Funding Your Prediction Market Wallet with the SENATE FANTASY LEAGUE

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Can you predict
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the elections?
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Are you good at that?
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Do you know what you're talking about?
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Well,
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you know,
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there's a lot of people out there who say they can do that.
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Can you actually do that?
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We have a way for you to test
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your,
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your will,
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and it won't cost you a thing.
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We're gonna get into that here in just a second.
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Plus,
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we have a bunch of other things,
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uh,
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coming up on the election and so much more.
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We wanna make sure you are the most informed person in your friend group.
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That's what we're going for here.
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We're trying to make a predictable world
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a little bit more predictable.
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That's what we do every day here and we're
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gonna start in a second on predictable with Stu.
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Welcome to Predictable with Sue.
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Before we get started today,
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I just wanna make sure
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you know about this.
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If you haven't been on social media.
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Good for you,
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by the way.
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Um,
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you may have missed this happening.
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Uh,
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a good friend of mine and a good friend of this program,
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Keith Malinac,
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uh,
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has had a really bad health turn
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in his life.
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Uh,
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he was on the show doing a show in the studio here right next door,
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um,
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and in the middle of the show,
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uh,
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wound up not feeling right.
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In the middle of them talking,
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just kind of packed up his stuff and walked out in the middle of the Pat Gray program.
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Uh,
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Jeffy was texting him and saying,
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hey,
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dude,
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what's going on?
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You just,
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you left.
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He said,
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I think I'm having a stroke.
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He drove himself to the hospital,
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which is a line from Ferris Bueller.
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Ferris Bueller,
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he drove,
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would you believe he drove himself to the hospital?
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That's basically what Keith did,
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um,
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which does not surprise me at all with Keith.
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Um,
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but,
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uh,
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he had a serious stroke and is in real trouble and is fighting for his life right now,
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um,
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and,
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uh,
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he's in a coma
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and it's really rough,
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man.
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It's,
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it's eating me up,
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honestly,
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and,
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uh,
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I,
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you know,
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I hate starting shows with this type of stuff,
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but like I feel like it's important.
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If you are a person who is a praying person,
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uh,
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if you're not,
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uh,
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you should consider it.
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I think you might like,
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uh,
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you might like it,
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but if you are a person who,
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uh,
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would say prayers for Keith Malinak.
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Um,
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please do.
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He really needs them right now.
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Um,
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it is a,
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he's in a critical moment.
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I think he's,
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they described it as critical but stable condition.
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Uh,
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strokes,
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from what I understand,
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you know,
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the first week is really,
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really important.
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Uh,
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it gets rough for a week and hopefully it starts to improve.
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We hope he comes out of it.
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I don't know what to even expect,
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man,
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at this point.
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I'm,
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uh,
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this sucks.
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Uh,
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so I love Keith.
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He was on the show,
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this show,
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not that long ago.
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He was on for our NFL,
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uh,
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fantasy draft.
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He has a team in that,
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in that,
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in that draft.
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Huge Atlanta Falcons fan,
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um,
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and,
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uh,
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I don't know.
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I don't even know what to say about it.
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Uh,
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if you are interested in,
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if you have financial resources you'd like to help Keith out with,
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there's a gifts and go available,
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um,
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help Keith Malinak with,
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uh,
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medical bills,
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you know,
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as we all know,
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when these things happen,
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no one is prepared for them,
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so.
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Um,
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people are raising money.
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He's a great guy.
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I can't say enough about him.
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I love him.
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So
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this sucks.
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And I,
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uh,
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I don't know what to say about it,
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uh,
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other than that.
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So please help if you can.
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OK.
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Uh,
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22 days till the election,
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uh,
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a big election here,
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uh,
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all over the country,
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and,
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uh,
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there's early voting already happening in 14 states.
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The headlines are all over the place.
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Let me give you a few just to start you off.
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Senate flippers,
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uh,
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yes,
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it's happening.
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The Senate race is most likely to flip
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less than a month from election day.
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They go through a bunch of the races there for Senate control.
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Uh,
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Washington Post says Trump could face a new threat in January,
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a Democratic Senate.
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Which is a very real possibility now.
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I mean,
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prediction markets think it's over a 50% possibility.
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Gosh,
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it's hard to believe with the way this map is set up that they could,
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the Republicans could lose,
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but it is definitely possible.
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Money is
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flowing in.
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We might get into that on tomorrow's show a little bit more detail,
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but MAGA money moves,
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uh,
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Politico headline,
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uh,
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plots uh final midterm money moves.
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Uh,
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thanks for the alliteration
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on that one,
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Politico.
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Um,
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and,
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you know,
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the election is a big thing.
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Uh,
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it is,
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it's a tough thing and a lot of people have election,
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a lot of people who I talked to who watch this show or listen to the show on podcast,
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by the way,
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it's available at youtube.com/atpredictableshw,
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predictableshow.com,
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and wherever you get your podcast,
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if you go for the Predictable
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with Stu,
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you can find it.
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A lot of people who listen to the show and watch the show are like,
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I don't,
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like,
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I,
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I'm kind of interested in prediction markets,
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but it's not necessarily my top priority.
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I wanna know what's going on with the elections.
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And so we try to give you a,
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a blend of both of those things.
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That's what this show does.
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We look at election news,
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uh,
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and news of the day,
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uh,
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culture,
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sports,
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all those things through the lens of prediction markets.
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Um,
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but it's not like an insider trading show.
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We're not like,
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you know,
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going deep into jargon and,
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and,
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uh,
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trading strategies.
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We'll show you some of that stuff,
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especially unpredictableShow.com,
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but we,
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you know,
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wanna make sure you get the best information on the election
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as is possible.
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Um,
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Calci is one of the big prediction markets here in the United States.
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They have a midterms hub that kind of gives you a quick look.
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Like,
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do you have the Senate up by any chance here,
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Adam,
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can we show that?
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Um,
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this is the CalSci,
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uh,
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midterms
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hub that they put together,
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which kind of puts all their election information.
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Um,
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in one place,
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it makes it easy for you to understand.
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Um,
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uh,
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here it is.
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Yeah,
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scroll down to the map if you would,
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Adam.
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Uh,
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Democrats have a 62% chance,
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uh,
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to control the Senate,
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and if you look here,
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every state has a number on it.
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That's the percentage
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of that particular party to win.
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Blue means Democrat,
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red means Republican,
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of course.
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Yellow is a very close toss-up type state.
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Prediction markets only see two states
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that are less than have less than a 60% favorite.
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That would be Iowa with Ashley Hinson at 58%
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and Maine
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with,
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uh,
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I think that's,
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uh,
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it's,
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uh,
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I think,
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uh,
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yeah,
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it's Troy Jackson leading 57 to 43,
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um,
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00:05:42.600 --> 00:05:43.440
in that particular race.
296
00:05:43.519 --> 00:05:46.459
All the other ones have favorites over 60% right now.
297
00:05:46.720 --> 00:05:47.640
And you can kind of look at these and you,
298
00:05:47.720 --> 00:05:48.079
and you could say,
299
00:05:48.149 --> 00:05:48.269
well,
300
00:05:48.320 --> 00:05:48.640
I think,
301
00:05:48.760 --> 00:05:48.869
uh,
302
00:05:48.950 --> 00:05:49.079
you know,
303
00:05:49.119 --> 00:05:49.619
in Ohio,
304
00:05:49.720 --> 00:05:50.880
actually Houston's the favorite.
305
00:05:50.920 --> 00:05:51.399
What are they doing?
306
00:05:51.480 --> 00:05:52.459
They don't know what they're talking about.
307
00:05:53.000 --> 00:05:53.130
Uh,
308
00:05:53.250 --> 00:05:53.929
and you look at that and you say,
309
00:05:54.010 --> 00:05:54.130
oh,
310
00:05:54.170 --> 00:05:54.369
actually,
311
00:05:54.450 --> 00:05:54.570
you know,
312
00:05:54.769 --> 00:05:55.529
Sherrod Brown's favored.
313
00:05:55.619 --> 00:05:55.700
Uh,
314
00:05:55.850 --> 00:05:58.519
he's actually at 59% or 60%,
315
00:05:58.529 --> 00:05:58.920
depending on,
316
00:05:58.929 --> 00:05:59.100
uh,
317
00:05:59.130 --> 00:06:00.029
what number you have,
318
00:06:00.450 --> 00:06:00.640
um,
319
00:06:00.730 --> 00:06:01.190
there.
320
00:06:01.329 --> 00:06:01.630
And
321
00:06:01.850 --> 00:06:03.350
one of the things I talk about with people is like,
322
00:06:03.369 --> 00:06:04.519
I think I know better than this,
323
00:06:04.600 --> 00:06:06.429
but I'm not gonna blow all my money on this.
324
00:06:06.750 --> 00:06:08.010
I'm not gonna go out there
325
00:06:08.170 --> 00:06:10.559
and go on prediction markets and put my money out there and
326
00:06:10.559 --> 00:06:12.480
wind up losing it because I don't know what I'm doing.
327
00:06:12.809 --> 00:06:14.390
There's a lot of really sharp people
328
00:06:14.529 --> 00:06:14.760
on,
329
00:06:14.829 --> 00:06:15.369
on these markets,
330
00:06:15.489 --> 00:06:16.690
some that have been doing it for a long time.
331
00:06:16.790 --> 00:06:16.869
I,
332
00:06:16.970 --> 00:06:17.320
as I said,
333
00:06:17.329 --> 00:06:18.109
I've been doing this,
334
00:06:18.130 --> 00:06:18.320
uh,
335
00:06:18.369 --> 00:06:19.929
since at least 2014.
336
00:06:20.359 --> 00:06:20.709
Um,
337
00:06:20.799 --> 00:06:21.940
on prediction markets.
338
00:06:22.200 --> 00:06:24.649
I've been there for a long time and I'm not nowhere near as sharp,
339
00:06:24.799 --> 00:06:24.950
right?
340
00:06:25.000 --> 00:06:26.279
Like there are people who really,
341
00:06:26.399 --> 00:06:28.670
there's like people from like Morgan Stanley and their trading,
342
00:06:28.720 --> 00:06:28.839
right?
343
00:06:28.910 --> 00:06:29.000
There,
344
00:06:29.119 --> 00:06:29.720
there's all sorts,
345
00:06:29.799 --> 00:06:31.019
just like when you're trading stocks.
346
00:06:31.670 --> 00:06:32.040
Um,
347
00:06:32.119 --> 00:06:32.239
or,
348
00:06:32.309 --> 00:06:33.119
or something like that.
349
00:06:33.359 --> 00:06:33.799
There's,
350
00:06:34.040 --> 00:06:34.920
if there's money to be made,
351
00:06:35.000 --> 00:06:36.459
there's experts in that field
352
00:06:36.959 --> 00:06:38.940
and really smart people in there trying to make it.
353
00:06:39.399 --> 00:06:39.700
So,
354
00:06:39.760 --> 00:06:41.299
I can understand why you might feel,
355
00:06:42.079 --> 00:06:42.239
uh,
356
00:06:42.320 --> 00:06:45.019
like I can't go on these prediction markets cause I don't wanna lose
357
00:06:45.480 --> 00:06:45.760
money.
358
00:06:46.260 --> 00:06:47.600
And we were trying to think of a way
359
00:06:48.019 --> 00:06:48.140
to,
360
00:06:48.260 --> 00:06:49.859
to get people to understand these markets,
361
00:06:49.940 --> 00:06:51.100
to play with them a little bit and,
362
00:06:51.140 --> 00:06:53.899
and have fun in these markets because that's a big part of this.
363
00:06:54.179 --> 00:06:54.369
This,
364
00:06:54.459 --> 00:06:54.619
you know,
365
00:06:54.820 --> 00:06:55.100
stock,
366
00:06:55.339 --> 00:06:55.660
stock trading.
367
00:06:55.730 --> 00:06:55.859
I mean,
368
00:06:55.940 --> 00:06:56.700
Jim Crammer,
369
00:06:56.940 --> 00:06:57.380
Jim Cramer,
370
00:06:57.420 --> 00:06:58.690
people make fun of Jim Cramer and,
371
00:06:58.700 --> 00:06:59.480
and get on his case.
372
00:06:59.579 --> 00:06:59.739
I,
373
00:06:59.820 --> 00:07:00.980
I've always liked Jim Cramer.
374
00:07:01.200 --> 00:07:02.519
He's an entertaining guy.
375
00:07:02.899 --> 00:07:03.690
And he makes,
376
00:07:03.779 --> 00:07:04.220
uh,
377
00:07:04.500 --> 00:07:05.600
he makes stock market,
378
00:07:05.700 --> 00:07:05.980
uh,
379
00:07:06.059 --> 00:07:06.660
trading fun.
380
00:07:06.779 --> 00:07:07.730
Like you watch that show and it's,
381
00:07:07.739 --> 00:07:09.440
he's got lots of energy and it's just a lot of fun.
382
00:07:10.040 --> 00:07:10.510
Um,
383
00:07:11.179 --> 00:07:11.940
with prediction markets,
384
00:07:12.019 --> 00:07:12.660
they're just fun.
385
00:07:12.779 --> 00:07:13.179
Like they're,
386
00:07:13.459 --> 00:07:15.500
whether you're involved in them on a day to day basis,
387
00:07:15.540 --> 00:07:17.329
if it's part of your investment portfolio,
388
00:07:17.540 --> 00:07:20.739
if you just drop a few bucks here and there because you're just interested in it,
389
00:07:20.779 --> 00:07:21.839
or if you never
390
00:07:22.260 --> 00:07:23.130
ever trade.
391
00:07:23.390 --> 00:07:24.399
That page that I just showed you,
392
00:07:24.459 --> 00:07:25.529
that midterms hub,
393
00:07:25.820 --> 00:07:27.649
gives you information about the election,
394
00:07:27.739 --> 00:07:28.420
does not give you,
395
00:07:28.500 --> 00:07:28.700
I mean,
396
00:07:28.769 --> 00:07:29.559
you can trade from it,
397
00:07:29.619 --> 00:07:29.880
but
398
00:07:30.019 --> 00:07:30.820
you can go there for free.
399
00:07:30.940 --> 00:07:32.320
You don't have to be logged in or anything.
400
00:07:32.739 --> 00:07:34.519
And you can get information about every state
401
00:07:34.700 --> 00:07:36.809
where people think that it's going to land.
402
00:07:37.059 --> 00:07:39.230
75% of people who go to Calci
403
00:07:39.420 --> 00:07:40.859
go there for that information.
404
00:07:41.100 --> 00:07:41.859
They never trade.
405
00:07:42.220 --> 00:07:43.440
And that's totally OK.
406
00:07:43.940 --> 00:07:44.959
But I do think it's fun
407
00:07:45.380 --> 00:07:46.420
to get involved in these things,
408
00:07:46.459 --> 00:07:48.109
and I think it's fun to kind of bring you a,
409
00:07:48.119 --> 00:07:48.130
a,
410
00:07:48.140 --> 00:07:48.260
a,
411
00:07:48.279 --> 00:07:48.290
a,
412
00:07:48.309 --> 00:07:49.869
a little bit along and then I was like,
413
00:07:49.929 --> 00:07:49.980
well,
414
00:07:50.049 --> 00:07:53.059
how can people do this without feeling like they're gonna lose a lot of money?
415
00:07:53.140 --> 00:07:53.209
We,
416
00:07:53.299 --> 00:07:54.640
what we need to do is come up with a way
417
00:07:54.779 --> 00:07:56.920
for people to participate in prediction markets
418
00:07:57.260 --> 00:07:58.140
without risking a cent.
419
00:07:59.549 --> 00:07:59.709
Now,
420
00:07:59.790 --> 00:08:00.070
of course,
421
00:08:00.109 --> 00:08:01.730
you could do that by just reading the information,
422
00:08:01.790 --> 00:08:02.160
but that's,
423
00:08:02.230 --> 00:08:02.429
you know,
424
00:08:02.549 --> 00:08:03.119
it's interesting,
425
00:08:03.170 --> 00:08:04.089
but not necessarily fun.
426
00:08:04.709 --> 00:08:05.630
You can get on prediction markets,
427
00:08:05.700 --> 00:08:06.190
but you gotta put,
428
00:08:06.309 --> 00:08:07.489
you gotta have some risk on that.
429
00:08:08.640 --> 00:08:08.760
Well,
430
00:08:08.839 --> 00:08:10.179
we came up with a new way,
431
00:08:10.549 --> 00:08:12.920
a way for you to participate in prediction markets
432
00:08:12.920 --> 00:08:15.179
to show whether you can pick these elections,
433
00:08:15.399 --> 00:08:16.320
right or wrong,
434
00:08:16.600 --> 00:08:18.059
and it won't cost you a cent.
435
00:08:18.790 --> 00:08:19.230
And you might say,
436
00:08:19.309 --> 00:08:19.429
well,
437
00:08:19.470 --> 00:08:20.269
that's kind of cool,
438
00:08:20.350 --> 00:08:23.149
I might wanna try that out to see if I can test my my my will,
439
00:08:23.220 --> 00:08:23.609
but
440
00:08:23.779 --> 00:08:25.089
I wanna go a little farther than that,
441
00:08:25.589 --> 00:08:26.450
because not only
442
00:08:26.950 --> 00:08:28.589
can you come and do this with us,
443
00:08:29.000 --> 00:08:31.670
and uh participate in what I'm about to show you
444
00:08:31.989 --> 00:08:32.609
for free,
445
00:08:33.150 --> 00:08:33.890
but also,
446
00:08:33.950 --> 00:08:37.808
you'll have a chance for us to fund your prediction market for you.
447
00:08:38.880 --> 00:08:39.539
We
448
00:08:39.960 --> 00:08:41.219
have started something new,
449
00:08:41.760 --> 00:08:41.950
uh,
450
00:08:41.960 --> 00:08:43.299
at predictableShow.com.
451
00:08:43.558 --> 00:08:43.849
And,
452
00:08:43.880 --> 00:08:44.229
uh,
453
00:08:44.239 --> 00:08:45.679
if you wanna get to it directly,
454
00:08:45.760 --> 00:08:46.739
you can go to
455
00:08:46.960 --> 00:08:49.989
senatefantasy.com or Senate Fantasy League.com,
456
00:08:50.039 --> 00:08:50.650
wherever you wanna go.
457
00:08:50.799 --> 00:08:51.400
One of those two.
458
00:08:51.599 --> 00:08:52.619
It's a fantasy league,
459
00:08:52.789 --> 00:08:53.150
OK?
460
00:08:53.369 --> 00:08:57.140
We've set it up like a fantasy league that uses real prediction market data
461
00:08:57.679 --> 00:08:59.900
for you to test your predictions
462
00:09:00.200 --> 00:09:03.179
and your uh uh uh uh uh your market acuity
463
00:09:03.520 --> 00:09:04.380
against everyone
464
00:09:05.000 --> 00:09:06.919
that you know around the country and more.
465
00:09:07.710 --> 00:09:08.159
Um,
466
00:09:08.859 --> 00:09:10.380
We've removed all the risk from this,
467
00:09:10.539 --> 00:09:12.049
so you can't lose any money.
468
00:09:12.179 --> 00:09:12.419
You can,
469
00:09:12.539 --> 00:09:12.659
well,
470
00:09:12.719 --> 00:09:13.960
we can lose money cause we're gonna,
471
00:09:14.059 --> 00:09:14.989
we're gonna give you money
472
00:09:15.099 --> 00:09:15.719
if you win.
473
00:09:15.900 --> 00:09:16.169
Um,
474
00:09:16.380 --> 00:09:19.219
but there are cash prizes to this that you can fund your election market account.
475
00:09:19.260 --> 00:09:19.460
I mean,
476
00:09:19.619 --> 00:09:20.000
technically,
477
00:09:20.020 --> 00:09:21.260
I can't tell you what you can do with the money.
478
00:09:21.289 --> 00:09:22.460
You can do with it whatever you want.
479
00:09:22.500 --> 00:09:22.940
If you wanna,
480
00:09:23.059 --> 00:09:23.219
you know,
481
00:09:23.299 --> 00:09:24.080
you wanna buy it on,
482
00:09:24.099 --> 00:09:24.369
uh,
483
00:09:24.380 --> 00:09:24.570
those,
484
00:09:24.739 --> 00:09:26.500
those new Taco Bell meal boxes,
485
00:09:26.580 --> 00:09:27.340
that's fine too.
486
00:09:27.500 --> 00:09:27.719
But
487
00:09:27.859 --> 00:09:30.340
the idea here is to kind of fund your prediction market
488
00:09:30.340 --> 00:09:32.580
account or add to your prediction market account if you want.
489
00:09:33.650 --> 00:09:34.630
We'll do that for you.
490
00:09:34.849 --> 00:09:35.809
If you wanna take place,
491
00:09:35.890 --> 00:09:36.039
uh,
492
00:09:36.130 --> 00:09:37.210
take part in the Senate,
493
00:09:37.359 --> 00:09:38.710
Senate Fantasy League.
494
00:09:39.409 --> 00:09:40.929
This is something that I developed.
495
00:09:41.010 --> 00:09:41.169
Uh,
496
00:09:41.289 --> 00:09:41.609
I'm,
497
00:09:41.729 --> 00:09:42.770
I love these ideas.
498
00:09:42.929 --> 00:09:44.010
These are really fun for me.
499
00:09:44.090 --> 00:09:45.950
I hope they're fun for you as well.
500
00:09:46.289 --> 00:09:49.570
And you can do this for free at Senatefantasy.com.
501
00:09:49.650 --> 00:09:50.090
Let's bring it up.
502
00:09:50.169 --> 00:09:50.989
Senate Fantasy.com.
503
00:09:51.049 --> 00:09:51.799
This is what it looks like right now.
504
00:09:51.869 --> 00:09:52.830
It is live.
505
00:09:52.969 --> 00:09:55.270
You can draft your Senate fantasy team.
506
00:09:55.770 --> 00:09:58.880
You're gonna pick 8 candidates from 8 Senate races.
507
00:09:59.169 --> 00:09:59.919
Your score,
508
00:10:00.049 --> 00:10:01.080
you don't have to worry about that.
509
00:10:01.250 --> 00:10:04.590
We will calculate all of that for you and put it on a nice big leaderboard.
510
00:10:05.210 --> 00:10:05.489
Um,
511
00:10:05.609 --> 00:10:06.010
there are,
512
00:10:06.080 --> 00:10:06.130
uh,
513
00:10:06.239 --> 00:10:06.369
you know,
514
00:10:06.429 --> 00:10:06.650
of course,
515
00:10:06.770 --> 00:10:06.929
you know,
516
00:10:07.049 --> 00:10:07.530
rules to play,
517
00:10:07.609 --> 00:10:08.469
but it's free to play.
518
00:10:09.090 --> 00:10:10.909
No purchase necessary.
519
00:10:11.169 --> 00:10:11.989
And I think,
520
00:10:12.130 --> 00:10:12.630
uh,
521
00:10:12.809 --> 00:10:13.010
Monday,
522
00:10:13.190 --> 00:10:13.200
uh,
523
00:10:13.320 --> 00:10:13.729
November 2nd,
524
00:10:13.859 --> 00:10:13.890
yeah,
525
00:10:13.979 --> 00:10:14.599
it's midnight,
526
00:10:14.609 --> 00:10:16.429
basically the night before election.
527
00:10:17.070 --> 00:10:17.510
Uh,
528
00:10:17.859 --> 00:10:18.109
election day.
529
00:10:18.179 --> 00:10:18.429
So you can,
530
00:10:18.500 --> 00:10:20.250
you can join this at any time up till
531
00:10:20.469 --> 00:10:20.809
then.
532
00:10:21.030 --> 00:10:21.109
Uh,
533
00:10:21.150 --> 00:10:21.750
if you scroll down,
534
00:10:21.789 --> 00:10:22.270
how to enter,
535
00:10:22.349 --> 00:10:23.010
kind of gives you some,
536
00:10:23.070 --> 00:10:23.400
uh,
537
00:10:23.510 --> 00:10:24.270
overview stuff.
538
00:10:24.440 --> 00:10:24.450
So,
539
00:10:24.590 --> 00:10:25.190
you can sign in,
540
00:10:25.299 --> 00:10:26.690
you draft 8 candidates,
541
00:10:26.700 --> 00:10:26.950
candidates,
542
00:10:26.989 --> 00:10:28.700
you just have to submit it before the lock time.
543
00:10:29.109 --> 00:10:30.869
The scoring basically starts,
544
00:10:30.929 --> 00:10:31.299
uh,
545
00:10:31.460 --> 00:10:33.909
every team score starts with a score of 1000 and
546
00:10:33.909 --> 00:10:35.929
it goes up and down depending on what you picked.
547
00:10:36.200 --> 00:10:36.429
Um,
548
00:10:36.549 --> 00:10:37.190
and the,
549
00:10:37.289 --> 00:10:40.849
the price that you get at the time that you draft is what locks in.
550
00:10:41.140 --> 00:10:41.299
Um,
551
00:10:41.380 --> 00:10:42.309
if you go down to prizes,
552
00:10:42.390 --> 00:10:42.809
there we go.
553
00:10:42.950 --> 00:10:43.059
Uh,
554
00:10:43.150 --> 00:10:43.469
first place,
555
00:10:43.570 --> 00:10:44.729
2500 bucks.
556
00:10:45.239 --> 00:10:45.559
Nothing wrong,
557
00:10:45.640 --> 00:10:46.789
2500 bucks.
558
00:10:47.119 --> 00:10:48.320
Put that in a prediction market account,
559
00:10:48.390 --> 00:10:49.179
we'll grow it together.
560
00:10:49.719 --> 00:10:50.039
Second place,
561
00:10:50.119 --> 00:10:51.159
$1000 in cash.
562
00:10:51.280 --> 00:10:51.679
Third place,
563
00:10:51.789 --> 00:10:52.799
$500 in cash.
564
00:10:52.859 --> 00:10:53.960
If you finish in the top 10
565
00:10:54.150 --> 00:10:55.469
$100 in cash,
566
00:10:55.619 --> 00:10:56.020
plus,
567
00:10:56.520 --> 00:10:56.640
uh,
568
00:10:56.710 --> 00:10:56.940
by the way,
569
00:10:57.000 --> 00:10:58.340
that first place,
570
00:10:58.549 --> 00:11:00.659
lifetime premium subscription to predictableshow.com.
571
00:11:02.320 --> 00:11:02.630
Uh,
572
00:11:02.640 --> 00:11:02.960
second place,
573
00:11:03.000 --> 00:11:05.460
you get a year of the premium subscription as well.
574
00:11:05.640 --> 00:11:06.400
It's 3rd place,
575
00:11:06.440 --> 00:11:06.780
and then,
576
00:11:06.840 --> 00:11:07.320
uh,
577
00:11:07.400 --> 00:11:10.109
you get a year as well premium subscription for 4th to 10th.
578
00:11:10.359 --> 00:11:10.669
And then,
579
00:11:10.679 --> 00:11:11.940
even if you finish in the top 100,
580
00:11:12.000 --> 00:11:12.479
you get something,
581
00:11:12.599 --> 00:11:14.479
you get 3 months free of the premium subscription.
582
00:11:15.059 --> 00:11:15.890
All sorts of stuff goes on.
583
00:11:15.940 --> 00:11:16.210
So let's,
584
00:11:16.260 --> 00:11:17.539
let me show you how this works real quick.
585
00:11:17.609 --> 00:11:18.500
Let's just do a little,
586
00:11:18.580 --> 00:11:18.690
uh,
587
00:11:18.739 --> 00:11:20.119
there is a practice draft
588
00:11:20.419 --> 00:11:22.159
that is available right on that home screen,
589
00:11:22.340 --> 00:11:25.239
so you can try this a few times before you submit your official team.
590
00:11:25.760 --> 00:11:25.960
Uh,
591
00:11:26.080 --> 00:11:28.039
only one entry per email address,
592
00:11:28.159 --> 00:11:29.380
so you gotta get that done.
593
00:11:29.840 --> 00:11:30.059
But,
594
00:11:30.130 --> 00:11:30.510
uh,
595
00:11:30.719 --> 00:11:31.479
I don't know if there's some,
596
00:11:31.799 --> 00:11:33.919
there might be some limit on how many you can total do in total,
597
00:11:34.000 --> 00:11:35.349
but one per email address.
598
00:11:35.679 --> 00:11:35.869
Um,
599
00:11:36.099 --> 00:11:36.109
you,
600
00:11:36.960 --> 00:11:37.239
I don't know,
601
00:11:37.299 --> 00:11:38.250
maybe you can get a couple in there,
602
00:11:38.390 --> 00:11:39.289
a couple of different email addresses.
603
00:11:39.400 --> 00:11:40.070
You got a work address,
604
00:11:40.140 --> 00:11:40.799
you got a home address,
605
00:11:40.989 --> 00:11:42.260
maybe you got a couple of teams in there even.
606
00:11:42.479 --> 00:11:42.640
Um,
607
00:11:42.679 --> 00:11:42.840
OK,
608
00:11:42.960 --> 00:11:44.119
so you go in there and do,
609
00:11:44.200 --> 00:11:46.280
let's do try a practice draft to kind of show how this works.
610
00:11:46.320 --> 00:11:48.080
This is basically exactly what it looks like
611
00:11:48.320 --> 00:11:48.969
when you do it.
612
00:11:49.190 --> 00:11:49.469
Um,
613
00:11:49.710 --> 00:11:51.239
it says to sign in and draft your team.
614
00:11:51.359 --> 00:11:51.599
So,
615
00:11:51.669 --> 00:11:52.190
uh,
616
00:11:52.200 --> 00:11:52.989
team name,
617
00:11:53.000 --> 00:11:53.739
uh,
618
00:11:54.299 --> 00:11:56.099
How about uh where is?
619
00:11:57.169 --> 00:11:58.169
James Tallarico.
620
00:12:00.369 --> 00:12:00.880
Why not?
621
00:12:01.010 --> 00:12:01.210
I mean,
622
00:12:01.289 --> 00:12:01.770
we found him,
623
00:12:01.840 --> 00:12:02.929
but he's so small,
624
00:12:02.969 --> 00:12:04.400
you could lose him in a crowd easily,
625
00:12:04.609 --> 00:12:05.159
to be honest.
626
00:12:05.409 --> 00:12:05.570
OK,
627
00:12:05.650 --> 00:12:06.729
Adam's gonna put his name in there.
628
00:12:06.770 --> 00:12:07.869
He's filling this out for me.
629
00:12:08.130 --> 00:12:10.710
And you do start practice and this will bring you to the draft,
630
00:12:10.820 --> 00:12:11.090
uh,
631
00:12:11.250 --> 00:12:12.309
rules screen.
632
00:12:12.849 --> 00:12:13.840
Quickly with the rules.
633
00:12:13.969 --> 00:12:15.849
You're gonna draft 8 candidates from each different races.
634
00:12:15.929 --> 00:12:16.489
You don't have to be like,
635
00:12:16.530 --> 00:12:16.770
oh gosh,
636
00:12:16.849 --> 00:12:17.960
do I have to know everything about the race?
637
00:12:18.010 --> 00:12:19.359
We're gonna give you the information as you go.
638
00:12:19.609 --> 00:12:20.719
The site will calculate your score.
639
00:12:20.770 --> 00:12:21.869
You don't have to worry about that.
640
00:12:22.130 --> 00:12:25.460
The one thing in the rules that is important for you to know is your MVP,
641
00:12:25.609 --> 00:12:27.169
your most valuable politician.
642
00:12:27.440 --> 00:12:27.679
Um,
643
00:12:27.849 --> 00:12:29.210
that one will count double.
644
00:12:29.690 --> 00:12:30.070
So,
645
00:12:30.090 --> 00:12:31.210
that's the first pick you're gonna make.
646
00:12:31.289 --> 00:12:32.479
We'll show you that here in a second.
647
00:12:32.729 --> 00:12:33.369
All teams score,
648
00:12:33.409 --> 00:12:33.960
uh,
649
00:12:33.969 --> 00:12:34.969
start with a score of 1000.
650
00:12:35.010 --> 00:12:36.109
It'll go up and down from there.
651
00:12:36.289 --> 00:12:37.239
If a long shot wins,
652
00:12:37.280 --> 00:12:38.330
your score will increase a lot.
653
00:12:38.450 --> 00:12:39.409
If a heavy favorite wins,
654
00:12:39.460 --> 00:12:41.010
your score will increase a little.
655
00:12:41.320 --> 00:12:41.590
Uh,
656
00:12:41.650 --> 00:12:43.250
if your long shot loses,
657
00:12:43.369 --> 00:12:44.729
your score will decrease a little.
658
00:12:44.849 --> 00:12:46.330
If your heavy favorite loses,
659
00:12:46.409 --> 00:12:48.229
your score will decrease a lot.
660
00:12:48.520 --> 00:12:48.729
Uh,
661
00:12:48.809 --> 00:12:49.489
a bunch of other stuff,
662
00:12:49.570 --> 00:12:50.530
you gotta be 18 year old or blah,
663
00:12:50.539 --> 00:12:50.760
blah,
664
00:12:50.770 --> 00:12:50.960
blah,
665
00:12:50.969 --> 00:12:51.169
blah,
666
00:12:51.179 --> 00:12:51.369
blah.
667
00:12:51.450 --> 00:12:51.599
OK.
668
00:12:51.690 --> 00:12:52.390
So start the draft.
669
00:12:52.570 --> 00:12:53.010
Let's go to this,
670
00:12:53.020 --> 00:12:55.030
and I'll explain the scoring system a little bit as we go.
671
00:12:55.289 --> 00:12:55.710
This is your,
672
00:12:55.809 --> 00:12:55.989
uh,
673
00:12:56.000 --> 00:12:56.830
main draft screen.
674
00:12:57.630 --> 00:12:59.669
And I'll explain this for people on podcast as well.
675
00:12:59.750 --> 00:13:00.729
What we're looking at here
676
00:13:00.989 --> 00:13:04.030
is a fancy map of the United States of America with
677
00:13:04.030 --> 00:13:06.650
every state there's a Senate race going on highlighted for you.
678
00:13:07.030 --> 00:13:07.190
Uh,
679
00:13:07.309 --> 00:13:07.510
the,
680
00:13:07.590 --> 00:13:07.739
uh,
681
00:13:07.789 --> 00:13:09.989
there's a special highlight for the kind of close races,
682
00:13:10.070 --> 00:13:10.190
right?
683
00:13:10.239 --> 00:13:11.869
The ones we've been talking about most often,
684
00:13:11.950 --> 00:13:12.669
which is Alaska,
685
00:13:12.840 --> 00:13:13.229
Texas,
686
00:13:13.349 --> 00:13:13.770
Kansas,
687
00:13:14.190 --> 00:13:14.750
Nebraska,
688
00:13:14.909 --> 00:13:15.460
Iowa,
689
00:13:15.750 --> 00:13:16.260
Michigan,
690
00:13:16.510 --> 00:13:17.070
Ohio,
691
00:13:17.190 --> 00:13:17.979
and Maine,
692
00:13:18.469 --> 00:13:20.429
thought to be the most competitive races.
693
00:13:20.659 --> 00:13:21.969
They're highlighted in yellow
694
00:13:22.109 --> 00:13:23.650
if you're looking for those specifically,
695
00:13:23.840 --> 00:13:25.070
but every race is listed.
696
00:13:25.460 --> 00:13:25.780
Now,
697
00:13:26.099 --> 00:13:27.020
your first draft here,
698
00:13:27.169 --> 00:13:27.250
uh,
699
00:13:27.340 --> 00:13:29.419
round 1 of 8 is your most valuable politician,
700
00:13:29.500 --> 00:13:30.099
your MVP,
701
00:13:30.739 --> 00:13:30.900
uh,
702
00:13:31.030 --> 00:13:33.650
and your win or loss will count 2 times.
703
00:13:33.859 --> 00:13:34.280
So,
704
00:13:34.700 --> 00:13:36.400
the way to think about this
705
00:13:36.820 --> 00:13:37.260
is if,
706
00:13:37.320 --> 00:13:38.059
let's click on,
707
00:13:38.099 --> 00:13:38.489
uh,
708
00:13:38.700 --> 00:13:39.619
let's do,
709
00:13:39.700 --> 00:13:40.510
um,
710
00:13:41.419 --> 00:13:42.270
Let's do Nebraska.
711
00:13:42.349 --> 00:13:45.309
Click on Nebraska here in honor of our friend Keith Malinak,
712
00:13:45.419 --> 00:13:45.539
who,
713
00:13:45.549 --> 00:13:46.210
by the way,
714
00:13:46.909 --> 00:13:48.210
would love this idea.
715
00:13:48.590 --> 00:13:49.030
He's,
716
00:13:49.250 --> 00:13:50.000
he's a fantasy and,
717
00:13:50.270 --> 00:13:50.789
and a,
718
00:13:50.830 --> 00:13:51.130
uh,
719
00:13:51.150 --> 00:13:52.789
fantasy league and a politician,
720
00:13:52.950 --> 00:13:53.150
uh,
721
00:13:53.349 --> 00:13:54.109
a politics nerd,
722
00:13:54.190 --> 00:13:55.539
so he would absolutely love this.
723
00:13:56.030 --> 00:13:59.109
So you click on the state and it brings up the candidates that are available there.
724
00:13:59.320 --> 00:14:00.090
Pete Ricketts
725
00:14:00.190 --> 00:14:01.330
at 69%,
726
00:14:01.469 --> 00:14:02.309
and Dan Osborne,
727
00:14:02.510 --> 00:14:03.239
the independent
728
00:14:03.349 --> 00:14:06.289
slash Democrat at 31%.
729
00:14:06.669 --> 00:14:07.070
Um,
730
00:14:07.890 --> 00:14:09.750
You can pick either one of these
731
00:14:10.130 --> 00:14:11.229
to be
732
00:14:11.330 --> 00:14:11.789
your,
733
00:14:12.010 --> 00:14:12.359
uh,
734
00:14:12.489 --> 00:14:13.090
your candidate.
735
00:14:13.210 --> 00:14:13.320
Now,
736
00:14:13.369 --> 00:14:13.570
what,
737
00:14:13.650 --> 00:14:14.570
if you think about it this way,
738
00:14:14.640 --> 00:14:15.229
if you take,
739
00:14:15.450 --> 00:14:15.690
uh,
740
00:14:15.760 --> 00:14:17.719
Pete Ricketts at 69%,
741
00:14:18.010 --> 00:14:20.210
you've got 31 cents of profit there,
742
00:14:20.289 --> 00:14:20.369
right?
743
00:14:20.380 --> 00:14:21.609
31% of profit.
744
00:14:21.650 --> 00:14:21.919
It can go,
745
00:14:21.969 --> 00:14:22.159
it's,
746
00:14:22.210 --> 00:14:22.530
if you,
747
00:14:22.650 --> 00:14:23.119
if you're correct,
748
00:14:23.169 --> 00:14:24.640
it's gonna go from 69% to 100%.
749
00:14:24.969 --> 00:14:26.280
So you're gonna get 31%.
750
00:14:26.580 --> 00:14:26.809
Uh,
751
00:14:26.940 --> 00:14:27.320
there,
752
00:14:27.580 --> 00:14:27.900
and of course,
753
00:14:27.979 --> 00:14:28.890
this being the MVP,
754
00:14:28.900 --> 00:14:30.359
you're gonna get double that percentage.
755
00:14:30.809 --> 00:14:30.940
Uh,
756
00:14:31.049 --> 00:14:32.460
if you were to go to Dan Osborne,
757
00:14:32.659 --> 00:14:34.239
you're getting it at 31%,
758
00:14:34.539 --> 00:14:36.059
so you got 69%.
759
00:14:36.260 --> 00:14:37.679
Much more room on the upside
760
00:14:37.940 --> 00:14:39.919
and much less room on the downside.
761
00:14:40.099 --> 00:14:40.679
However,
762
00:14:41.080 --> 00:14:41.619
if you lose,
763
00:14:41.690 --> 00:14:43.020
you get 0 points for that candidate.
764
00:14:43.099 --> 00:14:43.640
If you win,
765
00:14:43.979 --> 00:14:45.450
you get that profit percentage.
766
00:14:45.700 --> 00:14:45.869
So,
767
00:14:45.979 --> 00:14:46.099
uh,
768
00:14:46.169 --> 00:14:46.659
let's just,
769
00:14:46.780 --> 00:14:47.200
uh,
770
00:14:47.219 --> 00:14:49.159
pick Pete Ricketts here as our MVP.
771
00:14:49.539 --> 00:14:52.179
So you draft him and if you see on the right side of your screen,
772
00:14:52.609 --> 00:14:54.549
You have your lineup kind of forming there.
773
00:14:54.640 --> 00:14:55.710
Your MVP at the top,
774
00:14:56.000 --> 00:14:56.750
Pete Ricketts,
775
00:14:56.890 --> 00:14:59.340
he's locked in at 69%.
776
00:14:59.830 --> 00:15:01.109
Then your next round,
777
00:15:01.309 --> 00:15:01.750
round 2,
778
00:15:01.869 --> 00:15:03.969
you have to draft a Republican.
779
00:15:04.229 --> 00:15:05.539
As it notes in the rules there,
780
00:15:05.590 --> 00:15:06.950
you don't have to agree with their policies,
781
00:15:06.989 --> 00:15:07.789
you don't have to like them.
782
00:15:07.869 --> 00:15:08.109
Remember,
783
00:15:08.150 --> 00:15:08.989
these are prediction markets.
784
00:15:09.030 --> 00:15:09.890
You're taking your,
785
00:15:10.309 --> 00:15:10.580
uh,
786
00:15:10.590 --> 00:15:11.710
emphasis out of this.
787
00:15:11.780 --> 00:15:12.140
Uh,
788
00:15:12.229 --> 00:15:12.340
you,
789
00:15:12.429 --> 00:15:13.890
you don't invest with your heart.
790
00:15:14.140 --> 00:15:16.309
That's the 12th Amendment to the predictable Constitution.
791
00:15:16.419 --> 00:15:17.500
Do not invest with your heart.
792
00:15:17.750 --> 00:15:17.940
So,
793
00:15:18.140 --> 00:15:19.349
you might be a Democrat and be like,
794
00:15:19.390 --> 00:15:20.309
I don't wanna pick a Republican.
795
00:15:20.429 --> 00:15:20.500
Well,
796
00:15:20.570 --> 00:15:21.070
you have to.
797
00:15:21.229 --> 00:15:22.349
If you want to participate in this contest,
798
00:15:22.419 --> 00:15:23.179
you gotta pick one.
799
00:15:23.429 --> 00:15:23.869
So pick one,
800
00:15:23.950 --> 00:15:24.659
maybe go to,
801
00:15:24.669 --> 00:15:24.979
uh,
802
00:15:24.989 --> 00:15:25.330
Maine.
803
00:15:25.760 --> 00:15:25.919
Uh,
804
00:15:26.000 --> 00:15:27.599
click on Maine and you bring that up.
805
00:15:27.640 --> 00:15:28.760
You got Susan Collins there.
806
00:15:28.840 --> 00:15:29.679
If you note here,
807
00:15:29.919 --> 00:15:31.789
you can't pick Troy Jackson cause he's a Democrat.
808
00:15:31.840 --> 00:15:33.219
This is a Republican-only round,
809
00:15:33.599 --> 00:15:34.789
so you pick Susan Collins,
810
00:15:34.960 --> 00:15:36.159
she's at 33.
811
00:15:36.239 --> 00:15:36.640
Is that right?
812
00:15:36.719 --> 00:15:37.700
33%?
813
00:15:38.000 --> 00:15:38.820
I don't think that's right.
814
00:15:38.989 --> 00:15:39.559
We just looked at that.
815
00:15:39.679 --> 00:15:40.669
She's like a 40-something.
816
00:15:41.599 --> 00:15:41.869
Hm,
817
00:15:42.000 --> 00:15:42.739
there's something wrong with that.
818
00:15:42.830 --> 00:15:43.119
Anyway,
819
00:15:43.530 --> 00:15:44.200
this is a test run,
820
00:15:44.280 --> 00:15:46.200
doesn't really matter that that might be locked with earlier prices.
821
00:15:46.289 --> 00:15:46.400
OK,
822
00:15:46.469 --> 00:15:47.500
so you click draft.
823
00:15:47.770 --> 00:15:47.919
Uh,
824
00:15:48.080 --> 00:15:48.440
so you have,
825
00:15:48.549 --> 00:15:48.799
uh,
826
00:15:48.960 --> 00:15:51.140
Susan Collins locked in at 33%.
827
00:15:51.919 --> 00:15:52.260
Then
828
00:15:52.880 --> 00:15:53.500
you go,
829
00:15:53.530 --> 00:15:53.830
uh,
830
00:15:53.979 --> 00:15:54.580
to the next round,
831
00:15:54.599 --> 00:15:55.479
which is draft a Democrat.
832
00:15:55.549 --> 00:15:55.799
Again,
833
00:15:55.919 --> 00:15:56.880
you might not like Democrats.
834
00:15:56.960 --> 00:15:57.590
You might think they're,
835
00:15:57.679 --> 00:15:58.400
they suck.
836
00:15:58.479 --> 00:15:59.400
Their taxes are too high.
837
00:15:59.469 --> 00:16:00.340
It doesn't matter.
838
00:16:00.599 --> 00:16:01.919
You're looking for opportunity.
839
00:16:02.039 --> 00:16:02.460
Which
840
00:16:02.719 --> 00:16:04.020
one can you find that has the,
841
00:16:04.280 --> 00:16:04.510
uh,
842
00:16:04.559 --> 00:16:05.739
lowest price
843
00:16:06.000 --> 00:16:07.320
that you think is going to win?
844
00:16:07.710 --> 00:16:09.260
So here we might go to,
845
00:16:09.349 --> 00:16:09.590
I mean,
846
00:16:09.719 --> 00:16:11.590
our name is where is James Tallarico?
847
00:16:11.630 --> 00:16:13.109
Let's pick James Tallarico in Texas.
848
00:16:13.179 --> 00:16:14.049
So you click on Texas,
849
00:16:14.349 --> 00:16:14.630
right there,
850
00:16:14.710 --> 00:16:15.500
there's James Tallarico.
851
00:16:15.520 --> 00:16:16.820
He's at 60% right now.
852
00:16:16.989 --> 00:16:18.210
You click draft on him.
853
00:16:18.549 --> 00:16:18.859
Uh,
854
00:16:18.909 --> 00:16:19.179
then you,
855
00:16:19.270 --> 00:16:20.710
you go by regions here,
856
00:16:20.859 --> 00:16:20.979
uh,
857
00:16:21.030 --> 00:16:22.010
the eastern region.
858
00:16:22.200 --> 00:16:22.590
Um,
859
00:16:22.669 --> 00:16:24.030
we already picked Susan Collins in Maine.
860
00:16:24.140 --> 00:16:26.760
Let's go to North Carolina and pick Cooper.
861
00:16:27.020 --> 00:16:27.030
There,
862
00:16:27.979 --> 00:16:28.299
uh,
863
00:16:28.380 --> 00:16:29.500
he's at 92%.
864
00:16:29.580 --> 00:16:29.840
So,
865
00:16:30.020 --> 00:16:30.369
again,
866
00:16:30.659 --> 00:16:31.489
he is probably gonna win.
867
00:16:31.539 --> 00:16:32.580
He's a heavy favorite.
868
00:16:32.820 --> 00:16:35.479
You don't have that much of a run on Roy Cooper.
869
00:16:35.739 --> 00:16:36.059
Uh,
870
00:16:36.219 --> 00:16:36.679
but,
871
00:16:36.760 --> 00:16:37.380
uh,
872
00:16:37.460 --> 00:16:37.840
you know,
873
00:16:38.059 --> 00:16:38.489
you,
874
00:16:38.590 --> 00:16:39.000
uh,
875
00:16:39.219 --> 00:16:41.140
you do have a big downside there.
876
00:16:41.179 --> 00:16:42.659
If you go with his opponent in that.
877
00:16:42.775 --> 00:16:43.104
Race,
878
00:16:43.224 --> 00:16:44.184
you've got a big,
879
00:16:44.395 --> 00:16:47.025
you have a lot of upside and only a little bit of downside.
880
00:16:47.085 --> 00:16:47.304
So it's,
881
00:16:47.344 --> 00:16:48.645
it's a balancing act here.
882
00:16:49.075 --> 00:16:50.015
Which way will you go?
883
00:16:50.294 --> 00:16:50.465
The,
884
00:16:50.505 --> 00:16:50.965
uh,
885
00:16:51.145 --> 00:16:52.424
the Southern region,
886
00:16:52.585 --> 00:16:52.905
region,
887
00:16:53.015 --> 00:16:53.854
a lot of states there,
888
00:16:54.025 --> 00:16:55.255
not a lot of close races.
889
00:16:55.505 --> 00:16:57.344
Let's go to South Carolina there and maybe pick,
890
00:16:57.385 --> 00:16:57.575
uh,
891
00:16:57.585 --> 00:16:58.484
Graham Nordone.
892
00:16:58.784 --> 00:16:59.104
Um,
893
00:16:59.265 --> 00:16:59.974
Darlene Graham Nordone,
894
00:17:00.054 --> 00:17:01.065
she's at 87%.
895
00:17:01.104 --> 00:17:02.784
We get a little bit of value maybe out of that if she,
896
00:17:02.854 --> 00:17:02.984
you know,
897
00:17:03.065 --> 00:17:03.265
wins.
898
00:17:03.304 --> 00:17:03.494
And I,
899
00:17:03.544 --> 00:17:03.664
I,
900
00:17:03.744 --> 00:17:04.665
I keep telling you this though,
901
00:17:04.824 --> 00:17:06.765
that is at the fringes of the wave.
902
00:17:07.469 --> 00:17:09.890
That race is at the fringes of the wave.
903
00:17:10.510 --> 00:17:12.449
Usually what happens in South Carolina is
904
00:17:12.900 --> 00:17:13.699
Democrats get a couple of polls,
905
00:17:13.709 --> 00:17:14.910
they get excited and lose.
906
00:17:15.270 --> 00:17:15.868
If this is a,
907
00:17:16.108 --> 00:17:18.949
that's one of the ways you'll know if this is a really big Democratic wave,
908
00:17:18.989 --> 00:17:19.709
if somehow she wins.
909
00:17:20.630 --> 00:17:21.030
Uh,
910
00:17:21.108 --> 00:17:23.670
let's go with Ashley Hinson in Iowa from the Midwest,
911
00:17:23.750 --> 00:17:24.729
our next round
912
00:17:24.949 --> 00:17:26.189
here in the 6th out of 8.
913
00:17:26.770 --> 00:17:27.250
Uh,
914
00:17:27.368 --> 00:17:27.608
there,
915
00:17:27.650 --> 00:17:28.489
and then we,
916
00:17:28.540 --> 00:17:28.680
uh,
917
00:17:28.760 --> 00:17:29.410
from the west,
918
00:17:29.530 --> 00:17:30.489
we can go with,
919
00:17:30.609 --> 00:17:31.209
what do we think here?
920
00:17:31.300 --> 00:17:31.880
Let's go,
921
00:17:31.910 --> 00:17:32.369
um,
922
00:17:32.640 --> 00:17:33.290
let's get in the,
923
00:17:33.329 --> 00:17:35.160
let's get mixed up in the Alaska thing for a second.
924
00:17:35.239 --> 00:17:35.670
Let's go with,
925
00:17:35.680 --> 00:17:36.000
uh,
926
00:17:36.010 --> 00:17:36.930
Sullivan in Alaska.
927
00:17:37.130 --> 00:17:37.599
You got a big,
928
00:17:37.650 --> 00:17:37.829
uh,
929
00:17:37.839 --> 00:17:38.550
underdog.
930
00:17:38.890 --> 00:17:39.010
Uh,
931
00:17:39.089 --> 00:17:40.239
he's only at 30% right now.
932
00:17:40.250 --> 00:17:41.390
You got a nice run there.
933
00:17:41.810 --> 00:17:42.650
And finally,
934
00:17:42.689 --> 00:17:43.349
at the end,
935
00:17:43.569 --> 00:17:43.719
uh,
936
00:17:43.729 --> 00:17:44.689
we've got a flex position.
937
00:17:44.770 --> 00:17:46.400
So have you ever done fantasy leagues before?
938
00:17:46.530 --> 00:17:48.760
Usually you have a position that's called the flex position,
939
00:17:49.020 --> 00:17:50.530
which means you can kind of go anywhere you want.
940
00:17:50.609 --> 00:17:51.430
So this is similar
941
00:17:51.849 --> 00:17:53.959
to that first round where you could pick any state in the country.
942
00:17:54.170 --> 00:17:54.500
However,
943
00:17:54.650 --> 00:17:55.609
this one only counts once.
944
00:17:55.849 --> 00:17:56.530
Your flex position,
945
00:17:56.609 --> 00:17:57.150
let's go.
946
00:17:58.290 --> 00:17:58.380
Uh,
947
00:17:58.420 --> 00:17:59.339
let's go to Minnesota.
948
00:17:59.380 --> 00:18:00.420
Let's pick another underdog here.
949
00:18:00.520 --> 00:18:01.339
Go to Minnesota.
950
00:18:01.459 --> 00:18:02.660
Give me a long shot here with,
951
00:18:02.699 --> 00:18:02.890
uh,
952
00:18:02.979 --> 00:18:03.780
Michelle Tafoya.
953
00:18:04.060 --> 00:18:04.880
She's at 10%.
954
00:18:05.239 --> 00:18:05.250
Uh,
955
00:18:05.380 --> 00:18:06.339
it's close play with polling.
956
00:18:06.380 --> 00:18:06.939
Let's give it a shot.
957
00:18:07.060 --> 00:18:07.359
OK.
958
00:18:07.579 --> 00:18:08.180
So this is our,
959
00:18:08.250 --> 00:18:08.599
our,
960
00:18:08.660 --> 00:18:09.010
uh,
961
00:18:09.020 --> 00:18:09.689
lineup here.
962
00:18:09.900 --> 00:18:10.300
It gives you,
963
00:18:10.380 --> 00:18:11.479
you picked all your picks,
964
00:18:11.650 --> 00:18:11.859
uh,
965
00:18:12.020 --> 00:18:13.160
starting score of 1000,
966
00:18:13.510 --> 00:18:13.699
uh,
967
00:18:13.839 --> 00:18:14.670
it gives you your MVP.
968
00:18:14.939 --> 00:18:15.170
Susan,
969
00:18:15.640 --> 00:18:16.140
we got Pete Ricketts,
970
00:18:16.250 --> 00:18:16.780
Susan Collins,
971
00:18:16.859 --> 00:18:17.579
James Tallarico,
972
00:18:17.660 --> 00:18:18.410
Roy Cooper,
973
00:18:18.660 --> 00:18:19.660
Darlene Graham Nordone,
974
00:18:19.780 --> 00:18:20.420
Ashley Hinson,
975
00:18:20.489 --> 00:18:21.380
and Dan Sullivan,
976
00:18:21.569 --> 00:18:21.819
and oh,
977
00:18:21.910 --> 00:18:22.699
Michelle Tafoya
978
00:18:22.859 --> 00:18:23.819
in our flex position.
979
00:18:24.170 --> 00:18:24.510
Uh,
980
00:18:24.729 --> 00:18:24.869
now,
981
00:18:24.890 --> 00:18:26.410
you get to lock it in here on the,
982
00:18:26.489 --> 00:18:26.890
on the right.
983
00:18:26.959 --> 00:18:27.569
Let's say though,
984
00:18:27.640 --> 00:18:27.890
you're like,
985
00:18:27.959 --> 00:18:28.329
you know what,
986
00:18:28.380 --> 00:18:29.150
I don't think,
987
00:18:29.410 --> 00:18:31.209
I think Michelle Tafoya is too much of a reach there.
988
00:18:31.530 --> 00:18:32.670
Go to change picks.
989
00:18:33.290 --> 00:18:34.040
If you click change picks,
990
00:18:34.079 --> 00:18:35.189
it'll bring you back to the screen.
991
00:18:35.489 --> 00:18:37.270
And if you go to your team on the right,
992
00:18:37.420 --> 00:18:37.800
uh,
993
00:18:37.890 --> 00:18:39.369
there's a team block there.
994
00:18:39.569 --> 00:18:40.449
You just go down to,
995
00:18:40.489 --> 00:18:40.949
um,
996
00:18:41.260 --> 00:18:41.479
uh,
997
00:18:41.569 --> 00:18:44.089
your team at the bottom where it says Michelle Tafoya.
998
00:18:44.329 --> 00:18:45.189
There's an X
999
00:18:45.650 --> 00:18:46.329
next to that.
1000
00:18:46.660 --> 00:18:47.020
Um,
1001
00:18:47.089 --> 00:18:48.010
and you just click the X,
1002
00:18:48.020 --> 00:18:48.540
or let's,
1003
00:18:48.579 --> 00:18:50.660
maybe let's get rid of Darlene Graham Nordone.
1004
00:18:50.780 --> 00:18:52.380
How about that in the southern region,
1005
00:18:52.459 --> 00:18:52.660
Adam.
1006
00:18:52.739 --> 00:18:54.699
So on the right there where it says your team,
1007
00:18:55.020 --> 00:18:55.089
uh,
1008
00:18:55.219 --> 00:18:55.739
Darlene Graham Norman,
1009
00:18:55.819 --> 00:18:56.420
click X,
1010
00:18:56.430 --> 00:18:57.739
and then it'll clear that one out,
1011
00:18:57.900 --> 00:18:59.500
and then it will bring you back to the southern screen.
1012
00:18:59.579 --> 00:19:01.140
You can click instead Georgia
1013
00:19:01.459 --> 00:19:02.180
and go with,
1014
00:19:02.219 --> 00:19:02.770
uh,
1015
00:19:02.780 --> 00:19:03.560
Mike Collins.
1016
00:19:03.780 --> 00:19:03.939
Uh,
1017
00:19:04.060 --> 00:19:05.060
so you go there and that's,
1018
00:19:05.219 --> 00:19:06.939
that it brings you to this lock it in stream.
1019
00:19:07.010 --> 00:19:08.199
When you're done locking it in.
1020
00:19:08.510 --> 00:19:08.630
Uh,
1021
00:19:08.670 --> 00:19:09.910
you have to click the 18 or older,
1022
00:19:10.030 --> 00:19:11.290
one entry per email address,
1023
00:19:11.550 --> 00:19:11.709
uh,
1024
00:19:11.790 --> 00:19:12.060
blah,
1025
00:19:12.069 --> 00:19:12.339
blah,
1026
00:19:12.349 --> 00:19:12.780
blah,
1027
00:19:12.910 --> 00:19:14.969
legal jargon we had to put in there.
1028
00:19:15.229 --> 00:19:16.449
And then you save your team,
1029
00:19:16.510 --> 00:19:16.810
and
1030
00:19:16.910 --> 00:19:17.550
when you save your team,
1031
00:19:17.609 --> 00:19:18.969
it'll email you your team,
1032
00:19:19.229 --> 00:19:20.209
you'll get access,
1033
00:19:20.270 --> 00:19:22.010
you'll understand where you are,
1034
00:19:22.469 --> 00:19:22.790
um,
1035
00:19:22.910 --> 00:19:23.859
what your team is,
1036
00:19:24.069 --> 00:19:25.030
and then you'll have a leaderboard.
1037
00:19:25.140 --> 00:19:26.030
Click on see the leaderboard.
1038
00:19:26.150 --> 00:19:27.670
I don't know if that'll work here with the practice team,
1039
00:19:27.750 --> 00:19:27.969
but,
1040
00:19:28.069 --> 00:19:28.430
uh,
1041
00:19:28.550 --> 00:19:28.670
yeah,
1042
00:19:28.869 --> 00:19:29.020
uh,
1043
00:19:29.150 --> 00:19:29.349
some,
1044
00:19:29.469 --> 00:19:31.189
there's one team in there called the Tizzlers.
1045
00:19:31.270 --> 00:19:32.160
I don't know who the,
1046
00:19:32.670 --> 00:19:33.469
who the Tizzlers are,
1047
00:19:33.579 --> 00:19:34.410
but there they are.
1048
00:19:34.699 --> 00:19:35.030
Uh,
1049
00:19:35.150 --> 00:19:36.420
the Tizzlers are in,
1050
00:19:36.430 --> 00:19:36.550
uh,
1051
00:19:36.630 --> 00:19:37.800
their with their fantasy league.
1052
00:19:38.319 --> 00:19:38.920
Um,
1053
00:19:39.699 --> 00:19:39.750
yeah,
1054
00:19:39.829 --> 00:19:41.280
there is a premium subscriber with that name.
1055
00:19:41.359 --> 00:19:41.630
What is it?
1056
00:19:41.719 --> 00:19:43.229
Is it Tizzle or Tizzler Tizzler?
1057
00:19:43.290 --> 00:19:43.400
Yeah,
1058
00:19:43.560 --> 00:19:44.020
something like that.
1059
00:19:44.229 --> 00:19:44.400
Um,
1060
00:19:44.479 --> 00:19:45.239
so maybe that's his team.
1061
00:19:45.349 --> 00:19:45.750
Uh,
1062
00:19:45.920 --> 00:19:46.880
maybe he's the first one in here.
1063
00:19:46.890 --> 00:19:47.160
I don't know.
1064
00:19:47.199 --> 00:19:48.500
I'm just looking at this for the first time.
1065
00:19:48.719 --> 00:19:48.880
Um,
1066
00:19:48.959 --> 00:19:49.290
but
1067
00:19:49.520 --> 00:19:50.079
that's what it is.
1068
00:19:50.239 --> 00:19:51.160
There'll be a leaderboard there.
1069
00:19:51.239 --> 00:19:52.750
It will update regularly,
1070
00:19:52.800 --> 00:19:52.949
like,
1071
00:19:53.030 --> 00:19:53.160
you know,
1072
00:19:53.280 --> 00:19:54.510
multiple times a day,
1073
00:19:54.540 --> 00:19:54.630
uh,
1074
00:19:54.680 --> 00:19:54.949
as the,
1075
00:19:54.989 --> 00:19:57.180
as the prediction market data changes.
1076
00:19:57.479 --> 00:19:58.920
You'll start right at 1000.
1077
00:19:59.030 --> 00:20:01.949
Every team starts at 1000 and depending on the values of these markets,
1078
00:20:02.119 --> 00:20:02.930
it'll go up and down.
1079
00:20:03.069 --> 00:20:04.910
You don't have to worry about that cause it'll calculate it for you.
1080
00:20:04.959 --> 00:20:05.800
You get to see where your,
1081
00:20:06.000 --> 00:20:06.160
uh,
1082
00:20:06.189 --> 00:20:07.479
position is on the leaderboard.
1083
00:20:07.910 --> 00:20:08.369
Uh,
1084
00:20:08.670 --> 00:20:09.449
it's a lot of fun
1085
00:20:09.910 --> 00:20:10.310
and,
1086
00:20:10.349 --> 00:20:10.589
uh,
1087
00:20:10.670 --> 00:20:12.489
it'll continue to update as you go.
1088
00:20:12.790 --> 00:20:13.069
I mean,
1089
00:20:13.150 --> 00:20:13.349
you know,
1090
00:20:13.469 --> 00:20:14.660
like if you wanna put one in,
1091
00:20:14.709 --> 00:20:14.829
uh,
1092
00:20:14.910 --> 00:20:15.469
right away,
1093
00:20:15.589 --> 00:20:15.819
uh,
1094
00:20:15.910 --> 00:20:16.689
it's great.
1095
00:20:16.949 --> 00:20:18.030
If you wanna put it in,
1096
00:20:18.150 --> 00:20:18.630
wait a little bit,
1097
00:20:18.670 --> 00:20:20.140
you can maybe put one in from your work address,
1098
00:20:20.229 --> 00:20:21.020
one in from your home address,
1099
00:20:21.079 --> 00:20:21.550
whatever you want.
1100
00:20:21.619 --> 00:20:21.709
You know,
1101
00:20:21.829 --> 00:20:22.939
just don't go too crazy with it.
1102
00:20:22.949 --> 00:20:23.109
I mean,
1103
00:20:23.150 --> 00:20:23.869
no they'll,
1104
00:20:23.989 --> 00:20:26.750
it'll pick up bots and stuff trying to get like 50,000 entries in there.
1105
00:20:26.790 --> 00:20:26.979
But,
1106
00:20:27.239 --> 00:20:27.349
you know,
1107
00:20:27.469 --> 00:20:27.479
put,
1108
00:20:27.589 --> 00:20:28.219
you wanna put a couple in,
1109
00:20:28.229 --> 00:20:28.959
a couple of different
1110
00:20:29.349 --> 00:20:30.170
ways to play,
1111
00:20:30.579 --> 00:20:30.839
uh,
1112
00:20:30.949 --> 00:20:31.430
feel free.
1113
00:20:32.040 --> 00:20:32.430
Check it out.
1114
00:20:32.479 --> 00:20:35.109
It's gonna be a lot of fun and it's a way to understand these markets.
1115
00:20:35.280 --> 00:20:36.479
Test your predictions against your friends.
1116
00:20:36.640 --> 00:20:37.790
Send it around to your friends.
1117
00:20:38.079 --> 00:20:39.239
Post it on social media,
1118
00:20:39.359 --> 00:20:40.060
get it out there
1119
00:20:40.439 --> 00:20:42.439
because we wanna get a lot of people in here and it'll be a lot of fun.
1120
00:20:42.560 --> 00:20:43.640
I guess if you're trying to win the money,
1121
00:20:43.689 --> 00:20:43.949
you're like,
1122
00:20:43.959 --> 00:20:44.859
I don't want anyone else in here.
1123
00:20:44.890 --> 00:20:45.400
What am I doing?
1124
00:20:45.520 --> 00:20:46.150
But it's gonna be fun.
1125
00:20:46.199 --> 00:20:47.260
It's gonna be a fun exercise
1126
00:20:47.589 --> 00:20:49.119
and you can go up against
1127
00:20:49.280 --> 00:20:49.750
uh your friend.
1128
00:20:49.829 --> 00:20:50.959
Maybe at some point we'll send away.
1129
00:20:51.099 --> 00:20:53.239
For you to group you versus your friends.
1130
00:20:53.420 --> 00:20:54.760
That would be a fun feature to add,
1131
00:20:54.819 --> 00:20:54.969
like,
1132
00:20:55.010 --> 00:20:55.140
you know,
1133
00:20:55.219 --> 00:20:55.839
you all can
1134
00:20:56.020 --> 00:20:56.949
kind of subscribe together,
1135
00:20:57.020 --> 00:20:59.010
to make a little friend circle for a little side league.
1136
00:20:59.339 --> 00:21:01.589
We'll also be having some of the people from,
1137
00:21:01.839 --> 00:21:01.969
uh,
1138
00:21:02.060 --> 00:21:02.119
you know,
1139
00:21:02.180 --> 00:21:04.170
I'm sure some of the people of the Blaze will jump in,
1140
00:21:04.420 --> 00:21:04.540
uh,
1141
00:21:04.660 --> 00:21:05.979
friends of the show and everything else.
1142
00:21:05.989 --> 00:21:08.109
We'll have a way where you can see how we're
1143
00:21:08.109 --> 00:21:10.260
doing in these things because I'm gonna submit a team.
1144
00:21:11.140 --> 00:21:11.420
I don't know.
1145
00:21:11.500 --> 00:21:11.900
If I win,
1146
00:21:11.979 --> 00:21:12.650
do I get the money?
1147
00:21:12.739 --> 00:21:13.089
Does that work,
1148
00:21:13.140 --> 00:21:13.420
Adam?
1149
00:21:14.229 --> 00:21:15.089
I don't see why not.
1150
00:21:16.130 --> 00:21:16.430
I mean,
1151
00:21:16.650 --> 00:21:16.810
I,
1152
00:21:16.930 --> 00:21:17.869
I should get the cash.
1153
00:21:18.780 --> 00:21:19.130
You know,
1154
00:21:19.300 --> 00:21:19.699
if I win,
1155
00:21:19.780 --> 00:21:20.339
I get the cash,
1156
00:21:20.420 --> 00:21:20.660
right?
1157
00:21:21.510 --> 00:21:23.130
There's a lot of strategy that goes into it.
1158
00:21:23.510 --> 00:21:24.229
If you think of,
1159
00:21:24.319 --> 00:21:24.420
uh,
1160
00:21:24.630 --> 00:21:27.420
I'm gonna pick all people at 95% and I'll win all of them.
1161
00:21:27.589 --> 00:21:28.290
That's good,
1162
00:21:28.829 --> 00:21:29.260
but,
1163
00:21:29.349 --> 00:21:29.630
of course,
1164
00:21:29.709 --> 00:21:31.550
you're only getting that 5 cents of profit.
1165
00:21:31.630 --> 00:21:32.609
So your score
1166
00:21:32.829 --> 00:21:34.089
will be above 1000,
1167
00:21:34.790 --> 00:21:36.109
but it might not be way above 1000.
1168
00:21:36.150 --> 00:21:37.469
And if you lose one of those big ones,
1169
00:21:37.709 --> 00:21:38.229
you're gonna,
1170
00:21:38.430 --> 00:21:38.670
you know,
1171
00:21:38.869 --> 00:21:40.449
drop a lot of points because of that.
1172
00:21:40.709 --> 00:21:41.060
You might say,
1173
00:21:41.069 --> 00:21:42.310
I'm gonna go with all long shots.
1174
00:21:42.430 --> 00:21:42.510
Well,
1175
00:21:42.619 --> 00:21:43.069
that's cool.
1176
00:21:43.109 --> 00:21:44.410
You got a lot of upside there.
1177
00:21:44.510 --> 00:21:45.469
And if you hit a bunch of them,
1178
00:21:45.550 --> 00:21:47.030
you probably will win the competition,
1179
00:21:47.150 --> 00:21:47.390
but
1180
00:21:47.709 --> 00:21:48.630
Everyone that you lose,
1181
00:21:48.750 --> 00:21:51.660
you're just gonna wind up dropping and you'll probably be below 1000.
1182
00:21:52.239 --> 00:21:54.270
It's not a lot of people with 5% chances win.
1183
00:21:55.359 --> 00:21:56.319
If you catch the right one though,
1184
00:21:56.369 --> 00:21:57.270
it could be interesting.
1185
00:21:57.489 --> 00:21:57.609
Uh,
1186
00:21:57.689 --> 00:21:58.119
it's gonna be,
1187
00:21:58.170 --> 00:21:58.369
I think,
1188
00:21:58.410 --> 00:21:59.910
an interesting mix between,
1189
00:22:00.010 --> 00:22:00.599
um,
1190
00:22:00.849 --> 00:22:01.349
people
1191
00:22:01.489 --> 00:22:01.829
taking
1192
00:22:01.969 --> 00:22:02.229
the,
1193
00:22:02.290 --> 00:22:03.119
the heavy favorites,
1194
00:22:03.209 --> 00:22:04.069
maybe a mixture,
1195
00:22:04.209 --> 00:22:05.689
maybe a bunch of underdogs.
1196
00:22:05.770 --> 00:22:06.329
I don't know.
1197
00:22:06.479 --> 00:22:06.810
Uh,
1198
00:22:06.890 --> 00:22:07.060
it's,
1199
00:22:07.109 --> 00:22:11.109
it's gonna be really cool to see how you guys decide to build your teams,
1200
00:22:11.449 --> 00:22:14.930
and it will be a really fun exercise to watch this play out over the next 3 weeks.
1201
00:22:15.050 --> 00:22:15.329
Again,
1202
00:22:15.410 --> 00:22:16.790
I don't know if we have that prize screened up again,
1203
00:22:16.849 --> 00:22:17.099
but
1204
00:22:17.550 --> 00:22:18.530
The prizes are pretty cool.
1205
00:22:18.790 --> 00:22:19.099
Uh,
1206
00:22:19.189 --> 00:22:19.989
we're starting out with,
1207
00:22:20.030 --> 00:22:20.229
I mean,
1208
00:22:20.310 --> 00:22:20.520
maybe,
1209
00:22:20.599 --> 00:22:20.910
I don't know,
1210
00:22:21.030 --> 00:22:22.229
maybe if this thing gets successful,
1211
00:22:22.310 --> 00:22:22.479
we'll,
1212
00:22:22.510 --> 00:22:22.660
uh,
1213
00:22:22.719 --> 00:22:23.660
we'll even grow the prizes,
1214
00:22:23.709 --> 00:22:23.989
who knows?
1215
00:22:24.040 --> 00:22:25.890
But it's 2500 bucks for first place.
1216
00:22:26.119 --> 00:22:26.270
Uh,
1217
00:22:26.310 --> 00:22:27.890
I think it's $1000 for second place,
1218
00:22:28.030 --> 00:22:28.180
uh,
1219
00:22:28.260 --> 00:22:29.520
and third place is $500.
1220
00:22:29.709 --> 00:22:30.180
Top 10,
1221
00:22:30.189 --> 00:22:31.589
gets you 100 bucks to put in your,
1222
00:22:31.630 --> 00:22:31.859
uh,
1223
00:22:31.869 --> 00:22:32.750
prediction market account.
1224
00:22:33.109 --> 00:22:33.219
Uh,
1225
00:22:33.310 --> 00:22:35.550
and then a bunch of cool other perks
1226
00:22:35.550 --> 00:22:38.329
like subscriptions to predictableShow.com and so much more.
1227
00:22:38.630 --> 00:22:38.949
So,
1228
00:22:39.270 --> 00:22:40.060
that's what we have for you.
1229
00:22:40.109 --> 00:22:41.750
It's called Senate Fantasy.com.
1230
00:22:41.819 --> 00:22:44.089
I would love for you to spread the word on this because
1231
00:22:44.530 --> 00:22:45.030
It's a,
1232
00:22:45.079 --> 00:22:45.189
a,
1233
00:22:45.239 --> 00:22:45.959
a really cool thing,
1234
00:22:46.040 --> 00:22:47.339
a fun way to do this,
1235
00:22:47.599 --> 00:22:48.680
and a different way to do this,
1236
00:22:48.760 --> 00:22:50.060
and there's no risk to it.
1237
00:22:50.439 --> 00:22:51.189
You wanna go there,
1238
00:22:51.239 --> 00:22:52.500
you wanna try this out,
1239
00:22:52.800 --> 00:22:53.150
and,
1240
00:22:53.160 --> 00:22:53.660
uh,
1241
00:22:53.680 --> 00:22:55.819
test your luck against the rest of the country.
1242
00:22:56.000 --> 00:22:57.000
It's a great thing to do.
1243
00:22:57.160 --> 00:22:58.500
Senate Fantasy.com.
1244
00:22:59.319 --> 00:23:00.500
Take your Senate picks,
1245
00:23:01.079 --> 00:23:01.739
try them out,
1246
00:23:02.000 --> 00:23:02.579
test them
1247
00:23:02.719 --> 00:23:06.359
against the rest of the country and uh uh other people around the nation.
1248
00:23:06.689 --> 00:23:08.930
To see if you got what it takes to finish in the top 10.
1249
00:23:09.040 --> 00:23:09.290
I don't know.
1250
00:23:09.369 --> 00:23:09.469
I,
1251
00:23:09.569 --> 00:23:09.810
you know,
1252
00:23:09.849 --> 00:23:11.680
I'm gonna be like in last place on this thing.
1253
00:23:11.839 --> 00:23:12.589
That's what's gonna happen.
1254
00:23:13.010 --> 00:23:14.469
I'm gonna be in last place.
1255
00:23:15.050 --> 00:23:16.050
This is what happens to my fantasy team.
1256
00:23:16.089 --> 00:23:16.650
You know what my big,
1257
00:23:16.790 --> 00:23:16.890
my,
1258
00:23:17.089 --> 00:23:17.810
my big pick was?
1259
00:23:17.890 --> 00:23:18.790
AJ Brown.
1260
00:23:19.329 --> 00:23:19.530
Yeah,
1261
00:23:19.689 --> 00:23:19.880
yeah.
1262
00:23:20.079 --> 00:23:20.329
He's been,
1263
00:23:20.410 --> 00:23:22.430
he got hurt on like the 3rd play of the 1st game.
1264
00:23:22.890 --> 00:23:24.140
That was that's been my Senate,
1265
00:23:24.609 --> 00:23:24.800
uh,
1266
00:23:24.810 --> 00:23:25.869
Senate fantasy draft
1267
00:23:26.099 --> 00:23:26.920
season for football,
1268
00:23:26.930 --> 00:23:27.229
at least.
1269
00:23:27.599 --> 00:23:27.890
Senate,
1270
00:23:28.050 --> 00:23:28.290
I hope,
1271
00:23:28.329 --> 00:23:29.069
goes a little bit better.
1272
00:23:29.209 --> 00:23:29.910
So check it out now.
1273
00:23:30.060 --> 00:23:31.130
Senatefantasy.com.
1274
00:23:31.290 --> 00:23:32.650
Senatefantasy.com.
1275
00:23:33.229 --> 00:23:34.770
Join us on this incredible
1276
00:23:35.180 --> 00:23:36.640
fantasy journey
1277
00:23:36.790 --> 00:23:38.339
as we go down the line and,
1278
00:23:38.349 --> 00:23:38.689
uh,
1279
00:23:38.699 --> 00:23:42.130
and try to uh see who has the best picks
1280
00:23:42.390 --> 00:23:43.290
in all
1281
00:23:43.449 --> 00:23:44.369
of America.
1282
00:23:44.750 --> 00:23:45.430
You can check it out now,
1283
00:23:45.530 --> 00:23:46.609
Senate Fantasy.com,
1284
00:23:47.219 --> 00:23:48.410
Senate Fantasy.com.
1285
00:23:48.469 --> 00:23:48.949
Back in a second.
1286
00:24:08.650 --> 00:24:09.959
Welcome to Candidate Countdown.
1287
00:24:10.000 --> 00:24:11.439
We look at one candidate a day that you
1288
00:24:11.439 --> 00:24:13.989
might wanna consider for a prediction market position,
1289
00:24:14.160 --> 00:24:15.199
one that I'm looking at.
1290
00:24:15.319 --> 00:24:15.589
Usually,
1291
00:24:15.599 --> 00:24:16.329
we take it from,
1292
00:24:16.479 --> 00:24:17.459
directly from Stu's picks.
1293
00:24:17.550 --> 00:24:17.839
By the way,
1294
00:24:18.000 --> 00:24:18.709
all my picks,
1295
00:24:18.800 --> 00:24:20.560
it's over 350 of them now
1296
00:24:20.800 --> 00:24:22.040
in every prediction market,
1297
00:24:22.199 --> 00:24:22.390
uh,
1298
00:24:22.400 --> 00:24:22.839
that I hold,
1299
00:24:22.920 --> 00:24:24.819
every position that I hold is available
1300
00:24:25.099 --> 00:24:27.599
at predictableShow.com for premium subscribers.
1301
00:24:27.709 --> 00:24:28.810
So if that's interesting to you.
1302
00:24:28.959 --> 00:24:29.750
If you're in these markets,
1303
00:24:29.839 --> 00:24:32.000
wanna test out where I am and check those out.
1304
00:24:32.189 --> 00:24:34.800
It's all available at predictableshow.com.
1305
00:24:34.880 --> 00:24:36.410
We did have a curse going on for a while.
1306
00:24:36.859 --> 00:24:39.439
It it seemed like every candidate I featured in this,
1307
00:24:39.800 --> 00:24:39.939
uh,
1308
00:24:40.000 --> 00:24:41.160
was immediately cursed.
1309
00:24:41.569 --> 00:24:42.979
That seems to have passed mostly.
1310
00:24:43.030 --> 00:24:46.050
I think most of my positions now have come back to pretty much normal.
1311
00:24:46.420 --> 00:24:47.040
That's good,
1312
00:24:47.459 --> 00:24:47.859
um,
1313
00:24:47.959 --> 00:24:48.180
uh,
1314
00:24:48.380 --> 00:24:49.099
at least for my,
1315
00:24:49.180 --> 00:24:49.959
my wallet.
1316
00:24:50.180 --> 00:24:50.660
Um,
1317
00:24:50.939 --> 00:24:51.260
today's though,
1318
00:24:51.530 --> 00:24:51.699
countdown,
1319
00:24:51.849 --> 00:24:52.339
candidate countdown,
1320
00:24:52.410 --> 00:24:54.369
we're only 22 days away from the,
1321
00:24:54.380 --> 00:24:54.699
uh,
1322
00:24:54.770 --> 00:24:55.719
midterm election,
1323
00:24:55.739 --> 00:24:57.599
and today's candidate is going to be
1324
00:24:57.900 --> 00:24:59.199
Roy Cooper,
1325
00:24:59.859 --> 00:25:00.359
Democrat
1326
00:25:00.780 --> 00:25:01.979
from North Carolina.
1327
00:25:02.089 --> 00:25:02.209
Now,
1328
00:25:02.219 --> 00:25:02.770
I will say,
1329
00:25:02.780 --> 00:25:03.500
I got in on,
1330
00:25:03.900 --> 00:25:04.939
look how nice he looks,
1331
00:25:05.020 --> 00:25:05.180
right?
1332
00:25:05.300 --> 00:25:06.540
He just seems like a nice guy.
1333
00:25:06.729 --> 00:25:07.050
Doesn't he?
1334
00:25:07.380 --> 00:25:07.979
Look at him.
1335
00:25:08.260 --> 00:25:08.959
He's just a nice guy,
1336
00:25:09.130 --> 00:25:11.170
look at that kind smile,
1337
00:25:11.540 --> 00:25:14.520
the nice warm window sill in the background.
1338
00:25:14.939 --> 00:25:16.900
It was a nice day when this picture was taken,
1339
00:25:16.979 --> 00:25:17.380
isn't it?
1340
00:25:17.699 --> 00:25:18.219
Look at him.
1341
00:25:18.599 --> 00:25:19.939
I mean how could you not vote for that guy?
1342
00:25:20.010 --> 00:25:20.089
Now,
1343
00:25:20.140 --> 00:25:21.180
I don't like a lot of his policies,
1344
00:25:21.290 --> 00:25:22.890
so that's probably why I wouldn't personally vote for him,
1345
00:25:22.939 --> 00:25:23.130
but
1346
00:25:23.780 --> 00:25:24.540
That being said,
1347
00:25:24.660 --> 00:25:25.060
he is,
1348
00:25:25.099 --> 00:25:25.339
uh,
1349
00:25:25.459 --> 00:25:26.339
I think a heavy favorite,
1350
00:25:26.380 --> 00:25:28.000
and I've made this case before,
1351
00:25:28.390 --> 00:25:28.660
uh,
1352
00:25:28.780 --> 00:25:29.119
that
1353
00:25:29.219 --> 00:25:32.390
I don't think it's a race where Republicans should be putting money.
1354
00:25:32.780 --> 00:25:33.099
Um,
1355
00:25:33.219 --> 00:25:34.339
and that sucks because,
1356
00:25:34.439 --> 00:25:34.489
uh,
1357
00:25:34.579 --> 00:25:34.699
you know,
1358
00:25:34.810 --> 00:25:35.250
I,
1359
00:25:35.579 --> 00:25:37.380
North Carolina should be a winnable state for Republicans.
1360
00:25:37.459 --> 00:25:40.180
I just think that Cooper is one of those guys who works really well in that state.
1361
00:25:40.290 --> 00:25:41.439
He's well liked in that state,
1362
00:25:41.859 --> 00:25:42.959
and I don't think
1363
00:25:43.520 --> 00:25:45.250
Republicans are gonna be able to win there this time.
1364
00:25:45.739 --> 00:25:46.739
So that's where I am.
1365
00:25:46.810 --> 00:25:47.699
If I was putting the money around,
1366
00:25:47.739 --> 00:25:48.449
that's what I would do.
1367
00:25:48.579 --> 00:25:49.780
They have pulled some money out of there,
1368
00:25:49.819 --> 00:25:50.380
it seems.
1369
00:25:50.729 --> 00:25:53.160
This is what the Calci market looks like right now.
1370
00:25:53.260 --> 00:25:54.939
This is the prediction markets for,
1371
00:25:55.260 --> 00:25:55.640
um,
1372
00:25:55.859 --> 00:25:56.609
Roy Cooper to win.
1373
00:25:56.650 --> 00:25:59.300
He's currently at 95.1%. Now,
1374
00:25:59.500 --> 00:25:59.949
I've been buying,
1375
00:26:00.020 --> 00:26:01.199
if you go back to like April,
1376
00:26:01.589 --> 00:26:01.729
uh,
1377
00:26:01.780 --> 00:26:04.569
this is where I was kind of the areas I started buying Roy Cooper.
1378
00:26:04.810 --> 00:26:05.780
He's in the mid-80s,
1379
00:26:05.819 --> 00:26:07.119
low to mid-eighties here.
1380
00:26:07.300 --> 00:26:08.040
He rises,
1381
00:26:08.099 --> 00:26:08.280
uh,
1382
00:26:08.300 --> 00:26:09.119
through April,
1383
00:26:09.140 --> 00:26:09.390
uh,
1384
00:26:09.540 --> 00:26:11.939
to the high 80s and kind of gets into that 88,
1385
00:26:12.020 --> 00:26:13.880
89 area in July.
1386
00:26:14.260 --> 00:26:17.250
And it's been rising into the low 90s and above through the summer
1387
00:26:17.599 --> 00:26:21.930
and recently peaked at around 96%.
1388
00:26:22.069 --> 00:26:22.270
I mean,
1389
00:26:22.310 --> 00:26:23.949
96% is a little much,
1390
00:26:23.989 --> 00:26:24.260
frank
1391
00:26:24.949 --> 00:26:25.969
frankly for,
1392
00:26:26.430 --> 00:26:26.819
uh,
1393
00:26:26.829 --> 00:26:27.390
for Cooper.
1394
00:26:27.430 --> 00:26:28.709
It's not a lot of value there.
1395
00:26:28.949 --> 00:26:30.520
He might be a 96% favorite,
1396
00:26:30.619 --> 00:26:31.150
but like,
1397
00:26:32.000 --> 00:26:32.119
Uh,
1398
00:26:32.199 --> 00:26:32.359
you know,
1399
00:26:32.430 --> 00:26:32.910
4%.
1400
00:26:32.959 --> 00:26:34.439
You can find other markets with better odds.
1401
00:26:34.510 --> 00:26:34.640
In fact,
1402
00:26:34.709 --> 00:26:36.229
we're going to try to find one right now because
1403
00:26:36.229 --> 00:26:38.119
this isn't just about Roy Cooper winning this race,
1404
00:26:38.170 --> 00:26:39.260
which I do think he will.
1405
00:26:39.800 --> 00:26:41.900
It's about the margin he wins by.
1406
00:26:42.469 --> 00:26:44.160
If you have ever dealt with prediction markets,
1407
00:26:44.199 --> 00:26:44.839
you probably know this,
1408
00:26:44.920 --> 00:26:46.359
but if you're new to prediction markets,
1409
00:26:46.560 --> 00:26:46.959
first of all,
1410
00:26:47.089 --> 00:26:47.750
I'll just remind you,
1411
00:26:47.880 --> 00:26:49.069
predictable 101.com,
1412
00:26:49.239 --> 00:26:49.760
great resource,
1413
00:26:49.900 --> 00:26:52.359
it's completely free for you to learn how to use prediction markets.
1414
00:26:52.670 --> 00:26:53.719
Predictable101.com.
1415
00:26:53.800 --> 00:26:54.050
But
1416
00:26:54.390 --> 00:26:54.479
Uh,
1417
00:26:54.560 --> 00:26:56.859
one of the things they have on these is not just who's gonna win,
1418
00:26:57.119 --> 00:26:58.790
but who's gonna win and by how much,
1419
00:26:58.920 --> 00:27:00.069
a margin market.
1420
00:27:00.119 --> 00:27:01.260
And if you could look at that,
1421
00:27:01.560 --> 00:27:03.280
usually the way Calci has these organized,
1422
00:27:03.359 --> 00:27:04.109
it's a couple of different ways,
1423
00:27:04.189 --> 00:27:05.380
but if you scroll below,
1424
00:27:05.839 --> 00:27:07.479
go back up a little bit to show where you are here,
1425
00:27:07.560 --> 00:27:07.680
Adam,
1426
00:27:07.790 --> 00:27:08.150
cause this is,
1427
00:27:08.209 --> 00:27:09.640
this is what we were just looking at a second ago.
1428
00:27:09.719 --> 00:27:10.459
This is the main
1429
00:27:10.910 --> 00:27:11.119
screen,
1430
00:27:11.239 --> 00:27:11.359
right?
1431
00:27:11.400 --> 00:27:13.000
You go to North Carolina Senate winner,
1432
00:27:13.219 --> 00:27:13.760
you get Cooper,
1433
00:27:13.819 --> 00:27:14.500
you get Watley.
1434
00:27:15.239 --> 00:27:16.430
Scroll down below that,
1435
00:27:16.640 --> 00:27:19.079
and they will give you the submarkets in many cases,
1436
00:27:19.119 --> 00:27:19.979
it's not in every case.
1437
00:27:20.239 --> 00:27:20.589
You kinda get,
1438
00:27:20.640 --> 00:27:20.839
by the way,
1439
00:27:20.920 --> 00:27:21.430
some information here.
1440
00:27:22.280 --> 00:27:22.520
Um,
1441
00:27:22.599 --> 00:27:24.680
you also get kind of a race intel section
1442
00:27:24.680 --> 00:27:26.160
which gives you what the polling might look like,
1443
00:27:26.239 --> 00:27:27.319
what the fundraising looks like,
1444
00:27:27.400 --> 00:27:28.260
some basic stuff.
1445
00:27:28.479 --> 00:27:29.939
And then under that you get a bunch of different,
1446
00:27:30.000 --> 00:27:30.229
uh,
1447
00:27:30.239 --> 00:27:30.510
uh,
1448
00:27:30.520 --> 00:27:30.949
markets.
1449
00:27:31.160 --> 00:27:32.589
Will Cooper outperform the polls?
1450
00:27:32.660 --> 00:27:33.000
Uh,
1451
00:27:33.150 --> 00:27:33.189
what,
1452
00:27:33.319 --> 00:27:33.479
what,
1453
00:27:33.609 --> 00:27:35.310
what vote will he get in certain counties?
1454
00:27:35.640 --> 00:27:37.520
What vote percent will he get total?
1455
00:27:37.800 --> 00:27:39.829
Voter turnout is another one that is down there.
1456
00:27:40.000 --> 00:27:41.430
And then margin of victory,
1457
00:27:41.680 --> 00:27:43.000
which is what we're gonna look at right now.
1458
00:27:43.119 --> 00:27:43.910
Margin of victory,
1459
00:27:44.079 --> 00:27:45.260
if you click on that,
1460
00:27:45.359 --> 00:27:45.670
um,
1461
00:27:45.920 --> 00:27:46.410
the way.
1462
00:27:46.469 --> 00:27:47.709
It's different setup in,
1463
00:27:47.760 --> 00:27:49.140
in different places,
1464
00:27:49.469 --> 00:27:50.949
but if you see above,
1465
00:27:51.000 --> 00:27:51.349
um,
1466
00:27:51.469 --> 00:27:52.790
go up just a little bit here,
1467
00:27:52.869 --> 00:27:53.270
um,
1468
00:27:53.510 --> 00:27:53.989
right there,
1469
00:27:54.239 --> 00:27:56.229
you see the number there with like a scroll.
1470
00:27:56.349 --> 00:27:56.579
Right now,
1471
00:27:56.589 --> 00:27:58.630
it's on Cooper 9+ points.
1472
00:27:58.790 --> 00:28:00.209
So will Cooper win
1473
00:28:00.630 --> 00:28:01.890
by 9 or more?
1474
00:28:02.189 --> 00:28:04.650
He's at a 53% chance to do that.
1475
00:28:04.949 --> 00:28:05.449
Um,
1476
00:28:05.630 --> 00:28:07.930
so that is what the most recent price is.
1477
00:28:08.189 --> 00:28:09.670
If you click on those numbers above though,
1478
00:28:09.829 --> 00:28:11.170
lower it to 7 or 5,
1479
00:28:12.390 --> 00:28:14.800
It will just adjust for you and give you that market.
1480
00:28:14.949 --> 00:28:16.180
So will he win by 7 points?
1481
00:28:16.270 --> 00:28:16.390
Now,
1482
00:28:16.439 --> 00:28:16.630
let's,
1483
00:28:16.750 --> 00:28:16.989
look at,
1484
00:28:17.020 --> 00:28:18.699
will he win by 5 points.
1485
00:28:18.949 --> 00:28:20.270
That's at 83%.
1486
00:28:20.760 --> 00:28:20.949
Uh,
1487
00:28:21.050 --> 00:28:21.579
5 points,
1488
00:28:21.630 --> 00:28:23.030
I think he will win by 5 points.
1489
00:28:23.150 --> 00:28:24.859
I think he probably will win by 7 points.
1490
00:28:25.270 --> 00:28:26.530
Both of those give much better,
1491
00:28:26.770 --> 00:28:27.099
uh,
1492
00:28:27.109 --> 00:28:28.170
profit percentage.
1493
00:28:28.510 --> 00:28:28.619
Now,
1494
00:28:28.630 --> 00:28:28.989
you are,
1495
00:28:29.069 --> 00:28:29.260
it's,
1496
00:28:29.310 --> 00:28:29.469
you know,
1497
00:28:29.540 --> 00:28:29.859
it is,
1498
00:28:29.910 --> 00:28:31.790
I hate to bring gambling references into this
1499
00:28:31.790 --> 00:28:33.900
because that's what everyone says prediction markets are.
1500
00:28:34.349 --> 00:28:34.910
Some of the,
1501
00:28:34.989 --> 00:28:38.270
some of the organizational aspects of it are similar to that.
1502
00:28:38.530 --> 00:28:38.969
In that like,
1503
00:28:39.010 --> 00:28:39.170
OK,
1504
00:28:39.250 --> 00:28:40.050
you're not looking at a margin.
1505
00:28:40.089 --> 00:28:41.810
It's almost like a line in a football game,
1506
00:28:41.890 --> 00:28:42.010
right?
1507
00:28:42.060 --> 00:28:42.400
Like it's,
1508
00:28:42.410 --> 00:28:42.829
you know,
1509
00:28:43.170 --> 00:28:44.030
Philadelphia Eagles,
1510
00:28:44.609 --> 00:28:47.069
they would need plus at this 0.5 points.
1511
00:28:47.329 --> 00:28:47.660
This is,
1512
00:28:47.719 --> 00:28:48.270
uh,
1513
00:28:48.329 --> 00:28:48.910
here will
1514
00:28:49.209 --> 00:28:49.790
Cooper,
1515
00:28:50.030 --> 00:28:50.439
uh,
1516
00:28:50.449 --> 00:28:50.750
win?
1517
00:28:51.000 --> 00:28:51.810
Will he win by 5 points?
1518
00:28:51.880 --> 00:28:52.530
Will he win by 7?
1519
00:28:52.540 --> 00:28:53.609
Will he win by 9?
1520
00:28:54.000 --> 00:28:56.130
The mar the markets there are pretty interesting.
1521
00:28:56.239 --> 00:28:56.560
Um,
1522
00:28:56.770 --> 00:28:57.560
a couple of things going on.
1523
00:28:57.630 --> 00:28:59.520
Let me give you a couple of quick headlines from North Carolina.
1524
00:28:59.599 --> 00:29:00.119
We might bring that,
1525
00:29:00.199 --> 00:29:00.550
uh,
1526
00:29:00.760 --> 00:29:02.760
that North Carolina market up one more time here at the end,
1527
00:29:02.839 --> 00:29:03.079
Adam.
1528
00:29:03.439 --> 00:29:03.520
Uh,
1529
00:29:03.599 --> 00:29:05.599
North Carolina is shifting Democrat.
1530
00:29:05.760 --> 00:29:06.550
Why is that happening?
1531
00:29:06.599 --> 00:29:06.760
I mean,
1532
00:29:06.800 --> 00:29:06.920
they,
1533
00:29:07.000 --> 00:29:09.260
I will say their argument in here doesn't seem all that convincing.
1534
00:29:09.560 --> 00:29:11.479
African-American voters have always existed in North
1535
00:29:11.479 --> 00:29:13.000
Carolina and have always voted Democrat,
1536
00:29:13.280 --> 00:29:13.390
uh,
1537
00:29:13.400 --> 00:29:13.979
or at least for,
1538
00:29:14.130 --> 00:29:14.520
not always,
1539
00:29:14.640 --> 00:29:15.839
but for a very long time.
1540
00:29:16.560 --> 00:29:16.969
Um,
1541
00:29:17.170 --> 00:29:19.199
this is one quote that I kind of found funny.
1542
00:29:19.569 --> 00:29:20.329
This is from,
1543
00:29:20.369 --> 00:29:21.170
uh,
1544
00:29:21.290 --> 00:29:21.609
who is it,
1545
00:29:21.930 --> 00:29:21.939
uh,
1546
00:29:21.969 --> 00:29:22.800
Chris Cooper.
1547
00:29:23.089 --> 00:29:23.510
He says,
1548
00:29:23.609 --> 00:29:24.050
uh,
1549
00:29:24.170 --> 00:29:25.000
what's the,
1550
00:29:25.290 --> 00:29:25.969
what is the,
1551
00:29:26.030 --> 00:29:26.290
uh,
1552
00:29:26.369 --> 00:29:26.609
why is,
1553
00:29:26.729 --> 00:29:27.170
why is,
1554
00:29:27.239 --> 00:29:27.449
uh,
1555
00:29:27.729 --> 00:29:28.410
Roy Cooper,
1556
00:29:28.449 --> 00:29:29.229
the governor
1557
00:29:29.449 --> 00:29:30.609
and looking to be senator,
1558
00:29:30.849 --> 00:29:31.569
so difficult to beat?
1559
00:29:31.609 --> 00:29:31.849
He says,
1560
00:29:31.930 --> 00:29:32.329
quote,
1561
00:29:32.449 --> 00:29:34.310
his secret sauce in some ways
1562
00:29:34.489 --> 00:29:35.530
is mayonnaise.
1563
00:29:41.339 --> 00:29:41.910
I don't know.
1564
00:29:42.109 --> 00:29:42.630
It's not,
1565
00:29:42.790 --> 00:29:44.489
I don't know if I want that said about me.
1566
00:29:44.869 --> 00:29:46.339
I do like some mayo though.
1567
00:29:46.589 --> 00:29:47.229
I gotta say.
1568
00:29:47.550 --> 00:29:47.560
He,
1569
00:29:47.670 --> 00:29:49.630
his secret sauce in some ways is mayonnaise,
1570
00:29:49.709 --> 00:29:50.020
right?
1571
00:29:50.260 --> 00:29:51.739
He's been able to avoid scandal.
1572
00:29:51.910 --> 00:29:53.329
He's rhetorically disciplined.
1573
00:29:53.469 --> 00:29:55.699
You could spend all month looking for rhetorical gaffes from
1574
00:29:55.699 --> 00:29:57.770
Roy Cooper and you're just not going to find any.
1575
00:29:57.989 --> 00:29:59.339
So he's a careful politician.
1576
00:29:59.469 --> 00:30:01.339
He doesn't make rhetorical mistakes.
1577
00:30:01.589 --> 00:30:02.989
He's disciplined on the stump,
1578
00:30:03.189 --> 00:30:05.349
and that all has amounted to a multi-decade
1579
00:30:05.349 --> 00:30:07.810
career in North Carolina politics as a Democrat.
1580
00:30:08.150 --> 00:30:08.709
That,
1581
00:30:08.989 --> 00:30:09.670
what I just read to you,
1582
00:30:09.750 --> 00:30:10.469
the definition.
1583
00:30:11.630 --> 00:30:12.560
Of mayonnaise.
1584
00:30:14.550 --> 00:30:14.900
Uh,
1585
00:30:15.069 --> 00:30:17.949
Trump Cooper attack that probably his most vulnerable thing in this race,
1586
00:30:18.040 --> 00:30:18.500
by the way,
1587
00:30:18.579 --> 00:30:18.709
uh,
1588
00:30:18.869 --> 00:30:19.810
Trump Cooper attack,
1589
00:30:20.109 --> 00:30:20.810
uh,
1590
00:30:21.109 --> 00:30:22.229
Tampa Free Press,
1591
00:30:22.310 --> 00:30:22.660
uh,
1592
00:30:22.949 --> 00:30:23.569
covering this,
1593
00:30:23.640 --> 00:30:24.030
uh,
1594
00:30:24.189 --> 00:30:25.910
he's targeting him on his crime record,
1595
00:30:25.949 --> 00:30:26.969
which is not good.
1596
00:30:27.510 --> 00:30:27.709
Uh,
1597
00:30:27.790 --> 00:30:28.420
he released,
1598
00:30:28.469 --> 00:30:28.650
uh,
1599
00:30:28.750 --> 00:30:29.430
where did I put my,
1600
00:30:29.640 --> 00:30:30.420
I put my phone.
1601
00:30:30.619 --> 00:30:31.030
I had my phone.
1602
00:30:31.079 --> 00:30:32.339
I had some notes on my phone I wanted to hit.
1603
00:30:32.430 --> 00:30:33.109
Where did I put it?
1604
00:30:33.380 --> 00:30:33.430
Oh,
1605
00:30:33.479 --> 00:30:34.010
here it is.
1606
00:30:34.390 --> 00:30:34.469
Sorry,
1607
00:30:34.510 --> 00:30:35.469
it's underneath my desk.
1608
00:30:35.790 --> 00:30:35.920
That's,
1609
00:30:36.020 --> 00:30:37.150
that's how you do a professional broadcast,
1610
00:30:37.229 --> 00:30:37.630
boys and girls.
1611
00:30:37.670 --> 00:30:38.750
If you're going to broadcasting school,
1612
00:30:38.849 --> 00:30:39.689
if you're looking for that.
1613
00:30:40.109 --> 00:30:40.270
Uh,
1614
00:30:40.349 --> 00:30:40.459
just,
1615
00:30:40.510 --> 00:30:40.670
you know,
1616
00:30:40.790 --> 00:30:42.339
just feel free to use that as an example.
1617
00:30:42.630 --> 00:30:43.050
Um,
1618
00:30:43.310 --> 00:30:43.689
so,
1619
00:30:43.890 --> 00:30:45.069
uh,
1620
00:30:46.319 --> 00:30:47.670
He released a bunch of criminals,
1621
00:30:48.130 --> 00:30:48.949
particularly around COVID.
1622
00:30:49.069 --> 00:30:50.770
There was that weird era where Democrats were like,
1623
00:30:51.150 --> 00:30:51.430
hey,
1624
00:30:51.589 --> 00:30:52.510
how can we help COVID?
1625
00:30:52.589 --> 00:30:54.209
What if we released all the prisoners?
1626
00:30:55.849 --> 00:30:57.359
Gavin Newsom was big into that one as well.
1627
00:30:57.439 --> 00:30:59.199
I don't understand the philosophy all that much.
1628
00:30:59.239 --> 00:31:02.199
I guess the idea was they would be passing it to each other in prison,
1629
00:31:02.359 --> 00:31:02.760
but instead,
1630
00:31:02.800 --> 00:31:04.959
we released them so they can murder us outside of prison.
1631
00:31:05.040 --> 00:31:06.619
I don't know how that works exactly.
1632
00:31:06.959 --> 00:31:07.489
Um,
1633
00:31:07.800 --> 00:31:07.910
but,
1634
00:31:07.920 --> 00:31:08.079
uh,
1635
00:31:08.119 --> 00:31:08.750
just going through his,
1636
00:31:08.800 --> 00:31:09.219
uh,
1637
00:31:09.319 --> 00:31:09.640
election results,
1638
00:31:09.680 --> 00:31:10.000
here we go.
1639
00:31:10.099 --> 00:31:10.579
Um,
1640
00:31:11.280 --> 00:31:12.180
he,
1641
00:31:12.680 --> 00:31:12.949
let's see,
1642
00:31:13.000 --> 00:31:14.880
2016 barely won.
1643
00:31:14.959 --> 00:31:15.599
2020,
1644
00:31:15.680 --> 00:31:16.599
he won as well.
1645
00:31:16.880 --> 00:31:19.319
Smaller margins than the 5 and 7 we were just talking about.
1646
00:31:19.650 --> 00:31:20.079
Um,
1647
00:31:20.160 --> 00:31:20.479
but he,
1648
00:31:20.560 --> 00:31:21.709
he typically would go,
1649
00:31:21.760 --> 00:31:22.319
uh,
1650
00:31:22.640 --> 00:31:22.959
you know,
1651
00:31:23.079 --> 00:31:23.270
uh,
1652
00:31:23.400 --> 00:31:25.060
he wins by a decent amount.
1653
00:31:25.439 --> 00:31:25.630
Um,
1654
00:31:25.719 --> 00:31:26.739
he's a little bit better
1655
00:31:26.869 --> 00:31:28.369
than the Democratic presidential
1656
00:31:28.479 --> 00:31:30.180
ticket in both of the elections,
1657
00:31:30.189 --> 00:31:30.199
uh,
1658
00:31:30.239 --> 00:31:31.520
that he was involved in.
1659
00:31:31.930 --> 00:31:32.640
Um,
1660
00:31:32.890 --> 00:31:33.329
uh,
1661
00:31:33.439 --> 00:31:34.709
polling is interesting.
1662
00:31:35.209 --> 00:31:35.910
He's leading,
1663
00:31:36.209 --> 00:31:36.520
uh,
1664
00:31:36.709 --> 00:31:37.770
by high single digits.
1665
00:31:37.849 --> 00:31:39.599
Let me just give you a rundown of some of these polls.
1666
00:31:39.849 --> 00:31:41.569
Trafalgar had Cooper up by 8.
1667
00:31:41.849 --> 00:31:43.520
East Carolina had him up by 7.
1668
00:31:43.790 --> 00:31:46.079
Big data poll had him up by 12.
1669
00:31:46.369 --> 00:31:50.719
Q Qantas has been more of a Republican leader this cycle has him up by 5.
1670
00:31:51.290 --> 00:31:52.089
Fabrizio,
1671
00:31:52.170 --> 00:31:53.530
11 for Cooper,
1672
00:31:53.810 --> 00:31:56.410
and Opinion Diagnostics has Cooper up by 8.
1673
00:31:57.339 --> 00:31:59.430
Those are the most recent polls according to the,
1674
00:31:59.510 --> 00:31:59.670
uh,
1675
00:31:59.790 --> 00:32:00.689
New York Times.
1676
00:32:01.109 --> 00:32:01.130
Uh,
1677
00:32:01.569 --> 00:32:01.819
Anything else,
1678
00:32:01.869 --> 00:32:03.099
he's got tons and tons of money,
1679
00:32:03.390 --> 00:32:04.829
probably 6 or 7 times the money,
1680
00:32:04.869 --> 00:32:05.739
which is interesting because,
1681
00:32:05.790 --> 00:32:05.869
uh,
1682
00:32:05.949 --> 00:32:08.130
Watley is a big RNC guy.
1683
00:32:08.199 --> 00:32:09.430
He has access to money,
1684
00:32:09.510 --> 00:32:11.930
but it's just tough in this particular climate.
1685
00:32:12.349 --> 00:32:14.069
So that's kind of what we're looking at for that race.
1686
00:32:14.150 --> 00:32:14.630
Give me back that,
1687
00:32:14.699 --> 00:32:14.859
uh,
1688
00:32:14.949 --> 00:32:15.150
that,
1689
00:32:15.310 --> 00:32:15.500
that,
1690
00:32:15.540 --> 00:32:16.050
uh,
1691
00:32:16.619 --> 00:32:16.979
situation one more time.
1692
00:32:17.050 --> 00:32:18.459
If you look at it and you think Cooper is gonna win,
1693
00:32:18.699 --> 00:32:20.209
you can go with him to win and you can win,
1694
00:32:20.689 --> 00:32:20.869
you know,
1695
00:32:20.949 --> 00:32:22.150
4 or 5% on your money.
1696
00:32:22.410 --> 00:32:25.439
And there's nothing wrong with 4 or 5% on your money in 3 weeks.
1697
00:32:25.689 --> 00:32:27.209
That's a really good return,
1698
00:32:27.329 --> 00:32:27.969
boys and girls.
1699
00:32:28.050 --> 00:32:28.209
I mean,
1700
00:32:28.250 --> 00:32:30.069
I'm not smart enough off the top of my head,
1701
00:32:30.420 --> 00:32:30.560
uh,
1702
00:32:30.609 --> 00:32:31.209
to do that,
1703
00:32:31.290 --> 00:32:31.479
uh,
1704
00:32:31.489 --> 00:32:32.010
APR
1705
00:32:32.410 --> 00:32:32.619
Rachel,
1706
00:32:32.689 --> 00:32:33.810
but if you think of it's 4 weeks,
1707
00:32:33.849 --> 00:32:34.750
it's about a month,
1708
00:32:35.449 --> 00:32:35.770
you know,
1709
00:32:35.849 --> 00:32:36.709
you figure about by,
1710
00:32:36.890 --> 00:32:37.130
by,
1711
00:32:37.300 --> 00:32:37.569
uh,
1712
00:32:37.689 --> 00:32:38.329
13,
1713
00:32:38.410 --> 00:32:39.369
so you're 5 times 13,
1714
00:32:39.449 --> 00:32:40.810
you're at 65%,
1715
00:32:40.930 --> 00:32:41.079
uh,
1716
00:32:41.089 --> 00:32:41.589
APR.
1717
00:32:41.969 --> 00:32:43.300
You're not getting that of your bank account.
1718
00:32:43.560 --> 00:32:43.689
In fact,
1719
00:32:43.729 --> 00:32:46.170
you're probably not getting 4% for the year on your bank account.
1720
00:32:46.209 --> 00:32:47.189
You can get 4%
1721
00:32:47.410 --> 00:32:47.670
in
1722
00:32:47.780 --> 00:32:50.209
just 3 weeks if you believe Cooper is going to win this race.
1723
00:32:51.599 --> 00:32:52.949
In addition to that though,
1724
00:32:53.449 --> 00:32:54.449
you can get better at,
1725
00:32:54.530 --> 00:32:54.750
like,
1726
00:32:54.810 --> 00:32:55.689
the fact is,
1727
00:32:55.890 --> 00:32:56.010
you know,
1728
00:32:56.250 --> 00:32:58.449
give me Cooper plus 3 for a second on this,
1729
00:32:58.489 --> 00:32:58.790
uh,
1730
00:32:58.810 --> 00:32:59.130
real quick,
1731
00:32:59.209 --> 00:32:59.449
Adam.
1732
00:32:59.569 --> 00:33:00.969
3 is at 94%,
1733
00:33:01.089 --> 00:33:01.910
not much value there.
1734
00:33:02.050 --> 00:33:04.170
5 is I think where the value starts to kick in.
1735
00:33:04.449 --> 00:33:05.489
At 5 points,
1736
00:33:05.569 --> 00:33:06.329
him winning by 5%.
1737
00:33:06.449 --> 00:33:06.569
Again,
1738
00:33:06.609 --> 00:33:07.040
you're talking about,
1739
00:33:07.099 --> 00:33:07.209
you know,
1740
00:33:07.329 --> 00:33:07.729
51,
1741
00:33:07.770 --> 00:33:08.400
46,
1742
00:33:08.609 --> 00:33:09.150
something like that.
1743
00:33:09.280 --> 00:33:09.959
Close race,
1744
00:33:10.089 --> 00:33:12.069
closer than the polls typically show.
1745
00:33:12.530 --> 00:33:14.500
You can get 17%
1746
00:33:14.650 --> 00:33:16.250
on your 83 cents investment.
1747
00:33:16.930 --> 00:33:17.520
That's,
1748
00:33:17.599 --> 00:33:17.729
you know,
1749
00:33:17.810 --> 00:33:19.790
you're getting up around 20%,
1750
00:33:20.010 --> 00:33:20.199
right?
1751
00:33:20.319 --> 00:33:20.489
Uh,
1752
00:33:20.589 --> 00:33:20.770
you're,
1753
00:33:20.849 --> 00:33:21.060
you're,
1754
00:33:21.199 --> 00:33:22.310
you're right around 20%
1755
00:33:22.849 --> 00:33:23.500
on your,
1756
00:33:23.510 --> 00:33:23.680
uh,
1757
00:33:23.689 --> 00:33:24.510
profit margin.
1758
00:33:24.569 --> 00:33:24.760
And then,
1759
00:33:24.770 --> 00:33:24.969
of course,
1760
00:33:25.010 --> 00:33:26.369
you're doing that in 3 weeks,
1761
00:33:26.479 --> 00:33:29.390
which means your APR is ridiculous with that rate.
1762
00:33:29.729 --> 00:33:29.810
Uh,
1763
00:33:29.880 --> 00:33:30.569
if you go up to 7%,
1764
00:33:30.609 --> 00:33:31.449
you get a little bit risky.
1765
00:33:31.530 --> 00:33:32.500
You can get 7,
1766
00:33:32.770 --> 00:33:34.810
Cooper by 7 at 73%.
1767
00:33:34.890 --> 00:33:35.130
So again,
1768
00:33:35.170 --> 00:33:36.449
that's a 27 cents
1769
00:33:36.650 --> 00:33:38.699
profit on every 73 cents you invest.
1770
00:33:38.770 --> 00:33:39.959
And if you want to get a little frisky,
1771
00:33:40.170 --> 00:33:41.119
you go up to 9%,
1772
00:33:41.530 --> 00:33:42.319
which a lot of the polls,
1773
00:33:42.369 --> 00:33:42.609
by the way,
1774
00:33:42.650 --> 00:33:43.410
as I just pointed out,
1775
00:33:43.530 --> 00:33:44.930
has him winning by 9%,
1776
00:33:45.250 --> 00:33:45.650
um,
1777
00:33:45.770 --> 00:33:46.290
or more.
1778
00:33:46.859 --> 00:33:48.569
You can get that basically doubling your money
1779
00:33:48.869 --> 00:33:49.459
in 3 weeks,
1780
00:33:49.510 --> 00:33:50.430
and if you go up to 11,
1781
00:33:50.469 --> 00:33:51.890
if you wanna get really frisky.
1782
00:33:52.839 --> 00:33:54.560
34% chance for that to happen.
1783
00:33:54.680 --> 00:33:54.750
Now,
1784
00:33:54.790 --> 00:33:56.359
it's a big margin in North Carolina.
1785
00:33:57.099 --> 00:33:57.260
Uh,
1786
00:33:57.310 --> 00:33:59.819
but the polls consistently show him generally in
1787
00:33:59.819 --> 00:34:02.479
striking distance with some people who are undecided.
1788
00:34:02.560 --> 00:34:03.540
It's not crazy.
1789
00:34:04.060 --> 00:34:04.719
And then you're getting,
1790
00:34:04.819 --> 00:34:05.140
uh,
1791
00:34:05.219 --> 00:34:05.540
you know,
1792
00:34:05.739 --> 00:34:09.699
66 cent profit on your 34 cents investment.
1793
00:34:09.780 --> 00:34:11.478
So that's where we are right now in that market.
1794
00:34:11.699 --> 00:34:14.300
We're gonna take a quick break and come back with more in just a moment.
1795
00:34:29.208 --> 00:34:30.208
Hedge your life.
1796
00:34:30.290 --> 00:34:31.688
It's something that I do all the time.
1797
00:34:31.770 --> 00:34:34.149
My friends make fun of me for it because I
1798
00:34:34.489 --> 00:34:38.370
really do use prediction markets to hedge things in my life.
1799
00:34:38.780 --> 00:34:41.208
Like if I'm gonna be disappointed personally in my life,
1800
00:34:41.290 --> 00:34:42.590
I want to get paid
1801
00:34:42.770 --> 00:34:43.629
for my pain.
1802
00:34:44.050 --> 00:34:44.679
That is some,
1803
00:34:44.688 --> 00:34:45.228
how I look,
1804
00:34:45.290 --> 00:34:47.360
it's a big reason I use prediction markets,
1805
00:34:47.370 --> 00:34:47.810
frankly.
1806
00:34:48.159 --> 00:34:48.418
Um,
1807
00:34:48.560 --> 00:34:49.520
you may have seen this over the weekend.
1808
00:34:49.600 --> 00:34:52.699
Eagles and Commanders make poor decisions to cost them wins during the
1809
00:34:52.879 --> 00:34:54.010
tough week for the NFC East.
1810
00:34:54.280 --> 00:34:56.438
NFC Week East is a brutal,
1811
00:34:56.520 --> 00:34:57.570
brutal place to be.
1812
00:34:57.750 --> 00:34:58.149
It's like,
1813
00:34:58.199 --> 00:34:58.639
uh,
1814
00:34:58.709 --> 00:34:59.179
you know,
1815
00:34:59.639 --> 00:35:00.379
uh,
1816
00:35:01.199 --> 00:35:01.399
I mean,
1817
00:35:01.479 --> 00:35:02.280
I was gonna give,
1818
00:35:02.949 --> 00:35:04.000
I'm gonna give dark war references,
1819
00:35:04.070 --> 00:35:04.699
but I won't do that.
1820
00:35:04.919 --> 00:35:05.110
Um,
1821
00:35:05.459 --> 00:35:07.959
bottom line is it's a catastrophe of a division.
1822
00:35:08.199 --> 00:35:11.939
The Eagles have lost two games in a row that they were at 97% chance to win.
1823
00:35:12.479 --> 00:35:15.189
I don't know if that's ever happened in the history of the NFL.
1824
00:35:15.290 --> 00:35:15.959
Maybe it has.
1825
00:35:16.439 --> 00:35:16.610
Uh,
1826
00:35:16.689 --> 00:35:18.389
but both of them were crushing for me.
1827
00:35:18.879 --> 00:35:19.159
Um,
1828
00:35:19.360 --> 00:35:19.439
now,
1829
00:35:19.479 --> 00:35:20.159
I've told you before,
1830
00:35:20.320 --> 00:35:21.899
one way that I hedge my life here,
1831
00:35:22.199 --> 00:35:23.979
because this is actually real for to me.
1832
00:35:24.159 --> 00:35:24.860
Like I
1833
00:35:25.199 --> 00:35:25.399
will,
1834
00:35:25.520 --> 00:35:27.149
my mood is up and down,
1835
00:35:27.239 --> 00:35:30.120
my enjoyment of life is up and down based on whether the Eagles win.
1836
00:35:30.159 --> 00:35:31.270
You might think that's stupid.
1837
00:35:31.439 --> 00:35:32.639
You might have something totally different.
1838
00:35:32.719 --> 00:35:34.080
You might have an American Idol candidate.
1839
00:35:34.149 --> 00:35:34.389
You're like,
1840
00:35:34.439 --> 00:35:35.510
I gotta have that guy win.
1841
00:35:35.679 --> 00:35:36.040
If he doesn't win,
1842
00:35:36.120 --> 00:35:37.070
I'm gonna be so pissed off.
1843
00:35:37.520 --> 00:35:38.280
Whatever your thing is,
1844
00:35:38.340 --> 00:35:39.360
it could be a stock price,
1845
00:35:39.439 --> 00:35:40.800
it could be the Bitcoin,
1846
00:35:40.840 --> 00:35:41.520
it could be,
1847
00:35:41.760 --> 00:35:41.919
uh,
1848
00:35:42.040 --> 00:35:43.239
politics is a great way to do it.
1849
00:35:43.320 --> 00:35:43.639
Um,
1850
00:35:43.800 --> 00:35:43.919
you know,
1851
00:35:44.000 --> 00:35:45.239
if you have a candidate that you're like,
1852
00:35:45.320 --> 00:35:46.399
if your home state is like,
1853
00:35:46.840 --> 00:35:46.909
like,
1854
00:35:47.070 --> 00:35:47.199
you know,
1855
00:35:47.239 --> 00:35:47.919
I could do this here.
1856
00:35:48.679 --> 00:35:48.879
Uh,
1857
00:35:48.959 --> 00:35:49.379
in Texas.
1858
00:35:49.479 --> 00:35:50.120
If Tallarico wins,
1859
00:35:50.159 --> 00:35:51.120
I'm gonna be very disappointed.
1860
00:35:51.320 --> 00:35:53.159
If Hinojosa wins as governor of Texas,
1861
00:35:53.209 --> 00:35:54.320
I'm gonna be really disappointed.
1862
00:35:55.229 --> 00:35:55.379
Uh,
1863
00:35:55.429 --> 00:35:55.729
I do.
1864
00:35:55.870 --> 00:35:56.449
I think I did.
1865
00:35:56.669 --> 00:35:56.750
No,
1866
00:35:56.830 --> 00:35:58.129
I don't have it as a position.
1867
00:35:58.389 --> 00:36:00.429
I would normally in a hedge your life position though,
1868
00:36:00.510 --> 00:36:01.050
I would say,
1869
00:36:01.860 --> 00:36:02.860
put money on Hinojosa.
1870
00:36:03.580 --> 00:36:03.590
Because
1871
00:36:03.790 --> 00:36:03.989
if,
1872
00:36:04.070 --> 00:36:04.229
if,
1873
00:36:04.310 --> 00:36:04.899
if she wins,
1874
00:36:04.909 --> 00:36:06.500
it's gonna probably cost me money in taxes,
1875
00:36:06.550 --> 00:36:07.129
but also,
1876
00:36:07.419 --> 00:36:09.110
it's going to be something I'm not gonna be happy with.
1877
00:36:09.389 --> 00:36:10.629
So I should get paid for that pain.
1878
00:36:10.840 --> 00:36:12.510
The Philadelphia Eagles are the prime example of this.
1879
00:36:12.570 --> 00:36:14.540
It's easiest to do in sports because there's wins,
1880
00:36:14.629 --> 00:36:15.850
there's losses all the time.
1881
00:36:16.510 --> 00:36:16.959
Um,
1882
00:36:17.080 --> 00:36:17.820
and yesterday,
1883
00:36:18.120 --> 00:36:18.739
the Eagles had a
1884
00:36:19.959 --> 00:36:20.540
quote unquote,
1885
00:36:20.600 --> 00:36:23.719
game-winning drive in which they kicked a field goal with 8 seconds left in the game,
1886
00:36:23.760 --> 00:36:24.510
and you think to yourself,
1887
00:36:24.560 --> 00:36:25.199
at that point,
1888
00:36:25.320 --> 00:36:25.959
what are the,
1889
00:36:26.040 --> 00:36:26.239
uh,
1890
00:36:26.790 --> 00:36:27.070
of course,
1891
00:36:27.120 --> 00:36:27.719
they've won the game.
1892
00:36:27.840 --> 00:36:28.060
Now,
1893
00:36:28.439 --> 00:36:28.760
I,
1894
00:36:28.879 --> 00:36:30.399
being a long-suffering Eagles fan,
1895
00:36:30.719 --> 00:36:31.879
recently things have been very good,
1896
00:36:31.959 --> 00:36:32.679
but I went through many,
1897
00:36:32.739 --> 00:36:33.780
many decades of them
1898
00:36:34.199 --> 00:36:36.120
losing in the most inconceivable ways.
1899
00:36:36.889 --> 00:36:37.419
Um,
1900
00:36:37.500 --> 00:36:38.120
I,
1901
00:36:38.179 --> 00:36:38.739
uh,
1902
00:36:38.979 --> 00:36:40.760
took that opportunity to hedge my life.
1903
00:36:41.419 --> 00:36:42.500
This is how I would use this,
1904
00:36:42.580 --> 00:36:43.939
and it's how I did use it yesterday.
1905
00:36:45.239 --> 00:36:46.280
And the way I think about it is,
1906
00:36:46.570 --> 00:36:47.100
what,
1907
00:36:47.719 --> 00:36:49.139
what amount am I willing to lose,
1908
00:36:49.830 --> 00:36:50.030
uh,
1909
00:36:50.120 --> 00:36:51.560
to pay for this victory?
1910
00:36:52.159 --> 00:36:52.169
What
1911
00:36:53.120 --> 00:36:56.479
dollar amount am I willing to lose for the Eagles to win this game?
1912
00:36:56.560 --> 00:36:57.159
They should win,
1913
00:36:57.360 --> 00:36:57.750
right?
1914
00:36:58.120 --> 00:37:00.979
But what amount of money am I willing to just throw away
1915
00:37:01.540 --> 00:37:04.100
to to buy this victory for myself,
1916
00:37:04.520 --> 00:37:04.800
right?
1917
00:37:05.520 --> 00:37:06.070
And
1918
00:37:06.250 --> 00:37:08.229
it depends on how big you look at those things.
1919
00:37:08.330 --> 00:37:08.479
Uh,
1920
00:37:08.570 --> 00:37:10.479
my number last night with 8 seconds left in the game,
1921
00:37:10.570 --> 00:37:11.239
I said to my son,
1922
00:37:11.330 --> 00:37:11.770
first of all,
1923
00:37:11.889 --> 00:37:12.949
this game is not over.
1924
00:37:13.250 --> 00:37:14.850
I was getting texts from Eagles fans who were like,
1925
00:37:14.889 --> 00:37:15.879
I can't believe they came back.
1926
00:37:16.010 --> 00:37:16.860
They didn't come back yet.
1927
00:37:16.919 --> 00:37:18.479
There's still 8 seconds left in this game.
1928
00:37:18.689 --> 00:37:19.330
And of course,
1929
00:37:19.439 --> 00:37:21.169
there's a good chance they will blow it some.
1930
00:37:21.824 --> 00:37:22.455
What happened was,
1931
00:37:22.504 --> 00:37:22.794
of course,
1932
00:37:22.905 --> 00:37:24.054
they kicked the ball off.
1933
00:37:24.274 --> 00:37:26.034
Instead of kicking it into the end zone,
1934
00:37:26.264 --> 00:37:26.415
uh,
1935
00:37:26.504 --> 00:37:26.854
they,
1936
00:37:26.975 --> 00:37:27.064
uh,
1937
00:37:27.354 --> 00:37:27.905
decided to,
1938
00:37:27.935 --> 00:37:28.195
uh,
1939
00:37:28.314 --> 00:37:28.665
you know,
1940
00:37:28.895 --> 00:37:29.314
let them come.
1941
00:37:29.514 --> 00:37:29.745
By the way,
1942
00:37:29.955 --> 00:37:31.784
their mistakes were more previous than that.
1943
00:37:31.834 --> 00:37:33.344
I didn't think that was the worst decision in the world,
1944
00:37:33.395 --> 00:37:35.554
but the bottom line is the guy ran it all the way back to like the,
1945
00:37:35.635 --> 00:37:35.754
the,
1946
00:37:36.074 --> 00:37:37.034
the 40 yard line,
1947
00:37:37.314 --> 00:37:37.655
and then,
1948
00:37:37.745 --> 00:37:37.975
uh,
1949
00:37:37.995 --> 00:37:40.104
Cam Little of the Jacksonville Jaguars hit a 57 yard
1950
00:37:40.104 --> 00:37:42.094
field goal and the Eagles lost with 8 seconds left.
1951
00:37:42.364 --> 00:37:42.375
Uh,
1952
00:37:42.415 --> 00:37:43.314
he kicked it at the buzzer.
1953
00:37:44.340 --> 00:37:44.469
Uh,
1954
00:37:44.540 --> 00:37:45.110
that being said,
1955
00:37:45.229 --> 00:37:45.340
uh,
1956
00:37:45.389 --> 00:37:48.629
prediction markets had a great opportunity for me to hedge my life last night,
1957
00:37:48.709 --> 00:37:49.110
which was,
1958
00:37:49.149 --> 00:37:49.510
I could,
1959
00:37:49.750 --> 00:37:50.889
it was 2 cents.
1960
00:37:51.229 --> 00:37:51.979
That's where it was sat at,
1961
00:37:51.989 --> 00:37:53.770
2 cents on the markets.
1962
00:37:54.070 --> 00:37:54.830
So I was able to buy,
1963
00:37:54.929 --> 00:37:54.989
I,
1964
00:37:55.070 --> 00:37:55.270
I was like,
1965
00:37:55.340 --> 00:37:55.590
you know what,
1966
00:37:55.669 --> 00:37:56.110
20 bucks.
1967
00:37:56.149 --> 00:37:57.139
I'll throw 20 bucks at this.
1968
00:37:57.189 --> 00:37:57.729
I don't care.
1969
00:37:57.739 --> 00:37:58.590
If I lose the 20 bucks,
1970
00:37:58.750 --> 00:37:58.969
great.
1971
00:37:59.370 --> 00:38:00.110
I want the Eagles to win.
1972
00:38:00.229 --> 00:38:00.629
20 bucks,
1973
00:38:00.689 --> 00:38:02.090
bought 1000 shares,
1974
00:38:02.419 --> 00:38:02.729
uh,
1975
00:38:02.739 --> 00:38:04.489
of the Eagles to lose that game.
1976
00:38:04.909 --> 00:38:06.909
And so I got a nice profit out of that.
1977
00:38:07.000 --> 00:38:07.139
Now,
1978
00:38:07.149 --> 00:38:07.780
I will say,
1979
00:38:07.989 --> 00:38:09.500
did I feel better about it at the time?
1980
00:38:09.709 --> 00:38:10.290
No.
1981
00:38:10.860 --> 00:38:11.419
I didn't,
1982
00:38:11.459 --> 00:38:12.919
because I care way more
1983
00:38:13.020 --> 00:38:14.780
about the Eagles than winning $1000.
1984
00:38:15.159 --> 00:38:15.199
I,
1985
00:38:15.260 --> 00:38:16.239
I'll be honest with you,
1986
00:38:16.459 --> 00:38:17.020
I don't,
1987
00:38:17.179 --> 00:38:17.610
I,
1988
00:38:17.780 --> 00:38:20.239
that did not soften my pain all that much at all,
1989
00:38:20.379 --> 00:38:20.800
but
1990
00:38:21.139 --> 00:38:22.500
I did get paid for that pain.
1991
00:38:23.219 --> 00:38:23.610
And,
1992
00:38:23.699 --> 00:38:23.860
you know,
1993
00:38:23.979 --> 00:38:25.100
at a risk of 20 bucks,
1994
00:38:25.179 --> 00:38:25.370
which,
1995
00:38:25.419 --> 00:38:25.580
you know,
1996
00:38:25.780 --> 00:38:25.899
again,
1997
00:38:26.080 --> 00:38:26.169
uh,
1998
00:38:26.260 --> 00:38:27.250
20 bucks is 20 bucks,
1999
00:38:27.300 --> 00:38:28.439
but I was willing to lose it,
2000
00:38:28.820 --> 00:38:29.050
uh,
2001
00:38:29.250 --> 00:38:30.560
a very nice profit,
2002
00:38:30.620 --> 00:38:30.929
uh,
2003
00:38:30.939 --> 00:38:32.100
off of that particular thing.
2004
00:38:32.179 --> 00:38:32.639
And
2005
00:38:32.820 --> 00:38:33.530
at the same time,
2006
00:38:33.580 --> 00:38:35.229
I got also paid on my 15,
2007
00:38:35.260 --> 00:38:37.179
will the Eagles win 15 or more games,
2008
00:38:37.219 --> 00:38:37.739
which by the way,
2009
00:38:37.780 --> 00:38:39.020
I've been telling you for many,
2010
00:38:39.100 --> 00:38:39.500
many weeks,
2011
00:38:39.580 --> 00:38:42.020
the answer to that is absolutely freaking out.
2012
00:38:42.780 --> 00:38:44.020
So that one paid out as well.
2013
00:38:44.060 --> 00:38:45.070
As soon as they are
2014
00:38:45.379 --> 00:38:46.840
mathematically incapable
2015
00:38:47.179 --> 00:38:47.760
of winning,
2016
00:38:48.100 --> 00:38:48.290
uh,
2017
00:38:48.300 --> 00:38:49.300
that 15th game,
2018
00:38:49.540 --> 00:38:49.610
uh,
2019
00:38:49.659 --> 00:38:50.979
you get paid out on those markets as well.
2020
00:38:51.060 --> 00:38:52.000
So I do like those
2021
00:38:52.179 --> 00:38:52.679
as well.
2022
00:38:52.939 --> 00:38:53.060
Uh,
2023
00:38:53.179 --> 00:38:54.300
so that is how I hedge my life,
2024
00:38:54.340 --> 00:38:55.860
in case you wanted an example of that.
2025
00:38:55.979 --> 00:38:57.399
Politics is another great way,
2026
00:38:57.620 --> 00:38:57.800
uh,
2027
00:38:57.820 --> 00:38:58.699
to do it if you're,
2028
00:38:58.729 --> 00:38:59.540
if you're interested.
2029
00:39:00.040 --> 00:39:01.399
If you are a person who's like,
2030
00:39:01.469 --> 00:39:01.840
you know what,
2031
00:39:01.919 --> 00:39:02.209
maybe,
2032
00:39:02.310 --> 00:39:02.429
uh,
2033
00:39:02.439 --> 00:39:03.870
that's what I'll do with my Senate fantasy league.
2034
00:39:03.949 --> 00:39:06.510
I will go on the SenateFantassy.com and I will,
2035
00:39:06.520 --> 00:39:06.889
uh,
2036
00:39:06.909 --> 00:39:08.159
click all Democrats,
2037
00:39:08.409 --> 00:39:09.760
I think there's one you have to pick a Republican,
2038
00:39:09.840 --> 00:39:11.399
but maybe I'll click all Democrats cause I like the,
2039
00:39:11.600 --> 00:39:13.739
I like the Republicans or maybe the reverse is for you.
2040
00:39:13.959 --> 00:39:14.590
Whatever it is,
2041
00:39:14.790 --> 00:39:17.620
that's a nice way cause if all those people wind up winning,
2042
00:39:17.870 --> 00:39:19.419
Maybe you'll win the Senate Fantasy League.
2043
00:39:19.540 --> 00:39:21.689
2500 bucks at stake for first prize.
2044
00:39:21.989 --> 00:39:22.070
Uh,
2045
00:39:22.149 --> 00:39:22.750
lots of prizes.
2046
00:39:22.860 --> 00:39:24.620
Everyone in the top 100 wins something.
2047
00:39:24.870 --> 00:39:26.100
Lots of really cool stuff there.
2048
00:39:26.350 --> 00:39:27.929
We put together this little explainer video.
2049
00:39:27.989 --> 00:39:28.790
If you missed my thing,
2050
00:39:28.870 --> 00:39:29.100
uh,
2051
00:39:29.110 --> 00:39:29.510
earlier.
2052
00:39:29.570 --> 00:39:30.139
This is a quick,
2053
00:39:30.179 --> 00:39:30.850
easy way
2054
00:39:31.229 --> 00:39:31.939
to understand it,
2055
00:39:31.949 --> 00:39:32.870
but get your teams in.
2056
00:39:32.909 --> 00:39:34.010
This is gonna be lots of fun.
2057
00:39:34.260 --> 00:39:35.709
Senate Fantasy.com.
2058
00:40:30.219 --> 00:40:30.419
All right,
2059
00:40:30.540 --> 00:40:32.820
predictable postmortem is here.
2060
00:40:32.899 --> 00:40:35.149
We'd like to look at some positions we talked about on the show.
2061
00:40:35.459 --> 00:40:36.540
How do they resolve?
2062
00:40:36.590 --> 00:40:36.760
Uh,
2063
00:40:36.979 --> 00:40:37.850
sometimes they don't,
2064
00:40:38.030 --> 00:40:38.179
you know,
2065
00:40:38.260 --> 00:40:40.340
resolve from weeks and weeks or months and months.
2066
00:40:40.739 --> 00:40:42.419
And I wanna keep you updated on the positions that
2067
00:40:42.419 --> 00:40:44.780
we talked about and the positions that we took.
2068
00:40:45.219 --> 00:40:47.540
Trump media advisor Katie Zakaria.
2069
00:40:48.084 --> 00:40:49.685
Named White House press secretary.
2070
00:40:49.804 --> 00:40:50.635
Can't say I knew who,
2071
00:40:50.675 --> 00:40:50.955
uh,
2072
00:40:50.965 --> 00:40:51.294
Katie,
2073
00:40:51.324 --> 00:40:51.504
uh,
2074
00:40:51.514 --> 00:40:52.024
very well,
2075
00:40:52.044 --> 00:40:52.215
uh,
2076
00:40:52.364 --> 00:40:52.645
before this.
2077
00:40:52.685 --> 00:40:52.965
We will all,
2078
00:40:53.044 --> 00:40:53.445
I'm sure,
2079
00:40:53.465 --> 00:40:54.135
get to know her
2080
00:40:54.324 --> 00:40:55.245
in the coming months.
2081
00:40:55.564 --> 00:40:55.925
Um,
2082
00:40:56.205 --> 00:40:56.524
one of,
2083
00:40:56.645 --> 00:41:00.004
one of our big plays here was to go no on Scott Jennings.
2084
00:41:00.125 --> 00:41:00.364
Of course,
2085
00:41:00.445 --> 00:41:01.485
he's the CNN commentator,
2086
00:41:01.564 --> 00:41:02.165
not because I,
2087
00:41:02.245 --> 00:41:02.395
I mean,
2088
00:41:02.445 --> 00:41:05.145
I honestly think Jennings would be actually a very good.
2089
00:41:05.520 --> 00:41:05.939
Uh,
2090
00:41:05.959 --> 00:41:06.979
candidate for that job.
2091
00:41:07.239 --> 00:41:07.399
Um,
2092
00:41:07.479 --> 00:41:07.879
however,
2093
00:41:08.280 --> 00:41:09.540
he's doing very well on his own.
2094
00:41:09.629 --> 00:41:11.199
He's got his own kind of private thing going.
2095
00:41:11.280 --> 00:41:12.189
He's making lots of money.
2096
00:41:12.280 --> 00:41:13.600
He's got a high profile,
2097
00:41:13.679 --> 00:41:14.469
he got his own show,
2098
00:41:14.560 --> 00:41:14.590
uh,
2099
00:41:14.719 --> 00:41:14.969
lots of,
2100
00:41:15.040 --> 00:41:17.659
he's got a really good life and the life as a press secretary,
2101
00:41:18.000 --> 00:41:18.760
especially for someone.
2102
00:41:19.840 --> 00:41:20.120
I mean,
2103
00:41:20.199 --> 00:41:21.479
you have to just be dedicated to it.
2104
00:41:21.560 --> 00:41:23.360
Like it has to be the thing you've always wanted to do,
2105
00:41:23.520 --> 00:41:24.000
to do it.
2106
00:41:24.320 --> 00:41:24.439
Uh,
2107
00:41:24.479 --> 00:41:25.219
if you are a person
2108
00:41:25.360 --> 00:41:26.489
who's young and up and coming,
2109
00:41:26.560 --> 00:41:27.550
like I guess Katie is,
2110
00:41:27.629 --> 00:41:27.760
uh,
2111
00:41:27.810 --> 00:41:29.419
that might be more of an attractive position,
2112
00:41:29.479 --> 00:41:31.520
but I think life is misery in that freaking job,
2113
00:41:31.600 --> 00:41:31.719
uh,
2114
00:41:31.800 --> 00:41:32.310
to be honest with you,
2115
00:41:32.379 --> 00:41:34.020
no matter what party or president is there.
2116
00:41:34.389 --> 00:41:34.600
Um,
2117
00:41:34.719 --> 00:41:35.360
so we had that,
2118
00:41:35.399 --> 00:41:36.199
and let me show you that market,
2119
00:41:36.280 --> 00:41:36.560
by the way.
2120
00:41:36.600 --> 00:41:37.310
You can see here,
2121
00:41:37.469 --> 00:41:39.260
there's some an investigation going on.
2122
00:41:39.560 --> 00:41:39.800
Um,
2123
00:41:39.919 --> 00:41:41.449
if you see that green light straight up,
2124
00:41:41.520 --> 00:41:42.229
that's your girl,
2125
00:41:42.239 --> 00:41:42.699
Katie.
2126
00:41:42.989 --> 00:41:43.120
Uh,
2127
00:41:43.360 --> 00:41:43.860
give me the last,
2128
00:41:43.919 --> 00:41:44.419
uh,
2129
00:41:44.439 --> 00:41:45.199
month or so here,
2130
00:41:45.320 --> 00:41:45.520
Adam,
2131
00:41:45.580 --> 00:41:46.000
if you could.
2132
00:41:46.340 --> 00:41:46.810
Um,
2133
00:41:46.929 --> 00:41:47.350
you see,
2134
00:41:47.550 --> 00:41:48.929
really she was at 0%.
2135
00:41:49.010 --> 00:41:49.909
I guess she was on there,
2136
00:41:50.050 --> 00:41:50.389
but
2137
00:41:50.689 --> 00:41:52.689
really no chance and just shot up to 100% as,
2138
00:41:52.969 --> 00:41:53.090
you know,
2139
00:41:53.159 --> 00:41:54.280
there's no real predictive,
2140
00:41:54.330 --> 00:41:55.189
uh,
2141
00:41:55.199 --> 00:41:55.959
uh,
2142
00:41:55.969 --> 00:41:57.010
percentage on this one,
2143
00:41:57.649 --> 00:41:58.050
per se.
2144
00:41:58.129 --> 00:41:59.530
She was a long shot and she won.
2145
00:41:59.649 --> 00:41:59.969
Um,
2146
00:42:00.090 --> 00:42:03.709
so there is some investigation on some people who placed oddly timed,
2147
00:42:03.770 --> 00:42:04.250
um.
2148
00:42:05.080 --> 00:42:05.239
Uh,
2149
00:42:05.300 --> 00:42:06.320
wagers on this,
2150
00:42:06.360 --> 00:42:06.520
uh,
2151
00:42:06.600 --> 00:42:07.110
if you will,
2152
00:42:07.360 --> 00:42:07.709
last minute.
2153
00:42:07.760 --> 00:42:08.399
I don't know if they knew.
2154
00:42:08.560 --> 00:42:09.580
I don't know if it's a wager
2155
00:42:09.719 --> 00:42:10.560
or an investment,
2156
00:42:10.729 --> 00:42:11.840
if you know what the outcome is.
2157
00:42:11.959 --> 00:42:12.199
Uh,
2158
00:42:12.639 --> 00:42:12.719
again,
2159
00:42:12.770 --> 00:42:13.560
they were very small.
2160
00:42:13.600 --> 00:42:15.830
We're talking about like $1000 and they're investigating them,
2161
00:42:15.879 --> 00:42:16.020
but,
2162
00:42:16.040 --> 00:42:16.159
you know,
2163
00:42:16.250 --> 00:42:16.959
I guess you,
2164
00:42:17.280 --> 00:42:18.030
no matter what the title,
2165
00:42:18.080 --> 00:42:19.350
you should not be insider trading.
2166
00:42:19.389 --> 00:42:20.239
If you happen to be doing that,
2167
00:42:20.320 --> 00:42:20.820
don't do it.
2168
00:42:21.409 --> 00:42:23.500
But we said no on Jennings because it was the hype one.
2169
00:42:23.669 --> 00:42:27.070
I liked going against the hype and I also like going against a guy who had a very cushy,
2170
00:42:27.189 --> 00:42:27.870
nice lifestyle,
2171
00:42:28.030 --> 00:42:29.350
not wanting to take a terrible job.
2172
00:42:29.469 --> 00:42:30.350
So we won on that.
2173
00:42:30.429 --> 00:42:30.830
If you held,
2174
00:42:31.070 --> 00:42:31.340
held it,
2175
00:42:31.350 --> 00:42:32.580
it got a little rough,
2176
00:42:32.689 --> 00:42:33.979
a little bumpy there for a while,
2177
00:42:34.040 --> 00:42:35.310
but we were excited to hold on to that.
2178
00:42:35.550 --> 00:42:36.189
And another one,
2179
00:42:36.449 --> 00:42:36.540
again,
2180
00:42:36.590 --> 00:42:36.709
I,
2181
00:42:36.790 --> 00:42:37.270
I want you to be,
2182
00:42:37.389 --> 00:42:37.870
to be honest with you,
2183
00:42:37.929 --> 00:42:39.350
I know nothing about the WNBA.
2184
00:42:39.669 --> 00:42:39.909
I know,
2185
00:42:39.989 --> 00:42:40.939
I know Caitlin Clark.
2186
00:42:41.149 --> 00:42:42.030
I know Sophie Cunningham.
2187
00:42:42.070 --> 00:42:43.050
I know a couple of people,
2188
00:42:43.270 --> 00:42:43.350
uh,
2189
00:42:43.389 --> 00:42:43.969
in the league.
2190
00:42:44.659 --> 00:42:47.169
But I do know politics and I do know
2191
00:42:47.469 --> 00:42:48.120
that league.
2192
00:42:48.310 --> 00:42:49.889
And there was no freaking way.
2193
00:42:49.909 --> 00:42:52.560
They're gonna give the face to the girl,
2194
00:42:52.629 --> 00:42:53.020
um,
2195
00:42:53.030 --> 00:42:55.189
boys can't play in girls sports movement in the
2196
00:42:55.189 --> 00:42:57.030
WNBA whether she wants that title or not.
2197
00:42:57.110 --> 00:42:57.959
I don't think she does.
2198
00:42:58.419 --> 00:42:58.659
Uh,
2199
00:42:58.820 --> 00:42:58.830
she,
2200
00:42:58.979 --> 00:42:59.169
I mean,
2201
00:42:59.540 --> 00:43:00.010
she believes it,
2202
00:43:00.060 --> 00:43:02.659
but I don't think she's trying to be known for that per se.
2203
00:43:02.739 --> 00:43:04.050
She's just been asked about it a bunch of times,
2204
00:43:04.139 --> 00:43:07.199
but Sophie Cunningham was not going to get an award from this freaking league.
2205
00:43:07.419 --> 00:43:08.580
Of all leagues in the world,
2206
00:43:08.649 --> 00:43:09.510
they were not gonna give Sophie,
2207
00:43:09.969 --> 00:43:11.620
I don't care if she averaged 80 points a game,
2208
00:43:11.729 --> 00:43:12.969
they were not going to give her an award.
2209
00:43:13.260 --> 00:43:15.159
So we said no on Sophie Cunningham
2210
00:43:15.340 --> 00:43:16.239
for the 6th
2211
00:43:16.979 --> 00:43:17.689
player of the Year,
2212
00:43:17.699 --> 00:43:19.100
I believe is what they call it in the WNBA.
2213
00:43:19.149 --> 00:43:19.360
And
2214
00:43:19.780 --> 00:43:21.560
Valkyrie's Janelle Stallone.
2215
00:43:22.360 --> 00:43:22.639
Uh,
2216
00:43:22.709 --> 00:43:23.379
wound up winning.
2217
00:43:23.520 --> 00:43:23.830
Uh,
2218
00:43:24.040 --> 00:43:24.080
now,
2219
00:43:24.129 --> 00:43:24.800
I don't even think that,
2220
00:43:24.830 --> 00:43:25.239
honestly,
2221
00:43:25.560 --> 00:43:27.560
Sophie Cunningham really should have been the award
2222
00:43:27.560 --> 00:43:29.020
winner looking at the stats at least.
2223
00:43:29.350 --> 00:43:29.560
Um,
2224
00:43:29.639 --> 00:43:30.020
but
2225
00:43:30.320 --> 00:43:31.919
the fact is they were never going to give her that award.
2226
00:43:32.030 --> 00:43:32.719
Let me give you the,
2227
00:43:32.790 --> 00:43:33.120
uh,
2228
00:43:33.280 --> 00:43:33.449
the,
2229
00:43:33.520 --> 00:43:34.800
the market here and what that looked like.
2230
00:43:34.879 --> 00:43:35.149
You see,
2231
00:43:35.159 --> 00:43:36.560
Sophie Cunningham did strike up,
2232
00:43:36.600 --> 00:43:36.760
right?
2233
00:43:36.800 --> 00:43:37.949
We were telling you to,
2234
00:43:38.010 --> 00:43:38.110
to,
2235
00:43:38.399 --> 00:43:39.479
to buy some no,
2236
00:43:39.830 --> 00:43:40.040
uh,
2237
00:43:40.199 --> 00:43:41.479
right around her high.
2238
00:43:41.550 --> 00:43:42.520
I think that was about 18,
2239
00:43:42.600 --> 00:43:44.100
19% we were saying no.
2240
00:43:44.199 --> 00:43:47.780
I think it looked like it popped up for a second there at about 25% at the peak.
2241
00:43:48.080 --> 00:43:48.229
Uh,
2242
00:43:48.310 --> 00:43:48.679
but really,
2243
00:43:48.760 --> 00:43:50.229
I don't think she ever had a chance to win,
2244
00:43:50.280 --> 00:43:51.050
unfortunately,
2245
00:43:51.239 --> 00:43:51.639
for her.
2246
00:43:52.020 --> 00:43:52.260
Uh,
2247
00:43:52.370 --> 00:43:52.739
and,
2248
00:43:52.790 --> 00:43:53.129
uh,
2249
00:43:53.219 --> 00:43:56.090
even though that was the last market had $7.6 million in it,
2250
00:43:56.139 --> 00:43:57.580
this one has $65,000 in it.
2251
00:43:57.659 --> 00:43:57.919
But
2252
00:43:58.219 --> 00:43:59.959
there's opportunities in both styles.
2253
00:44:00.300 --> 00:44:00.739
Big markets,
2254
00:44:00.939 --> 00:44:01.350
small markets,
2255
00:44:01.419 --> 00:44:02.199
we look for all of them
2256
00:44:02.459 --> 00:44:04.340
and try to help you profit here here unpredictable with Stu.
2257
00:44:04.489 --> 00:44:05.620
Go to predictableShow.com.
2258
00:44:05.820 --> 00:44:06.209
Go there,
2259
00:44:06.580 --> 00:44:07.780
join us on the site.
2260
00:44:07.850 --> 00:44:08.219
Uh,
2261
00:44:08.500 --> 00:44:10.060
premium subscribers get tons of benefits.
2262
00:44:10.179 --> 00:44:12.010
So that's a great program for you if you're an investor.
2263
00:44:12.020 --> 00:44:12.310
And
2264
00:44:12.459 --> 00:44:13.459
Senate Fantasy.com.
2265
00:44:13.570 --> 00:44:14.100
Anyone can do it.
2266
00:44:14.139 --> 00:44:14.620
It's free.
2267
00:44:14.679 --> 00:44:15.520
You can win money.
2268
00:44:15.939 --> 00:44:16.699
Why wouldn't you want that?
2269
00:44:16.780 --> 00:44:18.060
There's zero risk to it.
2270
00:44:18.409 --> 00:44:20.280
Join us at Senatefantasy.com.
2271
00:44:20.659 --> 00:44:21.120
We'll see you later.