[Cindy's Version] The Writing on the Wall: Trade Changes Are Becoming Real

Host: Lalo Solorzano
Guest(s): N/A
Published: September 25, 2026
Length: N/A
Presented by: Global Training Center

The writing has been on the wall for a while. This week, some of those warnings turned into dates, duty rates, filing requirements, and even an import prohibition.

With Cindy Allen traveling for the NCBFAA GAC conference, Lalo Solorzano takes over the weekly trade update — swapping Taylor Swift for Iron Maiden and looking at several developments that trade professionals can no longer leave in the “watching” category.

At the top of the list are new restrictions affecting certain Canadian goods. Beginning September 29, covered packaged alcoholic beverages, dairy products, and motorcycles face exclusion from importation into the United States under Section 338 — moving the conversation beyond the earlier 50% additional duties.

Lalo also covers CBP’s upcoming electronic export manifest test for truck cargo, important AD/CVD developments involving products from China, Mexico, and India, and the October 6 launch date for Phase 3 of CBP’s CAPE process for certain finally liquidated IEEPA entries.

The message for trade professionals is straightforward: go back to your watch list. Yesterday’s developing issue may now have a deadline, a rate, a filing requirement, or a direct impact on whether goods can enter the country.

This week’s developments demonstrate how quickly trade issues can move from proposals and preliminary actions into operational requirements.

Beginning September 29, certain Canadian packaged alcoholic beverages, dairy products, and motorcycles will be excluded from importation into the United States. The exact product coverage and HTS classification matter, and goods imported before the effective date may receive different treatment under the earlier 50% Section 338 duty.

For importers, this creates immediate questions around classification, shipment timing, entry status, sourcing, and product eligibility.

CBP will begin a roughly two-year electronic export manifest test for truck cargo on October 23, initially involving nine carriers.

Participating carriers will provide certain export-manifest information through ACE at least 24 hours before departure, with the complete manifest due no later than two hours before arrival at the final port of export.

The test reinforces a broader direction: CBP wants export information earlier, potentially requiring carriers, forwarders, USPPIs, and other parties to adjust their processes.

Commerce preliminarily determined that certain compacted graphite iron brake drums from China constitute later-developed merchandise circumventing existing AD/CVD orders.

Other developments include a preliminary 56.43% dumping margin in the administrative review of seamless refined copper pipe and tube from Mexico and final affirmative ITC injury determinations involving oleoresin paprika from India.

The lesson: AD/CVD exposure is not static. Product scope, rates, circumvention findings, and cases can change after a sourcing decision has been made.

CBP says CAPE Phase 3 is scheduled to open October 6 for certain finally liquidated entries tied to litigation.

This does not apply broadly to every importer with finally liquidated IEEPA entries. According to the episode, the phase currently applies to importers that filed their own lawsuit and have a court order permitting those entries to be reliquidated.

Affected companies should review entry coverage, importer-of-record information, and ACH refund information.

• Review Canadian imports now if your company handles products potentially covered by the September 29 Section 338 prohibition.

• Prepare for an environment where CBP increasingly expects export information earlier in the shipment process.

• Monitor AD/CVD cases continuously — product coverage, circumvention decisions, duty rates, and sourcing economics can change.

• Revisit your company’s compliance “watch list.” Developing issues may now have firm dates, rates, requirements, or restrictions requiring action.

• Global Training Center

• U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP)

• U.S. Department of Commerce

• U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC)

• Automated Commercial Environment (ACE)

• Customs Automated Processing of Entries (CAPE)

Host:
Lalo Solorzano

Guest(s):
N/A

Producer:
Lalo Solorzano

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