What’s Wright - NFL Week 9 Predictions: Jets-Chiefs, Vikings-Bills, Bucs-Bears, Packers-Patriots, Broncos-Panthers の全文書き起こし

Speaker 2: Next. Detroit at Miami, Miami six and a half point dogs. 00:03:22 Speaker 1: I almost took the Dolphins. And I couldn't quite get myself there. Detroit, obviously, sadly, and we're continuing to get updates, going to be without Jack Campbell, who suffered the scariest and maybe most serious injury of anyone this season. The update yesterday from Jack was promising but concerning, where he said, he has movement in his lower body and believes he'll regain movement in his upper body. Why is that's promising is typically it's the other direction. You know what I mean? 00:04:02 Speaker 2: Like that, the feel your legs. Yeah. 00:04:05 Speaker 1: The lower body comes last. And so I think they have reason for optimism, but obviously a terrifying moment, um, And then on the football side of things, he's important for a defense that while it's been improving has real questions. I, and this, you know, this line, depending on, you know, on poly market, it's six and a half, you know, for a bit of a price in one direction or seven and a half for a bit of a price in the other direction. The true line is probably seven. We're just going to stay away from it. Detroit's got to win. And I think they will win. I'm not comfortable though, laying a full touchdown next. 00:04:43 Speaker 3: Yeah. 00:04:44 Speaker 2: We got the Rams at Washington. Washington's four and a half point dogs. 00:04:48 Speaker 1: This was another road dog, or I'm sorry, home dog that I strongly considered. I don't know what to make of the Rams in full yet. 00:05:00 Speaker 2: Go ahead. I was just about to say, I don't know if they're good. Are they a good team or not? 00:05:06 Speaker 1: They beat up the Chargers, but who cares? That means nothing. And But I also think Washington might just flatly be one of the very worst teams in the league. And so that's why I couldn't take them plus the four and a half. But that was my lean here. Next. 00:05:26 Speaker 2: Giants at Philly. Philly's three and a half point dogs. 00:05:31 Speaker 1: The only reason I'm not taking the Giants here is because I think the entire world is going to be on the Giants. Now, I don't have enough courage to fully go against it and go with the Eagles because the Eagles have lost six games in a row, and they have lost those games since Jalen went out 11-17-17. They are starting, and they're now starting Joe Milton at quarterback because Tanner McKee didn't get it done. Joe Milton's at least interesting. He can throw it over the mountain. 00:06:07 Speaker 2: You got to see another game from J.J. McCarthy as well. 00:06:10 Speaker 1: Well, that's correct. So that's why I don't, you know, we've seen one full game from J.J. McCarthy and all of a sudden laying three and a half points on the road against what's supposed to be, even if it hasn't been a good defense. I couldn't quite do it, but I also, right now, Philly seems like they're unpickable until they show some type of life for a full game. They didn't show some

life in their last game for, you know, for at least a quarter and a half, but some type of life without Jalen, so I'm staying away. Next. 00:06:49 Speaker 2: Cleveland at New Orleans. New Orleans three and a half point favorites. I'd take Cleveland here. Shador's starting. 00:06:58 Speaker 1: Shador's starting. New Orleans does not deserve to be a field goal favorite really over anybody, but The Browns' offense was bad with Deshaun. They obviously thought Deshaun was much better than Shador because even though he was wildly unpopular, he got the starting job. This also, again, this is a vintage. I do not have any interest in having any reason to pay attention or watch this game on an otherwise excellent Sunday of football, so we're staying away. 00:07:32 Speaker 2: Next. Vegas at San Francisco. San Francisco's 9.5 point favorites. 00:07:38 Speaker 1: My strong lean here is San Francisco. 00:07:42 Speaker 2: Wow. 00:07:43 Speaker 1: They're off a bye. They have the ability and they like to blow people out. The reason I couldn't do it is that Raiders offense, it's not quite a wagon, but it's wagon adjacent. That Raiders offense can do some things. But I also, I don't know some of the Niners, like Mike Evans' health status, the Niners out of a bye. you know, in a game, it's not right to say the Niners are in a really good spot. So you can't say like they need the game, but they're fighting for the one seed. So in that regard, they need every game. I like, I almost had the Niners in the pick. Sounds like you like the other side of it. So maybe that makes me feel better. I didn't put him in. It's just big favorites have been the worst bet in the NFL this year. They're like 9 and 20-something against the spread, if you're a favorite of more than 6. So I'm staying away. But my strong lean was the Niners. Next. 00:08:47 Speaker 2: Vegas can get gentee to start working out. 00:08:50 Speaker 1: Man, that's been such a disastrous pick. And I loved him, but that's been a disaster. 00:08:56 Speaker 2: Next, we got Cardinals at Seattle. Seattle's 8.5-point favorites. 00:09:02 Speaker 1: You know, it's so interesting. I loved Arizona 12.5. Love it. I almost, though, went Seattle 8.5 only because I think this is a huge overreaction. I do not think Sam Darnold, the way he's been playing, is worth four more points than Drew Locke. I can't believe the line moved that much. The only reason it didn't do it was because I liked Arizona so much at 12.5. I didn't now want to be on the other side of it. But if Darnold were starting and it were 12.5, I'd still be taking it. And if Locke were starting and it had only gone down to 10.5, I'd still be taking Arizona. 8.5, not quite enough because there is an angry, desperate Seattle defense after Caleb lit them up against Gardner Minshew. I see how that could get ugly. I also see though, I mean how Arizona, you know, could force true lock in some mistakes. So I, the, the, The Darnold injury in the line movement made this a stay away. But I was, my favorite pick of the week was going to be Arizona plus 12 and a half. But now that's gone, obviously. And last one. 00:10:25 Speaker 2: Green Bay at New England. New England's three and a half point favorites. 00:10:28 Speaker 1: So this is another one where the true line probably is three. So on Polymarket, you can get, you know, Green Bay plus three and a half at a price or New England minus two and a half at a price. I think this line's exactly right. I think New England should win by three or four points. I think this will be a good game. And I've been very, and if Green Bay can win this game and then the next week they probably get Micah back, you know, we're talking about something in Green Bay, but I think this line is exactly right. So I am going to stay away from it, which leaves five games. I think DeMondsey is going to hate a lot of these picks of mine. Plus, DeMondsey's teaser, fresh off another win. We'll do all that in a second. But first, talk to you about my friends at Polymarket. Basketball season's here, and the best way to trade on it is the prediction market. Polymarket, in the past, if you wanted action on the game, put some money in, and if your team was doing well, you wanted to cash out, they'd lock the trade. Polymarket's different. It's a prediction market akin to a stock exchange for sports. Buying in, sell out on your own terms. I've tried all the prediction markets. I've talked to you guys about that. And Polymarket is absolutely the best prediction market. They're so confident. You'll never go back to the other guys. They're giving you a free $ 25 on your first trade when you deposit just $ 10. Every bucket, every block, every scintillating matchup in basketball trades on Polymarket. So download the Polymarket app today. and use code NickWright when you sign up. That's code NickWright. To get $ 25 free after you deposit just $ 10. 00:12:10 Speaker 3: 18 plus only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com slash TOS for more information. The Polymarket US app serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC regulated exchange and clearing organization. 00:12:34 Speaker 1: Time now for Nick's picks brought to you by Polymarket. All right, Demondze, let's get to it. 00:12:42 Speaker 2: First pick, Carolina plus two and a half versus Denver. 00:12:47 Speaker 1: Do you hate this one? 00:12:48 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm scared for you. It's just, I don't know. 00:12:54 Speaker 1: Carolina's been very good bouncing back after a loss. I think Bryce, they're 16 and four. after a loss with Dave Canales and Bryce. Carolina is a home dog. Carolina is on a significant rest advantage. Denver just had a massive road win, or I'm sorry, a massive home, but divisional win against the Chiefs. A bit of an emotional letdown spot. Denver has been flirting with

losing dumb games all year. I think they finally do it. Obviously, you'd rather have Carolina plus three. We have Carolina plus two and a half. If you can find three and a half, it's an absolute smash. I think Carolina is going to win outright. I think this is a game Denver, after that huge Chiefs win, they don't get quite the late-game heroics they've become so used to. And I think Carolina, after back-to-back bad Bryce games, he has a bit of a bounce back against a, admittedly, very good Denver defense. Carolina also, a lot of who they are is built on their secondary. They were so banged up last week, should be a little healthier this week. I will take Carolina plus the 2.5. 00:14:17 Speaker 2: Next. All right, Dallas minus 5.5 at Indy? 00:14:23 Speaker 1: What Dallas does.... 00:14:26 Speaker 2: Oh, you know what? It's Indy. It's Indy. 00:14:29 Speaker 1: Yeah, they alternate awful performances and putting up 30-plus. This last week, they put up 30 in an awful performance. I think Indy is just done for the year. And Tennessee traded away their best player, and they played their best game of the year. Indy traded away two of their best players, And they got curb stomps. I also think there is a real chance to Monze that Jonathan Taylor is a game day inactive here. That they, between now and Sunday, work out a trade so they can't risk him getting hurt. Or if they're close on a trade, that they're very conservative with his usage because they don't want him to get hurt. So that, I think, is massive. as far as their ability to move the ball. Dallas, obviously, after the mortifying way they lost to the Cardinals, peak motivation, games in a dome. I think Dak will cook. I'll lay the 5.5 with the Cowboys. Next. 00:15:39 Speaker 2: Houston minus 5.5 at the Chargers? 00:15:44 Speaker 1: Listen, the Chargers are approaching must-fade territory. They haven't covered a game since Christmas. I can't believe we haven't made more money on this. They have been so unspeakably awful in every single game they've played. And while this Texans defense has been disappointing, this Texans defense off a bye, season hanging by a thread, a little heat on D'Amico all of a sudden. after that overtime loss to the Giants, and they get a broken Charger team that the Texans fans will, I believe, take over the Charger Stadium, I think that will just put me down for three Herbert turnovers in this game, and that I think the Texans blow them out. I think this is 27. to 12 type of game i'll lay the five and a half in a road spot with a texans team that is playing to keep its season alive and a charger team that's the worst team in the nfl. 00:17:05 Speaker 2: Yeah um tampa bay plus six and a half at chicago you hate it um i mean chicago is that they're the team that's promised i wouldn't go against them uh but six and a half damn you're getting a touchdown And Baker needs a big game, I feel like. 00:17:24 Speaker 1: Baker needs a big game. I think everyone, myself included, got a

little high on Chicago's supply this weekend. They looked unbelievable. I think that the NFL has an amazing ability to humble its teams, its players, and its prognosticators. and Tampa coming off a game where the quarterback couldn't even complete a pass, Chicago coming off a game where Caleb is the gift from God, that Tampa defense, which is one of the best run defenses in the league, one of the best overall defenses in the league, I think can slow down that devastating Bears rushing attack. I think Baker will finally be able to throw the ball. And I like Tampa getting the six and a half against Chicago for whatever it's worth. The last time I had a pick like this, it was the Falcons getting two and a half against the Niners, that everyone was a touch too high on the Niners, that everyone was going to be all over San Francisco in that game, and the Falcons won outright by nine. I don't know if I have the courage to pick a Tampa outright win. I will pick Tampa plus six and a half at Chicago. 00:18:49 Speaker 2: Alright, rolling with you. Minnesota plus three and a half versus Buffalo. 00:18:54 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is the rare spot where a team is playing its backup quarterback and it's one of the reasons I'm picking them. I think Carson Wentz can have the type of performance against that Bill's secondary that maybe keeps him the job. And again, I don't even know if I think that's smart for them long term because Wentz is not the answer. But I like Carson Wentz against the Bills secondary more than I would have liked Kyler. I also feel like the Brian Flores defense is going to force Josh into some mistakes. So I'm getting Minnesota at home getting more than a field goal against the Bills and Josh Allen, a Bills team that, by the way, I didn't think looked that good the first quarter or so against Baltimore, maybe most of the first half, and then just absolutely pasted them, obviously, in the second half. Minnesota, this to me is a field goal game. I don't know in which direction, so I will take Minnesota with Carson Wentz against Buffalo on Monday Night Football. So my five picks this week, DeMondse, are Carolina getting two and a half at home against Denver. Dallas laying five and a half in India and Houston laying five and a half in Los Angeles against the Chargers. Tampa getting six and a half at Chicago and Minnesota getting three and a half at home against Buffalo. We will get to Demondze's teaser and touchdown genie in a moment. But first, Boost Mobile's proving you don't have to overpay for great wireless. Unlock the savings with the $ 25 a month forever unlimited plan, permanent price, no contracts, and no price hikes. You can keep your phone and your number, but you save up to $ 600 a year compared to the major carriers. Stop overpaying and switch to a fair price at BoostMobile.com today. Based on average annual single line payment, AT & T, Verizon, and T-Mobile customers compared to 12 months on the Boost Mobile Unlimited plan as of January 2026. For full offer details, visit BoostMobile.com. Tonight, 7 Eastern, the Emirates NBA Cup is on prime. Week two of group play. First up, bronze new squad heads to his old stomping grounds as the Sixers make their way to Cleveland to take on Donovan Mitchell and the Cavs. Then, The action heads to Hollywood as Damian Lillard and the Blazers battle Luka and the Lakers in L.A. It should be an epic doubleheader. Sixers-Cavs, Blazers-Lakers. The Emirates NBA Cup on Prime. Tonight, 7 Eastern only on Prime. Restrictions apply. See Amazon.com slash Amazon Prime for details. All right, Demonte, let's go to Touchdown Genie. 00:21:50 Speaker 2: So last week, you took a break from Touchdown Genie. This week, we want to get back on the horse. Is there anybody that you're looking at that you like? You want Kittle? We got a little Ollie Gordon. CD Lamb. 00:22:02 Speaker 1: CD Lamb. I'll take CD Lamb. I will definitely take CD Lamb. 00:22:07 Speaker 2: Is that 53%? 00:22:08 Speaker 1: Yeah. So CD Lamb at 53%, I like a lot. And so that's my touchdown genie. But more importantly, because touchdown genie I'm not good at this year, let's go to teasers where you are good. Recap last week's and then give us this week. 00:22:24 Speaker 2: Last week's three-team six-and-a-half point. We went with the Rams. That was a pick-em. They won, obviously. And then the Jags minus three. And then the Vikings plus ten. And you gave me an A-plus on that one. And this week we got a three-team six-and-a-half. Yeah, I did. 00:22:41 Speaker 1: Listen, I like you doing these 6.5 pointers. 00:22:45 Speaker 2: It's less juice. 00:22:47 Speaker 1: It's more profitable. I like it a lot. So I gave you an A +, and you crushed on it. Proud of you. Good job. 00:22:55 Speaker 2: Let's go to the next one. Yeah, the 6.5 spoke to me this week. So we got three teams, 6.5 point. We're teasing the Vegas Raiders up to plus 16, Minnesota up to plus 10, and no salt or anything. We're teasing the Jets up to plus 16. You know the Chiefs don't blow teams out. I obviously don't think they're going to win the game. 00:23:13 Speaker 1: No. The only one of these that I feel somewhat opposed to is Vegas. But there's a lot of numbers between 9.5 and 16 where we can. 00:23:25 Speaker 2: Back doors open the whole game. It should be. Right. 00:23:28 Speaker 1: You're never out of it. You should never be out of it. I really like Minnesota plus the points. I don't hate the Jets plus those points. Um, and so, yeah, I, I will give this a, give this an another egg. You're four and four on the year because of the, the six and a half pointers. You're actually profitable at four and four because of three teams, six and a half point teasers, plus a lot of money. So good job so far. Love it. Now let's get to the offer. 00:24:01 Speaker 2: Let's ride. Um, so last week, the offer cashed, it was Jared golf, uh, plus, uh, plus one interception at 53%. This week, we're going to fade the Bengals, who allow the second-most yards to tight ends, with Kyle Pitts to record 50-plus reception yards. That's trading at 43%. The producers also wanted to note that he's thrived overseas in recording 119 yards and a touchdown in a London game back in 2021. Do you accept this will be an early game? Okay. 00:24:33 Speaker 1: In fact, because it's polymarket, We're allowed to do this. Offer switcheroo. I'm just going to play the no side of this and lay 58%. I'll just, I'll just, I'll just, you know what? So producers, we can just, we can use Polymarket or we can text on the side and we can just do it together. I'm saying I will take Kyle Pitts to have less than 50 yards receiving. That's what I will do. Um, at 57, 58%. That's what I, that's what I think I'm going to do there. So thank you for the offer producers. Um, but I not taking that. Um, the, so yeah, I'm, I'm on the other side of that one. All right. Enjoy week nine in the NFL. Uh, thank you for listening to the show. If you missed yesterday's show, half was on the NFL, little NBA. And then we did a nice, all right. You know, I thought it was nice. It was cathartic for me. about 20 minutes on the elections and where America goes from here. So if you want to check that out, it is there on YouTube or in your podcast feeds. Thank you to Boost Mobile, Polymarket, and Amazon, and the Emirates NBA Cup. Thank you to Demanze, to Blue Duck, and to The Volume. Talk to you guys next week. 00:25:45 Speaker 2: What's right.