Full Transcript for 5/19/23-Baseball Betting Show

minimal in terms of the er the advanced numbers, and maybe you do have a picture that the reason why he's pulling out a bunch of wins is that he's going six to seven innings instead of five. So maybe his era is just like a touch higher. Maybe he's getting a couple fewer strike ups, but he's lending that additional length. There are some times where I might default a little bit more to that picture, but I do think that that needs to be included with that as well, and that is going to depend upon the bullpen as well. If you've got a picture that's going going five innings and they're backed by like the Cleveland Guardians bullpen, that's much different than having a guy that is going like five innings and is being backed by the Oakland A's bullpen. So that's the way that I do gauge at. Typically, it is a case where the era, the strikeouts per nine, ray the opponent's batting average, batting average on balls, and play environment itself, because there are some pictures are very good at some environments, some pictures that you just stink in others. That's obviously something that I'm gonna keep in mind. But I do take a look at those numbers wins and losses. That's not necessarily the biggest number that I do take a look at with reguards and numbers, because well, we do find it a lot in baseball where a lot of aces they go up against fellowasis and a lot of number fours and number five's. Typically it's not a case where they're going up against aces, they're typically getting the other team's number four or number five pitcher as well. So that is my thoughts there. Hopefully I was able to clear that up and we had a nice, clean and easy day of baseball on Thursday. Not a lot of games, so let's take a look back at it, try to find some truns they tried to get to know of these teams a little bit better. Games for yesterday? Is Greg buzzing about? Here is the rowdy recap. Well, we're gonna look to get back online with the d K and Asia right up picks. As now, it's a four game slide for myself. As the Tampa Bay Race did not get the job done for us. They lose by a count of three to two to the New York Mets. As Tyler McGill was able to sling a really good start in this one, gives up two runs over the course of six things, did allow a home run as Josh Lowe he was able to get low for a senth home run season, and TODs Bradley he allowed a home run of his own, giving up two runs over the course of five innings. Says Pete Alonzo had a moonshot sixteenth home run of the season. From there, Zach Lddel he goes in ending laws of run. Jalen Beaks, Trevor Kelly, they were both able to go for a scorel of setting. But the Mets, they were pretty flawless with their bullpen Brooks Wayley, Jeff Bringham along with David Robertson, they were all able to lend a scrorel of setting and for the Tampa Bay Race just not a lot doing for them, as had a bad pickoff from them. He had them ground did to a few double plays, so that was a little bit of a rough one. This was a rough one.

I feed back to the Chicago White Sox. Cleveland Guardians with no Jose Ramirez get the job done by account of three to one for Cleveland. Logan Allen was on his game, gives up one run over the course of five and two thirds innings. From there, Nick Zanlin broutside of the bullpens scoreless, Trevor Steven Emanuel class a landy squirrel of setting, and it was Gabriel Odies that was the main and a hero for the Cleveland Guardians. He gets his second er on the campaign. He goes zip off Dylan Sees to allow three runs over the course of six and a third innings. He's now giving up three plus runs in six out of his last seven starts. From there, Gregory Sentos Garrett Crochet, good to see him back. They both under squirrels setting and Aaron Bummer. He was out a bummer. He goes two thirds, Benning squreless. What was a bummer for the White Sox so one of seventh with bennan scoring position, nothing doing for them on offense. The Elli Angels go on the road and they take one from the Baltimore Orioles six to five to the final for Tyler Anderson just allow home run in three runs in total over the course of five innings, going deep off of him. Good Anthony Santander get a something round season. Then a little bit later on, Annalie Rushman got it something of the campaign that came off with Chris Stavinski who gave up two runs over the course of an enning. But Andrew wats Met Moore, Carlos de Savs, they all went a score of setting end for Mike Trout and Joey o'tani they both went deep off of Tyler Wells who did not pitch Wells in this game. For both of them, that was their tenth to moround season. For Wells, three runs surrendered over the course of five innings, including those two bombs, and then Brian Baker allows two runs in two thirds van Enning, Mike Bauman two thirds vent enning he loves run cnl Perez was able to end a score the setting offs of both and out out of the bullpen and Danny Columbi one and the third ning scrolls. But that win gets the La Angels back above five hundred. For the Miami Marlins, how about young Nie Badez getting his first career win. Five to three, the Fish were able to take down the Washington Nationals, says Trevor Williams. Started up to be expected with three runs surrendered over course of six innings, including a home run to Brian Davia Cruz, his fourth home run season. From there, Mason Thompson loves run an ending and Erasmo Ramirez an underrun as in an ending as Jamior Kendelario he hart him with an er and then Kendelario made up for it with a home run off of mister Edie Perez's fifth home round season, and that'd be the low mistake that Perez made six punch outs five innings, he gives up just one run. Matt Barnes and Steven o'kurt were able to combine for two squirrels. Settings who's carbono Zobin to give up two runs in his ending of work, but to in Floral he was able to be flawless in his ending as well. I unfortunately will not have a final on this one as the Greg Peterson experience that gets going from midnight

to three eastern times, so do you need to record this a little bit in advance, but we're seeing a slugfest out there in Saint Louis. Hopefully had the over as we've got sixteen runs on fourteen hits through six innings, as Ulio Reas gave up four home runs. As I do this, see Saint Louis Cardinals up by kind of nine to seven, and then on the flip side, Adam Wayner he didn't have too much more success. He gave up five runs, not only two of which were earned as Genesis Cabrera from there would give up home run to Freddy Freeman for Freeman his eighth home run season and he's already got a triple and a home run, so he's got to be on psycle watch in my opinion. But except for the Saint Louis Cardinals, Nolan Aernado sixth home run in his last seven games, his ninth of the season. You had Wilson Contrescode for his fourth home run the season, Paul de Young his sixth, Nolan Gorman is eleventh, one Yepez his second as the Aeronaudo home run that came off of Phil Begford to has not been doing such a great job for the team, giving up three runs in an enning. I will say under a three thousand Jackson two score a settings, so we shall see what happens there. And we saw the New York Yankees take down the Toronto Blue Jays by a count of four to two, a Yankees team that was all about understorts the beginning part of the season. We've seen more overs with Emri. Suddenly this seems to be a little bit of a leveling out, as Aaron Judge was able to get home run twelfth home around season, Anthony Volpi his seventh. But after the Yankees had scored five plus runs in eight out of their last nine games. They've been held below that in their last two, but still get the ws Baba Schett. He was able to take Nesta Quartes deep in the first inning his ninth home around season, but that's really all that. Cortes will give up two runs allowed in six innings from there, Ryan Whoever, Albert, Therey Ron Mananaccio all get a scroll of setting up for Toronto. Jose Badios gives up that home run to Aaron Judge six and two thirds nignings, he allows three runs Emy Garcin out of the bullpen, and then Nate Pearson allows to sell him run in his two innings of fork As he gave up the home run to Anthony Volpi, his seventh of the campaign. And if you're taking a look at Major League Baseball right now, we have been seeing things be quite topsy turvy with the league. As overs are back forty seven overs, actually forty eight overs, because that's not including the Saint Louis Cardinals game that is going to go final, and it's going to be an over to forty one unders. And I believe we've had a few pushes along the way as well. In the last thirty days with the Dodgers versus Cardinals game pending favorites are fifty nine and thirty four in the last seven days straight up as a sixty three point four percent hit rate with those favorites, so they've had a little bit of a tough time covering the run line. Seventeen have failed to be able to do so. And take a look at the entirety of the Major League Baseball season in terms of favorites not covering the run line, we are up to a grand total of ninety nine. So next team that wins by one run as a favorite, they make at one hundred as favorites three eighty one and two seventy one straight up. That's about a fifty eight and a half percent hit rate. And overall, overs have a small lead on unders three hundred and sixteen overs to three and thirteen hunderds. So that's where we're singing in Major League Baseball right now, and that's what we all got on Thursday. Now turn and forward to Friday's games and just take a look at a few handicapping strategies, including how to gage these West Coast parks and offenses have been very hot to begin the season, with Matt Williams. He does great work over at the game to MLB and he joins me next. I'm the Baseball Betting Show with by self Greg Peterson, now a part of the Dson Family podcast. 00:11:16 Speaker 3: Are you ready to become a winning sports better? Schedule a call with SBIA to find out how their service can make you a long term winning player. 00:11:22 Speaker 2: They've developed an innovative. 00:11:23 Speaker 3: Algorithm that maximizes units return and they are so confident in their system that they offer a money back guarantee. Sign up by October thirty first and get their NBA package at no cost until they reach ten net units. They treat sports betting like a business, so if you want to learn how to make your sports betting dreams of reality, visit them at SBIA one dot com and check them out on social media at SBIA. 00:11:44 Speaker 1: Sports breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson. 00:11:55 Speaker 2: I'll love you Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, the VC Family and podcasts. It is great to be joined by this man as Matt Williams does absolutely tremendous works over at the Game day dot Com as their lead MLB editors. He does a great job, whether you're looking at full game sides and totals, whether you're looking at some first fives player props. This man checks all the boxes when it comes to being able to gauge a great game of baseball. And you say, man that you're able to follow at Matt Williams. But the l's in Williams does have been replaced by seven, so it's pretty much Matt WI seven seven and then i'ms like the dog food. Iams says Matt. It's always great to have you a board. 00:12:38 Speaker 4: Thank you, thanks for having me on again. Great to talk some baseball. 00:12:43 Speaker 2: First six. First, is that the first time that you've ever had anyone point out the imes? 00:12:48 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's usually like, you know, pointed towards the former third basement for the the Giants or Diamondbacks. But yeah, the first time I've ever heard the ims when describing. 00:12:57 Speaker 2: With Hey, well, hopefully it's a way that people can remember the Twitter and no, because you are an amazing follow

and Matt, I mean when it comes to the game of baseball, how have you been engaging at the last few weeks? Because I do feel like over the last week or two we have been seeing some big outlier performances, like when the San Louis Cardinals knocked off the Milwaukee Burs eighteen to one. That was something that's stunned me a little bit. The Rays losing a series to the New York Mets was a little bit of fuddling as well. What have you been making out of things over the last week or so, because I always do feel like there are some weeks where we just see some crazy things happen, and I feel like that has been the case with Major League Baseball this last week. 00:13:36 Speaker 4: All season that pretty much the overs have been going crazy. When I was on before, it's the same thing that I had made this point before. But teams, when the overs hit, they go like way over, and when the unders hit, they're almost way under. It seems like all the ones that are tight are like these ones that go into extra innings. But it's not necessarily that there's you know, steady run production throughout a game. It's almost there's these hammer innings five, six, seven plus run innings just come out of nowhere. You'll have like first five innings scoreless and then bam, five five five and Boom fifteen runs of scored. It's crazy how some games go Unpredictability of the bullpens have been a big thing to try to ride good bullpens, avoid bad ones, or you know, depending on what you're doing, it can obviously attack bad bullpens. But it's been intense. That's why I've been trying to do a little more of the F five type bets only to avoid some bullpens of having a say in the outcome of certain bets. But yeah, the over unders have been fun. Other than the Mexico Series, which I just plained sat out because you know, if something has too many question marks, I just crossed it off with my book. It's just those big innings. They just come out of nowhere. That's what's kept everything, at least for me, the most interesting in the early part of the season. 00:14:44 Speaker 2: Yeah, there have been a whole bunch of big innings. And what do you make out of some of these teams that I have had some very demonstrative offensive numbers, like the Tampa Bay Rays, of Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers are really your top scoring teams at all baseball, And I look at all three of these teams, and obviously the Rocks on offenses, but I feel like all three are showing some signs of a little bit of regression, not necessarily that their run totals are going to be coming down, because as we know, when the summer months come along, balls that were dying at the warning track in say April, very very late March when we had those super early games, they're going to be flying out in the summer months. I just feel like the other offenses around the league are going to start to surge a little bit more while they perhaps stay a little bit more stagnant. 00:15:28 Speaker 4: The Rays are talented, but it would think that overall they are not expected to Like Atlanta and Texas, without Corey Seger, you think they would remain up there. One Seegers healthy is coming back real soon. Boston, you know, they started out really hot. They have a lot of talents. I mean, it wouldn't really surprise me to see them stick around. Saint Louis has gotten really hot, like incredibly hot, so teams like that, and the Dodgers have started to heat up as well. I guess the question marks have been, like I mean, the Mets have obviously started really slow mother than in Peede Alonzo. He's gotten back on track. The last couple of days hit a couple of home runs. That's an offense. You'd think we'd start to get going. They got the young guys up there, Viento's baby and Alvarez. Philly started out really slow, you know, real Mouto started out real slow. Harper is back. Now they look good. You think they come alive. Pittsburgh has really fallen off. But then some people like Seattle has been dead, Julio Rodriguez hazn't really been himself, a White Sox have been a nightmare, and the Houston Astro you know they're missing al Tuove, but they also have been themselves. So there's a lot of switching around. But overall, the teams at the very top like Atlanta, Texas, Saint Louis Dodgers not a huge surprise. The teams at the very bottom Red's Royals, Rockies, Tigers, Guardians. So it's kind of like that middle of the pack where I think those those teams will start to like heat up and go a little towards the top. Yeah. Right now, the only teams that are really hard to gauge are Oakland, they've probably been the team that has surprised me the most. Pittsburgh came out of the gates super hot. They've obviously cooled off tremendously as well. But it's a week to week thing, and I guess you know that's why, and when we are a handicapping, that's why you can't look at the whole season. You kind of have to look at moving averages and trends and see what's going because, like as you said, as it heats up, we're going to continue to see things change further and further. It's not going to get any easier for pitchers. 00:17:11 Speaker 2: And I'm so glad that you point out Oakland. As joined me on the podcast. We do have Matt Williams. He does great work over at the game to MLB, because when it comes to Oakland, this team has stunk on ice with their offense. When they've been at home, maybe it's because they've got twenty seven fans on a given night cheering them on and I probably double the amount of fans that they actually have in attendance. But on the road they've been a relatively solid offensive team. And how much do you take a look at some of these home and roads, plus for teams that have either ballparks that lend themselves so a bunch of runs, like I'm taking a look at you, Cincinnati coors Field, what have you? Or these teams like the Oakland a'sy San Diego Padres, where I mean they still might not be lighting the world on fire and offense on the road, but clearly the home

environment is causing their offensive numbers to dip. 00:17:59 Speaker 4: It matters a lot more to me, more like a fantasy or a DFS standpoint, because it has a lot to do with the individual hitter or pitcher depending on how like Oakland has the massive foul territory, and like how players take advantage of the environment. It's like corrus Field. Everyone always assumes it's this big home run park, when in reality it's more of a high doubles and batting average park. Not that it doesn't, you know, share its fair shaff home runs, but I guess some people don't understand how exactly the park factors work individually. So as far as betting, take a look at it. Oakland's a large park, so they're naturally going to do better away from there. I don't do any like you know, it's not like brain surgery, I guess I should say, it's just a kind of basic things where you either you know, fade a little or ride a little. You know, things like weather still matter a lot more than that to me, you know, as far as over as an unders go, it's more just the park rather than the team that actually plays there. 00:18:49 Speaker 2: And I'm so glad that you mentioned that as well, because weather does make a big deal. But the reason why I bring up Oakland as well is that I always love unders in Oakland during nighttime games because you've got a marine layer out and nobody can drive the ball out whatsoever. Read While in the daytime, it's not like it's some sort of a Supremeters park or anything like that, but you know what, it heats up a little bit as well. And I really take a look at the West Coast parks as being a lot more hitter friendly during the daytime rather than the nighttime as well, and I don't think that they gets factored in quite as much as it should when it comes to some of these totals. 00:19:22 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, definitely. 00:19:23 Speaker 2: Yah. 00:19:24 Speaker 4: It'll change as the summer months kind of grow on, But that's something especially with the big innings here and books are you know, giving bigger and bigger totals. It's very important to pay attention to the wind and the temperatures because you know, sometimes no matter how many of I guess the betting fundamentals, a lot of people understand, like when blowing out the total should be higher, when blowing in the total should be lower. But people will still just look at the teams and bet kind of the incorrect way, you know, quote unquote incorrect. So yeah, little fundamental stuff like that. It's fundamental for a reason. You gotta look at the parks, you gotta look at the wind, and you know it's betting numbers and not names on the back of a jersey for a reason. You got to take a look at all that stuff. 00:20:01 Speaker 2: Yep. And if you've been betting on some of the names on the back of jerseys, like Aaron Judge for instance, to be able to hit some home runs, you've been doing very well in recent days. Meanwhile, a guy like a Carlos Korea has not been such a good start for

him. That's far the season has joined me on the podcast. Who do have Matt Williams. He does a great job over at the game Day MLP, and I am so glad that you've mentioned some of the teams that you've had that you've had thus far. As I know that one of the teams that you brought up a little bit before was the Philadelphia Phillies. I think they've got an intriguing series coming up with the Chicago Cubs, and on Friday, you're finding the Phillies right around about a minus one twenty five to a minus one thirty favorite. With Rangers Sworrez and Marcus Strowman doing battle. These are a pair of teams that come in having been swept in their last series. It's really not been good for either of these teams. But how do you gauge this game? Because I take a look at a guy like a Rangers Wrez, who's very much a pitch of contact guy going up against a Cup team that I honestly feel like they've played better than the record, and Marcus Strowman has been very go on the road, and I think minus one twenty five to O minus one thirty is just a little bit of a miss price here because with Rangers four US, I don't think his style lends itself the best of going up against his Cubs lineup. 00:21:11 Speaker 4: Oh no, not at all. I love the Cubs here. I mean, you get them at plus money. I don't think it's a hot take to say Marcus Stroman is the superior pitcher in this situation. You look at his numbers for the year three two four ERA three six six FIP. But I mean, if you look into that, that's basically with two bad starts for the season, he's been on the mound nine times. Last time out in Minnesota only went two and two thirds six earned runs, and then earlier in the year against the Dodgers, five innings, five earn runs. Other than that earn runs two one two zero two zero zero. You know, he's just a couple of stinkers in their odds are He's not gonna do that against the Phillies this time. You know they are a dangerous offense. But look at the numbers as a whole, and you take those two starts out, which you know you can't take them out really, But playing the averages here, he's due for a good one. Not that anyone's due, but in general, for playing the averages, he's a lot better than even his surface stats, which the surface stats are good. He's doing well, and I think no, offensively, it's probably a wash between the Phillies and Cubs right now. The Cubs are hitting a lot better than people thought they would and the Phillies have been underplaying a little bit. I always kind of look at the over under here. I don't really want to play that game. I think that if you're going to bet on this game, I think Chicago money line straight through. I don't necessarily think there's much value in going first five here because I'm not sure that there's really an advantage or disadvantage on either bullpen there. So I think you just take the best value and right now at plus money. The last time I look, it was around like plus one ten, plus one fifteen something like that for

Chicago. Yeah, give me Marcus Stroman and the Cubs over the Phillies right now. I have no idea why the Phillies are favorite. 00:22:36 Speaker 2: Yep, I am right there with you with Rangersmorrez, it's just the second start of the year as well. Now, first start of the year was at gors Field. I'm gonna take that one with a little bit more of a grain of salt. As he's now going to be pitching in Philadelphia, you have much more favorable for him. But at the same time, I do think that Marcus Strowman should be able to get out there and should be able to get the job done for a Cup scene as went just two and nine in one round games is far this year. I do think that's going to be trending upward. This is a team that as long as they tried this guy out there on the mount, should be able to win a lot of won Ron games. So that'd be the years into Diamonbacks they hit third face out against the Pittsburgh Priors. Janoviedo is gonna be going for the buckos against Zach Gallen and with the fire It's it's been the pit of misery for them, scoring four runs a fear and fourteen out of their last fifteen games, three runs are fear and thirteen out of their last fifteen. Now, they lit up Edwardo Rodriguez a few days ago. But I don't know about you, but I just don't see lightning striking twice. This wouldn't be a spot where I want to get frisky on at Diamondbacks run line, just because I don't know how many runs they're gonna put up themselves. But with Zach Gallon, I'm willing to lay a little bit more of a chalkier money line with him, just because he has been so dominant this year, really ever since those two rough starts they had to begin the campaign. 00:23:48 Speaker 4: I agree. I actually bet on this game already because it opened up at eight and I knew it was gonna go down, which it already has. I jumped on that in minus one oh five, So that's all the books for me. It's already down to seven and a half, maybe a little off even smaller that what people think the OVI eight is gonna do. He's the wild card here, Zach Gallon, you know, unless something weird happens, which again you said, Edwardo. Rodriguez got lit up by the Pirates last time, and he was rolling too, he was really doing well. But Zach Gallen, one of the most underrated pitchers in all of baseball, like a true sci On talent. He got a bet on him, just like completely shutting down the Pirates series. I like the under Like you said, I do not want to ride the full run line because you don't know what the Diamondbacks are going to do. From day to day. So either I like the chalky money line like you were saying, I like the under, or in my case, I will do the run line for an F five. You're only giving up for anyone who doesn't really do those. You're only giving up a half a run, meaning your team just has to be ahead. You don't get the bonus of getting a straight F five where you can actually push with a tie. But with Zach Gallen on the mound, I don't want to give up two runs, but I think you can give

up one right now. You can get a half a run for like minus one fifteen. I could go that route. So just depending on when anyone, whenever, what lines are available, when everyone's looking, I think the under is solid. I think full line shock for Arizona. I'll give up half run for the F five for Zach Gallen because I have all the faith in the world. 00:25:03 Speaker 2: I do as well and Matt. We are doing this as a few games are presently off the board. We currently have no number in terms of the Reds and Yankees. And if I'm gonna guess, I'm gonna say that Ben Lively is not gonna be opening up as a favorite on the Reds, and if he does, I think that you've got good value on the New York Yankees, the Rays. We don't know if they're gonna be trotting out there Seane mcclannan or not as well. But that said, any other games for Friday really send out to you, whether it's gonna be a game or two that you're gonna be betting on, or maybe a game that you're not gonna bet on, but you just want to take in a little bit more information and see a little bit more about that pitcher slash team. 00:25:41 Speaker 4: Yeah, there's a couple. Here's one I know you're interested in because you know I listen to you and I know a lot of people out there. You know, you don't have your Madison Bumgarner anymore. Patrick Corbin's been pitching well, and you need that guy to like lean on to, like you maybe break a cold streak. And as you know, that guy, Steven Mattz, Tony Gonsolin's on the mount, he's getting better mostly every single time out. So right now, you can get the Dodgers run line, and as everyone knows as a theme, when they win, they tend to win big. You can get the full run line right now for like plus one twenty five. Yes, I'll take that. You know, fade Steven Matts all the way. You know, if you don't like to do that again f five half run you can get that as well. But fading Stephen Matts is my favorite pastime. At the moment, the Dodgers are playing a lot more like the Dodgers we've been used to. I went into the season expecting a down season and that's what we got to start. But they really started to look good, even with you know, every starting pitcher outside of Clayton Kershaw not really being a sure thing for them. But yeah, I'll give me the full Dodgers run line against Steven Matts, even though the Cardinals are starting to look better too. But just like fad and Steven Metts. 00:26:45 Speaker 2: Oh, I absolutely love that as well. And out of the one and thirty nine wins the LA Dodgers have had since the beginning of the twenty twenty two season, just twenty one have been by one run. So to your point, this is a team that when they win, they win by multiple runs. And then we've obviously got some interesting things as well, like Carl Kaufman right at era north of at six for Albuquerque at the PCL, which is legitimately a very difficult league to pitch in going for the Rockies as well. So there's lots of fascination out there on the board and Matt, I know

you do a great job of gaging at all over there at the game to MLP. 00:27:23 Speaker 4: Hey can we sneak in one quick one year? We don't have to talk. We talked about one of the underrated pitchers in baseball and Zach Allen. Another one who's on the radar as a sleeper for everyone, but he's not getting truly the respect to serve is Joe Ryan of the Twins. He's on the mount versus Ree Detmers, who's been struggling. The Angels offense is very dangerous. But you can get the Minnesota money line right now like minus one twenty again if you don't want to deal with bullpenjing and go F five there. But I think that's a good price for Joe Ryan, who I think is a legitimate ace and hasn't quite been a respected that way in sportsbook Shet, I think that time is definitely coming very very soon. Maybe this is, you know, the straw that breaks the camel's back in that regard. But Joe Ryan absolutely love him, and I think he's completely legit. So if you can get a decent price on him, I'm always riding Joe. 00:28:05 Speaker 2: Ryan, and I think as long as you can get an eight and a half or higher and under is a solid play as well. Read Devers about a run higher on his ZRA than his field to get a pendanty. He's been legitimately the victim of a little bit of bad luck. Is still remember his last start against the audience at least with like a three run lead, and then those schlumps from the bullpen just completely lighted up. Because Caliquatro is also going to be going on Friday, and the team is twenty two and three in his last twenty five regular season starts, and you're able to get that at north of a plus one thirty as well. That's something that I always like taking a look at as well. And something else I like taking a look at as all of your work, Matt. You do great workover at the game day MLB. Pretty much anything that someone's looking about on in baseball, you got them covered to let the good people at home know it's all on time for you and how people can fall on on social media and other platforms. 00:28:56 Speaker 4: Absolutely, everyone follow me on Twitter. I'm always keep my dms opens you talk about baseball betting anything, m A T TWI seven to seven iams. You can follow my work over at the Game day dot Com. I put my MLB best bets, do some nerfe over there if you're into that as well. And also, we just have a new relationship where we're covering a lot of Premier league and we have a betting partnership over with MLS Major League Soccer, which is obviously very different from here, but hey, we'd like to bet on a lot of different things over there. I'll be doing some work in that regard and that's just something brand new. But yeah, everything baseball reach out to me. I love answering your questions, baseball, betting, fantasy anything. 00:29:31 Speaker 2: Absolutely. Matt does a tremendous job taking a look at the great game of baseball whenever he joins this podcast. Does a great job not just giving out some picks, but giving great insight into the game. So it was great to be able to get mad at a board today. Big thanks Am for joining me on the Baseball Betting show now part of the Vson Family podcast and coming up next, it is that time of the podcast they give you picks and analysis on every game on the betting board for this MLB Friday, as we that's your. 00:29:56 Speaker 1: Mom breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson. 00:30:09 Speaker 2: We'll love you Las Vegas for base lobbing show with myself Greg Peterson now part of the Beaston Family and podcasts. Always pleasure to get Matt Williams a board. He's doing great workover at the game day. Take a look at all things Major League Baseball does a great job, take a look at full games, first five player props, you name it, he does it every time he joins. This podcast always has some tremendous insights and nuggets for us. So big thanks to Matt for gentlemen and last segment. Now it is that time the podcast to give you picks and analysis an every game on the betting board for this MLB Friday, as we Touch them All. If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg has a side and a total on it, so it is time to touch them all. Due note that as prett usual. Any changes that are made to these plays will be listed up on my Twitter feed at you and at underscore eighty one. We are going to be going in Las Vegas crotation or this is where we go with the National games first, then the American League games and any inter league games. Those are going to be at the bottom. That'll keep things all nice, neat, clean and easy. So without further ado, let's dive in on this first game of nine to fifty one, nine fifty two on the binning board and his ears under Diamondbacks they throw, they're going to be face Cup against the Pittsburgh Priorates. You don't mess with the Johann Oviedo, not to be confused with you don't mess with the Zohan goes for the Pirates and Zach Gallon goes for the airs and the Diamondbacks total open up at eight down to seven and a half. Now with you over at minus one fifteen under his minus one to five with the Arizona Diamondbacks, you're getting them between minus one fifty four at minus one sixty between plus one thirty five and plus one forty five is your number on the Pittsburgh Pirates and this is the total. I'm going to be taking a look at the under on semi total at six point eight. You've got a Pittsburgh Pirates team that has scored three runs are fewer in thirteen on their last fifteen games, and four runs are fewer in fourteen out of their last fifteen. Yeah, I've been in a really rough shape. And now they have to go up against Callan, who has been nothing short of absolutely remarkable since his first two starts of the season. First two starts of the season he allows ten total runs. Ever since then in his previous seven he has given up a grand total six. He's giving up plus a one run per start at this point, and with you on

Lvieto, it has been rough. The one trepidation that you do have, it's the Diamondbacks perhaps get this total all by themselves, as he has given up five plus runs in three adverts last four games. Winna start though, goes up against Baltimoreals, gives up on run over the course of five innings and set a good job of controlling the depot, giving up three on runs and forty two innings strikeouts for nine rate that's hovering right around seven and a half he's been rough at home, he's been rough on the roadside. Is a little bit of trepidation that you have an opponent's turning at two eighty two off of them and you. Meanwhile, for Zach Allen, his strikeouts to walk right over the course of his last six starts is north of twenty. So he's been very good on that front. Now, for the years in Diamondbacks, power numbers are okay, they're not great, they're not terrible. Christian Walker has really picked it up recently. Eleven home runs. He's hitting about a two seventy. But you take a look at what he's been able to do over the last three weeks. He's been able to slug out eight home runs. He's sitting right around a three air with a four hundred round beies. He has been nothing short of tremendous. I do think that there's gonna be some regression with his lineup though. You've got Gabrielle Moreno, Emanuel Rivera, Geraldo Perdomo all hitting up of a three twenty right now. That's just not sustainable. Key tell Marte, Corby and Carroll in that pocket about two seventy five or so. These guys have been solid. Josh Roass's moving line as well. So I do like what the Diamondbacks are able to bring to the table. Air memo. For the Pittsburgh Pirates, you just don't have a lot of power in the lineup. Andrew McCutcheon, it's the only guy with north of five home runs. He's been able to slug out seven thus far this season. Brian Reynolds is still getting on base, hitting right around three hundred, but he's been sitting on five home runs for seemingly an eon at this point. And a lot of the guys that got off to really nice starts of the season, like Jay One Bay, Cabrian Hayes, Carlos Santana, Jacks Wenisky, now they're hitting below a two forty five. With Swinisky, he's been stuck on seven home runs for a very long time. So you've got two guys with seven home runs for the Pittsburgh Priates. And I will say the Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen does have a little bit of advantage, and they've not been too bad. David Bennar has been able to do an excellent job in the closers role, Ose Ornandez Johan Ramirez. They're supplying sub three eras Robert Stevenson has a sub too era as well, so they've been able to hold down the fort and for the years in the Diamondbacks. If you do have an issue with this team, they are at bottom seven team when it comes to Bullpenny Ray. Now they're looking to trot out there Luis Frias, Anthony Mitchevitch not to trustworthy, and they're deal with an injury to Joe Mantiply, though Kyle Nelson has been solid. They bringing Andrew taf and Migueli Castro. But I think that Zach Allen is going to be able to deliver a monster start here, and I think that the Pirates are stuck in the pit of misery when it comes to just their lineup in general. In terms of the money line, set the Diamondbacks out of minus one fifty seven. If you're taking a look at this run line, you're gonna be finding it right in the neighborhood of a plus one oh five. Honestly, I would rather lay a little bit of a chalkier money line right around minus one fifty four minus one fifty five one a lifetime minus one fifty six with the diamonbax because I do think that this is a low scoring game that they pull outs by tell A six point eight, so looking under and looking at it chalkier money line with arison a nine to fifty three nine to fifty four is a dknation right up pick the Philadelphia Phillies playoffs to the Chicago Cubs. Marcus Roman goes for the Cubs and Arrangers is on the bump for the Phillies. Phillies are between minus one twenty five to minus one thirty favorites between plus one ten and plus one fifteen is your number on the Cubs in ape total over it's minus one twenty unders. Even right a pick is going to be on the Cubs money line, I set them out of minus one oh six. I think that this is a classic case of wrong team favorite for the Chicago Cubs. They have been really unlucky this year. There are two and nine and one run games as far as the season now. I recognize that a lot of their recent losses have been by more than one run. But with Marcus Troman out there, you should be able to give you a shot because has been amazing on the road last yeart against the Minnesota Twins less than savory. But since he got to the Cubs prior to the start of the twenty twenty two season, he has made sefteen shirts on the road, two thirty sixty ra as zero points sixty six home runs a lot per nine nineings. He has been incredible, and he's backed up by the Chicago Cubs seem that they lead the National Lake in terms of both road batting average and rode on base percentage. Pretty Much everyone that has at least fifty at bats to their credit, all but two of them are inning at least a two to fifty. Eric Cosmo along Patrick Wisdom are those two outliers, and for Wisdom, he's been able to slug out twelve home runs as far this season. So these guys have really all been able to do their part. Been able to get a lot out of Christopher Morel since he has been sent back up to the big league, he's saying, well above a threer, got someone in knee and half that's given you a four to twenty two on based c a Suzuki. He had a multi home run game a few days ago. Coladdie Bellinger starting to look a little bit more like that MVP of Old. So the Cubs, they are doing a rock solid job. They alight. I will say for the Philadelphia Phillies, the batting average and just being able to get on base has been pretty solid for the team. During a two sixty seven at home the Castiana's at home. By the way, he's hitting up four to twenty, we should see a little

bit of regression there, but that has been pretty good. And they have been able to at twenty one home runs in their first eighteen games at home thus far the season, with Casianos being able to get four home runs at home, So there must be a lot of unfortunate events happening in Philadelphia. I'm looking at you, the seventy six ers, but that's when it comes to the Philadelphia Phillies. On top of Cassianos, you've had Bryce Harper being able to get on base two home runs ever since he returned to the Fold, but hitting above a three inner and they've got the likes of Alec Bohm, Brandon Marsh, Bryce and Dodd hitting between about a two seventy two to two eighty, so they've been good. Both of these bullpens are rough, though, the Philadelphia Phillies and they're currently twenty first in the Big Leagues of turns bullpenning righty. The Cubs there twenty fifth, but the Phillies they're also dealing with the injury to Ose Alvarado. Greg Risotto, after a rough start to the season, has been able to pick it up, and Matt Strom coming out of the bullpen, he's been able to look relatively solid. But even for Soto, with him picking it up, he's so right around a five Yari Tranthony Dominguez been better recently. Overall for ear thus far this season, Andre Vasquez and Counter Brockton have been halfway decent, and for the Chicago Cubs they currently a Brian Bocksberger at the full Michael Former has not been so great, but you've been able to get a little bit of something out of Ad barrels Lay. He's a nice long guy that's able to give you about a two era. Keigan Thompson has been able to do a solid job as well, and for the Philadelphia Phillies team, I just think that Rangers Foz is a bad matchup against his Cubs bunch because he's a pitch contact guy. Last year seven half Strikecats at three point four walks per nine and Ennings first start of the season it was at Coors Field, So there's that goes four innings, gives up three runs seven. It's he's not fully stretched out yet, which means that you're probably going to be looking at quite a bit of the bullpen and going up against the Cubs team that they don't have a ton of power, but they've got a lot of guys that they just get on base. I think that this is a bad matchup from my DKA Nation right up pick that's going to be the Cubs money line. I feel like they should be the favorites of getting plus money like that semi told at eight point one as well. I do think that for the Phillies Rangers, war is gonna be able to do a relatively okay job and Marcus Strowman has been a master on the road the last few years. So looking at the under my right, a pick that is going to be on the Cubs money line nine fifty five, nine fifty six on the baking board, it is the La Dodgers on the road going up against the Saint Louis Cardinals. Tony Counsel and goes with the Dodgers, and Steven Matts is on the bump for Saint Louis after nine is the total on the nine unders mine twenty the overs even on the A and F overs between minus one fifteen to mins twenty under between minus one oh five and even money anywhere between minus one thirty two to minus one forty price on the Dodgers, while the Saint Louis Cardinals are between plus one seventeen and plus one twenty five and with the Dodgers made them a favorite of minus one fifty five. If you're looking at that run line that is between plus one twenty and plus one twenty two, need at least a plus one oh two to take Seawan the Dodgers run line, and I'm gonna be willing to go with that Dodgers run line. Steven Matts just has not been good this year. The team is two and six in his starts, and every one of those six losses have come by multiple runs. So this is gonna be a case where he gets a litt up like your Christmas three once again. Now, mass has been a little bit better at home for sixty four Homierer compared to his six sixty four ROADI are, but Atomi's given up five bombs at twenty one and a third innings. His command is all over the place, so he's given up right around three point four walks forer nine innings. Opponents areting north of a three hundred off of them. Now, this is an LA Dodgers team that they are in the bottom six of the Big leagues the turns batting average I entered into yesterday, I think just a two thirty one is collected. But they're one of the best teams that being able to move the line and just being able to get on base in general as well. So there's two ways to be able to look at it. As You've got a bunch of guys for the Sodgers team that evanon base percentage between about a three forty two three sixty James Outman along with Miguel Lavargas, Mookie Bets, Michael Busch are island in that full day. Some of these guys aren't hitting for a great average, like Fargus and Bush are both hitting below at two thirty, but yet they're doing a good job of be able to fight away on base. Like Tray Thompson is sitting up poultry bucks up team. He still provides a two to seventy four on base, So these guys do a great job on that front. With the Ali Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves tied for the National League League in terms of home runs entering into a Thursday with seventy two, has Max monthsly and supplied fourteen home runs, and then got Chris Taylor, Will Smith, Freddy Freeman all with seven bombs and mookie bets James Oltman they've been able to provide nine, So you got a lot of fearsome bets with this SLI Dodgers team. Meanwhile, for the Sand Lois Cardinals, this team has been able to do a very solid job of being able to get on base, especially at home. What has really been ailing the Saint Louis Cardinals is that they've just been really bad with men on base when it comes to being able to hit on the road. As I mean, this is a Cardinals bunch as one of the best of the big leagues at being able to reach base. You've got Paul Goldschmi still hitting above a three hundred. He's been able to supply seven home runs this year, which he'd expect a little bit more from him, but by and large, he's still been fine.

This is the Cardinals team that entered into yesterday. I'm thinking about five point five runs per game at home, like four point two runs per game on the road. As Wilson gatures, I recognize that folks are not so happy about them buying the play, but he's still been able to move the line about a three forty on base Nolan Gorman sitting about it two eighty with ten home runs, and Nolan Ernato had that streak of five straight games with a home run. Both of these bullpens have been a little bit testy, though now Ryan Ellesley for the San Louis Cardinals, he's been able to look a little bit better recently. And for the LA Dodgers, this is a bunch that they've got a good pedigree, as they were the number one team in terms of bullpen era a season ago in the National League. That has certainly not been the case as far this season, though, as the LA Dodgers entered into the series twentieth in the league in terms of bullpenny ray. Meanwhile, the San Louis Cardinals, more in the neighborhood of Aths, got Genesis, Coo baragievany Gegos. The guys are relatively trustworthy. And for the La Dodgers, you do have a few trustworthy guys if they're on Victor Gonsalez, Caleb Ferguson, Persarder Grider, all these guys have all been able to apply a sub two to seventy five Bullpenny Ray as well. And for Tony Gunseling, I think that this is probably gonna be a classic like five or so ending start for MS. He's been able to do a nice job but be able to just limit runs in general, though his command has been a tabit all over the place. Six blocks in nineteen innings as far this season, he's not looking like the All star that he was last season. I'm we're gonna call what it is. He was extremely lucky on balls and play last season. You figured there was gonna be some regression there, but you know what, to give it up six runs, three of which were earned a nineteen innings. As far this season, I think that he's gonna be able to do a solid job of holding down the Fortnite. This is a nice, big, giant fate of Steven Matts. I'm gonna be taking a look at the run line of the LA Dodgers. It's up my total at a nine point three, so you're at an eight and a half slast giant looking at the over goal lot A Dodgers run n nine fifty seven nine to fifty eight on the banking board. The Miami Marlins are on the road past against the San Francisco Giants. As Anthony d squad Fani goes for the Giants at sanneyl Contra's on the bump for Miami. Miami's a plus one ted to a plus one fifteen underdog minus one twenty to minus one thirty or number at San Francisco. Seven a half is the total unders between minus one twenty and mice one twenty five over between even a minus one oh five slash plus one oh five and the Giants I set them at a minus one twenty three. I'm seeing a lot of places pussing up about a minus full twenty two minus one twenty two. Wouldn't want to lay much more than that, but I am going to be one to lay it. As Anthony discal Fani has been one of the best command pitchers in all baseball giving up less than a walk per nine innings as far as the season now. Something miss stuff has not been there as far this season as he's getting right around success straightcuts per nine innings. But he pitches at Oracle Park. It doesn't get much more pitcher friendly in the National League to that other than perhaps Miami, which is where Sandy all Contra does pitch. But for our good friend and Anthony dscal Fani send a nice job, but just being able to keep ennings, cleaning opponents, hearing about a two thirty off of them. It's been pitching to a little bit of contact, but command has been on point for Sandy al Contra. He's spent a little bit of the deficitiary easy got beneficiaries. He's the deficitiary of Skip Shoemaker, just throwing him out there for too many innings. At this point, they're trying to get eight plus innings out of Sandy al Contra and every start, and he's been effective in most cases for five sake, sometimes even simon ennings. But the reason why he's era is a four ninety one is because he's just getting shelled his third and fourth time through the lineup, So that's not too terrific as I mean, you take a look at him. In the first two times through a lineup, he has given up just two home runs in fifty nine at pass through the third time through the lineup slash fourth time, he has given up three home runs in that aspect, and opponents are hitting north of a three twenty off of them in his third and fourth time through the lineup, So that is something that you do want to watch out for for him and the Miami Marlins. They just don't necessarily supply a great bullpen behind him. 00:45:40 Speaker 3: G T. 00:45:41 Speaker 2: Chergua is back to the fall. That helps, but EJ. Puck, He's a Steve it Ocurt is something I do like. But Oscarbono Zobin, we're starting to see regression with him as era's back above a three to five. Now it could be worse. You could be the NL's worst bullpen in terms of ERA in the San Francisco Giants, says Camillio. Deval has been able to do job for the seam. But you take a look at a lot of these slugs and they just have not been able to deliver us far this season. As trisan Beck is pretty much a human way flag at this point. John Brebia, Taylor Rogers, these guys have just not been able to hold it down. Tyler Rodgers, the other of the Rodgers, has been able to do a solid job, but Scott Alexander has not been able to do his part as well. For the San Francisco Giants, they just don't slug out as many home runs at home as they do on the road. And it's very easy as to explain why they play an an incredibly pitcher from Lee Ballpark, which is why they're right now slugging out right around one point nine home runs per game on the road compared to one point one three home runs per game at home. But they're still fourth in the Lake in terms of total home runs. You've got a lot of guys that are gonna provide twenty plus home runs. I don't know if you necessarily have a guy it's going to get you north

of thirty as I could Conford to right now leading the way with eight home runs, You've got four different guys between six and seven home runs. They've got three other guys that have been able to provide five thus far this season. So a lot of guys that to a solid up of being able to provide some power. They really utilize platoon splits JD. Davis Seria Stratup. Both of these guys bring a little bit north of a two ninety. And you've held le Monte Way Junior providing way north of a four hundred on base, but also got Brandon Crawford, Don b R Mitch Ainger. These guys are all leting bellow of the Mido's lineup two hundred. They have recently called up Casey Schmid who's been able to do a really good job of being able to get on base as well. For the Miami Marlins, you do have Luis Arias who's been abley well north of a three point fifty those farther the season, and Race Hilaire. How about this guy being able to put it together. He's now up to eleven home runs as far this season as he's been able to go deep and now too out the team's last three games. His advanced numbers show that he is just ripping the cover off the ball. And Jets Shislom has been able to do a good job of be able to provide some home runs as well. But these guys are not necessarily doing the world's greatest job of be able to reach base as well. And then you've got the likes of Jeens Segura, Joey Wendelvi, SiO Garcia when he's been out there hitting a two fifteen or lower. So I do think that Sandel Contra under regress, it has never been really the greatest strikeout guy. We've seen a few more walks out of him thus far this season. So this is a circumstance where I set the Giants and a minus one twenty three on the money line, So gonna be willing to ride with that very pitture friendly about park. Set my total at some point three so here to seven and a half, also looking under nine fifty nine, nine to sixty on the banking board. The Baltimore Oriols are on the road face goup against the Toronto Blue Jays. You say, Kikuchi goes for Toronto and Kyle Gibson is on the bump for Baltimore. Baltimore is anywhere between plus one twenty five and plus one thirty four underdogs. Meanwhile, it is between minus one forty two and minus one forty five on Toronto. Nine is a total over his minus one twenty and the under is even. And when it comes to the Orioles, set them as a plus one sixty one underdog. I'm gonna be one to ride with the Toronto blue Jays. If you're looking at that blue Jays run line, you are finding it right around about a plus one thirty five. I needed at least a plus one twenty two, and I'm gonna be one to lay the run line because I do think that Kyle Gibson is a weak link when it comes to is Baltimore Orioles rotation. Now, the oriol said able to win quite a few of his starts as far as the season, but Kyle Gibson allows a lot of contact opponents staring at two to eighty five off of him strikeouts for nine and eight as hovering right in the neighborhood about six a half. He's

only giving up about one home run for nine inings. I think that this is going to be going way northward. And he has been terrible on the road six oh four ROADI area give it up four home runs in twenty eight and a third INNX. Meanwhile, for you Sa Kikuchi, he has been able to do a nice job to be able to reduce the walks. Last year he was giving up north of five walks per nine innings. Thus far this year he's down below two walks for nine innings. His strikeouts stuff is down. Last year he's getting about eleven punch outs for nine and nnings more like eight and a half to nine. Trying to get fewer strikeouts has actually been to the benefit of u Sa Kikuchi, and he has been a much better pitcher as a result. Now Usai Kikuchi is an all or nothing pitcher. He has had three starts this year in which he has given up five post runs and in the other five he has given up zero or one. So he does not have a single start where he's given up two, three or four runs, but he's got plenty he starts where he's given up five plus, and he's got plenty of starts where he's given up a one or two. So it's something that you do want to be taking a look at. But he's been far better at home with a two eighty seven homi are compared to a four to fifty era on the road, and for the Baltimore Orioles, he's a well balanced lineup a top ten team in terms of being able to drive in runs, and you just have good balance in terms of the home run power of this team as you've got Adlie Rushman Anthony Santander both supplying seven home runs and for Santander, if you take out the first few weeks of the season in which he was dealing with a back injury, he's been hitting about a three under this year. Elie Rushman for an round base, Ryan Montcastle, he's your main power rider. Now I'm really doing a great job at terms of on base percentage, but he's able to supply nine home runs and then Rare Matteos Cedric Mullens. Both of these guys have six home runs, with both combining for twenty five solen bases as well. So that is what you do like to see in for the Baltimore Orioles. If there is going to be a forte for this team, it is going to be their bullpen. As the Orioles. As far as the season, they are currently number two in the Big leagues in terms of bullpen e ra just mere points away from being number one, behind the Seattle Manners. As Felix Batisa you ner Cano, These two guys have been magnificent and between the two of them they have a lot of three earned runs and Felix Mantisa has given up all three of them. Let's part of the season. Brian Baker, he's got a sub three e a cnl Perez. After a rough start to the season, he's been able to find it as well. And then for the Toronto Blue Jays, b is tarted to look a little bit better there now eleventh in terms of era, maybe deal with some injuries. With regards to the bullpen, Anthony bass Emigerci have not been too effective, but Eric swaantson Tim Meza really liked what both of these guys are doing. Sub to ere out of both, Jordan Romano

has been able to do a solid job as closer. After a rough start to the season, he's been able to pick it up a little bit as well. For the Toronto Blue Jays, they've been league average in terms of total home runs. I do think that it's just a matter of when this offense is going to a rough as you've got Boba Scheffliger, Junior, Matt Chapman, all Boom who entered into Thursday hitting at least a three to twelve. You've got Chapman along with Fliger Junior norths of three eighty in terms of on base best shit as maybile give you eight home runs about a three sixty five on base there, you know that guys like at George Springer Brandon Belton Company are going to be able to pick it up. And for Brandon belt he has been able to pick it up recently. Still just two home runs as far this season, but over the last fifteen days he's sitting north of a four hundred, so after a really rough serarch of the season, he's been able to find a little bit of somebody that walk off homer. For Danny Janson should be able to get him going as well. So a circumstance where I did set the Blue Jays minus one sixty one on the money line, I'm going to offer the run line in this spot. I do think that both of these pictures are going to give up some runs here. I did set my total at nine point threes here to nine looking at the over and I'm looking at the run line of the Jay nine sixty one, I sixty two on the Benning board the Oakland eight set the road face off against the Houston Azros. Brandon Beelank is going to be going for the Astros and get the wall that Chuck is on the bump for Oakland. Nine to nine and a half is to total on the nine and a half unders, mince one twenty two, mince for twenty five overs, between even a plus one o five on the nine overs, mines one twenty the under a z and when it comes to Houston, they are between minus two thirty to minus two fifty favorites plus two ten goss. The border is your number on Oakland. If you're looking at the run line of the Asters, it's between minus one eighteen to a minus one twenty five and I'm all in a lay up to a minus one twenty and Jersey's Asters run line, I don't want to be going any further than a minus one twenty but mostly seeing minus one twenty and that is what I'm willing to lay with regards to it. As for Brandon Black, I mean, this is not necessarily the world's most trustworthy starter in the minor leagues. He's always had a few command issues five walks in terms of the thirteen and two thirds innings thus far, the season. At the big league level, the strike on numbers have always been okay at the minor league level, not great, not terrible, and he's a guy that I think is going to be able to hold down the four, give you some good innings and make way for an Asters bullpen that has been very good. Last year the Houston Asters, they were number one in the league in terms of bullpenny aray. They have fallen a little bit thus far the season, but they're still fourth in terms of bullpenny array. You've seen in a rope Montto along with Ryan Sani, see a little bit of regression from last season, but you've still been able to get some amazing performances out of this bullpen as Brian Obray, Ector and Aris have sub one fifty eras as far this season. It's sometimes a little bit testy with Ryan Presley, but fine large he's been able to give you some good innings as well. And when it comes to the flip side for the oaklan As, their era and the bullpen is hovering right around at six eighty and their team's ERA between starters and relievers right around at seven. I guess where Ken wallad to Chuck's era is seven oh two. I mean, this guy is just absolutely terrible. I know that there are some people that say that he has some upside. I'm gonna need to see it to believe it. As he's right now giving up home runs for nine right, that's above a two and a half is watch for nine right is hovering in the neighbor at five. He's been getting about eight strikeouts for nine innings. But this guy's become a human pinata. He has given up three plus runs in each out of his last four start set. Sound like he's faced off against some of the world's greatest cut potition too. These starts came against the Reds in the Kansas City Royals, So yeah, it's not necessarily too terrific. And for the Oakland A's, you just don't have trustworthy relievers Zach Jackson, Sam Maull. They've had a sub four year over the last two years. And Richard Lovely, he has a sub towo EUA. But when you've got guys like Garrett Acton and Usin Pruitt in your bullpen, that is not necessarily too terrific. Now for the Eastern Assers, they've actually had some almighty struggles with regards to their lineup. This is one of the illustrating teams that you're gonna find in the big leagues, and they've really had a little bit of a slog just being able to get runs up on the board at home as far the season. As for the Houston Assers, twenty fifth in the league in terms of home runs on a per game basis at home, they've actually a fewer home runs then they have on the road, so and it's not something that you'd like to see, but you still have Jordan Alvarez, He's been able to supply nine home runs. He's been able to do a nice job with nearly a three to ninety on base got Jeremy Paine has been able to give you about a two to sixty Olebonka, Alex Fragman, Kyle Tucker will be able to give you six home runs. Now for Bregman, he's sitting at two twenty five but a three forty on base It looks like he is finally getting out of his rough start to the season, which he always has a rough start to the season. And Mariso dbon he's hitting right around three hundred as well. And for the Oakland A's. This team actually ranks in the top six in terms of home runs per game on the road. You actually get a little bit of subthing out of them. Brett Rooker has been able to give you eleven home runs. He's got north of a four hunder round base overall this season. But for the Oakland A's they at right around about it two fifteen at home.

This is more like a two fifty on the road. With Rooker, he's got seven road home runs as far this season. Shaye langle Leer says been able to give you five home runs on the road. I mean, as a matter of fact, has his team twenty nine home runs in twenty games on the road as far as the season. Now, guys like Kevin spanth Ormond Loreano, lmndc As they've been dead bats as far as the season. But you've actually got guys there able to hit for the team. So I do think that we are going to be able to see some runs in this game. I don't think that this turns in a home run or anything like that, but some total a nine point seven between the nine to a nine and a half, I'm gonna be willing to take a look at the over in this spot and with Houston, want to lay minus one twenty and nothing more on that run line nine sixty thirty nine sixty four on the banking board. You can't see Ryl sit the red face off against the Chicago White Sox. Michael Gobeck goes for the White Sox, and Zech Grinky is on the bump. For Kansas City. Nine and a half to nine is your total on the nine. The overs mines one twenty two, mince on twenty five hundreds between even a plus one o five on the nine and a half unders mine one fifteen, the overs mines one of five. For the White Sox, it is a minus one thirty five to a minus one forty five minty line price. Anywhere between plus one twenty eight plus one thirty is your number on Kansas City. And with the White Sox set them at a minus one thirty three. If you are taking a look at the run line, you're gonna be finding that anywhere between about a puls one forty to a puls one forty two. I needed at least a plus one fifty in this ordeal sum. As the current numbers, I'm in a little bit of waiting c MO, because if we can get to about a puls one thirty three, so we need about a three cent line move, that'd be my bypoint on the Kansas City Royal Sand With that GRANKI he has had his issues on the road. If this were Zach Granky at home, I'd be very much more than willing to back him. But if you take a look at Zach Granky on the road, terrible seven to seventy one ROADIRA and forore starts on the road this far the season, he's went eighteen and two thirs has. He's allowed seven home runs since he has gone back to Kansas City. He's pitched more than ninety innings at home over the last two seasons, so he's given up three home runs. He's got about as big a home in Roads, but says you are going to find in the big leagus Michael Copek, he has just been getting banged around like it's been nobody's business. As he is currently posting up a nice hardy five to seventy four era his home runs per nine R eight that is an earth of eighty two and a half. His walks per nine rate is offering right around six This is not good as he's only getting right around ninth straight cuts per nine and Ennings. And thank goodness gracious that the Chicago White Sex are able to look at the Oakland A's and say that our better bullpen is better than yours, because that's the only bullpen with the worst ERA. Then are good friends. The Chicago White Sox right now is Gregory Santos, Kenyan Middleton. These guys have been able to do a selid job in the bullpen. Both of these guys, I've been able to give you a sub two fifty era. They are the only two bullpen pieces they are able to say that Joe Kelly actually has a three two bullpenny array. We all know that this is going to be going very much northward. I have no faith in him whatsoever, but and he's been better than the likes of Win all the Lopez, Jimmy Lambert, Nick Padilla, Aaron Bummer, all these guys with north of a six ERA. And it's not like the Kansas City Royals aren't necessarily laking the worldwide fire when it comes to their bullpenny ara as well. This team is twenty seventh in the league. Guys, you've had a roll to Chapman do a halfway. He's a job for the seam of Scott Barlow starting to pick it up a little bit after he had a rough start to the season. But now you're lying pot. Mike Myers know not the comedian in the bullpen. Josh Taylor is north of a five era. Carlos Hernandez is one of your long guy slash a spot starter's say, Kuas has not been good and for the Kansie Royals, you've just got so many dead bats in the lineup. Salva Repeaz has been terrific. He's sitting at two eighty with nine home runs. But you take a look at him over the last thiry days, he's been one of the best hitters in all of baseball. Vinnie Pascentino eight bombs. He's hitting about a two seventy end. I mean, he's giving you a right round about a three fifty five jersey on base. But so many guys that just can't hit for this team. Michael Massey, Hunter Dozer, Nate Eaton, freanmil Reyes, Jackie Bradley Jr. Just goes down the line of guys that are hitting at two to fourteen or lower and kit's terrible. I mean, you've got Bobby with Junior giving you seven home runs, but he's got a two seventy seven on base as well, so you can't see where else. Lots of issues there, memore. For the Chicago White Sox, Luis Robert is up to twelve home runs. He has been on an absolute terror for the team as he's been able to supply a home run in four out of his last six games he has. Monnie Grandel has been able in about a two ninety four, and he actually draws walks, something that the White Sox really do not do a lot of it as being able to draw walks. There are very few guys that are willing to do so. Grindel is one of those guys, and he just got a big giant log jam of guys lack of better term there ding between. We're gonna call it about a two fifty to two fifty eight. They currently injured Eloyamenez, Carlos Petez along with Tim Anderson, Young Gun and Adam Hellsley. All these guys, they're sort of in that foll. Luis Barbert is sitting at two seventy five to himself a long Jake Berger has been able to give you ten home ruhs. But other than Berger and Robert, it really is a little bit of an outage of power with regards to Chicago White Sox. So this is an ordio where I need this number to either come

down just a little bit on the White Sox or come up a little bit on the Royals, and I we'll take plus one thirty four a higher with the Royals, one lay up to a minus one thirty two with White Sox. So I want to see some of the later numbers to decide what way I'm going here. Seems like the money is coming in against the White Sox, so it's all'll send it downe I'll probably be able to get like a minus one thirty minus one thirty two something like that on the White Sox. But Wayne Simoe there semi till on a nine point six threre at a nine to nine and a half, also looking at you over nine sixty five nine sixty six on the bankan board. The Minnesota Twins they throw it face off against the La Angels. Re Demers goes for the Angels and Joe Ryan is on the bump for Minnesota. Minnesota is a favorite of ending between minus one seventeen to minus one twenty five, between plus one oh five and plus one ten. Your number on the Angels eight to eight and a half is he total on the eight and a half over and under anywhere between minus one five to minus one fifteen on the eight over his minus one twenty five, he under his plus one oh five semittal an eight and a half. The only eight time seeing is at DraftKings. I live in Las Vegas. I do not have access to DraftKings, so on an eight and a half, I'm willing to go under. And with the Minnesota Twins, I did set them out of minus one twenty four on the money line, mostly seeing minus one twenty I'm gonna be willing to back Joe Ryan, who has been tremendous as far this season, a little bit of a homecoming from I believe that he's a Cali kid two oh three Rodier. As far this season, it's gone a good job of limiting our contact. About zero point seventy five home runs surrendered per nine nuinnings his box per nine eight That is right around one point three opponent's wearing a buck ninety off of them, and he has just been absolutely rock solid this year. Meanwhile, for Reed Devers, he deserves better than his own three record. I'm not saying that he's laying the world on fire, especially at alm A five fifty two era, but and he's giving up about one on them run for nine Ennings, the walksburn nine rate is a little bit north of three, but he's gotten good swinging miss stuff ten and a half punchouts Burnin and Ennings. He pitched rather effectively against the Cleveland Guardians, and then the bullpen completely lit that game on fire. So Ian Reed Demers has really been the deficitiary of well a lot of guys around him not doing their part. And his fielding independent is a full point lower than his RA. So I do think that there's a positivety that's going to be coming in from now. With the La Angels, there's some negativity that's coming in for this bullpen. They're currently ninth of the league in terms of bullpen area according to X Fifth, they're more around eighteenth in the league. Meanwhile, for the Minnesota Twins, they're offering right in the neighborhood of twelfth. And with the Twins, they have been dealing with a

few injuries in this bullpen. Oriel Kala is back out of the fold for the scene, but box seward as he had to give up a run this farthest season you on during this up to era. Or A Lopez has been relatively said as well. And for the La Angels, I do like what we're seeing out of Matt More, but you've got some just complete clowns in this full pench. Jimmy Hurget is not good. Zach Twiss is someone that you want to know part of whatsoever Andrew wants the past week has been giving up bomb after bomb. I may but he has a little bit of a long guy. But trotting out there, I mean, but yeah, you're probably not in very good shape. And for the La Angels, the team has done a supreme job. We'll be able to go deep on the road. They're averaging about one home run per game, more like one point seven eight home runs per game when they're at home. As you've got shoey A Tani, Mike Trout, Hunter renfro All with ten home runs as far this season. Otani and Trout both are hitting between about a two eighty two two ninety five more on two fifty for mister renfro but and these guys have been able to do a solid job. Mickey Monic and limited at batts has been able to do a very good job. We'll be able to get on base for the team as well as a nice table cetter. The injury to Logan Happi at the catcher spot has been a little bit costly, but you or Schell he's able at about a three hundred as well. Flip side for the Minnesota Twins league's worst batting average in the American League in terms of batting average by nearly at points that has been unsightly for the team, as You've been able to get some boom out of quite a few of these guys. Bryan Buckson up to nine home runs this far this season, Joey Gallo with ten. But Joey Gallo I had to leave the game on Wednesday do to an injury mid at bat. When you're leaving a game mid at bat, that's not necessary too terrific as he along with the now injured Max Coupler, Carlos Correa, Jose Miranda, these are all guys and get two twenty or lora. Many of them are just injured in general. Now you've got Nick Cordner's out of the fold, though he wasn't doing anything at the plate either, and Ryan Jeffers has been halfway decent. He's saying about it. He's sixty five. And they've got Kyle Farmer and Ordeo Polonco back in the fold. Both of these guys and right around two to eighty. But the team has been very inconsistent at the plate. I do think that they're gonna be able to do a little bit more here against the La Angels. I do think that this Angels bullpen do them for a little bit of regression, but getting an eight and a half on this total, I'm gonna be looking at the under. I do think that the Twins, because even though they are a team that they don't really move the line a lot. Their second in the American League in terms of home runs on a per game basis, I think that they provide just enough power to be able to get it done here. I'm taking a look at the Minisota Twins laying about a minus one twenty on the money line, and the s eight and

a half under nine sixty seven, nine to sixty eight on the bank board. The Milwaukee Burgers sit the road face off against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays have yet to decide who their shurter as we involve Adrian Don't come, dougieauser is going to be on the bump for the Burs. This game is off the board because we have no idea the Rays are going to be trotting out there. ESPN is right now projecting that is going to be Shane mcclann If we get Shane mcclanan, I am setting the Tampa Bay Rays at a minus two eleven with ay total seven point seven, which is where a seven and a half or less I'd be taking a look at the over and eight or higher I'd be taking a look at the under right now, fangrasses projecting Shane mcclannan as well. If you trot out there a bullpen game, this would be a downgrade of at minimum fifty cents, if not more, because this is a Tampa Bay Rays bullpen that has been used for more endings than any other team out there in the big leagues, and we've seen some massive aggression for the race. They've been really a bottom five bullpen over the last twenty one days as they just are getting used and use and use as a little bit of an issue for this seam. Meanwhile, Adrian, don't call him dougiouser. He has a pitch of contact guy. He always has been. He always Boby. He's made just two starts as far this season. Gave up three runs and four innings against the Cancery Royals, two runs and four and two thirds inks against the San Francisco Giants. Liana combined fifteen n's at eight and two thirds inks. And now it's the face off against the Tampa Bay Rays team that leads the league in terms of banning average runs and home runs. That is not necessarily what you want to see. Now I have to do with a little bit of injury to Yandy Diaz. He pretty much missed the entirety of that series against the New York Metropolitans. But Josh Low, Randy A Rose Arena, both of these guys have been able to give you ten home runs. Both of these guys are north of a three and or Wander Franco has been able to do a solid job three fifty on base seven bombs as far as the season. Brandon Law Banning average is out there. He's still giving you power. At Harold Ramirez six home runs, three seventy five on base, you just go down line and this raised lineup is very fearsome. Meanwhile, when it comes to the Milwaukee Burris, there's the bottom ten in the big leagues in terms of runs per game, and they've really had an almighty struggle on the road just being able to crank out runs in general. As a collective, the Brewers are writing about a two forty one on the road. As you've got a lot of guys in general just sort of find themselves in that vector in terms of onbi's percange is hovering in the neighborhood of about a three thirty to a three forty five. William Contreras, Rowdie tella Is, Brian Anderson, Christian Yelich, they're all there now. Tell Us has been able to give you general runs as far this season, and Yellows is starting to not be away some money. So that's something that you do like to see. And Owen Miller has been great, limited at best, but sitting out three point fifty for this Milwaukee Burers team. But with the Burrs, we are seeing some regression with their bullpen as about seventeenth in the league terms of bullpenny rate. What I will say about the Birds is you take out three just horrible innings. They had one against the same lost Cardinals. They had one against the Boston Ruts, won against the Rockies. If you take that out of the fold, this has actually been a relatively solid bullpen. Joel pineoffs a lot out of this Peghetto be able to give you some three bullpenny are Devin Williams at this point is a top three closer in the big leagues. You've been able to get some very good innings as well out of Bryce Wilson has a little bit of a long guy. Petersres a lucky has been able to give you some good innings as well. That said, if you do get Jay mcclan and versus Adrianauser not a fair fight. We'll be setting the Rays to where I'd be willing to lay up to a two ton on the money line, and in terms of the run line, I'd be willing to lay up to a minus one oh six. In terms of that regard seven and a half for last to the over, eight or higher to the under. Now, if you get a bullpen game, this probably goes up to where an eight or less. I'm looking at the over eight and a half higher to the under if it's a really bad bullpen game might be even higher than that, but that would also be an impact of at minimum fifty cents on the raised money line. It depends upon who would sort of be the bull guy there. I'm sort of expecting Jay mcclan and we started the American League All Star Game line season as he's been able to get north of ten and a half straightcuts for nine I thinks it has been absolutely amazing. But in a little bit of wait and see mode, there nine sixty nine ninety seventy on the betting board. The New York Yankees, they'd throw out the facing golf against the Cincinnati writs. Yes, we are onto Cincinnati, and it's don't call him Blake Lively because it's Ben Lively going for the Cincinnati Reds. Clark Schmidt is going for the New York Yankees. This gossip girl is saying that there is no line up on this game. But my gossip is that the Red should be a big, giant hunderdog. You've got the New York Yankees on my handicap line at a minus one ninety seven, so I'd be willing to lay up to a minus one ninety six on them, But I'd really be looking at as a rowline. I'd be willing to lay up to a minus one twenty eight online and run and a half with them. I said, a total of ten point seven, ten and a half or less. I'm looking at the over eleven or higher to the under. This is not what I would call a battle of base and says if you take a look at what Ben Lively did at the minor league level, he was able to do a good job and be able to not give up a bunch of runs. He had a sub fifty ERA at the minor league level. It was smoking mirrors five and a half strikeouts per nine innings at the minor league level.

I mean, he was pitching the last few years for the Samsung Lions of the KBO, and we have just seen these guys that they pitching the KBO, they come back to the United States and they just get smoked. And I think that this is gonna be the case for Ben Lively. It's pitch five and the third innings, he's given up just one run thus far. Now, what I will say for Benveley, he doesn't give up a lot of walks, and he's yet to give up a walk, and his return to the big League level nine has a face off against the New York Yankees. Though I will say for Clark Schmid, it's not like he's really a whole lot better. He's got an eight seventy six road dra he's got an overall era that has at a six thirty. He's given up eight home runs and forty innings as far this season it's watched for nine, right's right around three. He does get strikeouts, he's getting north of ten punchouts for nine and nnings doesn't do a lot of good when you're allowing upon us had a three ten off of you. Though, now for the New York Yankees, all of a sudden, the offense has been able to find some big, giant signs of life. As for the New York Yankees entering it yesterday, they had gotten to at least five runs in eight out of their last in games. So I do think that there is a lot of positivity with the scene with Aaron Judge coming back to the fold as Aaron Judge entered into yesterday. It's applying eleven home runs as far this season, three seventy five on base and he rizoating above a three air nine home runs. That's big. And then you do have just a bunch of guys in general that have benefited from Aaron Judge being back at the fold. Labor Torrez is starting to look a little bit more like himself with the four to forty on base CJ. Lemayhew hitting right around about a two seventy two to two seventy five John Carlos stan being out of the fold still hurts, but Elseeph Harrison Bader when he's been out there as he has been all sorts of banged up just throughout as Yankee Senior, he's been a little about a three honer as well. Now you do need to address some of the dead bats in this lineup, ass Anthony Volpi as Wellda Cabret, Isaiah Canaer, Phileff aaron X so much flying aaron X. You're able to go down the list of guys and get two fifteen or lower. But the Cincinnati writes you just don't have a lot of pop with this line up. They are in the bottom seven in the big leagues in terms of total home runs, don't have a single guy who they're with the five home runs as far as the season as Spencer Seal along with Jake Frayley, they are the two guys that have been able to slug out five home runs. With Freyley, he's able to give you a three seventy five on base with Steer, He's a part of just a lot of guys for this Red scene that are sort of hitting in that neighbored about at two fifty two, two sixty is he, Tyler Stevenson, Henry Ramos are all sort of in that fold. Jonathan Indy has been able to do a really good job of being able to get on base three eighty at the leadoff spot, So you would like to

see that being able to get a little bit more out of someone like an Ojse Baredo. And even though Stuart Fairchild selling in about a two seventeen, he's been able to ride a three twenty five on base. Will Myers has just been a big giant waste of money. I mean, he's hitting it right around a two hundred and he has been able to give this team nothing whatsoever. And then you do take a look at just this the Yankees bullpen, and they have been number one in the league in terms of bullpenn here for much of the campaign. They've been superseded by the Seattle Mariners. Recently they have fallen all the way down number five, but they still have been able to do a nice job being able to get some good endings out of wany Parolta, Ron Manninaccio along with Clay Holmes have become a little bit inter miss for this team. Ian Hamilton being on the injury list is gonna be hurting them a little bit as well. But with Parolta, Jimmy Cordero, along with even someone like a Michael King, these are all guys that'll be able to supply an era that is sub three. So in this spot with Yankees versus Rice, I did that the Yankees, where I'd be willing to lay up to a minus one twenty eight on the run line, we need at least a plus one ninety eight to take a shot on the Reds on the moning line, and at ten and a half or less looking over an eleven or higher to the under nine seventy one nine to seventy two on the bending board the Washington Nationals playoffs the Dey Troy Tigers. Matthew Boyd is going to be going for the Tigers. Jake Irvin is on the bump for Washington. Washington is between a minus one oh five too a minus one ten favorite slash slide underdog with Tigers are anywhere between minus one three to minus one fifteen, So a relative pick him Game nine is the total hundreds between minus one fifteen to a minus one twenty between even m minus one to five. And I did sell my total at an eight point eight, so here to nine, I'm going to be taking a look at the under You got two teams that just have not been able to provide power whatsoever. For both of these teams in the bottom five in the Big League in terms of total home runs. Both of these teams, they just aren't able to generate runs in general. I mean, forget about the power numbers. You've got a Washington National team that's currently twenty fifth in the Lake in terms of total runs that he tried Tigers are dead last, the d Try Tigers in terms of runs per game, dead last the Washington Nationals in the National league dead last in terms of runs per game at home, so that's a little bit of an issue. Only reason why the total is where it is is because these two pitchers have been far from great. Matthew Boyd since he also break of the twenty nineteen season is giving up two home runs, ber nine and ninnings. Thus far this season, he has stunk on ice. He tries way too hard to get strikeouts and thus his command fails as he's been giving up right around four point three walks per nine. Nnings gets only about eight strikeouts per nine, and Nnings has actually been better on the road than he has been at home. A sixty four Homira through a four to eleven are on the road, but command just is not there whatsoever, and and it's a big issue for the Seane. Meanwhile, for Jay Curvin, he's been a little bit topsy turvy three starts for the Seam and he had two really good starts where he gave up a combined one run against the Giants and the chicag Cubs gave up six runs in his last start against the New York Mets. Command is really not there for him. Four and a half flox for nine and the things he gets a little bit of swinging miss stuff. But and he's currently got a the ARAA of four to eleven despite the fact that he has yet to give up home run. Now, I do think that he's probably gonna be able to keep that intach, because for the Detroit Tigers, they have thirty one home runs and forty one games as far as season, if he got one guy with north of four home runs, maybe Jason Rodgers and the guys are is applying the boom for the seam. They are not inning for average whatsoever is currently You've got three guys with between four and five home runs for the Tigers, and Garry Carpenter Rodgers along Think Mayton. They are all hitting a two seventeen or lower. They are all providing a two ninety or words in terms, they are on base a hobby bias. Since he got bench about a month or so ago, he's been inating north of three hundred in that time span in Ridley Green is how eating about it two ninety for this team. You've got guys like Zach Short India Banyas thinking about it two fifty as well. But I mean, this is a bunch that they're inating at two twenty nine as collective, that's a bottom five mark in the big leagues. For the Washington Nationals, they do a much better job and'll be able to move the line. They aren't providing a whole a lot of power twenty eight home runs in forty three games, as dead last in the National League, but got a lot of guys like Joey Manes's, Victor Robles, Lane Thomas, even in Dominic Smith, they are all hitting at least at two seventy five, with Robless about a three to ninety on base eli Ormo Vargas very limited at pats, but and he's been able to do a good job and'll be able to get on as well. You dude, need to find someone to be able to just poke the ball over the fence as Lane Thomas, Jumierkandlario. They're tied for the team lead with five home runs, but at the very least you've been able to get a little bit of something out of them. Now with Washington Nationals, they don't say back up Urvin with the world's greatest bullpen. They're currently twenty fourth of the big leagues in terms of opinion and for the tray Tigers. Their bullpen has been a little bit over the place as well, but they're up to thirteenth terms of bullpenny area. We'll get to them in a second. But when it comes to the Nationals do have a few trustworthy guys. Carloveroards Junior has been able to sling it very well all season long, as he's been able to supply a sub three

bullpen the area. Hunter Harvey has been able to a solid job right around at three thirty five himself, But Mason Thompson Andres Machado, Thadeus Ward Hobe Harris, these guys have been nos have a four or five. Meanwhile, for the De Troy Tigers, the long guys like Tyler Alexander and company are not terrific, but alex Lang has been able to do a really good job of long those a c. Serano of providing a sub three era. Jason Foley has had about a buck fifty five with his era. Tyler Holten he's been holding it down as well. But I just have no faith here, Matthew Boyd whatsoever. I do think that the Nationals are gonna be able to do a good job of just being able to find a way to be able to get on. They are the top team in terms of field strikecouts per game in the Lake. So it's not the Nationals set of minus one thirty four at home. I'm gonna be willing to take them on the minion line you're to nine. Also, take a look at this little under nine seventy three, nine seventy four on the banking board. The Cleveland Guardians layouts to the New York Metropolitans, Carlos Carasco goes for the Mets, and Cala quantrills on the bump for Cleveland Cleveland, and between plus one thirty and plus one thirty six hundred dogs. Between minus one forty four to minus one fifty your number on the Mets eight to eight and a half is the total on the eight overs between minus one fifteen to one mins twenty hundreds between even a mins one to five on the eight and a half under is minus one fifteen the overs minus one of five. I set the Mets out of minus one twenty five. Being able to get plus one thirty in a lot of spots, I'm gonna be one to take the Cleveland Guardians. The Guardians are twenty two and three in Cala Quantrill's last twenty five starts. He just always finds a way to be able to get this team to victory. Now, the Guardians have been dealing with Ose Ramirez being on the bereavement list. It's questionable as whether or not he's going to be back for this game, and the Guardians they are not gonna be winning some sort of a big giant shoot him out game as the Guardians are right now in the bottom five of the big leagues in terms of batting average and GET two twenty eight and for the Guardians even and when they made the playoffs last year they were second worst than the league in terms of total runs, they are dead last some league this year twenty three home runs in forty two slash forty three games as far this season far from terrific. As Josh Nayler is the only guy in the team he's given you a north of four home runs. Jase Ramirez the second on the team with four home runs, so him being on the fold that's even bigger. But the bigger reason why they were going to make the playoffs is that you got a lot of guys like Andres and Menez whoa Brandon Oscar Gonzalez sitting above two seventy, They're only get two forty or less. Stephen Kwan has been able at about a two seventy as well, but lots of struggling bets in this lineup. Meanwhile, for the New York Mets, they're just at this point riding the co tails of Pete A. Lownzo's sixteen home runs. He leads the league. He has been absolutely tremendous as far this season, and the only other player that has more than four home runs as far this season, that'd be Francisco Lindor is currently leading at two twenty five, and he got a lot of guys that they just need to pick it up in general is Mark Hanna, Francisco Alvarez, lind Or, Leduardo Escobar, Tomas Sito, Tommy fam These are all guys hitting below two thirty right now. Sarlie Marte is only at two forty, and he's really a guy that just seems to get on base and utilizes wheels. Brandon Nemo has been able to give you about a three eighty on base, but that's been a little bit of an issue for the New York Mets. They are also a class in the bullpen, as this is a mess bullpen that is currently nineteenth in terms of RA. David Robertson has been used up in back to back days and is not ideal for a bullpen that involves guys like Dominique Leone Jeff Brigham that are not too terrific. Drew Smith has been solid. He's been able to give you about a two or so ERA. Brooks Raley is off the injury list as well, but Adam and Vino has been all over the place. Meanwhile, the Guardians, they're back to being third in the big leagues in terms of bullpen. He Ra James Garret check along Nick Sandlin. I've had a little bit of rof Covid as far as the season, but on Yeldeve Los Sentos, Xavion Curry, Eli Morgan, Trevor steven and then you've got your closer in Emmanuel class A alsopplying a sub three ERA and that in front of cal Quanto. He just always gives you quality. He's probably gonna give you a six innings to give up between two and three runs. Once again, he's got a three to ninety seventy RA thus far this season, but in four road starts at three thirty eighty RA, he's given up about one on the run per nine innings, three walks for nine innings bonus in a two fifty five off of him his strikeouts for nine rate that's hovering right around six. There is nothing flashy about it. He just goes out there, gives you exactly what you need, nothing more and nothing less. And then for Carlos Grascow, this is going to be his first start since the middle of April, and he's been putting in a little bit of work with the team, but I just don't think that you're gonna be able to get a lot of length out of him. In general. Even when he was getting starts for this team at the beginning part of the season, he wasn't good. He made three starts eight fifty six e RA, giving up thirteen runs at thirteen and two thirds innings. That came against the Milwaukee Burris minding me Rollinson on the road against the Oakland A so it wasn't necessarily facing off against Fosters at the midway. I did sell my total at an eight point seven. I did think that for the Guardians they shit be able to get some runs here against Carlos Carrasco, and I do think that for cal Qawanto, you're probably gonna give up his pan in three runs and six innings as well. So I'm

willing to take an over on an eight even with Osier Maris Brats being on the fall, because I do think that Crasco gonna struggle in his first start out, and I think Cleveland they get another win under cal Quwanto. I'm willing to take the Guardians on the money line and this totle over nine seventy five, nine seventy six on the big board. The Seattle Manners that throad face off against the Atlanta Brays. Bryce Older goes for the Bravos, but Ryce Miller goes for Seattle, as is Bryce on Bryce as you've got the Seattle Mariners. Any routeaen plus one twenty and plus one twenty five hundred dogs minus one thirty five to minus one forty. Your number on Atlanta A and F is a total over and under anywhere tween minus one five do one mice one fifteen and with the Mariners needed at least a plus one fifty five to take it shot here. If you're taking a look at that Atlanta Brads runline, you're finding it in between plus one forty five to one plus one forty seven. Was willing to take a plus one twenty or greater. I think we're going to see some massive progression when it comes to the Seattle Manners bullpen. They are currently number one in the Big leagues in terms of bullpenny Ray He've been doing this though with a bunch of injuries. Andre's Munnos has been out of the fourth They're now dealing with an injury. The Pem Murphy Paul Seawalt has been relatively solid. He's got a three sixty six era won the lone old overs from last season. But Matt Brash is on what he was last season. He's been giving you a four to seventy four year And you just take a look at the guys that have been really supplying these bullpen ennings, and you gotta think that there's gonna be a regression here. As we got Taylor Socdo, Trevor gott one then justin Topa all giving you a two to eleven er or better. Gabe Spier is starting to see a little bit of regression. But I mean there's just no way these guys are gonna be able to keep it up. I wish I could put it any other way, but it's just a case. And for Ryce Miller, he's made three starts nineteen innings and I like him as a prospect. He's gonna see a little regression as well. He's given up a one run in nineteen innings as far this season. He's got to strike us to walk right up eighteen. Yeah, I did think that he's in for a little bit of a route away as he Two of those starts came against the e Troy Tigers and the Oakland A's along with going up against the Houston Asters. Meanwhile, for Rice Elder, he's been doing a really good job this season. His home runs for nine, Red is right round zero point six, doesn't get jab will be able to contain the walks about two point seven walks for nine. And he's not too much of a strikeout guy himself. He's only getting right around seven and a half to eight punch outs for nine nine. He's but bluck ninety three road they area buck ninety six. Elmira has been very consistent opponents at at two twenty two off of them, and he's backed up by an Atlanta Braves lineup that has about his fearsome in the National Lake as a kid says, you've got four separate guys that have ten to eleven home runs for the team, Ozzie Albi, Seawn Murphy, Rond Lacuney junior medalson all being there and with Olson he's got about a three seventy on base, Sean Murphy, ronaldly Cuney junior north of a four hundred on base. Now you could use a little bit more out of someone like a Marcelo is doing a sitting below the window signe Tinner, Michael Aris a second, he's been banged up on when he has been in the fold. It's not been doing a too terrific of a job. But how about Eddie Rosario. After our really rough start to the season, he's been able to pick it up, bidding above a three hundred over the last fifteen days. That's something that you do like to see for him. Meanwhile, for the Seattle Mariners, the team just really doesn't move the line. They entered into their previous series against the Boston Red Sox deadlines in the league in terms of batting average. They bolstered that a little bit, but they're still in the bottom five, as you still have Julio Rodriguez, A J. Paul At, Colton Wong, Taylor Trammell all eating at two point fifteen or lower, being able to get some good production out of Jerry Keelnick aight om runs sitting about a twot eighty. You've got to ask her Nan who's been able to supply eight on runs as well, but he's only gives you about a two seventy five on base. The Mariners, they really don't move the line in the world's greatest. So I do think that you're gonna have some issues there. For Bryce Miller, I do think that there's gonna be quite a bit of regression there. I do think that it's gonna come against an Atlanta Races team that is tied for the National League lead in terms of home runs. I did sell my toile at an eight point six here in a A and AF looking at the over because I do think that Miller and this bullpend they're going to beginning to get rocked. And for the Atlanta Brays, I'm willing to take them on the run line. I think that they're gonna be able to supply some good off. I signed seventy seven nine seventy eight on the betting board. It is a corra Red Rockies on the road facing off against the Walker Texas Rangers. Martin Burres goes for the Rangers, and it is the MLB debut of Carl Kaufman for the cow Raider Rockies. And the Rockies are between plus one seventy and plus one seventy seven hunderdocks and between minus one ninety ten minus two oh five is your number on Texas. Nine is a total over his minus one fifteen. The under is minus one of five. And I said he good friend Kaufman is a plus two thirty eight underdock. I have absolutely no faith whatsoever in him. You take a look at Carl Kaufman at the minor league level, and you had a good start, about a start or two, and go against the lovely Las Vegas, the Triple A affiliate of the Oakland A's. But a whopping seven seventy eighty or a Triple A al Puquerque. That's far of the season, getting six point three strikeouts per nine nix. It's not good. It's not good at all. And I mean

you even take a look at his minor league numbers last year, Well he was pitch again a non Jews following. Because the PCL is just unfair to pitchers. You'll oftentimes fine that a guy is going to have a higher EER and the PCL than he's actually gonna have at the major league level. So that does need to be thrown in there. But when he was at Harford last year, he at north of a four y RA. He was giving up four walks for nine and he's at bad level. So I mean, this is just not a guy that is prepared for the major league level, in my opinion. And now he's gone up again. Someone at Martin Pudez, who's been able to do a pretty steady any job when he's been home this far. This season on the road has been a little bit of a disaster, but buck fifty four home he are and his two home starts eleven and two thirds innings. It's not giving up the deep ball at all. Now opponents are north of a three hundred off of him. He's been unlucky on balls in play. But with that said, you've got a cold, rocky team that may always have splits to where they're like the top scoring home team in the Big League's and they're dead last in terms of scoring runs when they're on the road. They're enitting get two twenty eight as a collective when they are on the road. Fifteen home runs and twenty two road games. That's far the season. CJ. Cron, He's hitting about a two twenty on the road, and that's one of your above average bats right now. Salias he is sitting about a two eighty on the road. Chris Bryant more in the neighborhood about a three hundred as well. But just take a look at all these guys. You've got someone like a Drikson Profar, a young infielder that they like in Ezekiel Tovar. I know that they've been a little bit high on Elias Monteo. These are all guys you can blow a two hundred on the road. Along with Ryan McMahon. That's a big issue for the Seam and they go up against a Texas Rangers team that ranks into the top three in terms of total runs per game ATA Lease Gars he is up to thirteen home runs. He's just completely mashing. They're doing this without Corey Seeger by the Way and Travis san Kowski, John Him, they've done a good job. North of three seventy on base and Arthur three in our batting average. Him has been able to supply six home runs as far this season. Josh Young eight bombs, sitting at two fifty. He's got so many guys in this lineup that I do like that. For the Texas Rangers, bull Pennan's been a little bit teeter totterish, but you've got a trio of guys and Jonathan Hernandez, ose Leclerk, a lot of Broctburg that have been relatively solid. With Hernandez, we are certain to some very very bad regression from last year and they sub three two ere He's up north of five that's far this season. I do think that he's gonna be able to find it a little bit more. As the Rangers, they're currently twenty sixth in the Big League's terms of bullpenny Ray. They just got the complete deficit of playing against the Atlanta Braves in their previous series. It's like ten eight days ago. They're in the top ten in terms of bullpenny Ray. I think that this is gonna rise back up. I mean with Colrad Rockies have honestly not been terrible with their bullpen. They are sixteenth in the league in terms of bullpenny array, considering they play half their games with Corus Field. That's actually really thinking good. Brent Souder has been able to supply a sub two era they pick up for Nando Abad because they've been doing some injuries. But bright And has been solid. Daniel Bardi sub to era as well. So I think the Kaufin is actually in good hands in the bullpen. I just think that he gets lit up to start out with. So I did sell my til at nine point one here tonight, and I'm gonna be taking a look at the over for the Rangers. I think that they just light our good friend Kaufman up. Like at Christmas Tree, I set the run line where I was one to lay up to a minus one thirty, I'm sitting that at a minus one o five. So looking at the Rangers online and I'm gonna be taking to look at the over and Brad plays up with nine seventy nine ninety on the baky board. The Boston Red Sox a throad face off against the San Diego Potters, Blake Smell goes where the pods, and James Paxson is on the bump for Boston. Boston is an underdog of between plus one twenty eight to eight plus one thirty five between minus one forty two minus one fifty is your number on Sandiego. Eight and a half is the total over his mine one fifteen the under his mines one of five with Potterys one to Lake deal minus one seventy three with them. If you're looking at the run line, find that between plus one thirty and plus one forty was willing to take anything north of plus one fifteen. Blake Snell has not been good this far this season, but I have more faith in him than I doing James packs And who has made fewer than tense starts since the beginning of the twenty twenty season. His first start against the same of those Cardinals, he was able to get nine strikeouts. That said, I don't think that Lightning is going to be striking twice. And for Blake Seal, I mean the strikeout numbers are still there for them, right around nine and a half strikeouts, BER nine and X. Big thing is he's got to contain the walks north of five walks, ber nin and innings thus far this season, and for the potteris they're currently hitting you below with the Mindio's line of a two hundred with runners in scoring position. I mean, this is an offense that's not living up to their building. But at the same time they are getting really sticking unlucky on balls and play as well, and we should be seeing some positive progression here as right now You've got Jake Cronenworth thinking about it two twenty and then the entire catcher, Spot Trunk, Ritcho, Matt Carpenter, Rude edodor All these guys areting a two ten or lower. Rude Edodar is going to be staying there because he sucks. But at the same time, I do think that the Patters are going to be able rise up a little bit more. Now Manny Machado, he's

dealing with a little bit of an injury on his hands, so that's not great. But for one Soto over the last we're gonna call it twenty one days, he's hitting above a three Under Sandra Bogers, he's being able to apply a two to seventy five average. For the Patres, they always hit worse at home than they do on the road. That's just because well they play at peck Go Park, and peck Goo Park is about his picture from the ads it kits. That's why they'reriving right around four point three runs per game on the road, not great, but that falls about three point five at home. And for the Boston Red Sox, his team has been just a demonstrative scoring team in general. They arriving about five point six runs per game. That's one of the top marks in the big leagues. They have had a tough time with they're pitching, and I mean, I feel like they're eighteenth in Bullpenny Ara is going to go downward as the season goes along, because you just take a look at some of these guys in the bullpen. They finally dfa'de. Ryan Brazier, Richard Blyer is nothing special. I honestly like Chris Martin along with John Schreiber, but now Schreiber's on the injured list. Kenley Jansen, as we know, he is not someone that you want to be banking on at the end of the game. And for the Boston Red Sox, if you take a look their advanced numbers, they're expected slugging. It is a little bit high right now in terms of the actual slugging versus the expected numbers. They're in about fifteen points higher in terms of their batting average unexpected as well as that's collective, they're hitting at two seventy two right now. You've got so many guys like Rob Revsnider, Justin Turner down for what, Emmanuel feld As, they're in between about a two seventy two to two eighty, Masatakia Yashida, Alex Ferdugo, they're both hitting in that pocket about a three hundred, and then you've got Raphael Devers slugging out eleven home runs thus far this season. I do think that we're going to see a little bit of negative regression there. And for the San Diego patters, Boo Been has been far from amazing for this seam, but if you got one of the best closers in the big leagues in Josh Hader, they're up to seventh actually in terms of Bullpenny Aria. Tom cross Grove has been a very good addition for the seam. Lewis Garcia got off to our really bad start to the season, but now he's working his way downward as well as in the last fifteen days is not allowed to earn run so after a rough start to the season, he's starting to pick it up. Nick Martinez has been a good long guy for the team. Steven Wilson, He's been able to give you about a three four era as well. So I do think the Blake's all going to be able to go out there and just do a better job than James Taxon. And I do think that runs are coming for the Potterys, and it starts with going up against the guy in James Taxon that just has not seen a lot of big league action last few years. So willing to take the San Diego Potters on the run line and it's up. I do a little bit north of nine side at eight and a half, looking at the over end the Potter's run line. That wrap things up for the Friday edition of The Baseball Betting Show, now part of the Vson Family podcast. If you do like careering from this time podcast Baseball Betting Show Year, subscribe wherever your podcasts Apple Podcasts, Google by Spotify, sit your engine and if you have a question, comment segment idea. When I have you for this podcast. You do have one of two ways we have further those in. First one is my Twitter timeline I tuned undred forty one. Keep in mind let sum that mean does not matter, so as per usual, please just send these into the timeline. Otherwise, find an Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast y starves, it is very much appreciate it. From there, you're able fire whatever you'd like here on this podcast via the five star. A few big thanks to Matt Williams of the Game Day MLB for joining me in line segment coming at you guys every single day without the baseball season, that means up coming at you. What's get them out? Thank you so much for doing it.