# Toby Manhire
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toby manhire is a New Zealand journalist and columnist. He describes himself as a "freelance writer & editor, mostly scribbling for Listener, Herald, Guardian". He is the son of poet Bill Manhire.
Raw Politics: Overhang together or they all hang separately
This week on the Raw Politics podcast: what's all this talk about an election overhang? Plus the Greens, the quiet giant of this campaignWill the campaign for an overhang in Parliament – basically enlarging the House under MMP to inflate one side's chances of success – save the incumbent centre-rig…
Panic stations with a week to go?
Who says politicians don't change? Christopher Luxon revealed his evolving approach this week by breaking his habit and commenting on a poll. A poll that delivered a horror result for the National Party.Ben Thomas, Annabelle Lee-Mather and Toby Manhire gather in the final, stir-crazy phase to unpac…
The blockbuster seat and the Māori vote, with Te Aniwa Hurihanganui
The Māori electorates are always exciting but this time it’s really edge-of-the-seat. TVNZ Māori affairs correspondent Te Aniwa Hurihanganui joins Toby to walk through the electorate, and explain why Te Tai Tokerau is the pick of the bunch.
Plus: the issues and personalities dominating the deba…
Can we really trust the polls?
The opinion polls are coming thick and fast in the final days of the 2026 NZ election campaign. But when two emerge at the same time delivering markedly different results, should we be sceptical about the story they tell? Murray Campbell of The Research Association of New Zealand joins Toby to disc…
Election 2026! The last-gasp hot-take shootout
As the campaign hours tick down, a pantheon of the Spinoff’s brightest gather at the roundtable to sum it all up. What were the most memorable moments, the characters, and the words of the campaign? Lyric Waiwiri-Smith, Hayden Donnell, Liam Rātana and Joel MacManus join Toby to revisit the highligh…
Election eve: the storm before the calm
We've done it. We're here. We've made it to election eve. The debates have been debated. The hoardings, defaced, the babies are covered in lipstick and tomorrow we finally find out what the next Parliament will look like - if not QUITE exactly who forms the next government. Here for a bit of reflec…
Making sense of the 2026 election
The morning after the night before, Annabelle Lee-Mather, Ben Thomas and Toby Manhire gather to chew through the key numbers, the surprises, the scenarios that could now play out and the big questions that come next. We assess the performance of all the main parties, and the impact of overhangs, en…
‘She would have been: are you insane?’ Qiulae Wong on her new job
The Opportunity Party has made history by breaking into parliament. Three years ago, Qiulae Wong couldn’t have fathomed the idea of leading such a project.Her team broke out the champagne at their Eden Park celebration on Saturday night. Less than 48 hours later, it’s getting real. With the numbers…
Gerry Brownlee on 30 years in politics and the last campaign
Three decades of parliamentary life is coming to an end for Gerry Brownlee. He joins Toby to revisit a career that has spanned roles including deputy National leader, a range of senior ministerial positions, the Christchurch earthquake recovery and speaker of the house. He also shares his view on t…
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