# Jim Paulsen

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A $20B Blowup. A War-Sized AI Bet. Was the Bottom Just a Margin Call? | Last Call

On this episode of our new market wrap show Last Call, we examine the hidden rotation beneath calm stock market indexes, including sharp AI and semiconductor volatility, small-cap strength, forced fund liquidations, higher rates and changing Federal Reserve guidance. Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigl...

When Falling Yields Become Bad News | Jim Paulsen on the Next Market Shift

In this episode of The Jim Paulsen Show, Jim explains why weakening labor data, softening inflation, and lagged policy tightening could shift markets from inflation fears toward growth and recession fears. He also breaks down why the AI productivity boom may be overstated, how AI capital spending...

Falling Rates. Rising Productivity. Are Good Things Bearish?

In this week's Excess Returns Weekly Wrap, Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler break down Jim Paulsen's warning that falling Treasury yields could become bad news for stocks if markets shift from inflation fears to growth fears, and Dom Rizzo's bullish case for AI productivity and frontier models. The...

Earnings Look Great. Seven Sectors Disagree | Why Jim Paulsen Sees a Tech Bear Market Coming

Jim Paulsen joins Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler to explore why booming AI earnings may be masking a weakening U.S. economy, and what that means for stocks, bonds, and Federal Reserve policy. Using 27 charts, he examines stalled job creation, rising oil prices, growing reliance on debt to finance...

Jim Paulsen on the Weakening Economy, Tech Bear Market Risk and the Bull Market Built on Fear

Jim Paulsen joins Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler on the latest Jim Paulsen Show to explore why booming AI earnings may be masking a weakening U.S. economy, and what that means for stocks, bonds, and Federal Reserve policy. Using 27 charts, he examines stalled job creation, rising oil prices, grow...

Closing Bell Overtime: Fed Cut, Warsh’s Presser Sends Stocks Lower 9/16/26

Investors parse the Fed’s latest decision and what it means for the path ahead as stocks fell sharply during Kevin Warsh’s press conference. Paulsen Perspectives’ Jim Paulsen breaks down the market reaction while Janney Montgomery Scott’s Guy LeBas explains what the decision means for bonds and r...

The "Permabear" Holds 50% Stocks. 7 Sectors Barely Grew. What If Stocks Stop Carrying the Economy?

Are strong earnings and resilient consumer spending hiding a weaker economy underneath? In this Excess Returns Weekly Wrap, Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler explore why that disconnect matters for stocks, bonds, and the risks investors take in their portfolios. Featuring highlights from David Rosen...

A Bifurcated Market on the Edge of a Correction

Jim Paulsen warns that the economy and stock market are dangerously bifurcated, with AI and "new era" spending surging while the rest of the economy barely grows. He says tech complacency is the biggest risk right now after the longest tech boom in 100 years, and financial conditions have tighten...

Tech Is Rolling Over. Yields Are Falling. Why Jim Paulsen is Watching the Walmart Recession Signal

Jim Paulsen sees a risk of a stock market correction as financial conditions tighten and investors grow comfortable with tech's long run of leadership. But his warning does not require a recession or the end of the bull market. In this month's Jim Paulsen Show, Jim joins Justin Carbonneau and Jac...

Tech Has Led for 20 Years. Bonds Yield Over 5%. What If Your Biggest Risk Is What You Don’t Own?

AI financing, tech-stock complacency, and the return of bonds to the portfolio conversation take center stage in this week’s Excess Returns Weekly Wrap. The question connecting them: how much pain could investors face before rate cuts or government support arrive? Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler r...