00:00:02
Speaker 1: Welcome in What's Right with Nick Wright episode 510. It is our week 4 pick show and this episode as always of What's Right with Nick Wright is presented to you by Boost Mobile. Reminder everyone out there, we're doing great on YouTube right now. We really appreciate it. Subscribe there. Also help us out a ton if you subscribe on Spotify and iTunes. Demanze, the teasers will come. You know what? You're like D'Amico, Ryan's Texans. 0-3 means nothing to me. I, on the other hand, feel very dialed on this season. I thought week one, when I went 2-3, if you remember, I, even after the fact, felt like I would have made four of those five picks again. Week two, I went 3-2. Last week, and put it up there, 4-1. One horrific pick. I had a team laying seven and a half that lost outright. It's a bad job by me. Seattle and Washington. Kansas City laying ten and a half at Miami. The producers were like, all the trends are against you. Everything says it's bad. And my thought process was the Chiefs can play their C game and still cover. That's exactly what happened. The Jags laying two and a half against New England. They won by 100 points. The Raiders getting three and a half at New Orleans. I said they could win outright, and they did. Dallas getting three and a half against Baltimore. Not only covered that by a half point, Had Dallas not screwed up that kickoff, maybe they lose by six or seven in overtime. I get that. But Dallas also jumped out to an early lead, controlled big portions of that game. It was always a game that was in the balance. So getting three and a half feels like I was definitively on the right side. So if we went two and three, and then three and two, and then four and one, there's only one place to go this week. Be a 5-0 week, which we didn't have once last year. We haven't had a 5-0 week in years. We'll see if we can do it this week. This week, I really like three of the five. You guys are hearing this Friday. Let's see if I would have been right. I would have had Pittsburgh minus 2.5 as one of them. Maybe the fact that I can't include Thursday games hurts me this week. Maybe it saves me. Let's get to the other games, Demonte, that I am staying away from.
00:02:28
Speaker 2: Colts versus Commanders. Commanders are three-and-a-half-point dogs.
00:02:32
Speaker 1: In Europe, I will be totally honest, I'm not sure where in Europe. Maybe you guys can tell me somewhere. I don't know if it's England. I don't know if it's Germany. I don't know if it's Spain. I don't know where the game is. But it's somewhere I could probably look. It has no impact on my pick of the game whatsoever, but I should probably know this. That game is, oh, in London, where Tottenham plays. Okay. The Colts might be okay. All right. They played the Ravens in week one, no shame losing there. Played the Chiefs in week two, losing overtime, no shame there. Played the Texans in week three, get a win. Now they could have, oddly, you could argue the game they looked the worst was their one win, the win over the Texans. Their next four neutral site commanders at Pittsburgh, home for the Titans, at the Vikings, It feels like there is some room potentially to make some hay. And we don't know if Jaden, at least as of recording, or Mariota is starting for Washington. Listen, I wish Jaden the best. I don't think him playing with that bulky elbow brace is the best idea. I personally would have had him have the surgery, shut him down for the year. They're not doing that. Moral of the story is, With everything I'm saying, you're probably like, so Nick, why are you not taking the Colts? Because I can't lay more than a field goal in one of these weird London games. I just can't. Just general principle. I like to take the dog in these spots. But I think the Colts, I'm open to the possibility the Colts are actually sneaky good. And so it's a London game. I'll be in Vegas. I also, while I will set an alarm to get up to watch this game, we got to see how Saturday night goes. I'm staying away from it. But my lean would be Colts minus the three and a half.
00:04:38
Speaker 2: Next. Tennessee at Baltimore. Baltimore's 10 and a half point favorites.
00:04:44
Speaker 1: You love Baltimore.
00:04:46
Speaker 2: I love Baltimore. I don't love Baltimore right here. Minus ten and a half?
00:04:49
Speaker 1: No.
00:04:50
Speaker 2: I wouldn't take it. I wouldn't take Tennessee either.
00:04:53
Speaker 1: So this is stay away for you. Yeah. It's also... Listen. The pro-Titans side would be... Listen. They had a lead on the Eagles. The... They.
00:05:13
Speaker 1: They had the ball inside the 10 down five to the giants. Like the last couple of weeks, they've been competitive. They haven't been getting blown out. The anti Tennessee side is if you've watched them play, that offense is so bad. And there is so much reason for concern with cam ward. With that said Baltimore back from Brazil, flying high, Lamar limited in practice on Wednesday. Dude, listen, I'll go ahead and report it. I think he had a cold, guys. I think that the Brazilian climate, going from that to Maryland, I think his immune system didn't react perfectly.
00:05:57
Speaker 2: The plane, all of it.
00:06:00
Speaker 1: It just feels like it's a little earlier than our typical Lamar seasonal flu. I would be.
00:06:09
Speaker 1: Gobsmacked if the Titans won this game. However, I don't want to lay more than 10 with a Baltimore team that could coast and feel fine about it. So I'm staying away from it.
00:06:23
Speaker 3: Next.
00:06:24
Speaker 2: Dallas at Houston, Houston's three and a half point favorites.
00:06:28
Speaker 1: It's a trap America. Yeah. They're, they're, they're daring you to pick the Cowboys. You're getting more than a field goal. The Cowboys are better than the Texans. The Cowboys just added Joey Porter Jr. The Texans have looked bad all year. And the defense hasn't even been... Will Anderson Jr. has been great, but the defense hasn't been that great. However, Nico Collins should be back for this game. The Texans have to have it. Dallas had a different type of playing right back from Brazil. If I were playing this game, I would take Dallas plus the points. Because I think Dallas can win the game outright. I think Dallas is better than Houston. And I know this is idiotic. In theory. I think if it was Dallas plus two and a half to Monza, I might have it in my picks. The fact that it's plus three and a half and it feels like they are, that the books are going to have and the markets are going to have so much disproportionate action on the Cowboys makes me say, stay away. It just feels like something funny is, I don't know. But after this.
00:07:59
Speaker 2: Game, I'll say like, if Houston loses this game, they're not turning it on. Like, I would just say that it's, It's probably done.
00:08:08
Speaker 1: 0-4, the season's over. Now, if they're 0-4, they've got two Jags games left, an Eagles game, a Ravens game. Yeah, 0-4, season's over. And again, all my analysis feels like Dallas should win, and they're getting 3.5, but Spidey's sense is tingling. that this is going to be the most public side of the weekend, so I'm staying away. You know what? That's going to be a fun one to watch at the Sportsbook in Vegas to see because you can get an idea of how public the side is for the crowd reactions. Oh, yeah. You know what I mean? And just get a real idea of, you know, the betters. All right, next.
00:08:58
Speaker 2: We got Rams at Philly. Philly's three-and-a-half-point dogs.
00:09:01
Speaker 1: So here's the thing. This is a, this is, I think on poly market, I think that, you know, you're to get, if you want to get three and a half, you're, you know, you're paying like 55 cents. If you want to, you know, lay only two and a half, you're paying like 57 cents. I think that the, the probably neutral line is three. But the, Polly market prediction markets don't have pushes. So there's never going to, you know, it's always going to be on a half point. So this is, this thing opened Rams minus two and a half. It immediately went to Rams minus three. It's now some places like we're saying here, Rams minus three and a half. So that is a, it's a tricky one to give a fair handicap on in this context. We talked about this game on Thursday. I think it is, is a true panic time for whomever loses. It is a massive, massive coaching mismatch. With that said, I say it's a coaching mismatch. Sirianni's undefeated against McVay. He's 4-0. He's 4-0 against McVay.
00:10:17
Speaker 2: He's the only Italian coach in the NFL when you're just You're so against him.
00:10:22
Speaker 1: Is that true?
00:10:23
Speaker 2: Is he the only Italian coach in the NFL? In my head, he's the only Italian one. And you were just dead set against him.
00:10:32
Speaker 1: And his D coordinator's Italian. Oh, man. Vic Fangio. I didn't even think about that. I don't like that one bit. And he's a former Chiefs coach. I didn't even think about that. The Rams... Have to win. It's panic time in Philly if Philly loses. I think three points is probably exactly right, and I don't want to pay the juice on three and a half, so I'm staying away. Next.
00:11:03
Speaker 2: Green Bay at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is three and a half point dogs. Oh, brother.
00:11:07
Speaker 1: Green Bay has looked like one of the three worst teams in the NFL, even in their win. They looked awful. It took a Jets collapse. Tampa's starting Jalen Daniels, who was not. He's an interesting prospect, but he was not a great college player. He's a six-foot quarterback that played five years at Kansas. And, you know, his, no, six years at Kansas. He had three junior years because of injury. So in his fifth year of college football, his first year as a full-time starter two years ago, he had 14 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
00:11:50
Speaker 2: At Kansas.
00:11:52
Speaker 1: Last year, he had 22 touchdowns and seven picks. I understand he evidently was great in some of like the, like the East West Shrine Bowl or something. I don't, I don't know. So I am, I'm not, I am not picking him in his first game as a starter, but I am also not laying more than a field goal with a Packers team that looks this bad. So I'm just staying away entirely.
00:12:15
Speaker 2: Nasty game. Cardinals at Giants. Giants are two and a half point dogs.
00:12:20
Speaker 1: Man, I really... The Cardinals, I.
00:12:24
Speaker 1: I flirted with them all week. I don't think the Cardinals are bad. Jacoby is solid. Jeremiah Love's good. The coach is fine. All of that. But mediocre or bad team... And they might be bad. I don't think they're bad. I think they're below average. Not bad.
00:12:48
Speaker 3: That.
00:12:50
Speaker 1: This is where the west to east 1 p.m. start really worries me. Like, they just played that physical game against the Niners. They now are coming all the way east for a 1 o'clock start. A Giants team that is found away last week. I really do like the Cardinals in this spot. But some of my principles of they're not a good team. They're a road favorite. They're traveling all the way. It's the longest road trip for them of the year. I'm just staying away. But Arizona minus two and a half was almost one of my picks.
00:13:37
Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy starting?
00:13:39
Speaker 1: No, Jameis is starting. Jameis is definitely starting. But Jameis has been awful. I mean, Jameis has been really bad. He's been really bad.
00:13:46
Speaker 2: Can they just bring JJ McCarthy over, though? Yeah, they traded for him.
00:13:49
Speaker 1: But be the backup for now. Or maybe give him a flyer if Jameis falls apart.
00:13:55
Speaker 2: We got Chargers at Seahawks. Seahawks are 7.5-point favorites.
00:14:02
Speaker 1: I mean, Seattle probably should blow them out. But talk about, as Simmons would say, a kitchen sink game. This is last chance saloon for the Chargers. You're talking about people's job security if the Chargers get blown out here. They're already 0-3. They have this game. And by the way, just as a reminder to everyone, after this week, it gets easier. They play the Broncos. Then after that, way easier. They go to Kansas City. Then after that, they get a bye week to, you know, look at themselves at 0-6. And then they stay home to play the Rams. Then they go to the Texans. Then they go to the Ravens. This is going to spiral on the Chargers. With that said, Seattle's defense looked just shaky enough last week that I don't want to lay the 7.5 points. It would be one of the biggest stunners of the season to me if Seattle loses back-to-back games here. and against Washington and the Chargers. So I like Seattle. Seattle, to me, is a very interesting teaser leg, even though they, you know, screwed teasers last week. But I'm not laying the seven and a half because the Chargers just are going to, there's, they know if they lose this game, their season's over.
00:15:35
Speaker 2: Next. Denver had Niners. Niners, two and a half point favorites.
00:15:41
Speaker 1: This was another one. where I looked long and hard at the road team, Denver getting the two and a half. And the reason I did is, listen, the Niners offense has looked unbelievable and Purdy has been great. There's no denying it. No, you know, ifs, ands, or buts about it. I do wonder if they are going to be hurt, the Monzae, by the fact that I think that I would like the Niners in this spot more later in the year when they had more experience this season playing better defenses. For the Niners, week one, weird Australia game where the Rams are not dialed, it would appear. Week two, you play the Dolphins, awful defense. Week three, you play the Cardinals, awful defense. Now, all of a sudden, you're playing what I think is an elite defense still, even if it's not quite as good as last year. Like, do they not have the battle scars of the season to be prepared for that? Plus, they are the more banged up team. And the Broncos have just begrudgingly earned my respect on... they've, even if they're down big early, they're going to make it a game late. So for all those reasons, I thought about Denver plus two and a half, but then I thought about the fact that the Niners have looked awesome for 12 out of 12 quarters this year. And the Broncos have looked awesome for three out of 12 quarters this year and looked awful for the other nine.
00:17:27
Speaker 2: So that's why San Francisco is the super bowl implications after this one.
00:17:32
Speaker 1: I feel like, Oh, absolutely. And for Denver, it, you, they feel like, all right, the chiefs be this in week one in their building. We'll get a, we can get them back. Denver. If Denver wins this game, they feel like, man, we just, we had a stretch of our season. That was Jags Rams. Niners. And we went three and up like that would be that's big time. This game's awesome. Um, So my lean was Denver, but I'm staying away from it. Next.
00:18:04
Speaker 2: Detroit at Carolina. Carolina's three and a half point dogs.
00:18:10
Speaker 1: My lean here was Carolina. Because I just think... I don't think people have acknowledged quite yet that the Lions defense is just going to be awful. And I.
00:18:28
Speaker 1: Can Carolina score? Last week they struggled, but in general, yes. I don't think the Lions will win a game this year. They don't score 30 points. I think that they're going to score. All of their wins, they'll score 30. So if I'm laying three and a half, do I think they're going to score 35? I don't know. So I leaned Carolina. However, As bad as that defense is, that offense in Detroit is great, so I could see them winning by margin, so I'm staying away from it. And last but not least is Monday Night Football.
00:19:05
Speaker 2: We got Atlanta at New Orleans. New Orleans, two and a half point favorites.
00:19:09
Speaker 1: Yeah, I lean Atlanta, but I think the line's about right. I think these two teams are around equivalent. See if Pennix, you know, was that a hot game or what it was from him. So I'm just staying away from it. So that leaves us five games. Those five games are brought to you by Polymarket. And I want to tell you guys about my favorite prediction market, Polymarket. It's the best way to trade in sports. In the past, if you wanted action on the game, you'd have to put some money in. If your team was doing well and you were like, all right, I just want to take my profit, you wouldn't be able to. They'd lock the trade or there'd be a huge cash out fee. Polymarket's different. It's a prediction market. similar to a stock exchange for sports where you buy in and sell out on your own terms. I've tried all the prediction markets. You guys have heard me talking about them from years back before they were really in vogue and super popular. Polymarket is absolutely the easiest to use and the best prediction market. They're so confident, you'll never go back to the other guys. They're giving you a free $ 25 on your first trade when you deposit just 10 bucks. And now they've launched a new feature, Squads, a group chat where you can see what everyone's trading on. So download the Polymarket app today. Use code Nick Wright when you sign up. That's code Nick Wright to get $ 25 free after you deposit just $ 10. 18 plus only.
00:20:35
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00:20:58
Speaker 1: All right, it's now time for Nick's Picks brought to you by Polymarket. This one demands a... The first one I telegraphed during Thursday's show is pretty clear where I stand. What is it?
00:21:09
Speaker 2: Buffalo minus six and a half versus New England.
00:21:12
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen. Seven and a half, I might have a little trepidation. Six and a half, run into the window. Listen, I know the public's all over the bills, but I think the Sharps are as well. All the trends say... A divisional game is a big dog. You like New England. I understand Vrabel is excellent in these spots historically. Counterpoint to all of that. The Bills are really good and the Patriots are bad. And the Patriots' defense is going to be enough against most offenses to keep them in games, but not against elite offenses. And the Bills do have an elite offense. They have an elite running game. They have a top three quarterback in the world. They have an elite offensive line. And that Bills D-line is actually pretty underrated. That Patriots offensive line is dealing with a lot of injuries, kind of an underrated part of that game or about the Patriots season thus far is their injuries to their interior offensive line and what's going on with Caleb Lomu, their first-round pick. Whatever it is, I think the Bills win this game by margin. Again, I said 7.5, I'd maybe have some trepidation, but I think the Bills win this game easily. And we're talking like 28-13 type of game. So Buffalo minus 6.5. Next.
00:22:45
Speaker 2: Jacksonville plus 2.5 at Cincinnati.
00:22:48
Speaker 1: Listen, I will admit this feels a little bit like the Jags Broncos spot where I was getting the Jags plus two and a half. I thought they were the better team. The Jags were controlling that game and then folded at the end. That's one of my six losses on the season. If I step on that same rake again, so be it. I think the Jags are excellent. I think they have an, they, in this matchup, they have the better coach. They have the better defense. And right now, this moment, they might have the better quarterback. I'm getting two and a half points. I think the Jags went out right. I think the Jags are a legitimate Super Bowl threat. Now, they've got a long way to go to prove that. Cincinnati also. Burrow has been solid this year, not spectacular. And two of, you know, two of their best plays of the year took on just the chase play in week two and the Higgins play in week three. Now those are great players and great players make great plays. So it's not like they can't keep doing that, but the running game for them has been a little disappointing this year. The defense in week three took a huge step back. The Jags are coming off their best game of the year. They got to rest guys in the fourth quarter. It's like, I think the Jags win this game. I think this is 28, 27, Jacksonville. Jacksonville getting two and a half is pick number two.
00:24:21
Speaker 2: So what is this? What is this here, man? We got the Jets plus three and a half at Chicago. Not enough games?
00:24:32
Speaker 1: No, I just, I really like this spot. I think the Jets, I think Geno's season has been underrated so far this year. Okay? So, week two, they blew it against the Packers. But Geno, so far this season, is throwing for 250 yards per game. Hasn't turned the ball over. Or does he have a fumble? I don't think he has a fumble. I'll check on that real quick. No. Hasn't turned the ball over. Has a 110 rating. Almost eight yards per attempt. You saw them... with Kenyon Sadiq last week really coming into the passing game, I think the Bears' defense is still actually bad. I think that Sirianni and the Eagles just couldn't take advantage of it. I don't know. My guess is Tyson Bajent is going to start, not Case Keenum. So I don't know if they're going to get the level of veteran consistency they got from Keenum. And I'm getting three and a half points. So I... I just think, I don't think the Bears are good enough to deserve to lay more than a field goal without Caleb playing unless they are playing just one of the three worst teams in the league. And the Jets are not that. And so I know this is maybe a surprising one, but the Jets' defense has been top five-ish in the league. And if Bajan is starting, he hasn't played in years. I'm not as big of a fan of his as some. The Bears as a whole are off a short week, kind of an emotional roller coaster the last few weeks. I'm getting three and a half points. The back door's open, the Jets leading, and the Bears stealing it in the end. Now again, Ben Johnson just undressed Nick Sirianni, and now I'm like, but Aaron Glenn will have a plan. I understand that doesn't sound great. But I just think the Jets' offense will be more effective than the Eagles were in this spot. So I'll take the Jets plus three and a half.
00:26:51
Speaker 2: That's pretty solid. Minnesota minus ten and a half versus Miami. Going against Miami in two straight weeks. Big numbers.
00:26:59
Speaker 1: Listen, Miami's got to show that they can– Miami's got to show that they're not just going to get dog walked every week before I stop going against them. And week one, they lose by 14. Week two, they lose by 22. Week three, they lose by 14. Now they're going to Minnesota. No Devin A. Chan, sadly. He's their best weapon. That Brian Flores blitz, this just feels like... Listen, Minnesota's offense to Monza is dead last in a bunch of categories. The offense has not been good and I'm laying more than 10 points. I get that. I feel like Minnesota's defense is almost, I don't know.
00:27:47
Speaker 2: What Miami could finish with like three points.
00:27:49
Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely. And Minnesota, you know, you know what? Touchdown genie throw in their Minnesota defense special teams. Like this feels like a game. One of them scores, um, Miami's the only the third team since 2002 to score fewer than 14 points per game in the first three games and lose by an average of more than 14 points per game. The Chiefs did not play well last week and won by 14. I'll take Minnesota minus the 10 and a half. And last but not least.
00:28:23
Speaker 2: We got Kansas City minus four and a half at Vegas. You'll be there for this one.
00:28:29
Speaker 1: I will be there for this one. We talked about Mahomes 13-2 against the Raiders. Mahomes and Reed have the most wins of any coach-quarterback combo in that stadium, Demase. They only get to play there once a year.
00:28:42
Speaker 2: Think about that.
00:28:44
Speaker 1: Well, that's, you know, when they host the Super Bowl.
00:28:47
Speaker 2: Wait, no, the stadium's not new.
00:28:50
Speaker 1: I mean, it's new-ish. I think it's 10, let me see, Allegiant, I think Stadium Wiki. Allegiant Stadium opened in... When did it open? Gosh darn it. 2017, eight years ago.
00:29:06
Speaker 2: Yeah, they do play them once a year. A lot of teams don't play them once in the season.
00:29:13
Speaker 1: No, but you know who plays there eight or nine times a year? The Raiders. Reed and Mahomes have more wins than any Raiders coach-quarterback combo in that state of it. Copy.
00:29:25
Speaker 2: That was not what I heard in the beginning. That's insane.
00:29:28
Speaker 1: Andy has.
00:29:31
Speaker 1: If Andy wins this game, he has won more games in that stadium than any other head coach, including Raiders head coaches. Patrick already has only... Derek Carr has more wins in that stadium than Patrick, which is, he has 11, Patrick has six. I think the Chiefs have an elite offense again, so I don't mind laying four and a half on the road. I think the Raiders are going to be able to score, but I think the Chiefs are going to score 30. So this feels to me like 30 to 24, 31 to 23, something in that range. So I'll lay the four and a half with Kansas City. So my five picks coming off of four in one week, Buffalo laying six and a half at home against New England. Jacksonville getting 2.5 at Cincinnati. The Jets getting 3.5 at Chicago. Minnesota laying 10.5 at home against Miami. And the Chiefs laying 4.5 in Las Vegas. We will get to touchdown Genie and DeManzi's teaser in a moment. But first, Boost Mobile proving you don't have to overpay for great wireless. Unlock the savings with the $ 25 a month forever unlimited plan. It's a permanent price with no contracts and no price hikes. You can keep your phone and your number online. but you save up to $ 600 a year compared to the major carrier. Stop overpaying. Switch to a fair price at BoostMobile.com today based on average annual single line payment of AT & T, Verizon, and T-Mobile customers compared to 12 months on the Boost Mobile unlimited plan as of January, 2026. For full offer details, visit BoostMobile.com. All right, Demanze, touchdown genie. Last week, I failed everyone.
00:31:14
Speaker 2: Last week you had Emmitt Johnson. It was at 21%. That was– he's just not getting his reps yet. It's Kenneth Walker time.
00:31:20
Speaker 1: No, he's not getting his reps yet. A defensive touchdown in the Minnesota-Miami game. It seems like it's for either side.
00:31:31
Speaker 2: You know what?
00:31:31
Speaker 1: I'm all right with that because Kyler, you know, could screw it up. It's 28%. So you get a little worse than 3-1. Lock that in. Defensive special team touchdown, Minnesota, Miami. Now let's get to the main. Go ahead. What were you about to say?
00:31:45
Speaker 2: What odds do you think you would get on calling a safety for a game? That's got to be pretty good odds. Oh, yeah.
00:31:51
Speaker 1: I mean, 11%. So you get nine to one.
00:31:55
Speaker 2: Yeah.
00:31:56
Speaker 1: So nine to one. That feels like not good enough. Yeah, exactly.
00:32:01
Speaker 2: So last week, Seattle got me. I had a three-team eight-point teaser. It was Kansas City minus two and a half covered. Las Vegas, plus 11.5, covered. Seattle, just had to pick them. Who could have saw that one coming? But we got week four, three-team, seven-and-a-half-point teaser. We got Indy. We're going to go up to plus four. Baltimore, minus three. And then Carolina up to plus 11. I've never started these years off 0-4, so this is a big week for me. And those trail in the teaser. But, yeah. That's where we're going with week four.
00:32:40
Speaker 1: Can I just ask you a favor here?
00:32:43
Speaker 2: What is it?
00:32:44
Speaker 1: Because you've always done eight pointers. And now it's a seven and a half pointer.
00:32:49
Speaker 2: Yeah.
00:32:50
Speaker 1: Can I convince you to go back to the eight pointer so you can get Baltimore minus two and a half? Is that something I can convince you to do here? Let's just add a half point to all these.
00:33:03
Speaker 2: So the half point, I do think that there's a thing with Polymarket.
00:33:09
Speaker 1: No, I understand. Right. But you can. No, no, no. That's what I'm saying. So you're doing a seven and a half point teaser. I'm adjusting this for you. You're getting Indy plus four and a half. You're getting Baltimore minus two and a half. And you're getting Carolina plus 11 and a half. It doesn't really matter for any. There we go. In Carolina, he has 11 and a half. That's fine. It doesn't really matter for anything except for Baltimore. But it just, it just, it's only a tiny bit more juice. And you might as well get Baltimore through three.
00:33:41
Speaker 2: I'll take it.
00:33:43
Speaker 1: I mean, if we're going to be teased, listen, I have to give you a C on this because you're teasing into the Colts from three and minus three and a half plus four and a half. I don't love that. We got to go.
00:33:52
Speaker 2: We got to take some different strategies.
00:33:53
Speaker 1: You got to shake the snow globe.
00:33:55
Speaker 2: I agree.
00:33:56
Speaker 1: Ignore me. Who cares? I agree. You got to get a win. I'm rooting for you. There's our polymarket combo teaser of the week.
00:34:03
Speaker 3: All right.
00:34:03
Speaker 1: What's the offer?
00:34:05
Speaker 2: So you said the off-rad bad mojo last week. The Chargers had even worse mojo. The Bills to win and Herbert plus one plus interception at 35%. That did hit.
00:34:15
Speaker 1: That hit, and I turned it down.
00:34:18
Speaker 2: This week we're going to go with a little bit of revenge for Derrick Henry. Two plus touchdowns at 28%. Against his former team. The Titans, yes.
00:34:31
Speaker 1: I don't love it. but because you guys gave me a winning offer last week and I turned it down, I'll take it. So I've got a defensive score in the Dolphins-Vikings game at 28% and Derrick Henry to score multiple touchdowns at 28%. Whatever. Sign me up. Big shout out to Polymarket and to Boost Mobile. Big shout out to Blue Duck and to Volumes. Enjoy the games. If you're in Vegas this weekend, say hello if you see me. If you're at the game, say hello if you see me. Otherwise, I'll see you guys on TV Monday and back here on Tuesday. What's right?
Speaker 1: Welcome in What's Right with Nick Wright episode 510. It is our week 4 pick show and this episode as always of What's Right with Nick Wright is presented to you by Boost Mobile. Reminder everyone out there, we're doing great on YouTube right now. We really appreciate it. Subscribe there. Also help us out a ton if you subscribe on Spotify and iTunes. Demanze, the teasers will come. You know what? You're like D'Amico, Ryan's Texans. 0-3 means nothing to me. I, on the other hand, feel very dialed on this season. I thought week one, when I went 2-3, if you remember, I, even after the fact, felt like I would have made four of those five picks again. Week two, I went 3-2. Last week, and put it up there, 4-1. One horrific pick. I had a team laying seven and a half that lost outright. It's a bad job by me. Seattle and Washington. Kansas City laying ten and a half at Miami. The producers were like, all the trends are against you. Everything says it's bad. And my thought process was the Chiefs can play their C game and still cover. That's exactly what happened. The Jags laying two and a half against New England. They won by 100 points. The Raiders getting three and a half at New Orleans. I said they could win outright, and they did. Dallas getting three and a half against Baltimore. Not only covered that by a half point, Had Dallas not screwed up that kickoff, maybe they lose by six or seven in overtime. I get that. But Dallas also jumped out to an early lead, controlled big portions of that game. It was always a game that was in the balance. So getting three and a half feels like I was definitively on the right side. So if we went two and three, and then three and two, and then four and one, there's only one place to go this week. Be a 5-0 week, which we didn't have once last year. We haven't had a 5-0 week in years. We'll see if we can do it this week. This week, I really like three of the five. You guys are hearing this Friday. Let's see if I would have been right. I would have had Pittsburgh minus 2.5 as one of them. Maybe the fact that I can't include Thursday games hurts me this week. Maybe it saves me. Let's get to the other games, Demonte, that I am staying away from.
00:02:28
Speaker 2: Colts versus Commanders. Commanders are three-and-a-half-point dogs.
00:02:32
Speaker 1: In Europe, I will be totally honest, I'm not sure where in Europe. Maybe you guys can tell me somewhere. I don't know if it's England. I don't know if it's Germany. I don't know if it's Spain. I don't know where the game is. But it's somewhere I could probably look. It has no impact on my pick of the game whatsoever, but I should probably know this. That game is, oh, in London, where Tottenham plays. Okay. The Colts might be okay. All right. They played the Ravens in week one, no shame losing there. Played the Chiefs in week two, losing overtime, no shame there. Played the Texans in week three, get a win. Now they could have, oddly, you could argue the game they looked the worst was their one win, the win over the Texans. Their next four neutral site commanders at Pittsburgh, home for the Titans, at the Vikings, It feels like there is some room potentially to make some hay. And we don't know if Jaden, at least as of recording, or Mariota is starting for Washington. Listen, I wish Jaden the best. I don't think him playing with that bulky elbow brace is the best idea. I personally would have had him have the surgery, shut him down for the year. They're not doing that. Moral of the story is, With everything I'm saying, you're probably like, so Nick, why are you not taking the Colts? Because I can't lay more than a field goal in one of these weird London games. I just can't. Just general principle. I like to take the dog in these spots. But I think the Colts, I'm open to the possibility the Colts are actually sneaky good. And so it's a London game. I'll be in Vegas. I also, while I will set an alarm to get up to watch this game, we got to see how Saturday night goes. I'm staying away from it. But my lean would be Colts minus the three and a half.
00:04:38
Speaker 2: Next. Tennessee at Baltimore. Baltimore's 10 and a half point favorites.
00:04:44
Speaker 1: You love Baltimore.
00:04:46
Speaker 2: I love Baltimore. I don't love Baltimore right here. Minus ten and a half?
00:04:49
Speaker 1: No.
00:04:50
Speaker 2: I wouldn't take it. I wouldn't take Tennessee either.
00:04:53
Speaker 1: So this is stay away for you. Yeah. It's also... Listen. The pro-Titans side would be... Listen. They had a lead on the Eagles. The... They.
00:05:13
Speaker 1: They had the ball inside the 10 down five to the giants. Like the last couple of weeks, they've been competitive. They haven't been getting blown out. The anti Tennessee side is if you've watched them play, that offense is so bad. And there is so much reason for concern with cam ward. With that said Baltimore back from Brazil, flying high, Lamar limited in practice on Wednesday. Dude, listen, I'll go ahead and report it. I think he had a cold, guys. I think that the Brazilian climate, going from that to Maryland, I think his immune system didn't react perfectly.
00:05:57
Speaker 2: The plane, all of it.
00:06:00
Speaker 1: It just feels like it's a little earlier than our typical Lamar seasonal flu. I would be.
00:06:09
Speaker 1: Gobsmacked if the Titans won this game. However, I don't want to lay more than 10 with a Baltimore team that could coast and feel fine about it. So I'm staying away from it.
00:06:23
Speaker 3: Next.
00:06:24
Speaker 2: Dallas at Houston, Houston's three and a half point favorites.
00:06:28
Speaker 1: It's a trap America. Yeah. They're, they're, they're daring you to pick the Cowboys. You're getting more than a field goal. The Cowboys are better than the Texans. The Cowboys just added Joey Porter Jr. The Texans have looked bad all year. And the defense hasn't even been... Will Anderson Jr. has been great, but the defense hasn't been that great. However, Nico Collins should be back for this game. The Texans have to have it. Dallas had a different type of playing right back from Brazil. If I were playing this game, I would take Dallas plus the points. Because I think Dallas can win the game outright. I think Dallas is better than Houston. And I know this is idiotic. In theory. I think if it was Dallas plus two and a half to Monza, I might have it in my picks. The fact that it's plus three and a half and it feels like they are, that the books are going to have and the markets are going to have so much disproportionate action on the Cowboys makes me say, stay away. It just feels like something funny is, I don't know. But after this.
00:07:59
Speaker 2: Game, I'll say like, if Houston loses this game, they're not turning it on. Like, I would just say that it's, It's probably done.
00:08:08
Speaker 1: 0-4, the season's over. Now, if they're 0-4, they've got two Jags games left, an Eagles game, a Ravens game. Yeah, 0-4, season's over. And again, all my analysis feels like Dallas should win, and they're getting 3.5, but Spidey's sense is tingling. that this is going to be the most public side of the weekend, so I'm staying away. You know what? That's going to be a fun one to watch at the Sportsbook in Vegas to see because you can get an idea of how public the side is for the crowd reactions. Oh, yeah. You know what I mean? And just get a real idea of, you know, the betters. All right, next.
00:08:58
Speaker 2: We got Rams at Philly. Philly's three-and-a-half-point dogs.
00:09:01
Speaker 1: So here's the thing. This is a, this is, I think on poly market, I think that, you know, you're to get, if you want to get three and a half, you're, you know, you're paying like 55 cents. If you want to, you know, lay only two and a half, you're paying like 57 cents. I think that the, the probably neutral line is three. But the, Polly market prediction markets don't have pushes. So there's never going to, you know, it's always going to be on a half point. So this is, this thing opened Rams minus two and a half. It immediately went to Rams minus three. It's now some places like we're saying here, Rams minus three and a half. So that is a, it's a tricky one to give a fair handicap on in this context. We talked about this game on Thursday. I think it is, is a true panic time for whomever loses. It is a massive, massive coaching mismatch. With that said, I say it's a coaching mismatch. Sirianni's undefeated against McVay. He's 4-0. He's 4-0 against McVay.
00:10:17
Speaker 2: He's the only Italian coach in the NFL when you're just You're so against him.
00:10:22
Speaker 1: Is that true?
00:10:23
Speaker 2: Is he the only Italian coach in the NFL? In my head, he's the only Italian one. And you were just dead set against him.
00:10:32
Speaker 1: And his D coordinator's Italian. Oh, man. Vic Fangio. I didn't even think about that. I don't like that one bit. And he's a former Chiefs coach. I didn't even think about that. The Rams... Have to win. It's panic time in Philly if Philly loses. I think three points is probably exactly right, and I don't want to pay the juice on three and a half, so I'm staying away. Next.
00:11:03
Speaker 2: Green Bay at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is three and a half point dogs. Oh, brother.
00:11:07
Speaker 1: Green Bay has looked like one of the three worst teams in the NFL, even in their win. They looked awful. It took a Jets collapse. Tampa's starting Jalen Daniels, who was not. He's an interesting prospect, but he was not a great college player. He's a six-foot quarterback that played five years at Kansas. And, you know, his, no, six years at Kansas. He had three junior years because of injury. So in his fifth year of college football, his first year as a full-time starter two years ago, he had 14 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
00:11:50
Speaker 2: At Kansas.
00:11:52
Speaker 1: Last year, he had 22 touchdowns and seven picks. I understand he evidently was great in some of like the, like the East West Shrine Bowl or something. I don't, I don't know. So I am, I'm not, I am not picking him in his first game as a starter, but I am also not laying more than a field goal with a Packers team that looks this bad. So I'm just staying away entirely.
00:12:15
Speaker 2: Nasty game. Cardinals at Giants. Giants are two and a half point dogs.
00:12:20
Speaker 1: Man, I really... The Cardinals, I.
00:12:24
Speaker 1: I flirted with them all week. I don't think the Cardinals are bad. Jacoby is solid. Jeremiah Love's good. The coach is fine. All of that. But mediocre or bad team... And they might be bad. I don't think they're bad. I think they're below average. Not bad.
00:12:48
Speaker 3: That.
00:12:50
Speaker 1: This is where the west to east 1 p.m. start really worries me. Like, they just played that physical game against the Niners. They now are coming all the way east for a 1 o'clock start. A Giants team that is found away last week. I really do like the Cardinals in this spot. But some of my principles of they're not a good team. They're a road favorite. They're traveling all the way. It's the longest road trip for them of the year. I'm just staying away. But Arizona minus two and a half was almost one of my picks.
00:13:37
Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy starting?
00:13:39
Speaker 1: No, Jameis is starting. Jameis is definitely starting. But Jameis has been awful. I mean, Jameis has been really bad. He's been really bad.
00:13:46
Speaker 2: Can they just bring JJ McCarthy over, though? Yeah, they traded for him.
00:13:49
Speaker 1: But be the backup for now. Or maybe give him a flyer if Jameis falls apart.
00:13:55
Speaker 2: We got Chargers at Seahawks. Seahawks are 7.5-point favorites.
00:14:02
Speaker 1: I mean, Seattle probably should blow them out. But talk about, as Simmons would say, a kitchen sink game. This is last chance saloon for the Chargers. You're talking about people's job security if the Chargers get blown out here. They're already 0-3. They have this game. And by the way, just as a reminder to everyone, after this week, it gets easier. They play the Broncos. Then after that, way easier. They go to Kansas City. Then after that, they get a bye week to, you know, look at themselves at 0-6. And then they stay home to play the Rams. Then they go to the Texans. Then they go to the Ravens. This is going to spiral on the Chargers. With that said, Seattle's defense looked just shaky enough last week that I don't want to lay the 7.5 points. It would be one of the biggest stunners of the season to me if Seattle loses back-to-back games here. and against Washington and the Chargers. So I like Seattle. Seattle, to me, is a very interesting teaser leg, even though they, you know, screwed teasers last week. But I'm not laying the seven and a half because the Chargers just are going to, there's, they know if they lose this game, their season's over.
00:15:35
Speaker 2: Next. Denver had Niners. Niners, two and a half point favorites.
00:15:41
Speaker 1: This was another one. where I looked long and hard at the road team, Denver getting the two and a half. And the reason I did is, listen, the Niners offense has looked unbelievable and Purdy has been great. There's no denying it. No, you know, ifs, ands, or buts about it. I do wonder if they are going to be hurt, the Monzae, by the fact that I think that I would like the Niners in this spot more later in the year when they had more experience this season playing better defenses. For the Niners, week one, weird Australia game where the Rams are not dialed, it would appear. Week two, you play the Dolphins, awful defense. Week three, you play the Cardinals, awful defense. Now, all of a sudden, you're playing what I think is an elite defense still, even if it's not quite as good as last year. Like, do they not have the battle scars of the season to be prepared for that? Plus, they are the more banged up team. And the Broncos have just begrudgingly earned my respect on... they've, even if they're down big early, they're going to make it a game late. So for all those reasons, I thought about Denver plus two and a half, but then I thought about the fact that the Niners have looked awesome for 12 out of 12 quarters this year. And the Broncos have looked awesome for three out of 12 quarters this year and looked awful for the other nine.
00:17:27
Speaker 2: So that's why San Francisco is the super bowl implications after this one.
00:17:32
Speaker 1: I feel like, Oh, absolutely. And for Denver, it, you, they feel like, all right, the chiefs be this in week one in their building. We'll get a, we can get them back. Denver. If Denver wins this game, they feel like, man, we just, we had a stretch of our season. That was Jags Rams. Niners. And we went three and up like that would be that's big time. This game's awesome. Um, So my lean was Denver, but I'm staying away from it. Next.
00:18:04
Speaker 2: Detroit at Carolina. Carolina's three and a half point dogs.
00:18:10
Speaker 1: My lean here was Carolina. Because I just think... I don't think people have acknowledged quite yet that the Lions defense is just going to be awful. And I.
00:18:28
Speaker 1: Can Carolina score? Last week they struggled, but in general, yes. I don't think the Lions will win a game this year. They don't score 30 points. I think that they're going to score. All of their wins, they'll score 30. So if I'm laying three and a half, do I think they're going to score 35? I don't know. So I leaned Carolina. However, As bad as that defense is, that offense in Detroit is great, so I could see them winning by margin, so I'm staying away from it. And last but not least is Monday Night Football.
00:19:05
Speaker 2: We got Atlanta at New Orleans. New Orleans, two and a half point favorites.
00:19:09
Speaker 1: Yeah, I lean Atlanta, but I think the line's about right. I think these two teams are around equivalent. See if Pennix, you know, was that a hot game or what it was from him. So I'm just staying away from it. So that leaves us five games. Those five games are brought to you by Polymarket. And I want to tell you guys about my favorite prediction market, Polymarket. It's the best way to trade in sports. In the past, if you wanted action on the game, you'd have to put some money in. If your team was doing well and you were like, all right, I just want to take my profit, you wouldn't be able to. They'd lock the trade or there'd be a huge cash out fee. Polymarket's different. It's a prediction market. similar to a stock exchange for sports where you buy in and sell out on your own terms. I've tried all the prediction markets. You guys have heard me talking about them from years back before they were really in vogue and super popular. Polymarket is absolutely the easiest to use and the best prediction market. They're so confident, you'll never go back to the other guys. They're giving you a free $ 25 on your first trade when you deposit just 10 bucks. And now they've launched a new feature, Squads, a group chat where you can see what everyone's trading on. So download the Polymarket app today. Use code Nick Wright when you sign up. That's code Nick Wright to get $ 25 free after you deposit just $ 10. 18 plus only.
00:20:35
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00:20:58
Speaker 1: All right, it's now time for Nick's Picks brought to you by Polymarket. This one demands a... The first one I telegraphed during Thursday's show is pretty clear where I stand. What is it?
00:21:09
Speaker 2: Buffalo minus six and a half versus New England.
00:21:12
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen. Seven and a half, I might have a little trepidation. Six and a half, run into the window. Listen, I know the public's all over the bills, but I think the Sharps are as well. All the trends say... A divisional game is a big dog. You like New England. I understand Vrabel is excellent in these spots historically. Counterpoint to all of that. The Bills are really good and the Patriots are bad. And the Patriots' defense is going to be enough against most offenses to keep them in games, but not against elite offenses. And the Bills do have an elite offense. They have an elite running game. They have a top three quarterback in the world. They have an elite offensive line. And that Bills D-line is actually pretty underrated. That Patriots offensive line is dealing with a lot of injuries, kind of an underrated part of that game or about the Patriots season thus far is their injuries to their interior offensive line and what's going on with Caleb Lomu, their first-round pick. Whatever it is, I think the Bills win this game by margin. Again, I said 7.5, I'd maybe have some trepidation, but I think the Bills win this game easily. And we're talking like 28-13 type of game. So Buffalo minus 6.5. Next.
00:22:45
Speaker 2: Jacksonville plus 2.5 at Cincinnati.
00:22:48
Speaker 1: Listen, I will admit this feels a little bit like the Jags Broncos spot where I was getting the Jags plus two and a half. I thought they were the better team. The Jags were controlling that game and then folded at the end. That's one of my six losses on the season. If I step on that same rake again, so be it. I think the Jags are excellent. I think they have an, they, in this matchup, they have the better coach. They have the better defense. And right now, this moment, they might have the better quarterback. I'm getting two and a half points. I think the Jags went out right. I think the Jags are a legitimate Super Bowl threat. Now, they've got a long way to go to prove that. Cincinnati also. Burrow has been solid this year, not spectacular. And two of, you know, two of their best plays of the year took on just the chase play in week two and the Higgins play in week three. Now those are great players and great players make great plays. So it's not like they can't keep doing that, but the running game for them has been a little disappointing this year. The defense in week three took a huge step back. The Jags are coming off their best game of the year. They got to rest guys in the fourth quarter. It's like, I think the Jags win this game. I think this is 28, 27, Jacksonville. Jacksonville getting two and a half is pick number two.
00:24:21
Speaker 2: So what is this? What is this here, man? We got the Jets plus three and a half at Chicago. Not enough games?
00:24:32
Speaker 1: No, I just, I really like this spot. I think the Jets, I think Geno's season has been underrated so far this year. Okay? So, week two, they blew it against the Packers. But Geno, so far this season, is throwing for 250 yards per game. Hasn't turned the ball over. Or does he have a fumble? I don't think he has a fumble. I'll check on that real quick. No. Hasn't turned the ball over. Has a 110 rating. Almost eight yards per attempt. You saw them... with Kenyon Sadiq last week really coming into the passing game, I think the Bears' defense is still actually bad. I think that Sirianni and the Eagles just couldn't take advantage of it. I don't know. My guess is Tyson Bajent is going to start, not Case Keenum. So I don't know if they're going to get the level of veteran consistency they got from Keenum. And I'm getting three and a half points. So I... I just think, I don't think the Bears are good enough to deserve to lay more than a field goal without Caleb playing unless they are playing just one of the three worst teams in the league. And the Jets are not that. And so I know this is maybe a surprising one, but the Jets' defense has been top five-ish in the league. And if Bajan is starting, he hasn't played in years. I'm not as big of a fan of his as some. The Bears as a whole are off a short week, kind of an emotional roller coaster the last few weeks. I'm getting three and a half points. The back door's open, the Jets leading, and the Bears stealing it in the end. Now again, Ben Johnson just undressed Nick Sirianni, and now I'm like, but Aaron Glenn will have a plan. I understand that doesn't sound great. But I just think the Jets' offense will be more effective than the Eagles were in this spot. So I'll take the Jets plus three and a half.
00:26:51
Speaker 2: That's pretty solid. Minnesota minus ten and a half versus Miami. Going against Miami in two straight weeks. Big numbers.
00:26:59
Speaker 1: Listen, Miami's got to show that they can– Miami's got to show that they're not just going to get dog walked every week before I stop going against them. And week one, they lose by 14. Week two, they lose by 22. Week three, they lose by 14. Now they're going to Minnesota. No Devin A. Chan, sadly. He's their best weapon. That Brian Flores blitz, this just feels like... Listen, Minnesota's offense to Monza is dead last in a bunch of categories. The offense has not been good and I'm laying more than 10 points. I get that. I feel like Minnesota's defense is almost, I don't know.
00:27:47
Speaker 2: What Miami could finish with like three points.
00:27:49
Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely. And Minnesota, you know, you know what? Touchdown genie throw in their Minnesota defense special teams. Like this feels like a game. One of them scores, um, Miami's the only the third team since 2002 to score fewer than 14 points per game in the first three games and lose by an average of more than 14 points per game. The Chiefs did not play well last week and won by 14. I'll take Minnesota minus the 10 and a half. And last but not least.
00:28:23
Speaker 2: We got Kansas City minus four and a half at Vegas. You'll be there for this one.
00:28:29
Speaker 1: I will be there for this one. We talked about Mahomes 13-2 against the Raiders. Mahomes and Reed have the most wins of any coach-quarterback combo in that stadium, Demase. They only get to play there once a year.
00:28:42
Speaker 2: Think about that.
00:28:44
Speaker 1: Well, that's, you know, when they host the Super Bowl.
00:28:47
Speaker 2: Wait, no, the stadium's not new.
00:28:50
Speaker 1: I mean, it's new-ish. I think it's 10, let me see, Allegiant, I think Stadium Wiki. Allegiant Stadium opened in... When did it open? Gosh darn it. 2017, eight years ago.
00:29:06
Speaker 2: Yeah, they do play them once a year. A lot of teams don't play them once in the season.
00:29:13
Speaker 1: No, but you know who plays there eight or nine times a year? The Raiders. Reed and Mahomes have more wins than any Raiders coach-quarterback combo in that state of it. Copy.
00:29:25
Speaker 2: That was not what I heard in the beginning. That's insane.
00:29:28
Speaker 1: Andy has.
00:29:31
Speaker 1: If Andy wins this game, he has won more games in that stadium than any other head coach, including Raiders head coaches. Patrick already has only... Derek Carr has more wins in that stadium than Patrick, which is, he has 11, Patrick has six. I think the Chiefs have an elite offense again, so I don't mind laying four and a half on the road. I think the Raiders are going to be able to score, but I think the Chiefs are going to score 30. So this feels to me like 30 to 24, 31 to 23, something in that range. So I'll lay the four and a half with Kansas City. So my five picks coming off of four in one week, Buffalo laying six and a half at home against New England. Jacksonville getting 2.5 at Cincinnati. The Jets getting 3.5 at Chicago. Minnesota laying 10.5 at home against Miami. And the Chiefs laying 4.5 in Las Vegas. We will get to touchdown Genie and DeManzi's teaser in a moment. But first, Boost Mobile proving you don't have to overpay for great wireless. Unlock the savings with the $ 25 a month forever unlimited plan. It's a permanent price with no contracts and no price hikes. You can keep your phone and your number online. but you save up to $ 600 a year compared to the major carrier. Stop overpaying. Switch to a fair price at BoostMobile.com today based on average annual single line payment of AT & T, Verizon, and T-Mobile customers compared to 12 months on the Boost Mobile unlimited plan as of January, 2026. For full offer details, visit BoostMobile.com. All right, Demanze, touchdown genie. Last week, I failed everyone.
00:31:14
Speaker 2: Last week you had Emmitt Johnson. It was at 21%. That was– he's just not getting his reps yet. It's Kenneth Walker time.
00:31:20
Speaker 1: No, he's not getting his reps yet. A defensive touchdown in the Minnesota-Miami game. It seems like it's for either side.
00:31:31
Speaker 2: You know what?
00:31:31
Speaker 1: I'm all right with that because Kyler, you know, could screw it up. It's 28%. So you get a little worse than 3-1. Lock that in. Defensive special team touchdown, Minnesota, Miami. Now let's get to the main. Go ahead. What were you about to say?
00:31:45
Speaker 2: What odds do you think you would get on calling a safety for a game? That's got to be pretty good odds. Oh, yeah.
00:31:51
Speaker 1: I mean, 11%. So you get nine to one.
00:31:55
Speaker 2: Yeah.
00:31:56
Speaker 1: So nine to one. That feels like not good enough. Yeah, exactly.
00:32:01
Speaker 2: So last week, Seattle got me. I had a three-team eight-point teaser. It was Kansas City minus two and a half covered. Las Vegas, plus 11.5, covered. Seattle, just had to pick them. Who could have saw that one coming? But we got week four, three-team, seven-and-a-half-point teaser. We got Indy. We're going to go up to plus four. Baltimore, minus three. And then Carolina up to plus 11. I've never started these years off 0-4, so this is a big week for me. And those trail in the teaser. But, yeah. That's where we're going with week four.
00:32:40
Speaker 1: Can I just ask you a favor here?
00:32:43
Speaker 2: What is it?
00:32:44
Speaker 1: Because you've always done eight pointers. And now it's a seven and a half pointer.
00:32:49
Speaker 2: Yeah.
00:32:50
Speaker 1: Can I convince you to go back to the eight pointer so you can get Baltimore minus two and a half? Is that something I can convince you to do here? Let's just add a half point to all these.
00:33:03
Speaker 2: So the half point, I do think that there's a thing with Polymarket.
00:33:09
Speaker 1: No, I understand. Right. But you can. No, no, no. That's what I'm saying. So you're doing a seven and a half point teaser. I'm adjusting this for you. You're getting Indy plus four and a half. You're getting Baltimore minus two and a half. And you're getting Carolina plus 11 and a half. It doesn't really matter for any. There we go. In Carolina, he has 11 and a half. That's fine. It doesn't really matter for anything except for Baltimore. But it just, it just, it's only a tiny bit more juice. And you might as well get Baltimore through three.
00:33:41
Speaker 2: I'll take it.
00:33:43
Speaker 1: I mean, if we're going to be teased, listen, I have to give you a C on this because you're teasing into the Colts from three and minus three and a half plus four and a half. I don't love that. We got to go.
00:33:52
Speaker 2: We got to take some different strategies.
00:33:53
Speaker 1: You got to shake the snow globe.
00:33:55
Speaker 2: I agree.
00:33:56
Speaker 1: Ignore me. Who cares? I agree. You got to get a win. I'm rooting for you. There's our polymarket combo teaser of the week.
00:34:03
Speaker 3: All right.
00:34:03
Speaker 1: What's the offer?
00:34:05
Speaker 2: So you said the off-rad bad mojo last week. The Chargers had even worse mojo. The Bills to win and Herbert plus one plus interception at 35%. That did hit.
00:34:15
Speaker 1: That hit, and I turned it down.
00:34:18
Speaker 2: This week we're going to go with a little bit of revenge for Derrick Henry. Two plus touchdowns at 28%. Against his former team. The Titans, yes.
00:34:31
Speaker 1: I don't love it. but because you guys gave me a winning offer last week and I turned it down, I'll take it. So I've got a defensive score in the Dolphins-Vikings game at 28% and Derrick Henry to score multiple touchdowns at 28%. Whatever. Sign me up. Big shout out to Polymarket and to Boost Mobile. Big shout out to Blue Duck and to Volumes. Enjoy the games. If you're in Vegas this weekend, say hello if you see me. If you're at the game, say hello if you see me. Otherwise, I'll see you guys on TV Monday and back here on Tuesday. What's right?
