OM DENNE EPISODE
Deception detection, credibility assessment, and the real OODA loop. Former CIA case officer Kent Clizbe explains why reading the body fails and what he does instead.
Kent Clizbe served as a staff CIA case officer in the 1990s and as a contractor after 9/11. He is the author of Holistic Contextual Credibility Assessment and Willing Accomplices. With Brian "Ponch" Rivera he explains why he stopped trusting deception detection. He says East German and Cuban sources passed the agency's body-measurement tests, and every one of them was a double agent.
His method is holistic contextual credibility assessment (HCCA). It depends on contextual competence, which is real knowledge of the subject's country, language, profession, and subculture. Clizbe walks through a weapons source who was working in a moped factory, his lunch with Wayne Simmons, and his years vetting hires in the dot-com boom. Ponch connects the method to John Boyd: culture and previous experience sit inside orientation, and orientation shapes what a person observes and how he acts.
Kent Clizbe: https://kentclizbe.com
Why They Lie on Substack: https://kentclizbe.substack.com
Stay connected with No Way Out
X: @NoWayOutcast | @PonchAGLX
Stay connected with No Way Out and AGLX
X: @NoWayOutcast | @PonchAGLX
AGLX: https://www.aglx.com/no-way-out/
VIS NOTER 🔗
UDSKRIFT 🔗
00:00:00.080 --> 00:00:01.040
So that that was the first question.
00:00:01.040 --> 00:00:01.840
What's your job?
00:00:01.840 --> 00:00:07.440
And the guy said, Well, I I'm a quality control engineer in a moped factory.
00:00:07.440 --> 00:00:16.160
He he would he had been his his his recruitment was based on him being an engineer in a WMD industry.
00:00:16.160 --> 00:00:22.239
Turns out that his country had closed that industry a year before he was recruited.
00:00:22.239 --> 00:00:26.399
He had at one time worked in that industry, but they closed it.
00:00:26.399 --> 00:00:37.679
And he had been working in a moped factory the whole time he was providing high-level top secret reports on the WMD industry.
00:00:37.679 --> 00:00:42.399
Next question: Have you ever uh worked for a foreign intelligence service?
00:00:42.399 --> 00:00:46.079
He goes, Yeah, I'm working for the Cubans too.
00:00:46.079 --> 00:00:55.439
And in fact, my dad worked for the Cubans, and my you know, we we go to Cuba together a couple times a year uh to report to them.
00:00:55.439 --> 00:01:02.799
And and there's a couple of of other issues, but those two, it's like it's over right there.
00:01:02.799 --> 00:01:03.679
Yeah.
00:01:03.679 --> 00:01:10.079
And and the the the interviewer asked him, well, why didn't you tell your case officer this?
00:01:10.079 --> 00:01:12.079
He said, She never has.
00:01:18.560 --> 00:01:19.680
What am I getting at?
00:01:19.680 --> 00:01:22.879
The underlying message is very simple, and there is no way out.
00:01:22.879 --> 00:01:25.040
What we can eliminate the feature just by it.
00:01:25.040 --> 00:01:27.519
Well, we don't have to do it.
00:01:27.519 --> 00:01:32.560
We want to get a max interactive and a situation to do it.
00:01:32.560 --> 00:01:34.719
We have a mismatch against both, right?
00:01:34.719 --> 00:01:36.959
There is no way out.
00:01:37.439 --> 00:01:41.280
All right, we're talking about deception detection today with Kent Clisby.
00:01:41.280 --> 00:01:49.680
I recently watched a couple of his uh previous episodes with I believe it's uh Elwood on another uh podcast, and there's a reason I did that.
00:01:49.680 --> 00:01:54.480
I'm not gonna go into exactly why I came across him, but I do want to share something uh at the moment.
00:01:54.480 --> 00:01:58.959
Years ago, I was in an industry that you can say was uh very deceptive.
00:01:58.959 --> 00:02:05.519
It was called the agile industry, and and I know I'm gonna get a lot of hate mail on that, but let me be clear about it.
00:02:05.519 --> 00:02:08.800
There's a lot of pseudoscience in there, and we'll talk about that, I'm sure, today.
00:02:08.800 --> 00:02:21.680
But I saw this uh shared around the internet, and everybody was celebrating it's it's Elizabeth Holmes, it's an image here of her sitting in a chair saying, the minute you have a backup plan, you've admitted you're not going to succeed.
00:02:21.680 --> 00:02:24.879
And I saw this, and I'm like, there's something wrong with this person.
00:02:24.879 --> 00:02:29.120
And this is before we found out uh the awful things that she did.
00:02:29.120 --> 00:02:31.840
Uh, and I believe she's uh spending time in jail now.
00:02:31.840 --> 00:02:39.439
Now, what's fascinating about this, she convinced people like George Schultz, General Mattis, Admiral Ruffhead to be on her board.
00:02:39.439 --> 00:02:45.120
And what's interesting about that is I don't think any of these guys have any backgrounds in biotechnology or anything like that.
00:02:45.120 --> 00:02:54.879
So they're they're they're great experts in their domain of war fighting and things like that, but they get pulled into this world that we end up uh seeing as a fraud.
00:02:54.879 --> 00:03:07.039
And then uh you fast forward a few years, you get into Sam Bankman-Fried, uh, that over the last several years, Bernie Mate, uh, but Bernie Madoff, and then you get into somebody that I just recently became aware of, and that was Wayne Simmons.
00:03:07.039 --> 00:03:22.240
Now, the reason I reached out to Kent, the reason I reached out to Kent is is this is I was vetting a potential guest for New Way Out, and I couldn't find basic information on them, their background, the military background.
00:03:22.240 --> 00:03:24.639
I imagine Kent knows who I'm talking about.
00:03:24.639 --> 00:03:26.560
And and my Spidey senses went up.
00:03:26.560 --> 00:03:31.439
And I believe the person lives here in Virginia Beach, or at least Norfolk or Virginia, or did at one point.
00:03:31.439 --> 00:03:36.159
And I kept searching and I just couldn't find anything that validated their claims.
00:03:36.159 --> 00:03:38.960
And this person has been on massive podcasts.
00:03:38.960 --> 00:03:41.120
So anyway, I came across Kent's work.
00:03:41.120 --> 00:03:42.879
Uh, I asked him to come on the show.
00:03:42.879 --> 00:03:45.120
Uh, he is an Air Force guy, he's a Zoomy.
00:03:45.120 --> 00:03:46.000
Is that right?
00:03:46.000 --> 00:03:49.199
Yeah, that was a long time ago, but yep, I was.
00:03:49.280 --> 00:03:50.879
I did five years in the Air Force.
00:03:51.120 --> 00:03:53.759
And and then you did some time in the uh in the CIA.
00:03:53.759 --> 00:03:54.960
So welcome to the show, Kent.
00:03:54.960 --> 00:03:55.919
How are you doing today, man?
00:03:55.919 --> 00:03:56.800
Thanks, Punch.
00:03:56.800 --> 00:03:57.919
Great, appreciate it.
00:03:57.919 --> 00:03:59.759
Uh fascinating connection here.
00:03:59.759 --> 00:04:03.520
Uh we'll get into uh holistic contextual credibility assessment.
00:04:03.520 --> 00:04:18.639
Uh I think there's great overlap with things that we're learning from ecological dynamics, understanding the context, understanding that context drives a lot of things, understanding that orientation determines what we sense, how we perceive, how we decide, how we act, how we adapt, how we learn.
00:04:18.639 --> 00:04:21.759
And of course, the connection to John Boyd's work as well.
00:04:21.759 --> 00:04:26.879
Uh we may not dive into that so much because we have a great expert with us today to talk about his work.
00:04:26.879 --> 00:04:31.839
And uh, Kent, can you give us some background on how you got into deception detection?
00:04:32.720 --> 00:04:33.120
Sure.
00:04:33.120 --> 00:04:35.199
Uh well, I I'm a practitioner.
00:04:35.199 --> 00:04:36.959
I'm not an I'm not an academic.
00:04:36.959 --> 00:04:58.160
Uh everything I know, I learned either the the the foundation was in training, and then the vast majority is in actually doing jobs where where credibility assessment was a major part of being successful in in that specific job.
00:04:58.160 --> 00:05:19.920
Those I s I started out well, I give you a l a real quick, real quick uh background in my bio is it's it's really important when we talk about context, is I developed uh contextual expertise, beginning with flunking out a out of college and and being uh kind of scumbag on the streets.
00:05:19.920 --> 00:05:29.040
Not you know, not not major, but I was just kind of loser working in a factory job, drinking, smoking dope, just you know, partying.
00:05:29.040 --> 00:05:36.879
I I was I I I went to the number one party school in the United States the the year that I that was a freshman, East Carolina University.
00:05:36.879 --> 00:05:39.279
So I lasted uh really a semester.
00:05:39.279 --> 00:05:41.759
After the first semester, I didn't go to classes.
00:05:41.759 --> 00:05:44.000
Just it was just a great time.
00:05:44.000 --> 00:06:00.240
But I was I was involved in things and on the street and and dealing with people that was a great foundation for later um, you know, I I I understand sort of the darker side of life.
00:06:00.240 --> 00:06:06.399
Uh luckily two years into that that life, uh, I realized I can do better than this.
00:06:06.399 --> 00:06:09.439
I I was uh d just wasting my life.
00:06:09.439 --> 00:06:13.279
So I went down to the to the Air Force recruiter and got in.
00:06:13.279 --> 00:06:15.120
They accepted me.
00:06:15.120 --> 00:06:21.839
Ended up becoming a uh they sent me to to uh Monterey, the um uh Defense Language Institute.
00:06:21.839 --> 00:06:25.120
I w I went to school and became a Vietnamese linguist.
00:06:25.120 --> 00:06:28.879
Same that that required a security clearance.
00:06:28.879 --> 00:06:32.319
I was able to get the security clearance, uh, got into Intel.
00:06:32.319 --> 00:06:42.399
So I did I I I I wore headphones like this for three years straight, sitting in the Philippines listening to Vietnamese communists.
00:06:42.399 --> 00:06:46.000
Listening to their Air Force mostly.
00:06:46.000 --> 00:07:11.199
Uh so that that was an introduction to my my introduction to Intel, to foreign cultures, foreign foreign affairs, uh opened up a huge interest and and a love that I realized, wow, you know, I I I never knew I I had any aptitude for foreign languages, but uh the military is great for for identifying aptitudes.
00:07:11.199 --> 00:07:14.319
They have aptitude tests and everything and in basic training.
00:07:14.319 --> 00:07:18.639
I I went in I I I uh enlisted with no guaranteed job.
00:07:18.639 --> 00:07:20.959
I went to basic not knowing what I was gonna be.
00:07:20.959 --> 00:07:21.519
Wow.
00:07:21.519 --> 00:07:35.199
And in basic, uh like the second week or sometime, they sent they just pull pull me out, pull, you know, handful of guys out of whatever training we were in, and we we go to a lab and they said, You okay, you're gonna take this this test.
00:07:35.199 --> 00:07:36.480
I think it was called D Lab.
00:07:36.480 --> 00:07:39.199
It's an aptitude test for languages.
00:07:39.199 --> 00:07:45.680
So I took this test and aced it, and that's how I ended up uh becoming a linguist.
00:07:45.680 --> 00:07:49.279
So now I realize I've got this aptitude for languages.
00:07:49.279 --> 00:07:58.560
I I loved being immersed in in Monterey, California at the time was a huge, a huge community of Vietnamese refugees.
00:07:58.560 --> 00:08:07.439
So I I got involved with them, loved the culture, loved learning a new culture, ended up in the Philippines for three years.
00:08:07.439 --> 00:08:11.680
I got immersed in that culture, and I realized, wow, this is you know, I'm I'm good at this.
00:08:11.680 --> 00:08:23.839
I'm I I picked up the language there, and I then I had to stop and say, Well, I also found out I'm I'm a really bad bureaucrat, and I'm not a good uh I I did not become militarized.
00:08:23.839 --> 00:08:31.279
I was just a dude doing my job, and the Air Force is probably the the perfect the perfect branch to to be like that.
00:08:31.279 --> 00:08:35.679
Uh so I could do my job, go in, go into the office and and go home.
00:08:35.679 --> 00:08:42.000
So I started planning what am I gonna do when I when I get out, because I'm gonna get out at the end of this five years.
00:08:42.000 --> 00:08:51.200
So I I uh ended up getting going back to school, got a degree in linguistics, and became English as a second language.
00:08:51.200 --> 00:08:55.360
At the time was a in-demand skill.
00:08:55.360 --> 00:09:02.799
So I became tea I became a teacher of English as a second language, with my goal, my goal was to go back to Southeast Asia.
00:09:02.799 --> 00:09:12.559
So there's at the time there's a lot of refugee camps throughout Southeast Asia that used these kind of uh the ESL English as a second language teachers.
00:09:12.559 --> 00:09:21.440
So I ended up going back to the Philippines as uh working as a civilian, uh working uh in Bataan, Bataan Americans call it.
00:09:21.440 --> 00:09:23.919
There's a huge refugee camp there.
00:09:23.919 --> 00:09:39.679
So I was I was a supervisor supervising a team of 15 Filipino teachers teaching Indochinese refugees, Lao, Cambodian, Chinese, uh and Vietnamese, teaching English and culture.
00:09:39.679 --> 00:09:43.200
Uh we had a culture orientation and a work orientation program.
00:09:43.200 --> 00:09:52.720
I I also while I was at school, I I I married my my wife who's from Malaysia, so I got immersed in that culture.
00:09:52.720 --> 00:09:56.399
I s I was traveling to Malaysia every six weeks from the Philippines.
00:09:56.399 --> 00:10:04.320
Got immersed in the the Malaysian Malay, which is Malaysian culture is a mix of Malay, Chinese, and Indian.
00:10:04.320 --> 00:10:11.120
Got immersed in that, learned the language, and then I I got my my wife and I were living apart.
00:10:11.120 --> 00:10:17.360
She was in in Kuala Lumpur and I was in Bataan, and that that that didn't work very well.
00:10:17.360 --> 00:10:30.639
So I got us jobs working in Saudi for the Saudi government, teaching English in a in in a uh the King Saud University in the middle of the desert, uh in the middle of Wahhabi land.
00:10:30.639 --> 00:10:47.039
Uh I was the only westerner in in the province uh that I I I ran across one other guy, a German guy who was passing through doing doing air conditioning repair or something, but I was the only westerner that I knew of in the year I was there.
00:10:47.039 --> 00:10:49.759
After that, they they offered us to extend it.
00:10:49.759 --> 00:10:50.799
I I laughed at them.
00:10:50.799 --> 00:10:55.440
It was a it was an interesting experience, but I did not want to stay there another year.
00:10:55.440 --> 00:11:03.360
So I ended up going to working for a British company in the UK, and then they sent me to Italy doing language consulting.
00:11:03.360 --> 00:11:15.600
Only then, after after my wife got pregnant, and we were traveling the world, uh, you know, having a lot of fun, but the I I had no health, no health insurance, so I had to figure out a way to get health insurance.
00:11:15.600 --> 00:11:29.519
So came back to the States, did grad school, uh, ended up doing three different grad programs linguistics, uh, MBA, and instructional design, and ended up at the end of that, got a job with the CIA.
00:11:29.519 --> 00:11:30.480
Nice.
00:11:30.480 --> 00:11:38.799
With with that with that background that uh it it's it's now once I started working with the CIAA, I realized that you know this is a great background.
00:11:38.799 --> 00:11:42.799
Yes, it is, but but it's extremely unusual.
00:11:42.799 --> 00:11:51.039
Uh the and most people in the agency fit that they hire fit a very uh a template of uh a profile.
00:11:51.039 --> 00:12:06.000
And when when I look at my background and once I ended up doing the job, it's it was excellent preparation and the profile, the standard profile that they hire, that they use to hire is not really a good background.
00:12:06.000 --> 00:12:29.120
It was, it would have been 50 or 60 or 75 years ago, in maybe in the 40s and the 50s, hiring a a kid from a fraternity who uh went to you know, he he went to one of the prep schools and then he went to Stanford or or Princeton and you know had had connect high-level society connections.
00:12:29.120 --> 00:12:34.720
And then they back then their job was doing a lot in that kind of environment.
00:12:34.720 --> 00:12:41.360
And that, you know, go go to France and go to cocktail parties with uh people like you.
00:12:41.360 --> 00:12:47.440
That ain't that that is not what the agency does now or when I was in.
00:12:47.440 --> 00:12:49.120
I I went in in the mid-90s.
00:12:49.360 --> 00:12:49.679
Okay.
00:12:50.879 --> 00:12:56.960
And I realized, man, this is this is I I've got a real real advantage here.
00:12:56.960 --> 00:13:13.360
I've been ripped off, I've I've I've lived on, I've worked on the strength on the streets, I've seen bad stuff happen, I've I've run from the cops, I've been caught by the cops, I've I've done all kinds of things that when you're a case officer, that's what you're doing.
00:13:13.360 --> 00:13:15.840
You're doing illegal stuff.
00:13:15.840 --> 00:13:50.799
But with that background, getting back to credibility assessment, what that background also gave me the uh the experience and context, cultural, social, linguistic, subcultural, to be able to I I I could and can talk to anybody from any background and pretty quickly find some commonality as well as I can understand where they're coming from because I've been involved in so many different contexts.
00:13:51.039 --> 00:13:52.399
So I'm a little curious.
00:13:52.399 --> 00:13:56.399
I I've got a question here about your apt, you know, you brought up D Lab uh and DLI.
00:13:56.399 --> 00:13:58.480
So just you you know, I went to a party school.
00:13:58.480 --> 00:14:03.120
We didn't have the E in front, we just had CUs to Colorado uh and then joined the Navy from there.
00:14:03.120 --> 00:14:08.159
Uh but and one of the things that happened in my career is at 12 years of service, I got selected to be a foreign area officer.
00:14:08.159 --> 00:14:11.840
So everything you're talking about, going to DLI, D Lab, and all that resonates with me.
00:14:11.840 --> 00:14:20.480
My question to you is what was it in your past, or what do you know from your past or or anybody's past that increases that aptitude for learning languages?
00:14:20.480 --> 00:14:20.879
What was it?
00:14:20.879 --> 00:14:21.840
I think it's natural.
00:14:21.840 --> 00:14:22.639
Music?
00:14:22.639 --> 00:14:24.080
What was it?
00:14:24.080 --> 00:14:25.039
What'd you do when you were children?
00:14:25.120 --> 00:14:29.440
I think no, I think it's a skill, it it is a an inherent skill.
00:14:29.440 --> 00:14:31.679
It's you either have it or you don't.
00:14:31.679 --> 00:14:32.480
Yeah.
00:14:32.480 --> 00:14:35.440
Maybe yeah, I don't know.
00:14:35.440 --> 00:14:40.320
I I was I I I was not a good student in high school.
00:14:40.320 --> 00:14:42.159
I flunked out of college.
00:14:42.159 --> 00:14:43.519
I read a lot.
00:14:43.519 --> 00:14:46.240
You know, I I'm I'm a I'm a self-taught.
00:14:46.240 --> 00:14:50.879
I'm self-taught in almost everything that that I've that I've done.
00:14:50.879 --> 00:14:54.240
So on my own, I read a lot.
00:14:54.240 --> 00:15:00.639
I was interested in literature, I was interested in in history.
00:15:00.639 --> 00:15:08.879
But when I was a kid, I I I for five years I lived in Puerto Rico, so I was exposed to Spanish.
00:15:08.879 --> 00:15:18.799
I learned excuse me, I learned a little bit of Spanish then, took Spanish in high school, you know, three, four years, whatever, which is pretty much useless.
00:15:18.799 --> 00:15:25.360
So I I did not div I I I I didn't study to have that aptitude.
00:15:25.360 --> 00:15:25.679
Yeah.
00:15:25.679 --> 00:15:30.080
I I took the D Lab totally cold and you know, it made sense to me.
00:15:30.080 --> 00:15:37.600
All of these they they use like a a nonsense language, and you know, you you see the patterns or figure it out.
00:15:38.799 --> 00:15:44.720
Like my background was in music when I was a kid, and that's why they think or I think I was able to decode some of that stuff in the uh D Lab.
00:15:44.720 --> 00:15:45.600
Interesting.
00:15:45.600 --> 00:15:49.519
Um but I'm just wondering, so there's something that I don't know what it is.
00:15:49.519 --> 00:15:50.879
I don't know if we're gonna identify it here.
00:15:50.879 --> 00:15:54.480
There's something in your past that that allowed you to do that uh nature and nurture.
00:15:54.799 --> 00:15:55.759
I really think it's inherent.
00:15:55.759 --> 00:16:00.960
When you say you're into music, you I I think that's inherent in inherent too.
00:16:00.960 --> 00:16:02.320
It's a talent you have.
00:16:02.320 --> 00:16:05.120
I have zero ability with music.
00:16:05.120 --> 00:16:10.960
You know, and I've I've tried, but I have I can't hear, I I I don't get it.
00:16:10.960 --> 00:16:11.279
Yeah.
00:16:11.279 --> 00:16:17.840
It's just, you know, inherent in my in my thinking, in my brain is I do not get music.
00:16:17.840 --> 00:16:18.080
Yeah.
00:16:18.080 --> 00:16:21.039
I mean, I love music, but I have no idea how to make it.
00:16:21.039 --> 00:16:25.759
Or when you start talking about musical uh concepts, I don't get it.
00:16:26.159 --> 00:16:28.159
So maybe it's just the exposure to people too.
00:16:28.159 --> 00:16:31.679
Uh that that's something else in your your your early experiences there.
00:16:31.679 --> 00:16:34.000
And I I'd have to say there's street smarts involved with that.
00:16:35.360 --> 00:16:39.519
Because that's the only thing, the only skill that I had developed by that time was Street Smarts.
00:16:39.519 --> 00:16:39.759
Trevor Burrus, Jr.
00:16:39.840 --> 00:16:40.320
Yeah, yeah.
00:16:40.320 --> 00:16:42.000
And that that to me is is a lot.
00:16:42.000 --> 00:16:50.080
Uh you know, growing up uh in Colorado, I'm not going to get into that too much, but I was I was exposed to you know, I was my family's on government cheese.
00:16:50.080 --> 00:16:52.159
You know, I got I had to figure out how to go to college.
00:16:52.159 --> 00:16:53.919
I was first generation, all these things.
00:16:53.919 --> 00:17:01.759
It's a different uh, I guess, dossier or or or uh profile than somebody who goes to Yale or Stanford and you end up serving with them in the in the military.
00:17:01.759 --> 00:17:03.200
You could see a difference right away, right?
00:17:03.440 --> 00:17:18.480
Huge and so so to bring it back to cred credibility assessment is so in in the agency, everything you do is based on your assessment of the credibility, uh, of the credibility of your targets, of the people that you're meeting.
00:17:18.480 --> 00:17:32.640
So the job of a of a CIA ops officer or case officer is to spot, assess, develop, recruit, and run foreign human sources of foreign intelligence.
00:17:32.880 --> 00:17:33.119
Yeah.
00:17:33.519 --> 00:17:39.440
You're the only the only one meeting that that source or potential source.
00:17:39.440 --> 00:17:46.079
It's one-on-one that you are you you don't have somebody, you know, you're not meeting in a team.
00:17:46.079 --> 00:18:00.319
Generally speaking, there there's always exceptions that prove the rule, but generally speaking, you are one-on-one with another human being, yeah, and you've got to determine is is this guy blowing smoke up your butt?
00:18:00.319 --> 00:18:04.319
Or is he who he says he is, what he says he is?
00:18:04.319 --> 00:18:06.319
Can he do what he says he can?
00:18:06.319 --> 00:18:11.200
Does he have access to what what you think he does or what he says he does?
00:18:11.200 --> 00:18:51.920
And you've got to do a credibility assessment and with without a deeper contextual background, including street smarts, the abil the ha having been ripped off, knowing that people will lie to you, knowing how they lie to you, as well as specific cultural whatever culture you're working in, uh whatever the profession that your target is in, uh, whatever the subculture they're in, if you're not at least aware of all that context, you're you're totally lost.
00:18:51.920 --> 00:19:35.839
You know, you're you you end up assuming a lot and making guesses and um and and then so so so then if you don't have the the the contextual competence with in in the um the the the the environment that you're working in against the person that you're uh in if you don't have competence that matches your target, you end up and what happens in in American intelligence bureaucracy is they they fall back on and rely on what they they they think are technical uh solutions, yeah.
00:19:35.839 --> 00:19:43.200
That is body-based measurements of human uh of the human body.
00:19:43.200 --> 00:19:43.440
Yeah.
00:19:43.440 --> 00:19:50.880
And they tried they they claim they can use that to determine if someone is truthful or not.
00:19:51.119 --> 00:19:51.359
Yeah.
00:19:51.359 --> 00:19:56.240
That's that's breaking down the the system, and uh analyzing it by little pieces.
00:19:56.240 --> 00:19:57.920
And I think I know where you're going with this.
00:19:57.920 --> 00:20:03.680
Uh and I you know, I read a book years ago by Malcolm Gladwell called Blink, and I was like, wow, that's how everything works.
00:20:03.680 --> 00:20:12.079
What we know from complex adaptive systems thinking or complexity thinking is you can't decompose a complex adaptive system to its constituent parts, right?
00:20:12.079 --> 00:20:27.759
And I think that's that's fantastic about this is uh uh y you go back to 9-11 and and uh what TSA did and Homeland Security did, and maybe you could talk more about that, but they start breaking things down and saying this is how it works, and we're watching TV shows called was it lie to me back in the day?
00:20:27.759 --> 00:20:29.519
You know, and I'm like, ah, this is awesome.
00:20:29.519 --> 00:20:38.079
And and I I didn't know back then what I know now, and I'm not not I'm I'm a student just like you, I'm not an expert in I don't I don't claim to be an expert in a lot of things anyway.
00:20:38.079 --> 00:21:02.799
But I I can see the connection between um an engineering approach of trying to break human behavior down into little bits and pieces, and a contextualized approach, which is understanding the context, the environment, everything around them, and that's what we're trying to express on this show is it's a it's a agent or performer engaging with an environment that matters, and that culture, that experience, uh the genetics even matter and all this.
00:21:02.799 --> 00:21:04.720
And we have to look at the whole package.
00:21:04.720 --> 00:21:05.680
Holistic.
00:21:05.759 --> 00:21:09.440
That's the the other the other uh buzzword here is holistic.
00:21:09.440 --> 00:21:11.279
And I have to say contextual.
00:21:11.680 --> 00:21:21.519
Yeah, and and I have to I have to say this uh just to be clear, and that is uh you know, I had a family member that lost $200,000 in a in a crypto scam uh scam recently, right?
00:21:21.519 --> 00:21:31.680
Just just yesterday, I was on a phone call, I took a phone call in what seemed to be a very articulate human being, and I quickly realized I was talking to an AI, right?
00:21:31.680 --> 00:21:36.640
I'm like, man, this thing doesn't say uz or ease, or you know, it doesn't pause or hesitate, it's just smooth.
00:21:36.640 --> 00:21:38.000
And had an answer for everything.
00:21:38.000 --> 00:21:39.839
I'm like, man, this is amazing.
00:21:39.839 --> 00:21:44.960
So detection, deception detection is absolutely critical in what we do.
00:21:44.960 --> 00:21:53.920
And I'll be honest with you, uh veterans, and I I don't know how you're gonna feel about this statement, just because somebody served in the military doesn't make them really credible.
00:21:53.920 --> 00:21:54.400
All right.
00:21:54.400 --> 00:21:59.599
If you're very articulate and you served in the military, man, you have a very high likely.
00:21:59.599 --> 00:22:04.319
That uh you can go out and sell uh snake oil to anybody, right?
00:22:04.319 --> 00:22:07.519
Because one, you have the service, and two, you sound smart.
00:22:07.519 --> 00:22:13.039
But generally, those are the people that you gotta watch out for, and that I gotta watch out for as a as a military veteran.
00:22:13.039 --> 00:22:16.240
Uh that's a lot to share with you, but uh can you build on that?
00:22:16.640 --> 00:22:17.599
Yeah, yeah, sure.
00:22:17.599 --> 00:22:35.440
Uh so so I I I I think what you're getting at is I I I want to caveat your the thing about veterans is most veterans do not use their experience and and they're pretty much incapable of using their experience uh to to hoodwink other people.
00:22:35.440 --> 00:22:44.720
Uh uh what what I found with veterans is that they become so much of part of this little subculture that they can only talk to other veterans.
00:22:44.720 --> 00:22:52.960
And you know, that's it's uh it's a whole attitude, it's a lingo, it's that just and nobody else understands them.
00:22:52.960 --> 00:23:02.160
However, there's another subset that's realized that that they can take advantage of those people who come up to you and say, Oh, thanks for your service.
00:23:02.160 --> 00:23:08.160
And you know, they they that becomes an opening for these, and and they're they're con men.
00:23:08.160 --> 00:23:12.559
They're they're uh con men, and many of them are fake.
00:23:12.559 --> 00:23:14.960
You know, it's the stolen valor thing.
00:23:14.960 --> 00:23:27.039
Many of them that realize that that the the veteran status can be used to con other people are are not actual veterans, or they mischaracterize their their actual experience.
00:23:27.039 --> 00:23:29.440
So yeah, yeah, I'm I'm with you there.
00:23:29.440 --> 00:23:31.039
Um no, thank you for that.
00:23:31.359 --> 00:23:42.400
Because because I I'll say this, uh you know, on one of your recent episodes or podcast, you brought up uh uh psychedelics and then the psychedelic assistant therapy community, which you know I'm a huge proponent and supporter of.
00:23:42.400 --> 00:23:47.839
I will tell you right now, there are evildoers that are veterans in that space.
00:23:47.839 --> 00:23:53.759
They have big egos, they're out there collect trying to make money, starting 501c3s and all that stuff.
00:23:53.759 --> 00:23:56.319
They sound awesome, but they're full of shit.
00:23:56.319 --> 00:23:56.880
All right.
00:23:56.880 --> 00:24:00.079
I know this because I I I know who they are and they know I know who they are.
00:24:00.079 --> 00:24:01.440
And I'm I'm throwing it out there.
00:24:01.440 --> 00:24:02.559
It's it's dangerous.
00:24:02.880 --> 00:24:03.279
Yeah.
00:24:03.279 --> 00:24:08.319
So you you talked around it a minute ago about the guy that you're vetting.
00:24:08.319 --> 00:24:17.440
It's the guy's name is Chase Hughes, and you mentioned the the uh the work that I've done with Zach Elwood in vetting Chase Hughes.
00:24:17.440 --> 00:24:19.359
Uh he's a perfect example.
00:24:19.359 --> 00:24:21.680
He actually served in the military.
00:24:21.680 --> 00:24:25.519
Uh Zach foyed his his DD two fourteen.
00:24:25.519 --> 00:24:27.279
He was a quartermaster.
00:24:27.279 --> 00:24:31.920
Let me uh so I'm I'm not really up on Navy Navy terminology.
00:24:31.920 --> 00:24:45.039
I may be I may be misremembering, but I want to say I know that his job was the job that he did, and I'm pretty sure the name is quartermaster, is like a navigation uh the navigator's assistant, sort of.
00:24:45.279 --> 00:24:45.599
Yeah.
00:24:45.839 --> 00:24:46.319
Is that right?
00:24:46.559 --> 00:24:46.720
Yeah.
00:24:46.720 --> 00:24:55.039
So I looked at the DD214, and I'm not gonna I'm not gonna bash anybody because I don't I I mean, I mean, I I will contribute to the conversation, but I don't know.
00:24:55.039 --> 00:24:58.880
I mean, I looked at Chase Hughes, don't get me wrong, uh the Spidey senses went up.
00:24:58.880 --> 00:25:12.640
I looked at the DD214 that you that is shared, uh, and I looked at that after I was trying to understand if this guy should be on my show, and how do I get somebody who's who's getting $30,000 to $50,000 for a keynote to get on this little podcast that I call No Way Out, right?
00:25:12.640 --> 00:25:16.880
Uh and and I'm I'm looking at him, I'm like, man, this he's he's awesome, by the way.
00:25:16.880 --> 00:25:18.160
He he's very articulate.
00:25:18.160 --> 00:25:23.759
He's talking about the things that I'm in, you know, in the space of psychedelic assistant therapy, consciousness, and things like that.
00:25:23.759 --> 00:25:27.680
I'm like, this is awesome, but how does this guy know from his career?
00:25:27.680 --> 00:25:36.799
And you look back at that, and I'm like, there's nothing in there that says anything that connects to uh deception, behaviorism, or beh behavioral science.
00:25:36.799 --> 00:25:39.039
It's it's it's a good military background.
00:25:39.039 --> 00:25:39.599
Don't get me wrong.
00:25:39.920 --> 00:25:40.160
Exactly.
00:25:40.160 --> 00:25:48.559
There's nothing to be there's there's nothing to be ashamed of in his background, but he has lied constantly.
00:25:48.559 --> 00:26:03.920
And look look, Zach has a has a great website that uh that spells out that goes back and you know when when he when when Hughes first became prominent, or when he first became active, he tried all kinds of things.
00:26:03.920 --> 00:26:09.440
He his first his first uh scam was uh a pick he was a pickup artist.
00:26:09.440 --> 00:26:12.160
He wrote a book about about picking up girls.
00:26:12.160 --> 00:26:14.640
Which is a great skill to have.
00:26:14.640 --> 00:26:16.799
Sure, sure, absolutely.
00:26:16.799 --> 00:26:22.400
But what at that time he didn't claim I learned how to pick up girls uh in the military.
00:26:22.400 --> 00:26:35.119
But that's he tried that first, and then he uh he he did start building on you know using a military reputation as uh he he was a combat a combat skills instructor.
00:26:35.119 --> 00:26:46.720
He had YouTube videos of you know, here's you do this, you strike under the nose, and it immediately kills them, and this don't do this at home, and you know, he that that he tried he tried that.
00:26:46.720 --> 00:26:56.880
And somehow he ended soon soon after that, he ended up beginning to tout his expertise in intelligence.
00:26:56.880 --> 00:27:03.599
Uh he claimed that he trained the CIA, the FBI, SEALs, uh uh Green Beret.
00:27:03.599 --> 00:27:24.559
He he he he realized when he was in the military that the intelligence training that the military provided its operators needed his skills and and insights because they were totally useless, and he knew how to whatever he whatever his claims are.
00:27:24.559 --> 00:27:30.960
His claims are I don't even I can't even remember what they are, but but totally based on nothing.
00:27:30.960 --> 00:27:33.680
He has no actual experience.
00:27:33.680 --> 00:27:35.279
He was not in Intel.
00:27:35.279 --> 00:27:47.440
He was he was you know ended up in in in in the Norfolk area and uh he ended up running a harbor, he was uh a boat driver, things like that.
00:27:47.440 --> 00:27:52.480
But he he he claim his claims are all were all bait.
00:27:52.480 --> 00:28:01.440
When he he goes on these big uh big uh podcasts, uh Joe Rogan, uh CEO, I don't even remember the name of him.
00:28:01.440 --> 00:28:03.839
Yeah, Diary of a CEO Diary of a CEO.
00:28:03.839 --> 00:28:15.519
You know, he'll always very, very uh humbly, well, you know, 20 years in the military, and you know, it's I I wish I could tell you, but I can't I'd have probably have to kill you.
00:28:15.519 --> 00:28:28.079
You know, which which right to me as being an actual operator who's worked with actual I I worked very uh uh uh extensively with the military, all of the military special forces.
00:28:28.079 --> 00:28:37.039
I trained DIA, I designed and trained DIA Hugh Mint uh junior case officer training for for several years.
00:28:37.039 --> 00:28:44.880
I I know I know them, I know how they work, I know what they do, I know what they know, and this guy is he's full of shit.
00:28:44.880 --> 00:28:45.279
Yeah.
00:28:45.279 --> 00:28:50.559
And that, but that is those claims are what propelled him.
00:28:50.559 --> 00:28:54.240
It it was the foundation of his credibility.
00:28:54.240 --> 00:28:57.039
And you know, no nobody dares question him.
00:28:57.039 --> 00:29:03.039
Well, I don't know if they dare, it's just you know, it's just well, yeah, we'll just we'll just take whatever he says as as the truth.
00:29:03.039 --> 00:29:06.240
Well, it's kind of like it's a great case study of credibility assessment.
00:29:06.240 --> 00:29:08.160
Yeah, it's kind of it run across me.
00:29:08.160 --> 00:29:13.440
I so in HCCA, it's holistic contextual credibility assessment.
00:29:13.440 --> 00:29:17.359
I'm an expert in the context that he's claiming to be an expert in.
00:29:17.359 --> 00:29:18.160
Yes, yes.
00:29:18.160 --> 00:29:21.440
I am an Intel, human Intel guy.
00:29:21.440 --> 00:29:26.160
I have worked military intelligence for many, many years.
00:29:26.160 --> 00:29:31.440
I've trained the kind of things that he that that he is claiming expertise in.
00:29:31.440 --> 00:29:33.920
I I've and I'm a practitioner.
00:29:33.920 --> 00:29:36.079
I'm an expert practitioner of them.
00:29:36.079 --> 00:29:50.559
Applying my ex my contextual competence, holistically looking at his stories, his claims, it just does not it's not credible.
00:29:50.880 --> 00:29:51.119
Yeah.
00:29:51.119 --> 00:29:55.759
So, you know, I started with Elizabeth Holmes and I brought up the names of the uh people that were on our board.
00:29:55.759 --> 00:29:58.079
They're not coming, they weren't coming from her context, right?
00:29:58.079 --> 00:30:00.480
And and she sounded very articulate.
00:30:00.480 --> 00:30:04.880
And that's what that's what I'm getting at is I I don't have any, this is my view.
00:30:04.880 --> 00:30:08.880
I don't have any issues against what Chase Hughes says on on podcast, because I don't have that.
00:30:08.880 --> 00:30:09.839
That's not my background.
00:30:09.839 --> 00:30:14.000
I don't understand, you know, I do look at it, I look at consciousness, I try to understand these things.
00:30:14.000 --> 00:30:14.640
I get it.
00:30:14.640 --> 00:30:15.920
I'm reading that stuff too.
00:30:15.920 --> 00:30:17.599
I'm not an expert in it, right?
00:30:17.599 --> 00:30:19.359
But I I do have a military background.
00:30:19.359 --> 00:30:24.480
I have a context, contextual background in the military where I look at that and go, well, these aren't connected at all.
00:30:24.480 --> 00:30:24.880
Yes.
00:30:24.880 --> 00:30:33.680
So I am not gonna say I'm not taking anything away from Chase Hughes and what he's saying on on these podcasts because those things may or may not be true.
00:30:33.680 --> 00:30:36.960
They may be consistent with science and what we're discovering about.
00:30:37.920 --> 00:30:40.480
I'm sorry to interrupt, but so so that's where he's at now.
00:30:40.480 --> 00:30:55.599
He has segued out of the the claims of his expertise in uh he he's he's on on a YouTube channel with other other guys that they'll they'll uh analyze body language.
00:30:55.599 --> 00:30:57.279
That's how he got famous.
00:30:57.279 --> 00:30:58.799
I can't remember what it's called.
00:30:58.799 --> 00:30:59.839
It's yeah, I don't know.
00:30:59.839 --> 00:31:06.400
That's what rocketed him into notoriety.
00:31:06.400 --> 00:31:21.200
All this stuff about psychedelics and methylene blue and all this other stuff, it that that is he he has segued away, he's stepped away from the claims that that uh that he got famous and and prominent with.
00:31:21.200 --> 00:31:25.920
And I I don't care about all that psychedelic and the the stuff he's doing now.
00:31:25.920 --> 00:31:29.839
I I don't I don't have any contextual expertise, yeah, and I'm not talking about that.
00:31:29.839 --> 00:31:39.599
I'm I'm looking at his the foundation of his claims, which was military intelligence uh expertise, and it's not there.
00:31:39.599 --> 00:31:40.720
So sorry to interrupt.
00:31:41.119 --> 00:31:45.759
So there are other folks out there that have worn military uniforms and and some have become politicians.
00:31:45.759 --> 00:31:57.920
In fact, I would say this my experience in the Navy Reserve is that uh you see a lot of folks that joined out of Yale, Stanford, and they're very articulate, very bright, and you can see they have a desired destination to go on and do something.
00:31:57.920 --> 00:32:06.640
And they use that moment, that credibility moment in the military to go, I deployed a Djibouti for a year and look at me, and I'm like, dude, what you're in combat, man.
00:32:06.640 --> 00:32:10.480
I mean, I uh when I was on active duty, fuck you and your your reserve time, right?
00:32:10.480 --> 00:32:11.759
John Kerry.
00:32:11.759 --> 00:32:24.480
But but I get I'm not trying to bash on veterans, I'm a veteran, I love the veteran community, but you got to be careful and you got to be careful with them because some of them are gonna do things and they're very they look very credible.
00:32:24.480 --> 00:32:31.200
And I'll tell you, I I shy away from folks right now that you know, once your spidey senses go off, you're kind of like, man, I got to get away from you, you know?
00:32:31.200 --> 00:32:32.960
I don't want anything to do with you.
00:32:32.960 --> 00:32:42.480
So uh and and in that case, I uh you know, I know Navy SEALs that were trying to figure out what they're gonna do when they get left the military, and and a year after they left the military, they're experts in meditation.
00:32:42.480 --> 00:32:45.519
And I'm like, how the fuck is that possible?
00:32:45.519 --> 00:32:48.400
Anyway, I'm not a again, I I am a student.
00:32:48.400 --> 00:32:49.599
I'm trying to learn.
00:32:49.599 --> 00:32:52.480
I'm I I know stuff about teamwork, leadership strategy.
00:32:52.480 --> 00:32:55.039
I can help about talk about consciousness and all that.
00:32:55.039 --> 00:33:04.319
But I you know, imagine when you're when you're trying to figure out who Ponce Rivera is, you you look around real fast and go, okay, this guy is has a social media presence.
00:33:04.319 --> 00:33:06.559
He he sounds like a dipshit from time to time.
00:33:06.559 --> 00:33:07.920
Let's have a conversation, right?
00:33:07.920 --> 00:33:11.440
That that's what I look at is but we all.
00:33:11.440 --> 00:33:28.799
Yeah, and Ken, I was I tell you this having a podcast and and finding folks that seem to be credible and you bring them on here and you realize they're hiding behind AI when they write, you're like, man, so there's a little I'm uh I think there's a good warning for just the folks that are listening that hey, be careful out there, all right?
00:33:28.799 --> 00:33:32.880
And and I'm I'm not gonna tell you who you should listen to or not listen to, but just be careful.
00:33:32.880 --> 00:33:37.599
And and fortunately, we've got an expert with us today who can help us through that in the HECA.
00:33:37.759 --> 00:33:45.119
So uh I I guess I guess the uh the the best the best uh advice there is stay skeptical.
00:33:45.119 --> 00:33:46.799
Trust, trust but verify.
00:33:46.799 --> 00:33:52.960
Yeah, say, okay, the interesting, send me your stuff, you know, let's chat and uh yeah, figure them out.
00:33:53.359 --> 00:33:55.279
Well, let's get into the uh HCCA.
00:33:55.279 --> 00:34:00.720
And before we do that, I do want to share something uh with you, which uh I came across just the other day, believe it or not.
00:34:00.720 --> 00:34:01.759
Anyway, I'll read it to you.
00:34:01.759 --> 00:34:04.000
So John Boyd talked about a pyramid all the time.
00:34:04.000 --> 00:34:09.280
Like if you look at a pyramid from the bottom, it looks like a square from the side, it looks like a triangle from the top, it looks a little different, right?
00:34:09.280 --> 00:34:13.199
So he he points out you have to look at things from many different points of view.
00:34:13.199 --> 00:34:16.320
And only look at the pyramid from one side, you're gonna have one view of it.
00:34:16.320 --> 00:34:18.000
So you just brought that up, right?
00:34:18.000 --> 00:34:20.400
We we want to look at things from multiple perspectives.
00:34:20.400 --> 00:34:21.840
We want to challenge assumptions.
00:34:21.840 --> 00:34:28.960
So let's go back to where we we brought up Ekman and we brought up some of the ideas of breaking things down.
00:34:28.960 --> 00:34:35.039
Take us back to what you discovered, what was wrong with all that, and how you came up with HCCA.
00:34:35.440 --> 00:34:56.800
So as when I I was I was given my my spiel about how I ended up being in the agency, and then what I discovered in the agency was they were doing deception, they were calling it deception detection using measuring body body measurements of your eye movements, your blood pressure, skin, breathing, whatever.
00:34:56.800 --> 00:35:00.800
And I real quick learned that doesn't work.
00:35:00.800 --> 00:35:22.559
You know, we've got and then then then when I started going back in history, and and one thing that that uh American intelligence and probably law enforcement too is very bad at is practitioners don't go back and look at historical cases because you're drowning in so much happening in the moment.
00:35:22.559 --> 00:35:28.239
You've got so much to do, you got no time to go back and and and look at history.
00:35:28.239 --> 00:35:43.519
I only ended up having time once I I got out and started started when uh uh actually when I was teaching for the Defense Intelligence Agency, when I was designing courses, I was able to have time to go back and look at history.
00:35:43.519 --> 00:35:50.239
And the CIA uh and American Intelligence is has a horrible track record of failure.
00:35:50.239 --> 00:36:00.960
Uh best example, there's two great examples was uh East Germans uh assets that we had supposedly recruited in the 50s and 60s.
00:36:00.960 --> 00:36:09.440
They they all passed our deception detection body, body measurement based uh deception detection.
00:36:09.440 --> 00:36:10.639
They had all passed.
00:36:10.639 --> 00:36:17.760
Come to find out, every single one of the who what we were calling agents were were doubles.
00:36:17.760 --> 00:36:21.599
That is, they were run by East German intelligence against us.
00:36:21.599 --> 00:36:22.159
Wow.
00:36:22.159 --> 00:36:26.159
They were controlled by East German intelligence, a hundred percent of them.
00:36:26.159 --> 00:36:29.360
Exact same thing with Cubans in the 60s.
00:36:29.360 --> 00:36:33.599
Uh we had a stable of agents, I don't know, dozens.
00:36:33.599 --> 00:36:37.360
Every single one of them was run by Cuban intelligence.
00:36:37.360 --> 00:36:40.239
Cuban intelligence knew everything we were doing.
00:36:40.239 --> 00:36:49.519
Every one of them had been measured by our uh specialists in body measurement deception detection.
00:36:49.519 --> 00:36:52.800
Every one of them, and every one of them was bad.
00:36:52.800 --> 00:36:53.599
Wow.
00:36:53.599 --> 00:37:07.760
I didn't know that when I was when I was working, but I knew this ain't working because uh these guys that I'm dealing with and the feedback I'm getting from these body measurement specialists are totally different.
00:37:07.760 --> 00:37:10.159
So I realized it's up to me.
00:37:10.159 --> 00:37:18.639
I'm the only one meeting with this guy in context, seeing the holistic view of what's happening in this guy's life.
00:37:18.639 --> 00:37:24.159
I have to do my own, and I realize it's not deception detection.
00:37:24.159 --> 00:37:30.960
I'm not gonna be able to tell if he's telling a lie, but I'm gonna be able to tell, is he credible?
00:37:30.960 --> 00:37:33.599
Is this story he's sharing credible?
00:37:33.599 --> 00:37:42.079
And I have to assess his credibility to make a holistic determination about his credibility.
00:37:42.079 --> 00:37:50.480
When he says, when I ask him a question, he says yes or no, I'm never gonna be able to tell whether that's a lie or the truth.
00:37:50.480 --> 00:37:56.079
Not never, but yeah, I'm I'm only gonna be able to make uh uh an educated guess.
00:37:56.079 --> 00:38:05.280
But there's nothing that can I can hook this guy up to that's gonna tell me that when he said yes, the actual answer is no.
00:38:05.280 --> 00:38:38.960
I have to sit down and talk to him, get to know him, become like a psychoanalyst, best friend, get him to trust me as much as possible, and then I have to understand holistically everything, the culture he's in, his uh the national, religious, professional, organizational, bureaucratic, everything about his life to be able to be begin to be able to come up with an accurate assessment of his credibility.
00:38:38.960 --> 00:38:41.599
And I developed that myself.
00:38:41.599 --> 00:38:48.639
You're s I I still had to uh I I developed that approach, and I and I never had a bad a bad recruit.
00:38:48.639 --> 00:38:56.400
I I never had anyone that uh ended up being discovered as bad.
00:38:56.400 --> 00:39:04.320
But I discovered many bad recruitments by by doing file reviews, can counterintelligence.
00:39:04.320 --> 00:39:07.280
I I can nobody nobody wants to do counterintelligence.
00:39:07.280 --> 00:39:24.559
Nobody wants to to be the the one, I'm gonna say nobody, there are people who do, but case officers uh shy away from counterintelligence because really you're the one poo-pooing or or or proving everybody else's wrong.
00:39:24.559 --> 00:39:33.760
My my approach is I I don't know, the the only thing as as I'm as I've matured, I used to be really, really hotheaded.
00:39:33.760 --> 00:39:39.760
I get angry about many things and fight and was an asshole, but I'm okay, I'm still an asshole.
00:39:39.760 --> 00:39:45.440
But but but now the only thing that makes me mad is somebody trying to take advantage of me.
00:39:45.440 --> 00:39:45.840
Yeah.
00:39:45.840 --> 00:39:47.920
Somebody trying to play me for a fool.
00:39:47.920 --> 00:40:03.840
And that's that's that's what drove me to get to really dig into counterintelligence and dig into credibility assessment, because these people are pay playing CIA case officers, the entire organization, the U.S.
00:40:03.840 --> 00:40:05.920
government, they're playing us for fools.
00:40:05.920 --> 00:40:13.280
People that that uh that that are lying to us and spinning a story that we buy.
00:40:13.280 --> 00:40:27.519
So I I because of that that part of my nature, not hating to be taken advantage of or played for a fool, I was really motivated to dig into and look at various cases.
00:40:27.519 --> 00:40:30.559
And the things that I found were just unbelievable.
00:40:30.559 --> 00:40:44.400
Some of the the cases that turned out to be bad, and then the the bureaucratic response to these cases being exposed as bad was even more unbelievable and more disappointing.
00:40:44.400 --> 00:41:06.400
And which it's one one of the big reasons that I realized, nah, this I cannot do this, I cannot be part of this organization that is not interested in in determining the truth, but rather in racking up recruitments or whatever the the statistic or the whatever the measurement is.
00:41:06.400 --> 00:41:11.920
And there was there's no um there's no reward for finding a bad case.
00:41:11.920 --> 00:41:16.320
And nobody was punished for when bad cases were found.
00:41:16.320 --> 00:41:21.760
There was no punishment, there's no you know, or not even punishment, no, no consequence.
00:41:21.760 --> 00:41:23.199
I couldn't stand that.
00:41:23.199 --> 00:41:33.199
So I while I was in, I developed my this I developed HCCA, although I didn't un I didn't really put I uh it wasn't explicit then.
00:41:33.199 --> 00:41:37.360
It was how I did my work and how I got good cases.
00:41:37.360 --> 00:41:50.239
And then when I studied the history of counterintelligence intelligence recruitment, counterintelligence failures, only then was I able to put together the the concept of HCCA.
00:41:50.239 --> 00:41:52.000
Uh I'm I'm kind of curious.
00:41:52.079 --> 00:42:02.159
Uh you brought up when you do reveal to the system that there is some deception or fraud out there, and we can go back through some of the historical ones that you're you're you're part of.
00:42:02.159 --> 00:42:06.719
Uh y you you get pushback from the uh the organization, right?
00:42:06.719 --> 00:42:14.320
Yeah, something known that uh you know that you you you you invite the white blood cells of an organization to turn on and they turn against you, right?
00:42:14.320 --> 00:42:16.559
And I think a lot of that has to do with ego.
00:42:16.559 --> 00:42:19.199
People don't want to feel like they've ever been deceived.
00:42:19.199 --> 00:42:28.400
So let's say we brought somebody into our world, we were partners with them three or four three or four years or five years, whatever it may be, and then we find out later on that there were frauds the whole time.
00:42:28.400 --> 00:42:34.800
To protect myself, I'll I'll do everything I can to show that that that that never happened.
00:42:34.800 --> 00:42:37.280
You know, I'll I'll make sure that information doesn't flow in.
00:42:37.280 --> 00:42:39.599
Uh and in fact, I'll I'll attack the messenger.
00:42:39.599 --> 00:42:45.280
That's a general bias of humans, I believe, or or uh response by humans is to protect their egos.
00:42:45.280 --> 00:42:47.119
So I know you have experience with this.
00:42:47.119 --> 00:42:51.119
And then I don't know if you want to talk about uh going back uh what fifteen years ago or so?
00:42:51.760 --> 00:42:53.760
Like like a case study of that happening?
00:42:54.400 --> 00:42:56.400
Somebody you you actually revealed or helped reveal.
00:42:56.719 --> 00:43:08.480
So so uh w one case that uh that was just so egregious was that this guy had been recruited as a penetration of weapons of mass destruction.
00:43:08.480 --> 00:43:14.079
He was supposedly working in his country's WMD industry.
00:43:14.079 --> 00:43:19.119
He was run for after he was recruited, he was run for several years.
00:43:19.119 --> 00:43:28.960
The uh the case officer who recruited him and her boss uh both got huge recognition for this for this recruitment.
00:43:28.960 --> 00:43:34.000
Got promotions and and other good things came their way.
00:43:34.000 --> 00:43:49.119
Uh when we did a uh I was working at headquarters, uh I I was a new officer working in headquarters, and uh there for some reason there was a civ there's a civ potential civil rights violation somewhere in the world.
00:43:49.119 --> 00:43:59.440
And uh the the agency decided to shut down, to do a stand down, no ops, everybody stop, go back and do file reviews of all cases.
00:43:59.440 --> 00:44:03.039
For civil rights violations.
00:44:03.039 --> 00:44:14.239
So the office I was working in, and I it may have happened agency-wide, but I know the office I was working in said, hey, this is a great chance to do CI scrub as well.
00:44:14.239 --> 00:44:17.360
We're look we're looking for civil rights violations.
00:44:17.360 --> 00:44:19.280
Let's look at the case as a whole.
00:44:19.280 --> 00:44:20.719
You know, is it good?
00:44:20.719 --> 00:44:22.079
Is this a good case?
00:44:22.079 --> 00:44:23.199
So I was doing that.
00:44:23.199 --> 00:44:28.880
I was I was working on a desk and was doing these uh these case CI scrubs.
00:44:28.880 --> 00:44:35.840
So I I I got this case, uh dug into it, and you know, it's just like something's not right.
00:44:35.840 --> 00:44:39.440
There's all I mean, it was several several volumes.
00:44:39.440 --> 00:44:41.360
Back then everything was in paper.
00:44:41.360 --> 00:44:46.000
It was several thick volumes of papers that had to go through.
00:44:46.000 --> 00:44:50.400
And you know, that's it's something questions.
00:44:50.400 --> 00:44:56.559
The more I more questions I had.
00:44:56.559 --> 00:45:09.920
Make a long story short, we because of the review I did and the questions I had, we were able to to send a guy out who a guy who uh measures deception detection.
00:45:09.920 --> 00:45:15.920
But I I sat down with the this measurement guy and I said, Look, here's the questions.
00:45:15.920 --> 00:45:17.519
Here's the questions that we have.
00:45:17.519 --> 00:45:19.360
Let's just let's just ask these questions.
00:45:19.360 --> 00:45:20.159
Forget the machine.
00:45:20.159 --> 00:45:21.039
Forget the machine.
00:45:21.039 --> 00:45:23.920
You you know, you're you're gonna have a nice little sit-down with him.
00:45:23.920 --> 00:45:26.000
Just ask him these questions.
00:45:26.000 --> 00:45:28.800
So the the guy did that.
00:45:28.800 --> 00:45:35.199
And he he asked him, have you ever have you ever worked for a foreign intelligence service?
00:45:35.199 --> 00:45:37.440
What is your job now?
00:45:37.440 --> 00:45:40.239
Uh so that that was the first question.
00:45:40.239 --> 00:45:40.960
What's your job?
00:45:40.960 --> 00:45:46.559
And the guy said, Well, I I'm a quality control engineer in a moped factory.
00:45:46.559 --> 00:45:55.440
He he would he had been his his recruitment was based on him being an engineer in a WMD industry.
00:45:55.440 --> 00:46:01.440
Turns out that his country had closed that industry a year before he was recruited.
00:46:01.440 --> 00:46:05.519
He had at one time worked in that industry, but they closed it.
00:46:05.519 --> 00:46:16.880
And he had been working in a moped factory the whole time he was providing high-level top secret reports on the WMD industry.
00:46:16.880 --> 00:46:21.519
Next question, have you ever uh worked for a foreign intelligence service?
00:46:21.519 --> 00:46:25.280
He goes, Yeah, I'm working for the Cubans too.
00:46:25.280 --> 00:46:34.639
And in fact, my dad worked for the Cubans and my you know, we we go to Cuba together a couple times a year uh to report to them.
00:46:34.639 --> 00:46:42.559
And and there was a couple of of other issues, but those two, it's like it's over right there.
00:46:42.559 --> 00:46:43.360
Yeah.
00:46:43.360 --> 00:46:49.760
And and the the the interviewer asks him, well, why didn't you tell your case officer this?
00:46:49.760 --> 00:46:51.840
He said, She never asked.
00:46:51.840 --> 00:46:53.360
Never asked, yeah.
00:46:53.360 --> 00:46:58.239
So, I mean that that was to me, that was just egregious.
00:46:58.239 --> 00:46:59.599
So what happens?
00:46:59.599 --> 00:47:01.039
Come come back.
00:47:01.039 --> 00:47:27.119
Uh to actually to set that up, to get that interview set up, I had to go through, it was like uh it was like I I don't know what it what is it when when when Indians have a captive and make them run down a line where they but they beat him with clubs on both sides, they had a name for it, I forget what it is, but I had to go through something like that just to get that to that point.
00:47:27.119 --> 00:47:37.039
I I called a meeting and brought in the the recruiting case officer, her boss, uh desk officers, analysts who dealt with the WMDs, et cetera, et cetera.
00:47:37.039 --> 00:47:50.400
And we sat down, I presented what I'd found and the questions I had, and uh the the recruiting case officer literally stood up and screamed at me, you whatever.
00:47:50.400 --> 00:47:53.519
I had no idea what she was saying, but that was the response.
00:47:53.519 --> 00:47:55.440
Instead of, wow, thanks a lot.
00:47:55.440 --> 00:48:00.079
You know, I I was just I was really busy and I didn't have time, but yeah, you know.
00:48:00.079 --> 00:48:04.719
I I don't I don't know, I mean, you know, you you want to say ego.
00:48:04.719 --> 00:48:05.119
Okay.
00:48:05.119 --> 00:48:15.280
Ego is is is part of it, but it's also see, see, I I don't use I I know we well, we mentioned mice.
00:48:15.280 --> 00:48:18.880
Mice is bullshit.
00:48:18.880 --> 00:48:25.599
Mice is a horrible way of looking at human uh factors that motivate humans.
00:48:25.599 --> 00:48:26.320
Uh we don't know how to do that.
00:48:26.320 --> 00:48:27.599
Number one is because of money.
00:48:27.599 --> 00:48:29.840
Yes, money money is up front.
00:48:29.840 --> 00:48:35.760
The way the my approach, I use uh Maslow's hierarchy of needs.
00:48:35.760 --> 00:48:36.320
Okay.
00:48:36.320 --> 00:48:38.159
And there's no money.
00:48:38.159 --> 00:48:40.639
There humans are not motivated by money.
00:48:40.639 --> 00:48:44.719
They're motivated by Maslow's hierarchy of needs, another pyramid.
00:48:44.719 --> 00:48:55.840
And ego, or if you want to call it, I mean, if you say ego, it's it's in there, but it's spelled out a little more clearly.
00:48:55.840 --> 00:49:12.559
And uh I forget what I forget what it's called, but it's uh social recognition or something like that, which is uh one of the higher level motivators is being recognized in society.
00:49:12.559 --> 00:49:19.679
And and I think that that is sort of a a uh an ego, it could be translated as ego.
00:49:19.679 --> 00:49:32.159
But anyway, for whatever reason, the bureaucracy in the the American intelligence community does not want to hear that, does not want to hear they've got a bad case.
00:49:32.159 --> 00:49:32.559
Yeah.
00:49:32.559 --> 00:49:34.480
They don't want to hear it.
00:49:34.480 --> 00:49:42.159
And I but I pushed through that, you know, and and I I lost all kinds of uh bureaucratic capital.
00:49:42.159 --> 00:49:54.159
You know, if I had gone along with, oh yeah, yeah, this is a good case, then these people by this time, they're they're the the supervisor who had approved this recruitment was now working in the director's office.
00:49:54.159 --> 00:49:54.400
Yeah.
00:49:54.400 --> 00:49:56.960
You know, it's like a special assistant to the director.
00:49:56.960 --> 00:50:09.119
Uh, if I'd have gone along with it, I'd I'd have had a good name and I'd have been able to get a good assignment and you know, good, good uh good professional assessment reviews.
00:50:09.119 --> 00:50:12.239
But you know, to me it's like, nah, uh-uh.
00:50:12.239 --> 00:50:17.360
That none of that means anything to me if they're if I'm being played for a fool.
00:50:17.360 --> 00:50:20.079
So there's a good a great case study.
00:50:20.400 --> 00:50:22.719
Have you uh so you just brought up to be or to do.
00:50:22.719 --> 00:50:28.639
That's actually something uh John Boyd brought up that you can take you could be somebody or you could do something.
00:50:28.639 --> 00:50:32.480
And and what you're saying is you're doing something about, hey, let's take a look at the system.
00:50:32.480 --> 00:50:39.119
Most people want to be part of the system, they want to rise up to the top, they they want to go up uh Maslow's hierarchy to status, right?
00:50:39.119 --> 00:50:39.920
That's what they're doing.
00:50:39.920 --> 00:50:41.039
Yeah, exactly.
00:50:41.039 --> 00:50:46.320
And and I think the better approach, and this is what we're encouraging folks to do, is do something, right?
00:50:46.320 --> 00:50:46.880
Go out there.
00:50:46.880 --> 00:50:47.679
I like that.
00:50:47.679 --> 00:50:50.880
Yeah, so HCCA is is is your uh you're doing.
00:50:50.880 --> 00:51:01.199
Uh and I do want to bring up a few things here, uh I didn't know anything about and hopefully this this fits into where you want to go next, but I didn't know anything about Wayne Simmons, right?
00:51:01.199 --> 00:51:02.480
Hopefully I'm saying his name right.
00:51:02.480 --> 00:51:12.320
And and again, this is just you know, uh can you take us through HCCA and maybe Wayne Simmons or another approach, and we can use some slides here so people can see this?
00:51:12.719 --> 00:51:13.119
Sure.
00:51:13.119 --> 00:51:27.039
Uh so it's another perfect case study of a con man running a running up against someone who has holistic contextual expertise in the area of his con.
00:51:27.039 --> 00:51:40.639
He had been for 13 years, he had been one of Fox News's main on-screen sources for uh as a CIA uh counter-terrorism expert.
00:51:40.639 --> 00:51:50.159
He he had he he was all over, you know, constantly on Fox News, Wayne Simmons, CIA counterterrorism expert.
00:51:50.159 --> 00:51:57.920
I don't have c I I don't have cable now, I didn't have cable then, and I I didn't watch Fox News, so I'd never heard of him, never seen him.
00:51:57.920 --> 00:52:04.559
But a friend of mine who who was a friend of Simmons said, Hey, you guys are so much alike.
00:52:04.559 --> 00:52:08.480
He was a he was a military guy, not not agency.
00:52:08.480 --> 00:52:11.440
He said, You guys are so much alike, you gotta meet him.
00:52:11.440 --> 00:52:14.000
Um so I said, sure.
00:52:14.000 --> 00:52:16.239
Um so he set up a lunch meeting.
00:52:16.239 --> 00:52:20.400
We we got together for lunch at uh BWI airport.
00:52:20.400 --> 00:52:25.519
He was passing through, and within five minutes, I knew this guy's fake.
00:52:25.519 --> 00:52:34.559
He he he has he doesn't know anything about the CIA, but he was he was just babbling nonstop about the things.
00:52:34.559 --> 00:52:44.639
What he was describing was DEA or counter-narcotics law enforcement operations and calling it CIA operations.
00:52:44.639 --> 00:52:53.360
Yeah, yeah, we took down, you know, 75 kilos, you know, 300,000, 300 million dollars, and yeah, we busted him, blah, blah, blah, this, that, and the other.
00:52:53.360 --> 00:52:54.960
Yeah, you know how it is, Kent.
00:52:54.960 --> 00:52:58.079
I'm going, yeah, yeah, sure, sure, right, dude.
00:52:58.079 --> 00:53:04.079
You know, I I I did not let him know that I was on to him at that time.
00:53:04.079 --> 00:53:16.480
Uh, but it was obvious within five minutes that this guy didn't know what the CIA did, had not done anything in the CIA, and was blowing smoke up my ass.
00:53:16.480 --> 00:53:21.360
So again, you know, playing me for a fool, it it really motivated me.
00:53:21.360 --> 00:53:24.880
So for the next couple years, I vetted him.
00:53:24.880 --> 00:53:26.559
Let me ask you this, Ken.
00:53:26.559 --> 00:53:26.800
Yeah.
00:53:26.960 --> 00:53:28.320
If okay, let's swap rules.
00:53:28.320 --> 00:53:31.039
Let's say you send me into that meeting at BWI.
00:53:31.039 --> 00:53:32.320
Would I have picked that up?
00:53:32.320 --> 00:53:33.280
I I want to be clear.
00:53:33.280 --> 00:53:33.760
No.
00:53:33.760 --> 00:53:34.159
Okay.
00:53:34.480 --> 00:53:35.519
No, but I don't think so.
00:53:35.519 --> 00:53:36.320
No, no, no.
00:53:36.320 --> 00:53:44.239
Unless you have unless you have expertise in American civilian intelligence operations.
00:53:44.639 --> 00:53:47.519
Well, I have watched Lioness, so that qualifies me.
00:53:47.519 --> 00:53:49.840
I haven't, so I don't know what that means.
00:53:49.840 --> 00:53:50.800
Okay, okay.
00:53:50.800 --> 00:53:54.559
It's it's it's a TV show about uh CIA operating in the U.S.
00:53:54.559 --> 00:53:54.960
anyway.
00:53:55.199 --> 00:53:55.280
Yeah.
00:53:55.280 --> 00:54:03.280
I I I cannot watch any shows like that about the CIA because they're they're so uh then I watched Homeland.
00:54:03.360 --> 00:54:04.320
I don't know if you ever saw that too.
00:54:04.320 --> 00:54:06.000
But anyway, no, I haven't seen that one either.
00:54:06.000 --> 00:54:11.840
I just want to make sure it's clear that that had had you sent me in there, I probably would not have recognized that.
00:54:12.159 --> 00:54:31.760
So and that's a perfect example of we need to when if we're involved in assessing someone, the people that we assign the assessment to need to self-evaluate what is their contextual competence.
00:54:31.760 --> 00:54:35.119
In fact, let me that's a great example.
00:54:35.119 --> 00:54:36.719
Let's see if we can share here.
00:54:37.440 --> 00:54:42.079
And this kind of explains why uh and just switching gears for a moment while you're looking that up.
00:54:42.079 --> 00:54:50.159
In in when I'm working with corporations and you're speaking to HR professionals or somebody who's trying to understand teamwork and leadership, their context is different.
00:54:50.159 --> 00:54:52.800
They don't understand the team science that is actually out there.
00:54:52.800 --> 00:54:54.320
They've been looking at it from a different lens.
00:54:54.320 --> 00:54:58.239
So when I have a conversation with them, they're like, what the hell are you talking about, right?
00:54:58.239 --> 00:55:00.239
They don't know because they don't have that context.
00:55:00.239 --> 00:55:01.199
Anyway, back to you.
00:55:01.519 --> 00:55:03.679
They don't have the contextual expertise.
00:55:03.679 --> 00:55:17.519
So if if you and I were working in some kind of organization that said, hey, uh we need to we need to go uh vet and assess Wayne Simmons' uh uh credibility.
00:55:17.519 --> 00:55:35.360
If we have, say we have a a stable of ten uh of ten assessors, each one I would have each one of them have completed this contextual competence checklist.
00:55:35.360 --> 00:55:48.559
These are just examples of um cultures or contexts that you have competence in.
00:55:48.559 --> 00:56:18.960
So for example, national um national context, think of it as uh so for myself, I here I could say um United States, Malaysia, uh Indonesia, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Italy, UK, so I have competence in those national contexts.
00:56:18.960 --> 00:57:15.519
Regional, uh Southern US, um uh uh Mindanao, Southern Philippines, uh uh Kuala Lumpur Malaysia, um uh Java in in the in Indonesia, linguistic, um English, Vietnamese, Malay, Indonesian, Arabic, Spanish, Italian, racial, black American, uh to uh to Chinese, Malay, uh ethnic, so so you you you go through, you gotta identify what you have, you have to be honest, what your competencies are, yeah, what context you're competent in.
00:57:15.519 --> 00:57:38.639
And you have this profile for each of your operators, and when it's time to send somebody out to assess Simmons, you find so that uh under professional, you'd be looking for uh US uh uh civilian foreign intelligence.
00:57:38.639 --> 00:57:40.719
Yeah.
00:57:40.719 --> 00:57:46.719
You'd looking for someone who has competence in that in that uh context.
00:57:46.719 --> 00:57:52.159
If you don't have competence in that context, you're wasting everybody's time.
00:57:52.159 --> 00:57:53.840
Does that make sense?
00:57:54.159 --> 00:57:54.320
Yeah.
00:57:54.320 --> 00:57:59.199
So I just want to point out for our listeners there, you identified culture and you identified experience in previous experience.
00:57:59.199 --> 00:58:00.320
We call it previous experience.
00:58:00.320 --> 00:58:02.400
Those two things sit at the heart of orientation.
00:58:02.639 --> 00:58:04.159
That is Wait, what is the second one?
00:58:04.159 --> 00:58:04.960
What kind of experience?
00:58:05.199 --> 00:58:06.800
Uh just we just call it previous experience.
00:58:06.800 --> 00:58:12.639
It could be it could be what you had for breakfast, where you went to school, where you worked, were you part of the military, what'd you do in the military.
00:58:12.639 --> 00:58:14.320
So you break it down into that.
00:58:14.320 --> 00:58:20.719
So those two components, along with genetics, uh determine our orientation, how we sense and decide and act.
00:58:20.719 --> 00:58:21.360
That's it.
00:58:21.360 --> 00:58:31.519
So this is this is why I think HCCA connects so well, because you have that orientation of the uh in this case, you or me, going in to evaluate somebody else, right?
00:58:32.000 --> 00:58:40.239
So I I think that what what I've done here, and uh as I mentioned to you, I know OODA loop, but I don't know it deeply.
00:58:40.239 --> 00:58:47.119
But now that you describe that, I think previous experience, that's what context is.
00:58:47.119 --> 00:58:57.920
And I'm I'm saying you've got you can't just say previous experience, you've got to break it out into these sp these and more specific categories.
00:58:58.320 --> 00:58:59.119
Well, let me build on that.
00:58:59.119 --> 00:59:04.960
So a lot of locations you described, I've been to, I have previous experience there, but are you competent though?
00:59:05.599 --> 00:59:06.159
That's the question.
00:59:06.159 --> 00:59:07.039
Are you competent?
00:59:07.039 --> 00:59:07.280
No.
00:59:07.280 --> 00:59:09.679
Having passed through there doesn't make you competent.
00:59:10.000 --> 00:59:10.079
Right.
00:59:10.079 --> 00:59:10.559
There we go.
00:59:10.559 --> 00:59:11.360
So that's what I'm saying.
00:59:11.360 --> 00:59:14.800
Is you were immersed in these cultures, I passed through them.
00:59:15.119 --> 00:59:15.360
Yes.
00:59:15.360 --> 00:59:16.639
You're not competent.
00:59:16.639 --> 00:59:16.880
Yeah.
00:59:16.880 --> 00:59:19.599
You're better off than somebody who's never passed through there.
00:59:19.599 --> 00:59:22.000
Yeah, I can find them on a map.
00:59:22.000 --> 00:59:22.880
Yeah.
00:59:22.880 --> 00:59:23.519
Yeah.
00:59:23.519 --> 00:59:30.719
So so uh uh for example, uh professional, like you you mentioned military.
00:59:30.719 --> 00:59:36.800
You've got to break that down, the professional, into subcultures.
00:59:36.800 --> 00:59:40.239
So I I was in the military, but I was Air Force.
00:59:40.239 --> 00:59:45.360
Not only, but I don't know anything about the subculture in the Air Force of flying.
00:59:45.360 --> 00:59:50.079
I don't know anything about the subculture in the Air Force of electronic repair.
00:59:50.079 --> 00:59:54.960
I don't know anything in the subculture in the Air Force about logistics.
00:59:54.960 --> 00:59:59.599
So just being military and just being Air Force is not enough.
00:59:59.599 --> 01:00:21.760
If we have a case that is a logistician uh uh deployed to to uh a forward operating base in Iraq, then we need to identify someone who has uh who has expertise in that context, at least logistician.
01:00:21.760 --> 01:00:22.159
Yes.
01:00:22.159 --> 01:00:28.079
You know, depending on what what it why we're uh what what we're investigating, what we're looking at.
01:00:28.079 --> 01:00:44.000
But what I'm providing here is a um a framework that people need to realize that it's not just previous experience, it is uh you've got to break down that previous experience.
01:00:44.000 --> 01:00:47.760
So you have a framework here to start thinking about it, and this can be expanded.
01:00:47.760 --> 01:00:50.719
There's this is not all inclusive.
01:00:50.719 --> 01:01:10.719
But this is so so my contextual competence checklist when I when when I went to meet Simmons included uh in under professional uh American civilian foreign intelligence operations.
01:01:10.719 --> 01:01:17.119
I have I have I've I have competence in that context.
01:01:17.119 --> 01:01:20.960
And your yours would not have that.
01:01:20.960 --> 01:01:21.760
Right.
01:01:21.760 --> 01:01:24.880
So d does that explain it?
01:01:25.280 --> 01:01:26.320
Yeah, yeah, 100%.
01:01:26.320 --> 01:01:28.239
Uh it it it it really does.
01:01:28.239 --> 01:01:35.519
And it's a great connection to the real OODA loop, which is orientation determines how we sense, perceive, decide, act, adapt, and learn, right?
01:01:35.519 --> 01:01:36.639
That drives everything.
01:01:36.639 --> 01:01:39.119
So and that's is it's a strong connection there.
01:01:39.119 --> 01:01:55.840
And uh uh uh that context is and I heard Pete Blair recently on on the uh Zachary Elwood uh podcast, and Pete Blair's gonna be on this podcast with in within the next week or so, talking about using ecological dynamics, understanding the the the context, the the uh the environment they're in, right?
01:01:55.840 --> 01:01:57.760
So all of these things are connected.
01:01:57.760 --> 01:02:08.639
It's fascinating that uh you as a as an operator came up, you know, you're you're converging on the same thing that science and everything else, uh natural science is saying we should converge on.
01:02:08.639 --> 01:02:10.159
And that's how legal systems are.
01:02:10.480 --> 01:02:17.039
So I I want to also mention that, yeah, I would that's where I developed this approach uh of credibility assessment.
01:02:17.039 --> 01:02:20.639
And but I also in civilian intelligence.
01:02:20.639 --> 01:02:31.599
Uh that's that's how and where the the the context that I developed this approach, but I realized, you know, this this could be used in any this approach can be used for anything.
01:02:31.599 --> 01:02:32.400
Scales.
01:02:32.400 --> 01:02:32.960
Yeah.
01:02:32.960 --> 01:02:37.360
Where you're dealing with people that you need to assess their credibility.
01:02:37.360 --> 01:02:49.119
And as I was excelling in the agency and not being rewarded for excellence, in fact, being punished for excellence, I started going, yeah, this was fantastic.
01:02:49.119 --> 01:02:50.559
This was a great move.
01:02:50.559 --> 01:02:51.599
I love it.
01:02:51.599 --> 01:02:52.800
Great job.
01:02:52.800 --> 01:02:57.840
But I cannot, I I cannot, I'm I'm a really bad bureaucrat.
01:02:57.840 --> 01:03:02.159
So what can I do with this expertise that I've developed?
01:03:02.159 --> 01:03:05.280
And that that was the end of the 90s.
01:03:05.280 --> 01:03:07.840
It was 98 going into 99.
01:03:07.840 --> 01:03:10.719
There was uh the dot-com boom.
01:03:10.719 --> 01:03:12.079
You may not be old enough to.
01:03:12.079 --> 01:03:13.760
Oh, I'm old enough to know I'm old.
01:03:13.760 --> 01:03:14.559
I'm 54.
01:03:14.559 --> 01:03:15.360
Come on.
01:03:15.360 --> 01:03:19.760
So the the dot-com boom was it it was it's like AI now.
01:03:19.760 --> 01:03:23.199
Everybody's like, oh, AI is gonna change the world, everything's gonna be different.
01:03:23.199 --> 01:03:24.480
Same thing, dot-com.
01:03:24.480 --> 01:03:31.039
There was no e-commerce is is what's gonna uh change the world, everything's gonna be online.
01:03:31.039 --> 01:03:33.119
Back then, nothing was online.
01:03:33.119 --> 01:03:44.159
Uh there's people were using a little bit of email and you know, to to browse the internet, there's virtually very little useful there.
01:03:44.159 --> 01:03:57.519
But the the the the dot-com industry uh based in Silicon Valley had billions and billions and billions of dollars in investments pouring into it.
01:03:57.519 --> 01:04:01.199
And I said, okay, well, I I'm not technical.
01:04:01.199 --> 01:04:09.280
I don't know anything about about the internet, but I have this skill and credibility assessment and recruiting.
01:04:09.280 --> 01:04:11.199
So what can I do?
01:04:11.199 --> 01:04:14.159
So I jumped out of the plane with no parachute.
01:04:14.159 --> 01:04:22.400
I I resigned from the agency and took a job with a headhunting company, uh, executive recruiters, 100% commission.
01:04:22.400 --> 01:04:27.119
I didn't get paid unless I unless I recruited somebody.
01:04:27.119 --> 01:04:34.000
Uh we were paid by a percentage of uh of the the first year's compensation package.
01:04:34.000 --> 01:04:37.119
So I I got in this small firm.
01:04:37.119 --> 01:05:01.679
These guys were uh involved, they had come out of the um telecommunications industry, and they they were each each each of us, each headhunter in this kind of firm, you build your own business, and they had their own contacts in telecommunications, and they were they were getting orders and uh and doing searches and placements in telecommunications.
01:05:01.679 --> 01:05:10.880
So I got in their office and I realized real quick, you know what, I don't have any contextual competence in telecommunications.
01:05:10.880 --> 01:05:21.119
And so what ended up happening is they they gave me uh a desk, a phone, and a computer, and I had to build my own business.
01:05:21.119 --> 01:05:30.880
And I flailed around for a while, looking, you know, do really doing a survey of who was hiring and who needed help hiring.
01:05:30.880 --> 01:05:39.280
And so so my my my background, I ended up doing a BA in linguistics, and my first master's degree was in linguistics also.
01:05:39.280 --> 01:05:42.880
So I I understand uh linguistics.
01:05:42.880 --> 01:05:57.440
I don't understand computer science, but I very quickly found out there was a huge demand for computational linguistics, computational linguists in in Silicon Valley in dot com.
01:05:57.440 --> 01:06:10.960
Turns out that's the computational Computational linguistics is the foundation of what we now we now call AI, the the uh large language models, is all based on computational ling linguists.
01:06:10.960 --> 01:06:11.280
Yeah.
01:06:11.280 --> 01:06:13.840
Back then it was just starting.
01:06:13.840 --> 01:06:23.440
Google had just started, Google was not uh was not dominant, it was just a small startup, and they were they hired computational linguists.
01:06:23.440 --> 01:06:30.159
So I realized, okay, I I can I can speak ling lingu linguistics speak.
01:06:30.159 --> 01:06:33.360
I'm a c I have contextual competence in linguistics.
01:06:33.360 --> 01:06:38.239
I don't have contextual competence in computational stuff, but that's okay.
01:06:38.239 --> 01:06:54.639
There's a lot of recruiters who are out of the uh the computer industry and they do have contextual competence, but they have no idea when when a company is looking for a specific flavor of linguist, they have no idea what what they're looking for.
01:06:54.639 --> 01:07:11.039
So I jumped on that opportunity and I started doing cold calls and started uh and ended up getting a couple of clients who were startups in in Silicon Valley who were doing uh computational ling linguistics.
01:07:11.039 --> 01:07:12.880
Ontology was a big thing.
01:07:12.880 --> 01:07:18.079
Ontology is the science of creating meaning in databases.
01:07:18.079 --> 01:07:25.280
It's it's kind of esoteric, but it's it's a linguistic and philosophical based specialty.
01:07:25.280 --> 01:07:29.760
So I started I I got a couple of of clients.
01:07:29.760 --> 01:07:33.840
Client clients, they don't pay you until you until you place somebody with them.
01:07:33.840 --> 01:07:40.239
So I had to convince them that I had expertise in linguistics and I could find these people they're looking for, and did.
01:07:40.239 --> 01:07:51.760
Got a couple of placements and built on it from there, and I became the only headhunter in the world who specialized in computational linguistics and ontology.
01:07:51.760 --> 01:08:21.920
So once I had established that, and and while I was establishing myself, I realized, you know, what what I'm doing here is the same thing that they should be doing in the CIA or in any human intelligence recruitment operation, is vetting and assessing the credibility of these candidates or or in in intelligent human intelligence, you call them developmentals or assets agents.
01:08:21.920 --> 01:08:31.520
I was doing the what I had gotten really good at in the agency, assessing credibility, vetting developmentals and assets.
01:08:31.520 --> 01:08:34.880
Here I am, and and what I found there, nobody cared.
01:08:34.880 --> 01:08:39.439
You know, if you recruited a bad one, like the WMD guy, nobody cared.
01:08:39.439 --> 01:08:40.800
There's whatever.
01:08:40.800 --> 01:08:42.800
Yeah, whoopee, keep going.
01:08:42.800 --> 01:08:44.000
Oh, you always bad.
01:08:44.000 --> 01:08:46.960
Yeah, well, you you why you shouldn't have told us that.
01:08:46.960 --> 01:08:48.159
Well, guess what?
01:08:48.159 --> 01:08:53.199
In the real world, everybody cares and it matters.
01:08:53.199 --> 01:08:53.680
Yeah.
01:08:53.680 --> 01:09:02.239
You can't send the guy uh as a WMD expert who's a moped uh quality control dude.
01:09:02.239 --> 01:09:09.920
So I gave a 100% guarantee the candidate that I present to you, Mr.
01:09:09.920 --> 01:09:17.760
Client, company who's hiring, will be ready, willing, and able to do the job that you need him to do.
01:09:17.760 --> 01:09:21.760
So first I have to be able to understand the job that they need him to do.
01:09:21.760 --> 01:09:22.239
Yes.
01:09:22.239 --> 01:09:26.159
And then I have to vet, I have to find the candidates.
01:09:26.159 --> 01:09:28.560
That's a whole nother story, building a network.
01:09:28.560 --> 01:09:39.760
But once I find the candidates, I have to vet them to ensure that they are ready, willing, and able to do the job that that my client wants them to do.
01:09:39.760 --> 01:09:51.279
And I gave a 100% money-back guarantee that the candidate that you hire from me, the candidate that I present to you, will be ready, willing, and able.
01:09:51.279 --> 01:09:54.560
I never had to pay that guarantee.
01:09:54.640 --> 01:09:54.800
Trevor Burrus, Jr.
01:09:55.119 --> 01:09:57.039
I'm gonna argue or I'm gonna point out something here.
01:09:57.039 --> 01:10:01.600
I think your strength is actually on the people ideas and then the things, so the things would be the technical side.
01:10:02.000 --> 01:10:02.560
Oh, absolutely.
01:10:02.560 --> 01:10:05.600
So yeah, I I have no technical expertise.
01:10:05.600 --> 01:10:06.560
I'm a people person.
01:10:06.560 --> 01:10:06.880
Trevor Burrus, Jr.
01:10:06.960 --> 01:10:10.640
But if you're looking at the computational linguistics side, that's your technical expertise.
01:10:10.640 --> 01:10:11.920
It just happened to be what they were looking for.
01:10:12.239 --> 01:10:12.640
Linguistics.
01:10:12.640 --> 01:10:14.319
I was I was the linguistic side.
01:10:14.319 --> 01:10:18.640
Which and really linguistics is all about how people think and communicate.
01:10:18.640 --> 01:10:19.600
It's it's all people.
01:10:19.600 --> 01:10:19.920
Trevor Burrus, Jr.
01:10:20.000 --> 01:10:24.000
And then when you think about how people hire today, generally it's based around technical skills.
01:10:24.000 --> 01:10:25.359
Do you know these technical skills?
01:10:25.359 --> 01:10:26.159
Can you talk about them?
01:10:26.159 --> 01:10:31.760
And this is it when veterans transition, that's what they're usually you know, that do you understand how to do this thing?
01:10:31.760 --> 01:10:33.840
Do you have a PMP or whatever it may be?
01:10:33.840 --> 01:10:35.039
That's not important.
01:10:35.039 --> 01:10:39.359
What's important is the people side is the ideas, people ideas, and then things.
01:10:39.359 --> 01:10:44.159
And I think recruiters get that recruiters' companies get that wrong because they're looking for a technical thing.
01:10:44.159 --> 01:10:45.199
I'm gonna add one other thing.
01:10:45.199 --> 01:10:55.199
In the agile space I was in years ago, uh, you discover pretty fast that everybody, a lot of folks that are working in software development don't actually have the skills they say they do, right?
01:10:55.199 --> 01:10:56.880
And and that was just very apparent.
01:10:56.880 --> 01:11:02.399
It's it's uh they created a resume, and then the people doing the interviews don't know what they're looking for.
01:11:02.399 --> 01:11:05.039
They don't have any context, so they can't hire the right people, right?
01:11:05.039 --> 01:11:08.079
They're just going based off the technical skills they put on the resume.
01:11:08.079 --> 01:11:11.279
So uh I I think your strength is actually on the people side.
01:11:11.680 --> 01:11:13.760
So so well, yes, you're absolutely right.
01:11:13.760 --> 01:11:14.640
That's my strength.
01:11:14.640 --> 01:11:24.800
However, I did also have to assess their credibility in so the the guys I'm I'm hiring, uh my candidates had to have technical skills.
01:11:24.800 --> 01:11:25.520
Yeah, yeah.
01:11:25.520 --> 01:11:29.680
So I had to assess their technical skills without being an expert.
01:11:29.680 --> 01:11:33.600
I I I have an approach to do that.
01:11:33.600 --> 01:11:39.039
There, there's different ways you can do it, but the technical skills are very important.
01:11:39.039 --> 01:11:41.359
For my job, it's all human.
01:11:41.359 --> 01:11:44.880
It's all human uh to to do my job.
01:11:44.880 --> 01:11:57.119
But I've I recognize that the technical skills are the most important thing for for most of these the candidates and and the clients who were looking for candidates.
01:11:57.119 --> 01:12:02.239
So I had to come up with a way of assessing technical skills, and I did.
01:12:02.239 --> 01:12:07.439
And most of it was uh so tell me about your ontology work.
01:12:07.439 --> 01:12:10.000
Was listening, you know, getting them to talk.
01:12:10.000 --> 01:12:17.119
And just like I got Wayne Simmons to talk, he immediately showed he didn't know what the hell he's talking about.
01:12:17.119 --> 01:12:29.520
And even even though I ended up developing contextual competence in ontology and computation, the the computational issues in computational linguistics.
01:12:29.520 --> 01:12:31.279
I didn't have it when I started.
01:12:31.279 --> 01:12:31.760
Yeah.
01:12:31.760 --> 01:12:43.359
But but so you can develop competencies, uh technical or or other contextual competencies, uh, that that become useful in assessing credibility.
01:12:43.359 --> 01:13:08.319
And I I could not sit down and have a technical conversation about programming, right, but I could have a conversation and listen to somebody describing to me the uh the the projects they've done in ontology or large language models or anything technical, and I could make a make a judgment.
01:13:08.319 --> 01:13:11.520
Uh in fact, let's let me let me share another.
01:13:12.159 --> 01:13:23.520
Well, I think what you're describing there is exactly what's happening today, and that is there's a lot of people that don't have context uh that are investing billions and trillions of dollars into vaporware, uh future AI, things that don't exist.
01:13:23.520 --> 01:13:31.760
You know, I've had guests on the show that I I'm not gonna call a fraud, but they didn't really you know, their companies have failed, they didn't have what they claim to have.
01:13:31.760 --> 01:13:33.680
And you're you're seeing more and more of that.
01:13:33.680 --> 01:13:38.159
So the the uh and most American most people don't understand what a large language model does.
01:13:38.159 --> 01:13:44.800
They don't understand active inference, they don't understand reinforcement learning, what deep learning is, uh but they're just buying blindly right now.
01:13:44.800 --> 01:13:47.039
We're gonna build these massive data centers.
01:13:47.039 --> 01:13:48.239
We're gonna need all these things.
01:13:48.239 --> 01:13:53.279
Everybody's running at this uh and and I think this is the dot-com bubble all over again.
01:13:53.279 --> 01:13:55.119
Because people don't see exactly what it is.
01:13:55.359 --> 01:14:05.359
So I I guess I think what you're describing is my my uh my uh analysis is what you're describing is is marketing.
01:14:05.359 --> 01:14:08.319
And marketing is all blowing smoke up your ass.
01:14:08.319 --> 01:14:08.640
Yeah.
01:14:08.640 --> 01:14:29.680
You know, so but when when you get to recruiting, and I need to and these guys that are uh are promising, and and that's the way during dot com startups, uh there's a lot of vaporware, but they're making promises and hiring people to do jobs that require specific skills.
01:14:29.680 --> 01:14:37.840
Even if the company that's making the promises doesn't have the ability to do what they're claiming at this point, they're hoping they will.
01:14:37.840 --> 01:14:39.920
They're hoping that they're gonna be able.
01:14:39.920 --> 01:14:46.880
So they're gonna need uh and uh they're they're gonna need people with with these uh technical skills.
01:14:46.880 --> 01:14:53.760
And my job is to find those people and vet them to determine if they have those skills.
01:14:53.760 --> 01:14:57.039
Not that they listed on their resume, but do they have them?
01:14:57.039 --> 01:14:57.920
Nice.
01:15:00.000 --> 01:15:06.399
Curious, before you get into the this right here, uh when you met with Wayne at uh BWI, was he aware of who you were?
01:15:07.119 --> 01:15:07.760
Yeah, yeah.
01:15:07.760 --> 01:15:08.079
Yeah.
01:15:08.079 --> 01:15:13.199
Our mutual friend told him, oh, Kenza counterterrorism, CIA counterterrorism.
01:15:13.199 --> 01:15:16.000
At the time, I was I was traveling nonstop.
01:15:16.000 --> 01:15:26.479
I was doing a contract, contracting um uh throughout Southeast Asia, Africa, the Middle East, uh doing uh CIA counterterrorism work.
01:15:26.880 --> 01:15:32.319
I just kind of thought it weird that uh that he would want to meet with somebody that uh He was arrogant.
01:15:32.479 --> 01:15:35.119
He'd been on He'd been on Fox News for 13 years.
01:15:35.119 --> 01:15:38.479
Okay, so you there you go and nobody had ever called him out.
01:15:38.479 --> 01:15:46.079
He was arrogant and and and that and that's what really pissed me off.
01:15:46.079 --> 01:16:00.159
Is you know, if I'd seen you on Fox News, I would maybe I wouldn't, you know, I it's a pretty small, especially back then, it wasn't a huge community of CIA counterterrorism people.
01:16:00.159 --> 01:16:03.760
I knew most people who were active in it.
01:16:03.760 --> 01:16:10.560
So if I had seen him on Fox, you know, I'd have said, hmm, I wonder I I would call a couple buddies and say, Do you know this guy?
01:16:10.560 --> 01:16:11.680
But I never had.
01:16:11.680 --> 01:16:18.960
So here I'm meeting him face to face, and um immediately I know I know he's not real.
01:16:18.960 --> 01:16:21.439
Um so crazy.
01:16:21.439 --> 01:16:22.720
Yeah, yeah.
01:16:22.720 --> 01:16:45.600
So uh the this HCCA cycle, uh um uh holistic contextual credibility assessment is when I'm it can be used by I I I I um perfected this as a headhunter because I had to, because I couldn't afford I was a one-man shop.
01:16:45.600 --> 01:16:47.760
I was my I was the only one in my company.
01:16:47.760 --> 01:16:56.239
I my kids were working for me, you know, filing papers and stuff, but I was the only one actually providing value to this company.
01:16:56.239 --> 01:17:02.960
So I I had to um be perfect.
01:17:02.960 --> 01:17:08.079
I couldn't afford to pay back a a pla uh a placement fee.
01:17:08.079 --> 01:17:08.479
Right.
01:17:08.479 --> 01:17:11.199
So I realized this is what I'm doing.
01:17:11.199 --> 01:17:17.439
I'm gathering evidence, I'm going out and finding potential candidates.
01:17:17.439 --> 01:17:20.800
I gather evidence, I interview them.
01:17:20.800 --> 01:17:27.119
Step one, interview, interrogate the subject, whatever you want to call it, interview, interrogate.
01:17:27.119 --> 01:17:40.640
I had to use my contextual competence and also don't forget intuition and intuition, your gut is based on it, it's not something you're born with.
01:17:40.640 --> 01:17:53.039
You develop intuition, you develop your gut based on your experiences, and you have to have and your gut is contextual.
01:17:53.039 --> 01:18:12.720
You you can't be a uh somebody who grew up on the streets of Brooklyn, and then you you go out to the uh to the the Rocky Mountains in Colorado and be walking on a trail in the Rocky Mountains and listen to your gut.
01:18:12.720 --> 01:18:19.119
Your gut has no idea that there's a cougar following you down that trail.
01:18:19.119 --> 01:18:19.439
Yeah.
01:18:19.439 --> 01:18:22.960
Your gut is looking for the crack dealer on the next corner.
01:18:22.960 --> 01:18:24.880
So that's intuition.
01:18:25.359 --> 01:18:30.800
So the big big point here uh for our listeners, finger spits and gefuel is is fingertip fill.
01:18:30.800 --> 01:18:33.279
That's that pathway that goes from orient to act.
01:18:33.279 --> 01:18:34.479
That's that intuition.
01:18:34.479 --> 01:18:38.720
They're calling it pathfinding, it's skill acquisition developed through previous experience.
01:18:38.720 --> 01:18:42.640
It's it's um you can get into interoceptive capabilities and things like that.
01:18:42.640 --> 01:18:44.399
That's exactly what you're talking about.
01:18:44.399 --> 01:18:50.880
That's exactly what that pathway is and the implicit guide, the implicit guidance control pathway from orientation to act.
01:18:50.880 --> 01:18:52.880
Finger spits and good fuel, fingertip fill.
01:18:52.880 --> 01:18:53.439
Interesting.
01:18:53.439 --> 01:18:53.600
Yeah.
01:18:53.760 --> 01:19:05.600
So I call that gathering evidence, you know, using using data, intuition, and you you uh you talk to the person and you don't leave any stone unturned.
01:19:05.600 --> 01:19:25.920
You know, you you it's an investigation, it's a uh a data gathering, and then you review all of the the evidence, all of everything that you've gathered about that the person, and your your contextual competence is guiding the thrust of this effort holistically.
01:19:25.920 --> 01:19:33.600
Once you've done that, once you've gathered all the evidence, then you assess and evaluate what you've gathered.
01:19:33.600 --> 01:19:50.239
You consider everything you've gathered holistically and in context, and use deductive logical reasoning to guide the assessment with your intuition, your contextually uh competent intuition providing support as needed.
01:19:50.239 --> 01:19:55.279
Sometimes there's you know, like with the a best example is Simmons.
01:19:55.279 --> 01:19:59.359
When I met him, I didn't have any documentation to tell me he was wrong.
01:19:59.359 --> 01:20:00.880
It was my intuition.
01:20:00.880 --> 01:20:06.000
My intuition, my contextual, competent intuition told me this guy's full of shit.
01:20:06.000 --> 01:20:07.359
You thought you were going to meet a peer.
01:20:07.359 --> 01:20:07.840
That's all you thought.
01:20:07.840 --> 01:20:08.800
Yeah, there's a peer.
01:20:08.800 --> 01:20:10.720
I meet peers all the time.
01:20:10.720 --> 01:20:11.520
There you go.
01:20:11.520 --> 01:20:18.399
And you know, I I know what they it's kind of gross, but I say I say it's like dogs sniffing butts.
01:20:18.399 --> 01:20:18.960
Yeah, yeah.
01:20:18.960 --> 01:20:21.119
You know, that's they that's what they do.
01:20:21.119 --> 01:20:31.600
And that's what when when you meet a peer, it in in which in in an area that I'm contextually competent in, you sniff butts and go, yeah, no, no, you ain't from around here, man.
01:20:32.960 --> 01:20:33.920
We used to say that too.
01:20:33.920 --> 01:20:36.479
Uh we in in aviation, we say sniff butts, you know.
01:20:36.560 --> 01:20:37.840
Um same thing.
01:20:37.840 --> 01:20:47.119
It's you're it's just a different context, but it's a it's a contextual competence that you can identify other Navy aviators.
01:20:47.119 --> 01:20:47.680
Yeah.
01:20:47.680 --> 01:20:48.079
Yeah.
01:20:48.079 --> 01:20:48.479
Yeah.
01:20:48.479 --> 01:20:55.359
So anyway, you assess and evaluate, then you make a judgment, and then you monitor and review, and then you do it again if needed.
01:20:55.600 --> 01:20:55.760
Yeah.
01:20:55.920 --> 01:20:58.880
Uh that's that's HCCA in a in a nutshell.
01:20:58.880 --> 01:21:05.680
No, that's that's really cool that it's uh you can see the the uh the uh parallels to to UDA.
01:21:05.920 --> 01:21:11.520
Yeah, so this would fit within like to me, this is a process that helps you improve your orientation.
01:21:11.520 --> 01:21:20.239
So just like PDCA or Plan Brief F2 Debrief are are cycles that you could put to improve your understanding of the environment, understanding of yourself.
01:21:20.239 --> 01:21:24.479
Okay, I'm gonna share a few things with you just to make some interesting connections that I'm noticing.
01:21:24.479 --> 01:21:24.960
Okay.
01:21:24.960 --> 01:21:26.560
Uh so this popped up.
01:21:26.560 --> 01:21:47.439
Uh uh, you know, I have some AI capability here that uh so Boyd actually was looking at some um papers from the CIA, and uh I'm not sure if you're familiar with that, but he's just pointing out that uh he wrote in the margins that the authors cannot tell the ambigu tell ambiguity from deception.
01:21:47.439 --> 01:21:51.600
So he's criticizing some things that he saw inside of uh the CIA's papers.
01:21:51.600 --> 01:21:52.720
Good call.
01:21:52.720 --> 01:21:54.720
Um and so he I I have it here.
01:21:54.720 --> 01:21:58.079
This is just uh I can send this to you if you want to take a peek at this.
01:21:58.079 --> 01:22:04.479
Um There's something that he he wrote called the strategic game of question mark and question mark.
01:22:04.479 --> 01:22:07.760
The question marks are isolation, interaction, and isolation.
01:22:07.760 --> 01:22:10.159
You know, so that's a strategic that's a game we're all playing.
01:22:10.159 --> 01:22:19.600
And he goes into a lot of depth on that as far as uh uh you know what is um moral, physical, mental, that aspect of of warfare look like.
01:22:19.600 --> 01:22:24.800
Um but one thing he does say is um a deceiver does not paint the false picture.
01:22:24.800 --> 01:22:27.199
That's they're they're painting something for you.
01:22:27.199 --> 01:22:31.600
Uh he arranges a few features and lets the other man's orientation do the painting.
01:22:31.600 --> 01:22:36.800
So when you get inside somebody's OODA loop, that's what that means is we're getting inside their orientation.
01:22:36.800 --> 01:22:39.520
Um think of it as uh setting the stage, right?
01:22:39.520 --> 01:22:41.199
That's what we want to do there.
01:22:41.199 --> 01:22:50.239
Um and then uh something else he comes back up with is uh you got to look at things from several sides, through several channels.
01:22:50.239 --> 01:22:58.560
That's what you're saying through the holistic approach, is you're not just taking the one um body reading, uh monitoring heart rate or anything like that.
01:22:58.560 --> 01:23:02.239
You're looking at it through many channels, and that's the holistic view.
01:23:02.239 --> 01:23:04.800
And I think that's what Boyd puts up here.
01:23:04.800 --> 01:23:08.960
And he says a lie has to hold up from every angle at once, right?
01:23:08.960 --> 01:23:16.560
So uh it's if you're gonna say something, it's gotta be uh it's gotta hold up from different points of view.
01:23:16.560 --> 01:23:20.159
Uh something else I want to ask you about, and that's telling a story backwards.
01:23:20.159 --> 01:23:28.880
So when we talk about complex facilitation techniques, we like to have people tell stories backwards uh because it's harder to lie, it's hard to make up stuff.
01:23:28.880 --> 01:23:31.199
Uh you ever come across anything like that?
01:23:31.680 --> 01:23:36.479
I've heard of that as sort of an an interview interrogation technique.
01:23:36.479 --> 01:23:38.399
Uh I've never used it myself.
01:23:38.960 --> 01:23:42.960
It's fascinating because we so when we when we use, we call it the future backwards.
01:23:42.960 --> 01:23:50.800
So you start with the desired future states, good, bad, ugly, however you want to call it, and have them work backwards in time to the current uh where they are today.
01:23:50.800 --> 01:23:55.680
And same thing, where you are today, work backwards from there, going all the way back in time.
01:23:55.680 --> 01:24:01.199
All right, it's hard to do, but it's it it's it's it's system, you know, it's a system one, system two challenge there.
01:24:01.199 --> 01:24:03.279
We want to slow your thinking down a little bit.
01:24:03.279 --> 01:24:11.520
So that's so some of the tools that we've learned from, I believe, good research shows us how to use it in facilitation techniques.
01:24:11.520 --> 01:24:17.039
And I just wondered if you ever saw facilitation as in facilitating uh learning or like workshops, yeah.
01:24:17.039 --> 01:24:17.520
Yeah.
01:24:17.760 --> 01:24:18.159
Yeah.
01:24:18.479 --> 01:24:22.640
So uh I was absolutely shocked when I heard, I don't want to say shocked.
01:24:22.640 --> 01:24:27.359
So Pete Blair, he and I recorded last week, and uh we'll push this episode out here soon.
01:24:27.359 --> 01:24:38.960
But it when he talked about interrogation and and uh using ecological approach to understanding interrogation techniques uh on another podcast, I was like, man, I didn't I didn't know that these things were all connected like this.
01:24:38.960 --> 01:24:44.159
So there's a there's a lot we're all learning from having these conversations that interesting.
01:24:44.319 --> 01:25:16.560
Yeah, it's well, you know, sort of coincidentally, uh one of one of the many sort of professions or specialties that I've had is uh when I I did uh English as a second language was to be an English teacher, uh teach English as a second language, which led to me becoming a teacher, which led to what once the ESL part of my career was pretty much finished, I I decided that I could build on that teaching experience in as an instructional designer.
01:25:16.560 --> 01:25:31.840
So I I did one of my graduate programs was instructional systems design, which led to I I've I've I've done almost as much as in and in instructional design as I have in espionage and intelligence.
01:25:31.840 --> 01:25:36.880
But one of the skill sets I have that are related to that is facilitation.
01:25:36.880 --> 01:25:38.479
And I'm What's the connection?
01:25:38.880 --> 01:25:39.520
What's the connection here?
01:25:39.520 --> 01:25:40.319
What's the connection here?
01:25:40.319 --> 01:25:41.039
This is fascinating.
01:25:41.119 --> 01:25:42.159
What what of what?
01:25:42.159 --> 01:25:43.920
In Intel and ISD?
01:25:43.920 --> 01:25:44.640
Yeah, yeah.
01:25:44.640 --> 01:25:45.600
None.
01:25:45.600 --> 01:25:46.159
None.
01:25:46.159 --> 01:25:47.439
There's no connection at all.
01:25:47.439 --> 01:25:48.319
Are you sure?
01:25:48.319 --> 01:25:50.960
Well, officially, no.
01:25:50.960 --> 01:25:56.880
You know, they the Intel community doesn't look at look at ISD and say, oh wow, what a great skill set.
01:25:56.880 --> 01:25:57.920
We can use that.
01:25:57.920 --> 01:25:59.119
But I do.
01:25:59.119 --> 01:26:11.439
It's it it has been extremely helpful in you know, I I had already done ISD uh graduate work and and worked as an ISD when I joined the CIA.
01:26:11.439 --> 01:26:39.600
So I found it very useful that that approach uh instructional systems development helped me in in looking at people's it it helped me in developing the the way I approach the what became HCCA, you know, you know, in credibility, in listening, in uh facilitating conversations, in you know, it it's all it was all very useful.
01:26:40.000 --> 01:26:43.119
Well, it's actually I I want to talk about this for a minute because this is fascinating.
01:26:43.119 --> 01:26:49.840
So the the traditional way of teaching or the way we understand teaching is a didactic approach, PowerPoints, lectures, and all that.
01:26:49.840 --> 01:26:50.560
That doesn't work.
01:26:50.560 --> 01:26:52.079
That's not what we're talking about.
01:26:52.399 --> 01:26:52.720
That's right.
01:26:52.960 --> 01:27:01.039
If I understand what you're saying is in structural design, ISD, and the connection to what we just went over is that it's contextual, right?
01:27:01.039 --> 01:27:13.439
We look at the context, we look at the orientation, the disposition of the people or person we're training or coaching, and we figure out ways to get to the desired outcomes that we're looking for, right?
01:27:13.680 --> 01:27:27.840
You identify those outcomes first, you you you analyze so so there the the the the the mantra, the guiding uh approach to ISD is ADI A D D I E.
01:27:27.840 --> 01:27:32.800
Analyze, design, develop, implement, and evaluate.
01:27:32.800 --> 01:27:34.159
And that's what you do.
01:27:34.159 --> 01:27:48.000
At the end of you you the analysis is looking at the whole context, the people, the subject matter, and the the output of the analysis is uh learning objectives.
01:27:48.000 --> 01:27:51.600
At the end of this you know, now we've done the analysis.
01:27:51.600 --> 01:28:03.520
Uh if if a learning activity is is what is required or is what can meet our needs, then what What is that what is it that we want to come out of the learning activity?
01:28:03.520 --> 01:28:03.840
Yeah.
01:28:03.840 --> 01:28:08.079
At the end of this activity, the learner will be able to fill in the blank.
01:28:08.079 --> 01:28:19.840
Now you feed that learning objective into development and you develop activities that guide the learners to achieve that objective.
01:28:19.840 --> 01:28:20.560
Yeah.
01:28:20.560 --> 01:28:22.000
That's design.
01:28:22.000 --> 01:28:28.560
Develop is you you take the design into whatever technical solution is used.
01:28:29.520 --> 01:28:36.079
So I'm wondering, uh have you followed anything from ecological psychology, ecological dynamics, and anything known as the constraints-led approach?
01:28:37.520 --> 01:28:41.920
Probably when I was in grad school, but uh it it does I don't I couldn't quote it.
01:28:42.560 --> 01:28:45.600
So it's it's uh the big thing today is constraints-led approach.
01:28:45.600 --> 01:28:49.520
It's an ecological approach, kind of like Addy, I'd say it's uh the next evolution of that.
01:28:49.520 --> 01:28:51.199
So nonlinear pedagogy.
01:28:51.199 --> 01:28:58.800
So we want to create the conditions, the context for the learner, the performer, the agent to do the actions that we want.
01:28:58.800 --> 01:29:00.079
So think about sport.
01:29:00.079 --> 01:29:06.000
In sport, when you dribble around a basketball cone or a cone, do you ever see that during a basketball game?
01:29:06.000 --> 01:29:07.600
The answer is no, you don't, right?
01:29:07.600 --> 01:29:14.000
So why do we create why do we create those games that have nothing to do with the game itself?
01:29:14.000 --> 01:29:16.640
So you want to create representative design, right?
01:29:16.640 --> 01:29:19.520
What is the thing that we're actually going to experience?
01:29:19.520 --> 01:29:23.439
How do we create for that in a small-sided game or an environment?
01:29:23.439 --> 01:29:27.199
It's the same thing we do with like like uh we call it Flow Learning Lab.
01:29:27.199 --> 01:29:32.399
We use a simulation that is about making decisions under uncertainty.
01:29:32.399 --> 01:29:38.960
So people have different pieces of information and we observe them and we design things around what they need to do.
01:29:38.960 --> 01:29:44.319
So they they're actually helping co-create the learning environment as we go.
01:29:44.319 --> 01:29:48.960
The hard thing about that is when you sell that to anybody, that's not what they know, right?
01:29:48.960 --> 01:29:55.199
Their context is, well, I'm I want to know what you're gonna teach me in minute one through 10, through 20, or through 40.
01:29:55.199 --> 01:29:56.560
You're like, well, that's I don't know.
01:29:56.560 --> 01:29:57.439
That's not learning.
01:29:57.439 --> 01:29:59.119
So there's gotta be a connection here.
01:29:59.119 --> 01:30:01.279
And I'm just trying to probe with you and see.
01:30:01.680 --> 01:30:04.960
I mean, they what you're describing is is instructional design.
01:30:04.960 --> 01:30:07.359
It's uh it's using different words.
01:30:07.359 --> 01:30:07.840
Yeah.
01:30:07.840 --> 01:30:08.239
Yeah.
01:30:08.239 --> 01:30:17.520
Uh you know, there's I I but but there's really no they they're they're like parallel trains that don't really cross.
01:30:17.520 --> 01:30:19.119
Yeah, they don't really meet.
01:30:19.119 --> 01:30:27.920
They're you know, instructional design and human intelligence are dealing with very similar sort of raw material, yeah.
01:30:27.920 --> 01:30:33.359
But but they they don't really although they do kind of cross every now and then.
01:30:33.359 --> 01:30:34.319
No, it's fascinating.
01:30:34.319 --> 01:30:49.840
I I can tell you that my my background in instructional design was just as useful to me in recruiting human sources of foreign intelligence as a foreign language and and uh foreign cultural context was.
01:30:50.159 --> 01:30:50.479
Yeah.
01:30:50.640 --> 01:30:50.960
Yeah.
01:30:51.279 --> 01:30:57.119
No, and that's that's why we want to look at uh, you know, we want to be generalists and look across all the domains out there and bring them together.
01:30:57.119 --> 01:31:03.840
Whereas the uh specialists, they're they're looking down one domain and they they can't see the other things that that we're all seeing.
01:31:03.840 --> 01:31:04.640
Absolutely.
01:31:04.640 --> 01:31:13.760
And I think I think that's what makes a good uh in in your case a good agent is is the cross-cutting approach to understanding how systems work.
01:31:13.840 --> 01:31:18.239
Aaron Ross Powell What wide contextual competence is the way I would describe that.
01:31:18.239 --> 01:31:27.680
Wide competence in many unrelated contexts that then become useful in the job.
01:31:27.760 --> 01:31:28.399
Aaron Ross Powell Yep.
01:31:28.399 --> 01:31:28.720
Yep.
01:31:28.720 --> 01:31:36.079
And that's that's what Boyd did he went and looked at all these disparate ideas and brought them all together and said, this is how things kind of work.
01:31:36.479 --> 01:31:36.800
Interesting.
01:31:37.119 --> 01:31:44.079
So yeah, by the way, just so you know, the the military taught us all the wrong ODA loop in in the night in 1996 and a little bit before then.
01:31:44.079 --> 01:31:52.079
Uh and that's the kind of thing we're trying to correct is hey, if you understand this a little bit better, we'll have greater access to things like our conversation we just had today.
01:31:52.079 --> 01:31:55.279
We'll get into cognitive warfare, which we had a lot of conversations on.
01:31:55.279 --> 01:32:06.159
We've had some human folks on here that that brought up, just like you, hey, I'm I'm not a researcher academic, I'm an operator, and what they're saying in a in academia is not true, right?
01:32:06.159 --> 01:32:10.399
So uh just wondering, anything else you want to wrap up with today before we uh sign off?
01:32:10.720 --> 01:32:11.680
Uh I don't know.
01:32:11.680 --> 01:32:14.560
Pro uh interesting.
01:32:14.560 --> 01:32:24.960
I I mean I I don't know if you've seen uh my my other area that I I have since I've gotten out and been able to spend time researching and looking back at history.
01:32:24.960 --> 01:32:33.680
I did mention the CI cases uh of failures of of deception detection credibility assessment.
01:32:33.680 --> 01:32:39.840
Is I also now now I call myself pretty much a historian of of intelligence.
01:32:39.840 --> 01:33:16.640
I'm right now I'm in I'm in the middle of a biography, doing the research for a biography, but it's based on the last uh another book that I did called Willing Accomplices, which I went back as a as a human intelligence covert influence operator, went back and looked at how the the the Bolsheviks, the Soviet Union, uh targeted the common turn, Communist International specifically, targeted the rest of the world, including the I I just focused on the United States for covert influence.
01:33:16.640 --> 01:33:28.720
You know, now you call it cognitive warfare, but it's covert influence, active they call it active measures, we call it what we call it, but covert influence uh and and operations.
01:33:28.720 --> 01:33:51.840
So I I identified the operations that are running against us, I identified the operators, how they did it, and I give uh case studies of specific assets that they recruited and inserted in our in our I call them the transmission belts of our culture, Hollywood, the media and academia and education.
01:33:51.840 --> 01:33:54.800
They focused on those specifically.
01:33:54.800 --> 01:34:07.680
But after in the course of doing that research, I identified one guy nobody had ever really identified as as an operator, as a uh a covert influence agent before.
01:34:07.680 --> 01:34:16.479
So I'm I'm in the middle of I've I've gathered all the the uh I've done the the the get evidence gathering.
01:34:16.479 --> 01:34:24.079
I'm assessing and evaluating now uh for writing this book on the guy's name is uh Alexander Gumberg.
01:34:24.079 --> 01:34:30.000
Um so covert influence, uh cognitive warfare is another one of my specialties.
01:34:30.399 --> 01:34:30.960
Well, this is great.
01:34:30.960 --> 01:34:48.000
So we've uh we've had four or five episodes recently, and one of the connections that we learned from Oriane Cohen, Oriane, Orianne Cohen, who's French, is uh the connection between cognitive warfare where it first came from the the the I guess work at Coint was a U.S.
01:34:48.000 --> 01:34:51.600
Air Force major writing about cybernetics and reflexive control.
01:34:51.600 --> 01:34:52.960
I'm hopefully I get I'm saying that right.
01:34:52.960 --> 01:34:53.920
I might be wrong on that.
01:34:53.920 --> 01:34:59.439
But reflexive control of cybernetics, the connection, the Soviets had a different approach than we did with cybernetics.
01:34:59.439 --> 01:35:04.640
Reflexive control sounds like, and I'm I'm not certain about this, but covert influences and things like that.
01:35:04.640 --> 01:35:08.079
So have you come across any cybernetics, reflexive control theory?
01:35:09.359 --> 01:35:13.680
That's that's so that sounds like probably sixties and seventies kind of I think so, yeah.
01:35:13.680 --> 01:35:19.439
So you're a little bit before then, or I'm I'm I start 1917 and and go up to 33.
01:35:19.760 --> 01:35:20.239
Okay, okay.
01:35:20.239 --> 01:35:21.279
So this is not new.
01:35:21.279 --> 01:35:24.239
I mean, this has been going on for Oh yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:35:24.560 --> 01:35:31.359
There there were others doing it before the the Soviets did it, but the Soviets and What am I getting at?
01:35:31.600 --> 01:35:33.439
The underlying message is very simple then.
01:35:33.439 --> 01:35:34.720
There is no layout.
01:35:34.720 --> 01:35:42.079
Unless we can eliminate the feature just cited.
01:35:42.079 --> 01:35:44.800
Well, we don't know how to do this.
01:35:44.800 --> 01:35:49.760
There is no layout.
01:35:54.079 --> 01:36:03.199
In fact, the the British, the English were masters of the covert influence against us for both World War I and World War II.
01:36:03.199 --> 01:36:11.600
They had massive operations, cognitive warfare, I call it covert influence, but dragging us into their wars.
01:36:11.600 --> 01:36:16.319
And and the Soviets learned from them and made it e much, even much better.
01:36:16.319 --> 01:36:20.640
The the English were kind of like beaten with a very heavy hammer.
01:36:20.640 --> 01:36:26.079
They were effective, but they weren't too uh they they weren't very nuanced about it.
01:36:26.079 --> 01:36:31.520
The Soviets were very nuanced and uh very effective as well.
01:36:31.840 --> 01:36:32.000
Yeah.
01:36:32.319 --> 01:36:33.760
So yeah, it's been going on for a long time.
01:36:34.159 --> 01:36:37.920
We've been pushing back on the uh you know the cognitive warfare moniker.
01:36:37.920 --> 01:36:42.720
Just you know, we're I I'm in Norfolk, Virginia, not too far from that where NATO is, ACT.
01:36:42.720 --> 01:36:46.800
And you know, they push a lot of cognitive warfare stuff out there and they get the OODA loop wrong all the time.
01:36:46.800 --> 01:36:47.840
And it just frustrates me.
01:36:47.840 --> 01:36:53.680
I'm like, you you guys know that if you if you're gonna talk about this, it might be useful if you use a you use the correct one.
01:36:53.680 --> 01:36:55.119
Interesting.
01:36:55.439 --> 01:37:00.960
But sorry, I I didn't want to bring up anything too off topic, but just relatively related.
01:37:01.279 --> 01:37:02.560
No, it is it's very related.
01:37:02.560 --> 01:37:03.600
Uh this is awesome.
01:37:03.600 --> 01:37:04.880
Love to have you back, man.
01:37:04.880 --> 01:37:07.119
There's so much more we can dive into for sure.
01:37:08.319 --> 01:37:08.640
Yeah.
01:37:08.880 --> 01:37:09.279
What do you got?
01:37:09.279 --> 01:37:10.880
What do you got coming up next, other than the book?
01:37:10.880 --> 01:37:11.840
Anything exciting?
01:37:12.319 --> 01:37:12.880
No, no.
01:37:12.880 --> 01:37:15.039
I I am totally immersed in this book.
01:37:15.039 --> 01:37:19.279
So I'm doing research and I I've I've been out to the all the archives.
01:37:19.279 --> 01:37:30.000
I probably have to go to the Library of Congress one more time, gather some stuff, but now I'm sitting at my desk uh processing processing archives.
01:37:30.000 --> 01:37:32.960
So I I'm available anytime you want to chat again.
01:37:32.960 --> 01:37:33.920
Let me know.
01:37:34.159 --> 01:37:35.359
And how can our listeners find you?
01:37:35.359 --> 01:37:36.960
What's the best way to get in contact with you?
01:37:37.199 --> 01:37:39.119
KentClisby.com.
01:37:39.119 --> 01:37:40.560
That's easy.
01:37:40.560 --> 01:37:47.920
Yeah, pretty much there there's links there uh to my books, to stuff I've done.
01:37:47.920 --> 01:37:51.760
My my email is Kent at KentClisby.com.
01:37:51.760 --> 01:37:56.880
You're welcome to drop me a note if anybody has questions, comments, criticisms.
01:37:56.880 --> 01:37:57.680
Awesome.
01:37:57.840 --> 01:38:00.960
All right, I tell you what, I'm gonna keep you on here for a moment, but we'll wrap it up there.
01:38:00.960 --> 01:38:02.399
Thanks for uh tuning in, everybody.
01:38:02.399 --> 01:38:03.279
See you next time.
01:38:03.439 --> 01:38:04.000
Thanks, Punch.
01:38:04.000 --> 01:38:04.319
Thank you.
01:38:04.319 --> 01:38:05.600
Thanks, everyone.
01:38:06.000 --> 01:38:07.199
What am I getting at?
01:38:07.199 --> 01:38:09.279
The underlying message is very simple, then.
01:38:09.279 --> 01:38:10.800
There is no layout.
01:38:10.800 --> 01:38:19.680
Well, problem though, we don't know how to do this.