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ЁЯУ║┬аWatch this episode on YouTube.
Dima and Slava discuss the complexities of estimation in business contexts and the challenges of striking the balance between ambition and realism.
- Estimation, forecasting, and projecting
- Desired level of confidence for the estimate makes a difference
- Short-term vs long-term estimation
- 50/50 goals
- Benchmarking is helpful when you do something novel
- Working backwards can help in planning projects
- Is your thing really a special snowflake?
- Illusion of precision, or precision bias
- Realistic estimated vs ambitious goals
Estimation and benchmarking was also discussed in Biweeklycast #36 How Big Things Get Done.
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рдкрд┐рдЫрд▓реЗ рдПрдкрд┐рд╕реЛрдбреНрд╕ рдЦреЛрдЬреЗрдВ
Biweeklycast рдХреЗ рдкрд┐рдЫрд▓реЗ рдПрдкрд┐рд╕реЛрдб рдЦреЛрдЬреЗрдВред
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ЁЯУ║┬аWatch this episode on YouTube
Dima and Slava explore Richard P. RumeltтАЩs book Good Strategy Bad Strategy: The Difference and Why It Matters and share insights they took away from the book.
https://www.amazon.com/Good-Strategy-Bad-Difference-Matters/dp/0307886239
https://www.amazon.com/Strategy-SтАж
ЁЯУ║┬аWatch this episode on YouTube.
Dima and Slava count priorities and discuss how having to count priorities is a problem in and of itself.
Dilution of terminology: priorities, KPIsтАж
тАЬFocusтАЭ is a good alternative that is expressly singular
Priority: importance vs ordering
Does priority get most timтАж
ЁЯУ║┬аWatch this episode on YouTube.
Dima and Slave talk about what strategy is and what strategy isnтАЩt.
From Wikipedia: Strategy┬аis a general┬аplan┬аto achieve one or more long-term or overall┬аgoals┬аunder conditions of┬аuncertainty.
DimaтАЩs characteristics of a strategy
Multi-step plan, a тАЬpattern of deтАж
ЁЯУ║┬аWatch this episode on YouTube.
Dima is doing his best to explore a particular flavour of ambiguity and Slava keeps him in check by sticking to definitions and anchoring the discussion to reality.
Ambiguity тАУ the quality of being open to more than one interpretation
Is ambiguity merely a lack of тАж
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