# Toby Ord
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Toby David Godfrey Ord (born 18 July 1979) is an Australian philosopher. He founded Giving What We Can, an international society whose members pledge to donate at least 10% of their income to effective charities, and is a key figure in the effective altruism movement, which promotes using reason and evidence to help the lives of others as much as possible. He is a Senior Research Fellow at the University of Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute, where his work is focused on existential risk.
#250 – Toby Ord on where AGI timelines go wrong
Both Silicon Valley and the public can’t get enough of ‘AGI timelines.’ But Toby Ord, senior researcher at Oxford’s AI Governance Initiative and author of The Precipice, believes we consistently make big mistakes when thinking about them. He lays out the 14 ways he most often sees people go wrong:
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You Cannot Outsource Accountability: Inside a $30B Infrastructure Portfolio with Omer Iqbal
Most project teams are exceptionally good at delivering a project the wrong way. Omer Iqbal has spent 20 years learning to fix that - from the portfolio level.
Omer Iqbal is Senior Portfolio Manager in the Investment PMO at Sydney Water, where he oversees a $30 billion capital program serving 6 mi…
[AI Narration] Broad Timelines
![[AI Narration] Broad Timelines](https://cdn-images-3.listennotes.com/podcasts/forecast-0_oYhONzr1B--vYg8fmaO61.300x300.jpg)
This is an AI narration of "Broad Timelines" by Toby Ord. The article was first released on 16th March 2026.
You can read more of our research at forethought.org/research. Thank you to Type III audio for providing these automated narrations.
The Research Subject Sent Email
The Research Subject Sent Email
Researchers studying AI consciousness are now getting emails from the alleged research subjects. Or from systems framed that way. Or from humans using those systems to stage the contact. The inbox has become a philosophy department with a spam filter.
This episod…
COVID-19, America, the Indo-Pacific and other threats to humanity
Bruce Shapiro discusses America's response to the coronavirus, Rory Medcalf looks to a future where multi-polar alliances challenge the dominance of China and Toby Ord discusses other threats to humanity.
Both Sides Are Overconfident On AI | Toby Ord
Oxford researcher Toby Ord breaks down the power-law mathematics of agent swarms, how parallel AI coordination alters recursive self-improvement timelines, and why transformative AI could arrive before 2030. Check out our sponsor Lovable: https://lovable.dev. Turn ideas into software people love.
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How the NSA Accidentally Builds the Superhacker | ASI Pill
If AI takes over the world, which AI is it? I think cyberspace is about to come alive, and it will behave like a jungle: a thousand hacker swarms, each one's fitness measured by how well it hacks, and the bigger ones eating the smaller ones for compute.
Picture cyberspace as a planet the size of E…
Could AI really end humanity?
High-profile AI safety incidents, as well as warnings from industry figures about AI’s rapid progress, have stoked a new wave of fear about the future of humanity. Artificial intelligence systems are becoming more and more capable. Can we regulate this technology effectively – or is it too late to …
Which AI Takes Over the World? | ASI Pill
If AI takes over the world, which AI is it? In this video I take you through fifteen doors of cyberspace to find out.
Behind the first is phone space, the version of it you already live in: anyone can knock, and a voice that sounds exactly like your daughter can walk off with your savings. Behind …
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