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Recording Date 9-25-2026. The S&P 500 gained 1.2% and broke out of a bull flag, while the DXY rose 0.8% before rejecting a key trend line. Treasury yields remain the bigger macro warning. The 10-year yield is back near levels last seen in 2007, with the 20-year and 30-year also near multi-decade highs. That creates competition for commodities because investors can earn attractive yields in bonds. Gold fell 2.3% and is testing support near $4,300 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement around $4,265. GDX dropped 2.7%, but I still see a potential bull flag near its rising 200-day moving average.
Silver fell 3.5% but continues to hold its 50-day moving average, while uranium slipped 0.5% and is beginning to resemble a bull pennant. I still like the uranium setup and am watching URNM and SRUUF closely. Oil weakened, with WTI down 3.2% and XLE down 3.5%, while natural gas exploded 9.6% and pushed through its 200-day moving average. Coal remains interesting after the COAL ETF pulled back to my yellow buy zone. Platinum looks vulnerable inside a tightening triangle, palladium hit one of my limit orders, and nickel is showing positive RSI divergence that could signal a reversal.
Key Insights in this episode
✅ The S&P 500 gained 1.2% and broke out of a bull flag while the DXY rejected a major trend line.
✅ Gold fell 2.3% and is testing critical support around $4,265 to $4,300 as GDX holds near its rising 200-day moving average.
✅ Silver dropped 3.5% but continues to hold its 50-day moving average with $63 acting as an important line in the sand.
✅ Uranium fell just 0.5% and is forming a potential bull pennant while SRUUF and URNM remain on my accumulation watchlist.
✅ Natural gas surged 9.6% through its 200-day moving average even as natural gas producers represented by FCG fell 4.1%.
✅ Nickel is showing positive RSI divergence while coal, palladium, platinum, and PICK are approaching important technical decision points.
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Chapters
0:00 S&P 500 Dollar and Treasury Yields
2:52 Gold GDX and Key Support Levels
6:23 Silver PSLV and SILJ
7:52 Copper and COPX
9:35 Uranium SRUUF and URNM
12:36 WTI Brent and XLE
15:49 Natural Gas BOIL and FCG
19:42 Coal Markets and COAL ETF
21:31 Platinum and Palladium
23:24 Nickel Positive Divergence
24:32 PICK ETF Entry Setup
25:09 Premium Service and Closing
DISCLAIMER: Steve Barton and In It To Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion - not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any of these links may be affiliate links, meaning at no extra cost to you In It To Win It may get compensation. Any sponsored travel will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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