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Grieves and salutations everyone at rich well'smoking to Fantasy Baseball
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Live or just Prospect podcasts. Today is the tenth of
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October and it's about ten thirty here on in Arizona time.
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Pretty late for me because I'm still someone on East
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Coast time, but I wanted to get out a podcast
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just telling you about my time here at theres in
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a fall league. I can't believe it. The week is
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over for me. I was here for Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday.
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I had a chance to go see seven games. I
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made it to six yesterday, made it to six games.
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Opening night was on Monday, and then two games each
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on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. I only went to one
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game yesterday as on Tuesday, and excuse me, Wednesday and Thursday.
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So yesterday and today I went to the backfields to
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watch games, and it was so it's been so hot
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here that I knew I was going to have, you know,
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try to do three today, which I did, though I
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didn't stay for the entire game tonight because I just
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it's just the heat is really tough and it just
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stakes out of you. Maybe I'm a wimp, I don't know,
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but it's a great week. You know, it's you never
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know when you get here how good the players are
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going to be. I knew there was a lot of
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young kids here. I knew there was a lot of
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talent here. But man, when you see it on the field,
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I mean, he's your hope. And Ethan Sallas and Leo
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Leo Leo Dallas the Rice all play tonight. I saw
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Bryce Eldridge, Moys's Bellisterio's none of the I think Leo
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Dallas the Rice turns eighteen tomorrow. I think Evan Sallas
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just turned eighteen as well. I mean their hope. I
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don't think it's nineteen yet. And Bryce out These are
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all young kids, and I mean the future in Major
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League Baseball is very, very bright. It's just a lot
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of talent out there. It's hard to get a sense
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for how good the positional players are because there was
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some bad pitching. I did see one really good pitch game,
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and I'll talk about that. Two pitchers in particular that
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I really liked that I'd not really like it that
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were that were too good for the hitters. If you will,
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but I encourage you, if you, if you get a
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chance you live out here, particularly on the West coast,
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you get a chance to calm down to air on it.
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It's just a it's a wonderful time. It's you know,
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the weather's been hot. I think tomorrow next week it
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cools off and by the time we get into late
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October early November, it should be beautiful. Uh and you know,
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so you're going to see some really good baseball players. Again,
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it's an offensive league. The pitching is not very good,
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with some few exceptions. There are some guys that throw hard.
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A lot of guys doing ninety eight miles an hour.
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Some of them have no idea where it's going. But
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it's also good that you know that we've got a
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bunch of parks now at least three parks that have
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Baseball Savant data that they're kicking out as well, so
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you able to watch the games and look at Baseball
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Savant data and actually pick up how truly how hard
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they're hitting the ball and distance and all that kind
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of stuff, which is great. So it's it's it's been
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a fantastic week and for a Patreon members, but now
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notes every day tomorrow, I think I got six or
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seven players that I'll be outlining, but I thought today
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I would just go through a dozen players here that
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I saw that I thought I would share with you
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kind of and press is probably not the right word,
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but I found to be very very interesting. And first
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guy who blew me away was a year Hope z
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Y hi r Hope. He was the guy that was
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traded for Michael Bush and everybody went who and they
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had a really good season this year, only played in
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low way, but man, he's athletic, and I wrote that
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he has got power that's emerging. Well. Tonight he had
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one hundred and ten mile an hour one hundred and
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ten point six mile an hour, four hundred and seventy
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foot bomb that cleared the the batter's eye dead center field.
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It was jaw dropping, and it was on a slider,
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so it wasn't even the force of a fastball coming in.
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He had like a ninety five min hour fastball. And
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you usually can hit balls well, you can't because of
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the physics the ball that's throw own harder that's hitting
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the bat speed coming the explosion off the ball, it
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usually goes faster the harder the ball is thrown on
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a slider. I mean, gen Carroler, stant I'm assuming can
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hit a slider four hundred and seventy feet, but not
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many guys can do that, and Zaire Hope did it tonight.
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I've watched hundreds of minor league baseball games. I've seen
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a couple guys, primarily in batting practice, clear the batter's eye.
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I don't think i've ever seen an end game anybody
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clear the batter's eye. There's a lot of minor league
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minor league parks only have batter's eyes, but I've ever
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really seen a ball hit as far as it was tonight,
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it was impressive. So as I wrote my notes today
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to our Patreon members, maybe I should change the wording
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from emerging power to emerged power because it was what
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I saw was big boy power. He's a seventy runners. Well,
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I didn't get him on any time go into first base,
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but and that's how you do timing, by the way,
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I mean, you get guy's time from home to first
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and that's how you determine the grade for the speed.
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And there was just no he wasn't being out any
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infield hits or running out of ground or anything like
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that to be able to get any times on it.
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But he looks like he's going to be a very
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very good player. And you know, he swung pretty often,
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so it was hard to get a sense for you know,
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what plate patients he's going to have or lack of
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plate patients. But if I take a look at what
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he did in Low Way, fifteen percent walk rate and
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had twenty four percent strikeout rate. So that's pretty good
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for a nineteen year old. But I think over time
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we're going to see this cat grow into huge, huge power.
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That's a year hope Moys's Ballisterio's who I think is
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still only twenty years old. I don't think. I mean,
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check how old he is. He's I've seen it. I
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saw him twice and he was really impressive. Yeah, he's
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twenty years old. He turns looks like twenty one years
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old in about thirty days or so, twenty seven days,
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so the beginning November eighth. And I mean he's not
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a big guy. He's got a catcher's body, but man,
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he can really control the strike zone. He does. He's
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up there hacking away, but he doesn't miss. I mean,
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this is a guy with really good hand eye coordination.
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I don't see him as a thirty home run guy,
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but he could be, particularly at the catching position. He
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could be twenty twenty five home runs easily. I saw
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him catch. He was okay for me. I didn't get
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any pop times on him, so I can't tell you
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how strong the arm was. But I mean, he looked
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okay back there, looked like he was moving well, looked
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pretty athletic, at least athletic enough. I mean, he's not
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going to be Pad Rodriguez back there at all, or
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you know, or Molina or anybody like that, but he
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might be good enough to be, you know, the you know,
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a full time catcher back there. What you don't know
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until it really gets to the major leagues is are
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guy's going to want to throw to him. Francisco Alvarez
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kind of had that reputation of a guy who we
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weren't sure pictures were going to throw to him. And
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he's been good. They've got some pretty experienced pitchers who
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were not complaining and the Mets last I looked there
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in the NLCS. So can Moys's Bellisterios be that kind
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of guy. He's not. He doesn't have that level of power.
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Francisco Alvarez might be a better hitter. He's gonna be
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a really good player. I think we see him next
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year as well. Those are the first two. Let me
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scroll down. Next guy is Xavier Isaac Tampa Bay first basement.
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I saw him play again today. Hit a home run,
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was a big home run. It was at Mason, and
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Mason didn't have baseball savant, so there was no way
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to get to get any kind of reading on how
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far the ball went. He hit it pretty much to
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Dead's right center field. I'm gonna say it was probably
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four hundred and twenty feet something like that. It was
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it was a poke and it it jumped off his bat.
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He's got big boy power, but he's also struck out
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four times in eight plate appearances. It's a long swing
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and there's a lot of uppercut there. But he's got
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more power than I thought. He's more athletic than I thought.
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He's lost a lot of weight since since he was
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a couple of years ago when he was a little pudgy.
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I think he'll always have to be worried about him
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keeping his weight down. But it's good bat speed, but
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the swing is long, so I think there's the strikeouts
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that we're seeing are a little bit real. It was
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a forty point six percent strikeout rate, one hundred and
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thirty three plate appearances. I think he'll be better than that,
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but I'm afraid he might be a bit of a
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pressure on your on his batting average, and he was
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not that guy when he was coming up early in
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his professional career. So it definitely looks like he's traded
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off batting average for power. But I like the player.
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I mean, I didn't want to like him because he's
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one of those guys that just can't get my arms around.
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But it's the ball. I mean, he's got big power.
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He really does. It was he was impressive. Let's see
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how much time do I have here. Let me take
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a break at the ten minute mark. I've got I
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think a dozen players in total. I have spent the
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entire summer in New Jersey, where from a for those
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of you not from Unaware in America, those living abroad,
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We've got an election coming up here in North Carolina,
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where I live in the winter time, is a battleground state,
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so lots of stuff going on, you know, between the
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two candidates there, But I don't have that up in
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New Jersey. But it just so happens that Arizona is
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a battleground state, so there's you know, Kamala Harris and
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Donald Trump banners and signs everywhere. It also turns out
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that Kamala Harris has a a. She was given a
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speech tonight, probably ten minutes away from where I'm staying,
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and there was traffic everywhere, not to be undone. And
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I don't know what this was because of her having
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this big speech that she was giving. At our hotel,
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there was a Donald Trump Trump pack. In fact, it's
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still going on. You might be able to hear it.
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Hopefully they're gonna stop soon that. I mean, they've taken
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over the hotel and there's a band playing down there
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and people screaming. I don't know who is who's down there.
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There's got to be it's a fundraiser, so I'm I mean,
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they've got to have some proxy that's down there talking.
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I don't know, but it's crazy, man, I mean, you
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got I mean, I'm not in the middle of two
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big events happening on the political campaign, so look at me.
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So I don't know, I'm just a guy watching baseball games.
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But I thought it was actually pretty cool. Okay, So
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there's the first three. The next guy is Denzel Clark.
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If you're following the Arizona Fall League, I think it's
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the early going. Denzel Clark is the MVP. He has
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looked absolutely fantastic. I saw him again another game today,
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three more hits. I think he's hitting six twenty five
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or something crazy like that, stealing bases. I don't think
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he's gone yard yet. I can't remember, don't have my
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notes in front of me. But this is a guy
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that I got today going to first base at three
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point eighty six from the right side. That's eighty grade speed,
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my friend. And that is a guy that he can
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absolutely fly and it's big batspeed, big potential power. He
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is tooled up, but he's also this season and last
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season has struck out almost thirty percent of the time.
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And when you see him up at the plate, it
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is a weird, like really wide stance that he has.
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There's not a whole lot of stride there, and I
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know he's trying to be quiet at the plate so
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he can cut down his strikeouts. He hasn't really struck
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out a lot so far in the early going, but
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he's swinging early and often, and again, the pitchers aren't
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very good that's here. So you know, I don't know
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what kind of once he starts to face better pitching,
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I think there's going to be a ton of strikeouts.
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But man, this guy is exciting a little bit of
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interessome in center field, and he can run like the winds.
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He runs up to everything. He doesn't run really good
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patterns out there. But man, of all these young, great
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young players, I mean, he really stands stands aside as
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a guy that from pure excitement in upside maybe is
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r hope has more upside. It was really blown away
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by how hard he hit the ball today. The Denzel
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Clark from a fantasy standpoint, Holy moly, he could be ridiculous,
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but he might not hit enough. And you know he
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might hit two twenty, so you know, but it's pretty fascinating.
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That's Denzel Clark. Next guy's Trey Morgan. Tray Morgan can
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flat out hit. I mean it's a bit of a
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slappy approach. I mean, he does have a little bit
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of power when he wants to, but I saw him
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just reaching out in poking balls all around. This guy's
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going to be a hitter if he had some leverage.
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I think he will be. He could hit some more,
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with some more authority, hit more home runs. He did
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play left field was terrible out there. I mean I
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mean overrunning balls and I mean it was bad. I
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mean it was not good. But that's where he needs
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to play. He's apparently a very good first baseman. But
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the game that he DHD that I saw him in,
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Xavier Isaac played first base and that guy's a really
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good first baseman. Wow. It's very very impressive anyway, so
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hopefully he can move out to the outfield. I don't
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have him in any dynasty leagues. I had him in
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a bunch, but when I saw the kind of player
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I thought he was going to be, I kind of
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bailed and probably picked up some sixteen year old. I
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wish I would have kept him. I think there's something there.
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I think he could develop like twelve to fifteen home
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run pop and he looks a lot. I mean, it's
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a Stephen Kwan starter kit. It's that kind of back
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control and the ability just to hit, and I really
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like it. But I gotta go down and see what's
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going on with this party down there. Man, it's really cranking.
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Leo Devlis Devryan mentioned him. Uh, he's impressive. I mean,
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he's youngest kid here by far. He's on the taxi squad,
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which means he's only playing twice a week. So I
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got a chance to see him this evening. It's, you know,
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I he's got star potential. He just does as long
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as the as long as the San Diego Padres don't
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over rush him, and they're already rushing them crazily. But
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I mean, this guy can. This guy's got good back control.
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He wasn't up there, you know, you know, just hacking
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away at everything. Hit one ball was a ground or
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one hundred and seven point eight miles an hour. He's
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a big kid at six foot ten, very athletic. I
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mean when you look at him, that's how they're supposed
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to look, right. I mean, he's got the look about
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him and when you I mean, part of the thing
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about there is in a fall league. Again, the pitching
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is so bad, you can't get too carried away with
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the production. It's all about how they look, how they move.
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The athleticis some. The vrize has all of that. I mean,
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he just looks like a player. Cold Emerson has hit everything.
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I saw him on his five for six night he's
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going to be a really good player. It's it's a
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high floor player. I don't see a lot of leverage
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in his swing. It looks like he's more of a
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contact where he had it hit her. But man, he's
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one of the more pure hitters that is here. I
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think he will develop some power because I think he'll
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get bigger. Kimp Alderman, I think is leading the league
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in home runs. I think he hit his third home
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run tonight. Huge home run power, and this is typical
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of a Miami Marlins. Enormous power swing and miss is huge.
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I just I just don't know if he's gonna make
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enough context. He's enormous. Man. He's two hundred and fifty
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pounds according to you know, his Baseball Baseball Reference card.
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But he's got to be more than that. I mean,
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it's it's it's big. He's a big dude. The pitching
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performance I saw was kind of Phillips right hand a
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picture with the Cincinnati Reds versus Umn Lynn. It was
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an Arizona left handed pitcher, Connor Phillips was hitting ninety
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nine a lot. I mean, it was constant ninety nine.
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No idea where the ball was going at times, so
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he didn't walk anybody. It was a bunch of wild
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pitches and a couple of pitches have strown, you know,
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a foot over everybody's head. But man, if you look
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at what he did last season, he could not hit
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the broadside of the barn, and the Cincinnati Reads took
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him out of I think he was in low a.
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It took him out of low way or maybe his
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high aim, and brought him back to the complex and
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not the complex lead, but back to the to the
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to the nets and you know everything, and the pitching
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coaches and trying to rework his delivery. It's a weird
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kind of delivery. It's definitely like a slidestep approach that
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he uses, so it's everything out of the stretch and
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he's just trying to simplify his mechanics. He's got great stuff.
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I think it's gonna be a bullpen arm, but it
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could be nasty, nasty stuff, because I mean he'll in
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the bullpen, he'll be sitting one oh one, one oh two,
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and it's gonna be big boy stuff. It is a great,
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great arm. Human Lynn is exact opposite uh Maxad at
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ninety three miles an hour, sat mostly ninety one ninety
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two Baseball. Savon said he threw six different pitches. It's
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a sinker, it's a four seamer, it's a great change up,
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a plus change up. And he's gonna be one of
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those guys that plays a long time, and I think
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he will be better than Tommy Malone. But it's that
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kind of guy that you just looked up and he's
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on a new team and he's making Tim McLeod's waiver
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wire and he's pretty good. He's never gonna be a
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star just because he doesn't throw that hard, but he
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knows how to pitch. Reminds me of al Duque. Remember
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ol Duque with the Yankees back in the day to
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I have great stuff, but nobody could pick up his
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pick up his pitches, and he was just he was good.
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And that's what Uman Lynn looks like. He's going to
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be better than the pure stuff. Says. I was really
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impressed that that was my favorite game that I went to.
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Just two pitchers out there the first four innings. Well,
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uman Lynn I think pitched three innings and Phillips pitched four.
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But it was great. I mean it was one game
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I didn't go to his nineteen to three, and I
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mean tonight's game that was twenty runs scored or something
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like that. I mean, they're fun, but the pitching is
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so bad again, you can't get any of any sense
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of how good the hitters are. I think I've got
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one more player, and that is Robert Hassel, the third.
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Robert Hassel hit a home run today which I saw.
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And this is my second time seeing Robert Hassel here
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at the at the Fall League. He was there a
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couple of years ago and he got hurt and that
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was kind of the beginning of the end of Robert Hassel.
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He hasn't been the same because he came in as
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a padre before he got traded, got hurt. And I
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saw a guy that's a high floor guy. He had
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a home running It's not gonna be big power again.
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It was it was at MASI said there was no
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baseball savant there. I'm guessing low hundreds kind of exit velocity.
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He's a good baseball player. He's a grinder, so he
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grinds at bats out and good hand eye coordination. He's
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got good speed, good defender. It's kind of your number
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four kind of fantasy outfielder. I think he's I think
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we're going to see him at some point next season,
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and he's not a bad little player, probably be a
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left fielder for the Washington Nationals. Again, not a star.
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I thought he was gonna be a star when he's
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originally drafted by the Padres. But he's he's he's gotten
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a lot better. I mean after he was hurt and wait,
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last year was a disaster with a thirty percent strikeout
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rate twenty twenty, twenty twenty four, he cut a strikeout
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right down and he looked to be a much better
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player when I saw him. I also highlighted Tamar Johnson.
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He must be the last guy I'm going to talk about.
378
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Is that the last guy I saw Tamar Johnson saw
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me at a home run. It's a cocky kind of player.
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Knows he's good, controls the strike zone really well, and
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if you look back at the season he just had
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in twenty twenty four, it was one of where he
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would enter a level and struggle and then get better
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as the level went on. And his strikeout rate has improved.
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And I saw a guy that had really good control
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of the strike zone, did not chase. I don't think
387
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there's big power there maybe fifteen if yeah, maybe some
388
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years will hit twenty or it's not huge power. I
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think he's going to be a really good baseball player,
390
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and it was good to see him. That's my first
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time seeing him. I probably would have seen next season
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in Double A and but I was actually pretty impressed.
393
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They really controlled the strike zone well, held himself very well,
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and again very very confident, almost a little cocky up
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at the plate. So those are the guys that I saw.
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Let me take one final break, get back and give
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you my final thoughts. If you like this kind of analysis,
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join us at the Patreon site pat r o win
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dot com forwards last prospect three sixty one. I think
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I've written about twenty thirty players since I've been here,
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just the performances that they had. Maybe not that many
402
00:23:44.920 --> 00:23:46.680
because I know day one day I did at eleven.
403
00:23:46.839 --> 00:23:49.960
Last night I did four. The first day I did six.
404
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So that's twenty one maybe seven tonight, so yeah, almost thirty.
405
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So so I'm constantly writing notes up of guys at LC.
406
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They're getting all of the write ups I'm doing for
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the top prospects coming out, and again once the dust settles,
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I will be working on my draft targets that is
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going on. Anyway, I encourage you all to come out
410
00:24:12.920 --> 00:24:14.880
to the Fall League. You know what. I'm on the
411
00:24:15.000 --> 00:24:17.720
plane coming here, I'm like, why am I doing this again?
412
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At such a pain It's expensive, flights expensive, the hotels
413
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are expensive, and but you get here, it's just there's
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something really special about it. Yes it's exhibition. Yes there's
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no pitching, but you get all these guys in one location,
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and it's pretty darn cool, particularly this year with the
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youth that is here. Now I get a chance to
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see these guys all throughout the year. So most of
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the players I've seen, I have not seen the Rise.
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I hadn't seen Tamar Johnson. It's a lot of guys
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I'm talking about I had not seen yet. But I've
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seen a lot of the other guys. I've seen Robert
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Hassel play before, if you will, had not seen Zayr Hope.
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But it's good to lay eyes on them and actually
425
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see the physicality of the player. See if they're chasing pitches.
426
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You're not looking at the fact that Kemp Alderman's got
427
00:25:08.759 --> 00:25:12.400
three home runs, don't worry about that, look at you
428
00:25:12.400 --> 00:25:14.559
know what these guys are doing and how they're going
429
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about doing it, and that's what you can really grab
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here from the from the Fall League. My understanding that
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Jeff McNeil's supposed to play here this weekend, so I'll
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miss that. Maybe he'll draw a few more people. I
433
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think the day's game they had two hundred and seventy
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people yesterday, two hundred and twenty people. At night there's
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about five or six hundred people. So again, great opportunity
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to watch a game. And again starting next week, it's fine,
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gonna cool down here in the desert. That is a wrap.
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I am going to cut this off and go down
439
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and see what all the music is going on and
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see what I can see. Pretty crazy stuff. Until next time, guys,
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be well
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Grieves and salutations everyone at rich well'smoking to Fantasy Baseball
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00:00:24.320 --> 00:00:29.399
Live or just Prospect podcasts. Today is the tenth of
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October and it's about ten thirty here on in Arizona time.
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Pretty late for me because I'm still someone on East
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Coast time, but I wanted to get out a podcast
6
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just telling you about my time here at theres in
7
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a fall league. I can't believe it. The week is
8
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over for me. I was here for Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday.
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I had a chance to go see seven games. I
10
00:00:57.479 --> 00:01:01.799
made it to six yesterday, made it to six games.
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Opening night was on Monday, and then two games each
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on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. I only went to one
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game yesterday as on Tuesday, and excuse me, Wednesday and Thursday.
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So yesterday and today I went to the backfields to
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watch games, and it was so it's been so hot
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here that I knew I was going to have, you know,
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try to do three today, which I did, though I
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didn't stay for the entire game tonight because I just
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it's just the heat is really tough and it just
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stakes out of you. Maybe I'm a wimp, I don't know,
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but it's a great week. You know, it's you never
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know when you get here how good the players are
23
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going to be. I knew there was a lot of
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young kids here. I knew there was a lot of
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talent here. But man, when you see it on the field,
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I mean, he's your hope. And Ethan Sallas and Leo
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Leo Leo Dallas the Rice all play tonight. I saw
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Bryce Eldridge, Moys's Bellisterio's none of the I think Leo
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Dallas the Rice turns eighteen tomorrow. I think Evan Sallas
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just turned eighteen as well. I mean their hope. I
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don't think it's nineteen yet. And Bryce out These are
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all young kids, and I mean the future in Major
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League Baseball is very, very bright. It's just a lot
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of talent out there. It's hard to get a sense
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for how good the positional players are because there was
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some bad pitching. I did see one really good pitch game,
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and I'll talk about that. Two pitchers in particular that
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I really liked that I'd not really like it that
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were that were too good for the hitters. If you will,
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but I encourage you, if you, if you get a
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chance you live out here, particularly on the West coast,
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you get a chance to calm down to air on it.
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It's just a it's a wonderful time. It's you know,
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the weather's been hot. I think tomorrow next week it
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cools off and by the time we get into late
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October early November, it should be beautiful. Uh and you know,
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so you're going to see some really good baseball players. Again,
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it's an offensive league. The pitching is not very good,
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with some few exceptions. There are some guys that throw hard.
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A lot of guys doing ninety eight miles an hour.
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Some of them have no idea where it's going. But
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it's also good that you know that we've got a
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bunch of parks now at least three parks that have
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Baseball Savant data that they're kicking out as well, so
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you able to watch the games and look at Baseball
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Savant data and actually pick up how truly how hard
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they're hitting the ball and distance and all that kind
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of stuff, which is great. So it's it's it's been
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a fantastic week and for a Patreon members, but now
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notes every day tomorrow, I think I got six or
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seven players that I'll be outlining, but I thought today
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I would just go through a dozen players here that
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I saw that I thought I would share with you
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kind of and press is probably not the right word,
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but I found to be very very interesting. And first
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guy who blew me away was a year Hope z
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Y hi r Hope. He was the guy that was
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traded for Michael Bush and everybody went who and they
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had a really good season this year, only played in
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low way, but man, he's athletic, and I wrote that
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he has got power that's emerging. Well. Tonight he had
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one hundred and ten mile an hour one hundred and
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ten point six mile an hour, four hundred and seventy
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foot bomb that cleared the the batter's eye dead center field.
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It was jaw dropping, and it was on a slider,
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so it wasn't even the force of a fastball coming in.
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He had like a ninety five min hour fastball. And
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you usually can hit balls well, you can't because of
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the physics the ball that's throw own harder that's hitting
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the bat speed coming the explosion off the ball, it
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usually goes faster the harder the ball is thrown on
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a slider. I mean, gen Carroler, stant I'm assuming can
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hit a slider four hundred and seventy feet, but not
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many guys can do that, and Zaire Hope did it tonight.
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I've watched hundreds of minor league baseball games. I've seen
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a couple guys, primarily in batting practice, clear the batter's eye.
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I don't think i've ever seen an end game anybody
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clear the batter's eye. There's a lot of minor league
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minor league parks only have batter's eyes, but I've ever
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really seen a ball hit as far as it was tonight,
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it was impressive. So as I wrote my notes today
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to our Patreon members, maybe I should change the wording
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from emerging power to emerged power because it was what
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I saw was big boy power. He's a seventy runners. Well,
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I didn't get him on any time go into first base,
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but and that's how you do timing, by the way,
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I mean, you get guy's time from home to first
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and that's how you determine the grade for the speed.
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And there was just no he wasn't being out any
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infield hits or running out of ground or anything like
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that to be able to get any times on it.
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But he looks like he's going to be a very
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very good player. And you know, he swung pretty often,
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so it was hard to get a sense for you know,
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what plate patients he's going to have or lack of
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plate patients. But if I take a look at what
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he did in Low Way, fifteen percent walk rate and
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had twenty four percent strikeout rate. So that's pretty good
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for a nineteen year old. But I think over time
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we're going to see this cat grow into huge, huge power.
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That's a year hope Moys's Ballisterio's who I think is
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still only twenty years old. I don't think. I mean,
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check how old he is. He's I've seen it. I
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saw him twice and he was really impressive. Yeah, he's
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twenty years old. He turns looks like twenty one years
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old in about thirty days or so, twenty seven days,
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so the beginning November eighth. And I mean he's not
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a big guy. He's got a catcher's body, but man,
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he can really control the strike zone. He does. He's
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up there hacking away, but he doesn't miss. I mean,
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this is a guy with really good hand eye coordination.
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I don't see him as a thirty home run guy,
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but he could be, particularly at the catching position. He
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could be twenty twenty five home runs easily. I saw
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him catch. He was okay for me. I didn't get
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any pop times on him, so I can't tell you
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how strong the arm was. But I mean, he looked
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okay back there, looked like he was moving well, looked
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pretty athletic, at least athletic enough. I mean, he's not
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going to be Pad Rodriguez back there at all, or
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you know, or Molina or anybody like that, but he
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might be good enough to be, you know, the you know,
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a full time catcher back there. What you don't know
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until it really gets to the major leagues is are
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guy's going to want to throw to him. Francisco Alvarez
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kind of had that reputation of a guy who we
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weren't sure pictures were going to throw to him. And
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he's been good. They've got some pretty experienced pitchers who
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were not complaining and the Mets last I looked there
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in the NLCS. So can Moys's Bellisterios be that kind
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of guy. He's not. He doesn't have that level of power.
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Francisco Alvarez might be a better hitter. He's gonna be
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a really good player. I think we see him next
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year as well. Those are the first two. Let me
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scroll down. Next guy is Xavier Isaac Tampa Bay first basement.
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I saw him play again today. Hit a home run,
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was a big home run. It was at Mason, and
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Mason didn't have baseball savant, so there was no way
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to get to get any kind of reading on how
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far the ball went. He hit it pretty much to
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Dead's right center field. I'm gonna say it was probably
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four hundred and twenty feet something like that. It was
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it was a poke and it it jumped off his bat.
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He's got big boy power, but he's also struck out
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four times in eight plate appearances. It's a long swing
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and there's a lot of uppercut there. But he's got
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more power than I thought. He's more athletic than I thought.
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He's lost a lot of weight since since he was
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a couple of years ago when he was a little pudgy.
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I think he'll always have to be worried about him
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keeping his weight down. But it's good bat speed, but
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the swing is long, so I think there's the strikeouts
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that we're seeing are a little bit real. It was
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a forty point six percent strikeout rate, one hundred and
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thirty three plate appearances. I think he'll be better than that,
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but I'm afraid he might be a bit of a
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pressure on your on his batting average, and he was
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not that guy when he was coming up early in
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his professional career. So it definitely looks like he's traded
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off batting average for power. But I like the player.
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I mean, I didn't want to like him because he's
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one of those guys that just can't get my arms around.
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But it's the ball. I mean, he's got big power.
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He really does. It was he was impressive. Let's see
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how much time do I have here. Let me take
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a break at the ten minute mark. I've got I
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think a dozen players in total. I have spent the
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entire summer in New Jersey, where from a for those
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of you not from Unaware in America, those living abroad,
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We've got an election coming up here in North Carolina,
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where I live in the winter time, is a battleground state,
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so lots of stuff going on, you know, between the
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two candidates there, But I don't have that up in
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New Jersey. But it just so happens that Arizona is
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a battleground state, so there's you know, Kamala Harris and
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Donald Trump banners and signs everywhere. It also turns out
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that Kamala Harris has a a. She was given a
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speech tonight, probably ten minutes away from where I'm staying,
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and there was traffic everywhere, not to be undone. And
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I don't know what this was because of her having
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this big speech that she was giving. At our hotel,
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there was a Donald Trump Trump pack. In fact, it's
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still going on. You might be able to hear it.
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Hopefully they're gonna stop soon that. I mean, they've taken
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over the hotel and there's a band playing down there
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and people screaming. I don't know who is who's down there.
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There's got to be it's a fundraiser, so I'm I mean,
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they've got to have some proxy that's down there talking.
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I don't know, but it's crazy, man, I mean, you
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got I mean, I'm not in the middle of two
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big events happening on the political campaign, so look at me.
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So I don't know, I'm just a guy watching baseball games.
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But I thought it was actually pretty cool. Okay, So
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there's the first three. The next guy is Denzel Clark.
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If you're following the Arizona Fall League, I think it's
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the early going. Denzel Clark is the MVP. He has
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looked absolutely fantastic. I saw him again another game today,
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three more hits. I think he's hitting six twenty five
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or something crazy like that, stealing bases. I don't think
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he's gone yard yet. I can't remember, don't have my
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notes in front of me. But this is a guy
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that I got today going to first base at three
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point eighty six from the right side. That's eighty grade speed,
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my friend. And that is a guy that he can
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absolutely fly and it's big batspeed, big potential power. He
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is tooled up, but he's also this season and last
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season has struck out almost thirty percent of the time.
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And when you see him up at the plate, it
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is a weird, like really wide stance that he has.
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There's not a whole lot of stride there, and I
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know he's trying to be quiet at the plate so
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he can cut down his strikeouts. He hasn't really struck
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out a lot so far in the early going, but
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he's swinging early and often, and again, the pitchers aren't
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very good that's here. So you know, I don't know
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what kind of once he starts to face better pitching,
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I think there's going to be a ton of strikeouts.
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But man, this guy is exciting a little bit of
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interessome in center field, and he can run like the winds.
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He runs up to everything. He doesn't run really good
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patterns out there. But man, of all these young, great
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young players, I mean, he really stands stands aside as
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a guy that from pure excitement in upside maybe is
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r hope has more upside. It was really blown away
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by how hard he hit the ball today. The Denzel
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Clark from a fantasy standpoint, Holy moly, he could be ridiculous,
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but he might not hit enough. And you know he
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might hit two twenty, so you know, but it's pretty fascinating.
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That's Denzel Clark. Next guy's Trey Morgan. Tray Morgan can
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flat out hit. I mean it's a bit of a
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slappy approach. I mean, he does have a little bit
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of power when he wants to, but I saw him
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just reaching out in poking balls all around. This guy's
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going to be a hitter if he had some leverage.
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I think he will be. He could hit some more,
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with some more authority, hit more home runs. He did
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play left field was terrible out there. I mean I
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mean overrunning balls and I mean it was bad. I
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mean it was not good. But that's where he needs
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to play. He's apparently a very good first baseman. But
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the game that he DHD that I saw him in,
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Xavier Isaac played first base and that guy's a really
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good first baseman. Wow. It's very very impressive anyway, so
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hopefully he can move out to the outfield. I don't
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have him in any dynasty leagues. I had him in
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a bunch, but when I saw the kind of player
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I thought he was going to be, I kind of
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bailed and probably picked up some sixteen year old. I
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wish I would have kept him. I think there's something there.
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I think he could develop like twelve to fifteen home
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run pop and he looks a lot. I mean, it's
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a Stephen Kwan starter kit. It's that kind of back
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control and the ability just to hit, and I really
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like it. But I gotta go down and see what's
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going on with this party down there. Man, it's really cranking.
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Leo Devlis Devryan mentioned him. Uh, he's impressive. I mean,
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he's youngest kid here by far. He's on the taxi squad,
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which means he's only playing twice a week. So I
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got a chance to see him this evening. It's, you know,
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I he's got star potential. He just does as long
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as the as long as the San Diego Padres don't
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over rush him, and they're already rushing them crazily. But
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I mean, this guy can. This guy's got good back control.
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He wasn't up there, you know, you know, just hacking
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away at everything. Hit one ball was a ground or
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one hundred and seven point eight miles an hour. He's
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a big kid at six foot ten, very athletic. I
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mean when you look at him, that's how they're supposed
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to look, right. I mean, he's got the look about
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him and when you I mean, part of the thing
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about there is in a fall league. Again, the pitching
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is so bad, you can't get too carried away with
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the production. It's all about how they look, how they move.
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The athleticis some. The vrize has all of that. I mean,
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he just looks like a player. Cold Emerson has hit everything.
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I saw him on his five for six night he's
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going to be a really good player. It's it's a
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high floor player. I don't see a lot of leverage
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in his swing. It looks like he's more of a
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contact where he had it hit her. But man, he's
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one of the more pure hitters that is here. I
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think he will develop some power because I think he'll
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get bigger. Kimp Alderman, I think is leading the league
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in home runs. I think he hit his third home
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run tonight. Huge home run power, and this is typical
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of a Miami Marlins. Enormous power swing and miss is huge.
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I just I just don't know if he's gonna make
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enough context. He's enormous. Man. He's two hundred and fifty
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pounds according to you know, his Baseball Baseball Reference card.
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But he's got to be more than that. I mean,
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it's it's it's big. He's a big dude. The pitching
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performance I saw was kind of Phillips right hand a
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picture with the Cincinnati Reds versus Umn Lynn. It was
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an Arizona left handed pitcher, Connor Phillips was hitting ninety
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nine a lot. I mean, it was constant ninety nine.
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No idea where the ball was going at times, so
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he didn't walk anybody. It was a bunch of wild
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pitches and a couple of pitches have strown, you know,
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a foot over everybody's head. But man, if you look
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at what he did last season, he could not hit
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the broadside of the barn, and the Cincinnati Reads took
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him out of I think he was in low a.
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It took him out of low way or maybe his
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high aim, and brought him back to the complex and
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not the complex lead, but back to the to the
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to the nets and you know everything, and the pitching
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coaches and trying to rework his delivery. It's a weird
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kind of delivery. It's definitely like a slidestep approach that
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he uses, so it's everything out of the stretch and
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he's just trying to simplify his mechanics. He's got great stuff.
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I think it's gonna be a bullpen arm, but it
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could be nasty, nasty stuff, because I mean he'll in
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the bullpen, he'll be sitting one oh one, one oh two,
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and it's gonna be big boy stuff. It is a great,
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great arm. Human Lynn is exact opposite uh Maxad at
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ninety three miles an hour, sat mostly ninety one ninety
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two Baseball. Savon said he threw six different pitches. It's
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a sinker, it's a four seamer, it's a great change up,
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a plus change up. And he's gonna be one of
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those guys that plays a long time, and I think
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he will be better than Tommy Malone. But it's that
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kind of guy that you just looked up and he's
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on a new team and he's making Tim McLeod's waiver
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wire and he's pretty good. He's never gonna be a
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star just because he doesn't throw that hard, but he
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knows how to pitch. Reminds me of al Duque. Remember
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ol Duque with the Yankees back in the day to
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I have great stuff, but nobody could pick up his
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pick up his pitches, and he was just he was good.
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And that's what Uman Lynn looks like. He's going to
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be better than the pure stuff. Says. I was really
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impressed that that was my favorite game that I went to.
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Just two pitchers out there the first four innings. Well,
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uman Lynn I think pitched three innings and Phillips pitched four.
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But it was great. I mean it was one game
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I didn't go to his nineteen to three, and I
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mean tonight's game that was twenty runs scored or something
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like that. I mean, they're fun, but the pitching is
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so bad again, you can't get any of any sense
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of how good the hitters are. I think I've got
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one more player, and that is Robert Hassel, the third.
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Robert Hassel hit a home run today which I saw.
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And this is my second time seeing Robert Hassel here
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at the at the Fall League. He was there a
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couple of years ago and he got hurt and that
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was kind of the beginning of the end of Robert Hassel.
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He hasn't been the same because he came in as
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a padre before he got traded, got hurt. And I
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saw a guy that's a high floor guy. He had
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a home running It's not gonna be big power again.
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It was it was at MASI said there was no
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baseball savant there. I'm guessing low hundreds kind of exit velocity.
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He's a good baseball player. He's a grinder, so he
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grinds at bats out and good hand eye coordination. He's
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got good speed, good defender. It's kind of your number
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four kind of fantasy outfielder. I think he's I think
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we're going to see him at some point next season,
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and he's not a bad little player, probably be a
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left fielder for the Washington Nationals. Again, not a star.
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I thought he was gonna be a star when he's
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originally drafted by the Padres. But he's he's he's gotten
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a lot better. I mean after he was hurt and wait,
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last year was a disaster with a thirty percent strikeout
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rate twenty twenty, twenty twenty four, he cut a strikeout
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right down and he looked to be a much better
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player when I saw him. I also highlighted Tamar Johnson.
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He must be the last guy I'm going to talk about.
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Is that the last guy I saw Tamar Johnson saw
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me at a home run. It's a cocky kind of player.
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Knows he's good, controls the strike zone really well, and
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if you look back at the season he just had
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in twenty twenty four, it was one of where he
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would enter a level and struggle and then get better
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as the level went on. And his strikeout rate has improved.
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And I saw a guy that had really good control
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of the strike zone, did not chase. I don't think
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there's big power there maybe fifteen if yeah, maybe some
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years will hit twenty or it's not huge power. I
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think he's going to be a really good baseball player,
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and it was good to see him. That's my first
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time seeing him. I probably would have seen next season
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in Double A and but I was actually pretty impressed.
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They really controlled the strike zone well, held himself very well,
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and again very very confident, almost a little cocky up
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at the plate. So those are the guys that I saw.
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Let me take one final break, get back and give
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you my final thoughts. If you like this kind of analysis,
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join us at the Patreon site pat r o win
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dot com forwards last prospect three sixty one. I think
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I've written about twenty thirty players since I've been here,
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just the performances that they had. Maybe not that many
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because I know day one day I did at eleven.
403
00:23:46.839 --> 00:23:49.960
Last night I did four. The first day I did six.
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So that's twenty one maybe seven tonight, so yeah, almost thirty.
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So so I'm constantly writing notes up of guys at LC.
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They're getting all of the write ups I'm doing for
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the top prospects coming out, and again once the dust settles,
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00:24:06.039 --> 00:24:10.480
I will be working on my draft targets that is
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going on. Anyway, I encourage you all to come out
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00:24:12.920 --> 00:24:14.880
to the Fall League. You know what. I'm on the
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00:24:15.000 --> 00:24:17.720
plane coming here, I'm like, why am I doing this again?
412
00:24:17.839 --> 00:24:22.039
At such a pain It's expensive, flights expensive, the hotels
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are expensive, and but you get here, it's just there's
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something really special about it. Yes it's exhibition. Yes there's
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00:24:29.000 --> 00:24:32.400
no pitching, but you get all these guys in one location,
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and it's pretty darn cool, particularly this year with the
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youth that is here. Now I get a chance to
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see these guys all throughout the year. So most of
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the players I've seen, I have not seen the Rise.
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I hadn't seen Tamar Johnson. It's a lot of guys
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I'm talking about I had not seen yet. But I've
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00:24:49.960 --> 00:24:52.119
seen a lot of the other guys. I've seen Robert
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Hassel play before, if you will, had not seen Zayr Hope.
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But it's good to lay eyes on them and actually
425
00:25:00.000 --> 00:25:03.799
see the physicality of the player. See if they're chasing pitches.
426
00:25:04.240 --> 00:25:08.680
You're not looking at the fact that Kemp Alderman's got
427
00:25:08.759 --> 00:25:12.400
three home runs, don't worry about that, look at you
428
00:25:12.400 --> 00:25:14.559
know what these guys are doing and how they're going
429
00:25:14.599 --> 00:25:17.279
about doing it, and that's what you can really grab
430
00:25:17.319 --> 00:25:22.039
here from the from the Fall League. My understanding that
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Jeff McNeil's supposed to play here this weekend, so I'll
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miss that. Maybe he'll draw a few more people. I
433
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think the day's game they had two hundred and seventy
434
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people yesterday, two hundred and twenty people. At night there's
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00:25:33.839 --> 00:25:37.720
about five or six hundred people. So again, great opportunity
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to watch a game. And again starting next week, it's fine,
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gonna cool down here in the desert. That is a wrap.
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I am going to cut this off and go down
439
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and see what all the music is going on and
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see what I can see. Pretty crazy stuff. Until next time, guys,
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be well