but the fact that
1484
01:15:46.569 --> 01:15:49.069
you can go three safeties and put Hamilton down in
1485
01:15:49.090 --> 01:15:52.029
the box and then play Hawkins in the back, do
1486
01:15:52.050 --> 01:15:54.409
what you want to do with Malachi Starks. They're even
1487
01:15:54.449 --> 01:15:58.869
getting how they were getting cave on Wallace involved against
1488
01:15:59.090 --> 01:16:01.930
the bangles a little bit. You got your boy counter
1489
01:16:01.970 --> 01:16:04.890
Jackson back there. He's getting some snaps of that guardian cap.
1490
01:16:05.189 --> 01:16:07.130
I saw the 33 and the Jackson on the name.
1491
01:16:07.170 --> 01:16:09.430
And I, I still keep thinking Eddie Jackson from what
1492
01:16:09.449 --> 01:16:11.050
he was with the Ravens a couple of years ago,
1493
01:16:11.390 --> 01:16:13.789
even though I know like it's not, um, and their
1494
01:16:13.810 --> 01:16:17.529
body types are completely different, but I think the Ravens
1495
01:16:17.569 --> 01:16:20.840
personnel specifically Hamilton gives them a lot of good fight
1496
01:16:20.880 --> 01:16:24.359
and fire with fire. Hamilton has been a good eraser
1497
01:16:24.640 --> 01:16:26.899
for them, particularly in that Monday night game where they
1498
01:16:26.939 --> 01:16:29.819
just throttled the bills a couple of years ago. Um,
1499
01:16:30.479 --> 01:16:32.899
He's such a problem because of his body type and
1500
01:16:32.920 --> 01:16:35.539
his athleticism and how he plays the game. And I
1501
01:16:35.800 --> 01:16:39.600
think the metrics speak to Hamilton's usage, what he can
1502
01:16:39.640 --> 01:16:42.760
do against 12 personnel. The Ravens do have an equalizer there.
1503
01:16:43.079 --> 01:16:45.899
So do the Bills. Is this a heavy 11 personnel
1504
01:16:45.939 --> 01:16:48.729
day for the Bills? Do they want to stay with
1505
01:16:48.729 --> 01:16:50.350
13 and make the Ravens try and play with base?
1506
01:16:50.369 --> 01:16:52.409
And we're trying to get Simpson and Buchanan on the
1507
01:16:52.449 --> 01:16:56.010
field along with Roquan, and then we'll see how they
1508
01:16:56.029 --> 01:17:00.029
can match up with Kincaid and or maybe Dawson Knox. Um,
1509
01:17:00.270 --> 01:17:02.960
can they match with Jackson Hawes or do we see
1510
01:17:02.979 --> 01:17:05.539
an uptick in 12 this week with how successful they've
1511
01:17:05.560 --> 01:17:07.300
been out of it? Or do you kind of consider
1512
01:17:07.319 --> 01:17:09.739
it a wash because the Ravens handled 12 well, and
1513
01:17:09.779 --> 01:17:14.720
they have a good equalizer, the heavy personnel groupings, condensed formations.
1514
01:17:14.899 --> 01:17:16.699
It's been a huge part of the bill's offense for
1515
01:17:16.729 --> 01:17:19.869
the past several years and match up an opponent kind
1516
01:17:19.930 --> 01:17:23.270
of dictates which one they lean into and how much. Um,
1517
01:17:23.869 --> 01:17:26.130
and so that's a big one for, for me this week,
1518
01:17:26.149 --> 01:17:29.000
which heavy personnel grouping do they lean into? Um, And
1519
01:17:29.039 --> 01:17:31.130
then how do they choose to attack out of it?
1520
01:17:31.159 --> 01:17:34.279
Is it leaning into 13 or 12 to run to pass?
1521
01:17:34.340 --> 01:17:36.930
We mix in the play action. Can we generate explosives
1522
01:17:36.970 --> 01:17:39.649
when going under play with going with play action? So
1523
01:17:39.710 --> 01:17:41.489
on and so forth, all the meta, all the things.
1524
01:17:42.510 --> 01:17:45.189
Yeah, it's interesting. The bills have only run 72 offensive
1525
01:17:45.229 --> 01:17:47.970
plays out of 12, which ranks 24th in the NFL.
1526
01:17:48.430 --> 01:17:51.909
But as you mentioned, they are third in EPA. They
1527
01:17:52.060 --> 01:17:55.000
are second in EPA per play and their rushing success
1528
01:17:55.020 --> 01:17:58.529
has been really devastating out of that. So, Um, definitely a,
1529
01:17:58.659 --> 01:18:01.340
a nice up your sleeve for when you need to
1530
01:18:01.380 --> 01:18:02.880
go get it. It seems like you want to go
1531
01:18:02.899 --> 01:18:04.600
into 12 on some of that mid zone and some
1532
01:18:04.619 --> 01:18:07.979
of that duo, um, seems like, you know, high leverage
1533
01:18:08.020 --> 01:18:11.189
downs in, uh, in some neutral situ neutral downs that
1534
01:18:11.229 --> 01:18:13.369
are high leverage, I would say, you know, ends of
1535
01:18:13.409 --> 01:18:16.609
halves or a third and threes, things like that. Being
1536
01:18:16.630 --> 01:18:18.130
able to go run those two and boot off of
1537
01:18:18.210 --> 01:18:20.470
it is, uh, definitely a big part of it. I'm
1538
01:18:20.510 --> 01:18:22.569
wondering how I would have to refine some of the
1539
01:18:22.609 --> 01:18:24.250
data I'm looking at. I'm wondering how much comes off
1540
01:18:24.289 --> 01:18:28.670
of scrambles, if that's been devastating or boots. um if
1541
01:18:28.729 --> 01:18:33.220
i can quickly refine uh i don't think i can
1542
01:18:33.279 --> 01:18:35.460
but curious about that one curious about what josh allen's
1543
01:18:35.479 --> 01:18:36.020
done there.
1544
01:18:35.880 --> 01:18:38.779
Because are you on are you on sumer yep i
1545
01:18:38.920 --> 01:18:41.810
oh i wish they i'm gonna message sean site i
1546
01:18:41.850 --> 01:18:43.479
want yeah i want to be able to filter out
1547
01:18:43.479 --> 01:18:45.510
for running back carries only i want to know.
1548
01:18:45.529 --> 01:18:47.710
They've got good stuff. I love it. I love their
1549
01:18:47.810 --> 01:18:49.710
UI a lot. They just need a little extra, a little,
1550
01:18:49.729 --> 01:18:50.350
a little bit more.
1551
01:18:50.529 --> 01:18:52.289
They've been a big go-to for me this year. I
1552
01:18:52.329 --> 01:18:55.569
know how they chart. I trust him and Tej and
1553
01:18:55.590 --> 01:18:58.270
their whole data analytics group and how they've taught their mind. Yeah.
1554
01:18:58.300 --> 01:18:59.909
Sumer's been a big resource for me.
1555
01:18:59.939 --> 01:19:03.819
A hundred percent. So yeah, like you said, they, they
1556
01:19:03.859 --> 01:19:05.920
have a good bit of man run percentage. I'm guessing
1557
01:19:05.960 --> 01:19:08.460
that's the duo. If I had to guess, I don't
1558
01:19:08.479 --> 01:19:13.430
think they're running. a ton of power at all whatsoever. So, um, yeah, very,
1559
01:19:13.529 --> 01:19:15.729
very interesting point you make there. Like you said, Hamilton
1560
01:19:16.170 --> 01:19:18.210
big on it. Uh, the Ravens did use a little
1561
01:19:18.250 --> 01:19:23.029
bit more base against the Falcons. Uh, definitely, which is
1562
01:19:23.409 --> 01:19:25.489
mentor does not like to have to do that. He
1563
01:19:25.529 --> 01:19:27.109
likes to stay in his nickel. He likes to have
1564
01:19:27.130 --> 01:19:30.350
Kyle Hamilton there. However, Jalen Hawkins out, you talked about
1565
01:19:30.399 --> 01:19:34.659
Keandre Jackson. So I, uh, I guess my controversial take
1566
01:19:34.699 --> 01:19:36.960
is I like when Kyle Hamilton plays in the post
1567
01:19:37.039 --> 01:19:37.920
and in the deep half.
1568
01:19:38.020 --> 01:19:41.810
Man, It's such a I get it like the length
1569
01:19:41.850 --> 01:19:43.609
and the size and what he is at the box.
1570
01:19:43.689 --> 01:19:46.050
But I also like how that length and size and
1571
01:19:46.069 --> 01:19:49.229
athleticism plays deep. And yeah, playing top down, we can
1572
01:19:49.250 --> 01:19:51.590
get to some cool. Let's make him that top down
1573
01:19:51.630 --> 01:19:55.250
like robber, like slash, you know, quote unquote, pole runner
1574
01:19:55.270 --> 01:19:57.449
and some nontraditional Tampa stuff. Let's let him just play
1575
01:19:57.489 --> 01:20:00.489
as a single high post safety. I echo those sentiments
1576
01:20:00.649 --> 01:20:01.170
very much so.
1577
01:20:02.130 --> 01:20:04.529
Yeah, I think he does it really well, and I
1578
01:20:04.569 --> 01:20:06.170
call him the Millennium Falcon. He just looks like a
1579
01:20:06.189 --> 01:20:10.279
big old spaceship running around out there covering up some space. So,
1580
01:20:10.300 --> 01:20:13.840
you know, Stark's a highly drafted player. Hawkins, they're getting
1581
01:20:13.880 --> 01:20:16.720
comfortable with. But you've got somebody who's like 6'5, the
1582
01:20:16.739 --> 01:20:19.500
83-inch wingspan that knows what he's doing back there. It
1583
01:20:19.600 --> 01:20:22.970
really can reduce the margin for error. Plus, he's physical. Plus,
1584
01:20:23.069 --> 01:20:27.449
he's clean technically. So, yeah, I am curious there for sure.
1585
01:20:27.979 --> 01:20:30.420
Teddy Buchanan coming off of an ACL, you'd mentioned him.
1586
01:20:30.539 --> 01:20:32.239
They're trying to integrate him a good bit. He's had
1587
01:20:32.260 --> 01:20:33.720
a couple of weeks to get a couple of snaps
1588
01:20:33.840 --> 01:20:36.800
in Trenton Simpson playing really well. So yeah, not something
1589
01:20:36.819 --> 01:20:38.979
that's given the Ravens a ton of trouble. Um, they've
1590
01:20:39.010 --> 01:20:40.649
been able to stuff a good bit of runs out
1591
01:20:40.689 --> 01:20:45.470
of 12 personnel with nickel. Um, so certainly, uh, that
1592
01:20:45.590 --> 01:20:48.829
is the, the bill's kind of secret weapon with a
1593
01:20:48.829 --> 01:20:51.729
19 estimated points added there on only 72 snaps. That's
1594
01:20:51.750 --> 01:20:52.949
pretty darn good. And when you go look at the
1595
01:20:52.989 --> 01:20:56.970
run game at 64%, that's, uh, you know, that's Shaq
1596
01:20:57.010 --> 01:20:58.869
being able to go get a bucket down in the post.
1597
01:20:58.930 --> 01:21:01.829
It feels like if you can run at that rate
1598
01:21:01.909 --> 01:21:05.579
out of that personnel with that amount of success, it's
1599
01:21:05.619 --> 01:21:08.020
not something they're doing all the time. Kind of feels like, Hey, we,
1600
01:21:08.079 --> 01:21:09.739
we need a bucket here. Let's see if we can
1601
01:21:09.779 --> 01:21:12.479
get a Tracy McGrady to pull up or, or Steph
1602
01:21:12.500 --> 01:21:13.880
to run around a screen and we're going to go
1603
01:21:13.920 --> 01:21:16.060
get it there. So I think that's something they like
1604
01:21:16.090 --> 01:21:18.649
to rely on. If I had to guess a little
1605
01:21:18.670 --> 01:21:21.029
bit more high leverage situations and not let you get
1606
01:21:21.069 --> 01:21:25.039
comfortable with it. So, um, Yeah, interesting that they've only
1607
01:21:25.079 --> 01:21:28.689
run 72 plays there. The Raiders up at 223, which
1608
01:21:28.729 --> 01:21:30.789
makes sense because they like Mr. Bowers and Mr. Mayer
1609
01:21:30.850 --> 01:21:35.609
there as fixtures in their pass game. So definitely, definitely
1610
01:21:35.630 --> 01:21:38.310
makes a lot of sense. Ravens fifth there, 137. So, yeah,
1611
01:21:38.380 --> 01:21:39.399
heavier personnel.
1612
01:21:40.579 --> 01:21:43.579
Yeah, I mean, to me, like that's– I've talked about
1613
01:21:43.600 --> 01:21:47.520
how there's not a schematic change, and I think the
1614
01:21:48.239 --> 01:21:52.380
Swifties– My grand conspiracy is that Taylor Swift and Travis
1615
01:21:52.399 --> 01:21:56.199
Kelsey are a psy-op to increase youth participation in football.
1616
01:21:57.079 --> 01:22:00.640
And if there was a demographic that didn't have their
1617
01:22:00.659 --> 01:22:05.159
kids putting helmets on, it was probably Swifties. And we're
1618
01:22:05.180 --> 01:22:08.460
going to see the great era of tight ends in
1619
01:22:08.779 --> 01:22:11.729
about 15 years here. And the Swifties are going to
1620
01:22:11.739 --> 01:22:15.590
have a lot of tight ends enter the atmosphere. But, man, Kincaid,
1621
01:22:15.609 --> 01:22:18.810
a player I like a lot. And, yeah, I think–
1622
01:22:19.100 --> 01:22:23.560
a key there to ultimately go get a bucket. If
1623
01:22:23.600 --> 01:22:25.140
you need one, when you need one is going to
1624
01:22:25.159 --> 01:22:27.939
be running that mid zone, running that duo and booting
1625
01:22:28.000 --> 01:22:30.680
off of it. They're going to have to go tackle
1626
01:22:30.699 --> 01:22:32.500
Josh Allen in a key moment in this game, whether
1627
01:22:32.920 --> 01:22:34.939
Bill's run away with it, if it's Huntley and it's
1628
01:22:34.960 --> 01:22:37.350
in the first half or whether it's in the second half.
1629
01:22:37.390 --> 01:22:39.590
So let's watch out for a little boot slide, a
1630
01:22:39.590 --> 01:22:42.470
little something like that, or something funky out of 12
1631
01:22:42.470 --> 01:22:46.039
personnel from the bills to try and Gain the upper hand,
1632
01:22:46.100 --> 01:22:48.699
take the leverage, ice the game, things like that. I
1633
01:22:48.729 --> 01:22:51.829
think that's my best shot at being Nostradamus in this one,
1634
01:22:51.850 --> 01:22:52.189
my friend.
1635
01:22:52.850 --> 01:22:57.149
I think that's fair. I've kept you far too long.
1636
01:22:58.170 --> 01:22:59.850
I'm going to give you the floor. The floor is yours.
1637
01:23:00.409 --> 01:23:03.600
Tell anybody and everybody where they can find you, what
1638
01:23:03.619 --> 01:23:07.439
you do, anything and everything you got. The floor is yours.
1639
01:23:08.670 --> 01:23:11.069
You can find Baltimore Film Breakdown on Substack. I do
1640
01:23:11.090 --> 01:23:14.229
want to ask a question. So this is my additional
1641
01:23:14.289 --> 01:23:17.489
theory here. This is for your listeners. Are you a
1642
01:23:17.520 --> 01:23:20.039
ball knower? Do you know ball? I'm going to ask
1643
01:23:20.060 --> 01:23:23.560
you a question. This is going to go out to
1644
01:23:23.579 --> 01:23:27.180
the chat here. I have a theory that 98% of
1645
01:23:28.140 --> 01:23:32.489
fantasy football playing, NFL Sunday watching gentlemen in this esteemed nation,
1646
01:23:33.260 --> 01:23:36.699
could not go properly onto a peewee football field and
1647
01:23:36.739 --> 01:23:41.260
line up a group of 11 nine-year-olds to legally run
1648
01:23:41.300 --> 01:23:46.380
an offensive play. So if you fancy yourself a ball knower, well,
1649
01:23:46.460 --> 01:23:48.079
the ball has to be snapped. There's got to be
1650
01:23:48.100 --> 01:23:49.899
a center. You got to be set, right? A couple
1651
01:23:49.930 --> 01:23:51.890
of those things, motion. You can have one guy. He
1652
01:23:51.899 --> 01:23:56.310
has to be run backwards. But there's two requirements that
1653
01:23:57.489 --> 01:23:59.649
must be satisfied by an offense in order to be
1654
01:23:59.750 --> 01:24:04.109
legal or lined up correctly and set. If you fancy
1655
01:24:04.130 --> 01:24:07.409
yourself a ball knower, I'm looking for two answers. Both
1656
01:24:07.449 --> 01:24:09.399
of them are a number. Something has to happen around
1657
01:24:09.420 --> 01:24:11.220
the line of scrimmage. So I'm going to give you
1658
01:24:11.260 --> 01:24:13.479
a moment to ask yourself that, whether you're watching that live,
1659
01:24:13.500 --> 01:24:15.479
whether you're watching this after the fact. Don't look it up.
1660
01:24:15.500 --> 01:24:19.510
Don't cheat on yourself. I'll give you a beat. What
1661
01:24:19.529 --> 01:24:24.569
do you need to satisfy? Well, if you're ready for
1662
01:24:24.590 --> 01:24:26.729
the answer, it's got to be seven guys on the
1663
01:24:26.750 --> 01:24:29.720
line of scrimmage. Five of them have to be ineligible.
1664
01:24:30.470 --> 01:24:32.840
They're ineligible because of their jersey number in the NFL,
1665
01:24:32.909 --> 01:24:36.399
different youth football. But those two things. If you don't
1666
01:24:36.439 --> 01:24:38.439
know those two things, come to Baltimore Film Breakdown. We're doing,
1667
01:24:38.460 --> 01:24:42.359
of course, Football for Dummies, Operations. We're doing something that's global.
1668
01:24:42.979 --> 01:24:45.819
Learn about the game. Walter Ford nailed it. Seven players
1669
01:24:45.899 --> 01:24:48.470
on the line. And James doesn't do fantasy. We've got
1670
01:24:48.479 --> 01:24:51.949
some ball knowers here. I think James, I think Aunt P,
1671
01:24:51.989 --> 01:24:53.390
I think you guys could go on a peewee field
1672
01:24:53.409 --> 01:24:55.210
and get guys lined up. That's a ball knower to me.
1673
01:24:56.189 --> 01:24:59.510
You are a ball knower. Your audience seems to be
1674
01:24:59.550 --> 01:25:03.329
some ball knowers. I think you guys have a, a very, very,
1675
01:25:03.390 --> 01:25:06.109
very nice, uh, thing going here at cover one. We
1676
01:25:06.130 --> 01:25:08.829
love it. We, uh, I'll throw a one pie pizza. Go, go,
1677
01:25:08.850 --> 01:25:10.510
go get it. Go get a nice little, go get
1678
01:25:10.529 --> 01:25:12.590
a nice little pie for him. Appreciate you having me on,
1679
01:25:12.649 --> 01:25:15.720
but yeah, Baltimore film breakdown.com. If you want to learn more, Hey,
1680
01:25:15.760 --> 01:25:17.239
how does football work? We're gonna have some fun stuff
1681
01:25:17.279 --> 01:25:19.600
this off season. You can follow me on Twitter at
1682
01:25:19.619 --> 01:25:21.079
Ravens for dummies. If you want to learn a little
1683
01:25:21.100 --> 01:25:23.439
bit more about, Hey, how do you line up? Hey,
1684
01:25:23.739 --> 01:25:25.140
what are some basic things? We're going to have some
1685
01:25:25.180 --> 01:25:27.960
hand guides, some live classes, some things like that, just to,
1686
01:25:28.699 --> 01:25:30.960
Learn about, hey, I watch this thing all the time.
1687
01:25:31.000 --> 01:25:32.699
How do you go get guys lined up? How do
1688
01:25:32.720 --> 01:25:34.880
we line up properly? What are gaps? What does that
1689
01:25:34.939 --> 01:25:36.979
mean when people talk about that? Some very basic things.
1690
01:25:37.000 --> 01:25:38.920
So come join us, BaltimoreFilmBreakdown.com.
1691
01:25:39.500 --> 01:25:41.579
I think that's a great resource. And not to mention
1692
01:25:41.600 --> 01:25:43.479
all the high-level stuff you do. But that's a great point, too. Yeah,
1693
01:25:43.539 --> 01:25:47.819
there's so many. Yeah, find out why. In this particular instance,
1694
01:25:48.989 --> 01:25:51.369
why an offensive lineman is walking up and pointing to
1695
01:25:51.390 --> 01:25:53.430
the ref and doing this to their jersey.
1696
01:25:53.630 --> 01:25:56.109
Why is the receiver asking the ref something, pointing a
1697
01:25:56.130 --> 01:25:57.250
thumbs up? Yep.
1698
01:25:57.500 --> 01:26:00.439
Why is, you know, somebody going in motion and somebody
1699
01:26:00.479 --> 01:26:02.399
stepping up closer to the line and yep, looking at
1700
01:26:02.439 --> 01:26:06.319
the ref and yeah, you can go even further and
1701
01:26:06.359 --> 01:26:10.500
know why everybody thought Jawan Taylor was offsides at right
1702
01:26:10.539 --> 01:26:12.430
tackle every single snap for the chiefs a couple of
1703
01:26:12.439 --> 01:26:14.529
years ago because of where his helmet was lined up
1704
01:26:14.590 --> 01:26:16.510
in relation to the ball.
1705
01:26:16.149 --> 01:26:17.930
And the rest of the line. Found a little advantage there.
1706
01:26:18.569 --> 01:26:20.270
But I think you've got a great, great host here
1707
01:26:20.310 --> 01:26:22.250
in Ant who's going to be able to educate you.
1708
01:26:22.310 --> 01:26:24.060
Ask those kinds of questions, man. When you guys are,
1709
01:26:24.409 --> 01:26:27.060
Consuming all this football, asking questions, some basic stuff. These
1710
01:26:27.079 --> 01:26:28.779
guys love to talk about it, I promise, over at
1711
01:26:28.800 --> 01:26:31.779
Cover One. So learn about the game a little bit more.
1712
01:26:31.800 --> 01:26:34.140
Learn about the foundation. If you can go help out,
1713
01:26:34.180 --> 01:26:36.760
go help youth football. Go help youth football. If you've
1714
01:26:36.779 --> 01:26:38.399
got a couple hours a week, see if you can
1715
01:26:38.439 --> 01:26:41.399
go help out in peewee or flag football. And if
1716
01:26:41.430 --> 01:26:43.029
you love the game, learn about it a little bit.
1717
01:26:43.369 --> 01:26:45.329
Ask these guys questions. Go help out at your local
1718
01:26:45.710 --> 01:26:48.050
rec center. Go help out anywhere you can to keep
1719
01:26:48.069 --> 01:26:49.510
growing the game. Love football, man.
1720
01:26:50.170 --> 01:26:52.829
Yeah, I love football. That was a nice one. Nice sentiment.
1721
01:26:53.279 --> 01:26:54.819
Nice sentiment, and I appreciate the kind words from me.
1722
01:26:54.840 --> 01:26:58.340
I appreciate you taking the time. Enjoy the rest of
1723
01:26:58.359 --> 01:27:02.060
your Tuesday. Godspeed. I will see you around the Twitterverse.
1724
01:27:02.140 --> 01:27:04.229
I will DM you after this to sing your praises
1725
01:27:04.250 --> 01:27:07.350
some more, and thank you again in formal fashion and
1726
01:27:07.409 --> 01:27:09.989
with words. But, yeah, I appreciate you as always. It's
1727
01:27:10.010 --> 01:27:12.550
a nice tradition we've created here. Enjoy your Tuesday. I'll
1728
01:27:12.569 --> 01:27:12.909
see you around.
1729
01:27:13.470 --> 01:27:15.090
Go Ravens. Godspeed.
1730
01:27:15.949 --> 01:27:23.859
Mr. Spencer Schultz on Twitter only, I believe, at Ravens4. Dummies.
1731
01:27:25.989 --> 01:27:31.130
Good guy. Knows his stuff. Elaborates a lot. Don't be uncovered.
1732
01:27:31.229 --> 01:27:34.909
That's fair. That is fair. Yeah. That's a good point, too.
1733
01:27:34.949 --> 01:27:35.750
Those little nuances.
1734
01:27:35.789 --> 01:27:35.930
Yeah.
1735
01:27:35.949 --> 01:27:38.390
How many on the line? Who has to be eligible?
1736
01:27:38.470 --> 01:27:41.869
Who's not? All those little positional aspects of football, I think,
1737
01:27:41.890 --> 01:27:45.430
that are things that can get lost from time to time.
1738
01:27:45.649 --> 01:27:49.380
You know what should not get lost? The website address
1739
01:27:49.439 --> 01:27:53.119
for One Pie Pizza. The phone number. for one pie pizza.
1740
01:27:53.340 --> 01:27:55.840
The reason you shouldn't lose that information is because it
1741
01:27:55.899 --> 01:27:58.899
is the best pizza in Buffalo, New York. I do
1742
01:27:58.960 --> 01:28:01.220
not say that lightly. I do not say that because
1743
01:28:01.239 --> 01:28:03.479
they sponsor the show. They sponsor the show because I
1744
01:28:03.520 --> 01:28:08.859
sincerely believe one pie pizza is the best pizza in Buffalo,
1745
01:28:09.010 --> 01:28:12.289
New York. RJ, I believe is still here watching live
1746
01:28:12.350 --> 01:28:15.029
in the chat. RJ knows firsthand. RJ has come in
1747
01:28:15.050 --> 01:28:18.630
from Rochester multiple times. He's gotten one pie pizza because
1748
01:28:18.750 --> 01:28:21.100
we talk about it on the show. He thought it
1749
01:28:21.119 --> 01:28:24.699
was absolutely phenomenal. RJ is a lot more creative than me.
1750
01:28:24.819 --> 01:28:28.710
I'm a simple man. Appreciate the acknowledgement of my smoothness
1751
01:28:28.729 --> 01:28:31.130
in the chat. Thank you very much. I'm a simple
1752
01:28:31.149 --> 01:28:32.989
man when it comes to pizza, cheese and pepperoni, and
1753
01:28:33.010 --> 01:28:35.130
a cup of blue cheese. I'm good to go. Uh,
1754
01:28:35.260 --> 01:28:37.659
I will get the cover one pizza that they named
1755
01:28:37.739 --> 01:28:40.180
after us at one pie, the cover one, Alan goat,
1756
01:28:40.359 --> 01:28:42.159
you know, got some cover one to it. It's got
1757
01:28:42.180 --> 01:28:44.579
some Josh Allen to it and a whole bunch of deliciousness.
1758
01:28:45.180 --> 01:28:47.939
I am, but I'm a simple guy. RJ likes to do,
1759
01:28:48.800 --> 01:28:51.399
you know, he's putting some honey on stuff. He's getting
1760
01:28:51.460 --> 01:28:53.859
different toppings on it. He's, he's a lot more creative.
1761
01:28:54.119 --> 01:28:56.340
You can get as creative as you want. You can
1762
01:28:56.359 --> 01:28:59.399
keep it simple, whatever you do. You will sincerely not
1763
01:28:59.420 --> 01:29:01.619
be disappointed. Yes, RJ says he's going to try the
1764
01:29:01.659 --> 01:29:05.039
buffalo chicken pizza next. And that is phenomenal. Again, everything
1765
01:29:05.060 --> 01:29:07.579
they do is phenomenal. Even their salads are good. I
1766
01:29:07.619 --> 01:29:10.420
hate salad. It's just leaves. Like, I'm not a rabbit.
1767
01:29:10.500 --> 01:29:12.359
I'm not trying to just eat leaves. But even their
1768
01:29:12.430 --> 01:29:15.930
salads are good. Like, it's just so good. They do
1769
01:29:15.989 --> 01:29:19.449
breakfast pizzas that are phenomenal. We've got Toys for Tots
1770
01:29:19.949 --> 01:29:25.380
coming up. in November with them. Holidays are around the corner.
1771
01:29:25.399 --> 01:29:27.960
You folks know how much I love Christmas as evidenced
1772
01:29:27.979 --> 01:29:29.140
by the fact that I have a Christmas tree up
1773
01:29:29.180 --> 01:29:31.420
all year round and I decorate it with different holiday things.
1774
01:29:31.500 --> 01:29:35.100
But I love the holidays, but I also recognize that
1775
01:29:35.140 --> 01:29:39.470
the holidays are not sometimes the most joyous times for
1776
01:29:39.550 --> 01:29:42.949
some people. So I'm big on donations and gift giving
1777
01:29:42.989 --> 01:29:44.810
in whatever form or fashion you can do. So I
1778
01:29:44.850 --> 01:29:47.350
love that One Pie does a massive, massive Toys for
1779
01:29:47.390 --> 01:29:49.100
Tots drive every year. We have a lot of cool
1780
01:29:49.140 --> 01:29:51.119
things to tie into this year's Toys for Tots in
1781
01:29:51.140 --> 01:29:54.090
terms of Prizes for those of you who bring in toys.
1782
01:29:54.109 --> 01:29:55.810
So I'll be talking about that in the coming weeks
1783
01:29:55.869 --> 01:29:58.680
and coming month. But yeah, get yourself some one-pie pizza.
1784
01:29:58.979 --> 01:30:02.279
They're really good people making really good food. You know,
1785
01:30:02.939 --> 01:30:05.439
get yourself some pizza for the Thursday night football game,
1786
01:30:05.479 --> 01:30:08.199
for the Bills game on Sunday, some Saturday college football stuff,
1787
01:30:08.479 --> 01:30:10.399
or any other day of the week. You will not
1788
01:30:10.619 --> 01:30:14.239
be disappointed. RJ says, it's still my favorite pizza was
1789
01:30:14.279 --> 01:30:17.659
that pepperoni, hot honey, and ricotta drizzle. That is the
1790
01:30:17.720 --> 01:30:20.909
best pizza combo I have ever had. RJ sent me
1791
01:30:20.949 --> 01:30:22.949
a picture when he got it. He tagged me on Twitter.
1792
01:30:23.069 --> 01:30:26.829
It looked absolutely phenomenal. Yeah, you can't go wrong. You
1793
01:30:26.869 --> 01:30:29.170
can get something creative. You can doctor it up however
1794
01:30:29.210 --> 01:30:30.909
you want it. You can order online. You can call
1795
01:30:30.930 --> 01:30:33.850
them on the phone. You can get the regular standard
1796
01:30:33.909 --> 01:30:36.300
pie of any kind or, yeah, kind of create your own.
1797
01:30:36.340 --> 01:30:39.600
And whatever you have them do, they will do it
1798
01:30:39.680 --> 01:30:43.399
with effort and creativity and quality. Just everything they do
1799
01:30:43.479 --> 01:30:45.760
is phenomenal. So get yourself some one pie pizza if
1800
01:30:45.800 --> 01:30:48.569
you have not already ordered. You will not be disappointed.
1801
01:30:48.590 --> 01:30:49.810
I'm going to throw up the banner. This is to
1802
01:30:49.850 --> 01:30:51.729
those folks because we're going to start to wind down
1803
01:30:51.789 --> 01:30:55.149
and say goodbye. I am looking to do a bonus
1804
01:30:55.189 --> 01:30:58.189
episode this week. I did not do an episode last
1805
01:30:58.250 --> 01:31:03.939
week due to scheduling conflicts in life. Not in a
1806
01:31:03.960 --> 01:31:06.340
bad way. Just couldn't get to it. I wanted to
1807
01:31:06.380 --> 01:31:07.819
do something at the back end of last week. I
1808
01:31:07.840 --> 01:31:10.399
did not. So I'm looking to do a bonus episode.
1809
01:31:10.819 --> 01:31:14.680
this week in terms of focusing on what we need
1810
01:31:14.819 --> 01:31:18.729
to and should hope to see from the bills defense
1811
01:31:18.810 --> 01:31:20.930
coming out of the buy. I'm probably going to record
1812
01:31:20.949 --> 01:31:23.630
it offline, a little shorter form, 20 to 30 minutes.
1813
01:31:24.109 --> 01:31:25.310
I always say that. And then I talk too much.
1814
01:31:25.350 --> 01:31:27.489
It ends up being 45 to an hour. I'm looking
1815
01:31:27.510 --> 01:31:29.300
to drop that at the back end of this week.
1816
01:31:31.170 --> 01:31:33.329
Breaking down a lot of tape and film and everything
1817
01:31:33.470 --> 01:31:35.689
on the socials. Find me on Twitter at pro underscore
1818
01:31:35.729 --> 01:31:39.590
underscore ant. Find me on blue sky at pro ant. Questions, thoughts, comments, concerns,
1819
01:31:39.750 --> 01:31:42.899
anything and everything you folks got. Put it into the
1820
01:31:42.939 --> 01:31:46.119
comments here on YouTube. Thank you to everyone who joined
1821
01:31:46.159 --> 01:31:49.380
in live for this episode. If you have not already, please, please,
1822
01:31:49.420 --> 01:31:51.079
please make you drop a like on this video. Likes
1823
01:31:51.140 --> 01:31:54.020
are the lifeblood of these streams. If you're listening on
1824
01:31:54.060 --> 01:31:56.149
one of the podcast apps or platforms, that's cool and
1825
01:31:56.159 --> 01:32:01.039
appreciated too. Please rate, review, and subscribe to disguise coverage
1826
01:32:01.300 --> 01:32:03.180
tell your family friends and loved ones about the show
1827
01:32:03.199 --> 01:32:06.659
and the brand and the channel if you hated this
1828
01:32:06.720 --> 01:32:09.420
episode or you hate me tell your enemies and try
1829
01:32:09.439 --> 01:32:12.199
and make them have their day or night be ruined
1830
01:32:12.239 --> 01:32:15.699
by watching the show yes go sabers they play the
1831
01:32:15.739 --> 01:32:18.800
san jose sharks puck drop probably happened uh right about
1832
01:32:18.840 --> 01:32:20.560
now in the last couple minutes enjoy the rest of
1833
01:32:20.600 --> 01:32:22.600
your week if you're going to the bills game this
1834
01:32:22.640 --> 01:32:26.760
weekend in buffalo enjoy have a good time Happy haunting
1835
01:32:26.939 --> 01:32:31.100
and Halloween for anybody who observes this weekend. If you're
1836
01:32:31.119 --> 01:32:35.430
going to parties, gatherings, whatever, have fun. Stay safe. If
1837
01:32:35.449 --> 01:32:39.930
you're taking loved ones trick-or-treating, have fun. Be kind. Be responsible.
1838
01:32:40.229 --> 01:32:41.930
Whatever you do, I hope you and your family and
1839
01:32:41.949 --> 01:32:44.149
friends and loved ones are all doing well and staying safe.
1840
01:32:44.430 --> 01:32:46.449
Be kind to one another. Take care of one another.
1841
01:32:46.470 --> 01:32:49.359
I will see you when I see you. Godspeed. And
1842
01:32:49.439 --> 01:32:51.039
as always, go Bills.
