ABOUT THIS EPISODE
Bitcoin's barely budged in weeks, but Katie Stockton says the charts are flashing a long-term oversold signal that has preceded past turnarounds.
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While AI stocks keep grinding to record highs and bond yields climb, Bitcoin has done almost nothing for weeks. Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, says that stillness is not a warning sign. It is what a long-term bottom looks like on the charts.
Stockton, a CMT returning to the show, points to a monthly stochastic oscillator that has stayed oversold for months and DeMark indicators showing downside exhaustion. She argues the two together suggest Bitcoin may have a major low in place, even with a hardware wallet hack, the Clarity Act, and an inflation print complicating the setup.
She walks through why Ether's downtrend looks cyclical inside a longer secular uptrend, what the ETH to Bitcoin ratio's break below its 200-day average could mean, and how Solana, XRP, and Hyperliquid each look different.
Host:
- Steven Ehrlich, Head of Research, SharpLink
Guest:
- Katie Stockton - CMT, Founder and Managing Partner of Fairlead Strategies
Timestamps 📉 02:33 — Bitcoin's monthly stochastic just flipped long-term oversold, the signal bulls have been waiting for
🔍 04:22 — Fibonacci and the cloud model line up on one thing: a potential major low
⚡ 16:07 — Ether's downtrend is cyclical, not the end of the story, and the monthly chart shows why
🔄 21:19 — Katie's call: Ether may have already put in its major low
🪙 27:20 — The one thing Solana's chart still needs to confirm it's done bottoming
📉 28:54 — Ripple is testing support and lagging. Is it setting up or falling behind?
🤖 33:41 — Why Hyperliquid is suddenly trading like an AI or semiconductor stock
📊 39:28 — BVIV vs. the VIX: what crypto's eerily calm volatility is really signaling
🏦 41:48 — Katie's contrarian take: crypto's institutionalization story is overhyped
