ÜBER DIESE EPISODE
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📈 Technical Analysis for Beginners
🌎 Conference Nov 22-24 Discount Code ITW500
Recording Date 9-11-2026. The S&P 500 slipped 0.8%, but its developing bull flag keeps my bias pointed higher, while the VIX jumped 9.2%. The bigger macro signal is coming from bonds, with the U.S. 10-year yield closing near 4.97% and the 20-year reaching 5.39%. Meanwhile, the Bloomberg Commodity Index has broken out of a major cup-and-handle formation, producing potential measured targets from roughly 190 to 220, with the percentage-based projection implying a 54% move. Gold fell 1.5%, silver dropped 2.3%, and copper declined 2%, creating several critical technical levels to watch.
I also dig into where the next opportunities and risks may be forming across commodity equities. WTI oil exploded 9.6% after reaching roughly $104, while Brent gained 8.6% after approaching $110, although I expect both to cool next week. Uranium remains especially interesting, with long-term contracts at $96.50 per pound while spot trades $6.50 cheaper, and URNM plunged 8.2%, potentially opening lower entry points. I'm also watching GDX, SILJ, COPX, XLE, FCG and PICK, which includes Rio Tinto, BHP, Freeport-McMoRan and Glencore. Across these markets, the 200-day moving average remains one of my key reference points for finding attractive risk-reward setups.
Key Insights in this episode
✅ Bloomberg Commodity Index breaks out with a potential 54% measured move toward roughly 220.
✅ U.S. 10-year yields reach 4.97%, threatening their highest level in roughly 19 years.
✅ WTI oil surges 9.6% to roughly $104 before Steve turns bearish for next week.
✅ Gold drops 1.5%, with a breakdown potentially exposing more than 10% downside.
✅ Uranium term contracts hit $96.50 per pound as URNM plunges 8.2%.
✅ Copper falls 2%, while COPX and PICK offer potential setups near their 200-day averages.
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Chapters
0:00 S&P 500 Dollar Yields And Commodity Breakout
05:05 Gold PHYS And GDX Outlook
08:58 Silver PSLV And SILJ Setup
11:36 Copper And COPX Forecast
12:41 Uranium SRUUF And URNM Opportunities
16:32 Oil WTI Brent And XLE Outlook
18:27 Natural Gas And FCG Forecast
20:21 Coal Market Outlook
21:18 Platinum And Palladium Setup
22:29 Nickel Futures Breakdown
22:55 PICK Mining ETF Outlook
23:34 Closing Market Outlook
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