INFORMAZIONI SU QUESTO EPISODIO
Two macro forces defined the week. Iran and the United States escalated military pressure throughout the Gulf. The ceasefire that markets spent six weeks pricing in showed new cracks, and oil reversed its entire recent descent in a single week. And on Wall Street, the AI momentum trade that powered equities higher through the spring finally hit the summer wall. Rotation out of tech accelerated as summer volume thinned the market’s natural buyers. The physical commodity trade and the financial equity trade moved in opposite directions this week — both driven by the same underlying competition for energy and resources.
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Cerca gli episodi passati di Commodity Compass Weekly.
ALTRI EPISODI IN QUESTO PODCAST
This week brought the most substantive Iran deal developments since the conflict began. Axios, which hasbeen the primary source of White House leak intelligence throughout the Hormuz crisis, published a detailed walkthrough of the MOU text on Thursday night.According to a diplomat from one of the m…
The dominant force on the board this week didn't come from a commodity market at all — it came from the AI trade, and the doubt that suddenly crept into it.
On Tuesday, a wave of selling hit the semiconductor and memory names that have led this market all year. Micron fell double digits, Marvell, S…
This week's defining event arrived not from the strait but from the negotiating table. Reports of a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding on a framework for talks set off the mostsignificant single-week oil price decline since this crisis began — WTI broke below one hundred dollars for the first ti…
Kevin Warsh held his first press conference as Chair of the Federal Reserve, and he used the debut to push back against the market's expectation of summer rate cuts. The read coming out of that room was unmistakably hawkish — a Fed in no hurry to ease, signaling that it intends to keep policy tight…
Friday's May employment report landed above expectations across the board — stronger job creation, a tight unemployment rate, and wage growth that gives the Federal Reserve no reason to move toward rate cuts. The reaction was immediate: yields rose sharply, the dollar strengthened, and equity and c…
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