WEBVTT
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00:00:12.400Music.
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00:00:17.451And welcome to the show. Today, we're going to be revisiting a panel session
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00:00:20.071from Comms Day Summit earlier this month.
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00:00:27.051This was a panel session looking at the issues around the construction of Australia's
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00:00:31.091digital infrastructure, particularly with the view to making it AI ready.
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00:00:38.011The panel featured Brookfield Global Data Center CEO, Uday Mathielagan,
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00:00:43.551IberConnect CEO Mark Rafferty, Equinix Australia MD Guy Danskin,
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00:00:50.851NextDC Chief Operating Officer Simon Cooper and the MC, Steve Kinane from the ABC.
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00:00:56.491So this panel is going to be all about building Australia's digital infrastructure.
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00:01:01.191The panel will examine the forces reshaping digital infrastructure investment
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00:01:02.791across Australia and New Zealand.
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00:01:07.731We'll begin by exploring how macroeconomic pressures are impacting build decisions
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00:01:10.451and capital flows. We'll then turn to AI.
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00:01:15.491Then the panel will also tackle concerns around overbuild and capital discipline
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00:01:16.931in the data centre market.
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00:01:20.991And we're also going to discuss the biggest barriers to project delivery and
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00:01:26.011then move on to the policy settings needed to secure Australia's digital infrastructure future.
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00:01:30.531So I'm first of all going to get each of the panellists to introduce themselves.
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00:01:34.391Good afternoon, final session of the two days. Amazing room.
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00:01:36.771Mark Rufferty, CEO of Faber Connects.
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00:01:45.091Oh, thank you. Good afternoon. Thank you for the invite. My name is Simon Cooper. I'm the COO at NextDC.
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00:01:50.871Good afternoon. My name is Uday Mathialgan. I'm managing partner at Brookfield,
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00:01:54.191and I'm also the CEO of our global data center platform.
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00:01:58.451I'm Simon Debron Goydansk and managing director at Ecranks, and I commend you
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00:02:01.411all for being in the room at 4.30 on the last day of the conference. So well done.
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00:02:07.211Okay. So the first one we're going to tackle is how are macroeconomic disruptions?
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00:02:12.531And by that, I'm including Trump's tariffs, rising costs of capital exchange rate movements.
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00:02:17.551How are they influencing the digital infrastructure market in Australia and
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00:02:19.491New Zealand? Mark, maybe you want to kick that one off.
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00:02:25.691Me first. I'd say the only real impact in our market is during construction.
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00:02:28.111We started FibreConnects in 2019.
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00:02:32.771We've seen the labour costs and obviously the cost of quality assurance of that
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00:02:35.951construction increase by over 40%.
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00:02:41.651And it's sort of been a gradual increase and we've seen a lot of pressure on
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00:02:43.291the construction companies in solvency.
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00:02:48.051So we've had four major constructors go into liquidation in the last 12 months,
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00:02:50.071focusing in our markets.
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00:02:53.271Our biggest concerns are actually keeping those costs under control,
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00:02:55.651but more importantly, the quality assurance process of that.
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00:02:57.711So ours more impacted through labor costs.
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00:03:00.051Simon? Thank you, Mark.
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00:03:06.851Yeah, to carry on with that thread, sort of post-COVID price pressure has been significant.
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00:03:10.831And on top of that, and I think we've probably seen the same in the fiber industry,
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00:03:15.211the volume of work and maybe to some extent in the data center,
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00:03:18.351the volume of possible work has gone through the roof as well.
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00:03:19.831I think that's contributed to it.
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00:03:24.891But ultimately, managing your costs and focusing on that hasn't really prevented
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00:03:26.791us from continuing our development.
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00:03:33.111On the supply chain side, we've gone through an incredible tightening where
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00:03:35.411we were hearing things that would
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00:03:40.211normally take three or four months to deliver could be 18 or 24 months.
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00:03:43.651That's almost gone all the way back to normal.
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00:03:49.791So that is what it is. These are regular cycles. I think with respect to interest
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00:03:55.471rates and tariffs and so on, I think Australia is in a position where it's kind
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00:03:59.491of somewhat uniquely insulated from some of that.
00:03:59.731 -->
00:04:03.891I've not seen anything that's tariff related that's driven different decision
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00:04:05.911makings from my perspective at this point.
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00:04:09.031Maybe that'll change in the next six months as it really flows through.
00:04:09.271 -->
00:04:13.411And from an interest rate perspective, you know, we deal with that as a business.
00:04:13.411 -->
00:04:14.731I guess there was a number of
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00:04:18.891years where we didn't have to because they were low and now we do have to.
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00:04:24.171So I'm hoping we continue on that downward trend, but we'll continue to deal with it.
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00:04:29.211So really, it comes back to opportunity and then just dealing with local cost
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00:04:33.311and resource challenges as there's lots going on both in our industry and others.
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00:04:38.985Yeah, look, I think Ian Martin touched on it a bit earlier. Cost of capital
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00:04:40.425is not necessarily going up.
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00:04:47.385I think the issue is more around factors with supply chain and construction
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00:04:50.525costs a lot, and maybe just a global perspective.
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00:04:54.625And look, there's a lot of discussion on tariffs, but the tariff thing is,
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00:04:59.625to a large extent, it depends on whether it's related to the US or not.
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00:05:02.585So when you look at the supply chain, let's break it down, say,
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00:05:07.705data centers or fiber networks, a lot of the componentry comes from other markets as well.
00:05:07.885 -->
00:05:10.825So it captures the other things. And also, it's not just tariffs.
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00:05:14.745It's export controls, which could have an impact as part of a trade war.
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00:05:19.985Yeah, true of that. And if you're going there, so clearly the world is almost
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00:05:24.605separating into three different, I wouldn't call them blocks necessarily,
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00:05:27.305but you've got the whole U.S. ecosystem.
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00:05:31.125The Chinese ecosystem is very strong in certain markets.
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00:05:34.985And there's a whole bunch of countries in the middle, particularly when you
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00:05:38.565start thinking about and talking about sovereign AI capability,
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00:05:42.765who are starting to get more concerned and worried in terms of where should
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00:05:44.665they source their inputs.
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00:05:47.145And so I think we can talk a little more about AI in a minute,
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00:05:51.765but just on your initial points, I think cost of capital itself is not such a big issue,
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00:05:55.345but it's the risk that And when you think about the Australian context,
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00:06:00.685I think construction costs have become more unpredictable and supply chain is
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00:06:04.145still, you know, if you don't have it stitched up, you've got some challenges.
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00:06:07.265So I think it's worth managing the risk and delivering large,
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00:06:09.785complex projects. All right, Guy, what are your thoughts on this?
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00:06:13.745Yeah, on the export controls, I'm not sure how familiar people are with the
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00:06:17.125AI diffusion rule, which was retired under the Trump administration.
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00:06:21.065So while it's been retired, it's actually pretty indicative of how the US government
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00:06:23.985thinks about Australia in terms of a strategic ally in this region.
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00:06:27.725And so as we think about digital infrastructure in Australia and New Zealand, I think it.
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00:06:31.418It's one signal that we're very well placed from a strategic position.
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00:06:34.358I agree with the panelists largely on tariffs.
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00:06:38.998We're a global organization and we see opportunity potentially there.
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00:06:43.838For example, we've got about $500 million of components on pre-buy that we've
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00:06:45.138got strategically placed around.
00:06:45.478 -->
00:06:48.778So there's opportunity there, but also risk. Just a quick follow-up about that
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00:06:52.018guy, because in the free trade agreement between the US and Australia,
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00:06:54.898they don't mention digital services.
00:06:55.638 -->
00:07:00.778But Jamison Greer, when he was being questioned in the Congress by Mark Warner,
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00:07:05.558who was getting very fired up on behalf of Australia, did talk about barriers
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00:07:10.238to trade in the digital space in Australia. Do you think that could become an issue?
00:07:10.658 -->
00:07:16.478I think it is an issue. I was in the US in March, and the US government has
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00:07:20.498a particular view that we have trade barriers here in terms of how we think
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00:07:23.178about taxation of American technology companies.
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00:07:26.958And then, of course, in Australia here, we've got the digital tax we think about
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00:07:28.338on those similar companies.
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00:07:34.198So I think both countries see some potential trade conflict there in terms of non-tariff barriers.
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00:07:38.118Yeah. Okay. Guy, while you've got the mic, I'll come to the second question about AI.
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00:07:42.138How is AI reshaping business models and investment strategies?
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00:07:45.958Are we looking at game-changing innovations or just another tech trend?
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00:07:50.178That's not another tech trend. I hope not because otherwise a lot of us are out of a job.
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00:07:53.538Yeah, look, I think we're through that hype cycle, you know,
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00:07:57.458the Gartner hype cycle in terms of, you know, we're two years in here.
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00:08:00.378And so really it's now the adoption and the real use cases of AI.
00:08:00.638 -->
00:08:03.698And the thing that's exciting, certainly for our industry, and I think a lot
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00:08:07.138of the folks in this room over the last couple of days, is that as we move into
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00:08:11.178inferencing and the carriage and network that's required to drive that either
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00:08:13.418from a mobile perspective, a sub-sea perspective,
00:08:13.978 -->
00:08:17.658long-haul networking, you know, consumption is driven through connectivity.
00:08:18.018 -->
00:08:21.298And I think for the folks here at Comms Day, I think that's pretty exciting.
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00:08:23.458Uday, do you want to follow up on that one?
00:08:24.544 -->
00:08:30.924Probably a couple of comments on AI. Clearly, I think it's a general purpose sort of technology.
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00:08:33.984People have given lots of different language to it. I won't add to it,
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00:08:38.924but I'll give you two real examples in terms of what's happening in our firm.
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00:08:43.324I mean, we own dozens of businesses across our infrastructure and private equity
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00:08:49.184practice, and we've got 300 live projects just in terms of how AI can change
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00:08:51.704business processes and a whole bunch of stuff.
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00:08:55.004So, you know, I'm sure the same thing's happening across the board.
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00:08:59.324So it's a huge impact. But with an investor hat on, particularly around digital
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00:09:04.084infrastructure, we're seeing, and back to my earlier point, there are countries
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00:09:07.224that are really taking sovereign AI seriously.
00:09:07.684 -->
00:09:11.224And so the opportunity to invest has expanded.
00:09:11.524 -->
00:09:15.044So we've made two announcements recently.
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00:09:19.004So we're working with the French government who've announced a 100 billion euro
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00:09:21.584program to create a sovereign AI capability.
00:09:21.584 -->
00:09:25.344We're going to contribute $20 billion of that, primarily through our data center
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00:09:29.064business called Data4, but it's actually a very large campus in the northern
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00:09:32.604part of France, which is quite different from a typical data center.
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00:09:35.724It's going to bring together industry in a different way.
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00:09:39.204Similar announcement in Sweden recently. So I think, you know,
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00:09:40.164I'm just posing the question.
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00:09:43.304I think there'll be countries that decide that they're going to have to take
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00:09:48.024control of some elements of their AI when it comes to sovereignty.
00:09:48.164 -->
00:09:51.664And are you seeing that here yet? But I think it's playing out.
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00:09:54.684You know, I think it's, look, I think Australia is blessed with,
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00:10:00.224we've got lots of data-centric, you know, good companies, great infrastructure.
00:10:00.584 -->
00:10:03.844But I think it's, the question's out there.
00:10:04.004 -->
00:10:08.044It's like, to your earlier point as well, as public policy changes,
00:10:08.404 -->
00:10:11.884how much of it do you really want to truly control?
00:10:12.104 -->
00:10:15.184You know, so I think this is a dynamic that's playing out every day in front
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00:10:18.584of us, you know, in terms of how different countries are reacting.
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00:10:24.504Simon, how do you see this space evolving? Yeah, so I think innovation is really the key thing here.
00:10:24.664 -->
00:10:30.004And not to sort of talk to the innovation that NVIDIA or the inventor of the
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00:10:36.464Tensor equivalent has driven, but just kind of how business is going to get created and driven.
00:10:36.764 -->
00:10:43.504So to your point, I don't think at a federal level, it's really been gotten its arms around yet.
00:10:43.684 -->
00:10:47.984But we do have land, we've got the capability to grow the power supply.
00:10:47.984 -->
00:10:52.884And we're a nation that punches well above its weight in terms of technology adoption.
00:10:53.164 -->
00:10:57.944So it's coming. We did an announcement last week about another site that we're
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00:11:00.724going to be developing in central Melbourne, near Port Melbourne,
00:11:01.064 -->
00:11:04.944with a significant amount of state-level government involvement.
00:11:05.204 -->
00:11:07.184And that's great for a couple of reasons.
00:11:07.684 -->
00:11:12.984Obviously, the subtle changes that are required in terms of planning alignment are important.
00:11:13.184 -->
00:11:18.124But more importantly, from my perspective, and I think from the whole industry's perspective, to see.
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00:11:21.814Politicians and their underlying sort of
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00:11:25.014planning and thinking actually kind of get behind
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00:11:32.594a growth opportunity and figure out how to enable it to actually grow and then
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00:11:38.414how to absorb it into the sort of the local infrastructure so that it does benefit
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00:11:42.694and create jobs and create opportunity as opposed to the other way around.
00:11:42.834 -->
00:11:47.214And I would say 18 months or 24 months ago, there was a real danger here where
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00:11:50.414there was, you know, stop signs going to get chucked up because nobody knew
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00:11:52.954how to cope. And we'd seen that in Ireland.
00:11:53.154 -->
00:11:55.674We've seen that in Singapore. It's a cycle, you get through it.
00:11:55.774 -->
00:11:58.594But I'm really excited that we're on that journey.
00:11:58.894 -->
00:12:01.754Lots of problems to solve, but we seem to be getting genuine support.
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00:12:05.274Mark, how are you feeling about it? How are we feeling about AI?
00:12:06.634 -->
00:12:13.054Look, obviously, our biggest sort of focus area at the moment is obviously we
00:12:13.054 -->
00:12:15.354build conduit networks that connect all the data centers.
00:12:15.714 -->
00:12:18.894We have to be very considerate as into the architecture of that.
00:12:19.074 -->
00:12:23.334I mean, you can't go and rip up everyone's front lawn for three years and then
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00:12:26.054say, well, I've got it wrong. I have to actually change this architecture.
00:12:26.754 -->
00:12:30.894So we've seen the architecture requirements evolve in preparation,
00:12:31.574 -->
00:12:32.774especially Sydney and Melbourne.
00:12:33.074 -->
00:12:38.514But where a lot of our focus is now is, one, the capacity going into these data
00:12:38.514 -->
00:12:40.694centers for what we believe the data centers are going to be used for,
00:12:40.914 -->
00:12:42.974but how a customer is going to connect to it.
00:12:43.214 -->
00:12:47.654Yeah. So we are building a brand new fiber fabric across the country and we
00:12:47.654 -->
00:12:50.794are building to all the corporate buildings in a predefined way.
00:12:50.974 -->
00:12:55.194The way the stock exchange has connected any customer to its trading platform
00:12:55.194 -->
00:12:58.654for over 20 years is focused on latency, direct point of sight.
00:12:58.774 -->
00:13:02.794And I think the inferencing requirements and how fiber is connected to those
00:13:02.794 -->
00:13:07.554inferencing requirements to customers is something the current architecture of Fibre doesn't do.
00:13:08.354 -->
00:13:13.034You have to get that capacity correct. You can't build this three times.
00:13:13.274 -->
00:13:15.954You have to actually build it once in preparation.
00:13:16.234 -->
00:13:20.154We think we're probably about three years from seeing some real inferencing
00:13:20.154 -->
00:13:22.294products coming into the corporate market,
00:13:22.474 -->
00:13:25.894into the enterprise sort of buildings or in customers, but we're spending a
00:13:25.894 -->
00:13:28.854lot of our time sort of talking with partners that we believe are going to be
00:13:28.854 -->
00:13:34.394managing that product and those inferencing zones for their end customers to
00:13:34.394 -->
00:13:40.334make sure that that connectivity is not the issue and is an assistance to guaranteeing that service.
00:13:40.794 -->
00:13:43.914Simon, you mentioned problems to solve. What are the problems you're seeing?
00:13:44.614 -->
00:13:51.574So there's new supply chain problems. So let's just focus, for instance, on liquid chip.
00:13:52.214 -->
00:13:58.634Okay. It's great. It's going to enable us to build less data centers to support way more compute.
00:13:59.482 -->
00:14:03.802All the other challenges are still there. Power, how you reject heat from the
00:14:03.802 -->
00:14:06.302data center, et cetera, et cetera. Great.
00:14:06.982 -->
00:14:11.182Now, to deliver that liquid to chip into the architecture that's been selected
00:14:11.182 -->
00:14:15.942by the likes of NVIDIA, which is essentially the tertiary liquid flows into
00:14:15.942 -->
00:14:19.822the device and back out, you've got a hygiene challenge there.
00:14:19.942 -->
00:14:21.122You've got flow rate challenges.
00:14:21.462 -->
00:14:27.162And what we're seeing is we're moving what was traditionally a deployment in
00:14:27.162 -->
00:14:30.822the mechanical space, and there were several subcontractors here in Australia
00:14:30.822 -->
00:14:31.982that were very, very good at it,
00:14:32.262 -->
00:14:37.042you've now got to a point of hygiene and stainless steel and so on that we're
00:14:37.042 -->
00:14:40.162finding, oh, the food industry can do this. Can they cope with the workload?
00:14:40.422 -->
00:14:43.602So that's a challenge that will be solved.
00:14:43.802 -->
00:14:48.682You've got the power side where our understanding is, and we've seen this in
00:14:48.682 -->
00:14:52.302some of our conversations with our client base and some of the research that's done,
00:14:52.942 -->
00:14:59.802that a 100-megawatt compute deployment, which in cloud world would slowly ramp,
00:15:00.122 -->
00:15:04.862get deployed in incremental periods, and many, many customers will be using it quite differently,
00:15:05.462 -->
00:15:08.542it could be entirely synchronized at a data center.
00:15:09.002 -->
00:15:12.202And then depending on the particular problem or piece of work that it's doing,
00:15:12.442 -->
00:15:15.722could all ramp up and all ramp down. And we're talking in milliseconds.
00:15:16.102 -->
00:15:20.382Because we have renewable energy targets for 2030, right? That's a different thing.
00:15:20.822 -->
00:15:23.562That's a different thing. Is that going to make it harder to hit then?
00:15:24.282 -->
00:15:29.442Personally, I think it should make it easier because growth in demand creates
00:15:29.442 -->
00:15:34.122an opportunity to invest in power generation into a growth market, not a replace market.
00:15:34.442 -->
00:15:39.282Now, there's tons of detail underneath that. But for me, at least that's a better thing.
00:15:39.782 -->
00:15:43.502System strength, which is what this is talking about, is a challenge.
00:15:43.782 -->
00:15:47.282It'll be a challenge in any market eventually. So it'll be solved.
00:15:47.502 -->
00:15:50.882There are solutions to it. It's about thinking it through. And the last thing
00:15:50.882 -->
00:15:55.622I would say is that the hyperscalers are leading, but very differently.
00:15:56.222 -->
00:16:00.222So as we speak to one, they're almost ready and they tell us things they've
00:16:00.222 -->
00:16:02.882done when they've deployed to help us learn and deploy for them.
00:16:03.022 -->
00:16:06.082We speak to another and they change their mind at the last minute and say,
00:16:06.182 -->
00:16:09.282no, we're going to stick with the air-cooled GVUs for now because we've not
00:16:09.282 -->
00:16:10.502quite made our decision yet.
00:16:10.642 -->
00:16:13.102So there's a little bit of turbulence there, if you like.
00:16:13.302 -->
00:16:17.562But more exciting, I think, from everyone's perspective, is you've got this
00:16:17.562 -->
00:16:22.042NeoCloud or the NCPs, as they were known. And it's remarkable to me that the
00:16:22.042 -->
00:16:26.022infrastructure as a service layer has almost instantly re-emerged.
00:16:26.202 -->
00:16:30.982And you've got CoreWeave and probably seven or eight others not of that scale,
00:16:31.142 -->
00:16:33.542but that are capable of getting there, having conversations.
00:16:33.902 -->
00:16:38.022So, yeah, there's a huge opportunity and lots of problems to solve in a good way. Okay.
00:16:38.502 -->
00:16:42.222Uday, I want you to kick off on our third topic. Is there a risk of overbuild,
00:16:42.442 -->
00:16:43.942overinvestment for DCs?
00:16:44.022 -->
00:16:47.282How does a platform operator differentiate themselves in the market?
00:16:47.282 -->
00:16:53.022With so much money flowing, are investors doing the right deals or is this a case of FOMO?
00:16:53.730 -->
00:16:59.630I might take a counter view to that point. I just don't think there's almost
00:16:59.630 -->
00:17:03.970enough money to build out all the data set to capacity that will be required in time.
00:17:04.130 -->
00:17:08.690That doesn't stop speculation from happening in the interim.
00:17:08.850 -->
00:17:14.690When you add up all the numbers, the amount of capacity required is quite large.
00:17:14.830 -->
00:17:17.310And to Simon's point earlier, the market has grown quite a bit.
00:17:17.410 -->
00:17:20.890So we used to talk about hyperscalers. Now, you've got the neoclouds and you've
00:17:20.890 -->
00:17:26.030got, you know, the whole range of, you know, just AI platforms who themselves
00:17:26.030 -->
00:17:28.070are going directly to procure capacity.
00:17:28.230 -->
00:17:32.350So macro level demand is very high, a lot of industry constraints.
00:17:32.750 -->
00:17:37.970But capital itself, you know, like if you use this rough math,
00:17:38.450 -->
00:17:43.950$10 million US per megawatt, it'll change a little bit depending on the geography.
00:17:44.290 -->
00:17:48.610For every 100 megawatts, it's a billion dollars. and 100 megawatts is nothing these days.
00:17:48.830 -->
00:17:53.010You touch a campus, we're building campus hundreds of megawatts each.
00:17:53.190 -->
00:17:55.170So each project is worth a few billion.
00:17:55.390 -->
00:17:59.750For every billion we put in, our customers to put in three to four billion in
00:17:59.750 -->
00:18:02.810terms of chips and liquid cooling and whatever else.
00:18:02.990 -->
00:18:05.490So there's quite a lot required sort of macro level.
00:18:05.710 -->
00:18:10.870So I think there's a parallel development taking place in the financial world where.
00:18:11.600 -->
00:18:17.360You know, more sophisticated capital is required at different stages of development
00:18:17.360 -->
00:18:18.340of digital infrastructure.
00:18:18.380 -->
00:18:20.460So I think this is, this will evolve over time.
00:18:20.600 -->
00:18:24.620So you're going to start seeing even large operators selling down different
00:18:24.620 -->
00:18:27.700pieces and parts of their businesses over time, different answers.
00:18:27.800 -->
00:18:31.620So I wouldn't say there's too much money flowing in, but clearly there's quite
00:18:31.620 -->
00:18:35.420a lot of speculation, particularly those who have land, who sometimes,
00:18:35.540 -->
00:18:39.800you know, take a little bit of power and, you know, that's kind of dressed up as almost a data center.
00:18:39.980 -->
00:18:43.360There's a long, way to go from left to right to achieve that.
00:18:43.480 -->
00:18:47.800But more capital at the right stage of development is going to be required than
00:18:47.800 -->
00:18:50.320is available today in the market. Guy, what's your view on that?
00:18:50.840 -->
00:18:54.620Yeah, look, similar to Udo, I think the demand signals are incredibly strong
00:18:54.620 -->
00:18:58.640at the moment, and there is no shortage of capital coming into our space.
00:18:58.840 -->
00:19:01.720I was interested in the CommScope gentleman yesterday. I don't know if folks
00:19:01.720 -->
00:19:04.720caught that, but he was talking about from a supply chain perspective,
00:19:04.980 -->
00:19:06.600their concern about there being
00:19:06.600 -->
00:19:09.520either boom or bust in our space and then trying to hedge against that.
00:19:09.980 -->
00:19:13.240The thing I would say is, you know, Equinix has been operating for 25 years
00:19:13.240 -->
00:19:14.680here in Australia and around the world.
00:19:15.060 -->
00:19:18.280Folks that are now coming up with plots of land and a little bit of energy,
00:19:18.400 -->
00:19:22.760as Udo said, there's a long way to go from there to operating a data center,
00:19:22.940 -->
00:19:25.740mission critical facility, I should say.
00:19:25.940 -->
00:19:29.540And I do think that there is some speculative investment on some of that,
00:19:29.660 -->
00:19:32.140that, you know, I think some caution would be advised.
00:19:32.400 -->
00:19:35.220But also, as earlier said, in Australia, we're very fortunate.
00:19:35.400 -->
00:19:37.100There's a handful of very credible
00:19:37.100 -->
00:19:40.420established operators so there's no shortage of quality supply here.
00:19:40.580 -->
00:19:45.000I think as you go out into Asia and elsewhere, that starts to diminish in terms of quality.
00:19:45.580 -->
00:19:50.880Mark, any risk of overbuild or overinvestment? I'm just a telco, mate. No.
00:19:52.040 -->
00:19:57.040Look, I think on the capital conversation, we're in an interesting time in the
00:19:57.040 -->
00:19:58.760market just in general. So, we've got the luxury.
00:19:58.980 -->
00:20:03.700We have to build every data center operator. So, I think there's 32 in Sydney
00:20:03.700 -->
00:20:06.040at the moment getting built. There's about 12 in Melbourne.
00:20:06.520 -->
00:20:10.600We have to be in all of them. We know what all their plans are and some of them
00:20:10.600 -->
00:20:12.840might have slowed, but they're definitively getting built.
00:20:13.740 -->
00:20:16.860They're not all going after the same type of customers. Yeah,
00:20:16.900 -->
00:20:19.480I think you're going to be left with about three or four real specialists in
00:20:19.480 -->
00:20:21.000the country that will do that.
00:20:21.140 -->
00:20:26.480In my world, I don't think there's enough space for three or four people trying
00:20:26.480 -->
00:20:29.560to build a new core data center connectivity network.
00:20:29.600 -->
00:20:34.140I think we're running an averaged capital across all regions,
00:20:34.280 -->
00:20:38.720across all products. We can't look at a data center on its own merits to say,
00:20:38.800 -->
00:20:41.960will we get enough business out of that one data center, which is risky.
00:20:42.080 -->
00:20:43.300It's very, very risky for us.
00:20:43.440 -->
00:20:48.140So, but we can't be half pregnant and only in a certain amount of data centers at the same time.
00:20:48.400 -->
00:20:52.280So our biggest concern when we see all the data centers being built is who's
00:20:52.280 -->
00:20:55.160going to go in them. Yeah. Are they going to be a single tenant?
00:20:55.792 -->
00:21:00.312And so if you don't win that customer, you have wasted your money building to that network.
00:21:00.612 -->
00:21:05.212Is the future going to be that customers will be required to go to that data center?
00:21:05.492 -->
00:21:10.272So like our two highest routes are between NextDC and Equinix,
00:21:10.792 -->
00:21:13.752you know, individual services and things like that, but our highest capacity
00:21:13.752 -->
00:21:15.132are between the self-built.
00:21:16.012 -->
00:21:21.292Simon, what do you see are the biggest logistical challenges for digital infrastructure builders?
00:21:22.172 -->
00:21:25.552So just joining on to the conversation we just had, I think,
00:21:25.712 -->
00:21:29.372I mean, there are markets where overbuild may have happened.
00:21:29.532 -->
00:21:33.792So if we look at the Johor Bahru area, just north of Singapore there,
00:21:33.992 -->
00:21:38.972we're starting to see data centers that were mostly built, sort of looking for
00:21:38.972 -->
00:21:40.492change of ownership, for instance.
00:21:40.492 -->
00:21:45.532So, but I think fundamentally what the other panelists have said,
00:21:45.692 -->
00:21:52.052it's such an enormously complicated investment from a scale of funding and sophistication.
00:21:52.212 -->
00:21:55.972I don't think that's an issue. So, from a logistics point of view,
00:21:56.132 -->
00:21:58.652if I go back to the beginning, which I think is more interesting.
00:21:58.992 -->
00:22:06.472The risk is the number of real developments and the number of new entrants and
00:22:06.472 -->
00:22:11.452potential solutions to those real developments can create deep confusion in
00:22:11.452 -->
00:22:12.392part of the supply chain.
00:22:12.512 -->
00:22:15.932So, whether that's the manufacturers who are reasonably used to dealing with
00:22:15.932 -->
00:22:21.752that, but certainly the planners, the power networks, I think the fiber providers
00:22:21.752 -->
00:22:25.512are over it. What about permits? And then that could actually choke things if we're not careful.
00:22:25.712 -->
00:22:30.832And so we've done a lot of work with a couple other self-builders and data center
00:22:30.832 -->
00:22:36.392developers to try and lay out a fairly neutral view of what's happening and help,
00:22:36.572 -->
00:22:40.072whether it's AEMO or the water authorities or so on and so forth,
00:22:40.232 -->
00:22:42.292get a zoom in on what's genuinely real.
00:22:42.292 -->
00:22:45.312And then it really comes down to how does
00:22:45.312 -->
00:22:48.252the construction industry respond and that's
00:22:48.252 -->
00:22:51.592going to be very different in every state in queensland it's reasonably
00:22:51.592 -->
00:22:55.032soft at the moment which is great but at some point they are going to actually
00:22:55.032 -->
00:22:58.932start responding to the fact they've got the olympics yeah and so that'll change
00:22:58.932 -->
00:23:03.632and new south wales is different to victoria so it's it's about volume and securing
00:23:03.632 -->
00:23:08.152the expertise that you need but not too soon because you can't build until you
00:23:08.152 -->
00:23:09.152you've you got your certainty.
00:23:09.712 -->
00:23:12.532Uday, what's the biggest logistical challenges in your view?
00:23:13.452 -->
00:23:18.552I'd say two things. I mean, power is very obvious in terms of particularly with
00:23:18.552 -->
00:23:21.172a data center hat on, having sufficient power.
00:23:21.412 -->
00:23:25.012You asked the question about renewable energy earlier, and I think renewable
00:23:25.012 -->
00:23:27.132is going to fill a lot of the gap.
00:23:29.452 -->
00:23:32.612We've got a platform here in this country called Neo, and we're seeing,
00:23:32.732 -->
00:23:37.172and in some of the markets too, a data center is seem to be the single biggest
00:23:37.172 -->
00:23:38.672driver in terms of our demand.
00:23:40.112 -->
00:23:43.272But the challenge is going to be in the grid. You know, there's going to be
00:23:43.272 -->
00:23:48.592– renewable can't solve everything because the energy sources are not continuous
00:23:48.592 -->
00:23:52.172and predictable. So, you're going to have to have batteries. You're going to have to.
00:23:56.197 -->
00:24:01.357Support is required from both public and private investment in those spaces.
00:24:01.517 -->
00:24:04.897I think power and strengthening the grid is going to be an important issue.
00:24:05.177 -->
00:24:09.057Two, I think we've touched on earlier on construction, but just people,
00:24:09.217 -->
00:24:10.497just finding the right talent.
00:24:10.977 -->
00:24:13.537I mean, digital infrastructure is physical. At the end of the day,
00:24:13.637 -->
00:24:18.697it's got to be designed, built, operated, require specialist people.
00:24:19.097 -->
00:24:22.617A number of countries are struggling, I think, to get the right people.
00:24:22.617 -->
00:24:28.697Also, any policy settings or changes that can support getting more skills at
00:24:28.697 -->
00:24:30.397the right time is going to make a difference.
00:24:30.537 -->
00:24:34.077We're suddenly reducing immigration, including putting a cap on foreign students,
00:24:34.157 -->
00:24:36.177aren't we? Yeah, look, it's a...
00:24:38.897 -->
00:24:41.757Guy, do you want to make a comment on the logistical challenges?
00:24:42.257 -->
00:24:44.077I don't want to make a comment on foreign students.
00:24:45.377 -->
00:24:48.857Yeah, look, picking up on what Udo said, that's something we think about a lot
00:24:48.857 -->
00:24:51.877at Equinex is around people bringing the right folks in.
00:24:51.997 -->
00:24:55.757As this data center industry proliferates, there's just so many being built
00:24:55.757 -->
00:24:57.157at such scale so quickly.
00:24:57.497 -->
00:25:00.277And these, again, are mission-critical facilities. This isn't something you
00:25:00.277 -->
00:25:02.597can walk in tomorrow and run within two weeks.
00:25:02.737 -->
00:25:06.457And so thinking about that pipeline of talent through vocational colleges,
00:25:06.717 -->
00:25:10.357through universities, outreach with programs, there's diversity challenges in our industry.
00:25:10.557 -->
00:25:13.977And so thinking through all of that, and it's not an immediate near and present
00:25:13.977 -->
00:25:16.477concern, but it's certainly something we've got to think about long-term,
00:25:16.817 -->
00:25:19.097not just as my organization, but as an industry.
00:25:19.517 -->
00:25:21.697The other thing I'd add on to the sustainability piece, Steve,
00:25:21.757 -->
00:25:25.277because I think you asked that question, renewable projects in Australia, there are lots.
00:25:25.757 -->
00:25:30.377Quality renewable projects with immediate or near-term connection to the grid, there are not as many.
00:25:30.657 -->
00:25:34.397And so as we scale up, we scale up for these customers that are very demanding
00:25:34.397 -->
00:25:39.437on the sustainability side, as we are on ourselves, that's a challenge we're
00:25:39.437 -->
00:25:41.117going to really address next kind of three to five years.
00:25:42.397 -->
00:25:45.177All right. Mark, you want to make a comment on the logistical challenges?
00:25:46.017 -->
00:25:47.057No. Okay. We'll move on then.
00:25:47.317 -->
00:25:51.717So our last topic before we wrap up is what are the public policy challenges
00:25:51.717 -->
00:25:55.517for Australia's digital infrastructure future? Who wants to take that one on first?
00:25:56.177 -->
00:26:00.617Simon? Happy to start there. Again, as I said earlier, I think that the mood
00:26:00.617 -->
00:26:01.957has significantly changed.
00:26:02.157 -->
00:26:05.697So that was a challenge and I was quite concerned about it 12,
00:26:05.817 -->
00:26:07.85718 months ago. So that's great.
00:26:08.237 -->
00:26:11.017What changed and who's changing it?
00:26:11.757 -->
00:26:15.837We went we seem to be going down a pathway where
00:26:15.837 -->
00:26:19.017data centers were at significant risk of being blamed
00:26:19.017 -->
00:26:21.737for not allowing some of the things that we want to do
00:26:21.737 -->
00:26:25.017to happen and and the the grid transition was
00:26:25.017 -->
00:26:29.257a primary one water was lurking in the background as we you know it's a it's
00:26:29.257 -->
00:26:32.917a challenge in many parts of the country naturally and we want to expand housing
00:26:32.917 -->
00:26:38.377and so on but i think through some significant efforts and and credit to the
00:26:38.377 -->
00:26:42.317folks who've been involved listening and us as a group saying,
00:26:42.517 -->
00:26:47.697we understand we have to contribute and we will just open the doors and let us talk.
00:26:47.917 -->
00:26:50.797So that's great. I think there's...
00:26:51.336 -->
00:26:56.756The continuous challenges of what regulation is required and things we've maybe
00:26:56.756 -->
00:27:02.496not even really solved yet a bit further upstream, whether it be on the social media side or so on.
00:27:02.656 -->
00:27:06.296There's a whole bunch of sort of regulation catch up that has to happen.
00:27:06.476 -->
00:27:09.976And then there was the point that you made or someone made earlier about how
00:27:09.976 -->
00:27:14.936do folks invest in the country and we've got different tax rules and import and so on.
00:27:15.096 -->
00:27:17.936And will that stifle growth maybe at some point?
00:27:18.136 -->
00:27:23.436But again, I've seen generally the large investors in the production platforms
00:27:23.436 -->
00:27:26.116like the hyperscalers and so on generally move towards that.
00:27:26.596 -->
00:27:31.156So I think for me, it really comes down to not over-regulating and putting regulations
00:27:31.156 -->
00:27:35.476in place that allow speed versus historically, you've got to be reliable,
00:27:35.476 -->
00:27:38.836but you're only going to grow at 1% Mr. Water Network or Mr. Power Network.
00:27:38.996 -->
00:27:41.696And those changes are a challenge. Guy, you want to chip in there?
00:27:42.296 -->
00:27:45.876Yeah, I think one of the things we'd certainly like to see the government leaning
00:27:45.876 -->
00:27:48.716on is around an artificial intelligence strategy.
00:27:49.276 -->
00:27:53.476We're one of the few developed countries in the world that doesn't have a government-led
00:27:53.476 -->
00:27:55.456AI strategy. Korea's got one.
00:27:55.856 -->
00:27:57.896Japan has one. Singapore, United States.
00:27:58.356 -->
00:28:03.256And that's kind of, it's not giving us as much direction as we should have as a nation.
00:28:03.496 -->
00:28:06.776When you consider the components that go into artificial intelligence,
00:28:06.976 -->
00:28:10.276you think about the critical minerals that are sitting underneath our feet.
00:28:10.436 -->
00:28:16.136We have an incredible role to play in the future of AI, but without government-led
00:28:16.136 -->
00:28:18.496strategy, that's definitely a gap that we see.
00:28:19.176 -->
00:28:21.616So do you see a real opportunity there? Because at the moment,
00:28:21.736 -->
00:28:26.356I can't remember what the figure is, but China has virtual monopoly of not just
00:28:26.356 -->
00:28:28.076digging them out of the ground, but processing them.
00:28:28.196 -->
00:28:30.396Do you see an opportunity there as well?
00:28:30.896 -->
00:28:34.836I mean, long term for Australia, yeah, absolutely. I mean, taking more value
00:28:34.836 -->
00:28:39.076out of that supply chain is something we need to do, but it's a very difficult process.
00:28:39.416 -->
00:28:42.276I think the government recognizes that, and you can see that in some of the
00:28:42.276 -->
00:28:45.596conversations federally, but not only on critical minerals.
00:28:45.736 -->
00:28:49.076We just talked about workforce, how we think about that leading into 2030,
00:28:49.376 -->
00:28:51.316how we bring more people into the collective industry.
00:28:51.556 -->
00:28:54.316The opportunity is huge, but it does need some guidance from government.
00:28:55.019 -->
00:28:58.679Mark, what do you think are the public policy challenges in this area?
00:28:58.839 -->
00:29:04.579Our challenges are predominantly, so we deal with local, state and federal.
00:29:05.159 -->
00:29:10.259Our problems are construction delays with state, state-owned assets,
00:29:10.459 -->
00:29:13.899rail, waterways, motorways, transport.
00:29:14.299 -->
00:29:19.239I mean, we're still three years waiting for approvals to cross some train and
00:29:19.239 -->
00:29:24.699motorways. You know, we have to escalate to a TIO process that takes a year
00:29:24.699 -->
00:29:26.599to review whether it's a low impact or not.
00:29:27.219 -->
00:29:34.299So I think a review of telecommunications infrastructure rights and compliance
00:29:34.299 -->
00:29:37.519is definitely something I think we need to be held accountable for.
00:29:38.259 -->
00:29:41.559So, you know, as it stands today, once you get a federal license carrier,
00:29:41.719 -->
00:29:43.659you have rights to actually construct.
00:29:43.919 -->
00:29:47.119And I think there needs to be a bit more governance on how people do do that.
00:29:47.259 -->
00:29:52.119But in return, I think we need to understand the speed of this infrastructure
00:29:52.119 -->
00:29:53.019and how it's getting built.
00:29:53.479 -->
00:29:57.399Yeah. The customers that are going into these data centers have seen delays
00:29:57.399 -->
00:29:59.619due to these permitting process issues.
00:30:00.019 -->
00:30:04.879They've had to roll back deployments. They've had to roll back workloads because they can't get ready.
00:30:05.119 -->
00:30:08.419We've got our beautiful union in Melbourne. They always play a role for us,
00:30:08.559 -->
00:30:14.759but the state government and or the actual approval process to actually deal
00:30:14.759 -->
00:30:19.639with these state departments, it's been the biggest delay in more deployments
00:30:19.639 -->
00:30:22.459in this country. Is it better in one state or the other?
00:30:23.119 -->
00:30:28.659Predominantly, no. No. I mean, you're looking at a 90-week approval process to cross a railway.
00:30:29.339 -->
00:30:35.959Yeah. And so with those processes, I think that review on us being held to account,
00:30:36.099 -->
00:30:39.379but definitively the other departments helping us actually complete the infrastructure
00:30:39.379 -->
00:30:41.099is critical. We need an escalation.
00:30:41.719 -->
00:30:44.579Don't you get the final word on public policy challenges?
00:30:45.476 -->
00:30:48.256Look, I think a lot of it has already been covered, but with,
00:30:48.476 -->
00:30:51.096again, with an investor hat on, I'd say two things.
00:30:51.276 -->
00:30:57.156One is, you know, from an investment perspective, we like to increase predictability.
00:30:57.396 -->
00:31:02.136That matters a lot. Investors don't like a lot of change. So that covers a whole
00:31:02.136 -->
00:31:07.636gamut of things from, you know, financing structures through to physical sort
00:31:07.636 -->
00:31:09.676of support around infrastructure creation.
00:31:09.996 -->
00:31:14.476And two, we've actually touched on a lot of bottlenecks. So anything that can
00:31:14.476 -->
00:31:19.836be done to make sure that the digital infra lens is also applied,
00:31:19.836 -->
00:31:24.296because often we're talking about a zero-sum game, it's the same resources.
00:31:24.496 -->
00:31:28.596There's other public infrastructure being created, whether it's labor capital or whatever.
00:31:28.816 -->
00:31:33.916So just bringing another pretty specific digital infra lens to things, because it matters.
00:31:34.216 -->
00:31:37.736It is the lifeline of the future economy. So if you don't do that,
00:31:37.976 -->
00:31:38.836it's going to get missed.
00:31:39.556 -->
00:31:44.856Australia is being seen by these companies in the world as a really good place
00:31:44.856 -->
00:31:46.156to put their infrastructure.
00:31:46.456 -->
00:31:49.536And Sydney and Melbourne especially are only going to continue to grow.
00:31:49.776 -->
00:31:52.636We have to make sure we stay ahead to keep them coming.
00:31:52.936 -->
00:31:57.396We can't become a country that had an opportunity to leverage the digital infrastructure.
00:31:57.616 -->
00:32:01.436And so the policy around AI and our plan as a country and how we're going to
00:32:01.436 -->
00:32:05.136support it, we need to support the digital infrastructure expansion and make sure they stay.
00:32:05.896 -->
00:32:09.336Guys, great to get all your thoughts. Thanks so much. Please thank our panel.