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Hi, this is the Week in Review for September 14th.
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Mmm.
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This is Technically Creative's Week in Review, the news, ideas, and occasional bullshit from where technology and the creative industries are colliding.
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I'm Orlando Wood, and every Monday, I'm gonna catch you up on the stories I think actually matter, what they mean, and occasionally why everybody is losing their minds about the wrong thing.
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This is Week in Review, September 14th, 2026.
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There's a fight happening right now in advertising production that on the surface sounds incredibly niche.
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It involves the triple bid scenario.
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So you lucky thing you're about to hear about procurement.
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Buckle up.
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UPP, the massive advertising holding company, is trying to push more commercial production through its own organization rather than independent production companies.
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The Flashpoint is the traditional triple bid process.
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For anyone who hasn't been in that particular Thunderdome, the basic idea is simple.
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An agency wants to make an ad, three independent production companies compete for it, directors submit treatments, everybody prices the work, and the client gets genuinely competitive, creative, and financial options.
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I used to do this day in and day out in my job.
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And it does have huge benefits to the client.
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And crucially for production companies, it means that there's a reasonable expectation that if you're any good at all, you're gonna get some of those triple bid opportunities, giving you a pretty clear path to the opportunities that allow you to create a thriving business.
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Well, Campaign Magazine published a leaked WPP production document that explicitly states that their goal is to avoid traditional commercial triple bidding by positioning WPP production as the default production partner.
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If a client insists on three bids, the documents contemplate whether WPP production could theoretically provide all three internally, including potentially from different markets.
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Which raises kind of an obvious clash.
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I mean, like, when I get my house remodeled, I don't want all my bids to come from the shady guy who's my cheap option.
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Sure, I'll probably go with him eventually and regret it, but at least I want the choice.
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And that's where the UK Advertising Producers Association stepped in.
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Steve Davies, its CEO, publicly criticized the proposal, arguing that three bids from within the same company doesn't count as competition.
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Yeah.
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Which is incredibly fair, and I'm not entirely sure this one required a whole CEO to weigh in on it.
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A central St. Martin's grad with a hangover could have worked that out.
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And full disclosure, I used to sit on the board of the APA, and I think that what they do is incredibly important.
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WPP has obviously disputed the suggestion that clients are being misled and says its processes are transparent and client-led.
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And I don't think that the interesting part of this is deciding that WPP is some Bond villain sitting inside a giant production facility stroking a cat.
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Because honestly, I do understand exactly why they're doing it.
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WPP has 10,000 production people.
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What did we think they were going to do?
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Earlier this year, WPP folded Hogarth, its production offering, into WPP production, creating a global production operation of roughly 10,000 people in more than 40 cities.
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The thin end of the wedge happened years ago when agencies started slowly responding to social media by saying, okay—
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These jobs are too bitty and too small to go out to production companies.
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So we need an internal offering that can capture some of this lower level stuff.
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Well, that lower level stuff is now all of the social media assets that a client needs.
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And the TV campaign that was the largest spend has now become a more and more relegated part of the asset deliverables.
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So that thin end of the wedge has been growing into what's happening now, and it's going to continue.
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What interests me is why this is increasingly making sense to them.
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The numbers say that the old advertising machine is under pressure.
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In the first half of 2026, the jewel in their crown, WPP Media, declined 5.4%.
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WPP Creative declined 4.9%.
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And revenue-less pass-through costs across media, creative, and production fell 4.7%.
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What was the odd one out?
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WPP Production grew 1.6%.
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And there it is.
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If you're running WPP, I imagine there's a fairly short meeting where somebody points that slide and says, The bits selling traditional agency services are shrinking, but making the stuff is growing.
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Perhaps we should make more of the stuff.
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And this is where I think the independent production community is right to be worried, while WPP is also behaving completely rationally.
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Advertising used to operate in a more episodic world.
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You made the campaign, you made the commercial, maybe a few cutdowns.
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Everyone went to an obscenely lavish lunch.
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By the way, the lavishness of the lunch is part of the client's problem with the old system.
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Now a global advertiser needs TikTok, Instagram, YouTube, retail media, e-commerce, connected TV, six-second version, 15-second versions, vertical versions, square versions, translations, localizations, product variants, and whatever format was invented next.
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iPhone Duo just gave us a new one last week.
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There's no campaign anymore.
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There's a constantly on content supply chain.
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And clients don't want the cost of traditional bespoke production multiplied by 4,000 assets.
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And to be clear, that pressure predates generative AI.
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I was experiencing it when I was running Biscuit 10 years ago.
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AI simply makes the response more technically possible.
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Automated localization, generative adaptation, virtual production, synthetic assets, faster posts, and more work performed internally.
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That's why framing this as WPP versus independent production companies slightly misses the bigger story.
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The holding company model itself is being squeezed.
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Yes, they're huge and much bigger than independent production companies.
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but they're also increasingly fucked themselves.
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So let's learn more about that.
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Because Omnicom completed its acquisition of IPG late last year, creating an absolute monster of an advertising holding company.
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And it's done a few things that people object to as well.
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It's...
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Changing everybody's emails to OMC email addresses.
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It's creating a centralized production hub.
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So all of these things are happening.
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They're just messaging it differently.
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The merger has naturally been followed by restructuring and cost reduction.
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At exactly the same time, clients want more content, more data, more technology, and faster turnaround without volunteering to double the agency fee.
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This week gave us a perfect illustration of how fluid those client relationships have become.
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PepsiCo moved roughly $1.7 billion of global media, data, and technology business from Omnicom to Publicis after approximately 25 years with Omnicom, reportedly without the giant conventional global pitch circus we would normally expect for something of this scale.
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Publicis now has Pepsi, which creates a small issue.
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It also handles Coca-Cola's North American media business and had been participating in Coke's global media review.
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So Publicis is stepping away from that review and giving up the North American Coke business.
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Are you thinking that Omnicom might swoop into that?
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It looks like they're pretty much going to have to to fill the gap.
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The ad industry is not in a period of calm.
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And it makes WPP's behavior easier to understand.
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If client relationships are less permanent, service margins are under pressure, clients need exponentially more output, and technology increasingly allows production to be consolidated.
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Then owning more of the value chain starts to look awfully attractive.
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And technology, especially generative AI, increasingly allows production to be consolidated.
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allowing them to own more of the value chain.
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The problem, of course, is that everyone else already lives in that value chain.
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Directors, independent producers, editors, posthouses, VFX companies, and specialist shops built around the assumption that the agency orchestrates the process rather than becomes the process.
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And that, I think, is the actual fight.
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Not whether three internal WPP bids technically constitute a triple bid, but whether the traditional ecosystem of advertising production survives the transformation
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of agencies into vertically integrated content factories.
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I genuinely don't know the answer, but I know this.
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If you build a 10,000 person production company and your production business is growing while much of the rest of your company is shrinking, you probably aren't gonna say, wonderful, let's send the work somewhere else, especially as generative AI is getting better every day and has the potential to make you look like you're actually capable of doing this.
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And although generative AI didn't create this mess, it may be the thing that lets WPP exploit it.
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I've said this before, but digitization disrupted distribution first.
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It's why I'm able to put this out and get global distribution immediately.
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Now production is next.
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That's what Gen. AI is going to do.
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So I'm interested to see how this rolls out.
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I actually have Steve Davies and Matt Miller coming on the podcast soon to talk about this exact same thing, and I'm really excited about it.
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So on to other news.
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Adobe put AI inside Premiere and then crushed earnings afterwards.
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They made one of the week's most important creative AI announcements, and they gave us a pretty compelling piece of evidence that its approach might be working.
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Premiere 26.5 now lets editors generate video and sound effects inside the timeline, not in another website, not generate, export, download, discover you downloaded the wrong clip, import, swear, go back to the website and start again.
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You select a range in Premiere, describe what you want, choose a model, and then the generated material arrives as an editable clip in the sequence.
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You can also use footage already in the edit as a visual reference, and Adobe is not forcing editors to exclusively use Firefly.
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They support third-party models, and they can live inside the workflow too.
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This is much more interesting to me than another generative video demo.
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Wow.
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We've spent years watching increasingly impressive models make increasingly impressive shots.
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The next stage is making the technology disappear into the workflow.
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They just want to look at the cut and think, I just need three more seconds of rain hitting that window, generate it, adjust it, and keep working.
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That's how technology actually gets adopted.
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The miraculous new technology eventually becomes a button nobody thinks about.
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Do you remember dial-up?
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It was impressive and slow, but now, do you even think about Wi-Fi?
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Of course not.
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If Adobe becomes the professional layer through which creatives access whichever model is best, it can benefit from the model war without winning every battle.
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And then Adobe reported record quarterly revenue of $6.76 billion, beating expectations on earnings, and raised its full-year targets.
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Annual recurring revenue from its AI-first products has more than doubled year over year.
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It's an interesting proof point for a company whose stock tanked when Nano Banana launched—
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Proof that Adobe knows how creatives like to work, and that has value.
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Wall Street still found something to complain about because the Q4 revenue outlook was softer than analysts wanted, but whatever.
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From where I'm sitting, the interesting signal is simpler.
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Adobe is putting AI where professional creatives already work, and people appear to be paying for it.
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And then routers and ITN announced something this week that I love.
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ITN has more than 70 years of broadcast journalism sitting in its archive.
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Nelson Mandela being released, the Berlin Wall falling, royal weddings, political upheaval, wards, culture, millions of moments where somebody pointed an actual camera at something that actually happened.
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Well, starting in January, Reuters is going to make that archive substantially easier to search and license through Reuters Connect.
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AI will handle a lot of the boring work.
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This is one of my favorite uses of AI.
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Nobody needed to generate a fake Berlin Wall falling.
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We have the fucking footage.
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The problem is finding it.
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Somewhere inside of gigantic media archives around the world are extraordinary images, interviews, and moments that barely exist commercially because nobody can locate them officially.
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Suddenly, something that spent 50 years sitting on tape becomes economically alive.
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That's not replacing human creativity.
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That's giving old human creativity a better search engine.
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So more of this, please.
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And in other news, AI is looking for a pretty substantial credit rating.
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OpenAI and Anthropic are talking to ratings agencies about obtaining investment-grade credit ratings after their IPOs.
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Investment-grade status would give the companies cheaper access to the enormous corporate bond market.
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It's another step in AI's transformation from software story to industrial story.
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But neither OpenAI nor Anthropic currently generates positive free cash flow.
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Yet they're discussing the kinds of financing structures we associate with giant industrial businesses.
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Safe businesses.
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Profitable businesses.
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And that access only comes usually with a certain amount of safety and provability.
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And the ratings agencies are what give it.
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So they're asking for it ahead of time.
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And this is something we should all be reasonably scared about.
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We don't know if they're going to get it, but they're asking for it.
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So they're basically asking pension funds to bet on the AI bubble.
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And that brings us to my next question is –
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Is AI going to kill us all?
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The answer is not no.
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It's a resounding possibly.
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Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon resigned this week and publicly warned that people building frontier AI genuinely believe the technology could pose an existential threat to humanity.
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His main post went properly nuclear online, passing 100 million views, and Axios reported that he left about two months before his anthropic equity would have vested.
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Walking away from meaningful equity doesn't prove the fear is correct, but it makes the warning harder to dismiss as cheap attention-seeking.
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Other people at Anthropic have expressed similarly alarming views.
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Alignment researcher Evan Hubbinger has put the probability of AI causing human extinction within the next decade at greater than 10%.
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Which do I say, 10%!
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I don't, I won't get on a plane if somebody tells me there's a 10% chance there isn't Diet Coke on the plane.
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So I don't want to wave this away, but these are very smart people working very close to the technology.
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And when people with that level of access say they're genuinely frightened, we should listen to them.
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But historical context also matters.
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When OpenAI announced GPT-2 in 2029, it withheld the full model because of concerns around malicious use, then released increasingly capable versions before eventually releasing the whole thing.
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GPT-2 today...
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feels about as threatening as an ambitious toaster.
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None of this means today's warnings are fake.
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And to be honest, the thing that gave me more pause was that Dario Amadei wrote on his blog that we should pause or slow down the rate of progress of these models.
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His fear was...
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A really highly capable new agent could create bot swarms that could literally take down the internet.
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And where would we be without the internet?
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What really gave me pause was that Sam Altman and Elon Musk all agreed with him.
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Elon Musk tweeted, Dario's right.
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The notion of modern CEOs in tech all calling to slow down...
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is either incredibly self-serving because they're trying to save on the R&D costs, or it is actually a harbinger of something.
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I don't know what.
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But we can't slow down too much because China's doing this too.
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But when three of the biggest guys in tech, two of whom we know are pretty cavalier, are all calling for a slowdown in lines with what Bernie Sanders is suggesting, that's a moment we should all look at.
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And this is a perfect moment for government to step in.
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So I don't know.
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I don't know what to do about that news.
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I think it's great, but these CEOs, especially when they go public, they're not really in control of things like safety and governance anymore.
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The responsibility to deliver shareholder value becomes their absolute North Star.
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So this does seem like a job for the government.
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And if the people running the companies at least accept that—
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that might be a really good step in the right direction.
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But it is interesting that after dooming and glooming every single time there's a model release, almost as a marketing strategy, it's hard to know when to take these guys seriously.
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Because after so many years of this model maybe too powerful to release, I think the public is entitled to increasingly specific answers.
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What can it actually do?
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What happened in testing?
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What failed?
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What safeguards worked?
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What safeguard didn't?
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What safeguards didn't?
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I mean, show us, because trust us, it's terrifying is not a safety framework.
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I think that what connects these stories is that the contracts are changing.
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And that's why this feels weird.
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Technology doesn't just change what we can do.
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It changes the little agreements we make about how the world is supposed to work, the social and corporate contracts we have with one another.
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Advertising had one.
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Agencies did agency things.
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Production companies made the films.
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Great directors and producers went to production companies because that was where the craft, the mentorship, and the opportunity lived.
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But the next generation is coming out of universities right now, and most of them are not protecting an old career model.
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They want to make things.
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They want to get better.
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They want to build a body of work, and they want to prove themselves.
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Right.
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They want a shot.
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They want reps. And if those opportunities increasingly sit inside agencies or on social media, then that's where they'll go.
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They'll grow there.
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Their skill sets will develop there.
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And over time, the center of gravity shifts.
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Talent flows towards opportunity.
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That's why this moment feels so strange.
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Dial-up became the internet over decades.
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Social media rewrote the culture much faster.
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Generative AI feels like it's renegotiating authorship, truth, expertise, and work within seven years.
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And we're still arguing about the social media revolution.
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Technology is moving faster than the conventions around it.
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And eventually we'll write new rules.
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Then somebody will invent something else and fuck them up again.
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But I think we have to get faster at writing the new rules.
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Because we've all bought into a society where corporations have nearly unchecked power.
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We can't be surprised when they use it.
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So on that shiny note, thank you for listening this week.
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Tomorrow's interview episode will be with Toby Walsh of Made by Humans and Imagine This Studio.
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Doing some amazing AI stuff in the production company space.
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And crucially not doing it inside an agency.
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So anyway, thank you for listening, and we'll see you next week.