WEBVTT
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00:00:05.328Now first, rank the four worst single-day percentage declines historically in the S&P.
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00:00:07.586So the biggest loss is to have a current single day.
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00:00:10.787Exactly. So you've got four options. Break it down. You've got March 16th,
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00:00:12.590the COVID-19 crash of 2020.
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00:00:15.870October 19th, the Black Monday crash of 1987.
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00:00:20.984October 28th, the Great Crash of 1929. And then you've got October 29th,
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00:00:23.399the Black Tuesday crash of 1929.
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00:00:27.187Okay, so for the worst single-day percentage declines, I know number one,
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00:00:30.406which is the Black Market Crash of 1987. So I'm gonna go there and mock that in.
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00:00:35.822So for the back-to-back crashes of 1929, I can't remember if the first or second day was worse.
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00:00:39.857So I'm just gonna go ahead and mock it number two as Black Tuesday. Blah.
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00:00:43.455Number four as the Great Crash of 1929.
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00:00:47.539And that leaves number three as the COVID-19 crash.
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00:00:48.669And we're locked.
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00:00:50.379Wait, wait, wait, can I swap to it?
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00:00:52.549No, no, no, we're buzzed, we're buzzed, we're buzzed, we're buzzed.
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00:00:56.790Okay, okay, okay. Third place, so the third worst recorded day of the S&P 500
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00:01:01.972is the COVID-19 crash in 2020. The market went down 11.98%.
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00:01:06.297We all know this too well. Maybe lost some friendships, some family fights, some divorces.
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00:01:08.159It was quite a time.
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00:01:10.029Yeah, yeah, we already retired us.
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00:01:15.299Now, October 28th was the great crash of 1929. And the S&P went down over 12%
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00:01:19.419in that single day, landing that great crash at number two on our list.
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00:01:25.343And get this, the very next day is October 29th, and that is the Black Tuesday crash of 1929.
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00:01:31.009The S&P continued to go down another 10.16% that very next day.
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00:01:33.989I knew I should switch those two. Which helped lead to the Great Depression,
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00:01:37.946and I'm sure some of you remember that that day broke a record trading approximately 16 million shares.
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00:01:41.383So essentially, the economy was booming. Everyone wanted a slice of the cake.
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00:01:43.484Many purchased stock that borrowed money.
00:01:43.797 -->
00:01:46.789The market began falling. Investors received marginal calls.
00:01:46.789 -->
00:01:49.669Now, Abby, you just took that big test. What's a marginal call?
00:01:49.669 -->
00:01:52.889So a margin call is when the stocks are bought with borrowed money.
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00:01:56.549They lose value and the lender demands that that investor either adds more money
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00:01:58.349or sells the stock to be able to repay the loan.
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00:02:02.059And that essentially caused great depression. And with the plethora of trades
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00:02:05.539that you talked about earlier, I think the ticker system that single day actually
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00:02:07.765fell like hours behind, which is never good.
00:02:08.247 -->
00:02:12.516but that leads us to our number one spot or october 19th the black monday crash
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00:02:17.766of 1987 the market went down 20.47 in that single
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00:02:20.786Day okay before we move on i do want to note that those back-to-back crashes
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00:02:25.426in 1929 are very very very rare and i am curious are we able to pull those numbers
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00:02:28.471to see what the market did the following day after each of these crashes
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00:02:32.346Absolutely amazing point let's lock in those numbers one time so we got first
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00:02:38.046spot october 19th the black monday crash of 1987 the market went down 20.47
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00:02:40.737percent the very next day it went up 5.33
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00:02:45.746at our second spot we got october 28th the great crash of 1929 the market went
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00:02:50.821down 12.34 percent the very next day went up 10.16
00:02:51.418 -->
00:02:55.926and then we have third spot we got march 16th cover 19 crash of 2020 the market
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00:03:00.408went down 11.98 percent that very next day up six percent
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00:03:04.512and then we have the october 29th the Black Tuesday of 1929.
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00:03:10.736Obviously the market went down 10.16 and again went down the next day 12.53
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00:03:15.006percentage which to your point is very very very not normal.
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00:03:18.436Exactly it's important to be educated and understand that statistically the
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00:03:20.760worst days in the market are often followed by the best days.
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00:03:22.508Ah you sure let me switch those Rob.
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00:03:27.166So which is kind of a huge part of this entire investing game right is like
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00:03:31.806how to stay invested, when to pull, how to emotionally invest right because
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00:03:33.296it's got It's gotta be so dang hard to
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00:03:36.866see the market go down 20%, 10%, whatever it might be on that day,
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00:03:39.563and just be like, I'm okay. It's gonna come back up.
00:03:40.230 -->
00:03:42.812How do you like deal with that with your clients?
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00:03:45.022It's a great question. And it's something I deal with every day.
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00:03:49.492As a human, it's very normal to want to and to actually follow that emotion.
00:03:49.492 -->
00:03:52.792So if you're excited or you're upset, you're jumping in the market,
00:03:52.792 -->
00:03:55.781you're jumping out of the market, and that's not going to get you your best long-term growth.
00:03:55.943 -->
00:03:59.482It becomes a thing of like fear of missing out, right? Market goes up.
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00:04:03.252The Fab 7 is doing great. And I want to get in, right? And the market goes down.
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00:04:06.602And you're like, well, I want to get out. Like it's a fear of missing out like anything else.
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00:04:10.052Exactly. and then as we were talking about you know a lot of the markets downs
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00:04:14.592are followed by the markets ups and so if you miss that right time to get back
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00:04:15.952in now you're paying more for it
00:04:15.952 -->
00:04:20.112Uh so how do you pin that into your client's head because that's such a hard
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00:04:24.945thing to like override right for emotions how are you going to override your emotions
00:04:25.282 -->
00:04:29.372yeah like it's crazy so like how i feel like that's one of the hardest jobs
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00:04:30.842as y'all advisors it's like how do
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00:04:34.257you you're almost a therapist and your investment and your income stuff.
00:04:34.272 -->
00:04:39.222So it's, it's a lot of emotions to, to deal with. Like, how do you maintain that?
00:04:39.222 -->
00:04:40.938Which allows you logically
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00:04:45.117walking them through a strategy that's dollar cost averaging it locks in a lower
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00:04:50.227cost per share on average by them contributing fixed amounts at regular intervals
00:04:50.227 -->
00:04:51.431that fixed amount could be
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00:04:56.655five hundred dollars one thousand dollars a month it depends upon the person's financial situation
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00:05:00.260Okay so essentially you're saying if you can lock in a particular price
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00:05:04.927in a particular timeline like once a month right that if you add up all those
00:05:04.927 -->
00:05:08.707shares that you bought the average if you add them all up and divide it by how
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00:05:10.197many shares you have is going to be
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00:05:14.827less per share than if I were to just, you know, grab 10 grand here and throw
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00:05:17.391it in the market and grab five grand here, throw it in the market.
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00:05:20.627Yeah. And because when that price is lower, you're buying more shares with that
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00:05:23.397fixed dollar amount. When the price is higher, you're buying less shares with
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00:05:24.252that fixed dollar amount.
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00:05:29.947Okay. So basically if I have $20 in my hand and I go get gumballs or something
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00:05:35.637like, and the gumball is $10, I'm getting two, but if the gumball is 25 cents, i'm getting a
00:05:35.637 -->
00:05:38.937Plucker right think about target when you walk into target and there's a sales
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00:05:41.237action not a sales section there's a shirt for 50 dollars
00:05:41.577 -->
00:05:45.147you know buy a shirt 50 the sales section has let's just say for hypothetical
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00:05:49.517purposes that same shirt for 25 and you get to buy two so now you have two for
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00:05:52.72750 and then you have one for 50 so it's
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00:05:55.297Funny too because like when you think about when i walk into target i'm like
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00:06:00.109oh discount right right when the market goes down you're my my emotions like oh yeah yeah
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00:06:04.637Exactly which is very normal and again that's why it's important to be educated
00:06:04.637 -->
00:06:08.267and a reason why I tried to take the emotion out of it so that they can reframe
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00:06:09.797their thinking of in regards to this.
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00:06:13.187So yeah, can I give like an example, like more stock market related?
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00:06:17.787Yeah, absolutely. So let's let's call a friend day and friend B and they both
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00:06:20.497want a certain stock and let's palm palm tree,
00:06:20.497 -->
00:06:23.729But stock palm tree. So let's call it stock palm tree.
00:06:23.955 -->
00:06:26.677And so let's say stock palm tree is at $100 right now. Yeah,
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00:06:30.657friend day is going to give me $1,200 to invest in stock palm tree at once.
00:06:30.657 -->
00:06:33.023Okay. Friend B is going to give me $400.
00:06:33.517 -->
00:06:34.376to invest that
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00:06:37.416Month okay and then following next month he's gonna do 400.
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00:06:41.846Following the next time every month he's okay friend b is doing 400 every single
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00:06:48.186month okay so month one stocks palm trees at 100 he gets 12 shares for that 1200 okay
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00:06:51.066100 a share dollars a share 1200 he's 12 shares
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00:06:54.816He's done 12 shares he's done now he's locked in oh you can always get out the
00:06:54.816 -->
00:07:00.216market but he's locked it for this yes um for b invests 400 that month one and
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00:07:02.656gets four shares so now we've got 12 v1 four
00:07:02.772 -->
00:07:06.096Okay so four hundred dollars here twelve hundred dollars there this guy owns
00:07:06.096 -->
00:07:11.29612 shares of stock palm tree this guy only owns four shares of box
00:07:11.296 -->
00:07:15.166Stuff yeah four dollars four shares twelve dollars twelve shares okay okay so
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00:07:19.183month two stock palm tree goes down to 50. okay so now this guy's
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00:07:23.946friend a is probably a little bit nervous then he's wondering should i get out should i not get out his
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00:07:25.296Investment just went down to
00:07:25.296 -->
00:07:27.611600. exactly so now he's yeah so he's
00:07:27.808 -->
00:07:31.076Questioning himself still has 12 shares but six hundred dollars correct
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00:07:33.586Friend b he now gets eight shares
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00:07:36.846for that fixed amount at four hundred dollars okay he now gets eight
00:07:36.846 -->
00:07:39.331Shares just bought another eight shares month too
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00:07:41.156For no extra more money than
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00:07:44.046He was four hundred dollars because now it's fifty dollars he paid four hundred
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00:07:47.866dollars for the same stock at fifty dollars and he got eight shares Yes, right.
00:07:47.866 -->
00:07:51.776So now he's got the first month was four shares. He bought for 400 second month.
00:07:51.776 -->
00:07:56.965He has 12 8 8 shares per 400. So now he has 12 shares altogether.
00:07:57.157 -->
00:08:01.426Yeah, he's 12 shares 12 shares He's only spent friend B's long spent eight hundred
00:08:01.426 -->
00:08:06.256dollars and friend a has spent twelve hundred dollars and that same shares Okay,
00:08:06.256 -->
00:08:09.436Not too. Okay. Let's try. Yes. Yes. Yes. Yes.
00:08:09.436 -->
00:08:12.716Okay. So now we're gonna in the month three Stock was back up to a hundred dollars.
00:08:12.716 -->
00:08:16.667Okay. This guy friend day still only has 12 shares $1,200 invested.
00:08:16.783 -->
00:08:22.296So he's basically back apart. Back even, yep. Even, okay. Now friend B, again, $400.
00:08:22.296 -->
00:08:27.286$400, another four shares. Okay. So now he has 12 plus four, 16 shares.
00:08:27.286 -->
00:08:30.82616 shares. For $1,200. $1,200, yes.
00:08:30.826 -->
00:08:35.110This guy's $1,200, 12 shares. Yeah. And if he wants to sell, he has a gain.
00:08:35.702 -->
00:08:40.374yes because now this talks at a hundred dollars if you have 16 shares at a hundred
00:08:40.374 -->
00:08:41.971dollars that's sixteen hundred dollars so
00:08:42.111 -->
00:08:46.664Basically what you said is true the average cost per share when your dollar
00:08:46.664 -->
00:08:50.814cost average is gonna be lower than just random random direct
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00:08:54.094Deposit and so that's the reason why i like to start my clients here and make
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00:08:58.654this the foundation of what can you afford to start contributing monthly long-term
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00:09:01.834growth and for your retirement but it does help you with taking the emotion
00:09:01.834 -->
00:09:04.954out market timing and the fear of when to go back in yeah
00:09:04.954 -->
00:09:08.534Every man gives you that confidence of like not wanting to miss out right i'm
00:09:08.534 -->
00:09:11.374almost being don't work harder for the smarter
00:09:11.374 -->
00:09:14.924So having having go like our side of being having that just kind of that that
00:09:14.924 -->
00:09:17.594fixed amount and you're not worrying about it and you and you know the market's
00:09:17.604 -->
00:09:21.614human supposed to um that's that's the best way for long-term growth so after
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00:09:25.624fully understanding the clients find their situation their goals or risk tolerance and so forth
00:09:26.117 -->
00:09:29.002i like to start and build the foundation with this process.
00:09:29.764 -->
00:09:33.154Taking out the emotion, showing them the logic, putting in their numbers and
00:09:33.154 -->
00:09:36.974reiterating that it's the low sacrifices now that are going to set you up for
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00:09:38.964success and long-term growth in the future.
00:09:38.964 -->
00:09:41.844It's nice that it takes a lot of the thinking out of it too.
00:09:41.844 -->
00:09:44.964But you're like, Oh, is the markets up? Should I get more? Should I get less?
00:09:44.964 -->
00:09:48.524Oh, no, I'm good. I got an excellent. I have a plan. I have a strategy.
00:09:48.524 -->
00:09:51.722I'm not throwing darts at nothing. Now I have a target there, right?
00:09:52.604 -->
00:09:56.624I actually heard if you put $1,000 a day, excuse me, a day. That would be crazy.
00:09:58.798 -->
00:10:04.054$1,000 a month into a investment account or whatever, for 30 years that you
00:10:04.054 -->
00:10:08.764would have like at an 8% return would be like, I think it was like 1.5 million
00:10:08.764 -->
00:10:12.704or something like that. I mean, yeah, which is crazy. I mean, that's crazy.
00:10:12.704 -->
00:10:16.164And that's why time in the market early investing is so important because back
00:10:16.164 -->
00:10:19.604to the little sacrifices and you could probably increase that.
00:10:21.090 -->
00:10:24.434you're 30 and you're 60, you can start contributing $2,000 a day,
00:10:24.494 -->
00:10:28.714I'm just kidding a month. And, and you get more compounded growth on that.
00:10:28.874 -->
00:10:32.854Yeah, it's true. Because I started at $0 in my situation.
00:10:32.854 -->
00:10:37.064I just put $1,000. So my account was at $1,000. That's before you've done your
00:10:37.064 -->
00:10:42.31440K rollover, but other compound interest, then it can be a whole nother podcast we can talk about.
00:10:42.314 -->
00:10:46.734Yeah, yeah. There's a lot of depth. I like that. You said majority of your clients,
00:10:46.734 -->
00:10:48.413that's how they start and get it going.
00:10:48.657 -->
00:10:51.424Again, it depends on their financial needs, their goals, But yes,
00:10:51.424 -->
00:10:55.554ultimately, if it matches their financial situation, I like to start them with
00:10:55.554 -->
00:10:57.714their monthly contributions. Just get in the market.
00:10:58.299 -->
00:11:01.634What this whole episode has been about is time in the market.
00:11:01.634 -->
00:11:02.874Get into the market if you can.
00:11:02.874 -->
00:11:06.024Beautiful. Well, thank you, Abby. If you're ready to take that next step and
00:11:06.024 -->
00:11:10.084start your monthly contributions to your future, we'll leave a link in the description
00:11:10.084 -->
00:11:13.067for you. And remember, folks, the secret to wealth is not what you're in.
00:11:13.386 -->
00:11:15.516It's what you keep. Happy days, everybody.
00:11:16.930 -->
00:11:21.754This podcast is for entertainment and educational purposes only and is not intended
00:11:21.754 -->
00:11:25.594as personal financial advice. Before making any financial decision,
00:11:25.594 -->
00:11:29.321please do your own research and consult a financial advisor as needed.