TRANSCRIPT 🔗
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Two months ago we told you post quantum crypto
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was coming that Cisco's August release and a
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wave of vendors would make the migration real
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So did it happen? Here's the number that answers
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it as of this spring More than two -thirds of
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human web traffic to cloudflare is already post
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quantum encrypted not planned not piloted Encrypted
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today by default the migration didn't just get
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real it became the default on the majority of
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the web This is tech updates. Here's how that
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happened so fast and it's almost invisible. Your
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browser did it for you. Chrome, Edge, and Firefox
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quietly switched their TLS handshakes to a hybrid
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key exchange. Classical crypto plus ML chem,
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the new post quantum standard starting in late
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2024. Every time you load a modern website over
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one of the big edge networks, you're already
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using it. A year ago, it was a minority of connections.
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Today, it's the majority. The most consequential
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crypto upgrade in decades shipped as a browser
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update most people never noticed. So did our
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June prediction hold? Mostly, yes. We said, Cisco
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would put post -quantum crypto into IOS XE. They
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did. Their switch software already ships full
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stack post quantum, secure boot, image signing,
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and IPsec VPN key exchange, all quantum safe.
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The August release extends it across the SD -WAN
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overlay and adds hardware acceleration, though
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those pieces are rolling out rather than confirmed
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live. And the quantum ready assessments we mentioned,
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the tool that scans your network for harvest
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now decrypt later exposure, went live in July
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as planned. The vendor promises landed. But it's
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not just Cisco. And that's the real story. Apple's
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iMessage has used post -quantum encryption since
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2024. AWS added it to Secrets Manager in April.
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Microsoft shipped the algorithms into Windows.
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OpenSSL and OpenSSH have it built in. The standards
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body NIST finalized the algorithms two years
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ago, and now the entire ecosystem has shipped.
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post -quantum crypto stopped being an availability
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problem. It's a deployment problem now. The code
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exists everywhere, and the only question is whether
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you've turned it on. One stat before we move
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on, and it's the one that moved the whole timeline.
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To break the encryption protecting your data
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today, a quantum computer needs a certain number
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of qubits. In 2019, the estimate was 20 million.
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In May of 2025, Google researchers cut it to
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under 1 million. In February of 2026, another
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team cut it to under 100 ,000. From 20 million
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to 100 ,000 in about a year. Nobody has that
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machine yet. But the target got 200 times easier
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to hit. And that's why everyone suddenly started
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shipping. And here's what turns a good idea into
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you have no choice. On June 22nd, the White House
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signed an executive order, 14 -4 -12, setting
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hard federal deadlines. High -value systems must
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move to post -quantum key exchange by the end
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of 2030, authentication by 2031. NIST's guidance
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deprecates RSA and ECC after 2030 and disallows
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them entirely by 2035. This isn't a white paper
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anymore. It's law with dates on it. If you're
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studying for Security Plus or the new SecurityX
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exam, here's exactly where this lands. The crypto
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you're learning isn't being replaced. the key
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exchange inside it is. Your IPsec VPNs, your
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TLS handshakes, your PKI, your SSH, all of them
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are being upgraded to hybrid MLChem. Know the
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players RSA and ECC are the vulnerable ones MLChem
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MLDSA and SLHDSA are the NIST replacements and
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the one concept that ties it together is crypto
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agility building systems So you can swap the
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algorithm with a config change not a forklift
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upgrade. So here's the close two years ago The
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cryptographers handed us the cure. This year
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the vendors shipped it, and the majority of the
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web already runs on it. Q Day might be 2030,
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it might be later. But Harvest Now Decrypt Later
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means the data you send this afternoon is already
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being recorded. The migration is no longer the
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hard part. Turning it on before the disease arrives,
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that's the only job left. That's the show. If
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this made you check whether your VPN is quantum
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safe yet, good. Go ask your vendor. We're back
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next week with more tech updates. Stay sharp.