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Hello, this is Mike Swanson, Wall Street Window, and today
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I've got a very special guest. I'm talking with Chuck Ocelli,
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who runs the Ocelli Effect podcast. You can find it
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at ocelli.com, and I'm very honored to have him because
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I've been a guest on his show for, what, 14
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years now? It's up for quite some time.
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Wow, yeah, it's been almost 13 years, actually, since the
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first time you came on, yeah. Yeah.
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And what we're doing today is a little different. It's
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sort of an experiment. We're trying to do a podcast
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that's going to be on my YouTube channel and distribute
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also on his Achille Effect, like a joint podcast. I
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tell you, I got this idea, Chuck, from I listen
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to or watch a baseball podcast, and I'm an Orioles fan,
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and I noticed a bunch of Orioles YouTubers a couple
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of them are doing shows that are you can't tell
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which channel it is they're they're on like two channels
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at once live at the same time so they're kind
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of like i thought well i'll try to do that
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with you you know.
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Sort of yeah and youtube shares things so you get
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like you know you get the clip version of a
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show on one channel you get the full version on
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another channel And and sometimes they have little networks, they
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call them. But really, it's just a bunch of shows
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all on the same channel. Right. Like there's a there's
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like a Mets. Clearly, I'm a Mets guy. But the
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thing is, they have like the Rico Bronia podcast. Right.
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And it's on there. Right.
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Right.
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So I imagine the Orioles are the same way, which,
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you know, by the way, how did you feel about
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the way the Orioles season ended? You know, were you
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pleased or what?
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Oh, they're a disaster. They've got a lot of problems
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with the organization itself. They've had a lot of great
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first round draft picks and great players in the minor
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league system. And it's not just them saying that other,
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you know, baseball publications were saying that. but they failed
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to develop them well. And then when they got to
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the major leagues, they didn't play very well. So something's
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wrong with the way they train the players and they
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all try to hit home runs and strike out and
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don't play good defense. And it's awful to watch.
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Ironic too, because, you know, with the exception of that,
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it probably costs about 25% what it costs the Mets
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to run a team. It sounds about to be the
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same story to me, Mike. Yeah.
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Yeah, it could be worse. It could be more expensive,
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I guess.
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They could be the Mets, right? Exactly. They could be
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the Mets and they could be the worst team that
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money can buy, you know, hundreds of millions of dollars or,
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you know, $ 50 million. Either way, you got to lose
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your team. So congratulations, fans. Um, and, uh, interesting other little,
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like sort of, you know, nexus here where they come
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together is of course the miracle Mets in 69 defeated
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the Baltimore Orioles in order to win that, uh, miracle season. Uh, but, uh,
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thank God that wasn't the team they got to beat
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up on in, uh, 1986 when they beat the Red Sox, which, uh,
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why am I pointing to these? That's the only two
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times the Mets won a world series. Um, so, uh,
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You know, the Orioles have an interesting, better history. I
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know a lot of Orioles players. And by the way, currently,
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you got a couple of guys we used to have.
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But meanwhile, somebody's tuning into your channel right now or
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mine going, what the hell are these guys talking about
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baseball for? So no script, obviously. Anyway, no, I'm pleased
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to do this as a joint venture. Comedy networks do
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this with great success. Um, I, I, I can't speak
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to how much success there will be, uh, obviously because, uh,
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my podcast used to be much more successful, but,
Load full transcript
uh,
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you know, things change over time, Mike, but, uh, Hey, look, we, we,
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we should probably get into current events and not bore
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everybody to death with sports. Cause we're not a sports
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podcast or sports channel. So, you know, we went off
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script for a moment and off roaded, right?
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Well, I don't know how many people are going to
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watch either from my end because I've been making changes too.
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With my YouTube channel, I'm not just talking about the
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stock market anymore. I decided to talk about other topics
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and I'm doing a couple videos and interviews with people
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about the Kennedy assassination, for example. I just decided to
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talk about whatever I want with whoever I want to
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and forget about the algorithm and forget about you're trying
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to be this stock market guru that's having to put
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out picks and predictions all the time. I'll tell people
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what I think about that. But I'm going to talk
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about whatever I want to. And there's so much else
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going on in the world, you know? Right.
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And to tell you the truth, look, I boiled it
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all down when it comes to the financial markets because
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people write to me and tell me that I need
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to ask Mike Swanson about this or that because you
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are the financial brain, the financial brain trust of like
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my show's history, right? If there's a financial question, any kind,
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they want Mike Swanson to answer it. Just like with
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history or UFOs and stuff like that, at this point,
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they want Larry to answer that question. Larry Hancock, a
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mutual friend of ours. But, you know, so they ask
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me those things all the time. I got to tell
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them that, you know, if you talk to Mike right now,
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you're not going to get much of that. And quite frankly,
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he's probably going to tell you just about as follows.
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But of course, I'm not as smart as Mike when
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it comes to these things. But bottom line is you're
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looking at
an inflationary curve. That is clearly a problem
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for everybody. Everybody is aware of their spending power being
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reduced and all that. And what would be the wisest
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thing to suggest? God help us all. Gold and silver
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in your physical possession is not a bad idea. If
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you want to protect any sort of nest egg you have,
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any sort of money you have, and you're going to
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hang on to it for a bit. If you're capable,
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hang on to some money. And even if you're somebody
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who's in the stock market and you think you've got
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a plan or you've got the algorithm or you've got
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Robin Hood or you've got a Mike Swanson in your universe.
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Here's the thing. I think that nobody is going to
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discourage you from diversifying into some precious metals. I think
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that's about as much time as we need to invest
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in the current situation. Gold and silver, not a bad
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idea to make it at least part of your portfolio.
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Not trying to be a gold bug or a silver
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bug here, Mike, but it's definitely not a bad idea.
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And of course, we encourage that all along. And anytime
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you and I talked, because it just seemed to be
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the wisest thing to do, even though I'm a guy
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who never has any money. If I had some, believe me,
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I'd be putting into the gold and silver to try
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and protect it right now. So I don't lose value.
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And I think that's intelligent. And again, about the end
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of the story, but disagree with me, Mike, go ahead.
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Well, I agree with all that. I just add for
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people ask you, well, I'll get on your show sometime
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and we'll talk about it with, you know, there, but,
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but the market right now is getting more volatile and
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it's so highly inflated and these things go in cycles.
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And it looks to me like we're at the end
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of the, this bull market. And when you're at the
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end of a bull market, the market gets a lot
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more volatile and becomes very difficult to trade on trying
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to bet against it or go long. It's just, it's
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just an easy way to lose money. So I'm personally
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stepping back and not doing as much trading and so forth.
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Well, that's the other wise thing to do, right? Because
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if you enjoy sailing, you don't want to go out,
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you know, during the roughest seas, right?
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Yeah, that's right.
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You know, it's just that simple. I mean, it's just logic, right?
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But in addition, I would say that the volatility is
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something that's just, you know, going on based on the
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general conditions of everything, you know, so. It's not about
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a political party. It's not about I mean, there's just
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a lot of things going on here that are going
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to cause volatility. People in our age group, I think overall,
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the question they're always afraid to ask, though, is, you know,
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is the big crash coming again? Are we going to
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see another, you know, 2007, 2008 situation? That's the big worry,
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because that is still in the memory of, you know,
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most adults who are above the age of, let's say, 40.
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You know, we definitely have that in our memories because
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no matter who we were, where we were, if we
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were in the civilized world, that whole thing cost us.
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One way or another, it either painfully created situations, even
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if you were a renter, it painfully created situations and
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rapidly shifting circumstances. Again, volatility because of the housing market
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and the collapse there. And then, of course, all that
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nonsense that went on with the derivatives and repackaged debt.
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turning around and ending up in 80 different directions and
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the debates about whose fault was it, the irresponsible house
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buyers or the terrible banking practices, or how about all
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of the above, you know, causing a calamity there that
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quite frankly comes and goes in cycles as well. So,
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you know, are we going to see that? That's what
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they're looking for is another drastic crash. And frankly, if
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they had just listened to you already over the years,
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They know that the drastic crash has almost been factored
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out because of the technology and the way that we
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don't have things that roll into big giant snowballs that
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occur overnight. any longer. Now conditions are a little more
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subtle to the observer because of the technology and the
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way things have shifted. regarding strategies, instantaneous trading, you know,
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the AI systems now becoming involved in everything else. So
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you have a completely different situation, whether it's futures or
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commodities or housing or any of it is now all
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being handled in a completely different landscape from 2007 and 8,
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you know, 20 almost years ago. The circumstances are entirely different, right?
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Well, in the markets, there's been the rise of something
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called passive investing that's had a huge influence. This is
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where people are just throwing money into exchange-traded funds and
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other funds that buy the stocks. And regardless of the price,
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they have to buy the S & P 500, for example.
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So they have to buy the same 500 stocks and
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everyone's buying them, so to speak. But there's volatility. Volatility
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has certainly happened recently. this year in war with the
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Iran situation and politics with the midterms that we just had.
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I was talking to someone on the phone before we
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started this and they told me they moved to North
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Carolina and they started to go to, they've only been
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there for a couple months and they're Republicans. They decided
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to start to go to the county Republican meetings And
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they said that after the midterms, the people at the
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meetings were all despondent over the results. The friend of
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mine said that he thought people voted for the Democrats
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because they thought, in his mind, that the Trump and
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the Republicans have betrayed them in terms... And I said, well,
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I feel that way too. I didn't explain why, but
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And he said, well, they didn't fix the debt. The
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debt's gotten worse. They weren't able to cut spending. They
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didn't solve the immigration. And I don't remember what the
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other things he listed were. He supports the war, so
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that wasn't on his list, but that's at the top
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of my list. However, I'm doubtful that many people actually
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uh voted on that on the war itself i think
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it's more the effects.
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Of the war it's a contributing factor right um we
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don't have war being at the front of.
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I didn't vote i should say that i didn't even vote.
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So not this time no but uh but but it's
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not at the forefront of the majority of people that
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i encounter and of course i'm in a red state
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despite the recent results where everybody's going, oh my God,
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Georgia has flipped blue. I'm sure you can tell from
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my accent, I'm living in Georgia, right? Yeah, okay. Anyways,
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I'm from Jersey. That's the joke. But the point is
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that it's not the major factor as far as what
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this shift just represented recently. And here's the thing, a
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midterm that doesn't represent a shift against the controlling party
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is almost unheard of anyway. So to me, it seems
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like it's very typical. You always have a backlash because
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guess what? Surprise, surprise. The politicians you select to put
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in these offices don't follow through on all of their
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promises and alleged promises and ideas that they put forth
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that were supposed to get them elected in the first place. Oh,
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what a shock. You know, and here I am detaching
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myself from the fact that I can't stand Donald Trump.
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You know, always got derangement syndrome and maybe. But but
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that's not the point. Still, there's a backlash here because,
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you know, people wanted things fixed. They wanted the economy fixed.
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Didn't happen. They said, oh, immigration. There are people that
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believe the immigration
circumstance is, you know, way better. And
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in fact, the first messages I got after the midterms
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from people that were very angry that there wasn't a
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red wave. OK, those people were saying, you know, here
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we go again. We're going to have open borders. There's
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going to be all that, you know, gender diversity and
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DEI is going to come back roaring. And I'm thinking
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to myself, how fast do you think our government actually works,
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even with computers? You know, they're not going to have
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time to institute all the things that these people are
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thinking of that are disasters. They won't even have time
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to wreck the country before the next election in 28. OK, so,
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you know, calm down about the Democrats are going to
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turn into a socialist, you know, nightmare. They're not going
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to have time to do it. It is weird, though,
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that even the people who basically are saying out loud
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that they're communists are getting elected because the backlash was
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there good enough in sufficient numbers to create a backlash
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against the establishment, which is all that happened here. If
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there was another alternative offered that seemed viable, they would
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have put that in. It didn't have to be socialism.
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Nobody's in love with that. regardless of what some people think. Socialism, communism,
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oh my God, the Muslims are coming too. Everybody needs
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to relax. This is a natural sort of part of
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the curve, Mike. I mean, what do you think?
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Well, I told my buddy and a couple of people
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here that if you look at these red states like
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Texas and the ones out Midwest that the Democrats won,
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They didn't even win by a percent. So these are
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all seats that in time, they're just going to lose.
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Senate seats take longer to lose than House seats. But
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in time, these aren't seats the Democrats are going to
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hold on to very long.
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No, like I said, you got that two-year duration where
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now you have a Republican minority in the Senate and
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the House, which we haven't had for a while. We've
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had a Republican majority now for a little bit. And
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you see the monumental changes that occurred there? Not really.
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But you're going to have Democrats controlling the House, Democrats
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controlling the Senate, and quite frankly, Democrats controlling the majority.
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And this is something I don't see being covered very well,
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the majority of state governors. Of course, we have the
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historical election, which I was actually surprised at, that Keisha
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Lance Bottoms won in Georgia, right? That was something I
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did not see coming, to be honest with you, because
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this state top to bottom, regardless of the last Senate
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debacle where we ended up with two Democratic senators, the
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whole state is controlled top to bottom by Republicans. So,
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you know, outside of the little blue swatches we have,
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the rest of it's red. And those little blue swatches
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are Atlanta. Savannah, and quite frankly, a little tract where
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I live in Macon County and Bibb County in Georgia.
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That's it. The rest of the state is red.
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Are y'all getting a data center in your area?
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Well, yeah, of course we are.
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I thought I saw a headline that said that.
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Yeah.
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Okay. Okay.
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No, we have a data center. We have a police
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training center coming in, you know, in the Atlanta area.
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That's coming no matter what they say. There are massive
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complexes that are coming in, you know, because we can't
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build any more prisons here. We're kind of, you know,
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well stocked on the prison population. So we got to
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build other stuff. We've already got our Amazon centers in place. So,
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you know, no problem there. Bezos is taken care of
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in Georgia. What else is left? Of course, we need
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a data center. I'm saying this sarcastically because I don't
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like any of this. I understand the
technology needs to
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move forward, but there are a lot of abusive things
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along the way when it comes to, I don't know,
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the residents of these areas when these things come in. Big,
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long discussion we could have on that. But let's get
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back to the general malaise, if you will, of the
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current political situation, which is funny because as volatile as
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it was, Quite frankly, even though it's this big, shocking, oh,
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we have a blue wave and this and that, this
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is a temporary reaction. And that's all it is. By
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the time 28 comes back around, I guarantee you there's
321
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going to be a greater call for Trump to run again.
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You know what I mean? It's going to be that
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far shifted the other way, because when things don't improve rapidly,
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they're going to blame, guess who? The people they just elected.
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you know, and only given them two years to change things.
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When meanwhile, they're going to spend their first two years
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just catching up and also building their war chests for
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the next election, because that's what they do in the
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first two years of anything. That's why nobody gets anything
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done the first two years they go in as a representative.
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Nobody gets anything done the first two years as a senator,
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because you have to first put your feet in the
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ground over there in D.C., And that's the way the
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system is. Meanwhile, governors are just busy trying to handle
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the next disaster that comes up during that same two years.
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And like I said, unless there is a real significant
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improvement of the general conditions here financially, the job market,
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the fact that, you know, we're getting beat out by
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AI now for jobs and everything else, and people are
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being pretty quiet about that, unless that starts to improve
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and people's financial circumstances, you know, remain as they are,
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then they're going to blame whoever is in office next
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time around. And they're going to say, well, we went
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blue last time. Let's go red the next time. And
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it's funny because this is the way New Jersey always functions.
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The rest of the country seemed to go in these
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trends that went slowly, you know? But New Jersey used
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to swing back and forth like one of those, you know,
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I forget what they call them there. It's not a metronome. No, no, no.
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You know the thing that used to be on the
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desks with the little balls that would bang back and forth?
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That's the way I felt about it in New Jersey.
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There was a core of, you know, values, and then
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the left and the right would bang back and forth
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on that middle core almost perpetually. And that's why we
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add Republican to Democrat to Republican control back and forth constantly.
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It's truly a purple state. But everywhere else it goes
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in trends. And usually it's not about who they're voting for.
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It's who they're voting against. Again, no, correct me, Mike.
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I mean, please, this is the way I'm seeing it,
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but I'm seeing other people react as though it's something different,
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but I don't think that's the way it's going to
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turn out in the long run.
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Well, where I live, I look at the, I know
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a lot of people in the Republican Party and, you know,
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and my Facebook friends or whatever is a lot of
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local people. And a lot of them are very despondent
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and angry, frankly, at the election results and the voters.
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You know, people, one of the things that's all happened here,
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and I live in Virginia, is that the Republican messaging,
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at least what the people are talking about on social media,
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towards the end, it shifted to trying to, they knew
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they were losing support. And the messaging kind of shifted
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all of a sudden to not vote for Trump for
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these different policies, but vote to stop abortion and for
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religious reasons. And they actually started to try to almost
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shame people into voting. And then after
the election, I
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saw a couple of I mean, these are people upset
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by the election results. So this is their initial reaction. Angry,
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are we becoming godless, the country? Who are these people
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to turn on God, you know, and so forth. However,
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I would suggest that I saw a poll that said
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that when Trump won, most men under 40 voted for Trump.
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In this midterm, they switched and voted for the Democrats.
385
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So I would say those people aren't voting on some
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fixed ideological reason based on religion or abortion or something.
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It's more like what you're talking about.
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The anti-vote, the I'm against something, not what I'm for,
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but what I'm against. Yeah, that's true. See, that's the
390
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weird part. That's this weird kind of position you and
391
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I are in because we're both Gen Xers. And, you know,
392
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as Gen Xers, we get despondent with something. We usually disconnect.
393
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We just go, you know what? Never mind. That's sort
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of like a Gen X kind of attitude with it, right?
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Is that not if we're not winning, we give up.
396
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But if we find that the game is so rigged
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or it's so pointless, we will walk away. And I
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think that's what you're seeing in people like, say, 45
399
00:23:23.000 --> 00:23:26.619
to 65. A lot of them probably walked away. We
400
00:23:26.660 --> 00:23:30.269
should see much lower voter turnout numbers when they're all
401
00:23:30.329 --> 00:23:35.329
tallied from the last few elections. And younger people, quite frankly,
402
00:23:35.490 --> 00:23:39.029
are just, no matter what you do, no matter what generation,
403
00:23:39.069 --> 00:23:42.119
no matter how unique, you know, the new Y generation,
404
00:23:42.180 --> 00:23:45.660
the new millennium is or whatever, the fact is you're
405
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more fickle. You're more... you know, reward based in your thinking.
406
00:23:50.630 --> 00:23:52.410
It's like, if I'm not getting what I want, then
407
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I need to go somewhere else real quick. That's your
408
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spenders that are going to go there. And even in business,
409
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you know, this, if that's the crowd you're attracting, if
410
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you don't keep them busy, they'll go find themselves busy
411
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somewhere else. And that's the way it's gone with voting
412
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where people feel like they're empowered to based on their anti-vote.
413
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So they hated being broke a lot more than they
414
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hated whatever the Democrats were doing in diversity and DEI.
415
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So they switched sides and said, yeah, but look, I
416
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don't want all that DEI stuff or whatever, but you
417
00:24:26.519 --> 00:24:28.720
know what I hate even more? I can't afford to
418
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go get my Starbucks coffee every day. You know, I
419
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don't have a job now or now I can't live
420
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in the apartment I used to live in because the
421
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rent's jacked up. They're more upset with that than they
422
00:24:40.059 --> 00:24:43.579
were with any of these ideological issues. And then, you
423
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know what? Give them another three, four years. And guess what?
424
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Depending on the circumstance, they might be upset with the war.
425
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But that's such an abstract concept at this point. And again,
426
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attached to religiosity. Because the majority of Christians I encounter
427
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that are quite devoted to their religion in one way
428
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or another, that actually go to church and all that,
429
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a lot of them in this Christian nation, they're pro-war
430
00:25:11.549 --> 00:25:15.299
on this. A lot of them. I don't know if
431
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it's the majority. Maybe it's, again, because I'm in the
432
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Bible Belt. I mean, you're in Virginia. I'm in Georgia.
433
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But Sorry, it's the same kind of religiosity that bleeds
434
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into the voting and bleeds into their sentiment and bleeds
435
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into what products they're willing to buy and what TV
436
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shows they're willing to watch. And everything that has to
437
00:25:34.299 --> 00:25:36.799
do with selling them something, whether it's a politician or
438
00:25:36.839 --> 00:25:40.829
a soap, is all influenced by that. And most of
439
00:25:40.869 --> 00:25:45.549
them are quite happy because Iran's an enemy, Israel's an ally,
440
00:25:45.849 --> 00:25:48.910
and it's just that simple. And we're doing the right thing.
441
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And plus, we don't have a huge amount of bodies
442
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coming back, which always creates a backlash with wars when
443
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there's actually casualties that are piling up big. We're not
444
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seeing that because war is not
conducted the same way
445
00:26:01.869 --> 00:26:04.349
it used to be. We have drones and we have
446
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aircraft and we have lots of ways to mitigate the
447
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problem of losing troops, right? So the war is not
448
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going to be the front line issue. What is most important?
449
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The things they can lay their hands on, the things
450
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they can lay their eyes on. And what's happening? They're
451
00:26:19.569 --> 00:26:23.740
losing ground with their buying power. They're losing ground as
452
00:26:23.799 --> 00:26:27.420
far as the inflation is still outpacing. You know this,
453
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I'm sure, is still outpacing, you know, inflation. people's wages,
454
00:26:33.099 --> 00:26:36.059
wages in quotes, whatever it is they're able to earn,
455
00:26:36.079 --> 00:26:38.809
whether they're a gig worker or anything else, we're getting
456
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way outpaced by the cost of living.
457
00:26:41.329 --> 00:26:45.069
All of us. I could tell from closely looking at
458
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the markets and financial news and financial data that I
459
00:26:50.509 --> 00:26:53.779
was saying this, that in the summer when the war started,
460
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I was saying it was going to cause inflation. Obviously,
461
00:26:58.599 --> 00:27:01.849
oil went up. but the oil was first and that
462
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would eventually cause food prices to go up and have
463
00:27:05.490 --> 00:27:09.859
all these other inflationary impacts as the months went on.
464
00:27:10.619 --> 00:27:16.180
And it looks like in September that started to accelerate
465
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and accelerate a little bit more in October and the
466
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government yesterday just released a consumer inflation numbers for the
467
00:27:27.160 --> 00:27:30.640
month of October. And they had the highest reading in
468
00:27:30.640 --> 00:27:40.009
12 months. So I think Trump's poll numbers and the
469
00:27:40.089 --> 00:27:47.230
odds of the Republicans winning the midterms started to decline
470
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at the end of August, just as this inflation seemed
471
00:27:52.740 --> 00:27:54.660
to be picking up from what I could tell. Or
472
00:27:54.680 --> 00:27:56.299
it looked like it was about to pick up, I
473
00:27:56.319 --> 00:27:59.480
should say. I should say in September, I thought it's
474
00:27:59.700 --> 00:28:06.309
going to pick up, you know. And I don't know, though,
475
00:28:07.029 --> 00:28:12.289
you know, something happened in early September, the first two weeks,
476
00:28:12.930 --> 00:28:18.119
that caused the poll numbers to drop. And some of
477
00:28:18.140 --> 00:28:20.920
the Republicans I know that are leaders of the local
478
00:28:20.960 --> 00:28:25.670
Republican Party, they started to fear losing. And I saw
479
00:28:26.049 --> 00:28:28.809
one of them, he's like the vice chairman of the
480
00:28:28.930 --> 00:28:33.500
local party, say something almost despondent about it, you know,
481
00:28:33.519 --> 00:28:36.579
on Facebook, which I was shocked that they'd even say
482
00:28:36.640 --> 00:28:39.259
something like that. So what I want to ask you,
483
00:28:39.299 --> 00:28:41.660
I'm asking people I talk to, because I don't really
484
00:28:41.680 --> 00:28:44.960
know the answer, or if there is one, what would
485
00:28:44.980 --> 00:28:48.200
have happened in the early September to make someone like
486
00:28:48.240 --> 00:28:51.269
that despondent? Well.
487
00:28:51.950 --> 00:28:54.670
You know what? I think it's a cumulative effect, but
488
00:28:54.750 --> 00:28:59.970
also somebody taking note that the enthusiasm, I don't know
489
00:29:00.009 --> 00:29:01.750
how to put this any other way, but the general
490
00:29:01.809 --> 00:29:05.529
enthusiasm leading up to these midterms. If you remember when
491
00:29:05.549 --> 00:29:07.910
we were talking about this maybe a year ago, just
492
00:29:07.990 --> 00:29:10.690
in general, not necessarily you and me in particular, but
493
00:29:10.880 --> 00:29:14.019
anybody who was discussing this about a year ago, oh,
494
00:29:14.079 --> 00:29:16.660
those midterms are super important, super important.
495
00:29:16.680 --> 00:29:16.759
Yeah.
496
00:29:17.519 --> 00:29:20.920
And despite maybe being locally pounded by some, you know,
497
00:29:21.220 --> 00:29:24.940
ads and things like that, campaign ads, uh, and you definitely,
498
00:29:24.980 --> 00:29:26.789
you know, in Georgia, you got something in your mail
499
00:29:26.849 --> 00:29:29.990
every single day, a big flyer on how their opponent
500
00:29:30.009 --> 00:29:32.190
was going to ruin the country, the state of Georgia,
501
00:29:32.609 --> 00:29:35.289
and didn't care about the people one way or another.
502
00:29:35.329 --> 00:29:37.309
And that was just a back and forth. Didn't matter
503
00:29:37.329 --> 00:29:41.940
who it was, insert name here. Um, it didn't light
504
00:29:41.980 --> 00:29:46.980
a fire under the voters they were not engaging in
505
00:29:47.049 --> 00:29:49.470
this the way that they have in the past few
506
00:29:49.529 --> 00:29:52.710
cycles in the past I would say almost a decade
507
00:29:53.190 --> 00:29:58.700
where there was an intensity that really swirled around the
508
00:29:58.759 --> 00:30:03.509
engagement of people. You had heightened registrations, you had greater
509
00:30:03.569 --> 00:30:09.150
political debates, you had more media devoted to the arguments,
510
00:30:09.230 --> 00:30:11.809
if you will. I mean, there were people in Minnesota
511
00:30:11.890 --> 00:30:15.650
watching the New York mayor's race, you know, a couple
512
00:30:15.670 --> 00:30:20.420
of years ago, closely, right? You know, Curtis Sliwa, wow,
513
00:30:20.460 --> 00:30:24.079
they were talking about him in Oshkosh already. None of
514
00:30:24.119 --> 00:30:26.440
that happened this time. I bet you that there's a
515
00:30:26.440 --> 00:30:28.539
whole lot of people locally to you that have no
516
00:30:28.640 --> 00:30:32.119
idea who ran in Georgia, no idea what was up for,
517
00:30:32.200 --> 00:30:34.000
you know what I'm saying? But a couple of years ago,
518
00:30:34.519 --> 00:30:38.410
they knew about Warnock and they knew about, you know,
519
00:30:38.450 --> 00:30:40.450
the other guy. Like, in other words, it was just,
520
00:30:41.650 --> 00:30:45.769
it was not more popular, but it was, again, the
521
00:30:45.829 --> 00:30:47.769
engagement was much more intense.
522
00:30:47.849 --> 00:30:49.809
I got to say, I was less engaged. I don't,
523
00:30:51.230 --> 00:30:53.349
I don't know who the, like you just said, I
524
00:30:53.369 --> 00:30:55.750
don't know who the individual names are that won all
525
00:30:55.789 --> 00:30:59.069
these different races. I wasn't paying as close attention as
526
00:30:59.150 --> 00:31:01.930
I would have in the past myself. I just assumed, oh,
527
00:31:01.970 --> 00:31:03.009
the Republicans are going to lose.
528
00:31:03.809 --> 00:31:06.599
See, but you or I could make that excuse though,
529
00:31:06.640 --> 00:31:09.500
because we were involved in media where we were discussing
530
00:31:09.539 --> 00:31:11.519
that a lot. It was a factor in the media
531
00:31:11.539 --> 00:31:14.559
that where we were focusing. But here's the thing, even
532
00:31:14.619 --> 00:31:18.359
just without me doing that job, I was more focused
533
00:31:18.420 --> 00:31:21.829
on it personally. Everybody I knew was more. So this
534
00:31:21.930 --> 00:31:24.099
is what I'm saying. We didn't have that big run
535
00:31:24.259 --> 00:31:26.299
up and we were going to have to go for
536
00:31:26.319 --> 00:31:28.880
the next 48 hours commercial free in order to cover
537
00:31:29.009 --> 00:31:33.509
every single vote as it's reported. Nobody cared. There is
538
00:31:33.769 --> 00:31:36.630
an apathy here, and I do lay it right at
539
00:31:36.670 --> 00:31:38.970
the doorstep of the people in yours and my age group,
540
00:31:39.309 --> 00:31:43.930
because we are the apathy generation. We'll do it, not always,
541
00:31:44.150 --> 00:31:46.589
but I note all the time, we have not shown
542
00:31:46.710 --> 00:31:50.279
up even in leadership roles. It's like it's skipped a generation,
543
00:31:50.859 --> 00:31:53.740
because we will turn around and just collectively, I'm not
544
00:31:53.779 --> 00:31:56.539
speaking for you or even for myself, but I still
545
00:31:56.559 --> 00:32:00.299
got to use the we here. collectively, Generation X doesn't
546
00:32:00.339 --> 00:32:03.079
show up in leadership roles, doesn't show up at the
547
00:32:03.119 --> 00:32:06.869
top of the ticket, okay? We just don't because we
548
00:32:06.950 --> 00:32:12.650
become disinterested once frustrated through the system, not because it's
549
00:32:12.670 --> 00:32:15.769
a losing battle, but because there's no battle to be had.
550
00:32:16.250 --> 00:32:19.589
We'll walk away. This is what our generation has done,
551
00:32:19.849 --> 00:32:22.579
and it was what we were always criticized for, is
552
00:32:22.619 --> 00:32:26.380
that we obviously are so apathetic, we don't care about anything, right?
553
00:32:26.519 --> 00:32:29.869
But it's not that, it's just You know, you get
554
00:32:29.910 --> 00:32:31.710
to us after a while and you show us that
555
00:32:31.769 --> 00:32:33.809
we're going to run around in circles and just get
556
00:32:33.849 --> 00:32:37.569
exhausted and go nowhere. We might decide to stop running.
557
00:32:37.880 --> 00:32:40.839
So we do. And that's why you saw like a
558
00:32:40.890 --> 00:32:45.099
generational skip literally to the next generation after us, the
559
00:32:45.319 --> 00:32:47.200
Y generation or whatever you want to call them. I
560
00:32:47.220 --> 00:32:50.099
think of them as the homeland generation. But, you know,
561
00:32:50.119 --> 00:32:52.799
because we started using that terminology in this country, but
562
00:32:52.900 --> 00:32:56.279
that's an American thing. Point is the generation after us
563
00:32:56.500 --> 00:32:59.839
is more engaged in the process than we are. We
564
00:32:59.880 --> 00:33:02.960
are just the less engaged. And I think if you
565
00:33:03.000 --> 00:33:04.559
take a look at those numbers that we do an
566
00:33:04.599 --> 00:33:07.519
analysis and I haven't even done it, I can't even
567
00:33:07.579 --> 00:33:09.839
state that I've done the numbers yet, but I can
568
00:33:09.880 --> 00:33:13.069
almost promise that I would bet that it's our age
569
00:33:13.109 --> 00:33:16.109
group that didn't show up, that didn't really care, that
570
00:33:16.150 --> 00:33:18.589
did not get as engaged, that didn't know everything that
571
00:33:18.630 --> 00:33:21.930
we knew even five years ago, six years ago, two
572
00:33:21.970 --> 00:33:25.700
years ago, even. I think we backed off here because
573
00:33:25.740 --> 00:33:28.400
it was like, well, this is what is. And a
574
00:33:28.619 --> 00:33:30.839
lot of other people have become more concerned with, again,
575
00:33:30.880 --> 00:33:33.599
what's on their plate, what's in front of them and
576
00:33:33.640 --> 00:33:38.130
what's within their reach than what it is. Somebody living
577
00:33:38.170 --> 00:33:42.109
in another state is talking about regarding their mass transit system.
578
00:33:42.170 --> 00:33:45.049
Why do I even care? I'm trying to feed my family.
579
00:33:45.529 --> 00:33:48.009
I'm trying to find an apartment to live in and
580
00:33:48.089 --> 00:33:50.849
find a way to, you know, afford dog food that
581
00:33:50.890 --> 00:33:54.990
doesn't cost me more than, you know, anyway, let's not
582
00:33:55.029 --> 00:33:57.990
go crazy. But the point is, these are the concerns
583
00:33:58.039 --> 00:34:00.019
that are going to tie you down. How am I
584
00:34:00.059 --> 00:34:01.839
going to earn enough money to live? How am I
585
00:34:01.859 --> 00:34:04.319
going to live somewhere I can afford? How am I
586
00:34:04.380 --> 00:34:06.299
going to, I don't know, keep food in the mouths
587
00:34:06.359 --> 00:34:10.139
of the people I care about? This becomes a much
588
00:34:10.199 --> 00:34:13.989
greater priority to us. than the abstract. And maybe all
589
00:34:14.030 --> 00:34:16.269
those issues that got whipped up and all those other
590
00:34:16.309 --> 00:34:18.530
things that we didn't necessarily see with our own eyes,
591
00:34:18.989 --> 00:34:22.030
but we were exposed to on social media, even that
592
00:34:22.070 --> 00:34:25.420
becomes less important. So I don't know, is this a correction,
593
00:34:25.559 --> 00:34:27.679
if you will, in the political market, Mike? What do
594
00:34:27.699 --> 00:34:28.059
you think?
595
00:34:29.500 --> 00:34:33.460
Well, there's something to be said about the age, ages
596
00:34:33.500 --> 00:34:36.900
you're talking about, because I was talking to someone the
597
00:34:36.920 --> 00:34:41.280
other day, and they said, The Virginia governor is a Democrat.
598
00:34:41.320 --> 00:34:45.719
She won a couple of years ago, but they said
599
00:34:46.739 --> 00:34:54.050
she was 40 some years old. And I thought, oh,
600
00:34:54.130 --> 00:34:56.190
I thought, I just assumed in my mind that they
601
00:34:56.210 --> 00:34:58.510
were older than that because I assumed that they would
602
00:34:58.530 --> 00:35:01.030
be older than me because it's how it's always been.
603
00:35:01.409 --> 00:35:03.849
But here's someone that's the governor younger than me in
604
00:35:04.170 --> 00:35:07.389
the state for the first time in my lifetime. in
605
00:35:07.409 --> 00:35:10.210
the state of Virginia, you know? So that's kind of
606
00:35:10.230 --> 00:35:12.539
what you're talking about. There's people younger than me in
607
00:35:12.579 --> 00:35:15.079
politics and older than me in politics, but not really
608
00:35:15.639 --> 00:35:15.980
in our age.
609
00:35:16.000 --> 00:35:19.429
Not really our age, no. See, and that's and that's
610
00:35:19.489 --> 00:35:21.489
the fun part of this is that you have Trump,
611
00:35:21.530 --> 00:35:24.829
who is, you know, our parents age or older at
612
00:35:24.849 --> 00:35:25.530
this point.
613
00:35:26.030 --> 00:35:26.309
Right.
614
00:35:26.530 --> 00:35:28.570
And then you have people that are literally taking over
615
00:35:28.590 --> 00:35:32.519
the governorships and other important positions that are in their 40s.
616
00:35:32.840 --> 00:35:35.980
But look around for guys like us. There's an oddball
617
00:35:36.019 --> 00:35:38.739
here and they are true, but. our age group and
618
00:35:38.760 --> 00:35:40.369
you and I are both in our fifties. I'm not
619
00:35:40.389 --> 00:35:43.190
speaking out of school here. You
know, born in this,
620
00:35:43.289 --> 00:35:45.610
if you were born in the seventies, you're not really
621
00:35:45.829 --> 00:35:49.849
in a position of power unless you've, you know, sculpted
622
00:35:49.869 --> 00:35:51.809
it out for yourself and carved it out in the
623
00:35:51.829 --> 00:35:52.630
world for yourself.
624
00:35:52.710 --> 00:35:56.630
And the guy I was talking to before I, you know,
625
00:35:56.650 --> 00:35:58.809
on the phone, before I spoke to you, you know,
626
00:35:59.050 --> 00:36:05.130
he's hates the Democrats. He wants the Republicans back, but he, he,
627
00:36:05.409 --> 00:36:09.280
I mean, I'm just saying what he's saying. he was saying,
628
00:36:09.300 --> 00:36:13.019
I mean, he doesn't want Vance to run. He wants
629
00:36:13.119 --> 00:36:16.039
Vance to not run for, he doesn't want Vance to
630
00:36:16.079 --> 00:36:18.559
run for president. He wants him to go back to
631
00:36:18.980 --> 00:36:21.800
Ohio and run for the Senate because he wants Rubio
632
00:36:21.820 --> 00:36:27.179
to run. And he thinks Rubio's great, evidently. But both
633
00:36:27.219 --> 00:36:29.119
of them are under 45 years old.
634
00:36:29.840 --> 00:36:32.340
You know what they might become is Ted Cruz fans
635
00:36:32.380 --> 00:36:34.320
real quick. Watch. But go ahead.
636
00:36:34.360 --> 00:36:38.289
It could happen too. But, But anyway, I'm just saying
637
00:36:38.340 --> 00:36:42.079
both those. But the vice president's 43, you know, so
638
00:36:42.840 --> 00:36:45.840
that's kind of more of what you're talking about. Yeah.
639
00:36:45.880 --> 00:36:49.300
But who the hell wants him in charge? I mean, seriously.
640
00:36:49.519 --> 00:36:52.530
But I don't I don't I don't this guy. I
641
00:36:52.570 --> 00:36:54.469
don't want him in charge. This fellow don't want him
642
00:36:54.510 --> 00:36:56.030
in charge. I don't know. I don't know anyone who
643
00:36:56.070 --> 00:36:56.789
wants him in charge.
644
00:36:57.110 --> 00:37:00.250
And there you go. This guy could literally be the
645
00:37:00.309 --> 00:37:04.210
grandchild of the guy who's the president. Right. Because Trump's what?
646
00:37:04.289 --> 00:37:06.150
He's banging on 80 now, isn't he?
647
00:37:06.230 --> 00:37:06.570
Yeah.
648
00:37:06.969 --> 00:37:09.610
So 80 and 40 what? 42?
649
00:37:09.610 --> 00:37:12.239
43 or something. 43? Okay.
650
00:37:12.280 --> 00:37:15.219
So 37. That's almost grandparent distance in between them. There
651
00:37:15.260 --> 00:37:20.059
you go. What's missing? The guy in between who could be, yeah, exactly.
652
00:37:20.260 --> 00:37:20.380
Us.
653
00:37:20.480 --> 00:37:24.179
Generation X missing. See what I mean? And Ted Cruz
654
00:37:24.420 --> 00:37:30.019
still totally disheveled, upset beyond belief that he's like, I'm
655
00:37:30.039 --> 00:37:34.300
like the only Republican left in Texas. That's a temporary situation.
656
00:37:34.780 --> 00:37:38.119
Nobody wanted to deal with Governor Hot Wheels anymore. And
657
00:37:38.159 --> 00:37:40.250
the news media tried to pump that up like that
658
00:37:40.289 --> 00:37:43.449
was a big deal. Oh, my God. Texas shifted blue
659
00:37:43.590 --> 00:37:48.309
and fizzle. Nobody cares. You know what I'm saying? It's
660
00:37:48.329 --> 00:37:51.030
just the it is a backlash to the fact that
661
00:37:51.050 --> 00:37:54.739
these people failed. They failed to deliver on their promises.
662
00:37:54.780 --> 00:37:58.219
They failed to deliver on their ethical, you know, alleged
663
00:37:58.340 --> 00:38:02.829
ethical positions. They failed to deliver on repairing the damage
664
00:38:03.269 --> 00:38:06.429
and the horrible damage done by Joe Biden and his ilk.
665
00:38:07.289 --> 00:38:10.769
And hey, look, you failed to stop the communists from
666
00:38:10.809 --> 00:38:13.670
getting elected in a bunch of places and also the
667
00:38:13.710 --> 00:38:17.619
socialists and the democratic socialists. And here they come. Oh,
668
00:38:17.659 --> 00:38:22.380
be afraid. They're not going to hold those offices long either. OK,
669
00:38:22.599 --> 00:38:25.219
it is a temporary thing. Like I told Larry, I
670
00:38:26.280 --> 00:38:28.019
don't know if you heard the discussion Larry and I
671
00:38:28.059 --> 00:38:31.989
had briefly about the midterms. But I said to him,
672
00:38:32.010 --> 00:38:35.289
I feel like really we're entering our Jimmy Carter moment
673
00:38:36.150 --> 00:38:37.880
once again. I'm not saying we're going to get a
674
00:38:37.889 --> 00:38:41.340
guy like Jimmy Carter in the presidency. But that's literally
675
00:38:41.400 --> 00:38:44.119
the type of transition we're looking at here, where if
676
00:38:44.139 --> 00:38:48.079
you think about it objectively, OK, you had a, you know,
677
00:38:48.159 --> 00:38:52.099
a staunchly conservative kind of Democrat, really, with Lyndon Johnson,
678
00:38:52.480 --> 00:38:55.429
despite what he's been credited with. The guy was a
679
00:38:55.469 --> 00:38:59.809
conservative Democrat, OK, by most standards, very, you know, war hawkish,
680
00:38:59.969 --> 00:39:03.590
all that good stuff. fine. We go from him to Nixon.
681
00:39:04.250 --> 00:39:06.050
What do you want me to say about Nixon other
682
00:39:06.070 --> 00:39:11.380
than Republican? Ford comes in undeserved, but he holds the
683
00:39:11.440 --> 00:39:15.059
office briefly. We get Carter for four years. Then what
684
00:39:15.079 --> 00:39:19.739
do we get? 12 years between Reagan and Bush. Then
685
00:39:19.739 --> 00:39:23.590
we can't even get a liberal Democrat in the White House.
686
00:39:23.590 --> 00:39:26.570
That back and forth shift, we got it, but our
687
00:39:26.570 --> 00:39:30.219
so-called liberal Democrat is Bill Clinton. And if you look
688
00:39:30.260 --> 00:39:36.280
at his record, not really a super liberal Democrat. So honestly,
689
00:39:36.300 --> 00:39:40.380
the Jimmy Carter moment is coming again, where there's going
690
00:39:40.400 --> 00:39:43.360
to be a push against the major conservative in the
691
00:39:43.429 --> 00:39:47.530
federal kind of system for a moment, for a few years.
692
00:39:48.389 --> 00:39:51.789
Because Joe Biden, look, I give that one an asterisk
693
00:39:51.809 --> 00:39:55.489
because I don't think he knew where he was. So
694
00:39:55.969 --> 00:39:57.809
I don't think he counts. But we might get a
695
00:39:58.570 --> 00:40:04.940
temporary reprieve from the extreme. Because what happens is we
696
00:40:04.980 --> 00:40:08.559
get the very conservative values come in. When the conservative
697
00:40:08.639 --> 00:40:12.099
cost of the conservative values hit the nation, they push
698
00:40:12.159 --> 00:40:15.449
back a bit. But as soon as things get better,
699
00:40:15.829 --> 00:40:19.280
they go back for the conservative values again. In general,
700
00:40:19.559 --> 00:40:22.099
we're more of a conservative nation than most people want
701
00:40:22.119 --> 00:40:25.659
to give us credit for. And that's the way I
702
00:40:25.739 --> 00:40:28.380
see it, being somebody who feels like I'm in the
703
00:40:28.440 --> 00:40:31.860
middle of two different places. I'm homeless politically when it
704
00:40:31.900 --> 00:40:34.820
comes to a party. I'm like a libertarian, but not
705
00:40:34.880 --> 00:40:38.380
the brand of libertarian that exists currently. I'm sort of
706
00:40:38.420 --> 00:40:42.440
like a bizarre kind of offshoot of libertarian. I don't
707
00:40:42.480 --> 00:40:43.519
agree with either party.
708
00:40:44.000 --> 00:40:48.780
It could be. We'll see. With the Democrats getting control
709
00:40:48.900 --> 00:40:51.539
of the House and the Senate, they're not, and Trump
710
00:40:51.559 --> 00:40:53.559
being the president, they're not going to be able to
711
00:40:53.599 --> 00:40:58.829
pass any legislation that creates any major changes because he'll
712
00:40:58.869 --> 00:41:02.550
just veto it. But what they can do is investigations.
713
00:41:03.650 --> 00:41:06.739
And if- But, see, but again- Will they, will they,
714
00:41:06.980 --> 00:41:08.849
we'll ask you to- Will they even be able to
715
00:41:08.889 --> 00:41:12.460
investigate anything compared to the church committee and the committees
716
00:41:12.500 --> 00:41:12.719
of 1970? No.
717
00:41:12.739 --> 00:41:17.699
They're going to have two years. They're going to have
718
00:41:17.719 --> 00:41:20.320
two clear years where they've got this guy resisting them
719
00:41:20.340 --> 00:41:23.659
with a veto. And they're going to make, again, when
720
00:41:23.679 --> 00:41:26.679
they had control of the Senate and the House before
721
00:41:26.800 --> 00:41:30.860
and attempted these investigations and impeachments and everything else, they
722
00:41:30.889 --> 00:41:33.110
did such a piss poor job. It was almost like
723
00:41:33.170 --> 00:41:36.090
watching anybody throw a fight. You know who you should
724
00:41:36.269 --> 00:41:38.699
really go over this with? I got to be honest
725
00:41:38.719 --> 00:41:42.369
with you, Jacob Hornberger comes to mind because I think
726
00:41:42.449 --> 00:41:46.909
his take on this would be spectacular because I know
727
00:41:46.949 --> 00:41:49.690
he'd agree with me some and disagree with me some also.
728
00:41:50.139 --> 00:41:52.099
But I think he would be a great person to
729
00:41:52.139 --> 00:41:55.559
go over this with. You should have him on soon because, man,
730
00:41:55.780 --> 00:41:59.489
he's exactly the guy. That you need to have that
731
00:41:59.650 --> 00:42:02.989
calm analysis where there's no dog in this fight. You know,
732
00:42:03.570 --> 00:42:06.030
I don't have one, but people always believe I do.
733
00:42:06.489 --> 00:42:07.369
Right, right.
734
00:42:07.730 --> 00:42:09.300
Which is funny because it's like, oh, you're one of
735
00:42:09.340 --> 00:42:12.159
those socialists or you're one of those extreme. Because, you know,
736
00:42:12.199 --> 00:42:15.420
here's my problem. I believe in gun rights and I
737
00:42:15.460 --> 00:42:19.920
don't care what religion you practice. So it confuses people. Okay.
738
00:42:19.960 --> 00:42:20.219
Okay.
739
00:42:21.000 --> 00:42:23.579
Um, and also I feel like the rights of the
740
00:42:23.619 --> 00:42:26.739
individual are the supreme law of the land. That's the
741
00:42:26.760 --> 00:42:29.619
way it should be. And every bit of your freedom
742
00:42:29.679 --> 00:42:32.519
should end at the tip of my nose. That's that,
743
00:42:33.000 --> 00:42:34.719
you know what I mean? You can swing your fists
744
00:42:34.820 --> 00:42:37.360
all day and break your own property and have at
745
00:42:37.420 --> 00:42:40.059
it as far as I'm concerned. But once you reach
746
00:42:40.099 --> 00:42:43.320
my area, that's where it stops. Okay. I'm one of
747
00:42:43.340 --> 00:42:48.489
those guys, the do no harm kind of a philosophical libertarian, uh,
748
00:42:49.119 --> 00:42:51.079
I don't know where they are anymore, but Jacob's kind
749
00:42:51.099 --> 00:42:53.860
of close to that as well. So I would love
750
00:42:53.900 --> 00:42:55.900
to hear his take on the midterms, actually.
751
00:42:56.480 --> 00:42:59.739
Yeah, I'll have to see if I can get a
752
00:42:59.800 --> 00:43:02.539
conversation with him about that. That'd be great. But I
753
00:43:02.579 --> 00:43:04.699
just think about that. I think your 70s comparison is
754
00:43:04.739 --> 00:43:10.480
real interesting. You had Richard Schweiker in the 1970s. It
755
00:43:10.519 --> 00:43:14.840
helped spark a bunch of investigations. And now we got Luna.
756
00:43:15.340 --> 00:43:19.699
So we got Luna as it says Schweiker. Now we'll
757
00:43:19.739 --> 00:43:21.599
see who the Democrats' Frank Church is.
758
00:43:22.400 --> 00:43:26.039
But here's the problem, right? Again, is that that was
759
00:43:26.099 --> 00:43:31.239
based not on just Schweiker or just Church. All that
760
00:43:31.300 -->
00:43:35.909
stuff was built up because of the absolute revolt over Vietnam.
761
00:43:36.369 --> 00:43:39.269
That's the truth of it. Okay, so you have that,
762
00:43:39.369 --> 00:43:42.250
the distrust, the fact that we were being misled there,
763
00:43:42.989 --> 00:43:45.239
all comes out. And there were people that were real
764
00:43:45.320 --> 00:43:51.010
honest-to-goodness whistleblowers who came out. Luna is an oversight person.
765
00:43:51.369 --> 00:43:55.130
It's an oversight committee. It's not going to accomplish, you know,
766
00:43:55.150 --> 00:43:57.150
some people go, they should investigate. They should do this.
767
00:43:58.090 --> 00:43:59.940
That's not part of their job description.
768
00:44:00.719 --> 00:44:01.079
Okay.
769
00:44:01.119 --> 00:44:03.400
That's not part of their function. Those things had to
770
00:44:03.420 --> 00:44:06.780
be created. And those things were created due to public,
771
00:44:07.219 --> 00:44:11.739
public and political pressures that were unique to that time
772
00:44:11.820 --> 00:44:16.900
because of a mass revolt that Against, again, the Vietnam circumstance.
773
00:44:17.340 --> 00:44:20.199
And also we started having financial pressures.
774
00:44:20.280 --> 00:44:20.599
Whoops.
775
00:44:21.179 --> 00:44:23.369
You know, we don't have the endless war where body
776
00:44:23.409 --> 00:44:26.010
bags are coming back right now. So you're not going
777
00:44:26.030 --> 00:44:29.179
to have the American public's distaste for war like it
778
00:44:29.219 --> 00:44:33.570
was then. You also don't have the super obvious overthrowing
779
00:44:33.610 --> 00:44:37.170
of governments all over the place. Everything is a bit
780
00:44:37.230 --> 00:44:42.030
different now. And there's a much different media scape for
781
00:44:42.070 --> 00:44:45.070
people to learn anything about. And God help us all
782
00:44:45.110 --> 00:44:47.590
with the way every administration for the past, I don't know,
783
00:44:47.590 --> 00:44:51.960
40 years has handled whistleblowers. So, you know, is another
784
00:44:52.000 --> 00:44:54.099
guy going to come out and dump the Pentagon Papers
785
00:44:54.199 --> 00:44:58.139
on anybody? I don't think so. And even if they do,
786
00:44:58.219 --> 00:45:01.719
they'll claim it's, you know, it's actually a fabrication. It's fake.
787
00:45:02.699 --> 00:45:06.039
And we'll have to deal with fake news all over
788
00:45:06.079 --> 00:45:08.719
the place. So I don't see how we can even
789
00:45:09.380 --> 00:45:13.550
get to that. But it doesn't mean that overall we
790
00:45:13.590 --> 00:45:17.949
won't have the trajectory of the country go the same way,
791
00:45:18.789 --> 00:45:23.809
where there will be a pushback. There will be an adjustment. Again,
792
00:45:23.869 --> 00:45:26.699
I think about it like a market correction. You know,
793
00:45:26.800 --> 00:45:29.730
it can only climb so high, so long, so fast.
794
00:45:30.530 --> 00:45:32.690
Then it's
got to correct itself and come back down
795
00:45:32.730 --> 00:45:35.329
to earth and get real for a minute. And then,
796
00:45:35.349 --> 00:45:37.690
of course, we can begin building the next bubble right away.
797
00:45:38.389 --> 00:45:40.769
That's the way the markets run, no matter what a
798
00:45:40.809 --> 00:45:43.860
guy like you ever says or doesn't say. And if
799
00:45:43.880 --> 00:45:45.559
you take a look at it, it goes in very
800
00:45:45.619 --> 00:45:48.340
interesting cycles. I mean, I did a little thing where
801
00:45:48.360 --> 00:45:51.760
I was trying to show a parallel between like 1907
802
00:45:51.760 --> 00:45:55.190
and 2007 and how there's like a hundred year cycle
803
00:45:55.710 --> 00:45:59.449
ever since the American monetary system has been, you know,
804
00:45:59.590 --> 00:46:03.050
sort of shaped the way it is. We've had cycles
805
00:46:03.090 --> 00:46:05.400
like this where it's kind of predictable at the end
806
00:46:05.440 --> 00:46:08.059
of the day, there's going to be a big increase
807
00:46:08.119 --> 00:46:12.250
in over-evaluation. There's going to be a massive correction and,
808
00:46:13.230 --> 00:46:17.590
And then gradual climbs and gradual declines. And they seem
809
00:46:17.639 --> 00:46:19.639
to go almost, you know, like I say, in the
810
00:46:19.679 --> 00:46:23.239
hundred year cycle. So maybe we should be looking back
811
00:46:23.340 --> 00:46:26.920
at 1929. Oh, wait a minute. That'll be coming up
812
00:46:26.980 --> 00:46:29.039
in a couple of years. That might not be good.
813
00:46:31.409 --> 00:46:34.750
I make jokes. Anyway, Mike, all I can say is
814
00:46:34.809 --> 00:46:37.170
this is a cycle. We're looking at a little bit
815
00:46:37.210 --> 00:46:40.090
of a pushback. It's not a major victory or a
816
00:46:40.110 --> 00:46:43.349
major defeat for anybody, I think. I think it would
817
00:46:43.389 --> 00:46:46.489
be nice if the ideologies would come back down to
818
00:46:46.630 --> 00:46:50.280
earth and meet with the people they're supposed to be representing.
819
00:46:51.079 --> 00:46:53.920
I don't mean directly face-to-face. I mean, try and get
820
00:46:53.980 --> 00:46:57.380
to what actually concerns the we the people part of
821
00:46:57.400 --> 00:47:00.599
the equation. If somebody actually does that, I don't know
822
00:47:00.619 --> 00:47:02.780
what would happen. What do you think?
823
00:47:03.679 --> 00:47:07.940
No, I hope someone does it, but I don't see
824
00:47:07.980 --> 00:47:13.699
that person out there. Right. It ain't Ted Cruz. Right.
825
00:47:14.340 --> 00:47:16.590
In the land of illusions, you know, and in the
826
00:47:16.659 --> 00:47:20.269
land of many people who think that they're great athletes
827
00:47:20.329 --> 00:47:24.289
or whatever, how many of them actually exist? You know,
828
00:47:24.309 --> 00:47:28.690
we would all love to be Shohei Ohtani one way
829
00:47:28.750 --> 00:47:33.840
or another, but not everybody can pitch and also hit
830
00:47:33.880 --> 00:47:37.269
the ball like that. You know, there was a guy
831
00:47:37.289 --> 00:47:39.469
named Babe Ruth. Hey, you know, they were about 100
832
00:47:39.469 --> 00:47:42.010
years apart, too. I don't know. Maybe everything goes in
833
00:47:42.010 --> 00:47:44.429
100 year cycles. What do you think?
834
00:47:44.449 --> 00:47:47.769
You know, there's something to be said for cycles and
835
00:47:47.849 --> 00:47:50.550
cycles are part of life and investing. There's there's no
836
00:47:51.250 --> 00:47:54.809
and everything. No doubt. No doubt. No doubt about that. Right.
837
00:47:56.030 --> 00:48:02.639
And you can't stop them. I think is also part
838
00:48:02.679 --> 00:48:02.860
of that.
839
00:48:03.980 --> 00:48:06.739
Right. So look, I apologize for my, you know, constantly
840
00:48:06.800 --> 00:48:11.039
swerving train of thought, but it's just really, I've barely
841
00:48:11.079 --> 00:48:13.199
had even a chance to speak to somebody who's being
842
00:48:13.280 --> 00:48:16.789
sensible about this. And I'm always glad to speak with you, Mike,
843
00:48:16.849 --> 00:48:20.829
because regardless of what your personal views are, you don't
844
00:48:20.889 --> 00:48:24.530
get off on tangents and have emotional reactions about a
845
00:48:24.550 --> 00:48:27.139
lot of stuff, at least not publicly. I mean, God
846
00:48:27.159 --> 00:48:29.239
knows this guy behind closed doors could be, you know,
847
00:48:29.300 --> 00:48:31.119
he's got a separate house. He punches holes in the
848
00:48:31.139 --> 00:48:33.679
wall for, I don't know, but I would be surprised.
849
00:48:35.019 --> 00:48:38.119
You know, but you're like a very level-headed guy always
850
00:48:38.840 --> 00:48:41.050
and exactly the kind of guy that needs to be
851
00:48:41.090 --> 00:48:43.969
around to kind of explore these things. Because at the
852
00:48:44.010 --> 00:48:45.769
end of the day, a whole lot of what we've
853
00:48:45.809 --> 00:48:49.650
seen driven recently when it comes to trends in media,
854
00:48:49.849 --> 00:48:54.059
in the financial markets, in finance in general, in politics,
855
00:48:54.500 --> 00:49:02.900
it's all this vitriolic emotional reactionism. It's reactionary. Everything's reactionary, reactionary, reactionary.
856
00:49:03.889 --> 00:49:08.199
And you know what? After a while, you get tired. OK,
857
00:49:08.360 --> 00:49:14.099
nobody can constantly be in a fluid, dynamic, reactionary state
858
00:49:14.840 --> 00:49:15.710
at all times.
859
00:49:15.909 --> 00:49:16.300
Okay?
860
00:49:16.760 --> 00:49:20.119
It's impossible. That's why the guys, they couldn't sleep for
861
00:49:20.139 --> 00:49:22.820
a few days out in the field, depending on what
862
00:49:22.860 --> 00:49:26.039
war you're talking about. But after a certain amount of time,
863
00:49:26.219 --> 00:49:29.889
everybody's got to calm down and sleep, okay? You can't
864
00:49:29.949 --> 00:49:33.030
stay awake forever. You can't stay alert forever. And you
865
00:49:33.050 --> 00:49:38.880
can't stay angry forever either. None of these things are sustainable, okay? Okay.
866
00:49:39.099 --> 00:49:41.159
And you're going to live a lot longer than you
867
00:49:41.179 --> 00:49:43.809
can maintain your anger loops. You're going to live a
868
00:49:43.849 --> 00:49:46.989
lot longer than you can maintain your high anxiety. You're
869
00:49:47.010 --> 00:49:49.110
going to live a lot longer than you can contain,
870
00:49:49.550 --> 00:49:53.210
you know, then you can retain your satisfaction with your victories,
871
00:49:53.750 --> 00:49:55.380
no matter who you are. I don't mean you, Mike.
872
00:49:55.659 --> 00:49:59.400
I mean, just anybody in general, you're going to outlive
873
00:49:59.639 --> 00:50:04.300
whatever intense emotion you think is the most important at
874
00:50:04.340 --> 00:50:07.969
the moment. And unfortunately, the way that the algorithms have
875
00:50:08.010 --> 00:50:11.969
delivered things, the way socialization has shifted, the change because
876
00:50:12.010 --> 00:50:16.030
of COVID, everything in recent years, if it's taught you
877
00:50:16.130 --> 00:50:21.969
nothing else, it's that every single reactionary curve has an
878
00:50:22.130 --> 00:50:26.909
equal and other reaction to it. And eventually things will
879
00:50:26.929 --> 00:50:31.860
correct because nothing is sustainable when it's intense and it's
880
00:50:31.889 --> 00:50:35.429
based on emotion only. We have to get back to
881
00:50:35.469 --> 00:50:38.920
being logical, practical and pragmatic about a lot of things.
882
00:50:39.639 --> 00:50:41.960
And if we don't, we'll just continue to have these,
883
00:50:42.000 --> 00:50:44.820
you know, worthless arguments. And but like I said, the
884
00:50:44.880 --> 00:50:50.650
intensity wasn't present with this recent midterm selection. And I
885
00:50:50.670 --> 00:50:52.190
got to be honest with you, I kind of feel
886
00:50:52.230 --> 00:50:57.210
like that's a little hopeful that people weren't just going
887
00:50:57.530 --> 00:51:01.010
on their hate based, you know, actions. I have to
888
00:51:01.050 --> 00:51:03.599
vote against Trump because he's just, I have to vote
889
00:51:03.639 --> 00:51:06.059
against the communists. I got to get rid of this one.
890
00:51:07.019 --> 00:51:08.800
I got to turn it around so they can't do
891
00:51:08.840 --> 00:51:10.980
this anymore. I got to take away this from that.
892
00:51:11.019 --> 00:51:13.050
I got to get all these immigrants out of here.
893
00:51:13.829 --> 00:51:17.969
All of these intense things, eventually you got to calm
894
00:51:17.989 --> 00:51:21.110
down because either you're going to accomplish them or not.
895
00:51:21.650 --> 00:51:24.610
And eventually, like I say, the emotion burns out. I
896
00:51:24.659 --> 00:51:27.340
feel like there was a burnout here And I kind
897
00:51:27.380 --> 00:51:30.159
of feel good about that because that shows some, you know,
898
00:51:30.380 --> 00:51:33.039
we don't have to maintain a constant state of high
899
00:51:33.119 --> 00:51:37.699
anxiety in order to continue to conduct ourselves to debate things.
900
00:51:38.199 --> 00:51:40.940
And who knows, maybe even accomplish something once in a while.
901
00:51:42.179 --> 00:51:44.199
So I kind of feel good about that. What do
902
00:51:44.239 --> 00:51:47.639
you think about my overall sort of idea here that
903
00:51:47.800 --> 00:51:51.599
it just seemed like, yeah, there was an enthusiasm gap
904
00:51:51.699 --> 00:51:53.900
this time as opposed to the last, I don't know,
905
00:51:53.900 --> 00:51:56.940
12 years. political discourse.
906
00:51:57.159 --> 00:51:59.460
I think it makes a lot of sense. And, you know,
907
00:52:00.000 --> 00:52:07.570
people overseas in other countries were, I'll give you an example. Greece,
908
00:52:07.610 --> 00:52:11.250
for example, had a lot of economic hardship over the
909
00:52:11.289 --> 00:52:17.489
past 20 years. And I was told that what happened
910
00:52:17.530 --> 00:52:23.760
there is that as, as, as each party, no one
911
00:52:24.079 --> 00:52:28.619
maintained control. Well, first of all, they have a parliamentary system.
912
00:52:30.059 --> 00:52:34.519
But one of the things that happened was that the
913
00:52:34.559 --> 00:52:38.300
parties kept, people keep voting one party in and out,
914
00:52:38.820 --> 00:52:44.449
but each election cycle, fewer people voted and interest diminished. Now,
915
00:52:44.829 --> 00:52:50.630
I don't know if that's actually occurred yet, but I
916
00:52:50.670 --> 00:52:54.400
think what you're describing, what seems to be going on
917
00:52:54.460 --> 00:52:59.329
is some sort of exhaustion with all this. And as
918
00:52:59.369 --> 00:53:03.769
far as making people real anxious, to me, that started
919
00:53:03.809 --> 00:53:09.190
after 9-11 as a deliberate tactic. And before that, I
920
00:53:09.210 --> 00:53:13.420
don't think there was as much anxiety with people following
921
00:53:13.480 --> 00:53:17.300
politics or the news in general. But after 9-11, it
922
00:53:17.340 --> 00:53:24.809
was deliberately ramped up. and I guess maintained. Maybe it
923
00:53:24.849 --> 00:53:27.130
went away for a short amount of time.
924
00:53:27.590 --> 00:53:31.239
That was the birth of the fear porn industry, which
925
00:53:31.260 --> 00:53:35.579
has given life all these different offshoots, whether it's the
926
00:53:35.619 --> 00:53:39.039
political or it comes to medical stuff or any of
927
00:53:39.079 --> 00:53:41.780
this business. It has all come from that.
928
00:53:41.860 --> 00:53:43.320
You're right. Exactly.
929
00:53:44.800 --> 00:53:47.320
I call it fear porn. Sorry, but that's what it was.
930
00:53:48.039 --> 00:53:54.489
where the fear-based reaction taught all the people that market anything,
931
00:53:54.510 --> 00:53:58.889
whether it be politics or beer, it
doesn't matter, right?
932
00:53:59.309 --> 00:54:03.389
Or it's entertainment. It's all about pushing out the fear,
933
00:54:03.849 --> 00:54:07.429
the rarity, and the intensity, and of course, pushing price
934
00:54:07.590 --> 00:54:10.789
points to the limit no matter what. Hey, listen, if
935
00:54:10.829 --> 00:54:12.969
that doesn't work, let's shrink down what we give them.
936
00:54:13.500 --> 00:54:16.599
you know, shrinkflation and inflation. We don't have to choose.
937
00:54:16.659 --> 00:54:19.179
Let's do both. And let's make them afraid that even
938
00:54:19.219 --> 00:54:22.199
though we shrank the, you know, box of cupcakes and
939
00:54:22.239 --> 00:54:25.360
we also charge them more, let's also keep them afraid
940
00:54:25.400 --> 00:54:27.039
that there might not be any more cupcakes.
941
00:54:28.460 --> 00:54:28.920
Why not?
942
00:54:29.280 --> 00:54:33.090
It's the trifecta of marketing. And they did this with
943
00:54:33.130 --> 00:54:36.989
politics and everything. Yeah, I think 9-11 taught that lesson
944
00:54:37.050 --> 00:54:40.400
to the Western world. And, you know, welcome to it.
945
00:54:40.409 --> 00:54:42.329
Here we are in what they used to call America, right?
946
00:54:42.849 --> 00:54:45.510
And I think for everybody, and I've said this on
947
00:54:45.530 --> 00:54:47.829
your show many times, you just have to pull away
948
00:54:47.909 --> 00:54:52.610
from the internet and the media and totally unplug at
949
00:54:53.170 --> 00:54:56.110
times for days or a week or whatever it is
950
00:54:57.199 --> 00:54:59.739
to keep your sanity. Right.
951
00:54:59.780 --> 00:55:03.039
The great sanity of the television, which you and I
952
00:55:03.159 --> 00:55:06.440
found kind of insane after a while, was that you
953
00:55:06.500 --> 00:55:09.280
couldn't carry it with you. You could walk away from it.
954
00:55:10.460 --> 00:55:13.579
But now you have the Internet in your pocket. You
955
00:55:13.619 --> 00:55:17.110
have a television in your pocket. You have one every
956
00:55:17.170 --> 00:55:19.389
single place you go. And oh, by the way, even
957
00:55:19.409 --> 00:55:22.000
if you think you've gotten away from the Wi-Fi, even
958
00:55:22.039 --> 00:55:25.440
at your campsites, you got it anyway. And if that's
959
00:55:25.480 --> 00:55:27.659
no good, mobile data is still back to your pocket.
960
00:55:28.179 --> 00:55:30.900
So they took the TV that was causing anxiety that
961
00:55:30.920 --> 00:55:33.719
you could walk away from and not fall into an
962
00:55:34.159 --> 00:55:36.449
alpha wave state and all that. They took that and
963
00:55:36.489 --> 00:55:39.170
put it in your pocket. So you make it portable.
964
00:55:39.369 --> 00:55:43.710
All of a sudden, it's addictive and everything else. Oh,
965
00:55:43.750 --> 00:55:47.789
by the way, they did build successful addiction machines just
966
00:55:47.829 --> 00:55:50.650
to keep people engaged with that thing in your pocket too.
967
00:55:51.340 --> 00:55:53.429
But that's a story for another day. Oh, wait, you
968
00:55:53.489 --> 00:55:55.110
and I have talked about that on the show, Mike.
969
00:55:56.389 --> 00:55:58.710
We sure have.
970
00:55:59.170 --> 00:56:09.789
Well, we're getting to the top. Okay, we're going, we're live. Oh, sorry. Uncut, baby.
971
00:56:10.949 --> 00:56:13.250
I was about to say, we probably should wrap up.
972
00:56:13.269 --> 00:56:14.710
We're getting to the top of the hour.
973
00:56:14.730 --> 00:56:14.849
Yep.
974
00:56:17.710 --> 00:56:19.789
If people want to hear the audio version of this,
975
00:56:19.909 --> 00:56:24.530
go to your website at Chelly.com. I'm going to be
976
00:56:24.750 --> 00:56:27.210
on your show at some point, and that won't be
977
00:56:27.269 --> 00:56:30.880
on YouTube. Hopefully, we'll do something like this in the
978
00:56:30.920 --> 00:56:35.119
future where it's a joint deal. We'll see how this works.
979
00:56:35.199 --> 00:56:38.320
It should work pretty good. I'm hoping to do more
980
00:56:38.360 --> 00:56:42.159
stuff on YouTube. In my mind, I'm reaching an audience
981
00:56:42.219 --> 00:56:45.869
on YouTube, and you're reaching an audience in the podcast world,
982
00:56:45.889 --> 00:56:46.530
the audio world.
983
00:56:47.190 --> 00:56:50.550
Right. Plus, I'll be doing some more stuff video wise.
984
00:56:50.610 --> 00:56:53.650
I'll be on Rumble soon. I have my channel arranged.
985
00:56:53.730 --> 00:56:56.449
I just haven't gone live with it. But, you know,
986
00:56:56.489 --> 00:56:59.860
the Ocelli effect and all that will be on Rumble
987
00:56:59.889 --> 00:57:03.320
as well. We're banned on YouTube, actually, but we'll be
988
00:57:03.380 --> 00:57:08.840
on Rumble and other platforms as we go. But I'm
989
00:57:08.880 --> 00:57:10.719
always happy to talk to you, Mike. You know, and
990
00:57:11.099 --> 00:57:12.780
I was thrilled even to get you on my show
991
00:57:12.840 --> 00:57:14.860
the first time because you were the author of the book,
992
00:57:14.900 --> 00:57:18.860
The War State. which I thought was an extremely important
993
00:57:19.400 --> 00:57:23.780
and easily digestible book that was accessible to people who
994
00:57:23.800 --> 00:57:27.190
were trying to just understand the world around them and
995
00:57:27.230 --> 00:57:31.670
what happened regarding, you know, our circumstance in recent history.
996
00:57:32.650 --> 00:57:34.449
So and I didn't even hardly know you the first
997
00:57:34.489 --> 00:57:36.300
time that you were on, but I was just grateful
998
00:57:36.320 --> 00:57:38.320
to have you on and just a fan of your work.
999
00:57:38.739 --> 00:57:42.070
And I remain that way. So I thank you for this.
1000
00:57:42.289 --> 00:57:44.550
And yeah, we'll put this out as just an audio
1001
00:57:44.590 --> 00:57:49.210
podcast on the Ocelli feed, the Ocelli.com radio network. And
1002
00:57:49.469 --> 00:57:51.630
who knows, maybe I'll even figure out a way to
1003
00:57:51.650 --> 00:57:53.849
steal the video and put it up on another platform.
1004
00:57:53.869 --> 00:57:56.389
I won't be stealing, but yeah.
1005
00:57:56.409 --> 00:57:58.530
I'll send you the video file too and put on
1006
00:57:58.590 --> 00:58:02.139
Rumble and whatnot. That'd be great. Well, thanks for taking
1007
00:58:02.159 --> 00:58:06.239
the time to do this and we'll catch pace soon.
1008
00:58:07.000 --> 00:58:07.400
You got it.