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All right joining us now is tom coulopolis and i
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think you're really going to enjoy it's the topic this
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is about ai it's something i've talked about many times
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and his book is called the mirror tom has worked
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as a he has run actually a boston think tank
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called the delphi group for 35 years let's begin with
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that tom Tell us, what are you thinking about at
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the Think Tank?
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We're thinking about what everyone else is thinking about right now,
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the implications of AI. There's so much fear-mongering going on
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right now, David, that trying to counterbalance that and sort
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of even the scales and give people a more practical and,
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dare I say, hopeful look of what the future will
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be is where I spend most of my time. But look,
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AI is going to change so much of the way
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we work, how we lead organizations. Our politics will change
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because of AI. It's going to be one of the
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most pervasive shifts I think we've seen, certainly in our
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lifetime or in many lifetimes. Wow.
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And that's pretty amazing when we think about the pervasive
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shifts that we've seen in terms of things like computers
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and the internet and other things like that. But of course,
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this is bringing all those things together. And I guess
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one of the things we talk about how there's a
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lot of fear, a lot of fear mongering that is
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out there. And I think it's kind of interesting that
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a lot of that is coming from the industry leaders themselves.
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Yes.
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And I think a lot of us are looking at
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this askance and saying, okay, so you're begging for government
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regulation because you say it's so dangerous and you just
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can't stop it yourself. That sounds like there's another agenda
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in there to me.
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What do you think?
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So there are a few agendas here, and I'll start
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with the least sort of– malicious agenda. And that is
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that there are
Load full transcript
people genuinely in this space who believe
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they're creating the next evolution of humanity. And they take
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it quite seriously. And they really believe that this entity,
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this thing we call AI, is a thinking new species
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that will challenge us in many ways. And they're trying
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to protect us as best they can with some of
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this hyperbole. So there are well many people that are
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trying to to moderate the speed with which AI is
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going to disrupt society and our lives. At the same time,
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there are other agendas as well. And I think one
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of the agendas that we've got to bring to the
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surface is that all this attention being brought to AI
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because it is superhuman, it's super intelligent, because it's able
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to exceed human capacity and cognitive skills, a lot of
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that is meant to amplify the importance of AI. Because
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clearly a lot of money is being invested in this technology.
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So the more you amplify its importance, the more valuable
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it becomes. So some of it is very, very self-serving.
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But I don't want to diminish the fact that there
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are well-meaning people that really believe we have to moderate
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and temper our enthusiasm.
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Well, I agree.
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I talked to Hugo de Garis, who was one of
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the early AI people. And he wrote a book called
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The Art of Lake War. And that was his opinion.
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He sincerely believed that he was creating a superintelligence. He
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called it a godlike intelligence.
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He said, I'm afraid.
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That it's going to extinguish humanity. And he would go
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to these different conferences, and he would ask people a question.
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If you knew that you were going to create something
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that was going to destroy humanity, would you do it?
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And he said, always the scientists at these conferences they
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go to, the majority of them would say yes, which
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I always found to be interesting. He thought it was
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pretty interesting, too. The only time that it didn't happen
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that way was at a conference that was predominantly Christian
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that I was speaking at. And he asked the audience there,
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he said, that's the first time the audience has said no.
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Look, I think, I don't recall who the astronaut was.
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It might've been Jim Lovell, but one of the, I
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think it was Apollo 8 or Apollo 13, one of
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the astronauts on one of those missions said, you know,
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if you're sitting on top of 10,000 pounds of TNT effectively,
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and you're not a little bit scared, there's something wrong
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with you. So yes, we have to go into this
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with our eyes wide open. Yes, there is risk. But
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we've been here before, David. We split the atom and
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we created nuclear weapons on one hand, but we also
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created nuclear medicine. We created nuclear power. We saved a
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lot of lives and we certainly destroyed a great deal
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of the process. But humanity has always had this double-edged
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sword relationship with technology. It's the nature of every technology.
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The more disruptive it is, the sharper both of those
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edges are. And that's what we're seeing with AI. So yes,
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we have to go into it with our eyes wide open.
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But I think the value we're going to create with
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AI is is so much greater than anything we can
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anticipate right now. I do a lot of work in healthcare.
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We can talk about that. There's so much value to
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be created in healthcare, diseases to be cured, new pharmaceuticals,
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new therapies that we're going to create, new diagnostics. So
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a lot of good will come out of this. Our
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responsibility has to be to make sure that the good
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is amplified a little bit beyond the bad. But bad actors,
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malicious people, Those people are very motivated to do nasty
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things with AI right now. So we're going to see
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a lot of AI being used in ways that are
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not pleasant, that are destructive, that are damaging to society.
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Our responsibility has to be to make sure that the
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value we create increases faster than those malicious actors can
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use it and mobilize it.
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Well, we certainly hope so.
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And going back to a couple of presidential campaigns ago
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when Bloomberg was running, He got a lot of criticism
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because he basically, people read it as him trashing farmers.
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And yeah, in a sense, he did. But he also
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trashed factory workers. What he was talking about was the
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fact we went from an agrarian society to an industrial society.
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We're about to do it again. He said, and the
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smart ones of us, he said, anybody can be a farmer.
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Anybody can work in a factory. But the smart ones
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of us are figuring out how we're going to take
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everybody's jobs. And he said, we have to figure out
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how we're going to keep them from coming.
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After us with guillotines.
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I guess we were kind of at that, you know,
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the moment here where I guess we're sitting on the
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edge of a blade and the question is whether or
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not that blade's going to be a guillotine or not.
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As people are looking at this, they keep telling everybody
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it's going to take everybody's jobs. And I think that's
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one of the things that is really creating kind of
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a generational depression with the Gen Z people.
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You know, it's like, well, what is my future? What
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is my role in all of this?
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Yeah, and absolutely. Look, and we can talk about this
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as well, David. I think education plays a very important
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factor in in that conversation. Universities are not graduating students
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for the second or the third rung in the ladder.
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They're graduating them for entry-level positions. And those are exactly
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the jobs that AI is going to take first. So
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whether you're in finance or accounting or even legal, I
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do a lot of work with legal firms, those entry-level
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jobs are going away. So universities have to shoot for
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the second
or the third rung of the ladder and
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give students the skills to be able to work beyond
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the entry level. That, I think, is a very big danger.
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Well, you know, it's kind of interesting. I remember it
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was about a dozen years or so ago that South
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Korea did a survey. And they were looking at AI
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and its impact on society. And we've had a lot
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of disruptive technology in the past. But usually what it
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does is it disrupts one sector at a time. This
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is very broad-based. And it was something, when they did it,
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they actually got it right because they saw it impacting society.
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white-collar jobs more than blue-collar jobs. And they were talking
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about massive unemployment with doctors and lawyers and a lot
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of other things like that. And that's going to be
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very disruptive to society, of course.
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It will be, but if I can be blunt with
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you and with the listeners of your podcast, I taught
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in a university now for the better part of the
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last 30 years, And I can say unequivocally that what
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I've seen is that with any technology, any tool, the
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lazy get lazier and the ambitious get more ambitious. That
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is the nature of humanity. And it's not just students.
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It's happening to adults as well. I was joking with
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someone just a few minutes ago. We were on a call.
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And he was saying, you know, I send an email,
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I use AI to draft that email. The response, I
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can tell it comes back from an AI. And before
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you know it, it's just AI talking to AI. The
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humans are out of the loop at that point. So
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what I'm trying to say is that temptation is there
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for all of us to become lazier. And I think
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we have to be careful not to build a huge
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cognitive debt. And that's especially true with young students in
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the K through 12. When I talk about AI, I
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talk about the impact it has on youngsters And I
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think you have to build a very strong
cognitive muscle
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in early childhood. And that muscle should not be aided
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by technology. And the reason for this is very simple.
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As we get older, that cognitive muscle is what gives
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you confidence to take on a problem, to take on
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a complex situation, to lead people, to deal with uncertainty.
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If you lack that cognitive muscle, then you lack the
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confidence with which to take on complex problems in life.
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Technology can help with that. but I think it should
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help later in life. So I'm very much of the
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opinion that we have to be very careful with AI
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and how it's used in the K-12 school system. But
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at the university level, as we were just talking about,
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universities have to teach students how to use this tool
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as a career skill. In the same way that if
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you're taking an MBA program, you had better be able
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to read a financial statement. Well, you could also better
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be able to understand how to lead an agentic workforce
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because you'll have more agents in your workforce than you
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have humans, more than likely. So it's a very complex
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issue and it spans the spectrum from K through 12
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all the way up through people who are threatened because
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they feel their careers are going to be displaced by AI.
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But in every one of those situations and every one
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of those age groups, I think there's an approach that
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we can take that will set us up for success
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rather than setting us up for failure to make us
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more ambitious rather than more lazy.
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I agree with what you're saying there in terms of
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not introducing it to kids at a very young age
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because they need to have that cognitive muscle. And we've
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kind of seen that in the past. We've seen that
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with the reports that Steve Jobs wouldn't let his kids
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have an iPad. for example, right?
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No, no, no.
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You got to use the traditional learning skills and eventually
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you can graduate to that.
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I agree.
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I think that is a real serious danger. I think
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it's also interesting when we look at this, and this
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is a story that just came out a few weeks ago.
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There was a guy who said, I think I understand
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how these decisions are being Made in AI. And what
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was interesting to me about it was that there was
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this debate. And some of the people said, no, you
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still don't understand it or whatever. And we don't understand
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it either. And as I looked at these guys picking
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his arguments apart and saying they didn't know how it worked.
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And I looked at this and I thought, so we've
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got this black box. They don't really understand how this
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thing works. They just stick some things in it and
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wait to see what comes out. And yet there is,
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I think, an inordinate amount of trust. And that's that
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it's going to get the right answers always. And I
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think that's one of the most dangerous things, not just laziness,
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but gullibility, I think.
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Yeah, I could not agree more with what you just said.
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This is one of those areas that I often get
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into conversations with people about. We tend to trust technology
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long before it deserves that trust. And with AI, things
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are moving so fast that we almost haven't had time
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to vet the technology. We simply jump into it. And
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it makes our lives so much easier. The temptation is
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so great. I'll give you an example, by the way.
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I remember when I first started using Waze. Waze is
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my go-to GPS on my mobile device. People use Google
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Maps or Apple Maps or whatever. When I first started
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using Waze, Our typical baby boomer, I would second guess
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Waze every chance I could. So Waze would say go left.
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I'd say go right because I know a shortcut, obviously.
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After being consistently wrong every single time for about a month,
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I will today
follow Waze to the gates of hell.
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Take me wherever you want to go.
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Some people actually have, you know, some of these maps.
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I remember reading the story of people who followed it
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in the wilderness or whatever, Google Maps or whatever it was,
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or went down a road where it said the bridge
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is out.
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And it's like, no, I believe Waze. Yeah.
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So the thing is maturing much faster than we are,
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is the best way to put it. You know, AI
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is maturing much faster than we are maturing. And that's
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typical because human behavior doesn't change that quickly. It's always
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the lagging indicator is human behavior. But what I tell
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people is, look, there are ways around this. Again, to
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get back to the fact that there's a hopeful message here.
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It's not all gloom and doom. And the hopeful message is,
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have you thought about using AI to challenge AI? Use
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one AI to challenge the other. Don't take the word
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of the first AI that you use. If you're doing
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something complicated or something which has risk associated with it
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or something which you want to make sure is truthful
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and not a hallucination, use one AI to challenge another AI.
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So there are ways that we can move forward that
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are productive, that give us a more hopeful landscape than
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the one that's being painted today. But Things are moving
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so quickly that people really haven't had a chance to
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develop these new behaviors and these new skill sets.
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And I think that's the key. Things are moving so quickly.
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You know, in my parents' generation, they went from Kitty
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Hawk to the moon, right, type of thing, if you
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believe that. But anyway, the bottom line is that, you know,
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the massive amount of change they would see in just
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transportation technology was incredible. And it is much, much faster now.
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And I think that's the thing that makes it so
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difficult to– to really feel comfortable with it is the
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rate of change, even the rate of change that's within AI.
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I mean, we're looking at the competition from China. And
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I think part of this is because it is evolving
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so quickly that you can take an AI from a
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couple of years ago and treat it as a commodity
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product and offer it very, very low price. And now
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that's going to undercut the latest state-of-the-art flagship program or whatever.
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And that presents a problem in terms of a business
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model for the people who are developing the so-called frontier
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AI systems.
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It does.
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And one of the concerns, there's a school of thought
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that says, well, China may not have the best AI,
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but it will be commoditized. It will be relatively inexpensive.
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And as a result, it will be much more pervasive,
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much more prolific. The challenge with that, by the way,
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and this gets into a very deep conversation, the challenge
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with that is I think the worst future is a
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future where we have just one AI, one frontier model, right?
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Because the ethics, the morals, the values are so unilateral,
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so baked into it. One of the ways that humanity
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moves itself forward is through the conflict and the constructive
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abrasion through different values and cultures and morals and ethics.
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The last thing I want to see is one nation
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occupy the entire landscape of AI. That would be a very,
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very dangerous future. China is on a mission to do that,
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by the way. And their mission is, look, let's provide
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AI open models, open weight models, as they're called, that
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are relatively inexpensive, that are not perhaps the absolute best,
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but they're good enough. And as a result, we can
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inculcate the world with our worldview. That's a very dangerous
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situation in my mind. So I'm not one of those
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folks that says, let's take the foot off the accelerator.
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I think we have to move very, very quickly. I
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think a world in which there are many what are
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called sovereign AIs, AIs that are built by different nations,
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from India, from the US, from China, is the best
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possible future. Having a single AI, I think, is a very,
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very dangerous situation. proposition. So I'm all for it.
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And I agree with that.
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And so one of the things that concerns me is that, yes,
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that is what the Chinese want, but I think it's
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also what the Americans want. And I think it's pretty
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much what any politician wants in any country. They want
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to control everything. And so that's one of the things
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that really concerns me. You know, when I would look at,
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I think back to when I was in college and
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we had a mainframe computer that we worked with. And
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it was one of the things that really turned me
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against centralized anything that And so that's a concern of
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mine is that this would be something that is run
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by an oligarchy, is highly centralized, highly controlled by the government.
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To me, that is the worst case scenario. And I
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think part of this fear mongering that is out there
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is to essentially say, well, this is so dangerous that
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you're going to have to give and a cartel of
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us or oligarchy or whatever you want. A few of
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us are going to have to, we're responsible. We're your buddies, right?
341
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You know us, you can trust us, give us a
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monopoly and prohibit anybody from having one of these things
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in their own home. I think when you're talking about
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having multiple AIs that are competing against each other, I
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think that really is the key. I think that's where
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it'll become really useful, just like the personal computer, the
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personal AI that you control and you can select the model.
348
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But I'm worried that's going to be shut down as well.
349
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It could very well be, but the point you just
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made is one I want to make sure we don't lose.
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Having individual AIs, we talk about
sovereign AIs as nation-state AIs,
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but having individual AIs, my own AI that captures my knowledge,
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that I trust, that works with my bank accounts and
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does other things that are highly sensitive and very proprietary
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to me individually, I think is an important future. So
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what we're seeing is, and there's not a lot of
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talk about this, but we're seeing a lot of what
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are called edge AI devices, basically the size of your iPhone,
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that are effectively a large language model in the palm
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of your hand and are very personalized. They're not attached
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to the internet. They don't work on the cloud. They
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effectively provide you with your own AI that you can
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use for your own purposes. I do see that evolution
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as playing a role here as well. I remember writing
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some time ago- Is anybody working on that? There's a number,
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there's at least a dozen companies right now that are
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working on those sorts of edge devices. They're at the
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level of, think, ChatGPT 3 or 3.5, right around there.
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They're maybe two, three generations behind where the frontier models
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are in terms of their capability, but that gap will
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quickly close, I'm sure. You see the work that NVIDIA
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is doing on chip technology. It's amazing how quickly that
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side of the technology discussion is moving forward. So I
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do see individualized AIs playing a very important role in
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how we democratize this technology. Now, the issue, I use
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that term democratize, the issue is who will be able
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to afford that? And affordability is a big part of
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democratizing any technology. So I do think that individual AI
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will play a very important role in how we run
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our lives and the benefit that we get as individuals
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from AI. And there is development in that area as well.
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I'd be very optimistic in terms of the commodity, uh,
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commodification type of thing, because look at how the prices
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of computers have gone down. I mean, it used to be,
um,
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you know, when you look at how expensive they used
386
00:18:40.529 --> 00:18:43.690
to be, I remember in 1984, I bought a Macintosh
387
00:18:43.710 --> 00:18:46.009
and it was $ 3, 000 then $ 3, 000 in 1984. I could
388
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have gotten a used car with that. And so, but
389
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I wanted to play with the technology. And, um, and
390
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so that kind of stuff has come down rapidly. Um,
391
00:18:56.559 --> 00:18:57.980
Tell us a little bit about the title of the
392
00:18:58.000 --> 00:18:59.680
book and a little bit about the book, why you
393
00:18:59.859 --> 00:19:01.559
chose the title, The Mirror.
394
00:19:02.119 --> 00:19:06.059
Yeah. So I've been in technology now for the entirety
395
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of my career. I graduated back in 1981. I've been
396
00:19:10.450 --> 00:19:13.690
in tech ever since, so a good 50 years almost.
397
00:19:14.950 --> 00:19:16.950
The reason for The Mirror was very simple. For the
398
00:19:17.029 --> 00:19:22.490
first time in that entire five-decade history of being in tech,
399
00:19:22.849 --> 00:19:24.250
for the first time in the last two or three years,
400
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people began to come up to me. ask me questions,
401
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not about technology, but about themselves and what this meant
402
00:19:32.359 --> 00:19:36.079
to them as an individual. So I'd get questions about spirituality.
403
00:19:36.319 --> 00:19:39.460
I'd get questions about ethics, about morals, which never really
404
00:19:39.480 --> 00:19:43.089
came up in conversation prior to that. So their concern
405
00:19:43.150 --> 00:19:46.529
wasn't about AI. Their concern was about what will AI
406
00:19:46.690 --> 00:19:49.910
mean to me? What value will I create when AI
407
00:19:50.000 --> 00:19:52.140
can do all the things that I can do right now?
408
00:19:52.200 --> 00:19:55.779
When AI makes intelligence a commodity, what's left for me
409
00:19:55.839 --> 00:20:00.730
as a human? Very deep questions, existential questions, questions that
410
00:20:00.769 --> 00:20:03.329
were very tough to answer. So I wrote the book
411
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and I called it The Mirror because I think AI...
412
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more than anything else, gives us a way to look
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at ourselves and ask us the question, what do we
414
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want to do with our lives? When we have a
415
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technology that can do all the administrative things that we
416
00:20:19.140 --> 00:20:21.880
do today, that we put so much value in, the
417
00:20:21.900 --> 00:20:24.240
things that we call knowledge work, when something else can
418
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do all those for us, what's left for us? And
419
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the answer is, we've asked this question before many
times.
420
00:20:31.740 --> 00:20:35.480
You talked about the agricultural revolution back in 1800. I
421
00:20:35.500 --> 00:20:38.380
think the vast majority, perhaps 90% of the world's population,
422
00:20:38.460 --> 00:20:42.119
working population was involved in agriculture, food production of one
423
00:20:42.160 --> 00:20:44.430
sort or another. If you would pull one of those
424
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farmers aside and said, you know what, in 100, 200 years,
425
00:20:48.390 --> 00:20:50.990
we won't need farmers anymore. What we'll need is knowledge workers.
426
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They would have looked at you as though you had
427
00:20:52.690 --> 00:20:55.190
two heads and said, why does the world, the world
428
00:20:55.210 --> 00:20:57.289
doesn't need knowledge. The world needs another plow horse. The
429
00:20:57.390 --> 00:21:00.430
world needs a better plow. They don't need knowledge. So today,
430
00:21:00.490 --> 00:21:03.839
when I say to you in the future, What we'll
431
00:21:03.880 --> 00:21:07.099
need is wisdom workers, people that can exercise judgment, that
432
00:21:07.140 --> 00:21:09.259
can ask the right questions, not just answer those questions,
433
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but ask the right questions. The retort is we're in
434
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wisdom workers. What are you talking about? That's not what
435
00:21:15.119 --> 00:21:18.920
we teach in schools. We need knowledge workers. Exactly. We
436
00:21:18.940 --> 00:21:21.420
do today. But I think that's, it's one of those
437
00:21:21.680 --> 00:21:24.480
similar shifts to what we've seen before in the industrial
438
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revolution and the agricultural revolution. It's just happening much, much faster.
439
00:21:27.799 --> 00:21:29.640
And the mirror was a way to look at that
440
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transition and in a very human way, not to talk
441
00:21:32.670 --> 00:21:35.089
about the technology, but to talk about the implications it
442
00:21:35.109 --> 00:21:37.690
would have on us as humans and the value we
443
00:21:37.730 --> 00:21:39.769
would create going forward when we have an entity that
444
00:21:39.789 --> 00:21:42.849
can do so much of what today we value as
445
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being uniquely human work.
446
00:21:44.769 --> 00:21:46.009
That's a great perspective.
447
00:21:46.170 --> 00:21:48.450
And you know, that's the other thing too, as Hugo
448
00:21:48.470 --> 00:21:50.650
de Gea was talking about it, I saw it as
449
00:21:50.690 --> 00:21:53.160
an engineer as well. So many times they work on
450
00:21:53.200 --> 00:21:55.339
something and I think about how's this going to affect me?
451
00:21:55.359 --> 00:21:57.200
How's this going to affect society in general? It's just
452
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that we've got to, intellectual puzzle here we need to solve.
453
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We've got a problem.
454
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Let's figure out how we're going to do something that's
455
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going to take that problem. But then look at the
456
00:22:05.559 --> 00:22:08.380
bigger picture. This is bringing the bigger picture in, I think.
457
00:22:08.420 --> 00:22:11.619
And I interviewed David Bonson a couple of times. He
458
00:22:11.640 --> 00:22:14.740
wrote a book called, I forget what the title was,
459
00:22:14.779 --> 00:22:16.880
but it was about work. And as you point out,
460
00:22:16.900 --> 00:22:20.009
there's a lot of existential, even spiritual questions about this.
461
00:22:20.049 --> 00:22:22.210
And he's looking at it from a Christian perspective. And
462
00:22:22.230 --> 00:22:25.269
he said, well, you know, man was made to work.
463
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The curse of Garden of Eden was that it would
464
00:22:29.190 --> 00:22:32.589
be difficult, not that we didn't have work before that.
465
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And it really is– his position is that your work
466
00:22:36.349 --> 00:22:39.869
is a very important part of fulfilling what you are
467
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as a human being. And he wrote that before AI
468
00:22:44.210 --> 00:22:46.990
started questioning all of these issues. And I think that's
469
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one of the things that really scares people. It's like, okay,
470
00:22:49.829 --> 00:22:52.559
so too many– I think a lot of people put
471
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way too much into what they do as a living that,
472
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you know, for a living that that makes too much
473
00:22:58.400 --> 00:23:00.140
of a difference to them or how much money they
474
00:23:00.180 --> 00:23:03.609
make or whatever. But those are factors. And it's even
475
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more than about your prestige or position in society or
476
00:23:07.069 --> 00:23:09.950
how much money you make. It really is about fulfillment,
477
00:23:10.069 --> 00:23:12.380
I think. And I think that's something that concerns people
478
00:23:12.420 --> 00:23:12.660
as well.
479
00:23:13.369 --> 00:23:15.549
Look, I think humans, you know, use the term work.
480
00:23:15.609 --> 00:23:17.170
I would break that down even further. I'd say what
481
00:23:17.210 --> 00:23:19.230
humans need is they need to be challenged because we
482
00:23:19.309 --> 00:23:22.359
grow through challenge. Challenge is what allows us, gives us
483
00:23:22.390 --> 00:23:25.839
the opportunity to evolve. It is God's greatest gift to us.
484
00:23:25.900 --> 00:23:28.140
When you are challenged, you are given a gift. The
485
00:23:28.180 --> 00:23:30.920
gift is to evolve and grow or not to, right?
486
00:23:31.779 --> 00:23:33.569
The other side of that is when you challenge and
487
00:23:33.589 --> 00:23:37.529
we need meaning. Meaning is what gives us purpose in life.
488
00:23:38.000 --> 00:23:39.970
And many of us get that from our work, and
489
00:23:39.990 -->
00:23:42.910
that's wonderful, but the work can change, and you can
490
00:23:42.950 --> 00:23:47.029
still get meaning. To be trite, what I often say is, look,
491
00:23:47.190 --> 00:23:49.190
AI can build the future, but it's up to us
492
00:23:49.210 --> 00:23:51.640
to decide what kind of future we want. And I
493
00:23:51.670 --> 00:23:53.880
think what we'll find is that we suddenly are entering
494
00:23:53.920 --> 00:23:58.200
an era where every idea, everything we thought was impossible
495
00:23:58.240 --> 00:24:03.960
suddenly becomes possible. We can cure horrible diseases, cancers, Alzheimer's, dementias.
496
00:24:04.740 --> 00:24:08.470
We can create new therapies, new diagnostic tools. We can
497
00:24:08.549 --> 00:24:11.450
create whatever it is that we can possibly imagine. What's
498
00:24:11.490 --> 00:24:13.529
left for humans? What's left for humans is the very
499
00:24:13.650 --> 00:24:16.890
human activity of giving meaning to whatever it is that
500
00:24:16.910 --> 00:24:20.069
we're doing. So you can't tell me that curing horrible
501
00:24:20.109 --> 00:24:23.869
diseases doesn't give meaning to a clinician or to a physician.
502
00:24:25.130 --> 00:24:27.539
I think there's incredible ways that we're going to see
503
00:24:27.700 --> 00:24:31.119
AI give us opportunity to create meaning in our lives,
504
00:24:31.400 --> 00:24:34.220
to still find challenge in our work, but it'll be
505
00:24:34.240 --> 00:24:37.009
a different kind of work. Can I give you an example,
506
00:24:37.069 --> 00:24:39.650
by the way? When you walk into your doctor's office today,
507
00:24:39.970 --> 00:24:42.970
most of us have a doctor staring at a keyboard
508
00:24:42.990 --> 00:24:45.890
or a screen while they're updating the medical record. In
509
00:24:45.930 --> 00:24:47.920
that 10 to 15 minute consult, you make a little
510
00:24:47.940 --> 00:24:50.940
bit of eye contact, you're very, very lucky. You have
511
00:24:50.960 --> 00:24:54.220
a fantastic physician, right? Imagine walking into a doctor's office
512
00:24:54.240 --> 00:24:55.900
where none of that is happening, where the doctor is
513
00:24:55.920 --> 00:24:58.609
looking at you square in the eyes, is listening to
514
00:24:58.630 --> 00:25:01.289
what you have to say, wants to understand what's going
515
00:25:01.369 --> 00:25:03.269
on in your life, is making that kind of a
516
00:25:03.309 --> 00:25:06.359
connection with you. Who would not want that? And by
517
00:25:06.390 --> 00:25:09.000
the way, for the physician, that's fantastic because today they
518
00:25:09.019 --> 00:25:12.140
spend half their time just updating the medical record, writing
519
00:25:12.240 --> 00:25:15.299
lab notes. That is how they want to practice medicine.
520
00:25:15.319 --> 00:25:17.619
They don't want to practice medicine on a keyboard. So
521
00:25:17.680 --> 00:25:20.519
for both parties in that situation, the patient and the clinician,
522
00:25:21.359 --> 00:25:23.279
the
meaning being created is so much greater than what
523
00:25:23.299 --> 00:25:25.839
we're doing today. And I think this applies to so
524
00:25:25.859 --> 00:25:30.980
many different areas where today we're just embroiled, we're engrossed
525
00:25:31.240 --> 00:25:34.779
in what we think is challenging and meaningful work, but
526
00:25:34.819 --> 00:25:37.640
it's really highly administrative work that doesn't fill our souls,
527
00:25:37.660 --> 00:25:39.859
doesn't fill our hearts. I think AI might give us
528
00:25:39.880 --> 00:25:43.480
the opportunity to reach a level of human understanding where
529
00:25:43.519 --> 00:25:45.420
we are filling our souls and our hearts with a
530
00:25:45.460 --> 00:25:47.519
lot more meaning than what we have in the past.
531
00:25:47.789 --> 00:25:50.200
Yeah, I hope so. I kind of like your administrative work.
532
00:25:50.910 --> 00:25:52.490
I look at all the reports and all the things
533
00:25:52.509 --> 00:25:54.970
that are being demanded by the government or by insurance
534
00:25:54.990 --> 00:25:57.750
in the case of the doctors and so forth. That
535
00:25:57.809 --> 00:25:59.910
would not have been possible for them to do that
536
00:26:00.250 --> 00:26:02.660
if they didn't have the computers. And so in a sense,
537
00:26:02.720 --> 00:26:05.920
when you look at, it's a race, isn't it? It's
538
00:26:05.940 --> 00:26:09.460
kind of like when you've got the old saying that
539
00:26:09.680 --> 00:26:12.160
junk always fills all the available space in your home.
540
00:26:12.700 --> 00:26:15.829
And that's really what the administrative burden always does. It
541
00:26:15.869 --> 00:26:19.500
always fills all the space that you have. in terms
542
00:26:19.519 --> 00:26:22.000
of your technology or your compliance capability. So I think
543
00:26:22.019 --> 00:26:24.980
they'll demand more as well, but it'll be a race,
544
00:26:25.019 --> 00:26:26.900
won't it? One of the things that I wanted to
545
00:26:26.940 --> 00:26:29.700
talk to you about, of course, was the title of
546
00:26:29.779 --> 00:26:32.619
the contact here, the AI did it. It's about to
547
00:26:32.640 --> 00:26:38.519
become big tech's favorite excuse. And tell us a little
548
00:26:38.539 --> 00:26:41.069
bit about that. And how do we get around that?
549
00:26:41.160 --> 00:26:44.390
I mean, you know, it always is about plausible deniability.
550
00:26:44.509 --> 00:26:47.329
When something goes wrong, we're seeing this in the aftermath
551
00:26:47.390 --> 00:26:49.769
of the election just happened this week. Everybody's looking for
552
00:26:49.789 --> 00:26:52.789
an excuse, somebody else to blame. And AI will be
553
00:26:52.809 --> 00:26:56.269
the perfect scapegoat. And we have a lot of liability
554
00:26:56.309 --> 00:26:59.450
issues with that because we've had situations, people talking about
555
00:26:59.490 --> 00:27:00.690
self-driving cars, for example.
556
00:27:00.710 --> 00:27:00.990
Okay.
557
00:27:01.470 --> 00:27:04.089
So were you in charge of this? Were you responsible
558
00:27:04.130 --> 00:27:06.539
for it? Or was it the car company that was
559
00:27:06.599 --> 00:27:09.660
responsible for this? I talk a lot about that in
560
00:27:09.700 --> 00:27:10.059
the book.
561
00:27:10.079 --> 00:27:11.779
So there are a few different, let me parse that
562
00:27:11.859 --> 00:27:13.720
out a bit because there are a few different issues there.
563
00:27:13.900 --> 00:27:16.579
One is this notion of liability on the part of
564
00:27:16.640 --> 00:27:20.619
whatever the autonomous entity or whether it be an autonomous
565
00:27:20.660 --> 00:27:26.250
vehicle or an autonomous surgeon, perhaps, a diagnostic device, a
566
00:27:26.490 --> 00:27:30.670
clinician that is autonomous and writes scripts for patients, all
567
00:27:30.710 --> 00:27:32.890
kinds of liability issues that we can come up with,
568
00:27:32.930 --> 00:27:36.470
scenarios that we can come up with there. Look, we've
569
00:27:36.509 --> 00:27:39.069
got a ways to go here. There's some interesting progress
570
00:27:39.150 --> 00:27:41.160
being made. There's been a lot of talk, and there
571
00:27:41.180 --> 00:27:43.339
are two very different schools of thought on this subject,
572
00:27:43.660 --> 00:27:48.099
a lot of talk about giving AI, autonomous entities, liability.
573
00:27:49.049 --> 00:27:50.769
In the same way, by the way, to give you
574
00:27:50.789 --> 00:27:55.009
a historical precedent here, corporations didn't always have– companies didn't
575
00:27:55.029 --> 00:27:57.930
always have liability the way corporations do today. So a
576
00:27:57.970 --> 00:28:01.450
corporation is a legal entity that is one that has
577
00:28:01.509 --> 00:28:04.390
liability the way a human can have liability. It has
578
00:28:04.470 --> 00:28:08.130
access to finances and capital that it can use to–
579
00:28:09.450 --> 00:28:11.940
to pay for damages that it's done. So you can
580
00:28:12.240 --> 00:28:14.539
sue a corporation the way you can sue an individual.
581
00:28:15.119 --> 00:28:16.859
The question is, could I do that with an AI?
582
00:28:17.299 --> 00:28:21.019
And in Delaware, by the way, there are efforts right
583
00:28:21.059 --> 00:28:23.819
now to create what's called an AI corporation, an AI
584
00:28:24.099 --> 00:28:27.319
that is effectively a corporation that has legal liability. So
585
00:28:27.599 --> 00:28:30.960
the automobile that you just described that has an accident,
586
00:28:31.660 --> 00:28:34.650
and the accident is because somehow the AI made an
587
00:28:34.710 --> 00:28:38.049
erroneous choice or a bad choice in the moment. Could
588
00:28:38.069 --> 00:28:40.630
that I'm going to be able to have liability. It's
589
00:28:40.650 --> 00:28:42.630
an entirely different construct. And it's one that's very difficult
590
00:28:42.650 --> 00:28:44.849
to wrap our brains around. In the same way, again,
591
00:28:44.869 -->
00:28:46.250
a couple of hundred years ago, if I told you
592
00:28:46.289 --> 00:28:48.529
corporations would have liability, you'd have a tough time understanding
593
00:28:48.549 --> 00:28:52.119
what that meant too. But there may be ways that
594
00:28:52.220 --> 00:28:54.640
from a legal and a financial standpoint, we could have
595
00:28:55.220 --> 00:28:59.420
AIs that have autonomy and also have legal and financial liability.
596
00:28:59.460 --> 00:29:02.960
That's a plausible future. We're not there yet. We're not
597
00:29:03.059 --> 00:29:06.099
close to it. And there will be a gap during
598
00:29:06.160 --> 00:29:08.119
which a lot of what you just described will be
599
00:29:08.180 --> 00:29:11.519
very difficult to deal with because we'll be pointing fingers, right?
600
00:29:11.599 --> 00:29:14.759
Is it Tesla that's responsible? Is it the engineer that's responsible?
601
00:29:14.799 --> 00:29:18.059
Who's responsible for the error that the AI made? To
602
00:29:18.099 --> 00:29:20.299
your point about sort of processing out, to your point
603
00:29:20.339 --> 00:29:23.720
about so the AI is to blame, let me give
604
00:29:23.740 --> 00:29:25.839
you the other side of that coin. Because could it
605
00:29:25.880 --> 00:29:28.799
be that AI will also hold our feet to the
606
00:29:28.859 --> 00:29:31.210
fire Could it be that an AI will come back
607
00:29:31.279 --> 00:29:35.079
and say, you know, the actions that you are pursuing
608
00:29:35.299 --> 00:29:38.809
don't align with the values you've espoused? Because as humans,
609
00:29:38.829 --> 00:29:40.660
we do a bit of that, right? We say one thing,
610
00:29:40.859 --> 00:29:43.039
but we do another. So I think there are two
611
00:29:43.099 --> 00:29:44.920
sides to that coin. It's very interesting to have this
612
00:29:44.960 --> 00:29:47.269
conversation with you, because I think on the one side,
613
00:29:47.349 --> 00:29:50.069
we could say, well, it's us blaming the AI, but
614
00:29:50.109 --> 00:29:52.769
could the AI also be calling us out and telling
615
00:29:52.789 --> 00:29:55.789
us that what we're doing isn't serving our best interests,
616
00:29:56.210 --> 00:29:59.410
that our actions are not following and aligning with our
617
00:29:59.730 --> 00:30:03.140
with our values, our morals, our ethics. I think both
618
00:30:03.200 --> 00:30:05.799
sides of that coin will play out. And again, it
619
00:30:06.440 --> 00:30:12.220
comes down to which will add greater value to our
620
00:30:12.299 --> 00:30:15.410
human condition. And I think that AI calling us out
621
00:30:15.450 --> 00:30:17.589
is not a bad thing because as humans, we can
622
00:30:17.630 --> 00:30:20.470
be ambiguous. We can be contradictory. We can do things
623
00:30:20.509 --> 00:30:22.750
that don't serve our best interest. And it might not
624
00:30:22.789 --> 00:30:24.480
be a bad thing to have someone check us on.
625
00:30:24.940 --> 00:30:27.880
on that or something. I said, someone did not have something.
626
00:30:28.579 --> 00:30:30.859
There will be somebody who will be there setting, uh,
627
00:30:31.019 --> 00:30:33.039
setting what the standards are in a sense, because we've
628
00:30:33.059 --> 00:30:35.019
already seen that to a large degree. I mean, there's
629
00:30:35.039 --> 00:30:38.440
been a lot of censorship and the platforming and things
630
00:30:38.460 --> 00:30:41.259
like that in the past. And we've seen, um, how,
631
00:30:41.579 --> 00:30:45.880
how that can operate. And, uh, if somebody sets that standard, um,
632
00:30:46.150 --> 00:30:48.930
that may not be a standard that is necessarily a
633
00:30:48.990 --> 00:30:51.490
moral standard. It just might be their, their standard that
634
00:30:51.549 --> 00:30:53.559
is there. And that's one of the concerns that I
635
00:30:53.599 --> 00:30:55.180
have with it. You know, when you talk about the
636
00:30:55.259 --> 00:30:58.059
AI did it, one of the things that concerns me
637
00:30:58.160 --> 00:31:00.819
most about the AI agents and all these other things
638
00:31:00.839 --> 00:31:04.099
is the fact that it is so tightly connected to
639
00:31:04.140 --> 00:31:05.799
the government and to the military. And we're about to
640
00:31:05.819 --> 00:31:09.799
see an open explosion of that. I've interviewed people who've
641
00:31:09.839 --> 00:31:13.039
talked about, the author was, I think it's Peter Shari,
642
00:31:13.059 --> 00:31:15.680
he had a book, The Four Battlefields. And it was
643
00:31:15.720 --> 00:31:19.670
primarily about US versus China competition. But in it, he
644
00:31:19.750 --> 00:31:24.069
was looking at the autonomous weapons issue. And so we
645
00:31:24.089 --> 00:31:26.519
started talking about, so who has fire control? He says, well,
646
00:31:26.539 --> 00:31:28.799
eventually you're going to have to give that to the
647
00:31:28.859 --> 00:31:30.980
AI because if you try to keep humans in the loop,
648
00:31:31.000 --> 00:31:32.960
you're going to lose. And he says, the question is,
649
00:31:33.019 --> 00:31:35.079
how do we get that fire control back once we
650
00:31:35.119 --> 00:31:37.269
give it to the AI? How do we turn this
651
00:31:37.309 --> 00:31:40.490
thing off? And so to me, I look at it.
652
00:31:41.109 --> 00:31:44.470
And the potential for abuse is incredible because we're talking
653
00:31:44.490 --> 00:31:47.589
about killing machines. And if they go in and wipe
654
00:31:47.690 --> 00:31:51.009
out an area, let's say, then they could always come
655
00:31:51.049 --> 00:31:52.150
back and say, the AI did it.
656
00:31:52.319 --> 00:31:55.519
I didn't do that.
657
00:31:55.720 --> 00:31:58.519
The human in the loop when it comes to warfare
658
00:31:58.539 --> 00:32:01.039
and what you're describing right now is, I think, one
659
00:32:01.079 --> 00:32:03.480
of the most serious issues that we have to come
660
00:32:03.519 --> 00:32:06.750
to grips with because you said it. The AI gets
661
00:32:06.769 --> 00:32:10.849
to the point where humans simply cannot hold their own
662
00:32:10.890 --> 00:32:16.250
against it. So in a battlefield, in a warfare scenario,
663
00:32:16.710 --> 00:32:19.970
if one side has AI and the other does not,
664
00:32:20.470 --> 00:32:23.420
it's slaughter. I mean, this way, no way the humans
665
00:32:23.460 --> 00:32:25.680
can keep up. And we've seen this, by the way,
666
00:32:25.700 --> 00:32:33.000
in Ukraine with drones that- once their signals are jammed,
667
00:32:33.940 --> 00:32:35.799
the human in the loop no longer has the ability
668
00:32:35.940 --> 00:32:37.980
to determine what that drone is or is not going
669
00:32:38.000 --> 00:32:39.680
to do. The drone has to make that determination on
670
00:32:39.740 --> 00:32:44.559
its own. So we're seeing autonomous warfare already in the battlefield.
671
00:32:44.980 --> 00:32:49.420
That will only accelerate. And we know from a historical
672
00:32:49.440 --> 00:32:53.900
perspective that the battlefield is one of the greatest areas
673
00:32:53.940 --> 00:32:57.460
of innovation when it comes to technology. Lethal innovation when
674
00:32:57.480 --> 00:33:03.220
it comes to technology. Humanoid robots and battlefield robots are
675
00:33:03.240 --> 00:33:05.660
going to play an increasing role in that as well.
676
00:33:05.799 --> 00:33:07.720
We've been told, and by the way, I know from
677
00:33:07.940 --> 00:33:11.910
my friends in VC, the biggest shift in investment now
678
00:33:11.930 --> 00:33:16.569
in Silicon Valley has been towards autonomous, physical autonomous devices
679
00:33:16.630 --> 00:33:19.390
and humanoid robots. And if you believe what Musk is
680
00:33:19.410 --> 00:33:21.690
telling us, that is the next shoe to drop. We
681
00:33:21.730 --> 00:33:25.299
will have more humanoid robots by 2050 than we have
682
00:33:25.339 --> 00:33:28.940
humans on the planet by some estimates. I'm suspect of
683
00:33:28.960 --> 00:33:31.309
that number, but The point is that we're going in
684
00:33:31.329 --> 00:33:34.829
a very fast trajectory in that direction. That will have
685
00:33:34.910 --> 00:33:38.150
serious implications on the battlefield. I wish I could tell
686
00:33:38.170 --> 00:33:40.299
you where that's going to go. I don't know. What
687
00:33:40.339 --> 00:33:43.880
I do know is that we have about a two-year
688
00:33:43.940 --> 00:33:47.579
window during which, and pay close attention here because this
689
00:33:47.640 --> 00:33:50.150
is very important and this is not what we're told
690
00:33:50.190 --> 00:33:53.529
in the media. But it's what I see in our
691
00:33:53.569 --> 00:33:56.529
research at Delphi Group and in my experience so far
692
00:33:56.589 --> 00:33:59.109
with the AI players. We've got about a two-year window,
693
00:33:59.329 --> 00:34:02.410
maybe 36 months at most, during which we can make
694
00:34:02.450 --> 00:34:06.970
decisions where we have some transparency and insight into how
695
00:34:07.009 --> 00:34:10.239
the AI systems are working and have some influence over that.
696
00:34:11.179 --> 00:34:15.059
After that, we get into what's called the recursive self-improvement mode.
697
00:34:15.559 --> 00:34:19.909
Recursive self-improvement is when AI builds AI. So by way
698
00:34:19.949 --> 00:34:24.929
of example, Claude today, Anthropix Frontier Model Claude, Claude today
699
00:34:25.489 --> 00:34:29.639
is written 80% by Claude. Claude creates Claude, not engineers,
700
00:34:29.679 --> 00:34:32.659
not software engineers. My son was a software engineer, works
701
00:34:32.679 --> 00:34:35.940
for a large tech company. He started working five years ago.
702
00:34:35.980 --> 00:34:39.019
He was coding constantly, day in, day out. Today, he
703
00:34:39.039 --> 00:34:41.199
doesn't write a line of code or maybe a line
704
00:34:41.239 --> 00:34:43.380
or two, but it's Claude that's doing all of that
705
00:34:43.800 --> 00:34:47.929
coding for him. Once we enter the era of recursive self-improvement,
706
00:34:48.369 --> 00:34:50.170
we will not be able to keep up. So as
707
00:34:50.190 --> 00:34:53.860
with your battlefield analogy, there's no way I'll be able
708
00:34:53.880 --> 00:34:57.280
to code as quickly or even understand how AI is
709
00:34:57.360 --> 00:35:00.860
coding itself. So it's AI creating AI. That is a
710
00:35:00.840 --> 00:35:04.199
24 to 36 month horizon. If we don't figure out
711
00:35:04.320 --> 00:35:06.889
how to put in place the guardrails, how to put
712
00:35:06.929 --> 00:35:10.289
in place the regulation, how to put in place AI
713
00:35:10.329 --> 00:35:14.510
that has some moral fiber and some ethical backbone, We
714
00:35:14.550 --> 00:35:17.840
will have lost the opportunity to do that at that stage.
715
00:35:17.920 --> 00:35:20.679
And I don't see anybody that is in a position
716
00:35:20.719 --> 00:35:22.480
to do this stuff. I don't see anybody that's in
717
00:35:22.500 --> 00:35:24.659
charge of any of the institutions or the corporations and
718
00:35:24.739 --> 00:35:26.619
certainly not the politicians.
719
00:35:27.659 --> 00:35:28.420
They're not looking.
720
00:35:28.320 --> 00:35:31.760
At these types of issues, are they? Do you see anybody?
721
00:35:31.800 --> 00:35:34.320
There was a bill just introduced yesterday. I don't know exactly.
722
00:35:34.360 --> 00:35:38.070
I just caught wind of this earlier today by a Democrat,
723
00:35:38.300 --> 00:35:40.030
a newly elected Democrat, I believe. I wish I knew
724
00:35:40.050 --> 00:35:42.809
who the person was, but I just saw this before
725
00:35:42.829 --> 00:35:46.960
we got on to this podcast. to create a Department
726
00:35:47.000 --> 00:35:50.500
of Artificial Intelligence in the US government that would have oversight. Unfortunately,
727
00:35:50.519 --> 00:35:55.070
the bill comes with a put the brakes on caveat.
728
00:35:55.130 --> 00:35:57.829
Let's stop superintelligence, let's stop developing, which I think is
729
00:35:57.849 --> 00:35:59.570
a big mistake. I don't think we can afford to
730
00:35:59.650 --> 00:36:03.219
do that. But I am an advocate of having an agency,
731
00:36:03.239 --> 00:36:06.820
a third party, not the developers of these models, not
732
00:36:06.880 --> 00:36:10.440
the anthropics and the open AIs, be the ones who
733
00:36:10.460 --> 00:36:13.519
are providing some degree of regulation and determining what those
734
00:36:13.579 --> 00:36:16.739
guardrails should look like. And by the way, can I
735
00:36:16.780 --> 00:36:18.800
give you some insight here? Because this is very important.
736
00:36:19.460 --> 00:36:21.460
The issue with AI up until now, and the reason
737
00:36:21.500 --> 00:36:24.710
we are in this predicament, is because to create AI
738
00:36:25.030 --> 00:36:28.070
that is as sophisticated as what we have today, we've
739
00:36:28.110 --> 00:36:31.989
had to feed it an incredible mass of information, the
740
00:36:32.010 --> 00:36:36.360
entire corpus of human knowledge. We've done that. without necessarily
741
00:36:36.559 --> 00:36:39.650
filtering in what's called pre-training, where the models predict what
742
00:36:39.690 --> 00:36:43.389
word should come next. In that pre-training, we federed everything
743
00:36:43.530 --> 00:36:47.610
without filtering out malicious things, without filtering out bias, because
744
00:36:48.250 --> 00:36:50.250
the corpus of knowledge is so large that you can't
745
00:36:50.309 --> 00:36:53.030
do that. So what AI has been trained on is
746
00:36:53.250 --> 00:36:58.480
everything humanity has ever written, ever spoken. And we're not
747
00:36:58.559 --> 00:37:01.780
all angels. There are malicious among us. There are pathological
748
00:37:01.820 --> 00:37:04.400
liars among us. There are psychopaths among us. AI has
749
00:37:04.420 --> 00:37:04.920
been fed.
750
00:37:04.820 --> 00:37:05.219
All of that.
751
00:37:05.599 --> 00:37:08.199
So imagine if you want an analogy here to talk
752
00:37:08.219 --> 00:37:09.960
about how AI has gotten to where it is today.
753
00:37:10.360 --> 00:37:12.440
Imagine you had a child, and for the first 12
754
00:37:12.440 --> 00:37:14.489
years of that child's life, you sat him or her
755
00:37:14.530 --> 00:37:16.650
in front of a TV and just said, learn about
756
00:37:16.690 --> 00:37:19.389
the world. Put any channel you want on and just
757
00:37:19.409 --> 00:37:21.429
learn about it. And then after 12 years, you took
758
00:37:21.469 --> 00:37:24.869
six months to post-train that child, which is what's called
759
00:37:24.909 --> 00:37:28.530
an AI, to give them moral fiber, ethics, and values.
760
00:37:28.960 --> 00:37:30.239
How well do you think that would work?
761
00:37:32.059 --> 00:37:34.019
I'm afraid I've seen some of the, I think we've
762
00:37:34.059 --> 00:37:35.920
had some people have already done that with their kids
763
00:37:35.980 --> 00:37:37.420
and it's not working out too well for
us.
764
00:37:37.480 --> 00:37:39.980
I think that's kind of where we are with, with AI.
765
00:37:40.019 --> 00:37:42.699
We had to feed it so much information in its
766
00:37:42.780 --> 00:37:44.619
raw form to get it to where it is today
767
00:37:44.940 --> 00:37:46.909
that we haven't had the time to put those, those
768
00:37:46.989 --> 00:37:49.869
filters on to, to do the post-training. There are ways
769
00:37:49.909 --> 00:37:51.630
you can do that, by the way, it's been proven
770
00:37:51.670 --> 00:37:54.869
that you can, uh, post-train a model to, to give
771
00:37:54.929 --> 00:37:58.150
it some of that, uh, you know, greater morality that, that,
772
00:37:58.250 --> 00:38:01.840
that humans also have in their decisions. Um, I think
773
00:38:01.860 --> 00:38:04.019
we've got two to three years to be able to
774
00:38:04.320 --> 00:38:07.400
do that and to do it well. The other thing
775
00:38:07.579 --> 00:38:10.840
that's really important to understand is that AI doesn't suffer consequences.
776
00:38:11.530 --> 00:38:14.250
As humans, we make a decision. We have to suffer
777
00:38:14.269 --> 00:38:19.130
the consequences. AI does not have that equivalent. When we
778
00:38:19.170 --> 00:38:22.929
make moral decisions or ethical decisions or values-based decisions, they're
779
00:38:22.969 --> 00:38:24.610
also based on the fact that we have to suffer
780
00:38:24.750 --> 00:38:28.239
and live through the consequences of those decisions. AI doesn't
781
00:38:28.280 --> 00:38:31.579
have similar construct so ai makes decisions in a very
782
00:38:31.699 --> 00:38:35.760
antiseptic way a very rational way in in some in
783
00:38:35.800 --> 00:38:37.889
some terms but not in a way that suffers the
784
00:38:37.949 --> 00:38:41.889
consequences of those decisions and it's making decisions now that
785
00:38:41.949 --> 00:38:44.929
have some pretty severe consequences and increasingly you talked about
786
00:38:45.250 --> 00:38:48.500
battlefields increasingly will have greater and greater consequences But it
787
00:38:48.539 --> 00:38:51.429
does not suffer those consequences, which is a fascinating way
788
00:38:51.449 --> 00:38:52.590
to think about how.
789
00:38:52.550 --> 00:38:52.949
It makes decisions.
790
00:38:53.530 --> 00:38:55.489
Yeah, I think one of the things I love about
791
00:38:55.650 --> 00:38:58.190
AI is what it has done in terms of satire,
792
00:38:58.230 --> 00:39:01.730
the ability of satire for people to take an idea.
793
00:39:01.829 --> 00:39:03.679
And rather than just putting a cartoon in, they can
794
00:39:03.719 --> 00:39:07.179
make a movie out of it. And one group was
795
00:39:07.239 --> 00:39:10.639
out there kind of satirizing the AI industry itself. So
796
00:39:10.659 --> 00:39:12.400
you got a couple of scientists there and said, this
797
00:39:12.539 --> 00:39:14.340
guy needs his hair washed over there. So he just
798
00:39:14.500 --> 00:39:19.039
rips his scalp off. You know, it's like someone that
799
00:39:19.079 --> 00:39:20.690
takes over and doofly washes it.
800
00:39:20.739 --> 00:39:20.940
Right.
801
00:39:21.420 --> 00:39:24.280
But, uh, it is, it is that kind of thing.
802
00:39:24.300 --> 00:39:26.469
The fact that it is, um, you know, at the
803
00:39:26.510 --> 00:39:29.929
same time, I call it artificial idiot savant because it's
804
00:39:30.119 --> 00:39:32.559
amazing how brilliant it can be and how stupid it
805
00:39:32.599 --> 00:39:34.719
can be at the same time even when you try
806
00:39:34.739 --> 00:39:36.579
to get it to do something that is just a
807
00:39:36.639 --> 00:39:40.130
visual picture or something uh it can do the most
808
00:39:40.190 --> 00:39:42.690
amazing things and the most stupid things at the same
809
00:39:42.750 --> 00:39:45.730
time i i think part of this that concerns me
810
00:39:46.050 --> 00:39:47.610
is you know we're talking about well the ai did
811
00:39:47.670 --> 00:39:51.030
it And the other aspect of that, besides just being
812
00:39:51.190 --> 00:39:55.829
able to have some plausible deniability of responsibility that people have,
813
00:39:55.889 --> 00:39:58.429
it's also this thing that you and I have seen
814
00:39:58.449 --> 00:40:00.869
all of our lives, garbage in, garbage out, right? It's
815
00:40:00.889 --> 00:40:02.429
one of the first things they teach me in engineering.
816
00:40:03.070 --> 00:40:05.170
Do not trust the printout. That does not have some
817
00:40:05.230 --> 00:40:10.369
kind of a magical validation to it just because it
818
00:40:10.409 --> 00:40:13.239
came out of a computer. And the problem is we're
819
00:40:13.260 --> 00:40:16.880
seeing that everywhere now. I've had one example of this
820
00:40:17.019 --> 00:40:19.769
after the other. On the show of people who I
821
00:40:19.929 --> 00:40:22.809
just talked about one this week, we had a guy
822
00:40:22.869 --> 00:40:27.260
that was flagged by some facial recognition software in a casino,
823
00:40:27.960 --> 00:40:31.010
and he was not the person they were looking for.
824
00:40:31.840 --> 00:40:33.880
But he was not the droid they were looking for.
825
00:40:34.739 --> 00:40:38.489
But it was absolutely adamant that it had the right person.
826
00:40:38.489 --> 00:40:43.110
100% in this category match, 98% in that match. And
827
00:40:43.949 --> 00:40:46.469
yet he had the wrong person. His height was wrong.
828
00:40:46.510 --> 00:40:49.570
His weight was wrong. He had a lot of ID
829
00:40:49.769 --> 00:40:52.989
on him showing who he was and proving it should
830
00:40:53.010 --> 00:40:56.139
have been proven to anybody when they looked at the
831
00:40:56.179 --> 00:40:59.079
amount of ID that he had. And yet you had...
832
00:41:00.050 --> 00:41:02.800
body camera footage from the police that were there saying, well,
833
00:41:03.010 --> 00:41:05.559
I know this kind of doesn't look like him, but
834
00:41:06.000 --> 00:41:07.039
the AI said that it.
835
00:41:07.039 -->
00:41:08.000
Was 100% match.
836
00:41:08.400 --> 00:41:11.199
And they just proceeded with this kind of blindly, and
837
00:41:11.239 --> 00:41:15.219
it created this kind of Kafkaesque situation that we could
838
00:41:15.239 --> 00:41:17.929
all identify with. And that's not the only example of that.
839
00:41:17.969 --> 00:41:21.250
I've had several examples that are very similar to that.
840
00:41:21.940 --> 00:41:24.539
What do we do in terms of educating people? You know,
841
00:41:24.559 --> 00:41:27.039
when you can pass off the responsibility, but when you
842
00:41:27.139 --> 00:41:30.199
also look at this as the final say.
843
00:41:31.260 --> 00:41:34.510
Yeah, I talk about this quite a bit in the book,
844
00:41:34.550 --> 00:41:39.030
In the Mirror. I say that humans, there are numerous cases,
845
00:41:39.150 --> 00:41:41.030
you just outlined a few of them, but there are many,
846
00:41:41.050 --> 00:41:44.190
many more where humans have to maintain the final authority.
847
00:41:45.050 --> 00:41:47.530
And it's not because humans are not fallible. We are.
848
00:41:48.070 --> 00:41:54.900
We are extraordinarily fallible. But There are certain cases where
849
00:41:55.219 --> 00:41:58.300
I want the human making the judgment call rather than
850
00:41:58.340 --> 00:42:01.489
the AI, when they involve my personal freedom, my liberties,
851
00:42:01.570 --> 00:42:06.170
my health, my wellbeing, legal issues. We have a jury
852
00:42:06.230 --> 00:42:09.690
of our peers for a reason, because our peers are humans,
853
00:42:09.789 --> 00:42:13.409
they're fallible, they make mistakes, but I'd rather suffer their
854
00:42:13.449 --> 00:42:15.769
mistakes because of what I said earlier, because they're humans
855
00:42:15.809 --> 00:42:19.010
and they understand what consequences mean. And AI does not
856
00:42:19.110 --> 00:42:22.929
understand consequences the way a human does. Look, we've got
857
00:42:22.969 --> 00:42:26.219
a lot of territory to navigate here that's brand new,
858
00:42:26.460 --> 00:42:30.199
where we simply have no precedent and where we need
859
00:42:30.260 --> 00:42:34.360
people who really do understand the magnitude of the choices
860
00:42:34.400 --> 00:42:37.619
that we're making and the implications they will have on
861
00:42:38.039 --> 00:42:41.260
us long term. As individuals, as a society, as a
862
00:42:41.300 --> 00:42:46.710
nation state, as a globe, I fear we don't realize
863
00:42:46.730 --> 00:42:48.989
how quickly this is going to happen. And we feel
864
00:42:49.010 --> 00:42:52.260
we have time to make those decisions. And we don't.
865
00:42:52.559 --> 00:42:54.760
We did in the past. Technology moves much slower in
866
00:42:54.780 --> 00:42:56.940
the past. We had the time to do that. And
867
00:42:57.000 --> 00:42:59.739
those technologies that we talk about in the past, you know,
868
00:42:59.760 --> 00:43:02.559
with the exception of things like nuclear weapons, they didn't
869
00:43:02.579 --> 00:43:06.239
have the likelihood of creating the kind of devastation and
870
00:43:06.309 --> 00:43:10.949
destruction and potential harm that this one does. But we
871
00:43:10.989 --> 00:43:13.809
don't have the time. The greatest illusion is that we
872
00:43:13.849 --> 00:43:15.630
have time. And we do not in this case.
873
00:43:17.010 --> 00:43:18.750
And, you know, the other aspect of this is the
874
00:43:18.769 --> 00:43:20.230
fact that, you know, we look at how do we
875
00:43:20.269 --> 00:43:21.929
get things like trial by jury? How do we get
876
00:43:21.969 --> 00:43:24.619
the Bill of Rights and things like that? It's because
877
00:43:25.159 --> 00:43:25.539
we did it.
878
00:43:25.500 --> 00:43:28.179
By trial and error. We did it by brute force
879
00:43:28.340 --> 00:43:29.000
and mistakes.
880
00:43:29.559 --> 00:43:32.460
And they had those things were there as reactions to
881
00:43:32.519 --> 00:43:34.960
abuses that had happened. That's why I think it is
882
00:43:34.980 --> 00:43:38.030
so concerning because we don't have anybody who is talking about, well,
883
00:43:38.050 --> 00:43:40.469
you know, this could possibly happen. So let's make sure
884
00:43:40.530 --> 00:43:42.989
that doesn't happen in advance. Instead, they're going to let
885
00:43:43.030 --> 00:43:45.099
it happen. And it's going to be really bad. And
886
00:43:45.119 --> 00:43:48.659
then they'll maybe come back and put something in to
887
00:43:48.739 --> 00:43:51.429
stop that from happening again. But it's going to be
888
00:43:51.449 --> 00:43:54.090
a very difficult time, I think, in terms of adjustment
889
00:43:54.650 --> 00:43:56.889
and in terms of the changes that are going to
890
00:43:56.909 --> 00:43:57.929
be made in society.
891
00:43:57.969 --> 00:43:59.030
I absolutely agree with you.
892
00:43:59.449 --> 00:44:02.750
And again, your book, The Mirror, takes a look at
893
00:44:02.909 --> 00:44:05.539
what this really means for us and ask some questions
894
00:44:05.579 --> 00:44:07.920
that we should all be thinking about. I mean, it'd
895
00:44:07.960 --> 00:44:10.619
be much better if we could kind of think through
896
00:44:10.639 --> 00:44:12.449
some of these things before it actually happens to us
897
00:44:12.530 --> 00:44:15.590
instead of trying to fix it after we've had the accident.
898
00:44:16.329 --> 00:44:16.630
Agreed.
899
00:44:16.929 --> 00:44:21.010
Absolutely agreed. I don't think we have the luxury of
900
00:44:21.050 --> 00:44:23.590
fixing it after we've had the accident in this case.
901
00:44:23.610 --> 00:44:26.269
I think we have to be a bit more intentional
902
00:44:26.510 --> 00:44:27.389
than we've been in the past.
903
00:44:27.550 --> 00:44:30.750
Yeah, it is truly amazing and staggering when you look
904
00:44:30.789 --> 00:44:34.449
at the magnitude and the scope of how many things
905
00:44:34.489 --> 00:44:37.829
are affected by this. It really is overwhelming, I think,
906
00:44:37.869 --> 00:44:41.800
the more you look at it. the bigger, taller order
907
00:44:41.820 --> 00:44:44.320
it seems to be. But thank you so much again.
908
00:44:44.599 --> 00:44:48.969
We're talking to Tom Kolopoulos, and the book is The Mirror.
909
00:44:49.329 --> 00:44:52.769
And you can go to his website there, delphigroup.com. Do
910
00:44:52.809 --> 00:44:53.989
you have a link to the book?
911
00:44:54.349 --> 00:44:54.949
I do.
912
00:44:55.730 --> 00:44:57.349
There's a link on the website, and they can also
913
00:44:57.389 --> 00:45:00.699
go to themirror.info to find out more about the book, David.
914
00:45:00.900 --> 00:45:02.179
Thank you so much for having me on the show.
915
00:45:02.239 --> 00:45:03.159
I really appreciate it.
916
00:45:03.159 --> 00:45:05.000
It's great to have you on. I really enjoyed the conversation.
917
00:45:05.039 --> 00:45:06.289
Thank you so much, Tom. Appreciate it.
918
00:45:06.360 --> 00:45:06.679
Thank you.
919
00:45:08.789 --> 00:45:10.150
Well, that was great. Thank you, Tom. We're going to
920
00:45:10.250 --> 00:45:11.050
air that tomorrow.
921
00:45:11.070 --> 00:45:11.769
Perfect.
922
00:45:11.849 --> 00:45:16.269
And we'll send you a link to the.
923
00:45:23.579 --> 00:45:29.739
The Common Man. They created Common Core to dumb down
924
00:45:29.780 --> 00:45:33.500
our children. They created Common Past to track and control us.
925
00:45:33.920 --> 00:45:37.800
Their Commons Project to make sure the commoners own nothing.
926
00:45:38.820 --> 00:45:45.440
and the communist future. They see the common man as simple, unsophisticated, ordinary.
927
00:45:46.460 --> 00:45:49.739
But each of us has worth and dignity created in
928
00:45:49.780 --> 00:45:54.460
the image of God. That is what we have in common.
929
00:45:55.079 --> 00:45:57.909
That is what they want to take away. Their most
930
00:45:57.969 --> 00:46:03.449
powerful weapons are isolation, deception, intimidation. They desire to know
931
00:46:03.670 --> 00:46:08.380
everything about us while they hide everything from us. It's
932
00:46:08.420 --> 00:46:11.420
time to turn that around and expose what they want
933
00:46:11.460 --> 00:46:15.320
to hide. Please share the information and links you'll find
934
00:46:15.699 --> 00:46:19.929
at TheDavidKnightShow.com. Thank you for listening. Thank you for sharing.
935
00:46:25.789 --> 00:46:28.170
If you can't support us financially, please keep us in
936
00:46:28.190 --> 00:46:30.949
your prayers. TheDavidKnightShow.com