สำเนาบทสนทนา 🔗
WEBVTT
00:00:00.479 --> 00:00:05.280
But again, thanks Keith for all the trouble you've gone to with strategic background background.
00:00:05.519 --> 00:00:08.320
There is absolutely nothing out there that comes close to it.
00:00:08.560 --> 00:00:15.919
And I might actually talk about quickly how how I how I use it to accelerate my learning curve.
00:00:16.079 --> 00:00:21.039
I I did actually put it on the on the forum and under the homework section.
00:00:21.280 --> 00:00:25.359
And I don't use it just to play play one hand at a time.
00:00:30.960 --> 00:00:44.719
When I have an idea of what's going over a sequence or a history may that may that looks promising so I want to be able to flick through a whole bunch of shoes, real shoes, but I want to flick through it.
00:00:44.799 --> 00:01:00.240
So what I what I what I've done is I've I've copied to my box and screenshots basically every every completed toteboard strategic background behind it.
00:01:17.760 --> 00:01:24.239
Another hundred and usually usually if it's any good the averages are going to be fairly close.
00:01:24.959 --> 00:01:28.959
Then I split them up into lots of 500 and and so on.
00:01:29.120 --> 00:01:36.159
And so I've got thousands there, and anything I say is kind of backed up by that sort of research.
00:01:36.400 --> 00:01:44.079
Pretty much, I mean it sounds like a lot of work, but geez, it it is, I think, the best way of doing it.
00:01:44.239 --> 00:01:54.959
And then when I also when I'm testing my toteboard skills, and you and I suggest you all do this because basically you only need to get to plus four.
00:01:55.120 --> 00:02:05.120
You don't want to be playing every shoe, you know, spending three quarters of an hour on every shoe to see see how many how many you can score and whatever.
00:02:05.359 --> 00:02:07.120
You only need to get to plus four.
00:02:07.200 --> 00:02:10.479
Because once you get to plus four, you aren't going going below zero.
00:02:10.560 --> 00:02:13.680
And your aim is to get to plus four as quickly as possible.
00:02:13.759 --> 00:02:15.919
And and do it with just reading the tape board.
00:02:16.080 --> 00:02:17.199
Don't worry about keeping score.
00:02:17.280 --> 00:02:19.120
You just try to get to plus four.
00:02:19.360 --> 00:02:26.080
Yeah, but for practice only, you're just trying to get to plus four and to confirm I'm not losing that shoe.
00:02:26.159 --> 00:02:33.439
Because your first priority is not to lose the shoe, and your early your first bet is prompt is really your most important bit.
00:02:33.840 --> 00:02:36.159
You don't want to be coming at it from behind.
00:02:36.400 --> 00:02:39.599
You want to be playing from a position of strength.
00:02:39.840 --> 00:02:47.840
And recognize what for me, I I generally at least first shoe of the day, I'm starting with a half unit.
00:02:48.080 --> 00:02:53.520
And any anytime I'm below I'm zero or below, I'm betting half units.
00:02:53.759 --> 00:03:14.719
So, and my stop loss is minus two real units, so it's minus four half units, and that gives me a lot of room to move because I can I can you know I lose I could lose three or four shoes in a row, and and pick and I'm gonna pick that up in half a shoe, and that's where it all comes, that's where that's what we're looking at.
00:03:14.879 --> 00:03:21.280
You you want to lose as little as possible, and one of the ways you do that is don't make bad bets.
00:03:21.439 --> 00:03:24.800
And it's it and a lot of bad bets are really easy to recognize.
00:03:24.960 --> 00:03:26.879
We're gonna be talking about that after.
00:03:27.120 --> 00:03:33.919
And uh, yeah, if you if you can avoid, just learn to avoid those bad, bad bets, especially early in the shoe.
00:03:34.159 --> 00:03:39.039
Surprisingly, it's actually easier to read the shoe early, it's more consistent.
00:03:39.199 --> 00:03:40.560
I don't know why it should be.
00:03:40.639 --> 00:03:48.159
I know you haven't got as much history, but it is just so much so much easier to read the shoe early on.
00:03:48.400 --> 00:03:51.759
Sure, you have advantages later on, and we'll talk about that when we get there.
00:03:52.000 --> 00:03:58.960
Generally, I pretty much I expect to be betting less than half the hands in a shoe.
00:03:59.280 --> 00:04:10.879
And well, anyone that thinks they can bet a whole shoe, every hand is is really you're you're cruising for a bruising because it's just it's just just isn't going to happen.
00:04:11.039 --> 00:04:15.199
It simply can't be be done because there's way too many hands, right?
00:04:15.360 --> 00:04:17.839
Way too many hands that are a 50-50 proposition.
00:04:18.000 --> 00:04:25.360
And if I can't tell tell what it's got the bets the best bet is, well, seriously, not blowing my own trumpet.
00:04:25.519 --> 00:04:30.079
So if you want to bet more than half a shoe and throw your money away, yeah, go for it.
00:04:30.240 --> 00:04:35.279
But the only way you can do it is with negative progressions.
00:04:35.519 --> 00:04:40.879
And we all know what I think of negative progressions, what the top players here think of negative progressions.
00:04:41.040 --> 00:04:48.000
I mean, look, I'm gonna tell there's a few stories here, and I'm not I'm not gonna be out of line because I'm not gonna mention names.
00:04:48.160 --> 00:04:53.279
I've had you know you know I'm pretty aggressive about negative progressions.
00:04:53.439 --> 00:04:54.319
I hate them.
00:04:54.480 --> 00:05:08.160
And because one of the reasons is I've had some I've had some pretty heavy PMs and emails in the past from players that have lost some serious, serious money and and basically begging me to help.
00:05:08.319 --> 00:05:15.839
And you know, one one guy said he'd lost one and a half million in six months playing negative progressions.
00:05:16.000 --> 00:05:17.439
I'm not saying he played them correctly.
00:05:17.519 --> 00:05:19.120
Hey, here's a good here's a great idea.
00:05:19.279 --> 00:05:26.720
I know this is a bad bet, but I'm gonna make it anyway, because this negative progression says I have to make it, and that's the problem.
00:05:26.879 --> 00:05:29.199
The negative progression says you have to make it.
00:05:29.439 --> 00:05:31.759
Now there's a few other things we've got to recognise.
00:05:31.920 --> 00:05:34.160
Like generally, I flat bet, right?
00:05:34.480 --> 00:05:50.800
And I'll start at the half unit, then I'll flat bet, and I'll get to plus five, and then I might move to the one, two loop or even two, three loop, which funny enough doesn't improve mostly, they don't improve your PA, your player advantage that much.
00:05:50.959 --> 00:06:05.920
All they all it does really is allow you in most cases to make more units for that shoe, and and for me, I can I can really just raise my unit size and achieve exactly the same by flatbedding.
00:06:06.160 --> 00:06:16.319
And once once you once you've got a handle in this this game, you've probably noticed already winds seem to come in clumps, and that's what you want to tap into.
00:06:16.399 --> 00:06:20.319
That's what that that's that's what it's all about with the with the loops.
00:06:20.480 --> 00:06:26.000
That winds come in clumps, and with a bit of luck, your losses come in isolated.
00:06:26.319 --> 00:06:29.839
You just got to keep looking at the looking at the shoe, look, looking at the taupe board.
00:06:30.000 --> 00:06:42.560
Tope board's your friend, and you've got the best, the absolute best practice tool on on the net in strategic baccarat, and and you really need make use of it.