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Hello and welcome to this episode of Friar Faithful.
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We're starting this new series of Friars Roundup where we're meeting with different uh Padres content creators.
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And today we have Carnessi on today.
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Um super excited uh to have him on.
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We had Padres Greater on last time, Brent Basic before that.
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And so got a lot of fun stuff to talk about today.
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But first, we get to take a look back at the uh Padres recent series against the San Francisco Giants.
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Padres swept, uh, completing a seven-game win streak that they're currently on, heading into their series with the Colorado Rockies.
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Padres have been looking great.
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They're uh they have some of the best starting pitching over the last uh stretch of games in all of baseball, as well as their bullpen has looked uh particularly good, apart from some definitely some tough blips that have been happening in the series, but their offense has really managed to mitigate that by scoring a ridiculous amount of runs during the series.
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They scored 20 runs versus the uh San Francisco Giants with seven in each of the first two games and six in that final game.
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And so it's been great to see uh this lineup mash in the way that it's intended to and looks on paper.
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Um Machado's been great.
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Merrill was just named NL Player of the Week.
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Tatis has had one of the hottest uh Septembers of any player in all of Major League Baseball.
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And so it's great to see these guys contribute in ways that they haven't in the first half of the season and looking forward seeing um just a lot of a lot of uh potential for this team heading into the playoffs, hopefully, and some October baseball.
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But looking back at this uh Giants series, I'm wondering what are some uh more major takeaways that you had from this?
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Honestly, man, uh if I'm being just really honest with you, the bullpen's just getting figured out just with overuse.
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And that just seems to be one of the big issues that I've seen with the Padres so far.
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You know, I mean we we don't have a plethora of arms like we did in the beginning.
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We're missing Chason Adam, uh, we're missing Jeremiah Estrada, we're missing a couple pieces that we could be using right now.
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And uh, you know, when you keep throwing out uh what is it, uh Kyle Hart or you know, Morahone over and over and over again, Mason Miller, they're they're just gonna start getting figured out.
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They're gonna start getting uh you know, players are gonna start timing them up properly, and that's what we've been seeing.
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That's why we've been seeing the leads go from seven to one, man, and then I I close my phone, I'll walk away, I'm like, we got this game in the bag, I'll look at my phone again, and now we're only down by one.
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Uh so yeah, I think that's that's kind of what bothers me a little bit.
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So hopefully, you know, some players come back and hopefully maybe uh Niebla can make some adjustments um just to kind of keep the the batters on their toes because, like I said, and I I think anybody can agree, uh, these these pitchers of ours are are kind of getting figured out as these days go by.
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These leads aren't lasting as long as every other game now.
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So um it sucks to see that.
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And it's that's one major takeaway.
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I completely agree.
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I think that I trust Ruben Niebla as a pitching coach implicitly.
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I I don't think like the guy who consistently performs magic tricks in turning Cole into diamonds every single year.
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You've got Michael King in 24, Nick Pavetta in 25, Dylan Cease in 24, too, really, has like really showed K's new potential under Niebla.
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But even farther back, you got guys like Seth Lugo, Sean Mania, Michael Waka, like plenty of cases in which he's just really tooled these guys.
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The bullpen has always been a place where I haven't seen his handiwork as present.
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And maybe that's because I'm not paying as much attention, but it always seems like the Padres have collected dominant relievers instead of developing them.
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And we've seen that not be the case a little bit in guys like Jeremiah Estrada when he had a successful stretch over the last two years.
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Guys like Yuki Matsui, who Matsui has had a season for the ages this year.
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He has a, I think, a 206 ERA right now, possibly under two.
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He might be sub-two at this point, but he's had a rougher track record with the Padres, so I don't think a lot of fans are noticing that.
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No.
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But he has almost as good an ERA as Mason Miller over, I might be wrong about this, but over, I believe, more innings.
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Um and solely because he's not being used only in the ninth.
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Yeah.
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It's a shocker to a lot of people, and it's a shocker to to me in itself.
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Because every time I would
Load full transcript
see Yuki Matsu go out there, I would automatically assume we're giving back the lead.
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The game's over.
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The game is over.
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This is just this is just a sympathy pitching outing for for Yukimatsu because he doesn't get playing time.
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But now it's just like to see him be very dominant, and you know who actually surprises me?
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I've called this guy a terrorist the entire season.
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Wandy Peralta.
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Like he has his like game six Miami Heat LeBron James moments, and he just locks in, he just becomes indestructible.
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And it's like at the most uh uh craziest times, too.
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But like Yuki Matsu has just been one of the biggest surprises in our bullpen, to me at least.
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Um, and and you know who actually has been a pretty good surprise for me as well?
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Um, kind of Kyle Hart, you know, at times too, he can have some very dominant, uh dominant outings like he did with the Reds.
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Um, I made a meme about that.
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He just went absolutely ballistic uh for like two innings.
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Um and then there's innings where he just gets shut out.
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But yeah, and kind of going back to what I was saying with or what we were talking about with Yuki, that is a very giant surprise for him and that both end to be that good right now.
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I mean, I I was completely flabbergasted by it.
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Like, and I think like two, you see the outings where he gives up two or three runs and you think like, oh, this is normal.
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But then you look at it and you see those are like minor blips of like scoreless inning upon scoreless inning.
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But I completely agree with you about Kyle Hart.
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I completely agree about Wandy Peralta.
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And Wandy is one of those guys who has such a good track record.
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He's a veteran reliever, and so he's been in the majors for quite a while.
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He was with the Yankees for a long time and was pitching sub-three low three ERA seasons for a long time.
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Struggled a bit last season.
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I think he had a high three ERA, um, like a three-eight.
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But I believe through the first half of this season, he had a 2-8 ERA through 80 games, which is huge for a veteran lefty, especially when the Padres bullpen is pretty lacking on lefty depth historically.
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But apart from Moorhone, he's really been kind of their only guy who's a Southpaw to go to.
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But now they have Matsui and Peralta and even Kyle Hart in certain situations for like bulk relief stuff.
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I I think it's fantastic to see uh the Padres bullpen.
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But I do agree with you that they have they have started to be solved.
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And I don't necessarily know if solved is the right word, but I I've maintained since the beginning of the season that for a guy who was a reliever, Craig Stammon does not know how to utilize his bullpen in the right ways most of the time.
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No, and it's it's unfortunate to see because it's in my opinion, really his only blind spot.
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I think offensively, he does a really good job with mixing the lineup around and with like making pinch hit opportunities.
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Personally, I think he's done a good job with that, but I think his bullpen has been the one thing deciding which pitcher to put where and which matchups that he always errs on the side of trusting guys a little too much, and it always almost always bites him where he's like, You should have taken that guy out a meeting ago, and he gave up a grand slam and now it's a two-run ball game.
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Like things like that, where it's just like ah, like you you should have seen this sooner, and maybe that gets fixed in a playoff atmosphere because it there's such a tight leash that it just needs to be.
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Um, maybe it doesn't.
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It's possible that he continues to trust his guys and trust his gut.
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And if that works out for them in the end, no sweat off my back.
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I always would rather have confidence in your guys and trust in them and like believe in them because that builds up their confidence for the future.
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And so I'll always take that over the ladder of having like a bad clubhouse energy because of that.
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Yeah, but I do think that he's gotten bit pretty bad because of those decisions in the past.
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Yeah, I could, I could, I could absolutely agree, and it tests to the uh the amount of uh probably patched holes in the wall uh because of Craig Stammon's pitching, uh the the way that he he lines up his bullpen right after a certain outing or right after, or depending on the situation in the game.
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Um David Morgan is one of the pitchers that just absolutely gives me high cortisol.
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I just absolutely cannot stand David Morgan.
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And I there was I'm so glad that they DFA'd at least uh you know what he's so irrelevant, I forgot his name, but he was Italian, not Alec Jacob, the other guy.
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Uh Ron Marinaccio.
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Ron Marinaccio, Mr.
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Meatball himself, dude.
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I hated that dude for like the coolest minute.
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I believed in him, and I told a couple people, Padres Wave and Yappin Pats.
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I told him, I was like, Ron Marinaccio is gonna be solid this year.
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I think he's gonna be good.
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Bro was the biggest Chef Boy RD advocate of all time.
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He was cooking up nothing but just straight, absolute booket of Peppo-sized meatballs every outing, and I was just like, dude, you should have a Guinness World Record book for that size of meatball you keep throwing down the middle of that plate.
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Yeah, there's a lot of homers.
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Yeah.
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David Morgan for sure is a pitcher that I just I don't like him being used in certain situations, and I think Stammon trusts him a little too much.
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And every outing that he's been out has not been really great for me, at least for what I can see.
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He's always given up a run or he's put us in a situation.
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Now, granted, he has a couple moments where he's good, but more often than not, I feel like Stamin trusts him a lot.
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Um, and and I just do not like to see him out there.
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I don't think any other Padres fan would, but again, you know, hopefully things get fit fixed in the in the playoffs, because we do need uh a little bit of a better strategy um coming into the wild card.
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I totally agree.
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I think Morgan is a guy who had a great track record in 2025, and so he had a fantastic, I believe it was his rookie season in 25.
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Um, a fantastic rookie season out of the bullpen for San Diego, and this season has just kind of regressed.
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The league has kind of solved him.
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It's a similar thing, I feel, to what we saw with Jackson Merrill in 2025.
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Yeah.
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Incredible rookie campaign in 2024, and then just major regression and also injuries, which is very similar to what Morgan has dealt with this year.
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He's dealt with a lot of injuries and a lot of shuttling back between the minors and majors.
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And so I do wonder a little bit if he's fully earned the benefit of the doubt after that 25 campaign.
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I would say no.
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I would say that like you need to have a little bit more time, a little more tenure and success before you're given the benefit of the doubt in that regard.
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But I do think that he
can still pitch valuable innings for the Padres.
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Now, I I do believe also that I would take Jeremiah Estrada over him.
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Against the Dodgers, maybe not, but I would take Jeremiah Estrada over him.
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Um, and I would also take obviously Jason Adam over him once they return.
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Like I would swap those guys out any day of the week uh for for the uh those two once they come back from rehab assignment.
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And to to bring it back to Adam as well, he just started his rehab assignment in triple A, so he's expected to be back with the team probably sometime next week.
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Um hopefully that's the case.
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I would love I would love to see him get some ramp up before the playoffs.
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Um the Padres, I don't want to say it because I don't want to jinx it or anything, but seem to be they're on trajectory to get where they want to go in October.
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Um, they're getting hot at the right time, which as we all know about the crapshoot that is the playoffs, that's exactly what you need to do to win, is just get hot at the right time.
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They've won seven games straight um since Manny Machado bleached his head.
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And so it's fantastic to see that's working for them.
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Um but it's it's been great.
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It's been great to watch.
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Yeah, I'm I'm happy, dude.
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We got Dominican Slim Shady, you know, at third base, which is awesome.
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Um, yeah, that I I I hope the rest of the team follows suit, like he was saying.
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Hopefully they could make a couple other people blonde uh and keep that trend going.
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Because that would actually be very fun as like a culture thing for the Padres come to come to postseason.
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If they could do that, I think it'd actually build a lot more team morale, a little bit more excitement going into these games.
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So yeah, I they're getting right, they're getting hot at the right time.
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I can agree with you there.
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Um, hopefully they can keep that up because the Rockies always seem to give us just absolute constipation every time we play them.
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So but and and that's that's what that's with either us or LA.
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Like for some reason, we cannot figure out the Rockies whatsoever.
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Yeah.
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I I just feel like the the spirit of Charlie Blackman's always gonna haunt us for the rest of our lives, and we'll never we'll never get around it.
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Yeah, I completely I completely agree with you.
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I think that the Rockies have continued to have our number for a long time.
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Um, and it's it's been tough to see.
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That changed a lot this season, which surprised me when we swept them right out the gate at home.
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I was shocked by that.
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I mean, we had that, we had the Gavin Sheets walk-off in Colorado, uh, the three-run homer, which I remember screaming in my car when that happened.
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Um I was like, oh my gosh, it's over the wall.
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Um, but yeah, I think we where we're at right now, we either have the potential, it's gonna be one of two things.
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We're either gonna crash and burn so hard, or we're we're gonna keep keep going.
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And I mean, it'd be great to continue this streak and sweep all four games.
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I I believe that like the potential to do that is completely there because the Rockies, with the way the offense is hitting, in one of the most hitter-friendly environments in all of baseball and course field, it the pitching could give up 10 runs and the Padgers could score 12 all four of those games, like with the way that they're hitting right now.
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And so I do I do think they have the potential to do that, especially with the Rockies starting pitching being what it is, um, which is not good.
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Um, I mean their bullpen is a few pieces, but after Antonio Sanzatella left, um, in uh who's traded, uh, it's just not there's not much.
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There's just nothing really there, they're not vying for anything right now.
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The Rockies are just trying to give their young guys a chance to audition for 27.
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And so it seems if they want to act as a spoiler, then like sure, go ahead, I guess, whatever.
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But it seems much more likely that the Padres have a real shot at continuing this win streak, and hopefully that starts tonight.
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Um, against they're facing uh Tomiyuki Sugano tonight with Casey Mys on the bump, who I'm looking forward to seeing after his last start because I really liked his last start.
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Um, and I I am uh I am a very unfortunate believer in Casey Myze.
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Um, I loved the trade for him.
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It was just unfortunate to see that he struggled so much.
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Um a couple people are reporting that it's because Scout, or at least that Scouts had noted that he had a was dealing with a groin issue um while he was pitching and pitching through that injury, and that maybe that was what caused his stock to drop
lower at the trade deadline.
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Padres only scooped him up for two prospects, none of them top 100.
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And so it was it was interesting to see him go for that low.
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And I remember thinking, wow, this feels like kind of a fleece, and then he sucked since then.
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Yeah, and so it it's just it's tough to watch.
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But apart from, I mean, I gotta be honest, the first five innings were fantastic, and the sixth, I think he could have finished.
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I think going back to Staman's bullpen decisions, I think choosing to bring Randy Vasquez on in a high-leverage situation with two runners on and two outs is like a situation he's never come into in his entire career, it's felt like, and he immediately gave up a double.
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So I think that like asking him to perform in that situation instead of going to like Wandy Peralta or Matsui and then having Vasquez pitch the seventh was a bit of an odd decision for me.
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But apart from that, I thought even with that, my still only gave up three runs over five and two-thirds, which is much better than anything he had done prior to that.
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So I'll take that any day over seven runs in Tampa Bay.
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Yeah, I can agree there.
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I can absolutely agree there.
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I just that was very weird for me to see Randy Vasquez come out in a situation like that.
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And I agree.
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Like, he's just it's not he's not built for the moment, he hasn't experienced that moment.
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Like, why wouldn't you go to a veteran arm that has been in these moments before that can handle that kind of pressure to put Randy B in that situation?
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It probably wasn't the smartest thing.
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Hopefully, he doesn't do that again.
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Uh, but yeah, no, I I 100% agree with what you're saying.
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And it did drive me up the absolute wall.
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I almost lost my mind.
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And uh yeah, I almost needed a new TV almost immediately.
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Uh, but yeah, it's uh Yeah.
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I do wonder a little bit if it's uh testing for playoff rostering for the bullpen.
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Um, because with the way the rotation is right now, Vasquez doesn't have a spot um unless they go with a six-man or a kind of piggyback thing in the rotation.
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But right now they've got King, Pavetta, Maize, Ray, and um Bueller.
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Bueller.
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Um Musgrove, I think that's safe to say is done.
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Um it's it's September 14th as we record this.
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And so he's he's at Syking Casino right now, big dog.
00:17:57.839 --> 00:17:58.640
He's on the raft.
00:17:58.799 --> 00:18:04.720
Yeah, it's it's it's safe to say that I think Musgrove is just not coming back.
00:18:04.880 --> 00:18:11.839
I I would say that he's likely not gonna make any more starts um for the Padres, even in rehab.
00:18:12.000 --> 00:18:29.839
Um, and maybe that's not the case, but I would strongly hesitate, even with a guy of his, a veteran of his track record, to put him anywhere near a playoff roster with an untested arm, just seems to be a terrible decision to me.
00:18:29.920 --> 00:18:34.160
And I would rather have Randy Vasquez on that rotation instead.
00:18:34.319 --> 00:18:37.119
So we'll see if yeah, we'll see if they go with a six-man.
00:18:37.279 --> 00:18:43.279
I'm also interested to see where guys like Griffin Canning and Kyle Hart factor in with that once Estrada and Adam are back.
00:18:43.519 --> 00:18:48.799
They've both proven down the stretch that they have the ability to cover innings.
00:18:49.039 --> 00:19:02.799
Um, Canning, especially, who has really surprised me in his last few outings, and they're not using him that often, but when they do, he's throwing up zeros, and it's been really good to see after he had completely failed as a starter, in my opinion.
00:19:02.960 --> 00:19:11.279
Yeah, like I I don't think anyone no one expected that much from him, but I don't think anybody expected him to be as bad as he was.
00:19:11.839 --> 00:19:14.640
Yeah, I I was rooting for him in the beginning when we got him.
00:19:14.720 --> 00:19:20.400
I was like, oh, okay, cool, we kind of got a veteran arm coming in, and it seems like it's gonna be a good idea, maybe we can mold him.
00:19:20.480 --> 00:19:28.319
But I feel like the overuse of like this Jesus like prayer that Niebla can fix anything and anyone was gonna happen with Canning.
00:19:29.039 --> 00:19:40.480
I I hoped I hoped the best for Canning in the beginning, but after seeing what he turned into, I was just like, please send this guy to prison or Iran or somewhere, just get him off this roster.
00:19:40.799 --> 00:19:44.319
This is like yeah, I feel like there should because I tell people this all the time.
00:19:44.400 --> 00:19:45.759
This is what I said about Wandy.
00:19:45.920 --> 00:19:48.559
I feel like there should be a federal crime.
00:19:48.799 --> 00:19:51.920
Just like you can't impersonate a police officer or impersonate.
00:19:52.240 --> 00:19:53.200
Can't impersonate a baseball.
00:19:54.000 --> 00:19:58.079
Impersonate an MLB pitcher, especially when I'm have a parlay going.
00:19:58.160 --> 00:19:59.920
Like I feel like you should go to prison.
00:20:00.160 --> 00:20:06.960
So and I I think Canning and like early Wandy Peralta should have been sent to like absolute Guantanamo Bay for that.
00:20:07.039 --> 00:20:07.759
But yeah, sure.
00:20:07.920 --> 00:20:13.599
I I have seen though, Canning do have has had a couple good outings where he does throw up a couple zeros, like you're saying.
00:20:14.160 --> 00:20:20.799
Hopefully he can figure it out as a reliever, um, you know, and kind of get a little bit more out there instead of just using the same guy.
00:20:20.880 --> 00:20:26.960
So not using him as much now, and I think we might be able to see him come out maybe in Colorado this series, hopefully.
00:20:27.119 --> 00:20:34.400
Yeah, you know, see what he does here, uh, versus like a contender like a like a Dodgers team or a diamondbacks team where it's very crucial.
00:20:35.119 --> 00:20:40.319
Yeah, I would like to see, I would like to see a little more from him before I would right now.
00:20:40.480 --> 00:20:43.119
I would hesitate to put him on a playoff uh roster spot.
00:20:43.279 --> 00:20:43.440
Yeah.
00:20:43.680 --> 00:20:55.039
Just because I think his arm, I I feel like, and I could be wrong, because I don't know that I've I can't say I've watched every second of every game, but it feels like I'd have to check.
00:20:55.200 --> 00:21:01.279
I don't know when his last appearance was, but it wasn't recent.
00:21:01.440 --> 00:21:07.680
I I feel like Canning has had like a couple appearances in bulk relief, and that's kind of been it.
00:21:07.759 --> 00:21:19.599
And the only one I can really even remember of note was the Twins game when he threw up three scoreless innings, and the Padgers ended up coming like having a huge comeback solely because of him making those three scoreless innings.
00:21:19.920 --> 00:21:28.720
His last outing was against the Nationals, and one inning, one strikeout, no hits, no earn runs, and no walks.
00:21:29.039 --> 00:21:30.160
So perfect inning.
00:21:30.240 --> 00:21:31.440
That's great.
00:21:31.599 --> 00:21:35.759
Oh, and then before that, he pitched two and two thirds scoreless to the Yankees.
00:21:36.640 --> 00:21:40.880
Before that, an inning and a third scoreless in Tampa Bay.
00:21:41.119 --> 00:21:43.039
So he's looked good down the stretch.
00:21:43.200 --> 00:21:46.160
I want to see how long he's pitched in bulk relief for.
00:21:46.720 --> 00:21:48.960
Because he hasn't made a start in quite a while.
00:21:49.680 --> 00:21:52.160
His last start was July 18th.
00:21:53.440 --> 00:21:57.920
He pitched three and two-thirds innings and gave up four runs.
00:21:58.880 --> 00:22:03.359
Uh a couple days later, he pitched two and two-thirds in bulk relief and gave up five runs.
00:22:03.680 --> 00:22:11.279
But since then, since July 23rd, he has only appeared in bulk relief and he has never given up more than two runs.
00:22:11.920 --> 00:22:18.319
And he's given up zero runs eight times since then out of 12 appearances.
00:22:18.559 --> 00:22:19.759
Sorry, 11 appearances.
00:22:19.839 --> 00:22:22.079
Eight times out of 11 appearances, that's really good.
00:22:22.160 --> 00:22:24.240
He's only given up four runs in that time.
00:22:25.359 --> 00:22:35.119
That's surprising track record for a guy like that, who I personally like, if I was just talking about it and hadn't actually looked at it, would assume that he's doing terribly.
00:22:36.079 --> 00:22:37.599
As you should, as you should.
00:22:37.839 --> 00:22:50.640
Yeah, like I would just I would just assume off the bat that, like, given his track record as a starter, that he wouldn't be pitching well in bulk relief and that the Padres were just holding on to him so that they didn't have to non-tender his contract.
00:22:50.799 --> 00:22:54.079
But he's pitched surprisingly well down the stretch.
00:22:54.240 --> 00:22:59.119
And even surprising for me, and I feel like I pay attention to the Padres more than just about anybody.
00:22:59.279 --> 00:23:02.160
Yeah, but it's been it's been good to see.
00:23:02.319 --> 00:23:09.279
I feel like I would need to see him in I would need to see him in a Dodgers or Diamondback series.
00:23:09.440 --> 00:23:13.680
Like, say Mai's or Pivetta or someone only goes three innings.
00:23:13.920 --> 00:23:16.400
Great, put Canning in for the next three.
00:23:16.720 --> 00:23:28.079
And call it a day, call it a piggyback, whatever you want, but do that instead of and you could slot, in my opinion, I would slot him or Randy in either of those.
00:23:28.400 --> 00:23:28.640
Yeah.
00:23:28.880 --> 00:23:30.319
Yeah, I could agree to that.
00:23:31.200 --> 00:23:32.640
But it'll be interesting to see.
00:23:32.720 --> 00:23:38.720
I think the playoff roster calculus will be super fascinating to see with the Padres.
00:23:38.880 --> 00:23:39.039
They're