# David Spiegelhalter

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2011 in numbers

A guide to interesting, informative or just plain idiosyncratic numbers of the year. Plus, does probability really exist? Contributors: David Spiegelhalter, Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at Cambridge University; Owen Spottiswoode, Fullfact.org; Tracey Brown from Sense about Science…

Who are the 1% and the 99%?

Tim Harford on income inequality in the UK, and elsewhere. He speaks to Professor Sir Tony Atkinson of Oxford University; Stewart Lansley, author of 'The Cost of Inequality'; and Professor Donald Boudreaux of George Mason University. Also, David Spiegelhalter, the Winton Professor of the Public Und…

Think in Scenarios, not Predictions | David Spiegelhalter's The Art of Uncertainty | Choosing Clearly Series Part 4/7

Do you ever wish someone would just give you a straight yes or no answer about a big life decision? In Episode 4 of Choosing Clearly, we continue our journey from overwhelm to wisdom by tackling one of the hardest parts of decision-making: not knowing what happens next. This episode is built a…

Series 3 Episode 9 Sleep, Insects, thirst and Uncertainty

welcome to our September Clinical ECHO on Wednesday 30 September at 3.30 pm. It’s a full-on meeting, with a wonderfully eclectic programme! Matt will kick us off with four musings that have occupied him over the summer, exploring patterns of sleep, neuropathic pain descriptors, new sources of evide…

AADE S7E02 | Why Smart People Skip the Questions That Matter Most: Ben Cattaneo

IN THIS EPISODE: The Philippines project that set Ben on his career path, and why smart people don't ask the right questions Why corporate risk management can turn into "a lot of performance, a lot of theater" What makes a question good: curiosity, a detective mindset, and asking who might be affe…

#223 - Sir David Spiegelhalter - "I Immediately Distrust Every Number In The News"

Sir David Spiegelhalter is one of the world’s leading statisticians, Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at Cambridge University and author of The Art of Uncertainty. Having served on public inquiries into mass murder (Harold Shipman) and systemic healthcare failures, he …

Sir David Spiegelhalter — Defending the Number: Communicating Uncertainty, Risk, and Epistemic Humility

Overview In an era saturated with automated analytics, black-box machine learning algorithms, and confident data narratives, the ability to rigorously quantify and communicate uncertainty is rarer than ever. Statistics is not merely a collection of mathematical recipes; it is the discipline of und…