Week 1 Preview: Clemson-LSU, Ole Miss-Louisville, Locks + Best Bets

WEBVTT
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What's up, guys?
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Chris Marlar here.
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We are back for another season of Fourth and Wrong.
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My co-host Tyler Huck is waiting in the wings.
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We got Eddie Buza producing the show in the background, and we've got a good one to kick off the season.
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It is week one.
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We preview the biggest games.
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We talk about the biggest storylines, including LSU Clemson and our players or people or teams, any of the nouns, with the most approved going into week one.
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We will also talk about all of the slander involving Lane Kiffin and our new favorite fat quarterback from Ball State.
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Fourth and wrong starts right now.
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It's just me.
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What's up, everybody?
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Welcome to Fourth and Wrong.
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I'm Tyler.
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That's Chris Mahler.
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We have got a Saturday to get you ready for.
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Yep.
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Quick housekeeping before we do that.
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Same as always.
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Then we're going to be done with that.
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One, like the video, subscribe to the channel.
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If you're on audio, follow the show so it lands in your feed Thursday morning, which would be tomorrow morning, Chris, because we're recording on a Wednesday without having to think about doing anything.
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Number two, five stars in a review on Apple or Spotify.
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Maybe both, Chris.
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Do both.
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Just dabble.
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You know?
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Yeah.
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Write something with some teeth on it, Chris.
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We said that last week, right?
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Little teeth.
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Use your teeth.
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I love teeth.
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Yep.
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Friction ain't never hurt nobody.
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Trans trees.
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Right.
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Hell yeah.
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And three, the big one.
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The Angry Fans line for this weekend is up.
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It's 448-488-3936.
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Call it between now and Sunday and leave us a voicemail because Sunday night we will play the best ones live on our reaction show.
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You got a whole Saturday of football about to happen to you, so somebody's going to probably have their night ruined.
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Most likely me, but that'll be on Monday.
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When it happens, make sure you call the line.
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Don't be texting with your friends, trying to do something like bitch there.
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Why don't you just call the number?
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It's 448-488-3936.
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Also, if you're watching the YouTube, made a nice little QR code.
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Just put your phone right up there, scan it.
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It's going to save that as a contact.
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Right in your phone.
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So if you leave us a great voicemail, we'll play it here on the pod Sunday night.
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All right, Chris, let's let's talk ball here.
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I'm ready to get into it.
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This is the first.
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It feels we had the appetizer last week.
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Now we're ready for the real thing.
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A lot of big games on this pod.
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We've made a decision.
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We're just going to start with the biggest one every week.
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It's a smart thing to do.
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It is.
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Alabama, East Carolina.
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Let's break it down.
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The pirates head to Tuscaloosa in a hundred degree heat.
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Right.
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Yeah.
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Nope.
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There are some pirates coming to town this weekend, Tyler.
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They're butt pirates from Clemson coming here to play LSU, and that is the biggest game of the week.
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This graphic is sick.
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It's absolutely bonkers, isn't it?
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It really is.
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This game is Saturday night.
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Clemson at number 11 LSU.
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Saturday, 7 30 ABC.
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Now, when I made this graphic, Chris, the the line was 10 and a half.
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Do we know what it is now?
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I think it dipped down to 10 earlier today.
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It's a 10.
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It's at 10.
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Okay.
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All right.
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Which is kind of surprising to me.
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Is that not surprising to you?
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Well, why don't we get into it?
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I I not too surprising.
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I mean, but anyways, this is Lane Kiffin.
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Obviously, he's been in the news a lot lately.
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I mean, if it if it's not him LSU getting kicked out of the SEC, it's a Vanity Fair, which, you know, these days when I log into Twitter and look at things, I don't know what's real and what's not.
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But it seems like there was a new Vanity Fair article that came out about it.
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Yeah.
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I didn't know that John Tulti was writing for Vanity Fair.
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I do know that I'll just we'll break some news on here from what I was told.
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John Tulti also getting sued for some of the comments that were made from there from multiple people, by the way.
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Um I have a source in Tuscaloosa that confirmed that, and a source in Baton Rouge that confirmed that.
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So, but very yeah, it's it's all inflammatory is not the right word because I don't really know words still.
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Year seven or eight or nine are doing the show, still haven't really grasped the English language, but it is explosive stuff that came out for sure.
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I've told you guys this repeatedly.
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You guys have been killing it trying to get production and prep for the show prepared.
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And I keep telling you, like, as soon as I can get away from whatever fucking catastrophe happens every single day that I go into work.
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And I jokingly said this the other day to somebody.
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It's like, I feel like we're we're we're like a couple weeks away from me waking up and being like, hey, there's an announcement that was made.
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Kivan decided that he's gonna have ice agents running security, and they're also gonna be wearing jersey patches that are gonna be like those whatever that hound sooth stuff is for Gaza, and they're gonna be free Palestine.
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It's been insane, but also it's been insane in a way that feels like it's pretty distracting, right?
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Like it would have to be pretty distracting.
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Yeah.
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Maybe that's a concern in this game.
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Obviously, this is a probably one of the most hyped coaching debuts that we've had in a long time.
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Yeah.
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You know, everyone knows the story about now that Lane Kiffin walked out on an old miss playoff team, took the LSU job amid, you know, I let's just say genuine bitterness by the old Miss Faithful.
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Brought in Arizona State Sam Levitt to run offense.
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Obviously, Brian Kelly was a disaster at LSU.
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Last year's game was close, low scoring.
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Dabo Sweeney, I think this year is gonna have a defense, pretty good defense.
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I know they lost a lot to the NFL, but they've got a lot of good depth at certain positions.
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Yeah.
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All uh conference linebacker Sammy Brown, former five-star.
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Christopher Vizina, I think just won the job.
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I think it was reported yesterday at Clemson.
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He only has one start in his career, Chris, but it was a good one.
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He went and played against SMU last year, and he kind of lit him up.
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I think he had over 300 yards passing, a couple things.
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317 yards.
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Yeah, so a good start for him.
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But other than that, I don't, you know, I think Bud Elliott made a good point on their podcast.
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Like, if he was better, if he was a good quarterback, like Klubnik was pretty average, and Vizina's been there for a while.
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Yeah, you'd think at some point maybe there would have been more of a competition over the course of the last couple years if Vizina was like that guy, but sometimes they take a few years to really click.
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So I'm just really interested because I think there's a lot of unknowns for both teams going in, just like pretty much every opener in this day and age, bunch of new starters.
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Your boots on the ground there in Baton Rouge.
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What are you thinking about this game right now?
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By the way, I forgot to mention before total is now down to 50 and a half.
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That part to me is very also surprising, but everyone seems to be on that.
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It's what I thought out of the gates.
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I mean, but then you just Kiffen's offense, man.
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Like it could put up, I don't think on Clemson's defense it'll put up 30 plus, but that's pretty much a standard for Land Kiffin offense.
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So yeah, it's pretty much up to Clemson to see what they can do against this kind of retooled LSU defense.
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But I don't know what are your what are your keys to the game?
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How has Levitt even looked leading up to this?
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Because I mean I'm I'm so impressed with Sam Levitt.
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We talked to him on Tuesday at the players press conference, like that.
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I asked him a question, I was like, you know, what first off, what's the biggest misperception of Kiffin?
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And and it's you know, he's an offensive genius for sure.
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He he him and Charlie Weiss, the combination of that is really, really impressive.
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Now, we could I asked I also asked Kiffin on Monday.
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I was like, hey man, like I didn't start by saying hey man, but I I did say I was like, you know, you there's the there's a perception from the outside looking in saying that you are really in a like like you either thrive in chaos or it's like you're like in the midst of chaos.
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Like, does it feel chaotic?
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Like, how are you dealing with that?
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Or is it more yoga?
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Like, what like what's going on like this week?
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And he's like, you know, there's always chaos on the outside, you know, blah, blah, blah.
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And doesn't mean that there's chaos inside these four walls, or what the fuck ever.
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I believe that to an extent, but there's just also no way they've they've kept that away from like the players as well, because it's all anyone's talked about.
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And so now I do think it's interesting as we get closer to the game, and this does not need to be the focus here, but like it's going to be talked about at nauseam.
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Tomorrow morning on Thursday, you're gonna have a conversation about that's gonna happen with the, I think, the injunction, they're gonna finally hear like the TRO stuff hit in Louisiana court, and we will get a ruling and see how many of those players are able to play.
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The SEC's been pretty firm in their their conversations with him and saying, hey man, if you play him, like it in the long run, it's gonna be pretty bad.
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Like we we are going to like drop the hammer.
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And why that's not worth the risk is because you're risking roughly roughly 90 million dollars in in revenue or or or operating costs later.
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That's that's the operating budget, and you would have half that gone.
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All of it feels like a distraction.
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I I I think that I'm not gonna sit here and say I think he thrives in chaos.
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We've talked about what I his the concerns you would have with him in the offseason.
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I think he was at his best when he was when he was perceived at being the best, like when he was being like praised and lauded for for all of his positive like changes as a person.
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That's all gone out the window.
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I don't think this is where he's at personally.
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I don't think this is where he's at his best, but we'll see if he's able to block out that noise.
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Now, from the game standpoint itself, I have been talking about this game all week with certain people around here in Baton Rouge and and shows.
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I'm so glad I get to do it on our show now because I can say what I really want to say.
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Clemson's got too many whites, there's too many white people on that team, and they're not gonna be able to compete with this fucking team from LSU.
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I will say that right off the bat.
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The Sam Levitt question you originally asked me eight minutes ago when I started yammering.
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We got it, we got it.
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But he's really impressive because I I've kind of assumed Sam Levitt, good looking kid, Arizona State.
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Now he's going to LSU.
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Like kid probably loves the party.
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He's gonna do, he's gonna do really well here.
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That dude is pretty much all ball.
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He told us the other night that he goes to to bed at eight o'clock.
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AM.
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But no, puts the blue, blue, blood, what's it called?
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Yeah, blue light glasses on, and he's very, very dialed into sleeping right, the things he puts in his body, like like taking care of himself, like all of that, like it's kind of like rubbed up on some of the people at the team.
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I think that the the things that make Clemson good are the receiving core.
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I think that they'll have some decent plays, but Chad Morris calling plays for the first time in six years is not something I'm super pumped about.
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I don't think it's gonna be great.
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They're trying to kind of put retread on on those old tires.
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I don't think that's gonna be great.
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I think that the interior defensive line, that if there's a place that you could say there's a weakness for Clemson or for LSU, it's probably the interior offensive line and maybe the interior defensive line because they're young there.
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But it's the same for Clemson.
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And we we've also talked about when you replace elite talent at certain positions, Clemson's never had really good offensive linemen that they've recruited that are five stars or they've developed, and they finally had that last year.
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Now they're they're for the most part kind of all gone.
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I think what I'm talking about this game, what's gonna come down to I'm fine with the the 50 and a half.
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I don't I don't think Clemson's gonna score a bunch, to be honest.
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There's 900 credentialed people on this fucking sideline this weekend and in the press box, all that kind of stuff.
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Game day is gonna be there.
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They keep adding shit to it, Tyler.
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There's a there's the Clydesdales from from fucking Budweiser are gonna be coming down Victory Hill, going into the stadium before the game.
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I will be there.
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It's gonna be awesome.
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College game day.
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Everybody and your mom is gonna be there.
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I think that he makes a very big statement on Saturday, and I think that he has a much better team than Clemson, and I think he fucking puts it on Clemson on national television and shows everybody, like, yeah, like you can you can talk all the shit you want about like how distracting we've been, but we've got some dudes on this team because they got some dudes on this team.
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So I think they're gonna win 34 to 13.
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Yeah, I I'm similar vein.
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I I like the under.
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That's probably that'd probably be my bet if I was gonna bet the game.
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But another stat that that kind of favors what you're saying, Clemson 0-8 against the spread, 0-7 straight up versus ranked SEC opponents since 2019.
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So that would be also fall in line with this year.
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Yeah, I just don't think Clemson's been heading in the wrong direction for a while.
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I was actually, I guess I'm just not good at remembering stuff like this.
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I didn't what did Clemson open up preseason last year?
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Fourth?
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Yes, fourth.
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Isn't that insane?
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I thought they were gonna win the national championship.
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Do you remember?
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This is like dude, we've had some really great picks on this show.
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I had them and Bama in the national championship, I think.
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And I was like, yeah, dude, they're gonna be the offensive line of Bama's gonna be fucking sick.
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They fell off the map pretty much right off the bat against LSU and then like scraped by Troy the next week, and then lost to Georgia Tech.
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They lost I mean, before state, of course, but so yeah, I I I just don't think that the Clemson program is heading the direct the right direction.
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I actually think this could be Dabo's last year at Clemson.
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I don't think you're wrong on that.
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But we'll have to see.
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So if I was going to give a score, I like the under, like I said.
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Give me LSU Damn, I like your I like your score a lot, actually.
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I I had 31-13 originally.
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I probably added too much little spice to it.
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Spicy boy.
00:13:59.360 --> 00:14:05.360
But I I I just I do think that they're gonna be we talked about the offense so much.
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The defense is gonna be really fucking good.
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Who's the star of that defense this year?
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Is it the freshman?
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No, the star is gonna be Ty Benningfield.
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He is the safety from Boise State.
00:14:15.279 --> 00:14:22.720
The kid is a dude, but again, uh you got Prince Willeman Mielen, who was second in the SEC in Sacks last year with with 10 and 9.5.
00:14:22.960 --> 00:14:25.600
Um you get the freshman stars in the interior defensive line.
00:14:25.679 --> 00:14:29.200
You dude, Jordan Ross on the other side is a former five star from from Tennessee.
00:14:29.360 --> 00:14:39.279
Whit Weeks is gonna be paired up with TJ Doddery, who led the SEC in what do you call it, in uh tackles last year, and the secondary is gonna be as good as it's been the last five years.
00:14:39.600 --> 00:14:40.799
Jack Pyburn.
00:14:41.440 --> 00:14:42.480
He's not gonna be there.
00:14:42.559 --> 00:14:43.600
He's with the Chiefs.
00:14:45.440 --> 00:14:46.559
Aaron Donald.
00:14:46.720 --> 00:14:50.799
They got like all right, I'll go 30 to 10.
00:14:51.200 --> 00:14:51.360
Okay.
00:14:52.399 --> 00:14:57.600
I I just I I I'll have to see it from Clemson first for I believe anything about them.
00:14:57.840 --> 00:15:02.159
This the next game, little bit okay.
00:15:02.240 --> 00:15:03.840
Yeah, let's do let's do Louisville Ole Miss.
00:15:04.080 --> 00:15:07.360
So number 24 Louisville versus number nine Ole Miss.
00:15:08.480 --> 00:15:10.000
This one's in Nashville.
00:15:10.159 --> 00:15:12.399
This one's Sunday, 730 ABC.
00:15:12.960 --> 00:15:17.440
Believe the current line, Ole Miss minus seven, total 55 and a half.
00:15:17.679 --> 00:15:23.600
Obviously, this is the first year that Pete Golding is taking over full time from the beginning of the season.
00:15:23.759 --> 00:15:26.879
Obviously, he was elevated when Kiffin left for LSU.
00:15:27.200 --> 00:15:32.639
And everyone remembers the run that Ole Miss went on in their first ever college football playoff.
00:15:33.039 --> 00:15:34.879
Now he gets his first full season.
00:15:35.039 --> 00:15:42.799
And we all know the game that's waiting in week three against LSU, but first you got Nashville in a Louisville program that won nine games last year.
00:15:43.039 --> 00:15:56.960
They had a actually probably better defense, and now they're handing over their offense to their fourth consecutive transfer QB, this one from Ohio State, Leacan Keinholz, who just won the job there.
00:15:57.200 --> 00:15:59.600
And he's a dual threat guy.
00:16:00.080 --> 00:16:07.440
Obviously, everyone knows the Trinidad Chambler story at this point, but he's back, but you got Qon Lacey back, who led all of FPS carries last year.
00:16:07.679 --> 00:16:10.240
24 touchdowns, 1,500 yards.
00:16:10.559 --> 00:16:11.840
But I think it's the Louisville team.
00:16:11.919 --> 00:16:13.200
I like Brahm as a coach.
00:16:13.840 --> 00:16:17.039
I think they're gonna have to be more explosive against Ole Miss than they were last year.
00:16:17.120 --> 00:16:23.840
They were 97th in explosiveness, so you know, you're not gonna be able to, I think, methodically good on the field against Ole Miss.
00:16:25.039 --> 00:16:26.559
I think you're gonna have to hit big plays.
00:16:26.639 --> 00:16:28.559
Ole Miss's defense last year was really good.
00:16:28.639 --> 00:16:30.799
They kind of stepped up in the red zone.
00:16:30.960 --> 00:16:33.200
Pete Golding, obviously a defensive guy.
00:16:33.919 --> 00:16:34.960
That's gonna be interesting.
00:16:35.120 --> 00:16:46.159
You know, just the the change in dynamics of the actual, you know, bloodline of the program, going from Kiffin, this offensive genius, to Pete Golding, who's like I don't know.
00:16:46.240 --> 00:16:48.080
I don't I wouldn't say he was a great DC.
00:16:48.320 --> 00:16:50.799
I didn't think I think he's gonna be a better head coach than DC.
00:16:50.960 --> 00:16:51.360
Yeah.
00:16:51.600 --> 00:16:54.240
What do you who's their offensive coordinator now?
00:16:54.480 --> 00:16:57.440
John David Baker, three first names, kind of.
00:16:57.759 --> 00:17:02.639
He was at East Carolina last year, top 30 in most things.
00:17:02.879 --> 00:17:08.079
They, I mean, they they had that was a guy that I was pretty familiar with because the South Carolina was also looking at him.
00:17:08.319 --> 00:17:15.359
And you know, I I think like he's he's a guy that's also familiar here because he was here as like the quarterback's coach not that long ago.
00:17:15.680 --> 00:17:31.359
I just have a hard time believing some of the conversations that have been had uh around this team, which is like, well, they're not gonna have any fall-off because you know, Joe Judge found Trinidad Chambless, and then this guy's gonna coach the quarterback.
00:17:31.440 --> 00:17:32.960
And like I think it'll be interesting.
00:17:33.119 --> 00:17:39.599
I am with you on the fact that I I I think the Pete Golding defensive thing is way overblown.
00:17:39.680 --> 00:17:49.599
If I was gonna make a bet on this, and I don't know if I will, it would probably be the over and maybe Oll Miss along with it, because I don't I don't think he was a great defensive coordinator.
00:17:49.680 --> 00:17:54.079
I do feel like he has done a good job putting the blueprint out for how to be like a CEO.
00:17:54.319 --> 00:17:58.960
And he's he probably gets that point pretty well because of Kiffin and being under Sabin for so long.
00:17:59.119 --> 00:18:07.440
And and again, one of the reasons I think he's gonna be, I don't think it's a hot take that he'll be a better head coach than Defense Coordinator because he wasn't that great of a defensive coordinator.
00:18:07.680 --> 00:18:08.559
Right, right.
00:18:08.960 --> 00:18:13.839
I think they're gonna get a real test with Louisville's running back, Isaac Brown.
00:18:14.000 --> 00:18:14.640
Yeah.
00:18:14.960 --> 00:18:17.839
I mean, and and I trust Braun with quarterbacks, obviously.
00:18:18.000 --> 00:18:23.119
You know, he brought in Tyler Shuck from I know he was originally at Oregon, and I think he was at Arizona's.
00:18:23.200 --> 00:18:26.720
I I mean, these it's hard to keep up with where these kids come from.
00:18:26.880 --> 00:18:30.000
But yeah, but you know, and and he's obviously doing great with the Saints.
00:18:30.240 --> 00:18:33.279
And then Miller Moss came in from USC last year, had a pretty good year.
00:18:33.359 --> 00:18:39.759
So Lincoln Kineholds, I think this is his fourth year in college, came in, I believe, in the spring.
00:18:39.920 --> 00:18:47.119
So he hasn't been with the team very long, but he gets his chance to run it, and he's like I said, a dual threat.
00:18:47.200 --> 00:18:50.799
So it's something that I think Louisville when under Brahm has not really had.
00:18:50.880 --> 00:18:54.319
They've tr traditionally had the drop back quarterbacks.
00:18:54.559 --> 00:18:59.440
But the the key to the game is Isaac Brown, and he's been banked up in camp leading up to this game.
00:18:59.680 --> 00:19:03.279
So he's gonna have to have to obviously, you know, he's getting drafted after this year.
00:19:03.359 --> 00:19:05.440
I'm sure he's gonna have to have a big year.
00:19:06.720 --> 00:19:09.759
I just Louisville didn't see much from last year.
00:19:09.839 --> 00:19:12.079
I I think they lost a lot to the draft.
00:19:12.240 --> 00:19:24.319
Louisville's actually been a decent program, but I just think at this point they they're probably trying to replace a little bit too much against this Ole Miss team who you know they're gonna be hungry.
00:19:24.400 --> 00:19:34.079
Pete Golden, I think you're seeing all this LSU stuff in the me in the media, and everything that went down between the programs last year.
00:19:34.319 --> 00:19:38.480
I think Ole Miss is just quite kind of quietly doing their business in the offseason.
00:19:38.640 --> 00:19:40.720
I think they're trying to make a statement in Nashville.
00:19:40.880 --> 00:19:43.599
My guess is there's gonna be a lot more Ole Miss fans there.
00:19:44.079 --> 00:19:45.200
They're fired up.
00:19:45.359 --> 00:19:47.279
I think it started at six and a half.
00:19:47.599 --> 00:19:49.920
It's moved in the in the direction of Ole Miss.
00:19:50.240 --> 00:19:51.680
That's where I lean.
00:19:52.559 --> 00:19:56.079
I don't know if I like the total at 55 and a half.
00:19:56.160 --> 00:19:58.960
So I'm gonna take Ole Miss 31, Louisville 20.
00:19:59.039 --> 00:20:00.240
I think they're gonna cover.
00:20:00.400 --> 00:20:00.640
Yeah.
00:20:00.799 --> 00:20:03.039
And I think it'll be a good start to the Pete Golding era here.
00:20:03.200 --> 00:20:04.480
That's about where I'm at with it, too.
00:20:04.559 --> 00:20:12.079
I I think the I'm excited for the Ole Miss thing because I I I am kind of turning a corner and what I think about how good they're gonna be this year.
00:20:12.160 --> 00:20:15.039
I I think they have a lot more talent than I probably originally realized.
00:20:15.279 --> 00:20:18.319
And they've got some guys at really good, important key positions.
00:20:18.559 --> 00:20:20.319
I don't know what the offensive line is gonna look like.
00:20:20.480 --> 00:20:26.960
I do know that as talented as they were, and that's that's not saying they won't have any offensive line, I'm just saying I'm ignorantly I don't know what it's gonna look like.
00:20:27.119 --> 00:20:29.200
That they have some really good dudes at end.
00:20:29.359 --> 00:20:32.240
They have some really good dudes in the interior defensive line.
00:20:32.559 --> 00:20:32.880
Okay.
00:20:33.920 --> 00:20:38.079
And then they also have, I think, the secondary and the and the linebackers are still gonna be good.
00:20:38.240 --> 00:20:41.359
So the back seven, I think, is gonna be the strength of the defense for sure.
00:20:41.599 --> 00:20:46.000
And then the big thing for me, and we talked so much about Keywand Lacey and we talked so much about them.
00:20:46.160 --> 00:20:53.519
Johnny Cook, John Tay Cook, remember the former five-star that went to Texas, and then Syracuse and Washington, and like been a bit of a head case.
00:20:53.599 --> 00:20:56.720
He has been pretty good from what everything we've heard in the fall camp.
00:20:56.799 --> 00:21:07.759
And then Caleb Odom, who's a kid who's a matchup nightmare, 6'5, 230, kid from Carrollton High School in Georgia, really good high school player, five-star, played at Bama, then trenched here.
00:21:07.920 --> 00:21:18.720
They lost five of their top six pass catches, but I think they're gonna be pretty good at still at who they can they can have explosives with, especially with those two guys, mainly because Trinidad Chambless, right?
00:21:19.039 --> 00:21:22.720
I I think they're America's team, and I don't know how long it's gonna last.
00:21:22.880 --> 00:21:30.559
I don't think this is gonna be like a 2019 LSU type of team by any means, because I I don't think they have that kind of that that kind of run or talent in them.
00:21:30.799 --> 00:21:37.519
But I will say that they have won the breakup so well because they have just been quiet and like you said, put their head down and and and focus on ball.
00:21:37.680 --> 00:21:38.960
And so I I think they'll win.
00:21:39.039 --> 00:21:41.519
I actually have these exact same number at 3120.
00:21:41.680 --> 00:21:42.319
Oh, nice.
00:21:42.720 --> 00:21:43.359
Look at us.
00:21:43.519 --> 00:21:44.240
Look at us.
00:21:44.480 --> 00:21:46.480
Look forward to Louisville winning that game.
00:21:46.720 --> 00:21:49.519
All right, next up we're going to the Baylor Auburn game.
00:21:49.599 --> 00:21:51.759
Chris, I don't know if you knew this, but I'm going to this game.
00:21:51.920 --> 00:21:52.480
Are you?
00:21:52.880 --> 00:21:55.839
Is your my lady from an Auburn fan?
00:21:55.920 --> 00:21:56.720
Yeah, she went to Auburn.
00:21:58.160 --> 00:21:58.640
I know.
00:21:59.119 --> 00:22:04.079
Rematch a Last year's week one game, both both teams.
00:22:04.559 --> 00:22:06.960
This was a high scoring game last year, was it not?
00:22:07.279 --> 00:22:07.920
I think so.
00:22:08.000 --> 00:22:10.319
I think it was like 31 to 17.
00:22:10.559 --> 00:22:12.160
I think, or 38-24.
00:22:12.240 --> 00:22:15.200
It was, but it was high scoring more so with Auburn.
00:22:15.519 --> 00:22:15.920
Yeah.
00:22:16.160 --> 00:22:18.480
Obviously, Auburn's got a new head coach as well.
00:22:18.559 --> 00:22:23.359
They hired Alex Golish, USF's offensive-minded head coach.
00:22:23.519 --> 00:22:31.519
They off their offense is it's some funky name, like shoot and go or have fun or something like that.
00:22:31.680 --> 00:22:36.319
But they are fast paced, they're the most explosive in the country last year.
00:22:36.559 --> 00:22:39.920
He brought his quarterback with him from USF, but Byron Brown.
00:22:40.160 --> 00:22:43.680
I think Auburn only returns three starters, one on offense.
00:22:43.759 --> 00:22:45.599
It's Jeremiah Cobb at running back.
00:22:45.680 --> 00:22:45.759
Yeah.
00:22:46.000 --> 00:22:48.720
Cam Singleton and Eric Singleton Jr.
00:22:48.960 --> 00:22:51.519
both have portal out of the program.
00:22:52.079 --> 00:22:55.440
So I don't really know what to expect out of Auburn, to be honest.
00:22:55.599 --> 00:22:58.480
I do expect very fast-paced offense.
00:22:58.640 --> 00:23:01.039
They kept their defensive coordinator, did they not?
00:23:01.279 --> 00:23:01.680
They did.
00:23:01.759 --> 00:23:05.279
DJ Durkin, which is one of the bigger retention pieces in the entire country.
00:23:05.599 --> 00:23:14.480
Baylor, on the other hand, they've got Dave Aranda, who I have said is going to be the first coach fired, but he has a new quarterback, Chris.
00:23:14.720 --> 00:23:15.359
Yes.
00:23:15.680 --> 00:23:21.039
There's fans in the SEC that may remember the name, DJ Lagway, former Florida five-star quarterback.
00:23:21.359 --> 00:23:24.640
Nearly as many turnovers as touchdowns in his career.
00:23:25.200 --> 00:23:29.920
Definitely a flawed tenure in Gainesville as compared to what he was expected to do.
00:23:30.880 --> 00:23:37.039
But as good as David Rand's defenses were at LSU, they have been a problem at Baylor.
00:23:37.119 --> 00:23:46.559
They were 110th in SP on defense last year, 124th in the country in points allowed when you're basically going in on a scoring opportunity.
00:23:46.880 --> 00:23:49.279
Dead last in havoc allowed.
00:23:49.440 --> 00:23:56.480
So I just without knowing much about Auburn, I'm kind of I don't know what to think on this game.
00:23:56.559 --> 00:23:58.240
I think there's gonna be a ton of Auburn fans there.
00:23:58.319 --> 00:23:59.039
I'm gonna be there.
00:23:59.119 --> 00:24:01.200
I'm gonna be I'm gonna be in orange and blue.
00:24:01.359 --> 00:24:04.960
Now, not the like gross orange and blue, but like the nice superior.
00:24:05.839 --> 00:24:06.480
It's a good color stuff.
00:24:06.640 --> 00:24:07.279
It's fine looking.
00:24:07.359 --> 00:24:07.839
Yeah, it is.
00:24:07.920 --> 00:24:08.079
Yeah.
00:24:08.319 --> 00:24:10.319
So I'll be rooting for Auburn, no doubt.
00:24:10.480 --> 00:24:14.000
But you have any Auburn paraphernalia over here.
00:24:14.559 --> 00:24:19.119
But yeah, I I mean first off, there's more Auburn fans in Atlanta than there are in Auburn.
00:24:19.359 --> 00:24:20.640
So that's true.
00:24:20.880 --> 00:24:22.240
Also, big weekend.
00:24:22.480 --> 00:24:24.240
Let's go off the rails a little bit here.
00:24:24.480 --> 00:24:34.559
One of my favorite weekends for people watching in all of the entire calendar in Atlanta every year on this weekend, because you have an SEC football game with somebody.
00:24:34.960 --> 00:24:37.440
It's usually at least one SEC team, so you get that crowd.
00:24:37.599 --> 00:24:38.640
This time it's Auburn.
00:24:38.799 --> 00:24:42.720
A lot of jeans and Peter Millar that are gonna be going into that stadium.
00:24:42.960 --> 00:24:46.720
You also have Dragon Con and Black Gay Pride weekend.
00:24:46.799 --> 00:24:51.200
And that do not cancel me because it is not, it is a separate gay pride weekend.
00:24:51.279 --> 00:24:52.640
It is Black Gay Pride Weekend.
00:24:52.720 --> 00:24:57.839
It's one of the most fascinating and fun weekends of people watching in the entire city.
00:24:58.000 --> 00:25:04.240
Now, I think with Auburn, the the question I have is I think Byron Brown's gonna be fun.
00:25:04.319 --> 00:25:07.200
I think it's really easy to sit here and say, I think they're gonna go win this game.
00:25:07.279 --> 00:25:09.920
I I would I'm buying a point and taking Auburn six and a half.
00:25:10.000 --> 00:25:11.920
I think that's where I would lie there.
00:25:12.240 --> 00:25:14.960
DJ Durkin's defenses have been very, very good.
00:25:15.039 --> 00:25:18.000
And they have to replace a lot, but the front seven should be really good.
00:25:18.079 --> 00:25:24.559
They've got some really good pieces off the edge rush position, and the linebacking core should be one of the more underrated ones in the entire conference.
00:25:24.720 --> 00:25:26.160
I'm gonna be young in the secondary.
00:25:26.400 --> 00:25:27.839
You got some stuff to figure out there.
00:25:27.920 --> 00:25:32.880
But the questions I have there, I think everyone kind of expects this to be a cakewalk for Auburn.
00:25:32.960 --> 00:25:33.680
I don't think it will be.
00:25:33.759 --> 00:25:34.960
I think it'll be tight.
00:25:35.200 --> 00:25:41.599
But I also think that that the thing that I would be worried about is Auburn's offensive line and their receivers.
00:25:43.039 --> 00:25:45.759
They're all primarily from G6 schools.
00:25:45.920 --> 00:25:52.640
And I know that he brought 13 players with him over from 13 players with him from USF.
00:25:52.720 --> 00:25:58.319
It's it's the exact same number, ironically enough, of what Kurt Signetti brought from JMU when he went to Indiana.
00:25:58.400 --> 00:26:00.559
I don't think they're gonna have that kind of success, obviously.
00:26:00.880 --> 00:26:06.559
Byron Brown, I think, is in my opinion, not as good as what people assume he's going to be.
00:26:06.640 --> 00:26:08.160
I don't love his throwing motion for one.
00:26:08.240 --> 00:26:12.319
I also don't think he's been that great against good competition.
00:26:12.480 --> 00:26:18.480
But that offensive line, being all guys from the G6 schools, I think I wonder what that looks like up against more powerful competition.
00:26:18.640 --> 00:26:24.319
And I don't think Baylor's gonna be the one that necessarily exposes that, but I do I wonder what that looks like up front.
00:26:25.599 --> 00:26:31.599
Yeah, I think the game the bet I probably like best from this game is the over 58 and a half.
00:26:31.680 --> 00:26:36.480
I think you got tempo, tempo offense, two aggressive quarterbacks.
00:26:36.640 --> 00:26:37.279
Yeah.
00:26:38.000 --> 00:26:42.160
Baylor is their defense has not been good.
00:26:42.559 --> 00:26:45.519
Auburn's was good last year, but they're replacing a ton.
00:26:46.160 --> 00:26:49.680
Last year's meeting, I think the total was 62.
00:26:50.000 --> 00:26:56.079
So that would be certainly my lean is the the bet for that game over 58.5.
00:26:56.720 --> 00:26:58.160
I think Auburn wins this game.
00:26:58.400 --> 00:26:58.640
Yeah.
00:26:59.039 --> 00:26:59.599
I'm gonna go.
00:26:59.920 --> 00:27:02.319
I think it'll be probably closer than Auburn fans want, though.
00:27:02.480 --> 00:27:06.480
High scoring 34-28 Auburn over Baylor.
00:27:06.720 --> 00:27:09.839
It does feel like the seven and a half is is telling you something.
00:27:10.400 --> 00:27:10.880
It does.
00:27:10.960 --> 00:27:11.839
And I don't know why.
00:27:12.000 --> 00:27:12.799
I don't like that.
00:27:13.039 --> 00:27:15.759
Yeah, and my dumbass is like, well, just buy a point, dude.
00:27:15.839 --> 00:27:16.480
Just buy a point.
00:27:16.640 --> 00:27:18.559
Give the juice even more to the house.
00:27:20.240 --> 00:27:20.480
I know.
00:27:20.559 --> 00:27:23.039
My I I would I kind of like Baylor 7.5.
00:27:23.519 --> 00:27:25.680
But I kind of do too.
00:27:27.039 --> 00:27:30.480
And I'm not gonna, I'm not gonna take it yet.
00:27:30.640 --> 00:27:31.680
We'll we'll we'll figure it out.
00:27:31.839 --> 00:27:35.359
But I do think that it could be a point for a little teaser.
00:27:36.079 --> 00:27:38.319
Let's get real reckless right off the bat.
00:27:38.799 --> 00:27:40.559
I I do think that Auburn wins the game.
00:27:40.640 --> 00:27:42.319
I do think it's closer than people think.
00:27:42.640 --> 00:27:47.440
I think that 58 and a half is too high because I think that Auburn's defense is gonna be much better than people think.
00:27:47.680 --> 00:27:51.680
And also, is there a part of you that's like, man, I hope DJ Lagway has a good game.
00:27:51.759 --> 00:27:56.640
I like because I hated that he was like tethered to Billy Napier.
00:27:56.880 --> 00:28:06.319
Now, I didn't hate seeing him fail last year because it was a confirmation bias of what I said was going to happen, and I rode that train all fucking season long.
00:28:06.480 --> 00:28:09.039
But I will also tell you that I I do hope he gets better.
00:28:09.200 --> 00:28:13.119
I don't know if this was the right place for him to go because I do think it's a sinking ship with Dave Miranda.
00:28:13.359 --> 00:28:14.880
I will take Auburn to win.
00:28:15.039 --> 00:28:18.799
I'm gonna say it's a little bit more low scoring because I don't think Baylor's gonna score that many points.
00:28:18.880 --> 00:28:25.279
I'll say it is I'll say 3123, and I'll say they do cover it.
00:28:25.599 --> 00:28:25.920
Okay.
00:28:26.559 --> 00:28:26.960
All right.
00:28:27.200 --> 00:28:33.519
Game number four here, Boise State, who at least up until who fucking signed off on this?
00:28:33.839 --> 00:28:35.759
Well, I put it in the chat hours ago.
00:28:35.839 --> 00:28:36.480
Um that's true.
00:28:36.559 --> 00:28:39.119
Anyway, so we're gonna get a is it the Legarrett Blunt game?
00:28:39.359 --> 00:28:40.319
I I it is.
00:28:40.400 --> 00:28:42.160
Uh and I did a good game.
00:28:42.400 --> 00:28:44.799
It was either this or Wisconsin Notre Dame.
00:28:46.319 --> 00:28:48.160
I think Boise State actually might have a better chance.
00:28:48.640 --> 00:28:51.039
And I and I also love this Oregon logo.
00:28:51.279 --> 00:28:52.319
That's sick.
00:28:53.599 --> 00:28:58.720
This game is on three by the last game was 330 ABC.
00:28:58.880 --> 00:29:01.519
This game, 330 CBS on Saturday.
00:29:01.759 --> 00:29:05.359
Boise State at number two Oregon in Eugene.
00:29:05.519 --> 00:29:08.720
Three, let's see, 24 and a half right now is the spread.
00:29:08.799 --> 00:29:10.880
It's not necessarily picking the winner of the game.
00:29:10.960 --> 00:29:18.960
I think it's an interesting bet because Boise State was actually the leader in the clubhouse for G5 team to make the playoff as far as the betting markets.
00:29:19.599 --> 00:29:23.440
So, and we didn't have five great games to talk about, Chris.
00:29:23.519 --> 00:29:24.079
So we're doing this.
00:29:24.799 --> 00:29:25.680
I'm just giving you shit.
00:29:25.839 --> 00:29:27.119
I also do love the graphic.
00:29:27.200 --> 00:29:28.079
The graphic is awesome.
00:29:28.240 --> 00:29:29.200
The graphic is sick.
00:29:30.720 --> 00:29:32.319
Boise's got to shorten this game.
00:29:32.799 --> 00:29:41.440
If they're gonna cover this number, they're going to have to get 70 snaps, run the ball, make sure that the Oregon offense doesn't get going.
00:29:43.359 --> 00:29:47.039
I mean, uh the the crazy thing is these teams have played four times.
00:29:47.200 --> 00:29:48.720
Boise State's won three of them.
00:29:49.200 --> 00:29:51.200
That's that's insane.
00:29:51.440 --> 00:29:54.880
Like historically, yeah, that's crazy.
00:29:55.119 --> 00:29:57.039
It's like Alabama and Louisiana Tech.
00:29:57.119 --> 00:29:58.960
They fucking get beat by them every time they play him.
00:29:59.279 --> 00:29:59.519
Yeah.
00:29:59.920 --> 00:30:08.799
So yeah, Boise, yeah, 2008, 2009, 2017, the one loss was 3734 in 2024 at Oregon.
00:30:08.960 --> 00:30:12.799
Okay, so this has historically been a pretty decent game.
00:30:13.279 --> 00:30:19.680
This line hasn't really budged in months, despite a lot of money coming in on Oregon.
00:30:20.000 --> 00:30:25.599
Total is down to 51 and a half, down from 52 and a half.
00:30:26.720 --> 00:30:31.599
94% of the market is on organ to win, 49% to cover.
00:30:31.920 --> 00:30:34.880
So I don't know anything about Boise State.
00:30:34.960 --> 00:30:37.599
I'm just taking historical on this matchup.
00:30:37.680 --> 00:30:39.839
Yeah, I'm looking forward to seeing Oregon.
00:30:39.920 --> 00:30:45.519
A lot of people forget, including myself, until I started really paying attention to preseason stuff.
00:30:45.759 --> 00:30:52.799
Evan Stewart, Oregon brought in last year as one of the top portal players at receiver, and he tore his ACL like in fall practice.
00:30:53.039 --> 00:30:54.079
Immediately, yeah.
00:30:54.400 --> 00:30:55.440
He's back.
00:30:55.920 --> 00:30:57.680
You've got Dante Moore back.
00:30:57.839 --> 00:30:59.839
If something happens to him, you got Ray O'Reilly.
00:31:00.000 --> 00:31:00.799
Decari Moore.
00:31:00.960 --> 00:31:04.480
Yep, you got Decarry and Moore, who was a five-star freshman last year.
00:31:04.720 --> 00:31:09.440
The defense, obviously, under landing is always going to be good, but got a lot of talent to go with it.
00:31:10.960 --> 00:31:11.200
Right.
00:31:11.519 --> 00:31:12.319
Didn't he slim down?
00:31:12.400 --> 00:31:14.240
I heard because tried his fat ass out there.
00:31:14.319 --> 00:31:16.240
I doubt it in Oregon.
00:31:16.400 --> 00:31:19.039
Well, Mahomes is losing weight, so you know.
00:31:20.000 --> 00:31:23.039
I actually tore my ACL just for fun this offseason.
00:31:23.200 --> 00:31:28.400
Uh Boise State does return six offensive starters, including their quarterback.
00:31:29.599 --> 00:31:34.160
They do have like an edge rush, so I just I think that I like to keep them close.
00:31:34.240 --> 00:31:37.119
I don't think I'm gonna analyze whether Oregon's gonna lose to Boise State.
00:31:37.200 --> 00:31:37.599
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:31:37.759 --> 00:31:39.599
But 24 and a half is a big number.
00:31:39.839 --> 00:31:42.160
First game of the year is always kind of weird.
00:31:42.640 --> 00:31:45.519
Maybe you take maybe a little parlay.
00:31:45.599 --> 00:31:49.519
Maybe you go Oregon first half Boise full game.
00:31:50.079 --> 00:31:52.720
I don't think that that's a super bad pick.
00:31:52.880 --> 00:31:56.720
Oregon was 14th in the country last year in first quarter's points per game at 7.9.
00:31:56.799 --> 00:31:58.640
This is against just FBS teams.
00:31:58.799 --> 00:32:00.720
They were eighth in first half points per game.
00:32:00.799 --> 00:32:01.920
They were much better in the second part of that.
00:32:02.000 --> 00:32:11.039
Remember, like this is this is one of the curves that we have to learn from gambling because that now that with like the way the running clock is and all that kind of stuff, you don't get as much of that in the first quarter.
00:32:11.279 --> 00:32:16.240
Still, I I think averaging 19.2 first half points per game, I do like that.
00:32:16.319 --> 00:32:20.799
So I would take them to cover the first half if it's under 13 and a half, which I'm sure it probably will be.
00:32:20.960 --> 00:32:27.599
I'm not as high on Oregon as some people, and I think we have to see what it looks like because they lost both coordinators.
00:32:27.759 --> 00:32:34.400
And that's a very hard thing to do in your first job, first time as a head coach, is to make sure you replace those guys with the right guys.
00:32:34.480 --> 00:32:35.839
I don't know who the new coordinators are.
00:32:36.000 --> 00:32:44.880
I do know that Tosh Lapoy was at one point one of the hottest names for defensive coordinators in the country until that fucking disaster that happened in the 2018 national championship game against Clemson.
00:32:45.039 --> 00:32:48.480
He's now at Cal with another quarterback whose name I can't pronounce.
00:32:48.559 --> 00:32:52.079
And then you get Will Stein, who went to Kentucky, to be a head coach there.
00:32:52.160 --> 00:32:56.000
I think it's interesting because it's just the first time you've had to change that dynamic.
00:32:56.160 --> 00:32:57.599
Oregon clearly has a lot of talent.
00:32:57.680 --> 00:33:02.319
Dante Moore not going to the NFL draft because he didn't want to get drafted by the Jets.
00:33:02.480 --> 00:33:03.680
What a baller ass move.
00:33:03.839 --> 00:33:04.559
Love that.
00:33:04.799 --> 00:33:12.400
I just am not sold that they're going to be as good as as people think they are because of the learning curve.
00:33:12.480 --> 00:33:13.440
I think you have to have.
00:33:13.599 --> 00:33:15.359
I'm not touching the 24 and a half.
00:33:15.440 --> 00:33:17.759
I do think the 51 and a half is too low.
00:33:18.559 --> 00:33:24.400
Yeah, and Oregon, I think traditionally has been putting up numbers, going over a lot.
00:33:24.480 --> 00:33:30.799
But if you look at Oregon and Boise State on the road, last year they were one and five to the under.
00:33:30.880 --> 00:33:34.400
Uh so a lot of their road games turned to low scoring, grinded out.
00:33:34.559 --> 00:33:36.240
They also didn't cover a lot of those games.
00:33:36.400 --> 00:33:36.880
Right.
00:33:37.200 --> 00:33:46.559
But I know it's not great for selling my 24.5 plus for Boise, but I do have some confidence that it's maybe a little backdoor cover there.
00:33:46.640 --> 00:33:49.519
So 38-17 is what I'm gonna go with as the final.
00:33:49.759 --> 00:33:51.039
Boise State covers.
00:33:51.119 --> 00:33:56.960
I'm not gonna touch the total just because there is a big discrepancy between Oregon likes to go over, Boise State, big under team.
00:33:57.039 --> 00:34:00.799
So I don't really know, but I'll take 38-17 Oregon.
00:34:00.960 --> 00:34:08.159
I have a hard time thinking that Oregon will not score over 40 points because they just seem like they're made to do that no matter what the season is.
00:34:08.239 --> 00:34:10.719
I'll say 4120 Oregon, but I don't think they cover.
00:34:10.800 --> 00:34:12.159
I do think the overhappens.
00:34:14.480 --> 00:34:25.519
All right, last game here, Labor Day night in Tallahassee, number 19 SMU at Florida State, ESPN, Doke Campbell Stadium, conference game.
00:34:25.760 --> 00:34:29.519
The current line is actually Florida State plus two and a half.
00:34:29.679 --> 00:34:30.320
Yeah.
00:34:30.880 --> 00:34:32.960
So some money has come down.
00:34:33.119 --> 00:34:34.880
I think it started at three and a half at one point.
00:34:34.960 --> 00:34:38.559
Now it was down to three, now it's down to two and a half, total 53 and a half.
00:34:39.440 --> 00:34:41.440
Last year, or last year they didn't play.
00:34:41.599 --> 00:34:45.599
2024, SMU won this game 42 to 18.
00:34:48.000 --> 00:34:49.039
This is a tough read.
00:34:49.119 --> 00:34:52.400
A lot of people watched Forest State last week, didn't like what they saw.
00:34:52.800 --> 00:34:54.000
You including you.
00:34:54.320 --> 00:34:54.960
Yes.
00:34:56.239 --> 00:34:59.519
It was I I I rewatched the game.
00:34:59.599 --> 00:35:12.800
I I listened to some pods, didn't feel too much better about it, but I do realize that the 10 of 17 on third downs allowed an eight penalties against New Mexico State.
00:35:13.199 --> 00:35:15.840
That can't happen against any teams.
00:35:16.000 --> 00:35:19.039
So I'm hoping that in week one they got that corrected.
00:35:19.119 --> 00:35:20.960
They were getting killed on short passes.
00:35:21.199 --> 00:35:22.320
Boozo was at the game.
00:35:22.400 --> 00:35:26.480
Maybe he can lend some insight, but not a great showing from Florida State in week one.
00:35:26.559 --> 00:35:39.599
However, I do think that in games like this, where it's not they're not heavily outmatched as far as talent's concerned, this is for all purposes, kind of like the home opener, the big one.
00:35:39.840 --> 00:35:41.920
They tend to play well, play well in these games.
00:35:42.159 --> 00:35:42.559
Yeah.
00:35:42.800 --> 00:35:44.880
I mean 2021, right?
00:35:44.960 --> 00:35:46.320
Was that the Notre Dame game?
00:35:46.480 --> 00:35:47.360
Yeah, yep.
00:35:47.920 --> 00:35:51.039
LSU, both LSU games, the Alabama game last year.
00:35:51.360 --> 00:35:55.920
The only one that really hasn't gone well was the Georgia Tech game in 2024, and that whole season was horrific.
00:35:56.159 --> 00:35:59.119
Get me horned up for Florida State out of the gates.
00:36:00.000 --> 00:36:04.079
But I don't like that Florida State has game tape out there now.
00:36:04.159 --> 00:36:08.639
That and I do think that that some of that was why they looked poor against New Mexico's.
00:36:08.719 --> 00:36:18.079
I I think, especially on offense, I mean, I re I rewatched like RPOs, they they never even pretended to do anything but just run the ball.
00:36:18.159 --> 00:36:19.760
Like they were just being very vanilla.
00:36:20.159 --> 00:36:22.159
They were easily running up and down the field.
00:36:22.239 --> 00:36:24.239
They they were trying to work on things in the past game.
00:36:24.400 --> 00:36:25.679
I'm more worried about the defense.
00:36:25.760 --> 00:36:28.079
They they they were just atrocious on third down.
00:36:28.639 --> 00:36:32.400
Kevin Jennings has been injured in camp leading up.
00:36:32.480 --> 00:36:35.280
He's he's healthy now, but it is a it is a finger.
00:36:35.440 --> 00:36:37.519
When you're a quarterback, you can't have your fingers hurting.
00:36:37.599 --> 00:36:37.679
No.
00:36:38.000 --> 00:36:38.159
Right?
00:36:38.559 --> 00:36:39.039
My fingers.
00:36:39.360 --> 00:36:41.920
That was his a right finger, which is his throwing hand.
00:36:42.079 --> 00:36:43.840
Cost him 10 days of camp in August.
00:36:43.920 --> 00:36:45.039
So that's something to watch.
00:36:45.199 --> 00:36:46.480
He's been back the last two weeks.
00:36:46.559 --> 00:36:50.559
Rhett Lashley says he's gonna be okay, but he's had a good career there at SMU.
00:36:50.719 --> 00:36:52.320
They've had a lot of skill turnover.
00:36:52.480 --> 00:36:55.519
80% of their rushing yards have have left the team.
00:36:55.679 --> 00:36:58.800
One guy transferred to Clemson, one went to the NFL.
00:37:00.079 --> 00:37:01.840
They do have three O-line starters back.
00:37:01.920 --> 00:37:04.239
They had to rebuild their D line again.
00:37:04.400 --> 00:37:05.679
They have a new DC.
00:37:06.079 --> 00:37:08.559
So there's a lot of new going on at SMU.
00:37:10.480 --> 00:37:14.320
I'll give my pick after you, but any angles here that you're looking at.
00:37:14.639 --> 00:37:15.280
Yeah.
00:37:15.599 --> 00:37:17.039
Everything you just said.
00:37:18.000 --> 00:37:22.239
I mean, I stopped listening the moment you said all the the track record for the opening game.
00:37:22.400 --> 00:37:23.039
Here's the thing.
00:37:23.119 --> 00:37:27.679
I I think that there's that's an actual thing that people can hang their hat on.
00:37:27.760 --> 00:37:30.719
And SMU being, I think Kevin Jennings can be great.
00:37:30.800 --> 00:37:32.320
I really am excited about that.
00:37:32.719 --> 00:37:35.440
This is a program that should be much better than they currently are.
00:37:35.760 --> 00:37:52.400
Like they they SMU has all the things in place to have a really, really good fundamentally or foundationally like high floor, I guess, like from the NIL standpoint, because like they have deep pockets everywhere.
00:37:52.480 --> 00:37:57.199
Now they play in a fucking dog shit stadium in Dallas that holds like 35,000 people.
00:37:57.360 --> 00:37:59.119
It looks like a high school stadium for sure.
00:37:59.280 --> 00:38:01.280
I'm glad this game is being played in Tallahassee.
00:38:01.360 --> 00:38:13.519
I listen, give me at night, uh Tallahassee with the track record you just said, there's there's no better example of that than besides Florida State winning those than LSU losing him for like six straight years.
00:38:13.599 --> 00:38:15.760
And so, and again, I'm not super high on SMU.
00:38:15.920 --> 00:38:17.760
And Vegas usually tries to tell you something.
00:38:18.000 --> 00:38:25.440
If Vegas is beg I mean, Vegas is begging you to take SMU at three and a half, and they're on the road.
00:38:25.679 --> 00:38:28.000
Tell me SMU's biggest wins over the past couple years.
00:38:28.079 --> 00:38:29.679
They had Miami at home.
00:38:30.000 --> 00:38:31.519
What am I missing here?
00:38:31.840 --> 00:38:35.920
Well, here's the thing that we also made monotonous on this.
00:38:36.159 --> 00:38:39.280
Jennings has been very good when they play in Dallas.
00:38:39.519 --> 00:38:44.000
58, basically 59% completion percentage away from home.
00:38:44.159 --> 00:38:46.480
His worst games in his career have all been on the road.
00:38:46.639 --> 00:38:48.239
Wake, Clemson, and BC.
00:38:48.559 --> 00:38:51.599
Two of those teams, not exactly Barnburners.
00:38:51.920 --> 00:38:54.719
Add the finger injury that took away half his camp.
00:38:54.880 --> 00:38:57.599
He got brand new starters at running back and receiver.
00:38:58.559 --> 00:39:02.079
Maybe a little magic happened in Doke on the show.
00:39:02.480 --> 00:39:02.960
Doke magic?
00:39:03.039 --> 00:39:04.880
Give me Florida State to win outright.
00:39:05.039 --> 00:39:05.519
Let's go.
00:39:08.639 --> 00:39:12.960
Wow, I'd be extremely happy with a three-point performance out of the defense.
00:39:13.039 --> 00:39:13.440
I'll say that.
00:39:13.599 --> 00:39:14.559
Yeah, I can tell you.
00:39:16.239 --> 00:39:17.360
I I think I'm gonna do it.
00:39:17.440 --> 00:39:23.360
I think I'm gonna I my pick originally when I came into this was gonna be SMU 27, Florida State 23.
00:39:24.159 --> 00:39:26.159
But I'm feeling the vibes.
00:39:26.400 --> 00:39:35.360
I think there's a lot of betting trends that seem to be adding up to it makes a lot of sense to pick Florida State to me.
00:39:36.960 --> 00:39:38.159
Yeah, I'm gonna take the Knowles.
00:39:38.320 --> 00:39:39.519
I'm gonna reverse that score.
00:39:39.679 --> 00:39:42.320
Florida State 27, SMU 23.
00:39:42.400 --> 00:39:43.440
The Knowles get a big win.
00:39:43.519 --> 00:39:45.840
Norvell, more importantly, gets a big win.
00:39:46.239 --> 00:39:48.159
Not more importantly for me, but for himself.
00:39:48.320 --> 00:40:01.360
Because if he loses this game, I can see a lot of what has happened over the last two years, which is as soon as Florida State loses a big game, the whole team packs up their bag and it's a completely different team the rest of the year.
00:40:01.599 --> 00:40:06.719
And I I that will happen if they lose this game, and I think that will spell the end for Norvell.
00:40:06.800 --> 00:40:08.239
So he's gotta know this is big.
00:40:08.320 --> 00:40:18.000
You gotta throw out the if you're not talented enough to compete, you better throw out all the stops like people used to do to a program that was once the program you had to do that against to win.
00:40:18.239 --> 00:40:20.480
Now we're having to do that against the SMEs of the world.
00:40:20.639 --> 00:40:24.639
But I think Fort State gets it done Monday night, so we shall see.
00:40:24.960 --> 00:40:25.280
Okay.
00:40:26.159 --> 00:40:26.559
All right.
00:40:26.800 --> 00:40:27.280
I like that.
00:40:27.360 --> 00:40:28.000
I'll take both of them.
00:40:28.239 --> 00:40:30.559
Want to move into best bets or we're gonna do most approve?
00:40:30.880 --> 00:40:41.840
Before we get into best bets, we Chris, I don't know if you remember this, but we do have a brand new sponsor on the Dang! Our first sponsor of the Fourth and Wrong podcast.
00:40:42.000 --> 00:40:43.760
It is Home Stadium.
00:40:44.079 --> 00:40:47.119
This is a friend and loyal listener of the pod.
00:40:47.840 --> 00:40:50.719
He created during COVID, he started this project.
00:40:50.800 --> 00:40:52.320
It's called homestadium.io.
00:40:53.199 --> 00:40:55.440
And if you look, look at that.
00:40:55.519 --> 00:40:58.000
Dang, you can't see mine because all my ring lights.
00:40:58.960 --> 00:41:01.679
So if you're on YouTube, you can see the lights just went blue.
00:41:01.760 --> 00:41:05.440
They're supposed to be blue in my office, but I've got too many ring lights in here.
00:41:06.480 --> 00:41:07.679
That's what this thing does.
00:41:07.760 --> 00:41:15.280
So basically, this has been a project that's been in the works since COVID, and this football season is the first time that anyone can sign up from the public.
00:41:15.440 --> 00:41:29.199
So what Home Stadium does is it detects every time any team you want, but let's call your favorite team, scores a touchdown, kicks a field goal, creates a turnover, has a safety, wins a game.
00:41:29.280 --> 00:41:34.320
In real time, you can you'll have smart light bulbs that will go off to whatever colors you choose.
00:41:34.480 --> 00:41:34.719
Right.
00:41:34.880 --> 00:41:36.079
I've got mine for the Braves.
00:41:36.239 --> 00:41:39.199
Anytime they score, we get Braves colors that go off.
00:41:39.280 --> 00:41:39.519
Right.
00:41:39.679 --> 00:41:42.400
You could have them flicker like it's like an actual football stadium.
00:41:42.719 --> 00:41:44.320
You can cue up audio.
00:41:44.480 --> 00:41:46.559
So it could play the Alabama fight song.
00:41:46.639 --> 00:41:49.679
It could play the war chant when we score a touchdown.
00:41:50.320 --> 00:41:58.960
You could have a Bud who went to Georgia Southern, has a famous call from a Georgia Southern radio guy that that plays when they score a touchdown calling the touchdown.
00:41:59.119 --> 00:42:01.039
So it's an amazing product.
00:42:01.199 --> 00:42:02.960
We both have it in our homes.
00:42:03.199 --> 00:42:04.719
It's not just for college football.
00:42:04.800 --> 00:42:06.079
Like I said, I have it for Braves.
00:42:06.480 --> 00:42:08.559
Baseball, NFL, basketball.
00:42:08.880 --> 00:42:12.079
He's offering everyone on the show a free month of home stadium.
00:42:12.159 --> 00:42:12.639
That's sick.
00:42:12.800 --> 00:42:14.800
For the month of September to try it out.
00:42:14.960 --> 00:42:22.800
And if you sign up for the promo with the promo code AngryFans, you'll get an additional month free once his pay will wall goes up in October.
00:42:22.960 --> 00:42:23.440
Yeah.
00:42:23.679 --> 00:42:27.119
But also, guys, it really is it really just to speak on real quick, it's really cool.
00:42:27.199 --> 00:42:29.199
We did we set it up, he helped me set it up the other day.
00:42:29.360 --> 00:42:31.519
I'm about as technologically challenged as possible.
00:42:31.599 --> 00:42:32.800
It was a pretty simple setup.
00:42:32.880 --> 00:42:34.400
He was he was super helpful with it.
00:42:34.480 --> 00:42:36.000
But also don't laugh at that, Tyler.
00:42:36.079 --> 00:42:38.480
But also, like one of the cool parts about it, Allie loves it.
00:42:38.559 --> 00:42:44.480
And and we are already talking about trying to get it set up in the living room as well as in here, which is kind of like the office or whatever.
00:42:44.639 --> 00:42:48.559
So we can have because I want to have make sure we have Bama and South Carolina colors back here.
00:42:48.719 --> 00:42:50.320
She wants Auburn colors in the other room.
00:42:50.559 --> 00:42:52.559
So we're already looking into how do we how we figure out how to do that.
00:42:52.639 --> 00:42:58.400
It really is a cool, cool situation, and it'll be fucking awesome for game days on the vault in the fall.
00:42:58.559 --> 00:42:58.719
Yeah.
00:42:58.880 --> 00:43:00.320
Great for a man cave.
00:43:00.559 --> 00:43:02.400
Bud's got it through throughout his whole house.
00:43:02.480 --> 00:43:03.440
So it's so funny.
00:43:03.679 --> 00:43:07.199
Like uh he the way I met him is through one of my good lifelong friends.
00:43:07.280 --> 00:43:08.159
He's a neighbor.
00:43:08.320 --> 00:43:16.159
And I'll be over, they have like cul-de-sac parties, and I'll look over at Bud's house, and the whole thing is just lit up blue inside because one of his favorite teams just scored a touchdown.
00:43:16.239 --> 00:43:17.280
It's just it's really funny.
00:43:17.360 --> 00:43:28.400
But once the paywall goes up, I'll just add after your free month, four dollars and twenty cents for the base subscription or six dollars and ninety cents a month for the premium subscription.
00:43:28.559 --> 00:43:30.400
So he's a he's a comic, everybody.
00:43:30.639 --> 00:43:30.880
Bud.
00:43:31.039 --> 00:43:33.039
So go to homestadium.io to sign up.
00:43:33.119 --> 00:43:37.039
Promo code angry fans, light up your house like the stadiums do.
00:43:37.360 --> 00:43:39.679
And that is our first sponsor read, Chris.
00:43:39.920 --> 00:43:40.400
Bang!
00:43:40.800 --> 00:43:44.639
All right, let's go to most to prove this week.
00:43:44.880 --> 00:43:47.920
It could be a team, it could be a coach, it could be a player.
00:43:48.079 --> 00:43:50.480
I had a couple people in mind.
00:43:50.639 --> 00:43:58.320
Two actually are facing up against each other, Lane Kiffin and Dabo Sweeney, I think, are two guys that have a lot to prove for different reasons.
00:43:58.719 --> 00:44:01.519
But I ultimately Went with Lane Kiffin.
00:44:01.679 --> 00:44:04.480
You left the Olmus fan base at the altar.
00:44:04.719 --> 00:44:11.280
You are trying to lower your way into more players under your roster as the season leads up.
00:44:11.440 --> 00:44:13.679
You got the Vanity Fair articles.
00:44:14.000 --> 00:44:18.800
You open up a night game at home against a revenge hungry Clemson team.
00:44:19.039 --> 00:44:24.719
Every camera in the sport is basically pointed at him on Saturday.
00:44:24.960 --> 00:44:28.320
And to your point, you're expecting a show.
00:44:28.480 --> 00:44:30.000
You're expecting fireworks.
00:44:30.239 --> 00:44:32.480
I think he's got a lot to prove because that doesn't happen.
00:44:35.920 --> 00:44:37.840
There's rumors that Boozy's going to walk him out of the tunnel.
00:44:38.880 --> 00:44:39.920
And I'll tell you this, Tyler.
00:44:41.199 --> 00:44:42.960
This is a thousand percent factual.
00:44:43.119 --> 00:44:44.320
They've had the conversation.
00:44:44.480 --> 00:44:48.000
Lane has already been like, I want him to walk us out of the tunnel soon and set it off.
00:44:48.320 --> 00:44:52.079
And and they're and they're like, no, it's like not for this game.
00:44:52.159 --> 00:44:57.920
But like, but like this is going to be one of the most electric atmospheres imaginable.
00:44:58.159 --> 00:45:02.320
900 credentials issued for the sidelines.
00:45:02.719 --> 00:45:06.400
I mean, everyone who's anyone is going to be there, including you boy.
00:45:06.639 --> 00:45:09.760
It I just I don't think he fails in those situations.
00:45:09.920 --> 00:45:13.199
I think everyone loves to bring up the the get your popcorn ready thing.
00:45:14.000 --> 00:45:17.039
I think he's gonna have I think he's gonna have himself a blast on Saturday.
00:45:17.199 --> 00:45:18.320
I like this pick from you.
00:45:18.480 --> 00:45:18.800
Okay.
00:45:18.880 --> 00:45:19.440
And what about you?
00:45:19.519 --> 00:45:23.039
Do you have one uh pick to prove themselves this week?
00:45:23.760 --> 00:45:30.480
Let me go in a different direction because I do think that this is I think this is this is the one I probably would have chosen.
00:45:30.639 --> 00:45:44.800
I don't know if Pete Golding, I think I think Dabbo Swinney is the one that's probably more important, but I'll go in a different direction and I will say Keelan Russell because I think that if if there is a situation where there's a quarterback controversy in Alabama, it's gonna be a very, very big issue.
00:45:44.960 --> 00:45:50.079
Austin Mack is like, I don't know why he chose these certain quarterbacks to go play behind.
00:45:50.559 --> 00:45:52.880
Like he's he's been with him since he was at Washington.
00:45:52.960 --> 00:46:01.760
He played behind Michael Pennock's top 10 pick, begrudgingly from the Falcons, goes to follow him at Alabama, and you get Jalen Milrow, then you get Ty Simpson, who's another top 15 pick, I think.
00:46:01.920 --> 00:46:05.440
And then now you have uh Keelan Russell who's the highest ranked recruit in the history of the program.
00:46:05.679 --> 00:46:08.880
I think there's a lot of pressure on him because I don't think they're gonna be able to run the ball still.
00:46:08.960 --> 00:46:17.599
And I think that going into this game, the the the offense, excuse me, you're gonna have a bunch of new faces on the offensive line that was already bad last year.
00:46:17.760 --> 00:46:23.280
You're replacing them with less talent, at least like from a blue chip ratio type situation.
00:46:23.440 --> 00:46:28.159
You got a fucking center named Rayson Delgati, who is from Kyle Poly.
00:46:28.320 --> 00:46:29.119
Don't love it.
00:46:29.280 --> 00:46:32.960
And you got two injuries to two of your backs that were supposed to start.
00:46:33.039 --> 00:46:42.159
So I think that part for me is like, dude, I like I mean, AKD and and Xavier Crowell, the the five yard five-star freshman, he's gonna have a lot of pressure on him.
00:46:42.239 --> 00:46:45.760
And I think he he's gonna have to look good in week one for people to start to believe.
00:46:45.920 --> 00:46:47.119
So that's that's my pick.
00:46:47.199 --> 00:46:50.239
Also, Ryan Williams announcing he's not gonna wear gloves this season.
00:46:50.400 --> 00:46:51.679
Don't fucking love that.
00:46:51.840 --> 00:46:52.719
Don't love that at all.
00:46:52.800 --> 00:46:55.840
But isn't his name also not Ryan Williams anymore?
00:46:56.000 --> 00:47:02.559
He took so Ryan Coleman Williams, he took like his stepdad's name, or it's something it's like it it's like a genuine thing.
00:47:02.639 --> 00:47:04.719
Ryan Williams is like a pretty good dude, man.
00:47:04.800 --> 00:47:06.880
He he's like he's got his head on straight.
00:47:06.960 --> 00:47:14.639
He's been I think he's fine with his classes, like he's he's and he gets hated on because of everyone announced that he was like 17 years old a bazillion times.
00:47:14.960 --> 00:47:16.639
Um but he got married in the offseason.
00:47:16.719 --> 00:47:20.000
There's a there's a lot of things about him that's like that are very likable.
00:47:20.079 --> 00:47:24.960
Ums who he wants.
00:47:25.039 --> 00:47:40.159
I don't, I mean, you know, I I'll but anyway, I I think that Keelan Russell is gonna have to have he he's gonna if Bama's gonna be good this year, he's gonna have to go win them some games on his on his talent alone because I don't think they're gonna have it on the defensive line or defensive front, and I don't think they're gonna have it in the run game.
00:47:40.239 --> 00:47:42.000
So I'm excited to see what he looks like.
00:47:42.320 --> 00:47:52.079
Well, that is actually parlayed great into bold predictions because I had a couple, but maybe I'll save one of them for for the next one of the next segments here.
00:47:52.239 --> 00:47:54.480
But bold predictions for the weekend.
00:47:54.639 --> 00:48:03.280
I put a picture of Louisville's quarterback on there, put a picture of Dion, maybe Dion with old Gigi Lewis from Atlanta coming down to Georgia Tech.
00:48:03.440 --> 00:48:09.679
Yeah, my bold prediction Keelan Russell goes off in his debut.
00:48:10.480 --> 00:48:14.719
40 plus points for or Bama wins by 40 plus points.
00:48:15.039 --> 00:48:15.519
Right?
00:48:15.760 --> 00:48:18.480
It'd be a shock because I think a lot of people don't really know what to expect.
00:48:19.199 --> 00:48:21.360
They're only a 28 and a half point favorite.
00:48:21.519 --> 00:48:21.840
Right.
00:48:21.920 --> 00:48:29.519
Because Keelan Russell didn't automatically take the job, you know, right off the bat, and and it was a competition going into the year.
00:48:29.599 --> 00:48:35.440
I think not a lot of people are expecting a lot, but people forget he was a five-star, one of the top quarterbacks coming out.
00:48:35.599 --> 00:48:36.800
He's got a year under his belt.
00:48:36.880 --> 00:48:39.280
This is year three now for DeBoer.
00:48:39.679 --> 00:48:41.599
Second year for Ben Grubb.
00:48:42.719 --> 00:48:44.639
I I this is my bold prediction.
00:48:44.800 --> 00:48:46.800
Not that not for Bama to beat Ace K Ryan.
00:48:47.039 --> 00:48:50.559
That would be very sarcastic and petty of me to say something like that.
00:48:50.800 --> 00:48:56.239
I think Keelan Russell has a huge game, and Bama wins by 40 plus in the opener.
00:48:56.559 --> 00:48:57.039
I like that.
00:48:57.119 --> 00:48:58.320
I'll stay in the conference.
00:48:58.400 --> 00:49:03.119
I think Faison Brandon has a massive game for Tennessee.
00:49:03.199 --> 00:49:04.000
They play Furman.
00:49:04.159 --> 00:49:04.960
It's not gonna be a fun game.
00:49:05.039 --> 00:49:06.719
They're a 46 and a half point favorite.
00:49:06.880 --> 00:49:13.119
But the thing with Faison Brandon is he's also very similar to Keelan Russell, highly ranked recruit, top five recruit, top ten recruit nationally.
00:49:13.280 --> 00:49:23.280
There's not a new starter that's I'll say I don't think there's a new starter that has more at his disposal than him.
00:49:23.440 --> 00:49:26.880
He's got one of the best offensive lines, not only the SEC, but maybe the entire country.
00:49:26.960 --> 00:49:28.719
They returned four or five starters as well.
00:49:28.880 --> 00:49:33.920
Tennessee has their first 1,000-yard back returning for the the next season since 2016.
00:49:34.079 --> 00:49:35.360
That's Deshaun Bishop.
00:49:35.599 --> 00:49:40.719
Get two 800-yard receivers, Brandon Staley, Mike Matthews, Parkview High School.
00:49:40.880 --> 00:49:46.559
Also, you bring in the highest ranked receiver commit and recruit in the history of the program, TK Keys.
00:49:46.880 --> 00:49:48.320
Everything he needs on offense is right there.
00:49:48.559 --> 00:49:51.760
He's gonna be playing in an offense that has been very, very quarterback friendly.
00:49:52.000 --> 00:49:56.000
I think that that that the biggest questions you heard over and over.
00:49:56.079 --> 00:50:01.199
We went to Media Days and Josh Hipl's, he came out there because I was gonna ask the question.
00:50:01.440 --> 00:50:06.320
He came out there and said, Everyone's gonna bring up the fact that we have a first-year starter.
00:50:06.400 --> 00:50:07.679
This is our fifth time at Tennessee.
00:50:07.760 --> 00:50:08.639
We've had a first year starter.
00:50:08.719 --> 00:50:10.239
It's the seventh time in the last nine years.
00:50:10.400 --> 00:50:12.960
We finished the top 10 offense in seven of those nine years.
00:50:13.119 --> 00:50:14.559
This is not our first time doing this.
00:50:14.719 --> 00:50:17.039
I think he's gonna go out there and put people on notice as well.
00:50:17.199 --> 00:50:19.199
Like, hey man, this kid can ball.
00:50:19.280 --> 00:50:20.400
We're gonna put up a lot of numbers.
00:50:20.480 --> 00:50:23.920
I think he goes for four touchdowns and 300 plus yards.
00:50:25.280 --> 00:50:25.920
That'd be great.
00:50:26.079 --> 00:50:30.800
Tennessee having a great QB would be interesting for the year this year.
00:50:31.039 --> 00:50:31.360
Okay.
00:50:31.920 --> 00:50:33.039
Lock of the week.
00:50:33.199 --> 00:50:37.840
It's gonna be one bet from each of us that we think is gonna be the lock.
00:50:37.920 --> 00:50:41.519
Obviously, we're gonna be tracking these bets over the course of the year, see who does better.
00:50:41.840 --> 00:50:49.599
Booze, you're you're more than welcome to make a pick on the show, or if we want to post your picks later, but booze will be a part of this, so it's just not you and I head to head.
00:50:49.679 --> 00:50:52.480
We don't want to do it nasty, nasty between us.
00:50:53.519 --> 00:50:55.840
So, Chris, what is your lock of the week this week?
00:50:56.000 --> 00:50:57.360
LSU minus 10.
00:50:57.599 --> 00:50:57.840
Wow.
00:50:58.159 --> 00:51:00.400
If I could get it at minus 17, I would I would run.
00:51:00.480 --> 00:51:01.599
I would still go with it.
00:51:01.920 --> 00:51:03.679
LSU minus 10 lock of the week.
00:51:03.920 --> 00:51:06.880
All right, I'm gonna go Baylor Auburn over 58 and a half.
00:51:07.119 --> 00:51:07.360
Okay.
00:51:07.519 --> 00:51:13.199
I like the max tempo offense, pointed at a defense who's been pretty bad the last few years.
00:51:13.360 --> 00:51:19.119
You got Lagway on the other side who's gonna also you know create big plays, but also maybe give up a few turnovers.
00:51:20.079 --> 00:51:23.920
I I like USF to run 75 plus plays in this game.
00:51:24.159 --> 00:51:27.360
And I think if you need it before it gets to 60.
00:51:28.079 --> 00:51:28.719
What's that?
00:51:28.880 --> 00:51:29.760
You mean Auburn?
00:51:30.000 --> 00:51:31.199
Well, what did I say, Bama?
00:51:31.519 --> 00:51:32.239
USF.
00:51:32.400 --> 00:51:33.920
Or USF, sorry.
00:51:34.320 --> 00:51:43.119
Which I love because I made that graphic earlier this year when I made the the the Auburn logo with the two USF Bulls for the Us because that's what it is.
00:51:43.199 --> 00:51:44.559
I I I don't disagree with you on that.
00:51:44.639 --> 00:51:45.519
I like that pick.
00:51:45.760 --> 00:51:47.119
I'll say, are we doing best bets?
00:51:47.199 --> 00:51:48.159
We're doing best bets, right?
00:51:48.559 --> 00:51:49.599
Um, I'll piggyback on that.
00:51:49.679 --> 00:51:52.159
I have Auburn minus six and a half as one of my best bets.
00:51:52.400 --> 00:51:57.760
I also think um, so I'm this isn't this isn't I'm I shouldn't do this, but I'm gonna sprinkle it anyway.
00:51:57.920 --> 00:51:59.920
Georgia Tech minus three first half.
00:52:00.079 --> 00:52:02.320
I don't trust Colorado, especially don't trust him on the road.
00:52:02.400 --> 00:52:10.559
The Juju Lewis thing will be interesting, but I think that Mendoza's little brother, he seems just as autistic and weird as as as Fernando was last year.
00:52:10.639 --> 00:52:13.199
He's gonna be in Atlanta and and he's like all about football.
00:52:13.280 --> 00:52:14.320
I think that they they will be good.
00:52:14.400 --> 00:52:18.480
It'll be interesting to see what the offensive look looks like, but I got to at least have some action tomorrow night.
00:52:18.559 --> 00:52:21.199
So I'm taking Georgia Georgia Tech minus three first half.
00:52:21.360 --> 00:52:25.360
On Saturday, I already told you Albert minus six and a half, LSU minus 10 is my lock.
00:52:25.519 --> 00:52:30.239
I I'm having to get creative here because what I think what I think the best bets are for the weekend are team totals.
00:52:30.320 --> 00:52:32.239
I want to see what Kentucky's team total is.
00:52:32.320 --> 00:52:32.960
I'm taking that.
00:52:33.039 --> 00:52:35.519
It's against Youngstown State, so I don't know if they're gonna give them one.
00:52:35.679 --> 00:52:37.199
But also take Tennessee first half.
00:52:37.280 --> 00:52:42.079
That's my system play as always, but I don't know if they're gonna give one because they're both against FCS opponents.
00:52:42.239 --> 00:52:44.079
South Carolina opens with Kent State.
00:52:44.159 --> 00:52:47.360
I think Kent State's gonna be better than I might have thought.
00:52:47.519 --> 00:52:52.320
They were ranked about 120th or worse in almost every category last year, statistically.
00:52:52.480 --> 00:52:54.000
But I also didn't know this, Tyler.
00:52:54.480 --> 00:53:01.840
That is a team that was one and 23 combined in the two previous years, fired their coach in April of last year, got a new guy.
00:53:01.920 --> 00:53:02.960
They went five and seven.
00:53:03.039 --> 00:53:07.920
Statistically horrible, but also statistically way better than they were the season before.
00:53:08.079 --> 00:53:09.119
I don't think that matters.
00:53:09.199 --> 00:53:12.239
I think South Carolina over 41 and a half points.
00:53:12.320 --> 00:53:13.360
It was almost my lock.
00:53:13.440 --> 00:53:17.360
I have it's minus 175, a little bit of juice on it, but I think they're gonna score 50.
00:53:17.519 --> 00:53:18.159
So I like that.
00:53:18.239 --> 00:53:22.559
And then I'll be very stupid and do what I do best.
00:53:22.639 --> 00:53:38.480
And I'll give you a parlay at plus 105, Daniel Hill for Alabama over 45 yards rushing, Keelan Russell over 200 yards passing, and then I'll give you a teaser minus 110, 10 point teaser, Notre Dame minus 10 and a half, LSU money line, Ole Miss plus three and a half.
00:53:38.639 --> 00:53:41.360
That would have been my lock of the week, but it is a teaser.
00:53:41.679 --> 00:53:42.000
Okay.
00:53:42.480 --> 00:53:43.119
All right.
00:53:43.360 --> 00:53:46.239
Stanford plus 24 and a half versus Miami.
00:53:47.599 --> 00:53:50.800
Nah, it's it's the West Coast travel teams.
00:53:50.960 --> 00:53:59.519
I mean, even with when they had Cam Ward, they went out there, Miami went out to Cal and was down big and had to really fight back to even win that game.
00:53:59.760 --> 00:54:05.119
So, you know, first game jitters Stanford plus 24 and a half Friday, weird game.
00:54:05.440 --> 00:54:09.440
Give me Colorado plus six and a half at Georgia Tech.
00:54:09.599 --> 00:54:11.679
I like Juju Lewis coming back home.
00:54:11.920 --> 00:54:13.599
New OC, Brendan Marion.
00:54:13.840 --> 00:54:17.760
You remember his offense at UNLV a few years ago became very popular.
00:54:19.119 --> 00:54:22.559
Far more experienced roster this year with transfers.
00:54:22.800 --> 00:54:26.079
Georgia Tech loses Haynes King, they lose Buster Faulkner.
00:54:26.480 --> 00:54:36.079
I'm kind of more of the thing with Mendoza that if he was a really good quarterback, Indiana probably would have wanted him to stay there and follow up his brother.
00:54:36.320 --> 00:54:42.719
So the fact that they went out and felt like they needed to upgrade doesn't make me feel good about him being the starter for Georgia Tech.
00:54:42.800 --> 00:54:45.039
So I'll take Colorado plus six and a half.
00:54:45.199 --> 00:54:48.719
James Madison, minus six and a half versus Liberty.
00:54:48.880 --> 00:54:49.840
Oh, Billy Napier.
00:54:50.000 --> 00:54:50.800
Well, Billy Napier.
00:54:50.960 --> 00:54:52.719
And Liberty's not been good the last few years.
00:54:52.960 --> 00:54:55.840
Jamie Chadwell, he was at Coastal Carolina before this.
00:54:56.079 --> 00:54:58.320
Been a little bit not great at Liberty.
00:54:58.639 --> 00:54:59.280
So I'll take that.
00:54:59.360 --> 00:55:02.320
And then my last pick, Chris, I know you're gonna love this.
00:55:02.559 --> 00:55:05.840
Central Michigan plus ten and a half at New Mexico.
00:55:06.079 --> 00:55:06.639
What?
00:55:06.800 --> 00:55:07.119
Okay.
00:55:07.360 --> 00:55:11.280
New Mexico's quarterback out for the season.
00:55:11.519 --> 00:55:15.199
I love a 10-point dog with a quarterback at New Mexico.
00:55:15.280 --> 00:55:15.599
Let's go.
00:55:15.760 --> 00:55:19.599
Can I interest you in one more that you can walk me through if you have an if you have an opinion on it?
00:55:19.679 --> 00:55:22.960
Because I'm looking at the board and I'm waiting for the first half stuff to come out here mostly.
00:55:23.280 --> 00:55:27.519
UCLA is a one and a half point underdog at Cal.
00:55:28.000 --> 00:55:31.440
And Cal has a good quarterback, but also UCLA does.
00:55:31.519 --> 00:55:32.239
They have Nico.
00:55:32.559 --> 00:55:35.920
They also took a one of the best players from South Carolina in the in the portal.
00:55:36.000 --> 00:55:37.840
I think I think it's I think it's Donovan Murph.
00:55:37.920 --> 00:55:38.719
I can't remember who it is.
00:55:38.800 --> 00:55:39.920
It's not Donovan Murph.
00:55:40.000 --> 00:55:42.000
It's somebody that they they got from South Carolina the portal.
00:55:42.079 --> 00:55:43.119
He's one of the better players from there.
00:55:43.440 --> 00:55:44.239
Maybe it's Brian Rowe.
00:55:44.400 --> 00:55:45.360
It's Brian Rowe.
00:55:45.840 --> 00:55:49.280
And they have a new coach too, but it's the JMU coach from last year.
00:55:49.519 --> 00:55:51.440
Is there any interest there for you?
00:55:51.760 --> 00:55:56.960
There's a lot of interest in that game because I think these are two teams that are on the rise.
00:55:57.119 --> 00:56:01.119
I love the the UCLA hire of the guy from JMU.
00:56:01.199 --> 00:56:03.039
And then Cal with Tosh Lepoy.
00:56:03.920 --> 00:56:06.400
I mean, he's they brought in some good talent.
00:56:06.480 --> 00:56:12.159
They brought in a really good running back from Washington, Adam Mohammed, one of the top receivers that was in the portal this year.
00:56:12.320 --> 00:56:15.440
Ian Strong from Ruckers, Solomon Williams from Texas AM.
00:56:15.599 --> 00:56:15.760
Right.
00:56:15.920 --> 00:56:23.199
Some really high, a really good tight end from New Mexico, actually, who caught like 11 balls in a bowl game for New Mexico.
00:56:23.679 --> 00:56:25.760
So I like what they've been bringing in.
00:56:26.000 --> 00:56:28.000
And I I like where Cal's headed.
00:56:28.400 --> 00:56:30.800
I like their QB better than Nico.
00:56:31.119 --> 00:56:31.440
Yeah.
00:56:31.599 --> 00:56:40.400
Um, I don't know enough to take a bet on the game yet, but it is one of the games that I'm excited to watch because I've heard a lot of good things about both in the offseason.
00:56:40.559 --> 00:56:43.840
But since it's the first week, let's go cow minus one.
00:56:44.000 --> 00:56:45.199
Okay, I like it.
00:56:45.920 --> 00:56:46.320
All right.
00:56:46.480 --> 00:56:48.320
That's gonna be it for it for us.
00:56:48.480 --> 00:56:57.199
So just as a reminder, five stars, like, review, big thing, the angry fans line.
00:56:57.360 --> 00:56:59.360
We need you guys calling into the line this week.
00:56:59.440 --> 00:57:05.280
We're gonna be calling, we're gonna be calling out everybody on the next pod with the best voicemails.
00:57:05.360 --> 00:57:10.000
So 448-488-3936 is going to be the number.
00:57:10.159 --> 00:57:16.559
Again, that's 448-488-3936, or you can scan the QR code there on the YouTube channel.
00:57:16.800 --> 00:57:18.239
We appreciate you guys tuning in.
00:57:18.400 --> 00:57:21.840
Good luck this weekend to all of you for Chris and Booza.
00:57:22.000 --> 00:57:22.719
I'm Tyler.
00:57:23.039 --> 00:57:25.599
We'll talk to you guys on Sunday night for the reaction show.