Why the Price of Money Surged in the Last Six Years
What changed between 2019 and 2025? Why are interest rates so much higher? Why does it seem virtually unfathomable that the Fed will return to ZIRP anytime soon? Why do investors expect this rate cut cycle to be so shallow? The answer, theoretically, is that the neutral rate of interest has gone up…
The Year Ahead: Tariffs, AI and Fed Independence
Host Stephanie Flanders is joined by Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist Tom Orlik, Bloomberg Opinion columnist Parmy Olson and Bloomberg News US politics editor Mario Parker to look back at a chaotic 2025—marked by Donald Trump’s messy April tariff rollout and a presidency defined by seemingly del…
Bigger Pic: Dollar Dominance Under Pressure, AI Hype on Trial
The US dollar has anchored the global financial system for decades, but cracks are beginning to show. At the same time, artificial intelligence is driving trillion dollar valuations even as real economy productivity gains remain uncertain. Tom Orlik, Bloomberg's Chief Economist examines what is cha…
The Price of Money - 700 Years of Falling, Can Interest Rates Keep Rising?
Interest rates have been sliding for seven centuries. Dive into the historical forces driving this trend and examine whether the recent interest rate spike is just a blip on the radar.Topics covered include:
How the supply of savings and the demand to borrow impact interest rates
Why have interest …
Iran’s Lesson for Trump in Economic Warfare
A month into the US–Israel war with Iran, the global economy is already feeling the strain — such as surging oil prices and shifting interest rate expectations. Host Stephanie Flanders speaks with Tom Orlik and Dina Esfandiary from the Bloomberg Economics team about how Iran has managed to turn eco…
Warsh Says Inflation Isn’t Slowing, Vows to Reach 2% Target
Watch Paul and Scarlet LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Intelligence hosted by Paul Sweeney and Judy Lagrou*Guest reaction to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech from Jackson Hole*Guests: Tom Orlik, Chief Economist for Bloomberg Economics & Tom Keene, Bloomberg Surveillance Co-…
Suspected Iranian Nuclear Activities, Growing Loss-Of-Control Risks of AI
The International Atomic Energy Agency has observed construction activity at Iran's Pickaxe Mountain, a site suspected of housing nuclear-related activities. IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi said there are indications of movement around the construction site, but no concrete information …
Global AI Supercycle Raises Productivity Questions
The people, companies and trends shaping the global economy. Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF
AI developers including Anthropic and OpenAI are clashing with the Trump administration over their calls for an industrywide slowdown in artificial intelligence develop…
AI’s Giant Money Loop Is Feeling Very 2008
The AI infrastructure boom is funded by a complex web of investments, as tech companies pour money into one another and foreign investors funnel still more cash into the industry. That flow of foreign money is also creating global imbalances — and flashbacks to the run-up to the 2008 financial cris…
Live from New Delhi: What the World's Financial Leaders Fear Most
What does the global economy look like from the rooms where some of the world’s biggest investment and business decisions are made? Stephanie Flanders is in New Delhi for Bloomberg’s New Economy Forum, where she speaks with Bloomberg Chief Economist Tom Orlik about the risks building beneath the su…
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I have no special talent. I am only passionately curious, and
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