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Hi, everyone, Happy New Year, and welcome back to the
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Digital Dcode, brought to you by Presidio and our partners
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over at Cisco. Once again, I'm your host, Alec Brust,
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and before I jump into our first topic of twenty
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twenty six, I do have one little announcement, and that
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is that The Digital Dcode is now on YouTube. If
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you are interested in watching us decode all things tech,
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you can head over to the Presidio YouTube account for
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all of our episodes moving forward, including this one. So
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now to jump into our first topic of twenty twenty six.
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With the new year, there is always come in these
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new opportunities in the tech industry, but there are also
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a ton of challenges that come along with those opportunities,
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especially in the cybersecurity space. And that's why today I'm
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joined by return guest persidioc so Dan Lorman, as well
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as new guests to the show, persidioc So Mike Brown,
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to talk about the twenty twenty six cybersecurity outlook. There's
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a ton on the horizon, so Dan, I'll hand it
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over to you to kick us off. But first of all,
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I just just talk to our audience for a little bit.
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Why is this so important we do these predictions. Everyone's
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doing these predictions. We see these predictions and reports every
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year about this outlook. But why is it so important
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to our audience?
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Yeah, I mean, thanks Ax, great to be back with you.
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It's good to be with Michael again. I just really
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think every year, you know, it is around the holidays,
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in the in January, people say, you know, it's the
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same as last year, same, only worse, and that kind
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of a thing. But the reality is we make predictions
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in every area of life, you know, whether it be weather,
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financial forecast. I'm sure people out there listening care about
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their stock market portfolio and what they're investing in and
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not investing in, and with our careers and so many
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different areas of life. And cybersecurity has become front and
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central for every type of cyber of technology. Now, you know,
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AI of course is huge with the big theme in
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twenty six we're gonna be talking a lot about that.
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But really I would just say that, you know, with
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cybersecurity becoming so important, it is like something that can
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help listeners and I every year I have an opportunity.
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I've been doing this now for twelve years and really
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looking at across the industry, not just presidios predictions, but
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what are all the top vendors saying. And this year
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we looked at one hundred and twenty five reports from
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all around the world, top vendors, we rank them, We
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looked at them. You know what are the trend of
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the trends if you will, and then what's the most important?
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And then you know this can help people with their careers,
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with their This isn't just about marketing. It really is
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you know what's happening next, Because if you know what's
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gonna happen next, just like with your stock portfolio, it's
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going to help you invest, it's going to make good decisions.
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And for security leaders, for technology leaders, help you build
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your roadmap for planning twenty twenty six And what are
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you going to invest in? What are you going to
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put spend your time on? What should you not be
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spending your time on? And when you look across the industry,
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there really are some important trends that everyone should be
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paying attention to. So use this. You're not going to
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agree with everything. You're gonna disagree with some, but use
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this to help your career personally and your company and
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your business.
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Absolutely, you know, it hits people when we talk about cybersecurity.
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It's hitting these large enterprises, but then it also trickles
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down all the way to the individuals. So it's important
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from an individual aspect in business and across the tech industry,
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but in a ton of different industries as well. So
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you did talk about what you've been seeing across all
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of these reports. Do you have a top twenty, a
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top ten that you're looking at right now?
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Yeah, we do. We have a top ten. And by
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the way, you can get these alluremental on Cybersecurity Government
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Technology magazine over a weekly blogomenone cyber You can go
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out there. We'll put a link to that in the notes,
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and so you can go out and you can read
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these two reports. And you know, I'm just gonna quickly
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run through what the trend of the trends are, So
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what are all these vendors saying, and then we can
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dive into some specific predictions. But number one, which may
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may or may not be a surprise to the listeners,
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rise of agentic AI attacks. Autonomous AI agents will execute
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multi step operations and interact with real systems, turning compromise
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agents in the powerful independent attack vectors so that's the
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number one across all the vendors. Number two, AI powered
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social engineering, so deep fake services and hyper personalized AI
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will revolutionize business, email compromise and extortion scams. We saw
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a lot of that in twenty five. We're gonna see
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more than twenty six, making deception nearly impossible to detect.
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So it's only gonna get worse. It's gonna be harder
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to know what's real what's fake. Number three the shift
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to post quantum security. There's been a lot to talk
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about post quantum, but the organizations must accelerate the transition
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to post quantum cryptography to defend against harvest now decrypt
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later strategies and sophisticated adversaries. So you're gonna start seeing
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more and more quantum projects showing up in companies around
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the globe, and that's really got to be a priority.
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Number four, not surprising gets back for another round ransomware.
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But ransomware will become fully automated in twenty twenty six,
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and what will evolve in AI driven operations that scam, exploit,
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and extort with minimal human input. Focusing on intelligent data
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exploitation over encryption. A number of people say, a number
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of reports will dive into that a little bit later,
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but talk about they're getting rid of the encryption completely
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with ransom, where it's just really just jumping straight to extortion,
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which is pretty scary, but you're seeing a lot of that.
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Number five AI insider threats. Autonomous AI agents with privileged
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access will become the new insiders, requiring specific AI firewalls
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to prevent them from becoming vulnerability. So AI agents, you know,
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doing functions, and we've got to make sure we're monitoring them.
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Number six converge convergence of advanced persistent threats APTS and cybercrime.
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Nation state actors and criminal gangs will share infrastructure and payloads,
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blurring attribution and accelerating the scale of global cyber operations.
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And go through four more here, three and then the
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top ten will get Mike's view on these, but supply
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chain infrastructure targeting attacks on global logistics, satellite communications, and
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smart transportation systems will increase, turning outages into strategic weapons
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for geopolitical influence. Number eight was browser based zero trust workspaces,
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so more browser based attacks. As the browser becomes the
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primary enterprise operating system, security will shift towards cloud native
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models and enforce zero trust directly within the browser. And
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then nine to ten Number nine atrophy of critical thinking.
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Widespread GENAI usage will cause a surge of lazy thinking,
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leading fifty percent of organizations to implement AI free risk
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skills assessments for hiring. And then last, but not least, identity.
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Identity is the new perimeter. With traditional VPNs collapsing, Identity
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based secure and zero trust networks, ETNA will become the
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primary defense against automated session hijacking. So those are the
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top ten trends.
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Dan, I'll let you catch your bread there for a second,
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because that is a ton There's a ton of good
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info there. But Mike, I'm really interested in kind of
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what are your takes on those top ten.
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It's definitely very broad. I'll zoom in on a couple.
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Identity as huge because you have to know who has
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access to what and you know what systems are on
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your network. But the biggest theme overall on everything is AI.
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It's not surprising for anyone over there.
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And.
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Multiple aspects at one theme. I definitely see what your
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predictions is. The offensive side sets things like AI social engineering.
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You have your eight augentic ai attacks and then ransomware,
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you got the automated ransomware. I think it all leads
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to a landscape where speed and scale are critical to
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defend against these types of attacks. My background is financial services,
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and you know everything near is about it was about
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seconds than microsos and milliseconds, so you know, speed is critical,
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and I think it's the same thing there. The the
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attackers have speed at their side and they are more nimble.
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And then defensively, you know, identity is a new perimeter.
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That was that and I think was the browser zero
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trust workspace. What that showing me is that security architecture
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is becoming more abstract, so it's less netric, network centric
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than we used to have. Cybercrime. That's it's very very
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very broad theme, but I think automation is going to
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help attackers with things like fraud. That's you know, they
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can do it a lot quicker and everything. But I'm
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also thinking about more sophisticated things like money laundering. You know,
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we're seeing you know, mon new loundering campaigns are more
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like a foreign exchange trading desk right now where they
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convert currency to currency and smaller denominations and you know,
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in different aspects just to kind of hide the money trail.
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You can go from Bitcoin to ethereum and a different
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done dominations make it harder to contextualize all of that
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and then eventually to one of the lesser traceable currencies
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like Manaro. That's things we're seeing a lot more right now.
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Uh.
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Final one, I'll just touch base on his supply chain.
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So things like SAS and especially the third party integrations
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there I seem as amplifiers. And what I mean by
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that it gives attackers exponentially more targets to go after.
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So it's not just the one company that has the
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third party integration or the SaaS vulnerability, but think about
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any company that uses a third party and has that vulnerability.
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So attacks can become automated end to end, from like
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reconnaissance all the way to execution. Think of an automation attack.
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They'll get all the users that have a vulnerability out there,
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can scan the network, scan the Internet and look for vulnerabilities,
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but also deploying the attack simultaneously or you know, subsecond
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or in a few seconds. So your probability for successful
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attack it just went up significantly.
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No, that's great, and you know, it's it seems like
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cybersecurity attacks are going to be, like you said, a
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lot quicker, We're going to have to react a lot more.
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And I'm just curious out of those ten trends, and Dan,
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keep me honest here, I want I don't want to
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call these your favorite predictions that you're seeing for twenty
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twenty six, but what are the are you seeing as
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kind of I don't know, maybe the most top of mind,
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the most important things that maybe you know, big organizations
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should look after.
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Yeah, I actually did give awards at the end, so
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I will I do have some favorite predictions. I will
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jump to that in a moment, but I want to
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make sure listeners know that this isn't just about individual predictions.
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Those were trends. I do want to highlight kind of
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the top reports from the top vendors. So we do
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a ranking, and when we look at the ranking, it's
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not just obviously we don't know what's going to happen
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in the future, so can you you know, great maybe
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at the end of the year. But it's also the
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way that they put it in in formats. They do PDF,
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they have graphics, you know, interactive formats, multiple channels, and
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then they have references. So for example, the number one
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report this year best report of the year was again
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trend Micro. I think they've won four of the last
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five years. They do a great reports, a thirty nine
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page pdf. They have over one hundred references. So if
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you want to say, well, back this up, where does
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this come from? How do we connect the dots? You
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can go and look at the stories. You can go
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look at details and their top their top three where
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AI will become a top attack vector executing multi step attacks, automating, fishing,
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and social engineering. So again you heard that a lot
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number two vibe coding will increase risk of insecure code
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unless fully reviewed by humans. Interesting and then supply chain
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and insider threat converge, with cloud remaining a prime target.
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So you know those are their top trends. But again
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they have web They have a lot of different material
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that you can dive into in the report. All of
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these are link to in the report. We're gonna give
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you the link to number two. Second best report this
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year was Google Cloud Mandate. They are five top areas
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where adversaries fully embraced AI, prompt injection, manipulates AI, AI agents,
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paradigm shifts supercharged security analysts, and enterprise virtualization is under threat.
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So that's that's Google. There's a lot of really good
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YouTube videos you could go to listen to their executives
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on that as well. With Google. Number three was WatchGuard.
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They were a smaller company, but they always do grant reports.
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They're a lot of fun. They actually have a lot
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of humor in THEIRS. But their five a little bit different.
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Crypto ransomware goes extinct, which is interesting. OSS open source
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software uses AI for supply chain protection, cr mandate, spark
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Secure by Design, ZTNAS which is zero trust starts to
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replace traditional VPNs, and AI literacy becomes core cyber skill
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for many. So again we for all of us, we
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got to learn AI. Four was for to Neet. Their
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top five predictions were autonomous AI agents run cyber attacks,
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attack life cycle shrinks two minutes, jen AI accelerates data extortion,
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critical infrastructure, ransomware we'll expand, and identity becomes a primary
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attack surface, which again you see that a lot. And
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then I wanted to mention number five. I mentioned Gartner.
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One of the things that people say, well, why aren't
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Gartner in Forrester Forrest is number six higher up. Well,
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this is also what we do in this analysis. This
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is all free. This is all free material. You can
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get all these reports online. You don't have to pay
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for these. Obviously, Gardner and Forrester and IDC and a
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lot of the others have great paid reports, but could
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cost tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of
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dollars for some of those. So this is free material
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that Gardner made available. It's really good. A couple four here,
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I want to mention that I'll give you my favorite
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from Gardner. But geopolitical volatility increases cyber risk. We're seeing
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that around the world right now with what just happened
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in Venezuela. What's going on and I ran right now?
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Poor security, fuel, ransomware and ato AI adoption introduces new
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data and risks and incident response overload, weekends, resilience, which
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is an interesting one because resilience is obviously front and center.
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My favorite one overall, this mention I want to I
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want to get Michael is actually Presidio is on the
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list too, at like A twenty three or twenty three
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twenty three. I want to hear Michael's predictions, which were
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great by the way, I think he did a really
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outstanding job. I want to hear those. But I will
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say my favorite one of all the reports was from Gartner.
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It was that AI is making us lazy, and it
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kind of prompts you know, you, it gives you, It
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gives you action, It gives you, like something to do
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homework for, and not to be lazy. I mean, AI
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is a great tool. We're obviously advocates of AI, but
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you know, if you're just gonna rely on AI, you know,
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hopefully it's not writing. It doesn't write any of my blocks,
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but you know, writing writing material for you. Use it
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as a tool. It can help, but don't let it
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make you lazy. And you know the fact that fifty
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percent of organizations will start actually doing you know, skills
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assessments without any AI. I think that speaks volumes and
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so I really like I like Gardner's predictions as well.
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But Michael, watch you tell us what your predictions were
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with it. They do show up in the list and
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with Presidio, it's on the Pasidio website, I know, in
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the block section, and what were your top predictions?
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Yeah, thanks Dan, I was a little disappointed. I wasn't
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in the top prediction, but the gardener one I absolutely sorry,
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absolutely about that. They deserve first place. That was a
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great one on there. So I'm going to stay away
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from the AI predictions that I put in there as well.
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One I'd focus on is the data chain of custody
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tracking or cryptographic convidence. That's kind of a big thing
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to take, but with AI and deep fakes, I think
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the biggest problem, with one big problem is actually trust,
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Like how do you know the data is real? So
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data chain of custody is like a digital paper trail
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for content and information. It can show where the data
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came from. It shows who touched it and whether it
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changed or not, and a whole history of changes on there.
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So you can think of it kind of like blockchain,
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where you have cryptographic proof of who the data is from.
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It shows any edits and who access the data and why,
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so instead of just trusting, companies can prove their data
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as authentic. And the technology has been there for a while,
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but it's not really a technology push. I feel this
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and it's on my list because I think regulators cyber insurance,
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reputational risk and you know, fear of manipulated data is
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really pushing that at the top, and I feel over
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time this is going to become slowly become a standard
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feature behind the scenes for most stuff. Now, the second one,
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it was on your top ten, it was on my
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list as well, and it's it's passionary for me, is
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quantum cryptogic. So my prediction is a little selfish because
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I'm a financial services background, but quantum cryptography pilot and
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financial services and why this made my list or what's
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really pushing it is NIST finalized their post quantum encryption algorithms.
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So you have the World Economic Forum, you have the
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f S I sack and many of the other IS sacks.
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They're highlighting that quantum is a top emerging risk. I
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would argued, not emergent, it's a current risk now, and
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I predict we're going to see control tests of quantum
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key distribution and probably some post quantum encryption methods and
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decryptions in financial services, and this test will test for
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interoperability performance. And then finally what drives a lot is
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regulatory compliance. So the large global banks that I know
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a lot of them have teams of quantum researchers already.
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They're on staff they're doing a lot of interest and stuff.
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But with NIST, I think that's going to be a
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catalyst and it's going to make twenty twenty six remembered
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as a year that financial institutions and other critical infrastructures
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start building defenses for the quantum error.
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No, No, super interesting. Like Dan said, you can go
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ahead and check out our blog that we have on
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persidio dot com for all of our predictions and also
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links to a ton of those reports that Dan mentioned,
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and I will include that in the show notes for everyone.
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You know, this is just a super interesting topic every
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single year, you know, as I'm the social media manager
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here at persidio and so I'm not very much in
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tune to all the cybersecurity things that you guys deal
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with every day, but it seems like it's getting more
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and more, you know, ingrained with AI in in you know,
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our society, and I see it on social media all
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the time. You got to be more vigilant. These videos
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are looking realer and realer every day, and so I
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know that that trickles into the cybersecurity space as well. Dan,
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do you have anything else that you want to say
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before we tie off here?
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Yeah, Yeah, like, I, uh, was a great job, Mike.
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I thought those were great, great, great list, and it
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is number twenty two I said twenty three earlier. So
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it's right there. It's it's it's uh. We'll put the
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links up to these to these reports and you can
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see all the links to all of the different ones
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that are free and are available online from all the
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vendors across the industry globally. I did want to mention
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one more that I thought was interesting, and this is
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category was at the end I give awards for the
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different ones and this was This was runner up in
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the category of scariest but still believable, which I thought
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was and practical as well. So this this is from
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Nadil Israel, Israel co founder and CTO of Armis and
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his his his prediction was AI powered financial system manipulation.
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So let me read this real quickly. Autonomous trading bots
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and AI driven deep bakes will manipulate stock markets, commodities,
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and cryptocurrency ecosystems by impersonating regulators or company executives. AI
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system triggers will fall well, as systems will trigger false
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earnings reports, disseminate false corporate announcements, falsify investor briefings or
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simulate market crashes. The result global financial instability with second
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scale losses that human operators cannot contain. That's pretty scary.
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Now he's not saying he's not saying a stock market
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crash there. He's just saying, we're gonna have somewhere along
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in twenty twenty six, we're gonna have a blip that's
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gonna probably make the front page of the Wall Street
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Journal or something that's gonna really cause a lot of turmoil,
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to say the least. So I think the lesson from
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that one whether that happens this year and some of these,
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by the way, we always say some of these may
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happen in twenty six, maybe it's twenty seven, maybe it's
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twenty eight, but the trends are interesting. Is to always
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check your facts, check your sources. And I tell people people,
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there's a ton of great advice in these reports. We
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don't get into a lot of the advice with the
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predictions which come with a lot of these reports. Some
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of it is marketing and sales, I'll admit that, but
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some of it is really good advice. Is like, you know,
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if something seems unbelievable. It probably is not true, So
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make sure you're checking your sources, make sure that you're checking,
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you know, from an identity perspective, who's really sending that.
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It's probably not really your nephew or your niece suck
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in London who needs you to wire money to them
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because they're in jail. That's probably not really happening as
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it could, I guess. But you know, those those fake
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messages you know have that have that family word that
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you know right that that that you know that you
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00:21:40.720 --> 00:21:43.680
can know that is this really? Is this really my
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my niece who's asking me for money? So yeah, I
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mean those are the kinds of things we all need
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to be really careful of because deep fakes are getting
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more and more powerful. I just wanted to close with that,
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but really appreciate Alec you leading this in the time
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to be able to share some of these predictions. Absolutely
401
00:22:00.079 --> 00:22:00.519
and I love that.
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I think that next time we do this, you know,
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for twenty twenty seven, I'm I'm gonna need you to
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do that award section again.
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That's great.
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00:22:06.240 --> 00:22:09.440
That definitely is super scary. But no, thank you again
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for coming onto the podcast. I always love having this conversation,
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and we will make sure to keep tabs on all
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of these trends that we discussed in today's episode throughout
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the year and see you know how they play out,
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how our predictions play out. And I'm sure I'll be
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seeing you know, some more blogs from you Dan on
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our website, and we will touch base again next year
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to discuss the predictions in twenty twenty seven. But I
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guess any other closing remarks before I close out the
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podcast for today.
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No nothing for me.
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I want to thank you Alex for having me on,
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thank you Dan for including me in the list, and
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this has been a great time. Thank you awesome.
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Yeah, it was great having both of you on. Michael
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for your first time. Dan, I know we've done this
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a couple of times, so it's always great having you on.
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But thank you everyone so much for tuning in again
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to the Digital Dcode. As I said earlier, please go
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00:22:54.119 --> 00:22:57.279
check out our presidio YouTube page. This episode and every
427
00:22:57.279 --> 00:22:59.640
episode moving forward will now be available to watch on
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00:22:59.640 --> 00:23:02.680
our chain, and you can also explore our educational content
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00:23:02.759 --> 00:23:05.720
and case studies on our YouTube page. Please rate and
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00:23:05.759 --> 00:23:08.960
subscribe to The Digital Decode wherever you get your podcasts
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00:23:09.079 --> 00:23:12.039
and remember to follow prosidio on Instagram and LinkedIn for
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the latest updates.
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Thanks again, thank you, thank you.
1
00:00:00.320 --> 00:00:03.200
Hi, everyone, Happy New Year, and welcome back to the
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00:00:03.240 --> 00:00:06.280
Digital Dcode, brought to you by Presidio and our partners
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00:00:06.320 --> 00:00:09.119
over at Cisco. Once again, I'm your host, Alec Brust,
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00:00:09.160 --> 00:00:11.560
and before I jump into our first topic of twenty
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00:00:11.560 --> 00:00:14.279
twenty six, I do have one little announcement, and that
6
00:00:14.439 --> 00:00:17.199
is that The Digital Dcode is now on YouTube. If
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00:00:17.199 --> 00:00:19.879
you are interested in watching us decode all things tech,
8
00:00:20.160 --> 00:00:22.359
you can head over to the Presidio YouTube account for
9
00:00:22.399 --> 00:00:25.480
all of our episodes moving forward, including this one. So
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00:00:25.519 --> 00:00:28.640
now to jump into our first topic of twenty twenty six.
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With the new year, there is always come in these
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00:00:31.079 --> 00:00:34.039
new opportunities in the tech industry, but there are also
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a ton of challenges that come along with those opportunities,
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especially in the cybersecurity space. And that's why today I'm
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joined by return guest persidioc so Dan Lorman, as well
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00:00:44.600 --> 00:00:47.359
as new guests to the show, persidioc So Mike Brown,
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00:00:47.439 --> 00:00:50.759
to talk about the twenty twenty six cybersecurity outlook. There's
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a ton on the horizon, so Dan, I'll hand it
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00:00:52.719 --> 00:00:55.159
over to you to kick us off. But first of all,
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00:00:55.200 --> 00:00:57.079
I just just talk to our audience for a little bit.
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Why is this so important we do these predictions. Everyone's
22
00:01:00.399 --> 00:01:02.840
doing these predictions. We see these predictions and reports every
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00:01:02.920 --> 00:01:05.359
year about this outlook. But why is it so important
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00:01:05.359 --> 00:01:06.079
to our audience?
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Yeah, I mean, thanks Ax, great to be back with you.
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It's good to be with Michael again. I just really
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00:01:11.439 --> 00:01:14.079
think every year, you know, it is around the holidays,
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in the in January, people say, you know, it's the
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same as last year, same, only worse, and that kind
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of a thing. But the reality is we make predictions
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in every area of life, you know, whether it be weather,
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financial forecast. I'm sure people out there listening care about
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their stock market portfolio and what they're investing in and
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not investing in, and with our careers and so many
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different areas of life. And cybersecurity has become front and
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central for every type of cyber of technology. Now, you know,
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AI of course is huge with the big theme in
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twenty six we're gonna be talking a lot about that.
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But really I would just say that, you know, with
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cybersecurity becoming so important, it is like something that can
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help listeners and I every year I have an opportunity.
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I've been doing this now for twelve years and really
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looking at across the industry, not just presidios predictions, but
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what are all the top vendors saying. And this year
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we looked at one hundred and twenty five reports from
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all around the world, top vendors, we rank them, We
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looked at them. You know what are the trend of
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the trends if you will, and then what's the most important?
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And then you know this can help people with their careers,
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with their This isn't just about marketing. It really is
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you know what's happening next, Because if you know what's
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gonna happen next, just like with your stock portfolio, it's
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going to help you invest, it's going to make good decisions.
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And for security leaders, for technology leaders, help you build
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your roadmap for planning twenty twenty six And what are
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you going to invest in? What are you going to
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put spend your time on? What should you not be
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spending your time on? And when you look across the industry,
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there really are some important trends that everyone should be
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paying attention to. So use this. You're not going to
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agree with everything. You're gonna disagree with some, but use
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this to help your career personally and your company and
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your business.
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Absolutely, you know, it hits people when we talk about cybersecurity.
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It's hitting these large enterprises, but then it also trickles
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down all the way to the individuals. So it's important
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from an individual aspect in business and across the tech industry,
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but in a ton of different industries as well. So
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you did talk about what you've been seeing across all
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of these reports. Do you have a top twenty, a
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top ten that you're looking at right now?
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Yeah, we do. We have a top ten. And by
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the way, you can get these alluremental on Cybersecurity Government
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Technology magazine over a weekly blogomenone cyber You can go
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out there. We'll put a link to that in the notes,
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and so you can go out and you can read
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these two reports. And you know, I'm just gonna quickly
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run through what the trend of the trends are, So
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what are all these vendors saying, and then we can
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dive into some specific predictions. But number one, which may
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may or may not be a surprise to the listeners,
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rise of agentic AI attacks. Autonomous AI agents will execute
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multi step operations and interact with real systems, turning compromise
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agents in the powerful independent attack vectors so that's the
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number one across all the vendors. Number two, AI powered
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social engineering, so deep fake services and hyper personalized AI
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will revolutionize business, email compromise and extortion scams. We saw
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a lot of that in twenty five. We're gonna see
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more than twenty six, making deception nearly impossible to detect.
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So it's only gonna get worse. It's gonna be harder
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to know what's real what's fake. Number three the shift
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to post quantum security. There's been a lot to talk
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about post quantum, but the organizations must accelerate the transition
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to post quantum cryptography to defend against harvest now decrypt
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later strategies and sophisticated adversaries. So you're gonna start seeing
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more and more quantum projects showing up in companies around
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the globe, and that's really got to be a priority.
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Number four, not surprising gets back for another round ransomware.
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But ransomware will become fully automated in twenty twenty six,
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and what will evolve in AI driven operations that scam, exploit,
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and extort with minimal human input. Focusing on intelligent data
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exploitation over encryption. A number of people say, a number
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of reports will dive into that a little bit later,
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but talk about they're getting rid of the encryption completely
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with ransom, where it's just really just jumping straight to extortion,
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which is pretty scary, but you're seeing a lot of that.
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Number five AI insider threats. Autonomous AI agents with privileged
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access will become the new insiders, requiring specific AI firewalls
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to prevent them from becoming vulnerability. So AI agents, you know,
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doing functions, and we've got to make sure we're monitoring them.
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Number six converge convergence of advanced persistent threats APTS and cybercrime.
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Nation state actors and criminal gangs will share infrastructure and payloads,
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blurring attribution and accelerating the scale of global cyber operations.
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And go through four more here, three and then the
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top ten will get Mike's view on these, but supply
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chain infrastructure targeting attacks on global logistics, satellite communications, and
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smart transportation systems will increase, turning outages into strategic weapons
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for geopolitical influence. Number eight was browser based zero trust workspaces,
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so more browser based attacks. As the browser becomes the
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primary enterprise operating system, security will shift towards cloud native
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models and enforce zero trust directly within the browser. And
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then nine to ten Number nine atrophy of critical thinking.
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Widespread GENAI usage will cause a surge of lazy thinking,
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leading fifty percent of organizations to implement AI free risk
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skills assessments for hiring. And then last, but not least, identity.
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Identity is the new perimeter. With traditional VPNs collapsing, Identity
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based secure and zero trust networks, ETNA will become the
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primary defense against automated session hijacking. So those are the
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top ten trends.
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Dan, I'll let you catch your bread there for a second,
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because that is a ton There's a ton of good
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info there. But Mike, I'm really interested in kind of
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what are your takes on those top ten.
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It's definitely very broad. I'll zoom in on a couple.
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Identity as huge because you have to know who has
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access to what and you know what systems are on
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your network. But the biggest theme overall on everything is AI.
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It's not surprising for anyone over there.
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And.
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Multiple aspects at one theme. I definitely see what your
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predictions is. The offensive side sets things like AI social engineering.
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You have your eight augentic ai attacks and then ransomware,
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you got the automated ransomware. I think it all leads
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to a landscape where speed and scale are critical to
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defend against these types of attacks. My background is financial services,
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and you know everything near is about it was about
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seconds than microsos and milliseconds, so you know, speed is critical,
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and I think it's the same thing there. The the
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attackers have speed at their side and they are more nimble.
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And then defensively, you know, identity is a new perimeter.
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That was that and I think was the browser zero
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trust workspace. What that showing me is that security architecture
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is becoming more abstract, so it's less netric, network centric
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than we used to have. Cybercrime. That's it's very very
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very broad theme, but I think automation is going to
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help attackers with things like fraud. That's you know, they
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can do it a lot quicker and everything. But I'm
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also thinking about more sophisticated things like money laundering. You know,
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we're seeing you know, mon new loundering campaigns are more
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like a foreign exchange trading desk right now where they
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convert currency to currency and smaller denominations and you know,
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in different aspects just to kind of hide the money trail.
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You can go from Bitcoin to ethereum and a different
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done dominations make it harder to contextualize all of that
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and then eventually to one of the lesser traceable currencies
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like Manaro. That's things we're seeing a lot more right now.
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Uh.
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Final one, I'll just touch base on his supply chain.
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So things like SAS and especially the third party integrations
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there I seem as amplifiers. And what I mean by
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that it gives attackers exponentially more targets to go after.
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So it's not just the one company that has the
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third party integration or the SaaS vulnerability, but think about
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any company that uses a third party and has that vulnerability.
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So attacks can become automated end to end, from like
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reconnaissance all the way to execution. Think of an automation attack.
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They'll get all the users that have a vulnerability out there,
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can scan the network, scan the Internet and look for vulnerabilities,
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but also deploying the attack simultaneously or you know, subsecond
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or in a few seconds. So your probability for successful
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attack it just went up significantly.
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No, that's great, and you know, it's it seems like
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cybersecurity attacks are going to be, like you said, a
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lot quicker, We're going to have to react a lot more.
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And I'm just curious out of those ten trends, and Dan,
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keep me honest here, I want I don't want to
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call these your favorite predictions that you're seeing for twenty
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twenty six, but what are the are you seeing as
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kind of I don't know, maybe the most top of mind,
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the most important things that maybe you know, big organizations
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should look after.
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Yeah, I actually did give awards at the end, so
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I will I do have some favorite predictions. I will
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jump to that in a moment, but I want to
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make sure listeners know that this isn't just about individual predictions.
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Those were trends. I do want to highlight kind of
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the top reports from the top vendors. So we do
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a ranking, and when we look at the ranking, it's
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not just obviously we don't know what's going to happen
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in the future, so can you you know, great maybe
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at the end of the year. But it's also the
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way that they put it in in formats. They do PDF,
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they have graphics, you know, interactive formats, multiple channels, and
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then they have references. So for example, the number one
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report this year best report of the year was again
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trend Micro. I think they've won four of the last
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five years. They do a great reports, a thirty nine
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page pdf. They have over one hundred references. So if
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you want to say, well, back this up, where does
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this come from? How do we connect the dots? You
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can go and look at the stories. You can go
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look at details and their top their top three where
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AI will become a top attack vector executing multi step attacks, automating, fishing,
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and social engineering. So again you heard that a lot
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number two vibe coding will increase risk of insecure code
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unless fully reviewed by humans. Interesting and then supply chain
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and insider threat converge, with cloud remaining a prime target.
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So you know those are their top trends. But again
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they have web They have a lot of different material
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that you can dive into in the report. All of
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these are link to in the report. We're gonna give
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you the link to number two. Second best report this
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year was Google Cloud Mandate. They are five top areas
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where adversaries fully embraced AI, prompt injection, manipulates AI, AI agents,
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paradigm shifts supercharged security analysts, and enterprise virtualization is under threat.
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So that's that's Google. There's a lot of really good
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YouTube videos you could go to listen to their executives
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on that as well. With Google. Number three was WatchGuard.
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They were a smaller company, but they always do grant reports.
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They're a lot of fun. They actually have a lot
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of humor in THEIRS. But their five a little bit different.
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Crypto ransomware goes extinct, which is interesting. OSS open source
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software uses AI for supply chain protection, cr mandate, spark
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Secure by Design, ZTNAS which is zero trust starts to
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replace traditional VPNs, and AI literacy becomes core cyber skill
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for many. So again we for all of us, we
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got to learn AI. Four was for to Neet. Their
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top five predictions were autonomous AI agents run cyber attacks,
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attack life cycle shrinks two minutes, jen AI accelerates data extortion,
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critical infrastructure, ransomware we'll expand, and identity becomes a primary
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attack surface, which again you see that a lot. And
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then I wanted to mention number five. I mentioned Gartner.
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One of the things that people say, well, why aren't
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Gartner in Forrester Forrest is number six higher up. Well,
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this is also what we do in this analysis. This
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is all free. This is all free material. You can
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get all these reports online. You don't have to pay
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for these. Obviously, Gardner and Forrester and IDC and a
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lot of the others have great paid reports, but could
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cost tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of
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dollars for some of those. So this is free material
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that Gardner made available. It's really good. A couple four here,
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I want to mention that I'll give you my favorite
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from Gardner. But geopolitical volatility increases cyber risk. We're seeing
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that around the world right now with what just happened
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in Venezuela. What's going on and I ran right now?
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Poor security, fuel, ransomware and ato AI adoption introduces new
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data and risks and incident response overload, weekends, resilience, which
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is an interesting one because resilience is obviously front and center.
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My favorite one overall, this mention I want to I
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want to get Michael is actually Presidio is on the
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list too, at like A twenty three or twenty three
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twenty three. I want to hear Michael's predictions, which were
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great by the way, I think he did a really
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outstanding job. I want to hear those. But I will
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say my favorite one of all the reports was from Gartner.
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It was that AI is making us lazy, and it
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kind of prompts you know, you, it gives you, It
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gives you action, It gives you, like something to do
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homework for, and not to be lazy. I mean, AI
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is a great tool. We're obviously advocates of AI, but
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you know, if you're just gonna rely on AI, you know,
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hopefully it's not writing. It doesn't write any of my blocks,
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but you know, writing writing material for you. Use it
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as a tool. It can help, but don't let it
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make you lazy. And you know the fact that fifty
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percent of organizations will start actually doing you know, skills
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assessments without any AI. I think that speaks volumes and
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so I really like I like Gardner's predictions as well.
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But Michael, watch you tell us what your predictions were
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with it. They do show up in the list and
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with Presidio, it's on the Pasidio website, I know, in
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the block section, and what were your top predictions?
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Yeah, thanks Dan, I was a little disappointed. I wasn't
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in the top prediction, but the gardener one I absolutely sorry,
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absolutely about that. They deserve first place. That was a
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great one on there. So I'm going to stay away
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from the AI predictions that I put in there as well.
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One I'd focus on is the data chain of custody
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tracking or cryptographic convidence. That's kind of a big thing
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to take, but with AI and deep fakes, I think
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the biggest problem, with one big problem is actually trust,
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Like how do you know the data is real? So
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data chain of custody is like a digital paper trail
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for content and information. It can show where the data
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came from. It shows who touched it and whether it
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changed or not, and a whole history of changes on there.
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So you can think of it kind of like blockchain,
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where you have cryptographic proof of who the data is from.
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It shows any edits and who access the data and why,
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so instead of just trusting, companies can prove their data
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as authentic. And the technology has been there for a while,
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but it's not really a technology push. I feel this
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and it's on my list because I think regulators cyber insurance,
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reputational risk and you know, fear of manipulated data is
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really pushing that at the top, and I feel over
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time this is going to become slowly become a standard
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feature behind the scenes for most stuff. Now, the second one,
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it was on your top ten, it was on my
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list as well, and it's it's passionary for me, is
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quantum cryptogic. So my prediction is a little selfish because
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I'm a financial services background, but quantum cryptography pilot and
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financial services and why this made my list or what's
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really pushing it is NIST finalized their post quantum encryption algorithms.
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So you have the World Economic Forum, you have the
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f S I sack and many of the other IS sacks.
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They're highlighting that quantum is a top emerging risk. I
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would argued, not emergent, it's a current risk now, and
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I predict we're going to see control tests of quantum
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key distribution and probably some post quantum encryption methods and
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decryptions in financial services, and this test will test for
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interoperability performance. And then finally what drives a lot is
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regulatory compliance. So the large global banks that I know
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a lot of them have teams of quantum researchers already.
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They're on staff they're doing a lot of interest and stuff.
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But with NIST, I think that's going to be a
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catalyst and it's going to make twenty twenty six remembered
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as a year that financial institutions and other critical infrastructures
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start building defenses for the quantum error.
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No, No, super interesting. Like Dan said, you can go
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ahead and check out our blog that we have on
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persidio dot com for all of our predictions and also
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links to a ton of those reports that Dan mentioned,
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and I will include that in the show notes for everyone.
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You know, this is just a super interesting topic every
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single year, you know, as I'm the social media manager
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here at persidio and so I'm not very much in
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tune to all the cybersecurity things that you guys deal
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with every day, but it seems like it's getting more
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and more, you know, ingrained with AI in in you know,
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our society, and I see it on social media all
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the time. You got to be more vigilant. These videos
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are looking realer and realer every day, and so I
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know that that trickles into the cybersecurity space as well. Dan,
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do you have anything else that you want to say
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before we tie off here?
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Yeah, Yeah, like, I, uh, was a great job, Mike.
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I thought those were great, great, great list, and it
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is number twenty two I said twenty three earlier. So
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it's right there. It's it's it's uh. We'll put the
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links up to these to these reports and you can
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see all the links to all of the different ones
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00:19:10.599 --> 00:19:12.880
that are free and are available online from all the
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vendors across the industry globally. I did want to mention
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one more that I thought was interesting, and this is
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category was at the end I give awards for the
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different ones and this was This was runner up in
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the category of scariest but still believable, which I thought
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was and practical as well. So this this is from
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Nadil Israel, Israel co founder and CTO of Armis and
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his his his prediction was AI powered financial system manipulation.
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So let me read this real quickly. Autonomous trading bots
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and AI driven deep bakes will manipulate stock markets, commodities,
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and cryptocurrency ecosystems by impersonating regulators or company executives. AI
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system triggers will fall well, as systems will trigger false
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earnings reports, disseminate false corporate announcements, falsify investor briefings or
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simulate market crashes. The result global financial instability with second
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scale losses that human operators cannot contain. That's pretty scary.
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Now he's not saying he's not saying a stock market
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crash there. He's just saying, we're gonna have somewhere along
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in twenty twenty six, we're gonna have a blip that's
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gonna probably make the front page of the Wall Street
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Journal or something that's gonna really cause a lot of turmoil,
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to say the least. So I think the lesson from
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that one whether that happens this year and some of these,
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by the way, we always say some of these may
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happen in twenty six, maybe it's twenty seven, maybe it's
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twenty eight, but the trends are interesting. Is to always
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check your facts, check your sources. And I tell people people,
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there's a ton of great advice in these reports. We
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00:20:58.920 --> 00:21:00.720
don't get into a lot of the advice with the
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00:21:00.720 --> 00:21:04.759
predictions which come with a lot of these reports. Some
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of it is marketing and sales, I'll admit that, but
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some of it is really good advice. Is like, you know,
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if something seems unbelievable. It probably is not true, So
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make sure you're checking your sources, make sure that you're checking,
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you know, from an identity perspective, who's really sending that.
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It's probably not really your nephew or your niece suck
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in London who needs you to wire money to them
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because they're in jail. That's probably not really happening as
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00:21:30.759 --> 00:21:33.839
it could, I guess. But you know, those those fake
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messages you know have that have that family word that
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you know right that that that you know that you
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00:21:40.720 --> 00:21:43.680
can know that is this really? Is this really my
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00:21:43.680 --> 00:21:46.759
my niece who's asking me for money? So yeah, I
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mean those are the kinds of things we all need
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to be really careful of because deep fakes are getting
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more and more powerful. I just wanted to close with that,
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but really appreciate Alec you leading this in the time
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to be able to share some of these predictions. Absolutely
401
00:22:00.079 --> 00:22:00.519
and I love that.
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00:22:00.559 --> 00:22:02.119
I think that next time we do this, you know,
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00:22:02.160 --> 00:22:04.359
for twenty twenty seven, I'm I'm gonna need you to
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00:22:04.519 --> 00:22:05.720
do that award section again.
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That's great.
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00:22:06.240 --> 00:22:09.440
That definitely is super scary. But no, thank you again
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for coming onto the podcast. I always love having this conversation,
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and we will make sure to keep tabs on all
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of these trends that we discussed in today's episode throughout
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the year and see you know how they play out,
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how our predictions play out. And I'm sure I'll be
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seeing you know, some more blogs from you Dan on
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our website, and we will touch base again next year
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to discuss the predictions in twenty twenty seven. But I
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guess any other closing remarks before I close out the
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podcast for today.
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No nothing for me.
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I want to thank you Alex for having me on,
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thank you Dan for including me in the list, and
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this has been a great time. Thank you awesome.
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00:22:42.599 --> 00:22:44.400
Yeah, it was great having both of you on. Michael
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for your first time. Dan, I know we've done this
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00:22:46.200 --> 00:22:48.599
a couple of times, so it's always great having you on.
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But thank you everyone so much for tuning in again
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00:22:51.279 --> 00:22:54.039
to the Digital Dcode. As I said earlier, please go
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00:22:54.119 --> 00:22:57.279
check out our presidio YouTube page. This episode and every
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00:22:57.279 --> 00:22:59.640
episode moving forward will now be available to watch on
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00:22:59.640 --> 00:23:02.680
our chain, and you can also explore our educational content
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00:23:02.759 --> 00:23:05.720
and case studies on our YouTube page. Please rate and
430
00:23:05.759 --> 00:23:08.960
subscribe to The Digital Decode wherever you get your podcasts
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00:23:09.079 --> 00:23:12.039
and remember to follow prosidio on Instagram and LinkedIn for
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00:23:12.079 --> 00:23:13.119
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Thanks again, thank you, thank you.
