Ep 195: East & South Division Win Totals

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Hello, ladies and gentlemen.
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Welcome back to the Between Lines podcast.
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I am one of your three hosts, creator and founder of the King Report, Carver King, and joining me as always, my two good friends.
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I think we'll start with Jackson.
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Jackson, how are you doing on a uh picture perfect day here in uh Minneapolis, Minnesota?
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Doing well.
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Happy to be back on the podcast with you guys, man.
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Um, no mics tonight, no problem.
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No, no, kind of free balling.
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I don't really know what to do with my hands.
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Probably I know.
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If you see me doing weird stuff for our for our live video listeners, that's why I don't I don't know what to do.
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Justin, I know you've been rocking no mic for a little bit, so you do know your hands.
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Yeah.
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Do you have any tips?
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Yeah, I mean, it could be, I mean, if it if it feels right to go Ricky Bobby style kind of throughout the throughout the episode, put them up.
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Um, I guess one nice thing about no mic is I'm actually able to, as we're discussing, actually look things up on my computer.
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Obviously, you guys are sharing a computer, uh, so not as easy, but that's been a positive.
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Um, but yeah, I think you just gotta do what feels right for you.
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I think that's what makes us um elite level podcasters, I would say, is we kind of just go with the flow.
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We riff, um, and our hands do what they want to do.
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Not in a bad way, though.
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Oh, whoa, whoa.
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Oh um thank you for joining us on the 195th episode.
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Take two.
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I think this we've had a few, I guess, phantom episodes or episodes that never have made it to to air.
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Yeah.
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Um they made it to tape, but not to make it to tape, but not to air.
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Well, actually, this one didn't actually fully make it to tape.
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But our conversion rate is pretty high.
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You know, we've done this 195 times.
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I'd say, you know, 195 out of, you know, we probably missed four times at this point.
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Um, but yeah, so last week we did the East.
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The we previewed, we started our preview uh series uh divisions win totals like we've always done, and we did the Eastern divisions, but unfortunately we had a little snafu with uh zoom.com and uh yeah, the episode ended up not getting posted.
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So fuck soon.
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What that what you get on this episode is a super packed episode.
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What do you mean by the super mega loaded episode?
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Yes, thanks for required.
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Um we will be doing both the AFC East, NFC East, as well as both the Southern divisions, the AFC and the NFC.
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As on this episode tonight, we also have a special, obviously not surprised, but you know, a special change up to our programming.
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Justin is actually joining us for the uh Southern division, something he has never actually done in our history of this podcast.
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He's always been gone for this episode.
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This has always been a two-man crew uh episode.
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This is this is actually an awesome opportunity because since we don't have mics, I can play some background noise.
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That is got my air horn there ready.
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Could have got your air horn ready.
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Um, so yeah, congrats to Justin.
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We're we're happy to have you for this episode.
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Are you nervous?
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Uh I mean, the the division, especially on the NFC side uh these last few years, it felt as almost I wasn't missing anything.
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Um, honestly, for four years in a row.
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When did Brady pay play for them?
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2021.
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So Brady played for them eight months before we started the podcast when he won the Super Bowl, I believe.
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Uh so in this in the BTL era, I feel as if the NFC South has been the laughing stock of the NFC.
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Um and the AFC South is the AFC South as well.
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Uh yeah, I I hear what you're saying with the lack of competitiveness, but I think sometimes it's where you can find the most margin, though.
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So I feel like you're missing.
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That is true.
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Being able to really because sometimes you can diagnose like really shitty teams.
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And I mean, I I think it is gonna be tough to lock.
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I think it's a tough division to lock.
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The highest win total in the South in the AFC South is nine and a half, and the highest in the NFC South is eight and a half.
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So I mean, it's not very good.
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I'd be interested to listen back to your guys' previous four NFC South episodes.
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Um, and I guess year one we probably didn't do them because we started when the Gophers started.
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Uh so three or four, however many it's been.
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I'd be interested to see if how many of your locks from the South divisions were on unders versus overs.
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I had the Texans over last year and the Saints under.
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And Carver had the Falcons under and the Jaguars over.
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Although locked in.
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Okay.
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Maybe this is from two years ago, or maybe I have this put in wrong.
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I mean the Jaguars won 13 inches.
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I know, but it's put it's this is yeah, okay.
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I didn't track them last year.
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Because this is from two years ago.
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Because I was like, the Jaguars here are four and thirteen.
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I I I knew they were 13 and 4 this year.
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So that's why I was like, why is this red?
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Also, the Saints didn't go under last year.
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That's also why I was confused by that.
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They didn't go under?
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They were terrible.
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Well, it was six and a half.
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They won I think they or maybe they didn't.
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I don't know.
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I think they might have.
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Did they?
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Tyler Shu, or however Shuck.
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Shuck?
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However, his name is pronounced.
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Yeah, however it's Shug Shuck.
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We love it though.
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Um episode 195, though.
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Uh so a repeat of that, like I said.
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So uh Miles Garrett episode is kind of what I came up with.
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Richard Dent, Bears legend, won the uh won the uh part of the 85 Bears.
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Yep.
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Um trying to think if you have any other eight or 95s off the top of your head.
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Richard Dent was a good one.
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Yeah.
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Miles Garrett, I mean, probably first ballot Hall of Famer.
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He set the sack record.
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Yeah, I mean, he's probably the best the best defensive player of all time.
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Um you never, I guess he'll he'll be a first ballot Hall of Famer.
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I was gonna say you never know with the voters, especially the old crowd, but that's usually more when it comes to a unanimous.
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Like, I know how hard it is for baseball players to get a 100%.
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Miles Garrett has a gambling allegation come out in like two years.
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Does he make the Hall of Fame?
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Jared Allen was not a first ballot hall of ever.
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I imagine Miles Garrett is better than Jared Allen.
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Yeah, yeah, yeah.
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I imagine Miles Garrett will be.
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If he had a gambling that's like that's the NFL in a nutshell, a gambling allegation would affect his Hall of Fame chances if he like murdered his wife.
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Um, he'd be he'd be good.
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He'd be fine.
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Yeah, I think he'd be fine.
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Like wait a year.
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Yeah, yeah.
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We'll give him a year and then we'll wait a year and then we'll forget.
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Um, but I suppose we can just get into it.
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Obviously, we have a ton to get into tonight uh regarding these divisional breakdowns.
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So I think we start with the East, we pick up where we left off, where is from the beginning, obviously, but what we would have recorded last week.
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So I say we get into it.
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Let's do it.
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We'll do a similar format as we've done in previous years where I will give the win totals.
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Um, I will give their offensive line and defensive front rankings.
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I'm using Warren Sharp's 2026 ranking.
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Shout out Warren Sharp.
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Uh, and also using his strength of schedule rankings for this year as well.
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All these are 2026 stats.
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So we'll get a nice understanding of uh the trench play as well as strength of schedule, because obviously those are factors in a team success or a lack thereof.
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And Jackson will also be providing a breakdown of departures and arrivals, uh players on the rosters for these different teams, who's left, who's gone, and coaching changes, I believe, as well.
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So we'll get a good preview of the teams, a good 30,000-level view of the teams, and then uh we'll give you our picks and then we'll lock it up at the end of each division.
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Yep.
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I got a full three pages of notes.
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Let's get into it.
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Perfect.
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Uh we'll start off with the Philadelphia Eagles.
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We'll start with the highest team in the East, NFC East.
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Um they're sitting at a 10 and a half win clip.
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Um, their offensive line rank comes in at second, their defensive front rank comes in at fifth.
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They're the 27th easiest straight of schedule, according to our friend Warren Sharp.
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Um, key additions for the Eagles are in in the booth, adding Sean Mannion at offensive coordinator.
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And through the draft, adding Mikhail Lemon, Eli Stowers, Markel Brown, and Tariq Woolin, just some notable names there.
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Oh, right, no, sorry.
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Not that's not in the draft.
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Um, but then uh in the offseason through free agency and such, adding Tariq Woolen, Hollywood Brown, Dontavian Wicks, Jonathan Grenard, uh Arnold Abite, Damian Pierce, Elijah Mitchell in the backfield, a little uh extra competition there for Tank.
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Um, and then AJ Epinesa, Iowa Legend, and Marcus Epps.
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Key Departures, uh, AJ Brown, Brandon Graham, Sidney Brown, Reed Blankenship is what I have down here.
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So the total is 10 and a half.
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Um I'm gonna lean slightly under.
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I I I'm guessing around 10.
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I just I'm not sure if the offense is fixed by bringing in Sean Mannion.
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Um and I think that the offense looked a little disjointed at times last year.
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And you you could call it AJ Brown.
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Um, you could call it um Kevin Petulo.
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Um or Kevin Petulo.
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Kevin Petulo, I believe.
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Okay.
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There you go.
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I was on it.
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Well, some close enough.
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Um I don't know if that was uh AJ Brown and Kevin problem.
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I I I I think it might just be a little higher up.
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And so I I I think the issue is, and I think we talked about this last time, but um the floor is so high with this team um because of Vic Fangio on the defensive side and just all the talent that they have in the front seven that I think I think they'll hold up.
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Like that they're there's they're too talented on that side of the ball to bottom out.
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But um I I lean I lean 10 wins.
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Justin, do you want to go?
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Yeah, I think you it I always say it's tough to do these when we're re-recording.
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Um, I think I'm sticking with what I had last time.
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Um, I would lean the under on this as well.
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Uh, or did I go over?
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I want to stick with whatever I think you went under.
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You went under.
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Okay.
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I thought so.
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I think you would unlock the entire way.
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We'll see.
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We'll see.
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Yeah, I'm leaving on this one.
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Um I'm gonna lean under on this.
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Obviously, we have a little more news.
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They're dealing with a few tight hamstrings in camp, sometimes with the smaller receivers, that's a little bit worrisome.
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But it is just camp.
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So I'm I'm hoping Lemon and Smith are just kind of uh trying to do their best to get back healthy.
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I think the defense is going to be one of the better defenses in the league.
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That's always the case with the Eagles.
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It's just a question of can that offense perform?
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I am uh I think Saquon is going to be good until he's not, but one of these next couple years is going to be the year he is not, and it could very well be this year.
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Um so yeah, I mostly worried about their passing attack.
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I think Jalen Hurts is still a good quarterback, but uh that passing attack heavily evolved around AJ Brown, just like it did in Tennessee, and we've seen how they've been since AJ Brown left Tennessee.
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So I'm uh I think 10 wins is still a lot in the NFL, especially in this division.
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I think I'm higher on the division.
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If this was last year, two years ago, I they'd probably be sitting around 11 and a half win total.
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Uh, but I'll go under on this one.
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Yeah, it's interesting thinking about that because when we did this originally uh the exercise, we were looking at the East.
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So it's kind of the AFC East is a little more top heavy.
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Um, but then having prepped the South divisions this week, um, both divisions that I'm lower on, um, it's interesting now looking back at the East notes and being like, I'm higher on like all these teams than I am on like probably any team in the NFC South.
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Absolutely.
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Yeah.
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Um, I'm taking the over on this one.
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Um, I I understand the critiques of the Eagles.
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I'm I'm not blind to those.
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Um, but I like you said, I mean, the defense is good, ranks out well, and there's a plenty of talent on this offense.
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You lose AJ Brown, who you know still had a productive year, um, but you know, obviously butted heads with the philosophy, the offensive philosophy.
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Um and I feel like him leaving, not that he's a bad player, but just could be a sub, you know, addition by subtraction.
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And I like, you know, I obviously like Mikhail Lemon or Mikhail Lemon, Devonta Smith, Dallas Goddard.
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They still have plenty of weapons there.
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So um, like Jackson said, they brought in some legs there in the running back room.
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Saquon should be fresher this season as well.
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So um when I look at that too, and then the kind of their easier schedule, I think of them kind of like an Eagles where make it even maybe lose a guy or two, and I think that they should be able to kind of sleep up to at least 11 wins.
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So I'll take the over.
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If it didn't happen, I would be happy.
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Um, but uh I feel like the Eagles will probably be another solid team this year.
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I believe the Eagles have made the playoffs nine in the last 10 years.
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So the Eagles have kind of become a uh I don't know, they may be a dynasty.
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I'm not sure if a dynasty is a perfect way to say it, but they've gone on a really run here, and I think that probably continues this year.
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Yep.
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Um we'll move on to the Dallas Cowboys, and I want to make sure I think I had the wrong numbers last time, so if I'm wrong on these ones, just call me out.
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I think I might have changed it.
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I don't remember.
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You were wrong on Dallas.
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It's nine and a half.
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Okay.
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Thank you.
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Um we have the Dallas Cowboys coming in at minus nine and a half.
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Um they come in with the 17th ranked offensive line, the 17th ranked defensive front, or the seventh ranked defensive front, I apologize.
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17th ranked offensive line, seventh ranked defensive front, and they come in with the 23rd easiest schedule in the NFL this year.
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So a lot to go down.
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Obviously, everybody's talking about Dallas.
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I saw uh an announcle off our awful announcing article, I believe last week.
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Every single day, the uh first take boys discussed if the cowboys can make the playoffs.
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So we're in peak cowboy hysteria over there in Bristol.
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Why don't we dive into it?
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Yeah, I love it.
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I mean, it's it's August, so that means it's peak cowboys time.
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Um but key additions.
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Um, Christian Parker, uh, the defensive coordinator, kind of addition by subtraction with Matty Berflus leaving there.
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Um, just I mean, he has to be better.
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Um, they were by far and away.
00:14:38.240 --> 00:14:40.000
I remember looking the worst defense in the NFL.
00:14:40.080 --> 00:14:44.080
I think they were 32nd in the run and 31st in the pass.
00:14:44.159 --> 00:14:46.720
Or third, I think they're also 32nd in the pass as well.
00:14:47.200 --> 00:14:52.080
So they they they were yardage-wise, the worst defense by a good margin in the NFL.
00:14:52.159 --> 00:14:54.399
Um, so hopefully that will improve.
00:14:54.480 --> 00:15:03.600
Um, and I think it will after adding um Caleb, uh, yeah, Caleb Downs, Malachi Lawrence, uh, Jay Sean Barnum in the draft, LT Overton as well.
00:15:03.840 --> 00:15:13.200
Um, and then in the offseason, they also picked up MVS, uh, Go for Legend Tyler Johnson, Jalen Thompson, Rashawn Gary, uh, and Kobe Durant.
00:15:13.279 --> 00:15:17.440
Um key departures include Logan Wilson, Miles Sanders, and Dante Fowler.
00:15:17.519 --> 00:15:19.279
So it seems like they retooled pretty well.
00:15:19.360 --> 00:15:21.360
I like their additions versus departures.
00:15:21.440 --> 00:15:24.159
It seems like they're on the uh upward trend.
00:15:24.559 --> 00:15:28.240
And all that is to say, I'm on the under nine and a half.
00:15:28.559 --> 00:15:34.960
Um, I'm on the under nine and a half, and this is kind of dumb, but sometimes that's what gambling is, is you gotta find your angles.
00:15:35.120 --> 00:15:40.000
Uh, for the last seven years, Dak Prescott has gone every other year injured or not injured.
00:15:40.159 --> 00:15:50.320
Um, and so we are coming into a year where Dak played all the games last year, and that would mean that with this being the eighth year, um, that this trend continues, and Dak misses games.
00:15:50.480 --> 00:15:50.639
Yeah.
00:15:50.799 --> 00:15:54.080
And if Dak misses games, I think this team struggles again.
00:15:54.799 --> 00:15:55.759
Very fair.
00:15:55.919 --> 00:15:57.759
Um, I like the over here.
00:15:57.840 --> 00:16:00.320
Uh, obviously, Dakert, I agree with you.
00:16:00.480 --> 00:16:04.320
Um, it would mean it'd be, you know, actually, I don't know.
00:16:04.480 --> 00:16:05.120
It is tough.
00:16:05.200 --> 00:16:08.720
I think I actually flipped this when I did this last time because of the nine and a half.
00:16:08.960 --> 00:16:10.559
I'll actually go with the under here.
00:16:10.879 --> 00:16:12.639
I do think that they'll be competitive.
00:16:12.720 --> 00:16:14.399
Um, I think the defense will improve.
00:16:14.559 --> 00:16:18.240
I believe last year they had the 32nd ranked defense, and the year before that they had the 31st.
00:16:18.320 --> 00:16:20.879
So they've been in the pit here for a little bit.
00:16:21.039 --> 00:16:23.440
Um, they invested heavily on the defensive side.
00:16:23.519 --> 00:16:26.720
We'll see where Christian Parker has, obviously up his sleeve.
00:16:27.200 --> 00:16:30.639
But when you see those numbers, it makes more a lot of sense that they traded Micah Parsons.
00:16:30.720 --> 00:16:33.440
It's like, well, you know, one of the sum of our parts.
00:16:34.159 --> 00:16:37.600
Um but um I like the offense still.
00:16:37.840 --> 00:16:39.840
And maybe I'm drinking the Kool-Aid a little bit.
00:16:40.320 --> 00:16:42.240
I I think they'll be a competitive team.
00:16:42.399 --> 00:16:43.840
Do I think they get the 10 wins?
00:16:43.919 --> 00:16:44.960
I'll say no.
00:16:45.919 --> 00:16:52.080
Um, but uh I think I think the Cowboys will be uh uh fighting for a playoff spot.
00:16:52.320 --> 00:16:53.600
They're personally tackled to.
00:16:53.919 --> 00:16:56.080
I'm gonna go with the over here.
00:16:56.480 --> 00:17:02.320
Um I think in an unlike Jackson said, I'm kind of banking on Dak being healthy.
00:17:02.399 --> 00:17:06.400
Uh hopefully, kind of age, he learns to play smarter, just stay healthy.
00:17:06.559 --> 00:17:08.240
And it's not like his injuries are dumb.
00:17:08.319 --> 00:17:10.000
That one time his leg just snapped.
00:17:10.240 --> 00:17:16.640
But uh, I'm hoping also gets a slight bounce back from C D with not taking too much away from George Pickens.
00:17:16.720 --> 00:17:18.799
Uh, Javante Williams needs to stay healthy.
00:17:18.880 --> 00:17:23.200
Obviously, he's had a hard time doing that over the course of his career, but last year had a huge season.
00:17:23.440 --> 00:17:28.160
I saw some, this could just be the camp hype in me, but saw some clips of DeMario Overshone.
00:17:28.319 --> 00:17:28.880
He's back.
00:17:29.039 --> 00:17:31.359
He looked good uh in practice.
00:17:31.680 --> 00:17:43.279
And defensively, it's always a coin toss with the Cowboys, but I think they're similar to the Bengals of they're gonna score 30 points, can they hold their opponents to 28?
00:17:43.440 --> 00:17:46.319
Uh, whereas the Bengals were holding their opponents to 35.
00:17:46.559 --> 00:17:51.759
So um I like how the Cowboys I'm liking where they're at.
00:17:52.000 --> 00:17:56.079
Uh I it's tough to say if they're the strongest in this division.
00:17:56.640 --> 00:18:02.079
Uh if they're if their numbers were flipped with the Eagles, I'd easily go over on the Eagles, under on the Cowboys.
00:18:02.559 --> 00:18:08.880
I'm more confident than the Eagles, but just uh just a hedge, I'll go over here on the Cowboys.
00:18:09.680 --> 00:18:10.640
Fair, fair.
00:18:11.279 --> 00:18:19.359
We'll on to the New York football Giants, who sit at a total of seven and a half over plus one ten under minus one thirty.
00:18:19.680 --> 00:18:25.200
Uh their offensive line offensive line rank comes in at 20 at their defensive front, 22nd.
00:18:25.519 --> 00:18:26.400
Strength of schedule.
00:18:26.480 --> 00:18:28.640
They have the 10th hardest, which is an improvement from last year.
00:18:28.720 --> 00:18:30.799
If you remember, they have the hardest strength of schedule.
00:18:32.160 --> 00:18:33.119
I did not know that.
00:18:33.680 --> 00:18:39.200
Um but making a lot of headlines here in the offseason.
00:18:39.279 --> 00:18:48.559
The Giants hired John Harbaugh at head coach and bringing in another uh former Bears head coach into the booth, Matt Nagy, at the OC position.
00:18:48.799 --> 00:18:50.799
Um, Mike High.
00:18:50.880 --> 00:18:53.839
Um that definitely won't work out poorly.
00:18:54.079 --> 00:19:02.000
Um the uh rookies they added um had an eventful draft, taking Arvell Reese and Francis Malinoa um or Maligoa.
00:19:02.079 --> 00:19:06.160
Uh that was both in the uh in the high first round, top two top 15 picks there.
00:19:06.240 --> 00:19:08.559
Um Colton Hood, Malachi Fields.
00:19:08.720 --> 00:19:20.960
Um they also added Isaiah Likely, Daniel Fallele, former gopher, uh Lucas Patrick, Shremaine Edmonds, Darnell Mooney, Odell Beckham Jr., Juju Smith Schuster, kind of a who's who in that wide receiver room.
00:19:21.119 --> 00:19:23.200
Um oh Braxton Berrios, too.
00:19:23.359 --> 00:19:24.079
Forgot about him.
00:19:24.240 --> 00:19:29.200
Um Greg Newsome, and of course, best for last, Jameis Winston, uh all-time vibes guy.
00:19:29.519 --> 00:19:30.720
They brought in a lot of big names.
00:19:30.880 --> 00:19:31.440
They did.
00:19:32.000 --> 00:19:38.000
Um the key departures were Dexter Lawrence, uh Bobby O'Karake, and Wandell Robinson.
00:19:38.079 --> 00:19:40.480
So kind of some uh more key leaders there.
00:19:40.559 --> 00:19:50.319
And that's what I think is interesting to note about the additions and departures of this team is that Harbaugh seems to have brought in some of his guys and some different veteran presences that I think he matches what he's trying to do.
00:19:50.400 --> 00:19:56.240
And they shipped out kind of some of the older, uh, more legacy giants like with uh O'Karake and Lawrence.
00:19:56.400 --> 00:19:58.079
Uh I guess Wandell Robinson too.
00:19:58.160 --> 00:20:02.799
But I I consider those guys to be more a part of like the culture that was um the former Giants.
00:20:02.960 --> 00:20:05.440
And so I think they're trying to move in a different direction.
00:20:05.680 --> 00:20:08.960
Um and because of that, I'm I'm leaning the over.
00:20:09.039 --> 00:20:12.160
I I think um I think this team can win eight games.
00:20:12.480 --> 00:20:22.640
And really, it's just because I I think that the the attitude, like the um the attitude around the the uh organization, like around the team facility, need to change a little bit.
00:20:22.720 --> 00:20:25.519
Um and I I think that this is a step in the right direction.
00:20:25.680 --> 00:20:29.359
Um kind of getting after the old uh the Luke, the Luke Murray adage.
00:20:29.440 --> 00:20:31.200
I don't know if you guys saw that over the weekend.
00:20:31.599 --> 00:20:32.160
Did not.
00:20:32.480 --> 00:20:40.640
He um wanted to fire everything and anything that was tied to the old Boston College regime when he came in, including their uh game play-by-play announcers.
00:20:41.759 --> 00:20:42.240
Damn.
00:20:42.480 --> 00:20:42.880
That's hard.
00:20:42.960 --> 00:20:43.839
Let's call cleaning house.
00:20:43.920 --> 00:20:44.319
Yeah, yeah.
00:20:44.400 --> 00:20:48.720
Uh one guy had been there, I think the play-by-play guy had been there for 13 years and the color guy for nine.
00:20:48.799 --> 00:20:52.960
And yeah, he was just like, we we need anything attached to this stink out of here.
00:20:53.119 --> 00:20:54.559
So very fair.
00:20:55.119 --> 00:20:56.000
Justin?
00:20:56.480 --> 00:20:58.160
Yeah, I'm gonna go with the over here.
00:20:58.319 --> 00:21:02.160
I'm liking, I I like what I saw from Jackson Dart last year.
00:21:02.319 --> 00:21:04.960
I think it'll be much better with Malik Neighbors back.
00:21:05.039 --> 00:21:13.839
He seems to be uh even more on track than when we first recorded this to actually start the season on the on the roster and actually playing.
00:21:14.000 --> 00:21:16.240
Um yeah, the wide receiver room is funny.
00:21:16.319 --> 00:21:16.559
Who knows?
00:21:16.640 --> 00:21:18.079
Maybe Odell Beckham Jr.
00:21:18.319 --> 00:21:19.519
has his resurgence.
00:21:20.000 --> 00:21:30.640
Um, but I think just having a better coach, uh a much better coach, some would say, and having Scataboe back.
00:21:30.720 --> 00:21:33.759
Um he's kind of crazy, so who knows how long he'll stay healthy.
00:21:33.839 --> 00:21:35.039
But they got a good running back room.
00:21:35.119 --> 00:21:39.279
They're deep at running back, good receivers, good defensive line.
00:21:39.359 --> 00:21:42.319
I think they have a a high upside defensive line.
00:21:42.480 --> 00:21:45.920
Uh, but yeah, I think they're a fun team to watch in this division.
00:21:46.079 --> 00:21:50.400
I think, oh, I didn't start off by saying I do think this is going to be an awesome division to watch.
00:21:50.480 --> 00:21:56.880
Like these this is the type of division where every single time one of their games is on, it's gonna be one I'm gonna have on the TV.
00:21:57.200 --> 00:21:57.519
Yeah.
00:21:57.839 --> 00:22:01.279
One note I think you made off pod, but I'll I'll Make it for you here too.
00:22:01.359 --> 00:22:06.720
Um, you mentioned that Arvell Reese might already be getting fitted for his his gold jacket, and I I'm I'm there with you.
00:22:06.799 --> 00:22:08.640
Like I think Arvell Reese is gonna be a stud.
00:22:08.799 --> 00:22:11.359
Yeah, but there's a Sonny Styles, my bad.
00:22:11.599 --> 00:22:12.319
Sonny Styles.
00:22:12.480 --> 00:22:14.559
Arvell Reese, though, I do think is gonna be a stud.
00:22:14.880 --> 00:22:15.920
I did this the last time, too.
00:22:16.160 --> 00:22:22.720
Like, and I'm when on last episode I talked about uh Thibodeau.
00:22:23.200 --> 00:22:23.920
You never know.
00:22:24.000 --> 00:22:25.119
I think he does have upside.
00:22:25.200 --> 00:22:26.400
Brian Burns is a stud.
00:22:26.720 --> 00:22:33.920
Um not as much, he's not as much of a game wrecker as Carolina, but I don't know.
00:22:34.079 --> 00:22:37.359
And who was their oh no, they didn't draft downs.
00:22:37.440 --> 00:22:38.480
That was Cowboys.
00:22:39.119 --> 00:22:39.599
Correct?
00:22:40.240 --> 00:22:41.359
Cowboys like Downs, right?
00:22:41.599 --> 00:22:42.480
Yeah, that's what I was thinking.
00:22:42.559 --> 00:22:43.599
Yeah, not the Giants.
00:22:43.920 --> 00:22:48.480
Um but yeah, I think this team is I think Howerbao will make their defense.
00:22:50.079 --> 00:22:52.400
And I I always hate saying that name.
00:22:52.559 --> 00:22:59.839
Um I think the defense will just take a step up strictly because he's there, and they have talent on that side of the ball.
00:23:00.319 --> 00:23:01.519
Yeah, I agree.
00:23:02.319 --> 00:23:03.839
Yeah, I'm selling hard.
00:23:04.000 --> 00:23:06.079
Uh I'm taking the under here.
00:23:06.240 --> 00:23:09.599
Um, never been a Jackson Dart fan in the NFL.
00:23:09.680 --> 00:23:11.359
Obviously, he's a former Trojan.
00:23:11.599 --> 00:23:15.759
Fight on, uh, got pushed out when they hired Lincoln and Bride and Caleb.
00:23:16.240 --> 00:23:19.759
Um I know he's fantasy relevant and I get that.
00:23:19.839 --> 00:23:24.880
And I know he he did show some flashes, especially finishing around the goal line, which which is nice.
00:23:26.000 --> 00:23:29.359
But I mean, the kid was in the Blue Ten a ton.
00:23:29.680 --> 00:23:35.039
Um, I just feel like this could be a transition year for Jarbaugh, Jim Harbaugh, or John Harbaugh, my bad.
00:23:35.200 --> 00:23:35.359
John.
00:23:35.759 --> 00:23:38.880
Um as he kind of establishes a culture.
00:23:38.960 --> 00:23:41.440
I I I think it could take more than one year here.
00:23:41.680 --> 00:23:43.920
Um and we'll see.
00:23:44.000 --> 00:23:47.200
I mean, uh they have a good young, you know, they have a good pass rush.
00:23:47.440 --> 00:23:55.200
Um so the defense should be solid, but we'll see what that offensive line looks like, especially with Jackson Dart scrambling around so much.
00:23:55.279 --> 00:23:58.720
So if he goes down, I think what Jameis Winston, I think they have Andy Dalton too.
00:23:58.799 --> 00:24:00.319
No, they think the Eagles have Andy Dalton.
00:24:00.480 --> 00:24:03.920
Um they have Jameis Winston as a backup who can get things done.
00:24:04.240 --> 00:24:13.920
Um, but you remember he also had uh Malik Neighbors calling out uh John Harbaugh's first draft after uh the draft they had this year, the Giants.
00:24:14.079 --> 00:24:15.839
So I uh we'll see.
00:24:15.920 --> 00:24:16.799
Um we'll see.
00:24:16.880 --> 00:24:22.799
I think there's still some culture building that John Harbaugh will need to get done this year, and I think it could result in them uh winning less than eight games.
00:24:22.880 --> 00:24:25.279
So I'll take the under here with the New York football giants.
00:24:25.680 --> 00:24:33.920
Uh just uh quick before I move on to respond to your um um year to reset um kind of I guess uh statement there.
00:24:34.079 --> 00:24:38.160
Um in his first year with the Baltimore Ravens, he took them from five and eleven to eleven and five.
00:24:38.400 --> 00:24:39.119
Long time ago.
00:24:40.000 --> 00:24:41.039
It was a long time ago.
00:24:41.680 --> 00:24:45.279
It was uh you want to know what's wild, although wild nugget from that season.
00:24:45.359 --> 00:24:46.640
Their bye week was week two.
00:24:47.119 --> 00:24:52.559
I was gonna say I wonder, is that because is that maybe due to like the Saints?
00:24:53.039 --> 00:24:54.559
I don't know, what year is that, 2006?
00:24:55.200 --> 00:24:55.440
Yeah.
00:24:55.680 --> 00:24:56.559
Is that Katrina?
00:24:56.720 --> 00:24:58.720
Uh it's 2008, so no.
00:24:59.279 --> 00:25:01.359
Financial crash, maybe they had to delete the season.
00:25:04.880 --> 00:25:06.799
That's just wild that there's a bye-week week two.
00:25:06.960 --> 00:25:08.160
Like, yeah, you just cannot get away with that.
00:25:08.400 --> 00:25:09.680
That's diabolical, honestly.
00:25:09.839 --> 00:25:12.880
Um, but we'll move on to the commanders, we'll wrap this division up.
00:25:13.039 --> 00:25:18.720
Uh they said at seven and a half, even at over or even at the overnumbers are bad.
00:25:18.799 --> 00:25:23.920
They said at seven and a half over under, both sit at 110, so they're even there.
00:25:24.079 --> 00:25:25.839
And they have the inverse of the Giants.
00:25:25.920 --> 00:25:29.839
Their offensive line ranked is 22nd, and their defensive front is 20th.
00:25:30.079 --> 00:25:35.119
14th hardest strength is scheduled for the football team.
00:25:35.440 --> 00:25:35.920
Yeah.
00:25:36.559 --> 00:25:41.200
For the football team, we have uh offensive coordinator David Blau coming in, uh replacing Cliff Kingsbury.
00:25:41.440 --> 00:25:42.880
Yep, Purdue legend.
00:25:43.119 --> 00:25:52.720
Um, and then we have uh for the rookies, future Hall of Famer Sonny Styles, um, Antonio Williams, Katron Allen, former gopher, eighth and cally Akmanis.
00:25:52.880 --> 00:25:53.359
Three gophers.
00:25:54.000 --> 00:25:54.880
Lot of former gophers here.
00:25:55.039 --> 00:25:57.039
A lot of gophers at the NFL rosters, man.
00:25:57.200 --> 00:26:00.480
They also add uh Odafa Owe, uh Otega Owe's brother.
00:26:00.559 --> 00:26:00.720
Yep.
00:26:01.200 --> 00:26:19.039
Um, Nick Cross, uh Amik Robinson, Shiga Conquwo, uh Rashad White, uh Jeremy Ford, uh Kayla Von Chase on Razul Douglas, um, and the key departures were Marshawn Lattimore, Bobby Wagner, Von Miller, Debo Samuel, uh Chris Rodriguez, and Zach Ertz.
00:26:19.200 --> 00:26:21.279
And uh addition that I missed because this hadn't happened yet.
00:26:22.480 --> 00:26:24.960
Um Stefan Diggs also added to the roster.
00:26:25.200 --> 00:26:26.960
Yes, that is that is news since I'm reported.
00:26:27.359 --> 00:26:28.240
Yes, yes, yes, yes.
00:26:28.480 --> 00:26:30.000
So I need to add that to the notes.
00:26:30.319 --> 00:26:31.200
Good for Stefan.
00:26:31.359 --> 00:26:34.160
Um this is kind of what I had in my notes, though, for this team.
00:26:34.240 --> 00:26:35.599
Um, and also for the division.
00:26:35.680 --> 00:26:38.160
So you'll notice I'm on the over here for the football team.
00:26:38.240 --> 00:26:43.839
I'm on the over for the two teams in the bottom, on the under for the two teams at the top, because I think the NFC Beast is back this year.
00:26:44.000 --> 00:26:47.119
I think all four of these teams are going to be in it to win it.
00:26:47.200 --> 00:26:52.240
And I think we're gonna have an absolute slog through one through four throughout the division, honestly.
00:26:52.319 --> 00:26:54.640
So I'm on the over for the football team.
00:26:54.880 --> 00:27:00.799
And I think you give Dan Quinn a year to kind of patch this defense and also just a lot let a lot of some of these older guys walk.
00:27:00.880 --> 00:27:10.160
Like they tried to patch the defense with Lattimore, Bobby Wagner, Von Miller, um, just all these guys that I mean they tried their damnedest, but then they were hearsed and just a little slow out of the block.
00:27:10.319 --> 00:27:13.759
Like different, different issues with different guys, right?
00:27:13.920 --> 00:27:16.400
But at the end of the day, still just issues.
00:27:16.559 --> 00:27:22.319
And I think what they were able to bring in and draft um is gonna be really important for this team.
00:27:22.480 --> 00:27:25.519
And I just I don't I don't really see it as like they lost a lot.
00:27:25.599 --> 00:27:27.359
I really just see that they upgraded across the board.
00:27:27.440 --> 00:27:32.640
And then the biggest addition is it really just comes down to Jaden Daniels actually being healthy this season, I think.
00:27:32.799 --> 00:27:38.319
So um I'm on the over, and this is my locked in division football team over seven and a half wins.
00:27:39.039 --> 00:27:41.440
Um, yeah, uh, this is one I'll switch up.
00:27:41.519 --> 00:27:43.279
I switched up uh on the pod last time.
00:27:43.359 --> 00:27:44.720
I'm gonna stay with it.
00:27:44.880 --> 00:27:48.319
I had originally going with the under here, but I'm going to go with the over.
00:27:48.559 --> 00:27:48.960
Let's go.
00:27:49.119 --> 00:27:50.880
Uh a lot of the same reasons.
00:27:50.960 --> 00:27:52.720
I think that they kind of cleaned up but in the right way.
00:27:52.799 --> 00:27:55.359
I think I believe last year they were the oldest team in the NFL.
00:27:55.440 --> 00:27:57.839
Um, I believe they're more in the middle of the pack now.
00:27:57.920 --> 00:28:01.359
So they got younger, um, which is always a good thing.
00:28:01.519 --> 00:28:03.519
I do believe Dan Quinn is a good coach.
00:28:03.599 --> 00:28:04.720
Um, I mean, look at the Giants.
00:28:04.880 --> 00:28:07.279
Oh, we were just talking about looking at the Cowboys' defense since he left.
00:28:07.359 --> 00:28:08.559
They've been dog shit.
00:28:08.720 --> 00:28:12.000
Um, so he is a good coach, got made it to the Super Bowl.
00:28:12.079 --> 00:28:14.559
So I think he'll get the ship steady this year.
00:28:14.720 --> 00:28:25.519
Um, obviously, you know, if Jaden Daniels, who I think in a bigger, I think a thing people need to account for more, Christian Derisau is a player like this last year.
00:28:25.759 --> 00:28:34.880
When guys get hurt late in a year and then they come back at the start of the next season, they're usually not a hundred percent, like they're just hurt.
00:28:34.960 --> 00:28:37.039
Like Christian Derisaw played hurt last year.
00:28:37.200 --> 00:28:40.480
Jaden Daniels just played hurt last year from the get-go.
00:28:40.880 --> 00:28:47.359
So he finally entered the offseason healthy, which is a big deal, as opposed to recovering from surgery.
00:28:47.519 --> 00:28:49.519
Um, so I think he'll he'll be better.
00:28:49.599 --> 00:28:53.839
And I think he had another like fluke elbow injury, which I kept him out.
00:28:54.079 --> 00:28:56.400
Um, so I I see improvement.
00:28:56.559 --> 00:28:58.000
Hopefully they can run the ball.
00:28:58.160 --> 00:29:00.799
That's my only kind of my big question, I guess, with them.
00:29:00.880 --> 00:29:01.680
But I'll take the over.
00:29:01.920 --> 00:29:06.319
Yeah, I'm gonna go for the over on Washington, just like Carver's just said.
00:29:06.400 --> 00:29:08.160
Uh Jaden Daniels was never healthy.
00:29:08.319 --> 00:29:11.839
Hopefully, he can get back to how he was looking as a rookie.
00:29:12.000 --> 00:29:16.240
Uh, good for the most part, a good but old wide receiver room.
00:29:16.400 --> 00:29:18.319
Obviously, Antonio Williams out there.
00:29:18.480 --> 00:29:19.680
Uh, it is interesting.
00:29:19.759 --> 00:29:28.720
I mean, if Josh Gordon was in a picture with weed, NFL would send him to Alcatraz, but Stefan Diggs in a video with cocaine and nothing comes of it.
00:29:28.799 --> 00:29:30.799
Uh, just thought I'd throw that out there.
00:29:30.960 --> 00:29:33.200
Um on a boat, too.
00:29:33.279 --> 00:29:35.279
So you know that's cocaine in the bag.
00:29:35.519 --> 00:29:38.079
But I don't think cocaine.
00:29:39.279 --> 00:29:40.720
What type of boat rides are you getting on?
00:29:40.799 --> 00:29:42.000
What wasn't a Tussi?
00:29:42.319 --> 00:29:43.039
It was it was pink.
00:29:43.200 --> 00:29:45.039
Well, it's like fucking, yeah, I don't know.
00:29:45.279 --> 00:29:48.319
It could be pink cocaine, which is like Molly and Coke mixed.
00:29:51.519 --> 00:29:57.599
No, I was gonna say that's what that's that is what led to the death of uh Liam Payne, I believe.
00:29:57.920 --> 00:29:59.119
Okay, that's what it was, yeah, yeah.
00:30:00.400 --> 00:30:01.440
Not Liam Payne's death.
00:30:01.519 --> 00:30:01.839
Yeah, yeah.
00:30:02.880 --> 00:30:04.559
Uh but yeah, it is what it is.
00:30:04.640 --> 00:30:07.119
Shout out Josh Gordon, uh, NFL legend.
00:30:07.440 --> 00:30:12.720
But uh I do think I almost did the same thing as last time.
00:30:12.880 --> 00:30:14.799
I almost said the word I'm not supposed to.
00:30:14.960 --> 00:30:19.119
Uh our football team are the commanders that some people refer to him as.
00:30:19.200 --> 00:30:20.799
Uh I think they're gonna go over here.
00:30:20.960 --> 00:30:23.519
I think this is the team that makes the division fun.
00:30:23.759 --> 00:30:34.240
If they can, if Jaden Daniels can look like he looked two years ago, then this is a primetime division, uh, one that we're gonna be enjoying watching in December.
00:30:34.400 --> 00:30:40.400
And like you said, Sonny Styles, uh, he is Von Miller-esque of different play styles.
00:30:40.480 --> 00:30:42.240
So I'll compare him to an inside linebacker.
00:30:42.319 --> 00:30:50.480
He's like Patrick Willis, where you watch him play football, and it's just a the uh this must have been easy for him his entire life.
00:30:50.720 --> 00:30:52.960
That is how freakish he looks out there.
00:30:53.359 --> 00:30:58.480
Uh and it's not often is it super fun to watch an inside linebacker play football.
00:30:58.640 --> 00:31:02.160
I think he's gonna be one of those guys, and I like it.
00:31:02.480 --> 00:31:05.839
Quick side note before ending on the NFC Beast.
00:31:06.000 --> 00:31:08.240
Uh Jackson has mentioned a lot of gophers.
00:31:08.319 --> 00:31:13.599
So, any of you PJ haters out there, I don't remember this many gophers being in the NFL before him.
00:31:13.759 --> 00:31:16.799
So just just enjoy it while you can.
00:31:17.039 --> 00:31:17.680
Yeah.
00:31:17.920 --> 00:31:25.440
I mean, I I will say uh Ethan Kallick man is former gopher is little talking to good for good for good for PJ.
00:31:26.079 --> 00:31:27.359
All right, what are you guys locking up?
00:31:27.440 --> 00:31:29.119
I I'm locking up the football team here.
00:31:29.440 --> 00:31:29.920
Whew.
00:31:30.319 --> 00:31:31.920
I uh I'm gonna lock up the Eagles.
00:31:32.000 --> 00:31:33.200
That's what I last I'm gonna say with it.
00:31:33.359 --> 00:31:34.319
Locking up the Eagles over.
00:31:34.480 --> 00:31:34.720
Over.
00:31:34.880 --> 00:31:35.039
Okay.
00:31:35.519 --> 00:31:38.720
Did I do football team last time lock?
00:31:39.200 --> 00:31:39.599
I don't know.
00:31:40.480 --> 00:31:41.359
Hey man, play your hand.
00:31:41.440 --> 00:31:42.960
Yeah, do whatever you would do whatever you're feeling.
00:31:43.279 --> 00:31:44.400
I'm thinking over on that.
00:31:44.559 --> 00:31:46.319
Is it what give me the number one more time?
00:31:46.480 --> 00:31:47.599
Seven and a half.
00:31:48.400 --> 00:31:49.440
It's a close division.
00:31:49.519 --> 00:31:51.359
Yeah, I think they'll go over that.
00:31:52.240 --> 00:31:54.720
Just need Jaden Daniels' knees to stay healthy.
00:31:55.119 --> 00:31:55.519
Let's go.
00:31:55.680 --> 00:31:57.039
Over by October, baby.
00:31:57.279 --> 00:32:00.799
We will go to the AFC least.
00:32:01.200 --> 00:32:03.759
JK, it's the AFC beast.
00:32:03.920 --> 00:32:10.880
They have AFC representatives from the Super Bowl last year of the New England Patriots, but they did not have the highest win total.
00:32:11.440 --> 00:32:13.119
Actually, I think that's what I had jacked up to.
00:32:13.200 --> 00:32:14.640
Let me say, uh yeah, they have 10 and a half.
00:32:14.799 --> 00:32:16.559
They have tied for the highest win total.
00:32:16.880 --> 00:32:18.720
But we'll start with the Buffalo Bills.
00:32:20.559 --> 00:32:26.000
They are sitting at 10.5 over minus 125, under plus 105.
00:32:26.079 --> 00:32:30.880
Their offensive line ranking is, let me just double check this.
00:32:30.960 --> 00:32:33.359
I want to make sure I'm giving correct information.
00:32:34.000 --> 00:32:39.519
Their offensive line rankings is the third best, according to Warren Sharp.
00:32:40.240 --> 00:32:47.839
And their defense my bad and their front seven ranking is the 13th.
00:32:48.160 --> 00:32:53.279
And they have the 18th easiest schedule going into the year.
00:32:54.079 --> 00:32:54.720
Jackson.
00:32:55.839 --> 00:33:00.559
Yeah, the Bills um promoted Joe Brady to head coach in uh a sort of a coup fashion.
00:33:00.799 --> 00:33:01.759
Yeah, it was a coup.
00:33:02.160 --> 00:33:04.799
Housting um housting Sean McDermott.
00:33:04.880 --> 00:33:08.960
Um they brought in Jim Leonard as the DC um, I guess Wisconsin great.
00:33:09.039 --> 00:33:09.519
Jim Leonard.
00:33:09.759 --> 00:33:10.880
Yeah, Wisconsin legend.
00:33:11.119 --> 00:33:19.359
Um rookies they added were TJ Parker off the edge from Clemson, uh Davison Agbenozan, um, Bradley Chubb.
00:33:19.680 --> 00:33:21.839
Shout out me on the uh pronunciation there.
00:33:22.000 --> 00:33:25.920
Uh and uh Lloyd, oh shoot, how did I how did I phrase this?
00:33:26.000 --> 00:33:27.279
Because then I okay.
00:33:28.400 --> 00:33:33.599
These were early in my notes days, so I didn't I didn't have my cadence down um because I'm like, now I'm just listing non-rookies.
00:33:34.000 --> 00:33:42.160
Um but uh Lloyd Cushenberry, Austin Corbett, um, a slew of defensing backs, including uh CJ Garden Johnson, Geno Stone, D.
00:33:42.319 --> 00:33:42.880
Alford.
00:33:43.279 --> 00:33:45.680
Um, and then they also added DJ Moore.
00:33:45.839 --> 00:33:49.839
Um, key departures being Sean McDermott and Teron Johnson is all I have.
00:33:50.000 --> 00:33:53.599
So I think my notes are a little sketchier here on these earlier ones.
00:33:53.759 --> 00:33:56.880
So um just bear with me if I'm missing some people.
00:33:57.200 --> 00:34:05.920
Um they had the best rushing offense in 2025, and that's really I think what helped the Bills sustain so much success was their ability to control the ball.
00:34:06.000 --> 00:34:08.960
Uh, because I played in a lot of close games, it felt like last year.
00:34:09.039 --> 00:34:12.320
Um prior to, I guess, the end of their season, they kind of blew, they kind of routed some.
00:34:14.079 --> 00:34:16.880
Um their ball control was was really effective.
00:34:16.960 --> 00:34:27.679
Um, and I'm interested to see how that carries over because that seems like more of a tenet of a defensive head coach like Sean McDermott was, where they were trying to maximize their defensive output by controlling the ball on offense.
00:34:27.760 --> 00:34:33.519
And I'm interested to see if that carries over with the Joe Brady um regime.
00:34:33.760 --> 00:34:34.800
It's just a promotion, though.
00:34:34.960 --> 00:34:41.119
Yeah, it's just a promotion, but like ideologically, they might be saying different things, prepping for games week to week and how they're attacking it, right?
00:34:41.199 --> 00:34:49.920
Like I when I think of Joe Brady, I think of because I think everybody, when they think of Joe Brady, they think of the LSU team in 2019 that he was kind of famously the offensive coordinator for.
00:34:50.079 --> 00:34:51.760
And that team was did not play slow.
00:34:51.840 --> 00:34:54.719
And they they were really um letting it rip.
00:34:54.800 --> 00:35:01.519
So I could see this team letting it rip a little bit more, um, maybe to their detriment, maybe to their um, maybe to their game.
00:35:01.599 --> 00:35:04.719
But I I leaned the under at 10 and a half here, kind of the same way.
00:35:04.880 --> 00:35:09.199
Um, same way, but different that that I leaned the under for um the Eagles.
00:35:09.280 --> 00:35:10.800
It probably hits a 10.
00:35:11.199 --> 00:35:20.480
But my my like um apprehension here um comes more from the defense and less from the the uh the offense like it was for the Eagles.
00:35:20.559 --> 00:35:25.760
But I just believe in Josh Allen to find their way to be significantly above 500.
00:35:25.920 --> 00:35:28.320
So um 10 and a half, lean under.
00:35:28.480 --> 00:35:29.679
Justin, do you want to go?
00:35:30.880 --> 00:35:37.440
Yeah, this was going into things like when the when I first saw the numbers, it was one of those.
00:35:37.599 --> 00:35:44.800
I thought this was gonna be a division I could sum up in 30 seconds, saying take the two overs on top and take the two unders on the bottom.
00:35:45.039 --> 00:35:49.280
Uh, but this uh this bill schedule is very rough.
00:35:49.599 --> 00:35:56.800
Uh they could they have uh uh three in my opinion, in my opinion, really tough games in the first five weeks.
00:35:57.119 --> 00:36:01.039
The other two games to start the season are uh toss-ups.
00:36:01.280 --> 00:36:09.119
The b Houston and Houston and Detroit are both teams that can like if Detroit plays like they did two years ago, all of a sudden that's another tough game.
00:36:09.199 --> 00:36:15.440
Uh but Houston, Detroit, Chargers, Patriots, Rams to start, uh, that sucks for them.
00:36:15.840 --> 00:36:21.519
And then even if you're thinking they'll do the usual Bills backdoor, it once it starts snowing, they look better.
00:36:21.840 --> 00:36:26.000
Then they have the Chiefs, Patriots, Packers, Bears, Broncos later in the season.
00:36:26.320 --> 00:36:32.639
So I was looking at it as this should be an easy over because they get four, in my opinion, free wins.
00:36:32.880 --> 00:36:36.639
Uh but uh 10 and a half with the schedule that they have.
00:36:36.880 --> 00:36:39.440
I'm gonna lean the under on this one.
00:36:39.599 --> 00:36:44.159
I don't this one wouldn't be my lock because I could go either way on over under.
00:36:44.719 --> 00:36:47.280
Um actually I'm gonna flip it to over.
00:36:47.360 --> 00:36:53.840
I just think Josh Allen's gonna Josh Allen, but I still do think this schedule, I if this was 11 and a half, it would be a lock.
00:36:54.480 --> 00:36:54.880
Yeah.
00:36:55.119 --> 00:36:58.480
Well, when I was talking about it, I kind of was getting to the point that I might lead over.
00:36:58.559 --> 00:37:00.480
I've been I just think 10 and a half is a really good number.
00:37:00.559 --> 00:37:01.760
So I'm I'm kind of right on it.
00:37:01.840 --> 00:37:02.480
Yeah.
00:37:02.800 --> 00:37:04.719
This is a it's 10 and a half.
00:37:04.880 --> 00:37:12.719
They if they go 10, whatever and tie, if they go 10, 6, and 1, that would make sense to me in this division, uh, or with their schedule.
00:37:12.880 --> 00:37:20.559
It's like what was the year that you you called the uh Carver said and I said they're gonna push.
00:37:20.719 --> 00:37:21.199
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:37:21.599 --> 00:37:24.960
Because it was uh I thought it wasn't it like the Cardinals 7 or something?
00:37:25.199 --> 00:37:25.840
Yeah.
00:37:26.400 --> 00:37:28.159
He's like, I'm calling it right now, it's a push.
00:37:28.239 --> 00:37:30.239
Yeah, I said they're gonna push at seven games.
00:37:30.400 --> 00:37:32.800
I was like, if this is a flat 10, I'd I'd call the push.
00:37:32.880 --> 00:37:34.000
Or a flat 11, excuse me.
00:37:34.079 --> 00:37:34.719
I'd call the push.
00:37:35.360 --> 00:37:38.159
Um Carver was close too.
00:37:38.239 --> 00:37:39.519
It was came down to the last game.
00:37:39.840 --> 00:37:41.119
I mean, someone screwed up.
00:37:41.280 --> 00:37:41.599
Yeah.
00:37:41.760 --> 00:37:42.880
Um, I'm taking the over.
00:37:43.119 --> 00:37:43.679
I lean over.
00:37:43.760 --> 00:37:45.920
I'm not super confident this won't be my lock.
00:37:46.079 --> 00:37:54.320
So um, but I mean, I hate the bot team bottoms are the two teams at the bottom of this division, so which summarizes a lot of it.
00:37:54.400 --> 00:37:56.239
I mean, Josh Allen, like you said, Josh Allen.
00:37:56.400 --> 00:37:58.159
I think what they did last year is repeatable.
00:37:58.239 --> 00:38:00.639
Like I think they're gonna be able to get James Cook the ball.
00:38:00.800 --> 00:38:04.480
Um, Ray Davis even kind of showed some flashes at times.
00:38:04.639 --> 00:38:18.719
Um, so maybe we see him a little bit more, or I'm not sure quite on their entire depth of the backfield there, but um so I do imagine that they'll get the ball out a little bit more, but I think a lot of that is gonna be like Dalton Kincaid, honestly.
00:38:19.119 --> 00:38:23.199
Um, so you know, middle of the field, off-the-run game type stuff.
00:38:23.280 --> 00:38:25.199
I look a lot of what they did last year.
00:38:25.360 --> 00:38:26.880
So um we'll see.
00:38:27.039 --> 00:38:28.639
Um questions about the defense.
00:38:28.719 --> 00:38:33.280
And last year, and this kind of bleeds into the Patriots, and I do like the Patriots.
00:38:33.599 --> 00:38:45.920
Um, but I do think that the Patriots snuck up on the Bills in a way that they didn't expect, which is probably why Sean McDermott got fired um in a way.
00:38:46.079 --> 00:38:47.679
Obviously, the Patriots end up winning the division.
00:38:47.840 --> 00:38:49.760
Yeah, I think they split their regular season then.
00:38:50.000 --> 00:38:50.559
They did.
00:38:50.800 --> 00:38:52.320
Um, so we'll see.
00:38:52.400 --> 00:38:57.440
Maybe they get that game back this year and it looks a lot different and feels a lot different for the Bills.
00:38:57.760 --> 00:39:00.880
Um, they bring in DJ Moore, a player I like.
00:39:01.440 --> 00:39:09.519
I know he's kind of inconsistent, but I think he'll be like a Stephon Diggs when they brought him in, where he'll be good when they need him.
00:39:09.920 --> 00:39:13.280
They're not gonna rely on him like a ton, but he'll they'll be good when he needs him.
00:39:13.360 --> 00:39:14.400
He'll be good when they need him.
00:39:14.559 --> 00:39:16.159
So I lean over.
00:39:16.320 --> 00:39:22.880
Um again, this is another one where maybe I'm just uh uh a lover of chaos, but if it didn't go over, I'd be very happy.
00:39:22.960 --> 00:39:26.400
But I'm gonna I'm gonna lean to the over here at 10 and a half with the Bills.
00:39:26.639 --> 00:39:30.559
I'm gonna move on to the New England Patriots, who said at minus 10 and a half.
00:39:30.800 --> 00:39:32.239
I have over under 10 and a half.
00:39:32.400 --> 00:39:32.719
Okay.
00:39:32.960 --> 00:39:34.400
Um 10 and a half, that's fine.
00:39:34.480 --> 00:39:36.559
I mean, just even odds out a little bit then.
00:39:36.719 --> 00:39:40.480
Um offensive line rank of 15, defensive front rank of 11th.
00:39:40.559 --> 00:39:43.920
They have the 11th hardly scheduled if playing that first place schedule this year.
00:39:44.159 --> 00:39:47.280
Obviously, coming off of a Super Bowl appearance.
00:39:47.519 --> 00:39:47.920
Yeah.
00:39:48.079 --> 00:39:54.320
Uh in the draft, they added Caleb Lomu, uh, Gabe Akis, and Eli Raridan is who I have down here.
00:39:54.800 --> 00:39:55.119
My guy.
00:39:55.360 --> 00:39:56.239
Yeah, my guy.
00:39:56.400 --> 00:39:57.599
Baby Gronk.
00:39:57.760 --> 00:40:06.000
Um, and in the offseason, they also added AJ Brown, Romeo Dobbs, Elijah Vera Tucker, uh, Draymond Jones, and Kevin Bayard.
00:40:06.079 --> 00:40:10.239
Um, Kita Pargers with Stefan Diggs, Garrett Bradbury, Calebon Chase on.
00:40:10.719 --> 00:40:18.400
Um I'm I have under on the Patriots here at 10 and a half, but as I'm kind of talking it through, I do kind of like them.
00:40:18.559 --> 00:40:19.039
I don't know.
00:40:19.199 --> 00:40:27.039
I I it's hard because I prepped this so long ago that I'm like, I don't have exactly all of my thoughts clear on it.
00:40:27.199 --> 00:40:35.920
But um I just I'm looking at the additions and I feel like they they definitely added more than they than they lost, it it felt like, um, at least to me on paper.
00:40:36.079 --> 00:40:48.239
Um like I I think AJ Brown is is AJ Brown is an upgrade over Stephon Diggs, Romeo Dubbs is an upgrade over whoever, like whoever they had in that in that three spot if they even choose to use him.
00:40:48.400 --> 00:40:54.719
Um I I like, I mean, I just think uh any Vrabel team just fundamentally has a high floor.
00:40:54.800 --> 00:40:57.599
And so I think this is another team with just a really high floor.
00:40:57.679 --> 00:41:00.480
Um, but I have down the under here, so I guess I'm riding with the under.
00:41:00.719 --> 00:41:04.639
I lean over, even though, again, not very confident in this one.
00:41:04.800 --> 00:41:08.719
I had it at over nine and a half originally, but I'll take the 10 and a half still.
00:41:08.960 --> 00:41:12.400
Actually, I'm gonna go under.
00:41:12.480 --> 00:41:14.719
I'll have to find an I'll I'm gonna go under here.
00:41:15.039 --> 00:41:17.360
I think they I think they will have a little bit of regression.
00:41:17.440 --> 00:41:20.079
I think this variable stuff will bleed into the season.
00:41:20.400 --> 00:41:22.000
Diggs was pretty good for him.
00:41:22.079 --> 00:41:26.559
Obviously, I know that they brought in other wide receivers that you know can can compliment for that.
00:41:27.360 --> 00:41:39.599
Rondre Stevenson still has game left, but I think maybe the question is uh Trevion Henderson, who's shown flashes, but I've read a little bit, has struggled a little bit out of the gate in camp just with his pass protection.
00:41:39.920 --> 00:41:44.639
So it's small things like that that you know make me wonder.
00:41:44.880 --> 00:41:55.599
And um, I mean Brable, who I think is a good coach, don't get me wrong, had Derrick Henry, and that's a pretty consistent offensive tool and weapon to to rely on.
00:41:56.719 --> 00:41:59.840
So at 10 and a half, I lean under.
00:42:01.280 --> 00:42:03.360
I think they'll still be a very competitive team.
00:42:03.440 --> 00:42:05.840
I think they'll be a playoff team, probably.
00:42:06.400 --> 00:42:10.079
But like I said about the Bills, I think the Bills are ready.
00:42:10.400 --> 00:42:13.440
I think the Bills are ready for them, and I think the Bills are ready to win this division.
00:42:13.519 --> 00:42:19.039
So it could be tough for the Patriots to uh could be tough to the pay for the Patriots to go over here.
00:42:19.199 --> 00:42:25.280
I don't like the other two teams in this division, but I mean they have to win some games, and we know that some divisional games obviously can get a little funky.
00:42:25.519 --> 00:42:29.440
So I will go with I'll lean under here for the New England Patriots.
00:42:29.599 --> 00:42:34.559
Yeah, I'm going to just like the Bills, I'm gonna lean the over on this one.
00:42:34.719 --> 00:42:37.360
Uh Patriots also do have a tough schedule.
00:42:37.440 --> 00:42:39.519
That's just how it is in the NFL.
00:42:39.840 --> 00:42:50.960
But my mindset, similar to the Bills, I it's tough to rank these teams when I'm thinking of it as in my mind, they have to get seven and a half wins out of 13 games.
00:42:51.119 --> 00:42:58.559
Uh, I truly do think of the Jets and Dolphins, even though they're divisional teams, as four free wins for each of those teams.
00:42:59.039 --> 00:43:01.840
That's how low I am on those two franchises.
00:43:02.480 --> 00:43:05.679
And uh and I I don't know if it was Carver.
00:43:05.840 --> 00:43:08.239
I know Carver's super high on Geno Smith.
00:43:08.559 --> 00:43:12.559
Um yeah, Carver is a huge Geno Smith guy.
00:43:12.719 --> 00:43:13.440
So maybe I'm wrong.
00:43:13.760 --> 00:43:23.760
There's gotta be maybe you're thinking they have a shot at the division out in uh out of MetLife, but yeah, I'm gonna go over here.
00:43:24.320 --> 00:43:25.679
There is a lot.
00:43:26.320 --> 00:43:30.400
Do I lean under the the vape the Vrabel stuff keeps coming back into my mind?
00:43:30.719 --> 00:43:38.639
Uh it was on it was on in our lives uh non-stop for two weeks, and for some reason it really has fallen off.
00:43:38.719 --> 00:43:41.119
But that's it was a great story in the offseason, I think.
00:43:41.199 --> 00:43:42.960
Uh yeah, absolutely.
00:43:43.440 --> 00:43:45.119
Um yeah.
00:43:45.199 --> 00:43:48.960
Uh and I do think they have an issue with uh Trevana Henderson.
00:43:49.119 --> 00:43:51.039
I think Trevian Henderson's really good.
00:43:51.280 --> 00:43:57.679
I think in 31 other on 31 other teams, take out the ones with the B.
00:43:57.920 --> 00:43:59.119
Johns and the Gibbs and stuff.
00:43:59.360 --> 00:43:59.679
Most teams.
00:44:00.159 --> 00:44:09.119
Teams would start Trevion Henderson, but when you play for Mike Vrabel, the best attribute you can have as a running back is being able to pass block and be reliable for that.
00:44:09.360 --> 00:44:15.360
So that's where there's some Vrabel things that he's stubborn with that I think do hold him back a little bit.
00:44:15.519 --> 00:44:17.599
But AJ Brown is a huge addition.
00:44:17.840 --> 00:44:19.199
Man, this is a tough one.
00:44:19.360 --> 00:44:20.000
It is tough.
00:44:20.320 --> 00:44:29.599
I'm gonna lean over and I'm gonna have confidence that that this is just a super top heavy division and those two teams fight for the number one draft pick at the bottom.
00:44:29.840 --> 00:44:40.320
But if this is the case of people get a little bit more Drake May tape and he has kind of a junior year struggle, this is their third year, his third year, right?
00:44:40.480 --> 00:44:42.320
Yeah, a junior year and junker.
00:44:42.719 --> 00:44:47.119
Yeah, then that would make sense, but I don't know.
00:44:47.599 --> 00:44:48.960
I'm gonna lean over still.
00:44:49.440 --> 00:44:49.920
Fair.
00:44:51.440 --> 00:44:52.880
I'll move on to the Jets.
00:44:52.960 --> 00:44:59.119
They're sitting at five and a half and uh over one plus one fifteen under 140.
00:44:59.280 --> 00:45:04.400
Offensive line rank comes out at 19th, and their defensive front comes in at 31st.
00:45:04.559 --> 00:45:04.960
Oof.
00:45:05.119 --> 00:45:07.119
Train to schedule is the fourth hardest.
00:45:07.360 --> 00:45:08.719
That gives you any context.
00:45:08.960 --> 00:45:10.159
Oh Jesus.
00:45:10.320 --> 00:45:12.559
Do you want to talk to me about what they did?
00:45:12.960 --> 00:45:14.559
My Jets can't catch a break, dude.
00:45:14.639 --> 00:45:15.519
But Jets.
00:45:15.599 --> 00:45:17.519
JETS Jets, Jets, Jets.
00:45:18.000 --> 00:45:19.199
My Jets can't catch a break.
00:45:19.280 --> 00:45:20.800
I didn't know that about the fourth hardest schedule.
00:45:20.880 --> 00:45:22.719
That makes me feel bad about this because I'm on the over.
00:45:23.119 --> 00:45:23.519
Oh wow.
00:45:23.840 --> 00:45:26.559
It's the only one that I the only one that I felt really good about, honestly.
00:45:26.800 --> 00:45:28.320
Do you know who's coming to the team in that?
00:45:28.559 --> 00:45:28.880
Yeah.
00:45:29.039 --> 00:45:30.079
Um in the draft.
00:45:30.239 --> 00:45:31.440
So I I love their draft.
00:45:31.519 --> 00:45:37.440
They drafted uh David Bailey, Kenyon Sadiq, Omar Cooper Jr., D'Angelo Pons, just a lot of good finds there.
00:45:37.599 --> 00:45:39.360
But the issue is that they added Geno Smith.
00:45:39.440 --> 00:45:41.679
I know that's Carver's guy, not necessarily my guy.
00:45:42.000 --> 00:45:42.239
Wow.
00:45:42.400 --> 00:45:48.880
Um Micah Fitzpatrick, Tavandre Sweat, um, Deshaun Wright, DeMario Davis, uh Kingsley.
00:45:49.119 --> 00:45:50.320
Ngbarra.
00:45:50.880 --> 00:45:54.400
Um, but Enigbarre.
00:45:54.480 --> 00:45:55.840
Yeah, I didn't I did I don't think I nailed that one.
00:45:56.000 --> 00:45:56.880
Yeah, I think it's Enigbar.
00:45:57.280 --> 00:45:58.480
Yeah, that's probably better.
00:45:58.639 --> 00:46:05.199
Um, Departures are uh my guy, JF1, Justin Fields, and uh Jermaine Johnson is who I have on here.
00:46:05.519 --> 00:46:12.000
And yeah, I mean, I think this team was super void of talent last year, just like top to bottom, and they added a lot of talent.
00:46:12.079 --> 00:46:22.159
Um, I I can't argue that I just I'm worried about the quarterback spot, but at five and a half wins, I'm comfortable enough with just the baseline of talent that's on this team to take the over.
00:46:22.239 --> 00:46:30.559
I I think this team can win six games, and it might be in spite of themselves because I don't know if they want to win six games, but they they might they might just do it anyway.
00:46:30.719 --> 00:46:31.360
Yeah.
00:46:32.159 --> 00:46:34.559
Um, Justin, do you want to go?
00:46:34.880 --> 00:46:35.440
Yeah.
00:46:35.599 --> 00:46:39.679
Uh looking at their schedule, that is a beast of a schedule.
00:46:39.840 --> 00:46:45.440
Uh, they start at Tennessee, then they got Green Bay, Detroit, Chicago.
00:46:46.079 --> 00:46:49.119
Don't call me crazy, but I think that's an 0-4 start.
00:46:49.199 --> 00:46:51.840
If you got, I'm thinking Tennessee might shock people.
00:46:54.079 --> 00:46:55.199
So that's it.
00:46:55.360 --> 00:46:58.320
They're not beating the Packers, the Lions, and the Bears.
00:46:58.400 --> 00:46:59.760
That is a tough stretch.
00:47:00.000 --> 00:47:05.039
Uh Browns, I have every single team beating them when I've gone through every schedule.
00:47:05.360 --> 00:47:15.280
But then Patriots, they got the Chiefs and Bills, Chargers, uh, Denver on there, Patriots again, the Vikings, the Bills to end the season.
00:47:16.159 --> 00:47:25.519
This is just I think the reason I'm gonna go under on the Jets, and it could be a lock candidate, is uh they have a very tough schedule.
00:47:25.599 --> 00:47:32.559
By the by, I think for once in Garrett Wilson's career, they're going to think maybe we should try to bottom out here.
00:47:33.119 --> 00:47:42.079
Um because once teams start once there's they start to see, I still think there's gonna be that big those big three quarterbacks.
00:47:42.639 --> 00:47:56.239
Uh uh I think once those teams that need quarterbacks start seeing where everyone is in the league, that's when you're gonna start to see people being like, okay, we don't want to fall out of that tier of those top three guys, assuming they all stay in the draft.
00:47:56.320 --> 00:47:58.480
Obviously, there's a lot of money in college sports now.
00:47:58.960 --> 00:48:00.159
Um yeah.
00:48:00.400 --> 00:48:03.679
But yeah, I think the Jets would be very well suited.
00:48:03.760 --> 00:48:15.280
But if Carver's guy, if his my guy ends up being a stud and takes them uh to the promised land, which would be, in this case, six wins, I I'll bite that bullet and I'll say I was wrong.
00:48:15.360 --> 00:48:16.480
I'll put my hand up.
00:48:16.639 --> 00:48:18.159
So I'm gonna go under here.
00:48:18.880 --> 00:48:21.039
Um, I'm going to go under here.
00:48:21.280 --> 00:48:24.079
Um, there's always really bad teams the NFL.
00:48:24.239 --> 00:48:27.920
Obviously, our my guy Aaron Glenn is on the hot seat.
00:48:28.239 --> 00:48:31.360
There in New York seems like he is on baited breath.
00:48:31.760 --> 00:48:35.360
Um, so I imagine there'll be a coaching change there.
00:48:35.599 --> 00:48:43.840
Could be a quarterback change, in which the case where my guy, Geno Smith, would get benched for Justin's guy, Kate Klubnick, out of Clemson.
00:48:44.239 --> 00:48:49.840
Love the the Debo thing, the or the Dabo, you know, religion thing.
00:48:50.480 --> 00:48:55.519
Uh but uh the Jets, I I do agree with you, J or Jackson, uh, and in general.
00:48:55.599 --> 00:48:59.519
Like I I was doing a deep deeper dive on the Jets yesterday.
00:49:00.000 --> 00:49:04.159
They kind of hit on the offensive line, too, um, which is kind of an underrated thing.
00:49:04.320 --> 00:49:08.320
Obviously, kind of represents there in that 19th ranking, which is actually pretty solid, I think.
00:49:08.480 --> 00:49:13.920
Um, but their last few draft picks at O-line have accumulated to a pretty good unit.
00:49:14.159 --> 00:49:19.199
Um, we'll see what happens on the defense, but now they have a bunch of first-round picks because of this Os Gardiner trade as well.
00:49:19.360 --> 00:49:22.159
Um, with that being said, they are set up for the future.
00:49:22.320 --> 00:49:25.599
And for that reason, I think they want to get as good of a pick as they can.
00:49:25.840 --> 00:49:30.960
I think the Jets are gonna be one of many teams trying to get the best pick they can this season.
00:49:31.039 --> 00:49:32.639
I don't want to say outright tanking.
00:49:32.800 --> 00:49:35.920
We'll see how the college football season goes, but pick me here for the Jets.
00:49:36.159 --> 00:49:44.079
I don't know how you go out and you get Geno Smith and then you draft Cade Klubnick and you think that you're gonna you're gonna try to win football games.
00:49:44.480 --> 00:49:45.280
That's what I'm saying.
00:49:45.360 --> 00:49:46.880
I mean, it's it's tough.
00:49:46.960 --> 00:49:48.239
It's it's the problem is the brain.
00:49:49.039 --> 00:49:50.960
And you know, guys are on the internet, you know, guys.
00:49:51.199 --> 00:49:51.840
NFL players.
00:49:52.239 --> 00:49:53.280
Can we run it back though quick?
00:49:53.519 --> 00:49:54.800
Like to finish the point.
00:49:54.960 --> 00:49:59.920
Um, the Seattle Seahawks had Geno Smith and he left and they won the Super Bowl.
00:50:00.079 --> 00:50:05.119
Um the Oakland Raiders, or sorry, the Las Vegas Raiders then acquired Geno Smith and they got the first overall pick.
00:50:05.280 --> 00:50:05.519
Yeah.
00:50:05.760 --> 00:50:07.519
So it seems like everywhere that he goes.
00:50:08.000 --> 00:50:09.440
That's a tough resume blemish.
00:50:09.599 --> 00:50:10.800
Yes, like that that that's really tough.
00:50:10.880 --> 00:50:17.199
So the team that you were on, like no like real major changes besides the quarterback spot, and then they actually and they lose receivers too, by the way.
00:50:17.280 --> 00:50:23.360
They let DK go, like they they like they kind of cut bait across the board, and then they actually won the Super Bowl.
00:50:23.519 --> 00:50:28.639
Um, and then the team that you went to goes on like to get the first overall pick.
00:50:28.800 --> 00:50:30.719
Like it's kind of reverse LeBron.
00:50:31.199 --> 00:50:32.719
It's like the opposite of what he did.
00:50:32.880 --> 00:50:34.559
Yeah, it is Lamar LeBron.
00:50:36.000 --> 00:50:39.039
Um maybe he's trying to bring that match back to the Jets.
00:50:39.280 --> 00:50:44.960
The thing is, guys are on social media too, so they know what like Geno's like reputation is like amongst people.
00:50:45.280 --> 00:50:47.280
The last time he was in that locker room, he got punched in the face.
00:50:47.519 --> 00:50:47.840
That is true.
00:50:48.000 --> 00:50:49.199
And that thing was not good.
00:50:50.800 --> 00:50:54.719
And I I'll I'll say I don't want to be hating on Geno Smith.
00:50:54.800 --> 00:51:01.360
I think I I always respect those guys that can be in the league 15 years and accept the role wherever they are.
00:51:01.599 --> 00:51:14.719
But Geno Smith is for him to have a success, I think he's built for a team like a if Patrick Mahomes got hurt and the Chiefs needed to win a couple games just to make the playoffs, that's who he's built for.
00:51:14.880 --> 00:51:19.679
He's not built for to make this New York Jets team much better.
00:51:19.840 --> 00:51:21.440
Um, but I guess it's your guy.
00:51:21.519 --> 00:51:23.679
But Jackson is saying he is six wins.
00:51:23.840 --> 00:51:26.880
I guess that is much better for the Jets, I guess.
00:51:27.039 --> 00:51:27.679
It is.
00:51:28.159 --> 00:51:30.159
Um, all right, we'll move on to the Dolphins.
00:51:30.239 --> 00:51:31.920
We'll get to this one kind of quickly.
00:51:32.079 --> 00:51:36.159
Um, they're sitting at four and a half, they're uh over-unders even at 110.
00:51:36.320 --> 00:51:37.519
I have some light breaking news.
00:51:37.679 --> 00:51:42.960
What on a draft or on a um on a sports book that will not sponsor us, so I will not use its name.
00:51:43.119 --> 00:51:44.559
I'm seeing three and a half.
00:51:44.719 --> 00:51:45.280
Wow.
00:51:45.599 --> 00:51:46.559
For the Dolphins?
00:51:46.800 --> 00:51:48.079
I've seen three and a half.
00:51:48.239 --> 00:51:49.760
That's the uh suggested line.
00:51:50.000 --> 00:51:55.599
Now it's minus 130, but then the under, if you go to four and a half, is like minus 150.
00:51:56.159 --> 00:51:58.000
So I think we got to play the three and a half.
00:51:58.079 --> 00:51:59.440
I think we have to play the three and a half.
00:51:59.599 --> 00:52:00.800
Three and a half, which is nuts.
00:52:02.880 --> 00:52:07.760
Um, so I was like, sorry for the late breaking news because when I did this the first time, I had the four and a half, and that's what it was.
00:52:07.840 --> 00:52:09.440
But it has now moved down to three and a half.
00:52:10.559 --> 00:52:11.920
I think we have to play the three and a half.
00:52:12.159 --> 00:52:17.360
Um line ranking 29th, defensive line front rank of 27th.
00:52:17.519 --> 00:52:20.400
They have the seventh hardest strength of schedule in the league.
00:52:20.559 --> 00:52:22.400
Uh Jackson, you want to go into departures?
00:52:22.880 --> 00:52:25.119
Um, yeah, it's really a lot of departures here.
00:52:25.199 --> 00:52:35.119
Um, for the Dolphins, I'll do the departures first, honestly, because it's it's Tua, it's Tyreek, it's Jalen Waddell, Bradley Chubb, Minka Fitzpatrick, Liam Eichenberg, James Daniels, all gone.
00:52:35.360 --> 00:52:39.519
Um, I guess also head coach, um, what's his name?
00:52:39.679 --> 00:52:41.119
Uh something McDaniel.
00:52:41.360 --> 00:52:42.159
Uh Mike McDaniel.
00:52:42.320 --> 00:52:43.280
Mike McDaniel, there you go.
00:52:43.440 --> 00:52:45.199
Mike McDaniel, the head coach, is gone.
00:52:45.280 --> 00:52:50.960
Uh, replacing him as head coach Jeff Hafley um with uh offensive coordinator Bobby Slowick.
00:52:51.199 --> 00:52:59.119
Um in the draft, they added Kaden Proctor, Chris Johnson, Chris Bell, Caleb Douglas, um, in that tight end whose name I can't pronounce, so I'm not gonna try.
00:52:59.599 --> 00:53:04.159
Um, as well as um Malik Willis at the quarterback spot, signed him to a three-year.
00:53:04.239 --> 00:53:05.920
Nice little, nice little bag for the kid.
00:53:06.079 --> 00:53:12.239
Uh, David Ojabo, Clelen Farrell, um known uh known successful NFL player.
00:53:12.400 --> 00:53:12.719
Oh, yeah.
00:53:12.880 --> 00:53:15.920
Uh Jamari Saylor and Tutu Atwell.
00:53:16.079 --> 00:53:20.880
Um and it's interesting because I leaned the over at four and a half, but I think I'm just on the over at three and a half.
00:53:21.039 --> 00:53:21.360
Interesting.
00:53:21.519 --> 00:53:23.039
I think I'm on the over at three and a half.
00:53:23.280 --> 00:53:23.599
Fair.
00:53:23.840 --> 00:53:24.960
I think it's gonna be well.
00:53:25.119 --> 00:53:26.639
I think it's gonna be my lock for division.
00:53:27.119 --> 00:53:27.920
Are you serious?
00:53:28.079 --> 00:53:30.960
I'm I'm gonna lock up the Dolphins to win four games this year.
00:53:32.000 --> 00:53:33.440
Um it's gonna be fun.
00:53:34.639 --> 00:53:35.119
All right.
00:53:35.440 --> 00:53:36.480
Over by October.
00:53:36.960 --> 00:53:37.760
I'm taking the under.
00:53:37.840 --> 00:53:38.480
I'm gonna stick with it.
00:53:38.559 --> 00:53:40.000
I have the under at four and a half.
00:53:40.480 --> 00:53:41.840
This team is not good.
00:53:42.559 --> 00:53:45.280
I actually think they are hurt by firing Michael McDaniel.
00:53:45.519 --> 00:53:48.480
Think about the Dolphins last year as they went on a little run.
00:53:48.800 --> 00:53:51.119
Michael McDaniel's run scheme is still really good.
00:53:51.840 --> 00:53:54.880
And you know, Devon HM was still effective.
00:53:55.280 --> 00:53:57.920
They had they could make plays, kind of.
00:53:58.480 --> 00:54:06.639
Two also made a lot of mistakes for him, which I'm not sure will change this year at the with the quarterback position, but at least Millie Willis plays a more conservative style of game.
00:54:07.679 --> 00:54:09.519
But I'm taking the under three and a half.
00:54:09.599 --> 00:54:11.599
I think they'll I think they'll go three and fourteen.
00:54:13.119 --> 00:54:14.000
Oh god, dude.
00:54:14.079 --> 00:54:15.920
There's the chance I'm looking at their schedule right now.
00:54:16.159 --> 00:54:16.320
Yeah.
00:54:16.559 --> 00:54:20.480
If January 10th, they go to New England.
00:54:20.800 --> 00:54:23.920
That could be the saddest game you've ever seen.
00:54:24.239 --> 00:54:42.719
Because like the there's the chance that the Patriots are already like not playing for anything, and the Dolphins are playing to for draft position, and it's snowy, it's cold, it's January 10th in Foxboro, Massachusetts, and it's miserable.
00:54:42.960 --> 00:54:43.760
But you know what?
00:54:44.000 --> 00:54:44.880
That could be a fun game.
00:54:45.039 --> 00:54:47.599
Three teams a season win less than five games a year.
00:54:48.480 --> 00:54:50.800
About actually, I just I had it pulled up.
00:54:51.039 --> 00:54:52.239
But three games a year.
00:54:53.679 --> 00:54:56.960
Last year, three teams didn't win more than three teams in one more than three.
00:54:57.119 --> 00:54:58.320
No, that says under five games.
00:54:58.480 --> 00:55:00.079
Under five games, my bad.
00:55:01.199 --> 00:55:03.039
See how many won under Cal.
00:55:03.519 --> 00:55:04.800
See how many won under four.
00:55:04.960 --> 00:55:06.079
Last year nobody did that.
00:55:06.239 --> 00:55:06.639
Yep.
00:55:07.280 --> 00:55:08.159
That's what I'm banking on.
00:55:08.320 --> 00:55:09.840
So one or two, but it does happen.
00:55:09.920 --> 00:55:11.760
The years, it's happened every year before that.
00:55:13.199 --> 00:55:13.679
Don't look at that one.
00:55:13.840 --> 00:55:14.239
Multiple teams.
00:55:14.639 --> 00:55:15.199
Oh, the bears are out.
00:55:15.360 --> 00:55:16.000
Don't don't don't look at that.
00:55:16.079 --> 00:55:16.559
2022.
00:55:16.639 --> 00:55:18.480
No, don't marvelous year.
00:55:19.199 --> 00:55:30.000
The problem with this is looking at their schedule, the one win that I'd usually I do the a loss win or a half if I'm unsure.
00:55:30.400 --> 00:55:39.039
Depending on how Las Vegas is, I would, I would probably give them a I want to ride with Malik Willis once, give them a win there.
00:55:39.519 --> 00:55:43.679
And then it's not even like, oh, these sh it's football, a half game.
00:55:44.480 --> 00:55:47.760
15 of those games or they should lose for sure.
00:55:48.239 --> 00:55:49.840
Like this schedule's crazy.
00:55:50.000 --> 00:55:50.159
Yeah.
00:55:51.440 --> 00:55:53.360
You said seventh hardest schedule in the league.
00:55:53.840 --> 00:55:53.920
Okay.
00:55:54.800 --> 00:55:56.079
Um, we'll move on.
00:55:56.159 --> 00:55:58.880
Um, do they beat an NFC North team?
00:55:59.840 --> 00:56:01.760
Yeah, because they got the whole NFC North on there.
00:56:01.840 --> 00:56:02.239
I don't think so.
00:56:02.400 --> 00:56:03.679
I guess we gotta lock in in here.
00:56:03.760 --> 00:56:04.559
You locked in the Jets.
00:56:04.639 --> 00:56:06.159
I'll lock No, I'm locking in the Dolphins.
00:56:06.320 --> 00:56:07.519
Oh, yeah, you locked in the Dolphins.
00:56:07.840 --> 00:56:08.800
It's gonna be a ride, dude.
00:56:08.880 --> 00:56:09.840
I'll lock in the Jets.
00:56:09.920 --> 00:56:11.039
I'll lock in Jets under.
00:56:11.119 --> 00:56:12.639
I'm gonna lock Dolphins under.
00:56:12.880 --> 00:56:13.440
Wow.
00:56:13.840 --> 00:56:14.559
Disrespectful.
00:56:15.440 --> 00:56:16.480
That's that's disrespectful.
00:56:16.639 --> 00:56:18.159
That's hella disrespectful.
00:56:18.320 --> 00:56:19.840
We're gonna win three games, dude.
00:56:19.920 --> 00:56:20.320
Two games.
00:56:21.440 --> 00:56:22.239
That's insane.
00:56:22.480 --> 00:56:26.159
How long before Devon A-chan has a tight cap and is out for the year?
00:56:26.320 --> 00:56:30.480
Um but not like not declared out, just a he's gonna be out for a few weeks.
00:56:31.360 --> 00:56:33.119
I gotta find I gotta find their first cold game.
00:56:33.280 --> 00:56:34.159
Bardiuship.
00:56:35.519 --> 00:56:37.760
Um, November 22nd, uh, they play Buffalo.
00:56:37.840 --> 00:56:39.280
I think by then the hamster gonna be tight.
00:56:39.760 --> 00:56:40.559
There you go.
00:56:40.880 --> 00:56:45.280
All right, let's move on quickly over to the AFC South.
00:56:45.440 --> 00:56:46.159
Welcome, Justin.
00:56:46.320 --> 00:56:47.119
Your first time doing it?
00:56:47.280 --> 00:56:47.920
Yeah.
00:56:48.159 --> 00:56:49.840
Um, let's get right into it.
00:56:50.079 --> 00:56:51.760
Uh let's start with the Houston Texans.
00:56:52.079 --> 00:56:54.239
Or at least we're doing the AFC and NFC stuff.
00:56:54.880 --> 00:56:56.639
I'll start with the Houston Texans.
00:56:56.719 --> 00:56:59.440
Uh sitting at nine and a half wins as their total.
00:56:59.760 --> 00:57:02.719
Overs at minus 110, unders at minus 110.
00:57:02.800 --> 00:57:07.119
Their offensive line rank comes in at 31st, but their defensive front's the first.
00:57:07.360 --> 00:57:11.440
So strength schedule sets at 22nd in the NFL.
00:57:11.679 --> 00:57:13.119
Second, 20, yeah, 22nd.
00:57:13.360 --> 00:57:21.440
Yeah, I love that you touched on that because my my big note for this team was the uh the offensive line was an issue uh in both the run and the pass game, and they clearly made an effort to address that.
00:57:21.519 --> 00:57:27.119
Um their additions were uh Cleland Rutledge, Caden McDonald, Marlon Klein.
00:57:27.199 --> 00:57:35.280
Um, and then they also added uh Braden Smith, Wyatt Teller, Foster Moreau, David Montgomery, Reed Blancenship, Logan Hall, and Dominique Robinson.
00:57:35.440 --> 00:57:37.920
Oh, and Tank Dell's back.
00:57:38.000 --> 00:57:39.119
So that's uh That is true.
00:57:39.360 --> 00:57:40.559
That's a huge for CJ strip.
00:57:40.800 --> 00:57:42.719
Plus Xavier Hutchinson down the end up track.
00:57:42.960 --> 00:57:43.280
Yep.
00:57:43.519 --> 00:57:44.159
Iowa State.
00:57:44.480 --> 00:57:44.960
Um true.
00:57:45.039 --> 00:57:46.960
I mean, that's an Iowa State receiver room there.
00:57:47.039 --> 00:57:47.119
Yeah.
00:57:47.440 --> 00:57:50.800
They might have a little like a mutiny and just like take Tank Dell out again.
00:57:51.119 --> 00:57:58.800
Um, but the departures were Titus Howard, Juice Scruggs, great name, uh, Mario Edwards, Christian Kirk, uh, Christian Harris.
00:57:59.119 --> 00:58:02.480
Um, and yeah, I'm on I'm on the over for the Texans at nine and a half.
00:58:02.559 --> 00:58:06.800
Um, just because I think that they they seem to self-scout pretty well on what their issues were.
00:58:06.880 --> 00:58:10.559
I mean, their issues were on the uh the offensive side of the ball at the line of scrimmage.
00:58:10.639 --> 00:58:12.559
They're awesome on the defensive side of the ball.
00:58:12.639 --> 00:58:16.639
Um, and I think they'll continue to be uh a force on the defensive side of the ball.
00:58:16.800 --> 00:58:21.280
And hopefully they can establish just more of a run game and CJ Shroud just is a little less ass.
00:58:21.440 --> 00:58:26.000
But I mean, they went over this last year, so I think that they I think they can repeat, especially in a weaker division.
00:58:26.159 --> 00:58:26.800
Yeah, I agree.
00:58:26.880 --> 00:58:30.320
Um they were turning all 11 starters on defense, which I thought was pretty impressive.
00:58:30.480 --> 00:58:35.519
Um last year they had the second scoring defense only by 2.2.
00:58:35.679 --> 00:58:38.639
Um, so essentially the first tied for first.
00:58:38.880 --> 00:58:40.880
Um and their first in yards allowed.
00:58:40.960 --> 00:58:43.760
Um, they were a really stingy all-around defense.
00:58:43.920 --> 00:58:48.239
Brought in David Montgomery, who I think gives him a solid running back run game.
00:58:48.480 --> 00:58:51.440
Um, obviously, CJ Stroud makes a lot of bone-headed decisions.
00:58:51.519 --> 00:58:54.960
I think if you give David Montgomery the ball a little bit more, you you limit that.
00:58:55.119 --> 00:58:57.280
And uh, yeah, I'll take the over.
00:58:57.360 --> 00:58:59.119
I think the the I think Houston should be solid.
00:58:59.199 --> 00:59:00.559
I think their offensive line has improved enough.
00:59:00.639 --> 00:59:02.159
I don't think it's good, but it's better than it was.
00:59:02.320 --> 00:59:03.679
Yeah, I'll take the over here.
00:59:03.840 --> 00:59:07.280
I think obviously big D'Amico Ryan's guy.
00:59:07.519 --> 00:59:10.079
Their defenses, they've got some studs on defense.
00:59:10.239 --> 00:59:13.519
Will Anderson now the highest paid defense player in football?
00:59:14.239 --> 00:59:15.440
Or am I off on that?
00:59:15.679 --> 00:59:17.199
No, he's way too young to get an extension.
00:59:17.760 --> 00:59:19.519
I don't think he's been paid yet.
00:59:19.760 --> 00:59:22.079
I thought he was, but yeah, he's way too young.
00:59:22.320 --> 00:59:24.800
Um, yeah, I think that defense is solid.
00:59:24.960 --> 00:59:31.440
Nico Collins, I think, is gonna have a bounce back year, and it's not even Nico Collins, it's just CJ Stroud needs to have a bounce back year.
00:59:31.599 --> 00:59:42.400
The year his first rookie season when he was good, his big thing was not turning the ball over, and then starting with the Vikings game in 2024, all of a sudden he just started turning it over a lot.
00:59:42.639 --> 00:59:43.760
And who knows?
00:59:44.000 --> 00:59:46.000
Maybe it does have to do with Tank Dell.
00:59:46.239 --> 00:59:50.000
Maybe he likes that small guy who can just get open, sit in the zones.
00:59:50.079 --> 00:59:51.360
Um, because he looked great.
00:59:51.519 --> 00:59:55.760
Him and Tank Dell looked like a dynamic duo when they were together.
00:59:55.920 --> 01:00:06.480
Um so yeah, I don't think I think it's that he he big brothered uh uh Cale Wilson or Cale Williams, excuse me, get my Caleb's confused that CJ Stroud did?
01:00:06.639 --> 01:00:09.840
Yeah, I I think that's when it went sideways for him is when he big broad Cale Williams.
01:00:10.000 --> 01:00:10.480
That's true.
01:00:10.960 --> 01:00:14.559
Yeah, I mean, and CJ Stroud is kind of a goofy dude.
01:00:14.639 --> 01:00:16.960
I mean, everyone saw his outfit last week.
01:00:17.119 --> 01:00:19.360
That was the funniest video I've seen.
01:00:19.519 --> 01:00:23.039
You would have thought it was 2006 um when that video was posted.
01:00:23.199 --> 01:00:26.719
But yeah, I think the Texans will be a solid team.
01:00:26.800 --> 01:00:32.559
Uh, but I'm as you'll see, I'm gonna do something similar to what I did in the NFC East.
01:00:32.800 --> 01:00:33.119
Okay.
01:00:34.480 --> 01:00:37.039
I'm going to oh, let's move on to the Jags.
01:00:37.119 --> 01:00:37.519
My bad.
01:00:37.840 --> 01:00:40.880
Um, the Jags are sitting at eight and a half wins.
01:00:41.199 --> 01:00:46.159
Um and their over-unders are plus one ten, unders minus one thirty.
01:00:46.320 --> 01:00:50.239
Offensive line ranked is 17th, defensive line ranked is 15th.
01:00:50.400 --> 01:00:51.440
My bad, defensive front.
01:00:51.599 --> 01:00:52.159
That's just lying.
01:00:52.400 --> 01:00:54.719
And their strength schedule comes in at the 18th.
01:00:55.119 --> 01:00:55.679
Hardest?
01:00:56.159 --> 01:00:56.400
Yeah.
01:00:56.719 --> 01:00:57.119
Easiest.
01:00:57.199 --> 01:00:57.519
Hardest.
01:00:58.079 --> 01:00:59.519
Interesting note about the Jags.
01:00:59.679 --> 01:01:03.440
Um, their win total is eight and a half and they won 13 games last year.
01:01:03.599 --> 01:01:07.199
But as I'm gonna kind of talk to you guys on paper, I don't really see how they got better.
01:01:07.280 --> 01:01:11.440
Um, they had no first-round picks this year, uh, but yet they took 10 selections.
01:01:11.599 --> 01:01:20.000
Um that includes uh Nate Brokacher, um, Albert Regis, uh Emmanuel Pagan, uh I almost said Emmanuel Pagan.
01:01:20.800 --> 01:01:21.840
Emmanuel Pregnan.
01:01:22.159 --> 01:01:30.239
Um, and they also added Jalen Husky, um, Chris Rodriguez, Dane Jackson, Quentin Bohanna, whoever that is.
01:01:30.400 --> 01:01:38.159
Um, and they lost uh Travis uh Achan, uh Devin Lloyd, Greg Newsome, Andy Wingard, and Johnny Munt.
01:01:38.400 --> 01:01:42.480
So um this team just feels like it's stagnant to me.
01:01:42.719 --> 01:01:53.840
And that's why I'm leaning on the under, which is nuts because again, they won 13 games last year, but I just something just tells me the jag's my jag, and that I I got I'm leaning on the under eight and a half.
01:01:53.920 --> 01:01:54.639
Justin.
01:01:55.360 --> 01:01:57.760
Yeah, I mean, I'm gonna go over here.
01:01:58.000 --> 01:01:58.800
Eight and a half.
01:01:58.880 --> 01:02:00.239
I like Liam Cohn.
01:02:00.639 --> 01:02:07.199
I think this team more so I think they'll do decent in the division.
01:02:07.360 --> 01:02:11.280
Uh and spoiler, I'm low on the Colts.
01:02:11.360 --> 01:02:12.960
Um, and just want to throw it out there.
01:02:13.119 --> 01:02:17.119
Will Anderson did sign a three-year$150 million extension.
01:02:17.280 --> 01:02:30.400
Oh, uh I knew I knew listener Isaac Johnson would be uh texting me as soon as he heard that that I um but yeah, the Jags, I think Brian Thomas Jr., that's someone who I'm looking to have a big bounce back.
01:02:30.639 --> 01:02:32.239
I thought he looked great as a rookie.
01:02:32.400 --> 01:02:39.519
I think similar to Jaden Daniels, he was uh hurt last year and just kind of nagging injuries the entire time.
01:02:39.679 --> 01:02:42.159
Uh Parker Washington had a great year.
01:02:42.400 --> 01:02:47.039
It is crazy that his last name is pronounced A-chan, but he is gone.
01:02:47.199 --> 01:02:51.119
I think Tootin will take a step up uh in his absence.
01:02:51.360 --> 01:02:54.800
Um but yeah, I think this is gonna be what'd you say?
01:02:55.039 --> 01:02:56.480
We're high on Tootin on this podcast.
01:02:56.639 --> 01:02:56.719
Yeah.
01:02:58.159 --> 01:02:59.440
Tootin will be good.
01:02:59.760 --> 01:03:09.840
And I'm sure Travis Hunter, once they figure out what to do with him, uh they should probably just let him play defense, but they'll try some offensive packages with him.
01:03:10.079 --> 01:03:11.039
And who knows?
01:03:11.119 --> 01:03:12.320
I think he could also be good.
01:03:12.400 --> 01:03:16.239
So this team overall, Jacoby Myers, great vet in the wide receiver room.
01:03:16.400 --> 01:03:18.880
Trevor Lawrence is just a coin toss to me.
01:03:19.039 --> 01:03:26.960
I know he he got that bag a couple years ago and he they won 13 games, but that's a very weird 13-win team.
01:03:27.039 --> 01:03:35.920
Um has there ever been a 13-win team that has a franchise quarterback that's over under was five wins less the next year?
01:03:36.079 --> 01:03:37.760
Like, has that ever happened?
01:03:38.079 --> 01:03:38.639
Yeah, no.
01:03:38.719 --> 01:03:42.960
I mean, there wasn't like I mean, they just nothing changed.
01:03:43.119 --> 01:03:43.519
Yeah.
01:03:43.679 --> 01:03:47.280
Um, I get that, and I I did have concerns about that.
01:03:47.360 --> 01:03:52.079
I ain't leaning over, and it is weird that they didn't do anything, but they kind of batten the hatches down.
01:03:52.159 --> 01:03:57.440
They re-signed Travon Walker, they obviously made Travis Hunter a permanent cornerback.
01:03:57.679 --> 01:04:05.840
Um uh, you know, second year of uh Liam Cohen being there, who's a coach I like.
01:04:06.159 --> 01:04:10.559
Um, so I I think they just kind of figured, you know, run with what we got.
01:04:10.880 --> 01:04:17.119
Trevor Lawrence, 15 touchdown passes, only one interception his last six games last year, so he ended on a hot streak.
01:04:17.599 --> 01:04:20.320
I think they're just kind of banking with what they got.
01:04:20.400 --> 01:04:25.679
Is it a strategy, which we'll see if it works, but I think at eight and a half, I think you almost have to take the over here.
01:04:25.920 --> 01:04:27.039
Yeah, it feels dangerous as well.
01:04:27.199 --> 01:04:27.760
You know what I mean?
01:04:27.840 --> 01:04:28.960
Um, so I'll take the over.
01:04:30.239 --> 01:04:35.280
Uh, we'll go on to the Colts sitting at seven and a half wins over at plus one fifteen, under at 140.
01:04:35.519 --> 01:04:40.079
O-line comes in at 10th, 10th ranked offensive line, defensive front comes in at 25th ranked.
01:04:40.239 --> 01:04:41.039
Strength of schedule.
01:04:41.119 --> 01:04:44.079
They have the ninth hardest strength of schedule for the indie Colts.
01:04:44.639 --> 01:04:45.599
Interesting.
01:04:46.639 --> 01:04:51.280
Yeah, um, this is kind of uh uh Shane Steichen's prove it year, I would imagine, uh, in year four.
01:04:51.360 --> 01:04:53.199
Um he's 25 and 26 so far.
01:04:53.280 --> 01:04:55.920
He's went eight and nine, nine and eight, eight and nine kind of deal.
01:04:56.079 --> 01:04:59.519
Um people forget though, the Colts were eight and two before Daniel Jones went down last year.
01:04:59.760 --> 01:05:01.360
Then they then they lost out.
01:05:01.760 --> 01:05:07.039
Um so they also had no first-round picks this year from the Sauce Gardner trade.
01:05:07.119 --> 01:05:12.320
Um, but they selected CJ Allen, AJ Halsey, um, Bryce Bocher, uh yeah, Bryce Becher.
01:05:12.800 --> 01:05:13.039
Is it?
01:05:13.119 --> 01:05:15.360
I think that's how you pronounce it, and Caden Curry.
01:05:15.440 --> 01:05:22.320
Um they also had an Arden Key, Jonathan Owens, aka Jonathan Biles, um, and uh Kobe Wooden.
01:05:22.559 --> 01:05:28.000
Uh departures are Michael Pittman, Zaire Franklin, Quiddy Pay, uh, Braden Smith, and Nick Cross.
01:05:28.320 --> 01:05:32.320
Um, I lean the under here at seven and a half, uh, very slightly though.
01:05:32.480 --> 01:05:35.119
I mean, I did I counted this out to about seven and a half.
01:05:35.280 --> 01:05:38.880
Uh if they can return to the format they had at the beginning of last year.
01:05:38.960 --> 01:05:41.679
I mean, I think this team can definitely hit their over.
01:05:41.760 --> 01:05:47.920
Um, I just I again I worry that this team was pretty mediocre last year and also ended very poorly.
01:05:48.000 --> 01:05:51.679
And I'm not sure what Shane Steichen's standing is.
01:05:51.760 --> 01:05:59.119
I'm I'm not plugged in enough to really um understand what the trajectory and like what the vibe on him is, but if the vibe's bad, this team's going under.
01:05:59.199 --> 01:06:02.000
Um Because they're they're they're kind of they're teetering.
01:06:02.159 --> 01:06:03.679
So um I'm on the under.
01:06:05.119 --> 01:06:06.079
Also on the under.
01:06:06.239 --> 01:06:09.199
Um I hate to say, but yeah.
01:06:09.280 --> 01:06:12.239
I mean, Chris Ballard, hot seat as well, potentially their GM.
01:06:12.800 --> 01:06:17.760
Um and Dana Jones, I mean he's coming back from an Achilles injury, he's not the most athletic guy in the world.
01:06:17.920 --> 01:06:21.760
So I imagine that I don't think that'll be the easiest recovery.
01:06:22.159 --> 01:06:22.639
He's fast.
01:06:22.800 --> 01:06:23.519
He is, he is.
01:06:23.679 --> 01:06:25.119
He he's like a gazelle.
01:06:25.519 --> 01:06:28.400
Um and then you also have uh Alan Pierce who's on the pup.
01:06:28.719 --> 01:06:39.199
So um they lost Michael Pittman Jr., obviously you're relying on Al Pierce to essentially kind of fell into that one roll, and um he hasn't practiced yet, so I think that's something to be concerned about.
01:06:39.280 --> 01:06:40.559
So only in the under ear.
01:06:40.800 --> 01:06:42.719
Could be the blown-up ear, maybe for the Colts.
01:06:42.800 --> 01:06:48.000
I know they're never that bad, but yeah, I think as I said, I'm low on the Colts.
01:06:48.480 --> 01:06:52.000
Steichen's just a w an interesting coach to me.
01:06:52.239 --> 01:06:55.840
Uh, not saying he's bad, I just think he's in a weird spot.
01:06:56.079 --> 01:07:02.719
He seems like he's on more of that Mike McDaniel path of get me back to being an OC where I can enjoy life.
01:07:03.039 --> 01:07:08.239
And DJ, interesting to see how he comes back from the Achilles.
01:07:08.400 --> 01:07:14.000
Seems like a lot of people are doing fine nowadays, but he does move more than a Kirk Cousins and Aaron Rodgers.
01:07:14.400 --> 01:07:17.840
Uh, I do totally agree with the gazelle take.
01:07:18.000 --> 01:07:19.119
He does run like that.
01:07:19.199 --> 01:07:24.880
I remember a run back in like 2020 against the Giants or against the Eagles or something.
01:07:25.119 --> 01:07:30.639
But yeah, this team they went all in for sauce at a weird time.
01:07:30.800 --> 01:07:33.119
I think that's a weird move in hindsight.
01:07:33.360 --> 01:07:37.519
Uh Jonathan Taylor is getting older when he's healthy.
01:07:37.599 --> 01:07:40.239
He's still probably the best pure runner of the football.
01:07:40.400 --> 01:07:47.840
Um, but just like Saquon, just like Christian McCaffrey, you can fall off at any time.
01:07:48.000 --> 01:07:54.639
Most likely, I don't think he's gonna fall off because of talent, but an injury can happen at any time, and at this age, it's tough to recover from.
01:07:54.880 --> 01:07:59.519
Uh, I feel like I, of all people, need to throw Anthony Richardson's name out there.
01:07:59.840 --> 01:08:00.400
Who knows?
01:08:00.559 --> 01:08:02.400
In my mind, it's still a camp battle.
01:08:02.480 --> 01:08:05.599
Um, in the coach's mind, apparently, it's Daniel Jones for sure.
01:08:05.920 --> 01:08:15.519
But I I hope to see Anthony Richardson this year, and that for that I can also hope for the under, which I already thought was ha would happen.
01:08:15.599 --> 01:08:20.079
Um, but an under is a win-win, because then maybe we see Anthony Richardson for two, three games.
01:08:20.239 --> 01:08:21.840
But yeah, I do agree, Carver.
01:08:21.920 --> 01:08:26.640
They I think they their defense is way too good to be super bad.
01:08:27.119 --> 01:08:29.680
Like where they're and they don't have their pick this year.
01:08:29.840 --> 01:08:31.840
So it's I don't know.
01:08:32.000 --> 01:08:32.880
They're in a weird spot.
01:08:33.039 --> 01:08:34.560
The Colts are in a very interesting spot.
01:08:34.720 --> 01:08:38.079
Before we move on, who are their wide receivers besides Josh Downs?
01:08:39.039 --> 01:08:41.680
Um Alec Pierce signed Alec Pierce to a big deal.
01:08:42.880 --> 01:08:44.000
They have another one.
01:08:45.359 --> 01:08:46.720
I don't have the depth startup.
01:08:46.880 --> 01:08:47.680
I don't have it either.
01:08:47.920 --> 01:08:52.239
I guess Josh Downs and Tyler Warren then are their receiving options.
01:08:52.479 --> 01:08:52.640
Yeah.
01:08:52.720 --> 01:08:53.760
And Alec Pierce, dude.
01:08:53.840 --> 01:08:54.880
Alec Pierce got the bag.
01:08:55.119 --> 01:08:56.239
I thought he's hurt though.
01:08:57.279 --> 01:08:57.760
He's gonna play.
01:08:57.840 --> 01:08:59.199
I mean, he's yeah, yeah.
01:08:59.520 --> 01:09:01.359
Well, I thought his injury was worse.
01:09:01.600 --> 01:09:01.840
No.
01:09:02.000 --> 01:09:02.079
No.
01:09:02.239 --> 01:09:04.239
That's not the end of unless he's something new happens.
01:09:04.399 --> 01:09:06.479
He should return to practice somewhat sometime soon.
01:09:07.359 --> 01:09:09.119
Um he didn't have surgery.
01:09:10.079 --> 01:09:12.159
Uh all right, we'll wrap it up with the Tennessee Titans.
01:09:12.239 --> 01:09:16.560
They're sitting at six and a half wins over minus 140, under plus 115.
01:09:16.720 --> 01:09:20.800
Offensive line comes in at the 30th rank, defensive front, 22nd.
01:09:21.039 --> 01:09:23.520
And they have the 16th hardest strength to schedule.
01:09:23.760 --> 01:09:24.079
Yeah.
01:09:24.239 --> 01:09:31.039
Um, the Titans added Bob Salah, aka Mo Sala, um, and uh offensive coordinator Brian Dable.
01:09:31.359 --> 01:09:38.880
Um in the draft, they added Carnell Tate, uh, Keldrick Falk, Anthony Hill, uh Fernando Cremano, Pat Coogan.
01:09:39.039 --> 01:09:45.920
Um, they also added uh John Franklin Myers, Elante Taylor, and some extra DB depth that I didn't all write down here.
01:09:46.079 --> 01:09:53.840
Um Departures, I wrote down as some washed vets on both the line, both sides of the lines of scrimmage, um, which were also just really bad last year.
01:09:54.079 --> 01:09:57.520
Um, I love the coaching change um and I love the new group coming in.
01:09:57.600 --> 01:09:59.600
The Titans are my lock for the over at six and a half.
01:09:59.680 --> 01:10:05.760
I'm buying all the Cam Ward stock, I think, with Carnell Tate and this uh refurbished group of receivers.
01:10:06.239 --> 01:10:08.640
Um they'll be pretty solid.
01:10:08.720 --> 01:10:14.399
I guess I didn't have Wandell Robinson uh in here, but Wandell Robinson's on the team now, if I'm not mistaken.
01:10:14.640 --> 01:10:16.159
Calvin Wrigley's still there.
01:10:16.239 --> 01:10:23.760
Um I I just I think uh I think they have some weapons, and I I'm excited to see what the Titans uh what the Titans turn out to be.
01:10:23.920 --> 01:10:26.000
So give me all the Titans.
01:10:26.239 --> 01:10:27.520
I will go with the under here.
01:10:27.840 --> 01:10:28.800
I like the Titans.
01:10:28.880 --> 01:10:32.640
Don't get me wrong, but I feel like this is unfortunately a six-win team.
01:10:32.880 --> 01:10:35.359
Um I don't think they'll get to that seventh win.
01:10:35.680 --> 01:10:39.680
Um I like and I think they're going the right way.
01:10:40.560 --> 01:10:42.239
Robert Saul, let's not get wrong.
01:10:42.319 --> 01:10:44.960
Like, I mean, I saw he had a ton of success in in New York.
01:10:45.039 --> 01:10:46.079
I get it's the Jets.
01:10:46.800 --> 01:10:48.640
Is it the Jets thing or is it a Ronald's thing?
01:10:48.880 --> 01:10:56.239
I agree, I I know, but it's not like Varabel, where Vrabel had a good track record with uh a lackluster franchise.
01:10:56.720 --> 01:11:00.319
Um I I think they're making the right steps, but I think it might be one more year.
01:11:00.479 --> 01:11:01.119
We'll see though.
01:11:01.199 --> 01:11:05.840
I I it's a big rear for Cam Ward, because if they're bad, they could take a quarterback potentially.
01:11:06.000 --> 01:11:07.680
So we'll see with that.
01:11:08.000 --> 01:11:09.119
Um I hope he is good.
01:11:09.199 --> 01:11:12.239
I think he is good, but um I'm gonna go.
01:11:12.319 --> 01:11:13.680
I think this is a six-win team.
01:11:13.920 --> 01:11:17.520
I I I think that that half number, I'm sorry, it scares me off.
01:11:17.920 --> 01:11:19.680
I think this team can go to the playoffs.
01:11:19.840 --> 01:11:20.560
I don't think so.
01:11:20.720 --> 01:11:21.039
Okay.
01:11:21.279 --> 01:11:24.800
I don't think the defense I mean the defense isn't bad, but I mean, like I said, the offensive line is bad.
01:11:25.199 --> 01:11:27.359
I think the defense is gonna be really good with Bob Sala.
01:11:28.560 --> 01:11:35.039
I think so too, but I'm not sure if it'll be enough to win seven games, which means you're gonna miss the playoffs.
01:11:35.600 --> 01:11:38.560
I I think I think they're gonna win 10 games.
01:11:39.119 --> 01:11:40.479
I would I hope they do.
01:11:40.560 --> 01:11:41.680
I I like the Titans.
01:11:41.760 --> 01:11:42.880
I I sip the Titan cool.
01:11:43.039 --> 01:11:48.239
I'm gonna probably bet them all in time, but I don't think they're gonna I think they're gonna be a six-win team.
01:11:48.399 --> 01:11:49.199
Where are you at, Jarr?
01:11:49.279 --> 01:11:50.000
You gotta settle this.
01:11:50.159 --> 01:12:02.960
We we are yet to see uh just because Carver mentioned Vrabel in his success in Tennessee, we are yet to see Vrabel in a world where he's not getting insider information that he can hold his blackmail over other coaches and owners.
01:12:03.119 --> 01:12:03.760
That's a good point.
01:12:03.920 --> 01:12:06.880
Um, so I'll have to see how things play out this year.
01:12:07.119 --> 01:12:10.800
No pillow talk, no no blackmail that he has.
01:12:11.199 --> 01:12:18.640
But on my on my spreadsheet, I just have lock over vibes for the Titans.
01:12:18.800 --> 01:12:21.279
Um that's how I'm feeling with the Titans this year.
01:12:21.359 --> 01:12:23.359
I think the vibe this is a vibes team.
01:12:23.680 --> 01:12:28.800
I mean when there's when there's a vibes team, you have to ride with that team.
01:12:29.039 --> 01:12:31.520
Um so this is just an over to me.
01:12:31.680 --> 01:12:34.560
People are gonna say, look at their schedule, they're young.
01:12:34.720 --> 01:12:41.600
Cam Ward, people always talk about oh, Cam Ward's underlying statistics are historically bad.
01:12:42.079 --> 01:12:46.880
No, he's one of those guys where I say, watch the tape, uh, watch them sling that rock.
01:12:47.279 --> 01:12:48.399
The team was historically bad.
01:12:48.479 --> 01:12:51.119
I don't think Cam Ward was historically bad.
01:12:51.359 --> 01:12:51.920
Exactly.
01:12:52.079 --> 01:12:56.239
So it's this is Vibes, and they're gonna win games off of Vibes.
01:12:56.479 --> 01:13:00.560
And there's always a team in the NFL that shocks everyone.
01:13:02.399 --> 01:13:06.560
And it wouldn't be surprising if this was one of those teams because this is the division to do it.
01:13:06.720 --> 01:13:15.199
Nobody in the NFC South could be a like if the Saints make it to the playoffs or the Falcons make it, it's like, yeah, your division is dog shit.
01:13:15.680 --> 01:13:17.119
One of you have to make it.
01:13:17.359 --> 01:13:18.720
Yes, someone else then.
01:13:19.119 --> 01:13:24.800
The Titans would be one of those wild card teams that it's like, oh, this is awesome that the Titans made it.
01:13:25.039 --> 01:13:25.600
Yep.
01:13:26.239 --> 01:13:27.039
I agree.
01:13:27.279 --> 01:13:32.479
And I do blame Robert Salah's failures on almost strictly on the New York Jets.
01:13:32.720 --> 01:13:34.159
I like the Titans, not a hater.
01:13:34.319 --> 01:13:35.439
I'm thinking about it, man.
01:13:35.600 --> 01:13:38.800
I do kind of like that it's uh Brian Dable and uh Robert Salah.
01:13:39.039 --> 01:13:40.079
Dable's also an idiot.
01:13:40.239 --> 01:13:43.680
Well, no, I I kind of well, again, they're both great coordinators, respectively.
01:13:43.840 --> 01:13:56.000
So I get that that's why I think it's kind of fun to be together as like two coaches that got kicked out of kicked out of Jersey, um, kind of like, I don't know, disgruntled, like, you know, frowned upon, like cast aside.
01:13:56.159 --> 01:14:04.239
And then they're just it's like a it's like the start of like the movie when they go like to the music city and they just kind of figure it out together and they're like, you know what, everybody cast us off from the big apple.
01:14:04.479 --> 01:14:04.640
Sure.
01:14:04.720 --> 01:14:05.039
Yeah.
01:14:05.359 --> 01:14:08.640
We're gonna go find our our uh retribution in the music city.
01:14:08.880 --> 01:14:09.199
Yeah.
01:14:09.359 --> 01:14:13.760
All right, we'll move on to the final division of the night, the AFC or the NFC South.
01:14:14.000 --> 01:14:15.520
Do you have your lock for the division?
01:14:15.840 --> 01:14:16.880
Give our locks.
01:14:17.439 --> 01:14:20.239
Um because it sounds like Justin and I are both locking the playoffs.
01:14:20.399 --> 01:14:21.600
I like Houston.
01:14:22.319 --> 01:14:23.920
I'm stuck between Houston and Jackson.
01:14:24.079 --> 01:14:24.560
I know where I would go.
01:14:24.880 --> 01:14:25.520
I'll take Houston.
01:14:25.600 --> 01:14:31.439
Yeah, I would go Houston on uh in in that uh Houston will win 10 games.
01:14:32.319 --> 01:14:34.479
There'll be an 11-win playoff team division winner.
01:14:34.560 --> 01:14:35.199
All right, we'll move on.
01:14:35.279 --> 01:14:37.039
Oh, you guys both walking out the Titans?
01:14:37.199 --> 01:14:37.600
Yeah.
01:14:37.760 --> 01:14:38.560
Oh, I love that.
01:14:38.720 --> 01:14:38.960
Yep.
01:14:39.119 --> 01:14:41.199
Titans are like Titans are my mortal lock.
01:14:41.279 --> 01:14:43.920
Like the like if I only got one to bet, it would be the Titans.
01:14:44.079 --> 01:14:44.399
Interesting.
01:14:44.479 --> 01:14:47.119
If I can advise our listeners to bet one, it's the Titans.
01:14:47.199 --> 01:14:48.800
But don't bet it before I do.
01:14:49.279 --> 01:14:53.359
All right, Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the top team in the NFC South.
01:14:53.520 --> 01:14:58.880
So the eight and a half wins, plus 105 to the over, minus 125 to the under.
01:14:59.279 --> 01:15:00.399
Offensive line current.
01:15:00.800 --> 01:15:02.640
Offensive line ranked fourth.
01:15:02.960 --> 01:15:07.840
Defensive front ranks 14th, and their strength of schedule is the 25, 25th easiest.
01:15:08.000 --> 01:15:20.640
Yeah, the uh the Buccaneers bring in offensive coordinator Zach Robinson into the booth this year, um, as well as adding Ruben Bain, Josiah Trotter, and Ted Hurst, big Ted Hurst guy, um in in the uh in the draft this year.
01:15:20.880 --> 01:15:28.239
Also added Alex Alec Anzolone, um Al Qarin Mohammed, uh Kenneth Gainwell, and Ashawn Robinson.
01:15:28.399 --> 01:15:38.800
They lose um franchise legends, Mike Evans, Levante David, Jamal Dean, Logan Hall, Christian Izzyan, uh Anthony Walker, and uh Rashad White.
01:15:38.880 --> 01:15:43.760
So uh a lot of turnover on this team that I still think is kind of talented.
01:15:43.840 --> 01:15:49.600
Um it's weird to say it because they lost a lot of big names there that I mentioned, but I think some of those were kind of fading.
01:15:49.840 --> 01:16:02.000
Um and I talked to you guys just about this on the side before, but this is a team that I think may want to consider a soft rebuild potentially, just like a little mild reset, because there's still enough talent on this team to be really good.
01:16:02.159 --> 01:16:11.760
But if they could find themselves with like a top 15 draft pick where they could still like sniff at a quarterback, maybe not the first one off the board, but in a draft class, it should be pretty, pretty deep.
01:16:11.920 --> 01:16:18.159
Maybe get their get their hands on a guy um and not have to pay Baker and then kind of fill out the roster the rest of the way.
01:16:18.239 --> 01:16:21.039
I think, I mean, I think this team is in a good spot.
01:16:21.279 --> 01:16:27.760
So, because of that though, and that's where I think that they maybe should try to land, that leaves me on their under at eight and a half.
01:16:27.840 --> 01:16:29.520
So um give me the bucks under eight and a half.
01:16:29.680 --> 01:16:30.960
I'm also on the under here.
01:16:31.199 --> 01:16:34.000
Um I agree with a lot of what you said.
01:16:34.079 --> 01:16:35.600
They also ended the year really bad.
01:16:35.680 --> 01:16:37.920
I think like seven or last nine, they lost.
01:16:38.079 --> 01:16:39.600
Um, they sputtered towards the end.
01:16:39.680 --> 01:16:42.239
They brought back Todd Bowles, which was a surprise to some.
01:16:42.560 --> 01:16:45.600
Um, so again, is that be one of the hottest seats in the NFL?
01:16:45.760 --> 01:16:50.560
Probably another coach entering the season on the hot seat, which is just never a great thing.
01:16:50.800 --> 01:16:57.600
Um and another roster, like you said, it is a good roster, don't get me wrong, but it is getting a little older.
01:16:57.840 --> 01:17:01.119
Um and I I agree with you.
01:17:01.199 --> 01:17:03.840
I think it could be I mean, they've been kind of holding on.
01:17:04.319 --> 01:17:08.079
This is still kind of the Brady era Bucks in a what in a way.
01:17:08.319 --> 01:17:09.920
I know my Kevins is gone.
01:17:10.159 --> 01:17:16.960
But it's the same kind of philosophy, I feel like, in that same kind of organizational build.
01:17:17.520 --> 01:17:21.359
And um I think it could be good for them to move away from it.
01:17:21.439 --> 01:17:24.399
Uh either or, you know, they might be just forced to because they might not be very good.
01:17:24.479 --> 01:17:25.199
But I'll take the under.
01:17:25.520 --> 01:17:27.119
Yeah, I'm gonna go with the under here.
01:17:27.199 --> 01:17:29.199
I've said it many times this podcast.
01:17:29.359 --> 01:17:31.119
I think this division is trash.
01:17:31.359 --> 01:17:39.439
I think it it hit me today that maybe Baker isn't as good as for some reason in my mind he's been the last three years.
01:17:40.079 --> 01:17:46.319
I was thinking the Bucs have been winning 12 games, even though I watch every football season in most of the games.
01:17:47.039 --> 01:17:49.680
But it's when they're good, they're not that good.
01:17:49.760 --> 01:17:58.079
And I realized, oh yeah, they've been doing not that good in a you put an NFC North in that division and they go 6-0 in the division every year.
01:17:58.479 --> 01:18:02.159
Um I just think it's a very interesting team.
01:18:03.439 --> 01:18:09.039
The Baker stuff is going to it's gonna weigh on them because apparently they did offer him money.
01:18:09.119 --> 01:18:10.880
He didn't want to take it because he didn't like the length.
01:18:12.239 --> 01:18:15.920
So yeah, I think it's just oh it this is the opposite of the Titans.
01:18:16.000 --> 01:18:19.039
This is weird vibes going into the season for the Bucks.
01:18:19.600 --> 01:18:24.079
And there's really only one team in this division that I think could be fun-ish.
01:18:24.640 --> 01:18:26.479
But who knows, maybe Bucky's good.
01:18:26.640 --> 01:18:33.600
I do like I like the Bucks line for the most part, especially like at least their outside protection.
01:18:34.079 --> 01:18:36.399
And I think Igbuk is good.
01:18:37.680 --> 01:18:40.159
But yeah, no Mike Evans this year either.
01:18:40.319 --> 01:18:41.359
Thought he should have retired.
01:18:41.439 --> 01:18:44.560
He had a Super Bowl, but I don't know.
01:18:44.640 --> 01:18:46.079
I'm gonna go under here.
01:18:46.319 --> 01:18:47.359
I don't think they're that good.
01:18:47.520 --> 01:18:49.520
All right, we're locked up on that one together.
01:18:49.760 --> 01:18:57.119
I'm moving to the Carolina Panthers who are sitting at seven and a half as their win total over and un or Omer's plus one ten, under a minus one thirty.
01:18:57.279 --> 01:18:59.359
Offensive line, rank comes in at twelfth.
01:18:59.680 --> 01:19:03.359
Defensive front comes in at 19th, and their strength to schedule is the 30th.
01:19:03.520 --> 01:19:05.279
So they have an easy strength to schedule.
01:19:05.520 --> 01:19:05.840
Okay.
01:19:06.399 --> 01:19:07.680
Uh, I did not realize that.
01:19:07.760 --> 01:19:08.800
I might have to change my answer here.
01:19:08.880 --> 01:19:10.640
Uh make sure that's like easier.
01:19:11.840 --> 01:19:18.800
For um for the draft, they added uh Monroe Freeling, Lee Hunter, uh, Chris Brazil, R.I.P.
01:19:19.119 --> 01:19:21.600
Um, as well as they have the third hardest.
01:19:21.760 --> 01:19:22.479
Oh, there you go.
01:19:22.560 --> 01:19:23.600
I I I was like that.
01:19:24.399 --> 01:19:25.840
Like that is not what I remember.
01:19:26.000 --> 01:19:27.920
Uh because I uh I'm leaning on the under.
01:19:28.159 --> 01:19:31.279
I was like, oh, if it's the if it's the 30th hardest schedule, I might need to.
01:19:32.079 --> 01:19:32.800
They won the division list.
01:19:33.039 --> 01:19:33.359
Okay.
01:19:33.520 --> 01:19:39.920
Um they also added Jalen Phillips, Devin Lloyd, um, some online help for Rasheed Walker and Stone Forsyth.
01:19:40.000 --> 01:19:43.680
Um, and I guess uh also added uh Luke Fortner.
01:19:44.079 --> 01:19:50.640
Um plus some uh just offensive uh depth in general with John Mechie and Kenny Pickett um in the reserves.
01:19:50.800 --> 01:19:56.800
Um they lose Andy Dalton, uh Ashawn Robinson, Cade Mays, and friend of the show, DJ Wannham.
01:19:57.279 --> 01:20:05.439
Um I think the story for this team is how fast Ike Aquanu can recover and how far Bryce Young can really take him.
01:20:05.520 --> 01:20:13.279
Uh, because we've seen Bryce Young play well-ish, and then we've seen him play really shitty uh to the point that Andy Dalton was starting over him.
01:20:13.520 --> 01:20:25.039
Um I they're gonna need to take a step forward offensively, um, especially with Dave Canales being an offensive head coach, and their offensive numbers just have not been very impressive under him, and they they they've stocked weapons.
01:20:25.199 --> 01:20:28.720
Um, I guess I didn't mention, but Jonathan Brooks will be back.
01:20:28.960 --> 01:20:33.119
Um, but I'm just not confident this team can take the step forward.
01:20:33.279 --> 01:20:37.840
Um so I I lean on the under seven and a half, but it came up pretty close when we counted up.
01:20:38.000 --> 01:20:38.880
This is a tough one.
01:20:38.960 --> 01:20:41.119
I also slightly lean under.
01:20:41.680 --> 01:20:42.239
Actually, you know what?
01:20:42.319 --> 01:20:43.119
I'm gonna take the over.
01:20:43.199 --> 01:20:44.000
I'll take the over.
01:20:44.319 --> 01:20:45.520
Uh no, I'm gonna go under.
01:20:45.600 --> 01:20:46.159
Ah, there we go.
01:20:46.399 --> 01:20:47.279
I'm gonna go under.
01:20:47.520 --> 01:20:49.039
Um, I'm not sure.
01:20:49.119 --> 01:20:49.279
Yeah.
01:20:49.520 --> 01:20:51.439
Dave Canellas, I'm not sure about him.
01:20:51.600 --> 01:20:56.159
Um and I I will say I'll compliment the team, actually.
01:20:56.239 --> 01:20:57.680
I'll go under, but I'll compliment the team.
01:20:57.760 --> 01:20:59.840
I like they've done a good job rebuilding their offensive line.
01:20:59.920 --> 01:21:01.199
I remember doing this a few years ago.
01:21:01.520 --> 01:21:03.520
It was it was ranked pretty low.
01:21:03.760 --> 01:21:05.600
Um, and they've added weapons.
01:21:05.680 --> 01:21:11.520
I'm not sure how great any of them are, but they've added weapons around uh Bryce Young.
01:21:12.560 --> 01:21:15.760
Um they lost Rico Dattle, though, who gave him a spark last year.
01:21:15.840 --> 01:21:16.960
So I'll lean under.
01:21:17.199 --> 01:21:18.000
I'll go under here.
01:21:18.159 --> 01:21:23.279
I think this might be I'm just not sure how good this team actually is, pound for pound.
01:21:23.439 --> 01:21:25.520
Like you said, the division is not very good.
01:21:25.760 --> 01:21:27.119
I think I might like two teams.
01:21:27.439 --> 01:21:28.399
I'm gonna go over here.
01:21:28.560 --> 01:21:34.560
This is a eight and nine division winner of the NFC South uh Carolina Panthers that we're talking about.
01:21:34.880 --> 01:21:39.199
I do think I I liked what I saw from Bryce Young last year.
01:21:39.359 --> 01:21:43.199
They were kind of the Again, they won the division because the Bucks melted down.
01:21:44.560 --> 01:21:45.520
Like it's like, I don't know.
01:21:45.760 --> 01:21:48.560
Not necessarily the comeback kids, but kind of like the cardiac kids.
01:21:48.640 --> 01:21:50.800
They were in close games, they won a few at the end.
01:21:50.960 --> 01:21:56.239
Now, there are some Bryce Young plays that you'll watch and you'll be like, what the hell was that?
01:21:56.399 --> 01:22:01.279
I remember watching Panthers Cardinals last year and he did that on the goal line.
01:22:01.439 --> 01:22:04.640
And it's like, holy shit, how are you an NFL quarterback?
01:22:04.880 --> 01:22:10.079
But uh if Tet can stay where he's at, uh even take a step up.
01:22:10.239 --> 01:22:16.239
If Zay, if Xavier Legette wants to play a little bit of football, um, that would probably be good for them.
01:22:16.479 --> 01:22:19.600
Jonathan Brooks, you could say the same for the last three years.
01:22:19.760 --> 01:22:20.079
Yep.
01:22:20.479 --> 01:22:24.000
But in all honesty, hopefully Jonathan Brooks can stay healthy.
01:22:24.079 --> 01:22:25.920
It sucks when guys are that injury prone.
01:22:26.000 --> 01:22:27.119
It's kind of giving J.K.
01:22:27.279 --> 01:22:28.640
Dobbins a little bit.
01:22:28.960 --> 01:22:34.479
Um but yeah, I think this division is dog shit.
01:22:34.640 --> 01:22:40.880
So I'm gonna go with this is this division is giving eight and nine whoever finishes first.
01:22:41.119 --> 01:22:42.560
Yeah, I mean, same as last year.
01:22:42.720 --> 01:22:46.159
I mean, they this division's bad, like straight up, bad.
01:22:46.319 --> 01:22:48.960
I I don't I don't love really any of the teams here.
01:22:49.520 --> 01:22:56.079
And the division's so bad that they all get a few wins against each other and nobody ever gets like a top draft pick.
01:22:57.279 --> 01:22:59.680
So it they can never really escape mediocrity.
01:22:59.920 --> 01:23:00.319
Yeah.
01:23:01.359 --> 01:23:04.239
All right, let's move on to the Saints, who also at seven and a half wins.
01:23:04.399 --> 01:23:13.279
Overs plus 135, unders minus 160, offensive line ranked of 16, uh defensive front rank of 28th, and the strength of schedule.
01:23:16.960 --> 01:23:18.560
Oh interesting.
01:23:18.800 --> 01:23:44.239
Um for the uh for the Saints, we add uh Jordan Tyson, Christian Miller, and Oscar Delp in the draft, uh, as well as Travis Achan, um, Jacksonville, Jaguar Departure, um, David Edwards, Caden Ellis, uh, Noah Fant, Tyree Wilson, uh Keeta Pargers here, Demario Davis, Elance Taylor, uh, Luke Fortner, uh, and Foster Moreau.
01:23:44.399 --> 01:23:48.399
Um I'm expecting a noticeable step forward on the offensive side of the ball for the Saints.
01:23:48.479 --> 01:23:51.760
So I'm leaning on the over here, um, lean under for the uh for the Panthers.
01:23:51.920 --> 01:23:58.960
So I'm kind of going the opposite way where I think the Saints will go eight and nine, and the Panthers will probably go, well, what is that, seven and ten?
01:24:00.159 --> 01:24:07.199
But um I'd a little lean to the over here just because of uh Tyler Shuck's strong ending at the end of last year.
01:24:07.359 --> 01:24:09.680
Um, paired with some of the additions they made on the offensive side of the mall.
01:24:09.760 --> 01:24:16.079
Like they're truly they're clearly trying to lighten the load on that side for him, stock him with some weapons, and see what the Shuckster can do.
01:24:16.239 --> 01:24:19.520
And if it looks like the last five games, it seems like they'll be in a good spot.
01:24:19.760 --> 01:24:23.039
So um I lean the over here for the Saints.
01:24:23.359 --> 01:24:24.079
Justin?
01:24:25.119 --> 01:24:27.439
Yeah, I'll lean the over on the Saints.
01:24:27.600 --> 01:24:32.239
This was one of those I did want to split the division in half, go two overs, two unders.
01:24:32.399 --> 01:24:36.079
Um, I'm not the most confident in them.
01:24:36.239 --> 01:24:38.399
I do think the Panthers are a better team.
01:24:38.560 --> 01:24:57.199
Uh, but offensively, if Jordan Tyson comes in and is any impact like we've seen from previous first-round wide receivers, whether that's Tet McMillan, Malik Neighbors, and he's I'm not saying he's gonna be that good, but they have a number one receiver that they're hoping Tyson can overtake over the next few years.
01:24:57.520 --> 01:25:07.119
But getting a second receiver to come in, like the Jefferson to the Adam Thielen, it makes your team instantly look much better, makes a quarterback look much better.
01:25:07.279 --> 01:25:09.199
Uh, I don't think it'll be long yet.
01:25:09.359 --> 01:25:13.359
Juwan Jans Juwan Johnson and Noah Fant are there.
01:25:13.520 --> 01:25:16.239
I do think Oscar Delp is a very good player.
01:25:16.479 --> 01:25:22.079
Um he is he was the second coming after Brock Bowers.
01:25:22.159 --> 01:25:30.239
Obviously, he didn't have the Browers resume, but he does have he is a lot like Brock Bowers, besides the run after catch.
01:25:30.319 --> 01:25:34.880
That's what separated Brock Bowers and made him this the greatest tight end prospect of all time.
01:25:35.119 --> 01:25:38.560
But everything before that, Oscar Delp does very well.
01:25:38.880 --> 01:25:43.279
Um so yeah, I think this offensively they can be good.
01:25:44.159 --> 01:25:47.119
It'd be nice if they kept things fresh.
01:25:47.279 --> 01:25:50.640
It's always I never know how the offenses are gonna be run.
01:25:50.720 --> 01:25:52.880
Um are they gonna be running a lot of motions?
01:25:52.960 --> 01:25:57.039
Are they gonna be trying to make this easier uh for Tyler Stuck?
01:25:57.520 --> 01:25:59.760
And hopefully that's the case.
01:25:59.840 --> 01:26:00.800
Uh Travis A.
01:26:00.960 --> 01:26:04.079
Chan is played great last year.
01:26:04.399 --> 01:26:09.199
I think running backs like Liam Cohen offense, but I think he'll be fine.
01:26:09.279 --> 01:26:16.479
And hopefully Kamara has a little bit of juice left uh just to kind of a farewell season for my fantasy GOAT.
01:26:16.880 --> 01:26:19.119
Uh the defense, it's a toss-up.
01:26:19.600 --> 01:26:29.680
Playing in this division, your defense might look some good some games, and you'll probably play some teams where it looks pretty rough, but it's the NFC South, so truly any given Sunday.
01:26:30.079 --> 01:26:30.560
Truly.
01:26:31.840 --> 01:26:33.600
Um, okay, we'll move on to.
01:26:34.319 --> 01:26:36.079
I think we've all been on the same so far.
01:26:36.239 --> 01:26:36.640
Oh, my bad.
01:26:36.720 --> 01:26:37.359
I haven't given mine.
01:26:37.520 --> 01:26:38.159
I'm on the over.
01:26:38.640 --> 01:26:41.119
Um a lot of the same reasons you guys said.
01:26:41.439 --> 01:26:43.520
Tyler Shug might be better than Bryce Young.
01:26:43.680 --> 01:26:46.880
Um, not trying to get on the hype train too much, but let's have a dialogue.
01:26:47.039 --> 01:26:48.399
I mean, yeah, let's have a dialogue.
01:26:48.800 --> 01:26:49.920
We're the aggregators.
01:26:50.159 --> 01:26:50.880
They gotta get that one.
01:26:51.840 --> 01:26:53.760
Has more college football starts under his belt.
01:26:53.920 --> 01:26:57.279
So um Case Keenum goat.
01:26:57.600 --> 01:26:57.840
Yeah.
01:26:58.079 --> 01:27:01.039
They both have played like a one good five-game sample size.
01:27:04.800 --> 01:27:07.279
You know, played a shit ton of college football games.
01:27:07.439 --> 01:27:08.079
Yeah.
01:27:08.319 --> 01:27:12.479
Um, both old souls, but yeah, Kamara though, too, and they got Kim Jordan.
01:27:12.880 --> 01:27:14.000
It's kind of like a send-off.
01:27:14.079 --> 01:27:15.840
It's a quite like send-off here in New Orleans.
01:27:15.920 --> 01:27:17.680
So I could see them kind of rallying a little bit.
01:27:17.840 --> 01:27:18.640
I could too.
01:27:18.800 --> 01:27:21.439
The vibes, I think the vibe that's a vibes team for me a little bit.
01:27:21.520 --> 01:27:24.319
Like, I I think if there's a vibes team in this division, I think it's the same.
01:27:24.560 --> 01:27:28.399
I think this is the first time in my life I've ever found myself kind of cheering for the New Orleans Saints.
01:27:28.560 --> 01:27:28.880
Honestly.
01:27:29.039 --> 01:27:30.159
Like, I just feel bad for them.
01:27:30.239 --> 01:27:30.560
Yeah.
01:27:30.800 --> 01:27:32.560
They've been in such purgatory for so long.
01:27:32.720 --> 01:27:36.000
Yeah, that that was it's what um Sean Payton did to him, dude.
01:27:36.079 --> 01:27:38.319
You know, set him into Cap Hell and just retired.
01:27:39.039 --> 01:27:40.159
What an asshole.
01:27:41.199 --> 01:27:42.560
No asshole, Sean Payton.
01:27:42.800 --> 01:27:44.880
We'll finish with the car or the Falcons, my bad.
01:27:45.039 --> 01:27:46.239
Wrong, wrong red bird.
01:27:46.640 --> 01:27:48.159
Uh the Atlanta Falcons.
01:27:48.800 --> 01:27:50.399
Atlanta Falcons, Arizona Cardinals.
01:27:50.640 --> 01:27:51.199
Kind of weird, you know.
01:27:51.279 --> 01:27:53.840
It starts with an A and it's a bird that's red.
01:27:54.159 --> 01:27:55.279
And they're both in the NFC.
01:27:55.520 --> 01:27:57.279
Kind of and they're both just bit.
01:27:57.920 --> 01:27:58.159
Yeah.
01:27:58.960 --> 01:27:59.760
Atlanta and Arizona.
01:28:03.760 --> 01:28:08.640
Six and a half wins, sitting at over minus one twenty, under plus one hundred.
01:28:09.039 --> 01:28:12.880
Uh offensive line ranked at 10th, defensive front ranked at 31st.
01:28:12.960 --> 01:28:15.439
This was before the Javon Walker injury.
01:28:15.760 --> 01:28:18.000
And they're strike the schedule comes in at the 19th.
01:28:18.640 --> 01:28:19.279
Easiest.
01:28:19.439 --> 01:28:19.680
Yeah.
01:28:19.840 --> 01:28:26.640
Um in the offseason, the Falcons added two-time coach of the year winner Kevin Safansky, uh, bringing in defensive coordinator Jeff Albrich.
01:28:26.720 --> 01:28:29.039
Um his wife just passed away every answer.
01:28:30.000 --> 01:28:30.399
Damn, yeah.
01:28:30.479 --> 01:28:31.119
I okay, I did.
01:28:32.159 --> 01:28:36.079
Well, when I was looking up the defensive coordinator, I was looking up Jeff Albrich, that was the first thing that popped up.
01:28:36.159 --> 01:28:37.840
And I was like, what's up with Jeff Albrich's wife?
01:28:37.920 --> 01:28:38.560
But I didn't look at it.
01:28:38.640 --> 01:28:39.680
So yeah, there you go.
01:28:39.760 --> 01:28:41.359
Damn, that's tough.
01:28:41.840 --> 01:28:47.279
Um in the draft, they added Avian Terrell, uh, Zachariah Branch, Harold Perkins.
01:28:47.520 --> 01:29:01.439
Um, as well as in the offseason, they added Tua Tagovaloa, uh, Jahan Dotson, Aziz O'Jelari, uh, Cameron Thomas, Christian Harris, and Brian Robinson Jr., now comprising the most confusing backfield in football.
01:29:01.600 --> 01:29:03.840
Um, might have gotten our good friend Kansas.
01:29:05.039 --> 01:29:05.920
Ben Burns on that.
01:29:06.000 --> 01:29:06.640
Ben Burns on that.
01:29:06.880 --> 01:29:07.520
The old the old B.
01:29:07.680 --> 01:29:10.159
Robinson trades are are they're confusing.
01:29:10.399 --> 01:29:12.720
I mean, they're it's only gonna get more confusing this year.
01:29:12.960 --> 01:29:21.279
Um departures now are uh Kirk Cousins, Darnell Mooney, Tyler Algier, uh David Omeyata, uh, and Caden Ellis.
01:29:21.439 --> 01:29:23.600
Oh, also I have Cale McGarry on here.
01:29:23.920 --> 01:29:29.279
Uh this is my lock for the over, actually, just uh based on Stefansky vibes.
01:29:29.520 --> 01:29:38.720
Um I mentioned off the top a two-time coach of the year, but I think it's interesting because they're once again left asking the question who's going to play quarterback for Kevin Stefansky.
01:29:39.039 --> 01:29:44.000
I felt like what's plagued him in Cleveland has now followed him to Atlanta.
01:29:44.319 --> 01:29:51.199
And um what they get out of the quarterback position, I think, is what's gonna really make this win total because I think they'll have no problem running the football.
01:29:51.279 --> 01:29:52.880
I think the defense will look better.
01:29:53.119 --> 01:29:55.439
Um, like I especially up front.
01:29:55.520 --> 01:29:59.199
Um I I didn't realize it's the 31st worst defensive front last year.
01:29:59.279 --> 01:30:05.119
But then when you said that, I remember that that was like the whole key against the Falcons that everyone could run the ball against the Falcons.
01:30:05.279 --> 01:30:07.920
Um so I anticipate that not being an issue.
01:30:08.079 --> 01:30:19.680
They also have that thing that like since I don't know if you remember, but like Vic Beasley had like double-digit sacks, and then they like didn't re-sign him and he left, and then they haven't been able to hit like a double-digit sack total guy for like 10 years now.
01:30:19.920 --> 01:30:21.359
Uh I saw a similar set like that.
01:30:21.439 --> 01:30:27.600
It's like the uh um the commanders, they haven't had like a thousand-yard rushing running back in like 10 seasons.
01:30:27.920 --> 01:30:29.279
The curse of Clinton Torres.
01:30:29.520 --> 01:30:29.680
Yeah.
01:30:29.920 --> 01:30:30.720
Chris Albert Moore.
01:30:31.359 --> 01:30:32.399
Oh, Alfred Morris.
01:30:33.199 --> 01:30:33.279
Okay.
01:30:33.600 --> 01:30:34.000
Yeah, sorry.
01:30:34.239 --> 01:30:35.520
Forgot about the Dinger guy.
01:30:35.920 --> 01:30:37.439
Yeah, that dude loved hitting bombs.
01:30:37.600 --> 01:30:38.319
Oh, yeah.
01:30:38.640 --> 01:30:45.840
Um, but yeah, I mean, I kind of like the over here just because I think Kevin, like, I just get too excited about what B.
01:30:46.000 --> 01:30:53.439
John Robinson and Brian Robinson, even like a little bit too, because I'm sure they'll spell him a little bit, um, will look like in this Kevin Stefansky offense.
01:30:53.520 --> 01:30:55.119
Like, it's just, it's gonna be nasty.
01:30:55.199 --> 01:30:56.319
I I I would imagine.
01:30:56.479 --> 01:30:58.000
So I get really excited about that.
01:30:58.079 --> 01:31:01.199
I think Jeff Ulbricht's proven he's like a capable uh DC.
01:31:01.600 --> 01:31:03.520
So tighten that up a little bit.
01:31:03.760 --> 01:31:05.359
Um yeah, I don't know.
01:31:05.520 --> 01:31:09.760
It's just it really I I'm just so torn on what is gonna happen at the quarterback spot.
01:31:09.840 --> 01:31:10.239
Yeah.
01:31:10.479 --> 01:31:14.000
Um, like if Penix comes back, do they even want Penix to start?
01:31:14.079 --> 01:31:18.800
Like, and if Tua's out there, like, do do you like what is really left of Tua?
01:31:19.039 --> 01:31:23.600
Like, was Mike McDaniel really like just like deprived of quarterback talent that much?
01:31:23.680 --> 01:31:25.680
Or like was it maybe a Mike McDaniel issue?
01:31:25.760 --> 01:31:32.800
Like, I there's so many questions around the most important position for this team that now I'm kind of talking myself out of the lock for the over.
01:31:33.039 --> 01:31:34.560
I might just be leaning the over.
01:31:34.960 --> 01:31:35.760
But I don't know.
01:31:35.840 --> 01:31:38.319
I I think the Falcons are gonna be a really fascinating team to watch.
01:31:38.399 --> 01:31:42.319
And part of the thing, or part of the reason why I like them when I was looking at this is this division is just so ass.
01:31:42.560 --> 01:31:48.000
So give me the team with the lowest win total and take the over because I think they're all gonna somehow find the middle again.
01:31:48.159 --> 01:31:52.399
I will say though, that's not that level of a win total for a bad, like uh a bad team.
01:31:52.640 --> 01:31:54.000
But bad team in the division.
01:31:54.159 --> 01:31:54.880
Worst team in the division.
01:31:55.039 --> 01:31:57.520
Yeah, but what if these teams are all bad though?
01:31:57.920 --> 01:31:59.199
No, I I I agree.
01:31:59.279 --> 01:32:00.960
Um, and I mean I'm on the over.
01:32:01.039 --> 01:32:02.319
Um, I lean the over.
01:32:02.399 --> 01:32:05.279
This will not be my lock, but I I agree.
01:32:05.439 --> 01:32:15.119
There there's enough talent, I think, with Stefansi's mind as well, you'd you'd think that they'd be able to, you know, figure something out with what's said talent.
01:32:15.359 --> 01:32:19.840
Um But the Falcons are just weirdly such a just disappointing team.
01:32:20.239 --> 01:32:26.399
They always whatever you think of them, whether it's not that much or a lot, they always find a way to kind of just be disappointing.
01:32:26.960 --> 01:32:28.960
Haven't made the Super Bowl since 28-3.
01:32:29.199 --> 01:32:33.520
Or haven't made my bad, haven't made the playoffs since 28-3, which I always think is like an interesting stat.
01:32:33.760 --> 01:32:39.920
Similar thing happened to the Broncos where they didn't make the playoffs until uh I think last year was our first time making the playoffs since they went to the Super Bowl.
01:32:40.079 --> 01:32:40.880
Yeah, they just snaked that.
01:32:41.199 --> 01:32:43.600
Um so they seem kind of stink bitten.
01:32:44.159 --> 01:32:46.000
This weird injury thing now.
01:32:46.079 --> 01:32:49.359
I don't think Penix is gonna be ready to start the season.
01:32:49.439 --> 01:32:52.159
And to a will, it's like some back issues.
01:32:52.479 --> 01:33:03.840
But still, I mean, even when he's played, I I'm not trying to knock him, but he's taken so many hits to the head where I genuinely question some of his cognitive function reasoning.
01:33:03.920 --> 01:33:04.239
Yeah.
01:33:04.479 --> 01:33:09.199
To the point, like I think that's why he throws interceptions and turns the ball over so much now.
01:33:09.520 --> 01:33:12.159
Um, also just not a massive quarterback.
01:33:12.239 --> 01:33:15.600
So with that being said, I like uh I'll take the over.
01:33:15.680 --> 01:33:19.760
I'll I'll I'll I'll I'll take I'll I'll bet on positive regression.
01:33:20.000 --> 01:33:29.439
Yeah, this is a this is a tough one, and uh it did uh I will say in a one of the dynasty leagues I'm in, uh the Brian Robinson, B.
01:33:29.600 --> 01:33:31.680
John Robinson has already shown its head.
01:33:31.840 --> 01:33:34.960
Uh friend of the show, friend of the show, Kip Shatnan.
01:33:35.039 --> 01:33:36.800
Uh he fell victim to it.
01:33:36.960 --> 01:33:39.199
Uh sister, a huge Carver King fan.
01:33:39.359 --> 01:33:43.279
Um friend of the show, Lucy Shetnon as well.
01:33:43.359 --> 01:33:55.439
But uh there was a lot, a lot of drama in the league because uh Kip didn't know that it was Brian Robinson and the commissioner, in my opinion, rightfully so, undid the trade.
01:33:55.600 --> 01:33:59.279
Uh some guys in the league started freaking out about it.
01:33:59.439 --> 01:34:04.960
Um it is funny because right before you make the trade, there is a picture of the players.
01:34:05.279 --> 01:34:12.800
But uh Bijan is like if this team didn't have Bijan, it would be my lock under.
01:34:12.960 --> 01:34:16.399
Bijan is that good of a player and so fun to watch.
01:34:16.640 --> 01:34:18.960
And Drake London is also very good.
01:34:19.119 --> 01:34:22.159
Yeah, who knows what Zachariah Branch can do in this offense.
01:34:22.239 --> 01:34:27.920
I agree though, having QB issue, first off, both lefties, that's a problem.
01:34:28.079 --> 01:34:29.359
Uh I kind of like that.
01:34:29.439 --> 01:34:30.800
No, it's it's a symmetry.
01:34:30.960 --> 01:34:32.560
Like you know the guy's gonna be left handed.
01:34:32.800 --> 01:34:33.680
I guess that's true.
01:34:33.840 --> 01:34:39.119
But you're starting at a lower your your ceiling or your floor is lower because they're both lefties.
01:34:39.520 --> 01:34:45.119
But maybe they're trying to the best the goat, in my opinion, the Atlanta goat was a lefty.
01:34:45.279 --> 01:34:47.439
So maybe they're trying to re-redo this.
01:34:48.720 --> 01:34:50.239
Um that's how you become uncursed.
01:34:50.399 --> 01:34:54.399
What's like so weird though, too, is that they're also both very injury prone, but like in different ways.
01:34:54.479 --> 01:34:54.560
Yeah.
01:34:54.800 --> 01:35:01.279
Like I mean, Tua is one shot away in the head from never playing football again, and Michael Penix is one lower leg shot from never playing football again.
01:35:01.520 --> 01:35:02.720
Maybe like, I mean, who knows?
01:35:03.439 --> 01:35:07.920
They're both uh one upper body and one lower body injury away from not walking.
01:35:08.399 --> 01:35:12.079
What's up by Michael Penix fires with one of his from being in a wheelchair?
01:35:12.319 --> 01:35:14.239
They're in a very interesting spot.
01:35:14.479 --> 01:35:18.399
They're one of their outside linebackers just tore his ACL, which sucks.
01:35:18.560 --> 01:35:19.439
Jalen Walker.
01:35:19.520 --> 01:35:26.800
Uh their other outside linebacker tried to murder his girlfriend by running over her with a car.
01:35:27.279 --> 01:35:30.319
Um, so it's this is just a weird team.
01:35:31.439 --> 01:35:33.359
It's the NFL, so he'll probably miss like two games.
01:35:33.439 --> 01:35:33.840
Yeah, yeah.
01:35:34.000 --> 01:35:36.560
Yeah, it'll be a probably a 50,000 fine.
01:35:36.800 --> 01:35:38.640
Oh, the the the uh the charges were dropped.
01:35:38.800 --> 01:35:43.840
Yeah, but the obviously can still the the domestic dispute was still helping people forgot.
01:35:44.000 --> 01:35:44.239
Yeah.
01:35:45.680 --> 01:35:47.439
Dead ass, it seems like what they're doing.
01:35:47.760 --> 01:35:51.760
Right before we started recording, I looked up I looked up James Bears.
01:35:52.159 --> 01:35:52.800
Put him on the trade block.
01:35:52.880 --> 01:35:54.000
I did I did put him on the trade block.
01:35:54.079 --> 01:36:00.239
I was like, well, because I don't know if you guys saw this, but um he had a sack or more in his last seven games or six of his last seven games.
01:36:00.800 --> 01:36:05.680
I didn't know that they started turning around because I think that was during when they beat the freaking uh they started to turn around a little bit.
01:36:05.760 --> 01:36:07.680
Their defensive front looked good against the Vikings, I remember.
01:36:07.920 --> 01:36:08.640
Those two young guys.
01:36:08.800 --> 01:36:12.000
Yeah, I mean he's James Fierce is stunned I mean James Spears is really good.
01:36:12.319 --> 01:36:16.640
He's just a little crazy, but that's kind of how you need him to bend the edge.
01:36:17.119 --> 01:36:22.640
You just wish the crazy was reckless driving without anyone in the proximity of you.
01:36:22.880 --> 01:36:23.840
Yeah, like Miles Garrett.
01:36:24.000 --> 01:36:26.640
Like when Miles Garrett's crazy just comes out when he's in a nice car.
01:36:26.880 --> 01:36:30.479
And he's actually very normal around his girlfriend, just so it seems yeah, I guess so.
01:36:30.880 --> 01:36:39.840
But yeah, this is a this team is one of those I could go under, I could go over, I can go under, I could lock either one of them.
01:36:40.319 --> 01:36:48.000
It's just a shot in the dark of I'd love to know who the quarterback is gonna be, but I guess that really doesn't matter.
01:36:48.319 --> 01:36:49.279
Oh man.
01:36:50.399 --> 01:36:51.039
That's my thing.
01:36:51.119 --> 01:36:56.159
Is I was like, I I don't know if who is under center really matters as long as it's not that third string guy.
01:36:56.239 --> 01:37:01.199
I don't I can't remember his name now, but um, as long as it's not that dude, I think I think we should be all right.
01:37:01.359 --> 01:37:03.279
But maybe we'd be all right if it's him too.
01:37:03.600 --> 01:37:08.159
King, or you said 19th easiest, so 11th, uh 13th, 12th, whatever.
01:37:08.399 --> 01:37:08.880
Hardest.
01:37:10.640 --> 01:37:14.560
Yeah, it's a I don't even know.
01:37:14.720 --> 01:37:16.479
I will I guess I'll stick with what I sent.
01:37:16.560 --> 01:37:19.920
I'll go two under, two over, even though I should hedge by going three over.
01:37:20.159 --> 01:37:22.399
I'll lean under here, I guess.
01:37:22.640 --> 01:37:24.159
God, this division sucks.
01:37:24.560 --> 01:37:25.439
It's it's really tough.
01:37:26.479 --> 01:37:27.920
I I I'm staying locked my over.
01:37:28.159 --> 01:37:29.520
I kind of honestly talking about it.
01:37:29.600 --> 01:37:31.119
I was like talking myself out of it.
01:37:31.199 --> 01:37:33.119
And then I was like, well, where do I go though?
01:37:33.279 --> 01:37:34.880
And I have nowhere else to go.
01:37:34.960 --> 01:37:39.119
So um I'm I'm gonna stay locked with the Falcons to win seven games or more.
01:37:40.159 --> 01:37:43.760
Um, I will take shit.
01:37:43.920 --> 01:37:45.600
I actually don't know what I want.
01:37:46.239 --> 01:37:47.920
I think I'm gonna take Panthers under.
01:37:48.239 --> 01:37:48.479
Okay.
01:37:48.640 --> 01:37:49.680
I'll take Panthers under.
01:37:50.479 --> 01:37:51.840
I'm gonna take the Bucks under.
01:37:52.079 --> 01:37:53.039
Let's have some fun.
01:37:53.199 --> 01:37:54.479
Oh I'll take Bucks under.
01:37:54.640 --> 01:37:54.800
All right.
01:37:54.960 --> 01:37:56.000
I really like Bucks under.
01:37:56.239 --> 01:38:00.159
Like it if it wasn't if it wasn't Falcons over for me, I think Bucks under would be would be the play.
01:38:03.359 --> 01:38:03.840
Four games?
01:38:04.000 --> 01:38:04.640
So Panthers.
01:38:04.720 --> 01:38:05.199
I can just see them.
01:38:05.439 --> 01:38:06.560
Dude, they made the playoffs last year.
01:38:06.640 --> 01:38:06.800
Yeah.
01:38:06.960 --> 01:38:07.840
They almost won a playoff game.
01:38:08.079 --> 01:38:08.800
They're shitty though.
01:38:10.000 --> 01:38:10.960
They didn't still lose.
01:38:11.199 --> 01:38:17.680
Um But see the difference is though, the Jags won 13 games, almost won a playoff game, and now they're at eight and a half.
01:38:17.760 --> 01:38:17.920
No.
01:38:18.640 --> 01:38:21.199
Um, I'd like to change my AFC East one.
01:38:21.279 --> 01:38:27.119
Um I'm gonna lock um I'm gonna lock the Bills over.
01:38:28.000 --> 01:38:28.640
Oh, okay.
01:38:28.800 --> 01:38:30.319
That was my I think that was my original.
01:38:30.479 --> 01:38:31.039
Oh no, it wasn't.
01:38:31.199 --> 01:38:34.319
That's what it's not very confident on the Dolphins over three and a half anymore.
01:38:34.479 --> 01:38:38.239
Yeah, you were really I was, but you know what?
01:38:38.399 --> 01:38:42.000
It's just it sounded fun in my head, and I'm like, is it really that fun though?
01:38:42.239 --> 01:38:53.600
Like, I honestly cheering for the under is like a more like an exhilarating bet where it's like, can I watch like because you're gonna watch this team lose a lot of games, and I'm like, I don't want to have to tune in every week and be like, can I please just see the Dolphins win a game this week?
01:38:53.680 --> 01:38:55.840
It's like week 10, I've seen them win one game, and I'm like, please.
01:39:00.239 --> 01:39:03.439
I'm like, dude, this team's one in ten, and it's been a month since they won the game.
01:39:03.600 --> 01:39:05.680
Please, like, can I get can I stack some wins here?
01:39:05.760 --> 01:39:06.159
Yep.
01:39:06.319 --> 01:39:06.560
Yeah.
01:39:06.720 --> 01:39:09.840
So I I I just it makes me a little sick to my stomach.
01:39:09.920 --> 01:39:18.000
So I I I guess call call me Faint of Heart, but the the bill's over ten and a half, I think, is where is where I'm gonna place it.
01:39:18.560 --> 01:39:20.079
I don't I don't know though.
01:39:20.319 --> 01:39:21.279
What about the Jets, man?
01:39:21.600 --> 01:39:22.239
Jets under.
01:39:22.800 --> 01:39:24.000
I kind of like the over for the Jets.
01:39:25.840 --> 01:39:26.239
You know what?
01:39:26.800 --> 01:39:28.640
Justin, you still have the dolphins under, right?
01:39:28.960 --> 01:39:29.119
Yeah.
01:39:29.520 --> 01:39:30.319
Okay, I'll take the dolphins.
01:39:30.399 --> 01:39:31.600
I'll stick with the dolphins over.
01:39:31.920 --> 01:39:32.159
Wow.
01:39:32.880 --> 01:39:33.760
We'll lock battle.
01:39:33.920 --> 01:39:37.039
Well, I just I like the idea of having something heads up on the on the table.
01:39:37.439 --> 01:39:37.840
On the sheet.
01:39:37.920 --> 01:39:38.399
It's fun.
01:39:40.319 --> 01:39:41.359
Maybe we can side wager.
01:39:41.760 --> 01:39:43.600
First round pick, Dynasty League.
01:39:44.560 --> 01:39:46.319
Okay, I'm back on the bills.
01:39:47.920 --> 01:39:49.520
All right, I think we'll wrap it up.
01:39:49.600 --> 01:39:51.199
Thank you for our our mega sode.
01:39:51.439 --> 01:39:55.439
We did the South and the East, both divisions.
01:39:56.000 --> 01:39:57.199
Jam-packed episode.
01:39:57.359 --> 01:39:58.000
Really fun, honestly.
01:39:58.159 --> 01:39:59.039
I enjoyed that.
01:39:59.279 --> 01:40:04.079
Um, we'll get this posted, our picks posted, and we'll continue on.
01:40:04.159 --> 01:40:06.159
Uh next week we'll get into a new division.
01:40:06.319 --> 01:40:08.000
Haven't decided which one yet.
01:40:08.239 --> 01:40:13.279
And uh we'll keep trudging as we get closer to kickoff.
01:40:14.960 --> 01:40:15.680
Peace.