TRANSCRIPT 🔗
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Speaker 1: This is Sharp Money with Patrick maher on fees in the Sports Betty Network.
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Speaker 2: All right, Sharp Money our three presented by DraftKings. This is vsin the Sports Betting Network. Hope you're having a good day, busy day sports betting wise. Of course, You've got a ton College Hardwood tonight, Purdue hosting Rutkers a good one here out West late night with Arizona hosting Washington State, FAU hosting SMU, another good one. You've got a full slate of NBA games with the NBA off the All Star break, eleven on the ice. We just had the Big guy dustin Sweetelson Live downtown Las Vegas. You were just telling me we had some Cactus League going on. I think the Dodgers pounding the Padres right now.
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Speaker 3: Yeah.
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Speaker 4: I got Casual ten to one in the sixth and the Dodger's not done threatening.
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Speaker 3: They've got two on.
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Speaker 4: Nobody out and I don't know who's playing because the guy at bat is wearing number eighty eight, So unless it's Michael Irvin, I don't have a clue.
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Speaker 2: I think it's Wayne Gretzky. Another point about that in the Vson Daily Today, which is free The Vson newsletter to start your day. A nice little nugget from Bill ad and Adam Burke about betting preseason baseball. So if it's something that intimidates you, I would encourage you all to go check that out. And then coming up on Monday, we've got a free primer coming out on college baseball, and then we'll have a proper excuse me, and Major League Baseball Baseball. Then we'll have a proper Major League Baseball betting guide coming out as well. We're going to push Alan Bell, who does a great job part of the family hit with Dayton and Mason last night on the over. He's got a punch of plays. We're going to push him back ten minutes. So let's get into the NBA here, big guy. I mentioned it a full slate tonight, and I want to start with your d lo angle. So D'Angelo Russell, I compare him to Javier Bias. When Biaz, the shortstop there, signed with the Tigers, I was like, are you freaking kidding me? That is a losing baseball player, and he has lived up to the hype for sure. Now I consider D'Angelo Russell to be that player. He's a dude, that's going to put up numbers. But he's just a losing player. He's not going to defend. He's all about himself. He's the worst NBA player, but the best prop value, if that makes sense as far as a juxtaposition. And that's why hunting these props is so important because you caneshew the side, you can eschew the total, and you can start hunting some of these individual player props. And so it doesn't necessarily matter if you're a winning player as long as we can get there as far as combos, points, rebounds, assists, whatever it is. And d Lo with the assists has been hot, so dustin the D'Angelo Russell angle is yours.
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Speaker 3: Yeah.
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Speaker 4: Look, I'm a little sick of hearing people talk about the NBA and say, oh, I don't like all
Load full transcript
the load management. We don't know who's playing the injuries every night. If you're betting, that means there's an opportunity because that means someone else on the roster is going to get more time, more usage, more flow into the offense, and that leads them.
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Speaker 3: Going over the numbers.
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Speaker 4: The props are set up because for the most part, these props are based on their averages, whether it's home away, what they've been doing lately. So you look at D'Angelo Russell. Lebron has missed seven games this year. When Lebron doesn't play in a game, D'Angelo Russell averages nine point seven assists.
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Speaker 3: Why is that interesting?
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Speaker 4: His prop tonight said it's seven and a half minus one six on the juice, so I think you have to fire on him. It's eleven assists, ten assists, eight, eight, ten, fourteen, seventeen. In fact, five of the seven games Lebron hasn't played in this year, D'Angelo Russell has had at least ten assists in those games. He's never had less than eight without Lebron. So that's I like over seven and a half assists on DiAngelo Russell for all of those reasons, but I also like to add to it.
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Speaker 3: You could put a little sprinkle here.
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Speaker 4: Ten plus assists plus two forty He's had at least ten assists in five out of these seven games they're playing the war. There's also an element of he's playing one of his former teams, and I just tend to think guys have a little bit of an edge when they do that.
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Speaker 2: Okay, Motivation certainly in play there for d lo I will give you this. Now you got to pay a tax. But right now DraftKings has D'Angel Russell assists at six and a half minus one sixty six. So again you're closer to even money on the seven and a half. But right now DraftKings is showing six and a half one sixty six. You're gonna lay the juice.
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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I don't love laying juice like that, but he's gonna go oh for six and a half. Like the numbers are just insane when Lebron doesn't play, because I think we always forget that Lebron is so much of a facilitator despite not being a point guard. Well, when he's off the floor, someone else is going to have to make those passes. It's d'angela Russell. Now, sometimes he does get more buckets, and that's fine if you want to combine the points and assists, because you don't love just backing into one cornering yourself with one of those possible stats to bet on. But I think the assist is the way to go. Because they don't have a facilitator. He becomes the number one facilitator for this team.
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Speaker 2: Okay, I'll make this simple when talking for those that are just starting off NBA betting or prop betting, in particular with individual players, I'll make this very simple. You start attacking the other team's weaknesses. For example, tonight shooting guards, Indiana doesn't guard them well. Jade and Ivy, I think he's sitting at seventeen and a half for
the Pistons. That's again, you start with the opponent's weaknesses against position by position, and then Dustin mentioned usage. Okay, I'll give you an example. So when Kawhi Leonard was out, the ball is going to be in whom's hand more. Now that's James Harden. James Harden's usage goes up when Kuhi is out. He's going to get to the lane more, He's going to get to the free throw line more. And then, to make it very simple with the injuries, you have to start looking at minute allocation. So you're going to find guys for example, this one right here, d Lo is going to play more minutes in a spot like this. So you're looking minute allocation usage rate and look for other team's deficiencies and guarding certain positions. It's a good place to start, and you can build on that template as far as player props. But I think it's a pretty good place to start their big guy.
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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm just looking at DraftKings for some alternate lines if you want to do. If you don't want to pay that heavy juice on d Lo, Look, you don't want to go ten plus assists.
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Speaker 3: Like I did it at the plus two sixty five.
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Speaker 4: Number, they have an alternate number at eight and a half seen Dangelo Russell. Again, the numbers when when Lebron's off the floor are crazy for him, eight and a half with that plus money juice. I love that as well. If I had the opportunity to fire, and I would Right now.
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Speaker 2: Doc Rivers is now the head coach of the Milwaukee Bucks and it's been a disastrous start and most believe, and I'll give you the numbers in the market right now, most believe they're going to course correct. That being the Milwaukee Bucks, I don't see it coming. If you watch this team, something's off, and it's not just defensively. For example, heading into the break, Now, those are very particular. When a team's heading into the All Star break. There's the human element of teams looking ahead to vacation if they're not a part of the All Star breaks. So sometimes you throw it out, but I'll point to this the G League team that the Memphis Grizzlies are now running out on that court. It's not very impressive. Milwaukee on their way into the break went down to Memphis and loss. Now you might say, Patrick, you're contradicting yourself. You just said don't worry about a team heading into the break because they're looking ahead to Cabo Wabbo. That's not the case with the Bucks. The Bucks had an opportunity to win that game in Memphis heading into the break, but they had mismanagement on offense and were confused late with running their sets.
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Speaker 3: That's an issue.
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Speaker 2: A team that is so prolific offensively in the Bucks, who's been so decrepit frankly not very good defensively this year, if they're going to start having problems on offense, well that is an issue, all right. And I'm just taking a look right now at the market. Because of Giannis's status, you're always going to have inflated value in the market when we're talking about the Milwaukee Bucks. So I'm looking right now team futures let's take a look at the conference winners, just for example. So the Celta are close to even money. They're plus one fifteen to come out of the East. The Bucks are your second betting favorite, and there's a chasm from two to three. The Bucks are three to one, and then Knicks are seven to one. The Calves, who I like, are nine to one, and then seventy six ers or twelve to one. Now I brought up Doc because we all were like, that doesn't make a ton of sense. Yes, a regular season coach. Yes he has a good network in the NBA. Yes he loves to golf, but it's not an inspiring hire because of the lack of success in the postseason. Dusty can go ahead and set up this clip because it sounds like even Doc was surprised he got the job.
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Speaker 5: Yeah.
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Speaker 4: Doc Rivers was consulting from Milwaukee at the time, and apparently the ownership of Milwaukee decided, we want to fire our head coach Adrian Griffin replace them with Doc Rivers.
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Speaker 3: And this was Doc's reaction personally. You know, I'll be honest, I touch own our owners when they call it. I said, I think you.
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Speaker 5: I don't understand why you're doing this, you know, and they said, you know, one of the things they said it was it doesn't matter.
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Speaker 3: We've done it now and we want you. And so that was a tough one.
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Speaker 5: I didn't That's where you had to hesitation.
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Speaker 2: Okay, Now, I just told you the issues on both ends of the court. Dame obviously a defensive liability without Drew Holliday. And now you've got the head coach that replaced and was a consultant for the Bucks saying he didn't think they should have fired the former coach. Now, if you watch this energy prior, you knew he had to go. So Doc coming in and talking on serious x NBA radio right there saying I didn't think they should have done it. It doesn't necessarily bode well motivationally moving forward.
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Speaker 3: That is a weird clip.
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Speaker 4: It's all weird, And I don't know how the players view Doc, Like there's nothing about Doc's history that leads you to believe we have a problem and this is the doctor to fix it.
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Speaker 3: Too easy? Great, you want to stick with it.
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Speaker 2: Hey, before we get to Alan Bell, let's hear from Jason Tatum, Because Tatum, there's a lot of il I use the parallel with Tatum this year Kyle Shanahan. I know it's a weird cross sport analogy, but comparison. But Tatum's got some pressure on him now he's been here. He's got the best team in the NBA. Numbers wise, advanced analytics wise, it's by far the best team in the NBA net wise, shooting percentage, affective field goal like anywhere anywhere you want to look.
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Speaker 3: And you can go ahead and set this up with Tatum.
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Speaker 4: Yeah, he joined ESPN and I believe it was Malika Andrews here
and was asked a question about who's the best player right now in the NBA.
00:10:42
Speaker 2: Who do you think is the best player in the NBA right now?
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Speaker 6: Myself is that you always had that kind of confidence because I asked you that question a year ago and you said it was honest.
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Speaker 3: So what's given you that confidence?
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Speaker 6: I got a lot of respect for a lot of guys in money to be honest and being guys that wont to the teams, and the list goes on us. The league is in a great place. I truly believe everybody else on the floor. I'm the best player.
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Speaker 3: Okay, well fake it till you make it. Yeah, that's what that is. You gotta be.
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Speaker 2: Careful because the Celtics are great and he's a good kid. I'm not pretending like Tatum and Brown aren't good dudes. I'm not pretending like Porzingis and Drew Holliday don't add an element to the team they were missing last year. In fact, I thought the element that was the issue last year was Marcus Smart with the ball in his hands. Late Marcus Smart's no longer on the boss of Celtics. There are no excuses this year. They're plus two sixty. You're betting favorite in the market to win a championship. Your second betting favorite the Nuggets at plus four seventy five.
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Speaker 3: Alan Bell is next.
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Speaker 1: This is sharp money. But Patrick maher vs The Sports Betting Network.
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Speaker 3: Okay, check out the new paint job over at vson dot com.
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Speaker 2: A fresh look, enhanced navigation, mobile first focus which is important, and proof functionality, expanded educational content. It's all there vsin dot com to check it out. Now we're going to bring in an og in the betting space. I used to follow Alan Bell for years over at CBS, and now he's got a new endeavor. It's called driving the line. Make sure you go check it out on YouTube and support it. It's very good. Jonathan Coachman, Howie Schwabz in the mix with Alan. You can find Alan on Twitter at alang Bell and yesterday part of the Family plays. He gave you a little rocking chair winner there with Dayton and George Mason over nice little start there, Alan, How were you fantastic?
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Speaker 7: I appreciate you guys had me back on and yeah, you know, you always want to start off nicely, So glad that that worked out well. And two I was on the website earlier actually, so it's funny that you bring that up.
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Speaker 3: You're exactly right. It is mobile focused. Man.
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Speaker 7: Definitely want everybody to check that one out, because you know, when you go to a website and it's just clunky and not working, it's just awful.
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Speaker 3: You guys have the exact opposite of that. It's fantastic.
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Speaker 2: The checks in the mail, Alan Bell, the checks in the mail you mentioned the Tennessee Titans. I don't know if anybody's more dial than than you. I want to ask you because we were talking about the free agent running back.
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Speaker 3: So Derek Henry is going to be on the move.
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Speaker 2: Can you talk about what he meant to the Titans and kind of a big picture Derrick Henry conversation as far as his impact.
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Speaker 7: Absolutely, let me say this, Derrick Henry is everything that you would ever want in a teammate, in a player that you're a fan base of.
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Speaker 3: All of it.
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Speaker 7: I will say this right now to any NFL team out there listening, go get this guy.
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Speaker 3: He is absolutely a leader in the locker room.
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Speaker 7: He sets the tone quietly for everyone, and I guarantee you you get him on the field. He said this at Alabama and it holds true. Ball ain't heavy, He'll carry as many times as you want him to. The guy is absolutely everything that you would want in a player. I'm telling you, whichever team signs him, you will see. I know his value running backs not super high. His value is way higher than that.
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Speaker 3: Man. I couldn't sing Dereck Henry's praises enough. Brian Callahan in and you would.
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Speaker 2: I don't think this would shock you allan, but the Vrabel conversation really picked up momentumly. I think people were shocked that he was let go, and then more shocking with all the openings he didn't pick up a head coaching job. Were you just start there? Were you shocked? Rabel was let go?
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Speaker 3: Absolutely all right?
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Speaker 7: And the reason being is this is last year the Titans brought in Ran Carthon to be the general manager from San Francisco. It quite frankly, him and Rabel just didn't really get along because Mike Grabel wanted kind of that autonomy of what Bill Belichick had in New England, right. He wanted to kind of, you know, go buy the groceries and set the dinner after the previous general manager, John Robinson, kind of let this thing get out of hand, and then when they traded Aj Brown, that was kind of the end of it. So I was very surprised that he was let go because Mike Rabels won a lot of games, and if you want to see how the players feel, just go check out guys like Taylor Lawad Derrick Henry himself and others. They were all surprised by it because Mike Rabel, he's a heck of a football coach.
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Speaker 3: But I do believe that that general manager part.
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Speaker 7: I think teams are afraid to do that, and I think that's why we see both him and Belichick without jobs this year.
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Speaker 2: Callahan brought in good with quarterbacks. If I were to ask Tennessee Titans fans, if I were to go ask a thousand of them right now, what percentage would say we're all in on Will Levis?
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Speaker 7: I would say about ninety percent. Like the fan base likes Will Levis a lot, right, Like the guy. He kind of has that Philip Rivers fire to him, you know what I mean, Like, that's exactly what this fan base likes. Not to mention, played at Kentucky, So you have that sec aspect
that the fan base has watched him, they know him, they're comfortable with him, and they like him. So yeah, I would say about ninety percent they are all in on Will Levis. The problem is that now you don't have Derrick Henry, you have no offensive line. There's really no skill weapons position players out there. Besides DeAndre Hopkins, what else do you have? They've got a lot of work to do.
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Speaker 3: But yeah, bases behind Will for sure.
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Speaker 2: I think it would stood out to me with Levis. Obviously we understand the cannon, but his temperament stood out. Now, I don't know if that Yoked deal is all overly good for a quarterback because the dude is actually absolutely chiseled, But I just I got a vibe that he just had this temperament. He's a dog, right, he has. He's got a good attitude.
00:16:38
Speaker 3: Yeah, he does.
00:16:39
Speaker 7: You know, he would have fit on this Tennessee Titans team two three years ago, right when they were, you know, competing to go to the AFC Championship, number one in the AFC. Like that's the attitude really that Mike Vrabel brought in right, Like he's kind of the perfect Mike Rabel guy. So we'll see with Callahan because you know, there are some things that Levis doesn't do great, but he's got a strong arm, tough kid and exactly what you just said, you know, he fights for it.
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Speaker 3: And that's what Ryan Tannehill was too quiet leader.
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Speaker 7: He wasn't you know, as loud, you know, quite frankly, I don't say that negatively about Levis, but Ryan Tannehill was just a very very quiet guy on the outside. So we'll see, man. But you know, the Titans, they just have some work to do, just personnel wise. They've got to get a lot of talent in a very quick amount of time.
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Speaker 2: Yeah, tanny Hill had an underrated career as a Titan because he had a revolving door at OC so you could never I think, maybe a little overlooked, but I digress. Alan Bell Betting analysts driving the Line on YouTube.
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Speaker 3: Make sure you check that out. Alan G.
00:17:37
Speaker 2: Bell on Twitter. Let's get to the place, and we're going to start with the NBA. We're back baby, the final third of the season, and we're going to go to Golden State Lakers at the Warriors. Alan, you're targeting in total here over two forty three.
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Speaker 3: Absolutely right.
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Speaker 7: So I think that what we're going to see coming out of the All Star Break, which I think that you have to be careful with players and teams that really weren't involved in the break and have been off for you know, almost a week, that there might be a little bit of just kind of time that you need to get back in the rhythm.
00:18:09
Speaker 3: But pretty much.
00:18:10
Speaker 7: Everybody in the Lakers and the Warriors were involved in this, and I think that after the Lebron trade rumors and after seeing Golden State and especially Klay Thompson against Jujah there both these teams are going to take this game very very seriously, and I think that it's going to be an important one, and that's what you want in an over a back and forth affair.
00:18:26
Speaker 3: Blowouts lead to unders.
00:18:28
Speaker 7: Here, I think you're going to see both teams take this one absolutely seriously and try to get a much needed win.
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Speaker 3: That's why I like playing the old Okay, Alan, let's stick with the NBA. We'll go to Oklahoma City.
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Speaker 2: A great game tonight actually, which kind of a confluence of reasons because SGA traded for Paul George right now. The Clippers hit a half game back of the Oklahoma City Thunder in the West two and three seeds, respectfully, but you're gonna go to the threes.
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Speaker 3: So Kwhi and Paul George.
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Speaker 2: I've got George at three and a half plus one twenty four tonight over at DraftKings and Kwhi at two and a half plus one fourteen absolutely.
00:19:08
Speaker 7: So we're gonna play these a couple of ways here. So first off, we're playing them singularly. I like both of these guys. We saw pretty much the last month or so for the Clippers. Both Paul and Kawhi were hitting and shooting from three just terrifically. I think that that is going to continue, and then we'll get to the other play too. I'm gonna parlay these and you can bring these numbers down in a same game, parlay from three and a half two and a half to basically two, and you compair those with Nikola Yokich, which we'll talk about in a minute. But yeah, with the Clippers, man, Like, I really do think that this is also gonna be a very important game, and I think that the way that they do it and go about it is by not only controlling owning rebounds in the paint, but shooting well from outside. That's become a big part of the Clippers game year, and I think that they can start it back up and continue it tonight.
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Speaker 5: Yeah.
00:19:58
Speaker 3: I agree.
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Speaker 2: If there's one one issue Oklahoma City has, it's defending those big wings. So let me set you up a little better here, Jokic, Kauahi and Paul George on the threes, a little parlay action.
00:20:09
Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, So you can take these down.
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Speaker 7: You can run the same game parlay the Clipper side, and then add in Jokic over essentially half a three. So you need one three from Jokic and you need two from Kawai and two.
00:20:21
Speaker 3: For Paul George.
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Speaker 7: Put those together it's about one thirty. So we're, like we said, we're playing singularly both Paul.
00:20:28
Speaker 3: And Kawhi, and then we're also going to play at parlay.
00:20:31
Speaker 7: For around the same juice here that you could do it, but bring those numbers down and again, Jokic, that number is always either set at half a three or one and a half threes set at half a three tonight.
00:20:43
Speaker 3: I like that because.
00:20:44
Speaker 7: He's gonna put them up, not always gonna hit
him, but you can always count on at least one from you.
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Speaker 3: One more for our guy, Allen. You know, I love it. I'm betting it.
00:20:55
Speaker 2: Let's go Drexel, Let's go dragons in a little Hofst Pride with mister Bell here. I'm gonna go over the number. Now, let me see what the number you have. You got one thirty four and a half. I do see it's gone up a little bit, a little inflated at one thirty five and a half. Well, we still play this one here, yeah.
00:21:10
Speaker 7: Absolutely, man played at one thirty five and a half. These teams just played a week ago. We saw it in the high seventies, and we're not banking on just that. What we're doing and what we played last night in regards to George Bason, are teams that you're going to have a nice back and forth contested affair. Two good, excellent basketball teams that have won fifteen sixteen games plus this year in a game that quite frankly means something. And what we're seeing in college basketball, and again it's kind of all this we put together. We're not banking on just this stat or you know, kind of trend alone.
00:21:42
Speaker 3: But look at the.
00:21:42
Speaker 7: Fouls that we're seeing in college basketball in the second half of games, specifically the last ten minutes. And what we've also seen from coaches in college basketball is that we always seem to get games three minutes left, two minutes left, one team is up by three, and the team that is up by three is now fouling the other team that's down so that they don't have the opportunity to shoot that three and tie the game up.
00:22:07
Speaker 3: So we have seen four or five six.
00:22:10
Speaker 7: More attempts on average of getting to the free throw line, and it's really helped out points. So got to put all those together of a quiet game tonight that could.
00:22:19
Speaker 3: Be the most fun on the board.
00:22:22
Speaker 2: Love it, great cap and congratulations on the new venture driving the line over on YouTube Alan Bell Alan G. Bell on Twitter. Thank you, Alan, appreciate you, Hey, appreciate you guys.
00:22:34
Speaker 3: Thank you for having me. That was great, tremendous information from Alan Bell.
00:22:38
Speaker 2: When we return, We've got more props in the NBA tonight with Bobby Stanley Pickswise. Next here sharp Money.
00:22:52
Speaker 1: This is sharp Money with Patrick maher on vsend the Sports Betting Network.
00:22:57
Speaker 2: Okay, if you come a vson Pro over a com slash Pro, get all the benefits, daily best bets, access to the betting splits. You got the upcoming Big Dance Betting Guide. We've got our Major League Baseball primer dropping on Monday, so a lot of new information over at vson dot Com. Become a pro vsin dot com slash pro. Speaking of pros, we welcome Bobby Stanley on Patrick maher of course, Dustin Sweelson picks Wise Player Propanalysts, the Propshop discord. You can find Bobby on Twitter of course, at prop Holiday. And for somebody that's married to the game, that being the association when they go on an extended break, there's nothing else to do except you got to binge. Love is blind, so I don't know if we have any handicapping Bobby coming out of your binge of love is blind during the All Star break, But if so, fire away, I do.
00:23:48
Speaker 5: I have only one and a half of those relationships athlete workout. It's heavily juiced on the under. No, man, I'm excited. I'm excited for the NBA to return. I as you point out, I was watching some some Netflix with my wife to give her the time. But now we got a lot of good matchups tonight right out of the gate. I think there's there's twelve games, and eleven of those teams are actually on the front end of a back to back. So great scheduling by the NBA. Yeah, kick it off with with Luka Doncic.
00:24:16
Speaker 3: Oh, go ahead, please, no, please go ahead, let's go.
00:24:19
Speaker 5: Oh, kick it up. Let's talk about Doncic over eight and a half rebounds. I got it at minus one ten. Now the recent trade were three games in, they're three and oh. With Gafford and PJ. Washington getting added, there's six and oho over the last six. I really think they're making a push up this Western Conference finals, and we could see Doncic move his name up the board for the MVP list, so averaging fourteen rebound chances per game for nine point three rebounds in a small sample size with Gafford and Washington. But I think defensively it takes some of the burden off Luca. If you could throw a PJ. Washington on it, Kevin Durant, give him a weaker offensive player, he can kind of stag off get a couple of rebound opportunity. I look at don is rebounding profile. What does that mean? Thirty percent of his rebounds are from long to mid range shots. Now, I'm going to tie that information into the Suns. They shoot the most mid range shots in the NBA over the last fifteen So I'm getting it at a number I feel comfortable with that eight and a half. I'll touch on, but I'm getting it in a good matchup. That number eight and a half. He's gone over in four of the last seven, and those three misses they were eight on the nose. So I like the number. I like the matchup. And then lastly, we're getting Don Chich with a little bit of rest. When he has three or more days of rest, he averages eleven point six rebounds per game. So if you want to play over eight and a half. I'm going with that for one unit. You want to bring that down a half of the unit. I play as ault line at ten plus rebounds at plus one sixty five. And then if you're feeling froggy for five or ten bucks, you can't go wrong with a triple double. It's floating around three and a half to one.
00:25:50
Speaker 2: I'm feeling froggy. I just jumped Doncics over eight and a half. Here's what I'm gonna do. I'm gonna get out of the way. Just keep cooking, Bobby, run through your props. Let's go keep cooking.
00:26:00
Speaker 5: You guys came here for the Marvin Bagley props, right, Yes, so I'm on Marvin Bagley of the Washington
Wizards. Another reason trade trade guy. He's got a double double at plus three sixty to night against the Nuggets. It's in Denver. This spreads fifteen and a half. Denver's great at home. I don't disregard any of that as a starter With Washington. He's had a double double in four or five games. All of those games he played twenty eight minutes or more on the season. When he plays twenty five minutes or more, he's got a double double in six to eight. So for Badley, it's a matter of getting on the court, and I think he actually does tonight. He had success in somewhat success against the Nuggets this season. He had fourteen and seven against Denver in seventeen minutes of play back in January. He had eighteen and eight against Denver back in November. If you're going to give me this at nearly four to one, and he's had a double double in four or five starts as the Wizards, I'm going to throw a quarter of a unit anywhere up to half a unit on this. So Marvin Bagleys get.
00:27:00
Speaker 2: Them all the cheap, Marvin Bagley the third double double, keep cooking, Bobby Stanley, Let's go.
00:27:09
Speaker 5: All right, last one best one line maybe gone on sunt some books, but the Unicorn christaphs Perzink is over eighteen and a half. There's a prime example of books hanging a week number early and at getting gobbled up. So I got this two days ago at eighteen and a half. I see it's at nineteen and a half and it's iced all the way up to minus one thirty. In some books, he's cleared eighteen and a half if you can still find it in fifty eight percent of games, averaging twenty points per game on the season. No idea why this came out at eighteen and a half. He's gone over eighteen and a half in sixty percent of road games, and to no one's surprise, he's also benefiting from having the rest. When he gets three or more days rest, he averages twenty one point four points per game. This is a good spot for him. Facing a Chicago Bulls team allowing the most catch and shoot three point attempts and three pointers made over the last fifteen he's averaging two and a half catching s threes a game for this Celtics team. If you can't get the eighteen and a half, it may be gone by now. I would play over one and a half three pointers made. It brings Vouch out of the out of the paint, freeze up the lane for Drew and Jaln Brown slashing. But eat the juice on that, on that over one and a half. I like this threes. I like his points.
00:28:18
Speaker 3: This guy knows what he's doing.
00:28:19
Speaker 2: Bobby Stanley picks Wise Player, prop analysts the prop Shop discord at Prop Holiday, Easy to follow on Twitter. Let's get to the Hornets. So Utah is hosting Charlotte tonight. You had them at nine and a half. I'll do you half a point better. You can take Charlotte catching ten tonight in Utah.
00:28:38
Speaker 5: I'm shocked, man, I mean they won three straight games the Hornets since the trade. They look like an entirely different team. I mean, Trey Man, big body guard, he's filling up the stat sheet. He's finally getting some some burn coming away from Oklahoma City. I know we'll talk about them a little bit, but I like this team. I like how they're playing. Brandon Miller, He's he's coming into his own. I think he's at twenty two points per game over the last three in that stretch. Miles Bridges looks good as well. I look at Utah. Yes they're good at home, but their average margin of victory it's about six points per game. I'm going to take the nine and a half on a Hornets team that they look like they're enjoying playing basketball again. So maybe we don't see LaMelo in a Hornets shirts as much longer, but I'm taking the points. I'm taking them against you, John on the road.
00:29:23
Speaker 2: Yeah, ten does feel steep. I agree the Hornets take the ten at the Jazz. I told you I wanted to ask you about the Clippers in Thunder just because it's an interesting matchup for a multitude of reasons. Right now, the Thunder are laying one and we've got a total of two thirty five. I know you have a prop in this game, but I'd like to get an idea where you stand on both the Clippers and Thunder moving forward.
00:29:48
Speaker 5: I have some exposure pretty early in the season to the Thunder winning the West and winning the finals. I just really like their young core. I think I got it at fifty to one. I got it extremely early on in the season. I'm sorry I got a thirty five to one early on this season, but I like this team. I wanted them to get more of a ring protector at the deadline. Instead, they bring in Gordon Hayward, which is good because he could start over Giddy to close the game. I'm excited to see kind of what Hayward looks like in this in this Thunder lineup. But the Clippers are another team. I bet them to win the nd season tournament. It was a couple of weeks after the hard and hardened trade. They looked terrible, but I knew the pieces were there. It might have been a little bit too early on the Clippers, but this is a battle for the second seed in the West. It could be a potential Western Conference Finals matchup, depending how the shakes out. A young team, a lot with nothing to lose and a lot to prove, an SGA going for MVP, and then you got the Vets over in LA that are they're sacrificing their ego. All of their usage came down hardens buying in. I think the sky's the women for both of these teams. This could be the game of the night.
00:30:55
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't wait to watch that one. Totally agree. I wanted to ask you just about Boston in general. You were talking about poor zingis earlier, Bobby like this is they're so short in the market to come out of the East plus one ten, they're plus one sixty, far and away, you're favorite to win a championship. Are you all in on this Boston team or do you got to see it?
00:31:17
Speaker 5: I'm not all in on them. I don't like how they close games. They feel like they lose a little bit of steam late in games. I don't trust Joe Mizzoula. I feel
like he can get out coached by a Tibbs, obviously by an Eric Spolstra. The talent's obviously there. I questioned some of their bench, but that's why I think they went out and get a Jaden Springer. I need to see more from their bench. I don't know the health of Kris STAPs. Obviously, when they're when he's on the floor, they're the best five in the NBA. I totally totally respect that, but when you come to playoff basketball, you need to play six or seven deep, and you need to be able to trust those guys. I don't know who I trust six or seven for that Celtics team. And again the coaching and just how they've closed out games, so I don't think they're a slam dunk to win the East at all. The values not there.
00:32:00
Speaker 2: For me, tremendous. You're the best prop holiday picks Wise. Make sure you check him out. Pickswise do a great job as well the prop shop discord. Now, love is blind, but unfortunately you have to tell your wife that love is dead because you can't watch the show with her anymore.
00:32:17
Speaker 3: Bobby, because the NBA is back.
00:32:18
Speaker 5: Fair, We're gonna switch positions. She'll be the one on her phone on the couch while I sit and watch my show. It's a fair swap.
00:32:28
Speaker 3: That's called marriage.
00:32:29
Speaker 2: You got to make sacrifices at Prop Holiday on Twitter, Bobby, you're the best.
00:32:34
Speaker 3: We'll talk to you soon. Thank you very much.
00:32:37
Speaker 5: Thank you, guys. Take care.
00:32:39
Speaker 2: Okay, there he goes, And I do believe as we say goodbye to Bobby, I believe the Big Guy has wrangled Bobby into part of being part of the family with the family plays as well, right, but.
00:32:50
Speaker 4: He's been extended in invitation into the family, so we can expect more props coming our way from one Bobby Stanley at Prop Holiday, which to me is one of the great Twitter handles we've seen.
00:33:00
Speaker 2: No it is, And you know what I like about Bobby, He just gets right into it. Hey, I got don kitch over eight and a half rebounds, let me cook and.
00:33:07
Speaker 3: As a host, that's what I like. It's just like, let me get out of the way.
00:33:10
Speaker 2: They're going to pay me to listen to a prop expert handout prop So Don kitch over eight and a half, Marvin Bagley the Third a double double plus money. Porzingis over eighteen and a half and I believe Dustin correct me. But Bobby also had Porzingis was a three and a half over.
00:33:26
Speaker 3: That sounds right.
00:33:27
Speaker 4: He look, he's an ISO handicapper. Get out of his way, clear some space and I'll get it done.
00:33:32
Speaker 3: Hornets take the ten in Utah.
00:33:35
Speaker 2: Great job by Bobby. We're back with the picks and closing some tabs. Next here Sharp Money.
00:33:51
Speaker 1: This is sharp Money. But Patrick maher on fis end these Sports Betting.
00:33:56
Speaker 2: Network this week on DraftKings Sports Book, new customer i'mers can deposit five dollars and get a no sweat bet up to one thousand dollars in bonus bets if your first bet loses. Download the app and use the promo code VS and vsin when you sign up DraftKings Sportsbook. The crown is yours shot the DraftKings as we welcome you back. We're presented by DraftKings. This is Sharp Money vs. The Sports Betty Network on Patrick maher live from Los Angeles, the Big Guy Dustin Sweetelson there at the d We do have Halterman's video yet to play with the family vid Big Guy, so we'll get.
00:34:27
Speaker 3: That one ready.
00:34:28
Speaker 2: I've got you know what this is for you, big guy. I've got to play its vibes right. But it's a tip of the hat to my partner. Okay, And remember you just talked about eleven teams are going to be on the second half of it, back to back coming out of the extended All Star break tomorrow. But tonight, everybody's fresh, injuries still persist.
00:34:47
Speaker 3: Let's go to Philly, just.
00:34:49
Speaker 2: About an hour, hour and twenty minutes away from New York. Both the Knicks and seventy six Ers are going to be rested, but we're dealing with injuries here. I've got the Knicks catching a point a half tonight now again two very injured rosters, no Joel Embiid, and you can finish fill it in for me.
00:35:07
Speaker 3: Starting lineup tonight for.
00:35:09
Speaker 4: The seventy six Ers, Let's go Tyrese, Maxi, Buddy Healed, Nick Batoomb, Tobias Harris, Paul Reid. Because the Anthony Melton, Robert Covington and of course Duel Embiid are all out for Philly.
00:35:20
Speaker 3: Then you look at the Knicks.
00:35:22
Speaker 2: Randall continues to be out og and Anobi out Mitchell Robinson out. However, I think the Knicks have a depth advantage. I think he's going to turn into a shooting game. And I like Dante DiVincenzo, who went into the break absolutely hot. Jalen Brunson, we just saw him in a three point contest, and also Hitten weapon Bugdanovich an elite catch and shoot spacer. I like this Knicks team tonight. I think again rested easy trip to Philly. I just think with the injury situation to both teams, I think the Knicks have the depth advantage. I just think they have the better roster right now with all the injuries. I'll take the and a half with the Knicks. Go New York, go.
00:36:03
Speaker 4: Curious to see how Buddy Healed comes out in the second half, because he finished it red hot for Philly. Point total said at sixteen and a half, and he's gone over that number in every single game since joining Philly.
00:36:14
Speaker 3: I think he's an interesting guy to watch.
00:36:15
Speaker 4: I could be convinced to fire on him against the Knicks because he's gonna need to shoot with all those other guys out.
00:36:21
Speaker 2: See, because here's the thing, and i' let's just explain it to you really quickly. You ego based me vibes based with the partner tip of the cap to you as a fake Knicks fan.
00:36:32
Speaker 3: See, but I knew that was coming the whole time.
00:36:34
Speaker 4: At some point I knew
part of the handicap was you like my team better than I like my team, And I knew that was coming.
00:36:40
Speaker 3: I just knew it.
00:36:41
Speaker 2: You didn't know what was coming. You always pretend like you do, do we before we get to your plays? I know you got a ton you want to play the Ultiman Family vid.
00:36:49
Speaker 4: Of course, the plus money prints have to hear from him for the end of the show, not only just because he's super sharp, but also because if not, he'll text me and be like, you didn't play my clip today?
00:36:58
Speaker 3: Let's play it? What is up? Sharp? Money?
00:37:02
Speaker 8: Back for a Thursday? Here is We're gonna go to the ice once again. We're gonna go a plus money game once again. All right, let's look at it. I'm gonna go to the Saint Louis Blues today plus one hundred to get the job done at home against the New York Islanders. I think the wrong team is favored here. That's the biggest reason for going with the Blues in the spot. Hey, they have a better record. B they are pretty solid at home where the Islanders are not. See it seems like they're playing better hockey right now. Yes, the Blues have lost three out of four, but two of those three came to Toronto, one of the hottest teams in the league, and then Nashville, another team that's very hot right now. New York Islanders they did get right, they lost three in a row. They did beat the Penguins in their last game, five to four and overtime. However, the Penguins are kind of slumping as well, so I wasn't overly impressed with that. I think the Blues should be favored here and they're not. We're getting even money on the money line, so I'm gonna go with the Saint Louis Blues tonight to get the job done there at the Enterprise Center. I think it'll be a tight game and they would have a low scoring game. If you wanted to play under in this, I think it would make sense as well.
00:38:02
Speaker 3: But I think the Blues get the job done.
00:38:03
Speaker 8: They bounce back after.
00:38:05
Speaker 3: A couple of tough losses.
00:38:06
Speaker 8: So give me the Blues at even money tonight as my best bet of the day.
00:38:11
Speaker 2: Tremendous job by Aaron Haltzman plus money Prince trying to keep that Moniker going take the blues tonight. I think he can catch him at plus one oh five plus one ten as we speak, big guy, you've got a ton keep cooking, all right.
00:38:25
Speaker 4: I mentioned I like the D'Angelo Russell prop over seven and a half assists. You're feeling spicy ten plus assists plus two forty. This one is off the board right now. I bet it last night, but I love it. Cole Anthony over eleven and a half points and assists only minus one zero three. When it comes to the big Markel, Folts is out tonight. He's been out thirty two games this year. That is a massive sample size when we look at who benefits when a player is not playing. When Folts is out of the lineup, Cole Anthony averages seventeen points sixty eight combined points plus
assists. He's gone over the number of eleven and a half in twenty out of those thirty two games. So we'll ride with Cole Anthony over eleven and a half points and assists. And then finally, Andrew Nemhart from Indiana over nine and a half points. Juice is minus won thirty three, but I like it. Three games where Aaron Nestsmith hasn't played and Nestmuth is out for the Pacers tonight thirteen twelve and fourteen points over and all three and they were all before the Siakam trade when he was added. But Buddy healed, leaving opens more wing minutes for Andrew Nemhart to get more playing time tonight. So we're gonna go Indiana's Andrew Nemhart over nine and a half points and then a flyer. We're gonna do this home team's hard to win on the road in college hoops.
00:39:38
Speaker 3: Two and six is Liberty on the road in conference play one in five.
00:39:41
Speaker 4: Ats on the road, one in seven eighty as a road favorite, one in seven ats on the road. Overall, they're just ten twelve and one ats as a team. This year, they're playing FIU, who's not very good. But FIU is getting seven and a half points at home. There's a revenge angle here. They lost by nine to Liberty earlier in the year. We're going to take FIU plus seven and a half at home versus Liberty.
00:40:04
Speaker 7: Look at the.
00:40:05
Speaker 3: Big guy any capping experts.
00:40:07
Speaker 2: A lot of numbers, a lot of numbers talking fast, but I got them all. When the big guy sends me a play, I play you catch eight with the Golden Panthers tonight hosting Jamie Chadwell's Flames.
00:40:22
Speaker 3: Yeah, I said it.
00:40:23
Speaker 2: Hey, I'm going to fade the steam here Orlando at Cleveland.
00:40:27
Speaker 3: So check this out, big guy.
00:40:28
Speaker 2: This number opened two sixteen and a half on the total, it's been met up to two eighteen and a half. Orlando and Cleveland two of the best defensive teams in basketball. Cleveland's allowing just one hundred and four points per while Orlando's giving up one eight. Two strong defenses looking to clamp down following the All Star break completely rested, two teams that want to show improve young teams in the Eastern Conference. Not great shooting teams, although the offensive firepower is obviously there for the Cavs, but these are two teams built off of defensive identity and a half up to two eighteen and a half. Fade the steam, big guy, let's go under two eighteen and a half.
00:41:05
Speaker 3: Magic Calves ooh spicy under.
00:41:08
Speaker 4: First day back from my break, Maybe just a little too relaxed while.
00:41:12
Speaker 3: They were away, slow getting going.
00:41:14
Speaker 2: I'm feeling the vibe lethargic. Do you got Do you want a couple of Gable plays? Or what should I do here? Gable cent over three.
00:41:24
Speaker 5: Now.
00:41:24
Speaker 2: Gable is a college basketball expert. Generally you have to go over to the picks page and become a visent pro to get them.
00:41:31
Speaker 3: But I'm feeling
I don't know, I'm feeling kind of charitable. Give him two, give him to ee.
00:41:38
Speaker 2: I'll give, but you know what, I'm gonna give him Washington State plus thirteen at Arizona from Thomas Gable. How about that one marquee top twenty five matchup? He says, you know what, I don't care if Arizona's beating everybody by twenty three at home, give me Washington State and I'll give you another one Morehead State. Zipit dustin Western Illinois under one and a half two plays. Gable gave us three. You can get the other one if you become a vison pro.
00:42:07
Speaker 3: I went to Lesshead State late again. I'm not going to repeat myself. Just move along.
00:42:17
Speaker 2: Let's go close some tabs to get the hell out of here.
00:42:20
Speaker 4: We do have other university stuff to discuss here. First, George Mason University. Do you know who George Mason was? He was a founding father. He was also the first thing listened on his Wikipedia an American planter, politician, founding father, delegates to the US Constitutional Convention of seventeen eighty seven and was one of the three delegates President who refused to sign the constitution.
00:42:46
Speaker 3: Didn't know that.
00:42:48
Speaker 2: Shot to George bay H Larry with the American flag?
00:42:51
Speaker 3: What's crack? All right? What else?
00:42:53
Speaker 4: The College of Charleston, some notable law Edwin McCain, he'll be your crying shoulder. Former Yankees outfielder Brett gar Warner, actor Orlando Jones.
00:43:01
Speaker 3: And this is the interesting one. John C. Fremont. Who's John C. Fremont.
00:43:06
Speaker 4: Well, the street we are on right now is Fremont Street, the Fremont Street Experience. It is named after him. One of Vegas's original westward founders. Came out west a couple of expeditions, and he went to the College of Charleston.
00:43:18
Speaker 3: That's not bad. That's not bad bad.
00:43:21
Speaker 2: Nice little nugget from the big guy.
00:43:23
Speaker 3: Anything else? To close this out? One more? I was going to go over the details of the Paul George trade.
00:43:29
Speaker 4: But there's so many trades, so many pieces the Thunder received, we've kind of run out of time to go through.
00:43:34
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, like they got five first rounders in SGA. I think that's a good start.
00:43:39
Speaker 3: And Gallinari and yeah, yeah, it's a lot. It's a swops.
00:43:43
Speaker 2: Jalen Williams start getting into pick swaps, you start your boy gets confused.
00:43:47
Speaker 4: Yeah, well, draft night in the NBA is the most confusing night ever because they get drafted by one team, but we don't know who owns that pick, and all of a sudden they end up on another roster the next day.
00:43:56
Speaker 3: It's very confusing, all.
00:43:58
Speaker 2: Right, Tay, I'm currently trying to bet a Colombian soccer game. As we say goodbye, I want to thank everybody, Larry and the crew back in the closet there at the d Yeoman's Job fellas, Josh Applebaum, Matt McCall, Alan Bell, Bobby Stanley, Midlife, Samich Halterman.
00:44:17
Speaker 3: Who else did we get? Will Hill?
00:44:18
Speaker 2: Check out his podcast, should have bet More pod, The Big Guy, Dustin Sweetest sin On, Patrick Maher We'll see tomorrow, Sharp Money