# Kelly Criterion
En popüler podcast bölümleri
Güncellenmiş:
In finance, the kelly criterion (or Kelly strategy or Kelly bet) is a formula for risk allocation with the sizing a sequence of bets by maximizing the long-term expected value of the logarithm of wealth, which is equivalent to maximizing the long-term expected geometric growth rate. John Larry Kelly Jr., a researcher at Bell Labs, described the criterion in 1956.
The practical use of the formula has been demonstrated for gambling, and the same idea was used to explain diversification in investment management.
Kelly Criterion, 2026 TSP Content Strategy, and the My Handicapping Game of the Week of the Year
This episode will cover:
Kelly Criterion - Kelly comes up a lot as bettors try to work on optimal bankroll management and I discuss the ins and outs today on Kelly and how to minimize your losses and maximize your wins!
TSP Content Strategy - I cover what TSP paid and free content will be for 2026…
Kelly Criterion Follow-up, Look Back to 2025 and Ahead to 2026, CFP Playoff Markets, and the My Handicapping Game of the Week of the Year
This episode will cover:
Kelly Criterion - I cover some follow-up questions on Kelly Criterion!
TSP Content Strategy - I look at 2025 and a look ahead to 2026.
CFP Playoffs - I discuss the material action and my thoughts on Ole Miss/Tulane.
My Handicapping Game of the Week of the Year (7-6 on the …
Is Your Portfolio on Tilt? What Poker Teaches Us About Smarter Investing (E126)
Vegas, baby! We're back from the Vegas Patreon meetup and ready to deal. This week: how poker skills translate to investing success (and failure). Plus, Monkey on the mind-bending challenges that make investing so darn hard. What's at stake? Your portfolio, your sanity, and maybe a little bit of ti…
The AI Math Is Brutal – Is Half Your Portfolio Already Dead? + $POET's Wild Week (E130)
Luke sold two stocks this week. Not because earnings disappointed or guidance missed — but because he ran the numbers on what AI actually does to software valuations, and the math got uncomfortable fast. Meanwhile, Krzysztof turned a 70% options loss into a breakeven exit... then watched the stock …
Is $EOSE an 11-Bagger That's Just Getting Started? (E137)
Two years ago, Badger called EOS Energy garbage. Monkey wouldn't shut up about it. Today, the stock is up 1,000% and the story is just getting stronger. This week on Wall Street Wildlife, we settle the $EOSE vs $AXON bet, dissect a rights offering that could make or break $EOSE shareholders, and go…
Alex Zhong – How to Build Quant Trading Strategies From Scratch
Alex Zhong joins The Sophron® Network to discuss how quantitative traders build systematic strategies from scratch — from signal discovery and model validation to portfolio construction across dozens of uncorrelated strategies. The conversation covers what separates alphas that survive out-of-samp…
Badger's 23-Year Investing Playbook + $PLTR + $AMPG (E142)
Two very different investors. One philosophy episode that might change how you think about your entire approach to the market. This week, Luke lays out his complete investing framework — 23 years, 23% CAGR, distilled into rules you can actually use — while Krzysztof makes the case for a $161M micro…
EP131: AI & SaaS Bounce as Investors Regain Bull-ief
EP131: AI & SaaS Bounce as Investors Regain Belief
The full crew reunites — JT's back from holiday, Phil's settling in, and markets are at all-time highs across the board. Record ETF inflows, fear & greed stuck at 40, and ASX earnings season is off to a flying start.
We unpack AMP's gap-up, Credit …
The $45B Near-Miss - How Leverage Almost Ate a Genius Call (E144)
A 24-year-old prodigy builds a $45 billion fund on a single correct idea about AI, then watches 67% of it evaporate in a month. This week, Badger and Monkey dissect the brutal drawdown at Situational Awareness, the hedge fund that was right about everything except how to survive being right. It's n…
How Robinhood AI Agents Could Run a Kelly Criterion Trading Strategy
So is it theoretically possible that Robinhood's new AI agents could eventually run a Kelly Criterion style strategy for you, sizing every trade at a fixed percentage of your bankroll off an algorithm you write yourself? It is a compelling thought for anyone who wants exposure to active trading wit…
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