Week 5 Preview: Bama–Miss State, GameDay at Kinnick, Florida–Mizzou + What We Learned in September

WEBVTT
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What's up, everybody?
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Welcome to Fourth and Wrong.
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I'm Tyler.
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That's Boozes behind the scenes, and this is the week five preview.
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Alabama goes into Starkville at noon to play a Mississippi State team that's 4-0 and hasn't beaten Alabama since 2007.
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The Heisman favorite.
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Okay.
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The Heisman favorite goes to Kinneck Stadium with game day in town for the first time in 20 years.
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Florida's a top 10 team and a road favorite.
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I don't love that.
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And Florida hasn't won a game as a road favorite over a ranked team since 2010.
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Are we dropping nuggets already?
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And it's the last show of September, so we've got a new segment.
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Ooh, ooh.
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It is called What Did We Learn with Miss Rachel.
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Miss Rachel's been taking some heat.
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Should we talk about Israel?
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What September actually taught us and what we're willing to be wrong about in October on the record.
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Three things first, Chris.
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Same as every week.
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One, like the video, subscribe to the channel.
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Audio people.
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Follow the show so it lands in your feed.
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Thursday morning without you lifting a finger.
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We love fingers.
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So one finger.
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Two, teeth.
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Five stars in a review on Apple or Spotify.
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Put some teeth into it.
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Fingers and teeth, baby.
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And three, the Angry Fans line, 448-488-3936.
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That's 448-488-3936.
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38936.
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Yeah, the call line.
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We got a caller here.
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Eddie Booza in the background here.
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Eddie, do me a favor, pull up that horny ass cowboy from Instagram that we haven't talked about in way too long.
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He has made his way back into my feed and he is selling sex toys.
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Shock.
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Shocking.
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It doesn't look good.
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It is it's a good thing.
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Did you have like a wall?
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Huh?
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Did you unfollow?
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No, I think God just intervened and was like, hey, brother, let's stop that.
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He did give a tutorial the other day on something that seemed like it was using too many body parts.
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That's all I'll say.
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It just was I I was trying to do the math and the logistics of it, brother.
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I mean, come on now.
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Anyway.
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If he's still on cameo.
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No.
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That's we should do a giveaway with him.
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Do you think we but do you think we could pay him to call into the angry fans line?
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You know he's got to be a fan of some school.
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He he seems wait.
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Yeah.
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That's a good game.
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What what school do you think he what football team you think he roots for?
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Baylor.
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But only the R.
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Prials Baylor.
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He doesn't say.
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I'm just, I mean, there's a lot of sexual deviance there.
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I don't.
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He just makes me uncomfortable with it.
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All right.
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Biggest game of the week.
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Let's get into.
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I thought we were doing that.
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We're doing that.
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We're doing it after the games.
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We're getting we're going games and then we're going.
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Yeah.
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If you would have read the show.
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I just feel like we should do the September what we learned first.
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Get into it a little bit.
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Because it's a bad slate.
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It is a bad slate.
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All right.
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You want to go.
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No.
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Alright, we're going to go.
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No, let's open with Ohio State and Iowa.
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Let's do that.
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Yeah.
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You know what?
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Let's let's give the fans what they want.
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Kinnex Stadium, Saturday at 3 30.
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No, no.
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We have one Iowa fan still, Robert Shaflaw.
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See?
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Great dude.
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Remember?
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Don't let anybody tell you we don't listen to the fans.
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All right.
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Saturday, October 3rd, 3 30 Eastern on CBS.
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This is Chris, this is a top 15 matchup.
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Just because you don't like the names, doesn't mean this isn't a big game, okay?
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Ohio State minus now 14.5.
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Is that moved?
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It has to minus 14.5.
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I don't know what it is currently.
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This was about midday today.
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Total is 45 and a half.
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Iowa coming off that big game just last week.
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What's going on over there, Chris?
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Pepper is in trouble, I think.
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Is she in trouble?
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Yes.
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Pepper's in trouble.
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Get out of here.
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She's running behind her daily.
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I thought you meant trouble like her life was in danger or something like that.
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Uh it might be if Allie gets hold of her.
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Pepper's in trouble.
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Yeah, that is that's a daily occurrence in this house.
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No, I think she probably got into something she wasn't supposed to.
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She was eating poop.
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Fun starts to the show.
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Yeah.
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Speaking of eating poop, Ohio State, Iowa.
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Things I'd rather do than watch the Big Ten.
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The total has drifted up here to 45 and a half.
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Ohio State and the Big Ten.
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Ohio State is 3-1.
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The one loss there, the 24-23 loss at Texas after leading 23-3.
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Then last week they won 42-19 over Illinois.
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Illinois did cover that game, by the way.
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Yeah.
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Jeremiah Smith went 12 catches, 217 yards, four touchdowns.
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Stop putting white people on Jeremiah Smith.
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Did you see that?
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I mean, what does Illinois have another option?
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I mean, I know Iowa doesn't.
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I mean, I don't that's true.
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We these are jokes, I promise.
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But something else in this game.
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That watching that kid run in a straight line away from him with him behind him, like he was chasing him at on Halloween or something.
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He just got Michael Myers by fucking Jeremiah Smith.
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It was terrible.
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Julian Saiyan, 72% on the year, 10 touchdowns, one interception.
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Iowa is 4-0 for the first time since 2021.
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After beating Michigan 2019 on a 16-yard touchdown with zero minutes left on the clock, Hank Brown, the Auburn transfer, is the quarterback for Iowa.
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He is 66 of 97 for 700 yards, five touchdowns, no picks.
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And he went 13 of 19 for 142 and two scores in the fourth quarter against Michigan in Ann Arbor.
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First top 15 meeting in the series since 2006, and game days there for it.
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What do you see here?
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I really I don't see much.
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I just want Iowa to win.
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Like I want Iowa to keep this close.
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I think you better not see color, brother, because there's gonna be a lot of whites on the field.
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Iowa, a sneaky great stadium, though.
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It holds like 80,000 people.
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Uh I I really think it'd be good for the sport of college football if Iowa can somehow not only keep this close, but maybe pull out a win.
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They were the win they had last week doesn't give me a ton of reason to believe necessarily this is a different team.
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I I don't think this is the same like slog of an offense that we've seen before.
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We saw what Michigan's defense did to Oklahoma, even though Oklahoma's offense does kind of suck.
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You know, they struggled with that game on the road.
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It was a very typical game for Iowa, though.
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The 20 to 19, there's always a 19 involved.
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I just really would love for this game to be close in Iowa to maybe take them out in the deep water.
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Favorite saying that everyone's been using for a lot longer time.
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I would like for them to keep this game close and figure out a way to get to the fourth quarter where you have to make Texas get back into that mindset of like, oh boy, here we go again.
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And and I think that this is an environment that I'll I'll say it, like Texas is Texas has a hundred thousand people.
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This feels like a tougher place to play than Texas.
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There's a clip, Eddie.
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Clip it, clip it.
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What do you think?
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What are you seeing?
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So I'm I'm looking at the against the spread record last year for Iowa.
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Nine and four overall against the spread.
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As a home dog last year, two and oh against the spread.
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Things I like about Iowa, Chris, uh they have given up eight points a game this year.
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I do like that.
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240 yards a game.
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That's 10th in the country.
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They've had two shutouts, and they've forced a punt on the openings or on the opponent's opening drive in 10 straight games, Chris.
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That's something to think about.
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That's pretty good.
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Ooh.
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I mean, I don't know that Iowa's gonna score first, but maybe if there's a bet of with Ohio State not scoring any points on the first drive.
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Or a field goal attempt usually is plus 420.
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Ooh.
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Smoke him if you got him.
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Third down defense is 12th in the country.
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I like Iowa to cover in this game, Chris.
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I I think being at home.
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I mean the wave.
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Come on.
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Yeah, I love it.
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Come on now.
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Come on now.
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Here we go.
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Give me Ohio State 27.
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Iowa 16.
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Well, you know what?
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They gotta have 19, don't they?
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Yeah, they have to have 19.
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Okay.
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Ohio State 27, Iowa 19.
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Ohio State escapes out of Kennedy Stadium with win.
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There's just a part of me that feels like the 14 and a half is begging you to take.
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I feel like the like I want to jump on Iowa and be like, hey, 14 and a half sounds like the right play because it does sound like the right play.
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And I do think Iowa's better than we like.
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This is not the same Iowa we've seen for the last 10 years, where it's like, I feel like they're gonna constantly struggle for points.
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They may very well struggle for points in this game.
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And then the other thing I have is you look at Ohio State.
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Let's take a look at this real quick.
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Ohio State after a loss, because last week, I mean that's an that's an Illinois team that's been better than like, I mean, like better than average over the past several years, right?
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Like they have been a good football team.
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They beat Kent State 59 to 3.
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They beat Illinois 42 to 19, so that's a 23-point win.
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Last year, they had the loss to Indiana and then they lost to Miami.
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That doesn't really count because it's not the regular season.
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But you look at regular season losses, Oregon, uh, the next day they bounced back and beat Nebraska, then they barely beat Penn State, and then they went on a bit of a run.
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I don't they lost to Michigan when they went on their run and they they beat Tennessee 42-17.
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I don't know if I'm seeing a trend there, to be honest.
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I I I think Iowa covers, I don't know if it's as close as I want it to be.
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I'll say it's 28 to 17.
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It just feels like Vegas is begging you to take the 14 and a half.
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A top 15 team at home, two touchdown underdog.
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That's craziness.
00:10:17.120 --> 00:10:20.480
I think you meant to say 28 to 19.
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You already said that.
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And also, that gives me the perfect under.
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I'm at 45.
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Okay, yeah.
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All right, cool.
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All right, next game here.
00:10:30.559 --> 00:10:32.720
This one's slightly bigger.
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This game, number seven Alabama at number 16, Mississippi State at noon o'clock, Chris, Eastern Time on ABC Alabama, currently a six-point favorite, total sixty and a half.
00:10:49.120 --> 00:10:51.039
This is the game of the week by any measure.
00:10:51.919 --> 00:11:00.240
Two undefeated SEC teams, two young quarterbacks that I believe are trending towards elite, if not elite already.
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Yeah in a total north of 60, so you know it's gonna be fun.
00:11:04.080 --> 00:11:11.120
Alabama's Keelan Russell threw for 365 yards, four touchdowns in the win last week over South Carolina.
00:11:11.440 --> 00:11:13.759
That was 35 to 3 at the half.
00:11:14.000 --> 00:11:14.320
Yep.
00:11:14.559 --> 00:11:17.519
35 to 10 at the half, 35 to 3 in the first half.
00:11:17.759 --> 00:11:18.879
In the first half, sorry.
00:11:18.960 --> 00:11:19.120
Yeah.
00:11:19.360 --> 00:11:27.679
Camario Taylor on the other side has turned a team that was 5-8 last year to an explosive unit, the NBA jam offense.
00:11:27.919 --> 00:11:35.519
The Bulldogs are 4-0 with wins at Minnesota and at South Carolina, and a comeback win over Missouri.
00:11:35.679 --> 00:11:39.519
They're averaging 43 points and 533 yards per game.
00:11:40.559 --> 00:11:44.879
Alabama staff has described Taylor this week as potentially the best quarterback the Titus faced.
00:11:44.960 --> 00:11:47.840
Well, that'd be tough because you fet you faced Ashton Daniels.
00:11:49.440 --> 00:11:52.000
Yeah, man, he is definitely the best quarterback they faced.
00:11:52.159 --> 00:11:53.360
That's that is fair.
00:11:53.519 --> 00:11:56.159
So this game, I think the look ahead line was three.
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Opened up on Sunday at five and four and a half.
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Four and a half, and now is at six.
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So a lot of things.
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But four and a half and six are pretty much the same.
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I think we'd all agree there.
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I usually just round up.
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If it's four and a half, I'm usually like it's pretty much six.
00:12:11.440 --> 00:12:12.159
I mean.
00:12:17.360 --> 00:12:19.600
This game scares me if you're a Bama person.
00:12:19.919 --> 00:12:21.519
Which some of us are.
00:12:22.159 --> 00:12:24.720
I think Mississippi State's great.
00:12:24.799 --> 00:12:28.960
I really don't want to get burned twice on not believing in them because I think Tamara Taylor is awesome.
00:12:29.039 --> 00:12:34.399
I think what scares you if you're Bama is if you can't stop the run for one, that's gonna be an issue.
00:12:34.639 --> 00:12:37.679
You think about some of the explosive plays they gave up even a week ago.
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First play of the game, 54-yard run from Matt Fuller.
00:12:40.639 --> 00:12:51.600
And and they that's a South Carolina team that shot themselves in the foot a ton to make sure they were nowhere near in competitive proximity to Alabama in that game.
00:12:51.759 --> 00:12:53.120
God, I sound fancy.
00:12:53.360 --> 00:12:56.879
What scares you if you're Bama is the explosive plays.
00:12:57.039 --> 00:13:00.399
Mississippi State has done a really good job all season long.
00:13:00.480 --> 00:13:04.960
They lead the SEC in in plays of 10 yards or more by an overwhelming amount.
00:13:05.120 --> 00:13:05.840
They have 82.
00:13:05.919 --> 00:13:07.840
The next closest team has 70.
00:13:08.000 --> 00:13:09.200
20 plus yard plays.
00:13:09.279 --> 00:13:10.559
They are second with 28.
00:13:10.639 --> 00:13:14.080
And then you start thinking about the stamina defense and what they've given up.
00:13:14.240 --> 00:13:15.840
The Florida State game was very alarming.
00:13:15.919 --> 00:13:23.759
You didn't give up a ton of explosives, I feel like to Kentucky, gave up a few to South Carolina, but you got exposed on the back end a couple times against against Florida State.
00:13:23.919 --> 00:13:28.879
I'm sure that that'll be something that Jeff Levy tries to replicate a little bit.
00:13:29.120 --> 00:13:38.159
I think the other concern uh outside of the explosives you give up on defense is the right tackle, Javen James, former Mississippi State player.
00:13:38.240 --> 00:13:41.840
He is questionable, so he's a 50% chance of playing, might not play at all.
00:13:42.080 --> 00:13:44.320
Is their back their offensive line's been really good this year?
00:13:44.480 --> 00:13:47.600
Is it are they gonna be okay without him?
00:13:47.840 --> 00:13:51.120
But I'll tell you what, man, I hate to be this guy.
00:13:51.279 --> 00:13:52.480
I I really do.
00:13:52.720 --> 00:13:54.720
I hate to be this guy.
00:13:56.240 --> 00:14:01.759
But these MFs haven't beaten Alabama since before Twitter, they haven't beaten him since 2007.
00:14:01.919 --> 00:14:07.440
And I think Camaro Taylor's the best story in college football, and I'm so happy he's getting his due and all that kind of stuff.
00:14:07.679 --> 00:14:14.320
This just feels like if you are Alabama, you come out and you remind people who the fuck you are.
00:14:14.559 --> 00:14:19.679
And I think that they did that last week in South Carolina, but the concern also is that was at home.
00:14:19.919 --> 00:14:30.240
Florida State, you got yourself in a big deficit, but that was at home, and you had a rain delay that gave you a halftime way too early, and you got to fight back for you know what actually was halftime.
00:14:30.399 --> 00:14:36.320
If you go down 21-6 on the road with these fans in this stadium against that quarterback, you're not coming back.
00:14:36.639 --> 00:14:37.679
They're not coming back from that.
00:14:37.840 --> 00:14:52.240
And I think the biggest concern for me also is this is the fourth biggest concern that I've listed when Alabama went on the road against Kentucky, that offensive coordinator, Brian Grubb, did not do anything to make Keelan Russell's life easy to start.
00:14:52.399 --> 00:14:59.679
He he it was the whole thing was like you had him a sack on the very first play, an intentional grounding.
00:14:59.759 --> 00:15:13.360
You backed yourself up into like third and 22 or third and 24, and you're in the shadows of the goalposts, and you still drop back to pass, and the ball gets tipped up, and after three plays, you've given up a sack, an interception, and you're down seven-nothing because it was a pick six.
00:15:13.519 --> 00:15:21.120
If you go on the road here and you allow yourself to get got by this this what do you call it, stadium and atmosphere, they're gonna be in trouble.
00:15:21.279 --> 00:15:22.879
But I don't think that happens.
00:15:23.120 --> 00:15:24.399
I think Alabama wins.
00:15:24.559 --> 00:15:26.000
I think Alabama covers.
00:15:26.240 --> 00:15:28.559
I think this is a very, very big moment for them.
00:15:28.639 --> 00:15:32.399
And I'll tell you right now, if they don't, I think Mississippi State might be going to the playoff.
00:15:33.279 --> 00:15:37.519
Because I you look at the rest of their schedule, they get LSU after a bye week.
00:15:37.840 --> 00:15:41.840
Texas is good, but they're not that good, even though that game's gonna be on the road.
00:15:42.000 --> 00:15:43.039
Oklahoma sucks.
00:15:43.120 --> 00:15:44.480
And then you have the egg bowl.
00:15:44.559 --> 00:15:50.080
I mean, this is a this is a massive game for both teams if you want to stay in the in the playoff race.
00:15:51.279 --> 00:15:54.000
So Alabama can't cover deep.
00:15:54.320 --> 00:15:56.799
Mississippi State can't cover the pass at all, really.
00:15:57.039 --> 00:15:59.279
Bama's 88th in pass defense.
00:15:59.440 --> 00:16:02.320
They're allowing 7.8 yards a throw.
00:16:02.480 --> 00:16:06.320
They have given up nine completions of 25 yards or more.
00:16:07.279 --> 00:16:11.360
Florida State threw for 377 yards, second most of the Deboer era.
00:16:11.679 --> 00:16:16.080
And Kane Womack after the game said it's the worst half he's seen since he's been there.
00:16:16.320 --> 00:16:25.120
Mississippi's pass defense is 114th in the country, and Action Network has their pass rush ranking as 130th in the country.
00:16:25.360 --> 00:16:27.120
That is good news for Alabama.
00:16:27.360 --> 00:16:28.399
It's great news.
00:16:28.559 --> 00:16:31.200
Yeah, that bet of over 60 and a half.
00:16:31.360 --> 00:16:40.399
I think it came down to 59 and a half actually, right now, is probably the bet that I love the best in this game because I do think both teams are gonna get points.
00:16:40.639 --> 00:16:41.279
Yeah.
00:16:41.679 --> 00:16:56.559
But yeah, I what I just listed there as far as Mississippi State's defense in general, plus Bama's defense giving up huge plays, plus Mississippi State being one of the most penalized teams in the country.
00:16:56.799 --> 00:17:00.559
That was the only thing I was trying to look up in the middle of this, was what their penalties were.
00:17:00.799 --> 00:17:03.919
80 penalty yards a game, 128th in the country.
00:17:04.319 --> 00:17:04.720
Jeez.
00:17:05.279 --> 00:17:09.920
Bama's defense is 93rd in tackling, according to Action Network.
00:17:10.079 --> 00:17:12.400
So I like a lot of points in this game.
00:17:12.559 --> 00:17:15.440
I'm gonna take Bama to win Mississippi State to cover.
00:17:15.519 --> 00:17:16.799
I think it's gonna be a classic game.
00:17:16.880 --> 00:17:23.759
I if this was a night game in Starkville, I think it would be one of those games that would be like 42 to 40.
00:17:23.839 --> 00:17:25.359
Like just crazy.
00:17:25.839 --> 00:17:27.519
Because it's like an 11 a.m.
00:17:27.759 --> 00:17:29.839
local game, I don't see that crazy.
00:17:30.000 --> 00:17:32.240
Yeah, I'm gonna go 34-30 Bama.
00:17:32.640 --> 00:17:37.920
I was gonna say 34, like 28 feels kind of what they're looking for here, the over-under thing.
00:17:38.079 --> 00:17:38.960
I think you're not far off, though.
00:17:39.039 --> 00:17:41.839
I mean, I because I don't I don't see Bama holding them under 30.
00:17:42.319 --> 00:17:43.759
Yeah, I think it's gonna be a fun one.
00:17:43.839 --> 00:17:44.799
It's a great noon game.
00:17:44.880 --> 00:17:52.079
I I kind of like how ESPN now has been forced to put some of their best games at noon because the Big Ten started doing that.
00:17:52.319 --> 00:17:55.599
I don't think that's why they're doing it, but I also love that they're doing it.
00:17:55.680 --> 00:17:58.880
I like I think it's really would be the reason.
00:17:59.119 --> 00:18:05.920
Well, for a long time too, like SEC fans, we have this like nostalgia of like, man, that 230, 330 CBS game was awesome.
00:18:06.079 --> 00:18:11.200
And it was, but how many times was that like the only game worth a shit on in the afternoon?
00:18:11.359 --> 00:18:14.160
And how many times was it Bama beating the brakes off someone?
00:18:14.319 --> 00:18:22.880
Like, did I miss Jefferson Pyle as much as the next as the next person, but like a 2017 top 15 matchup between Tennessee and Texas, right?
00:18:22.960 --> 00:18:24.720
Or you know, I mean, I I love that.
00:18:24.799 --> 00:18:25.119
I love that.
00:18:25.200 --> 00:18:26.079
I think it's been really good.
00:18:26.160 --> 00:18:27.440
I'm glad you pointed that out.
00:18:27.759 --> 00:18:29.279
Eddie, what do you think?
00:18:31.839 --> 00:18:35.039
All right, going to the next game here.
00:18:35.519 --> 00:18:36.720
Dirty ass house.
00:18:37.039 --> 00:18:43.599
Florida, Florida at Missouri, number eight, Florida at number 25, Missouri in Columbia.
00:18:44.079 --> 00:18:46.960
This is the 3-30 game on ABC.
00:18:47.440 --> 00:18:51.279
Florida currently a four and a half.
00:18:51.359 --> 00:18:52.559
What's the current spread here?
00:18:52.720 --> 00:18:56.079
Five and a half was earlier today, total 56 and a half.
00:18:56.319 --> 00:18:59.039
Florida 4-0 for the first time since 2019.
00:18:59.200 --> 00:19:02.319
They are ranked number eight, which is the highest since 2020.
00:19:02.400 --> 00:19:09.599
Their first top 10 since 2021, up 13 spots in one week after that big win over Ole Miss last week.
00:19:09.839 --> 00:19:13.680
They are second in scoring per game, 53 and a half points per game.
00:19:13.759 --> 00:19:16.559
And they haven't played all easy opponents.
00:19:16.640 --> 00:19:16.960
Yeah.
00:19:17.200 --> 00:19:20.000
260 rushing yards a game, that's 11th in the country.
00:19:20.160 --> 00:19:24.880
18 rusting rushing touchdowns tied with UCLA for the most in the country.
00:19:25.119 --> 00:19:27.039
Obviously, Jaden Baugh leads that.
00:19:27.119 --> 00:19:30.799
He's got 600 of those yards himself with 11 touchdowns.
00:19:31.039 --> 00:19:32.720
That's the most in the country.
00:19:32.960 --> 00:19:34.799
We talked about this earlier in the week.
00:19:34.960 --> 00:19:36.720
Five straight 100-yard games.
00:19:36.799 --> 00:19:40.000
Only Emmett Smith and Fred Taylor have done that for the Gators.
00:19:40.079 --> 00:19:40.319
Yeah.
00:19:40.480 --> 00:19:44.400
We talked last week about Austin Simmons and how much we both like him at quarterback.
00:19:44.559 --> 00:19:48.880
Obviously, the matchup here is Florida's run game versus Missouri's run defense.
00:19:49.920 --> 00:19:53.359
Because Missouri does have a decent run defense here.
00:19:53.519 --> 00:19:54.480
31st in the country.
00:19:54.559 --> 00:19:56.880
They're allowing 2.77 yards a carry.
00:19:57.039 --> 00:20:00.880
They've only allowed two rushing touchdowns in the first four games here.
00:20:01.039 --> 00:20:03.200
Florida's averaging 5.9 a carry.
00:20:03.440 --> 00:20:05.279
And they have 18 rushing touchdowns.
00:20:05.359 --> 00:20:06.559
So something has to give there.
00:20:06.640 --> 00:20:08.319
That's one of the matchups I'm looking at.
00:20:08.640 --> 00:20:12.799
Caveat on Mizzou here, 13 and a half missed tackles a game.
00:20:13.759 --> 00:20:14.160
Not good.
00:20:14.559 --> 00:20:16.079
I'm watching that number heavily.
00:20:16.240 --> 00:20:17.279
That's a lot.
00:20:18.640 --> 00:20:19.599
How do you look at this game?
00:20:19.680 --> 00:20:21.119
I'll just tell you right now.
00:20:23.920 --> 00:20:24.880
Unfortunately.
00:20:25.200 --> 00:20:28.319
I think Florida's on a bit of a roll right now.
00:20:28.640 --> 00:20:30.880
Isn't there a potential playoff team?
00:20:32.559 --> 00:20:34.079
I would say definitely, yes.
00:20:34.319 --> 00:20:35.359
That's craziness.
00:20:35.519 --> 00:20:35.839
Yeah.
00:20:36.160 --> 00:20:36.480
Crazy.
00:20:36.559 --> 00:20:38.400
What Summerall's done there in year one.
00:20:39.119 --> 00:20:43.359
We could break it down more, obviously, but I'll just give you my score, so you're not always giving your score first.
00:20:43.519 --> 00:20:44.799
Florida 30.
00:20:45.200 --> 00:20:46.720
Missouri 26.
00:20:47.279 --> 00:20:48.559
I think it is a tight.
00:20:48.880 --> 00:20:52.720
And I guess that would make Missouri covering if it's at five and a half.
00:20:52.799 --> 00:20:56.880
But yeah, I just don't think anyone stopped in Jaden Ball right now and that offense.
00:20:57.039 --> 00:21:03.920
And because the running game is so good, it makes it tough to score a lot of points because your offense doesn't get a lot of chances.
00:21:04.000 --> 00:21:07.599
You got to make it, you got to take advantage of every opportunity that you get when you're on the field.
00:21:07.759 --> 00:21:10.640
If Trinidad Chambliss can only put up, what were they at?
00:21:10.799 --> 00:21:11.519
28?
00:21:11.759 --> 00:21:12.400
Yeah.
00:21:14.000 --> 00:21:17.599
I think Austin Simmons maybe he, I don't think he could do the same.
00:21:17.680 --> 00:21:23.519
So 30 to 26, Florida takes it on the road and continues what is an unbelievable start to the season.
00:21:24.000 --> 00:21:26.799
That feels pretty close, score wise, what I'm thinking too.
00:21:26.880 --> 00:21:35.599
I think the player here that you have, like I think what you're gonna have to do if you're Missouri is do everything you can to take away the run.
00:21:35.680 --> 00:21:37.519
And like that's what teams are gonna start doing.
00:21:37.599 --> 00:21:39.599
And Aaron Philo has been fantastic so far.
00:21:39.680 --> 00:21:40.400
He's been great.
00:21:40.559 --> 00:21:44.000
But you're gonna have to start doing stuff that takes away Jaden Ball.
00:21:44.079 --> 00:21:45.200
I don't know if you saw this stat.
00:21:45.279 --> 00:21:47.599
It's the craziest stat I've seen in quite some time.
00:21:47.839 --> 00:21:55.680
Derrick Henry, who won the Heisman in 2015 with 300 and or no, 406 carries in that season.
00:21:55.839 --> 00:21:59.759
In his first four games, I don't know how many carries he had, but he had 444.
00:22:00.160 --> 00:22:03.359
Four yards rushing with like six touchdowns.
00:22:03.519 --> 00:22:07.279
Jaden Baugh has 600 yards and 11 touchdowns in his first four games.
00:22:07.440 --> 00:22:16.720
Now, 2015, Bama played Ole Miss, Georgia, and maybe not Georgia, Wisconsin, Ole Miss, and somebody else early.
00:22:16.880 --> 00:22:22.559
Either way, that's a really impressive, impressive job out of Jaden Baugh to start.
00:22:22.799 --> 00:22:24.880
The thing with Missouri, I don't trust their rush defense.
00:22:24.960 --> 00:22:26.000
I don't think they play anybody.
00:22:26.079 --> 00:22:26.640
That's that great.
00:22:26.720 --> 00:22:33.759
I still think that the majority of the offense for Mississippi State, even though they they were good against them, is through the air with Camario Taylor.
00:22:33.839 --> 00:22:35.440
They give up 360 yards passing.
00:22:35.519 --> 00:22:36.799
Camario was 71%.
00:22:37.279 --> 00:22:38.079
They did get a pick.
00:22:38.160 --> 00:22:41.039
They forced four interceptions this year, which is pretty pretty damn good.
00:22:41.200 --> 00:22:47.920
But they have given up eight touchdowns through the year, which is it's early, but that is tied for the second most in the SEC this early on the season.
00:22:48.000 --> 00:22:50.960
I think they're going to try to crowd the box and make Aaron Philo beat them.
00:22:51.119 --> 00:23:01.200
On the other side of this, I don't know if Missouri's offense is well-rounded enough without Ahmad Hardy to go beat a team like Florida.
00:23:01.680 --> 00:23:02.480
I think it'd be awesome.
00:23:02.559 --> 00:23:10.880
And it also, given the nature of the conversations we're having and how much we think we know, and then we always get proven to find out that we don't know anything.
00:23:11.039 --> 00:23:13.440
It's like I have gone on rants all week.
00:23:13.599 --> 00:23:15.279
Missouri should not be a top 25 team.
00:23:15.359 --> 00:23:16.000
Love Mizzou.
00:23:16.480 --> 00:23:24.720
I like, but it hurts the SEC's argument about biases and all that kind of stuff for one, which is the least of anyone's concerns.
00:23:25.039 --> 00:23:30.240
But when I sit here and watch, and I want Eddie to listen to this more than anyone, okay, because I don't do this often.
00:23:30.480 --> 00:23:30.799
Okay.
00:23:32.640 --> 00:23:54.559
When you have a team in the ACC, like Wake Forest, who goes on the road and beats a Louisville team at their house, and their only loss is to a top five Miami team, and it's a Louisville team that took Ole Miss to the brink, and you go on the road and beat them, and you still somehow aren't in the top 25 because Missouri had a close loss to Mississippi State.
00:23:54.640 --> 00:23:55.920
What the fuck are we doing?
00:23:56.079 --> 00:23:59.359
Like that's that is it makes no sense to me.
00:23:59.440 --> 00:24:03.599
They are one and nine against ranked opponents in their last 10 games against the top 25.
00:24:03.839 --> 00:24:08.480
Eli Draken went to 7-20 against top 25 teams all time since he's been at Missoo.
00:24:08.640 --> 00:24:11.039
Four of those came in one season in 2023.
00:24:11.200 --> 00:24:12.000
Four of them.
00:24:12.240 --> 00:24:15.359
The only one they've had since then is Boston College.
00:24:15.519 --> 00:24:18.000
I think we already went on this rant on Sunday, didn't we?
00:24:19.440 --> 00:24:27.119
Either way, I don't trust Missouri to win this game at all because they've shown time and time again they can't.
00:24:27.279 --> 00:24:39.119
Now it would be the most Missouri and early Marlar thing of this season to go on a rant about factual information and statistics, and then all of a sudden that trend gets bucked like a damn stallion.
00:24:39.200 --> 00:24:40.079
Am I right, Eddie?
00:24:40.240 --> 00:24:44.799
Woo! Next time you're with your weap, you're in the back of a shavy Silveredo.
00:24:44.880 --> 00:24:47.599
I think Florida goes in here and I think they do cover the spread.
00:24:47.759 --> 00:24:53.119
I think I loved your sad about they haven't been, they haven't won as a road favorite since 2010.
00:24:53.200 --> 00:24:54.160
That's crazy.
00:24:54.240 --> 00:24:56.400
Uh overranked, over a ranked team.
00:24:56.559 --> 00:24:57.839
Oh, who was it?
00:24:58.400 --> 00:24:59.119
I don't know.
00:24:59.440 --> 00:25:00.960
Kentucky, probably.
00:25:01.359 --> 00:25:02.880
You're the one that's supposed to know those things.
00:25:02.960 --> 00:25:05.039
You're like, I believe that was 1984.
00:25:05.599 --> 00:25:15.119
Well, in 2010, they were a top 10 team at this point of the season, and going like seven and five or eight and five or something like that.
00:25:15.279 --> 00:25:19.759
Anyway, I think, yeah, you were on the field for when it all went downhill against Bama in 2010.
00:25:20.000 --> 00:25:20.880
That's right.
00:25:21.119 --> 00:25:21.599
Yeah.
00:25:21.920 --> 00:25:23.920
So I think Florida's gonna win.
00:25:24.000 --> 00:25:26.160
I think Summerall has got them too laser focused.
00:25:26.240 --> 00:25:30.799
Um, I don't think they're gonna be reading all their own press clippings after last week, and I do think that the offense is just too good.
00:25:30.960 --> 00:25:33.440
So I will take Florida to win and cover.
00:25:33.599 --> 00:25:36.720
I will say it is 34 to 24.
00:25:38.559 --> 00:25:38.880
Okay.
00:25:39.519 --> 00:25:40.640
A couple quick hitters here.
00:25:40.720 --> 00:25:42.240
Those are the biggest games of the week for sure.
00:25:42.480 --> 00:25:44.799
Auburn goes to Knoxville.
00:25:44.960 --> 00:25:47.599
So another big game in Knoxville this week.
00:25:47.759 --> 00:25:49.279
Number 17, Tennessee.
00:25:49.359 --> 00:25:50.880
Now 330 as well.
00:25:50.960 --> 00:25:52.160
This one on ESPN.
00:25:52.240 --> 00:25:55.279
Tennessee, a seven-point favorite, total 54 and a half.
00:25:55.519 --> 00:25:59.440
I'm a little surprised that this line was only a touchdown.
00:25:59.680 --> 00:26:00.319
Yeah.
00:26:01.200 --> 00:26:01.920
You got it all.
00:26:02.160 --> 00:26:03.440
I got you got this.
00:26:04.720 --> 00:26:05.839
Just bothers me.
00:26:10.000 --> 00:26:10.319
No.
00:26:10.559 --> 00:26:12.960
Tennessee gave up 10 sacks to Texas.
00:26:13.200 --> 00:26:14.079
Yeah, that's bad.
00:26:14.240 --> 00:26:22.240
Did you see that Colin Simmons was credited for five and a half after Monday's stat revision to make him the Texas single game record holder outright?
00:26:22.799 --> 00:26:24.160
Five and a half is the same as six.
00:26:24.240 --> 00:26:24.640
Wait, hold on.
00:26:24.720 --> 00:26:25.279
Five and a half.
00:26:25.519 --> 00:26:25.920
Who did it?
00:26:26.160 --> 00:26:26.880
Texas.
00:26:28.400 --> 00:26:30.559
I just saw that that quote.
00:26:30.640 --> 00:26:31.680
I don't know who actually revised it.
00:26:31.920 --> 00:26:33.680
That feels very Texas buck score.
00:26:33.839 --> 00:26:33.920
Yeah.
00:26:34.160 --> 00:26:38.000
Well, no, I mean it was for a school record, so he'd be beating someone else from the school.
00:26:38.079 --> 00:26:39.359
It's not like yeah.
00:26:39.599 --> 00:26:43.680
But anyways, yeah, he probably was like, nah, this is my NIL contract.
00:26:43.839 --> 00:26:44.079
Okay.
00:26:44.319 --> 00:26:44.799
Let me get a chance.
00:26:44.960 --> 00:26:48.960
Well, I will tell you that I did make a joke about him not winning player of the week and how it was bullshit.
00:26:49.119 --> 00:26:54.720
And I got a lot of middle-aged white conservatives in my mention telling me how wait.
00:26:55.440 --> 00:26:56.319
Yeah, it's me.
00:26:58.319 --> 00:27:04.960
Much of my own kin in the in the comments yelling at me about he's a thug.
00:27:05.200 --> 00:27:14.400
There was, I think my favorite quote, Tyler, was somebody said they hoped Colin Simmons peed on my wife while I watched like the cuck that I am.
00:27:14.559 --> 00:27:14.960
Yeah.
00:27:15.119 --> 00:27:24.000
And I I was like, I honestly, you saying that you want him to pee on someone else's wife seems way more cucky than anything I said.
00:27:24.160 --> 00:27:25.279
Kookie cucky.
00:27:25.440 --> 00:27:30.000
And and that was a very odd statement to make about Colin Simmons.
00:27:30.160 --> 00:27:35.039
Anyway, Tennessee, let's let's just not fucking learn a lesson, Tyler.
00:27:35.200 --> 00:27:37.039
Let's just not learn a lesson.
00:27:38.160 --> 00:27:45.359
Last week I told you all these stats about all the uh the the sacks, and it was bad.
00:27:45.519 --> 00:27:46.480
It was real bad.
00:27:46.720 --> 00:27:47.119
Bad.
00:27:47.359 --> 00:27:50.319
But this week, let's just fucking do it again.
00:27:50.720 --> 00:27:53.039
Auburn is not a good football team.
00:27:53.200 --> 00:27:55.119
I don't think that they're great on offense.
00:27:55.200 --> 00:27:59.680
That win against a Vanderbilt team, it's been one of the worst defenses in the in the conference so far.
00:27:59.839 --> 00:28:03.920
Only putting up 21 points at home against a true freshman quarterback, not being able to cover the spread.
00:28:04.079 --> 00:28:05.359
Well, I called it and I liked it.
00:28:05.599 --> 00:28:08.319
Still pisses me off that they are this bad on offense.
00:28:08.480 --> 00:28:11.200
And they just cannot seem to get two things going at the same time.
00:28:11.279 --> 00:28:13.839
Like if the defense is good, the offense looks like shit.
00:28:13.920 --> 00:28:18.000
If the offense puts up 39 points like it did against Florida, the defense is giving up 44.
00:28:18.319 --> 00:28:21.519
Going to Nealan to get right is never a great move.
00:28:21.759 --> 00:28:23.680
Byron Brown has been in a lot of environments.
00:28:23.759 --> 00:28:25.039
I don't know if he's been in one like this.
00:28:25.119 --> 00:28:30.079
Because last year when he was in the swamp, he was in a situation where everyone wanted Billy Naper to fail anyway.
00:28:30.160 --> 00:28:35.680
And so this is a game where they have to have a get back for Tennessee if they're going to be better.
00:28:35.839 --> 00:28:37.759
They have so many weapons on offense.
00:28:38.000 --> 00:28:44.480
But again, let's just not learn a lesson and let's damn it.
00:28:45.200 --> 00:28:47.039
No first baseman cover in the fucking bag.
00:28:47.119 --> 00:28:47.359
I don't know.
00:28:47.440 --> 00:28:48.960
I mean, what are we what are we doing here?
00:28:49.279 --> 00:28:54.559
So let's just say we'll go we'll jump right back into it.
00:28:54.640 --> 00:29:00.000
And LSU and Tennessee are tied for the most sacks in the SEC right now with 19.
00:29:00.559 --> 00:29:03.039
Auburn has given up the most with 14.
00:29:03.279 --> 00:29:09.279
I just don't think that Byron Brown is good, and I don't think he gets much better under duress.
00:29:09.440 --> 00:29:15.359
And I think that they will have him under duress all afternoon, and I think Tennessee wins, and I think honestly, I think they win big.
00:29:15.440 --> 00:29:18.880
I think this is like a 33 to 20 game.
00:29:19.599 --> 00:29:20.880
I see it a little differently.
00:29:21.039 --> 00:29:22.480
I do see Tennessee winning.
00:29:22.640 --> 00:29:26.400
I think the play maybe is on the under 54 and a half.
00:29:26.559 --> 00:29:28.720
I'm gonna take Tennessee 28-21.
00:29:28.799 --> 00:29:31.039
Well, that would be right at minus seven, but whatever.
00:29:31.119 --> 00:29:32.480
I'm I'm calling a push, Chris.
00:29:32.559 --> 00:29:33.519
That's what my bet is.
00:29:33.680 --> 00:29:34.160
Love it.
00:29:34.400 --> 00:29:35.519
28-21.
00:29:35.680 --> 00:29:36.319
Nah, okay.
00:29:36.480 --> 00:29:38.799
I I'll go, I'll go a little bit, I'll go 27-21.
00:29:38.880 --> 00:29:39.279
How about that?
00:29:39.359 --> 00:29:39.680
Okay.
00:29:39.920 --> 00:29:44.160
So I like Auburn to cover this game, but low scoring.
00:29:44.400 --> 00:29:47.119
I don't really, I don't really know what Tennessee is right now.
00:29:47.279 --> 00:29:50.240
I do know that the last game I watched them, they gave up 10 sacks.
00:29:50.559 --> 00:29:53.039
So I'm not gonna fully trust them yet.
00:29:53.359 --> 00:29:54.720
Yeah, that's fair.
00:29:54.960 --> 00:29:57.279
Last quick hitter, and then we'll move on.
00:29:57.440 --> 00:30:01.759
Washington goes to LA and plays number 18 USC.
00:30:01.839 --> 00:30:04.319
This game's 730 on NBC.
00:30:04.799 --> 00:30:08.400
USC minus 9.5, total 58 and a half.
00:30:08.640 --> 00:30:12.000
Chris, you told me before the game you don't know anything about this game.
00:30:12.319 --> 00:30:13.599
Thank you for telling everyone that.
00:30:13.839 --> 00:30:20.079
That's that is that is verbatim when I said it was also that was shortly after me saying, hey, we should do this game.
00:30:20.799 --> 00:30:22.240
It's a big one.
00:30:24.000 --> 00:30:25.519
Yeah, it's a tough week.
00:30:25.599 --> 00:30:25.839
Yeah.
00:30:26.000 --> 00:30:29.279
We just saw USC fall flat flat on its face against Oregon.
00:30:29.359 --> 00:30:38.480
They lost 41 to 27 after the now suspended linebacker Desmond Stevens knocked Dante Moore out of the game on that vicious hit.
00:30:38.640 --> 00:30:39.279
Yeah.
00:30:40.079 --> 00:30:42.480
He's got a concussion, by the way, Dante Moore.
00:30:42.720 --> 00:30:46.799
So we'll see where that all ends up, but that was a scary one.
00:30:46.960 --> 00:30:47.119
Yeah.
00:30:47.359 --> 00:30:49.920
USC 1-4 against the spread this season.
00:30:50.240 --> 00:30:56.799
Maeva leads the FBS in passing, 14 touchdowns or with 1,500 yards, 14 touchdowns, two picks.
00:30:57.039 --> 00:31:09.359
Their offense, pass offense, is number one in success rate, but their defense is 108th in EPA per play, 134th in tackling, and 131st in EPA per pass allowed.
00:31:09.759 --> 00:31:12.799
Their best receiver, Trent Mosley, out multiple weeks.
00:31:13.039 --> 00:31:17.519
It just feels coming off that Oregon game, especially that this line is too high.
00:31:17.599 --> 00:31:17.759
Yeah.
00:31:17.839 --> 00:31:23.200
I like Jed Fish as a coach, even though Washington with Damon Williams hasn't been great this year.
00:31:23.440 --> 00:31:24.880
I was expecting a little bit more.
00:31:25.039 --> 00:31:28.240
They are 10-3 against the spread since uh against you.
00:31:28.640 --> 00:31:29.599
Let me start that over.
00:31:29.680 --> 00:31:33.440
They are 10 and 3 against the spread against USC since 2005.
00:31:33.759 --> 00:31:39.359
So that right there, mixed with the game that USC just came off of.
00:31:40.000 --> 00:31:46.079
I can't pick Washington outright, but I will take them to cover USC 31, Washington 24.
00:31:46.799 --> 00:31:47.119
Okay.
00:31:48.799 --> 00:31:51.920
Yeah, I've been doing a lot of research on these boys.
00:31:52.079 --> 00:31:53.839
I cannot pick USC to cover.
00:31:54.000 --> 00:31:55.119
I think they are in.
00:31:55.599 --> 00:32:10.880
We've already begun the the Kalen De Bordeaux USC talk, which is fucking hysterical that he's not a good enough coach at Alabama, according to everyone, but he is he is the first name that's being dropped at places like Michigan and USC.
00:32:11.039 --> 00:32:12.079
Love that for us.
00:32:12.319 --> 00:32:13.359
Love that for everyone.
00:32:13.440 --> 00:32:16.720
So I think USC is a good bounce back spot here.
00:32:16.799 --> 00:32:18.000
It is at home.
00:32:18.240 --> 00:32:20.720
I don't think they're going to cover because that seems too high.
00:32:20.799 --> 00:32:22.400
I would definitely buy it up to 10 and a half.
00:32:22.559 --> 00:32:30.240
But I will say USC wins 34 27.
00:32:31.839 --> 00:32:32.480
Got it.
00:32:32.640 --> 00:32:33.279
Yep.
00:32:33.839 --> 00:32:34.480
All right.
00:32:34.960 --> 00:32:39.200
Before we move on, any game other games you wanted to shout out?
00:32:39.519 --> 00:32:42.319
I mean, South Carolina and Kentucky, I think, is a very big game.
00:32:42.480 --> 00:32:45.200
I know no one cares, but I gotta say it anyway.
00:32:45.359 --> 00:32:47.200
South Carolina needs to have this win.
00:32:47.279 --> 00:32:50.000
And it feels like one of those things where if they don't, beamer's gone.
00:32:50.079 --> 00:32:51.839
Like hands down, beamer is gone.
00:32:52.079 --> 00:32:53.200
It's without hesitation.
00:32:53.279 --> 00:32:53.519
Yeah.
00:32:53.759 --> 00:33:06.000
They will probably wait to do it, but I just feel like this is the typical thing in the South Carolina experience where it's a three-point, I think it's down to two and a half now.
00:33:06.079 --> 00:33:07.279
I'm gonna take South Carolina.
00:33:07.519 --> 00:33:08.720
We'll do it in our best bets.
00:33:08.799 --> 00:33:10.799
I'll tell you exactly how confident I am.
00:33:11.039 --> 00:33:12.000
But they're a better team.
00:33:12.079 --> 00:33:14.640
They've won four straight in the against this team.
00:33:14.799 --> 00:33:29.519
I know it's a new coach, but I think that Kenny Minchie, some of the numbers that he has behind or like from his passing yardage numbers, and it's like that, what they're gonna do trying to attack South Carolina, it's very dissimilar than what Bama and Mississippi State did.
00:33:29.599 --> 00:33:31.839
And that's what South Carolina's defense struggled with so badly.
00:33:31.920 --> 00:33:34.160
It's like those teams throw the ball downfield.
00:33:34.240 --> 00:33:44.960
They have a ton of plays, 20, 30 yards downfield, and people streaking open on plays that take time to develop, and you have all this coverage issues in the back end, 20 and 30 yards downfield.
00:33:45.119 --> 00:33:46.559
I'll give you some numbers here, Tyler.
00:33:46.799 --> 00:33:54.079
Kenny Minchie, 79% of his completions this year are from within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage.
00:33:54.640 --> 00:33:55.039
Yeah.
00:33:55.279 --> 00:33:57.839
39% are behind the line of scrimmage.
00:33:58.160 --> 00:34:02.960
So 59% of his total yards are within 10 yards from the line of scrimmage.
00:34:03.119 --> 00:34:06.319
28% are behind the line of scrimmage.
00:34:06.480 --> 00:34:09.039
He has not had a ton of success downfield.
00:34:09.119 --> 00:34:10.320
It's a Joe Sloan offense.
00:34:10.400 --> 00:34:14.079
They're going to try to get you very, very spread out and on the perimeter.
00:34:14.239 --> 00:34:23.119
Now, I will tell you this, they do average like eight and a half yards per attempt in the passing game behind the line of scrimmage, which is but I just think this is a matchup that favors South Carolina.
00:34:23.199 --> 00:34:23.920
I think they're going to win.
00:34:24.000 --> 00:34:25.599
I think they're going to win by 10.
00:34:27.679 --> 00:34:28.320
All right.
00:34:28.559 --> 00:34:31.280
All right, let's get into our ad read here.
00:34:31.920 --> 00:34:36.400
Chris, this Saturday, I know it doesn't seem as big as you might think.
00:34:36.559 --> 00:34:40.960
But four of the SEC's five unbeaten teams kick off before four o'clock Saturday.
00:34:41.119 --> 00:34:45.920
You've got Bama and Mississippi State at noon, Georgia at 1245, Florida at 3.30.
00:34:46.000 --> 00:34:48.239
You're going to miss a touchdown at some point.
00:34:48.400 --> 00:34:48.880
At some point.
00:34:49.280 --> 00:34:50.000
Your house won't.
00:34:50.239 --> 00:34:51.119
Your house won't.
00:34:51.280 --> 00:34:51.760
All right.
00:34:52.079 --> 00:34:56.000
Chris's living room, it's going to be going crazy on Saturday.
00:34:56.079 --> 00:34:57.280
It's going to be going off for Bama.
00:34:57.440 --> 00:34:58.800
It's going to be going off for South Carolina.
00:34:58.880 --> 00:35:00.480
It's going to be going off for LSU.
00:35:00.559 --> 00:35:01.920
It's going to be going off for all of them.
00:35:02.079 --> 00:35:03.280
All of his favorite teams.
00:35:04.079 --> 00:35:04.559
Georgia.
00:35:04.719 --> 00:35:06.559
What else have you been accused of being a fan of?
00:35:06.800 --> 00:35:09.360
Bama, Georgia, Auburn, Tennessee.
00:35:09.519 --> 00:35:10.239
Not Tennessee.
00:35:10.480 --> 00:35:11.360
All of them.
00:35:11.760 --> 00:35:13.280
Florida State's a homeowner Dr.
00:35:13.440 --> 00:35:14.400
Virginia on Saturday.
00:35:14.480 --> 00:35:19.920
So if my office flights come on more than twice, I'm going to call it a win.
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Alright, Chris.
00:36:47.440 --> 00:36:49.760
Let's get into a new segment.
00:36:51.199 --> 00:36:53.199
Because this is the last show of September.
00:36:53.360 --> 00:36:54.000
Yeah.
00:36:54.400 --> 00:36:55.840
What did we learn in September?
00:36:56.159 --> 00:36:57.199
Last month a single Chris.
00:36:57.360 --> 00:36:58.639
Not single, but you know what I mean.
00:36:59.039 --> 00:36:59.360
Yeah.
00:37:00.159 --> 00:37:01.280
Getting married next month.
00:37:01.679 --> 00:37:02.320
You are?
00:37:02.639 --> 00:37:03.280
Yeah.
00:37:03.840 --> 00:37:05.920
Everyone on the show will be there.
00:37:07.360 --> 00:37:08.480
Everyone that's on camera.
00:37:08.800 --> 00:37:09.599
Except Edward.
00:37:09.920 --> 00:37:15.360
One of the people in this show gave us the best gift we've ever received.
00:37:15.760 --> 00:37:17.119
A threesome with Tyler.
00:37:17.440 --> 00:37:20.320
No, it was a meat thermometer, and it's awesome.
00:37:21.199 --> 00:37:22.480
That's what the threesome's called.
00:37:22.559 --> 00:37:23.199
Yeah.
00:37:24.480 --> 00:37:25.360
That's good.
00:37:25.599 --> 00:37:27.119
Give her the old meat thermometer.
00:37:27.280 --> 00:37:27.840
Hey guys.
00:37:28.000 --> 00:37:28.880
Next time.
00:37:30.159 --> 00:37:30.480
All right.
00:37:30.639 --> 00:37:31.679
Things we learned in September.
00:37:31.760 --> 00:37:32.480
You want to start?
00:37:33.679 --> 00:37:34.320
Yeah, sure.
00:37:34.400 --> 00:37:37.440
The preseason top ten was half the teams were wrong.
00:37:38.239 --> 00:37:41.440
Five of the preseason top ten have lost already.
00:37:41.679 --> 00:37:41.840
Yeah.
00:37:42.159 --> 00:37:43.360
Four weeks into the season.
00:37:43.760 --> 00:37:47.360
Ohio State, Oregon, Texas AM, Ole Miss, Oklahoma.
00:37:47.519 --> 00:37:54.159
I'd say at least three of those teams are disappointing to say the least already.
00:37:54.400 --> 00:38:04.400
Six preseason ranked teams are out already, and six August unranked teams are in, including, by the way, three SEC teams.
00:38:05.199 --> 00:38:09.679
The biggest surprise probably is Oregon going from two to fifteen.
00:38:09.920 --> 00:38:15.519
And I would say on the other side, unfortunately, Florida, plus 8,000 went at all in August today.
00:38:15.599 --> 00:38:17.280
They said at plus 2,000.
00:38:17.679 --> 00:38:22.400
So that's my biggest thing that I've learned is that preseason polls, they don't know shit.
00:38:22.559 --> 00:38:23.679
Especially in the new era.
00:38:24.000 --> 00:38:30.400
I will say, and I hate to be negative here, I think people are really starting to become disillusioned.
00:38:30.639 --> 00:38:34.239
I think that's a correct word here, with college football.
00:38:34.480 --> 00:38:38.800
And it's a sad thing, but it's something that I think has finally caught up to the game.
00:38:38.960 --> 00:38:49.039
Because for a long time you had this situation where it's like, hey, I don't care if there's all these changes being made and the NIL stuff, it's tough to keep up with and the portal, but I'm going to tune in and watch my favorite team.
00:38:49.199 --> 00:38:56.880
And I think a lot of us in the core nucleus of college well fans that are like, yep, nothing's going to move me off of wanting to watch my team.
00:38:57.039 --> 00:38:57.599
They're my favorite.
00:38:57.760 --> 00:38:59.519
It's my favorite thing, love it to death, blah, blah.
00:38:59.760 --> 00:39:01.039
And that's great.
00:39:01.440 --> 00:39:05.599
But the other part of that is viewership's down 11%.
00:39:06.159 --> 00:39:09.440
And I'm not trying to be a homer here, but let's just be honest.
00:39:10.000 --> 00:39:11.760
What do those numbers look like?
00:39:12.000 --> 00:39:21.199
If Bama's not losing early in two games that are on national television, Lane Kiffin's not a fucking psychopath off the field and creating all this controversy.
00:39:21.360 --> 00:39:30.960
Like look, if you don't have those storylines and the SEC or whatever in like baked into this part of the season, who's watching?
00:39:31.199 --> 00:39:33.679
Because the Big Ten's not going out and playing a bunch of great games.
00:39:33.840 --> 00:39:37.840
The uh the ACC, like it's it's I'm getting choppy.
00:39:37.920 --> 00:39:38.320
Oh no.
00:39:38.480 --> 00:39:42.079
I just think that it's a it's a bad thing that I think it's finally caught up.
00:39:42.159 --> 00:39:51.519
And I think a lot of us probably thought, like, yeah, well, no, there's no way everyone's gonna start not watching college football because it's college football, it's what we've done, it's that's what we've done forever.
00:39:51.599 --> 00:40:00.400
And I think people are finally starting to get very frustrated with all the changes and how no one seems to be in charge, and I think that's one of my biggest takeaways.
00:40:02.079 --> 00:40:03.840
Yeah, no, I I can agree.
00:40:04.000 --> 00:40:05.679
It's not all that surprising.
00:40:05.760 --> 00:40:08.320
I mean, we've talked about this in the past, yeah.
00:40:09.039 --> 00:40:12.159
Although you did say that I guess this comes as a surprise.
00:40:12.320 --> 00:40:14.320
That's what was something we've learned in September.
00:40:14.480 --> 00:40:16.559
But yeah, just playing out.
00:40:16.719 --> 00:40:31.119
Another thing I learned by my count off the DraftKings close, favorites are 56.7 percent through four games against the spread, and overs are 53% against the spread.
00:40:31.360 --> 00:40:32.400
Just something to look at here.
00:40:32.559 --> 00:40:35.280
Big 10 conference games thus far, 8-1 to the over.
00:40:36.719 --> 00:40:37.440
That's crazy.
00:40:37.760 --> 00:40:38.320
Something to say.
00:40:38.480 --> 00:40:53.119
But the teams everybody bet Indiana 4-0 straight up, 0-4 against the spread, Texas 1-3 against the spread, USC 1-4 against the spread, Ole Miss 1-3 against the spread, Oklahoma 1-3 against the spread, Texas Tech one against 1-3.
00:40:53.760 --> 00:40:58.400
Meanwhile, home dogs are 14 and 48 straight up.
00:40:59.519 --> 00:41:03.679
So not a lot of thought there to home dogs actually pulling an upset.
00:41:03.840 --> 00:41:05.679
14 and 48 straight up.
00:41:05.920 --> 00:41:21.280
Spread upsets of the month, UMass plus 29.5 over Rutgers, Oklahoma State plus 24 and a half over Oregon, Kentucky plus 16.5 over AM, Minnesota, plus 12.5 at Washington.
00:41:22.000 --> 00:41:28.559
Wake last week, plus and a half plus 11 and a half at Louisville, and then finally Wisconsin plus 9.5 at Penn State.
00:41:28.639 --> 00:41:31.119
So the dogs are starting to make a little bit of a comeback.
00:41:32.719 --> 00:41:35.840
So just some interesting tidbits there for September.
00:41:36.159 --> 00:41:37.920
Here's something I learned.
00:41:38.239 --> 00:41:39.519
Numbers lie.
00:41:40.559 --> 00:41:54.559
For one, the sack thing last week was tough, but also the idea that Calen De Boer has gotten off to a better start in his first however many games, I think it's 32 games, than Nick Saban and Bear Bryant.
00:41:54.800 --> 00:42:01.119
Is and you could make the case that with at least Bear Bryant, I'm sure he's played a tougher schedule.
00:42:01.280 --> 00:42:05.119
So I don't, I could be wrong, but I I would assume that's the case.
00:42:05.360 --> 00:42:14.159
The other thing, too, uh, is there's a there's an actual development issue with quarterbacks, I think, in college football.
00:42:14.320 --> 00:42:23.199
And I I think part of it is because it's not just the coaches that are, I mean, Lenore Sellers is a prime example of he's had three different OCs in his last three years.
00:42:23.280 --> 00:42:26.320
That's the same as Jalen Hurts had when he was at Alabama and Oklahoma.
00:42:26.400 --> 00:42:28.639
Like, and and part of that's because he transferred.
00:42:28.800 --> 00:42:37.760
But that's a story that we're hearing constantly now around college football, where they have OCs that come in for a year and they try to take a better job or they get fired or whatever.
00:42:38.000 --> 00:42:46.719
But also at the portal, it's just been way more difficult, I think, to have consistent development in all the moving parts.
00:42:46.880 --> 00:42:49.440
You and and it comes from all these different areas too.
00:42:49.599 --> 00:42:53.599
Marcel Reed has had two coordinators, but he's been a three-year starter.
00:42:53.840 --> 00:42:57.280
Lenore Sellers, three coordinators, and a three-year starter.
00:42:57.519 --> 00:43:03.119
John Mateer, three years, one coordinator, all three bad.
00:43:03.280 --> 00:43:14.559
And so it's just been it's been very and like look, Bryce Underwood has not developed anywhere close to what we thought he was gonna develop into as of yet in year two as a starter, and that that was supposed to be a generational type player.
00:43:14.719 --> 00:43:22.400
Quinn Ewers was the last generational type quarterback recruit, so was Arch Manning, and neither one of those have really been that great.
00:43:22.559 --> 00:43:25.039
So that's I think that's something else we've learned too.
00:43:25.840 --> 00:43:28.159
All right, well, October is right around the corner.
00:43:28.320 --> 00:43:34.559
Before we give some bold predictions for October, here are some of the teams with the toughest schedules.
00:43:34.960 --> 00:43:38.800
This is by current AP rank of opponents in October.
00:43:38.880 --> 00:43:40.559
I think you'll sense a theme here.
00:43:41.039 --> 00:43:51.280
Mississippi Mississippi State's got Alabama at LSU at Texas plus Oklahoma, which maybe isn't as bad as we once thought.
00:43:51.440 --> 00:43:51.760
Yeah.
00:43:52.400 --> 00:43:59.840
Alabama, your crimson tide has Mississippi State, Georgia, at Tennessee, AM, not as bad.
00:44:00.079 --> 00:44:01.760
Hard as we once thought.
00:44:03.920 --> 00:44:09.119
Florida at Missouri, South Carolina, at Texas, and Georgia.
00:44:09.599 --> 00:44:13.280
I think you could have just waited two weeks to have that conversation.
00:44:13.920 --> 00:44:16.400
They're going to beat the fuck out of South Carolina.
00:44:18.480 --> 00:44:25.119
Sneaky hard schedule here for Iowa or for Ohio State at Iowa, at Indiana, at USC.
00:44:25.199 --> 00:44:26.960
Three ranked road games.
00:44:27.199 --> 00:44:28.239
That's tough.
00:44:28.400 --> 00:44:28.800
Yeah.
00:44:29.039 --> 00:44:30.079
And then the softest schedule.
00:44:36.880 --> 00:44:38.639
That's not an easy place to walk into.
00:44:38.800 --> 00:44:41.760
Mainly because you might get shanked on the way into the stadium.
00:44:42.079 --> 00:44:43.280
Softest schedules.
00:44:43.360 --> 00:44:45.360
I don't think you're going to see too many surprises here.
00:44:45.599 --> 00:44:45.920
Elish.
00:44:46.320 --> 00:44:46.880
Miami.
00:44:47.840 --> 00:44:51.199
Clemson, Florida State, Pitt, and UNC.
00:44:51.920 --> 00:44:52.719
Nobody ranked.
00:44:52.880 --> 00:44:53.840
Texas Tech.
00:44:54.800 --> 00:44:59.519
Oh, I thought I thought that was the list of the softest schedules, and they were all in the ACC, and I was like, Jesus Christ.
00:44:59.920 --> 00:45:02.400
No, this is the softest, softest schedules.
00:45:02.639 --> 00:45:09.039
Indiana really only has Ohio State, and then sneaky soft for the SEC Georgia.
00:45:09.199 --> 00:45:10.880
Two real games in five weeks.
00:45:11.199 --> 00:45:22.000
LSU has McNeese at Kentucky, Mississippi State at home at Auburn, and then a week off before they play Bama, Tennessee, or Texas, and Tennessee.
00:45:22.239 --> 00:45:33.760
This, I'll tell you what, this little stretch for LSU, if pulling up top team as much as I as I should, and I hope it's a great season, need them to be great for all the reasons.
00:45:34.000 --> 00:45:47.920
But if this turns into a conversation about the SEC being tough, because you got to go play, like if Kiffen takes the podium, which he probably will, and say, we got to go play, you know, Kentucky who's ranked, or they were ranked a week ago before they lose to South Carolina.
00:45:48.000 --> 00:45:50.639
We got to go play Mississippi State at 11 a.m.
00:45:50.880 --> 00:45:53.119
Then we got to play, you know, an Auburn team.
00:45:53.199 --> 00:45:53.920
It's tough to win there.
00:45:54.000 --> 00:45:54.960
Ask Nick Saban.
00:45:55.039 --> 00:46:00.480
Like that's a conversation that he will say and try to convince people when he doesn't need to convince people.
00:46:01.519 --> 00:46:02.639
Bookmark this, Eddie.
00:46:02.719 --> 00:46:03.360
Clip it.
00:46:03.599 --> 00:46:08.079
Bookmark this because I think that we're going to come back and have this actual conversation with him saying that.
00:46:09.199 --> 00:46:10.639
Bookmark it, Eddie.
00:46:10.880 --> 00:46:11.760
Bookmark this.
00:46:12.000 --> 00:46:13.920
Before we move on, do you want to bookmark that?
00:46:14.159 --> 00:46:15.920
Eddie's coming in, I think, right?
00:46:16.480 --> 00:46:19.199
Oh, am I making a bold prediction for October?
00:46:19.440 --> 00:46:21.199
Put your face in the screen.
00:46:22.559 --> 00:46:23.440
I'm on the big side.
00:46:23.599 --> 00:46:24.880
I don't want to be on the big side.
00:46:25.199 --> 00:46:26.079
Messy ass house.
00:46:26.239 --> 00:46:26.480
I love that.
00:46:27.199 --> 00:46:28.239
Dirty ass house.
00:46:28.400 --> 00:46:30.880
Oh, this is the play from the national championship.
00:46:31.199 --> 00:46:32.480
Bold prediction.
00:46:32.719 --> 00:46:37.280
I think there's gonna there's gonna be a jawline in our future in October.
00:46:37.519 --> 00:46:38.639
I think it's hiding under there.
00:46:38.719 --> 00:46:39.599
It's looking good.
00:46:39.840 --> 00:46:42.880
Maybe there's gonna be some some chiseled arms.
00:46:43.119 --> 00:46:44.320
This is a guy getting married.
00:46:44.480 --> 00:46:46.400
Oh, suck up to me, dude.
00:46:47.679 --> 00:46:48.480
Do it.
00:46:48.880 --> 00:46:53.760
Florida State is gonna have a great fall ball schedule with softball.
00:46:53.840 --> 00:46:55.599
They're they've got a slate coming up.
00:46:55.679 --> 00:47:00.800
Their Auburn's coming to town, they're playing with LSU a couple times, they're going to Florida.
00:47:00.960 --> 00:47:02.960
So it's you know, it's a softball pod.
00:47:03.039 --> 00:47:03.360
Yeah.
00:47:03.599 --> 00:47:04.800
Are you is there any update?
00:47:04.880 --> 00:47:12.000
Are we allowed to talk about this with any other openings at that university in terms of PA announcing?
00:47:13.679 --> 00:47:14.880
I've thrown some lines out.
00:47:14.960 --> 00:47:17.280
Yeah, I'm in the PA for all about you.
00:47:17.360 --> 00:47:17.920
No free ads.
00:47:18.079 --> 00:47:18.639
No free ads.
00:47:18.719 --> 00:47:18.960
There you go.
00:47:19.039 --> 00:47:19.840
Okay, my bad, my bad.
00:47:19.920 --> 00:47:24.480
But I can I can say this week on Friday, welcome back to Joanne Graffield.
00:47:24.719 --> 00:47:25.360
Let's go.
00:47:25.599 --> 00:47:26.079
Joanne.
00:47:27.039 --> 00:47:29.039
Yeah, she's a legendary softball coach.
00:47:29.280 --> 00:47:31.199
Do you ever does it ever make you worried?
00:47:31.280 --> 00:47:32.320
Like, do you have like bad dreams?
00:47:32.400 --> 00:47:35.599
You're gonna be like, welcome back to Joanne Fabrics Field.
00:47:36.000 --> 00:47:40.159
Because now I hope that is deeply embedded into your psyche, and you do say that.
00:47:40.480 --> 00:47:41.119
Subliminal.
00:47:41.199 --> 00:47:41.760
You that'd be bad.
00:47:43.119 --> 00:47:43.760
Yeah.
00:47:44.159 --> 00:47:44.639
All right.
00:47:44.880 --> 00:47:45.920
Bold predictions for October.
00:47:46.320 --> 00:47:46.800
Give me a break.
00:47:47.199 --> 00:47:47.679
Hold on.
00:47:47.920 --> 00:47:48.559
Yeah.
00:47:49.360 --> 00:47:50.480
There we go.
00:47:51.360 --> 00:47:52.239
Let's see.
00:47:52.719 --> 00:47:54.400
Bold predictions.
00:47:57.199 --> 00:48:00.559
How about Texas loses the Red River to Oklahoma?
00:48:00.800 --> 00:48:01.119
Oh.
00:48:01.599 --> 00:48:04.079
And is out of the top five by Halloween?
00:48:06.000 --> 00:48:09.280
The second part I can believe in, because they gotta play Florida Ole Miss.
00:48:09.440 --> 00:48:11.119
I don't think it has anything to do with Oklahoma.
00:48:12.000 --> 00:48:13.039
It's supposed to be bold.
00:48:13.440 --> 00:48:14.079
Yeah.
00:48:14.880 --> 00:48:16.960
Listen, 33 points a game.
00:48:17.440 --> 00:48:20.000
It's 10th in the SEC, which is kind of crazy.
00:48:20.239 --> 00:48:23.599
Oklahoma has a buy to try to fix whatever the hell's wrong with Matir.
00:48:24.400 --> 00:48:27.039
Log headlines only minus six, Chris.
00:48:28.000 --> 00:48:28.880
Love that.
00:48:30.239 --> 00:48:32.639
Alright, so that's my bold prediction for October.
00:48:34.400 --> 00:48:36.000
Okay, I'll give you this one.
00:48:36.079 --> 00:48:38.880
It's the very last day of the month.
00:48:39.039 --> 00:48:43.280
Florida, Georgia is a top five game for the first time in well over a decade.
00:48:43.519 --> 00:48:43.920
I think.
00:48:44.079 --> 00:48:44.239
Right?
00:48:44.400 --> 00:48:47.360
Unless they did 2018 or 2019 or 2020.
00:48:47.679 --> 00:48:49.039
That's gonna be a top five game.
00:48:49.119 --> 00:48:50.320
I think that's one.
00:48:50.880 --> 00:48:54.559
Tennessee, Bama is an elimination game for the playoff.
00:48:54.800 --> 00:48:56.079
That's a big one.
00:48:56.400 --> 00:49:05.760
Mississippi State goes 2-2 in their games and is firmly in the conversation for the college ball playoff.
00:49:06.079 --> 00:49:07.199
What was the other one I had?
00:49:07.280 --> 00:49:08.079
Damn it.
00:49:08.559 --> 00:49:10.320
It was SEC related.
00:49:12.000 --> 00:49:12.800
Did I do Bama?
00:49:13.039 --> 00:49:14.239
I did Bama, Mississippi State.
00:49:14.320 --> 00:49:15.280
I did Florida, Georgia.
00:49:15.360 --> 00:49:16.880
There's another one I'm missing.
00:49:17.920 --> 00:49:19.119
I'll come back to it.
00:49:19.280 --> 00:49:21.280
And I'll give you one outside the SEC.
00:49:21.440 --> 00:49:23.360
Oh, Shane Bieber's not fired.
00:49:23.760 --> 00:49:24.320
Ooh.
00:49:24.639 --> 00:49:26.960
Here's the thing that's most likely going to happen.
00:49:27.119 --> 00:49:27.679
Yeah.
00:49:28.000 --> 00:49:30.159
This is the last thing.
00:49:31.039 --> 00:49:31.599
Hold on.
00:49:31.760 --> 00:49:33.199
Let me make sure I have this.
00:49:35.039 --> 00:49:41.599
Here is here's the part of the season where I feel like we get very excited, spooky season.
00:49:41.760 --> 00:49:45.280
We start getting a little bit more upsets and all that kind of stuff.
00:49:45.519 --> 00:49:47.760
I've also completely lost train of my thought.
00:49:47.840 --> 00:49:49.280
Oh, Chamber's not getting fired.
00:49:49.360 --> 00:49:49.679
Here's why.
00:49:49.760 --> 00:49:51.039
They're going to beat Kentucky by 10.
00:49:51.119 --> 00:49:52.880
They're going to get boat raced by Florida.
00:49:53.039 --> 00:49:58.400
And if they're three and three, if we're just being honest, the conversation that's going to happen is okay.
00:50:00.719 --> 00:50:04.559
I was three and three two years ago, and we finished nine and three.
00:50:04.800 --> 00:50:09.760
You cannot fire me, no matter how bad the vibes are, how bad the loss is to Florida.
00:50:09.840 --> 00:50:12.960
If you get beat by 40 at Florida, sure, we have the conversation.
00:50:13.119 --> 00:50:16.559
They're not going to save any money by firing them later in the year until like January.
00:50:16.639 --> 00:50:18.239
So I don't think that's an obstacle.
00:50:18.400 --> 00:50:21.920
I don't know who you bring in to be the coach because nobody, you're not going to hire from within.
00:50:22.000 --> 00:50:25.440
You have to have a good hire from the outside and get the fan base back into it.
00:50:25.599 --> 00:50:27.119
But I will tell you right now, I'll double down.
00:50:27.199 --> 00:50:29.679
I don't think he's fired because they're going to be three and three.
00:50:29.760 --> 00:50:33.440
And I think Dylan Stewart comes back for the second half of the season in the last six games.
00:50:33.599 --> 00:50:37.920
Finally, Indiana goes undefeated in the month of October because I do think they beat Ohio State.
00:50:38.000 --> 00:50:40.719
And that game against Northwestern was just a fluke.
00:50:42.159 --> 00:50:46.880
That would be a bold prediction, sir, because Ryan Day 22 and one in October.
00:50:47.199 --> 00:50:47.840
Shit.
00:50:50.800 --> 00:50:56.559
I was actually thinking about Ohio State losing two of its three October road games as being my bold prediction.
00:50:56.880 --> 00:51:00.719
I might put it on there because they got, like I said, Iowa, Indiana, USC.
00:51:00.960 --> 00:51:02.400
So all right.
00:51:03.760 --> 00:51:07.840
Let's get to our locks of the week.
00:51:09.840 --> 00:51:10.880
Bad week last week.
00:51:11.519 --> 00:51:12.800
I finally hit one last week.
00:51:13.039 --> 00:51:13.199
Yeah.
00:51:13.360 --> 00:51:14.719
What are you on the season now?
00:51:15.840 --> 00:51:16.480
Dumbass.
00:51:16.719 --> 00:51:17.840
One and three.
00:51:18.480 --> 00:51:19.840
Five and one over here.
00:51:20.079 --> 00:51:20.719
Yep.
00:51:21.760 --> 00:51:23.360
Are you ready to get weird?
00:51:25.039 --> 00:51:26.320
I'm always ready to get weird.
00:51:26.639 --> 00:51:29.599
South Carolina, money line.
00:51:30.000 --> 00:51:32.400
Lock of the fucking week.
00:51:32.719 --> 00:51:33.679
Let's get weird.
00:51:33.840 --> 00:51:34.559
Let's get crazy.
00:51:34.719 --> 00:51:36.320
South Carolina, minus 148.
00:51:36.400 --> 00:51:37.679
I'm not I'm not taking the points.
00:51:37.760 --> 00:51:42.000
I'm not taking the, I'm not, I think they're gonna win by 10, but I'm taking minus 148.
00:51:42.079 --> 00:51:47.360
Lock of the week, South Carolina circles the wagons, wins at home against a team they beat in four straight years.
00:51:47.679 --> 00:51:53.440
I will also take Tennessee, minus six and a half.
00:51:54.480 --> 00:51:56.480
Tennessee to score first.
00:51:59.199 --> 00:52:00.880
Second lock of the week.
00:52:01.199 --> 00:52:02.239
Tennessee to score first.
00:52:02.320 --> 00:52:03.039
We're doubling down.
00:52:03.119 --> 00:52:04.400
We're fucking doubling down.
00:52:04.559 --> 00:52:04.960
All right.
00:52:05.119 --> 00:52:06.320
I like those two.
00:52:06.559 --> 00:52:07.599
I keep telling you.
00:52:08.079 --> 00:52:09.519
How many lock of the weeks do you have?
00:52:09.679 --> 00:52:10.079
Two.
00:52:10.320 --> 00:52:10.639
All right.
00:52:10.800 --> 00:52:11.199
Two.
00:52:11.440 --> 00:52:13.519
Am I allowed to make mine since you've made not yet?
00:52:13.599 --> 00:52:13.760
No.
00:52:14.320 --> 00:52:15.840
Oh, this is oh, this is just the lock of the week.
00:52:15.920 --> 00:52:16.159
My bad.
00:52:16.239 --> 00:52:16.480
Go ahead.
00:52:16.559 --> 00:52:16.800
Go ahead.
00:52:17.280 --> 00:52:18.000
Not best cuts.
00:52:18.079 --> 00:52:18.960
I'm dumb.
00:52:19.280 --> 00:52:19.920
All right.
00:52:20.400 --> 00:52:23.679
I considered going back to the old well.
00:52:26.239 --> 00:52:26.880
Who's that?
00:52:35.679 --> 00:52:42.480
But my lock of the week officially is Alabama Mississippi State over 59 and a half.
00:52:44.000 --> 00:52:46.960
It's 4-0 to the over by 17 a game.
00:52:47.119 --> 00:52:53.679
Both pass defense are at bottom 40, and I think it is the safest bet on the board here.
00:52:53.840 --> 00:52:55.039
Yeah, that's fair.
00:52:55.679 --> 00:52:57.280
So that's my lock of the week.
00:52:57.360 --> 00:53:01.199
Let's go to the best, best, best, best, best, best, best, best.
00:53:01.440 --> 00:53:03.039
Jeez, tough one, brother.
00:53:03.360 --> 00:53:04.159
Best bets.
00:53:04.400 --> 00:53:05.599
Hey, are you hearing this, man?
00:53:05.760 --> 00:53:06.079
Come on now.
00:53:07.840 --> 00:53:09.760
I am 18 and 14 on the season.
00:53:09.840 --> 00:53:13.280
You are 13, 11, and 1 on the season for your best bets.
00:53:13.519 --> 00:53:16.000
Who would have thought that you had more bets than me?
00:53:16.159 --> 00:53:18.320
That might be the biggest upset of the year.
00:53:18.639 --> 00:53:21.920
I started chasing last week and it actually worked, which is not good.
00:53:23.199 --> 00:53:27.679
Brother, I was on Illinois plus 27 and a half against Soha State last week.
00:53:27.840 --> 00:53:28.639
I don't love that.
00:53:28.800 --> 00:53:29.760
I don't love that at all.
00:53:30.000 --> 00:53:30.639
Hit it.
00:53:43.039 --> 00:53:43.679
All right.
00:53:44.000 --> 00:53:47.920
Let me go Jaden Baugh rushing yards over.
00:53:48.639 --> 00:53:49.840
Just gonna keep hitting it.
00:53:50.000 --> 00:53:50.480
What is it?
00:53:50.639 --> 00:53:53.599
Uh I think it's minus, or I think it's 114.5.
00:53:54.639 --> 00:53:54.960
Okay.
00:53:55.760 --> 00:53:59.519
Give me Did he have an inny time touchdown?
00:54:01.920 --> 00:54:04.719
Do you have Camario Taylor's passing yards?
00:54:05.039 --> 00:54:05.280
No.
00:54:05.440 --> 00:54:06.880
I don't even know where you're getting these.
00:54:07.519 --> 00:54:10.719
So I live in Louisiana, so we don't have we don't have player props.
00:54:11.840 --> 00:54:14.239
I can't have access to this, apparently.
00:54:14.719 --> 00:54:15.039
Okay.
00:54:15.440 --> 00:54:17.119
It's my cross the bear.
00:54:18.239 --> 00:54:23.039
Give me Washington plus nine and a half at USC.
00:54:24.400 --> 00:54:25.280
Give me.
00:54:27.280 --> 00:54:29.119
Kentucky, plus three.
00:54:29.760 --> 00:54:31.440
You're a fucking bitch, dude.
00:54:31.519 --> 00:54:32.639
That's so fucked.
00:54:32.960 --> 00:54:34.159
Dylan Stewart out.
00:54:34.239 --> 00:54:36.559
South Carolina, seven straight SEC losses.
00:54:36.880 --> 00:54:37.199
Okay.
00:54:37.440 --> 00:54:37.920
Alright.
00:54:38.239 --> 00:54:42.559
Iowa plus fourteen and a half against Ohio State.
00:54:46.159 --> 00:54:49.440
I've already given the over on the Alabama-Missippi State game.
00:54:50.159 --> 00:54:54.639
And I am leaning.
00:54:55.599 --> 00:54:58.159
Miami minus 16 and a half against Clemson.
00:54:59.840 --> 00:55:00.159
Okay.
00:55:01.519 --> 00:55:01.679
Oh.
00:55:04.000 --> 00:55:04.960
Alright.
00:55:05.280 --> 00:55:06.079
Is that it?
00:55:06.960 --> 00:55:07.360
Yep.
00:55:07.760 --> 00:55:09.280
Bad news for everybody.
00:55:12.159 --> 00:55:14.159
I'm gonna ruin my life this weekend.
00:55:15.440 --> 00:55:17.599
Minnesota plus five and a half.
00:55:18.880 --> 00:55:20.000
Right away.
00:55:20.559 --> 00:55:21.599
Who do they got?
00:55:21.920 --> 00:55:22.800
Shut up.
00:55:24.079 --> 00:55:25.360
Alabama minus six.
00:55:25.599 --> 00:55:27.360
Minnesota plus five and a half.
00:55:27.679 --> 00:55:30.000
Auburn under 24 and a half points.
00:55:30.239 --> 00:55:32.079
Michigan has mini, or Minnesota has Michigan.
00:55:32.239 --> 00:55:33.199
I don't think I should do this.
00:55:33.280 --> 00:55:35.360
I really don't think I should bank that pick.
00:55:35.679 --> 00:55:36.800
Should I just be smart?
00:55:37.039 --> 00:55:43.599
Eddie, can we just can I bitch out on this one and be like, hey, here's my best bets, but here's a couple that I like, and let's see how let's do these as testers for next week.
00:55:43.679 --> 00:55:45.679
So we're gonna put these in two categories, okay?
00:55:45.920 --> 00:55:47.679
Let's start over my best bets.
00:55:47.760 --> 00:55:49.360
My lock of the week is Tennessee to score first.
00:55:49.440 --> 00:55:50.559
And what was the other one?
00:55:53.039 --> 00:55:54.320
South Carolina moneyline.
00:55:54.400 --> 00:55:55.440
Help me, Donald Trump.
00:55:55.519 --> 00:55:56.000
Help me.
00:55:56.079 --> 00:55:56.719
Help me.
00:55:57.119 --> 00:55:58.320
You ever seen that meme?
00:55:58.559 --> 00:55:58.800
Yeah.
00:55:59.039 --> 00:56:00.480
The man praying in his front front seat.
00:56:00.800 --> 00:56:02.960
South Carolina moneyline, Tennessee to score first.
00:56:03.280 --> 00:56:05.360
You already went over that, you dummy.
00:56:05.599 --> 00:56:06.719
Best bets.
00:56:07.280 --> 00:56:08.079
Tennessee.
00:56:08.159 --> 00:56:11.679
I'm sorry, Auburn under 24 and a half.
00:56:13.599 --> 00:56:15.920
Auburn to score less than 24 and a half points.
00:56:16.079 --> 00:56:16.480
Yes.
00:56:16.639 --> 00:56:17.119
I don't know.
00:56:17.199 --> 00:56:17.440
Honestly.
00:56:17.599 --> 00:56:19.599
Didn't they score like 12 against Vanderbilt?
00:56:19.679 --> 00:56:20.880
Yeah, they scored 21.
00:56:21.039 --> 00:56:21.840
And they're on the road.
00:56:21.920 --> 00:56:22.639
So give me that.
00:56:23.519 --> 00:56:26.079
That should probably be a lock of the week, to be honest, but it's not.
00:56:26.320 --> 00:56:28.239
Maybe I should do all lock of the weeks.
00:56:28.400 --> 00:56:29.679
I will take.
00:56:32.000 --> 00:56:35.920
I will take Tennessee minus six.
00:56:36.000 --> 00:56:39.119
I'll buy it down because I'm a little bit of a B-word.
00:56:39.599 --> 00:56:40.960
I'll take that.
00:56:43.440 --> 00:56:45.360
I like that Jaden Ball thing.
00:56:45.440 --> 00:56:46.400
I like that a lot.
00:56:46.559 --> 00:56:50.239
That's four total bets, which is a normal amount of bets to place.
00:56:50.559 --> 00:56:58.159
I don't like that you just magically bet down your bets as if betting down on this even matters.
00:56:58.719 --> 00:57:00.719
You need to take the line that's available to you, sir.
00:57:00.880 --> 00:57:02.000
No, I'm not doing that.
00:57:02.079 --> 00:57:03.199
That's not how I bet anyway.
00:57:04.000 --> 00:57:06.880
I'm buying Jaden Ball's rushing yards down to 82.
00:57:07.119 --> 00:57:08.239
You can't do that.
00:57:08.480 --> 00:57:09.360
Oh, why not?
00:57:09.519 --> 00:57:11.039
Because that's not the same thing.
00:57:11.280 --> 00:57:11.599
Okay.
00:57:11.920 --> 00:57:15.599
You can't buy someone's that's 32 yards, you idiot.
00:57:16.480 --> 00:57:17.679
You can buy a point.
00:57:17.840 --> 00:57:18.639
It doesn't change it.
00:57:18.719 --> 00:57:22.000
It's like minus 130 instead of minus 110.
00:57:22.079 --> 00:57:24.880
And I'm totally fine with taking that hit financially.
00:57:25.119 --> 00:57:26.320
Okay, so I've got that.
00:57:26.480 --> 00:57:27.039
Oh my god.
00:57:27.119 --> 00:57:29.920
LSU is minus 53 and a half against McNeese.
00:57:31.760 --> 00:57:32.400
All right.
00:57:32.559 --> 00:57:36.320
I said we weren't doing teasers anymore, and I'm a man of my word.
00:57:36.639 --> 00:57:36.960
Okay.
00:57:37.199 --> 00:57:37.760
Just kidding.
00:57:37.840 --> 00:57:40.000
I got a couple teasers in here I want to throw out.
00:57:40.079 --> 00:57:41.840
Here's a 10-point teaser.
00:57:42.079 --> 00:57:43.519
10-point teaser.
00:57:43.840 --> 00:57:45.760
Eddie, I'm at four bets, right?
00:57:46.079 --> 00:57:47.119
Bama minus six.
00:57:47.280 --> 00:57:48.000
Tennessee.
00:57:48.079 --> 00:57:49.360
No, I'm at five.
00:57:54.079 --> 00:57:54.800
I've got four.
00:57:54.960 --> 00:57:57.360
Minnesota, Bama, Auburn, Tennessee.
00:57:58.000 --> 00:57:59.039
Minnesota doesn't count.
00:57:59.119 --> 00:58:00.400
That's a we'll talk about it later.
00:58:00.639 --> 00:58:02.800
You make it very difficult when you change your mind.
00:58:03.039 --> 00:58:03.440
Okay, fine.
00:58:03.519 --> 00:58:04.320
Count Minnesota.
00:58:04.400 --> 00:58:05.840
Minnesota plus five and a half.
00:58:06.000 --> 00:58:08.239
I'm gonna give you a 10-point teaser.
00:58:08.320 --> 00:58:11.360
I'm gonna give you a 10-point teaser here that I really like.
00:58:11.840 --> 00:58:15.920
West, I'm sorry, Wake Forest down to minus three.
00:58:16.719 --> 00:58:21.119
Bama, Mississippi State over 49 and a half.
00:58:22.159 --> 00:58:24.079
I know you like that.
00:58:24.559 --> 00:58:26.639
And then what was the other one?
00:58:26.800 --> 00:58:28.320
What was the other one?
00:58:29.280 --> 00:58:31.840
Miami minus six and a half.
00:58:34.960 --> 00:58:37.679
How about Stanford just beating Georgia Tech's ass?
00:58:37.840 --> 00:58:38.559
Yeah, it was crazy.
00:58:38.639 --> 00:58:40.320
But it's they gotta go to Wake.
00:58:40.559 --> 00:58:40.880
Yeah.
00:58:41.119 --> 00:58:42.639
So I love that bet.
00:58:43.199 --> 00:58:45.519
I mean, I almost like Wake minus 13.
00:58:45.679 --> 00:58:48.000
Yeah, I was about to say, I think it's down to 12 and a half last.
00:58:49.039 --> 00:58:50.000
Don't tease me.
00:58:50.079 --> 00:58:51.920
All right, that's and I'm gonna stick with that.
00:58:52.079 --> 00:58:54.000
I think I'm just gonna stick with that.
00:58:54.239 --> 00:58:59.599
Also, here's an interesting one that I'm not gonna do what I always do and add-on stuff late, but Iowa State, West Virginia.
00:58:59.760 --> 00:59:01.119
Why is Iowa State favored?
00:59:01.280 --> 00:59:02.719
Don't really understand that one.
00:59:02.960 --> 00:59:05.840
The Georgia line has crept up to 25 and a half.
00:59:05.920 --> 00:59:06.880
I wouldn't touch that.
00:59:07.039 --> 00:59:11.199
I'm not gonna touch Florida, Missouri because of what you said, even though I do like Florida to win.
00:59:11.519 --> 00:59:16.400
So why don't we just do the responsible thing here and fire off one more?
00:59:16.880 --> 00:59:18.639
And it'll be a parlay.
00:59:18.719 --> 00:59:20.880
It's a moneyline parlay.
00:59:25.199 --> 00:59:30.079
And it's gonna be Missouri, Mississippi State, and Iowa.
00:59:30.400 --> 00:59:32.079
Moneyline parlay.
00:59:32.639 --> 00:59:33.440
That would be sick.
00:59:33.599 --> 00:59:37.360
Plus 236, Florida, Tennessee, South Carolina moneyline.
00:59:48.239 --> 00:59:49.840
Song rules, dude.
00:59:50.719 --> 00:59:51.199
All right.
00:59:51.280 --> 00:59:53.199
That's gonna be the show today.
00:59:53.920 --> 00:59:54.880
Three games.
00:59:55.039 --> 00:59:56.239
The quick hitters.
00:59:56.480 --> 01:00:00.159
September's seats and seven or more.
01:00:00.320 --> 01:00:04.239
I think there's about 80,000 October bold predictions on the record.
01:00:04.639 --> 01:00:05.280
Good.
01:00:07.519 --> 01:00:09.519
What's your favorite game of the week besides Bama?
01:00:09.840 --> 01:00:10.480
Mississippi State.
01:00:10.639 --> 01:00:11.599
South Carolina beat Clemson.
01:00:11.679 --> 01:00:12.400
I mean South Carolina to beat them.
01:00:12.559 --> 01:00:13.840
No, just like to watch in general.
01:00:14.000 --> 01:00:16.320
Oh, to watch in general, probably Ohio State, Iowa.
01:00:16.719 --> 01:00:17.440
Hell yeah.
01:00:17.599 --> 01:00:18.239
Yeah.
01:00:18.480 --> 01:00:21.199
Your weekend homework, Chris, and others.
01:00:21.440 --> 01:00:23.199
Really not Chris, but others.
01:00:23.440 --> 01:00:27.440
One, the Angry Fans line, 448-488-3936.
01:00:27.760 --> 01:00:32.239
If Mississippi does it at noon, call before you storm the field down there in Starksville.
01:00:32.480 --> 01:00:33.199
I don't love that.
01:00:33.440 --> 01:00:37.199
Starkville, if Iowa does it, call while you're waving.
01:00:37.920 --> 01:00:40.000
Hey, just waving the kids here.
01:00:40.719 --> 01:00:43.039
Gamecocks, you know the drill by now.
01:00:43.599 --> 01:00:45.119
You're gonna be pissed, probably.
01:00:45.360 --> 01:00:46.239
Give us a call.
01:00:46.480 --> 01:00:49.039
Best voicemails played live on Sunday.
01:00:49.760 --> 01:00:51.760
Sunday, 7:30 Eastern, live on YouTube.
01:00:52.000 --> 01:00:53.519
Full reactions, the bet review.
01:00:53.599 --> 01:00:54.719
Who's sadder than Marlar?
01:00:54.880 --> 01:00:56.960
And if Albema loses in Starkville.
01:00:57.760 --> 01:01:03.679
Maybe Dak will call back or whoever that guy was that said that Bam would have three losses by the time October was done.
01:01:03.920 --> 01:01:04.800
Yeah, it can happen.
01:01:04.960 --> 01:01:06.159
And three, five stars.
01:01:06.400 --> 01:01:08.480
Review with Teeth and Homestadium.io.
01:01:08.800 --> 01:01:09.360
Free to sign up.
01:01:09.519 --> 01:01:11.519
October is free with promo code AngryFans.
01:01:11.679 --> 01:01:12.159
One word.
01:01:12.480 --> 01:01:16.480
And the paywall goes up in November for Chris and Boozda.
01:01:16.639 --> 01:01:17.360
I'm Tyler.
01:01:17.599 --> 01:01:18.159
Call the number.
01:01:18.320 --> 01:01:19.760
See you Sunday.