Full Transcript for 548 | Friday Mailbag!

twenty twenty four and beyond? Asked by j dows nine on our Instagram. I'll throw it over to you first, because the Padres are your favorite team. Not favorite, but I think the Padres kind of fit in that love hate bucket for you for me, yes, I okay, So I've had a chance to verbalize my thoughts or vocalize verbalized vocalized. I've had a chance to get my thoughts out on the Steel Snell thing. And do I think that Steele's last start against the Pirates on Wednesday cost him to cy Young? 00:06:51 Speaker 3: Yes, I do. I think it's Blake Snell cyng am. 00:06:54 Speaker 1: I happy. I think the start before that as well, it might have back to back shutouts. 00:06:59 Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I mean he's been great like seven no, no, earlier this week. Holy hell, Now, am I happy that Snell He's gonna win the cy On? 00:07:09 Speaker 1: Not? Really? 00:07:09 Speaker 3: Guy's gotten nine outs after the sixth inning. He leads the National League and walks issue. He has a lower ERA thanks to foolish for putting this out. He's got a two two three ERA when walking four or more guys in an outing. He has a two to four when walking fewer than four guys. He's better when he walks more dudes. What So I'm not happy about that? But I ask you, Jay dows Uh, is it really miserable? You guys have won seven in a row? 00:07:40 Speaker 2: Now it is? 00:07:42 Speaker 1: It's too leagues? Is it? Because it is so like the other teams are pulling away right The Cubs just can't find a win right now. It's not like the Reds are playing that great a baseball. No, they had a good series against the Twins. But it's not. I'm looking at the meme. So you're saying there's a chance. No, No, they're not mathematically out of it. Yes, they're not mathematically out. And they have such an game left, they have such an easy schedule moving forward. What I want you to do? Go on that iPad of yours but I don't think you have the iPad anymore. I want you to go look for our listeners. I want you to go look at the remaining Padre schedule, and then what I want you to do is, I want you to go look at the standings and tell me there isn't a chance. 00:08:35 Speaker 3: Well, Cole Reagan's and Frombervaldez. Tomorrow's gonna hit like an atom bomb. That's gonna be so sick. You've got the fluttering knuckleball of Matt Waldron's starting against Dakota Hudson at home. So that's Cardinals Padres this weekend. I'm not sure how I feel about that. It's gonna be Waldron, Nick Martinez, Michael Waka. They get Drew ram on Sunday, so that's an auto dub. 00:09:00 Speaker 1: Can you can look at the schedule? Please? Can you read off the name? 00:09:03 Speaker 3: So it's a weekend set against Saint Louis at home. Then it's three in San Francisco and then San Diego. Where are you San Diego? Padres? M Oh, they're in Chicago playing the White Sox. That's disgusting. That's how they finish. So it's home against Saint Louis in San Francisco in Chicago. 00:09:30 Speaker 1: And San Francisco is playing like ass right now. They

have run out of magic. Arizona just took two of two from them. Normally in those series, you see a division split there, right. I was the moron who bet on the San Francisco Giants with logan or logan web. Guess what happened. They lost seven to one. It wasn't even close. Lamont Way Junior starts the game off with a home run. They proceeded to get two more hits after that. They can beat the Giants, they can beat the Cardinals, and they can stop all over the White Sox, who just got their teeth kicked in by the Nationals. 00:10:03 Speaker 3: Hold On Man, Davey Garcia and Luis Patino are only allowing like a homer per inning, so they're really on the come up. The way that I kind of looked at this question, and that was a really good question that came to us on Instagram, was I don't think top end talent is the issue, and I don't think there's anything you can do with your top end talent to make it better, Like you can't add another thirty five million dollar player to this folt. You don't have the financial flexibility to do so. The way that I kind of view it is you can trade one of Hasan Kim or Juan Soto and kickstart this process. But they need way more depth. They need more starting pitching depth because Darbish is getting old and he's hurt. Muskrove is hurt and he spent a lot of time unavailable over the last year and a half. They need starting pitching depth, which they don't have in Triple A. And they need bench bats, which they don't have in the big leagues. And they don't have reinforcements in Triple A. So while you can get excited about Meryl and Sallis, those are everyday players. Like I need the San Diego Padres to have serviceable, non everyday players, uh, and they just don't have that right now. Can a Zokar turn into that? 00:11:23 Speaker 1: Sure? 00:11:23 Speaker 3: Can iegar Rasario turn into that? 00:11:25 Speaker 1: Sure? But like Matthew. 00:11:27 Speaker 3: Batton, we sure, Like Carpenter, you want him again? Do you want to do that again next year? 00:11:34 Speaker 1: I don't know, man. 00:11:36 Speaker 3: It's either sign a bunch of old farts to one or two year deals or trade Hasung Kim for four guys that can be on your bench. I have a take that I'm willing to get hurt for fine. I think the Padres are going to be one of the best teams in Major League Baseball next year. The Angels too. Don't forget about the. 00:11:55 Speaker 1: No, They're fucked. I'm willing to get hurt on the San Diego Padres, and let me tell you why so. In twenty twenty two, the Miami Marlins were one of, if not the worst team in Major League Baseball in one run games. Those type of things tend to regress year over year. Those really are luck type numbers, right, Sometimes the ball bounces your way, sometimes it doesn't. The Padres in one run games were absolutely pitiful this year. Terrible. If I'm not mistaken, our Padres guy Javi a Reyas said they were six and twenty two. I don't know if that's the exact record, but I think Padres fans understand that they were rarely on the right side of one run games. I look at their team. Je Soto still had a good year, Manny Machado is still good. Xander Bogarts was dealing with an injury all year. Hasion Kim is just straight up awesome. Worth I think rebounds next year and Fernando Tatis junior, and we've seen what Luis Campusano has looked like at the catcher position. You're right, Muscove has been hurt. Is he gonna be hurt next year? Snell seems to have figured something out here, But. 00:13:15 Speaker 3: Snell's gone, like, are the Padres gonna pay him? 00:13:20 Speaker 1: They might, like, I'm not counting anything out of aj Coller. If they don't get Snell, I think they are still going to get another starting pitcher. So I'm either assuming they bring back Blake Snell or they add a big time starter. I think they're going to add to their bullpen, which was not healthy for the majority of this season. Those type of things, those balls tend to bounce back. Now. The reason I say I'm willing to get hurt again is because all the rumors that we hear out of San Diego is that the clubhouse is an absolute mess, that these guys do not gel together. Now, if that never ends up happening, we're gonna see the same thing. It's going to be the same Padres team that when they're up, they show no urgency and they blow it when they're down. Talk about not showing urgency. They just want to get back to their hotel rooms. It's been that simple this year for the San Diego Padres. If they're able to gel this offseason, they're still led by a good manager. I don't care what anybody says, and I know he hasn't even been that good this year, but Bob Melvin is still a good manager. 00:14:25 Speaker 3: A J. 00:14:25 Speaker 1: Preller is still an aggressive GM who will add now to the big league roster. I think the Padres had a season from hell this year, but they are still absolutely loaded with talent. They're wrapped into hundreds of millions of dollars and they have no choice but to continue to go for it. I truly think the Padres, because we cannot forget this Padres team lost to the Phillies, who then went to the World Series. They're a year removed from that. They really have more players since then. This was a season from hell. I think they're going to bounce back and be one of baseball's best teams next year. So the question you're asking, what do you think they should do with this offseason and get back on track. I think you bring back Blake Snell and you run it back. I think they're gonna be good, jack I do. I'm willing to hang my hat on it, dude, Like, where is the flexibility? Though? 00:15:28 Speaker 3: That's my thing. You've got Snell and Hater coming off the books. All right, that clears up. That clears up thirty. But it like, let's go to twenty twenty six. They've got twenty five and a half wrapped up in Xander Boulgarts. 00:15:41 Speaker 1: I A'm worried about twenty twenty six. Okay about twenty twenty four. All right, let's look at twenty four. You got twenty

five on Bolgarts. You've got twenty on Muskove. You got seventeen on Machado, sixteen on Darvish, sixteen on Nick Martinez, sixteen on Waka, eleven on Tatis, ten on Suarez, seven and a half on Lugo if he opts in seven and a half on cronin Worth, seven on on a Kim, five and a half on Carpenter. Do you realize how much fucking money I just read off here? But do you realize how many no money? Do you realize how many good players you just named? 00:16:10 Speaker 3: Okay, but I also named like you Darvish, who's gonna be thirty seven and coming off bone spurs and his elbow. I'm naming Joe Musgrove, who has missed more time this year than he has been on the field. Jake Croninworth sucked before he got hurt, like you are, you're betting on bouncebacks. 00:16:27 Speaker 1: But the thing is, I just saw it. I just saw it last year, and these guys were hurt all year. I never won any one run games. So then if they're healthy, like what, we're just gonna assume they're all hurt again. Like I don't think we could do that. What we have to do is look at the guys. Yes, they were hurt. Will they be hurt this year? I don't know. But if they aren't, they're still all really good players. Like everybody you named that's on payroll is good outside of Matt Carpenter. So if they let him go, they let him go. And let's say they Snell leaves and Josh Haden leaves. Okay, now you have thirty million dollars, you can go get Yamamoto. I'm sure you would want to come over to California. Of course, he would like they are an aggressive team, loaded with talent, ready to win now. 00:17:12 Speaker 3: Well, this is my hate coming out. They piss me off because they have so much money tied out. I'm like, they can't pay Snell off of cy Young, And you know what they're gonna do. 00:17:21 Speaker 1: Give Bogart's two hundred fucking mighty billion. 00:17:24 Speaker 3: You know what they're gonna do. They're gonna pay Snell off of sy Young. And I'm gonna sit here and I'm gonna eat shit on the podcast. Like That's just how I know this November is gonna go. 00:17:33 Speaker 1: We have to stop looking at them like with logic. They are just gonna go for it and spend tons of money because they see the returns when Peco Park sells out every single day and they're making that money back because they're still, regardless of the suckage, one of the most exciting teams in baseball. They get a lot of eyes and they make that money back through different revenue streams. I think they're gonna get Yamamoto out. 00:18:00 Speaker 3: Yeah, but how about the Padres being one of two teams in baseball that Bally didn't pay that they like Major League Baseball took over their TV because Bally didn't pay them. It was them in Arizona I'm like, there are way shittier teams that, like you could have ditched before the We'll take the A's but not the Padres. 00:18:17 Speaker 1: They're an NBC. 00:18:18 Speaker 3: But I'm thinking like Cleveland, like why are we like Cancer tru Why are we staying. 00:18:22 Speaker 1: With KC because Bobby Wood Junior. Have you seen him? Oh? Right? Yeah? 00:18:27 Speaker 3: No, I forgot. He's way better than the trio of Machado, Tatis and Soto. 00:18:31 Speaker 1: Sorry about that, it is, Yeah, I don't feel like it is. So do you understand where I'm coming from here? Before I do? 00:18:40 Speaker 3: I do, And like I'm letting logic get in the way of my thinking on the San Diego Padres, I'm looking at them like the Padres of three years ago, and I shouldn't be doing that. I think the way that I can best comprehend this is they're going to push all the chips in again on the last postseason run, and they have with one Soto on the books. They signed up for three off seasons of one Soto. Next year is the third. They're gonna give it a full go and then this thing may crash like the Roman Empire pre twenty twenty five. 00:19:12 Speaker 1: And we have another question that we're gonna talk about that surrounds tearing down. Okay, but question number two, which teams will surprise people during the postseason doesn't necessarily need to be underdogs, but could also be teams proving why they are the best in the league. Asked by Stefan Hammerschmidt on IG Apologies if I mispronounce your name. I consistently do that because these handles on social media are impossible. Jack, who's the team that you just you feel it in your loins? It's a plums pick. This is a plums question. Yeah, because like we could say, like, you know who, I think it's gonna be pretty good this postseason? The Braves. I could see the Braves being pretty good. How about the Astros Man, they've won a World Series. It seems like every other year. Oh, you know who's sneaky team the Phillies because they just went to the World Series. Like, who's sitting deep in the plumps? 00:20:07 Speaker 3: One National League team? One American League team? Yep, the Milwaukee Brewers in the National League. I don't think people really understand how good this this pitching staff is. And Arham had a great bit on Milwaukee becoming a bullpen Factory with Joel Piumps and Abner Ribe, obviously Devin Williams. You got going on there. They have a billion other dudes. I feel like with sub three in that pen, but that front three in the rotation of Burns, Woodroof and Peralta. There are a lot of National Baseball fans that don't watch Freddy Peralta pitch. They'll see the highlights of Corbyn burns On pitching Ninja, but Woodrooff, who was out for the front half of the year, and Peralta. Now, I think a lot of baseball fans and a lot of like, you know, casuals, and we accept casuals. Bring you in, baby, we need more fans. I think they're gonna watch Woodroff and Peralta throw for maybe the first time in their lives, and they're gonna say, holy smokes, these guys are good. So Milwaukee in the National League, in the American League, it's. 00:21:09 Speaker 1: Before you get to the American League. Let me let me give you my National League team. Because I was thinking about the Brewers and the

Brewers, I feel like, like, you're not wrong. I love the answer. I feel like we gave that exact answer last year. We gave that exact the answer the year before, Like we just keep saying them because like, well they got burns Wood of Freddie, how are you gonna go against that? And that answer continues to be right. And then they get in the playoffs and they put up one run, they lose a couple of straight three to one games because the offense, like Yelich, has slowed down. I don't know if anybody is speaks. I know he's missed some time, but that's I mean, he's missed some time. It's September twenty second, Like he's not gonna be a full go Christian Yelich MVP that we saw in the beginning of the season, and without him, like the Brewers offense really dies down a team that I think could beat them. I don't know if they're going to play them with the exact format. We don't even know if they're going to make the playoffs. I'm willing to be hurt by the Arizona diamonbacks. I'm willing to be hurt. Let me tell you why. Okay, we're talking about a frontline duo. Meryl Kelly is awesome. I don't care Meryl Kelly continues to turn in six seven inning performances a one run ball. He's got an ERA in the low threes. And Zach Gallen has had some rougher starts lately, but you get Zach Gallen at Chase Field, he ain't losing even that game against the Giants where you gave up four Diamondbacks score to eight. Like, they do not lose when Zach Allen is at home, and they really don't lose when Meryl Kelly is at home. Now they might have some road games. I understand it won't be as electric, but still I think those two guys, you put them up against any other duo, they can win any of those games. Not saying they're better, but they're good enough pitchers to hang in there. The bullpen scares me, but adding Paul see Walden Kevin Ginkel has been very good. They have a couple of back end guys that are good enough that if those two give you length, they can shut the door the middle part of the bullpen. That's what screwed them over this year. They keep fucking blowing games and it sucked. But the back end. I really like the back end. Then I look across the Diamond can tell Marte huge bounce back here, Christian Walker. We talked about Hasseon Kim being underrated thirty six home runs last year, thirty this year and goal nine to twenty nineteen. With gold glove defense, gabral moreno is heating up behind the dish. They have such good defense around the field. They're a sneaky team that I think if they played the Brewers, they'd win that series. What do you think? I like that take. 00:24:00 Speaker 3: I feel like you've changed course on Arizona often right, like it was every. 00:24:04 Speaker 1: Every week, every week, and every week I fully admit it. I buy in so heavy. I mean, our biggest bet here at the Just Baseball Show was Arizona diamonbacks over seventy four and a half wins, like on bet MGM. That was our big like you know, like sell the house, sell your Grandma, Lock

of the century, mega nuke, not actually bet responsibly. It was a two point two you to play our biggest of the year, and because we believed in the hype and it came true. But then they started sucking and then you're like, oh, this team is too young. They're just not mature enough yet. These pictures are not as good as I think, and then they heat up again. I'm like, wait a minute, but they're heating up right at the perfect time, right, Yeah, they just have to heat up now and if they can carry that momentum into the playoffs. I know they're young, they're immature. I don't think they're gonna win the World Series, but the question was a sneaky underdog, and they're my pick in the National League. Okay. Yeah. 00:24:59 Speaker 3: The tone in which I I say Ryan Nelson, I think summarizes the Arizona Diamondbacks. Like at the beginning of the year, Ryan Nelson, in the middle of the year, Ryan Nelsonson, and now I'm like Ryan Nelson. 00:25:11 Speaker 1: Roy Nelson. 00:25:12 Speaker 3: Yeah, like the tone in which you say Ryan Nelson, that has kind of encapsulated what the Diamondbacks have done. I love that you bring up Gabby Moreno because this guy has solidified himself as one of the better young catchers in baseball. And this was a great thirty game sample pull from Arham on X. He posted it on X shout out elon got last last thirty games. Gabby Moreno slashing three forty three, four oh four five sixty so one fifty nine WRC plus fifteen percent k rate. Gabby Moreno, if if it was clicking offensively, this guy is amazing. He's one of the better defensive catchers in the game. And the fact that he can hit the ball all around the ballpark and he's hitting for a little bit more power. Now, I think the concern has always kind of been will you tap into juice? He's not tapping into twenty five homer juice, but he's tapping into doubles in a huge ballpark juice. Man, I can get on board with it. And they're just a fun watch every night. I can turn them on every night and enjoy myself, and I'm excited to watch them on national television. 00:26:18 Speaker 1: Give me a weakness, LORDI Sciole Junior and left field has been a stud this year. Also, that trade our show for amazing. It has not worked very well for the Blue Jays. I think they'll be fine. I still love our show. We're going to talk about him later. Actually, yeah, that trade, at least for this season, is going extremely well for the Dambacks. Corbyn Carolyn Center one of the best players in Major League Baseball. You got Jake McCarthy in right field, who is has the worst arm I've ever seen from a right fielder. However, he can get to any ball and he's at least this cool, slappy ninth hitter like he's okay. And for although Perdomo is still fine, he's not great, but he's not bad. Emmanuel Rivera third is fine, not bad. Like these are weaknesses, they're just not great players to tell. Marte has been a stud, Christian Walker's been a stud, Gabby Moreno, and then you got the two studs at the top and a decent back end, like there's a recipe here, and they'll they're just gonna run havoc on teams. 00:27:12 Speaker 3: Yeah, the weakness is game three. 00:27:14 Speaker 1: Yeah, the weakness they probably don't win Game three. But I'm saying if they win one and two like they're they're probably gonna win the series. I hope so. 00:27:24 Speaker 3: But but the weakness is Game three, and we'll see all in the fields on super short rest. 00:27:30 Speaker 1: They're not gonna win the World Series. 00:27:32 Speaker 3: But but they're sneaking seed crazier American League. I do have a sleeper in the American League, and I don't know if you want to consider them a sleeper, but Toronto is my sleeper. In the American League because they have gotten here in a different way. I think we were expecting them to have the best offense in baseball. 00:27:50 Speaker 1: They have not been that. 00:27:51 Speaker 3: But what Toronto has done is put together the third best or no, the second best staff ra in baseball. Milwaukee was third, Battle is first, Toronto is second. The fact that they are doing this in spite of Alec Manoa going through the year that he went through is so commendable. 00:28:10 Speaker 1: And I feel like I said that last month. I feel like I said that last week. 00:28:12 Speaker 3: But the way I know you guys talked about the yuse Kikuchi thirteen hours of sleep thing. If my three starter is getting thirteen hours of sleep before a wild card start, I feel really good, really good. Barrios has turned it on this seament. I love this bounce back from Barrios. Gosman is just consistently one of the best pitchers in baseball. Dude, that dude and Bassett Man Bassett starting Game four. If they do get to a CS like, all right, sure, not on the road please, Okay, but Romano on the back end, Hicks on the back end, like there are enough guys there. And the fact that the complimentary pieces in the lineup are doing enough with an underwhelming Vladdie and you know, Bishett is still bo Baschett. Like I think, Toronto it in a way that nobody was expecting, is a really dangerous postseason team. 00:29:06 Speaker 1: I have a very interesting relationship with the Toronto Blue Jays. Is Laddie's hurt, Yes, and it screwed me? Just what a dagger to the heart. I'm sorry. More importantly, looking at the Blue Jays over these past couple of years, it all makes so much sense and it still doesn't happen. I agree they're the second wild card team as we're speaking today. They just beat the brakes off the Yankees. They should be the team and they should be the answer. However, I'm standing Pat on what I've said over the past three years of doing this show. They gotta show me. They got to show me. They just get there, or they don't get there and they just fall flat. There's something there, and I really think they are managed by quite possibly the worst manager in Major League Baseball. I think John Schneider has no idea what he is doing, and I think he has screwed them time

over time, lineup decisions, resting guys when they should be in the lineup bullpen decisions. I think he's a real problem. I do because you look at the team, there's so much talent. They're like first in these advanced metrics in the bullpen, they're top five in the starting rotation. They have Vladimir Garo Junior and Bobashett and George Springer and Matt Chapman. Team should win more games than they do. Yeah, I'll believe it when I see it. Okay, that's my thoughts on the Blue Jays. But again, prove me wrong. Watching the Blue Jays when they're playing good baseball is some of the best baseball in the league. When they're firing on all cylinders, they could win the World Series. 00:31:09 Speaker 3: Then that fog horn and Rogers center man in the postseason, nothing right like that thing electric. So I'm rooting for them because if they're good, baseball is better. Oh yeah, I just got to see it. I gotta see it before I buy it. You're just not patriotic. 00:31:27 Speaker 1: No, I'm so patriotic that I'm anti Canada. Here's my team. This team is in first place, but I don't hear discourse around them when it pertains to winning the World Series. I just hear how great of a story they are, how exciting they've been in the regular season. But you know what, they still got issues. They're still young. Why can't the Baltimore Orioles win the World Series this year? Why can't they talk about a team who I'm seeing it with my very eyes. They just went into Houston and dogged on them. Houston's pretty damn good. Houston had to just keep a hold of their first place because of a walk off win by Mauricio Dubon. I watched that series. The Orioles were better than they were. The Orioles are also, I would say, getting hot at the right time. But they've just been fucking on fire all year. Whenever they played teams about five hundred, they dominate. Whether it's on the road, it's at home, and we say, well, do they have the starting pitching to match? It doesn't matter. They just hit to overcome it. They're great at every position they have. I think at this point, like, how is Adley Rutchman not the best leader behind the dish in Major League Baseball? I mean, how is he notes Everything we hear from every single starting pitcher is Adly is different. 00:33:00 Speaker 3: They've never been swept with Adlie Richman the roster. 00:33:04 Speaker 1: There is something there, there is something that you just cannot quantify that when the going gets tough, the Baltimore Orioles fucking show up. That's how I feel about yeah, exactly. Yeah. When I look at the starting rotation, I'm looking at g rod who is just a train engine heading to hell, like he made a deal with the devil because that change that he made, And obviously he didn't make a deal with the devil, but you know what I'm saying, Like, since he got called back up, he is just on another level. Kyle Bradish is a stud. Yeah, he's just amazing. He went into Houston and he hasn't even I think he allowed like one run against Houston at like twenty four innings. I don't even known dominated them. Then you look at the bullpen. They got Shintara Fujinami. He looks like the best reliever in Major League Baseball. Felix Batisa has gone down. They haven't been the beat hasn't even mattered. This team needs to be square in the center. When we talk about World Series teams and they're not, We're like, ooh, the Rays are a sneaky team. They've been to five playoff appearances and have done nothing. If we're talking about, oh, the Oriols don't off the starting pitching, who says they do, who says they do? 00:34:26 Speaker 3: Who says Tampa does, Who says Tampa does? We give Tampa the benefit of the doubt in that department. 00:34:31 Speaker 1: They don't deserve it. Come playoff time, regular season, they're awesome. Why should we give them any credit for anything they've ever done the postseason? 00:34:40 Speaker 3: Because they got to the World Series in twenty. 00:34:43 Speaker 1: In twenty and lost that they took out Blake Snell. 00:34:49 Speaker 2: Wow. 00:34:50 Speaker 1: Then I look at the Astros, like the Astros are great. 00:34:53 Speaker 3: They have expects them to go to the World Series, like when they get in, like see you. 00:34:59 Speaker 1: And we've just been We've just been glued to the meat of the Mariners all year, courtesy and me meat glue, meat glue. The Rangers, like, I just they make my head hurt because they put up fifteen against the Red Sox and you're like, they're back, so they the rate. 00:35:20 Speaker 3: You know what the Rangers are going to be. The Rangers are going to be the twenty twenty one Boston Red Sox where they pissed me off to no end. And they're still going to go to the ALCS. 00:35:28 Speaker 1: Yeah, they'll probably still be good, but I just like I can't, I can't anymore. 00:35:32 Speaker 3: I keep I just I can't get a read on you. 00:35:34 Speaker 1: I know what you're doing. I had no idea what to expect from them. At their peak, they could win the World Series. At their low, they won't even make the playoffs. Then I look at the Twins. The Cray injury sucks, the Royce Lewis injury sucks. I think they have great pitching, but again another manager who I do not trust. I do not trust rocklebell DELI really I don't at all. 00:35:54 Speaker 3: You said Twin Boys, I think Enzo and for you know, bal Deli, congratulations and. 00:36:00 Speaker 1: Those are I hope he carries over some of that good energy into the playoffs, but as we sit here today, I do not trust him. I don't trust the Blue Jays, even though I know they're great, but I still don't trust him. I trust two teams, the Astros and the Orioles, and everyone already has the Ashos getting in. I trust the Baltimore Orioles. I think they have a great shot. 00:36:23 Speaker 3: At winning the World Series, especially when Jack Flaherty throws the eighth inning for them. 00:36:28 Speaker 1: But he's like been like, I don't think he's allowed to run out of the bullpen yet. I know

it's been like a couple of yes moves. 00:36:33 Speaker 3: Yeah, he's just but that he he's had to cardboard boxes in the living room, bubb But. 00:36:39 Speaker 1: I watched I watched his last out at the bullpen. Did allow run like the Orioles do this? Yeah? Yeah? I like it, man, I like it. I like how fired up you got. I'm I've been fired up this whole episode. I've had plenty of caffeine and I'm ready to roll. Question number three, who are some guys that you think can make the biggest impact in the postseason that some people might not fully expect. Example Howie Kendrick in twenty nineteen, asked by Maximus Freed on Twitter. I have an answer for you talking about shower thoughts. So funny you brought that up, because in the shower today I had a vision Game three Arizona Diamondbacks, Arizona first and third. They're down three to two. Christian Walker steps up, steps up to the plate and just does what he's been doing when nobody's been watching. Now. I have a real answer, but I wanted to tell you my vision. And I had that vision. The Diamondbacks are going to make the playoffs and Christian Walker is gonna hit a big time home run to win them a series. I love you my real answer after you give your answer, But I had a vision. Yeah. I like that. 00:37:49 Speaker 3: I like that you isolated one guy, and I love the question. The example was tough for me because Howie Kendrick didn't really come out of nowhere like Howie Kendrick in nineteen hit three p forty and had a nine to seventy. 00:38:06 Speaker 1: Oh ps. That's the thing. It's just like on that Nats team. 00:38:11 Speaker 3: On that yeah, he was he was an afterthought because you had you know, Turner, and you had Rendon, and you had Strasbourg and you had Surezer. 00:38:18 Speaker 1: And Pat Corban was good. Soto. 00:38:21 Speaker 3: Yeah shit, I think he was twenty years old at the time. He turned twenty one during the postseas. He's like the best player on that team that year. I kind of went a different route and I took that as like, Okay, guys that really have not had a chance to showcase it that can And I went rookie heavy. I did say Will Smith, but James Outman the guy that initially came to mind in the National League because he may hit a four hundred and seventy foot homer and people are gonna be like, who's the dud with the curly hair, and it's like, oh, he was a rookie this year. 00:38:53 Speaker 1: You know what, James Outman has a higher war this year than Michael Harris. Yeah, three point nine a four for James Outmans. Almon is tooled out bro, We've been talking about him. Man. 00:39:04 Speaker 3: The American leaguer are the guys that I love. How can you see this question and not think about Davis Schneider. 00:39:10 Speaker 1: Like he just might be the one. 00:39:14 Speaker 3: But I do think that this could be huge for the tandem of Edward Julienne and Royce Lewis. Those two are slept on in Minnesota. And I know that Arham has said like get ready to watch Royce Lewis, and I think Arham actually identified Lewis as a guy in the postseason. But I'm telling you to look at Julienne. Man, this guy has the quietest eight to seventy ops in baseball we've got this year. He's not getting any rookie of the year love, but man put him in the batter's box in a high leverage moment. He's gonna walk or he's going to hit a ball really hard and that ball might get over a fence. I'm a huge Julienne guy, and I think if the Twins are gonna make noise, it's not gonna come from Korea. Obviously, it's not going to come from Buxton. Gimme Lewis with a big homer and give me Julienne to be the guy that impresses like nobody else over the course of a five game series. 00:40:10 Speaker 1: I think it's a phenomenal answer. My only it's not even about julian because I think that's a great one. Do you think Royce is going to be good to go come postseason time? I hope so. 00:40:22 Speaker 3: And I hope he gets to hit with the bases loaded because he's better than Barry Bond's on crack. Yeah, I like, I really hope so another guy real quick, a pitcher, Brian Abray, you might just not allow a base runner like remember how dominant he was last postseason and I just could see him doing that again. But Lanne Julianne is my guy. If I had to, I d one guy, it's. 00:40:46 Speaker 1: Julienne Ryan and Bray was a bad man. He's a bad man. I love him. I love him too. He's on my He's on my fantasy baseball team. I'm actually in the championship right now. Congratulations, subtle flex. I have two guys, and they revolve around my Orioles take. Because I don't think if you don't watch Orioles baseball consistently, you probably you know about Gunner, you know about Adlie, you know about some of these guys, But do you know about Anthony Santander? Do you know about Austin Hayes? Like these are guys in the Orioles lineup that hit third and sixth and fifth, and it's like, oh, like he's up at the plate. But he's not Cedric Mullins, he's not Adley, he's not Gunner. But these are the guys that I feel make the Orioles run. Like when we talk about why love the Rangers is how deep they are in their lineup that there's no breaks. It's great when you have a top of the lineup, that's amazing. But what makes good teams great is guys like this Austin Hayes, who was an All Star, and I feel like nobody gives a shit it. And Anthony santon Dare. Anthony Santander this year has twenty seven home runs with an eight hundred ops at twenty eight years old. This is a really good player that nobody cares about. I think in the postseason, when everyone turns on these Orioles games, expecting to see the big hit from Adley, expecting to see it from Gunner, expecting to see it from Cedric, it's Anthony santan Dare who makes the sprinklers, who makes the sprinklers grow? Now blow you know what I mean. He's gonna make everyone spit water out of their back. Yeah, gotcha. It couldnt sout it out, but everybody knows what I'm talking about here. I think Anthony Santander is that guy. And my another

guy on that team who I also love, who I just think is such a gritty, good baseball player as Austin Hayes. I think those guys are gonna make a big impact this postseason. But also they're the older guys. They've been around a little bit longer, right, they don't have the postseason experience, but I don't think the bright lights are gonna shine too bright on guys like that. 00:43:10 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I will say the the Cedric Mullins three run homer in Houston earlier this week kind of gave me postseason vibes and like that. 00:43:18 Speaker 1: But I feel like everybody expects that to happen. 00:43:21 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Cedric to be great, right, Yeah, so I guess I do like this stande air answer. I think that's good because you know, no matter which side he's on, I could see him just flirting with a foul poll right, just drilling the ball as a lefty bat down the right field line and it's second deck, and yeah, people go ballistic. 00:43:39 Speaker 1: I could totally so many times. I've seen it so many times due hits tanks. He has twenty seven bombs. I like it. Question number four yep, good after it. Okay, make a starting nine lineup only using players who hit seven through nine in their team's lineup. As by mengel Ethan on Twitter, this is a great one. And when I was going through trying to make my team, I had to cheat a little bit because there are certain positions on the field, like first base, like right field that if you hit seventh through ninth, your ass Like, so I kind of cheated at some positions, and then I didn't want to make it so Braves heavy because realistically I can put their seventh through nine just on this team. Yeah, and I tried not to add a bunch of Dodgers, even though of course we kind of have to. But let's go position by position. Who was catcher for you? Another really tough one in my opinion. 00:44:40 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I looked at lineups from Tuesday and Wednesday and I plucked from those. Sean Murphy hit seventh for Atlanta on Wednesday, So Murphy's my catcher. 00:44:51 Speaker 1: See, I was like, I the answer was Murphy, But I was like, how Rawley did hit eighth and seventh this year? 00:44:58 Speaker 2: Right? 00:44:58 Speaker 1: This year? Yeah, I on the last two days before this. That's cool. We'll have different answers here because I did full season of like who hit seventh and eighth and ninth this year? At least they count? Yeah, because like, do you want me to start Austin Hedges Jason Delay? 00:45:15 Speaker 3: No, but like Murphy's here, you don't have to. 00:45:20 Speaker 1: But he did fourth on an the other team, So yes, we'll go with Sean Murphy. It's technically you're not cheating. He hits seventh. He hit seventh on Wednesday. What about first base? 00:45:32 Speaker 3: I cheated a little bit here, but Hunter Goodman played right on on Wednesday. He played first base on Tuesday. So I went Hunter Goodman. He hit seventh on Tuesday and played first base. I went with the rocky rookie Hunter Goodses. 00:45:46 Speaker 1: It's terrible. No, he's not. 00:45:49 Speaker 3: He's got thirty and one hundred back to back years in the minor. 00:45:52 Speaker 1: Leagues, in the minor leagues, in that league, that league that is built on the moon, where Stone Garrett hit like fifty bombs. 00:46:06 Speaker 3: Hunter Goodman hitting two thirty three with a seven to twenty ops in his first nineteen big league games. 00:46:12 Speaker 1: Plague with the Rockies at Corsefield. 00:46:15 Speaker 3: Between Low A, High A and twelve games in double and twenty two he hit two ninety five with thirty six and one hundred and six driven in, and this year between Double A and fifteen games in Triple A. Double A is a tough place to hit thirty four homers and one hundred and eleven driven in. 00:46:33 Speaker 1: How about my answer? Who hit seventh? A decent amount? Alec Bohm sure both can even play a lot of first base though, so that's totally cheating because he's moved up with the line up because he's been good. But like he he hit seventh and eighth this year. That happened. Phillip also that happened. 00:46:52 Speaker 3: I also think Vado hit seventh for the Reds on Wednesday, so we could go, Joey Vado, what do you want to do? 00:46:57 Speaker 1: I think Bomb's better. Yeah, I do think Bomb is better. Let's go boom, Let's go boom. Second base? This was easy. Who do you have? Do you want me to say mine? Yeah, Tommy Edmund? I mean I'm taking that defense, like sure, sure, do you have any other answers? Yeah? 00:47:17 Speaker 3: Tyro Estrada hit ninth on Wednesday. 00:47:20 Speaker 1: Oh true, he did hit ninth on Wednesday. I always see him leading off. I didn't think of him, but I would still take Edmund. I know he's having a good year, but like Tommy, Edmund is still an All World defender multiple positions. I know we can't hit this year. I know, but he hit last year. It's not like he just sucks now. I'm taking Edmund still. Strad is a good answer for this year. That'd be the answer for this year. But like Edmund hits ninth, like we need a ninth ender. This is a what have you done for me lately? Game? Man? 00:47:47 Speaker 3: Tyro Estrada is my guy. 00:47:49 Speaker 1: I think that's fair. Third base another easy one for me because he was really the only good player whos hit seventh to eighth this year. I cheated a teac bit and I put Christopher Morell at third base. See I put Hibert Kendelario. I know he's hurt now, but he was hitting seventh to eight. He you know, as an eighth hitter. He has a eleven hundred ops, He's five for. 00:48:14 Speaker 3: Eight sweets, he has eight plate appearances on the eight hole. Sweet U Yet Morell hit seventh on Wednesday. Morell doing a lot of dhing right now when he does play the play third, but like he has a good bit and like technically right, yeah, I'll slap him at third, bait. It was either third, second or center and no shot. He's cracking my outfield. My outfield's gas. 00:48:39 Speaker 1: My outfield's Honestly, I

feel like you found a better outfield than me, because I don't feel like my outfield's that good. It's pretty good. It's not great field. Who you got h Are we doing short step? What's the word? Oh? I just completely forgot short step. Yes, I have two answers, and the only reason I have two answers is just I felt like we were going to add so many braves. The obvious answer here, Lynda Arcia HiT's ninth. He was an All Star. He's on the braves. He's amazing. 00:49:04 Speaker 3: Ellie Freakin de la Cruz hit eighth on Wednesday one, Ellie, we're gonna talk about Elliemore. 00:49:11 Speaker 1: We're gonna tie. Have a rookie who's been better? Anthony Volpi? Has he been better? Twenty twenty? Played every day to win, guy, He's been better. He's been better. Anthony Volpi has had a good rookie season. People forget he's twenty one. 00:49:30 Speaker 3: Are you sure he's had a good rookie season. 00:49:34 Speaker 1: For a rookie playing shortstop in Yankee Stadium. He's had a good season. 00:49:37 Speaker 3: I know it's twenty twenty, but he's hitting two to eight with a six seventy ops. 00:49:43 Speaker 1: Yeah, there's been some good things and some bad things. Bobby with Junior was not that far off from that exact stat line. I'm not saying he's going to become Bobby with Junior. That's not what I'm trying to say. I'm just saying, as a really young player with the pressures of Yankee State, playing that position, which I think outside of maybe like quarterback shortstop for the New York Yankees is the most pressure driven position in baseball. And he played as a twenty one year old and win twenty twenty. That doesn't happen in rookie years. I think it's a good season for a rookie context included. 00:50:19 Speaker 3: Yeah, Schwortz staff for the Yankees is probably the most pressure packed position in baseball. I was gonna ask you if you've ever, you know, tried to empathize with the goaltender for the San Jose Sharks, but not the case I tried didn't work a netminder. 00:50:35 Speaker 1: Do you think Volpiece I mean, Arci is the answer. 00:50:37 Speaker 3: RCI is the answer. Yeah, I don't know. I'm team Alle overteam volt people. We're gonna get too the lle conversation. We will left field. 00:50:45 Speaker 1: This was easy. I don't care how bad bar Show has been. 00:50:49 Speaker 3: I'm choosing him, really, okay, I'm choosing Chas McCormick. 00:50:54 Speaker 1: Yeah, damn it. Yeah, that's the answer. That's the answer. But no, that's the answer. I that's the answer. Let's move on this. That's just that's that's the better answer. Cetter Field couldn't decide. Michael Harris, James Outman, take your pick. 00:51:13 Speaker 3: I put outman and right. I've got Harrison center. Okay, that's fair in right field. I completely cheated. But technically he hit seventh like a couple of Timesernandez. 00:51:24 Speaker 1: No, it doesn't count. 00:51:25 Speaker 3: Doesn't count. Harrison center, outman and right. My dh Nick Castillanos hit seventh on Wednesday. 00:51:33 Speaker 1: Give me that peace, give me that piece. All right, let's keep moving on. We got more questions. Now, let's talk about Ellie. Is Ellie de la Cruz going to pan out like we thought he would. Asked by full count Baseball on Twitter, he has not been good, like below seven hundred ops back. Yeah, the approach sucks. He swings and misses so much, but then he shows you flashes of what looks like the most talented freak I've ever seen. But over the full game, it's not good, Jack, it's not good. He's it's early. Of course, we're not overreacting. Still think he's gonna be a good player. Rookies go through pitfalls. Happens all the time. But my main issue with him. You know what his worst pitch to hit against is? Shit? Is it fastballs? Fastballs? Yeah, he's hitting two twenty eight against fastballs that he was hitting like two ten against breaking pitches, maybe against overall breaking pitches. But when I look at each pitch over a full sample, he has a negative four run value against fastballs. That's worse than any other pitch that he hits six run value against. Cutters, fucking crushes Cutters. Has not been hitting fastballs this year, which I think is a big problem. It's kind of like when we look at a rookie pitcher and your fastball is getting tattooed. It's very hard to be a good picture without a good fastball. It's really hard to be a good hitter without hitting fastballs. His swing is really long. I think his approached stinks at the plate, but sometimes he's so lightning quick that he just smacks the ball and then runs it for a triple and we post the highlights because it's visually so appealing. It is like everybody on Twitter, like, I see you. I get it. When we post an Ellie highlight, You're like, well, he's gonna get you other day. Congratulations. We all watch the game, we know, but the highlight itself is just so awesome that we're gonna post it, So shut up, Esis. But he has not been good. 00:53:58 Speaker 3: Okay, I'm busting out a lowercase X expected slug on pitches up and middle of the zone for Ellie de la Cruz. 00:54:11 Speaker 1: One nine. 00:54:14 Speaker 3: Bad, very bad, thick. Why is he getting beaten by fastballs? Because he's a big, long human being and it's hard to catch up to elevated stuff. That's how that works. I am not worried about Ellie de la Cruz because I think we've been very transparent about needing to ride the roller coaster with this guy, and in the minor leagues, like he was always better than each stop. This is the first time, probably in his baseball life, that he hasn't been better than everybody that he sees. What happens there, You get beaten and people panic, like that's what happened with Bobby wit right like Wit, I mean, I wanted to compare rookie seasons between Ellie and Bobby Witt, and the big difference there too. Uh, if you have Volpi's numbers, go ahead. But I wanted to compare Ellie and Bobby Wit. Ellie has an eighty WRC plus. Wit had a ninety eight WRC plus And I was like,

Okay, where's. 00:55:18 Speaker 1: The big difference here? 00:55:19 Speaker 3: Because Ellie's chasing at a thirty six percent clip, which is incredibly high. Bobby Witt was chasing at a thirty seven percent clip. Ellie's OBP is under two hundred, two ninety seven. Bobby Wits was under two. 00:55:31 Speaker 1: Hundred, three hundred. 00:55:34 Speaker 3: What you said, under two under three hundred, under three hundred, Yeah, thank you. Ellie by La Cruz is seeing thirty eight percent of opposing pitches in the strike zone. That's a very low number. They know he's going to swing and miss outside the strike zone. Bobby Wits a forty percent, which is still a very low number. I think the biggest factor here is Ellie has a thirty four percent k rate and Bobby Witt had a twenty percent k rate. Fifteen percent margin there is massive, Like Ellie's striking out left and right. Bobby Wit at least he was like putting a one. 00:56:09 Speaker 1: Pitches in play. 00:56:12 Speaker 3: The other thing that kind of jumps out to me is the isolated power is incredibly low. He's got a one sixty six ISO. It's the lowest I think at any stop at his career, regardless of level. There might have been a stop at rookie ball or or in short season ball or something where he had a lower one. But it's it's the strikeouts and it's the lack of consistent pop that is a teensy bit worrisome. But I frankly can't get worried yet because this guy might just be getting acclimated this year, like let's talk next All Star Break. To be totally honest, he's also a switch hitter where one of the sides of the plate is horrible seven seventy three OPS against right handed pitching. He has not been bad right so his overall slash line this year is two thirty one ninety seven three nineties against right handed pitching, who he faces more often than not. Right he has two hundred and fifty one at bats versus one hundred and four at bats against lefties two fifty one three twenty three four fifty, with a seven seventy three OPS against right handed pitching versus lefties one eighty three, two thirty four, two sixty nine. He might not be a switch hitter, right, I don't know, he's early, right, we gotta remember twenty one years old, same age as Dylan Cruz. 00:57:31 Speaker 1: Like, let's put context in this. You have to same age as Langford, Like, we have to remind. 00:57:38 Speaker 3: Ourselves Langford's opsing eleven hundred if he's in the big leagues this year. 00:57:41 Speaker 1: We know that exactly. No, we don't know that. That's we know that. You know. I already saw it. I actually I know it, like we know it. But seriously, de la Cruz has issues hitting lefties, cannot hit from the right side of the plate, and is striking out it in saying him ount can he fix those issues? I think so he's just too talented for us to count him out. Ready to move on? Yeah, Number six. Should the Braves be worried about their pitching staff going into the playoffs with how bad they've been in September? Asked

by falcons Cracking on Twitter, this some slight shout out some slight. He's on our Twitch stream all the time from four thirty to six thirty pm Eastern where we go over all the games of the day and make our picks and stuff on twitch at just Baseball fans shout out, I'm gonna make this one quick. No, no, like kinda, but no, is Strider gonna be good? Yes, it is Freed gonna be good? Yes, And then you just need a good outing here and there from Morton, from Elder or from Kyle Wright, who have all been shaky in their own rights, but they just hit and their bullpen I still think is good. Now Brad Hand keeps coming in. He ain't getting postseason appearances, Believe me, he ain't. The good bullpen arms are in there, and they get a good start, equality start from their guy, they're probably gonna win the game. So like, yes, is there a crack in the armor in Atlanta? Yes? Could it end up hurting them in the postseason? Of course, it's baseball, like anything can happen. But am I going into the playoffs being like, hey, I'm picking the Braves to lose because I don't like their starting rotation. Absolutely not. Yea. 00:59:36 Speaker 3: If there is any manager in baseball that is going to put Brad Hand in the postseason in like the seventh inning of a one run game, because he's a grizzled vet. It is snit, but like we know brad Han's going to be really good that happens. He's the one guy Like Brian Sticker is like, yeah, it was just a gut field thing failed them. 00:59:55 Speaker 1: Aloin's yeah, outside the office is like brad Han's you know ex Wolba versus. This guy's is not good. Please don't put it in it. Snit's like no, I really what He'll get him? Put it? 01:00:10 Speaker 3: Yeah, he'll get him. Just go and then I'll get him. Like That's how snit works. That's why everybody, you got to watch these episodes on YouTube. Jack and I are just doing all these different antics and shit for uh, for context. Max Freed eighteen innings in September four earned. That's a two era. Other guys September splits. Bryce Elder has a four and a half twenty one hits ten walks in twenty one and two thirds. Charlie Morton is a seven and a half fourteen and two thirds eighteen hits twelve walks. That whip is astronomical right now. Spencer Strider sixteen and two thirds fourteen hits ten earned, Kyle Wright seven innings eleven hits ten earned I think four homers, and he's working back from me three. 01:00:51 Speaker 1: I just thought he's going to actually pitch in the postseason. 01:00:54 Speaker 3: Yeah, And if you guys are listening every day, you know you've heard me mention that that. Right, Like, I just don't think you can trust this guy to take the ball in the postseason right now, because he doesn't look healthy. Like a healthy Kyle Wright is a different story. But this is not a healthy Kyle right, And I feel like that's pretty clear, right, doesn't look right? 01:01:11 Speaker 1: Yeah, with a w. 01:01:13 Speaker 3: If anybody's gonna hunker down and do the Bryan Snitker thing on the hill, it's Charlie Morton. Morton's Chuck Chuck Nasty is gonna start games. We know that Strider is gonna be good. Freed game one, Strider game two, Morton game three, an Elder game four? Sure, why not with that offense? Don't be worried? Next question? 01:01:36 Speaker 1: Uh, Like, I get it. They're not a perfect team. This is the this is not a perfect rotation. However, I said the word perfect, right, They're not a perfect team. That's the chink in their armor. Am I worried that that's going to be their downfall. If they do lose, I think that would be their downfall, but I'm not going into the postseason that worried. Yeah. Last question, who in the next two to three years at our potential rebuild slash teardown candidates that maybe people wouldn't necessarily think of right now? Ask by Tommy Underscore Hon on Twitter. That's a good one. 01:02:24 Speaker 3: Got two tell me two American League teams, Toronto and Houston. M Can I walk you through the thinking? Yes, please start with Toronto. They're gonna have to start paying people. Chris Bassett's gonna make twenty two million dollars in twenty twenty five. Springer is gonna make twenty four, Gosman twenty three, Barrios nineteen, Bishett seventeen in his final year of an arbitration ex extension. This is all in twenty twenty five. Vladdie's gonna in his fourth year of arbitration. He's a super two guy. Romano will be in his final arm Yer var show in his third or four Arbiers. Kirk and his second of three Arbiers twenty twenty six is when they're gonna have to start paying people. You can't pay all those guys, especially when you have this tied of money locked up in Bassett, this type of money locked up in Springer. Long term barrios is escalating. I think you're gonna have to start picking and choosing, and I think one of Bishett and Vladdie is gonna walk, and that's gonna be tough. And what is this offense when you don't have both Bishett and Vladdie at their best and you're paying an older and maybe ailing George Springer at that time? So I am worried Romano's gonna walk. I don't think they pay that closer. I don't know, it's weird, man. They might just have a lot of old, expensive guys in twenty twenty six and seven. 01:03:52 Speaker 1: I don't mean to do this, But my answer was also the Blue Jays, So what I went, hmm, I didn't think of the Astros. That's what I'm really but I had the same stuff loaded up. And then my question to you when I gave my answer was what would you pay Vladdie At this point, I'm riding out arbitration with him. I've got two more arbiers. 01:04:16 Speaker 3: I'm just I'm seeing that and I'm letting him hit the open market, and I'll be like, hey, if you loved it, we'll give you a competitive offer. 01:04:21 Speaker 1: He's a one win player this year. Uh huh, that's terrible. Blue Jays fans telling me about all the defensive improvements done to get better. No, no, no, no, he's stinky. No offensively, Oh the chet's that dude. The sets that dude.

I think they extend Bashett and they let Laddie watch. I agree. So the Blue Jays was my answer. I can think of another one off the top of my head, but let me hear about the Ashos Houston. 01:04:57 Speaker 3: Oh was justin Verlander forty three point three next year, Bregman thirty point five, al Tuove twenty nine in his final year of control. Bregman next year, at thirty point five is his final year of control. Verlander has thirty five million investing in a player option in twenty five. If he throws one hundred and forty innings next year, he will opt into that so freaking quickly. So that's thirty five committed right there for twenty twenty five. They've got nineteen and a half million dollars tied up in jose A braw In twenty twenty five. They have eighteen million tied up in Lance mccullors in twenty five and twenty six. Who knows what Lance mculors looks like when he comes back from Bervaldez and Kyle Tucker both end arbitration after the twenty twenty five season. Luis Garcia, Chas McCormick, Brian Abray you after the twenty twenty sixth season, not to mention, they have eleven and a half tied up in Rafael Montero. They timed it up really well and we haven't worried about it. We're not going to worry about it in twenty three. Thought may creep into your mind with Tucker and four rombur in twenty four, but twenty twenty five, that's their contract here, man like they can walk after the twenty five season. So you've got ver Lander at forty three years old that you're going to be paying over thirty million dollars too if he throws one hundred and forty innings. You've got you know, Bregman maybe coming back in a rework deal. That'll be expensive. It'll be a high aav deal. You're not getting jose L two Ba for eight million dollars. Come on, let's be frank, like, you're gonna get him for twenty five or thirty aav dude, they may run out of money. 01:06:33 Speaker 1: You're right. Wow. I didn't even think about it. 01:06:38 Speaker 3: M hmm. I just assumed, See Astros, the best thing they did for themselves was locking from ber Valdez up on that escalating deal, and he's been awesome this year. Or no, not from her, youord Don Alvarez on that escalating year, but Fromber's off the books after the twenty five season, along with Kyle Tucker. Someone's gonna give Tucker a fucking back three hundred million dollars. 01:07:04 Speaker 1: Yep. Everyone's be like, really, yeah, really, yeah. 01:07:10 Speaker 3: Mmmm. 01:07:13 Speaker 1: Here's one that I don't think is gonna happen because there's such a big market and I always feel that they're going to continue to spend to remain competitive. But I thought about the Phillies. Now the Blue Jays are my answer. And also for everybody listening, I remember the question is like teams who are very good right now, like could the Pirates tear it down again or could you know, like we're trying to choose teams who are in the playoffs right now or in the hunt. So that's why you're hearing maybe your favorite team

and thinking to yourself, what do you mean, tear it down? We're amazing. We're looking three years into the future and we may be completely wrong, but we're giving our best shot of some of the best teams that could potentially enter a rebuild. We see it all the time. Now, Harper's locked up, but he's on the wrong side of thirty. Trey Turner is locked up, wrong side of thirty? Are they going to resign Wheeler? J? T Romuto thirty three year old catcher next year? He's locked up? Now, how's that going to go? Castiano's wrong side of thirty? Schwarber wrong side of thirty, Tywan Walker, Aaron Nola, Reyes Hoskins, who's going to come back? But still wrong side of thirty and arbitration Right now, I look at a lot of their team and if the guys over thirty years old that are tied up in big time contracts or our free agents soon, they don't have a good farm and their young core is marsh and Stott and Phillies fans. I can already hear what about Johann Rojas, He's actually been really really good lately. But let's be real with each other, like Boom Stott marsh and you're still gonna have a couple of your big guns, but they're gonna be on the older end. And what does Dombrowski. Dobrowski comes into teams, he spends all of your money, he'll get you to World Series, and then he leaves. I guarantee you when he signed the Trey Turner deal, he knew he wasn't gonna be there at the end of it. That's for another GM to deal with. It's kind of like in politics when a president runs up the debt and then leaves it to another president. I think we've seen that in every administration in the history of the United States. That's what Dombrowski is. He's a debt riser. I think the Phillies could be due for a rebu The reason I picked the Blue Jays over them is because the Blue Jays aren't this huge market that's known for spending big amounts of dollars. The Phillies just are. But they would be my team in the National League. 01:10:13 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think they're like they've accepted their fate at this point, like twenty five is really the last year? 01:10:21 Speaker 1: Do you think they? 01:10:22 Speaker 3: Do you think they make an effort to resign Nola? 01:10:26 Speaker 1: Would you? I don't think so. 01:10:28 Speaker 3: For the price point that he'll be at in this diluted Pitchers market, I don't think I would. 01:10:33 Speaker 1: I wouldn't either. I mean, but like, he's still good. I think he's he I hate him, but I love him. I hate him so much that I love him. No, I love him so much that I hate him. I hatem. 01:10:46 Speaker 3: Have you made up your mind yet? He's always He's also video a ton of innox always. He is iron man esque, but he's got a four and a half RA and his walk here he's allowed thirty one homers. 01:11:03 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I don't know. 01:11:06 Speaker 3: I would say, hey, man, well we'll give you five for one fifteen, but if you demand more than that, like, we'll see you. 01:11:14 Speaker 1: Look forward to the tribute video. 01:11:16 Speaker 3: If do you think the Phillies makes sense though within this question? 01:11:20 Speaker 1: I do. Yeah. 01:11:24 Speaker 3: I think they're one that I think people probably do see the writing on the wall, but they choose to ignore it. 01:11:30 Speaker 1: It's fine because they're competitive. Right now. If I was a fan of a Phillies I would completely ignore it because they're still gonna be great next year. Yeah, and this year twenty twenty five, it starts to get a little dicey in Philly. Yeah. Now'll do it for this episode of the Just Baseball Show. Full week of episodes. Hopefully you guys all enjoyed it. And if you did, hit the like button on YouTube. Please how about the subscribe button. It's a big red button. And guess what, doesn't cost you nothing and it just helps us give you all the free content and every single weekday. How about rating and reviewing on Spotify Apple podcasts? Come on, why not? Go ahead? Five stars Spotify Apple Podcasts. Get yourself some Just Baseball merch. I'm rocking the hat, I'm rocking the tea, the athletic tea. It's nice. I love it. Make sure to get yours in the episode description. Again, it just helps out our company. Right, really appreciate you guys all listening. We'll be back on Monday. That's Jack, I'm Peter that thank you,