# Nate Silver
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Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, political analyst, author, sports gambler, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, football, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News until May 2023. Since departing FiveThirtyEight, Silver has been publishing in his online newsletter Silver Bulletin and serves as an advisor to Polymarket.
The Last Round of Midterm Polls | Democrats Ahead Everywhere — November 2, 2026
Election Day is tomorrow and the final Times/Siena polls have Democrats ahead in every competitive Senate race, including Michigan, Texas, Maine, Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska. Nate Silver’s midterm model gives Democrats an 80 percent chance at the Senate and 96 percent at the House. Plus, Republicans a…
Is the post mid-term period a good one for US stocks?
Today, a last minute look at the odds shift in the US mid-term elections and whether we are facing a blue wave or even a "blue tsunami" in favour of the Democrats. We also put the magnifying class to the notion that the US mid-term elections are a good time to put money to work in the US stock mark…
An Election Day Special With Nate Silver
Nate Silver tells us he is calling this midterms the “rock and a hard place election” — the background conditions are great for Democrats to win both the House and the Senate, but for that to come to pass, the party has to pull off some things that haven't happened in generations, like winning Texa…
Joe Burns: Strategy Begins Where Certainty Ends
Joe Burns is Partner and Head of Strategy at Quality Meats Creative in New York. His career includes senior strategy roles at Mother and BBH, and he's known for his provocative thinking on strategy, creativity, and the advertising industry.
Joe and Pedro discuss why strategy is fundamentally about …
AI Is Worth 5% of Its Hype? AGI Myths, Machine Bias & Predictive AI’s Untapped Value
The trillion-dollar AI story is about autonomy. The real value — in fraud detection, security triage, and risk scoring — is hiding in the AI almost nobody is talking about.
Most machine learning models built to be deployed never get deployed. Meanwhile, budgets pour into generative AI pilots that …
Episode 10. Women in Surgery, Generational Shifts, and Future Insights from Dr. Eugenia Kim Page
Join hosts Dr. Abhishek Barmar and Dr. Corey Douglas Campbell as they continue their discussion with Dr. Jinnie Kim Page, a distinguished board-certified plastic surgeon, for a candid discussion on gender dynamics, surgical artistry, medical training, and the evolving landscape of medicine. This ep…
AI:AM — AI Agents, BallotBench and the Future of Data Science · November 6, 2026
Thoughtful guest Brian Zhou and Theory Ventures’ Bryan Bischof join Prakash Narayanan and Nathan Labenz to examine AI agents in election forecasting, model evaluations, data science, and investment research. The conversation weighs forecast accuracy against trading execution, asks what analysts con…
The Signal and the Noise by Silver: Book Summary
The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver (2012) explains why most forecasts fail and what the few good forecasters do differently. For planners it makes the case for ranges over single numbers, testing models on data they never saw, measuring calibration and updating as facts change. For demand plan…
S6 Ep66: Nate Silver: Trump’s Collapse May Be Irreversible
Tuesday night was the biggest rebuke of Donald Trump and MAGA that we've seen yet, by a wide margin. It was so big, in fact, that we're asking much bigger questions about how much of the country is up for grabs. Nate Silver, host of Crooked Media's Still Counting and author of the Silver Bulletin…
Bigger Than Every Forecast: A 1974-Sized Midterm, a Polling Miss Toward Democrats, and the Voters Who Left Trump First
Political Digest is a weekly audio synthesis of more than 50 sources of data-based political analysis: pollsters, race-raters, data journalists, and focus groups from across the ideological spectrum. New episodes every Friday.
On Tuesday, November 3, Democrats won a midterm larger than any forecast…
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