A Global Revolt Is Underway | Garland Nixon

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Welcome to the Simmerdoni Show.
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I'm your host, Aidan Simmardoni.
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The world continues to be in chaos as protests spread in France, Yemen strikes Saudi Arabia, and of course the Iran and Ukraine war continue to drag on.
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Joining me to discuss all this is Garland Nixon, an American political commentator, radio host, and geopolitical analyst.
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Garland, welcome to the show.
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Thanks for inviting me.
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So I want to start off with these massive protests, riots, whatever you want to call it, going on in France.
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What are the causes of these protests?
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And do you think this could lead to maybe even a revolution in France?
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Well, okay.
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Um I'll say this a couple of things about the French protests.
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Number one, it's something that I predicted.
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A couple years ago, I predicted.
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That's the way it was to me.
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Because what I could see is this, and not just France.
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I'm looking at Europe and I'm saying, hmm, the leaders of this economic bloc are throwing the lives of the masses out the window.
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Um, they're not representing the masses, the people, the constituents, um, and the people are gonna suffer.
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That ain't gonna end up well, right?
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So I looked at the coming economic problems and I was like, yeah, this is an easy one.
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It's gonna go straight to heck, right?
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It's gonna go, it's gonna go up in smoke eventually, and now it did.
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And so now the French protest, to me, this is the way I would put it.
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If you have dry tender in a forest, it only takes a spark.
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Poof, it goes up.
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And what I find interesting is how it's interpreted.
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Because a lot, oftentimes, you know, the old saying, you probably heard this old saying, often where you sit on what where you stand on an issue depends upon where you sit, right?
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So people look at the French protests, and depending upon their ideological inclinations, they interpret it through the lens of their ideological inclinations, right?
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Either it's immigrants or it's this or that, you know.
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If you're a conservative, then you say it's the darn immigrants, they're just tearing everything to pieces.
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So then that fits nice and comfortably.
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If you're a liberal, it's oh, there's minorities and they're being mistreated, then you can feel good.
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We've got to stand up for the minorities, right?
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So depending upon your ideological inclinations, you can conveniently interpret it so that it aligns with what you already believe.
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Or you can look at it and say, this is economic, this is political, which two things that are inextricably linked.
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And you look at it, and now I hear people say the French protests are doing this, and this is what French do.
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Well, the French protests are not just French protests.
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Why are they in Brussels, Spain, Spain, Italy, whatever, 32 different protests?
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Albania, they burned down the Supreme Court.
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So what we're seeing is what happens in an economic block when the people wake up one day and they realize these people don't represent me.
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I do not even have the illusion of democracy anymore, much less democracy, and I'm suffering.
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And when they don't see anything else, any other way, they're going to communicate their anger.
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They're going to scream out.
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Martin Luther King said, you know, riots are the voices of the unheard.
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They're not being heard.
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And this is what we get.
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And it just because people, look, if you're opposed to if you got an issue with immigration, fine.
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But don't it, don't, it, don't interpret everything to be, well, the immigration caused that, or whatever your ideology is.
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It's convenient, but it's not accurate to always, I'm always suspect of people who interpret events conveniently to align with what they already believe, because that's rarely, rarely gives you any accuracy.
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No, I'm with you on this, and I gotta say, of course, I mean, you predicted it.
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I was talking about this also years ago.
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If anything, it's actually just amazing to income sooner.
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Because we what we're facing is multiple crises, you know, a crisis that is an economic one, of course, uh, with unemployment rising, especially youth unemployment.
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And all this is coming, Garland, and it makes me so mad.
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They always say, oh, we don't have enough money for uh retirement or for schools, and then they pump out billions of dollars to Israel and Ukraine.
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And these are also very unpopular.
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I don't even want to call them wars.
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Obviously, there's a genocide, but these aren't even popular amongst the public.
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So no wonder why people in France, Portugal, Spain, everywhere are now taking things up and really making their voice heard.
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You know, years ago, it was some years, not that many years ago, but some years back, I worked for a few years in sales, right?
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And I had a lot of training from really good salesmen.
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And I learned so much from sales training, right?
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I learned a lot about life, right?
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And one of the, I remember this guy who owned this big company and he came in and he was telling us about the sales.
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And he said, when someone's when you say, okay, I'd like to sell you this, and a person says, I can't afford it, he says, What they mean is I don't have the money.
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What they mean is I don't have the money for you.
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You haven't convinced me.
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Because that same person who'll say, I don't have the money, and they they like fishing and they see a new fishing rod.
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Oh man, they'll put it on their, you know, um uh credit card if they have to.
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Oh, I've always wanted that fishing rod.
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I don't have the money.
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Here, I'll borrow it.
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People will spend money on what they on what's important to them, whether they have it or not.
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So the people in the country are saying, we need heat, food, water, uh, our kids need education, we need health care.
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You know, the things that you know citizens kind of expect from their government, and the government says, nope, can't have it.
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We're gonna spend money on our priorities.
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So now what do you have?
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You have a clash of priorities.
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People want this, the government says, no, you can only have this.
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So now the crisis here is a crisis of political legitimacy.
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Where the crisis is now people saying you are not politically legitimate.
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I have been taught that this is either, you know, whatever you want to call it, uh, uh, uh, uh a democracy, uh, you know, have whatever term you want to use, bottom-up politics.
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I elect you, you represent me.
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That's what I've been told.
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Okay, I elected you, and uh this is what I want.
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No, you can't have it.
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Now you are not politically legitimate.
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What do I do?
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I cannot now come back to you and say, can you give me what I want?
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You've already said no.
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What are my options?
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And in a crisis of political legitimacy, people find a different way to communicate their anger.
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And that's what they're doing.
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They're communicating their anger.
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And I think the this ruling class, too, they're just so delusional because I think they they're psychopaths and they don't think that what they're doing matters to the rest of us.
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I the way I see things is this ruling class, especially when it comes to the Zionist genocide against Palestinians, they think, yeah, it's bad, but you know, in a couple years, people will forget.
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No, we're not forgetting this.
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We're not going to forget what's going on.
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We all see it, and we're seeing it amid, you know, billions, as I said, billions being sent to Israel as the living standards of everyone starts to decline.
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And even more seriously, because now this conflict has spread, of course, with the Iran war.
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Uh, Garland, of course, you'd probably know this.
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I think it's roughly one-fifth or a quarter of all the world's oil is not coming onto the market.
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And we're now seeing, of course, that's starting to lead to higher inflation, which has lead to higher interest rates.
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The whole House of Cards really looks like it's coming down, don't you think?
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Yes, it is.
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And it is interesting, you know, wherein, and I've said this for a while, as the like imperial colonial powers start to deteriorate, right?
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And they're trying fighting to hold on, and they run into this paradox.
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And the paradox is this as it's it's uh like uh, you know, when you talk about being in a quagmire, right?
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They say, well, they were in another quagmire.
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But the what is kind of the definition of a quagmire?
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The quagmire is like uh quicksand.
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What it really means is the more you fight, the quicker you go down.
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You know, that's the that's the definition of quagmire.
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The harder you fight, the quicker you go down.
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And what we find now is this as they try to hold on to this powers, they're like there's other world powers rising and things like that.
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And internally the people are saying, look, you're just doing this imperial stuff around the world.
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We want you to think about us.
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The harder they fight to stop the change in the world, the faster it brings them down.
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And that's the that's the paradox that these leaders are running into.
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That now their priority is one thing.
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We've got to maintain our power, we've got to maintain our world hegemony, we've got to hold on to this.
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And so you have competing priorities because the masses say your priority is supposed to be our well-being.
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And they're saying, well, no, actually, it's not.
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It's not your well-being at all.
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It is our ability to go around the world and take whatever we want and be extremely powerful and to maintain this system.
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And you may even have to be sacrificed for it, but who cares?
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And so now you're running into that um uh contradiction of the system of government, which is supposed to be bottom-up democracy, which it isn't now, and people are seeing that it isn't.
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You're running into this issue of they're trying to hold on to a hegemonic power that they've already lost.
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They don't have it.
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They're not come on, the U.S.
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has lost the war to Iran, and Ukraine lost.
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So the wars that they're into now, they have already officially lost.
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They're just, you know, haven't given it up.
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They're like, um, what's the saying, you know, like when some guy you'll you'll see like a video and they slow-mo, slow-mo, and some guy get punched in the snoop and his hands just drop, and you look and you're like, that guy's out.
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And then he finally falls.
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He's out on his feet.
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He's already unconscious, he just doesn't know it yet, right?
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That's what's going on with the imperial powers.
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They've already lost, they're out on their feet.
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They've already lost that worldwide hegemonic power.
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They just haven't grasped it yet.
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So they're fighting for all their worth.
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And the people inside these powers are saying, we really do want democracy.
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We really do want bottom-up.
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And you ain't going to give it to us.
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So you're not legitimate political leaders.
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Now that's when you see the authoritarian crackdown.
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Oh, yeah, well, we'll just come with the iron fist instead of the velvet glove.
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And how ironic, also, because you know, up to February 28th, before the Iran war began.
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Oh, Iran's so evil.
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Look at they're sending in the military, they're shutting down social media.
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And Garland, guess what?
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Uh, there were proposals by the French government to shut down social media amid these manifestations.
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Uh, Macron is bragging about, I don't know what the number is, 60, 70,000 troops being sent into Paris.
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These there's even photos I saw of people being held in in jails, essentially.
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I mean, they they haven't even been uh found guilty.
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Uh, these horrible little cells that these people are being held in, cramped conditions.
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I think some of them don't even have toilets.
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So, you know, there's a common saying that I just have been repeating for the last three years is every accusation is a confession.
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We're seeing that in France right now, you know, and I think if, you know, in Iran, yes, there are there are some people who were killed, but I mean, these were also people with the Kalashnikovs and machetes and stuff like that.
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If I mean, we're not even seeing that yet in France, and already they're cracking down massively, right?
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Well, here's the thing about Iran now.
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The the the the uh this is Trump at et al, right?
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Yes, we're gonna they're mistreating the protesters, and we've got to step in for them mistreating treating the protesters as one week, the next week.
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Oh, by the way, Scott Bessant said that he uh crashed their um crashed their their currency so that they would protest.
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Really?
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What then?
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We armed the protesters.
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Well, time I you crashed their currency so that people would protest.
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And then when people protested, you sent in, by your own admission, the CIA and the Mossad and arms.
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And now you're gonna tell us those are legitimate protests.
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Those things don't align.
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You created the protests, you aren't the protesters, you send in the uh the intelligence agencies, and then you said we've got to protect the protesters, which you created and armed.
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Those things don't align.
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So people can hear.
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We hear, don't you understand?
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We hear what you're saying, and we see that these are not legitimate protests.
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Would you accept it if it was like, let's say there was protests in DC and like the president of Iran and North Korea and China is, yeah, yeah, boy, we made the protests happen in DC and then we sent in AK-40.
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No.
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You'd mow the people down with machine guns, with with with with helicopter gunships, exactly what you do.
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So the idea, I mean, that you will admit your diabolical plans and still pretend is their legitimate plans.
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And then, of course, it wasn't even the protesters anymore.
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Then it became we're there, but they were actually they were weeks away from us.
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Then it was, well, Israel was going to attack them and they were gonna fight back.
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Yeah, that's called self-defense.
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Israel's gonna attack them and then they were gonna fight back, so we had to come in before they tried to fight back.
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I'm just I'm no, I'm with you on that.
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I had to mute myself because I was laughing because I agree.
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And it's it's you know, those of us who've become anti-imperialists, yes, we of course, we listen to Palestinians, we listen to those who are affected.
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But Garland, you know, big thing for me is sometimes being anti-imperialist just means being a good listener.
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It just means listening to what the imperialists say, right?
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You know, hey, don't take my word for it.
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Just listen to Trump, listen to Bibi, listen to Macron.
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If you if people listen close enough, they actually admit these things.
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Like, for instance, one thing I had a guest uh a month or two ago, uh David Hundi, and he's great, and we were talking about the the the in Mali that the West is backing these terrorists, and we were talking about this, and I was like, oh yeah, well, how do we know this?
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And then he told me, oh, because Ukraine bragged about it.
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And then I looked it up, and yes, sure enough, Ukraine was bragging about arming terrorists in Mali.
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Uh the separatists, but then the separatists we know are working with Al-Qaeda.
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You just have to listen close enough, and they will say often they will say what they're doing.
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It's it's mind-boggling.
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Well, what's interesting about that also is this the Ukrainians bragged about helping during the Iranian war with Israel and putting in drone operators, right?
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Um, about so it's like this.
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So I'm understand that the US is helping these brave little freedom fighters in Ukraine defend themselves.
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Well, then why the hell are they all over the world working with the CIA, working with ISIS?
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It's almost like they are part of a network of an imperial army, you know, and and the truth is the Ukrainians are being used.
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They're being used by the empire.
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They're be they're nothing but cannon fighter for the empire, you know, being used all over the world as mercenaries.
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The US and the other countries are hiding behind these people and sending them to die.
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You know, but yes, you're right.
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They have always telling themselves if you just listen.
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You don't have to go do a lot of research to see what other people are seeing.
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It's the hubris, it's the need, you know.
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If you ever watch the serial killer movies, the serial killer always really wants to get caught.
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And he leaves little clues so that they'll catch him because deep inside.
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He wants the credit for being so powerful.
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And like if you listen to Trump, he'll always tell you what he's up to because he wants the credit for being powerful.
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Absolutely.
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So turning to democracy and Trump himself, we obviously, we, I mean, I'm Canadian, but you guys, but it's all of us are afflicted, uh, have the uh midterms uh coming up, right?
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Um, yeah, it's funny.
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I used to be really kind of almost obsessed with these elections.
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I was following them.
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Oh, is the polling say today?
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Oh, will Texas flip?
00:15:55.120 --> 00:15:57.039
I've gotten so jaded.
00:15:57.360 --> 00:15:59.840
I don't really think the elections matter.
00:16:00.000 --> 00:16:03.679
Uh I think that things will fundamentally remain the same.
00:16:04.000 --> 00:16:12.720
But I am open to the fact that, I don't know, maybe the Democrats will impeach Trump, maybe there'll be some small investigations on Trump.
00:16:12.799 --> 00:16:14.320
Uh, Garland, what do you think?
00:16:14.480 --> 00:16:19.759
Like, what should we, even if the elections don't matter, what should we be really looking at here?
00:16:19.840 --> 00:16:23.200
Uh, especially given that the Democrats most likely are gonna win.
00:16:23.600 --> 00:16:24.399
Well, a couple of things.
00:16:24.480 --> 00:16:26.080
And he in there are certain indicators.
00:16:26.240 --> 00:16:35.279
One of the indicators is Hakeem Jeffries, who is an archZionist, who is um uh scheduled to likely be the speaker of the house.
00:16:35.360 --> 00:16:40.960
So the House of Representatives, he'll be the head, the lead democrat for the House of Representatives, the Speaker of the House, very powerful person.
00:16:41.120 --> 00:16:43.759
In fact, the Speaker of the House is third in line for the presidency.
00:16:43.919 --> 00:16:49.919
If the president, I think is it if the president and the vice president both die, the speaker of the house becomes president, right?
00:16:50.000 --> 00:16:51.919
So that's how powerful that position is.
00:16:52.159 --> 00:16:54.960
He met with Jared Kushner a couple weeks ago.
00:16:55.200 --> 00:17:04.319
And then immediately after his meeting with Jared Kushner, he named several arch Zionists that when I come to power, these people are gonna be in the some of the most important positions.
00:17:04.480 --> 00:17:07.200
Okay, so it's clear he was plotting with Kushner.
00:17:07.279 --> 00:17:17.359
So I'm supposed to believe that guy's meeting with Kushner, coming up with his diabolical plots with Kushner, that somehow he's gonna try to get to the bottom of the no, you know what I mean?
00:17:17.519 --> 00:17:18.720
I'm again, I'm with you.
00:17:18.799 --> 00:17:19.839
I'm very cynical.
00:17:20.000 --> 00:17:25.680
They've worked for a lot of the same people, and so what they'll do is will they investigate Trump?
00:17:25.920 --> 00:17:26.480
Sure.
00:17:26.720 --> 00:17:35.119
But it like before what they impeach him for, they literally impeach Trump because he didn't he stopped sending weapons to Ukraine for a couple weeks.
00:17:35.519 --> 00:17:46.720
That's really they said, hey, you called and you said that Zelensky and you said that Biden was up to no good and should be investigated, and then you stopped sending them weapons for like 11 days.
00:17:46.880 --> 00:17:47.920
We're impeaching you for that.
00:17:48.079 --> 00:17:52.880
So they're gonna impeach him for not being enough of a warmonger.
00:17:53.599 --> 00:17:56.079
I mean, literally, hey, you're not a warmonger, not for us.
00:17:56.160 --> 00:17:56.880
We're coming out.
00:17:57.119 --> 00:18:05.039
So uh, you know, having worked on the hill, unofficially, I did work on the hill, but I wasn't an official employee.
00:18:05.599 --> 00:18:12.720
What I found is this they're not gonna ever touch anybody for um corruption because they're all so that's how they make their money.
00:18:12.799 --> 00:18:13.279
That's the system.
00:18:13.359 --> 00:18:15.039
Ain't nobody gonna mess the system up.
00:18:15.119 --> 00:18:16.720
You know, they're not gonna screw the system up.
00:18:16.799 --> 00:18:22.319
That would be like a member of the mafia ratting out another member of the mafia for stealing something or for, you know, whacking somebody.
00:18:22.400 --> 00:18:24.640
No, that's kind of what you do in this in the mafia.
00:18:24.880 --> 00:18:35.279
So they're not gonna go after Trump for anything that they're all doing, which is corruption, which is money laundering, which is particularly first and foremost, influence peddling.
00:18:36.160 --> 00:18:38.559
And so they ain't going after anybody for influence peddling.
00:18:38.799 --> 00:18:59.200
So that's the bottom line when it comes down to it, is they're going to have to find things that they can go after Trump for that uh gives the appearance that they're chasing him down, and certainly it looks like something major is going to happen, and then the end it'll flutter out, or they'll need, you know, 66 votes and they only have 65 and a half.
00:18:59.279 --> 00:19:00.160
You know the game.
00:19:00.400 --> 00:19:06.400
And so you have to uh have a pillow fight, and and but you got to convince everybody else that it's a knife fight.
00:19:07.200 --> 00:19:09.359
No, that makes that makes a lot of sense.
00:19:09.519 --> 00:19:11.440
It's no, I'm just laughing again.
00:19:11.759 --> 00:19:21.039
The the all these things are absurd, and it's I really don't think I don't think the midterms fundamentally will change anything, especially like the for me, the most important issues.
00:19:21.200 --> 00:19:25.359
Again, yes, the economy, of course, but I mean there is there's a freaking genocide going on.
00:19:25.440 --> 00:19:33.039
It it's it's and this is what always makes me so mad is there is actually something very clearly to impeach Trump on.
00:19:33.200 --> 00:19:37.680
That's an illegal war and genocide, but they're not going to do that because they support it.
00:19:37.759 --> 00:19:51.599
They're the Democrats are still in the hands of APAC, and there's also, I mean, Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi, their only criticism of Trump with the Iran war was uh when he had that ceasefire.
00:19:51.759 --> 00:19:53.599
They said, Oh, you're giving them what they want.
00:19:53.759 --> 00:19:58.160
So their only criticism was you're not going hard enough against Iran.
00:19:58.480 --> 00:20:00.160
That's that's all they have.
00:20:00.240 --> 00:20:03.599
Um, that's all they will say because they fundamentally agree with this war.
00:20:03.759 --> 00:20:08.400
Um, but I am curious, um, Garland, where does the war go from here against Iran?
00:20:08.640 --> 00:20:10.400
Because we have the midterms.
00:20:10.559 --> 00:20:15.839
Um, and my theory, I think I've heard you say this, and other people say this, and I actually think this is the case.
00:20:16.000 --> 00:20:20.880
I do think Trump is holding off a bit on escalation until the midterms are done.
00:20:21.119 --> 00:20:28.079
I think he doesn't want, he knows he's gonna lose, he doesn't want to make it even worse when the election comes around.
00:20:28.319 --> 00:20:31.519
But it seems like they are preparing now to escalate.
00:20:31.599 --> 00:20:41.839
We have some rumors of that, but we also have a carrier being sent, we have uh jets being scrambled, uh, we have various diplomatic calls between uh regional leaders.
00:20:42.160 --> 00:20:43.039
What do you think?
00:20:43.200 --> 00:20:45.680
Where do you think uh things are gonna go with this war?
00:20:46.319 --> 00:20:48.799
Well, it's possible something could happen this weekend.
00:20:48.960 --> 00:20:50.720
I'm gonna say I don't think so.
00:20:50.880 --> 00:20:57.440
It could be happening right now as I'm speaking, but I don't, again, for the same reason I think they'll hold off till after the midterm.
00:20:57.519 --> 00:20:59.119
So that would be next weekend.
00:20:59.440 --> 00:21:10.720
Now, I think it's even possible that after the midterms, depending on how it turns out, it could be so tumultuous that the Trump administration gets paralyzed.
00:21:10.799 --> 00:21:11.359
You know what I mean?
00:21:11.440 --> 00:21:16.400
Depending upon, I mean, if it's like, you know, Armageddon kind of politically, would they be paralyzed?
00:21:16.559 --> 00:21:20.079
Maybe, maybe not, because the Democrats are on board with all wars anyway, you know.
00:21:20.240 --> 00:21:24.559
But I do think that right now, that what would we be looking at if they do it?
00:21:25.119 --> 00:21:26.720
You know, the same thing they've done.
00:21:26.880 --> 00:21:28.319
I mean, what has happened since then?
00:21:28.400 --> 00:21:36.400
They had the big clash for 39 days, then every so many weeks they throw some missiles and oh, we're gonna have a big, we're gonna Trump, we're gonna hit them hard.
00:21:36.559 --> 00:21:43.119
And they'd throw a bunch of tomahawks or something for three to five to six days, and then they'd stop.
00:21:43.279 --> 00:21:44.240
And then they'd do that.
00:21:44.319 --> 00:21:46.559
And I suspect it'll be something similar.
00:21:46.720 --> 00:21:54.240
However, I think the Iranians will uh will hit back, you know, hit back really, really hard.
00:21:54.480 --> 00:21:56.400
Um, so I don't know.
00:21:56.559 --> 00:21:59.759
I would suspect if they do something, it'll be what they've done all along, throw a bunch.
00:22:00.240 --> 00:22:05.279
Of missiles or something, try their best to do a decapitation strike, whatever, next weekend.
00:22:05.359 --> 00:22:07.680
It'll last a couple days and it'll be over.
00:22:07.839 --> 00:22:15.039
Um, be interesting to see whether the outcome of the midterms affects the decision.
00:22:15.119 --> 00:22:31.759
But I think, man, you know, it I always know how screwed up the Democrats are and think maybe the Democrats could be so bad that they won't beat them that bad, but this could be just, you know, a beating of biblical proportions.
00:22:32.160 --> 00:22:35.759
Um because here's the main reason.
00:22:35.920 --> 00:22:37.359
You've probably heard this before.
00:22:37.440 --> 00:22:38.559
How do you win an election?
00:22:38.640 --> 00:22:42.160
You know, they'll say in you know, poly side classes, you gotta do three things.
00:22:42.799 --> 00:22:46.559
Number one, turn out your base, number two, turn out your base, number three, turn out your base.
00:22:46.720 --> 00:22:47.759
You don't turn out your base.
00:22:47.839 --> 00:22:52.240
You know, I turn out my base, then I steal a little bit of yours, then I get some independent guys, then I get this and that.
00:22:52.319 --> 00:22:53.599
But first I got to turn out my base.
00:22:53.680 --> 00:22:55.680
His base is furious and they ain't gonna turn out.
00:22:55.839 --> 00:22:59.920
If your base doesn't turn out, you don't really have a chance of winning.
00:23:00.079 --> 00:23:07.759
But if you've pissed off the independence also, you ain't getting going to the other guy or stay home.
00:23:08.000 --> 00:23:11.119
They may not, they may hate the other guy, but they'll just stay home.
00:23:11.200 --> 00:23:17.599
And the other guy gets his base out and you don't get your base, you don't nobody gets the independence, and his base turns out, you get obliterated.
00:23:17.680 --> 00:23:25.519
And I kind of think that's the direction we're looking at, an obliteration, which doesn't make me feel good because God, I hate the Democrats just as bad as the Republicans.
00:23:25.759 --> 00:23:26.799
No, I'm with you on that.
00:23:28.000 --> 00:23:35.519
Yeah, and and I think I think that's actually a really good point because I think when we're looking at elections, we often think there's like there's flipping, oh, are you gonna go Republican or Democrat?
00:23:35.680 --> 00:23:39.519
But every election, who's won or lost, it really is you're right about the base.
00:23:39.599 --> 00:23:50.319
Like I remember even in 2016, looking at the presidential election when Hillary lost, that was actually when they looked at like the different areas, it wasn't so much, oh, people switched to Trump.
00:23:50.480 --> 00:23:53.440
It was actually just, oh, the Democrats didn't turn out.
00:23:53.599 --> 00:23:55.359
And now we're seeing the inverse of that.
00:23:55.440 --> 00:23:55.759
I think.
00:23:55.920 --> 00:24:06.240
I think a lot of these MAGA people who really believe in the in America first, who don't like these foreign wars, uh, they don't like the Democrats, but they're just gonna sit home.
00:24:06.400 --> 00:24:10.799
And I think that's what we're really gonna see in this election.
00:24:11.039 --> 00:24:16.079
Um, yeah, no, if you could add something, if I could add something real quick to something you said reminded me of something.
00:24:16.160 --> 00:24:17.680
Okay, think about this.
00:24:18.640 --> 00:24:23.279
In 2016, you had Bernie versus Hillary, and a lot of the Bernie people stayed home.
00:24:23.359 --> 00:24:25.279
So they lost a big part of their base, right?
00:24:25.440 --> 00:24:36.160
In 2020, you had um the issue of the genocide, and a lot of young people stayed home because so the last two major elections, you know, two of the last, I mean, excuse me, in 2024.
00:24:36.640 --> 00:24:39.359
So 2016, 2024.
00:24:39.599 --> 00:24:44.480
Um, and 2020 was odd because of COVID and weird things happened in COVID.
00:24:44.640 --> 00:24:45.119
You know what I mean?
00:24:45.200 --> 00:24:48.799
It was an abnormal election because of COVID and there was lockdowns and all that foolishness.
00:24:49.119 --> 00:24:55.839
But my point is in 2016, which we it's hard to judge how that affected political politics.
00:24:56.000 --> 00:24:58.160
It's hard to judge how that affected politics.
00:24:58.319 --> 00:25:13.279
But my point is in 2016 and 2024, both times, the Democratic Party suppressed a significant part of their base because the significant part of their base was not aligned with the candidate they put forward, you know?
00:25:13.599 --> 00:25:25.759
And so now the the Republicans are suppressed a significant part of their base, because a significant part of their base voted for something specific, and they're not aligned with the direction that the party is going.
00:25:25.920 --> 00:25:27.680
And now it's their turn.
00:25:27.839 --> 00:25:35.200
Um, and what's interesting is 2024, the Democrats issue was Israel, Zionism.
00:25:35.599 --> 00:25:38.559
And people stayed home because they were unhappy, right?
00:25:38.960 --> 00:25:42.240
2026, what is this that's hurting the Republicans?
00:25:42.400 --> 00:25:45.119
Israel, Zionism, people are unhappy.
00:25:45.440 --> 00:25:54.720
So there's a reckoning in politics in America regarding Zionism and Israel and war, which three those three things are inextricably linked.
00:25:55.759 --> 00:26:01.119
Speaking of war, I do want to now actually shift gears and look at what's going on with Yemen and Saudi Arabia.
00:26:01.200 --> 00:26:04.000
This is a huge development over the last couple months.
00:26:04.160 --> 00:26:08.000
I actually have an article on this coming out uh uh for current affairs.
00:26:08.240 --> 00:26:16.240
And so we have, just to give listeners and viewers a background, of course, uh Answer Allah, they're often referred to as the Houtis.
00:26:16.400 --> 00:26:16.799
That's not their name.
00:26:16.960 --> 00:26:19.440
It's Answer Allah, they're often referred to as rebels.
00:26:19.519 --> 00:26:25.039
Uh, they are the de facto government that control territory where 80% of the population lives.
00:26:25.200 --> 00:26:42.640
Uh, needless to say, back, I believe it was in July, Saudi Arabia struck their international airport, breaking a ceasefire at the time, a de facto ceasefire, and from there now Ansar Allah is steamrolling through Yemen, taking all these towns and cities.
00:26:42.799 --> 00:26:48.640
The second largest city ties right now is under siege and will probably be captured in the coming months.
00:26:48.799 --> 00:26:56.720
Um, but Garland, needless to say, one of the other big things though is uh Answer Allah, they're hitting Saudi Arabia pretty hard.
00:26:56.799 --> 00:27:01.119
They're hitting their uh oil pumping stations, their airports.
00:27:01.279 --> 00:27:03.359
Um, what are your thoughts on all this?
00:27:03.839 --> 00:27:18.720
A couple of things that's interesting, and that is one of the things that has to be taken into account it is we, you know, it is a um an expression of the change in how the changes in technology affects war and politics.
00:27:18.880 --> 00:27:40.960
You know, during the what is it, the the you know, 80s and 90s, and there was various revolutions, and the the the what they said was, you know, the AK-47 changed, you know, changed the world because now, you know, revolutions were just a bunch of guys, they could run through the jungles or whatever, but they got a hands on a bunch of AK-47s, they could fight the whoever, imperialists or whatever they they saw, right?
00:27:41.119 --> 00:27:57.839
Well, what we're seeing now is technology in long-range strike capacity that is inexpensive, that is accessible, so that countries that don't have a lot of money, et cetera, can exact uh a very high payment for powerful and wealthy countries, you know, during a war.
00:27:57.920 --> 00:28:02.240
And in some instances, put them in a position, such as Saudi Arabia, where they stand to be defeated.
00:28:02.319 --> 00:28:03.759
So the technology is changing.
00:28:03.839 --> 00:28:06.559
And of course, I'm sure they're getting by with a little help from their friends.
00:28:06.640 --> 00:28:10.960
You know, I guarantee you they're getting help from, you know, Iran and who knows who else.
00:28:11.119 --> 00:28:20.799
I would I I personally think that some of this technology is being filtered through Russia, I mean through Iran from maybe Russia and or China, whatever the case.
00:28:20.960 --> 00:28:22.000
But of course, look, the U.S.
00:28:22.079 --> 00:28:25.039
is sending stuff to Ukraine, sending stuff to Israel, wherever.
00:28:25.119 --> 00:28:26.240
This is the way the game's played.
00:28:26.319 --> 00:28:27.279
Hey, you know what I mean?
00:28:27.359 --> 00:28:28.480
It's the way the game's played.
00:28:28.559 --> 00:28:30.319
Everybody's playing the same game.
00:28:30.640 --> 00:28:38.880
But um the interesting thing is that the US, I think, and Britain and England, the U.S.
00:28:39.039 --> 00:28:52.480
alliance went in with the plan of we're going to take the Straits of Hormuz, we're gonna control the Straits of Hormuz, the Baal Baab al-Mindab straight, two of these very important um choke points for for international maritime trade.
00:28:52.559 --> 00:28:55.680
And then we're gonna be able to choke out China or whoever else will want.
00:28:55.759 --> 00:28:57.200
It'll give us tremendous leverage.
00:28:57.359 --> 00:29:09.119
But what we're seeing is these countries that are local to that region, because they have long-stream, uh, long-range strike uh capacity capability, are able to defend those.
00:29:09.279 --> 00:29:11.920
And now what they're finding is it's just the opposite.
00:29:12.079 --> 00:29:20.720
They went in and they have had to surrender those choke points to countries that you could deem far less economically and militarily powerful.
00:29:21.039 --> 00:29:23.359
But what's the old saying?
00:29:23.519 --> 00:29:26.559
You can choose your allies, but you can't choose your neighbors.
00:29:26.799 --> 00:29:27.759
They're there.
00:29:28.079 --> 00:29:30.960
They are possession is nine-tenths of the law, right?
00:29:31.119 --> 00:29:36.799
They are there and you ain't, and they are defending those regions and you are assaulting those areas.
00:29:37.039 --> 00:29:40.559
Long-term strike capability means you can't get close enough to take them.
00:29:40.640 --> 00:29:45.119
And so that's what we're seeing: a change in the world, a change in the ability of defense.
00:29:45.279 --> 00:29:55.279
Long strange long-range strike capability means it's easy to defend yourself because anybody that comes near you, you're going to punch the daylights out of them with drones and missiles until they have to back off.
00:29:55.359 --> 00:29:56.480
The price is too high.
00:29:56.720 --> 00:29:58.400
So that's what the way I see it.
00:29:58.480 --> 00:30:10.319
It's a it's a change in the way very, very powerful countries can assault less powerful countries because of simply because of technology, a change in technology.
00:30:10.799 --> 00:30:12.319
That makes a lot of sense.
00:30:12.559 --> 00:30:14.720
Why don't they just walk away from this war?
00:30:14.880 --> 00:30:18.880
Like, like, seriously, like look at Saudi Arabia, Mohammed uh bin Salman.
00:30:19.440 --> 00:30:21.759
I don't get it why they're continuing this.
00:30:21.920 --> 00:30:24.400
If I was, if I was him, if I was Trump, this is what I would do.
00:30:24.559 --> 00:30:25.359
I'm gonna tell you what I do.
00:30:25.440 --> 00:30:31.039
If I was Mohammed bin Salman, I'd say, you know what, we've tried this war in Yemen so many times, it's not working out.
00:30:31.119 --> 00:30:35.759
Uh, we tried, like, just purely strategically, not even morally or ethnically.
00:30:35.920 --> 00:30:36.799
Uh, you know what?
00:30:36.880 --> 00:30:37.359
Forget it.
00:30:37.440 --> 00:30:39.839
Let's just let's just let's stop this blockade against Yemen.
00:30:39.920 --> 00:30:45.119
Let's just give them what they want, let's rebuild our pipeline, let's rebuild our country, that's fine.
00:30:45.279 --> 00:30:48.640
And if I was Trump Garland, this is what I would do.
00:30:48.880 --> 00:30:58.559
I would also give Iran whatever they want, but I would, in a Trumping way, sell it as a win.
00:30:58.720 --> 00:31:09.839
I would say something like, I don't know, like I would probably if they if Iran wanted money for all the reparations, I would sell this as, oh, the we're they're we're investing in them.
00:31:10.160 --> 00:31:14.400
Oh, we are now we've now brought peace to the Middle East.
00:31:14.480 --> 00:31:16.000
Like, I would just come up with some BS.
00:31:16.319 --> 00:31:18.160
Why don't why don't they do that?
00:31:19.759 --> 00:31:24.000
Well, there are a couple of things, and there are the um economic.
00:31:24.559 --> 00:31:33.519
I mean, there's the the the first, you're right, the smart thing to do, if you have the capacity to do that, is make that decision, right?
00:31:33.599 --> 00:31:35.519
Uh, you know, we're out of here.
00:31:35.599 --> 00:31:38.400
We're not gonna fall victim to the old sunk cost fallacy, right?
00:31:38.480 --> 00:31:40.000
We're getting the hell out of here now.
00:31:40.079 --> 00:31:42.559
Um, I'm losing money, you know, it's like anything else.
00:31:42.640 --> 00:31:45.359
I'm I'm playing poker and I've lost a hundred bucks.
00:31:45.839 --> 00:31:47.039
I'm going home.
00:31:47.359 --> 00:31:48.319
I ain't gonna lose.
00:31:48.400 --> 00:31:49.759
I ain't trying to win that back.
00:31:49.839 --> 00:31:50.480
I've lost it.
00:31:50.559 --> 00:31:52.160
There's no way to get it back.
00:31:52.240 --> 00:31:52.960
I'm out of here.
00:31:53.119 --> 00:31:56.720
But the problem, a couple of things, and that that is in that the U.S.
00:31:56.880 --> 00:31:58.799
is like an imperial power.
00:31:59.279 --> 00:32:01.680
If you do that, it's over.
00:32:01.920 --> 00:32:03.680
You're not an imperial power anymore.
00:32:03.839 --> 00:32:09.039
You have, it's a way of saying, I got, you know, it's a way you it's an admission that you've lost.
00:32:09.119 --> 00:32:16.480
It's an admission because empire and hegemony, whatever you term you want to use, is a narrative.
00:32:16.799 --> 00:32:21.680
It is the narrative that says, I am powerful and everything must everybody must do what I say, right?
00:32:21.839 --> 00:32:24.640
Everybody, everywhere must do what I say because I'm all powerful.
00:32:24.720 --> 00:32:26.160
I'm the indispensable nation.
00:32:26.240 --> 00:32:35.680
You know, we got all these lunatic lunacy term lunatic terms for it, but when you basically say, uh, Uncle, you won.
00:32:35.839 --> 00:32:36.799
All right, here, what do you want?
00:32:36.880 --> 00:32:38.640
The Straits of Hormuz, you got it.
00:32:38.720 --> 00:32:39.359
What else do you want?
00:32:39.440 --> 00:32:40.640
Yeah, money here, take it all.
00:32:40.720 --> 00:32:41.279
We're out of here.
00:32:41.680 --> 00:32:44.799
There's you can't, as REM said, you can't get there from here.
00:32:44.960 --> 00:32:51.599
There is no way that you can get the hell out of Iran at this point and sell it as a win.
00:32:51.759 --> 00:32:54.880
Yes, if he could, he would, but there's no way to sell that as a win.
00:32:55.039 --> 00:32:56.640
Not when you're laying on the canvas.
00:32:56.799 --> 00:33:03.119
I hate to go too far with these uh metaphors, but you know, you're laying on the canvas, reach looking for looking for your mouthpiece.
00:33:03.200 --> 00:33:04.480
There's no way to say I won it.
00:33:04.640 --> 00:33:08.559
And the other guy's got his hands up like this, and everybody's handing him the championship belt.
00:33:08.799 --> 00:33:11.039
There ain't no way laying down there to say I won.
00:33:11.200 --> 00:33:13.839
You lost, and it's and everybody in the crowd can see it.
00:33:14.079 --> 00:33:20.880
So there's no way for Trump to get out and say, because that's really at that point, it's all over.
00:33:21.119 --> 00:33:22.400
The empire is over.
00:33:22.640 --> 00:33:24.000
Oh, we're gonna confront China.
00:33:24.079 --> 00:33:24.400
Really?
00:33:24.480 --> 00:33:25.519
You just lost to Iran.
00:33:25.599 --> 00:33:26.880
Uh, Russia, you just lost to Iran.
00:33:27.039 --> 00:33:29.359
You ain't confronting nobody, you just lost to Iran.
00:33:29.920 --> 00:33:36.480
Um, I think they're horrified of the ramifications of admitting that the game is over, that they lost.
00:33:36.559 --> 00:33:38.400
They don't know what to make, what will happen then?
00:33:38.559 --> 00:33:39.759
Oh my god, they can't do that.
00:33:39.839 --> 00:33:44.319
And I think internally they can't admit it to themselves that the game's over.
00:33:45.279 --> 00:33:46.559
No, I'm with you on that.
00:33:46.640 --> 00:33:47.680
That's interesting.
00:33:47.920 --> 00:33:50.960
It reminds me, you know, Franz Final and Wretched of the Earth.
00:33:51.039 --> 00:33:56.960
He has this thing where he talks about Algeria and the Algerian war, and I forget the exact language he uses.
00:33:57.039 --> 00:34:06.160
It's something called like an exemplary country, or I forget the language he uses, but his point was this sometimes these wars that go on, they continue to go on.
00:34:06.240 --> 00:34:07.119
You're right, Garland.
00:34:07.359 --> 00:34:12.559
Not just because of the individual case, but because of the precedent it sets.
00:34:12.800 --> 00:34:15.360
I've always thought that's the case with the Iran war.
00:34:15.760 --> 00:34:24.239
Yeah, they could walk away, but then every single country in the global south would go, oh, okay, we can do that too, right?
00:34:24.800 --> 00:34:30.000
Nigeria, I mean, Nigeria, for instance, this is a country that I'm always hoping to see a revolution in too.
00:34:30.159 --> 00:34:39.679
Africa's most populated country, vast income inequality, uh on the border with uh Niger, uh, which is part of the alliance of Sahel states.
00:34:40.000 --> 00:34:56.320
Imagine if a bunch of we you know, we can call them rebels, revolutionaries, whatever, saw what's going on in Iran and they seized power, or heck, in Saudi Arabia itself, or in I don't even care, or anywhere, Thailand, uh, South Africa, wherever, like wherever.
00:34:56.800 --> 00:35:17.360
So because I I think that you're making sense, and and also this is also the reason why I think there is this disgusting amount of cruelty, because they want in a very evil way, they're showing off, they're saying, hey, if you resist us, we'll bomb your hospitals, we'll kill your schoolgirls, all these things.
00:35:17.760 --> 00:35:31.599
But then I guess that leaves still the empire in a pickle, because there's only two ways that I see this ending if there isn't some sort of agreement in the immediate future.
00:35:31.840 --> 00:35:43.199
I see either it kind of this um this war that gets dragged on, and by no means is the war on serious, but you're right, like the first days of fighting were very intensive, now it's being dragged on.
00:35:43.360 --> 00:35:58.000
I see this continuing on for years, and in that case, the economy continues to decline further, interest rates go up, uh, diesel, which is so expensive, continues to rise or even just stays at the record high prices.
00:35:58.480 --> 00:36:03.119
Or I see dramatic escalation, and that just leads to an economic depression.
00:36:03.360 --> 00:36:05.039
So they're stuck.
00:36:05.119 --> 00:36:06.960
Like, what's the way out for them?
00:36:07.119 --> 00:36:12.079
Like, if you're in this decision room, what would what would your advice be to them?
00:36:12.239 --> 00:36:15.039
Like, what were they where are they hoping for in all this?
00:36:15.440 --> 00:36:16.559
Well, let's start here.
00:36:16.719 --> 00:36:19.440
And when you when because when people say, What, how did they get out?
00:36:19.599 --> 00:36:20.960
I put it to you like this.
00:36:21.280 --> 00:36:27.760
You know, two guys are standing on a building and they jump off, and halfway down they look at each other and say, you know, this was a bad move.
00:36:27.840 --> 00:36:29.760
I I think we need to do something different.
00:36:30.079 --> 00:36:31.760
Gravity is unforgiving, pal.
00:36:32.000 --> 00:36:32.880
You know what I mean?
00:36:33.039 --> 00:36:34.639
You there ain't no way out of that one.
00:36:34.719 --> 00:36:41.840
You made your decision, and once you set a certain set of events in motion, there's no way to reverse it, right?
00:36:42.079 --> 00:36:48.159
So now they have set a when they attacked Iran, they opened a door that can't be closed.
00:36:48.400 --> 00:36:51.119
There's not a way out for them without victory.
00:36:51.199 --> 00:36:53.440
They're like, how do they get out of this without losing?
00:36:53.599 --> 00:36:54.559
Oh, they don't.
00:36:54.800 --> 00:36:56.000
You know, what was that?
00:36:56.079 --> 00:36:57.440
There was a movie, I forgot what it was.
00:36:57.519 --> 00:37:00.000
It might have been The Last Star Fighter or something.
00:37:00.159 --> 00:37:04.079
And you know, what it was uh 80s or 90s uh movie.
00:37:04.159 --> 00:37:20.800
I love to use these kind of analogies, but at any rate, so they're in this like uh, you know, Death Star kind of ship going along, and you know, they're in the fight, and then the bad guys, and so finally one of the helmsmen, you know, they've they've been hit, they're the ship's been hit and they're going towards this planet.
00:37:20.880 --> 00:37:24.559
One of the helmsman looks at him, he says, Captain, are the helms not responding?
00:37:24.800 --> 00:37:25.920
Darn it, sorry about that.
00:37:26.079 --> 00:37:31.440
He says, Captain, the helm's not responding, and we're caught in the in the planet's gravity.
00:37:31.599 --> 00:37:32.239
What do we do?
00:37:32.320 --> 00:37:35.440
And the captain pulls us, he looks at him, he says, We die.
00:37:36.559 --> 00:37:37.280
You know what I mean?
00:37:37.360 --> 00:37:38.639
Like, hey, what do you come on?
00:37:38.719 --> 00:37:39.199
What do you think?
00:37:39.280 --> 00:37:40.559
There's no way out of this one.
00:37:40.719 --> 00:37:41.840
We're going to die, right?
00:37:41.920 --> 00:37:42.239
Okay.
00:37:42.639 --> 00:37:45.360
So, hey, let's see, you attacked Iran.
00:37:45.679 --> 00:37:47.280
There's no way to defeat Iran.
00:37:47.599 --> 00:37:51.199
You can keep fighting Iran, but it's going to destroy your kind of your economy.
00:37:51.360 --> 00:37:56.159
You can attack them with a nuclear weapon, but it's still going to destroy your economy and it's not going to destroy them.
00:37:56.320 --> 00:38:01.440
And you're going to be a pariah, and it's, oh, by the way, did I mention it's going to still destroy your economy, right?
00:38:02.000 --> 00:38:06.079
There is no way out for them, for the people who started this.
00:38:06.159 --> 00:38:07.599
There's no way to get out.
00:38:08.320 --> 00:38:08.880
They lose.
00:38:09.039 --> 00:38:13.760
And Iran knows, and Iran's got them by the short and curlies, and Iran ain't gonna let go.
00:38:13.920 --> 00:38:14.639
That's the problem.
00:38:14.719 --> 00:38:17.440
The only way out was if Iran would let go.
00:38:17.519 --> 00:38:19.039
I'm sorry, you pissed them off.
00:38:19.199 --> 00:38:20.079
They ain't letting go.
00:38:20.159 --> 00:38:23.760
You killed my sister, my brother, my father, my children.
00:38:23.840 --> 00:38:26.239
You know, sorry, pal, you ain't getting out of this one.
00:38:26.400 --> 00:38:28.559
So, and people are like, well, maybe they'll use nukes.
00:38:28.639 --> 00:38:32.480
Okay, let's just say for the arc state of an argument, they throw a nuke to it, Iran.
00:38:32.960 --> 00:38:34.079
Is that gonna end it?
00:38:34.320 --> 00:38:36.000
Iran's the size of Western Europe.
00:38:36.079 --> 00:38:37.599
Is that gonna get them out of it?
00:38:37.760 --> 00:38:38.480
No, it's not.
00:38:38.639 --> 00:38:40.719
It's gonna infuriate the rest of the world.
00:38:40.880 --> 00:38:42.800
The people in here will go bananas.
00:38:42.960 --> 00:38:45.199
There could be fallout all over the Middle East.
00:38:45.280 --> 00:38:47.679
Now you can't access oil all over the place.
00:38:47.840 --> 00:38:55.199
Well, hundreds of millions of Muslims are leaving that, coming to the West, because that's where they're gonna come, flooding the place, the people here are gonna go bananas.
00:38:55.360 --> 00:38:58.480
Oh my God, there's a hundred million new people, and we don't know what the hell's going on.
00:38:58.559 --> 00:39:00.800
You think you got immigration problems now?
00:39:01.280 --> 00:39:08.559
So even if you do take some kind of dramatic action like that, it will make it infinitely worse.
00:39:08.800 --> 00:39:15.599
I'm saying there they sometimes you take an action that you can't get yourself out of.
00:39:15.760 --> 00:39:17.440
They there's no way for them to get out of this one.
00:39:17.519 --> 00:39:19.519
They've lost, they've attacked, they've lost the war.
00:39:19.760 --> 00:39:24.880
My point, the week before this happened, I said, if they attack Iran, two things I'll guarantee you.
00:39:25.039 --> 00:39:26.559
Number one, they'll lose.
00:39:26.719 --> 00:39:28.480
Number two, that's it for the empire.
00:39:28.559 --> 00:39:30.800
That will be the destruction of the empire.
00:39:31.360 --> 00:39:33.840
And those two things are there's no way out of them now.
00:39:33.920 --> 00:39:34.639
That's the way I see it.
00:39:34.719 --> 00:39:35.440
There is no way out.
00:39:35.599 --> 00:39:36.719
We can talk about it.
00:39:36.880 --> 00:39:38.719
Yeah, they're done.
00:39:39.199 --> 00:39:41.039
Iran ain't gonna let go ever.
00:39:42.320 --> 00:39:48.000
And I I heard that um Saudi Arabia was trying to bribe the Houthis with a billion dollars.
00:39:48.159 --> 00:39:48.639
Have you heard that?
00:39:48.960 --> 00:39:50.480
That they don't know who they were offering the Houthis.
00:39:50.639 --> 00:39:55.599
Yeah, they were apparently they were offering, they went to Iran and said, we'll give the Houthis a billion dollars to back off.
00:39:55.760 --> 00:39:57.920
I don't know how much you know about Ansar Allah.
00:39:58.079 --> 00:39:58.320
Oh, yeah.
00:39:58.480 --> 00:40:14.079
One of the things, yeah, and in fact, um they actually, one of their original leaders had made a pro predic prediction or prophecy and said, one day we will have the opportunity to fight Israel and the US Empire, and we'll win.
00:40:14.320 --> 00:40:16.480
These people believe they're doing God's work.
00:40:18.239 --> 00:40:19.440
You ain't buying them out.
00:40:19.519 --> 00:40:20.000
I'm sorry.
00:40:20.159 --> 00:40:25.840
Again, you should uh uh uh uh Saudi Arabia, you should have left that hornet's nest to be.
00:40:26.320 --> 00:40:30.159
You kicked uh Yemen and it's gonna destroy uh Saudi Arabia.
00:40:30.239 --> 00:40:32.000
It's gonna fall apart from the inside.
00:40:33.119 --> 00:40:36.480
No, absolutely, and this is especially Yemen.
00:40:36.559 --> 00:40:38.880
Oh my gosh, Garland, these are some of the most noble people.
00:40:38.960 --> 00:40:54.559
I mean, they were Yemen was the only country, and don't get me wrong, there's all obviously uh uh smaller actors, uh like the access of resistance, but initially during the Gaza genocide, Yemen was the only country that stood up for Palestine.
00:40:54.639 --> 00:41:08.559
Like this was they were also one of the poorest countries in the world, they were under a genocidal blockade with uh literally almost 100,000 children dying of starvation just from starvation.
00:41:08.880 --> 00:41:13.440
I'm not even talking about uh the cholera um outbreak that occurred.
00:41:13.679 --> 00:41:18.079
And as I had an interview, I think everyone should check this out with um Sharine Alademi.
00:41:18.239 --> 00:41:20.719
We're breaking down some of the myths around uh answer a la.
00:41:21.119 --> 00:41:28.480
And she said a lot of geopolitical analysts looked at what they did back in 2023 to support um the uh to support Palestinians.
00:41:28.639 --> 00:41:34.719
And a lot of geopolitical analysts were like, well, even strategically, it's not necessarily gonna be the best move.
00:41:34.800 --> 00:41:37.840
It seems this is just a moral commitment.
00:41:38.000 --> 00:41:47.920
And so that's why I laughed at oh, buying out the Houtis, you know, that's like that'd be like if the Romans gave money to Jesus instead of Judas, right?
00:41:48.079 --> 00:41:54.079
You know, like this is um this is uh something that just that just isn't gonna work.
00:41:54.239 --> 00:42:00.880
Uh, do you think with this uh conflict with Yemen that the whole House of Cards of Saudi Arabia could come down?
00:42:01.039 --> 00:42:10.000
Because I even saw, even according to these mainstream economists like heck, the IMF, uh, Saudi Arabia is facing a very severe recession.
00:42:10.079 --> 00:42:12.960
Uh obviously their pipeline's been blown up.
00:42:13.119 --> 00:42:19.199
Uh, where do you see things going with Saudi Arabia and also even the other Gulf states, Scarland?
00:42:20.079 --> 00:42:23.760
Well, you know, these states were in a precarious political position in the first place.
00:42:23.840 --> 00:42:25.599
They were created by the British.
00:42:25.679 --> 00:42:29.599
Um, often, like as an example, Bahrain, it's a minority rule state.
00:42:29.679 --> 00:42:34.559
It's 60% Shia, it's run by uh Sunni leaders who don't even represent the Sunnis.
00:42:34.800 --> 00:42:51.920
So, you what you have here was a situation that was always ripe for revolution, ripe for uh devolution, you know, devolving from what it is, um, because it was created by outside entities to serve the needs of outside entities.
00:42:52.079 --> 00:42:54.960
This is not about the people of Saudi Arabia or anything else.
00:42:55.119 --> 00:43:00.079
And the best that would happen was say the people of Saudi Arabia, of Saudi Arabia would get a bribe.
00:43:00.159 --> 00:43:00.719
You know what I mean?
00:43:00.880 --> 00:43:04.639
It's be like, okay, this country made$100 billion over this period of time.
00:43:04.800 --> 00:43:14.000
The US and England get$80 billion, the other billion,$15 billion go into the pockets of the uh the royal family, and the other$5 billion get spread amongst the people.
00:43:14.079 --> 00:43:14.960
And there ain't that many people.
00:43:15.039 --> 00:43:17.519
So the people feel okay, they're living pretty easy.
00:43:18.000 --> 00:43:22.800
Little do they realize they're still only getting, they're not even getting 80% of their wealth, that they could be doing a lot better.
00:43:22.880 --> 00:43:26.000
But okay, they're getting enough to keep their mouths shut.
00:43:26.159 --> 00:43:27.519
And that's what you were looking at.
00:43:27.599 --> 00:43:34.000
And now what we're looking at is the governments will not have the money to bribe the people internally.
00:43:34.320 --> 00:43:38.960
Um, the people that are wealthy are gonna get the heck out of there, leave that can afford to.
00:43:39.119 --> 00:43:40.159
You know how that game goes.
00:43:40.320 --> 00:43:42.800
The people that can afford to are good are gonna go.
00:43:43.039 --> 00:43:58.239
Um, the money that they've had coming in has stopped, and they're not gonna be, you know, they were profligate spenders, they're not gonna be able to continue spending money, they're gonna have to take loans, which how the heck are they gonna pay them back?
00:43:58.320 --> 00:43:59.760
And they can't even rebuild their infrastructure.
00:44:00.639 --> 00:44:04.559
They can't rebuild their infrastructure until there is a final end of the war.
00:44:04.719 --> 00:44:11.840
I mean, if you got to rebuild billions and billions of dollars worth of infrastructure, knowing that if the war kicks up in a month, it's all going to be blown up again.
00:44:12.000 --> 00:44:14.079
No bank is going to lend you the money to do that.
00:44:14.239 --> 00:44:21.599
No international bank anywhere is going to lend you the money to build the infrastructure that you can't guarantee that they won't build it and it won't be blown up in a month.
00:44:21.840 --> 00:44:31.119
So they for the talk of Saudi Arabia rebuilding or any of these other countries' infrastructure, that's irrelevant until the war is finalized, done.
00:44:31.199 --> 00:44:36.639
And as you said, it could be going on for a long time, which means they can't begin to build their infrastructure.
00:44:36.800 --> 00:44:45.679
And of course, um I generally, in especially particularly in countries like these, or any country really, but in countries like these, there are going to be other factions that want to take power.
00:44:45.920 --> 00:44:54.079
So the people that are in power, my understanding is that troops that are sent to Saudi Arabia are not sent to fight Yemen.
00:44:54.159 --> 00:45:01.039
They're sent to protect the royal family and to protect the people in power from over, you know, from overthrow.
00:45:01.360 --> 00:45:06.800
So I think whether or not there will be, I would suspect at some point.
00:45:06.880 --> 00:45:14.239
Now, this is a suspicion of mine, just from a tactical perspective, strategic rather, that the people, say the Brits in the U.S.
00:45:14.400 --> 00:45:18.320
who put the Saudis in power and keep them in power, will say, you know what?
00:45:19.599 --> 00:45:24.159
They're going to go out of power and a new group of people are going to come into power.
00:45:24.239 --> 00:45:25.360
So we better control that.
00:45:25.519 --> 00:45:30.079
Let's knock them out of power ourselves and put some new people in power so we control the new power.
00:45:30.239 --> 00:45:32.400
You know, ultimately, the British and the U.S.
00:45:32.480 --> 00:45:38.639
may look at the House of Saud and some, you know, the Emirate, the family and the Emirati, uh uh, what are they they call it?
00:45:38.719 --> 00:45:48.960
The emirs, and just say, well, if they're gonna fall, we might as well knock them off ourselves and put somebody new in, and you know, exile them to the south of France or something like that, you know, make a deal with them.
00:45:49.119 --> 00:45:56.320
But the uh the the question to me is whether or not there is the appearance, the illusion that there's a new government when simply the U.S.
00:45:56.400 --> 00:46:00.559
and the Brits put in a new government to give that illusion or whether they actually fall.
00:46:00.880 --> 00:46:04.320
And I don't know, but I think they'll fall.
00:46:04.480 --> 00:46:10.400
And I suspect that before this is all said and done, all of those Sykes Pico border lines are gonna be obliterated.
00:46:11.440 --> 00:46:13.599
And that was inevitable because they're not real.
00:46:13.679 --> 00:46:16.000
The Brits came in and drew those lines.
00:46:16.079 --> 00:46:20.960
They got nothing to do with those right across like tribal lands that have been around for thousands of years.
00:46:21.119 --> 00:46:23.039
You're gonna split this group in half.
00:46:23.199 --> 00:46:24.079
No, it's not it.
00:46:24.239 --> 00:46:24.960
It was inevitable.
00:46:25.039 --> 00:46:32.000
And now that there is um a certain level of anarchy in the region, it will reform in an organic way.
00:46:32.159 --> 00:46:36.480
Some of these countries, as they fall apart, may go reform in a more organic way.
00:46:37.519 --> 00:46:47.760
The whole West Asia order is being redrawn and alliances are changing, it's all actually developing really rapidly.
00:46:48.000 --> 00:46:52.320
I do want to say that, of course, when it comes to this war, I really do think so.
00:46:52.559 --> 00:47:03.039
Early on when the war was going on, even in the early days when Trump was saying, oh, two weeks, and some people were believing that, I was saying, nope, 2027 at least, 2027, this is gonna go into.
00:47:03.119 --> 00:47:10.559
And now I think actually this is a war that is gonna go on until another two years from here at least, until 2028 or 2029.
00:47:11.119 --> 00:47:16.000
Uh, it's a very strange time we are in, needless to say.
00:47:16.239 --> 00:47:26.000
I do want to just very briefly, as we close up, just touch on Ukraine because obviously uh the conflict there, uh, the full-scale conflict has been going on for uh over four years now.
00:47:26.079 --> 00:47:28.400
We're gonna be eventually approaching the fifth year of this.
00:47:28.639 --> 00:47:31.039
Garland, I always have a very interesting take on this.
00:47:31.119 --> 00:47:41.119
So the Western propaganda is oh, Russia's gonna fall, it's the end of Russia, this is this is this is and we saw that, and yeah, those sanctions hurt.
00:47:41.199 --> 00:47:56.159
There was initially a severe economic decline, and then uh actually Russia was in many ways, I don't want to say advantaged, but in a way, actually by cutting itself off economically, it was able to then develop in its own ways and develop its own industries and own economy.
00:47:56.320 --> 00:48:06.800
Um, the other thing though is I do hear often these predictions that Ukraine is going to collapse or something like that, and definitely Ukraine's on the losing side, and then in the long run, Ukraine will lose.
00:48:07.119 --> 00:48:10.480
But gosh, this war's been going on for so long.
00:48:10.639 --> 00:48:16.880
And and I'm just like I hear some people who I actually otherwise agree with saying, Oh, it's it's fit Ukraine's finished, sure.
00:48:17.280 --> 00:48:20.400
But I do feel like that war could also go on for quite a while.
00:48:20.480 --> 00:48:24.480
I want to know what your thoughts are, just broadly on this conflict uh that is going on.
00:48:25.119 --> 00:48:26.000
Sure, a couple of things.
00:48:26.079 --> 00:48:34.880
Number one, you have to understand if you study the Russians' way of war, that they're not tied to a um a calendar.
00:48:35.519 --> 00:48:41.679
So, you know, in the West, the way the Western tends to fight war, we tend to fight, oh, how long is it gonna go on?
00:48:41.920 --> 00:48:44.800
The Russian way of war is we're gonna defeat you.
00:48:45.039 --> 00:48:48.719
And we're gonna chip away and chip away and chip away.
00:48:48.880 --> 00:48:51.840
And eventually, eventually you're gonna fall, right?
00:48:52.000 --> 00:48:58.880
And we're gonna take town after town, village after village, slowly but surely, and sooner or later, you're gonna fall.
00:48:58.960 --> 00:49:04.239
And they just keep that the term that's been used is a lava, the Russian military is like a lava flow.
00:49:04.400 --> 00:49:06.239
And that's what they're doing with Ukraine.
00:49:06.400 --> 00:49:13.119
They're just taking town after town, they're chipping away at their electrical grid, they're chipping away at this, and that and that's the way they do.
00:49:13.199 --> 00:49:14.639
And it's like, what was the her hen?
00:49:14.960 --> 00:49:18.400
What was it, Hemiway, where uh they asked a guy, how'd you go broke?
00:49:18.559 --> 00:49:20.480
And he said slowly and then suddenly.
00:49:20.719 --> 00:49:25.679
And I think that's what we'll see with with with uh Ukraine.
00:49:25.760 --> 00:49:31.280
You can see them weakening, you can see their electrical grid weakening, you can see their supply lines, your bridges now.
00:49:31.519 --> 00:49:42.719
So it's bit by bit, bit by bit, it's weakening and weakening until they take away the supports of the, if we call it a bridge, they chip away at the supports of the bridge, and then slowly the bridge falls.
00:49:42.880 --> 00:49:44.719
I think that's what you're gonna look at.
00:49:44.880 --> 00:49:53.360
And so, wherein um in the West, we were looking at some kind of a rolling thunder where you come through and you just smash them, you know, Trump.
00:49:53.440 --> 00:49:54.639
We're gonna hit him hard.
00:49:54.880 --> 00:49:59.119
We're gonna hit him hard, then we're gonna blast them, and then we're gonna do shock and awe.
00:49:59.280 --> 00:50:01.280
Well, no, that's not the way the Russians fight.
00:50:01.440 --> 00:50:04.320
They don't shock and awe, they just keep chipping till you fall.
00:50:04.400 --> 00:50:16.239
So I think that um the only question is how close are we till that to that moment where um Ukraine is not sustainable anymore?
00:50:16.400 --> 00:50:30.000
But if you see Ukraine, not as the country of Ukraine, but as the Ukraine project, a NATO project to get on Russia's border, to sharpen up Ukraine like a knife and stab Russia with it, right?
00:50:30.239 --> 00:50:33.360
Um, well, it's not it's not doing, it's nothing now.
00:50:33.519 --> 00:50:38.719
Ukraine's not much more than a platform for NATO to launch long-range strikes into Russia, realistically.
00:50:39.039 --> 00:50:48.639
So I think we are getting closer and closer to the point where they have made the Russians have made life miserable as hell for the people inside of Ukraine, so they don't want it anymore.
00:50:48.960 --> 00:50:57.360
Where the supply lines and all those kind of things are difficult for the troops to be resupplied and it's almost impossible for them to fight.
00:50:57.519 --> 00:51:06.079
And of course, Kazha Kalis said, Khashakalis said recently that, you know, it's kind of the people in the EU are tired of the Ukraine war.
00:51:06.480 --> 00:51:11.440
So you have all of these things where the people over there are like, hey, man, uh, we're sick of this.
00:51:11.519 --> 00:51:12.559
Let's like move on.
00:51:12.639 --> 00:51:14.320
We need something to eat here, right?
00:51:14.559 --> 00:51:16.639
You got all of these factors.
00:51:16.880 --> 00:51:19.599
And, you know, as usual, Zelensky's coming over.
00:51:19.679 --> 00:51:21.119
I need 150 billion.
00:51:21.280 --> 00:51:28.000
And those leaders are all looking at themselves saying, you know, my pockets, as they say, my pockets look like uh elephant ears here, buddy.
00:51:28.079 --> 00:51:28.960
They're inside out.
00:51:29.039 --> 00:51:30.960
There ain't nothing in my pockets but lint.
00:51:31.119 --> 00:51:32.239
Sorry, I don't have it.
00:51:32.480 --> 00:51:42.320
So I think they're putting the Russians are doing it slowly, and all these factors are coming together, where the people are saying we're sick of it, and they're in the streets rioting for any number of reasons.
00:51:42.480 --> 00:51:43.920
There's no more money.
00:51:44.159 --> 00:51:49.760
Um, there's no more, uh, they don't have the support, they don't have the money, they don't have the finances.
00:51:49.840 --> 00:51:51.280
The Americans want the hell out.
00:51:51.519 --> 00:52:00.400
A lot of them, the Trump people at least, but a lot of Americans want out, you know, and so it's the Russians are just slowly creating the dynamics where this Ukraine project collapses.
00:52:00.559 --> 00:52:06.239
But I don't think we, because of the way we think in the West, will be like, when's it gonna happen?
00:52:06.400 --> 00:52:06.800
How soon?
00:52:06.880 --> 00:52:08.159
What's taking it so long?
00:52:08.559 --> 00:52:13.199
When you understand Russian culture, they're like, we're just we're going to win this war.
00:52:13.840 --> 00:52:17.119
And we'll do what it takes in the time that it takes.
00:52:17.760 --> 00:52:26.960
That makes way more sense because again, I think, you know, a big part, Garland, of the last three years has been me unlearning a lot of stuff and that Western propaganda.
00:52:27.119 --> 00:52:30.159
No matter how much we think we've unlearned, we keep holding to these bits.
00:52:30.239 --> 00:52:34.239
And I think a small part of me was, you know, think saying, okay, where's the big victory?
00:52:34.400 --> 00:52:38.400
I mean, every war the United States has done has been shock and awe, more or less, actually.
00:52:38.480 --> 00:52:49.199
I'd say, like, we even when you look at, for instance, the 90s, obviously the first Gulf War, like these, this uh this war that was fought on the televisions almost more than it was fought on the ground.
00:52:49.360 --> 00:52:51.840
Uh, even the a lot of people forget about this.
00:52:51.920 --> 00:52:55.119
I've written quite a few articles on this, the US intervention in Somalia.
00:52:55.199 --> 00:52:59.039
They were really just hoping to go in, take care of that.
00:52:59.280 --> 00:53:08.719
Um the United States seems to fight wars that are quick and they lose, and Russia seems to fight wars that are long and they win.
00:53:08.960 --> 00:53:12.960
I think there's a euphemism there, but I'm gonna keep it PG, uh, needless to say.
00:53:13.119 --> 00:53:16.239
So that's just the different ways of going about it.
00:53:16.400 --> 00:53:29.679
Um, I was going to ask another the other thing I also think is interesting, though, and before we wrap up, um, you know, we are seeing I always like to bring the domestic and the geopolitical together, and I think this is something that's really important for people to know.
00:53:29.920 --> 00:53:43.840
When I'm looking at France, which is where we started, you know, these mass protests, riots, wherever, uh rising we could even call it, I think a lot of listeners should also understand that these things, because they exist um internationally, we're all interconnected.
00:53:44.639 --> 00:53:56.239
When people in the imperial corps resist their government and their corporations, they're not only liberating themselves, they're liberating others too.
00:53:56.480 --> 00:54:04.639
Because the way I see it is if things continue to go in France, where's the French military gonna have to do?
00:54:04.719 --> 00:54:06.800
They're gonna have to come back home and deal with that.
00:54:06.960 --> 00:54:12.480
And that means less resources in the Sahel where France is supporting terrorists there.
00:54:12.639 --> 00:54:14.480
Uh, we're talking about the Ukraine conflict.
00:54:14.559 --> 00:54:22.320
If France or any country, any Western country, has to focus on their own domestic fronts, then they can't keep meddling in these other areas.
00:54:22.800 --> 00:54:25.679
Uh Garland, I want your thoughts on that.
00:54:26.239 --> 00:54:29.760
Well, there was an old, what was it, the old saying, workers of the world unite.
00:54:29.920 --> 00:54:30.800
What does it mean?
00:54:30.960 --> 00:54:39.760
It means that the average person, whether they're in the US or the other one was um uh the what what uh you know, what is it, a bayonet?
00:54:39.840 --> 00:54:42.559
There's a working class person on either end of it, right?
00:54:42.800 --> 00:54:51.280
And what and it comes down to this, that the person who is oppressing the people here who are trying to want to work and feed their families, right?
00:54:51.679 --> 00:55:08.320
The uh Epstein class, neoliberal, Wall Street, City of London, you know, oligarch billionaire who's screwing over the people here is the same class who's screwing over the people in Somalia, in Iran, ultimately.
00:55:08.480 --> 00:55:12.639
So when you fight them here, you're actually fighting the same group of people.
00:55:12.800 --> 00:55:15.039
So fighting them here weakens them.
00:55:15.360 --> 00:55:17.760
Because really, it's all one fight.
00:55:17.920 --> 00:55:33.840
It's the average person, you know, that guy in Iran who just wants to live and and and and and feed his family, and this guy in Baltimore City, the guy in Toronto or Alberta, the guy in Sheboygan, whatever, they're all the same person.
00:55:34.000 --> 00:55:35.440
They have the same needs.
00:55:35.599 --> 00:55:43.039
And the average working people class comes to be see, one of the things, a perfect example, you're seeing these dock workers, which my dad was a dock worker.
00:55:43.119 --> 00:55:44.559
But that was my father who was a dock worker.
00:55:44.639 --> 00:55:45.679
He's a longshoreman, right?
00:55:45.840 --> 00:55:53.760
These dock workers saying we're not going to load ships that are gonna send stuff to a get for a genocide against Gaza or this or that, right?
00:55:53.920 --> 00:55:58.800
It's dock workers saying, Look, we identify with those people over there.
00:55:59.280 --> 00:56:01.360
And therefore, I always bring that up.
00:56:01.440 --> 00:56:01.679
Why?
00:56:01.760 --> 00:56:02.639
Because I learned something.
00:56:02.800 --> 00:56:06.000
My dad was, and you know, you've heard this story.
00:56:06.320 --> 00:56:13.119
A guy with a third-grade education, very smart guy, brilliant, but born poor, you know, at the time that he was born, way back then.
00:56:13.280 --> 00:56:14.400
Everybody he knew was poor.
00:56:14.480 --> 00:56:18.559
You, you know, we hear those stories from a lot of us, from our parents and various people's parents.
00:56:18.719 --> 00:56:22.079
And but he got a job as a longshoreman and he was in a union.
00:56:22.239 --> 00:56:25.199
He made good money, and he had, and it was a hard work.
00:56:25.280 --> 00:56:29.599
It's blistering cold in the winter and steaming hot in the summer.
00:56:29.760 --> 00:56:33.440
But these were tough men who worked hard and made a good living.
00:56:33.519 --> 00:56:34.320
And so why?
00:56:34.480 --> 00:56:37.360
So I can send my children to college and they don't have to work by me.
00:56:37.440 --> 00:56:42.800
You know, everybody knows this story about the longshoremen, very representative of the working class.
00:56:43.119 --> 00:56:44.400
And guess what?
00:56:44.480 --> 00:56:48.880
They got people that unload ships in Iran and Russia and everywhere else.
00:56:49.119 --> 00:56:57.679
And ultimately, you it's good to see that people who have the same needs align and start to act in a way.
00:56:58.079 --> 00:57:04.000
The example is if the longshoreman says, I will not load these weapons because they're gonna go kill people in Gaza, right?
00:57:04.320 --> 00:57:13.760
They are working with the people of Gaza together to save all of their lives and to protect all of their freedoms and to see themselves all as one group.
00:57:13.840 --> 00:57:15.440
And I think that's what we're looking at.
00:57:15.679 --> 00:57:31.280
People who say, I'm gonna fight the war here against the oligarchs and the ruling elite class and all of these people, you know, the same way that somebody else is fighting them in another country, the same way this group of people are in the street in this country and blah, blah, blah.
00:57:32.880 --> 00:57:34.880
Garland, where can people find you?
00:57:35.199 --> 00:57:41.679
Oh, they can find me um um uh at the T H E, the Garland Nixon on X.
00:57:42.079 --> 00:57:48.400
They can find me on my uh on Facebook, they can find me on Telegram and uh and and my YouTube show.
00:57:48.559 --> 00:57:50.159
I get YouTube, Rumble, that kind of stuff.
00:57:50.239 --> 00:57:52.000
YouTube Rumble and Rockfin, I think.
00:57:52.159 --> 00:57:52.719
And Twitch.
00:57:52.800 --> 00:57:55.440
I don't really know what Twitch is, but whatever it is, I do.
00:57:55.519 --> 00:57:55.920
I'm on it.
00:57:56.000 --> 00:57:56.800
Oh, my Substack.
00:57:56.880 --> 00:57:57.679
I'm on Substack, yes.
00:57:57.840 --> 00:57:58.800
Substack, good.
00:57:59.599 --> 00:58:00.480
No, that's awesome.
00:58:00.639 --> 00:58:00.880
Good.
00:58:00.960 --> 00:58:01.280
You know what?
00:58:01.440 --> 00:58:02.800
Your show is absolutely amazing.
00:58:02.960 --> 00:58:04.639
Everyone should definitely go and check it out.
00:58:04.719 --> 00:58:08.880
I do think we are going to collaborate on this YouTube link, so it'll be very easy for people to view.
00:58:09.039 --> 00:58:11.920
Um, as for me, everyone, thank you so much for tuning in.
00:58:12.079 --> 00:58:13.119
I really appreciate it.
00:58:13.280 --> 00:58:16.719
After you go check out Garland's stuff, I also do have a Patreon.
00:58:16.800 --> 00:58:19.599
It's just Aiden Simberdoni look it up, Patreon.
00:58:19.679 --> 00:58:22.800
Uh, any support there that you can do is really helpful.
00:58:22.960 --> 00:58:26.000
These episodes do take a lot of time for me to make.
00:58:26.159 --> 00:58:30.960
I'm currently planning out my next month of guest, and I'm very excited for that.
00:58:31.039 --> 00:58:35.760
So please tune in for more from me for geopolitical and political analysis.